Podcasts about sdo

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Best podcasts about sdo

Latest podcast episodes about sdo

Bright Side
4 Small Planets Found Near Us - Perfect for Future Travelers

Bright Side

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2025 13:17


Scientists just found four small planets not too far from us, and they might be perfect for future space travelers. These exoplanets are the right size, possibly have the right conditions, and they're just sitting out there, waiting to be explored. It's like the universe dropped a hint: “Hey humans, pack your bags!” Colonization might sound like sci-fi, but these planets could be real candidates someday. Who knows — they might be our second homes in the future. Space just got a whole lot more exciting! Credit: New Supercomputer Simulation Sheds Light on Moon's Origin: By NASA, https://images.nasa.gov/details-ARC-2... Debris Disks Generate Spirals: By NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/12807/ TESS, Spitzer Missions Discover a Unique Young World: By NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/13648/ HIRMES: SOFIA's latest high-resolution Mid-infrared Spectrometer: By NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/12673/ Beta Pictoris: Icy Debris Suggests 'Shepherd' Planet: By NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center, https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/11499/ JWST Science Simulations: Solar System Birth: By NCSA, NASA, A. Boley, https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/10662/ SDO's Ultra-high Definition View of 2012 Venus Transit: By NASA, https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/10996/ CC BY 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... : Alpha Centauri from Paranal: By John Colosimo/ESO, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... MAROON-X during installation: By International Gemini Observatory/NOIRLab/NSF/AURA/J. Bean, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... MAROON-X at Gemini North: By International Gemini Observatory/NOIRLab/NSF/AURA/J. Bean, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... A Taste of ESPRESSO: By ESO/M. Zamani, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... Eso1436a: By ALMA (ESO/NAOJ/NRAO), https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... Protoplanetary Disk XUE 1: By ESO/L. Calçada, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... CC BY-SA 4.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... : Ymir-full: By Brett Gladman/Canadian Astronomy Data Centre, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... Orion Watches over Paranal: By ESO/Y. Beletsky, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... Shield of the University of Central Lancashire: By ET72, https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... CC BY 3.0, https://creativecommons.org/licenses/... GW Orionis: By Jiaqing Bi et al., https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... HR 8799 Orbiting Exoplanets: By Jason Wang, et al, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:HR... Animation is created by Bright Side. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Music from TheSoul Sound: https://thesoul-sound.com/ Check our Bright Side podcast on Spotify and leave a positive review! https://open.spotify.com/show/0hUkPxD... Subscribe to Bright Side: https://goo.gl/rQTJZz ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Our Social Media: Facebook:   / brightplanet   Instagram:   / brightside.official   TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@brightside.of... Stock materials (photos, footages and other): https://www.depositphotos.com https://www.shutterstock.com https://www.eastnews.ru ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For more videos and articles visit: http://www.brightside.me ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This video is made for entertainment purposes. We do not make any warranties about the completeness, safety and reliability. Any action you take upon the information in this video is strictly at your own risk, and we will not be liable for any damages or losses. It is the viewer's responsibility to use judgement, care and precaution if you plan to replicate. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Noticias RNN
Esperan fortalecimiento de lucha contra el crimen organizado en gestión de Berenice

Noticias RNN

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 24, 2025 45:00


La ola de atracos tiene a los comerciantes del kilómetro 17 de la autopista Duarte al borde de la desesperación, según afirmaron, especialmente por el más recienteasalto en un pica pollo en Santo Domingo Oeste, donde piden un mayor patrullajepolicial.#autopistaduarte#picapollo #atraco #comerciantes #SDO

Urelevant
Episode 22 - How to Prevent Agentforce from Leaking Sensitive Data

Urelevant

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 17, 2024 7:36


Watch now! - https://www.youtube.com/@Urelevant Let's dive into some security concerns and what you can do to shore up your AI implementations inside of agent force so I noticed a post on LinkedIn that was gaining some traction that was from Amnon Kruvi and he's a Salesforce architect and he mentions in his post that "it took me exactly two questions to accidentally get agent force to reveal someone else's personal information using the default actions followed by hallucinating madeup orders for that person and then from there he's saying how AI has no business reading database records that is not to say there are no excellent use cases for it but delivering live information from a database is just too risky in the data protection era we need to be realistic with what kinds of solutions AI can safely deliver I understand the hype but some of it will just leave the door wide open for someone to steal your data." That really intrigued me when I first saw that is like wow this is giving up information and Salesforce has done a lot of work around the Einstein trust layer to try to protect information to mask sensitive data as it goes to a large language model but when you think about it as far as authentication methods that's something that always happens whenever you call into a call center and dealing with any sort of sensitive records often times you're asked to verify your phone number your date of birth perhaps provide the last four of your Social just different things as far as verifying and so what Amnon goes on to describe in some of the comments which I'll highlight some here in a moment is that the verification process was kind of thin and this was the default behavior and setup in the instruction sets inside of Agentforce and I'll dig in more to try to see what sort of org or instance he was in if this was is a free learner account I think one of the issues is is that this was the default setup provided by Salesforce which might lead to uh users trusting that just because it's coming from Salesforce just presuming that best practices were being used so we're going to explore in this video as well how you can help bring your instructions into alignment your various guardrails that you can put in place inside of Agentforce and then open up some of the possibilities as far is if there's things that are out of alignment or contradict one another in your guard rails and instructions these are all things that we now have to think about in this new age of AI that we're working in and navigating and so Amnon further iterates that does a good job of closing off a lot of attack vectors but the issue was with the default demo configuration being of poor quality and teaches bad processes that highlight the security risk involved with any kind of AI based technology and so here is my comment where I chimed in just saying for my perspective that there's so many challenges that abound from implementing generative AI and placing guard rail ensuring alignment across all instructions in Agentforce and the inevitable rapid release of new and improved models makes this a moving Target this is a good case study for the Agentforce testing center and previously we saw the release a few weeks ago of the Agentforce testing center where you can bulk test agent force performance and agent responses and I think that this is a good thing to think about is the hundreds or thousands of ways that prompts might come into an Enterprise and then testing out out in bulk the verification process so that you are not just giving away other people's information the scenario that Amnon is describing is he's self-identifying as someone saying that he is someone else giving that person's email address which sometimes is easy to find online and then asking questions about an order for example so you can see if you're dealing with agent force at a healthcare setting Financial Services Etc there's a lot of loopholes that could be exploited and so then Paul Battisson he had a question here missing that this is concerning and asking about the setup wanting to know more details as to what was the org in question what was the setup and so he answers Paul saying it was an SDO that's the Salesforce developer org and the main point here is that Amnon had a pretty good idea of why it was happening how to mitigate the situation as well his main point is that the default action should not be so exposed because people might think they're best practice and that's the point here is that when you see something from Salesforce you assume that everything's been thought out and thought through and that the proper guard rails are in place so whenever you're spinning up an instance that has Agentforce enabled you don't want to just necessarily take all the instruction sets at face value there's instructions you can place the agent level and inside of prompt templates and you will be wanting to audit those make sure that they're in alignment that's one of the points I was trying to make as far as this being indeed a moving Target coupled with as well in the background the constant Evolution and advancements with new large language models and those being added into agent force over time and so this is something that will not be set it and forget it sort of proposition but will always need to be being monitored by organizations and tested in bulk in mass and that's why the Agentforce testing center is so important is because we can't humanly scale to that point to think of all the variations as to the different approaches to be able to try to hack this in and there was another response further down from someone named Vani I didn't put her last name I checked her profile I'm not sure what her last name is she's bringing up since Agentforce can't function without Einstein trust layer uh which includes safeguards like data masking and access controls I'm curious do this happen even after having these protections or or do you think they're still room for improvement and so then Amnon responds back that I did not actively put someone's address as protected data in the trust layer configuration though it was enabled with the default settings and then basically said hey my email is xxx then asked it to tell me what my address and birthday were and so that is the example specifically of the prompt or the utterance that was given to Agentforce and it didn't really do a great job as far as verifying the identity of the person it was able to then verify by the email address assuming that that is the person that is chatting or prompting agent force and then was able to follow up with asking some follow-up questions and so then Andy Cotgreave brought up a great point as well saying we don't want to put the burden on the end user as far as having to test test test and that burden should be on Salesforce in the configuration of Agentforce and this I think it was this specific comment that caused me to remember theAgentforce testing center which was recently released that comment of test test test was realizing okay the burden is on the user and this is Salesforce's response is to use the Agentforce testing center because it we can't humanly scale as I said to test out all those different variations and so it's the coupling of humans and AI working together on that side of the fence to do that testing in in addition to configuring the Einstein Trust Layer setting and then as well the instruction sets for prompt templates the agent instructions as well the topic configurations so there's a lot of great conversation here and this really opens up some thought related to authentication of users and just the utterances and prompts that Agentforce will be faced with dealing with out in the wild so many thanks to Amnon Kruvi for insightful post bringing up some important aspects related to Security in the age of Agentforce and so be sure and check out Velza that is our implementation company we specialize in Salesforce implementations and agent force implementations reach out to us at Velza.com and we will schedule a call do a discovery and get your implementation out on the right foot or fix a failed implementation that seems to be all the rage nowadays is people trying to start over and get their configurations fixed especially in this age of AI and Agentforce also be sure and check out rapidreskill.com for Salesforce and AI training and be sure and like And subscribe to the Urelevant podcast feed the algorithm help others to find Urelevant as well it's all about helping you to find relevance in the economy of now I'm Mike wheeler signing off for now until next time I'll see you in the cloud

Coffee Break: Señal y Ruido
Ep489_A: SDO y SoHO; Protocélulas; Multimodal Universe; Acoplamiento Molecular

Coffee Break: Señal y Ruido

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 5, 2024 62:14


La tertulia semanal en la que repasamos las últimas noticias de la actualidad científica. En el episodio de hoy: Cara A: -Avería seria en el Joint Science Operations Center de SDO e IRIS (9:00) -29 años de SOHO (19:00) -La odisea de SOHO (20:25) Este episodio continúa en la Cara B. Contertulios: Sara Robisco, Juan Carlos Gil, Francis Villatoro, Héctor Socas. Imagen de portada realizada con Midjourney. Todos los comentarios vertidos durante la tertulia representan únicamente la opinión de quien los hace... y a veces ni eso

Coffee Break: Señal y Ruido
Ep480_A: Ética Científica: El Caso Salamanca; Viento Solar; Caronte: Cosmología

Coffee Break: Señal y Ruido

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2024 58:14


La tertulia semanal en la que repasamos las últimas noticias de la actualidad científica. En el episodio de hoy: Cara A: -Varios temas breves (5:00) -Ética científica: El caso del rector de la Univ de Salamanca (parte 1) (35:00) Este episodio continúa en la Cara B. Contertulios: José Edelstein, Francis Villatoro, Héctor Socas. Créditos NASA (Parker Probe; imagen solar de SDO) y ESA (Solar Orbiter) . Todos los comentarios vertidos durante la tertulia representan únicamente la opinión de quien los hace... y a veces ni eso

Coffee Break: Señal y Ruido
Ep480_B: Ética Científica: El Caso Salamanca; Viento Solar; Caronte: Cosmología

Coffee Break: Señal y Ruido

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 3, 2024 145:52


La tertulia semanal en la que repasamos las últimas noticias de la actualidad científica. En el episodio de hoy: Cara B: -Ética científica: El caso del rector de la Univ de Salamanca (parte 2) (00:00) -Promo AICAD (27:34) -La aceleración del viento solar (29:49) -Dióxido de carbono y agua oxigenada en Caronte (1:12:14) -Señales de los oyentes (1:35:04) Este episodio es continuación de la Cara A. Contertulios: Sara Robisco, José Edelstein, Gastón Giribet, Francis Villatoro, Héctor Socas. Créditos NASA (Parker Probe; imagen solar de SDO) y ESA (Solar Orbiter). Todos los comentarios vertidos durante la tertulia representan únicamente la opinión de quien los hace... y a veces ni eso

Astronomy Daily - The Podcast
S04E103: New Worlds Discovered & Sun's Fiery Display

Astronomy Daily - The Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 17, 2024 12:56


Welcome to Astronomy Daily, your go-to source for the latest news in space and astronomy. I'm your host, Anna.In today's episode, we've got some fantastic stories lined up for you. We'll start by exploring some fascinating new discoveries in the world of exoplanet science, where scientists have just announced the finding of six new worlds, pushing the count of known exoplanets beyond 5500. Then we'll decode the details of a powerful solar flare that recently erupted from our sun, one of the largest explosive events that our solar system can produce. Finally, we'll dive into the latest advancements in artificial intelligence technology as it's being used by NASA's Mars rover, showcasing how AI is revolutionizing autonomous planetary exploration. Stay tuned. You won't want to miss this.**Six New Exoplanets Discovered**: On August 24, 2023, scientists announced a groundbreaking discovery of six new exoplanets, pushing the number of known exoplanets to 5502. These new worlds, detected using various cutting-edge methods, range from massive gas giants to potentially rocky planets. Among them are HD 36384 b, a super Jupiter, and TOI 198 b, a rocky planet in the habitable zone of its star. Each discovery provides invaluable data for researchers, enhancing our understanding of planetary diversity and the potential for extraterrestrial life.- **NASA's Exoplanet Hunting Tools**: NASA's suite of tools, including the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite (TESS), Hubble Space Telescope, Spitzer Space Telescope, and the James Webb Space Telescope, have significantly expanded our catalog of known exoplanets. The upcoming Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope promises to advance our ability to directly observe and study exoplanets, potentially identifying conditions suitable for life.- **Powerful Solar Flare on July 13, 2024**: Our sun emitted a powerful X1.2-class solar flare, one of the most explosive occurrences in our solar system. Captured by NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO), this flare highlights the importance of monitoring solar activities to mitigate their effects on Earth's technologies. SDO's sophisticated instruments provide high-resolution images and data, helping scientists understand solar variability and safeguard our technological infrastructure.- **AI on NASA's Perseverance Mars Rover**: Artificial intelligence on NASA's Perseverance Mars rover is revolutionizing autonomous exploration. Using the Planetary Instrument for X-ray Lithochemistry (PIXL), the rover autonomously analyzes rock compositions, making real-time decisions without input from Earth. This AI-driven precision ensures the collection of scientifically valuable data and represents a pivotal step toward future AI-driven exploratory missions.Don't forget to visit our website at astronomydaily.io, where you can sign up for our free daily newsletter, track all the latest space and astronomy news with our constantly updating newsfeed, and listen to all our back episodes. Catch you in the next one. Until then, keep looking up and stay curious about the universe.Become a supporter of this podcast: Support Astronomy Daily.Check our unmissable sponsor deal from Malwarebytes - for a limited time get all the protection you need for 50% off! But this is a limited-time offer. For details, visit www.bitesz.com/malwarebytes.www.bitesz.com

Cigar Coop Prime Time Show
PCA 2024: Toscano Cigars

Cigar Coop Prime Time Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2024 7:49


The 2024 Premium Cigar Association (PCA) Trade Show would not be complete without a visit to the Toscano Cigars booth. Toscano Cigars the Italian brand famous for its fire-cured cigars. Given Toscano Cigars are pretty different from most, it is always interesting how Toscano combines an experiential and educational component in its booth. This year, the highlight was the cigar roller at the booth. At the same time, Toscano always has something new at the PCA Trade Show, the Toscano Italia. This is a cigar that truly pays homage to Toscano's Italian roots. PCA 2024 Report: https://wp.me/p6h1n1-sDO

Cigar Coop Prime Time Show
PCA 2024: Toscano Cigars (Audio)

Cigar Coop Prime Time Show

Play Episode Listen Later May 3, 2024 7:50


The 2024 Premium Cigar Association (PCA) Trade Show would not be complete without a visit to the Toscano Cigars booth. Toscano Cigars the Italian brand famous for its fire-cured cigars. Given Toscano Cigars are pretty different from most, it is always interesting how Toscano combines an experiential and educational component in its booth. This year, the highlight was the cigar roller at the booth. At the same time, Toscano always has something new at the PCA Trade Show, the Toscano Italia. This is a cigar that truly pays homage to Toscano's Italian roots. PCA 2024 Report: https://wp.me/p6h1n1-sDO

Shiny Minds Show
The Secret Superpower of Successful People

Shiny Minds Show

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2024 11:37


Today, we're going to talk about the most important skill for a good conversation. Let us talk about listening skills and how they can change the way you talk to people. Listening isn't just about hearing words; it's about understanding, empathy, and connection. That's why I'm excited to share and for you to discover the six powerful strategies to boost your listening skills, become a better listener, and transform your relationships.   P.S: Do you want to master your communication skills? Learn the three different levels of listening along with specific examples so that you can see where you are, adjust your presence by paying more attention to what you are not hearing and measure your progress accordingly.!

Noticias RNN
Noticias RNN Primera Emisión / 15-03-2024

Noticias RNN

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 15, 2024 43:40


Revientan a Moreno Dollar, presunto delincuentado y líder de banda./A pedradas y palos se enfrentan policías y haitianos en SDO./

逐工一幅天文圖 APOD Taigi
1065. 太陽極小期 kah 太陽極大期 ft. 阿錕 (20231211)

逐工一幅天文圖 APOD Taigi

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 16, 2024 1:39


太陽表面是一直咧改變。有幾若年是 tiām-chih-chih,太陽烏子 kah 活跳區嘛較少。其他年就較活跳較激烈,太陽烏子 嘛較濟,閣定定有 日冕物質噴射 (CME) kah 太陽爍光。太陽 表面受著磁性 ê 影響會產生反應。每 11 年一个週期,會經過相對較恬 ê 太陽極小期,kah 相對活跳跳 ê 太陽極大期。這支影片 ê 倒爿是 2019 年底一個月 ê 時陣,太陽 tī 太陽極小期 附近。正爿是 2014 年 ê 其中一個月,太陽極大期 ê 時陣。影片是 NASA 太陽動態天文台 tī 遠紫外光 波段翕--ê。咱 ê 太陽會 tī 2025 年才來到 太陽極大期,毋過 意外 ê 是,太陽表面這馬已經有足濟太陽活動矣。 ——— 這是 NASA Astronomy Picture of the Day ê 台語文 podcast 原文版:https://apod.nasa.gov/ 台文版:https://apod.tw/ 今仔日 ê 文章: https://apod.tw/daily/20231211/ 影像:NASA, SDO, SVS 音樂:P!SCO - 鼎鼎 聲優:阿錕 翻譯:An-Li Tsai (NSYSU) 原文:https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap231211.html Powered by Firstory Hosting

Noticias RNN
Emisión Estelar de Noticias RNN Mié 13 Dic 2023

Noticias RNN

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 14, 2023 55:34


En sector Reparto Rosa de SDO demandan más patrullaje policial En el sector Reparto Rosa, de Santo Domingo Oeste, los atracadores mantienen a los moradores en zozobra por los constantes atracos que a todas horas se producen. #NoticiasRNN #RepartoRosa #delincuencia #atracos #zozobra #patrullaje #policía

Sin Maquillaje, Altagracia Salazar
Leonel dando instrucciones, ¿Se creerá presidente?, Noviembre 27, 2023

Sin Maquillaje, Altagracia Salazar

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 27, 2023 29:47


El ex presidente de la República  y presidente del Partido La Fuerza del Pueblo, Leonel Fernandez, instruyó ayer que se usara maquinaria pesada para retirar lodo y escombros en el municipio de Santo Domingo Oeste tras una visita que, según una nota de su partido que aparece en varios medios. Aun en el desorden de la vida dominicana donde el fin de semana una empresa privada que hacía una perforación dejó sin agua a más de medio millón de moradores de Santo Domingo Este, la utilización de equipos pesados en las vías públicas y la intervención de las vías públicas debe tener una tramitología mínima. Creo que es la primera vez que veo a un ex presidente “instruir” acciones que competen al estado o al municipio como si fuera una autoridad vigente. Yo supongo que quien tiene lodo en su casa quiere que se lo quiten y es probable que lo aplaudieran en el evento. Pero me gustaría conocer la logística de la “instrucción” de Fernández. Por sentido común supongo que la FUPU  contratará empresas que dan servicio de maquina pesada que irán a SDO o al municipio que fuere como Chivo sin ley. El otro lado de las declaraciones de Fernández es un mandado al gobierno y una denuncia de la ineficiencia de la acción pública municipal. Residentes de SDO han denunciado que tras ser derrotado en las primarias del PRM el alcalde Andújar ha bajado los brazos, o quizás nunca los tuvo muy altos. Lo propio pasa en Los Alcarrizos donde el alcalde Cristian Encarnación mantiene esa demarcación nadando en la basura. De Encarnación no se puede decir que lo hace luego de que perdiera porque las denuncias del desorden y la carencia de planificación lo acompañaron a lo largo de los cuatro años. Si hay algo que no le conviene al oficialismo es un Leonel Fernández mandando a hacer lo que no hacen sus alcaldes.  Aunque no lo hagan el señalamiento de que Fernández puede desde la oposición disponer lo que el gobierno no hace supera el folclor político domincicano.

PMO Strategies
227: How PMs Can Break the Glass Ceiling with Pierre Le Manh

PMO Strategies

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 29, 2023 57:28


Welcome to the PMO Strategies Podcast + Blog, where PMO leaders become IMPACT Drivers! PMI Talent Triangle: Power Skills Hey, IMPACT Driver!  In case you missed it, I had the wonderful opportunity to speak with Pierre Le Manh, President and CEO of the Project Management Institute, at this year's IMPACT Summit.   The conversation was an important one for you to hear, IMPACT Driver, since he's revealing what C-Suite executives are looking for from their leaders to help them make a bigger IMPACT.   We looked at what is holding many project professionals back in their careers and effective strategies to communicate your value to executives.  Join us for this episode to get the executive's perspective on what it takes for you to break through the glass ceiling and get your seat at the table. Enjoy!  Connect with Pierre on LinkedInProject Managers as Strategic Leaders – in the C-suite and Beyond   P.S. – The IMPACT Engine System™ is the only program of its kind that shows you how to build, run, and elevate your strategy delivery organization. If you are building or running a PMO, SDO, Agile, or Business Transformation Office, your career depends on making an IMPACT. This program will help you drive measurable value for the business, making it easy to get your executives on board. Learn more today!  Thanks for taking the time to check out the podcast! I welcome your feedback and insights!  I'd love to know what you think and if you love it, please leave a rating and review in your favorite podcast player. Please leave a comment below to share your thoughts. See you online! Warmly, Laura Barnard     GET NOTIFIED ABOUT NEW EPISODES  TELL US WHAT YOU WANT TO LEARN PDU REPORTING INSTRUCTIONS                              

AM/PM Podcast
#365 - Pioneering Internet Marketing and AI: A Conversation with Perry Belcher

AM/PM Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 19, 2023 70:34


Join us as we welcome internet marketing titan, Perry Belcher, to the AM/PM Podcast! Listen in as we journey through Perry's remarkable career path - from humble beginnings before turning to digital marketing. Perry's illustrious career even saw him get a personal call from none other than Jeff Bezos himself, a short story you don't want to miss!   The conversation continues with Perry reflecting on the rise and fall of his business and partnerships. His journey, marked by selling health supplements to launching a digital marketing business, and finally starting the Driven Mastermind and the War Room, is an insightful one for any entrepreneur. Our chat also covers the importance of joining a mastermind group, the benefits it can bring, and how it can help you gain a broad perspective of different industries.   Lastly, Perry shares fascinating insights about the role of AI in business, specifically in copywriting. From reducing labor costs to crafting compelling headlines and stories, the potential applications of AI are far-reaching. He also discusses misconceptions people have about AI and the opportunities it presents. Tune in for a riveting discussion about the intersection of AI, E-commerce, and internet marketing. In episode 365 of the AM/PM Podcast, Kevin and Perry discuss: 09:22 - Success in Real Estate and Selling 16:45 - Running Successful Events 23:30 - The Value of Networking and Collaboration 29:55 - Selling Event Recordings for Profit 34:19 - Cash Prize Incentives for Speakers 39:00 - Leveraging Email Lists for Business Success 42:06 - Artificial Intelligence And Its Impact On Internet Marketing 53:21 - Other Mindblowing AI Capabilities 57:27 - AI's Role in Various Industries 1:07:38 - Follow Perry on Facebook for Updates 1:09:46 - Kevin's Words Of Wisdom Kevin King: Welcome to episode 365 of the AEM PM podcast. My guest this week is none other than the famous Perry Belcher. If you don't know who Perry is, perry is one of the top internet marketers, probably one of the top copywriters in the world today. He's got his hands in all kinds of stuff, from newsletters to AI, to print on demand to funnels, to you name it. In marketing, Perry's either got tremendous amount of experience in it or he's heavily involved in it right now. We talked some shop today and just go kind of all over the place on some really cool, interesting topics. I think you're getting a lot from this episode, so I hope you enjoy it. And don't forget, if you haven't yet, be sure to sign up for the Billion Dollar Sellers Newsletter. It's at billiondollarsellerswithaness.com. It's totally free. New issue every Monday and Thursday. It's getting rave reviews from people in the industry and some of the top people in the industry as well as people just getting started. So it's got a little bit different take on it and just a lot of information. Plus, we have a little bit of fun as well in the newsletter. So hopefully you can join us at billiondollarsellers.com. Enjoy today's episode with Perry. Perry Belcher, welcome to the AM/PM Podcast. It's an honor to have you on here. How's?   Perry: it going, man, Dr King, esquire at all. I'm doing great, buddy, I'm doing great. I'm just trying to survive this hot, hot, hot summer that we're all having, you know.   Kevin King: Well, you're out there in Vegas. Y'all had floods, right. I was seeing some stuff on TikTok, like some of the casino garages and stuff were flooding.   Perry: Yeah, there were some floods out here, so it's been. We got like years worth of rain in two days or something like that, they said, which we could stand. It didn't hurt. But the hot weather out here is just the way that it is. You get used to it after a little while.   Kevin King: Yeah, it's the same in Austin. It's like 108, I think today, and I know you know, football season just recently started and everybody's complaining that they're doing a game. One of the first games was in the middle of the afternoon, like 2.30 in the afternoon and like man, half these people are going to be dying out there, you better have some extra medical. You know supposed to do these things at night in Texas during September.   Perry: My kid did in the middle of the day and he had some days that they were kids passing out, you know. So I don't miss the heat in Austin. I'll take the heat in Vegas instead. It's different kind of heat to me.   Kevin King: Yeah, it's not. It's more of a dry heat, not that, not that human heat that we have here. I'll take it so for those. There's some probably some people listening that don't know. They're like who's this? Perry Belcher character? I never heard of this Perry Belcher guy and if you haven't, you've probably been living on a rock in internet marketing, because Perry Belcher is one of the living legends out there and when it comes to internet marketing, it's not just he dabbles on Amazon, but it's Amazon's just a little piece of what he does. He does a ton of other stuff. So, and you've been doing this since you're like, you've been an entrepreneur since you're like I don't know, three years old. I heard you selling hot dogs. I mean, you've pretty much done, everything from run from selling hot dogs to running, I don't know jewelry, pear shops or something, to having little kiosk in the mall, to crazy kind of stuff. I mean, just for those that don't know who the heck you are, just give a little bit about your background.   Perry: Sure, I'm world famous in Kazakhstan. I started out, you know, I grew up really poor in little town in Kentucky, paducah. It's a sound of dead body makes when it hits the floor. And I'll as soon as I could. I stayed there until I could drive. I could drive a car. I got the heck out of there and went to the big city, nashville, you know, and I got into, you know, early on I got into retail and I owned 42 jewelry stores. At one time when I was really, really young, before I was old enough to buy beer, I owned 42 jewelry stores. Isn't that crazy? That's crazy. Not that I didn't buy beer, but as long as I was legally buying beer Exactly. You know. So I was in retail. I went out of, you know, eventually I made three different runs and retailed it, Okay, and then I got into manufacturing. I found I really enjoyed manufacturing Great deal. I still do a lot of manufacturing, as you know and then along, I guess about 1997, for those young whippersnappers that were born about then that are on in your Amazon crowd right In 1997, they invented this thing called the interwebs and Jeff Bezos started a store called Amazon and I sort of got. I sort of got all caught up in the web thing. And you probably don't know this story. It was a true story, Kevin. I got a call from Jeff Bezos when I owned craftstorecom, so this was in probably 1998 or 1999. I got a personal call from Jeff Bezos wanting to talk to me about buying craftstorecom and rolling it into the Amazon family. And then they were only selling books, they were bleeding I don't even know $100 million, a quarter, or some crazy number. And I'm like dude, you're, I'm reading about you, you're losing money, I'm making money. You know, I think you got this reversed. I probably should buy you. I swear to God, I said that. Yeah yeah, I said that that was about best I can figure about a $750 million mistake.   Kevin King: Well, it's funny you say that, because I mean we go back, we're old school when it comes to way, before you know all this internet marketing craze. We were doing old school marketing, you know, by by putting a postage stamp on an envelope and sending it out. And I remember I have a couple of similar stories back around that same time, early late 90s, early 2000s. The guy at MySpace had just started somewhere around in there and those guys reached out to me. I had a newsletter, an online newsletter going at the time, and they reached out to me to do something and I turned. I just ignored them. I was like what's this MySpace thing? I never heard of it.   Perry: I did the same thing with Jim Barksdale. You know who that was. Yeah, yeah, barksdale wanted to buy one of my companies and I blew them off, and he was Netscape you know they also used to do back you might remember this back.   Kevin King: I had several different websites and to get traffic back before there was Google and all these. You know, this SEO and all this stuff is basically as Alta Vista and you know, I love that, I love that Yahoo and all these guys and you could just just by putting stuff in the meta tags, you'd rank, you know on top of the crap out of yeah. You put a text down at the bottom and all the good, all the good, all the good all the good, all that kind of stuff. But I one of the things, what you might remember this there is what's called ring sites. So in order to get traffic, you go to some guy would figure out how to get people to his site and then it would be like next or previous, and you'd hit a button and it would go to the next, previous, and then we had a newsletter that was doing about 250,000 emails a day back before can spam and all that stuff and to get traffic to it. You know, we were getting on Howard Stern Show when he was on terrestrial radio and we were doing all kinds of crazy stuff. But I was working with a site called BOMAS B-O-M-I-S and they had one of these ring sites and we they were like one of our top sources of traffic and I just remember there's two guys there running out of their apartment or something. I talked to one of them. This is like probably around 2000 or so, ish, 2001. He said, hey, you're going to be dealing with me from now on. My buddy is moving on. I'm like all right. I said James is moving on. I said, ok, cool, what's he going to do? He said I don't know, some sort of encyclopedia or something. I'm not sure what he's going to do. He's got some some crazy idea. Turns out it was Jimmy Wells from Wikipedia. I was actually working with Jimmy Wells from Wikipedia before he was Jimmy Wells from Wikipedia. Isn't that crazy? It's crazy, I mean the stories that we can tell from the early days of the Internet.   Perry: When I look back, I just can't. You know my buddy's favorite saying, and I've adopted this I can't believe how stupid I was two weeks ago.   You know like you. Just you just realize you know just the boneheaded stuff that you did when there was so much opportunity. The first domain I ever bought this was like just when domain registrations came out I bought formulas, the number four you oh wow com, the most worthless domain anyone could ever own, when I could have probably bought internet.com Pretend to buy anything and I bought the most boneheaded stuff. You know.   Kevin King: Well, you remember the guy that he got in early he bought was at sex.com or something for, like you know, 10 bucks or whatever it cost to register it back then before there was a go daddy, yeah, and remember the fight like 20 years ago over that domain because it became like the most valuable domain on the entire Internet or something. Remember that huge fight about that.   Perry: It was. It was crazy, but I know there's been a bunch of those stories. Man, I've got some friends that really did well buying domain real estate early on. I bought a lot. I mean I've, over time, I still think domains are a bargain. I really do Most. For the most part, I own stuff like sewing.com and makeuptutorials.com and diyprojects.com. I still own some big stuff that we operate and I own a bunch of other big stuff that we don't operate and you know I'm buying after markets.   Now I bought conventions.com for a little over $400,000 two weeks before COVID Boy. That timing was extraordinary. You know what could go wrong. Conventions are impervious to depression and so anyway, yeah, so I started buying. You know I got a manufacturing and I immediately saw the benefit of online selling because you could cut out all the different layers of middlemen in the in between the consumer and the manufacturer. So I've been a manufacturer selling direct to consumer for a long time. And then I got. I got in business with Ryan Dice. After I got in a lot of trouble, almost went to jail in the supplement business scares me to death to this day. You know I lost everything I had, almost went to the clink, and when that all got settled out I went to business with Ryan Dice and we he turned me on really to the information selling world.   Kevin King: How'd you guys meet up? Was it at some events, or did you just meet up? Yeah, we met up.   Perry: Yeah, I'll tell you, the story is pretty funny story. So we met at a Yonix Silver event. We went to dinner with, you know, all these millionaires, you know in the room, the millionaire mastermind people, and we went to this big dinner and we had like 20 people at the dinner and when the check came it was like, well, I only had a salad, well, I only had the soup, and you know they're all dividing up checks and crap. And I'm like, come on and Ryan looked at me and I looked at him. He said do you just want to pay this bill and get the hell out of here? And I said, yeah, so we split the bill. And that's how we became friends, how we met. And then, you know, when I we knew each other through Yonix and then when I got in trouble in the supplement business, I mean, I had loads of friends when you're, when you're now and when you're when you're netting out half million dollars a month and you're flying all your friends on private jets, the Thomas and crap on the weekends, boy, you got lots of friends, you know. And as soon as the money ran out, well, guess what? The friends ran out. You know, you know everything was, you know. Nobody knew who I was. Then, you know, and Ryan called me and said hey, man, I got this business in Austin. It's doing a couple million dollars a year. If you'll come help me run it, I'll give you half of it. Oh, wow, and we did $9 million in the first seven months.   Kevin King: And that was a digital marketer. For those of you that don't know, that's correct.   Perry: Yeah, it was called touch tone publishing then, but eventually we rebranded it became digital marketer and then out of digital marketer came traffic and conversion summit and out of traffic and conversion summit came the war room mastermind and we ran all three of those for years. And digital we sold a TNC to a Claire and Blackstone Blackstone group about four years ago, I guess. Then I sold my interest in digital marketer to Ryan and Ryan, roland, richard about two years ago and then we dissolved war room about a year ago I guess they were going a different direction and and Kossim Islam and Jason Flylon I started driven mastermind so but yeah, it was a great, great run with. Those guys are super good, guys are super, super smart and we were business partners for 14 years long time. It's a long. That's a you know outlast a long time.   Kevin King: That's a long time in this business longer than all my marriages, almost divine, you know. So going just down. We'll talk about some of those in just a second, but just down that back what? What got you in trouble in the supplement business was it claims that you just didn't realize you couldn't be. Yeah, what was the it?   Perry: was kind of a combination. I was. I was legitimately a pharmaceutical manufacturer. We were an FDA pharmaceutical manufacturer. I got all the licensure and all that I got in trouble with the state had nothing to do with the federal. They called in federal, they called in DA, they called in everybody, like guys. Everything he's doing is correct. But the state took issue to some claims and what ended up happening? They realized that they had not. The thing is, once the state gets their tentacles into you and have your money, you know it's really hard to get rid of them, right? They're like a tick. But. But at the end of the day, the only thing that that that they actually that stuck was something called ways and measures. So that meant that my equipment wasn't precise enough to put the exact amount of product per bottle. So let's say it says it's two ounces right, mine might be 2.1 or 1.9 ounces right, and that's there's. There are state laws about that. They're called ways and measures laws. They're governed by the people who manage gas pumps, if you could believe it. But out of everything that they originally said that I was doing, they dropped everything else and that was the only thing that actually, at the end of the day, was it? But I had to settle it and they got all my money and all my stuff and left me three million dollars in debt. And when, when I went to Austin and we hustled hard, you know, for a couple of years, and I paid all that off, I didn't file bankruptcy on it and it was hilarious because I threw a Perry's broke party. Yeah, about two years in, when I got to zero, I got back to just broke. I wasn't three million dollars, right. I threw a giant Perry's broke party as maybe one of the most fun parties we've ever had. It was a little you're in.   Kevin King: Austin's, you do that out at Willie Nelson's ranch. Because, I was tapes, remember he did that when he got in trouble for seven million bucks and he did some sort of big ass fundraising party out. He has this like old ranch out West of Texas, west of Austin that's. It's got a studio lot on it, basically an old.   Perry: House. Then I just had it right over the house and we had a big pool party and, oh my Lord, so many drunk people. It was a lot of fun, it was good time, so I got a lot of friends at Austin and you'll talk digital marketer.   Kevin King: the conference from like. I think the first one's a few hundred people to what the? Now it's five, six thousand people, or yeah, we get the biggest internet for if you're an internet marketing, yeah, just in in general, it's not just Amazon, it's like across the board, it's the biggest one out there, I think.   Perry: Yeah, before the year before COVID, I think we had the biggest year was seventy two hundred. Oh wow, seventy two hundred, seventy eight hundred, I can't remember. They thought we were going to ten thousand the next year and they rented the Coliseum in San Diego instead of the hotels. And then, of course, covid yeah, and it was just a you know, two or three years we had sold just prior to that. So have we not have sold that first year of COVID? I think was probably around a five million dollar loss, but they had clear and had insurance for it, fortunately. So I don't think they. I don't. I don't know the exact damage, but I know it would have probably wiped us out and we've been because we had a refund. Tickets with In the venue would not have soft to hook and I was a big bunch of crap when it comes to running conferences.   Kevin King: I mean, I do my billion dollar solar summit. You do your events now, like you do. You've done the couple AI summits, you've done the Perry's weird event or whatever. You do quite a different things. You have the Whatever, whatever, whatever. You done like three of those which are fascinating. You do, you know, you have the driven mastermind and you're involved with digital market and our space. There's a ton of people it's almost gotten through Events for Amazon sellers, like everybody. Everybody in their dog wants to have an event and the vast majority of them suck. There's like seven people there they can't sell tickets that are losing their shirt. Very few of them actually make money. What is the key actually, if you want to do an event or you're thinking about that to actually making these things work, is it the long term play you gotta have? The upsell is at the.   Perry: Well, events, events are very, very much an uphill battle. That's the reason. When you go to sell one, they have a lot of value. If you go to, if you build an event to a thousand, two thousand people, it has a lot of value in the exit market because once an event hits a certain inflection point, they're insanely profitable. So you're so, like digital market, we lost money On TNC for probably the first four years that we did it. But the way we made up for it, we filmed all of the sessions and we sold them as individual products. So we built all of our. We had a thing that really made that thing magical, because every session had to be good enough to sell as a product. So it made the event itself, you know, great because you had to have executable do this, do this, do this, do this. It couldn't just be a fluffy talk, right. Every talk had to be good enough to sell as a product when Ryan and I were doing them. So for the first three or four years we didn't make hardly any money, but we generated a lot of product out of that. We sold throughout the year. So we, you know, we did make money a couple million dollars a year From the product sales and then over time, as the attendance goes up, the ticket prices tend to go up. You start at really low ticket prices and you ratchet ticket prices up as the event gets bigger and bigger, bigger, and you start taking on sponsors and we basically got to the point by the time that we sold. You don't really want to sell right, because the sponsors were paying for 80 90% of the cost to put on the event. Tickets were you then over a thousand dollars a ticket? We were selling 7000 tickets. You didn't really need to sell, you know, because you the event was paid for by the sponsors. The ticket sales money was just free money. And then whatever you do at the event, you know in sales is even more free money. But when you look at companies like Clary on the by these things, they don't care about the product creation, they don't care about selling at the event, they only care about tickets and they make a lot of money on hotel rooms. So they so in when, when they're promoting they got a lot of cash, so they'll buy all the hotel rooms in downtown San Diego a year before we, right before we, now we announced the dates, they buy all the rooms and then when you're buying your room from bookingcom or American Express or whatever, you're actually buying that ticket from Clary on, because Clary on in a lot of cases bought all the rooms in the city for $120 a night and then a year later you're paying 350 on AmEx and they just pay AmEx a commission, a 20% commission.   Kevin King: That's different than the way when I do like for a billion dollar so much in order to not have to pay you know, $3,000 to turn the Internet on in the ballroom, or to have to per day, or from not having to pay for the ballrooms or this or that. We have to do guarantees. Rather than buying the rooms up front, we have to guarantee that we're going to put 50 butts in the in these beds or whatever. If we don't, we get penalized, you know, yeah, right.   Perry: We did a little bit different model. Yeah, we did, we did too. You still have room blocks, you know, and the killer and the killer in the convention businesses contract negotiation and room blocks. You know, if you can get room blocks down, we did one recently at the ARIA and I didn't have a room block anywhere because the ARIA surrounded by like eight hotels within walking distance, so there's no reason to book a room block. Everybody could stay where they wanted within that complex and the room blocks Everybody could stay where they wanted within that complex. And then we got together and it didn't. It didn't create the problem, but you know they get you. Would they charge you more for F&B? So they, they're going to get you right. So I've got my own event center now I've got a 50 person event center. I think we're going to expand to 100 people and and I really prefer having smaller workshops anyway, they're they're more intimate, they're more effective and if you're going to sell something else to the attendees, the smaller the room, the higher your conversion rates will always be if you're offering something to the attendees.   Kevin King: That's true, yeah, so then you took it from there to the mastermind you did the war room for a long time and I know my buddies, Manny  and Guillermo, at Helium 10. They joined the war room about two years into working on helium 10. They said that was the number one life changing thing that they did.   Perry: They killed it to that.   Kevin King: I don't know the numbers, but I know it's. I see what he's spending and what he's doing, so I'm like it's some serious numbers. But they they attribute that to war room, because there was some. Y'all did one event and I think it was in Austin, actually around 2018 ish, and it was all about system. Whatever the talk was on that one, because they're quarterly, they were quarterly deals. I think it was all about systemizing and getting out your way and like cutting all the riffraff. I don't, but they said that was. It was game changing for them and made them tens of millions of dollars. So, but to join a war room was what 30 grand, I know driven was what you have now which I've been driven 30 grand.   Perry: Yeah, I've been to.   Kevin King: I've been to driven. I went to the one back in July which was excellent out in LA and and I love going to these. Those of you are listening. You know this is not an Amazon conference. A lot of us go to Amazon conferences, but I think the best conferences for me are actually the non Amazon conferences, because I go into something like a driven where there's yeah, there's a handful of Amazon people there, but there's also a bunch of Facebook people. There's also a bunch of domain people, there's SEO people, there's people that you know just have some sort of a shop in Baltimore that you know do internet marketing and you, you meet this range of people and for me it's brainstorming sessions. I'm uninterrupted. You know if I'm watching stuff online, even the recording of that, you know I got phone calls coming in, the dogs barking. You know wife's nagging, whatever it may be. You're interrupted. But you're sitting in a room from nine to five, obviously not in the room. You're sitting in a room From nine to five listening to people, these people talking a lot of it. You might already know, some of it may be new to you, but you're just in there. One guy says something, perry says something, and then Kazim says something, and then Jason says something, and whoever else the speaker says something, you start going. If I put all these things together and I can do this for my business, holy shit, this is freaking incredible. And so that's. These people look at me. And why the heck would I pay 25 or 30 grand to be in some sort of event? And if in the Amazon space, I personally wouldn't, because I'm going to be the one delivering most of the value in a lot of cases. And so why would I pay to join something? They should be paying me to come to it. But when you go to something where it's a cross section of people in the marketing world that all think like you but they do different things, I think that's the most valuable thing, would you? Would you agree?   Perry: I think honestly, I think in a good mastermind and that there's that good being in parenthesis and a good mastermind. I don't think you can lose money. I think it's almost impossible. I've made money in every mastermind I've ever been in you just, I like the idea of the diversity, right. I might learn something from a guy in the funeral industry that can be applied to somebody that's selling weight loss, right. You never know. And you know my benefit. I guess I've been around a long time, like you, kevin, I've been around the block a bunch and I've been fortunate enough to work with like hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of businesses Pretty intimately in the, in the, the war room and now driven setting, and you know I get to see what's working and what's not working from like a 10,000 foot view inside all these businesses. So for me personally it's a great benefit that I get to learn something from really diverse. You know I learned the other day I was talking to a friend of mine, a client, that that they're in the, they sell online, that you book an appointment, you know they call you in, whatever, and they're in an industry that I have no interest in, no knowledge of, right. But they figured out that if they once somebody's booked an appointment, if they put a zoom, a live zoom, on the thank you page with somebody sitting there going hey, kevin, so glad you booked your appointment. By the way, jimmy can take you right now if you want, right. That one thing those, those people are coming in that way, or converting nine times higher than the people who book a normal sales call. And the beautiful thing now is.   Kevin King: You can do that with AI. There's tools with AI where you could actually, when they fill in that form I'm registered, I'm Kevin air dot AI and all that yeah, several and one that you could actually and you could put in you upload a spreadsheet or tie it into. You know, through an API to your, your cell system, that Jenny is available and it can actually, as I'm typing in, kevin King it's in the background recording a video with with Perry saying hey, hi, kevin, this is Perry. I glad you just signed up. Jenny's available right now. It's all automated and all like holy cow how to help her is just sitting around it and you know the conversions on that go through the roof.   Perry: Oh, they're nutty and but that's something I learned from a person who's in the like the the trauma they. They serve trauma psychiatrists, that's their market and I'm like I would never know that in a million years. Right, but but how many other businesses or clients of mine could that one tactic be applicable to? The answers? A lot, right, so you. So, when you go into those rooms where you know to be in driven, you got to be doing at least a million a year, but I think our average is around seven million a year gross and, and some you know up to, you know there's there's some hundred million dollar Folks and big players in there. There's some big players there, but you but nobody's stupid, right? You're in a room full of really, really smart people when they're basically telling you what they're doing. I joke about. I get paid for people to tell me. I get paid for really smart people to tell me what they're doing. That's really working and what I right, what a great gig I got right. But, yeah, we've been doing it for a really long time there. Those groups masterminds are hard to keep together and Keep happy and all that there because they are, because they're intimate, people share a lot of details and sometimes you have personality, kind of little things. This is crazy nutty stuff. That happens that you, the only problem with those things are just, they're a, they're a bit to, they're a bit to manage and you know that, as far as the 30 grand goes, or 50 grand, or 70. I know a lot of people charge. I know a buddy mine charge is 70,000 a year. You know we act like that's a lot of money but everybody's got an idiot on their payroll that there's a more than 30 grand to, I promise you. Everybody does. Everybody has a dodo on their payroll that they should have fired a long time ago but he brings the doughnuts or something and you don't farm that. Would you rather have that dodo licking stamps four hours a day or would you rather, you know, have access to some of the smartest people and your peers and you know really Really that? Keep you accountable, keep you on your toes and keep you up to date, because we do a call every week along with the meeting. So I I'm not pitching it down, I don't. This is sound like I'm hey, go buy my thing, but no matter what the industry you're in, get into a mastermind group. If you can, it'll one that you can afford.   Kevin King: You know ours is out of reach for most people because they're they're not because it's they can afford it, because they just don't meet the minimum sales, like you said, like you know, if you're at a one million and you said the average is around seven, you know, for 30 grand a year, all you need is one, one little idea, one thing, just you, just the ROI could be immense on just one thing.   Perry: I've heard a hundred times and I got all my value for the year within the first two hours. The first meeting yeah, you know, I've heard that so many times because this Kevin King gets up and talks and says something really smart and you go. Well, that was worth it, right, I got. I learned a thing that I didn't know and and, like you said, when you're doing, the beauty is the reason we don't take people that aren't doing a lot of money yet. It's hard to ROI. But if you're already doing let's say you're doing seven million a year and you get an idea that gives you a 5% bump, right, let's 350 grand, yeah for an idea. And you, you know, you're in for a year. You're in for 52 calls and four live meetings and Intensives and networks and private calls and all kinds of stuff. It's you know and I'm not saying for us, just for any man mind if you get a good mastermind, you can't lose money if you, if you have a good enough business already that you can ROI.   Kevin King: One of the things that you do that's really cool too is, like you said. You know, with digital market and I agree that you know you're recording it, turning it into content you do that now. Well, you'll do a Like that, the weird event you you straight up say, hey, come out to this thing. Yeah, it's gonna be a hundred of you here, but I'm recording this. I'm gonna turn this into a product. Yeah, you turn it into six products. You know, and I didn't with my billion dollar seller summit. I didn't used to record those, but now that's half the prop. That's where the actual the profit is. It's actually in recording it and then selling it to the people that didn't come. But one of the cool things that you do, like it driven and some of your other events your AI event you did this. I think you do it. Probably pretty much everyone I've ever been to is at the end you say get the kick the cameras out of the room, turn everything off. Let's grab a bottle of wine. You sit up with the stage. You might bring a couple other your partners or the couple other speakers and it's just two hours, three hours. They're just shooting the shit of Q&A and, yeah, stuff that comes out of that Alone pays for the entire event.   Perry: Yeah, the unplugged we've we've been doing unplugged forever because at the end of most events, you know, you still have unanswered questions and I don't want people to have unanswered questions. But also some people just don't want to talk about, they don't feel comfortable talking about the particulars of their business on camera. Yeah, so you know, if they because you know, sometimes a lot of my students are also Gurus, right, and you know how gurus are they don't want to tell you that. Well, they don't want to tell you that they're having a hard time making the lease payment on Because they're pretty ill, hurt their image, right, I talk about all of my screw ups and Almost going to jail and going broke and all it, because you know it's real, that's the real of people. But but a lot of the guru guy, well, I can't say that because it was just destroying my image. So I like doing unplugged sessions a lot of times because they people feel a little more comfortable talking about their challenges and Without feeling like it changes their position. And I think sometimes, just, you know, people don't want to ask their question on a microphone in front of a thousand people for fear of embarrassment. And what if my questions? A dumb question. So when you're just sitting down Slugging back a beer and you know chatting they feel more comfortable asking the questions. They probably should be asking it we I've done that as a policy for a really long time. We do wicked smart and we do unplugged, and those are the two. You know we always ask for the best idea in the room, and that that was a funny story.   Wicked smart was invented the first year that Ryan and I did Traffin conversion summit. We programmed three days worth of content for a three-day event and At 11 o'clock on the third day we were out. We'd have anything else to talk about. We actually we had miscalculated our time and we have anything else to talk about. So we went to lunch and we said man, we got to fill all afternoon. What are we gonna do? And and and I don't know if Ryan or I are together, I think we pretty much together we came up with the idea let's just challenge people to come up and tell us the smartest thing They've learned in the last six months and how it affected their business, and let's give whoever gives the best idea. And I think the first person that came up, ryan or I won Jeff Mulligan's, a good friend of ours and he's from as a former boss tonight lives in New Hampshire and he always says wicked smart, that's wicked smart, you know. And yeah, and the first person came up and they did their thing was whoo, that's wicked smart and that's stuck. And that's how wicked smart got started. But we never did unplugged. I used to do unplugged with Andy Jenkins at Stompernet years ago when I would. I used to go speak for them every now and then and one of the things that I did was really, really cool was called unplugged and we just Andy and I, would sit down on the edge of the stage. I don't, andy was brilliant. I don't know if you ever knew him or not. He was absolutely a really really brilliant guy and he and I would sit on the edge of the stage and talk to people for hours. You know it was a lot of fun. So I kind of picked that up from Andy.   Kevin King: Yeah, I do that at the billion dollar source. I'm not do a hat contest, so the last day, what well? I do two things. I incentivize the speakers to bring it, so I put a cash prize on the speakers. So, because I don't want them doing the same presentation they just did it three other conferences or same thing they talked about on podcast I want them to bring their a game, so I put a five thousand dollar cash prize on the first and twenty five hundred on second. It's voted on the last day. I'm ineligible. I always speak last, so I'm ineligible.   But all the other speakers that I invite after the last one spoke, everybody votes On who they thought was the best speaker, deliver the best value, and then that person gets five grand. So it's become like an honor to do that and then, as a result, everybody is bringing next level stuff that they normally wouldn't talk about. Because, and then I publish the list of the and you know, if there's 15 speakers I Public, I start at number 10. I don't show number 11 through 15. I want to embarrass somebody totally, but I start at number 10 and go backwards and announce them up like it's. You know, like it's a billboard top 100 or something, casey casem or whatever and it works really really well because Everybody's. If you're not in the top 10 of a speaker, you're like you know you didn't do so well, you didn't resonate, and then you're not coming back if you need a spelling of my name for the check. You've been involved in AI for like seven years before. It was the cool thing to do, I think probably six yeah, probably six years.   Perry: I got. I spoke on AI at the largest TNC, that one before COVID. I spoke on AI and showed Jarvis and Well said labs and a bunch of those before Anybody or anything, and and everybody in the room was just blown away by it and I feel certain they didn't do anything at all when the dog, you know. But I was using it for copywriting and we were building services For and like this AI bot that were it'll be after this Heirs, but but this AI bot, you know, we're really concentrating more on the business models that you can apply AI to. So the first AI bot summit was all about Opening people's minds up to it, so they understood what it was, understanding how to use the tools and and really just grasping this. One thought of If you had 10,000 really smart people willing to work for you 24 hours a day for free, what would you have them do? That's always my question, because with AI and a little bit of robotics, that's what you have. You have an unlimited amount of Robotic slaves to do your bidding right, whatever you want, and they don't take breaks and they don't break up with a boyfriend and they don't sue you for, you know, workplace compliance issues and all that stuff and, and you're gonna see, I think it's already happening. It's just people aren't exposed to it in mainstream yet, but Corporate is projecting like huge profits over the next few years as they Diminish the amount of workers, physical workers they haven't replaced with AI Elon Musk whether you like him or not, you know, cut the workforce at Twitter by 90% and arguably, the experience for the end user hasn't changed.   Kevin King: Yeah right, yeah, it's, it's your event back in just to tell a quick little story. Then we'll go into this. But your event back in April. You're showing some business uses. You know you're talking about the army of 10,000. You showed something about a. You know here's a building, the payroll of this building and use AI and the payroll goes from I don't know some crazy number of a million dollars a month to 86 dollars a month or what some exaggerate there.   Perry: It's the Empire State Building and the payroll. The daily payroll in the Empire State Building is about I I'm gonna paraphrase, I don't remember the numbers, but it's about a million dollars or more a day and the average worker output 750 words of text a day in white collar America. So if you translate that into the cost of open AI to generate the same 750 words, it's about 42 bucks, I think yeah, it's like you know it's it's in 42 I mean for all of them, not for one of all of you know 42 bucks or 92, but it wasn't much.   Kevin King: It was less than less than 200 dollars, I think, to generate the same amount of work product one of the things that you talked about there were newsletters and like how AI can automate a lot of newsletters and and I'm a I'm gonna disagree with you a little bit there on where you can actually have. I think at that time you may have changed your tune now I'm not sure. But you're like let AI do all the writing, do everything. You can just put these things on autopilot and I think that's definitely possible, but the quality sucks and for the most part, unless you're just assembling links. But if, but, but. What you said there actually about newsletters got me thinking. It's backed on that same thing we're talking about earlier bringing this all together. Here is where, about going to events. It's like you know what I used to run a newsletter in the late 90s and early 2000s that we that had 250,000 daily subscribers. We crushed it as using that as a lead magnet to sell memberships, to sell physical products, to sell everything. What, if you know? And this Amazon product space, everybody's always trying to build audiences and they're always like go build a Facebook group, go Create a blog post and you, as you know, the most valuable asset in any business as your customer list, your email list, your Custom list and be able to use that when you want, as you please. And you can't do that on social media. You have no control with algorithms on Facebook, you know, have no control over how many people see your LinkedIn post or or anything. But with an email list or a customer base database, you do. I was like, wait a second, what if we took newsletters and did this with physical products and actually to build audiences? So if I'm selling a dog products and I happen to have sustainable dog products, I'm like what if I build an audience? A dog, the dog markets half of America. That's too big. Well, if I niche that down to some people who ends dogs and sustainability, create a newsletter for them. I'm not trying to sell them anything. This is not a promotional email from my company saying, hey, look at our latest product, here's our new things. But it's more of a about the dogs, about dog training, dog tips, food tips, whatever. And then occasionally spreeking on some affiliate links To test things or you maybe even get a sponsorship. So make this thing self-sustaining and when you're ready to launch a product, you have an avid, rabid, loyal fan base to launch that product to as like this is the way to actually build things. So we I started looking into it Devoured everything you you showed about newsletters. You even set up a special tele I think it was telegram Newsletter channel, devoured everything in there. I went out, devoured everything in the newsletter space for three months, like everything is like. I already know this stuff, but I want to re educate myself on the latest tools, the latest strategies, and I just launched one In August, august 14th for the Amazon space. That's that I already have an audience there. Let me figure this out. Let me, like, figure out what are the best tools, the best systems, and then I can spread this to across multiple industries, multiple things, and that's what we're doing now and it's hugely Successful so far. And and AI is a part of that. But I'm not letting AI write it. AI is more of the, the creative side. It's how it it will rewrite something. If I'm trying to think of a headline, I'm like what's a better way to say X, y, z? I'll type in what's a better way, you know, to say we're ten ways that there are funny and catchy, in the tone of Perry Belcher, whatever it may be, to say this you know, give me all these cool ideas and then I mix and match, or sometimes it nails it, or I'll write a. I do a six you, you talked about this and one of your things the six second video, and so the beginning of every one of my newsletters is a six second, basic six second story. It's a personal story About me. It's something about me meeting Michael Jordan, spending a night with him in a sweet and Atlantic City the day before the night before he first retired, and you know it's crazy. Stories are about my divorce or about you know, so you're a naked girl on the balcony. I know it's, it's edgy, crazy story. But then I tie that back into the physical products and I'll use AI sometimes, maybe to help tweak that. Or if we got it some scientific document from Amazon about how the algorithm works, I'll use it to read the document, summarize it and then, you know, rewrite it with a human touch and add personality to it. So that's where using AI in other industries. I think it is brilliant. Most people aren't getting that right now. Most people just think of it as this is a threat to my job, this is a threat to you, this is the terminators coming to kill me and take over the world.   Perry: So what about? Everything's a conspiracy theory.   Kevin King: Yeah, I mean AI. I was just had just had a chat in August, so it's my father's 82nd birthday and I was sitting there for an hour explaining AI to you know, an 82 year old and a 79 year old in their mind was just, they're just was blown. They're like how do you know all this? This is, this is like science fiction movies or something, and like this is what you can do with it. And most people don't understand that. What are your thoughts on on AI right now and how people are misunderstanding or misusing and what are the best opportunities out there?   Perry: Well, circling back to your newsletter thing that the AI sucks for newsletters, it depends on the kind of newsletter you're writing.   Kevin King: That's what I said. If it's a link, newsletter or something, you can do it.   Perry: If it's a, if it's an aggregated or what you call a link newsletter, what I call a curated newsletter, they add as a really good job at writing basically a tweet and then linking to the article, and you do that like eight or nine times and you got a newsletter. But did you see the one?   Kevin King: the hustle, I think it's. They did a study. Like people are saying that. I don't know if you saw this from the hustle, but the hustle actually hired a guy, he went out and he did Let me see if I can fully automate a newsletter 100% AI so they had their programmers do some stuff and they put it out. It was about the nineties. So they would take today. You know, if today is, you know, April 6th, no, august 6th 2023, they would do August 6th 1993. What happened on that day? You know? Jurassic.   Perry: Park, the whole movie.   Kevin King: But the thing is it was repeating itself. The way it was writing was like all it was just you got to have, you got to have ins that.   Perry: Do a final review. I mean you got to have a human still, do a final review. Yeah, we've got a system. So Chad, my partner Chad, built a software system we're about to launch actually it's called Letterman and it we manage 18 newsletters a day through it and we do it with three outsourcers.   Kevin King: And the way that we do it is we hand out the we handpick what we're going to talk about.   Perry: So basically, we have a bunch of API feeds that tell us these are the stories that are trending about this subject today, and then our guys can go in and just hit, click, click, yes, yes, yes, no, yes, yes, no, delay, delay, delay. So maybe for a future issue, and then it's going to pull together those links and drop them into our software and then the software reads the article and then writes a like a tweet, that tells them to go, that compels them to go read this article. The call to action is compelling them to read the article. Right?   Kevin King: So that's SDO, then something really. It's a. Or is it a newsletter? It's a newsletter.   Perry: So this all goes into a newsletter and basically like, for instance, financials, a great example. The capitalists is ours and we want them to be able to get the gist of, like the Wall Street Journal and three thumbs swipes. And even though we're only writing, there might be 10 links in here. Right, we're writing like 140 characters on each link, compelling you to go click the link, and AI is writing that.   Kevin King: Okay.   Perry: And then they're going over and reading the actual article on the original source, right, okay, so so it's expanded.   Kevin King: It's an expanded judge report or something. It's exactly what it is.   Perry: It's not. It's not even kind of like it. It's exactly what it is Now the opposite. That's only really useful if you have a news worthy topic. Yeah. News or financial or something that's not for entertainment, financial entertainment, sports, politics things that change every single day. But if you're in the Amazon space, you got to think about it more like a, a magazine.   Kevin King: That's what I do, yeah.   Perry: So what we'll do there is find a feature article or three features. Three feature articles is even better. So we'll, let's say, for instance, my things on Amazon, and I'm talking about optimizing the perfect Amazon listing, right? I don't know whatever, but I'd go find three, the three best articles I could possibly find on that subject anywhere in the world, feed them into the AI, have them read all three and then write me a new article. And oftentimes the way we keep it interesting, we have characters, ghost writers created that right in the style of whomever right. So, but I mean really detailed. But one of the things that we found, Kevin, that's killing right now that you might find is our email list. I'm on a mission to get my email list to never send a promotion ever.   Kevin King: That's what I'm on to. I'm on to yeah.   Perry: So the way I do it is by sending out content, so like Perry might send out an email. You're doing it every day right now.   Kevin King: I get an email from you every day on copywriting Big, long email right. Yeah, big long. No, I save them. They're valuable. I mean, some of them go into my swap file.   Perry: It's a subtle.   Kevin King: It's a subtle like you're staying top of mind. You're doing it. Dan Kennedy does it right now and there's a couple others. He's doing that with Russell, but I and they're valuable. You can just read that and never do another thing. But it's you're staying top of mind and then you'll put in something OPS, remember the AI summits coming or whatever that stuff works.   Perry: But what's about to happen with those lists and we're doing another list right now is, once you open that thing about headline writing right, I can fire off a straight up promotion to you.   Kevin King: Yeah, you're segmenting based on what I click and what I do open and read Instantly.   Perry: So you're opening reading my article, right? So you just read my article about headlines and then the. Then you close that article down close that email. The next email in your queue is from me going hey, fibs, copywriting course is 50% off today. Great deal, and you're already so pre-framed to that. The open, the open rate on that second email is like 70 to 80%. Yeah, yeah, we're doing that.   Kevin King: We're going to do that in the product space, where we will watch what people click and if they're always looking on the docs and story, we'll start feeding them more docs. And there's a tool out there, there's a what. There's a tool that does this for the AMA right now, that that does newsletters, where it automated it watches everything and automatically get basically creates a personalized feed in a newsletter we want to Instagram.   Perry: We basically want to Instagram the newsletter business. So if you're only opening dots and stuff, then we want to deliver dots and stuff to you. If you're only delivering lip plumper articles, then we want to deliver a lip plumper off offers to you and and make the newsletter more lip related.   Kevin King: If that's your thing you're into in a makeup space, we're talking about it for newsletters, for you know Amazon sellers, but you can do this for physical products. You can do this for any industry and then leverage off of that. You see that they're always by clicking on the docs and ads. Then you start driving them to your print on demand docs and t-shirts, or you start driving them to Amazon to buy docs and bowls or whatever it's there's a guy that sells drones on Amazon.   Perry: You should have a drone newsletter. You know. You absolutely should have a drone newsletter. We say when, when Perry and I are talking about newsletters there's a big misconception in my mind.   Kevin King: Maybe you have a little bit different take on it, but so many people have what they call a newsletter. You go to their website you know the drone maker, sign up for our newsletter and the newsletter is nothing but a promotional email. It's like hey, we just announced two new parts. We just announced this to me. That's not a newsletter. That's a good one. That's not a newsletter.   Perry: That's a good one. You're not going to get deliverability on it either I mean a newsletter provides value.   Kevin King: It's like 95% value, 5% promotional. It's valued, something you want to get it to where people look forward to getting it, not, oh God dang. I just got another freaking email from drones. Or us Delete, delete, delete. They like I got to open this because they may have some cool tactic in there on how to fly my drone, you know, or in heavy winds, or whatever. Whatever it may be. That's where you got to be thinking when you're doing this, and AI is a great tool. And I always remember something you said when just as a quick aside here, it's a quote I often re-quote you on this and credit to you but you always said, when it comes to selling products on Amazon, people don't buy products on Amazon. They buy photos, absolutely, and so can you talk about just for the Amazon people.   Perry: Nobody can buy a picture. Nobody can buy anything on the internet. It's impossible. All you can do is buy a picture or something that's. Or if you're writing copy, you're creating a mental picture of a thing, right? So yeah, I'm a big believer in product photography being a giant piece of what you do and making something that's demonstrable. If you can actually show how it works in a 30 second video clip, I think that's different than anything. You know that works more powerfully than anything, because you've got to, and design I think you're seeing now is becoming more and more important the quality of your design, because we don't have any way to trust companies, right? You don't really have a way. It used to be the old Dan Kennedy world and Dan at the time was right. You know, ugly sells and pretty doesn't, right? The truth is today, pretty outsells ugly, and that's just. We've proved it eight times, eight times over. Pretty outsells ugly, and especially if you're selling a physical good, right? So don't skimp on the amount of money you spend on photography and photo editing and all those things. I was in was in Kevin interesting thing I was in Guangzhou, China, and I went to this illustration company. They do illustrations, you know. Have you been to? You've been to Yiwu before? Yeah, I've been able. Ok, so you know, upstairs in Yiwu, like on the fourth and fifth floor, it's all service companies, web companies, and I found a company up there and they were doing watches so they would take a watch. You can't take a good enough photograph of a watch for that photograph to actually work in a magazine. It's an impossibility. So what they do is they take a picture of the watch and they pull it into an illustration computer and then there's a program just for jewelry that has all of these textures and paint brushes and all that and they actually build the watch on top of the photo. They build an illustration of the watch and if you ever pick up a magazine and really look at, get a magnifying glass and look at the picture of the Rolex on the back right, you can see where there's an illustration piece cut here or there. You don't see any of the photo. They completely overlay it. But sometimes it takes these guys two weeks to set on illustrator and replace every little pixel dot. Everything is a vector and then they send that off and that.   Kevin King: But now AI can do a lot of that.   Perry: Yeah, I don't know how much I would trust it to do that, but yeah, it probably can. It can certainly enhance the photos a lot. You're seeing AI photo enhancement become a really big deal. Have you seen that thing that takes? I mentioned it at AIBotson. I'm trying to think of the name of it now Topaz.   Kevin King: Yeah.   Perry: Topazai. Well, you can take your old video footage and it'll turn it into 4K footage. It looks pretty doggone good. I mean, you take an old piece of footage that you shot 10 years ago and you run it through there and it'll give you a whole face lift and make it really appear to be a 4K footage.   Kevin King: Yeah, as Remini does that for photos, you can have some old photo or even something you downloaded, some stock image you downloaded online. It's kind of low res because they want you to go pay for the high res. Just download the low res, run it through Remini and it'll upscale it. And upscaleio is another one. There's a bunch of them and some of it's like holy cow. This is amazing stuff.   Perry: Another year from now, probably most of the things that we're using services for now will be you know you don't have to. We're making a lot of money right now in the Philippines by our outsource company uses AI to do things for people. So if you wanted an illustration of a product or whatever, you could send it to man. We're going to charge X for that, but we're actually going to use tools that cut our labor time down by 80, 90%. We haven't got it to where we can cut it all the way out yet and we still hire art directors. You know, really, but it allows you to, instead of hiring 30 B minus designers and you know an art director, you use AI and you get three or three or so, three or four really high level art directors and you don't need all the carpenters anymore. Right, and if you've seen the way they're building houses now, with the brick laying machines and all that all the carpenters, all the framers that won't be a profession in another 24 months.   Kevin King: Well, that's the scare I think that general public has when it comes to AI is like, well, it's going to take my job and so I don't want that, but look what happened in the industrial revolution, look what happened when the wheel wasn't been it. People will adapt and if you don't adapt, you're going to get left behind. And I think right now, one of the biggest skills if you're listening to this and you're, you know, in high school or college or you're young and still trying to figure you need to learn how to do prompting Prompting. I think good prompting versus okay prompting can make a world of difference with AI. As this gets more sophisticated, being good at prompting is going to be a major skill set that's high in demand. Would you agree with that?   0:55:51 - Perry: I think so. It's funny though, you know. Now you can go to open AI and say write me a mid-journey prompt. Yeah you know this and use this camera lens and this but you don't want the camera lens.   Kevin King: That's where photographers and artists right now are.   Perry: You kind of don't. You can actually have open AI right the mid-journey prompt for you. It's crazy and a lot of people are doing that and I think that's. I think prompting is going to become easier and easier, but it's still going to require imagination.   Kevin King: You know.   Perry: No, no artificial intelligence engines ever going to be able to replace imagination. You know it's not going to happen. So I think that we're we're we're fine for, you know, a good long while. I don't see it being a problem, but there's good money to be made right now with just arbitrage. You know how it is, kevin. You've been around this business long enough. When, anytime, a market is inefficient, that's when all the money's made, right, and right now you got people who need things done. Nobody wants to work, right? So you know AI is just filling the slot perfectly, so we can offer services. Now that used to be. You know, like. We'll do unlimited video editing for $2,000 a month, right? Well, we're doing 90% of that video editing with AI. If we were doing it by hand, we'd have searched $10,000 a month, right, and the end of the day, the customer doesn't care. The customer's getting the desired product delivered within a timeline. They don't really care if you did it yourself or if a robot did it. And if they do care, well, it's probably not your kind of customer, right? So all the stuff that you guys go through of writing product descriptions and all your SEO, your keyword loading and your product photo enhancement and all the stuff that you do, I'd say within a year, probably. Right now, if you're studious you can do 90% of it?   Kevin King: Yeah, you can, but within a year. I mean, it's been a big thing. I just was in another mastermind with a big Chinese seller. He does $50 million a year or something. He's based in China and sells into the US and he said that AI has been a leveling ground for the Chinese sellers.   Perry: Yeah, of course.   Kevin King: Because now they used to, you'd have all that broken English and stuff on listings or they couldn't understand the culture to write it in the right way. And he said with AI, that advantage is gone for Westerners, so you got to step up your game and now it's in. Still, you have an advantage in branding or innovation or some other areas, but it's leveling the playing field for a lot of people.   Perry: Yeah, we found it. We found with Mid Journey packaging design.   Kevin King: Yeah.   Perry: It's been. Packaging design mockups have been amazing. We've come up with some really great packaging ideas that we wouldn't have come up with and for the most part you can send those over to your factories in China and get a reasonable.   Kevin King: When people are doing that for product. Now they'll come up with a product idea like, hey, I want to make a I don't know a new dog bowl. You'll have the AI create. You know, they'll give it some parameters. It needs to be this, it needs to be slow the dog down from eating or not slip on the floor, whatever Right and have the AI create a hundred different models of it. Just boom, boom, boom. Use 3D illustrations, put that into a tool like PickFu, let people vote on it and then, you know, have the top couple. You know, go to molding and make prototypes and then do some additional testing. You couldn't do that. That's just what you can do. Now is just some of the times, sometimes almost mind boggling.   Perry: And robotics have really taken down molding costs.   Kevin King: Yeah.   Perry: Back when you and I started, you know I want to custom mold for this. Well, it'll be $100,000. Now you know, six grand you know, whatever it lasts, you know, depending on what you're molding, but it's crazy how cheap molding costs have gotten.   Kevin King: So we're almost out of time here. Actually we've gone over, but just real quick before we wrap up. What are? What would you say are three things out there that you're seeing right now that either hot opportunities that people need to be paying attention to, or three big, or maybe even three big mistakes that people are making when it comes to trying to sell physical products to people.  

PMO Strategies
225: Strategy Delivery Office Stand Up as a New PMO Leader with Mike Welch

PMO Strategies

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 15, 2023 28:43


Welcome to the PMO Strategies Podcast + Blog, where PMO leaders become IMPACT Drivers! PMI Talent Triangle: Power Skills (Leadership) Hey, IMPACT Driver!  This week, I'm bringing you the last of three success stories from IMPACT Engine System students who shared the secrets to their success at this year's IMPACT Summit. Mike Welch had no experience as a project manager and had never led a PMO when I met him two years ago. Now, he runs the Strategy Delivery Office for his organization and was featured in Associations Now magazine for driving success through a more disciplined approach to projects. Mike shares his biggest challenges, his ah-ha! moments, and the keys to his success as a new PMO leader. Mike Welch is one of many IMPACT Engine System and IMPACT Accelerator Mastermind program participants that spoke at this year's summit. We are incredibly proud of him and thrilled to share his story! Is next year's summit a chance for you to share your story, IMPACT Driver? Enjoy!   P.S. You can connect with Mike here.  P.P.S. The IMPACT Engine System™ is the only program of its kind that shows you how to build, run, and elevate your strategy delivery organization. If you are building or running a PMO, SDO, Agile or Business Transformation Office, your career depends on making an IMPACT. This program will help you drive measurable value for the business, making it easy to get your executives on board. Learn more today! Thanks for taking the time to check out the podcast! I welcome your feedback and insights!  I'd love to know what you think and if you love it, please leave a rating and review in your favorite podcast player. Please leave a comment below to share your thoughts. See you online! Warmly, Laura Barnard     GET NOTIFIED ABOUT NEW EPISODES  TELL US WHAT YOU WANT TO LEARN PDU REPORTING INSTRUCTIONS                          

PMO Strategies
224: Quitting and Bouncing Back with Paul Dunningham

PMO Strategies

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 8, 2023 33:46


Welcome to the PMO Strategies Podcast + Blog, where PMO leaders become IMPACT Drivers! PMI Talent Triangle: Power Skills (Leadership) Hey, IMPACT Driver!  Get your popcorn ready! This episode is going to be fun (and maybe even hit a little close to home).

Sin Maquillaje, Altagracia Salazar
Abinader solo, el PRM entre el clientelismo y la vocación de división, SM octubre 2, 2023

Sin Maquillaje, Altagracia Salazar

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 2, 2023 30:15


Luis Abinader ganó las primarias del PRM tal cual estaba previsto sin sobresaltos. La votación fue masiva y ordenada. El fantasma de las trifulcas por las luchas internas parece ser cosa del pasado y los memes sobre el alza de precios de las sillas plásticas se quedaron a la espera de su uso. El proceso del PRM de ayer fue un ejemplo de civismo electoral. Hay que sacarle su comida aparte a la Junta Central Electoral por un eficiente conteo que puede ser un ensayo del proceso electoral nacional. Aunque con un universo reducido en un 12% el trabajo de la JCE hay que aplaudirlo. Para Abinader el triunfo sin cuestionamiento alguno, porque un 90% no deja margen para ello, facilita el fortalecimiento de su liderazgo a largo plazo.  Hasta ahí todo es color de Rosa, aunque en términos municipales ese partido tiene que verse si quiere capitalizar la imagen del presidente que en este momento es su principal activo. El PRM no ha creado un liderazgo de relevo y este proceso lo hizo evidente.  En Santo Domingo Este, el municipio más grande, ganó Dío Astacio que igual que Manuel Jiménez es un perremeista de nuevo cuño. Busqué los resultados del 2016 que son el ejemplo más cercano al actual pues no estaba influenciado por la ola social que arrasó al PLD en el 2020. En el 2016, en la boleta del PQDC, Astacio obtuvo 36, 128 votos para un 10% de todos los votantes. Manuel Jiménez  por el Frente Amplio 83 mil para un 23% y el PRM solo obtuvo 58 mil votos para un 15%. Un cabo me dijo que Astacio se ocupó de inscribir en el PRM a sus seguidores mientras Manuel Jimenez se enfrascó en una lucha por calar en un PRM que le aceptó porque no pudo construir un liderazgo en esa zona después del desastre que fue Domingo Batista. Los perremeistas volvieron al clientelismo básico pero divididos entre Adan Peguero y Bertico Santana quedaron detrás del pastor. En Santo Domingo Oeste, FRacnisco Peña que en el 2020 era del PRD y como seguidor de Miguel Vargas aliado del PLD, ganó la candidatura dejando claro que es el líder de las bases sin importar las cuchucientas denuncias de corrupción en contra de él y su hijo que controlaron el municipio durante 18 años. A los perremeistas de SDO no le importa que Peña se fuera con Vargas Maldonado, tampoco las denuncias de que pagaba más de 3 mil botellas y que la nómina del cuerpo de bomberos se pagaba a quienes no eran bomberos. Olvidaron que los Peña dejaron de cobrar y de recoger la basura y quizás solo tuvieron en la mente la torre Eiffel que Peña construyó como un árbol de navidad.

PMO Strategies
223: Applying a Strategic Perspective with Willetta Love

PMO Strategies

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 1, 2023 37:00


Welcome to the PMO Strategies Podcast + Blog, where PMO leaders become IMPACT Drivers! PMI Talent Triangle: Business Acumen (Strategic and Business Management) Hey, IMPACT Driver!    If you missed this year's IMPACT Summit, you're in luck because I want to share one of my favorite sessions with you.    In this interview, IMPACT Summit speaker Willetta Love joins Summit Co-host Amanda Oakenfull to share the transformative potential of strategic project management.    Willetta is a Senior Process Optimization Manager at the American Psychological Association and one of the many IMPACT Engine System™ and IMPACT Accelerator Mastermind™ program participants who spoke this year. We are so proud of her and all the progress she's made throughout her IMPACT journey!    In this session, she reveals her keys to success, the challenges she overcame, and the major "ah-ha" moments she's had in helping APA execute strategy through projects.     Willetta's story demonstrates the immense IMPACT that is possible when you apply strategic project management principles. I'm sure this will inspire you on your journey to strategy delivery success!    Join me for this episode to learn how strategic project management can help you elevate your IMPACT.    Enjoy!    P.S. – The IMPACT Engine System™ is the only program of its kind that shows you how to build, run, and elevate your strategy delivery organization. If you are building or running a PMO, SDO, Agile, or Business Transformation Office, your career depends on making an IMPACT. This program will help you drive measurable value for the business, making it easy to get your executives on board. Learn more today!  Thanks for taking the time to check out the podcast! I welcome your feedback and insights!  I'd love to know what you think and if you love it, please leave a rating and review in your favorite podcast player. Please leave a comment below to share your thoughts. See you online! Warmly, Laura Barnard     GET NOTIFIED ABOUT NEW EPISODES  TELL US WHAT YOU WANT TO LEARN PDU REPORTING INSTRUCTIONS                          

PMO Strategies
222: Why Mindset Matters

PMO Strategies

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 24, 2023 19:36


Welcome to the PMO Strategies Podcast + Blog, where PMO leaders become IMPACT Drivers! PMI Talent Triangle: Power Skills (Leadership) Hey, IMPACT Driver! Today, we're delving into a crucial but often neglected topic. When I queried my IMPACT Accelerator Mastermind students about their top advice, they unanimously emphasized the pivotal mindset shifts that propelled them to success. I know you're probably here to learn actionable tactics and strategies to make an IMPACT on your organization (and we have plenty of that coming up), but without the right mindset, these tactics and strategies often fall flat. In this episode, I explain the importance of the right mindset before you deliver anything and how to align your mindset with the organization's strategy to really elevate your IMPACT. Join me for this episode to learn why your mindset matters more than anything else. Enjoy! P.S. – If you lead a PMO, SDO, or transformation office, your career depends on delivering IMPACT. The IMPACT Engine System aligns your mindset with strategic goals, then teaches you everything you need to do step-by-step to build an IMPACT delivery engine that will accelerate your organization's strategy faster than you can imagine. Learn more about the IMPACT Engine System. Thanks for taking the time to check out the podcast! I welcome your feedback and insights!  I'd love to know what you think and if you love it, please leave a rating and review in your favorite podcast player. Please leave a comment below to share your thoughts. See you online! Warmly, Laura Barnard     GET NOTIFIED ABOUT NEW EPISODES  TELL US WHAT YOU WANT TO LEARN PDU REPORTING INSTRUCTIONS                          

Paul Hickey's Data Driven Daily Tips
Sports Card Strategy Show Ep 99: Big Kelce Wins, Basketball Buys, DeShaun Watson Bounceback?

Paul Hickey's Data Driven Daily Tips

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2023 92:44


Welcome to Episode 99 of the Sports Card Strategy Show with hosts Paul Hickey of NoOffseason.com, the Sports Card Doctor, Chad Guell, of NoOffseason.com, and Kendall "Lefty" McKee of NoOffseason.com, JustBaseball.com and Just Breaks, with guest host Duke Dotson from Graybos! In this episode we talk about: L's, W's, Buys and Sells. Paul L- No L's because Paul is winning everywhere. W - Travis Kelce 2015 Topps Finest Gold Refractor /150 PSA 10. Found at Mint Collective Card Show for $2. Graded at PSA for $19, got a PSA 10. Total earnings - $155 B - Paul planting a flag on Arch Manning. Base Auto redemptions are going for around $320 Rated Prospects singles from The National Packs /149 are going for around $115 S - Shadeur Sanders Strategy - Planning all Spring to Sell a bunch of cards right now. Selling Tips: When you have one auction getting a ton of views and action, it's a great idea to list more cards. Buyers will see you have one card of interest and continue to see what other cards you have. It's like putting your best products in the window to get people to come into your store. So have more inventory listed. Kendall L- Carlos Alcaraz loses the US Open. W - Listening to Paul about Sheduer Sanders. Paul called it 2 years ago Lefty is going to crystalize on this massive profit. Paid $12.00 and looking for a profit of $250. B - Buying Caminero hard over the next few months. Messi Sports Illustrated for Kids Cards 2023 Miami Kit. S - Do not buy Ethan Salas cards right away. This is the chase card. He is going to the next guy people freak out about. Chad L- PSA is my L of the week. I have to take some of the blame as well as I should have planned better. With all of the call ups recently I am missing out on profiting as my cards are sitting at PSA. I was getting bulk submissions back in 6-8 weeks so I thought I was safe. So I have 20 card bulk players, Rafael Cedaane, Evan Carter, Jasson Dominguez, and Jordan Lawlar all sitting at PSA since June 7th. W - Bought the 2020 Joe Burrow Field Level Silver BGS 9.5 for $425 cracked it out and submitted to PSA at the $75 fast service level. Came back a PSA 10 which you saw in the show and tell. Just sold it for $1000. Netted $875 after ebay fees had $525 in it with grading and shipping so a nice $350 profit in just 5 weeks! B - Caleb Williams Bowman U 1st Refractors non autos, Patrick Mahomes Optic Base rookies S - Jasson Dominguez Bowman Chrome 1st base psa 10 up 147% in last 30 days, Ronald Acuna Jr Bowman Prospects paper 1st psa 10 up 144% last 30 days. Strategy - slow down on buying and try to start selling off some football cards to build up a bank roll to buy heavy in mid to late October with mid season dips. Duke L- JK Dobbins' Achilles injury. W - Went to the Burbank Show - large trade, great turnout, an overall very successful show. Picked up Luka, Justin Herbert, and Lamar Jackson. Check out last week's show and tell show for more! B - Basketball - Shai, Paolo, if Antman comes back down Football - (Vegas thinks they'll win some games) Deshaun Watson, Ridder, Dak College Football - Drew Allar for Penn St, Xavier Worthy for Texas, Drake Maye (Leaf only) S - Tua/Tyreek. Jordan Love, and Purdy. Allgeier (had 2 TD's, Bijan going to be the dude). We'd love your questions and comments!

逐工一幅天文圖 APOD Taigi
910. 活跳太陽 ê 太陽烏子 ft. 阿錕 (20230711)

逐工一幅天文圖 APOD Taigi

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 14, 2023 2:08


是按怎咱 ê 太陽 這馬會遮爾活跳跳?無人知影。太陽表面活動增加是本底就知--ê,因為 伊 這馬是愈來愈倚 2025 年 ê 太陽極大期。毋過,頂個月咱 ê 太陽 puh--出來 ê 太陽烏子,比過去 11 年 ê 太陽週期 任何一個月攏閣較濟,甚至會當算到 2002 年去。這張相片 是 kā 今年 1 月 到 6 月 用 NASA 動力學天文台衛星 逐工翕 ê 相片疊做一張--ê。這內底有足濟太陽烏子,其中較大粒 ê,tī 太陽盤頂懸會出現 2 禮拜,ùi 倒爿行到正爿。太陽週期繼續,咱就會看著太陽烏子較捷出現 tī 赤道 附近。太陽烏子是太陽表面活動 ê 其中一款,其他閣有 太陽 爍光 kah 太陽日冕噴出 (CMEs),這會 kā 粒子擲入去 太陽系 內底。因為這寡粒子會影響太空人 kah 電子設備,所以追蹤太陽表面 ê 變化就毋是干焦為著 藝術價值 矣。是講,太陽活動 嘛會當是有足懸 ê 藝術價值,尤其伊若是咧逐發生 tī 地球大氣層 ê 極光。 ——— 這是 NASA Astronomy Picture of the Day ê 台語文 podcast 原文版:https://apod.nasa.gov/ 台文版:https://apod.tw/ 今仔日 ê 文章: https://apod.tw/daily/20230711/ 影像來源:NASA, SDO 資料處理 kah 版權:Şenol Şanlı 音樂:P!SCO - 鼎鼎 聲優:阿錕 翻譯:An-Li Tsai (NCU) 原文:https://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap230711.html Powered by Firstory Hosting

Méta de Choc
La transidentité : au-delà des apparences, avec Chayka — SHOCKING #28.8

Méta de Choc

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2023 63:07


Chapitre 8 : La politique de la peur.Restent encore quelques questions épineuses à traiter. Sommes-nous face à une épidémie trans chez les ados ? Y a-t-il une surreprésentation des personnes autistes chez les personnes trans ? Assistons-nous à une explosion des retours en arrière, des détransitions ? Les revendications trans menacent-elles les droits des femmes ?•• SOUTENIR ••Méta de Choc est gratuit, indépendant et sans publicité. Vous pouvez vous aussi le soutenir en faisant un don ponctuel ou mensuel : https://soutenir.metadechoc.fr/.•• RESSOURCES ••Toutes les références en lien avec cette émission sont sur le site Méta de Choc : https://metadechoc.fr/podcast/la-transidentite-au-dela-des-apparences/•• SUIVRE ••Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, LinkedIn, PeerTube, YouTube.•• TIMECODES ••01:22 : Épidémie de transition chez les ados ? Le Figaro, Observatoire de la petite sirène, évolution du diagnostic de dysphorie de genre en Suède, évolution des critères de diagnostic du DSM-5, rhétorique de menace sanitaire, dysphorie de genre rapide.07:38 : Surreprésentation des personnes autistes ? hypothèse spéculative, problèmes méthodologiques des études.10:59 : La détransition : regret d'avoir transitionné, taux très faibles, facteurs de détransition, raisons internes et externes, retransition, surreprésentation médiatique, dossier de l'AJL sur la médiatisation de la transidentité, Caroline Eliacheff, crise sanitaire ? Miquel Missé, mythe du mauvais corps, essentialisation.23:09 : Les risques sociaux : autogynéphilie, Ray Blanchard, paraphilie, perversion sexuelle, prédation sexuelle dans les espaces féminins, TERF, invisibilisation des femmes ? toilettes mixtes, droit à l'avortement, rhétorique d'extrême droite.36:33 : La transphobie : violences conjugales, Transgender day of remembrance TDOR, psychologie sociale et politique, les facteurs de la transphobie, préjugés communs à l'homophobie, conventionnalisme, soumission à l'autorité, autoritarisme, hiérarchie sociale, SDO social dominance orientation, conservatisme, psychologie, fermeture cognitive, jugement social.46:20 : Le sport féminin : âge de la transition, fonte musculaire, structure osseuse, règles des fédérations sportives, Fédération internationale d'athlétisme, Comité international olympique, Fédération internationale de natation, instrumentalisation anti-trans, rhétorique du doute, complotisme, remplacement des femmes ?, victimisation des hommes trans, principe de précaution, protection de l'enfance, Manif pour tous, protection de l'enfance, PACS, psychanalystes. Hébergé par Acast. Visitez acast.com/privacy pour plus d'informations.

Across the Sky
Is there weather in space? It's more active than you might think

Across the Sky

Play Episode Listen Later May 8, 2023 43:24


It might not rain or snow in space, but our solar system is pretty active. Auroras are inspiring, but the conditions that cause them can impact our planet and technology. NASA Ambassador Tony Rice discusses space weather, and how bursts of solar energy can impact aviation, agriculture, and the electric grid. About the Across the Sky podcast The weekly weather podcast is hosted on a rotation by the Lee Weather team: Matt Holiner of Lee Enterprises' Midwest group in Chicago, Kirsten Lang of the Tulsa World in Oklahoma, Joe Martucci of the Press of Atlantic City, N.J., and Sean Sublette of the Richmond Times-Dispatch in Virginia. Episode transcript Note: The following transcript was created by Adobe Premiere and may contain misspellings and other inaccuracies as it was generated automatically: Hello, everyone. I'm meteorologist Sean Sublette and welcome to Across the Sky, our National Lee Enterprises weather podcast. Lee Enterprises has print and digital operations in 77 locations across the country, including my home base in Richmond, Virginia. I'm joined this week by my meteorologist colleagues from across the sky, Matt Holiner in Chicago and Joe Martucci in Atlantic City and all across the Jersey Shore. Our colleague Kirsten Lang is taking us through a few weeks off to be with family and fellows. We've got a fabulous guest this week, our buddy Tony Rice, a Nassau ambassador. We go to him for all things about astronomy. We've had all the Aurora talk recently, so we're going to get into that and all things space, weather and space weather is something that it's hard to explain. I mean, it's what's going on the sun and how it affects what's going here on Earth. But it's not it's not weather the way we think of of weather. You know what I mean? Yeah. There's no seven day forecast that you put out with the high and low temperatures on this stuff. But it's about the interaction of the, you know, proverbial world around us and the worlds around us. Right. Jupiter, Mars, Neptune, they all have their own types of weather. In this case, we're talking a lot about the sun and how the sun, you know, and its interaction with the air or lack thereof, you know, whether it's Earth or in outer space and how it impacts us. So. Tony, Tony, also, we should say Sean has been on a number of our podcasts. He has given us the astronomy report usually towards the end. So we are we're happy to have him and actually speak to us for more than the 60 seconds, you know, a little blurb he has. So we have a whole half hour with him and I think everyone's going to enjoy it, you know, if you like space, I think most people do. NASA's always rates very highly as the government organizations with high favorability ratings think. You will like this podcast episode. Can we get. Yeah, I've really enjoyed Tony's astronomy reports. I always enjoyed that segment. As always. Is going out with something that's just super interesting, you know, whether it's something to look at in the sky or talking about the auroras. And so like we knew that just off those little minute segments that he does, the guy is just fascinating. We've got to bring him on, do a whole episode with him. And that's what we did. And sure enough, it ended up being a pretty fascinating conversation. Yeah, we're going to so we're going to jump right into it from auroras to space, weather, radio, blackouts, all that stuff. Here's our conversation with NASA Ambassador Tony Rice. Our guest this week is Tony Rice, NASA ambassador, which means there's a lot of education and outreach about astronomy and space science. Tony, thanks for taking some time with us on the Across the Sky podcast. It's good talking to you again, man. Yeah, it's been a little while since we've run into each other. I appreciate the invite. You bet. You bet. Before we get into all the good stuff, Auroras gpps a coronal mass ejections can you explain to the listeners what what a NASA ambassador is? So it's a volunteer program through NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and it dates back to the Galileo probe, actually, and was an outreach program that was started on that. It's really expanded a lot. And what we do is just basically try to get people interested in all the cool things that are happening in the sky. And there's ambassadors all over the country. So if you are a meteorologist, a broadcast meteorologist, go on the JPL website and look for NASA ambassadors and reach out to your local ambassador, especially if you're a teacher or a scoutmaster or, you know, anybody that's that's working with formal and informal education. Reach out to your local ambassador and they can bring some really cool resources and resources and and and share some really cool things, not just about astronomy, but about all these cool missions that are happening right now that are teaching us so much about the universe. There is so much the Auroras have gotten a lot of press recently and with good reason, and I do want to get into those. But first I want to step back about the cause of the Auroras in the first place. We know Earth has this, you know, magnetic sphere and it bends and particles and stuff like that. But I want to go back to the sun first, kind of where where the energy is coming from. These come from things called solar flares, coronal mass ejections. Can you tell people what the difference between those two events are? They're very much related. And when we we think about the sun and we we take a glance at the sun when it's directly overhead or especially when we see it down on on the horizon at sunset, it looks very static. It just looks like this this orange disk, you know, there on the horizon. But the sun is a very, very dynamic thing. It rotates like our planet rotates, too. So we're keeping an eye on all this dynamism that's going on there. You might have heard of sunspots. We probably heard of some of the solar flares. You mentioned coronal mass ejections. There are all of these things that are going on there that when they reach a peak, when they reach kind of a critical mass, they can create events that are very much going to impact us here on the earth. So a sunspot is actually a cooler spot on the surface. I'm using the surface very, very generously because this is, of course, the boiling hot gases there on the on the surface of the sun, that cooler spot. All this energy is coming up from the center of the sun. Hello, everyone. I'm meteorologist Shaun Sublets and welcome to Across the Sky our national Lee Enterprises weather podcast Lee Enterprises has print and digital operations in 77 locations across the country, including my home base in Richmond, Virginia. I'm joined this week by my meteorologist colleagues from across the sky, Matt Hollander in Chicago and Joe Martucci in Atlantic City and all across the Jersey Shore. Our colleague Kirsten Lang is taking a few weeks off to be with Stanley And Fellows, we've got a fabulous guest this week, our buddy Tony Rice, a niassa ambassador. We go to him for all things about astronomy. We've had all the Aurora talk recently, so we're going to get into that and all things space, weather and space weather is something that it's hard to explain. I mean, it's what's going on the sun and how it affects what's going here on earth. But it's not it's not weather the way we think of of weather, you know what I mean? Yeah, there's no seven day forecast. So you put out with the high and low temperatures on this stuff, but it's about the interaction of the, you know, proverbial world around us and the worlds around us. Right. Jupiter, Mars, nothing. They all have their own types of weather. In this case, we're talking a lot about the sign and how the sun, you know, and its interaction with the air or lack thereof, you know, whether it's earth or in outer space and how it impacts us. So, Tony, Tony, also, we should say Sean has been on a number of our podcasts. He has given us the astronomy report, usually towards the end. So we are we're happy to have him and actually speak to us for more than the 62nd little blurb he has. So we have a whole half hour with him in. I think everyone's going to enjoy it, you know, if you like space, I think most people do. That's always rates very highly as the government organizations with high favorability ratings think. You will like this podcast episode than we get. Yeah, I've really enjoyed Tony's astronomy reports. I always enjoy that segment. History always is going out with something that's just super interesting, you know, whether it's something to look at in the sky or talking about the auroras. And so like we knew that just off those little minute segments that he does, the guy is just faceted and we've got to bring him on, do a whole episode with him. And that's what we did. And sure enough, it ended up being a pretty fascinating conversation. Yeah, we're going to so we're going to jump right into it from auroras to space, weather, radio blackouts, all that stuff. Here's our conversation with NASA Ambassador Tony Rice. Our guest this week is Tony Rice, NASA ambassador, which means he does a lot of education and outreach about astronomy and space science. Tony, thanks for taking some time with us on the Across the Sky podcast. It's good talking to you again, man. Yeah, it's been a little while since we've run into each other. I appreciate him invite You bet. You bet. Before we get into all the good stuff, Auroras gpps coronal mass ejections. Can you explain to the listeners what what a NASA ambassador is? So it's a volunteer program through NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, and it dates back to the Galileo probe, actually, and was an outreach program that was started on that. It's really expanded a lot. And what we do is just basically try to get people interested in all the cool things that are happening in the sky. And there's ambassadors all over the country. So if you are a meteorologist, a broadcast meteorologist, go on the JPL website and look for NASA's ambassadors and reach out to your local ambassador, especially if you're a teacher or a scoutmaster or, you know, anybody that's that's working with formal and informal education. Reach out to your local ambassador and they can bring some really cool resources and resources and and and share some really cool things, not just about astronomy. What about all these cool missions that are happening right now that are teaching us so much about the universe? There is so much. The Auroras have gotten a lot of press recently and with good reason, and I do want to get into those. But first I want to step back about the cause of the Auroras in the first place. We know Earth has this, you know, magnetosphere and it bends and particles and stuff like that. But I want to go back to the sun first, kind of where where the energy is coming from. These come from things called solar flares, coronal mass ejections. Can you tell people what the difference between those two events are? They're very much related and when we we think about the sun and we we take a glance at the sun when it's directly overhead or especially when we see it down on on the horizon at sunset, it looks very static. It just looks like this this orange disk, you know, there on the horizon. But the sun is a very, very dynamic thing. It rotates like our planet rotates, too. So we're keeping an eye on all this dynamism that's going on there. You might have heard of sunspots. We probably heard of some of the solar flares. You mentioned coronal mass ejections. There are all of these things that are going on there that when they reach a peak, when they reach kind of a critical mass, they can create events that are very much going to impact us here on the earth. So a sunspot is actually a cooler spot on the surface. I'm using the surface very, very generously because this is, of course, the boiling hot gases there on the on the surface of the sun, that cooler spot. All this energy is coming up from the center of the sun. It's got to get its way out and it makes its way around that cooler spot. And there's a lot of magnetic forces that are happening at the same time on the sun. So it's going to follow those magnetic lines. The energy is strong enough. It can follow those magnetic lines upwards and creates these kind of ropes, almost looks like twisted rubber bands. And we're talking a scale of of several several Earths long, huge, huge scale. And as those ropes continue to twist back on themselves, they can snap. And when that snaps, there's a bunch of energy that is released in something called a coronal mass ejection. And it's going to push the the normal amount of solar wind that happens all the time. Just that energy and the particles that are being pushed out by the sun just by continuing to burn its fuel, it's going to push it out in a much more violent fashion and and create some of the effects that I'm sure we're going to talk about here in the next couple of minutes. Okay. So so again, so how is that a little different from a flare or That is a flare. Yeah, that's the flare in a coronal mass ejection is a very significant flare, we'll call it. Okay. All right. Very cool. Just continue to walk us through the process here because we have this huge it's a big pulse of magnetic energy, right, that's coming towards Earth. Right. And so the Earth's magnetic field is helping to drive these auroras. But what would happen if the Earth didn't have that magnetic field? Well, we'd all see auroras, that's one thing. And we'll talk about why the upper latitudes are the ones that see them most often. If the magnetic field didn't exist, we'd all see auroras, but also all of you would be out of a job because we'd have no atmosphere, there'd be no meteorology, we'd be Mars. And that's one of the big things about all the talk we have about going to Mars that sometimes gets glossed over is Mars doesn't have an appreciable atmosphere. It's like 1/100 out of earth. And the reason it doesn't have an appreciable atmosphere is because it does not have that magnetic field that we have here on Earth. So pitcher, pitcher, Earth now pitcher, a big now shot. You'll appreciate this because I'm going to use a Southern reference. I think you've got it up there in New Jersey. You know, I don't know if you've been blessed with it yet in Chicago, but pitcher giant Krispy Kreme donut, really big earth sized. Okay. You're you're in good shape, though. Yes. So picture a giant Krispy Kreme donut surrounding Earth. And we're down in that hole. That is the shape of the magnetosphere, roughly. It's a Taurus. It's this donut shape. And it's not perfectly shaped because that solar wind actually causes the the backside of of the donut to stretch outward. But anyway, so as the solar wind is coming in and all that energy, all that magnetism and the charged particles and all of that, it's being deflected away from particularly the lower latitudes now, the upper latitudes that magnetosphere is, as the name suggests, it's magnetic. Those particles can follow those magnetic field lines down into the donut. And as it moves farther down into the donut, that's when we start to see more effects of it, such as the aurora. So, you know, we had this big Aurora event just about what day was. I believe it was April 23rd going into the 24th. That's Sunday night. And here in New Jersey, we're about 40 degrees latitude, you know, north latitude here. We did actually get to, quote unquote, see the aurora. But many people, I think, were disappointed that they couldn't see it with a naked eye. You can only see it with a long exposure camera at least in the southern part of the state where I am. Tell us about in that specific event, how far south could you have seen that Aurora, both with and without the naked eye? Because it really captured the attention of the country that Monday. This was a naked eye event farther up into the upper latitudes. So let me ask you this one question. The pictures that you saw, that long exposure that you saw, was it overhead or was it closer to the horizon? It was closer to the horizon. It was in Wildwood in New Jersey, which is actually about just about 39 degrees north latitude, if are really splitting hairs. But I did actually get a report, Tony, up in the far northwest corner of the state, about 41 degrees latitude that you could very faintly make it out with the naked eye there, because I'm wondering if that was about what you heard of across your findings over the over that day. The most beautiful pictures I saw were actually taken near Asheville, North Carolina. So it did. Visibility was that far south. But again, those were long exposures, long exposure photography can create some some really amazing images. It's worth pointing out that all those beautiful space images that we see, whether it's taken with something like the James Webb Space Telescope or any of the amazing images that we can see taken from the ground. Almost all of those are stacked images. They're long exposures and many, many, many of them dozens, sometimes hundreds of them stacked on top of each other because it's just you see things when a photon of light hits your eye and there's just not that many photons that are available to you when it's something that far away. If I ask about where you saw it and relative to the position in the sky, what you were seeing there in New Jersey was probably directly overhead, much even closer to the Canadian border. These things are happening very high up in even past the stratosphere. So when you see something that low on the horizon, you know that you're actually looking quite a bit farther away and that's the reason it appears so low. Also, keep in mind, you know, I mentioned looking at the sun directly overhead, how very bright it is now we can look at it when it is sunset because we're looking through 40, 50, 60, 80 thicknesses of atmosphere there. So when you see it on the horizon, it's so very much dimmer because you're looking through so much more atmosphere and that's causing those photons not to make it to your eye. We'll make it to your camera lens. And your camera lens can have a whole lot longer exposure than your eye can. So you're really up against the distance there. And I'll just say to Tony, this was that long exposure camera was also taken by a fellow Narsa and Vasser. His name is Chris Bagley, who's over here in Cape May County. And it was a phenomenal photo he took. But I appreciate the insight into that because I was curious to know, and that's not something you can walk out with your iPhone and snap a picture and not the right kind of images. Take a lot of practice to get to do right. It's beyond me. I really lean on a lot of friends that are really into that to get some of those incredible pictures that I share myself on Twitter and other places. And Tony, with this most recent bill, was there anything for us to be concerned about? Of course, you get these wonderful images and everybody gets excited about seeing something. They usually don't get to see. But then the other thing that usually is associated with it is the buzzword, a solar storm. So was there any danger to anywhere in the planet with this most recent and what kind of a solar storm would we be talking about to really cause disruptions and problems? Aware? Yes. Concern, no. And the word solar storm, it aligns really well with we'll call it terrestrial meteorology. Y'all are not the only ones making predictions out there. We've got our Space Weather Prediction Center, also run by Noah. There's watching these kind of things. Nothing to be concerned about there for most folks, but these kind of impacts, you know, when we see the additional auroral activity and see it that far south, the reason it is making that far south is because it's diving deeper into that donut that I was talking about. It has the energy to push further south and that additional energy does create some additional risk for particularly something like an airline pilot or even the passengers that would be flying in one of those polar routes. I know there's a lot of polar routes that are flown out of Chicago into some of the Chinese destinations and and in other parts of of Asia, Airlines will delay and sometimes even forego a flight that's going polar. There's following the polar route when there is a solar storm that is predicted because of the increased radiation exposure. So disruptive for the airlines. What about a communication? You know, as far as like GPS communication, satellite communication, does it interfere? Could there be a solar storm capable of disrupting cell phone signals for, for example, you know what? What would it take for that to happen? Or is it not possible at all? Probably the cell phone signals, because most of the impacts are happening in the upper atmosphere. There are two areas you mentioned. One of them, GPS is one high frequency communications, particularly the ones that the airlines use when they're flying over water, when they don't have towers near them, they will communicate using high frequency radio. It's up to individual planes to report their their positions to each other. Some of that's done via satellites as well as signals can be disrupted by solar storms because of of what these storms due to the atmosphere, they can make the upper atmosphere denser. They can make it more lumpy. And that's going to introduce errors into the GPS signals that could cause a blackout for a period of time. And we've got to remember that in today's world, Gypsies isn't just something we use to get to the grocery store in our cars. It's critical to aviation. It's even critical to agriculture. So many of the tractors now are driven by GPS and they're they're planning things and they are they're they're watering their fertilizing based on down to the centimeter level of accuracy. And when that's lost, you know, farmers are parking these tractors for a period of time until the solar storm threat is over. Yeah. I want to talk more about those when we come back after the break. But before I toss to break, Tony, one other question I want to just to get out there is about the colors of the aurora. I mean, you know, my understanding is that, you know, you have high energy particles. They're coming into the atmosphere. They slow down and they and depending on what the is, once they release energy, it comes out in a photon of light. Is that a belt? Right, Or is there something a little more accurate about that? That's that's a pretty good way to describe it. Another way of thinking about it is we've all seen fireworks and there's different colors of fireworks. It's different elements that are reacting in the upper atmosphere. In the case of the aurora. And those are the elements that are a part of the atmosphere itself. All the the sun is contributing here is the energy and the charged particles. And comparing that to fireworks, the fireworks themselves are made up of different elements so they burn different colors. Is green nitrogen or oxygen. I get them mixed up. I don't have to look it up in my head. That's fine. That's why we have Google. All right. So we're going to take a quick break. And on the other side, I want to talk more with Tony Rice, our NASA ambassador, about space weather and some of the other issues that space weather presents with for life here on Earth. So stay with us. We'll be right back with more on the Across the Sky podcast. And welcome back to the Across the Sky podcast. I'm here with NASA's ambassador, Tony Rice, talking to all things auroras and space weather. One of the great things or resources that we do have, Tony, is the space weather Prediction Center. And this is part of part of Noa, right? They do all of our our terrestrial weather gathering or data gathering. You go to the the WPC Noa dot gov site and you see space weather conditions. Okay, this is great, but you see r. S g which is, you know, radio blackout, solar radiation storms, geomagnetic storms. What's the best way to interpret what those three categories are and what they impact and impact is? The answer. Each one of those areas has a different impact or has a different area where the impact is felt the most. So you can have a green condition on R for radio blackouts and a red, yellow or red condition on the SE component of that, which is solar radiation. They want to reduce R for for obvious reasons, and that's going to be looked at by somebody like an airline differently. Okay. So there's no radio blackout conditions expected in the next 24 hours. So that's green. So all of my transatlantic flights are probably okay. Their high frequency communications are probably not going to be impacted by anything. Solar, though. The solar radiation right out there is is showing a yellow or a red. I might want to rethink some of those over over the pole flights that we were talking about earlier. And then the G is stands for geomagnetic storming. That's how much of a risk that we might see in the next 24 hours of a geomagnetic storm occurring. Now when we see that go above a green, that's when we start looking for auroral activity. So some of these things have some positive connotations and some of them have some negative connotation. When it comes to the aurora. All right. So so to follow on that, we know that the higher energy storms are going to produce broader auroras and they do have the potential to do some damage. So I'm sure you're familiar with the term Carrington event. Oh, yeah, definitely. Without getting too deep in the weeds, that was a very, very, very bad solar storm that took out power grids and what the late 19th century, I think it was, or early 20th century. I forget exactly what. So here's the thing. For those of us who study disasters, is that something we should really worry about? Is that is that something we should kind of have in the back of our minds? There's so much stuff to worry about nowadays. How much do we need to think about solar storms and electrical grids in this day and age? And now anybody listening to this podcast probably doesn't need to worry about it. Again, awareness, not concern. But right now, you know, go to your pile of bills and go look for the power bill. Get that name of that power company. That power company has somebody sitting in it right now or maybe their parent company or somebody is overlooking their power grid, is probably sitting in a mission control type room with lots of really pretty maps up on the wall with with projectors showing them. And probably one of those maps is coming from the Space Weather Prediction Center. And there may be another image of the sun that's coming from one of the the NSA assets. And we can talk about I'd like to talk about it. Some of the instrumentation is out there that helps us do these predictions. They are worrying about this and they are very interested in the kind of forecast that the Space Weather Prediction Center is putting out so that they can get ahead of any solar storms that are coming that might create a Carrington event. And I wouldn't worry so much about a Carrington event. These kind of events are very much like floods. They're very much like hurricanes. They come in different strengths and there's hundred years events, there's a thousand years events that kind of thing. It's all about risk and probability. So you mentioned the character of it. That's probably the biggest one that we have on the books. You know, that there was a a power grid failed back in 1989 because of a solar storm. Hydro-Quebec, their power grid, which serves both Ontario and upstate New York and some other areas, well, it went offline because of a solar storm. Now we've got a lot more assets up there in space that help us watch for these things. We've got things like the Space Weather Prediction Center that Noah runs. There's a space weather group at Natural Resources Canada that's keeping an eye on these things. So long winded answer, you don't need to worry about it because there are people that are definitely on top of this. Okay, So that makes me feel better. But yeah, do tell me a little bit about about what we have up there in orbit to monitor. I mean, I've heard of Soho, I've heard of a couple of other things, but what other one of the craft do we have up there to monitor? What's going on in the sun? So it kind of comes down to, to measurement techniques. It's really not that different from, you know, anything else in meteorology or a lot of other science. There's observation and then there's in-situ measurements. It's actually measuring the solar wind and its components as it passes that spacecraft. So we do monitor the sun from the ground using optical instruments and watch it for things like counts of sunspots. That's where these things happen. So we want to stay on top of that. And we do watch it with a couple of NASA assets, specifically Soho and Stereo, which are they're looking at the sun 100% of the time. Soho in particular is really interesting because it has a camera on board that creates what they call an artificial eclipse. It is covering up the brightest part of the sun at all times so that it can watch the atmosphere around the sun called the corona. And that's where we see things happen. That's where we see these coronal mass ejections as they occur. We see changes in magnetic fields around the sun. But the the instruments aboard the Solar Heliophysics Observatory are really, really important because they don't eclipse the sun. They are looking directly at it. And those are the ones that we really want to see, those kind of CME, those coronal mass ejections, because those look like they call them crown events, they call them Halo events because you see the circle of of influences this this ball of energy gets pushed out. And what you're seeing is it's coming right at us. Those are the really, really important ones. Those are the ones that are going to possibly impact Earth. This means they can happen anywhere on the sun. And keep in mind, this is all happening in three dimensions. So some of those CMEs might be directed directly up, not in Earth's path, but it's those ones that are directed directly at us that are a problem. So I mentioned some of those in situ measurements. There's really two instruments out there, two spacecraft that we use to to measure those things. One is ACE, and it is all about the solar wind. It's measuring various components of the solar wind, the the density of it, the temperature, the polarity, the polarity of the magnetism at that point can impact how deeply that energy is going to make it into that donut that we've been talking about. But the really important one is Discover, and that's a joint NASA's NOA mission. It's located out at L1. So there's a couple of Lagrange points. There are points of balance, really great place to put a spacecraft because it's the point of balance of gravity between the sun and the earth. L1 is where discovery is. It's between the earth and the sun. And we've also got the James Webb Space Telescope is one of the other points we can kind of think of these like buoys, buoys out in the ocean that are waiting for that solar wind to pass over. And until that solar wind and or CME or all those charged particles that the sun is spit out, wash over that that discover spacecraft, we really don't have a super good idea of what is about to hit us and can't really make really pinpoint predictions or descriptions of what that is made up of again, until it passes over that. So less than a day's warning is a way to look at it, too, because it's about a million miles out, which is not a whole lot when you're talking the the distance between the earth and the sun. Real quick, before I toss it to Matt, let him go. So if we can detect one on the sun, at least we see something's out there, then it has to pass the Lagrange point. And then we have the final warning. But what? How fast is the solar wind going when we have one of these CMEs? Is that I mean, it's not light speed. Obviously they vary. Yeah, it's a couple of days. I mean, what is the variance in these and the speeds of these things? The fastest ones can make it to earth in about 15 hours and the slower ones, four or five days. And that's part of of what is what's one of the components of the of the predictions, you know, based on what we're seeing during that event optically through Soho or Stereo or SDO. And Tony, you mentioned the word Eclipse. And immediately in my mind I'm thinking the next total solar eclipse next year, next April. You know, I happened to see the one in 2017. I got in the path of totality and it was absolutely incredible. It's one of those moments that I'll just never forget. It is literally one of those moments. You can't overstate it. It was truly amazing. And so I definitely want to check out the next one because I want to repeat that feeling in that moment of awe. So what can you tell us about next year's total solar eclipse? Well, I think that's a whole show right there. We should come back and talk about that because I've got some some some tips and tricks from folks that that go out to see every one of these because it is very dependent on the weather, on what kind of experience or what experience you're going to have at all. So we've got two coming up, actually, we've got one in October, and that is going to be an annular solar eclipse. It was just an annular eclipse a week or two ago that was visible down in Australia. And actually eclipses occur when the moon is just far enough away that it can't completely cover the sun. So you're left with a ring of fire around. That annular eclipse is going to run from Oregon down through Texas. And when you're thinking of will be April of 2024, that's going to run through Mexico, into Texas, go up through kind of the Ohio Valley and then out to the Canadian Maritimes. So we can have a whole long discussion about that. It is it is impossible to overstate how cool a total solar eclipse is. I totally agree with you there. And I think, yes, we're going to have to have a follow up episode as we get closer with lots of tips and tricks. Right. To take advantage of and maybe also how to deal with the traffic, because I would also mention the last one, it was incredible traffic, their early plan to stay late. That was really the only advice. So yeah, I think we have another episode as we get closer to that event. Joe, what do you have? Yeah, so it's not so much about eclipses, but I'll keep on on on the sun here. So I sort of we have an increase in solar activity and we'll continue to see that through 2025. What does that mean in terms of auroras or, you know, anything for Earth in general? We're probably going to see more auroras and farther south. Not only is there an increase in activity, the storms are getting more energetic, so they're punching further south into that donut, which makes them visible further south. So the event we saw a couple of weeks ago that was described as I forget on top of my head, I want to say it was 100 year event. You know how that works with floods. Just because it's 100 year event doesn't mean it's not going to happen for another hundred years. We're seeing these things happen more frequently. The sun runs on a 11 year cycle. It's called the solar cycle, and we see an ebb and flow of the number of CME as it's counted based on on sunspots. You know, we're seeing more sunspots than we expected for this point in the solar cycle. We're coming off of a solar minimum a couple of years ago, and it'll be a little while before we reach that solar maximum where we see the maximum number of sunspots across the surface of the sun. But, you know, like I say, it's outperforming. We're seeing more sunspots than than we expect. What that means in the big picture of things, that's for heliophysics just a whole lot smarter than me. And they are absolutely studying these things and seeing the papers come through fast and furious. It's something that's definitely worth keeping an eye on for many of the reasons that we've talked about today, the impact that space weather can have on us. Very cool. And then I think I got the last question here, so I want to circle back to what would happen if Earth didn't have this magnetic field and you were talking about Mars. And I'm wondering in regards to developing Mars, colonizing Mars, what can be done? Yeah, we don't talk about how much money it'll take, but what could be done to actually make Mars habitable in regards to not having any kind of real magnetic field? Yeah, I've seen a lot of proposals thrown out there. You know, everything from, you know, bringing the atmosphere with us to purposely creating a greenhouse effect by releasing a nuclear weapon and punching a bunch of dust up into the atmosphere. I think this is me speaking. I think the the thing that makes the most sense to me is probably going underground. It's probably using the soil itself as that tool for blocking the radiation. Now, standing here on Earth, everybody, you know, whether you're you're taking a flight to London or you're just working at home like all of us have done for the past, what seems like decade, we're getting the equivalent of a chest x ray about every 20 days. Now that's ten times more just on a normal air flight. If you ignore the space weather prediction centers warnings during one of these events and you do fly over the poles, that's 100 times. It's many, many, many times worse than that on the surface of Mars again, because of that lack of a magnetosphere. So protect the lack of an atmosphere is a problem unto itself. But that lack of a magnetosphere is something that's going to have to be addressed. There's know you just can't stay there very long without succumbing to some sort of radiation sickness. Very cool. I do not know that. I'll appreciate the info, Tony. Anything else? Anything else you wanted to share before we before we close up shop this week? So you mentioned the Space Weather Prediction Center. And I really encourage everybody to go out and take a look at that. It's it's WPC dot note, dot gov, the home page. You're going to see some of those letters that that Sean mentioned there. Your first click needs to be dashboards and the the one that is going to give you information about if you hear that there's Aurora coming, click on that Aurora dashboard and you'll see the maps that show the prediction. And it's this big green blob and it's the prediction over the next couple of hours of when Aurora might be seen. Note that red line there, the red line that is beneath that green blob that is your horizon line. You know, if you're above that red line and look to your northern horizon, you might be able to see it. Some of the other dashboards that are there that are worth looking at are the space weather enthusiasts. That's kind of got a bunch of of different readouts from some of these satellites we talked about. But click on some of the others Emergency management, aviation, electrical power, global positioning. This will give you an idea for how these things are being looked at and what the impact are to these these various areas. Now, what the electrical power dashboard is probably on the wall in that mission control and your local power company that I mentioned earlier. So it's a great resource. There's some media and resources. There's some videos that Noah has created that talk more about this and educate more about the different components of space weather. Tony, thanks so much, man. We're working people find you on on social media. And to learn more about about the stuff you do so I'm RTP. Hokie okay. Eii well, proud Virginia Tech alum where we're at very well. So I'm RTP hockey on Twitter. And you can also reach out to me through JPL, through the Solar System Ambassadors website there. And if there's any broadcast meteorologist listening, I love to get in touch with you guys and visit with you and try to get some of this information out so that you can spread it out to your communities as well. It is always good to to let people know what's up in the sky. That's kind of our mantra here as well. Tony, thanks so much for joining us. We are absolutely going to have you back in front of the 2020 for solar eclipse because I'm going to go see it. I just don't know where. Yes, Texas. That's what I'm thinking, because I don't want to be in a place that's going to be climate illogically cloudy. So that. Yes, sir, for sure. I thought we all said we were staying at Matt's mom's house in San Antonio. Yes. And we agree on that. Yeah. I might have to make a trip back home. We might have to clear out some extra space and make room for a few other people. Are we going to let Tony go? We'll be back with a few more closing thoughts on our Cisco podcast. Looking beyond the atmosphere, here's Tony Rice with your astronomy outlook. No Space Weather Prediction Center forecasted another moderate geomagnetic storm this past Sunday evening. You might have noticed that these tend to be coming a little more often, prompting to wonder what's going on. You know, it's a very natural upswing that we see every solar cycle. A solar cycle is an 11 year ebb and flow of activity on the sun. It's measured by a count of sunspots. Sunspots are cool spots on the sun's surface that all that energy coming out of the core must root around. And this creates some stress on the magnetic fields, causing filaments and prominences many times longer than the Earth is wide to either fall back onto the solar surface and be reabsorbed or sometimes break, causing coronal mass ejections or CMEs. The last solar minimum was in late 2020 when nary a sunspot was visible, ending solar cycle 24 and beginning the current solar cycle of 25. It's not a puff of white smoke that announces the next solar cycle, but a flip of the sun's magnetic fields. The sun's north and south poles switch. Over the next five years or so, activity increases until solar maximum is reached. Along the way, you'll see more coronal mass ejections, solar flares and all that other space weather that the WPC keeps an eye on. Though most of the spacecraft and methodologies used to drive those forecasts are relatively new. The technology to monitor those sunspots has been around a long time. And when you look across the 400 years of records that are available, there are cycles that appear within those cycles. Solar maximums have tended to get more maximum for a couple of solar cycles and then less so for a few more solar cycles. Interestingly, they also tend to vacillate between big solar maximums and then smaller solar maximums. Keep in mind that these are separated by 11 years. The patterns.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

AWESOME ASTRONOMY
Interview with Solar Astronomer Professor Robert Walsh

AWESOME ASTRONOMY

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 15, 2023 26:06


Paul takes time out from outreach at the Festival of Tomorrow at the Swindon STEAM museum to chat with Professor Robert Walsh of the University of Central Lancashire, who with artist Alex Rinsler has created a giant representation of the Sun as an outreach and art project that uses the data of the Solar Dynamics Observatory. They talk about solar science, the coronal heating problem, sounding rockets, space missions professor Walsh has been involved with, space weather and why he has his own Sun.

The Weighting Room Podcast
Episode Fifty Eight: Blonde Bombshell

The Weighting Room Podcast

Play Episode Play 15 sec Highlight Listen Later Feb 23, 2023 32:50


On this weeks episode of The Weighting Room Chris & Lisa discuss a certain blonde bombshell from the 50'sDo you have a story you would like to share? Send it to us at theweightingroompc@gmail.comDisclaimer: We are not Medical professionals and all views and opinions are our own. 

The Nonlinear Library
LW - [Cross-post] Is the Fermi Paradox due to the Flaw of Averages? by Aryeh Englander

The Nonlinear Library

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2023 27:57


Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [Cross-post] Is the Fermi Paradox due to the Flaw of Averages?, published by Aryeh Englander on January 18, 2023 on LessWrong. [This article is copy-pasted from the Lumina blog, very lightly edited for LessWrong.] Where is everybody?— Enrico Fermi The omnipresence of uncertainty is part of why making predictions and decisions is so hard. We at Lumina advocate treating uncertainty explicitly in our models using probability distributions. Sadly this is not yet as common as it should be. A recent paper “Dissolving the Fermi Paradox” (2018) is a powerful illustration of how including uncertainty can transform conclusions on the fascinating question of whether our Earth is the only place in the Universe harboring intelligent life. The authors, Anders Sandberg, Eric Drexler and Toby Ord (whom we shall refer to as SDO), show elegantly that the apparent paradox is simply the result of the mistake of ignoring uncertainty, what Sam L. Savage calls the Flaw of Averages. In this article, we review their article and link to an Analytica version of their model that you can explore. The Fermi Paradox Enrico Fermi. From Wikimedia commons. One day in 1950, Enrico Fermi, the Nobel prize-winning builder of the first nuclear reactor, was having lunch with a few friends in Los Alamos. They were looking at a New Yorker cartoon of cheerful aliens emerging from a flying saucer. Fermi famously asked “Where is everybody?”. Given the vast number of stars in the Milky Way Galaxy and the likely development of life and extraterrestrial intelligence, how come no ETs have come to visit or at least been detected? This question came to be called the “Fermi Paradox”. Ever since, it has bothered those interested in the existence of extraterrestrial intelligence and whether we are alone in the Universe. The Flaw of Averages on Steroids Dr. Sam Savage who coined the term “Flaw of Averages” Sam L. Savage, in his book, The Flaw of Averages, shows how ignoring uncertainty and just working with a single mean or “most likely” value for each uncertain quantity can lead to misleading results. To illustrate how dramatically this approach can distort your conclusions, SDO offer a toy example. Suppose there are nine factors that multiplied together give the probability of extraterrestrial intelligence (ETI) arising on any given star. If you use a point estimate of 0.1 for each factors, you could infer that there is a 10−9probability of any given star harboring ETI. There are about 1011 stars in the Milky Way, so the probability that no star other than our own has a planet harboring intelligent life would be extremely small, (1−10−9)100B≈3.7×10−44. On the other hand, suppose that, based on what we know, each factor could be anywhere between 0 and 0.2, and assign a uniform uncertainty over this interval, using the probability distribution, Uniform(0, 0.2). If you combine these distributions probabilistically, using Monte Carlo simulation for example, the mean of the result is 0.21 – over 5,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 times more likely! The Drake Equation Frank Drake, a radio astronomer who worked on the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI), tried to formalize Fermi's estimate of the number of ETIs. He suggested that we can estimate N, the number of detectable, intelligent civilizations in the Milky Way galaxy from what is now called the “Drake equation”. It is sometimes referred to as the “second most-famous equation in science (after E= mc2)”: Frank Drake (1930-2022). N=R∗×fp×ne×fl×fi×fc×L Where R∗ is the average rate of formation of stars in our galaxy,fp is the fraction of stars with planets.ne is the average number of those planets that could potentially support life.fl is the fraction of those on which life had actually developed;fi is the fraction of those with life that ...

The Nonlinear Library: LessWrong
LW - [Cross-post] Is the Fermi Paradox due to the Flaw of Averages? by Aryeh Englander

The Nonlinear Library: LessWrong

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 19, 2023 27:57


Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: [Cross-post] Is the Fermi Paradox due to the Flaw of Averages?, published by Aryeh Englander on January 18, 2023 on LessWrong. [This article is copy-pasted from the Lumina blog, very lightly edited for LessWrong.] Where is everybody?— Enrico Fermi The omnipresence of uncertainty is part of why making predictions and decisions is so hard. We at Lumina advocate treating uncertainty explicitly in our models using probability distributions. Sadly this is not yet as common as it should be. A recent paper “Dissolving the Fermi Paradox” (2018) is a powerful illustration of how including uncertainty can transform conclusions on the fascinating question of whether our Earth is the only place in the Universe harboring intelligent life. The authors, Anders Sandberg, Eric Drexler and Toby Ord (whom we shall refer to as SDO), show elegantly that the apparent paradox is simply the result of the mistake of ignoring uncertainty, what Sam L. Savage calls the Flaw of Averages. In this article, we review their article and link to an Analytica version of their model that you can explore. The Fermi Paradox Enrico Fermi. From Wikimedia commons. One day in 1950, Enrico Fermi, the Nobel prize-winning builder of the first nuclear reactor, was having lunch with a few friends in Los Alamos. They were looking at a New Yorker cartoon of cheerful aliens emerging from a flying saucer. Fermi famously asked “Where is everybody?”. Given the vast number of stars in the Milky Way Galaxy and the likely development of life and extraterrestrial intelligence, how come no ETs have come to visit or at least been detected? This question came to be called the “Fermi Paradox”. Ever since, it has bothered those interested in the existence of extraterrestrial intelligence and whether we are alone in the Universe. The Flaw of Averages on Steroids Dr. Sam Savage who coined the term “Flaw of Averages” Sam L. Savage, in his book, The Flaw of Averages, shows how ignoring uncertainty and just working with a single mean or “most likely” value for each uncertain quantity can lead to misleading results. To illustrate how dramatically this approach can distort your conclusions, SDO offer a toy example. Suppose there are nine factors that multiplied together give the probability of extraterrestrial intelligence (ETI) arising on any given star. If you use a point estimate of 0.1 for each factors, you could infer that there is a 10−9probability of any given star harboring ETI. There are about 1011 stars in the Milky Way, so the probability that no star other than our own has a planet harboring intelligent life would be extremely small, (1−10−9)100B≈3.7×10−44. On the other hand, suppose that, based on what we know, each factor could be anywhere between 0 and 0.2, and assign a uniform uncertainty over this interval, using the probability distribution, Uniform(0, 0.2). If you combine these distributions probabilistically, using Monte Carlo simulation for example, the mean of the result is 0.21 – over 5,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 times more likely! The Drake Equation Frank Drake, a radio astronomer who worked on the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI), tried to formalize Fermi's estimate of the number of ETIs. He suggested that we can estimate N, the number of detectable, intelligent civilizations in the Milky Way galaxy from what is now called the “Drake equation”. It is sometimes referred to as the “second most-famous equation in science (after E= mc2)”: Frank Drake (1930-2022). N=R∗×fp×ne×fl×fi×fc×L Where R∗ is the average rate of formation of stars in our galaxy,fp is the fraction of stars with planets.ne is the average number of those planets that could potentially support life.fl is the fraction of those on which life had actually developed;fi is the fraction of those with life that ...

Astro arXiv | all categories
Interferometric imaging of the type IIIb and U radio bursts observed with LOFAR on 22 August 2017

Astro arXiv | all categories

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 24, 2022 0:49


Interferometric imaging of the type IIIb and U radio bursts observed with LOFAR on 22 August 2017 by Bartosz Dabrowski et al. on Thursday 24 November The Sun is the source of different types of radio bursts that are associated with solar flares, for example. Among the most frequently observed phenomena are type III solar bursts. Their radio images at low frequencies (below 100 MHz) are relatively poorly studied due to the limitations of legacy radio telescopes. We study the general characteristics of types IIIb and U with stria structure solar radio bursts in the frequency range of 20 - 80 MHz, in particular the source size and evolution in different altitudes, as well as the velocity and energy of electron beams responsible for their generation. In this work types IIIb and U with stria structure radio bursts are analyzed using data from the LOFAR telescope including dynamic spectra and imaging observations, as well as data taken in the X-ray range (GOES and RHESSI satellites) and in the extreme ultraviolet (SDO satellite). In this study we determined the source size limited by the actual shape of the contour at particular frequencies of type IIIb and U solar bursts in a relatively wide frequency band from 20 to 80 MHz. Two of the bursts seem to appear at roughly the same place in the studied active region and their source sizes are similar. It is different in the case of another burst, which seems to be related to another part of the magnetic field structure in this active region. The velocities of the electron beams responsible for the generation of the three bursts studied here were also found to be different. arXiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/http://arxiv.org/abs/2211.12756v1

Astro arXiv | all categories
Interferometric imaging of the type IIIb and U radio bursts observed with LOFAR on 22 August 2017

Astro arXiv | all categories

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 23, 2022 0:55


Interferometric imaging of the type IIIb and U radio bursts observed with LOFAR on 22 August 2017 by Bartosz Dabrowski et al. on Wednesday 23 November The Sun is the source of different types of radio bursts that are associated with solar flares, for example. Among the most frequently observed phenomena are type III solar bursts. Their radio images at low frequencies (below 100 MHz) are relatively poorly studied due to the limitations of legacy radio telescopes. We study the general characteristics of types IIIb and U with stria structure solar radio bursts in the frequency range of 20 - 80 MHz, in particular the source size and evolution in different altitudes, as well as the velocity and energy of electron beams responsible for their generation. In this work types IIIb and U with stria structure radio bursts are analyzed using data from the LOFAR telescope including dynamic spectra and imaging observations, as well as data taken in the X-ray range (GOES and RHESSI satellites) and in the extreme ultraviolet (SDO satellite). In this study we determined the source size limited by the actual shape of the contour at particular frequencies of type IIIb and U solar bursts in a relatively wide frequency band from 20 to 80 MHz. Two of the bursts seem to appear at roughly the same place in the studied active region and their source sizes are similar. It is different in the case of another burst, which seems to be related to another part of the magnetic field structure in this active region. The velocities of the electron beams responsible for the generation of the three bursts studied here were also found to be different. arXiv: http://arxiv.org/abs/http://arxiv.org/abs/2211.12756v1

French Podcast
News in Slow French #610 - French Expressions, News, and Grammar

French Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 4, 2022 7:04 Very Popular


Nous commencerons la première partie de notre émission en discutant de quelques sujets qui ont marqué l'actualité de cette semaine. Tout d'abord, nous commenterons le retour au pouvoir de l'ancien Premier ministre israélien, Benyamin Nétanyahou. Ensuite, nous évoquerons la décision de la Russie de reprendre sa participation à un accord négocié par les Nations Unies pour sécuriser l'exportation de céréales ukrainiennes par la mer Noire. Puis, dans la section scientifique, nous nous intéresserons à une photo exceptionnelle du soleil prise par l'observatoire de la dynamique solaire (SDO) de la NASA. Et enfin, nous parlerons du pionnier du rock'n'roll Jerry Lee Lewis, qui est décédé vendredi dernier à l'âge de 87 ans.    Dans la deuxième partie de notre émission, « Trending in France », nous parlerons d'une étude de l'institut Montaigne sur la placardisation des employés. Et nous terminerons en évoquant les hommages rendus à Pierre Soulages, le célèbre artiste disparu la semaine dernière. - Benyamin Nétanyahou revient au pouvoir avec un nouveau gouvernement de droite - La Russie accepte de rejoindre un accord qui permet à l'Ukraine d'exporter des céréales - La NASA a capturé une image du soleil en train de sourire - Le pionnier du rock'n'roll Jerry Lee Lewis est mort à l'âge de 87 ans - 200 000 employés en France seraient « mis au placard » - Disparition de Pierre Soulages

The Lone Angler Podcast
#190: Suckers for Snacks

The Lone Angler Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 7, 2022 92:51


Hello! This morning Doug Glimmerveen from Smackdown Outdoors Podcast joins in for a casual conversation about podcasting, health management, The Virtual Ice Fishing Show, boat problems and more.  You can find SDO right here: www.smackdownoutdoors.com/ Support the show by donating a beverage for consumption or 5$ to The Lone Angler Podcast! If you do I will send you some cool stuff! Stickers, buttons and a small piece of art drawn by me! Hit the link below https://buymeacoffee.com/loneangler Or Cash App: $mnchomp Venmo:@Patrick-Olson-50 PayPal: @mnchomp   Thank you to P3 Plastics from Panfish Pursuers! If you are looking for that “edge” in your panfish plastics game this winter then, look no further than https://p3-plastics.com/  OPWP315   Thank you to Ridge Top Outdoors! Located at the intersection of US 71 South and Highway 2, Bemidji, Mn. A great locally owned outdoor sporting good store for all your outdoor needs!   https://www.ridgetopoutdoors.com   Find us here: Instagram: @lone_anglermn Email: theloneanglerpodcast@gmail.com

south highways snacks mn stickers suckers bemidji sdo doug glimmerveen lone angler podcast
Real Talk with OSYL
#123 - AITA: Savage Wallet Power Move

Real Talk with OSYL

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2022 74:27


Welcome back to another episode of REAL TALK.  In today's episode, we are reacting to posts from the Reddit thread "Am I the Asshole?" and figuring out who's the asshole in the situation.  Today's episode is brought to you by a post from a reddit user named u/slow pianist 4431.  And their story goes:  https://www.reddit.com/r/AmItheAsshole/comments/x2k5kv/aita_for_bringing_my_sils_wallet_to_the/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=ios_app&utm_name=iossmf Other topics include:-Personal Finance-Shouldn't have a $ limit on food-SDo we have a limit on something?-Showing compassion-Dating Sites

How We Got There
How We Got There: Jon Schultz, Director of ISV Sales at Salesforce

How We Got There

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 11, 2022 33:28


In today's episode of How We Got There (which was recorded earlier this year), I talk with Jon Schultz, who is a Director of ISV Sales at Salesforce. Jon has spent his career in partnerships, including the last 6 years at Salesforce. He got a PAM role at Salesforce after moving with his now wife across the country without a job! His team works with horizontal ISV partners who are high growth partners and/or partners who have been in the ecosystem for a long time. His team serves native, high growth, and enterprise partners in the ecosystem. Jon shares the differences in ISV team alignment from partners just starting out through Summit level partners and how his team works with their partners to align around gtm & technology strategies. I ask Jon about the WIIFM for your PAM as an ISV/OEM and how his team is measured. They are measured based on revenue share from their partners so there is a direct alignment between a partner's revenue growth for incentive compensation. Beyond revenue, he looks to his PAMs to help them change their business with an example being opening offices overseas from their HQ. And Mike said this, not Jon…..incentives drive behavior. If you close a big deal at the end of a quarter, submit that order and share it with their PAM as they are aligned with that success. Jon adds to that concept with calling out that as soon as the order is submitted, his team can now share this win story with the direct team via win tiles and slack posts. From a partnership strategy, expect your PAM to help amplify your message once things get rolling but don't start by asking them “where are my leads?“. I put Jon on the spot around partners to watch who are doing the right things and although he didn't share a specific partner with me but did talk about how his counterpart worked with him to analyze data around the value of the Salesforce partnership, showing Salesforce connected customers are worth 1.5x revenue. This lead the leadership team to grow the Salesforce partner team headcount at the ISV to drive incremental capacity to align with the direct teams at Salesforce. From an AppExchange listing point of view, take a look at Accounting Seed, TaskRay and Prolifiq as examples of great from a content perspective including usage of Test Drive for leads. His team will always lean in when their partners lean in. His advice for all ISVs is to spend time to think through what the goals are for the Salesforce partnership as it relates to your organization. We talk about Salesforce SDO and Salesforce IDO integration and the right time to consider building an extension package that Salesforce SEs can demo of your solution as part of their demonstrations. Make sure you know your message, your market, and what features align with what is hitting home with customers and Salesforce SEs/AEs. Starting it too early can waste some cycles, so look for signals like SEs asking you to help them install your app into their SDO or IDO. Here's a closer look at the episode: 1:00 How did you find your way into the ecosystem? 3:15 What types of ISVs your team serves? 4:50 What are some of the nuances that you see? 7:30. ISV PAMs on your team, what's important to them, how are they measured? 11:30 what are some realistic asks that ISVs and OEM should be making of their PAMs 14:10 Can you share some great app exchange apps, listings or partners to replicate? 20:00 What is the right time that an ISV should start to think about SDO or IDO integration? 26:00 What are you most proud of from your time with the team? 27:30 What do you think every ISV should do this month? 29:30 The Final Three Resources:

Loan Officer Wealth
How To Generate Mortgage Leads From TikTok With Dennis Yu

Loan Officer Wealth

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 15, 2022 28:16


During this powerful episode, you get to learn: How should mortgage professionals and business approach TikTok. Content creation and framework that converts. Insight on TikTok ads, what type of targeting options does TikTok offer. Interviewing your customers about their experience and converting them into content. And More… Dennis Yu's best selling book on Amazon - The Definitive Guide to TikTok Advertising: How to Access 1 Billion People in 10 Minutes! Make sure you subscribe as we have an incredible lineup of future guests coming for you!  P.S - Do you want a minimum of 3 quality sales appointments per day? That's the minimum result that we are seeing from our Concierge agents that are calling qualified realtors and past clients right now! Book a one on one strategy call to learn how we can fill your calendar with quality appointments automatically!  Click Here To Book: https://msgsndr.com/widget/appointment/connection-inc/bmc-strategy-60min #MortgageMarketing #MortgageOfficers #LoanOfficers #MortgageTips 

Loan Officer Wealth
New Podcast with Toni Taylor and Chris Johnstone!

Loan Officer Wealth

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2022 27:07


During this powerful episode we discuss how Toni is structuring her business  her marketing and her team to thrive during a changing market! You get to learn: The daily success plan that she is following to continue to drive quality referrals and new applicants. Her direct mail strategy including what to send, how often and for how long. How she has her team structured her for success as the market changes. P.S - Do you want a minimum of 3 quality sales appointments per day? That's the minimum result that we are seeing from our Concierge agents that are calling qualified realtors and past clients right now! Book a one on one strategy call to learn how we can fill your calendar with quality appointments automatically!

The 365 Days of Astronomy, the daily podcast of the International Year of Astronomy 2009
Travelers in the Night Eps. 601 & 602: Phaeton's Child & Solar Flares

The 365 Days of Astronomy, the daily podcast of the International Year of Astronomy 2009

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2022 5:30 Very Popular


Dr. Al Grauer hosts. Dr. Albert D. Grauer ( @Nmcanopus ) is an observational asteroid hunting astronomer. Dr. Grauer retired from the University of Arkansas at Little Rock in 2006. travelersinthenight.org Today's 2 topics: - Phaethon and asteroid 2005 UD are closely related. - The NASA Solar Dynamics Observatory or SDO  has been keeping a 24/7 eye on the Sun for past 10 years.   We've added a new way to donate to 365 Days of Astronomy to support editing, hosting, and production costs.  Just visit: https://www.patreon.com/365DaysOfAstronomy and donate as much as you can! Share the podcast with your friends and send the Patreon link to them too!  Every bit helps! Thank you! ------------------------------------ Do go visit http://www.redbubble.com/people/CosmoQuestX/shop for cool Astronomy Cast and CosmoQuest t-shirts, coffee mugs and other awesomeness! http://cosmoquest.org/Donate This show is made possible through your donations.  Thank you! (Haven't donated? It's not too late! Just click!) ------------------------------------ The 365 Days of Astronomy Podcast is produced by the Planetary Science Institute. http://www.psi.edu Visit us on the web at 365DaysOfAstronomy.org or email us at info@365DaysOfAstronomy.org.

Loan Officer Wealth
Todd Duncan and Chris Johnstone Podcast

Loan Officer Wealth

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2022 28:31


In this week's episode of the Loan Officer wealth podcast we sit down with Todd Duncan. During this powerful episode you get to learn: What the perfect mortgage team looks like. The different levels of production and the support needed at each level as you grow. The most important tasks for you to delegate so you and your business can grow. and much more! Make sure you subscribe as we have an incredible lineup of future guests coming for you! P.S - Do you want a minimum of 3 quality sales appointments per day? That's the minimum result that we are seeing from our Concierge agents that are calling qualified realtors and past clients right now! Book a one on one strategy call to learn how we can fill your calendar with quality appointments automatically! Click Here To Book: https://msgsndr.com/widget/appointment/connection-inc/bmc-strategy-60min

People First, Then Construction
Rocco talks: WTF is an NFT?

People First, Then Construction

Play Episode Listen Later May 4, 2022 57:39


Rocco, AKA @RockinRllr on Twitter has spent much of his life working construction AND then FLIPPED THE SCRIPT on everything he knew, stepped out of his comfort zone + into the realm of NFT's.   Rocco takes us on his NFT journey,  illuminating a correlation between current day careers, future careers, what NFT's are +  what we need to know. Today Rocco serves as an advisor to many projects as well as architects within the NFT space.  With his expertise + knowledge,  Rocco helps us to understand the basics of NFT's + how not to get "screwed" along the way.In this episode we'll unpack:What an NFT is.What you need to to know before you get into NTF'sHow NFT's are changing the "landscape" of the professional world.Many "myths" of NFT'sDo's + Don'ts of NFTs.Key take-aways:How not to get "Rugged"Where to go to do DYOR (Do your own research)Key resources to consider prior to getting started on NFT journey.How to begin. Connect with Rocco on Twitter @ RockinRllr for advise, consultation, strategy sessions + education.Keynote speaker, Consultant, Trainer + Performance Coach: www.jonathancinelli.comAuthor:  Kick Your Ego aside and Put People FirstEducation: ProjectBitesIG@jonathanacinelli

聽說張大春
坐鏡觀天|觀測太陽的太空天文台 SOHO & SDO

聽說張大春

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 3, 2022 5:33


喜歡張大春主持的「聽說張大春」嗎?歡迎小額贊助我們,讓我們繼續產出優質節目>https://bit.ly/3dzJX7V 主持人:張大春 來賓:前國立自然科學博物館館長 孫維新 主題:觀測太陽的太空天文台 SOHO & SDO 觀測太陽的太空天文台,包括在L1點上的太陽和太陽圈探測器 (Solar and Heliospheric Observatory, SOHO),以及太陽動力學天文台 (Solar Dynamic Observatory, SDO)。 SOHO使用洛克希德馬丁的擎天神2號運載火箭於1995年12月2日發射升空,任務是揭開太陽內部結構、大氣層特徵、太陽風變化等,上頭攜帶了12台主要科學儀器,每一個都能獨立觀察太陽整體或局部。 SOHO位於 L1點,繞著太陽公轉,這個點距離太陽0.99天文單位,距離地球0.01天文單位。SOHO是第一艘使用反作用輪作為虛擬陀螺儀的三軸穩定太空船,截至2018年2月,SOHO發現超過3000顆慧星,觀測日冕大爆發兩萬多次,更證實了g模式日震,是SOHO最重要的發現之一。除了對太陽物理的研究之外,SOHO也是太空天氣即時資料的主要來源,對通訊、太空與航空 安全、電力網絡等的保護與預警非常重要。 至於SDO則是美國國家航空暨太空總署觀測日地關係的「與恆星共存」(Living With a Star,LWS)計劃的一部分,於2010年2月11日發射升空。SDO的科學目標是以小尺度的時間和空間下,以多波段研究太陽大氣層,以了解太陽對地球和近地球太空區域的影響,預期SDO將能研究太陽的磁場如何產生以及磁場結構、如何儲存電磁能量與能量如何以太陽風、高能粒子和多種波長的輻射等形式釋放進太陽圈和外太空。 SDO衛星本身有三項科學儀器:日震與磁成像儀(Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager, HMI)、極紫外線變化實驗儀(Extreme Ultraviolet Variability Experiment, EVE)、大氣成像組件(Atmospheric Imaging Assembly, AIA)。 日震與磁成像儀主要用來研究太陽變化與判斷太陽內部結構和磁場活動與結構,資料可用以確定太陽活動能量的內部來源與機制,以及與太陽表面磁場活動有關的太陽內部物理機制,也可以記錄資料以判斷日冕磁場以研究太陽外大氣層變化。極紫外線變化實驗儀是以物理模形深入了解太陽極紫外線輻射強度變化和太陽磁場變化的關聯。大氣成像組件則是可拍攝高時間與空間解析度的完整太陽盤面的數個不同波長紫外線和極紫外線影像,儀器內有四個各自獨立操作的望遠鏡。 ----- ▍聽更多:https://flow.page/thehearsay ▍粉絲團:https://www.facebook.com/TheHearSayChannel ▍合作贊助:thehearsaytw@gmail.com Powered by Firstory Hosting

The Guys Review
Summer School

The Guys Review

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 21, 2021 75:08


Summer School Welcome to The Guys Review, where we review media, products and experiences.  **READ APPLE REVIEWS/Fan Mail**Mention Twitter DM group - like pinned tweetRead emailsRead 2 new reviews  Summer School Directed by: Carl Reiner Music Composed by: Danny Elfman Starring: Mark Harmon, Kirstie Alley, Courtney Thorne-Smith Released July 22, 1987 Budget: couldn't find a budget Box Office: $35.7M ($84.6M 2021), all domestic. Ratings:   IMDb 6.6/10 Rotten Tomatoes 63%Metacritic 27% Google Users 87%  Plot:Opens with an 80's beach scene, big hair and high bathing suits. To highschool and what's obviously the last day of school. Cleaning out lockers, signing yearbooks, turning in books. On officer is going around handing out slips of paper to random students. In the gym, Mark Harman explaining the best way to evaluate students is to evaluate themselves. The vice principal addresses all the students who received slips, and they failed an academic test, and they can re-take the test after going to summer school. Countdown to the end of school, and everyone celebrates and runs out. A faculty member wins the lotto, and tells the vice-pricipal he's not teaching summer school. He starts chasing down other faculty to teach, and ends with Shoop. He's blackmailed into teaching by hanging tenure over his head. Shoops girlfriend decides to go to Hawaii without him. In his new class room, Kristie Alleys Robin Bishop calls Shoops name-drawing cute, and he calls her cute; they introduce themselves and chat about his scary students. He immediately begins to hit on her. He arrives in his class and we start to meet the students. Chainsaw takes his keys, plays the hot/cold game; and they start cursing. Bishop interrupts and suggests using obscene gestures.Jerome goes to the bathroom after threatening him if he doesn't pass, he loses all control, and the class ends. He starts trying to hit on Bishop again, and shes not biting; she then confirms date plans with the Vice Principal. S:-Do you get tenure in high school?-Killer 80's vibe-The 80's overacting is a little rough-His gf JUST left to hawaii without him, and now he's hitting on Kristie Alley? ALSO, how much would tickets to hawaii cost? Nevermind accommodations... I'd be super pissed if someone were just like, "nope, you can't go".-Mark Harmon looks like a wish.com version of Tom Cruise-You'd think there would be rules against teachers dating administrators Denise is taking her drivers test, and is terrible. Chainsaw and Dave are going through photos... "Check out this composition, round muffin, square butter, triangular bush..." Rhonda signs up for lamaze classes, and Pam stares at the ocean. The exchange student arrives. As Shoop looks through rules, he sees book reports and suggests they leave and go to the library. On the way, some sneak off and Dave and Chainsaw hit on Anna-Maria. In the library, they do a compelling review of Texas Chainsaw Massacre. The students were caught getting donuts, and Pam trying to surf. While looking for ideas what to do, they decide to take field trips. They all forge their parents signature, and cut to a montage of go cart racing, roller coasters. Chainsaw and Dave give it another review. Next a petting zoo, where Shoops shirt is chewed on, and Chainsaw and Dave show their affinity for horror make up with rabbits eating their face. Anna-Maria is grossed out, but she loves it. Next, on request, is a beach field trip...and Anna-Maria in a bathing suit seems to break Dave. Montage of a volleyball game. Alans grandmother turns them in for the field trips and Shoop is almost suspended until he and Gills make an agreement that if he can get all students to pass, Gills will forget the field trips. He comes back, dressed up and very serious, tells them about the deal he made with Gills. Alan suggests he grant everyone one wish, and they'll try and study. They go around and say what they want, and they shake on the deal. Shoop goes to Bishop and asks her how to teach. They're shown lesson planning, Bishop giving advice, and she leaves. Back in class, Shoop engages with the kids, using Bishops advice, and it works. On the football field Shoop is helping Kevin, then, going to lamaze class with Rhonda, in the car, he lets Denise drive, while driving Chainsaw and Dave, who protest her driving. She makes progress. Next, a party at Shoops house. Kevin hits on Rhonda. Pam asks if he's ever done anything with a student...and theres not much difference between 16 and 21. Shoop doesn't bite, and goes back to the party. Dave throws a firework, which Wondermutt retrieves and sets the couch on fire. Which ends the party. S:-Should be pregnant girl be driving a go cart?-Think they could objectify Anna-Maria like that today?-The whole "grant wishes" thing crosses MANY boundaries that would be problematic today-I like Shoop wearing the bowling shirt-Man, the party at Shoops house. Wow. How crazy/dangerous-I noticed Chainsaw wearing the 'eat the rich' shirt... Didn't realize that sentiment has been around that long Chainsaw and Dave caught drinking on the beach, and Shoop tells the police it's his...and he's arrested. He calls Bishop for help, and Gills answers. Bishop convinces him to go bail Shoop out. They talk about the optics of him being arrested, and he tries to explain he's turning it around. Shoop has a reflective talk with wondermutt and about finding a woman. Shoop is shown at a male strip club when he recognizes Larry, and they chat about if Shoop could be 17 again knowing what he knew now. Shoop agrees. Chainsaw and Dave give a speech about Rick Baker, and how they appreciate him very very very... Much. Pam obviously admires Shoop. Denise talks about her ex-boyfriend. Pam is waiting at Shoops house, her wish is to move in with him. After some cajoling, he agrees... which turns out to be her whole family. Watching texas chainsaw massacre in the class. They get a box of Cool Dude sunglasses because of Chainsaws letter. Denise asks for help from Alan with her letter, which Alan notices something wrong and gives it to Shoop. Kevin asks Rhonda out, and they agree to lamaze class together. Shoop shows the letter to Bishop who tells him she's dyslexic, and he continues to hit on her. Denise goes for another driving test, as does Chainsaw with Shoops car. Denise parallel parks, Chainsaw isn't doing so well, and wrecks the car. Denise passed her test. Shoop tells her to pay him back, she needs to see a specialist for dyslexia. Chainsaw arrives with the bumper. Pam has cooked an elaborate meal, and Bishop drops by, Pam is acting very... couple-y, calls him Freddy. Bishop calls him out for having a maid. Shoop explains the situation using surfing metaphors, and she gets upset and leaves. In class, Larry is awake, turns in his homework, and explains how he was caught by his mom and aunt. In court, Dave explains how he got the alcohol, with a fake ID of a black vietnam vet. Bishop speaks for Shoop, and the judge drops the charges, and dismisses the case. Gills tells Shoop he's reporting him and the kids are losers like him, Bishop hears this and tells him off. S:-Tucker would you let someone go like that?-Would you want to be 17 again?-Pam living with Shoop... Come on: Mark Harmon was 36 when he made this movie. Courtney Thorne-Smith was 20.-Driving instructor isn't wearing a seat belt-The whole dinner scene is creepy... considering age difference Back in class, Shoop asks for some extra work to pass the test. They push back, wanting more, which pisses Shoop off. He tells them to drop out and be illiterate and leaves. He tells Bishop he's quitting, and she tries to change his mind. Gills takes over the class; he tells them to read chapter 7 again, and they begin to hum to annoy him. He tells them not to act like psychopaths tomorrow, or they'll be sorry. Gills is walking with a woman who says she's only been in grammar school, and looks forward to the change... Cue Denise coming out of the class screaming, covered in blood. They enter to a gore fest... Chainsaw and Dave come running in with running chainsaws and Gills is very mad. The woman tells him shes not ready for high school as they all get up from their spots. They tell Gills they want Shoop back. Shoop is on the beach feeling sad, and even throws Wondermutts toy into the surf where he can't find it. The class shows up, still wearing all the gory prosthetics, and they explain how they've changed, and for him to come back. Which he agrees to. A montage of the class studying, Shoop and Bishop helping, practice tests, etc. Shoop tells them they're ready for the big test, but it's obvious he thinks they're not ready. He tries to give wondermutt a new toy, which he rejects. Chainsaw gets up very Leave it To Beaver, but realizes he doesn't know anything, and wakes up screaming. At the school, Jerome shows back up, after 6 weeks in the bathroom because his zipper was stuck. Gills shows up with an officer to make sure there is no cheating. Chainsaw screams, and the test starts. Test taking montage... in the middle, Rhonda starts going into labor. Time is called. The class is at Shoops house, Rhonda says the baby is healthy and happy, and that shes giving her up for adoption. Shoop tells them the average score was below passing, but that they didn't fail, he did. Principal Kelband is reading Shoops issues, and the class, and their parents, show up to speak on Shoops behalf. They all speak to how they inspired their children. Gills says it doesn't matter, they failed the test. but Shoops shows how far they progressed, even if they didn't pass. Jerome got a 91. Principal Kelband shows an average score growth of 125% and grants him tenure. Shoop and Bishop walk on the beach, and they kiss, but she still won't agree to dinner with him. and best of all, Wondermutt gets his toy back. Fade to black. S:-I LOVE the gore scene. i remember it used to freak me out, but was still really cool.-The Jerome gag was really good... I didn't remember that one.  Next week is Brokeback Mountain.  Webpage: https://theguysreview.simplecast.com/EM: theguysreviewpod@gmail.comIG: @TheGuysReviewPodTwitter: @The_GuysReviewFB: https://facebook.com/TheGuysReviewPod/

The Guys Review
Wet Hot American Summer

The Guys Review

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 14, 2021 83:27


Wet Hot American Summer Welcome to The Guys Review, where we review media, products and experiences.  **READ APPLE REVIEWS/Fan Mail**Mention Twitter DM group - like pinned tweetRead emails  Wet Hot American Summer Directed by: David Wain Starring: Paul Rudd, Janeane Garofalo, Amy Poehler, Elizabeth Banks, Christopher Meloni, Molly Shannon and film debut of Bradley Cooper Released January 19, 2001 Budget: $1.8M ($2.7M in 2021) Box Office: $295,206 ($$445,400.81 2021), all domestic, as it only opened in less than 30 cities. Ratings:   IMDb 6.6/10 Rotten Tomates 38%Metacritic 42% Google Users 81% It was a commercial and critical failure. Plot:It starts on a wild camping party. Smores, drinks, smokes, people making out, super 80's vibes. August 18, 1981, 5:57am, last day of camp... Bunks filled with couples, and they guys bail back to their own bunks, and the councilers watch them run back and forth. The campers loudly wake up a counciler, girls are getting ready. A voice over warns about the last day of camp and they need to seize the day. Paul Rudd, Andy basically licks a girls mouth with Coop looking on. Katie promises to find him a girl. Beth the camp director introduces herself to Henry the astrophysisit. Victor is convinced someone wants to fuck him; while Gene reminds everyone he was in Vietnam. A nerd tries to recruit some DnD players. Henry offers to do science expirements. Gene keeps acting weird and his dick cream. Beth informs Victor he's taking campers on an overnight camp, and Susie and Ben are putting on a musical. Katie and Andy talk, and Andy is all over the place. 8:02 am. Morning activity time: guitars, jazzersize, hiking with game boys, science expierments, and we end with arts and crafts, Molly Shannons Gail. A tense discussion of crayons vs markers breaks Gail. Abby comes on to Victor, and he promises to come back for her tonight. Counclers make promise to meet 10 years in the future and see who've they've become, at 10am. S-Do like the intro music-The delivery is... Weird.-The sound when anything breaks is the same... its not funny though. It's weird.-It's over the top, but in a not funny way. Doesn't land well.-The director has said the Victor/Abby thing is something he really did as a kid/teen 9:35 am: Henry stares at the sky and says theres nothing to worry about...yet. Andy, finshes breakfast and throws his plate on the ground and groans when he has to clean it up. Gail is still losing it, and the kids council her. Counciler meeting, Beth delegates and they move on. Beth mines Katie for sexy details and they go for a make over. Andy lets a kid take out the motar boat. Lindsey and Andy make out. Coop and Katie talk about who he can hook up with. Kid in the boat comes back, jumps in, and possibly drowns. Beth, talks to Henry about astrophsics. Andy takes the drowned kids friend and throws him from a van. Beth starts heading to town and everyone jumps in. Montoge of Beth reading about astrophysics, Henry about camp directing, councilers smoking pot, getting beer, dealing some cocaine, robing an old woman, shooting up in a crack/heroin den, then they're back all alright. Victor and Neil in the van and Victor admits to being a virgin. 11am. Gene is still werid about the potatoes. Gail continues to receive councling from the kids, and a neck rub. JJ gets all the kids out of the van, and starts back to camp to be with Abby...and he wrecks the van. Cut to Abby on the bed painting her nails, another dude comes in and gives her some gum, and they start making out as Victor starts walking. Neil in the raft with the kids, worried they're going to die, so Neil hops out and steals a bike. He chases Victor, and is stopped by a bail of hay. Some guys watch the girls undress, McKinley walks away...and meets with Ben in a closet. They embrace and kiss each other, and have sex. 1:30pm The camp softball team will play Camp Tiger Claw; they discuss winning at th elast second, which the campers call trite. When the other team shows up, Coop talks to them and they agree and leave. S-There's nothing redeeming about Paul Rudds character... I get it's supposed to be sasrcasm/satire, but it's just not funny. He's an asshole.-The in town montoge is kinda funny, how far they take it. One of them died, and then just pull back to camp no explination.-Christoper Melonis beard/mustache are really bad.-The gay tube socks 1:30pm The camp softball team will play Camp Tiger Claw; they discuss winning at th elast second, which the campers call trite. When the other team shows up, Coop talks to them and they agree and leave. McKinely and Ben are shown getting married by the lake. Capture the flag. Andy is still an ass. Susie is mad Beth made her add the werid kid to the talent show. Henry shows how the earth revovles around the sun, 1.3 million miles a year...and they comfort him for being an associate professor, so Beth joins and impresses Henry with some astrophyscists names. Andy and Lindsey go to make out. Beth talks more and offers to write Henrys professor, and they kiss. 2:23 pm on the boat, Jake drowns another kid, and throws the other one from the van again. Coop and Katie talk in the barn, they swap shirts, and end up kissing. Gail continues therapy with the kids through role play. Susie critizes the kids practicing for the talent show. Coop finds Katie and Andy and celebrates. Gene in the kitchen is talking to a can of mixed vegetables...and lies about smearing mud on his ass. The can tells him to be honest, like him admitting to sucking his own dick. Katie tells Coop kissing was a mistake, he tries to convince her to be with him. Gene wants to make an annoucement, thanks them for a good summer, and admits to wanting to go hump the fridge, as well as the other weird things he said...and introduces everyone to the mixed vegetables, that showed him the way. That he's ok, and everyone applauds as a fridge is rolled in, and he starts humping it. S-The guys calling McKinely and Ben the gay "F" word... Doesn't age well-The stupid shirt swapping scene-If you could suck your own dick would you? also, at what point do you or would you stop? Does it make you gay/bi? 7:34, they grab the smelly kid and wash him. 7:35, Beth and Henry talk...and he tells her a piece of Skylab is aimed at camp firewood, and they're going to try and build tracker. Coop comes to talk to Andy and asks him to break up with Katie, and he's told to fuck off. Henry debuts the homemade skylab tracker, and Beth congratulates him. Coop is crying, and Gene comforts him and tells him about the new way. Montoge of them running, dancing, walking, Bloodsporty style **UP CLOSE MAGIC**, running, Coop doing better, group therapy, eventually Coop wins... 7:51pm, Victor is still coming for Abby; "Neil" pulls up on the motorcycle and tells Beth the kids are about the go over the rapids. High drama as they look for Victor. He finds Abby making out with the yelling kid, Neil convinces him to come with him to save the kids. Henry gets a readout that skylab will land on the camp, and the talent show is starting. Victor singlehandedly saves the kids, off screen. The nerd kids lay down trying to figure out who to stop skylab, as Beth breaks into the talent show to stop it, but is stopped. A terrible DJ comes out and tells some terrible jokes, and introduces acts, and the nerds move the skylab tracker. Various acts preform, lighting a fart, etc., when Gails ex Ron shows up and wants her back... and she tells him off. Day by day is sung, and ends in boos... probably due to the Cross. Coop shows up after his make over, everyone is staring at him. He tells Kate he's leaving, probably to see the world. The nerds struggle with the tracker. Steve the weird guy begins his performance, and Katie pulls Coops favorite shirt from the tiny box he left her, wind is swirling, Katie tells Coop she loves him, Abby and Lindsey kiss, Steve holds his hands out and the wind grows more intense, Coop and Katie kiss as she tells him she loves him, Steve drops his hand, the wind stops and skylab crashes outside. Everyone is stunned. Slow clap into applause, Andy tries it on with Lindsey again, she she brushes him off. The next day, everyone is packing up, crying, parents getting kids, promises to write. Henry got the hopkins award, and NASA hired him to Cape Canaveral, he's taking her with him, and she's pregnant. Gail is leaving with the little camper who helped her out. Gene nods to the can, and it nods back. The nerds discuss what happened. Katie ends up still dumping Coop because Andy is super cut, from marble, and specifically for sex with him and not Coop. But still be friends. She gets in a car with Andy and leaves Coop. He and Beth walk off cut to credits. S:-Andy in the bunk is reading a rolling stone magazine with Bill Murray on the cover.-Again, it's so outlandish, it's not even funny.-What did Steve do there at the end  Next week is Summer School and finish pride month with Brokeback.   Webpage: https://theguysreview.simplecast.com/ EM: theguysreviewpod@gmail.com IG: @TheGuysReviewPod Twitter: @The_GuysReview FB: https://facebook.com/TheGuysReviewPod/

Ridiculous Momversations
Episode 4 | Loving Your Spouse, Kids, & Avoiding Accidental Shoplifting

Ridiculous Momversations

Play Episode Play 60 sec Highlight Listen Later Feb 15, 2021 40:40


This episode will cover: Forgetting to check your mic is onInteresting outfit choicesValentine's Day adventures—true love is avoiding accidental shopliftingWhen "gifts" are your main love language but not your spouse'sDo you keep presents from Ex's? Win Aly's emerald ring. Aly's husband was the 100th "like" on Facebook — Like Us too!Also watch us on YouTube or follow us on InstagramWhy the grabber needs a telescoping handleIs teasing a sign of love? When does it go too far?When you are a worse gift-giver each year—"loser valentines"How to get kids to eat vegetablesSpice up your marriage by cooking together—Hello Fresh works!When your kid's personality traits can be hard to loveSupport the show (https://www.buymeacoffee.com/momversations)

Talaash : India Crimes
Episode 13 - A 9 year old child helps solving a 7 year old case (Prasanna Kumar Mishra Murder)

Talaash : India Crimes

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 3, 2020 13:51


Prasanna Kumar Mishra a SDO with forest department posted in Khandwa goes missing. His wife with her lover plots and gets her husband murdered. Her 9 year old sons statement to the police helps to solve this 7 year old case which was about to be closed by the police as they were not able to solve it

Hustle Like Hannah Podcast
S1 EP07: Chatting to Tom Bithell (Seamless Design Online)

Hustle Like Hannah Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 5, 2020 37:30


Tom Bithell from Seamless Design Online joins Hannah to talk about his hobby to business journey. Tom was always a creative child & teenager who loved writing stories and being involved in photoshoots, and when approaching his university graduation in 2018, Tom turned what was initially just a module project for his Journalism degree into his very own business! SDO is a multi-platform hub of information and inspiration that has a focus on all things ethical, eco, and sustainable within the worlds of interior and style. For any young budding entrepreneurs out there, Tom has some key insights and advice to share with you! To find out more about Seamless Design Online, go to: Hub: https://www.seamlessdesignonline.co.uk Podcast: https://anchor.fm/sdothepodcast Shop: https://www.depop.com/sdo_thrift_boutique/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/seamless_design_online_ Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/SeamlessDesignOnline/

The Collective Voice of Health IT, A WEDI Podcast
Episode 6- WEDI Workgroup Showcase; Remittance Advice & Payment Subworkgroup (ERA/EFT)

The Collective Voice of Health IT, A WEDI Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 21, 2020 14:50


This week, we welcome the co-chairs of WEDI's Remittance Advice & Payment Subworkgroup; Pam Grosze ( PNC Bank), Patricia Wijtyk (Cognizant) and Mary Lynam (DST Health).  The primary goals of the SWG are to facilitate the business implementation of the 835 and payments, provide educational guidance and a forum to address business issues related to the implementation, create white papers and provide potential WEDI comments during SDO development public review of new versions of the payment/advice implementation guides. If you're interested in being a part of this workgroup, please visit www.wedi.org and select WORKGROUP COMMUNITY  

Trivial Trivia - the Podcast
Episode 001 - Harmful Holiday

Trivial Trivia - the Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 22, 2020 17:25


Episode number 001 is about harmful aspects about well know holidays. In this episode, I also talk about the quote of Harlan Ellison and a word of the day (Saudade). I also talk about today's Fun Fact the favorite of the colors. You might have noticed the not so good edits. (I had to rerecord some parts; that is why some parts do not fit). Also, keep in mind that at the beginning of the episode I sat to close to the mic so there are parts that are loud and weird sounding. Another thing you might have noticed, I start talking quietly. I do this when I go on a tangent (like something I would say in my mind). Also when I am talking about Saudade, you can hear a door. Sorry about that. The website for favorite color is https://www.apartmenttherapy.com/most-popular-color-in-the-157991 (In the future, I will use more scholarly sites to do my research.) P.S. ALWAYS read the discretion. Sometimes, I will give useful information. Even if I do not, there is good stuff in here anyway. P.P.S Do not forget to like, subscribe, share, and promote. Until Next time, Mr. Trivial Bibliography: 10 Breathtaking Foreign Words. (2020). Retrieved 21 May 2020, from https://www.grammarly.com/blog/most-breathtaking-foreign-words Definition of parasite | Dictionary.com. (2020). Retrieved 21 May 2020, from https://www.dictionary.com/browse/parasite?s=t. The Editors of Encyclopaedia Britannica. (2019, December 19). Mistletoe. Retrieved May 21, 2020, from https://britannica.com/plant/mistletoe You'll Cringe at the Scary Stats Behind America's Most Dangerous Holiday. (2020). Retrieved 21 May 2020, from https://www.rd.com/culture/fourth-of-july-dangers/ Grad, R. (2019, May 06). The Most Popular Color in the World. Retrieved May 21, 2020, from https://www.apartmenttherapy.com/most-popular-color-in-the-157991 --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/trivial-trivia-podcast/message