American central banker, and 16th Chairman of the Federal Reserve in the United States
POPULARITY
Categories
Keith explores how real estate strategies have shifted from the 1980s to today and explains why investors need to adapt deal structures to changing interest rates, lending conditions, and market cycles. He highlights current opportunities in new construction and builder rate buydowns, along with the long-term benefits of fixed-rate debt. Keith is joined by economic futurist and author Richard Vague, who challenges conventional beliefs about inflation and interest rates and explains how government intervention, war, and supply constraints shape asset prices and leverage decisions. Together, they provide a big-picture framework for understanding how today's macro environment affects real estate investing decisions. Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/621 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text FAMILY to 66866 Join Mid South Home Buyers' one-time, free live webinar featuring Keith Weinhold on September 30 at GetRichEducation.com/MidSouth to learn how Memphis' economic expansion could create new real estate investment opportunities, and have your questions answered in real time. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review" For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 Welcome to GRE. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Learn how dramatically real estate has changed from the 1980s through the late 2020s. We'll be sure that your approach is changing with it. Then a great guest and I discuss how war and future calamities will affect mortgage rates, inflation, and your real estate today on Get Rich Education. What if I told you that one of America's strongest cash flow real estate markets is also becoming the new brains and brawn behind AI? That city is Memphis, believe it or not. In September 30th, we're going to show you why the smart money is paying attention now, along with an investing opportunity you won't want to miss. Join me, Terry Kerr and Matthew Van Horn of Mid South Home Buyers, the largest turnkey company in Memphis with more than 6,000 homes under management, for a free live webinar, the likes of which I've never done before. We're going to look at what billions in new investment could mean for jobs, housing demand, neighborhood appreciation, and your portfolio. Everyone who attends live will also get exclusive access to the best deal terms Mid South has ever offered. Reserve your free seat at getricheducation.com/midsouth. Again, that September 30th. Don't say we didn't tell you. Save your spot at getricheducation.com/midsouth. Speaker 1 1:35 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get Rich Education. Keith Weinhold 1:51 Welcome to GRE from Cambridge, England, to Cambridge, Massachusetts, and across 188 world nations. I'm Keith Weinhold. You're inside Get Rich Education. You could be doing anything with your time. I'm grateful that you choose to listen to me every week. You know, real estate investors sometimes say, "Ah, there aren't any deals anymore. What they usually mean is the deal structure that they learned five years ago stopped working. There are always opportunities in real estate, but your approach changes with interest rates, lending standards, inventory, construction, government policy, and just the overall economic cycle. The best investors don't wait for yesterday's market to return. That's like someone still hoping for Blockbuster Video Store to reopen. They identify what today's market is offering instead. Just consider this historic retrospective on real estate investing from the Reagan administration to today, in 1981, the 30-year mortgage rate peaked above 18.6%. I mean, just imagine proudly telling your friends that you locked in at 17% before rates went higher. That mortgage needed its own defibrillator. By 1984, rates were still near 16%. The strategy then, the approach, was for a buyer to assume the existing owner's lower rate mortgage that they locked in a few years earlier, perhaps in the late 70s, that's how you got a good deal, assuming that existing owners lower-rate mortgage. You can't do that so easily today. Keith Weinhold 3:50 By the late 80s and early 90s, the opportunity shifted from assuming attractive debt to buying distressed properties. The S and L crisis was upon us. Savings and loan failed lenders found themselves holding piles of distressed real estate, so investors bought foreclosures and REOs at discounts. They improved neglected buildings and then they repositioned them for income. You probably know that REO stands for real estate owned on a bank's balance sheet. All REO means is bank-owned property, but that's what you did. You found those, and then you scooped up a deal that way. As the 1990s progressed, interest rates declined, and loans also became really easy to obtain. We were tilting into the loosey-goosey easy lending environment. In the 90s, it was popular to buy an undervalued property, renovate it, raise the rent, and refinance it based on the improved value. That process later got a buzzy acronym and became known as the Burr strategy: buy, rehab, rent, refinance, repeat. By 2005, financing got more creative. This is when I was a new real estate investor. I remember obtaining what were known as 8015 five combo loans. This meant an 80% first mortgage, 15% second mortgage, and 5% down payment. You remember those? If you've been around for a while, you do. And see, this way you could avoid paying PMI, and you could control property with an astounding 20 to one leverage ratio due to that 5% down payment, but soon enough lending just got absolutely too creative and easy. The quiet lending party turned into a boisterous kegger, delivering the 2008 financial. crisis, and pretty soon I could no longer get any loans. From 2009 through the early 2010s, you could buy foreclosures and short sales at enormous discounts if you could find the loan. Keith Weinhold 6:20 Financing was tough, but prices were super low. It might have even made sense to pay cash at that time. Fear was everywhere right after the global financial crisis. I mean, it really took courage to act when others were hiding under the bed. By 2020 and 2021, the opportunity changed from cheap property to cheap money. Mortgage rates dropped below an absurd 3% as a result of the COVID pandemic. You could lock up extraordinarily cheap debt for less than the inflation rate, and then let inflation nibble away at it like Pac-Man. Of course, a lot of us are still benefiting from that today, but that opportunity is long gone now. But it doesn't mean that deals are gone today. Where's the opportunity? One of the best ones is often found in new construction, large build. have got to keep moving their inventory as they build these homes because they have got to keep their crews busy. An unsold house for a builder-I mean-that produces as much income as an unplugged Bitcoin miner. Rather than make conspicuous price reductions, builders use their financial muscle to buy down mortgage rates for you, often in the 5% range or even lower. Keith Weinhold 7:52 Builders might also offer you closing cost assistance, upgraded finishes, or other incentives that a single resale seller just can't match. So from the Reagan administration to today, over 45 years, the winning strategy just keeps morphing. It started out back then as assume the loan, over to buy distress, then to renovate and refi, then it was a creative financing wave, and then cheap debt, and today take the builders buy down. That's where we are. The mistake is deciding in advance what a deal is supposed to look like. The best deal structure changes, and of course, it's going to change again. The investor who keeps fighting the last war is always going to conclude that the opportunity has disappeared, but it hasn't. It's just changed clothing. Still, though, today's new purchases now-they're not as good as the deals that they were five years ago, but the best investors keep investing. They keep adding to their portfolio. It's what they've always done. Absolutely zero winning investors that are successful over time look back and say things like, "I didn't add anything to my portfolio during that 10-year span for this or that reason, the market changes, and you've got to adapt with it. That's a way to think about it. Take solace in knowing a few things. Deal structure changes over time are inevitable. And larger picture, you are investing in a product that is sustainable residential real estate in the form of long-term rentals. These entry-level properties are a scarce asset that people are going to continue to need. I mean, that's what we do here. Just compare. To the fads that we avoid around here, like NFTs, metaverse real estate, which we discussed on the show a few years ago, but said is highly dangerous, eye buying, value add apartment syndications, SPACs, or how about ICO funded altcoins? We don't chase the latest hot thing here at GRE. It is about what's sustainable, necessary, and cannot be easily disrupted by AI, and that's one reason that Get Rich Education is still standing strong after 52 episodes every year for almost 12 years now. Shortly, we're going to bring in a rather esteemed guest today on the future direction of interest rates and inflation. Interestingly, he believes that raising interest rates does not cool inflation, and that's contrary to popular belief. I'm going to press him on this and ask why, but first, our new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh. He's only been on the job a few months now. Keith Weinhold 11:07 He is gaining a reputation for not forecasting what they're going to do ahead of time, like his predecessor had. I guess I tend to like his disposition and the way that he communicates, I sense some pragmatism with Warsh, but gosh, it often seems that a new Fed chair gets off to a well liked start, and then they do something that lots of people criticize. Like, remember in 2004, late Fed Chair Alan Greenspan suggested more borrowers could benefit from adjustable rate mortgages shortly before rates rose and ARM resets became financial landmines. In 2007, Ben Bernanke said that subprime mortgage problems were likely to be contained. Oh, right after that, they helped trigger the global financial crisis, and more recently, the Jerome Powell gaffe, which I'll mention in the interview shortly. Here's what current Fed Chair Warsh says about inflation: Kevin Warsh 12:14 For some households, businesses, and market professionals, five years of high inflation have left a mistaken impression, that's hard to shake, that the Fed's implicit inflation target was somehow above 2% Let me reiterate, there is no soft inflation target. There is no soft implicit target, not on this committee's watch. There's only a target, and it's 2% Keith Weinhold 12:42 It's obvious that he is serious about getting inflation back down to 2% That tends to point toward interest rate increases. Let's discuss that and more with this week's brilliant guest. This week's guest is an economic futurist keynote speaker, and he's quite a popular author. He is chair of the board of the Public School Employees Retirement System. That's the largest public pension fund in Pennsylvania. Previously, the Pennsylvania governor appointed him as the secretary of banking and securities for the Great Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, he's also the founder and president of several various organizations today, and he serves on several boards, including at the University of Pennsylvania and the School District of Philadelphia. I mean, I hardly know how he has time to do it all, but he made time for us today. Hey, it's great to welcome back Richard Vague. Richard Vague 13:45 It's such an honor to be with you. I certainly enjoyed our last session, and it's really wonderful to be back. Keith Weinhold 13:51 Well, and so much has changed since you were last here, Richard. First, why don't we pull back and talk to us about the general state of the national economy today, as you see it. Richard Vague 14:04 ou know the economy was rocking along okay, and you know since you guys are such experts in real estate, I'll tell you one of the most important statistics, in my opinion, is the number of unsold homes, and by all rights, that number should be about 2 million homes. It's only about a million and a half. So there's a deficiency in our housing stock in the United States, which is, yeah, I think good news for the housing industry. It's always good to have a reason to have to grow. You may recall that in 2007, that had gotten up to four millinomes, which was a catastrophe, as we all know. So, it's the economic statistic I looked at first and most closely, and that was, you know, an okay number, and a lot of the things were going along. You know, not fabulous, but not terrible. Things were kind of moving. And all of a sudden now we have the war in Iran, and that's creating all sorts of problems for us, which you know I think you guys are concerned about. So I generally think the economy's been good, but there's a lot of dark clouds on the horizon. Keith Weinhold 15:15 You know, Richard, I was recently sharing something remarkable with our audience. To your point, just since 2020, consider all the calamities that we've had: COVID, Ukraine, Israel, Gaza, tariffs, and the Iran War. Just since 2020, what's the result of all that? Both stocks and residential real estate are near all time highs. Richard Vague 15:42 Yeah, well, you know, one of the things that's true is that this is something I go to in great detail in my book Paradox. But the more debt there is, the higher asset prices go. Keith Weinhold 15:53 Yeah. Richard Vague 15:54 You know, in the case of housing, that broadly helps middle America. In the case of the stock market, the top 10% of the country owns 87% of the stocks, so that tends to go to the wealthiest instead of to the broad population. But yeah, those two things are at highs. Keith Weinhold 16:12 You're touching on your well-received 2023 book, The Paradox of Debt, and you know, Richard, amidst all these calamities and all this potentially unprecedented level of government intervention that we've had-you know-it makes one wonder during the next crisis, which is inevitably going to happen, will the government just step in and provide relief again? And how would that look? Richard Vague 16:38 You know, I think that's one lesson that government has learned indelibly. Way back in 1929, in the couple of years that followed, the government did not step in, and we saw what happened. And I think there's a generation of economists that understand the role of government in a calamity, and you know it's pretty simple. You know the government comes in and crops up financial institutions as they did in 2008, simply by providing the liquidity or buying the bad assets, or the government steps in with relief checks as they did in such a massive way in 2020. But the government has learned that at least to some degree, it needs to intervene. I can't imagine that ever not being true. Keith Weinhold 17:26 Goshmright when you think about 2020s stimulus and how emergency lending facilities were set up, you had the payment protection program, stimulus checks, mortgage loan forbearance. It's just like this government won't let the asset holders fail. Richard Vague 17:46 Well, yeah, you know, there's failure, and then there's something that's hurtful but not quite failure. You know, I can imagine that the government will be able to prevent, in some circumstances, certain asset prices going down some amount, it's actually fairly commonplace for stocks to go down 10 or 20% I can see real estate prices going down as they have in the commercial office space. Yeah, but yes, the government will step in when those things become extreme to prevent a true calamity. Keith Weinhold 18:19 Of course, one consequence of the interventionism is elevated inflation. I know how you've talked before about how the level of inflation is higher than most people think. For example, you'll see today's CPI numbers in the mid threes. Talk to us some more about why inflation is higher than most people think. Richard Vague 18:41 Well, I have studied inflation, you know, fairly diligently, and inflation really relates to the constriction of supply. And if you look over the 250-year history of the United States, we haven't had that many episodes of bad inflation, and they've always related to a constriction of supply. Most of them have occurred during a war when, for obvious reasons, you know, supplies are constricted. The big 1970s episode of inflation was because OPEC, which had so much more power back in those days, acted to you know punish the United States by constricting supplies, and the price of a barrel of oil went from $4 to $40 a barrel. Yeah, between 73 and 79. COVID was another instance where inflation related to constriction of supply. That was you know people couldn't go to the meat factory to cut meat. People couldn't go to the factories to build things, so all of a sudden our supplies were decimated, and we had a short burst of very painful inflation. Well, now we've got the straight of four moves, and that is impacting the price of oil. I think it's going to impact the price of oil more going forward because. Because we've been able to rely on reserves, both the U.S. has been able to rely on reserves, and China has been able to rely on even greater reserves. And you know we haven't seen the brunt of that, but unless something's resolved pretty quickly, I think in the fall and winter we're going to see even more problematic prices there. But we know agricultural prices and even the flow of commodities like wheat are constricted by the constraints in the Strait of Hormuz and, frankly, other waterways as well. Now, one of the things the numbers that you see reported tend to underreport inflation because it looks at a year-over-year number and doesn't really capture it if it's moved up more sharply in the last month or two. So we look at it on a month-by-month. We you know we break it down about as to as many parts as you can break it down into. But PPI, which is kind of a leading indicator on the eventual CPI PPI's producer price index, it was 4.7% this last month. That would suggest to you that things which are in the mid threes now, which is more higher than we want, you know, probably trending over. Maybe not next month, but you know, over the next three to six months, I'm not going to be surprised if the number's more in the four to five range. So, yeah, I think inflation's being somewhat underreported at the moment. Keith Weinhold 21:29 The PPI being that harbinger of consumer prices, often four to six months down the road. And Richard, the last time you were here, when it comes to checking and controlling inflation, you said something so interesting. You said that higher rates, which is typically the response in order to try to quell inflation, higher rates actually do not lower inflation, and you did not get a chance to expand on that because we ran out of time. Tell us more about why higher rates do not reduce inflation. Richard Vague 22:05 Well, I'm going to answer that a couple of ways. One of them is higher rates don't open the Strait of Hormuz. Keith Weinhold 22:12 Right. Richard Vague 22:13 You can put rates as high as you want, and it's not going to open the Strait of Hormuz. Keith Weinhold 22:16 Chairman Warsch doesn't open the Strait. Yes, he doesn't get oil produce nothing. Richard Vague 22:20 Strait of Hormuz. Keith Weinhold 22:21 Yeah. Richard Vague 22:21 And so we can do all we want to on raids, which is a very blunt instrument, and it's not going to address the supply constraints that are geopolitical and war related. So, if you want to curb inflation right now, there's two things to do. One of them's you know end the war with Iran, and the other is to kind of back off a lot of these tariffs that have become so problematic. I think there's a place for tariffs. I think there's certain things China's doing that you know a call for an appropriate level of tariffs. I'm not sure we should be big tariffs on Canada and some of these other places, which have the effect of increasing the cost of our farm equipment and cars and other things like that. So, if you really want to address inflation and address the things that truly underlie inflation, and if the second way I'd answer this is to say, go look at the debt, track the data from you know 1945 or 50. You know, we really look at the post World War II period as the place we really learn things from, and over that period, increased government spending has been accompanied by reduced interest rates and reduced inflation. So, reduced interest rates and reduced inflation have gone hand in hand, and rising interest rates and rising inflation have gone hand in hand, and it's a really easy thing to look at. We've got the data on our site, but there's only been three periods where you've had big shifts in government spending and rates. They're pretty easy to look at, and there's actually empirically an inverse relationship between rising interest rates and it's the opposite of what economists tell you. Keith Weinhold 24:09 I think, in general, economists tell us that when inflation is high, you raise interest rates because consumer spending is about 70% of the economy, and those higher rates therefore incentivize people to be savers because they're getting paid a higher yield, keeping those dollars out of the economy, and they're less incentivized to be borrowers and expand the economy that way. I think in general that's why economists say that higher interest rates reduce inflation. Do you agree with that? Speaker 2 24:40 Well, no, I don't, and the reason I don't is because when you look at the data, that doesn't happen. These are easy things to check, and what I would say to you is that rising interest rates increase costs, and you guys know that better than anybody in the world. Keith Weinhold 24:56 With mortgages. Yeah. Richard Vague 24:58 What do rising interest rates do to? Cost of your mortgage. Keith Weinhold 25:02 Everything increased substantially. Richard Vague 25:03 It has system prices at the grocery store. Well, the grocery stores have to pay our interest for their inventory. So the more intuitive and obvious thing is that rising interest rates increase prices. And by the way, if you and I were to go look at the data right now, which I look at almost daily, that we would see periods of rising interest rates correlate to periods of rising increased costs. Keith Weinhold 25:29 Well, I'm glad you look at history because I often say here at Get Rich Education, if you want to know what's going to happen in the future, it's easy to have a hunch, but it's more important to look at history. Can you talk to us some more about how, over the long term, higher interest rates don't suppress inflation? If that's what you're saying, Richard Vague 25:47 yeah. The greatest rise in inflation, you know, in my lifetime was the late 1970s. Keith Weinhold 25:55 Yeah, Richard Vague 25:56 and for the entire time that interest rates were going up, prices and inflation were going up, and it wasn't until interest rates started coming down that inflation started coming down. So we could look at any number of periods, and if you're going to argue the opposite, you need to go find me some data. Keith Weinhold 26:15 Okay. Well, speaking in more modern times, in the last wave of inflation that we had, the CPI peaked at 9.1% in June of 2022. This is the whole famous Jerome Powell: inflation is only transitory. Oh shoot, no, it's not. I better hike rates. He did, and then inflation came down. Is it as simple as that cause in effect, or did something else make inflation come down post COVID. Richard Vague 26:42 Inflation came down, and it came all the way down in July of 2022. It didn't come down gradually over six, 912, 18 months. You go look at the length monthly inflation. Inflation came all the way down in July of 2022, and stay has stayed down all the intervening period until very recently with the Iran War. July of 2022 was before there was a dramatic increase in interest rates. Keith Weinhold 27:18 Right, Speaker 1 27:19 that's simple. Keith Weinhold 27:21 What caused inflation to come down? Then is it because supply began to arrive on the market again? Richard Vague 27:27 People went back to work, started building things again. Keith Weinhold 27:30 Producing. Richard Vague 27:32 And the problem was folks had not been able to go to the factories and make things, and so we had a you know global supply deficit. Well, the nice thing about that is that you know money incends people to scramble back to work, make things again, and you know once they start doing that, and the Fed actually produces something they call the Global Supply Chain Pressure Index. You can get it on the Fed site. If you look at it, it's supposed to be kind of at zero, and anytime supply chains are disrupted, it shoots up. And any you know, any time the opposite happens, you know there's overcapacity. It goes down, and you can see exactly when supply chains repair is happening. So go look at the. It's called the GSCPI. It's on the Fed side. You'll see that global supply chains had largely started to be dramatically repaired in the spring and summer of 2022, and naturally, supply and demand works. All of a sudden, supply starts showing up, and prices go to hell. Keith Weinhold 28:39 We're talking with economic futurist author and Pennsylvania's governor-appointed former secretary of banking and securities Richard Vague, more when we come back on the affliction of inflation, what this means for real estate investors, and more. This is Get Rich Education. I'm your host Keith Weinhold. What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine. You sure can at Ridge Lending Group NMLS 42056. They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal and even chat directly with President Caeli Ridge. While it's on your mind, start at ridgelendinggroup.com. That's ridgelendinggroup.com. Keith Weinhold 29:29 Let me ask you something: If you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure, I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed. But with a track record of consistent, on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call or text family to 66866. That's family to 66866. Dolph Derues 30:31 This is the king of commercial real estate, Dolph Derues. Listen to Get Rich Education with Keith Weinhold and don't quit your daydream. Keith Weinhold 30:45 Welcome back to Get Rich Education. We're talking with Richard Vague. Richard is the founder and president of so many organizations today. He's the author of several popular economic books. He chairs the board of the Public School employees retirement system. That's the largest public pension fund in Pennsylvania. He's in a lot of places at once, seemingly. Richard, we're talking about inflation before the break. What is the right inflation rate? Richard Vague 31:16 Well, like I said, inflation. If you look at the entire 250-year span of the United States has it been an affliction that has affected us that often? It is political kryptonite. So when it does happen, it steers our consciousness, and it you know certainly affects your industry. But you know, if we look historically, the Fed targets 2% It's not a bad thing to target. We never really have achieved that level for any length of period. I think if you look at it over the past several decades and take out the high inflation periods, it probably has averaged closer to three. So I don't think two to 3% is an inappropriate level, and I kind of suspect it'll be a level that typifies our future once we get past, if and when we get past this more. Keith Weinhold 32:09 Yes, not long ago, I was looking at the history of the CPI or the CPI's equivalent, and over the last 100 years, the rate is about 3.2% and we haven't hit that government-mandated 2% target, which is stated right on the Fed's website. We haven't hit that for any month in about five years now, and this asset inflation, as we know, this disproportionately enriches existing asset owners, and it widens this inequality. Something that's more recently been known as the K-shaped economy, can you talk to us some more about this exacerbating wealth inequality? Richard Vague 32:48 Well, you hit the nail on the head. Something on the order of 80% of all the net wealth held by Americans is in the form of two things: stock and real estate. If you want to talk about wealth, it's those two things, and those two things, probably 60 or 70% of all of those in the U.S. are held by the top 10% I think it's a single-digit number of those that are held by the bottom 50% So you know, if inflation and debt growth push asset prices up over time. It is a mathematical inevitability that the rich get richer faster than those in the middle and at the bottom, and that simply means inequality will increase through time. I believe that's structural. Unless you address that in very some very specific way it will continue. Keith Weinhold 33:43 Inflation affects real estate investors more than it does the average person because we borrow these big pools of money often at 75 to 80% loan to value, and in a sense, although we know it's bad for general society, and we do think about the K-shaped economy. Of course, inflation benefits us because it debases our debt. But even if you're not a real estate investor, even if you just own your own home, you know, Richard, I really think it begs the question: Is a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage one of the best forms of debt ever created for ordinary Americans? Richard Vague 34:22 The 30-year mortgage, which was created, you know, that started on that path in the 1930 s for the very reasons we all know and love, which is getting Americans to own their own home, and has been, you know, a game changer for the country, and truly one of the great things that's been done, and I hope it's something that we continue to defend and preserve. Keith Weinhold 34:46 Well, that brings up leverage and the prudent use of leverage. As real estate investors, we have this benefit of getting all these 30-year fixed-rate loans without the threat of a. Margin call being made. We're not borrowing over in the stock market. When you sign your loan documents, it doesn't say that the bank can call your note due at any time, but one could take it too far. And when it comes to debt, I think that really begs the question: Where does intelligent leverage end, and then dangerous leverage begin. What's the border? Richard Vague 35:25 Well, you guys are experts, and I'm not. But the very simple premise is starts with not overpaying for the property to begin with. It is not an exact science, but generally speaking, I think we can tell when prices are relatively high in a given market and or a given year and relatively low, and you you'd always want to kind of be at least in the middle or somewhat on the low end before you acquire a property. So that's step number one, and then step number two is really just giving yourself a buffer, you know. We saw in the global financial crisis that real estate loans were being made in some cases at 100% of value. Yeah, and frankly, we saw at least some episodes within that folks borrowing over 100% of value, and certainly they were very happy when that happened. But we know there's zero margin for error when you do that, and perhaps even a negative margin for error when you do that. So I would think, you know, you guys know better than me, but you know, I hate to borrow it much more than like 90% of value, maybe 95% if it's a smaller asset and you have a government guarantee, and if you can do it at lower leverage, you know, 70 or 80% of value, that's not a bad thing to consider. I tend to think in the real estate world that you know I've seen many investors, particularly in the commercial space, buy things with lower leverage, 50 or 75% But then, as the asset proves itself, they work with their lender to increase the debt-to-value ratio, you know, and get more money at it over time as it becomes an increasingly proven asset. So they migrate their way from 75% to 95% over time. I think that's a logical path. Keith Weinhold 37:20 That acronym Ninja Loans, which were popular from about 2000 to 2007, that acronym Ninja means no income, no job or assets, and you might still get a loan of 110% of the value of the property. It was profligately irresponsible. Well, Richard, in a moment, I want to ask if you have a resource that our audience can follow along with you if they would like to do so. But before I do that, do you have any last thing that you would like to talk about? Maybe something that I did not ask you, whether it has to do with the general economy or real estate or interest rates or inflations. Is there something else that we should know? Richard Vague 38:00 What I would do is just endorse your podcast. Keith Weinhold 38:04 Thanks. Richard Vague 38:05 You're approaching this in a very intelligent way, and you're very empirical, and I think your listeners are doing themselves a service by continuing to follow what you do. That's a really reasonable, secure, and yet bold path towards creating wealth, then I think you're to be commended. Keith Weinhold 38:27 Oh, I appreciate the endorsement. I'm always blown away at our following, but you have some resources worth following as well. Tell us about that. Richard Vague 38:36 Well, we do. We have a weekly video ourselves that it's about a five-minute video, and you can go to our website, which is tycos.com. So t y c h o s.com, and you know we have data on the site. If you're a real geek, you could go in and you can look at our macroeconomic data. You know, but if you're not, you can sign up for the video, and we come out with what we hope is a short but relevant video once a week talking on some aspect of the economy, and you know we'd love to have folks join that if they're interested. Keith Weinhold 39:10 Well, it's valuable. I suggest you, the listener, check that out. Richard oftentimes turns conventional economics on his head, just like he did with us today, talking about how if there's higher interest rates, that does not necessarily mean lower inflation. Richard, it's been valuable as always. It's been great having you back on the show. Richard Vague 39:30 It's an honor to be with you. Keep up the great work. Keith Weinhold 39:38 In this remote interview, I got a beautiful look over Richard's shoulders there on the screen at Center City, Philadelphia, in the ornate buildings there. I will be in that part of the nation again shortly. Big thanks to Richard Vague. If you're looking him up, it is spelled V-A-G-U-E. We've got a. A lot of terrific content coming up on the show over the next few weeks, including fresh takes on building your wealth that you've never heard before. Until next week, I'm your host Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your daydream. Speaker 3 40:18 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal, or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial, or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively. Keith Weinhold 40:46 The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building. getricheducation.com
In part two of the all-viewer-question edition of The Wrap, Chris Whalen and Julia tackle everything from gold confiscation to credit union safety. Chris argues that a 1933-style seizure is possible in a debt crisis, since heavy government borrowing effectively encumbers every asset in the country, and that offshore physical gold is the only real protection. He explains why rising gold prices pressure the Treasury and gradually erode the dollar's role as the world's medium of exchange, drawing parallels to the monetary fragmentation of post-Roman Europe that he's been researching for his upcoming book. Along the way he critiques Jerome Powell for extending QE long after credit spreads normalized in 2020, pushes back on fears of a boomer-driven market selloff, breaks down how Annaly Capital actually makes money, flags private-credit takeovers of insurance companies as a genuine risk to annuity holders, and shares his own portfolio split. He closes with thoughts on land value taxes, the likelihood of a US VAT, and life in Florida versus New York.Thank you to our sponsor, Monetary Metals. Learn more at https://www.monetary-metals.com/THEWRAP/Links: The Institutional Risk Analyst: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/ Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/rcwhalen Seeing Around Corners book: https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/product-page/seeing-around-corners-achieving-success-in-business-and-life-hardcoverUse the code TheWrap2026 for 25% off your first year of The Institutional Risk Analyst https://www.theinstitutionalriskanalyst.com/plans-pricingTimestamps:0:00 - Cold open: "No democracy can have sound money"0:25 - Welcome back — viewer questions only1:31 - Could the government confiscate gold again like 1933?4:50 - Inside Chris's new book on gold6:37 - Gold price outlook: 2026, 2027, 20288:30 - Best ways to own metals without holding physical9:27 - Why we ran surpluses from 1998-200110:30 - What Jerome Powell should have done differently13:44 - Will retiring boomers crash the market?15:42 - Equal-weight S&P funds at current valuations16:04 - Nvidia financing its own customers: circular financing?18:06 - Annaly (NLY) explained: leverage, servicing, and lending20:51 - Common shares or preferred?21:41 - Is the 60/40 portfolio dead? Chris's actual allocation23:47 - Are credit unions safer than banks?25:22 - Annuity owners: how to protect yourself from insolvency27:07 - Land value taxes, wealth taxes, and the case for a VAT28:37 - Florida vs. New York: an honest review30:00 - Wrap-up and housekeeping
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for listening!
Meta is keihard op de vingers getikt in New Mexico. Het moet van de rechter ruim een half miljard dollar betalen, omdat platformen als Instagram veel te verslavend zijn voor minderjarigen. Maar daar blijft het niet bij. Ook moet het ineens aan allerlei strenge regels voldoen. Regels die het voor Meta (en adverteerders) ineens een stuk minder leuk maken. Deze aflevering kijken we naar deze tegenvaller. Een tegenvaller die sowieso niet op zichzelf staat. Er komen nog heel veel rechtszaken aan in heel veel Amerikaanse staten. Waarvoor Meta zelf 'maar' 2,4 miljard dollar achter de hand heeft gezet. Is dat te weinig? We zoeken het uit. Kijken we ook of die strenge regels het bedrijf niet veel meer gaan kosten dan die miljardenboetes. De Czechoslovak Group (CSG) komt ook voorbij. Het defensiebedrijf kwam voor de tweede keer als Amsterdams beursbedrijf met de kwartaalcijfers. Cijfers die aanvankelijk goed werden ontvangen. Beleggers waren blij met de extra omzet, vooral door orders uit Azië. Al verdween dat enthousiasme in de middag ineens weer. Verder hebben we het deze aflevering over president Trump die poeslief is voor Fed-baas Kevin Warsh. Rente verlagen? Graag, maar Warsh gaat er zelf niet helemaal over. Aldus een opvallend milde Trump. Ook aandacht voor Philip Morris. Dat wordt op de vingers getikt vanwege hun AI-beleid. En je hoort over Volkswagen. De voorzitter van de RvC roept de ceo op om flink te bezuinigen. Te gast: Erik Mauritz van Trade Republic BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Je hoort hem ook in de BNR-podcast Moerdijk: dorp van de rekening. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. Over de podcast: Met BNR Beurs ga je altijd voorbereid de nieuwe beursdag in. We praten je in een kleine 25 minuten bij over alle laatste ontwikkelingen op de handelsvloer. We blijven niet alleen bij de AEX of Wall Street, maar vertellen je ook waar nog meer kansen liggen. En we houden het niet bij de cijfers, maar zoeken ook iedere dag voor je naar duiding van scherpe gasten en experts. Of je nu een ervaren belegger bent of net begint met je eerste stappen op de beurs, de podcast biedt waardevolle inzichten voor je beleggingsstrategie. Door de focus op zowel de korte termijn als de lange termijn, helpt BNR Beurs luisteraars om de ruis van de markt te scheiden van de essentie.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
This year so far has been full of transition & challenge for the Federal Reserve, arguably the single most influential institution for the economy.The Chairmanship has been passed on from Jerome Powell to Kevin Warsh, who appears to want to chart a more hawkish and limited scope for the Fed.Inflation remains stubbornly above the 2% target. And elevated oil prices resulting from the US war with Iran are a new inflationary force outside of the Fed's control.Meanwhile bond yields are rising as former foreign buyers of US Treasurys, like China and Japan, are now actively reducing their net holdings. That doesn't please the Administration that just put Warsh in his seat.So what is the Fed most likely to do in the remainder of 2026?Is it well-positioned to handle these challenges of higher inflation and higher yields?Or are events slipping out of its control?For answers, we are incredibly fortunate to be able to turn to today's remarkably qualified panelists. Dr Judy Shelton is an economist, author, Senior Fellow at the Independent Institute and the author of Good as Gold How to Unleash the Power of Sound Money. She's a particularly qualified expert on today's topic because she served as an economic advisor to President Trump during his first term, and was nominated by him in 2020 for the Federal Reserve.And Dr Thomas Hoenig is the former CEO of the Kansas City Fed, a former voting member of the Federal Open Market Committee, a former director of the FDIC, and now a Distinguished Senior Fellow at the Mercatus Center.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#federalreserve #bondyields #inflation _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.All the details on Thoughtful Money's relationship with the financial advisors it endorses, many of whom regularly appear on this program, can be found in the following documents. We highly recommend you review these documents as they cover the terms that will apply should you choose to work with one of these firms at any time after watching this video.Thoughtful Money Disclosure Document: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/disclosureThoughtful Money Agreement: https://thoughtfulmoney.com/agreementIMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.
【欢迎订阅】 每天早上5:30,准时更新。 【阅读原文】 标题:Donald Trump's gutting of the Department of JusticeWhat the degraded institution means for America正文:The pursuit of enemies grabs all the attention, and for good reason.Markets were shocked to see President Donald Trump set the Department of Justice (DoJ) on Jerome Powell when he was still the chairman of the Federal Reserve. Champions of press freedom cried foul last week when the department issued subpoenas to New York Times journalists for explaining the truth about Qatar's gift of a jet to the president. But Mr Trump's grievance agenda isn't the half of it.知识点:pursuit(名词)/pəˈsjuːt/(英) /pərˈsuːt/(美) 名词 本义为 “追赶、追捕;对事物的追求”,本文语境核心义为 追查、针对(异己 / 对手),用于描述动用公权力对特定对象展开系统性调查与打压的行为,属于时政领域用法核心搭配:the pursuit of enemies、in pursuit of、the pursuit of justice、single-minded pursuit・The pursuit of happiness is regarded as an inalienable right in modern civil society.对幸福的追求在现代公民社会中被视为一项不可剥夺的权利。・The relentless pursuit of political opponents has triggered widespread alarm over the impartiality of law enforcement.对政治对手的持续追查引发了外界对执法公正性的普遍担忧。【节目介绍】 《早安英文-每日外刊精读》,带你精读最新外刊,了解国际最热事件:分析语法结构,拆解长难句,最接地气的翻译,还有重点词汇讲解。 所有选题均来自于《经济学人》《纽约时报》《华尔街日报》《华盛顿邮报》《大西洋月刊》《科学杂志》《国家地理》等国际一线外刊。 【适合谁听】 1、关注时事热点新闻,想要学习最新最潮流英文表达的英文学习者 2、任何想通过地道英文提高听、说、读、写能力的英文学习者 3、想快速掌握表达,有出国学习和旅游计划的英语爱好者 4、参加各类英语考试的应试者(如大学英语四六级、托福雅思、考研等) 【你将获得】 1、超过1000篇外刊精读课程,拓展丰富语言表达和文化背景 2、逐词、逐句精确讲解,系统掌握英语词汇、听力、阅读和语法 3、每期内附学习笔记,包含全文注释、长难句解析、疑难语法点等,帮助扫除阅读障碍。
Andrew and Rudyard open the show by examining the competing priorities confronting Prime Minister Carney's government. On one hand is the immediate geopolitical imperative: reducing Canada's dependence on a U.S. trading partner that President Trump has shown a willingness to weaponize, making export diversification an urgent national priority. On the other is the growing threat of climate change, underscored by devastating wildfires in Canada and across Europe. Carney appears to have concluded that geopolitical security must come first, pushing climate policy down the agenda. But can he do so without alienating a significant portion of the Liberal coalition, for whom climate action remains a defining issue? In the second half of the show, Andrew and Rudyard turn to new U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's first significant decision: keeping interest rates unchanged for a seventh consecutive month. Markets reacted sharply, with investors selling off 30-year Treasury bonds and pushing yields to a 19-year high. While former Fed Chair Jerome Powell won praise for defending the Fed's independence in the face of pressure from President Trump, Warsh's decision has reinforced critics' fears that he is too closely aligned with the White House. Has the Federal Reserve begun to sacrifice its independence—or is Wall Street overreacting?Become a Munk Donor ($50 annually) to get 72-hour advanced access to the full length editions of Friday Focus and Munk Dialogues. Go to www.munkdebates.com to sign up. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The Federal Reserve voted 9-3 to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged as inflation remains above its 2% target. While the Fed says the economy remains strong, many Americans continue to struggle with high prices for everyday necessities. Subscribe to our newsletter to stay informed with the latest news from a leading Black-owned & controlled media company: https://aurn.com/newsletter Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Welcome back to another episode of Financial Revelations – Sin of Retirement™ with David Szafranski! This week, David shares exciting updates from Nativos USA, where the missions boat Liberty is serving deep in the Amazon jungle alongside a nonprofit organization bringing more than 100 doctors and dentists to provide life-changing medical care to indigenous communities. If you'd like to learn more or support this incredible mission, visit nativosusa.org. David also provides an update on his book, The Sin of Retirement™. A small group study guide and companion workbook are currently in development, making it easier than ever for churches and groups to study the book together. Stay tuned for more details, and visit sinofretirement.com for the book, merchandise, and updates. In this week's financial discussion, David breaks down Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's second Fed meeting, where interest rates remained unchanged. He discusses why he believes this signals a less interventionist Federal Reserve that allows markets to function more naturally. David also shares his thoughts on inflation, energy prices, and why he believes Chairman Warsh's long-term leadership will benefit the economy, even as former Chairman Jerome Powell remains on the Fed Board. The episode also covers recent testimony from Dr. Anthony Fauci, including his repeated invocation of the Fifth Amendment and David's perspective on the broader implications. Finally, David discusses ongoing tensions involving Iran and why he believes geopolitical developments remain one of the biggest obstacles to a sustained market rally. Have a financial question or want David and his team to review your portfolio? Email Kory@epsf.com. Follow David on X (formerly Twitter): @skibucks1. To learn more about the Amazon well drilling project or support the mission, visit https://nativosusa.org. You can also visit https://www.gofundme.com and search "David Szafranski" to support ongoing mission efforts. Thank you for listening to Financial Revelations – Sin of Retirement™ with David Szafranski!
"Either you can fight a slowing economy or you can fight inflation. You can't do both at the same time." On May 15th, Kevin Warsh replaces Jerome Powell as chairman of the Federal Reserve Bank and President Trump has made clear he would only appoint someone willing to cut interest rates. The immediate story is mortgage rates and housing affordability. The deeper story is a $39 trillion national debt crisis, a government spending $2 trillion more than it collects every year, and a playbook last used after World War II to inflate away the debt without paying it back. Jaspreet Singh breaks down how financial repression worked between 1946 and 1974. Cutting rates below inflation to let the government borrow for free, growing the economy faster than the debt, and making savers poorer in the process, and why the conditions today look strikingly similar. In this episode, you'll learn: How a drop in mortgage rates from 7% to 4.5% saves a homeowner over $600 a month and why Trump is already moving without the Fed, demanding Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac buy $200 billion in mortgage-backed securities to push rates lower now How the 1946–1974 financial repression worked: the government kept interest rates artificially below inflation, pressured institutions to lend to the government at a loss, and grew the debt-to-GDP ratio from 121% down to 25% Why today's situation is worse than post-WWII: the current debt-to-GDP ratio sits around 130%, interest payments already consume 20 cents of every tax dollar collected, and cutting rates would save the government hundreds of billions annually in interest Five investment categories to watch if this plays out: real estate ETFs (VNQ, XHB, ITB), gold as an inflation hedge (GLD), inflation-protected treasuries (SCHP), broad U.S. market exposure (SPY), and international diversification through developed (VEA) or emerging markets (VWO) Keywords: Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, mortgage rates, financial repression, national debt, inflation hedge, interest rates, housing market, S&P 500, gold investing Want more financial news? Join Market Briefs, my free daily financial newsletter: https://link2.briefs.co/gie Below are my recommended tools! Please note: Yes, these are our sponsors & advertisers. However, these are companies that I trust and use (or have used). The compensation doesn't affect my recommendations or advice. That being said, you should always do your own research & never blindly listen to a random guy on YouTube (or podcast). ---------- ➤ Invest In Stocks Passively 1) M1 Finance - Buy stocks & ETFs automatically: https://theminoritymindset.com/m1 ---------- ➤ Life Insurance 2) Policygenius - Get a free life insurance quote: https://theminoritymindset.com/policygenius ---------- ➤ Real Estate Investing Online 3) Fundrise - Invest in real estate with as little as $10! https://theminoritymindset.com/fundrise ----------
MeidasTouch host Ben Meiselas and Platypus Economics host Justin Wolfers report on Donald Trump's Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh flipping on him an revealing himself to be the “interest rate hawk” he always was and not the “dove” that Trump had in Jerome Powell. Remember to subscribe to ALL the MeidasTouch Network Podcasts: MeidasTouch: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/meidastouch-podcast Legal AF: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/legal-af MissTrial: https://meidasnews.com/tag/miss-trial The PoliticsGirl Podcast: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-politicsgirl-podcast Cult Conversations: The Influence Continuum with Dr. Steve Hassan: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-influence-continuum-with-dr-steven-hassan The Weekend Show: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/the-weekend-show The Ken Harbaugh Show: https://meidasnews.com/tag/the-ken-harbaugh-show Majority 54: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/majority-54 On Democracy with FP Wellman: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/on-democracy-with-fpwellman Uncovered: https://www.meidastouch.com/tag/maga-uncovered Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Independent analyst and Gold, Goats, and Guns host Tom Luongo joins the show to explain why he's left orthodox libertarianism behind and adopted a framework built around the City of London, the Federal Reserve, and Donald Trump's geopolitical strategy. The conversation ranges from Jerome Powell's rate hikes to Iran's nuclear ambitions, the Strait of Hormuz, Bitcoin's murky origins, and why Tom thinks most libertarian commentary misses the real centers of power entirely. Tom traces his intellectual break from the Ron Paul/Mises Institute wing of libertarianism back to the post-COVID Fed tightening cycle, arguing that the "coup" against Trump and Powell in 2020–21 mirrors a much older pattern of financial power rooted in London rather than Washington. He recounts a heated confrontation at the Mises Institute where he was cut off mid-speech for suggesting the movement update its models, and uses that story to argue libertarians are prone to the same "purity spiraling" as Bitcoin maximalists or gold bugs. From there, the discussion turns to Trump's Iran policy — framing it as less about Israel and more about dismantling chokepoints, energy dominance, and the offshore dollar system tied to the British Empire's financial remnants. Tom also lays out a theory connecting Bitcoin's DARPA origins to a broader strategy of building a new economic order outside the old London-centered system, and closes by tying Trump's moves in Venezuela and the Middle East to a long-term plan to leave the world harder to drag back into the old status quo. Show Sponsor: Jason Gagne's Good2GoBody 90-day beginner fitness program - https://good2go.podia.com/?coupon=LIONSJOHN Chapters 0:00 – Intro & episode setup 1:47 – Introducing Tom Luongo 3:10 – John's evolution away from libertarian orthodoxy 5:13 – Tom's break: Powell, the Fed, and the 2021 "coup" 10:27 – Naming the enemy: the British Empire, Davos, and the "High Table" 15:16 – The blind spot: why libertarians never blame London 16:36 – Confrontation at the Mises Institute 19:36 – The Last Jedi test: challenging orthodoxy 23:37 – Kevin Warsh and the death of the Phillips Curve 27:30 – Hamiltonian economics vs. Austrian purity: Russia & China 32:00 – Purity spirals and the algorithm trap 35:02 – Trump, Iran, and the nuclear "forever war" 39:55 – Chokepoints, energy dominance, and London's financial architecture 46:07 – Netanyahu, Zionism, and the brain-hemisphere theory 54:34 – Reassessing gatekeepers: from King World News to Dave Smith 65:22 – Bitcoin, DARPA, and the new financial order 70:19 – Trump's endgame: Venezuela, oil, and troop drawdowns 78:46 – Closing thoughts Links Tom Luongo: tomluongo.me Twitter/X: @TFL1728 Patreon: patreon.com/goldghostandguns Schedule a 15 minute Gut Health Audit with John: https://calendar.app.google/B9fcGdSFjC5caTVu5 SUPPORT LIONS OF LIBERTY: Help keep this podcast going! We rely on listener support to continue bringing you content on freedom, political reform, and personal empowerment. Support us on Patreon: https://patreon.com/lionsofliberty Support us on Locals: https://lionsofliberty.locals.com/ Subscribe, rate, and review wherever you listen – it makes a huge difference! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Independent analyst and Gold, Goats, and Guns host Tom Luongo joins the show to explain why he's left orthodox libertarianism behind and adopted a framework built around the City of London, the Federal Reserve, and Donald Trump's geopolitical strategy. The conversation ranges from Jerome Powell's rate hikes to Iran's nuclear ambitions, the Strait of Hormuz, Bitcoin's murky origins, and why Tom thinks most libertarian commentary misses the real centers of power entirely. Tom traces his intellectual break from the Ron Paul/Mises Institute wing of libertarianism back to the post-COVID Fed tightening cycle, arguing that the "coup" against Trump and Powell in 2020–21 mirrors a much older pattern of financial power rooted in London rather than Washington. He recounts a heated confrontation at the Mises Institute where he was cut off mid-speech for suggesting the movement update its models, and uses that story to argue libertarians are prone to the same "purity spiraling" as Bitcoin maximalists or gold bugs. From there, the discussion turns to Trump's Iran policy — framing it as less about Israel and more about dismantling chokepoints, energy dominance, and the offshore dollar system tied to the British Empire's financial remnants. Tom also lays out a theory connecting Bitcoin's DARPA origins to a broader strategy of building a new economic order outside the old London-centered system, and closes by tying Trump's moves in Venezuela and the Middle East to a long-term plan to leave the world harder to drag back into the old status quo. Show Sponsor: Jason Gagne's Good2GoBody 90-day beginner fitness program - https://good2go.podia.com/?coupon=LIONSJOHN Chapters 0:00 – Intro & episode setup 1:47 – Introducing Tom Luongo 3:10 – John's evolution away from libertarian orthodoxy 5:13 – Tom's break: Powell, the Fed, and the 2021 "coup" 10:27 – Naming the enemy: the British Empire, Davos, and the "High Table" 15:16 – The blind spot: why libertarians never blame London 16:36 – Confrontation at the Mises Institute 19:36 – The Last Jedi test: challenging orthodoxy 23:37 – Kevin Warsh and the death of the Phillips Curve 27:30 – Hamiltonian economics vs. Austrian purity: Russia & China 32:00 – Purity spirals and the algorithm trap 35:02 – Trump, Iran, and the nuclear "forever war" 39:55 – Chokepoints, energy dominance, and London's financial architecture 46:07 – Netanyahu, Zionism, and the brain-hemisphere theory 54:34 – Reassessing gatekeepers: from King World News to Dave Smith 65:22 – Bitcoin, DARPA, and the new financial order 70:19 – Trump's endgame: Venezuela, oil, and troop drawdowns 78:46 – Closing thoughts Links Tom Luongo: tomluongo.me Twitter/X: @TFL1728 Patreon: patreon.com/goldghostandguns Schedule a 15 minute Gut Health Audit with John: https://calendar.app.google/B9fcGdSFjC5caTVu5 SUPPORT LIONS OF LIBERTY: Help keep this podcast going! We rely on listener support to continue bringing you content on freedom, political reform, and personal empowerment. Support us on Patreon: https://patreon.com/lionsofliberty Support us on Locals: https://lionsofliberty.locals.com/ Subscribe, rate, and review wherever you listen – it makes a huge difference! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett reacts to the June US employment report, saying the US jobs market is on an "upward trajectory." Speaking on "Bloomberg Open Interest," Hassett also criticizes former Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell for staying on at the central bank.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Keith explores when the U.S. median home price could realistically hit $1 million and what long-term drivers like inflation, construction costs, and housing scarcity mean for investors. He reveals the hidden issue of America's aging housing stock, explaining how outdated and inadequate homes quietly distort inventory data and reshape opportunities for renovation and build-to-rent strategies. Keith also draws lessons from former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan and unpacks why some of the "worst" high-crime cities can still offer strong rental fundamentals, helping listeners think more clearly about risk, market selection, and long-term wealth building through real estate. Episode Page: GetRichEducation.com/612 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. For predictable 10-12% quarterly returns, visit FreedomFamilyInvestments.com/GRE or text FAMILY to 66866 Unlock truly passive real estate income—visit flockhomes.com/GRE today to see if your properties qualify for a 721 exchange with Flock Homes. To get in the best physical, mental, and professional shape of your life, go to DanielThomasHind.com and apply for Daniel's intensive 1-on-1 coaching for burnt-out entrepreneurs and executives. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search "how to leave an Apple Podcasts review" For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— GREletter.com Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 Welcome to GRE. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. When will the median US home value hit the $1 million mark? I have the best answer for the exact year that it will happen, and it's probably sooner than you think. Also, there's a big hidden problem in America's housing market today, and no one is talking about it. It's not prices, mortgage rates, affordability, nor is it inventory. I'll tell you about it and more today on Get Rich Education. Speaker 1 0:30 Since 2014 the powerful Get Rich Education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord, show host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad Advisors, and delivers a new show every week. Since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads of 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top-selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki. Get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps. Build wealth on the go with the Get Rich Education podcast. Sign up now for the Get Rich Education podcast, or visit getricheducation.com Keith Weinhold 1:14 You know, Mid South Home Buyers, that top Memphis turnkey provider, I learned that a secret weapon behind their explosive growth is more than just you buying their properties. It's an executive coach for nine years now. Their CEO, Terry Kerr, and his COO, Pat Nix, have worked privately with a coach who I've now learned from too, and he doesn't market himself online anywhere. After 12 years behind the scenes, that coach is now making himself available exclusively for GRE listeners, his name is Daniel Thomas Hind. If you're a hard-charging business owner or investor who wants to get in the best shape of your life, physically, mentally, and professionally, you can fill out an application for a free consult. This is private one on one coaching for those willing to go to uncommon lengths to achieve uncommon results. Thanks to Daniel, we've all become better leaders, better operators, and better men. It started by showing up for ourselves. Now it's your turn. Go to danielthomashind.com h i n d, that's danielthomashind.com and sign up before Spotsville Flock Homes helps multifamily owners exit the operator grind, whether it's your sixplex or a 50 unit apartment through a 721 exchange. This defers your capital gains tax. It's a strategy long used by institutions. Now you can swap tenants and toilets for passive income and zero management. Request your initial valuations. See if your property qualifies at flockhomes.com/gre that's F L O C K homes . com / G R E. Speaker 2 3:00 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is Get Rich Education. Keith Weinhold 3:16 You're listening to One America's longest running and most listened to shows on real estate investing, not flipping, not speculating, not whatever the latest hot thing is, but prudent long-term real estate investing. This is Get Rich Education. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. You've got to believe that you were not put on this earth to live a mediocre life and waddle in the safety of mediocrity. Your investing should be a reflection of that. You've got to believe that you can obtain financial freedom when you're young enough to enjoy it. What would be the point of deferring financial freedom until you're old, like, what would that point even be? I mean, just imagine a rich elderly version of you. It cannot buy youth. Youth cannot be bought. Look, right now, if someone offered you $20 million to be age 85 tomorrow, the probability that you would take it is pretty much zero. So then build sustainable, durable wealth now today, and with a sense of urgency. That's what we're doing here. A $1 million national median home price. When do we get there? Well, back in 1990 the median national home price was about 120k and you know, funny as it sounds, you can read about how back in 1990 people thought that homes were highly priced, even overpriced, and that maybe they'd need to start. Going down, why was that? Well, just three years earlier, in 1987 they crossed over 100k for the first time. So psychologically, six figures for a home price, that was still a fairly new phenomenon. In 1990 mortgage rates were 10% then for a 30 year fixed rate loan, and by the way, 10% mortgage rates didn't feel too bad to homeowners and real estate investors in 1990 because as recently as 1984 they were 14 and a half percent. Roll it back a little earlier to 1981 and mortgage rates were over 18% then, and of course, mortgage rates are a friendlier six to 7% today, but remember we're talking about home prices here, and when it comes to the trajectory of home prices, rates are really just trivia, because as I've discussed here on the show for years, to many people surprised, mortgage rates have almost nothing to do with home prices, contrary to popular belief, but to those people in 1990 that were still somewhat freshly getting used to six figure prices that were now 120k at that time today's median home price of 429,000 to $300 would have sounded as absurd as paying $18 for airport trail mix and $24 for airport beef jerky, yet here we are. Keith Weinhold 6:36 All of those prices are true. That's where we are today, all right. Well, from 1990 till today, home prices have nearly four exed. So, with that backdrop from recent history, what about a million dollars? When do we get to that point? Well, home prices only need to go up about 2.3x from here. Yogi Berra said it's tough to make predictions, especially about the future, and I want to credit Dr. Lawrence Yuen, any our chief economist, for doing this analysis and sort of getting this conversation started, because when we look at the national median home price hitting million dollars, this forecast assumes zero price growth for this year, although home prices are now up 1.8% year over year. Here we go at 3% price growth from today, we get to a million in 2056 at 4% it's 2049 at 5% price growth, it's 2045 and it's 6% home price growth, it's 2042 and that's just 15 and a half years away. One part that I really want to credit Dr. Yoon for is that if you take the actual price trend from the last 25 years with all of its ups and downs, which also gives you an average annual gain of four and a half percent, by the way, and you project this into the future, that path reaches $1 million in 2048 just over two decades away, so taking the past quarter century, then, and extrapolating it into the future means we hit a million dollars in just a little over 20 years. So, therefore, perhaps the most prudent and sensible projection gets us there in 2048 But look, it's easy to make the case that growth is going to be on the higher side of these estimates, I mean, just look at what's going on now. Keith Weinhold 8:45 Already, inflation is over 4% and there are all kinds of forces that are poised to push that inflation rate higher. I've talked about those in recent episodes. Today, 42 out of 50 states show annual home price gains. Near-term sparks to more home price growth are energy and material price volatility from tariffs and wars, which are poised to push up the replacement cost of homes. And you know, when your property's replacement cost rises, all capital values tend to rise as well. There's also pent-up demand and still paltry supply in most US regions. I'll get to that, but regulatory costs alone are now $132,000 for a new single-family home. You heard that right? Yes, the cost of zoning and other regs is now 132k and that figure is sticky. That does not tend to come down, and then you've got these longer term bonfires, not just the short term sparks that I mentioned, but the longer term bonfires that could make million dollar median home. Dollars occur before 2048 This construction of data centers and all the resources that it takes, and chips, and copper, and electricity, that's all inflationary for our society. When we're building that infrastructure, our currency will keep getting diluted to deal with huge debts like defense and social security payment commitments and interest payments themselves, I mean that part is plain as day new household formation that's expected to push up demand until at least the late 2040s and after that demographically things could turn, but the base case remains 2048 here for the million dollar median home, so this million dollar mark, you know, it's not some sci-fi housing fantasy where your realtor shows up in a flying car, okay, values are already approaching a half million, and this figure of a million that is just 1000 1000, it's not some incomprehensibly gigantic number that's shooting for the moon and the stars, so really the bottom line here is that a million dollar median national home price is an almost inevitable destination and is being pushed up by appreciation, inflation, replacement costs, and scarcity. Keith Weinhold 11:25 The real question is not whether this happens, but it's when it happens. That's why I gave you the year of 2048 as the base case. I want to talk more about housing scarcity shortly, but first, for some historic perspective, do you want to know how much my parents paid for their home in 1974 I thought I knew the figure, but I wanted to check with Dad, and he let me know, and it was what I thought. All right, first, I think I've shared with you before that my parents still live in the same Countersport, Pennsylvania home, the old smallish Victorian style home built in 1917 They've lived in that continuously since Richard Nixon was our president. And you know, when I go visit my parents, I get to sleep in the same bedroom that I have since I was an infant, just amazing. Also, do you know that that home where I grew up, and they still live in.. Do you know that home is location? Do you know where that location is? On what I'll call the urban to rural spectrum, it's interesting. The home is not in a city, it's not in the suburbs, it's not in the exurbs, it's not in the country, and it's not in a planned community either. What's left? Do you know where it might be? Maybe you're thinking too hard. It is in a small town, that's the answer. A small town with a gridded street pattern and Main Street, that's called Main Street, and old brick businesses. It is a standalone community with its own identity and a really slow pace of life. Its population was about 2600 at the turn of the century, and it's down to about 2100 residents today. And Cowder Sport, Pennsylvania, is a remote place, it's over two hours to the nearest international airport in Buffalo, New York, and there really aren't that many flight routes out of Buffalo either. So, for that detached single-family home that does have a big yard, my parents bought it in 1974 for $20,000 exactly 20k and they quickly got that home paid off back in the day, about 58 years ago. Keith Weinhold 13:48 The only financing they had, it wasn't a mortgage in the traditional sense, rather my mom's parents gave them a small loan to put toward that 20k and it was an interest-free loan, and the seller kind of gave them my parents there this adjacent grassy lot, practically free. The person that sold it said they didn't feel like mowing it. That wouldn't happen today. Real estate is just more coveted and calculated, I think. It'll just go throw in a lot, and you can guess who had to mow that adjacent grassy lot more than a few times? Yours truly. And hey, I might even mow it again this year when I visit my parents, and my dad listens to this show, and he sure hopes so. It's not a bad looking home today. I definitely did not grow up dirt poor, but just modestly, there was only one bathroom for our family of four that we all shared, and yes, what this meant was patience, timing, and the ancient art of knocking on the bathroom door with urgency sometimes, and we all took baths only until I was age eighteen, there was just simply no shower until then. We all shared one car, a Subaru station wagon, definitely not deprived in a great childhood, just living modestly. Well, today's median home price is now 22 times the 20k that my parents paid for their home in 1974. Homes in countersport are a lot cheaper, so maybe it's just 12x there. But see, the point is that the home doesn't have more utility because it doesn't have any more than the same three bedrooms today. It's got about the same amount of usefulness they did add a second bathroom. What happened is that our currency has just debased enough to be worth about 1/12 as much as it was in 1974 That's why the price is up 12x Before I get to national housing scarcity factor, maybe you've always wondered where I get my abundance mindset from, since I grew up in a small simple remote place, I'm not sure it's just an internal confidence gain from somewhere. Sometimes I wonder if where I grew up actually contributed to growing my means rather than living below my means, because at some point subconsciously I might have thought before that, you know what, if I fail big in life, then I could always move back to old counter sport and own a decent home for just 200k in a town where I know people, maybe it worked that way, and I moved away from that home for good at age 23. Keith Weinhold 16:44 By the way, that's when I left the nest. As you know, I like to say the most important thing here is that I won the parent lottery - decent, stable married parents. That means considerably more than inflation or economic factors ever could two grade A parents now getting back to housing's scarcity factor. Did you know about what's happening with the available inventory of homes now after four years of rising supply? The inventory trend has flipped. There are now fewer homes for sale nationally than there were a year ago, and this has really thrown off some forecasters that thought inventory would climb about 10% this year. Instead, we have fewer one to four unit properties on the market today than we did last year. This matters because it could signal the next phase of the housing market, it's important to identify these inflection points right here, if it truly is one, because shrinking inventory, that means fewer options for buyers, more competition, and eventually upward price pressure, if the trend holds, but that's not here yet, we haven't seen home prices really take off. A decade ago, there are about one and a half million available homes. The pandemic low in 2022 is where we hit a jaw-droppingly low, 350,000 available homes. I mean, really scraping the bottom, those were the days when there were 40 people in line to see one open house, that was nuts. Keith Weinhold 18:28 Okay, from those scarce, scarce days that has rebounded to 1.1 million available homes the past year or two, and this year it stepped back a little to about 1 million available homes for sale in this nation, so bigger picture today we have 30 to 35% fewer homes available now than we had a decade ago, and remember we've also got to account for the fact that we've had population growth since that time as well, that's why demand continues to exceed supply, so really the housing shortage is a little worse whenever you factor in population growth. So this really speaks to the scarcity, and so does something else here. And there's a big hidden problem in America's housing market today, and nobody, like no one is talking about this, it's not prices, it's not mortgage rates, affordability, nor is it inventory, it's the fact that America's housing is aging with the median now 45 years old, that's older than America's homes have ever been, and 45 is also about the median age of a TikTok user's parents, I think. Now, an 80s built home isn't exactly ancient, but this really factors in here. Now, in Buffalo, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland, the typical home predates 1960 in Austin and Raleigh, it. Is post 2000 so it feels like the Northeast is replacing avocado green appliances, and the Southeast is just replacing Ring camera batteries, because, as you'd expect, fast growth areas have a young housing stock like Florida and Texas and Tennessee to a lesser extent, and at the beginning of the month, I sent our newsletter subscribers this terrific national map that shows the median age of homes by city, a rare map that's pretty fascinating, and in fact, the oldest homes in the nation are in Elmira, New York. They are about 70 years old, not far from where my parents live in Countersport, Pennsylvania, and this is such an under-discussed part of the housing shortage. See, a market it can technically have what seems like available inventory, but still not actually have habitable, financeable, insurable, affordable housing, and older housing stock that creates friction with repairs and appraisals and insurance and affordability. Keith Weinhold 21:10 Harvard's Joint Center for Housing studies found that 3.6 million renter households, that's 8% live in inadequate housing with problems in multiple structural deficiencies like water leaks or serious problems with electrical HVAC or other systems, and this is a real threat to NOAA housing. Are you familiar with this term, NOAH? NOAA stands for Naturally Occurring Affordable housing, and it means properties that are affordable purely due to free market conditions, not public funding. What's interesting is that America isn't just not building enough. See, we're also retaining a lot of older homes longer than generations past did in the mid 20th century, what cities routinely did is that they demolished obsolete housing, and they rebuilt aggressively. Today, that just doesn't work in most places. Replacement happens slowly, because of higher construction costs. In this not in my backyard bickering, and zoning restrictions, and labor shortages and environmental rules. I mean, it just doesn't work that way anymore. Now, here at GRE, we introduce you to providers across the nation that do deep, extensive quality rehabs, but much of America, they just kind of keep patching their homes like it's a 1998 Honda Accord with 280,000 miles in three glowing dashboard warning lights, that's what they're doing, that's why the average age of the home keeps going up. All right, so what are some of the big takeaways for real estate investors with America's homes being older than ever? Number one, it's supply. America still needs more housing, even in cities with stable populations. A lot of them are going to see more units become obsolete than will get built. That's why when you see a headline like inventory is up, all right, that can be true, but it can also be misleading if it's a 1952 duplex with knob and tube wiring, and a furnace that's held together with hope and duct tape. All right, a surprising amount of America's housing stock is basically running on CPR and Lowe's rewards points. The second takeaway with this aging housing stock is that obviously more renovations are required again, that is, if you're not buying new or turnkey, so therefore states like New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Massachusetts, they all have busy Home Depots. Keith Weinhold 23:56 When obsolete properties get renovated, okay, well, then rents have to increase to support those costs, and then you know what happens a lot of times. Cynics call that process right there gentrification. Aging homes are going to be a major policy topic over the next decade. There is this tension between keeping buildings affordable and keeping them standing, you can't preserve what's falling apart, but see, then fixing it prices some people out, and then the third investor takeaway with this aging housing is yet again the arrow points here one more time, build to rent housing, yeah, new build rental homes, they're often the way to go. Usually the trade off for you is that you pay more upfront, and then you have fewer maintenance and repair costs. It usually works out for you, and today this is really tilted to your advantage, because home builders are still doing. Generously buying down your mortgage rate to perhaps 5% it depends on the builder, but this is a rare setup for you in this cycle of the market. New property, low maintenance, and mortgage rates that feel like they came from a different decade, you're getting them now. Not only is our housing aging, hey, so are we. The median age of all Americans is 39 Back in 1980 it was just 30, so this is a massive demographic shift in a short period of time. I mean, you and I are both older than we ever have been, of course, and we're both about 20 minutes older than when you and I started talking today. That is why I endeavored to make this show well worth your time. The bottom line with the aging homes is that by most measures, US housing stock is older than it's ever been. New construction has not kept up with population growth, and this is going to shape housing affordability and construction trends and investment opportunities across America, perhaps for the rest of your investor life. I need to tell you about America's worst cities for crime shortly, because it includes a lot of cities popular with investors, including cities that we frequently talk about here. So, what is going on? This is something that I've wanted to tell you about for a long time. Hey, if you like learning from me, you are in luck. This week and next week, it will be monolog episodes, just you and I together. I'm Keith Weinhold. More for you straight ahead here on episode 612 of Get Rich Education. Keith Weinhold 26:41 What if you got your mortgage loans the same place I get mine? You sure can at Ridge Lending Group, NMLS 42056 They provided GRE listeners with more loans than anyone, because Ridge specializes in investment property. They'll help you build a long-term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequal, and even chat directly with President Chaley Ridge. While it's on your mind, start at ridgelendinggroup.com That's ridgelendinggroup.com Keith Weinhold 27:12 Let me ask you something. If you've worked hard to build wealth, is your money positioned to actually support your goals? A lot of accredited investors leave capital sitting in cash because it feels safe, but inflation and missed income opportunities can quietly erode its value. Freedom Family Investments offers freedom notes for investors seeking structured income backed by real estate. It's a straightforward approach built on real assets, not speculation. In full disclosure, I'm an investor myself. What I like is that their team walks you through how it all works, so you can decide if it aligns with your portfolio and income goals. Every investment carries risk, and nothing is guaranteed, but with a track record of consistent on-time investor payouts, they built real credibility. Go to freedomfamilyinvestments.com to book a clarity call, or text family to 66866 that's Family 266866. Speaker 3 28:14 This is Hal Elrod, author of The Miracle Morning, and listen to Get Rich Education with Keith Weinhold and don't quit your daydream. Keith Weinhold 28:28 Welcome back to Get Rich Education. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. America turns 250 years old this coming weekend. That's our semiquincentennial, which is a word that sort of sounds like it should come with a Latin tutor and a necktie. If you live in the US, like I do, happy birthday to us. Enjoy it, celebrate it, be grateful for it. We're living through a milestone that only comes around once every two and a half centuries. Remember that, despite our differences, we still get to live in one of the most remarkable nations ever built. Warren Buffett said, No one has ever been a success betting against America since 1776 and they're not going to be a success in the future doing it either. End quote. Before I discuss the worst investor cities for crime, Alan Greenspan died last week. Let's learn from history with this long-tenured Fed chair. He served for 19 years, from 1987 to 2006 And then I'll talk about what it means to you. And I actually met Greenspan in person, just briefly, at the New Orleans Investment Conference several years ago, he led the Federal Reserve under four presidents from both parties, and really he was regarded as somewhat of a celebrity economist. He shaped economic policy during this period of massive wealth creation, again 1987 to. 2006 almost two decades, Greenspan was held for his well-timed interest rate moves to fight inflation, all while promoting economic growth, but you know, a lot of prominent economists, they also blamed his big financial deregulation for causing the 2008 global financial crisis. Greenspan and Nomics were really about entering government during the Ford administration after he co-founded a successful economic forecasting firm, and then Greenspan really became known for basing his decisions on this sort of meticulous data analysis, not textbook economics, and he ultimately gained this guru status for really capable monetary policy, including during one of the longest economic booms in the country's history, between 1991 and 2001 all years in which he reigned, and he helped engineer a swift recovery from a massive financial crash during the late Reagan administration, and he did that by slashing interest rates, and then pouring tons of money into the economy, and you know, yeah, everyone is popular when they slash interest rates and print tons of money in the short term, because that makes everybody feel really prosperous, but I think you know what that leads to. Say it with me, inflation in the mid 90s. He presided over rate increases to stem that price growth without causing a recession, and that is a tough balancing act that's known as a soft landing. Jerome Powell basically did that too, despite his faults. But anyway, later Greenspan didn't pay attention to people that wanted him to keep jacking up rates, but he got it right to hold off from doing that. Keith Weinhold 31:50 There was an economic upswing because Greenspan correctly predicted that we'd have all these productivity gains from personal computers that would help tame inflation. He got that part right, and Greenspan, he was like famous for using these hard to decipher pieces of jargon known as Fed speak. I mean, it was unforgettable in 1996 when he dropped the term irrational exuberant, so that really just means these unduly escalated asset values, and he also pioneered these interest rate change announcements as a way to help guide the markets, instead of surprising everybody. But, on the other hand, you know, anyone that shapes the economy is gonna get some criticism. A lot of people said that Greenspan would just always rescue the stock market, and investors sort of knew that he would come rescue it, and that made investors make these riskier and riskier bets. He was an acolyte of libertarian Ayn Rand, and so Greenspan lobbied for this sort of light touch financial regulation during the Clinton years, and that combined with his refusal to raise interest rates and rein in subprime mortgage lenders to stamp out the housing bubble in the 2000s that's really what caused people to say that he was partially responsible for the global financial crisis. His influence definitely remains today. Alan Greenspan lived from 1926 to 2026. Now we've all seen those lists, like America's worst cities or the highest crime metros in the US, floating around on social media, in articles like Newsweeks published for decades, and everywhere in between, right. Keith Weinhold 33:42 It's like the 10 places where your wallet, your hubcaps, and your will to live disappear, something like that, in some form. When you consider real estate markets that you want to invest in, the quality of the area absolutely matters. A bad neighborhood. Oh, that's going to contribute to stagnant rents, flat or declining values, higher vacancy, and you'll probably attract a tenant who treats your property like it's a borrowed jet ski. All right, not where you want to be, but a faulty modus operandi is that a reader? They often see a list like this, and then they extrapolate an area's crime or their public safety issues and blankets them across an entire city. Now, one of these lists came across my desk recently, the 50 worst cities to live in in the United States, and the cities are ranked, and here's what struck me as wild, paradoxical. At least seven of the top eight cities have areas with strong investment fundamentals. Actually, so the eight worst, in order, are Detroit, Memphis, Jackson, Mississippi. St. Louis, Baltimore, Cleveland, Shreveport, Louisiana, and then eighth worst is Birmingham, Alabama. Most all of these have good investment pockets in them. Now, I've never visited Shreveport, so that's one that I can't speak to. All right. Well, what is going on here? Why am I calling them good investor cities if they all make this list, and by the way, I was born in the 34th worst on this list, Redding, Pennsylvania. One of my degrees is in geography, and I get out and see the world, and what's weird, and you'll see this over and over and over again in society throughout your life, and that is when people talk about their own city that they live in. Oh, they understand the nuance. Okay, you know your own city has posh areas and rough places and working class areas, and that city that you live in has improving neighborhoods, and it also has don't stop there for gas after midnight areas, but see, when there's another city that people aren't familiar with, or they haven't visited, well, then suddenly the entire area gets slapped with one label, like, oh, that's nice, or that place is a dump, or the world would be better if that entire city slid into the ocean. Well, that's lazy thinking. Almost every city has sections that they're proud of. And then, well, the garbage collector has to live somewhere. Take Memphis, for example. Keith Weinhold 36:38 It has long been one of America's most real estate investor advantaged cities, and it is a favorable place for income property owners, because it's got landlord friendly laws, a deep base of blue collar distribution jobs, a high ratio of rent income to purchase price, and Memphis also has such an embedded renter culture that tenants appliances actually move around with them, but yet Memphis, like I said, is a dreadful number two on this worst cities list due to high crime. Okay, that's the problem with citywide statistics. Bad neighborhoods can skew stats for an entire city, in fact, since we just mentioned them here on the show last week, take a reputable Memphis-based income property provider like Mid South Homebuyers, they renovate and provide investors with property in neighborhoods like Fraser and White Haven, but wait a moment, you can easily read about crime and blight and disinvestment into these same exact two Memphis neighborhoods, Fraser and Whitehaven. That's real, and that is accurate. And simultaneously, Fraser is anchored economically by nearby world-class hospitals, a massive Amazon presence. You've got Nike's largest distribution center in the world. I mean, that's not exactly a tumbleweed economy. Drive down Fraser's Pamela Drive, and you're going to see an established leafy middle-class neighborhood, mostly built in the 60s, with these modest, well-kept properties, and you can see that if you pull up Pamela Drive, Memphis on Google Street View, and they're often three bed, one bath ranch homes, about 1000 square feet in size, with two tenths of an acre lots. I mean, everything I just described there is ideal for cash flowing rentals, driveways, lawns, normal life - it's not posh, but pride of ownership is apparent here. People mold their lawns, trash stays picked up, you see orderly cars, maybe a jogger or a baby stroller, or a neighbor watering flowers. Keith Weinhold 38:58 You do not see dumped furniture, no cars on blocks, no front yards that look like a failed episode of storage wars. Community stalwarts live here, like our police officers, nurses, public school teachers. So, see, there's substantial variation in investability, even within Fraser in Whitehaven, it's almost a block by block phenomenon, even within one neighborhood. So, to mentally stigmatize every neighborhood in Greater Memphis as bad due to their high crime areas is a really gross aberration. So, when one isn't familiar with an area, there's often an inclination to broad brush stroke at all. I mean, gosh, I wonder if people in Kazakhstan think that you are an abject degenerate simply for sending your child to school because they read that America has lots of school shootings. See, it's. The same principle here, and just like any provider the GRE tells you about, Mid South Homebuyers wants you to visit their neighborhoods in person. In fact, they frequently arrange investor tours and even welcome your visit so much that you'll get a $500 credit on your first property for attending the tour, they will pay you to come see Memphis effectively, and the bigger picture, national crime rates of all kinds just keep plummeting, because everybody is on their phone. Frankly, a lot of places on worst cities lists, like Memphis, they can be dangerous to invest in without a free consultation from our GRE investment coaching or a resource like Mid South Home Buyers. Keith Weinhold 40:51 So, the bottom line is that investors, they don't buy a city, you're going to buy one specific house on one specific street with one specific tenant profile in one specific property management system. Micro locations are what determine your ROI, and by the way, Mid South Home Buyers has good income properties, some of them for about 200k or under 200k and right now they're offering investors their triple five program. This means they buy down your mortgage rate to 5.5% or maybe a little lower, and have a property management fee of just 5% for the first five years on every new turnkey property purchase. That is currently one of the best deals in the nation for income property. You can learn more at Mid South homebuyers.com If that sounds interesting, hopefully you've learned about real estate today and have helped clear up some misconceptions. Million dollar median homes are not some far-fetched fantasy. 2048 is my best guess as to when we reach that point. Housing is more scarce than you think, especially when you consider that America's homes are older than they've ever been, and when we look at one city's crime or demographic statistics, that broad brush strokes quite a wide area. Hey, if you enjoyed today's episode, there's a way to get more out of it for you and others, that is by telling two friends about the show, I love it when you do that, and I'm grateful for it. Text them this episode right now. Until next week, I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. Don't quit your daydream. Speaker 1 42:37 Nothing on this show should be considered specific personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial, or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of Get Rich Education LLC exclusively. Speaker 1 43:05 The preceding program was brought to you by Your Home for Wealth Building, getricheducation.com
There's a new boss over at the Federal Reserve. Is he going to be any different than the old boss? Midweek Memo host Mike Maharrey delved into that question this week. He notes that Warsh certainly sounds different. But he's stepping into the same situation that Jerome Powell left. Mike explains why that will likely limit Warsh's options, meaning the old new boss may end up acting just like the old boss when it's all said and done. Mike also highlights the ever-growing Debt Black hole by breaking down the May federal budget deficit numbers.
Links & ResourcesFollow us on social media for updates: Instagram | YouTubeCheck out our recommended tool: Prop StreamThank you for listening!
MercadoLibre is down 40% for the year, and Simon Brown argues the market is mispricing it as a retailer while ignoring the fintech engine — Mercado Pago — that is becoming Latin America's biggest digital bank. Total payment volume now exceeds gross merchandise volume, even as management deliberately halves operating margins to grab market share. This week also marks the death of former Fed chair Alan Greenspan at 100, a look at SpaceX's volatile listing that still sits above its IPO price, South African inflation cooling to 4.5% with petrol relief on the way, the first FOMC meeting with Jerome Powell no longer chair, and why Brent crude has fallen back to pre-conflict levels despite a major supply scare. Topics: MercadoLibre, MELI, Amazon, SpaceX, Alan Greenspan, FOMC, SA inflation, Brent oil, offshore income. WorldWideMarkets is part of JustOneLap.com.
What should you really expect from a financial advisor? Is your advisor acting as a fiduciary, managing risk, helping with taxes, retirement income, estate planning, and behavioral coaching, or just selling products and chasing performance? Richard Rosso & Jonathan McCarty break down the real role of a financial advisor, what services matter most, how advisors are compensated, and the warning signs investors often miss. We also discuss fiduciary standards, portfolio management, communication expectations, financial planning, and why transparency matters more than promises.. Here's a topical rundown of today's show: 0:00 - INTRO 0:33 - Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, & CPI Review 3:43 - Employment Numbers & Data Centers 5:28 - What Does Your Advisor Do? 9:34 - What Should You Expect? 13:07 - What Are You Getting vs Giving Up? 16:56 - Looking at Taxes on a Continuum 19:26 -Investment Management is Important 24:37 - Financial Advisors with Open Minds 27:41 - Fixed-cost vs Fee-based Financial Planning 26:15 - How to Deal with Emotional & Cognitive Biases 27:11 - Fiduciaries Focus on Things You Miss 28:30 - Proper Asset Location 30:03 - Fee Transparency - How advisors get paid 31:35 - Red Flag Warnings When Choosing an Advisor 33:11 - What Annuities Do (and Don't Do) 34:44 - Big Firms vs Small Firms - KYC 35:38 - Fee-only vs Fee-based Advisors 36:49 - What Comprehensive Wealth Management Should Look Like Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Investment Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Articles Mentioned in Today's Show: "The Perfect Planning Experiemce" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ ------- Do you enjoy our content? Rate us on Google: https://bit.ly/4b9JtEo ------- Watch Today's Full Video on our YouTube Channel: https://youtube.com/live/HXafEWQMFuI?feature=share ------- Watch today's "Before the Bell" feature, "Momentum Mania Meets Market Rotation," here: https://youtu.be/bNIRIssbDP8 ------- Watch our previous show, "Inflation Surge Hits Markets?" https://youtube.com/live/UOSeQNOhcwI ------- * REGISTER for our next Candid Coffee, THIS Saturday, May 16: "Financial Organization Made Simple:" https://streamyard.com/watch/SA6aj2aMdMhf -------- Download Lance's Latest e-book, "Laws of Money & Wealth:"https://realinvestmentadvice.com/ria-e-guide-library/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FinancialAdvisor #RetirementPlanning #Investing #WealthManagement #Fiduciary
Donald Trump's former National Security Advisor, John Bolton, is expected to plead guilty to one criminal charge for essentially mishandling classified information. You can already hear Donald Trump's flunkies, lapdogs and sycophants using the Bolton guilty plea as proof that Donald Trump and his Department of Justice don't vindictively go after people. They will say "Because John Bolton is pleading guilty, he's not being wrongfully prosecuted". Trump's flunkies will try to use the guilty plea as evidence that ALL of the other criminal prosecutions that Donald Trump has demanded his dirty DOJ officials pursue - James Comey, Leticia James, Jerome Powell, six members of Congress, etc. - are somehow validated as righteous by virtue of Bolton's guilty plea. But that's not true at all because not all vindictive prosecutions are created equal.Find Glenn on Substack: glennkirschner.substack.comSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.
Markets are freaked out about the DOJ's threats to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. And so are we! We've got a deep dive into a court order barring Trump from adding an extra-legal proof of citizenship requirement to voter registration forms and a breakdown of Illinois and Minnesota's respective lawsuits against ICE and CBP. And for subscribers, we'll explain why JD Vance's claim that "Every president, Democrat or Republican, believes the War Powers Act is fundamentally a fake and unconstitutional law," is utter BS. Links: Kelly v. Hegseth https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72131361/kelly-v-hegseth/ Neguse v. ICE https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/70964222/neguse-v-us-immigration-and-customs-enforcement New York v. Burgum [Nichols] https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72126766/state-of-new-york-v-burgum/ New York v. Burgum [Lamberth] https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72126847/state-of-new-york-v-burgum/ Federal prosecutor in Virginia fired after refusing to lead Comey case https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/12/us-attorney-virginia-fired-j Trump DOJ fires prosecutor who declined to pursue James Comey case https://www.ms.now/news/trump-doj-fires-prosecutor-who-declined-to-pursue-james-comey-case Washington v. Trump [Election EO] https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69845185/state-of-washington-v-trump/ Illinois v. DHS https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/72131845/state-of-illinois-v-department-of-homeland-security/ Show Links: https://www.lawandchaospod.com/ BlueSky: @LawAndChaosPod Threads: @LawAndChaosPod Twitter: @LawAndChaosPod
They discuss Jerome Powell's ongoing influence at the Federal Reserve, a recent rise in inflation due to higher gas prices, and strong consumer spending. They also address concerns about AI's impact on jobs, suggesting it may not disrupt as many positions as some predict.
Mark analyzes President Trump's latest ceasefire extension proposal, raising concerns over potential risks, especially Iran's nuclear capabilities and security at the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent handled the White House press briefing yesterday, filling in for Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt during her maternity leave. It's shaping up to be a big weekend for Joe and Jill Biden, with Jill's new book launching and her recent remarks on the President's health during the 2024 campaign drawing attention. Mark interviews John Carney, editor of Breitbart Business News. They discuss Jerome Powell's ongoing influence at the Federal Reserve, a recent rise in inflation due to higher gas prices, and strong consumer spending. They also address concerns about AI's impact on jobs, suggesting it may not disrupt as many positions as some predict. Mark previews the major renovation planned for New York's Penn Station and explains how the project is expected to progress. He also credits President Trump for influencing the look of New York City's skyline with his building techniques. Mark shares an update on the Long Island Expressway sinkhole he reported previously and notes that new speed cameras in New York suburbs have already caught numerous drivers. Mark interviews author Ann Coulter. They discuss nationwide outrage over conditions at an ICE detention center in Newark, New Jersey. Mark and Ann break down a proposed bill that would allow undocumented immigrants to vote in New York City. Also, there may be big political changes in California as TV personality Spencer Pratt is running for mayor.
Mark analyzes President Trump's latest ceasefire extension proposal, raising concerns over potential risks, especially Iran's nuclear capabilities and security at the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent handled the White House press briefing yesterday, filling in for Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt during her maternity leave. It's shaping up to be a big weekend for Joe and Jill Biden, with Jill's new book launching and her recent remarks on the President's health during the 2024 campaign drawing attention. Mark takes your calls! Mark interviews John Carney, editor of Breitbart Business News. They discuss Jerome Powell's ongoing influence at the Federal Reserve, a recent rise in inflation due to higher gas prices, and strong consumer spending. They also address concerns about AI's impact on jobs, suggesting it may not disrupt as many positions as some predict.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark analyzes President Trump's latest ceasefire extension proposal, raising concerns over potential risks, especially Iran's nuclear capabilities and security at the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent handled the White House press briefing yesterday, filling in for Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt during her maternity leave. It's shaping up to be a big weekend for Joe and Jill Biden, with Jill's new book launching and her recent remarks on the President's health during the 2024 campaign drawing attention. Mark interviews John Carney, editor of Breitbart Business News. They discuss Jerome Powell's ongoing influence at the Federal Reserve, a recent rise in inflation due to higher gas prices, and strong consumer spending. They also address concerns about AI's impact on jobs, suggesting it may not disrupt as many positions as some predict. Mark previews the major renovation planned for New York's Penn Station and explains how the project is expected to progress. He also credits President Trump for influencing the look of New York City's skyline with his building techniques. Mark shares an update on the Long Island Expressway sinkhole he reported previously and notes that new speed cameras in New York suburbs have already caught numerous drivers. Mark interviews author Ann Coulter. They discuss nationwide outrage over conditions at an ICE detention center in Newark, New Jersey. Mark and Ann break down a proposed bill that would allow undocumented immigrants to vote in New York City. Also, there may be big political changes in California as TV personality Spencer Pratt is running for mayor. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Mark analyzes President Trump's latest ceasefire extension proposal, raising concerns over potential risks, especially Iran's nuclear capabilities and security at the Strait of Hormuz. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent handled the White House press briefing yesterday, filling in for Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt during her maternity leave. It's shaping up to be a big weekend for Joe and Jill Biden, with Jill's new book launching and her recent remarks on the President's health during the 2024 campaign drawing attention. Mark takes your calls! Mark interviews John Carney, editor of Breitbart Business News. They discuss Jerome Powell's ongoing influence at the Federal Reserve, a recent rise in inflation due to higher gas prices, and strong consumer spending. They also address concerns about AI's impact on jobs, suggesting it may not disrupt as many positions as some predict.
They discuss Jerome Powell's ongoing influence at the Federal Reserve, a recent rise in inflation due to higher gas prices, and strong consumer spending. They also address concerns about AI's impact on jobs, suggesting it may not disrupt as many positions as some predict.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
The episode argues that Jerome Powell's decision to remain a Fed governor and keep his vote through January 2028—breaking 78 years of precedent since Marriner Eccles—is a warning about Kevin Warsh's promised "regime change" at the Federal Reserve and growing political pressure on monetary policy. It connects this to historical parallels (the 1951 Treasury-Fed Accord and the Nixon–Burns era inflation) and claims JP Morgan's billionaire clients are shifting heavily into alternatives and underweighting the US dollar. The host outlines three suggested actions: move idle cash to high-yield savings, build defensive hedges (including precious metals and credit lines), or pursue inflation-arbitrage via fixed-rate leveraged rental real estate. The second half describes "exit tax" style policies targeting homeowners and movers in five states—New Jersey, Massachusetts, Washington, California, and New York—and says six more states are drafting similar measures.
The communist government of Cuba seems to be arming up, Jerome Powell finishes his term as Chair of the Federal Reserve, and the World Health Organization declares a “global health emergency” due to an Ebola outbreak in the African countries of Congo and Uganda. We speak to Victoria Coates, E.J. Antoni, and Dr. Omer Awan. Get the facts first with Morning Wire.- - -Ep. 2794- - -Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3- - -Today's Sponsors:Good Ranchers - Start your plan today and get free meat for life plus $100 off your first three orders with our code WIRE at https://goodranchers.com Lean - Get 20% off when you enter code WIRE at https://TakeLean.comZipRecruiter - Post jobs FOR FREE at https://ZipRecruiter.com/WIRE- - -Privacy Policy: https://www.dailywire.com/privacymorning wire,morning wire podcast,the morning wire podcast,Georgia Howe,John Bickley,daily wire podcast,podcast,news podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
This week: Kevin Warsh took over as Federal Reserve Chair, while Jerome Powell will remain on the board. Felix Salmon, Elizabeth Spiers, and Emily Peck, discuss how the Donald Trump appointee will deal with pressure from the president to lower rates despite rising inflation. Then, they cover Trump's visit to China and what it could mean for the US-China power balance, particularly within the AI arms race. And finally, they get into how the AI boom is making semiconductor chips the “It Girl of the global economy.”In the Slate Plus episode: Are we sick of subscriptions? Want to hear that discussion and hear more Slate Money? Join Slate Plus to unlock weekly bonus episodes. Plus, you'll access ad-free listening across all your favorite Slate podcasts. You can subscribe directly from the Slate Money show page on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. Or, visit slate.com/moneyplus to get access wherever you listen. Podcast production by Jessamine Molli and Cheyna Roth. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
If you have a credit card, hope to buy a house, or just want stable grocery prices – let's talk about the future of Fed independence!It's impossibly important for the Federal Reserve to steer monetary policy without political interference – an ideal pushed to its brink during Jerome Powell's time as Fed Chair.Powell's Fed faced a once-in-a-century pandemic, oversaw the economy as inflation spiked to about 9 percent … went back down to nearly 2 percent … and has started to go back up as the U.S. has gone to war and continued to try and implement the most comprehensive tariffs since the early 1900s.But perhaps Powell will be best remembered as a target – of angry tweets, speeches, and ultimately a criminal investigation, by the very president who nominated him in the first place.On Powell's last day as chair, we ask where his story fits into the sweep of history. We'll hear from someone who was on the Fed Board when Powell was appointed … and when President Trump started to pressure Powell. Plus, we learn what to watch for to see if Fed Independence is crumbling – or holding – as a new Fed Chair nominated by President Trump takes office.Recommend Listening: - Happy Fed Independence Day - The case for Fed independence in the Nixon tapes - A primer on the Federal Reserve's independence - Trump's unprecedented attack on the Fed - Should presidents have more of a say in interest rates? - Lisa Cook and the fight for the Fed - What happens to central banks under pressure?Book info. / Subscribe to Planet Money+Listen free: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, the NPR app or anywhere you get podcasts.Facebook / Instagram / TikTok / Our weekly Newsletter.This episode was hosted by Kenny Malone and Erika Beras. It was produced by Sam Yellowhorse Kesler, edited by Jess Jiang, fact-checked by Sierra Juarez, and engineered by Robert Rodriguez and Cena Loffredo. Planet Money's executive producer is Alex Goldmark. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
President Trump heads back to the States after his big Beijing trip, the Supreme Court deals a blow to the effort to end abortion by mail, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell's troubled tenure officially ends. Get the facts first with Evening Wire. - - - Ep. 2789 - - - Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3 - - - Today's Sponsor: Balance of Nature - Go to https://BalanceofNature.com today and get 10% off the Whole Health System™ supplements when you use discount code: WIRE - - - Privacy Policy: https://www.dailywire.com/privacy morning wire,morning wire podcast,the morning wire podcast,Georgia Howe,John Bickley,daily wire podcast,podcast,news podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
There are more travel agents than ever… because AI can't do taste.The biggest IPO of the year so far is Cerebras… this IPO is about wafers and weddings.It's Fed Chair Jerry Powell's last day of work… we give him two grades for his 8-year tenure.Plus, Kool-Aid now thinks it's a wellness brand… so do gummy bears and Kraft Mac & Cheese.$CBRS $KHC $BKNGNEWSLETTER:https://tboypod.com/newsletter OUR 2ND SHOW:Want more business storytelling from us? Check our weekly deepdive show, The Best Idea Yet: The untold origin story of the products you're obsessed with. Listen for free to The Best Idea Yet: https://wondery.com/links/the-best-idea-yet/NEW LISTENERSFill out our 2 minute survey: https://qualtricsxm88y5r986q.qualtrics.com/jfe/form/SV_dp1FDYiJgt6lHy6GET ON THE POD: Submit a shoutout or fact: https://tboypod.com/shoutouts SOCIALS:Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/tboypod TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tboypodYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@tboypod Linkedin (Nick): https://www.linkedin.com/in/nicolas-martell/Linkedin (Jack): https://www.linkedin.com/in/jack-crivici-kramer/Anything else: https://tboypod.com/ About Us: The daily pop-biz news show making today's top stories your business. Formerly known as Robinhood Snacks, The Best One Yet is hosted by Jack Crivici-Kramer & Nick Martell. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
#846: Kevin Warsh confirmed as the next Fed Chair as Jerome Powell looks back on a tumultuous tenure. Swatch and Audemars Piguet collaborate on a Royal Pop collection that has fans waiting in long lines outside. The tobacco industry scores a win as the FDA clears the way for them to make flavored vapes. Honda posts its first-ever annual loss after a pullback from EVs. Finally, what the heck is Instagram's ‘Instants'? Explore connectivity solutions that can transform your business at https://www.att.com/smallbusiness Subscribe to Morning Brew Daily for more of the news you need to start your day. Share the show with a friend, and leave us a review on your favorite podcast app. Listen to Morning Brew Daily Here: https://www.swap.fm/l/mbd-note Watch Morning Brew Daily Here: https://www.youtube.com/@MorningBrewDailyShow Paid endorsement. Brokerage services provided by Open to the Public Investing Inc, member FINRA & SIPC. Investing involves risk. Not investment advice. See terms of match program at https://public.com/disclosures/matchprogram. Matched funds must remain in your account for at least 5 years. Match rate and other terms are subject to change at any time. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
After a year of harassing and threatening Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve, President Trump replaced him on Wednesday. Colby Smith, who covers the Fed, explains how the president ended one standoff only to create a new one. Guest: Colby Smith, a New York Times reporter covering the Federal Reserve and the U.S. economy. Background reading: The Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as the new chair of the Federal Reserve. Video: How Jerome Powell managed a chaotic era. Photo: Kenny Holston/The New York Times, Caroline Gutman for The New York Times For more information on today's episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily. Transcripts of each episode will be made available by the next workday. Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
A new chairman is taking over from Jerome Powell at the Federal Reserve. But Powell isn't leaving. He plans to stay on as a voting member on the Fed's board of governors. WSJ's Nick Timiraos reflects on Powell's tenure and unpacks his controversial decision to remain at the central bank. Jessica Mendoza hosts. Further Listening: - Who Is the New Fed Chair? - Why is the Fed Chair Facing a Criminal Investigation? Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
In the wake of the Supreme Court's seismic redistricting decision, Harry talks with David Gura, Juliette Kayyem, and Tara Setmayer to take stock of the ruling's impact, the aftershocks of the White House Correspondents' Dinner attack, and Jerome Powell's stand against Trump. How will the Callais ruling reshape the political map and Black representation in the South? Will Powell's successor prove a Trump lapdog? And what are the political and policy ramifications of the latest episode of political violence? Mentioned in this episode: David's reporting: https://www.bloomberg.com/authors/AWxIJr64omw/david-gura Juliette's analysis: https://www.theatlantic.com/author/juliette-kayyem/ Tara's Substack: https://tarasetmayer.substack.com/ Juliette's piece about the WHCD attack: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/04/safety-security-whcd-prevention/686969/ Atlantic piece on the rise of so-called normie extremists: https://www.theatlantic.com/national-security/2026/04/cole-allen-whcd-trump-extremism/686993/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
The Pentagon estimates the war with Iran has already cost 25 billion dollars as Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth defended the cost of the war in a hearing before the House Armed Services Committee on Wednesday.Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell says he will remain on the central bank's board after his term ends next month to shield the agency from political pressure.The Supreme Court ruled Wednesday that the Voting Rights Act only prohibits congressional maps intentionally drawn to discriminate based on race, a decision that could make it much harder to challenge aggressive Republican-led redistricting efforts.Want more analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter.Today's episode of Up First was edited by Andrew Sussman, Rafael Nam, Ben Swasey, Mohamad ElBardicy, and Ally Schweitzer.It was produced by Ziad Buchh and Nia Dumas.Our director is Christopher Thomas.We get engineering support from Neisha Heinis. Our technical director is Carleigh Strange.And our deputy Executive Producer is Kelley Dickens.(0:00) Introduction (02:18) Hegseth Defends Iran War(06:07) Powell Stays On As Fed Chair(09:55) SCOTUS Voting Rights CaseSee pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
On Wednesday, the Supreme Court struck down a 2024 Louisiana district map that created a second majority-Black voting district for use in future elections. In a 6-3 decision, the Court found that the Voting Rights Act did not authorize states the ability to create majority-minority voting districts. The ruling didn't overturn Section Two of the Voting Rights Act, but in the dissent, Justice Elena Kagan argued that it had done so in all but deed. Leah Litman, host of Crooked Media's legal podcast Strict Scrutiny, joins the show to tell us what this means for the future of Black voters, redistricting, the midterms, and America.And in headlines, the House Armed Services Committee grills Secretary of War Pete Hegseth over his handling of the war with Iran, Jerome Powell isn't backing down in his feud with Trump, and a Japanese airport tries out baggage handling humanoid robots.Show Notes: Check out Strict Scrutiny – https://tinyurl.com/7dfbhmc5 Call Congress – 202-224-3121 Subscribe to the What A Day Newsletter – https://tinyurl.com/y4y2e9jy What A Day – YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@whatadaypodcast Follow us on Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/crookedmedia/ For a transcript of this episode, please visit crooked.com/whataday
The Supreme Court dealt a significant blow to the Voting Rights Act. The Wall Street Journal’s James Romoser breaks down how the decision could affect redistricting efforts and upcoming elections. Former FBI Director James Comey appeared in court after being indicted for a second time. Eric Tucker of the Associated Press unpacks the charges against him. Jerome Powell will stay on at the Federal Reserve board after his term as chair expires next month. NPR reports that Powell says his decision was motivated by recent attacks on the institution’s independence. Plus, a top Pentagon official puts a price tag on the Iran war, the breakaway LIV Golf league is losing funding from Saudi Arabia, and the $50 movie ticket has arrived. Today’s episode was hosted by Cecilia Lei.
Wednesday marked Jerome Powell's final FOMC meeting as chair of the Federal Reserve. Central bank leaders held rates steady this week, though with the most dissenting votes in over 30 years. Powell also announced his intent to stay on as a Fed governor — the first chair to do so since 1948. In this episode, we recap Powell's tenure as head of the Fed and unpack his latest press conference. Plus: Companies issue more corporate debt, Taco Bell outperforms sales expectations, and AI spawns new cybersecurity headaches.Every story has an economic angle. Want some in your inbox? Subscribe to our daily or weekly newsletter.Marketplace is more than a radio show. Check out our original reporting and financial literacy content at marketplace.org — and consider making an investment in our future.
Why is a civil rights organization being accused of funding white supremacist groups? On this week's Insider podcast, Preet Bharara and Joyce Vance break down the Justice Department's 11-count indictment against the Southern Poverty Law Center. This segment is available for free to listeners of Stay Tuned. To hear the full episode, become a member at cafe.com/insider or staytuned.substack.com/subscribe. You'll also get access to other exclusive content. Topics covered in the full episode include: – The apparent attempted assassination of President Trump at the White House Correspondents Dinner and the charges filed; and – DOJ's decision to drop the investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. CAFE Insiders click HERE to listen to the full analysis. Join Preet and Barb McQuade live at the 92NY on May 31st: cafe.com/barb Subscribe to our YouTube channel. This podcast is brought to you by CAFE and Vox Media Podcast Network. Executive Producer: Tamara Sepper; Supervising Producer: Jake Kaplan; Associate Producer: Claudia Hernández; Senior Audio Producer: Matthew Billy; CAFE Team: Celine Rohr, Nat Weiner, Jennifer Indig, and Liana Greenway. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
On Saturday evening, there was a shooting at the White House Correspondents' Dinner in Washington, D.C. President Trump and members of his cabinet were rushed out of the room, and Trump later gave a surprisingly calm press conference. Authorities have a suspect in custody. Normally, security is extremely tight wherever the President goes, but several journalists reported that security at the event felt surprisingly lax. As politicians took to the Sunday shows to call for unity, internet gumshoes are speculating as to whether the shooting was staged. MSNOW Senior Washington Correspondent and former President of the White House Correspondents Association, Eugene Daniels, helps us make sense of it all.And in headlines, Trump backs out of negotiations with Iran in Pakistan, Republicans use the Correspondents' Dinner shooting to call for an end to the Department of Homeland Security shutdown, and the Department of Justice drops its investigation of former Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, which opens the door for Kevin Warsh to be named as his successor.Show Notes: Check out Eugene's podcast – https://tinyurl.com/2tfpp6jn Call Congress – 202-224-3121 Subscribe to the What A Day Newsletter – https://tinyurl.com/y4y2e9jy What A Day – YouTube – https://www.youtube.com/@whatadaypodcast Follow us on Instagram – https://www.instagram.com/crookedmedia/ For a transcript of this episode, please visit crooked.com/whataday
In a live conversation on YouTube, Lawfare Editor in Chief Benjamin Wittes sat down with Lawfare Senior Editors Anna Bower, Eric Columbus, and Roger Parloff and Lawfare Public Service Fellow Troy Edwards to discuss the indictment of the SPLC, the DOJ dropping its investigation into Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the government's renewed attempt to deport Kilmar Abrego Garcia, and more.You can find information on legal challenges to Trump administration actions here. And check out Lawfare's new homepage on the litigation, new Bluesky account, and new WITOAD merch.To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at https://givebutter.com/lawfare-institute.Support this show http://supporter.acast.com/lawfare. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
The Justice Department has filed charges against the Southern Poverty Law Center which appears to contain serious legal defects. A judge tosses Kash Patel's defamation lawsuit against former FBI Assistant Director for Counterintelligence Frank Figliuzzi The FBI is said to have investigated a New York Times reporter who wrote an article about Kash Patel's girlfriend. Todd Blanche has tapped Joe DiGenova to take over the investigation into ex CIA chief John Brennan and others. The Justice Department has agreed to pay $1.25 million to Carter Page for the investigation into him during Trump's first term Jeanine Pirro has dropped the criminal investigation of Jerome Powell, which was holding up Trump's nomination of Warsh to take his place next month. Plus listener questions. Do you have questions for the pod or something for HITMEINTHEHEADWITHABAT? Check out other MSW Media podcastshttps://mswmedia.com/shows/ Follow AGMueller, She Wrote SubstackMueller She Wrote on Blueskyhttps://twitter.com/MuellerSheWrotehttps://twitter.com/dailybeanspodMore from Andrew McCabeThe Real McCabe on Substack@therealmccabe.com on BlueskyThe Threat: How the FBI Protects America in the Age of Terror and Trump This Show is Available Ad-Free And Early For Patreon and Supercast Supporters at https://patreon.com/thedailybeansOr when you Subscribe on Apple Podcastshttps://apple.co/3YNpW3P Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Newmont is earning $11/share at 10x PE with 132% growth — half the S&P's multiple. Wall Street is asleep at the wheel.This episode is sponsored by Outskill. Bonuses worth $5100+ if you join and attend. Grab your free seat to the 2-Day AI Mastermind: https://link.outskill.com/PETERSCHIFFAP4This episode is also sponsored by ExpressVPN. Get an extra 4 months free. http://expressvpn.com/GoldNewmont Mining just posted 132% earnings growth with five-to-one margins and a stock trading at 10x earnings — half the S&P multiple — and Wall Street barely noticed. Peter Schiff breaks down why gold miners are the most undervalued sector in the market and why he's been accumulating positions in companies like Newmont, Franco-Nevada, and Wheaton for over 20 years without selling a share.The episode also covers Trump's Iran war pivoting from threatened annihilation to an economic blockade that's keeping oil above $94, the DOJ dropping its criminal investigation into Jerome Powell's Fed building remodel as an olive branch to clear the way for Kevin Warsh, Schiff's own six-year experience with leaked government investigations that were never officially closed, Michael Saylor's Strategy preferred stock as a self-described Ponzi scheme the SEC refuses to touch, and a new cottage industry of mass tort lawyers helping businesses claim tariff refunds — proof that Americans, not foreigners, paid every cent of those tariffs.Chapters:00:00 Cold Open Montage00:57 Show Intro Puerto Rico01:28 War Drags On Markets Shrug04:27 Blockade Strait Oil Spike08:18 Election Pressure Inflation Risks13:22 Commercial AI Mastermind Ad15:54 Post Office Hikes Inflation16:41 Powell Probe Fed Incentives22:31 Schiff Investigation Story30:00 Commercial ExpressVPN Pitch31:37 Gold Friday Market Wrap34:35 Newmont Earnings Surge36:52 Gold Miner Margins Explained38:20 Buybacks and M&A Signals39:27 West Red Lake Pullback40:19 Buying Bad News Strategy42:38 Position Sizing and Risk45:04 Gold Fund and Active Picks46:40 Bitcoin Yield Ponzi Rant53:18 Tariff Refund Fallout56:50 Debt Deficits and War01:02:01 Wrap Up and SubscribeFollow @peterschiffX: https://twitter.com/peterschiffInstagram: https://instagram.com/peterschiffTikTok: https://tiktok.com/@peterschiffofficialFacebook: https://facebook.com/peterschiffFree Reports & Market Updates: https://www.europac.comBook Store: https://schiffradio.com/booksSign up for Peter's most valuable insights at https://schiffsovereign.comSchiff Gold News: https://www.schiffgold.com/news#PeterSchiffShow #GoldMiners #NewmontMiningPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy
A Pentagon bus crash leaves several War Department officials injured, the DOJ drops its investigation of Jerome Powell, and the number of single men seeking surrogacy rises. Get the facts first with Evening Wire. - - - Ep. 2751 - - - Wake up with new Morning Wire merch: https://bit.ly/4lIubt3 - - - Today's Sponsor: Good Ranchers - Get $25 off your first order and free meat for life when you use code WIRE at https://GoodRanchers.com - - - Privacy Policy: https://www.dailywire.com/privacy morning wire,morning wire podcast,the morning wire podcast,Georgia Howe,John Bickley,daily wire podcast,podcast,news podcast Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
It was another busy week in politics. We discuss the Justice Department's decision to drop its investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, the status of negotiations over funding for the still-shut-down Department of Homeland Security, Congress and cabinet members who left their positions, and more. This episode: senior political correspondent Tamara Keith, congressional reporter Sam Gringlas, and White House correspondent Franco Ordoñez.This podcast was produced by Casey Morell and Bria Suggs, and edited by Rachel Baye. Our executive producer is Muthoni Muturi.Listen to every episode of the NPR Politics Podcast sponsor-free, unlock access to bonus episodes with more from the NPR Politics team, and support public media when you sign up for The NPR Politics Podcast+ at plus.npr.org/politics.See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
President Trump extends the ceasefire with Iran indefinitely as Iran calls the extension meaningless and accuses the U.S. of preparing a surprise attack.Virginia voters narrowly approved a ballot measure letting Democrats redraw the state's congressional map, potentially flipping four House seats this fall. And Kevin Warsh told the Senate he wouldn't be the president's sock puppet at the Federal Reserve, but Republican Senator Thom Tillis is still threatening to block his confirmation until the Justice Department drops its investigation of current Fed Chair Jerome Powell.Want more analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter.Today's episode of Up First was edited by Rebekah Metzler, Ben Swasey, Rafael Nam, Mohamad ElBardicy, and Lindsay Totty.It was produced by Ziad Buchh and Nia Dumas.Our director is Christopher Thomas.We get engineering support from Neisha Heinis. Our technical director is Carleigh Strange.And our Supervising Producer is Michael Lipkin.(0:00) Introduction(01:54) Trump Extends Ceasefire Indefinitely(05:44) VA Redistricting Results(09:18) Warsh Fed HearingSee pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy
The ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran expires soon as President Trump calls an extension highly unlikely and Vice President JD Vance heads to Pakistan for talks Iran won't publicly confirm it will attend.Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer resigned amid allegations of an affair with her bodyguard, drinking on the job, and using taxpayer money for personal travel, becoming the third cabinet member to leave in less than two months.And President Trump's pick to lead the Federal Reserve faces his confirmation hearing today, but Republican Senator Thom Tillis is threatening to block it until the Justice Department drops its investigation of current Fed Chair Jerome Powell.A previous version of the story "Iran Ceasefire Deadline" incorrectly said the ceasefire between the US, Iran and Israel expires today. It expires on Wednesday.Want more analysis of the most important news of the day, plus a little fun? Subscribe to the Up First newsletter.Today's episode of Up First was edited by Ruth Sherlock, Emily Kopp, Rafael Nam, Mohamad ElBardicy, and HJ Mai.It was produced by Ziad Buchh and Nia Dumas.Our director is Christopher Thomas.We get engineering support from Neisha Heinis. Our technical director is Carleigh Strange.And our Supervising Senior Producer is Vince Pearson.(0:00) Introduction(01:58) Iran Ceasefire Deadline(05:59) Labor Secretary Out(09:33) Hearing For New Fed ChairSee pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for sponsorship and to manage your podcast sponsorship preferences.NPR Privacy Policy