Podcasts about Recession

Business cycle contraction; general slowdown on economic activity

  • 9,056PODCASTS
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  • Jun 26, 2025LATEST
Recession

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    Best podcasts about Recession

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    Latest podcast episodes about Recession

    WSJ Your Money Briefing
    Millennials Brace for Their Third Recession

    WSJ Your Money Briefing

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 26, 2025 9:55


    Millennials' financial lives have been profoundly shaped by two economic events: the Great Recession of 2008 and the pandemic-era shutdowns. Now, the prospect of a third recession looms — what's this generation to do? Host Julia Carpenter explores what this could mean for millennials and their ability to prepare for the future.  Sign up for the WSJ's free Markets A.M. newsletter.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Making Sense
    The Last Time This Happened, the System Almost Collapsed

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 20:55


    Swiss francs are soaring again. This isn't a "sell America" trade (which doesn't exist), or the crashing dollar (also doesn't exist). The monetary system remains on edge and now we know why. The shocking full story of what really happened in April and how close we were to the shadow's edge. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Grandma's Wealth Wisdom
    Recession-Resilient & Inflation-Resistant Businesses: Strategies for Certainty

    Grandma's Wealth Wisdom

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 33:17 Transcription Available


    What happens when economic chaos hits, but you're financially trapped by your own "responsible" planning? Victor lost his first business in 2008 because he had $2 million in net worth but couldn't access cash when he needed it most. When he rebuilt, he did something different. During the pandemic, when competitors were closing or taking on crushing debt, Victor was buying equipment at liquidation prices, forward-purchasing inventory before price spikes, and hiring top talent from failing businesses. In this episode, we explore how "playing it safe" with traditional financial planning can actually make your business more vulnerable during economic turbulence, and reveal the strategy that helped business owners not just survive but strategically thrive during some of the most uncertain economic times in a generation. Key Quote: "Everyone was playing defense, just trying to survive. Because of our financial position, we could play offense when nobody else could." What You'll Discover: How a salon owner lost two locations despite doing "everything the financial experts told me to do" (and what her competitor did differently to expand instead) The food distributor who used inflation as a competitive advantage while others got crushed by rising costs Why the fitness center owner with $500K in retirement accounts had to watch once-in-a-lifetime opportunities pass by How accessible capital creates strategic opportunism with reduced risk during economic volatility The 7 financial levers that separate businesses that merely survive from those that capture market share during downturns Perfect for: Business owners who want to build long-term wealth without being financially handcuffed when economic opportunities or challenges arise. Listen now to discover how to create certainty during uncertain times through financial preparation, not economic prediction. Ready to recession-proof your business? Check out this week's Wealthy Wednesday for the Business Economic Resilience Blueprint [add link] mentioned in the episode. The Freedom Retreat for business owners is coming up on August 5-7, 2025? It beautifully combines the power of contemplation with AI to build paths to freedom, regardless of what the future holds! Text Freedom to 513-447-6501 to learn more about this intimate gathering designed to set your freedom trajectory for the next 12+ months. Hurry! A $200 discount is only available through June 30, 2025! 00:00 Introduction to Victor's Success 00:44 Welcome to Wealth Wisdom Financial Podcast 01:37 Special Announcement: Freedom Retreat 03:43 Victor's Financial Strategy 05:08 Challenges and Opportunities During the Pandemic 07:14 Financial Strategies for Business Owners 09:50 Case Study: Lila vs. Daniel 17:54 Case Study: Alexandra's Inflation Strategy 21:55 Case Study: Marcus vs. Evelyn 25:33 The Power of the Bank and Yourself Strategy 30:17 Conclusion and Call to Action   Watch on YouTube: https://youtu.be/2x0CHcrcwJY 

    Wealthion
    Steve Hanke: Recession Is Coming — The Fed, Trump & Wall Street Are Blind

    Wealthion

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 25, 2025 46:17


    Economist Steve Hanke says a U.S. recession is almost inevitable, and warns that the Fed, Wall Street, and Donald Trump are all looking in the wrong direction. In this sharp, wide-ranging interview with James Connor, he explains why ignoring money supply is a fatal flaw in today's policy and why the economy may be headed for a major contraction. Hanke also unpacks global warning signs: deflation in China, collapsing demand, rising youth unemployment, and geopolitical chaos, all while markets remain near all-time highs akin to the early 2000s dot-com bubble. Key Topics: • Why Steve thinks there's an 80 to 90% chance of a U.S. recession • Why Powell is ignoring money supply growth, and why it matters • China's economic weakness and deflation • The weaponization of the dollar and its global fallout • Why the stock market looks like the early 2000s dot-com bubble • Bond market concerns and real yields rising • U.S. defense spending: “a black hole” fueling endless war • Still bullish on gold, and how to track sentiment • Market vs. macro disconnect: Buffett's caution is a clue Volatility got you concerned? Get a free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://wealthion.com/free/ Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Steven Hanke's books: - Making Money Work: How to Rewrite the Rules of Our Financial System: https://a.co/d/6Oip6hx - Capital, Interest, and Waiting: Controversies, Puzzles, and New Additions to Capital Theory: https://a.co/d/2PuBVMV Chapters 0:57 - Trump's “Too-Late Powell” Tweet: Hanke Fires Back 5:36 - Is the Fed Still Behind the Curve? 7:06 - Money Supply at 4 %: Recession Brewing? 10:35 - Global Demand Cracks: Louis Vuitton to JetBlue 16:40 - Is the Dollar Doomed? DXY in Focus 18:10 - Q2 GDP Guess: Hard Landing Ahead? 23:12 - “One Big Beautiful” Bill or Budget Bust? 26:18 - G7 Discord & Canada's $4 B Ukraine Pledge 30:39 - Why Is Zelensky on the G7 Stage? 31:47 - Can the Battlefield End the Russia-Ukraine War? 32:38 - Market Bubble Detector: S&P at 6000 41:26 - Gold's 25 % Surge: Still Time to Buy? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #Recession #FederalReserve #Inflation #Geopolitics #StockMarket #Gold #ChinaEconomy #UkraineWar #DebtCrisis #MarketBubble ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Shotgun Start
    Is the Tour coming for its cut of the majors, 313 charity recession, and Rocket gets deep

    The Shotgun Start

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2025 52:02


    This Wednesday episode is an in-person recording on Long Island as Andy and Brendan pregame the 2025 Fried Egg Golf Club Member-Guest. Instead of beginning with any golf news, methods of transportation are ranked following Andy's early-morning drive across the island. It's a huge week on the PGA Tour as Area 313 is BACK for the Rocket (not Mortgage) Classic! This year's field is the deepest in tournament history with players vying for Ryder Cup and FedEx Cup points. Brendan puts his investigative reporting hat back on and calls this year's Area 313 charity giveaways into question. Picks are made and PJ is calling for a "now-or-never" week for NYGC superstar Cameron Young. Elsewhere, it's another Senior Tour major as the U.S. Senior Open takes place in Colorado without defending champion Dick Bland. The LPGA is running their team event and the DP World Tour takes on the Italian Open. In news, a Joe Ogilvie interview in Sports Illustrated alludes to the PGA Tour potentially looking for a cut of TV deals for major championships and more. Enter the B.Draddy Cool giveaway here: https://www.bdraddy.com/pages/fried-egg-golf

    Hot and Bothered
    Obama, The Recession, and Sex and the City (with Stephen Metcalf)

    Hot and Bothered

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2025 39:53


    We started our mini-season on 2008 with a question: why were chick-flicks so popular that year? To close out our season, we're calling up one of our favorite cultural critics, Stephen Metcalf, to get some answers.Stephen Metcalf is the host of What Rough Beast and Slate's Culture Gabfest. He talks to us today about the economic and idealogical forces at play in 2008. Hot and Bothered is a Not Sorry ProductionFind us at our website | Follow us on Instagram---If we give you butterflies, consider supporting us on Patreon! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

    Making Sense
    The Housing Crash Just Started in Florida

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 24, 2025 21:09


    Florida has long been the housing canary in the national real estate coalmine. The situation in the Sunshine State is anything but sunny with prices even outright declining in six key areas. That's just where the downturn is most pronounced right now. The excuses for an increasingly ugly housing market have worn out as the real story is finally being revealed. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIf you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Kenny's Channelhttps://www.youtube.com/@KenMcElroyVideo w/Jeffhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hDQunoS96X4FRB Vice Chair Michelle Bowman Unintended Policy Shifts and Unexpected Consequenceshttps://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/bowman20250623a.htmNAR Existing-Home Sales Report Shows 0.8% Increase in Mayhttps://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-0-8-increase-in-mayNewsweek Most Florida Housing Markets Are in Troublehttps://www.newsweek.com/most-florida-housing-markets-trouble-2086554Bloomberg US Spring Homebuying Season Has Its Weakest Start in Five Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-14/us-spring-homebuying-season-has-its-weakest-start-in-five-yearsBloomberg US Home Resales Stay Sluggish on Affordability Constraintshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-23/us-home-resales-stay-sluggish-on-affordability-constraintsNAR May 2024https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-chief-economist-lawrence-yun-predicts-falling-long-term-interest-rates-rising-existing-homehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Confidently Insecure

    DROP THOSE CREDIT CARDS AND PUT YOUR HANDS WHERE I CAN SEE THEM!!! This episode we're talking about the oh-so-adulty financial stress and broader implications of a potential recession (Wtf is a recession anyway???). The discussion covers the definitions and indicators of a recession, coping mechanisms, and practical budgeting strategies (which were made by yours truly so you know they WORK!). TAKEAWAYS: takeawaysNaming your feelings around money is crucial.Recession can be viewed as a reset rather than a ruin.It's important to talk about financial stress openly.Indicators of recession can be seen in pop culture.Budgeting buddies can help manage financial anxiety.Micro luxury budgeting allows for small indulgences.Visualizing finances can aid in understanding spending habits.Coping mechanisms are essential during economic uncertainty.Understanding the definition of recession helps in navigating fears.Cultural reflections reveal a collective anxiety about finances.Chapters00:00 Introduction and Personal Updates08:21 Exploring Travel and Home Exchange12:07 Understanding the Recession29:50 Budgeting Hacks for Tough Times32:50 Navigating Financial Stress During Recession35:09 Recession as a Reset: Embracing Change36:07 Community Support and Engagement in Tough TimesOur Sponsors:* Check out Happy Mammoth and use my code KELSEY for a great deal: https://happymammoth.comSupport this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/confidently-insecure/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

    Making Sense
    BREAKING: The Fed Just Announced Rate Cuts (What You Must Know)

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2025 18:46


    The Fed is going cut...in July. Period. Book it. Conditions have drastically changed and the officials shift is now underway. Rates are going down everywhere, including in DC.Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van MetreCNBC Fed Governor Waller says central bank could cut rates as early as Julyhttps://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/20/fed-governor-waller-says-central-bank-could-cut-rates-as-early-as-july.htmlhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Mark and Pete
    Assisted Dying, Poundland Problems and Roger Who?

    Mark and Pete

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2025 23:42


    In this thought-provoking episode of Mark and Pete, we tackle three powerful stories shaping headlines and challenging values in Britain today. First, the UK Parliament inches closer to legalising assisted dying as the controversial bill passes by just 23 votes, heading to the House of Lords. What does this mean for the sanctity of life, medical ethics, and vulnerable patients? Mark and Pete unpack the cultural and spiritual implications of this divisive debate. Next, we turn to the economic landscape as Poundland announces the closure of 68 stores, putting over 1,000 jobs at risk. With supply chain disruptions, razor-thin margins, and inflationary pressures biting hard, the collapse reflects the fragile state of the UK's consumer economy. Are we seeing the hidden costs of convenience culture? Finally, rock legend Roger Daltrey is knighted for his charity work. The former anti-establishment icon of The Who now carries a title from the very establishment he once sang against. Has rebellion become respectability? Mark and Pete explore the irony and shifting cultural narratives behind aging rockstars being embraced by the system they once opposed. Join us as we analyse politics, economics, culture, and faith — all with biblical insight and a no-nonsense Christian perspective.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/mark-and-pete--1245374/support.

    Conversations with Commerce Trust
    Midyear Economic Outlook: Is a Recession on the Horizon?

    Conversations with Commerce Trust

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2025 18:03


    In a new episode of the Conversations with Commerce Trust podcast, Chief Investment Officer and host David Hagee is joined by Scott Colbert, Chief Economist and Director of Fixed Income Management, Brent Schowe, Director of Investment Research, and KC Mathews, Chief Market Strategist, to discuss the current state of the U.S. economy and the outlook for the remainder of 2025, including: Will we or won't we go into a recession in 2025?  The impact of interest rates, policy, and the job market on economic growth How tariffs may impact inflation going forward  How the decline in the U.S. dollar has impacted markets  Market volatility and opportunities in fixed income  Find all of our Podcasts at: https://www.commercetrustcompany.com/research-and-insights/podcasts

    The Self Storage Podcast
    REPLAY - Meyers' Method: Mastering the Art of Self-Storage

    The Self Storage Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 23, 2025 62:01 Transcription Available


    Send us a textThis is a Replay of an episode first published in March 2024. The heart and hustle behind the Meyers' self-storage empire. This episode shares the personal and professional evolution of the Meyers', from overworked landlords to self-storage magnates. Christina opens up about their initial leap of faith into the industry, while Scott details their transition into education and mentorship, shaping the country's leading self-storage community. The couple candidly explores the balance of business and marriage, sharing invaluable insights on partnership and conflict resolution. Topping off their narrative, they delve into their mission-driven business model, which has not only spurred financial success but also ignited a passion for philanthropy, leaving a lasting impact on communities and setting a heartfelt example for entrepreneurs everywhere. WHAT TO LISTEN FOR3:22 - The Road to Teaching5:04 - Family Dynamics in Business9:39 - Behind the Scenes Insights19:48 - A Future Focused on Philanthropy Leave a positive rating for this podcast with one click CONNECT WITH CHRISTINAWebsite | You Tube| Facebook| X | LinkedIn | InstagramCONNECT WITH USWebsite | You Tube | Facebook | X | LinkedIn | Instagram Follow so you never miss a NEW episode! Leave us an honest rating and review on Apple or Spotify.Attend the Self Storage Academy in Seattle, WA August 21-23https://selfstorageacademy.com/

    Making Sense
    The Forgotten Depression That Explains What's Happening Today

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2025 20:48


    A lot of people, maybe even a majority, find the idea of a two-decade long depression too far-fetched to take seriously. Something like that could never, ever happen. Could it? The problem is most everyone's idea of what a depression is needs to be corrected - another huge piece left missing by Economics. What is a depression? Way too familiar. Eurodollar University's Make It Make CentsNBER Cycle Dateshttps://www.nber.org/research/data/us-business-cycle-expansions-and-contractionsNYT Sept 19, 1873https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1873/09/19/issue.htmlDavid A. Wells The Economic Disturbances Since 1873https://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Popular_Science_Monthly/Volume_31/July_1887/The_Economic_Disturbances_Since_1873_IHenry George Causes of Business Depressionhttps://bibliotek1.dk/english/by-henry-george/articles-and-speeches/causes-of-business-depressionJM Keynes A Tract on Monetary Reformhttps://ia902905.us.archive.org/35/items/tractonmonetaryr0000keyn/tractonmonetaryr0000keyn.pdfhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    The Higher Standard
    The Fed Held Rates, But Will War With Iran Trigger a Recession?

    The Higher Standard

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 22, 2025 73:49 Transcription Available


    The Fed held rates steady — again — and while that might not sound sexy, it triggered a deep dive into the uncomfortable parallels between today's economy and some of history's most turbulent wartime recessions. Chris and Saied unpack Powell's post-FOMC “dot plot shuffle,” exposing how forward guidance has become a PR game instead of a reliable economic compass. Spoiler: if you think shelter inflation is cooling fast, you're probably still using a 3G data plan.➡️ From Operation Iraqi Freedom to drone-led wars of tomorrow, the guys explore how conflict has become a recession trap — and not the kind that you wan to get stuck in. With unemployment lagging recession signals and AI creeping into defense strategy, the conversation gets heavy, insightful, and just the right amount of unhinged. Plus, if the U.S. government needs a Microsoft BI subscription to speed up their shelter data, Chris offers to cover it himself. That's service.

    The Majority Report with Sam Seder
    2522 - We Forgot the Lessons of Iraq and the '08 Recession in One Week w/ David Dayen

    The Majority Report with Sam Seder

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 89:54


    It's casual Friday. Today in studio for the first hour is writer and editor of the American Prospect, David Dayen. Sam and David dive deep into the SENR Bill, the Genius Act and the Big Beautiful Bill. Of course we check in with the looming potential American invasion of Iran. And we close out the first half with the NYC Mayoral primaries. If you live in NYC remember to vote and don't rank Cuomo. In the fun half we dig deeper into Iran, including Tulsi Gabbard and Pete Hegseth getting boxed out of the plans and discussions. ICE has a standoff with the LA Dodgers We take phone calls and lot more. Become a member at JoinTheMajorityReport.com: https://fans.fm/majority/join Follow us on TikTok here!: https://www.tiktok.com/@majorityreportfm Check us out on Twitch here!: https://www.twitch.tv/themajorityreport Find our Rumble stream here!: https://rumble.com/user/majorityreport Check out our alt YouTube channel here!: https://www.youtube.com/majorityreportlive Gift a Majority Report subscription here: https://fans.fm/majority/gift Subscribe to the ESVN YouTube channel here: https://www.youtube.com/esvnshow Subscribe to the AMQuickie newsletter here: https://am-quickie.ghost.io/ Join the Majority Report Discord! https://majoritydiscord.com/ Get all your MR merch at our store: https://shop.majorityreportradio.com/ Get the free Majority Report App!: https://majority.fm/app Go to https://JustCoffee.coop and use coupon code majority to get 10% off your purchase! Check out today's sponsors: RITUAL: Get 25% off during your first month. Visit ritual.com/MAJORITY to start Ritual or add Essential For Men to your subscription today.  SUNSET LAKE: Use the code LEFTISBEST to save 20% at SunsetLakeCBD.com  on all their farm fresh CBD products for people and pets. Follow the Majority Report crew on Twitter: @SamSeder @EmmaVigeland @MattLech Check out Matt's show, Left Reckoning, on Youtube, and subscribe on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/leftreckoning Check out Matt Binder's YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/mattbinder Subscribe to Brandon's show The Discourse on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/ExpandTheDiscourse Check out Ava Raiza's music here! https://avaraiza.bandcamp.com/ The Majority Report with Sam Seder – https://majorityreportradio.com/

    Ron Paul Liberty Report
    “Recession, Iran Conflict & the Dollar's Future Phillip Patrick Breaks It Down”_1

    Ron Paul Liberty Report

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 30:41


    “Recession, Iran Conflict & the Dollar's Future Phillip Patrick Breaks It Down”_1 by Ron Paul Liberty Report

    The John Batchelor Show
    PREVIEW SCHOOL'S OUT: Colleague Jim McTague watching for any softening in shopping in Lancaster County PA that might signal recession ahead. More.

    The John Batchelor Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 2:17


    PREVIEW SCHOOL'S OUT: Colleague Jim McTague watching for any softening in shopping in Lancaster County PA that might signal recession ahead. More. 1941 LANCASTER COUNTY

    Mo News
    Trump Sets 2-Week Deadline on Iran War Decision; TikTok Ban Extension; Heat Dome In The US

    Mo News

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 17:01


    Headlines:  – Welcome to Mo News (02:00) – Trump Sets Two Week Deadline For Deciding On Whether To Join Israel-Iran War (03:30) – A Potent Heat Dome Will Send Temperatures Into The Triple Digits (10:00) – Trump Extends TikTok Ban Deadline By Another 90 Days (11:30) – Americans Are Side-Hustling Like We're in a Recession (13:10) – SpaceX Starship Rocket Explodes Before Test (14:10) – Older Adults In The US Are Increasingly Dying From Unintentional Falls (15:20) – What We're Watching, Reading, Eating (16:00) Thanks To Our Sponsors: – Boll & Branch – 15% off, plus free shipping on your first set of sheets – LMNT - Free Sample Pack with any LMNT drink mix purchase – Industrious - Coworking office. 30% off day pass – Athletic Greens – AG1 Powder + 1 year of free Vitamin D & 5 free travel packs – Incogni - 60% off an annual plan| Promo Code: MONEWS – Saily - 15% off any data plan | Promo Code: MONEWS

    Making Sense
    Europe's Wealthiest Nations Are Quietly Falling Apart

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 20:46


    If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/It's back. No one wanted it, but it's here. Switzerland is first to revisit this dreaded milestone. Others aren't far behind, including now Sweden. The Swedes are facing exactly the sort of rough circumstances that made the Swiss National Bank take this drastic step. And if you think the Fed's dots have separate the FOMC from all this, look no further than one year ago. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisSNB Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.snb.ch/en/publications/communication/press-releases-restricted/pre_20250619_2CNBC International SNB Martin Schlegelhttps://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vY2-lrxsJfMRiksbank Press Release Policy Decisionhttps://www.riksbank.se/en-gb/press-and-published/notices-and-press-releases/press-releases/2025/policy-rate-is-cut-to-2-per-cent/https://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    The Peter Zeihan Podcast Series
    Watch This Number for Recession Indicators || Peter Zeihan

    The Peter Zeihan Podcast Series

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 6:01


    Everyone, get your calendars out and draw a big red circle around July. Why? Because a recession could be coming.Join the Patreon here: https://www.patreon.com/PeterZeihanLink to the tracker: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/ICNSAFull Newsletter: https://mailchi.mp/zeihan/watch-this-number-for-recession-indicators

    Merryn Talks Money
    Why Recessions Aren't What They Used to Be

    Merryn Talks Money

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 28:18 Transcription Available


    StoneX’s Director of Global Macro Strategy Vincent Deluard joins Merryn Talks Money to explain why he thinks economic downturns are going out of style. He also explains why he sees a July Correction, and how MAGA's war on Corporate America will play out. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

    La chronique de Benaouda Abdeddaïm
    Caroline Loyer : Le "Davos russe" dans l'ombre de la récession - 20/06

    La chronique de Benaouda Abdeddaïm

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 20, 2025 3:14


    Ce vendredi 20 juin, la peine de la Russie à attirer des investisseurs depuis la guerre en Ukraine, a été abordée par Caroline Loyer dans sa chronique, dans l'émission Good Morning Business, présentée par Laure Closier, sur BFM Business. Retrouvez l'émission du lundi au vendredi et réécoutez la en podcast.

    Making Sense
    Fed Rate Decision Going Viral, Here's what you MUST Know

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2025 31:26


    The FOMC met today and while predictably there was no rate action, neither the dots nor the downgraded economy were the key takeaways. Chair Powell's press conference became the perfect example of what the Fed has become. What would you say you do here?Meanwhile, the markets, the economy and T-bills. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

    Excess Returns
    Recession Indicators Are Breaking. Inflation Isn't | Megan Horneman on What Comes Next

    Excess Returns

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2025 55:26


    Megan Horneman: Fragile Optimism, Hidden Inflation Risks, and What Investors Are MissingIn this episode, we're joined by Megan Horneman, Chief Investment Officer at Verdence Capital Advisors, to discuss her firm's 2025 outlook and what she sees as the key macro risks and opportunities for investors right now.We explore the themes behind her “Year of Fragile Optimism” thesis, including consumer stress, inflation persistence, the impact of tariffs, debt sustainability, and why many investors are misreading the current market environment.Megan also shares how she's thinking about portfolio positioning in a world where traditional recession indicators are breaking down and valuations remain elevated.Topics Discussed Include:Why consumer strength may be a mirageThe risk of complacency around inflationTariffs, trade imbalances, and global uncertaintyThe growing consequences of U.S. and global debtWhy small/mid-caps and international stocks may offer better valueFixed income positioning in a “higher for longer” environmentThe case for active management over passive in today's marketOpportunities and risks in alternatives and private assetsLessons investors can learn from recent volatilityIf you're looking for a thoughtful macro perspective and practical ideas for navigating today's complex market landscape, this conversation is for you.

    The Julia La Roche Show
    #267 Danielle DiMartino Booth & George Goncalves: Fed Is 'Behind the Curve' as We're Already in Recession and There's More Than One Economy in America

    The Julia La Roche Show

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2025 48:32


    Danielle DiMartino Booth, CEO and Chief Strategist at QI Research, and George Goncalves, Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at MUFG, join Julia La Roche in-studio on FOMC day, where they break down the Fed's decision to leave rates unchanged, the state of the economy, and the interest rate outlook.Sponsors: Monetary Metals: https://monetary-metals.com/julia⁠ Kalshi: ⁠https://kalshi.com/julia Links: https://www.mufgresearch.com/ George's Twitter/X: https://x.com/bondstrategist QI Research: https://quillintelligence.com/subscriptions/ Danielle's Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/dimartinobooth Substack: https://dimartinobooth.substack.com/ YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@UCYPBim2ARV9Yrqci0ljokFA Fed Up: https://www.amazon.com/Fed-Up-Insiders-Federal-Reserve/dp/073521165500:00 - Danielle: Fed "willfully blind" to economic reality 02:52 - Record 5.3% of Americans working multiple jobs 05:00 - Real unemployment is 4.5-4.6%, not reported 4.2% 08:07 - Debate: Is the Fed being political? 10:00 - George: "More than one economy" - rates hurting different groups 16:28 - Net worth declined via both stocks and real estate in Q1 21:57 - Interest expense is fastest growing budget item 26:06 - Next Fed Chair prediction: Waller, Warsh, Bessent front-runners 32:12 - Corporate bankruptcies highest since 2010 38:49 - Danielle: US entered recession Q1 2024, back in one now 40:26 - Top 10% of earners drive 49.7% of consumption 43:52 - What keeps them up at night: False sense of security

    AP Audio Stories
    Russia's economy minister says the country is on 'the brink of recession'

    AP Audio Stories

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 19, 2025 0:38


    AP correspondent Charles de Ledesma reports Russia's economy is “on the brink of going into a recession,” according to the country's economy minister.

    Making Sense
    Airlines Just Issued a MASSIVE Warning About Consumer Behavior

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2025 17:08


    Struggling airlines grappling with staycations offer insight into consumer behavior. Meanwhile, the government also showed spending on goods (and certain key services) tanked again in May. Even the world's biggest entertainers and their concert tours are suddenly having a hard time. The dreaded pullback keeps getting louder and more confirmed.   Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisIATA June 2025https://www.iata.org/en/pressroom/2025-releases/2025-06-02-01/Bloomberg Trump Risks US Consumer Discontent With His Tariffs, Poll Showshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-24/trump-risks-us-consumer-discontent-with-his-tariffs-poll-showsBloomberg Concert Ticket Prices Are Falling For the First Time in Yearshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/newsletters/2025-06-16/concert-ticket-prices-are-falling-for-the-first-time-in-yearshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    The Association 100 Podcast
    Reading the Signs: Recession, Resilience & What's Ahead for Associations

    The Association 100 Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 18, 2025 22:51


    In this encore episode of The Association Insights Podcast, host Colleen Gallagher welcomes back Dr. Bill Conerly, economist, Forbes contributor, and author of The Flexible Stance: Thriving in a Boom/Bust Economy. Almost two years to the day since his last appearance, Bill returns with a timely update on the economic landscape—and what it means for associations navigating uncertainty in 2025.With political changes underway, persistent inflation concerns, and tariff decisions looming large, Bill breaks down the outlook for recession, how to plan when the data is murky, and why acting quickly and smartly still sets resilient associations apart. From contingency planning to member engagement and policy positioning, this conversation is a must-listen for association leaders seeking clarity—and calm—in the face of complex signals.

    Double Your Dental Production Tomorrow | The Team Training Institute | Professional Dental Consultants

    Over the past few months, there have been countless headlines warning of a recession. While nobody can predict the future, there is considerable evidence to indicate a looming downturn. What can you do to protect your dental practice? Contrary to popular belief, recessions don't hurt all businesses. Some companies make it through difficult periods unscathed, and some even take advantage of certain economic factors (like low interest rates) and grow. How you prepare will determine the impact economic fluctuations will have on your production, profitability, and growth potential.  In this 2-part episode, Dr. John Meis and Wendy Briggs are sharing their 7 strategies to insulate your dental practice from economic harm. Don't miss this in-depth episode. We've also put together a free downloadable guide with additional resources on how to protect your office. Get your copy here: https://www.theteamtraininginstitute.com/recession

    Making Sense
    This Is What a Banking Crisis Looks Like

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2025 20:29


    If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Nine months later, China's bazooka has totally flopped. We have all the proof necessary. But the "stimulus" failure is not even the biggest takeaway. The full story behind it starts with banks, detours into massive volatility in Hong Kong, before ending up with zombies. Seriously. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBloomberg Beijing's Borrowing Drove Credit Growth Despite Weak Loan Demandhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-13/china-credit-expansion-new-loans-rose-less-than-expected-in-mayBloomberg China Forced to Keep Unprofitable Firms Alive to Save Jobs and Avoid Unresthttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2025-06-12/xi-keeps-china-s-unprofitable-businesses-alive-to-save-jobs-and-avoid-unrestHK HIBORhttps://www.hkab.org.hk/en/rates/hiborhttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Passive Income Pilots
    #115 - Inside Self-Storage: A Hidden Powerhouse for Investors

    Passive Income Pilots

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2025 50:47


    Get ready to uncover the secrets of one of commercial real estate's most resilient and misunderstood asset classes: self-storage. In this in-depth episode, Tait Duryea and Ryan Gibson explore why self-storage continues to outperform in uncertain times, how millennials are transforming storage use, and what makes it such a powerful wealth vehicle for passive investors. They share personal stories, break down tenant behavior, explain how to boost NOI with tenant insurance, and demystify cap rates and value creation. Plus, hear about their upcoming Houston tour where you can walk properties and learn the strategy firsthand.Show notes:(0:00) Intro(4:07) A brief history of self-storage(8:52) Sticky tenants and rent increases(11:09) Millennials, boomers, and behavior shifts(15:06) Business use cases and commercial demand(18:43) Automation, kiosks, and virtual support(23:02) Recession resistance and industry resilience(30:20) Buying from mom and pops(35:48) What actually drives cap rate compression(43:10) Capital flows and REIT consolidation(47:40) Outro

    Market Wrap with Moe - Business Financial Analysis on Investing, Stocks, Bonds, Personal Finance and Retirement Planning

    Join Moe and Javaid as they analyze the market impact of the war in the Middle East. Will this war escalate, will the U.S get involved, and what does it mean for equities, bonds, and commodity markets? Are there other signals in the market investors should be aware of? Listen now to find out the answers to these questions and more!

    Way Too Busy
    The White-Collar Recession

    Way Too Busy

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2025 16:26


    Headline unemployment numbers are low, yet many of us know people who are struggling to find work. In this episode Matt and Paul discuss what's really going on, if it might be a harbinger of what is to come, and what specific skills are needed to be employable as a knowledge worker.Humanity Working is brought to you by BillionMinds - the company that makes employees ready for the Future of Work.BillionMinds helps companies be ready for the future of work by developing adaptable, resilient employees. You can learn more about them on LinkedIn or by visiting billionminds.com.

    Making Sense
    Oil Just Said the Quiet Part Out Loud

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 18:27


    Oil explodes at the worst time imaginable. There is no good time, of course, here in June 2025 the economy is dealing with tariffs, tariff-distortions, not to mention a noticeable amount of fragility already. Is rising oil going to spark the inflation reignition the Fed has been fearing?Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metrehttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Girl, Get Your Face Off A Bus Bench
    Episode 212: The Trust Recession: Why Authenticity Is Your Best Marketing Strategy

    Girl, Get Your Face Off A Bus Bench

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 11:33


    This week, we explore the trust recession, a growing skepticism among consumers toward brands, marketing tactics, and social media. As AI takes hold, inauthentic messaging becomes more obvious (and off-putting), small business owners are facing a major shift: flashy branding no longer works, and trust has become the most valuable currency. We unpack what the trust recession really means, why it's happening, and how you can adapt by leaning into authenticity, clarity, and genuine connection. From simplifying your message to showing up consistently and using storytelling to build real relationships, we cover actionable strategies to help you cut through the noise and build trust that lasts. If you're ready to stop performing and start connecting, this episode is for you. Let's dive in!

    Confluence Podcasts
    Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Economy That Won't Die (6/16/25)

    Confluence Podcasts

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 12:19 Transcription Available


    The economy and the stock market have been resilient in the face of soft looking economic data, a troubling bond market, and warnings by economists that a recession is drawing ever closer. Confluence Associate Market Strategist and certified business economist Thomas Wash joins Phil Adler to discuss why, so far, this is an economy that won't die.

    Tech Path Podcast
    Bearish vs Bullish Crypto Weekend

    Tech Path Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 16:15


    As middle east tensions rise and create market turmoil, there still remains massively bullish news in the crypto sector.~This Episode is Sponsored By Coinbase~ Buy $50 & Get $50 for getting started on Coinbase➜ https://bit.ly/CBARRON 00:00 Intro00:18 Sponsor: Coinbase00:45 CNBC: Israel strikes Iran02:28 Bitcoin falls below $103K03:13 $100K Liquidation trigger04:07 Mohamed El-Erian: Israel-Iran is stagflation06:00 Gold & Oil surge07:00 CNBC: Why isn't oil up more?09:06 Israel-Iran: More to come10:04 Bitcoin Recovery within days11:10 Recession odds down11:30 SEC opens floodgates11:48 Coinbase users DeFi access12:53 ETH panic buying13:23 SharpLink: Largest public ETH holder14:17 Genius Act next week14:30 Circle15:55 Outro#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum~Bearish vs Bullish Crypto Weekend Outlook

    TD Ameritrade Network
    Sterner on ‘Elevated' Chances of Recession This Year

    TD Ameritrade Network

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 10:25


    Eric Sterner thinks the fear of tariff impacts is the biggest problem in markets right now – but thinks tariffs themselves are “overblown.” He discounts risks from Israel's attacks on Iran, and hopes we can see more resolution in trade from the G7 meeting. He looks at the shift in the macro environment between the Covid-19 pandemic and now. Eric also thinks the Fed will cut rates twice this year, with the first coming in September.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

    Wealthion
    Henrik Zeberg: The Final Rally Before a Massive Crash & Global Reset

    Wealthion

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 54:14


    Henrik Zeberg joins Maggie Lake to issue a bold and urgent warning: the global economy has already hit the iceberg, and a massive crash may be just months away. But first, he says, markets could soar in a final liquidity-fueled rally, creating one last chance to prepare before everything changes. Henrik lays out his thesis for why we're nearing the end of this business cycle, why central bank and fiscal stimulus might backfire, and why the next crisis could end the U.S. dollar's dominance in a global monetary reset. Key topics: Why Henrik says the housing market has already frozen, and what that means How $4.5 trillion in global liquidity is fueling a dangerous blow-off top What could trigger a deflationary bust followed by a stagflation crisis Will the U.S. dollar lose its global reserve status? The long-term opportunity Henrik sees in AI, tech, and innovation Make sure your portfolio is built to survive any economic icebergs. Get your free portfolio review with Wealthion's endorsed financial advisors at https://bit.ly/4e4dt4F Hard Assets Alliance - The Best Way to Invest in Gold and Silver: https://www.hardassetsalliance.com/?aff=WTH Chapters: 00:37 - Zooming Out: The Macro Picture 02:38 - Will the Recession Be Global? 06:28 - Stocks Surging into Trouble? 08:41 - Are Investors Too All-In? 13:34 - What Pops the Blow-Off Top? 15:46 - Does a Two-Tier Economy Buy Time? 18:30 - Gold's Rally—Safe Haven or Hype? 20:40 - How High Can Crypto Fly? 26:01 - Recession or Something Darker? 31:00 - Why Commodities Spike in a Slump 32:25 - Can Fiscal Firepower Save Us? 34:11 - Global Teamwork—or Fragmentation? 37:13 - What Keeps You Up at Night? 40:45 - Where Do You Hide Your Money? 46:55 - Wildcards That Flip the Script 48:05 - Wealthion's Golden Nugget: The Best Bets for the Next Decade? 49:44 - Can a Doomster Be an Optimist? Connect with us online: Website: https://www.wealthion.com X: https://www.x.com/wealthion Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/wealthionofficial/ LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/wealthion/ #Wealthion #Wealth #Finance #Investing #HenrikZeberg #Recession #MarketCrash #Stagflation #EconomicReset #Macro #Gold #Crypto #HousingMarket #FederalReserve #AssetBubble #DollarCollapse ________________________________________________________________________ IMPORTANT NOTE: The information, opinions, and insights expressed by our guests do not necessarily reflect the views of Wealthion. They are intended to provide a diverse perspective on the economy, investing, and other relevant topics to enrich your understanding of these complex fields. While we value and appreciate the insights shared by our esteemed guests, they are to be viewed as personal opinions and not as investment advice or recommendations from Wealthion. These opinions should not replace your own due diligence or the advice of a professional financial advisor. We strongly encourage all of our audience members to seek out the guidance of a financial advisor who can provide advice based on your individual circumstances and financial goals. Wealthion has a distinguished network of advisors who are available to guide you on your financial journey. However, should you choose to seek guidance elsewhere, we respect and support your decision to do so. The world of finance and investment is intricate and diverse. It's our mission at Wealthion to provide you with a variety of insights and perspectives to help you navigate it more effectively. We thank you for your understanding and your trust. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    The Self Storage Podcast
    Revolutionizing Self Storage with Data Driven Insights!

    The Self Storage Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 38:34 Transcription Available


    Send us a textWhat do you get when you combine a data-driven investor, an overloaded entrepreneur, and the future of self-storage? A revolution. Scott Meyers sits down with Noah Starr, CEO of Tract IQ, to unpack his wild journey—from quitting his corporate job, to acquiring his first facility all in the same week—and how those life-altering decisions set him on a path to transform the self-storage industry through data. Noah explains how pain points in the underwriting process led him to acquire and rebuild Tract IQ, a powerful data platform that's reshaping how investors analyze deals and mitigate risk. Scott and Noah dive into transparency, rent control legislation, investor pitfalls, and why the next phase of the industry belongs to those who understand—and act on—the data. WHAT TO LISTEN FOR2:07 The Wildest Week: Job Quit, Engagement, House & First Facility3:09 From Investor to Tech CEO: The Birth of Tract IQ8:13 The Power Shift to Third-Party Management13:21 The Data Doesn't Lie: Rent Trends & Transaction Lows14:38 California's Rent Control & the Rise of Transparency22:21 Hedge Funds, Overbuilding, and Overconfidence31:02 If Noah Were Investing Again: What He'd Do Differently Leave a positive rating for this podcast with one click  CONNECT WITH GUEST:NOAH STARR, Co-Founder, Chief Executive Officer of Tract IQWebsite | LinkedIn | About Noah | YouTubeCONNECT WITH USWebsite | You Tube | Facebook | X | LinkedIn | Instagram Follow so you never miss a NEW episode! Leave us an honest rating and review on Apple or Spotify.Attend the Self Storage Academy in Seattle, WA August 21-23https://selfstorageacademy.com/

    Communism Exposed:East and West
    Recession or Inflation: Can We Have Neither?

    Communism Exposed:East and West

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 16, 2025 6:26


    Making Sense
    Everything You've Been Told About the Dollar Is Wrong

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 15, 2025 20:53


    When did the dollar stop being a dollar? Most people might answer August 15, 1971, but a more accurate answer would be around a hundred years before then. There isn't exact date, just the most consequential evolution no one has ever heard of. The good news is that evolution doesn't stop. Eurodollar University's Make It Make Centshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Making Sense
    Is the Bond Market Wrong?

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2025 19:41


    Why are LT rates rising? Most people say it is the long overdue reckoning. After resisting inflation, the Fed, most of all insane debt levels for years, the chickens have finally come home to roost for longer-dated Treasury notes and bonds. And that would mean the market was wrong about all those factors up until now. What IS happening on the curve?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    BiggerPockets Daily
    Is the South (and Just the South) in a Recession?

    BiggerPockets Daily

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2025 11:58


    The South may be in trouble. While inflation remains elevated in the Northeast and Midwest due to persistent housing costs, the South is showing clear signs of a slowdown. In this episode, we break down Bloomberg columnist Conor Sen's latest analysis on why Southern states like Texas, Florida, and Tennessee are at greater risk of an economic drag. With rising housing inventory, stalled construction, and slowing price growth, regional divides are deepening. We also look at how the Fed's rate policy and new legislation out of Washington could make the situation worse. Read the article: https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2025-06-13/the-south-is-beating-inflation-but-not-housing Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

    Making Sense
    BREAKING: World Bank Issues DIRE Warning to the World

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2025 21:54


    If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/Negative downgrades to the world. Negative rates among major bonds already. Negative prices for consumers - here in the United States. The deflationary signals keep picking up. More to the point, all of this adds up to what markets like swaps have been saying for years. And that's the bad news. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisWorld Bank https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospectshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    People of Packaging Podcast
    313 - "We don't see a recession in 2025" Tariffs and the Economy with Lauren Saidel-Baker from ITR Economics

    People of Packaging Podcast

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 12, 2025 37:06


    About the Guest(s):Lauren Saidel-Baker is a seasoned economist at ITR Economics, a division of CROW LLP. Known for her data-driven and objective approach, Lauren specializes in economic forecasting and consulting, helping businesses and industries navigate economic changes. With a strong academic background from Wellesley College, where she double-majored in Economics and Religion, Lauren brings unique insights into the economic sector, making her a sought-after speaker and consultant.Specright eBook - How to define sustainable packaging strategies!* Gartner Report* Packaging Pros eBook* Home Page* Book a demo with SpecrightMeyers has some incredible sustainable packaging options!* Get the 2023 Sustainability Report* Meyers Packaging EPR eBook - it is FREE!!New sponsor is Label King! Check them out at www.thelabelking.comBook a demo with Trayak (LCA's on demand!)SmartSolve has water soluble label and paper materials. Learn more!The Scrapp App is going to revolutionize home and corporate recycling. Download for your device today!Episode Summary:In this engaging episode of [Podcast Name], host Adam Peek converses with Lauren Saidel-Baker, an economist from ITR Economics, about the complexities and current impact of tariffs on the U.S. economy, with a spotlight on the packaging industry. Lauren delves into the macroeconomic trends, providing data-backed insights into how tariffs affect imports, exports, and consumer behavior. This episode promises to equip listeners with a robust understanding of economic principles and future trends.Lauren highlights the shifting tides of globalization and nationalism, articulating the nuanced effects of tariffs as merely one facet of broader economic movements. She emphasizes the influence of these policies on business investment and timing, underscoring the resultant uncertainty. With concrete examples like the aluminum market, Lauren illustrates the intricate relationship between tariffs, inflation, and consumer prices. Throughout the episode, she dissects the economic indicators that businesses and individuals should track to make informed decisions, painting a clear picture of current and future economic climates.Key Takeaways:* Impact of Tariffs: Tariffs primarily function as taxes designed to protect domestic industries by making imported goods more expensive, yet they introduce significant uncertainty into business planning.* Potential Economic Downturn in 2030: Lauren projects a potential depression due to demographic shifts, government overspending, and fiscal imbalances, suggesting strategic preparation for long-term financial health.* Consumer Spending as Economic Strength: The robustness of the U.S. economy is largely bolstered by consumer spending, which continues to rise due to increasing wages and employment levels.* Importance of Economic Indicators: Businesses should focus on industry-specific economic indicators and adjust strategies based on macroeconomic trends and forecasts provided by reliable resources.* Preparing for Future Opportunities: The advice includes living below one's means, planning for better investment opportunities post-downturn, and not heavily leveraging current assets.Notable Quotes:* "If you remember back, the Biden administration put tariffs on certain items and goods too, so everyone can do tariffs again."* "The fundamental support for our economic growth is people. Consumer spending makes up two-thirds of GDP."* "We are looking at another four or five years of pretty steady growth… but have a plan because come 2028, 2029, we'll see those leading indicators start to roll over."* "The big impact that I'm watching, that I'm concerned about, is just the uncertainty that this is bringing up."* "We don't see a recession in 2025… Even if through some weird quirk of the math that were to happen, this is not what a business should react to as a recession."Resources:* ITR Economics: Stay updated with their economic insights and resources at itreconomics.com* Blog and Video Content: Explore economic indicators and forecasts tailored for various sectors on ITR Economics' website.* Laura Saidel-Baker's Work: Follow her insights on LinkedIn and other social media platforms associated with ITR Economics.Listen to the full episode for an in-depth exploration of current economic paradigms, strategic insights from Lauren Saidel-Baker, and a comprehensive understanding of how tariffs and broader economic trends affect businesses and individuals alike. Stay tuned to [Podcast Name] for more insightful content. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.packagingisawesome.com

    Making Sense
    This Is What the Collapse Looks Like

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 11, 2025 20:50


    Central bankers are being forced to reckon with their inflation biases which are not standing up to reality. Deflationary consequences are breaking out worldwide, either in the form of increasingly layoff-riddled labor markets or outright price deflation; sometimes both. The global race to the bottom for interest rates is spreading as acknowledgement of economic facts rather than Economics fantasy. Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysishttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Making Sense
    You Won't Believe What India's Central Bank Just Did

    Making Sense

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2025 20:28


    If you are in any way interested in precious metals,  you need to see what today's video sponsor, Monetary Metals, is doing with them at the link below: http://www.monetary-metals.com/Snider/RBI went full-blown shock and awe. Yet another major global central bank previously fixated on "inflation" abruptly and aggressively joining the race to the bottom. For India, it wasn't  heavy rate cuts this time. Indian Officials said they want to shore up confidence; OK, so how bad is confidence if they fell "shock and awe" is necessary to shore it up?Eurodollar University's Money & Macro AnalysisBBC India central bank delivers sharp rate cut as growth and inflation fallhttps://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c62vdq6g945oTimes of Indiahttps://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/business/india-business/bank-loans-to-nbfcs-slows-sharply/articleshow/121557368.cmshttps://www.eurodollar.universityTwitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

    Today, Explained
    The recession indicator game

    Today, Explained

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2025 33:08


    Press-on nails, new music from Katy Perry, and an uptick in Klarna purchases: signs of an economic downturn or no? This episode was produced by Hady Mawajdeh, edited by Miranda Kennedy, fact-checked by Melissa Hirsch, engineered by Matthew Billy, and hosted by Jonquilyn Hill. Photo of Katy Perry performing in Sydney, Australia by Nina Franova/Getty Images. If you have a question, give us a call on 1-800-618-8545 or send us a note here.  Listen to Explain It to Me ad-free by becoming a Vox Member: vox.com/members. Help us plan for the future of Today, Explained by filling out a brief survey: ⁠voxmedia.com/survey⁠. Thank you! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

    The Weeds
    The recession indicator game

    The Weeds

    Play Episode Listen Later Jun 8, 2025 30:23


    Press-on nails, new music from Katy Perry, and an uptick in Klarna purchases: signs of an economic downturn or no?  This episode was produced by Hady Mawajdeh, edited by Miranda Kennedy, fact-checked by Melissa Hirsch, engineered by Matthew Billy, and hosted by Jonquilyn Hill. Photo of Katy Perry performing in Sydney, Australia by Nina Franova/Getty Images. If you have a question, give us a call on 1-800-618-8545 or send us a note here. Listen to Explain It to Me ad-free by becoming a Vox Member: vox.com/members. Help us plan for the future of Explain It to Me by filling out a brief survey: ⁠voxmedia.com/survey⁠. Thank you! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices