Podcast appearances and mentions of Monty Hall problem

Robert from The Dam Meme Page is back and we are here with some INTENSE chapters covering our Son of Neptune trio in Portland! Topics include: tap water, limited-use items, fast friends, fast enemies, strange names, The Mist, Central Park, Percy's vendettas, macrobiotic beef jerky, Portland's crunchiness, improv pun games, Hades heat system, extreme foods, The Powerpuff Girls, cornucopia of bad takes, The Monty Hall Problem, quintessential PJ, reading with the pod, monkey paws, Portland, Baja Blast, Squid Game, Dr. Strange, and more! TNO Live: www.thenewestolympian.com/live Thanks to our sponsors:Pique: Get 20% off on the Radiant Skin Duo, plus a FREE starter kit at www.piquelife.com/tnoNutrafol: Get $10 off your first month plus free shipping at www.nutrafol.com with code "OLYMPIAN"    — Find The Newest Olympian Online —• Website: www.thenewestolympian.com• Patreon: www.thenewestolympian.com/patreon• Instagram: www.instagram.com/newestolympian• Bluesky: bsky.app/profile/newestolympian.bsky.social• Facebook: www.facebook.com/newestolympian• Reddit: www.reddit.com/r/thenewestolympian• Twitter: www.twitter.com/newestolympian• Merch: www.thenewestolympian.com/merch — Production —• Creator, Host, Producer, Social Media, Web Design: Mike Schubert• Editor: Sherry Guo• Music: Bettina Campomanes and Brandon Grugle• Art: Jessica E. Boyd — About The Show —Has the Percy Jackson series been slept on by society? Join Mike Schubert as he journeys through the Riordanverse for the first time with the help of longtime PJO fans to cover the plot, take stabs at what happens next, and nerd out over the Greek mythology throughout. Whether you're looking for an excuse to finally read these books, or want to re-read an old favorite with a digital book club, grab your blue chocolate chip cookies and listen along. New episodes release on Mondays wherever you get your podcasts!

In this episode of the I Can't Sleep Podcast, relax and drift off while unraveling the mystery of the Monty Hall Problem. This fascinating probability puzzle has puzzled and intrigued people for decades. What would you do—stick with your choice or switch doors? Dive into the logic and math behind this mind-bending scenario as you settle in for a night of restful sleep. Happy sleeping! Got a topic you're dying to hear? Skip the line of nearly 400 requests and get yours bumped to the top. Head to my website, throw in your suggestion, and make it official. Your idea could be the star of the next episode. Happy suggesting! Ad-Free Episodes Want an ad-free experience? Follow this link to support the podcast and get episodes with no ads: https://icantsleep.supportingcast.fm/ Lume Deodorant Control Body Odor ANYWHERE with @lumedeodorant and get 15% off with promo code [ICANTSLEEP] at LumeDeodorant.com! #lumepod GhostBed Visit GhostBed.com/sleep and use promo code SLEEP for 50% off. ProLon Get 15% off Prolon's 5-day nutrition program at ProlonLife.com/ICANTSLEEP. Factor Head to FACTORMEALS.com/icantsleep50 and use code icantsleep50 to get 50% off. DoorDash Get 50% off up to $20 and zero delivery fees on your first order when you download the DoorDash app and enter code ICANTSLEEP. BetterHelp Visit BetterHelp.com/icantsleep today to get 10% off your first month HelloFresh Go to HelloFresh.com/50icantsleep and use code 50icantsleep for 50% off plus 15% off the next 2 months. SleepPhones Follow this affiliate link to purchase headphones you can fall asleep with: https://www.sleepphones.com/?aff=793 then enter the code ICANTSLEEP10 at checkout to receive a discount. This content is derived from the Wikipedia article Monty Hall Problem, available under the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike (CC BY-SA) license. The article can be accessed at https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dr. Norman Fenton and Dr. Martin Neil are mathematicians from Queen Mary University of London who are experts in the unreasonable power of mathematics. For example - it is possible to produce an algorithm that will predict the likelihood that a piece of hardware or software will fail - and then to use that information to predict the stability of much larger systems - military vehicles, fly-by-wire software for aircraft, medical technologies. Along the way, they developed a rare intuition for statistics and probability, which allowed them to start to see places where statistical analysis was being done in such a slapdash way that it was leading people to believe things that… didn't make a lot of sense. At first they attributed this simply to ignorance, but over the last few years underwent a dramatic transformation. They went from believing in the standard narrative, to questioning most of it. Their journey on this path is detailed in the book “Fighting Goliath,” and the full conversation is too hot for this platform - so can be heard wherever you listen to podcasts by looking for DemystifySci #295 Sign up for our Patreon and get episodes early + join our weekly Patron Chat https://bit.ly/3lcAasB AND rock some Demystify Gear to spread the word: https://demystifysci.myspreadshop.com/ OR do your Amazon shopping through this link: https://amzn.to/4g2cPVV (00:00:00) Go! (00:05:05) Academic Background and Bayesian Applications (00:09:10) History and Basics of Bayesian Statistics (00:15:34) Skepticism and Statistical Reasoning (00:20:29) Bayesian Applications in Real-World Problems (00:23:26) Engineering Complexity (00:27:09) Probabilities in Legal Cases (00:34:05) Challenges in Legal Reasoning (00:45:56) Monty Hall Problem and Probability Misunderstanding (00:50:18) Flaws in Traditional Statistical Education (00:55:22) Misinterpretation and Issues with Statistical Testing #Statistics, #BayesianAnalysis, #Probability, #LegalReasoning, #DataMisinterpretation, #StatisticalFallacies, #BayesianStatistics, #MontyHallProblem, #PValueProblems, #RealWorldApplications, #ComplexSystems, #ProbabilisticThinking, #EngineeringReliability, #StatisticalEducation, #MisunderstoodStatistics, #BayesianLogic, #LegalStatistics, #MathematicalReasoning, #sciencepodcast, #longformpodcast Check our short-films channel, @DemystifySci: https://www.youtube.com/c/DemystifyingScience AND our material science investigations of atomics, @MaterialAtomics https://www.youtube.com/@MaterialAtomics Join our mailing list https://bit.ly/3v3kz2S PODCAST INFO: Anastasia completed her PhD studying bioelectricity at Columbia University. When not talking to brilliant people or making movies, she spends her time painting, reading, and guiding backcountry excursions. Shilo also did his PhD at Columbia studying the elastic properties of molecular water. When he's not in the film studio, he's exploring sound in music. They are both freelance professors at various universities. - Blog: http://DemystifySci.com/blog - RSS: https://anchor.fm/s/2be66934/podcast/rss - Donate: https://bit.ly/3wkPqaD - Swag: https://bit.ly/2PXdC2y SOCIAL: - Discord: https://discord.gg/MJzKT8CQub - Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/groups/DemystifySci - Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/DemystifySci/ - Twitter: https://twitter.com/DemystifySci MUSIC: -Shilo Delay: https://g.co/kgs/oty671

Welcome to The Roundtable! Sam Miller is in this week with Andy and Grant. They talk about how some of the hot take of the postseason have been cold, some of the interesting managerial decisions that have happened so far, how the ALCS has been kinda boring and they try to explain the Monty Hall Problem to Andy.-Follow Grant on X/Twitter: @GrantBrisbee-Follow Andy on X/Twitter: @ByMcCullough-Follow Sam on X/Twitter: @SamMillerBBHosts: Grant Brisbee, Andy McCullough & Sam MillerExecutive Producer: Brian Smith Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Welcome to The Roundtable! Sam Miller is in this week with Andy and Grant. They talk about how some of the hot take of the postseason have been cold, some of the interesting managerial decisions that have happened so far, how the ALCS has been kinda boring and they try to explain the Monty Hall Problem to Andy. -Follow Grant on X/Twitter: @GrantBrisbee -Follow Andy on X/Twitter: @ByMcCullough -Follow Sam on X/Twitter: @SamMillerBB Hosts: Grant Brisbee, Andy McCullough & Sam Miller Executive Producer: Brian Smith Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Big Mates discuss record collecting, Andy Kaufman, the Monty Hall Problem, and Automatic for the People by R.E.M.Adam, Steve, and Lucas continue their deep dive into the career and discography of R.E.M. by continuing their analysis of the band's eighth studio album, released in 1992. They talk about the writing and recording process, the context surrounding the songs, and offer up analysis, opinions, and thoughts from three differing perspectives on music, from being deeply into analysis and music, to not caring for art or critique, and everything in between.They pick up their discussion part way through the album, and they continue their track-by-track analysis, breaking down the inspirations, technicalities, and contexts of each song. They grapple with the mood of the album and search for its place in rock history.What is the quintessential R.E.M. song? How troubling was Peter Buck's relationship with his mandolin? Do we believe they put a man on the moon? Find out on this episode of What Is Music?Our next episode is out on Monday July 22nd and will continue our analysis of Automatic for the People.Join the conversation on:Twitter: https://twitter.com/whatismusicpodInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/whatismusicpodE-mail: whatismusicpod@gmail.comGet access to more shows, exclusive bonus content, ad-free episodes of this show, and more music discussion by subscribing to our Patreon!Head to patreon.com/whatismusicpod and receive up to two new episodes of our various shows every week (including shows about Manic Street Preachers and monthly themed playlists!), ad-free archives of What Is Music?, and access to our Patron-only Discord server for even more music (and non-music) discussion!Support our show when starting your own podcast!By signing up to Buzzsprout with this link: https://www.buzzsprout.com/?referrer_id=780379Check out our merch!https://whatismusicpod.redbubble.comDonate to our podcast!https://ko-fi.com/whatismusichttp://whatismusic.buzzsprout.com/Support the Show.

During the Nights quiz, when eliminating one of the three options, we encountered the classic Monty Hall problem. If given the opportunity, should you switch your choice? 

Send us a Text Message.A relatively straightforward Friday crossword by Hermann Mehta, but an admirable addition to the pantheon nonetheless. Now, based on the Law of Conservation of Crossword Difficulty (first theorized by one A. Einstein, if memory serves), this means that Saturday's crossword should be ... just  about impossible. Will that come to pass? Tune in tomorrow to find out!Show note imagery: A few sample TANGRAMSHere's a link to the Monty Hall Problem, it makes for fascinating reading.Contact Info:We love listener mail! Drop us a line, crosswordpodcast@icloud.com.Also, we're on FaceBook, so feel free to drop by there and strike up a conversation!

Our Head of Corporate Credit notes that while recent central bank meetings offered few surprises, there was still plenty to be gleaned that could affect credit valuations. ----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Andrew Sheets, head of Corporate Credit Research at Morgan Stanley. Along with my colleagues bringing you a variety of perspectives, today I'll be talking about this week's central bank meetings, and why as expected outcomes can still mean new information for credit investors.It's Friday, March 22nd at 2pm in London.When a good friend was interviewing at Morgan Stanley, many years ago, he was asked a version of the ‘Monty Hall Problem.' Imagine that you're on a game show with a prize behind one of three doors. You make your guess of door 1, 2 or 3. And then the host opens one of the doors you didn't pick, showing that it's empty. Should you change your original guess?While it's a bit of a paradox, you should. Your original odds of finding the prize were 1-in-3. But by showing you a door with a wrong answer, the odds have improved. The host gave you new information. And that's what came to mind this week, after important meetings from the Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan. Both banks acted in-line with our economists' expectations. But those meetings and what came after still provided some valuable new information. Information that, in our view, was helpful to credit.On Tuesday, the Bank of Japan raised interest rates for the first time since 2016, ended Yield Curve Control, and ended its purchases of equities. All of these measures had been previously used to help boost too-low inflation. But they have also resulted in a significant weakening of Japan's currency, the Yen. And that, in turn, had made it attractive for Japanese investors to invest in overseas bonds in other currencies – which were gaining value as the Yen weakened.So, one risk heading into this week was that these big changes in the Bank of Japan would reverse these other trends. It would strengthen the currency and make buying corporate bonds from the US or Europe less attractive to Japanese investors. But this meeting has now come and gone, and the Yen saw little movement. That is helpful, new information. Before Tuesday, it was impossible to know how the currency would react.Then on Wednesday, the Fed confirmed its expectation from December that it was planning to cut interest rates three times this year. On the surface, that was another ‘as expected' outcome. But it still contained new information. The Fed's forecast suggested more confidence that stronger 2024 growth wouldn't lead to higher inflation. And that endorsed the idea that the productive capacity of the US economy is improving. Solid growth and lower inflation co-existing, thanks to better productivity, will be closer to a 1990s style outcome. And that was a pretty good scenario for credit.This week's central bank meetings have come and gone without big surprises. But sometimes ‘as expected' can still deliver new information. We continue to expect credit valuations to hold at richer-than-average levels, and like US leveraged loans, as a high yielding market well-suited for a mid-90s scenario.Thanks for listening. Subscribe to Thoughts on the Market on Apple Podcasts, or wherever you listen, and leave us a review. We'd love to hear from you.

In this week's episode, Patrick and Greg play with some of the basics of probability in the context of some classic, fun, and often counterintuitive examples.  Along the way they also discuss arguments with relatives, a feel for the roulette wheel, Xeroxing your butt, “The coin has spoken.”, Quantitude BooqQlub, the Bellagio Fountains, Clooney and Pitt look-alikes, the Flippier, Rosencrantz and Guildenstern, Monty Hall, Ferraris and goats, the birthday problem, how to carve an elephant, and pick-6 lotteries. Stay in contact with Quantitude! Twitter: @quantitudepod Web page: quantitudepod.org Merch: redbubble.com

For years, game show producers have been asking the same question over and over: How can I make a boring game interesting for people to watch on television. Like Bingo, for example. Can it make a good game show? As it turns out, no. But if you make it colorful, musical, bilingual, and add a charming host and some salsa dancers you sure can come close. Zach had a perverse Spotify Wrapped, Jared didn't know people could play multiple instruments, and Adam wants Raven Simone in Smash Brothers. Talking Points Include:  A Big Captain Jack Year, Sad Movie Talk, Kong In Charge, Game Shows Oompa Loompas, TikTok Live, Grinch Turned Off Body Cam, The Monty Hall Problem, Cheating At Bingo, Groundhog Day Meets National Treasure

The Monty Hall Problem is one of the most famous puzzle in probability. But what is less famous is the woman who made it famous on the pages of Parade Magazine. Follow us on Instagram & Twitter for extra content and updates! We're @FantasticHPod Email us with questions/suggestions at FantasticHistoryPod@gmail.com Fantastic History Stickers available Here! Please subscribe and leave a review! Sources https://www.straightdope.com/21342062/on-let-s-make-a-deal-you-pick-door-1-monty-opens-door-2-no-prize-do-you-stay-with-door-1-or-switch-t https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dOQowCeAnRs https://teachingmathsscholars.org/newsandevents/themontyhallproblem https://allthatsinteresting.com/marilyn-vos-savant Music: Order by ComaStudio (royalty free)

Kornflake is back! And Ed, the other half of the Sponge Awareness Foundation, is back too! Because Ed thought we should have a game show-themed FlopFight, and it's not like we had anything better to do! So here we go with another ridiculous tournament, and this time the players are the hosts of classic game shows like Jeopardy and Tic Tac Dough, as well as related game show characters. (Could a Press Your Luck Whammy get to play? Could a Muppet be involved? Can anyone stop Regis?) And because it's a FlopFight, each round involves weird randomly selected competitions like running a marathon or boxing a kangaroo, so anything could happen. (Sure, Vanna White can turn letters, but would she make a good chicken farmer?) This week's winner advances to the final round, unless they get gonged by the Unknown Comic or something. So gather at your backyard Thanksgiving table for pretzels and popcorn and jelly beans and toast, and enjoy our latest FlopFight! It's like a Monty Hall Problem for your soul. And our regular links... The Flopcast website! The ESO Network! The Flopcast on Facebook! The Flopcast on Instagram! The Flopcast on Mastadon! Please rate and review The Flopcast on Apple Podcasts! Email: info@flopcast.net Our music is by The Sponge Awareness Foundation! This week's promo: The 42cast!

This week Justin Fields is back and we have seven games to go, so as we move into this final stage of the season we have to ask some questions. What does Justin have to do to keep his job? How about Eberflus? And even if they perform well, SHOULD they be able to save themselves, given what is behind doors number 2 and 3?

Lords: * JohnB * CisHetKayFaber Topics: * The human body is more similar than I'd like to shitty software (humans have chitinase in our DNA, immune system works like an antivirus) * The origin of hiccups * https://derinthescarletpescatarian.tumblr.com/post/723161770948231168/okay-so-the-thing-about-hiccups-is-that-you-have * Twenty years ago there were like three real books about videogames that weren't strategy guides and now there are hundreds. * "untitled" by Prostetnic Vogon Jeltz * https://allpoetry.com/poem/13310612-Prostetnic-Vogon-Jeltz-by-Bollox * TV shows that have inspired original mathematics - yes, it has happened more than once Microtopics: * Whether it's okay to catch up. * Air conditioning on hot days. * A steel mill catching fire and the whole east bay smells like the back of a cathode ray tube. * Shaking yellow sand out of your laundry. * Importing brushfire smoke from Canada. * Using bad metaphors to explain RAM. * Stochastic immunology. * Alphabetizing all your gut bacteria. * Whitman's Anal Sampling Mechanism. * The Bonzi Buddy of the human body. * Your inkjet printer waking up at 5am to cycle some ink. * The optimal humidity to reflow your ink cartridges. * Norton Commander. * Selecting files with the arrow keys and viewing them with F3. * How Thunking ruined Jim's Norton Commander clone. * Your fish nervous system trying to be a fish again. * Reciting the anti-hiccup poem to cure your hiccups. * Fish reminding each other to not take ten small sips of water or they'll stop breathing. * Scaly swimmers. * Working in a shark lab. * Whether a fish sandwich is a fish or a sandwich. * Offering people a "tuna roll" and when they say yes guessing whether they think you mean the sushi or tuna salad on a bready roll. * Meditating on the concept of hiccups. * Congratulations, you won the game! * How to Beat the Atari Home Video Games. * Where a library would shelve those books of type-in BASIC programs. * Dave (2018) and Dave Demo (2018) * Which Boss Fight Books are good. * Starting your kid on Mario Maker. * Game Engine Black Book: Doom and Game Engine Black Book: Wolfenstein 3D. * Mario Galaxy's camera-oriented level design. * Your body telling you when it's time to drink water. * Using Final Fantasy 4 as a bridge to talk about localization. * Developing a light gun game to install in all the bowling alleys now that the bowling fad has faded. * The Countdown to Irrelevance. * Books that used to be blogs. * Inventing criteria for how you beat Galaga. * Learning what micturations are twenty years after reading that Vogon poem and wondering which seeming nonsense words you'll learn in the next twenty years. * The BBC TV Hitchhiker's Guide series. * The second-worst poetry in the galaxy. * Red Dwarf airing on Dave. * A better way to think about it. (If you are a math person.) * Drive-by Mathematics. * Nesting your watch orders. * Watching every episode in every possible order to get the maximum possible amount of context for every scene. * Marylin vos Savant. * The Monty Hall Problem. * A game design that presumes the player does not want a goat. * Whether you want to switch to the other goat. * Opening 98 doors, revealing goats behind each one. * Pushing limits and talking about calculus. * Learning Japanese because you want to read the smutty manga. * X: The Everything App.

Eww! You smell that? It must be this week's new episode. Sure, Bailey, Keegan, and Dave (not THAT Dave) may start out thinking that it's a normal episode with a piece of silly wordplay surrounding an iconic title. But slowly, a creeping odor drifts in from the distance. It's not pleasant. It's downright vile. It's deadly, but it's anything by silent. Brace yourselves, listeners. Brace yourselves. Also, we guess there's a lightning round that's slightly more normal. NOTES ⚠️ Inline notes below may be truncated due to podcast feed character limits. Full notes are always on the episode page.

In this bonus episode, Adam sticks around to discuss the overlap between pro wrestling and game show fans, my new love of Survivor, and he explains the enigma that is The Monty Hall Problem.

We're back :) this is one of my favorite episodes recorded, though not necessarily for the reasons you may think... The AhdurinCast Feed - https://theahdurincast.podbean.com/ The map: SPOILER_map.PNG (1604×809) (discordapp.com) Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/notascratch Website: www.notascratchcast.com AhdurinRegion Twitch: https://www.twitch.tv/theahdurinregion Podcast Twitter Link: https://twitter.com/NotAScratchCast DM's Twitter Link: https://twitter.com/AhdurinRegion Discord link: https://discord.gg/kfhBdkTDnX AhdurinRegion YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UClRPG86yjATufmxvrgcfAVA Muhammad/LumiShen YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC4QJYoKfnhEIr61eYflfkWg Other Show: Ahdurin Region Sports: https://anchor.fm/ahdurin-region-sports Other Show: Ahdurin Talks Sports: https://anchor.fm/anirudh45 The AhdurinCast Feed - https://theahdurincast.podbean.com/ Music by GlitchxCity: https://www.youtube.com/user/GlitchxCity/ Music by TableTop Audio: https://tabletopaudio.com/ Music by Bit by Bit Sound: https://bit-by-bit-sound.itch.io/ Promo in episode: The AhdurinCast! Make sure to follow, subscribe, and do all those important things that you should do when supporting a podcast! DM: Anirudh Kyle: Muhammad

This week, Ryan and Brian find great joy in an FMI tribute puzzle, attempt to learn the word "veridical," fail to remember what is or is not a sea, and play a second rendition of "Kealoa," this time featuring ROAM vs. ROVE. If you get bored, write something for the Fill Me In wiki. And if you're feeling philanthropic, donate to our Patreon. Do you enjoy our show? Actually, it doesn't matter! Please consider leaving us a 5-star review on Apple Podcasts. This will help new listeners find our show, and you'll be inducted into the Quintuple Decker Turkey Club. Drop us a note or a Tweet or a postcard or a phone call — we'd love to hear from you. Helpful links: Apple Podcasts link: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/fill-me-in/id1364379980 Google Play link: https://player.fm/series/fill-me-in-2151002 Amazon/Audible link: https://www.amazon.com/item_name/dp/B08JJRM927 RSS feed: http://bemoresmarter.libsyn.com/rss Contact us: Email (fmi@bemoresmarter.com) / Facebook / Twitter / Instagram / Google Voice (315-510-9892) We're putting these words here to help with search engine optimization. We don't think it will work, but you probably haven't read this far, so it doesn't matter: baseball, crossword, crosswords, etymology, game, hunt, movies, musicals, mystery, oscar, pizza, puzzle, puzzles, soup, trivia, words

The conjunction fallacy, base rate neglect and the Monty Hall Problem are some of the topics discussed as guest John Allen Paulos from Temple University offers up a host of essential critical thinking tools relating to understanding probability and other statistical concepts. Professor Paulos authored the widely acclaimed book, Innumeracy-Mathematical Illiteracy and its Consequences and will give listeners a preview of his new book: Who's Counting?: Uniting Numbers and Narratives with Stories from Pop Culture, Puzzles, Politics, and More.

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Anton shares a killer study on how the Monty Hall Problem a paradox of sorts directly relates to trading. He answers the question: Does new information change what you should do with a trade?

Anton shares a killer study on how the Monty Hall Problem a paradox of sorts directly relates to trading. He answers the question: Does new information change what you should do with a trade?

On this weeks episode of The Retirement Matters Show Dale brings you the most recent Radio show where he discusses the market taking its most recent hit. At the time of this episode the market it down 20-30% depending on what index you are tracking. He says overall there are a lot of opportunities in the market right now that people are afraid to take. He introduces the Monty Hall Problem, and the mathematics behind it. Sometimes changing your mind is a good idea, it's not always a bad thing. Mathematically it is proven in the Monty Hall Problem to be a wise decision. Changing your mind does not mean you were wrong, it means you are now able to take the information at hand and make a better decision. Tune in and learn the why behind the Monty Hall Problem and how you can play into the downs of the market.

The tenth episode of a short, weekly Survivor podcast from a San Diego superfan covering Season 42. Follow me on twitter or instagram (@joshkettles) for more Survivor takes! --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/fupasu/message

Ok, seriously, this isn't a debate. The solution is a statistical fact. In this episode, Nick and Chris explain the Monty Hall problem -- often referred to as the Game Show Problem -- and why people fight over it.  DONATE to Green River High School's Speech & Debate team to help send them to nationals in Louiseville. Other links: YouTube Channel Email the show: gametheorymedia1@gmail.com Nick on Twitter: @tribnic Chris on Twitter Game Theory on Instagram Website: https://www.gametheorypod.com Googliography: 21 Movie Clip  Monty Hall Problem Wikipedia --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/gametheory/message Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/gametheory/support

Dean and Mitchell share a poignant story of what unconditional love looks like and how God loves us no matter where we come from. Then Dean suspends our belief through a statistical conundrum that may leave you scratching your head.

Begleitblogpost mit Monte Carlo SImulation und Code folgt am Montag/Dienstag Joachims Wettblog:https://www.crimsoncorporation.de/ ( Crimsoncorporation.de) | Joachim auf Twitter: https://twitter.com/crimsonceo (@crimsonceo) __________________________________________ Notizen & Links (00:00) Intro/Begrüßung (00:34) Emotionale Veränderung durch Sportwetten (03:09) Joachims Fußball-Desinteresse (04:09) Zufall und Hoffnung im Fußball (06:54) Funktionäre und Korruption (08:16) Playoffs und Salary Cap (10:26) Das https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ziegenproblem (Ziegenproblem (deutsch)) / https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem (Monty Hall Problem (englisch)) (12:49) Optimale Ziegenproblem-Strategie (14:10) Lösungsansatz mit https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monte-Carlo-Simulation (Monte-Carlo-Simulation) (18:35) Die Mehr-Türen-Erklärung (20:40) Psychologische Komponenten (23:24) Sportwetten vs. ETF (27:11) Die ewige Buchmacherfrage (29:21) Wettbroker und Pinnacle-Grauzone (34:05) Das Bilbao-Dilemma (37:34) Joachims schönster Wettmoment (38:48) Jubellauf durchs Büro (39:33) Bilbaos der Syndikatszeit (42:22) Buchmacher-Linien (48:19) Sebastian gegen das System Joachim 104€ Sebastian 288€ Die neue Wette: AS Rom - Atalanta Bergamo Joachim/System: Rom DNB @ 1.917 Sebastian: Bergamo DNB @ 2.01 (50:54) Verabschiedung/Outro

Everyday we make choices. What should we wear? How late are we going to be to work? Etc. but do we always know why we make the right choice? This week David and Andy talk about the Monty Hall Problem and why the answer is so counter intuitive.

No regrets is a phrase thrown around like a badge of honor. Tattoos, songs and marketing taglines all boast this notion of curating a liberated life that you wouldn't alter, change or modify in any way. But are we missing something? Best-selling author, Daniel H. Pink has done extensive research for his new book, The Power of Regret: How Looking Backward Moves Us Forward, and believes that the feeling of regret isn't just something that makes us human, it actually gives us hope. Daniel Pink is the author of seven books, including the New York Times bestsellers When and A Whole New Mind — as well as the #1 New York Times bestsellers Drive and To Sell is Human. Dan's books have won multiple awards, have been translated into 42 languages, and have sold millions of copies around the world.  Dan was also the host and co-executive producer of “Crowd Control,” a television series about human behavior on the National Geographic Channel that aired in more than 100 countries. Before venturing out on his own 20 years ago, Dan worked in politics and in government, including serving as chief speechwriter to Vice President Al Gore. Topics (3:56) Speed round questions  (7:48) How Dan started to lean into his own regrets. (10:49) The complex emotion of regret. (12:16) Will we regret switching our answers on a test? (16:33) How Dan has compiled data on regret. (18:55) How our regrets change as we age. (22:11) Can we anticipate our regrets? (26:29) How our unique moral code affects our regrets. (29:40) The Four Core Regrets. (33:47) What didn't go in Dan's book. (39:45) The power of self compassion. (41:35) Why regret gives us hope. (46:40) What music would Dan never regret listening to? (50:40) Grooving Session with Kurt and Tim recapping the Four Core Regrets and what we can learn from them. Please don't regret supporting your favorite podcast this year! You can become a regular donator to Behavioral Grooves through Patreon, https://www.patreon.com/behavioralgrooves. And you can leave us a review of the podcast wherever you listen to the show. Thanks! © 2022 Behavioral Grooves Daniel H. Pink Books The Power Of Regret: How Looking Backward Moves Us Forward: https://amzn.to/3gpU1C9 Drive: The Surprising Truth About What Motivates Us: https://amzn.to/3gpUcgN  To Sell is Human: The Surprising Truth About Moving Others: https://amzn.to/3Laj0aU  When: The Scientific Secrets of Perfect Timing: https://amzn.to/3rtspCM   Links  Episode 171: Self Control, Belonging, and Why Your Most Dedicated Employees Are the Ones To Watch Out For with Roy Baumeister: https://behavioralgrooves.com/episode/self-control-belonging-and-why-your-most-dedicated-employees-are-the-ones-to-watch-out-for-with-roy-baumeister/ “Commission, Omission, and Dissonance Reduction: Coping with Regret in the "Monty Hall" Problem”: shorturl.at/wEU58  Jonathan Haidt, “The Righteous Mind: Why Good People Are Divided by Politics and Religion: https://amzn.to/3Glfdnq  Musical Links  Simon & Garfunkel “The Sound of Silence”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NAEppFUWLfc&ab_channel=SimonGarfunkelVEVO  Ella Fitzgerald Live in Berlin “Mack The Knife”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qVxtdQgLjuQ  J.S. Bach “Adagio”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-ywL_zokELE  Three Dog Night “Mama Told Me Not To Come”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DTCyjYjsVc8&ab_channel=Moondoggy  Men Without Hats “Pop Goes The Word”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3zUUtf7gOe8&ab_channel=MenWithoutHatsVEVO  Bob Seger “Turn The Page”: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3khH9ih2XJg&ab_channel=jimmej955

Hey! Here's our Brand Recall Survey survey you can fill - https://www.surveymonkey.com/r/6HP2RVB Okay so picture this - there are 3 doors in front of you and two of them have a goat behind them and one of the doors has your dream car behind it. You're asked to choose one door and then you're shown one of the remaining two doors with the goat behind it. At this point, if given the choice to switch the door you had previously chosen, what would you do? This, folks, is the Monty Hall Problem. It's more or less like a brain teaser in which you have to test your chances based on probability. It came from the American television game show 'Let's Make a Deal' and is named after its original host, Monty Hall.Find out more about the Monty Hall problem in today's episode of Smarter With Sid.You can follow Siddharth Deshmukh on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/sideshmukh Follow Siddharth Deshmukh on Instagram: https://instagram.com/thetravellingprofessor Follow Siddharth Deshmukh on Twitter: https://twitter.com/edgysid?s=09 You can reach out to us on social media. We're @ivmpodcasts on Twitter, Instagram, and Facebook. You can listen to this show and other awesome shows on the IVM Podcasts app on Android: https://ivm.today/android or iOS: https://ivm.today/ios, or any other podcast app. You can check out our website at https://shows.ivmpodcasts.com/featured.

From statistically sound game show strategies to the atrocities of big data, this episode features Ray trying to keep Jamie and John from heading to Vegas to lose everything.

We're back and we're celebrating in Iceland, where a peasant befriends a small man with a penchant for pilfering. The little guy gets into a stealing competition that escalates into absurdity, and when the queen hears about it, she wants in. But first, she'll have to get around her husband. Come for the Monty Hall Problem, stay for the litter of kittens. For sources and links, check out our Patreon, or follow on Twitter. Our theme music is from Carnaval des Animaux, performed by Aitua.

Even when we think there's not much to discuss, there's always so much to discuss! This week, we're looking at the fall-out from last week's vote, the introduction of the Do or Die mechanic, The Monty Hall Problem, and much much more! Social Media Links: Ethan: @lordtupperware Charlie: @charmur7

Another bad twist, poignant discussions, and the Monty Hall Problem? This episode may not have had it all, but it certainly had other things.  Matt and Jared are here to break down everything from episode 11. Instagram: @talkingllamapod / @matthambidge Twitter: @llamatalkpod / @matthambidge

This week, with permission of King Giott we're entering The Sealed Cave to hopefully (this time we mean it) retrieve the Dark Crystal before Golbez can. There we discuss the Monty Hall Problem, punch a wall, novelty cafés, and experience nut!Mutual Aid Philly: https://mutualaidphilly.com/Homies Helping Homies: https://instagram.com/homies.helping.homies/FINAL FANTASY IV Original Soundtrack - https://spoti.fi/3xVKgT5Theme music by KNIGHT OF THE ROUND - https://knightoftheround.bandcamp.com/

If you are a big international bank and you are hired to arrange financing for the government of Mozambique to fund a project involving fishing boats,... U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission orderthe SECU.S. Department of JusticeU.K. Financial Conduct Authority back in 2019pleaded guiltythe U.K. FCA takesSEC saysFCA says part of the result hereeverything is securities fraudSECDOJ the way a SPAC often worksFinancial Times storyannounced its dealgetting $137 millionfamous linehere’s a story about Facebook did this became Alphabet Inc. tungsten cubesthis wrote yesterday Jack Dorsey Tweets ‘705742’ and Sets Crypto Twitter AbuzzBitcoin Futures ETFTake WeWork Publicshare trading haltclose valuation gap Wealth Advisers’ Pay Become a Trillionaire Princeton ClubMonty Hall Problemsubscribe at this linkhere

This video and associated podcast are about Steven Pinker's new book "Rationality". I read a small number of brief excerpts from the book itself, alongside commenting, criticising and reviewing the content of the first two chapters. There are a number of images and videos in the Youtube version which may help with particular concepts as we go along. I compare Pinker's vision of rationality with what might be interpreted about that same topic from the work of David Deutsch and Karl Popper. In summary: I found the book highly entertaining in places and an excellent overview of this topic as it might be taught in an Ivy League University in The United States (indeed Pinker says that such a course that he taught was part of the impetus for the book). In terms of being a good substitute for those who might never have been able to afford due to chance, location or cost actually attending such an institution and taking on a course such as one on "Critical Thinking" and "Rationality" the book could readily serve as a series of well written university lecture notes. To that end, it is certainly worth the cost for anyone interested in these topics. In Chapter 2, Professor Pinker not only agrees with the "justified true belief" conception of knowledge but uses it in practise to explain what might be called the "rational" and "irrational". I thus spend a good portion of the second half of this video suggesting ways in which that very conception of knowledge itself leads to irrationality and explain a better way of understanding concepts like "knowledge" as compared to "belief" and how to understand the phrase "I know". I intend to cover 2 chapters per episode. 00:00 Introduction 03:30 “Enlightenment Now” and praise for "The Beginning of Infinity". 07:50 Timeless errors, timely examples. 13:05 “Rationality” in “The Beginning of Infinity” sense. 17:15 Do ancient-type tribal people have a “scientific mindset”? 25:00 Explanatory Universality & Anti-rational memes 34:34 Skill with logic puzzles and *being* logical/rational 42:00 The Wason Selection task 51:25 The Monty Hall Problem 1:02:50 The Linda Problem (& remarks on uses and misuses of probability) 1:11:42 Popper and theory laden observations 1:14:20 Knowledge as Justified True Belief - Why Popper matters 1:27:00 Objective truth 1:32:30 Reason is fun 1:38:18 Closing remarks about chapter 2

'Enlightenment Now' author Steven Pinker speaks with Quillette podcast host Jonathan Kay about his newly published book, 'Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters'

'Enlightenment Now' author Steven Pinker speaks with Quillette podcast host Jonathan Kay about his newly published book, 'Rationality: What It Is, Why It Seems Scarce, Why It Matters'

Subscribe to the podcast!https://podfollow.com/everythingeverywhere/   For over 30 years, Monty Hall was the host of the game show Let's Make A Deal.  In the show, they played a very simple game where you would choose one of three doors. This simple game has led to one of the most controversial and public kerfuffles amongst mathematicians, which caused many distinguished mathematicians to have egg on their faces.  Learn more about the Monty Hall Problem on this episode of Everything Everywhere Daily. https://Everything-Everywhere.com/CuriosityStream -------------------------------- Executive Producer James Makkyla Associate Producer Thor Thomsen   Become a supporter on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/everythingeverywhere   Discord Server: https://discord.gg/UkRUJFh   Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/everythingeverywhere/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/everywheretrip Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/EEDailyPodcast/ Website: https://everything-everywhere.com/everything-everywhere-daily-podcast/

Listen, Subscribe, Share the show with friends, Donate. Help us keep this train rollin! Share and subscribe. The Propaganda Report Podcast: DNB: Why The Left Wanted The For The People Act To Fail, Ranked Choice Voting and The Monty Hall Problem & FDA Setting Precedent For Lower Approval Standards The Propaganda Report – Take a deep dive beneath the surface the story (thepropreport.com) https://www.thepropreport.com/ Part I: Inside The CFR's Fear-Based Pro Vaccine Propaganda Campaign https://rokfin.com/post/21929/Inside-The-CFRs-FearBased-Pro-Vaccine-Propaganda-Campaign- PART II: Inside The CFR's Fear-Based Pro Vaccine Propaganda Campaign (2/2) https://rokfin.com/post/22516/PART-II-Inside-The-CFRs-FearBased-Pro-Vaccine-Propaganda-Campaign-22 Propaganda Report Store https://the-propaganda-report.myshopify.com/collections/all SPONSORS Neighbors Feed & Seed https://www.neighborsfeedandseed.com/ Coupon Code: PROP True Hemp Science https://www.truehempscience.com/propreport/ Coupon Code: PROPCODE Propaganda Report Patreon https://www.patreon.com/propagandareport Propaganda Report Rokfin: Inside The CFR's Fear-Based Pro Vaccine Propaganda Campaign, Part 1. https://rokfin.com/post/21929/Inside-The-CFRs-FearBased-Pro-Vaccine-Propaganda-Campaign- Inside The CFR's Fear-Based Pro Vaccine Propaganda Campaign, Part 2.  https://rokfin.com/post/22516/PART-II-Inside-The-CFRs-FearBased-Pro-Vaccine-Propaganda-Campaign-22 DONATE LINKS If you find value in the content we produce and want to help us keep this train rollin, drop us a donation via Paypal or become a Patreon. (links below) Every little bit helps. Thank you! And thank you to everyone who has and continues to support the show. It's your support that enables us to continue producing shows. Paypal Patreon SUBSCRIBE LINKS Subscribe on iTunes  Subscribe on Google Play Music Listen on Google Podcasts Listen on Tunein Listen on Stitcher Follow on Spotify Like and Follow us on Facebook Follow Monica on Twitter Follow Binkley on Twitter Subscribe to Binkley's Youtube Channel https://www.paypal.me/BradBinkley https://www.patreon.com/propagandareport https://twitter.com/freedomactradio https://twitter.com/MonicaPerezShow https://www.youtube.com/bradbinkley https://www.youtube.com/monicaperez  SHOW NOTES & LINKS https://www.wsj.com/articles/third-member-of-fda-advisory-panel-resigns-over-approval-of-alzheimer-drug-11623370557?mod=searchresults_pos2&page=1 https://www.wsj.com/articles/fda-approved-biogen-alzheimers-drug-despite-some-staff-concerns-11624393800?mod=searchresults_pos1&page=1 https://www.pandata.org/how-broad-is-covid-immunity/ https://www.wsj.com/articles/frances-macron-pushes-controls-on-religion-to-pressure-mosques-11624385471?mod=searchresults_pos1&page=1  

1:00: The Housewife & The Hustler (Hulu)12:00: Ben & Jen Kiss 16:00: The Devil Wears Prada Oral History (EW)23:00: The Monty Hall Problem

On this week's episode, we have NVIDIA's Head of Developer Relations, Data Science, Jim Scott. We talk about the data science of fine whiskey, data science for fitness, the “secret” of Kaggle Grand Masters (spoiler: it's giving back to the community), learning and community resources as the future of data science, classic “paradoxes” in basic probability, and some great resources for being a better data scientist. Kaggle Grandmaster Youtube Interviews - Here's the most recent sit down Jim did with the Kaggle Grand Masters of NVIDIA. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bHuww-l_Sq0 Data Science of the Day - we talk about this toward the end of the episode, and this is a GREAT resource to keep up-to-date with everything going on in data science. https://forums.developer.nvidia.com/c/ai-data-science/data-science-of-the-day/323/none Jim on Twitter: https://twitter.com/kingmesal Jim and I reminisce about the Birthday Paradox - here's a good piece on it from Scientific American. Jim and I were way off on remembering how likely birthday sharing is in a small handful of people. https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/bring-science-home-probability-birthday-paradox/ Don't let us get your goat talking about the Monty Hall Problem. This explainer shows how an example with a larger number of doors can help give more intuition about what's actually happening by changing your guess. https://www.statisticshowto.com/probability-and-statistics/monty-hall-problem/ Cantor's Diagonalization Theorem mentioned in passing. Here's a link to the wikipedia article - if you aren't familiar with it, you should check it out. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cantor%27s_diagonal_argument

For simplicity and peace of mind, we generally default to manage all trades at 21 DTE regardless of other variables.  Similar to the Monty Hall problem when the host tells you which cards are not the Ace, a 16∆ strangle will have usually undergone significant changes by the 21 DTE mark, and taking those changes into consideration can fine tune your management strategy to your risk-taking objectives.  If a trade was a loser by the 21 DTE mark, holding the trade has a good chance to be profitable by expiration, but expect to take more risk until then.  Conversely, holding a winner at 21 DTE to expiration is like holding a very low risk, low reward trade.

For simplicity and peace of mind, we generally default to manage all trades at 21 DTE regardless of other variables.  Similar to the Monty Hall problem when the host tells you which cards are not the Ace, a 16∆ strangle will have usually undergone significant changes by the 21 DTE mark, and taking those changes into consideration can fine tune your management strategy to your risk-taking objectives.  If a trade was a loser by the 21 DTE mark, holding the trade has a good chance to be profitable by expiration, but expect to take more risk until then.  Conversely, holding a winner at 21 DTE to expiration is like holding a very low risk, low reward trade.

Learn about how blind and low-vision gamers have an edge when it comes to certain games, with Cornell University Professor Andrew Campana. Then, learn how some viruses actually protect their hosts; and the shocking solution to the Monty Hall Problem, an infamous brain teaser that may leave you questioning your math skills. Additional resources from Andrew Campana: Andrew Campana's faculty page: https://asianstudies.cornell.edu/andrew-campana  Andrew Campana, Cornell University – Taking the Video out of Video Games, Cornell Academic Minute: https://academicminute.org/2020/12/andrew-campana-cornell-university-taking-the-video-out-of-video-games/  A Blind Legend: http://www.ablindlegend.com/  Believe it or not, some viruses protect their hosts and even have therapeutic uses by Cameron Duke Cassella, C. (2021). Scientists Find a Virus That’s Evolved to Protect Its Host - Depending on The Weather. ScienceAlert. https://www.sciencealert.com/scientists-discover-a-virus-that-harms-or-protects-plants-depending-on-the-weather  González, R., Butković, A., Escaray, F. J., Martínez-Latorre, J., Melero, Í., Pérez-Parets, E., Gómez-Cadenas, A., Carrasco, P., & Elena, S. F. (2021). Plant virus evolution under strong drought conditions results in a transition from parasitism to mutualism. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 118(6), e2020990118. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2020990118  Mathew, C. (2019, August 7). Viruses aren’t all nasty – some can actually protect our health. The Conversation. https://theconversation.com/viruses-arent-all-nasty-some-can-actually-protect-our-health-117678  The Monty Hall Problem Is the Probability Puzzle That Enraged 10,000 Readers originally aired December 4, 2018 https://omny.fm/shows/curiosity-daily/see-if-you-re-a-covert-narcissist-michelson-morley  Monty Hall Problem - Numberphile [Video] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Lb-6rxZxx0  Follow Curiosity Daily to learn something new every day withCody Gough andAshley Hamer — for free! You can also listen to our podcast as part of your Alexa Flash Briefing; Amazon smart speakers users, click/tap “enable” here:https://www.amazon.com/Curiosity-com-Curiosity-Daily-from/dp/B07CP17DJY See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Since the dawn of time, man has been on the hunt for a good deal. And thanks to Monty Hall, there’s no better place to dress in a ridiculous costume and make some deals than on Let’s Make a Deal. In this episode, we get into all the deals, the zonks, the Monty Hall Problem, the Wayne Brady Solution, and more.

Expert layman Matt Goodwin (@TheCorkedMatt) and fake baseball economist Alexander Chase (@chase_rate) talk about ways to evaluate strikeouts that will help in preparing for a draft as well as with in-season roster management. Apple | Spotify | Google | Stitcher | Amazon | TuneIn | Radio.com | Deezer Timestamps | Numbers of the week (02:09), O-Swing% (02:59), Z-Contact % (04:44), How can I be right about strikeouts? (07:00), K% vs. K/9 (09:47), Case Study: Zac Gallen (13:24), Whiff% vs. SwStr% (16:10), The Monty Hall Problem (17:52), Called strikes and CSW (21:06), Case Study: Brad Hand (23:16), What pitches should we expect to get strikes? (26:24), Case Study: Aaron Civale (29:39), K% of individual pitches (33:07), Case Study: Framber Valdez (34:37), Biggest takeaways (38:57), Case Study: Dustin May vs. Ian Anderson (40:16), In-game video effect? (44:11), Pass/Fail: Arenado to the Cardinals, Cobb to the Angels, and underlying concepts (46:54) What you can do at home (55:00). Join PL+ and support the podcast, get an Ad-Free Website and access to our Discord community!

You are a contestant on Let's Make a Deal, hosted by Monty Hall. There are 3 identical doors. Behind only one is the prize car. You make your choice, then Monty Hall opens one of the other doors to reveal a goat and asks whether you want to change your choice. Should you, or does it matter? Paula Sloan talks about the counterintuitive answer, and how she got the Duke MBA students in her math class to believe the answer. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/the-art-of-mathematics/message

For over 30 years, Monty Hall was the host of the game show Let’s Make A Deal.  In the show, they played a very simple game where you would choose one of three doors. This simple game has led to one of the most controversial and public kerfuffles amongst mathematicians, which caused many distinguished mathematicians to have egg on their face.  Learn more about the Monty Hall Problem on this episode of Everything Everywhere Daily. https://Everything-Everywhere.com/CuriosityStream -------------------------------- Executive Producer James Makkyla Associate Producer Thor Thomsen   Become a supporter on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/everythingeverywhere   Discord Server: https://discord.gg/UkRUJFh   Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/everythingeverywhere/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/everywheretrip Reddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/EEDailyPodcast/ Website: https://everything-everywhere.com/everything-everywhere-daily-podcast/

In this episode, we look into the Monty Hall Problem which has confused many people in the past. It helps us in good decision making in uncertain times by using plain probability. Please listen to it fully and share it with all your friends.

Within the Seer pylon's lair, the cabal find themselves with several doors to peer into. An Avernian Gate is right out, but a doorway to the US Congress? What about the doors into the Shadow?Join us live on Twitch, Friday nights at 7pm EDT:http://twitch.tv/theonyxpathSupport the show by joining our Patreon:https://www.patreon.com/OccultistsAnonymousGet your own Occultists Anonymous and Rookery Merch:http://occultanon.threadless.comFollow us on Twitter:https://twitter.com/OccultistsAJoin us on Discord:http://YeetInto.SpaceGet the Ebon Phoenix Legacy:https://www.storytellersvault.com/product/326243/Legacy-Ebon-PhoenixGet the Book. Play the Game:https://www.drivethrurpg.com/product/181754/Mage-the-Awakening-2nd-Edition?affiliate_id=723048Character Art by Brenna Goche: https://twitter.com/CloudBoundCorgiIntro Music: LuIzA - Chrono Trigger "...And in Her Self-Loathing and Despair, She Found Wrath" https://ocremix.org/remix/OCR01989

Tim, Travis and Robin shop their favorite bikes against the formidable paradox. Music by Music by Otis McDonald (https://www.otismacmusic.com/)Dedicated Episode Page: https://tro.bike/podcast/2020e05/ Higher Quality WAV Audio: https://tro.bike/podcast/2020e05.wav// Blather:Now and then, you gotta let the format go. In this episode, our usual outline is in the fire pit around which Tim, Travis and Robin have pulled up their chairs. The conversation can point in any direction these days, the results often a luck of the draw.Tim has had it with his Husqvarna Svartpilen, plainly stating that it served its purpose. Travis has a few thoughts on prospective bikes as well. Robin gets the lead out about his Beemer until low and behold, we've got ourselves an episode!The Monty Hall paradox, also known as the "Monty Hall Problem", is a two-chance probability brain teaser. Given three (bike) choices, you reveal a first prospect. Whoever controls the options then unveils possibility number two before asking if you'd like to select a still-hidden third.// That's About It:TRO is seeking sponsors for this podcast. Sponsors get a focused mention at the start, middle and end of their designated episode. Their contributions are put towards bettering the program's content and recording equipment.Reach out via our contact page if interested: https://tro.bike/?p=50

Known for its controversy, The Monty Hall Problem was popularised through a newspaper column called Ask Marilyn. In this episode, we discuss how probability can help us make a decision in The Monty Hall Problem as well as more generally. We also try to define the “wrong decision” and the circumstances under which we might regret our choices. Does the outcome of your decision imply how good it was in the first place? Later on, we briefly venture into numbers and how our minds don't always perceive things correctly. Finally, we discuss The Two- Envelope Paradox and how the assumptions we make can lead us to the wrong conclusions. Useful links to understanding The Monty Hall Problem: V Sauce's video on the Monty Hall Problem. An article to help explain. The Envelope Problem explained: https://plus.maths.org/content/two-envelopes-problem-resolution https://brilliant.org/wiki/two-envelope-paradox/ This episode was recorded on 16th June 2020.

Добрый день уважаемые слушатели. Представляем новый выпуск подкаста RWpod. В этом выпуске: Ruby Ruby 2.7.1 Released RailsConf 2020.2: Couch edition Why is Rails boot so slow on macOS? 70+ Ruby on Rails Security Best Practices & Vulnerabilities Animated page transitions with Ruby on Rails and Turbolinks Centralize Your Docker Logging With FluentD Optimism - the missing drop-in solution for realtime remote form validation in Rails Puma-status - command-line tool for puma to display information about running request/process Understanding the Monty Hall Problem through code Web ECMAScript 2020: the final feature set A proposal to combine Logical Operators and Assignment Expressions - stage 3 How an anti ad-blocker works: Reverse-engineering BlockAdBlock 5 reasons you should abandon default exports How to manage HTML DOM with vanilla JavaScript only? Notyf - a minimalistic JavaScript library for toast notifications Perflink - quick and easy JavaScript benchmarks Trianglify - algorithmically generated triangle art

An episode in which Hannah explains the statistical significance of the Monty Hall Problem and Kayla tells the history of the formation of the periodic table.

The Monty Hall Problem and The Door to Heaven

Where to Go to Get More Information: 1. Are You Smart Enough to Work At Google? By William Poundstone

I don't know enough about math to talk about math this much. Topics include: college courses, probability and statistics, the monty hall problem, ethics, hedonics, flipping, facebook marketplace, keyboard restoration, being annoying, and unqualified opinions.

Monty Hall Problem and how fast ice cream meltsFind us on,TwoTopPodcast.comPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/twotoppodcast Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/twotoppodcast/Twitter: https://twitter.com/twotoppodcastand youtube over at http://bit.ly/2FHgEy4 For any general inquiries and feedback, send us an email at twotoppodcast@gmail.com. Patreon supporters:Kathleen LantzLeland LantzMatthew LantzMeredith BanksMihir AlveSamantha JohnsonDan LantzElenaMichael McMahonMarie-Jeanee Dilks  

Monty Hall Problem and how fast ice cream meltsFind us on,TwoTopPodcast.comPatreon: https://www.patreon.com/twotoppodcast Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/twotoppodcast/Twitter: https://twitter.com/twotoppodcastand youtube over at http://bit.ly/2FHgEy4 For any general inquiries and feedback, send us an email at twotoppodcast@gmail.com. Patreon supporters:Kathleen LantzLeland LantzMatthew LantzMeredith BanksMihir AlveSamantha JohnsonDan LantzElenaMichael McMahonMarie-Jeanee Dilks  

In this Short the Dawdlers play a game. Everyone loses. The end.

Charles B. Cross (University of Georgia) gives a talk at the MCMP Workshop on Bayesian Methods in Philosophy titled "Knowledge about Probability in the Monty Hall Problem".

Ben Campbell (Jim Sturgess), a mathematics major at MIT, is accepted into Harvard Medical School but cannot afford the $300,000 tuition. He applies for the prestigious Robinson Scholarship which would cover the entire cost. However, despite having an MCAT score of 44 and high grades, he faces fierce competition, and is told by the director that the scholarship will only go to whichever student dazzles him. Back at MIT, Professor Micky Rosa (redacted) challenges Ben with the Monty Hall Problem which he solves successfully. After looking at Ben's 97% score on his latest non-linear equations test, Rosa invites Ben to join his blackjack team, which consists of fellow students Choi, Fisher, Jill, and Kianna. Using card counting and covert signalling, they are able to increase their probability of winning while at casinos, leading them to earn substantial profits. Over many weekends, the team is flown to Las Vegas and Ben comes to enjoy his luxurious lifestyle as a so-called big player. The team is impressed by Ben's skill, but Fisher becomes jealous and fights him while drunk, leading Rosa to expel him. Meanwhile, the head of security, Cole Williams (Laurence Fishburne), has been monitoring the team and begins to turn his attention to Ben. Ben's devotion to blackjack causes him to neglect his role in an engineering competition, which estranges him from his friends. During the next trip to Las Vegas, he is emotionally distracted and fails to walk away from the table when signaled, causing him to lose his earnings of $200,000. Rosa is angered and quits the team, demanding that Ben must repay $200,000. Ben and three of the students decide that they will continue to play blackjack without Rosa, but they are caught by Williams, whom Rosa tipped off. William beats up Ben and warns him not to return. Ben learns that he is ineligible for graduation because his course taught by Professor Rosa is marked as incomplete. Furthermore, his winnings are stolen from his dormitory room. Suspecting Rosa, Ben confers with the other blackjack students, and they persuade Rosa to make a final trip to Las Vegas before the casinos install biometric software. The team puts on disguises and returns to Planet Hollywood, winning $640,000 before they are spotted by Williams. Rosa flees with the bag of chips, jumping onto a limousine, but discovers that it's a setup to give him to Williams. It is revealed that Ben and Williams made a deal to lure Rosa to Las Vegas so that Williams may capture and beat him, because Williams has past grievances against him. Williams proceeds to hold Rosa hostage and subject him to beatings. In exchange, Williams allows Ben to play for one more night in Las Vegas, enjoying immunity from capture. However, as Ben is leaving with his earnings, Williams betrays him and takes the bag of chips at gunpoint. Ben protests, and Williams explains that he needs retirement funds, whereas intelligent people like Ben will always find a way to succeed. The film ends with Ben recounting the entire tale to the dazzled scholarship director.

Andy and Matt https://www.wfmu.org/playlists/shows/83914

Andy and Matt http://www.wfmu.org/playlists/shows/83914

Gambling Expert, Author, Director of the Center for Gaming Research, and Professor at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas, David Schwartz joins us on the phone. We dive into his background and get some great tips on how to gamble better. We also dive into your odds of winning the most popular games such as Blackjack, Roulette, and Slots. Other topics discussed include winning the Powerball, Lottery, and the Monty Hall Problem.

Learn why the Michelson-Morley Experiment is the most famous failed experiment in history; how to tell if you’re a covert narcissist; and the Monty Hall Problem, which is a probability puzzle that might break your brain. In this podcast, Cody Gough and Ashley Hamer discuss the following stories from Curiosity.com to help you get smarter and learn something new in just a few minutes: The Michelson-Morley Experiment Is the Most Famous Failed Experiment in History — https://curiosity.im/2Sm5tAX Take This Quiz to Find Out If You're a Covert Narcissist — https://curiosity.im/2ShRSdJ The Monty Hall Problem Is the Probability Puzzle That Enraged 10,000 Readers — https://curiosity.im/2SkjZJc If you love our show and you're interested in hearing full-length interviews, then please consider supporting us on Patreon. You'll get exclusive episodes and access to our archives as soon as you become a Patron! https://www.patreon.com/curiositydotcom Learn about these topics and more on Curiosity.com, and download our 5-star app for Android and iOS. Then, join the conversation on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram. Plus: Amazon smart speaker users, enable our Alexa Flash Briefing to learn something new in just a few minutes every day!

In this thirty-sixth episode of Hybrothetical Thinking, the bros discuss the very frustrating Monty Hall Problem...and destroy each other in the process. Introduction: 00:00:00-00:13:04 News: 00:13:04-00:22:03 Topic: 00:22:03-01:27:56 A huge thanks to Future Monsters and our brand new sponsor: Death Wish Coffee Company. Got a hypothetical you want us to talk about or a thought you’d like to share about today’s episode? You can shoot us an email at hybrothoughts@gmail.com. Follow us on Facebook: facebook.com/HybrotheticalThinking

You are on a gameshow. There are three doors in front of you. There is a car behind one of the doors and there are goats behind two of the doors. You get to pick one door. After you pick, the host opens a different door than the one you picked, to show you one of the goats. Should you stay with the door you initially picked, should you switch doors, or does it even matter?

This episode is ready to rip out of the mint-sealed box, Goosebuddies! In this Adventure! episode Dom leads Paul and Chad through the Give Yourself Goosebumps book: Toy Terror. Can the boys survive this toy factory and help these plastic people find independence? They also discuss The World Tree of Ska, Second Skin the horror documentary Second Skin, The Monty Hall "Problem", and cool Mac tattoos. You can get access to bonus episodes, vote on upcoming books, and get access to our exclusive Discord at patreon.com/goosebuds   Reach us at goosebuds@gmail.com or @GoosebudsPod on Twitter. Edited by Kevin Cole (@RealKevinCole) Music by Seth Earnest (sethearnest.net) Hosted and Produce by Chad Quandt, Paul Ritchey, and Dom Moschitti     (Sorry about Samson the Bird in the background, guys. He just wants to be loved so badly. - Chad)

Probabilities are a key part of statistics, but sometimes everything is not what it seems to be. Today, we examine an interesting situation referred to as the Monty Hall Problem or Paradox.

Send it to heydickface@mail.com or to jcuf@mail.com.

Once again, it's time for our annual memorial show, so we're looking back on everyone we lost in 2017, from the world of pop culture and beyond. (And once again, it's our longest Flopcast ever! We just can't help it.) Our list includes familiar old favorites from TV, movies, and music (such as Adam West, June Foray, Mary Tyler Moore, Tom Petty, Fats Domino, Chuck Berry, Don Rickles, David Cassidy, and Rose Marie), as well as directors, voice actors, comic book creators, game show hosts, wrestlers, and maybe a guy who could play three trumpets while hopping on a pogo stick. (Yeah, it's a long list.) In 2017, we lost Gomer Pyle, Joanie from Happy Days, Oscar Goldman from The Six Million Dollar Man, Morty from Meatballs ("Hi, Mickey!"), and Benson from, uh, Benson. But we'll get through this together. We'll settle things here, in our forum. That's what Judge Wapner would have wanted.

The Monty Hall problem is a famous paradoxical question that references the popular gameshow called “Let’s Make a Deal.” It […]

Cody's in the Hutch this week! Topics Discussed: Dr. Bronner's Peppermint Soap, Ghostface Killah; ODB; Inspectah Deck and Wu-Tang, Respecting the 1-10 Scale, Losing Track of Time, Old-Man Worldview, Impressive Things: Backpacks and Crowns, Word of the Day, Cody's Games: Best Impressions and Overrated/Underrated, TWAGD: Bomb Squad Hot Dogs, Airport Prank, Inflatable Hoods, Ostrich Pillow, The Push to 200!, Prostitution, the Monty Hall Problem, Football, Jared from Subway, and Don Miguel's Hangover Recipe.

Podgodz 183 Recorded 8 December 2015 Last one for a while…listen to MacGyvcast perhaps? Listened to Ken Reid’s EP comedy special, you should all go get it. Listened to Dana Gould on Aryan Boyfriend iTunes is randomly deleting listened to podcasts Relay.fm opens a subscriber option     LAX TOP 5 Add: Top Scallop; Surprisingly Awesome, dipping in to The Flop House Drop: Aryan Boyfriend Updates: Shows that pissed me off/weren’t good Dune Reads Goosebumps: Scream of the Evil Genie (Give Yourself Goosebumps) Top 5 shows of the Week    5) No Agenda #779 Peak Coffee 4) Eureka Podcast #142: The Monty Hall Problem 3) TV Guidance Counselor#117: Todd Barry 2) The Incomparable #275: Comprehensive Tapestry Policy (Miracle on 34th St/Lion in Winter) 1)  Roderick on the Line #182: House Read More →

Podgodz 183 Recorded 8 December 2015 Last one for a while…listen to MacGyvcast perhaps? Listened to Ken Reid's EP comedy special, you should all go get it. Listened to Dana Gould on Aryan Boyfriend iTunes is randomly deleting listened to podcasts Relay.fm opens a subscriber option     LAX TOP 5 Add: Top Scallop; Surprisingly Awesome, dipping in to The Flop House Drop: Aryan Boyfriend Updates: Shows that pissed me off/weren’t good Dune Reads Goosebumps: Scream of the Evil Genie (Give Yourself Goosebumps) Top 5 shows of the Week    5) No Agenda #779 Peak Coffee 4) Eureka Podcast #142: The Monty Hall Problem 3) TV Guidance Counselor#117: Todd Barry 2) The Incomparable #275: Comprehensive Tapestry Policy (Miracle on 34th St/Lion in Winter) 1)  Roderick on the Line #182: House Read More →

The fellas meet in the magical land of Skype an regale each other with Thanksgiving cheer...for the most part.  Craig's mother meets the lady friend's family for the first time and M'Gary skips out on Jeremy for the big meal.  Craig has a FANTASTIC story to share from one of his relatives that wanted to contribute to the show and it is worth every second of your time.  Finally, Craig thoroughly confuses Jeremy with a logic game/quiz/question that to this moment baffles him. The name of this stupid party trick is the "Monty Hall Problem".  Look it up & be angry, too. Social Media Craig:  @anaveragegatsby Jeremy:  @aintonswayze Show:  @eurekapodcast   The song at the end has no real relevance to the show, but Scott Weiland died while this was being edited so it felt like a fitting ending to the show.  It is called "Vasoline" by Stone Temple Pilots.  A band that for many provided the soundtrack to their youth.  Safe home, Scott.   The Monty Hall Problem https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

This week the monkeys want me to tackle controversy and gameshows with the Monty Hall Problem.  Let's find out what is behind those curtains!

Ever heard of the Monty Hall problem? If so, did the world famous brain teaser leave you flummoxed? If not, how does getting flummoxed—and then just as quickly un-flummoxed—sound? I hope you're up for the challenge (and the fun) because that's exactly what's in store for today!

One of the three doors has a car behind it. You pick one, and the game show host reveals that one of the other two is a goat. Knowing that there's a total of two goats and one car, do you switch? (For the podcast transcript, search for the title at www.patheos.com/blogs/crossexamined)

Matematik zordur dersem, herhalde çok şaşırtıcı bir şey söylemiş olmam. Soyutlanıp saf özüne indirilmiş düşünceyi evirip çevirmeyi öğrenmek çok çetin bir iştir. Tabii ki imkânsız değil. Ne de olsa dünyada onbinlerce profesyonel matematikçi var, ve başka insanlardan hiç farkları yok. Çalışınca her şey öğrenilir. Öte yandan matematikte öyle şeyler çıkabiliyor ki karşınıza, “uzmanım” diyenleri bile ters köşeye yatırabiliyor. Monty Hall problemi de masum görünen, ama adamı iki seksen yere yatırabilen bir olasılık problemi. Problemin kaynağı bir yarışma programı. ABD televizyonlarında 1963’den 1977’ye kadar yayında kalan Let’s Make A Deal (Bir Anlaşma Yapalım) isimli programda sunucu Monty Hall konuklarla çeşitli oyunlar oynuyordu. Bu oyunların ortak özelliği, yarışmacıların küçük bir ödülü alıp gitmek veya riske girerek büyük bir ödül kazanmak (veya hiç bir şey almamak) arasında karar vermelerinin gerekmesiydi. Monty Hall’un sunduğu oyunlardan birisi, 1975’de The American Statistician isimli akademik dergide Kaliforniya Üniversitesi, Berkeley’de çalışan matematikçi Steve Selvin tarafından bir olasılık problemi halinde sunuldu. Makalede Monty Hall Problemi olarak anılan bilmece şöyle: Önünüzde üç tane kapalı kapı var. Bunlardan birinin arkasında son model bir otomobil, diğer ikisinin arkasında ise birer keçi var. Kapılardan birini seçiyorsunuz, ama henüz açılmıyor. Monty Hall hangi kapının arkasında araba olduğunu biliyor. Seçmediğiniz iki kapıdan birini açıyor ve o kapının arkasındaki keçiyi görüyorsunuz. Monty Hall isterseniz tercihinizi değiştirip, açılmamış diğer kapıyı seçebileceğinizi söylüyor. Arabayı kazanma ihtimalinizi artırmak için ne yapmalısınız? Başka bir deyişle, tercihinizi değiştirmekle araba kazanma ihtimaliniz artar mı, azalır mı, yoksa hiç mi değişmez? Bu problemi duyan çoğu kişinin, uzmanlar dahil, ilk tepkisi “Değişmez” demek. Başta doğru kapıyı seçme ihtimali ⅓ idi. Şimdi iki kapalı kapı var, ve oyuncunun seçtiği kapının arkasında araba bulunması ihtimali ½. Yani tercihi değiştirmek kazanma ihtimalini artırmayacaktır. Fakat işler o kadar basit değil; Monty’nin arabanın hangi kapı arkasında olduğunu bilmesi ve özellikle keçili kapıyı açıyor olması problemi değiştiriyor. Oyuncu için doğru strateji kapıyı değiştirmek. Nasılını sonraya bırakalım, böylece biraz düşünmeye zamanınız olsun. Olasılık tuzakları Monty Hall probleminin, ve genel olarak şans ve risk içeren bütün karar problemlerinin, kesin kazanç getiren stratejileri yok. Yapabileceğimiz tek şey kazanma ihtimalimizi mümkün olduğunca yükseltmeye çalışmak. Bu her zaman kolay değil, çünkü insan zihni için olasılıklarla düşünmek çok zor. Birçok kez, varsayımlarımız ve ön kabullerimiz bizi yanıltıyor. Psikologlar olasılık problemlerinin algılanışı ve cevaplanmasıyla yakından ilgileniyorlar, çünkü bu konudaki düşünce tarzımız zihnimizin nasıl çalıştığına ve ne tür hatalara yatkın olduğuna ışık tutuyor. En basitinden, şöyle bir soru düşünelim: İki çocuğumdan biri erkek. Diğerinin de erkek olması ihtimali nedir? Çoğu kişi gibi bu soruya %50 cevabını vermiş olabilirsiniz. Ne de olsa bir çocuğun cinsiyeti, ailenin diğer çocuğunun cinsiyetine bağlı değildir. Sorudaki ilk bilgi aslında gereksizdir, tuzağa düşmemiş olmanın haklı gururu ile gülümsersiniz. Maalesef yanlış. Doğru cevap %33. Bunu görmek için durumları tek tek saymak gerekir. Erkek çocuğu E, kız çocuğu K ile gösterelim. İki çocuklu bir ailenin çocuklarının ikisi de erkek (EE), büyüğü erkek küçüğü kız (EK), büyüğü kız küçüğü erkek (KE), veya ikisi de kız (KK) olabilir. Soruda çocuklardan birinin erkek olduğu söylenmiş, yani mümkün olan durumlar sadece EE, EK, KE ("olay uzayı" diye de bilinir). Bunlardan da sadece birinde diğer çocuk erkek olduğuna göre, ihtimal ⅓, yani %33 olur. Yani sorudaki bilgi şaşırtmaca değil, gerekli. İşin püf noktası, soruda erkek çocuğun büyük mü küçük mü olduğunun söylenmemiş olması. Eğer soru “İki çocuğum var, büyüğü erkek.

Scientific American math and physics editor Davide Castelvecchi revisits the Monty Hall problem, so you can know whether you're better off holding on to your original pick or switching when new information presents itself

Joe Nickell0:00:00     Introduction - Richard Saunders & Stefan Sojka0:04:20     Richard Saunders interviews Joe Nickell0:25:50     A Grain of Salt - With Eran Segev0:34:40     The Monty Hall Problem by Jason Rosenhouse - Token Skeptic Book Review by Kylie Sturgess0:39:10     Dr Rachie Reports With Dr Rachael Dunlop0:47:00     THE THINK TANK - Richard Saunders, Dr Rachael Dunlop, Dianne, Joanne Benhamu and Eran Segev

After all these years, we finally get around to putting the Monty Hall Problem up on the web-- it's deja vu all over again as we post the third math factor segment ever!

Cognitive Dissonance - one of the most established and respected theories in psychology - is under attack. An economist - M. Keith Chen - uses what is called the "Monty Hall problem" to show that the research on cognitive dissonance may be seriously flawed. In this episode I explain Chen's concerns about the research on and then I propose that a new study which uses neurofeedback to study cognitive dissonance may come to rescue at just the right moment. Join me to find out how.

Interview with Yau-Man Chan; News Items: Skeptologists Shoot Complete, UK Psychic crackdown, LHC and the God Particle, Monty Hall Problem in Research; Your Questions and E-mails: Cursing in Sanskrit; Science or Fiction

Interview with Yau-Man Chan; News Items: Skeptologists Shoot Complete, UK Psychic crackdown, LHC and the God Particle, Monty Hall Problem in Research; Your Questions and E-mails: Cursing in Sanskrit; Science or Fiction