Podcast appearances and mentions of Dan Gardner

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Best podcasts about Dan Gardner

Latest podcast episodes about Dan Gardner

Energi Talks
Is Trump a fascist?

Energi Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 19, 2025 38:47


Journalist Markham Hislop interviews veteran American journalist Llewellyn King about his column,  “Political Fear Stalks Law, Education, Journalism, Migration." While King says US President Donald Trump hasn't adopted the mantle of fascism, he governs like a fascist. Markham argues that that makes him a fascist whether he describes himself as one or not. A spirited, fascinating look at the descent of the United States into chaos.Dan Gardner's substack post, Is it Fascism?:  https://dgardner.substack.com/p/is-it-fascism

The Studies Show
Episode 66: Superforecasting

The Studies Show

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 4, 2025 75:53


Whether it's the 1903 New York Times article that claimed a flying machine was ten million years away, or the record executive who (allegedly) told the Beatles in the early 1960s that guitar bands were on the way out, predictions are hard.In this episode of The Studies Show, Tom and Stuart discuss the psychologist Philip Tetlock's research on superforecasters, the people who make the most accurate predictions of all. Even if you can't become a superforecaster yourself, it turns out there's a lot we can learn from them about how to form beliefs—and how to be right more often.The Studies Show is brought to you by Works in Progress magazine, where this week Tom has written a review of the new book, Doctored, about fraud in Alzheimer's research. Read that and many other short pieces on the Works in Progress Substack at worksinprogress.news.Show notes* A book chapter on the “Expert Political Judgement” study from Philip Tetlock* Research on how people interpret terms like “a serious possibility” and “likely”* Research that argues against the idea that teaming up makes superforecasters better* Study on the correlates of being a good superforecaster (i.e. having a low Brier score)* A paper on “small steps to accuracy”: how people who update their beliefs more often are better forecasters* Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner's book Superforecasting* Julia Galef's book The Scout Mindset* Tom's book, Everything is Predictable* Tom's review of Mervyn King's book, Radical UncertaintyCreditsThe Studies Show is produced by Julian Mayers at Yada Yada Productions. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thestudiesshowpod.com/subscribe

Könyvben utazom Oláh Andreával
Bent Flyvbjerg, Dan Gardner - Megvalósítás hatékonyan - Dojcsák Dániel

Könyvben utazom Oláh Andreával

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 10, 2024 30:13


Min múlik, hogy egy terv diadalt arat vagy elbukik? "Az esetek 92 százalékában a nagyszabású beruházások rémálomszerű fiaskóvá válnak: nem készülnek el határidőre, és jelentősen túllépik a tervezett költségkeretet. Így történt ez eddig minden olimpia megrendezésénél, de a világ szinte összes nagyvárosában találunk rá példát . A szerényebb kezdeményezések is - legyen szó akár egy kisvállalkozás beindításáról, egy konferencia megszervezéséről vagy egy munkahelyi projekt lebonyolításáról - gyakran hasonló sorsra jutnak." A Megvalósítás hatékonyan egy érdekes példákkal teli, lényegretörően és szórakoztatóan megírt okos könyv, amely a Shiwaforce támogatásával jelent meg magyarul a Hvg Kiadó gondozásában. A Shiwaforce kommunikációs igazgatója, Dojcsák Dániel a Könyvben utazom vendége, vele beszélgetünk a könyv példáiról és meglepő tanulságairól.

Enter the Boardroom with Nurole
86. Dan Gardner (part two) - how boards get big things done

Enter the Boardroom with Nurole

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 11, 2024 40:43


Dan Gardner is the international best-selling author of Superforecasting, How Big Things Get Done, Risk and Future Babble. Tune in to hear his thoughts on: What are the key things boards need to get things done on time, within budget? (1:06) Can you explain how board members can “build with lego”? (4:25) What would you say to boards that don't have climate risk at the top of their agenda? (7:16) How does our emotional response impact our assessment of risk? (10:44) When should board members use their gut, and when, their intuition? (18:01) Does gender impact risk perception, and what are the boardroom implications? (20:39) How do the availability, anchoring and representative heuristics impact our decision making? (25:17) ⚡The Lightning Round ⚡(35:26) Show notes and transcript available at https://www.nurole.com/news-and-guides

Enter the Boardroom with Nurole
85. Dan Gardner (part one) - superforecasting and fat tail risks

Enter the Boardroom with Nurole

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 4, 2024 41:57


Dan Gardner is the international best-selling author of Superforecasting, How Big Things Get Done, Risk and Future Babble. Tune in to hear his thoughts on: What are the key insights from Superforecasting for board members? (1:15) Can you expand on the idea of probabilistic thinking? (10:00) Practically, how can board members apply concepts like epistemic humility and base rates to their decision making? (12:56) Can board members be victims of their own success? (14:43) Do people account sufficiently for luck in previous successes? (17:04) How can boards make sure members get sufficient feedback on their decisions? (20:53) How can boards assess a prospective member's judgement? (23:55) Why do smart people consistently underestimate the costs of projects, especially fat tail risks? (25:01) How can board members use base rates for IT and building projects to challenge and support? (31:52) Have you established any base rates for budgeting? (37:51) Show notes and transcript available at https://www.nurole.com/news-and-guides

The Good Practice Podcast
405 — What's in your book bag this summer?

The Good Practice Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 30, 2024 46:28


A summer holiday holds the potential for distraction-free reading. With that in mind, in this week's episode our podcast team suggest books that hold lessons for L&D practitioners. Which might you take on holiday this summer? Book list Right Kind of Wrong. Why Learning to Fail Can Teach Us to Thrive (2023) by Amy Edmondson www.amazon.co.uk/Right-Kind-Wrong-Learning-Thrive Counter-Intelligence: What the secret world can teach us about problem-solving and creativity (2024) by Robert Hannigan https://www.roberthannigan.com/ The Tyranny of Metrics (2018) by Jerry J. Muller www.amazon.co.uk/Tyranny-Metrics-Jerry-Z-Muller How big things get done. The surprising factors behind every successful project (2023) by Brent Flyberg and Dan Gardner www.amazon.co.uk/How-Big-Things-Get-Done A history of the world in twelve shipwrecks (2024) by David Gibbons www.amazon.co.uk/History-World-Twelve-Shipwrecks Performance-focused learner surveys (2022) by Will Thalheimer www.amazon.co.uk/Performance-Focused-Learner-Surveys-Distinctive-Effectiveness   In ‘What I Learned This Week', Nahdia spoke about how former PM Harold Wilson funded his Alzheimer's care www.theguardian.com/politics/article/2024/jul/23/former-pm-harold-wilson-sold-private-papers-fund-care-alzheimers   Ross Dickie also mentioned the traditional Greek bagpipe, known as the ‘tsampouna', which he discovered during a recent holiday on Santorini. For more from us, including access to our back catalogue of podcasts, visit mindtools.com/business. There, you'll also find details of our award-winning performance support toolkit, our off-the-shelf e-learning, and our custom work.  Connect with our speakers    If you'd like to share your thoughts on this episode, connect with us on LinkedIn: ·       Nahdia Khan ·       Owen Ferguson ·       Ross Dickie  

The Herle Burly
Dan Gardner: Elections in the modern era and what matters in them

The Herle Burly

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 11, 2024 62:21


The Herle Burly was created by Air Quotes Media with support from our presenting sponsor TELUS, as well as CN Rail.Alright, you curiouser and curiouser Herle Burly-ites. Let's get this pod underway.In the realm of CVs that I've seen and determined are far more impressive than mine – that's a helluva lot of CVs, by the way – today's guest ranks way up there: Dan Gardner!Don't know Dan? Let me give you just a smattering of his accomplishments.  He's a New York Times best-selling author, speaker, consultant, and freelance writer/editor. His latest book is “How Big Things Get Done”. Trained in history and law, Dan worked as a senior policy advisor to a Premier and Minister of Education, before turning to journalism in 1997. He's been nominated for every major award in Canadian newspaper journalism – and won a bunch of them – and his books have been published in 26 countries and 20 languages. Dan's also won awards from Amnesty International Canada, the John Howard Society, the Department of Justice, and other organizations. And his work also contributed to significant changes in Canadian public policy. So just a little bit impressive!Today … I thought it would be interesting if Dan and I took a deep dive on one very broad question: “Elections in the modern era. What matters in them?”Thank you for joining us on #TheHerleBurly podcast. Please take a moment to give us a rating and review on iTunes, Spotify, Stitcher, Google Podcasts or your favourite podcast app.Watch episodes of The Herle Burly via Air Quotes Media on YouTube.

The Best of the Money Show
Business Book feature - How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors Behind Every Successful Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration by Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner

The Best of the Money Show

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 10, 2024 11:12


Ian Mann, Regular Book Reviewer and MD at Gateways Business Consultants, joins host Bruce Whitfield to discuss how Flyvbjerg demonstrates how you can. Recognize that your biggest danger is you. How Big Things Get Done, filled with vivid examples ranging from the construction of the Sydney Opera House to the production of Pixar blockbusters to an errant home repair in Brooklyn, demonstrates how to complete any ambitious project on schedule and under budget.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

The Indicator from Planet Money
Why California's high speed rail was always going to blow out

The Indicator from Planet Money

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 6, 2024 9:22


99.5 percent of megaprojects are either over time, over budget or have lower benefits than expected. What's going wrong? Today, we look at case studies from California's high speed rail project to the Sydney Opera House to consider the do's and don'ts of ambitious projects. Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner's book on megaprojects is How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors that Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between. Related episodes:Why building public transit in the US costs so much (Apple / Spotify) Planes, trains and bad bridges (Apple / Spotify) ICYMI, preorder our new Indicator t-shirt at the NPR shop. For more ways to support our show, sign up for Planet Money+ where you'll get sponsor-free listening, bonus episodes, and access to even more Indicator merch!Music by Drop Electric. Find us: TikTok, Instagram, Facebook, Newsletter. Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoicesNPR Privacy Policy

AT THE MOVIES With Arch Campbell & Loo Katz
Arch Campbell Podcast RUNPEE MOVIE APP

AT THE MOVIES With Arch Campbell & Loo Katz

Play Episode Listen Later May 30, 2024 38:06


"Cinema" Lou Charlip joins Arch & Loo along with Dan Gardner, the creator of the RunPee movie app. You'll learn all about how the totally free app works. We also discuss the MoviePass, MovieCrash documentary, the animated version of Avitar: The Last Airbender, Jerry Seinfeld's recent appearance on SNL, Young Woman and the Sea, Thelma, and more. GET A FREE STARUCKS COFFEE GIFT CARD FROM HOUND RADIO. ENROLL IN DROOL SCHOOL TO WIN! www.houndradio.com

The CMO Whisperer
What Marketers Are Missing About AI & More - Dan Gardner

The CMO Whisperer

Play Episode Listen Later May 10, 2024 39:25


My guest this week is Dan Gardner, the co founder and executive chairman of the technology first network Code and Theory. They work with brands like Microsoft, Amazon, Google, JP Morgan, Chase and more. We kick of talking about the eerie similarity between 2001 and 2024, and what marketers are missing about AI.

Assistive Technology Update with Josh Anderson
ATU673 – Color InkConnect and ViewPlus Technologies with Dan Gardner

Assistive Technology Update with Josh Anderson

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 19, 2024 27:08


Your weekly dose of information that keeps you up to date on the latest developments in the field of technology designed to assist people with disabilities and special needs. Special Guest: Dan Gardner – CEO – ViewPlus Technologies, Inc. Website: https://viewplus.com More on Web Accessibility Webinar and to register: https://www.eastersealstech.com/a11y/ —————————— If you have an […] The post ATU673 – Color InkConnect and ViewPlus Technologies with Dan Gardner first appeared on Assistive Technology at Easter Seals Crossroads.

Flux Capacitor
Episode 95: Solutions for our Energy Future with Heather Chalmers

Flux Capacitor

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 11, 2024 42:57


GE Vernova Canada President and President of Global Growth Markets at GE Vernova Heather Chalmers is in conversation with host Francis Bradley about this new company, her role in Canada and in global growth markets, technology ambition, the need for governments and stakeholders to align in order to meet sustainability goals, and her take on the Government of Canada's draft Clean Electricity Regulations. Heather also talks about the criticality of Indigenous reconciliation, the challenges of supply chains and ensuring we have the people to build our energy future. They close the conversation with two timely recommendations for additions to the Flux Capacitor Book Club.Links:GE Vernova: https://www.gevernova.com/Heather Chalmers on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/heather-chalmers/?originalSubdomain=caBook recommendations:How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between, by Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/61327449-how-big-things-get-done21 Things You May Not Know About the Indian Act, by Bob Joseph: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/38620150-21-things-you-may-not-know-about-the-indian-act

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma
Ep 370: Yugank Goyal Is out of the Box

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 26, 2024 274:20


So what if he is an academic? He is also an an original thinker with deep insights about education, elections, colonisation, politics, history, society. Yugank Goyal joins Amit Varma in episode 370 of The Seen and the Unseen to throw thought-bomb after thought-bomb at all of us. (FOR FULL LINKED SHOW NOTES, GO TO SEENUNSEEN.IN.) Also check out: 1. Yugank Goyal on Twitter, LinkedIn, EPW, Flame University and Google Scholar. 2. Who Moved My Vote? -- Yugank Goyal and Arun Kumar Kaushik. 3. Documenting India: The Centre for Knowledge Alternatives. 4. Fixing Indian Education — Episode 185 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Karthik Muralidharan). 5. Robert Sapolsky's biology lectures on YouTube. 6. Harvard's CS50 course. 7. Superforecasting — Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. 8. Fixing the Knowledge Society -- Episode 24 of Everything is Everything. 9. The Superiority of Economists -- Marion Fourcade, Etienne Ollion and Yann Algan. 10. Publish and Perish — Agnes Callard. 11. The Long Divergence — Timur Kuran. 12. The Incredible Insights of Timur Kuran — Episode 349 of The Seen and the Unseen. 13. Suyash Rai Embraces India's Complexity — Episode 307 of The Seen and the Unseen. 14. Premchand on Amazon and Wikipedia. 15. Dead Poet's Society -- Peter Weir. 16. Maithili Sharan Gupt and Jaishankar Prasad. 17. Kafan -- Premchand. 18. Elite Imitation in Public Policy — Episode 180 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Shruti Rajagopalan and Alex Tabarrok). 19. Is There an Indian Way of Thinking? — AK Ramanujan. 20. The Intimate Enemy -- Ashis Nandy. 21. The Colonial Constitution — Arghya Sengupta. 22. Arghya Sengupta and the Engine Room of Law -- Episode 366 of The Seen and the Unseen. 23. The History of British India -- James Mill. 24. SN Balagangadhara (aka Balu) on Amazon and Wikipedia. 25. Episodes of The Seen and the Unseen with Ramachandra Guha: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5. 26. Episodes of The Seen and the Unseen with Manu Pillai: 1, 2, 3, 4. 27. Pride and Prejudice -- Jane Austen. 28. Ranjit Hoskote is Dancing in Chains -- Episode 363 of The Seen and the Unseen. 29. The UNIX Episode -- Episode 32 of Everything is Everything. 30. The Evolution of Everything -- Matt Ridley. 31. The Evolution of Everything -- Episode 96 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Matt Ridley). 32. The Evolution of Cooperation -- Robert Axelrod. 33. Kantara -- Rishab Shetty. 34. Early Indians — Episode 112 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Tony Joseph). 35. Early Indians — Tony Joseph. 36. Who We Are and How We Got Here — David Reich. 37. Alice Evans Studies the Great Gender Divergence — Episode 297 of The Seen and the Unseen. 38. The People of India -- Herbert Risley. 39. Rahul Matthan Seeks the Protocol — Episode 360 of The Seen and the Unseen. 40. Gangs of Wasseypur -- Anurag Kashyap. 41. Why Children Labour (2007) -- Amit Varma. 42. Laws Against Victimless Crimes Should Be Scrapped — Amit Varma. 43. Intimate City — Manjima Bhattacharjya. 44. Manjima Bhattacharjya: The Making of a Feminist — Episode 280 of The Seen and the Unseen. 45. A Life in Indian Politics — Episode 149 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Jayaprakash Narayan). 46. Politics — A limerick by Amit Varma. 47. India's Far From Free Markets (2005) — Amit Varma in the Wall Street Journal. 48. The Four Quadrants of Conformism — Paul Graham. 49. Public Choice Theory Explains SO MUCH -- Episode 33 of Everything is Everything. 50. Ramayana, the 1987 serial, on Wikipedia and YouTube. 51. 300 Ramayanas — AK Ramanujan. 52. The Life and Times of Vir Sanghvi — Episode 236 of The Seen and the Unseen. 53. The BJP Before Modi — Episode 202 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Vinay Sitapati). 54. The Intellectual Foundations of Hindutva — Episode 115 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Aakar Patel). 55. Cycle -- Prakash Kumte. 56. Mulshi Pattern -- Pravin Tarde. 57. The Heathen in His Blindness -- SN Balagangadhara. Amit's newsletter is explosively active again. Subscribe right away to The India Uncut Newsletter! It's free! Amit Varma and Ajay Shah have launched a new video podcast. Check out Everything is Everything on YouTube. Check out Amit's online course, The Art of Clear Writing. Episode art: ‘Look Inside the Box' by Simahina.

Cheap Talk
Exercise in Optimism

Cheap Talk

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 27, 2024 66:18


Doomsday clock trivia; the origins of the clock; over-interpreting what time it is; becoming desensitized to global threats; public education and advocacy around existential risk; risk assessment by the global elite; the perils of expert prediction; and Marcus thinks this is a trick questionSubscribe and leave a review on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your podcast player of choicePlease send us your questions or comments! Send us an email or leave us a voicemailSupport the podcast by visiting our online store at cheaptalk.shopFurther reading:“2024 Doomsday Clock Announcement.” 2024. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.“Doomsday Clock Timeline.” 2023. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists.Kennette Benedict. 2023. “Answers to Common Questions.” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. “Global Risks Report 2024.” 2024. World Economic Forum. Philip E. Fetlock and Dan Gardner. 2015. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction. Crown Books.Seth Walder. 2023. “Going for 2 down 8 points: Explaining NFL analytics strategy.” ESPN.com.See all Cheap Talk episodes

The 232 Degrees Podcast: Unlocking Great Books
232 Degrees S3 Ep 4 - How Big Things Get Done by Bent Flyvberg and Dan Gardner

The 232 Degrees Podcast: Unlocking Great Books

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 7, 2024 29:18


Welcome to Season 3 of the podcast. We love books and reading, and today we dive into the amazing book How Big Things Get Done: the Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project from Home Renovations to Space Exploration, and Everything in Between. Seán gets all engineer and we have an amazing convo about the confluence between human behaviour and the big stuff we try and do… Support your local bookstore PLEASE :-) or find out where to grab the book here: https://booko.info/w/9859306/How-Big-Things-Get-Done_by_Bent-Flyvbjerg-Dan-Gardner  To check out the progress (!!) of the California High Speed Rail Authority (and their billions) - check them out https://hsr.ca.gov/  Connect with us here: the232podcast@gmail.com

The Shift
15 livros para entender 2024

The Shift

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 24, 2023 55:03


A tradição continua. Cristina De Luca e Silvia Bassi selecionaram 15 livros para preparar corações e mentes para o próximo ano. 2024 promete ser ainda mais transformador que 2023, e entender de tecnologia apenas não basta. Os livros escolhidos para este ano ajudam a mudar nosso modelo mental para juntar inovação, cultura corporativa e responsabilidade ambiental, mantendo as pessoas no centro.Os livros para 2024:Como fazer grandes coisas (How Big Things Get Done) - Por Bent Flyvbjerg e Dan Gardner - versões em inglês e em português.Invention and Innovation: A Brief History of Hype and Failure - Por Vaclav Smill - edição em inglêsRight Kind of Wrong: Why Learning to Fail Can Teach Us to Thrive - Por Amy C. Edmondson - edição em inglêsO abismo vertiginoso: Um mergulho nas ideias e nos efeitos da física quântica - Por Carlo Rovelli - versões em inglês e em portuguêsA New Way to Think: Your Guide to Superior Management Effectiveness - Por Roger L. Martin - edição em inglêsNumber Go Up: Inside Crypto's Wild Rise and Staggering Fall - Por Zeke Faux - edição em inglêsA próxima onda: Inteligência artificial, poder e o maior dilema do século XXI - por Mustafa Suleyman - versões em inglês e em portuguêsThe Geek Way: The Radical Mindset that Drives Extraordinary Results - Por Andrew McAfee - edição em inglêsThe Worlds I See: Curiosity, Exploration, and Discovery at the Dawn of AI - Por Fei-Fei Li - edição em inglêsFive Times Faster: Rethinking the Science, Economics, and Diplomacy of Climate Change - Por Simon Sharpe - edição em inglêsConversando com Robôs: Arte de GPTear - Por Rodrigo Murta - edição em portuguêsPower and Progress - Por Daron Acemoglu e Simon Johnson - edição em inglês Scaling People: Tactics for Management and Company Building - Por Claire Hughes Johnson - edição em inglêsThe Future - Por Naomi Alderman - edição em inglêsElon Musk - Por Walter Isaacson - versões em inglês e em português_____FALE CONOSCOEmail: news@theshift.info_____RECEBA AS NEWSLETTERS DA THE SHIFTwww.theshift.info

White Canes Connect
Tactile Astronomy Presentation with Dr. David Hurd, Dr. Matt Marone & Dan Gardner

White Canes Connect

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 8, 2023 98:39


In this episode of White Canes Connect, we relive the tactile astronomy presentation for the 2022 NFB of PA State Convention in Pittsburgh. With Dr. David Hurd, Professor of Geosciences at PennWest University, Dr. Matt Marone, Professor of Physics at Mercer University, and Dan Gardner from ViewPlus, the tactile graphics company. They show the audience how they teach tactile astronomy to blind and visually impaired students. Show notes at https://www.whitecanesconnect.com/088   Dr. David Hurd Besides being a Professor of Geosciences, Dr Hurd is also a Planetarium Director at PennWest University. Read more about him at https://www.edinboro.edu/academics/schools-and-departments/cshp/departments/geosciences/planetarium/director.php. Dr. Matt Marone Learn more about Dr. Marone at https://liberalarts.mercer.edu/faculty-and-staff/matthew-marone/. He is not just a Professor at Mercer University; Dr. Marone also does work for NASA. We spoke to Dr. Hurd and Dr. Marone on episode 051. Listen here.  Links Mentioned In Episode 051 SpaceWeather.com, mentioned by Dr. Marone A Smile As Big As The Moon by Mike Kersjes, cited by Dr. Hurd Dan Gardner Learn more about Dan at https://viewplus.com/author/dan/. What is ViewPlus? Learn more here: https://viewplus.com/.   Support the NFB of PA with every purchase at White Cane Coffee Company by going to https://www.whitecanecoffee.com/ref/nfbp. When you use that link to purchase from White Cane Coffee, the NFB of PA earns a 10% commission! Share the link with your family and friends! Listen to Erin and Bob Willman from White Cane Coffee on episode 072 of White Canes Connect. Give Us A Call We'd love to hear from you! We've got a phone number for you to call, ask us questions, give us feedback, or say, "Hi!" Call us at (267) 338-4495. You have up to three minutes for your message, and we might use it on an upcoming episode. Please leave your name and town as part of your message.  Follow White Canes Connect Apple Podcasts | Spotify | Amazon | YouTube Connect With Us If you've got questions, comments, or ideas, reach out on Twitter. We are @PABlindPodcast. You can also email us at WhiteCanesConnect@gmail.com.

The Incrementalist
Think Slow to Act Fast in Big Projects

The Incrementalist

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 5, 2023 17:36


A bias for action can help you do big things and reach big goals.  In big projects, it's vital in the delivery phase, which should be fast. But it hurts the planning phase, where it's better to be slow. In episode 66 of The Incrementalist, you will learn:1) 0:00 A bias for action feels productive but can also backfire and cause big failure in big projects.2) 0:55 Every big project has 2 basic phases: Planning and Delivery. 3) 1:11 In their book, How Big Things Get Done, authors Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner note that 99.5 percent of megaprojects go over budget, over schedule, fail to deliver promised results, or have some combination of these.4) 2:01 Failed projects use the Think Fast, Act Slow approach (rushed, superficial planning before project delivery). Successful projects apply the Think Slow, Act Fast pattern (careful, precise planning before project delivery). 5) 2:59 To do big things, apply the Think Slow, Act Fast approach with these 5 action tips:  i) 3:05 Tip #1 - Commit to not committing. ii)  6:06 Tip #2 - Think from right to left. iii) 8:33 Tip #3 - Tinker, test, and experiment. iv) 12:10 Tip #4 - Figure out what's your LEGO - your basic building block – and keep adding one block to another. v) 13:19 Tip #5 - Take the outside view, not just the inside view.5) 15:15 Why the significance of planning is often downplayed: The Principle of the Hiding Hand and the Theory of Beneficial Ignorance or Providential IgnoranceYou don't need to be deep in delivery mode to spark creative ideas. Use the think slow, act fast pattern to plan carefully, deliver effectively, and get the best results in big projects. Website: http://www.dyanwilliams.com/The Incrementalist: A Simple Productivity System to Create Big Results in Small Steps, is available on Amazon and Leanpub:https://www.amazon.com/dp/B0CFHYHGFZ(Pros: lowest price for readers and readily available on Kindle)https://leanpub.com/incrementalist(Pros: price flexibility for readers and 60-day money back guarantee)

The Science of Success
How You Can Predict The Future Better Than World-Famous Experts - The Art & Science of Risk with Dan Gardner

The Science of Success

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 26, 2023 46:59


In this episode we discuss the radical mismatch between your intuitive sense of risk and the actual risks you face. We look at why most experts and forecasters are less accurate than dart throwing monkeys. We talk about how to simply and easily dramatically reduce your risk of most major dangers in your life. We explore the results from the “good judgment project” study of more than 20,000 forecasts. We talk about what superforecasters are and how they beat prediction markets, intelligence analysts with classified information, and software algorithms to make the best possible forecasts and MUCH more with Dan Gardner.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Welcome to Cloudlandia
Ep109: The Digital Revolution

Welcome to Cloudlandia

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 26, 2023 50:54


In today's episode of Welcome to Cloudlandia, we unpack the fascinating story of how Toronto transformed over the decades thanks to the pivotal work of urban theorist Jane Jacobs. As we debate whether our growing dependency on virtual spaces like "Cloudlandia" is weakening local connections, we ponder journalism's evolution from its regional roots. We reminisce about bygone media eras over a nostalgic lunch at Table 10 and trace how universities and ideological factions shaped radio's founding. As always, we aim to provide a balanced look at technology's ability to bring people together globally while potentially distancing them locally.   SHOW HIGHLIGHTS The episode begins with a discussion about Jane Jacobs' significant role in preserving Toronto's neighborhoods in the 80s and how it has shaped the city to this day. There's an exploration of the shift to Cloudlandia and how this virtual universe could be curbing our desire to travel and reinforcing local areas. We rewind to the 80s and trace the evolution of regional media landscapes, debating the impact of Canadians having links to Florida and the emergence of new franchise models. Dan and I discuss the rise of Cloudlandia and its impact on our lives, connecting us to the world like never before. The power dynamics in radio broadcasting, specifically AT&T's control of the AM spectrum are examined. We delve into the ideological divide in radio before the advent of the internet, discussing how universities pioneered FM radio, while AM radio was seized by the right-wing. We contemplate the implications of geographical shifts and changing economic patterns triggered by our migration to the cloud. The future of communication and travel is questioned, and whether our lives continue to be dictated by Newton's laws or if we're slowly transitioning into a world governed by Moore's Law. The episode concludes with the hosts suggesting that as the virtual world expands, people may start reinforcing their local areas more, indicating a balance between global and local influences. Overall, the episode offers a thought-provoking journey through changing times, digital landscapes, and the very fabric of our lives. Links: WelcomeToCloudlandia.com StrategicCoach.com DeanJackson.com ListingAgentLifestyle.com TRANSCRIPT (AI transcript provided as supporting material and may contain errors) Dean: Mr Sullivan. Dan: Never gonna leave you. Never gonna leave you. Well come here I am. That's one thing about Cloudlandia Once you're in there, you can't leave. Dean: It's so convenient you know it's addictive. It really is. How was your week? Dan: I had a really super week, I have to tell you. I mean it was a four day week because of the holiday. Dean: Yeah. Dan: And it's not so much what I'm doing, that's what the company is doing, and there's just all sorts of independent projects which have been more or less under the surface. You know, there's kind of an interesting woman from the 80s and economist by the name of Jane Jacobs have you ever heard that name? I haven't. Dean: No. Dan: Yeah, and you know, in Toronto, when they stopped the Spadina Expressway. Yeah, I don't know if you remember that. What seems like yeah, well, you know the Allen Expressway. Dean: I do know the Allen. Dan: Expressway. Yeah, that was supposed to be the Spadina Expressway and it went off. It's gonna go all the way down to the center of the city Right, right, right. Right through the center of the city and it would have gone to the Gardner, it would have hooked up and then they would have traded clover leaves down at the bottom. Dean: And they would have had to remove. Dan: They would have had to remove all those neighborhoods. It would have gone right through Forest Hills actually. I think that was part of the reason why it got stopped, because wealthy people have more votes than poor people. I don't know if you've noticed that Not in my backyard Right exactly. And then the other one was the Scarborough Expressway, which you know, the Gardner extension that went out to the beaches. Dean: You know it went out and it was just called the. Dan: Gardner yeah, it's completely gone. They tore that down one night, basically, oh my goodness. We were away for two days and we had it when we left and when we got back it was gone, you know and but that whole area of Lake now from basically charity, erie Streep, actually, you know where the Gardner goes up the Don Valley. Dean: Yes, exactly. Dan: Yeah, well, that's where you took the extension off and they just tore it down. They tore it down in two, two stages, once about 10 years ago, and then they tore it down again, and so, but this was all the 40 year impact of Jane Jacobs, okay, and she said that she had to preserve your neighborhoods if you're going to have a great city and to tear down I mean, and it's turned Toronto into a congestion madhouse. I mean, that's the downside of it, but on the upside of it, toronto you know, toronto tries to call itself a world class city. Have you ever come across that? And what I noticed is that world class cities don't call themselves world class cities, they just are. Dean: New York. Dan: New York doesn't call itself a world class city, it just is. London doesn't call itself a world class city, it just is you know. So if you're still calling yourself a world class city. That means you're not, oh man it's a Toronto life syndrome. I mean Toronto Life Magazine. Dean: Yeah, and they're Toronto, by a magazine. I'm very intrigued, I'm very, I am very intrigued by these micro you know economies, or micro you know global lenses. I guess that we see through and you're not kind of talked about the whether that is. Dan: I'm talking about mainland. This is mainland stuff. Yeah, that's what I mean. Dean: Yeah, and I wonder if that is. I wonder if that sense is diminishing now that we've fully migrated. Dan: No, I think it's okay, I think it's coming back with, with the vengeance actually you know, and my sense is that the week that COVID started in March I think it was March 13th, friday the 13th I remember when it visited itself upon us, when clients were saying you know, we were seeing 50% drop-offs in future attendance for workshops because of COVID and it was partially, you know, but it was the lockdowns, it was the dropping off of airline flights and everything else I remember I mean all our cash flow got taken away in about a month, right Right and we had to switch. We had to switch to Zoom, you know, and and we had about a three month period where we just had to rework our entire you know, our entire business model to take all the in-person workshops and turn them over to Zoom workshops, you know. So, that's the upside of Cloudlandia, is that if they take away your mainland existence, you have to switch to Cloudlandia to compensate, and it's a bigger opportunity, bigger, broader everything. Yeah, but one of the downsides of this is that people don't feel like traveling anymore. Dean: I mean are you talking about me? Dan: No, I'm talking about us and you know. Dean: I know, yeah, exactly. Dan: I'm talking about everyone you meet, you know. Dean: I know exactly. Dan: You know, our only time when we have full attendance during the week, where we have people in the office, is Wednesday, monday and Tuesday, thursday and Friday, or when there's a in-person workshop. You have to be in the, you have to be in the company on workshop days. Okay and so, but the thing, the Jane Jacobs, the people who really got involved with the number one person in Toronto was Cromby, mayor Cromby, and he was one of the forefront leaders in stopping the Spadina Expressway and the Scarborough Expressway. Okay and so I'm just showing you the interrelationship between mainland and Cloudlandia. My feeling is that the more that Cloudlandia expands, the more people go back and start reinforcing their local areas. That's what I wonder about the whole cycle. How's that for a topic that we didn't know about five minutes ago? Dean: Well, exactly, but I think that I think there is something to that. You know, like I look at the, I think I've been I've mentioned before, like without having moved away from Toronto, like coming into Florida and yeah, when's the last time? Dan: when's the last time you flew to Toronto? Yeah, no, it's been three years, and three years, yeah, the next time will be whenever, april, if you April, if you decide you're coming to Toronto 12th of April is the first Toronto oh it's already set, yeah, it takes us about a year, because we've got to guarantee that we've got a date when people can also do their 10 times workshop in person. I got you, okay, yeah, so you know, I mean pre-zoners, double duty, you know, they double. Dean: Yeah, yeah, okay. Well, this is very exciting. So April 12 is on my calendar then, okay. Dan: I'm pretty sure you're taking a statistic from Dan Sullivan here. So yeah, we better double check on this Well, april 12 is Friday, yeah. It's in the calendar and I think the pre-zone is on or the 10 times is on the Thursday. Dean: Okay, so the 11th and 12th. Dan: All right. Dean: Well, now we're talking. Dan: Dan, and then Dan is on the Saturday and that's what I'm most excited about. Dean: Yeah Well, this will be for those who aren't listening. Dan: Table 10 is Dean and I met meeting for lunch on a Saturday, which really got everything we're doing together started was the table 10. Dean: Exactly right. Dan: Yeah, but that's a mainland, that's a mainland reality which may be possible. Dean: Yes, that's exactly right and I think that this now this is where I can, as I've reflected, I look at where I've been spending time, taking snapshot comparisons this week of today and 25 years ago and seeing where we are. You know, if I look at 25 years and 30 years ago kind of thing, I look back at when I started my you know sort of being in the result economy or launched my entrepreneurial career in 1988. So I look at that as coming up on, you know, 35 years. Dan: this year, 35 years, yeah, yeah, and I just want to look from there Well, it's 35 years. Right now it's 35 years. I mean, we're in the 35th year. Dean: So yeah. Dan: And, what's really interesting, our program where we have workshop programs, started in 1989. Dean: So next year is our 35th year you know it's year 35. Dan: So it's the 35th year of the program and I'll be 80 in May and I've been coaching for 50 years in August. Okay. So it's sort of an anniversary year Nashville in May we're going to have our first worldwide conference in Nashville. Coach Coach Con yeah, coach Con, coach Con, yeah, yeah you can take that in two ways. Coach Con. You can take Coach Con in two ways. Yeah, you can. It's the coach conference, or it's just shows you what 35 years of counting people will do for you. Dean: Oh, that's so funny. Well, I'm very excited about both of those. I'm very excited about both of those things. So where I was going was, you know, in 1988, looking back at the things, it was very much a Toronto-centric kind of lens because I had spent. I left Toronto in 1984 to come down to Florida and finish up. I've been spending a lot of time down there. I spent, you know, I spent those years and driving through this I remember the first time driving down on my own. I had a friend with me. But driving down going through the different cities, like going through Dayton, ohio, and going through Cincinnati. Dan: Ninety-five hits in 75. That's what we took. Dean: That's the main route to Florida. That's the main route, exactly, yeah, yeah, you crossed over at. Dan: Detroit. You probably crossed. Did you cross over at Detroit? Dean: We got a tip to cross over at Port Huron, so up further, which was Further north yeah. Dan: Yeah, but then once you were across it was a straight shot superhighway all the way to Florida, and the reason is that Canadians Florida is part of their Canada. Yeah, I mean Ontario. My Florida includesmy Canada includes Florida. Dean: Yeah, exactly that's true, isn't it? It's like the Southern Extension. You've gotten places in or things in Canadians. Have, you know, links to Florida? You're absolutely right, yeah. Dan: Half the Canadian adult population from around November to April. Well, let's say October to April includes Florida, Scottsdale. Dean: I was just going to say that Calgary you look at the other side, then Calgary is. Yeah, calgary is connected to Palm Springs and Phoenix. Dan: Yes, and then Maui, because I don't know what the situation is now, but I suspect they'll go to the part that didn't burn down. Dean: Yeah, but what struck me was the newspapers. So this is, what struck me is the newspapers and television stations, because we would stay, you know on the road. We would Hotels. Yeah, you would stay, yeah, we would stay in a hotel. And so I don't always, you know, get the newspaper. I've had a long time love for USA Today, which I've always kind of loved as just getting a overview of everything. But it struck me how I had grown up with the lens newspaper, lens being the globe and mail, the Toronto Sun and the Toronto Star and looking that, you know, without any sense of left and right leaning. You know, I didn't understand at that point, you know, the bent of and how that shapes things. But, it was amazing to me that I learned I got kind of on that deep level, these regional kind of markets you know I don't know how to fully describe it, but it was an awakening that I knew that, hey, if you've got something you know that worked in, it was kind of like this franchise. I'd be seeing franchise thinking in place, you know, in different places and seeing the Cracker Barrel restaurant. You have the same exact Cracker Barrel experience at any drop off point along Highway 75, you know, and so yeah. Dan: And that was. Dean: Yeah, at the time the thing was I mean in those days it was the new model. Yeah, yeah, for young college students traveling abroad. Right, but it was so great and that level of you know you wouldn't have any window into Louisville, kentucky, unless you're passing through Louisville and you tune in to the Louisville Echo Chamber or ecosystem where you're seeing the. Louisville anchors and the news and the local things, and you're reading the Louisville newspaper, you know. Dan: And then Macon Georgia. Dean: Yeah. Dan: Macon and everything. Dean: Because you usually made. Dan: I always remember that we shot for Louisville or Lexington on the first night. Yeah, lexington, yeah yeah, but we never saw any of the horse farms. Well, you did I mean because 75 went past the. But you never got off. Dean: Yeah, yeah. Dan: You had Oasis which were franchise Oasis. Dean: Yeah, exactly, and that way you know what you're going to. You know what you're going to get you know, but now I see now how those things are like with the rise of Cloudlandia, the access to what's going on a national scale and global scale kind of thing, is what direct to the individual. You know, now you've got access to everything, and I've been. Do you follow or is on your list of news outlets? Do you come to Daily Wire? Is that part of your routine or? Dan: are you familiar with. No, that's not one of my. Dean: Do you know? Dan: about the. Dean: Daily Wire. Dan: I've heard of it, but that's not really what I it's not. Dean: No, I mean I'll look at it. Dan: now that you're talking about it, I'll look at it. Dean: Well, Ben Shapiro is the one who basically I know Ben, he's the guy that started the Daily Wire. Dan: Yeah. I'm a Breitbart guy, I'm a Breitbart guy. I check daily caller town hall Breitbart, you know. Dean: Yeah well, the Daily Wire is now a $200 million. They do $2 million a year now and they just Last year. If you think about the VCR formula. And the reason I'm bringing up the Daily Wire is that is a cloudland-centric, a media empire that was started 100% to be online and took advantage of one. They tapped into Facebook's reach and they funneled those people into get readership and get subscribers to their news service and use that money to buy more attention on Facebook. That was the whole very simple model and they executed it flawlessly. And so they built this huge reach and they had a relationship with Harry's Razors. Do you remember? Dan: Oh yeah, Like Dollar. Dean: Shade Club and Harry's Razors. So Harry's Razors was a big advertiser on Daily Wire, doing very successfully, and then Harry's took exception to some content on the Daily Wire that suggested that men are men and women are women and that would Whoa, whoa, whoa. Dan: That's like touching the third rail of the subway, absolutely. Dean: And they dropped it. They stopped advertising, but what Jeremy Borencher, I think, is the president, who's the CEO of the company what they did was they started on the backs of that company called Jeremy's Razors and they built this whole. They did a whole ad launching the process because it's their own audience. They were already very successfully selling Harry's razors to their audience by letting Harry tap into their reach, and so when Harry's left, instead of looking for somebody to replace Harry's as an advertising partner, they said, well, we'll just make the razors ourselves. And they started Jeremy's razors and now Jeremy's razors is a huge subscription-based company speaking directly to the reach that they've built with the media company. And it struck me that now we're getting to where these very specialized. I don't think we're separating geographically as much as we're ideologically now that there's brands for the right and there's brands for the left and there's you know, there's woke brands and there's I won't say successful brands. Now. Dan: But the. Dean: I mean the writings on the wall. I'll tell you. Dan: I'll tell you. Can I tell you an earlier crossover that? Dean: set that up. Dan: Yeah Well, actually FM radio was technologically possible in the 1930s and 1940s but it was never approved by the FEC until the 1970s. Actually, there was about a 40-year thing where the federal what's the FEC, federal communications they couldn't get it passed for, even though it was available and and but FM is strictly a local radio reach. You know, during the day you can get about maybe 30 miles. You lived in Georgetown, I think, when you lived in. Toronto right. Well you could get CJRT, which was an. FM station and you could, but once you got, let's say, up to Orangeville or Newcastle, you couldn't get CJRT anymore. Okay, Because, FM is gets interrupted by solar energy during the day. Am we? When I was growing up, I could listen to New York, I could listen to Chicago. Dean: Yeah. Dan: Remember you put on a clear night, real clear nights. I could get New Orleans, philadelphia was easy, boston was easy on. Am because it's a different bandwidth, okay, and it doesn't get interfered with by the sun, but the sun won't let FM go further than about 30 or 40 miles. It's not true anymore, because all the FM stations now go on the internet you know, so I have an internet delivery so I can get Los Angeles Jazz Station on, you know, on the internet and they're taking advantage of the internet. But what happened was it was AT&T really controlled the AM spectrum. At&t, yeah, I mean they talked about the dominant technologies. You know Google and Meta and you know and everything they talked about it today. You know Amazon, that nobody, they didn't get up to the knees that the type of control that AT&T had. Okay, and. AT&T didn't want any competition for its AM networks and they came in and the. But because FM is a local, it's you know, it's a region, it's where you are, you get a real. The universities are the ones who started it all. Okay, so in you know, cjrt was Ryerson and the Toronto and everywhere you went, like if you went to Louisville it would be the University of Louisville you know, and and everything else. And so, right off the bat, the ideology of the universities by that time was left. You know, that was where the left wing people you know symphony music and it was, you know, the various FM stations, and they abandoned. Am got abandoned and the right took over AM radio, you know, and Ross Limbaugh was the first person who really took advantage of that, and this was strictly the right side of the political spectrum. Dean: Okay so. Dan: AM talk radio. Am talk radio. The left tried to get into talk radio and nobody would listen to it. Dean: Okay, Nobody so the you know. Dan: And so what happened? You already had that ideological split at the radio stage. Okay, so if you were left wing and you were driving to Florida, you would go from university town to university town and pick up the FM station, but you weren't less than the AM radio anymore. So that was the first split. Before you ever got to, you know, you got to the internet with. That split had already happened in the radio spectrum. Dean: Yeah, amazing. Dan: That was before you were born. Dean: Right, right, right, that's something. Dan: But I mean, imagine something happened in the world before you were born. Dean: It is so funny. But I look at that, you know, and it is like it's amazing to see how this is going, and certainly club Landia is enabling that and my, to bring it all, we're back around to the. What we started talking about with the local, saving the neighborhoods kind of thing is, yeah, I wonder if we're starting to see geography kind of shaping up here, that Florida and Texas are becoming like sort of you know conservative, you know safety and some kind of thing that they're gathering all the people there, yeah, yeah, and they've surpassed New York, they've surpassed New York state, they've surpassed Illinois, they've surpassed California. You know the states. Dan: People are leaving those states and going to Florida and they're going to Texas and so, but I believe in Moore's law, which essentially is the you know, the technological formula that's created Cloud Landia is Moore's law, but mainland is controlled by Newton's law and. Newton's third law I mean Moore's law is that every 18 to two years the computing power of the microchip will double and the price of it will get in half, that's the we've lived in that world for the last 50 years. Dean: And but. Dan: But Newton's law is for every action there's an opposite and equal reaction. Yeah, so if you yeah, so so you got to look at both laws. Dean: And I wonder, you know one law triggers the yeah. Yeah, it is interesting to see the like. I wonder if you were to you know, are we bringing back now? The importance of the local infrastructure, the local like. What is the role of the community now in our lives, in our world? I mean, I feel like I'm it's getting narrower on less and less like inclined to have to travel to other places, and it's funny, you know, I don't know. Dan: Well, I won't travel, I mean, except for my own workshops. I won't travel to business, I won't travel for anything. And you know and I mean all my speeches what I used to give speeches for. Now you know where I would be invited to a big conference and I cut that off in 2013. I just you know, you can have me as a speaker, but it's going to be a podcast at the conference. Dean: Yeah right. Yeah, that's kind of the way I've been doing. Dan: Things too is zooming in as opposed to traveling and flying in yeah, yeah and it's easy because you know you're doing whatever you're doing at the Four Seasons Valhalla and then you're someplace else in the world. Dean: Yeah yeah that's so true right. Dan: Yeah so, but people think that because there's a new realm available that eliminates all the previous realms, but actually just the opposite happens. Dean: Yeah, I posted and it's so. I think about how we really have the ability to be a beacon. You know I'm Jamie Smart. I don't know if you've ever met Jamie? Dan: Yeah, well, I know of him. I know of him, yeah. Dean: Yeah, wrote clarity, just like when we were doing all the big seminars. You know when we stopped doing that in 2009,. That was a big, you know, big shift in our world. You know, in terms of having spent 15 years every single month doing a big event somewhere new. Joe was having a conversation with Jamie about that and he was like because for him it had been even longer, you know, doing that with his identity of being a speaker, going to town and being on stage. And Jamie talked about it as a transition from going from being a torch bearer, where you have to take the torch and go city to city to spread the message, switching to being a lighthouse, where you stay in there and be your light from when everybody comes to you and that was a big shift. And even then, 2009, the Internet was here and all the infrastructure and everything was here, but it certainly wasn't the same place as it is now. Zoom and all that stuff was not yet. Now it's just. I look at it and you start to see, man, there's just so many ways to reach the world from your Zoom room. You can really have a global. There's nothing stopping you from having a global broadcasting center in a 6x6 room in your house. Dan: Yeah, it's interesting. You were very helpful to us because we had that flood in our Fraser Street building. Then we were knocked out. I mean, we had just come back from lockdown, from COVID lockdown, and we got three months in and we had the city water main next to our building when Underground just destroyed our my recording studios, our tech team, where our tech team was, where all of our materials were. But they closed the building down because the city inspectors had to come in and they had to check out. Maybe the whole building had to come down because the support structures may have been weakened and they'll just condemn the building, but we were out for eight months before we could get back in, you know. But, in destroying our recording studio we had a company. Toronto is a great post-production center for the film industry. So it's dependent upon the Canadian dollar. If the Canadian dollar is really weak, film studios in the United States ship their post-production work you know of editing and everything and there's about 15 movie studios, tv and movie studios in the Toronto area, all the way from Pickering to Hamilton. You know these are big studios but they do all their inside. They bring all their inside work to Toronto. And now they're creating actual virtual towns with CGI. So did you catch any of the Jack Reacher series. Dean: I did not. Dan: It was a huge hit. But the town that's depicted where Jack Reacher is, it's a small town in Georgia. The first season was the small town in Georgia. It was one Lee Child book, Jack Reacher, and that entire town was created in CGI, doesn't exactly? That's crazy, right, but when you look at it. And then all the inside scenes were constructed in the film studios. You know the homes and everything like that. But that shows you the relationship between Cloudlandia and the mainland. Okay, because once you cross an international border, you're in a different currency system. Yeah even though I mean digitally. Dean: I mean so many things are possible now. I posted up a video. Dan: The one thing that remains constant is the US dollar Okay. I mean the US dollar. And people say, well, why does everybody use the US dollar? And I said you just answered your question. Dean: It's right there Back up to the first part of your sentence. Why does everybody you know that's like yeah, I mean it's like English. Dan: Why does everybody speak English? I said you just answered your question. Dean: That's like the Yogi Berra Nobody goes there anymore, it's too crowded right. Dan: Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, and yeah. And so the big thing is that since 1989, the differential the average differential, between the Canadian dollar and the US dollar has been 26% in favor of the American dollar. So we get 80% of the US dollar, it's dollar 36, dollar 36 right now Are you crazy? Dean: Well, that's crazy. So I checked the number. Dan: I checked the number no no, because in 19, it was $5.55. Dean: Oh, wow, yeah, but it's been hanging around in the mid 30s. Dan: 30% now for, I would say, last three or four years it's been you know could be as low as 30% and it got up to 42% per hour, but that so we didn't plan it this way. It was just a lucky break for us that we started in. Toronto, and so 80% of our income is in US dollars, but 80% of our expenses are in Canadian dollars and basically can buy the same thing with a Canadian dollar in Canada as you can with a US dollar in the United States. So we've got we don't have 26% because it's 80%. It's not 100, but we've averaged 20% for the four years we've averaged. So every dollar that comes across it's worth a dollar 20 if it comes across from the United States. Dean: Yeah, right Wow. And that's kind of where we're talking about the infrastructure, you know the infrastructure thing of being able to now, you know, build with a main or a Cloudlandia audience to reach with all the but with the capabilities or the expenses and physical delivery stuff happening in the most favorable, you know, mainland place. And I wonder if that's the opportunity that geographically you know places will get, will become sort of specialist in certain things. Dan: Well, that has been the case actually for the last 30 years. Okay, because of one factor that 90% of global trade, 90% so every day, the all the transactions in the world, it's, like you know, it can be like 4 trillion to 6 and a half trillion every day. The total value of it, well, 85% of it is in US dollars, okay, is in US dollars and all of that is. 90% of all global trade happens on water Is that right 90% of all global interactions and you know the, if you just take a look that it's water travel and that's only safe because of one factor, and that's the US Navy. And since you know since and that was. That wasn't for economic purposes for the US, it wasn't at all for you at. You know the everybody says well, the Americans, you know they just did this for their economic that actually the US. You know how much 10, how much percentage of the US economy is actually involved in cross border trade? 10%. Wow the other 90% is just Americans making stuff and selling it to Americans. So the US really doesn't isn't really that involved in the world but they had a problem after the Second World War and it was called the Soviet Union. And so what they did after the war said you know, we don't want to fight the Russians head on, so what we'll do? We'll just create a great economic deal with every other country in the world that's not communist and we'll promise them that we'll guarantee all their trade routes by water and they can sell anything they want into the US without any tariffs. And it was a great deal. Modern China only exists because the US guaranteed all their trade, and now the US has decided not to guarantee their trade, their water transportation and that's why. China's hit a wall, you know, and, and so I mean. But it's really interesting, dean, you're the one who came up with the cloud land idea on the podcast, and. But what I've been examining more and more is what happened if the cloud, if cloud land idea changes your ability to communicate and travel. You know, physically it's not like the mainland is going to be the same after that. I mean, if you make a change in one realm, it's going to make changes. I think this localization is now the, so if you're globalizing on the one hand, you're localizing on the other because you got a balance. That's what I wonder now, and I don't see. Dean: I'm starting to see like there's some shifts in the way that you know. I think that cities or towns I'm not, I can just speak about for winter, what I'm noticing a lot of development in is winter haven is sort of focused on the downtown, on making that kind of a more vibrant gathering center. It's not, you know, spread out like within strip plazas, like it was in the 70s, and it's not about the mall. Now it's about the downtown and they're taking kind of this ghost kitchen or you know model, but building it around social spaces. So there's two or three now of these developing areas where they've got multiple restaurants in one gathering place, right, so it becomes like a social hub where you can go there and they have live music and people gathering but you can eat at whatever, whatever type of food you want. Dan: So it's not like going inside to ask you a question I mean winter haven is a fairly small geographic area, but are there are there new residents buildings? Going up where these social centers are. Dean: Yeah, see, that's the thing? Dan: yeah, because the internet, you know the interstate highway system had bypassed all the downtowns. Dean: You know back in the 50s the right. Dan: You know the. The interstate highway system in the United States is the greatest public works project in the history of the world. It's about 63,000 miles now and they add about another 500 miles every every year. You know bypasses and connectors and everything like that, so it's a never ending project. But in the 50s it just bankrupted almost every small town in the United States when it. You had to go through the small. We went to Florida in 1956 and it was small town after small town after small town. There was no interstate. 75. Dean: Yeah, wow, yeah, that's kind of like Route 66 was going the cross. Dan: Yeah, yeah, you can still take Route 66, but it's small town after small town, you know yeah yeah, just listen to the words of the, the song you know, route 66 and tell you all the small and none of them were big cities. They were small towns you went through, yeah, yeah, yeah yeah yeah, so we're creating an interesting model here that Moore's Law is expanding, you know one realm. But the Moore's Law or Newton's Law says, yeah, if you do that in Cloudlandia, then that there's going to be a decentralization that goes on in the mainland. So winter I mean, you'll probably have people you know more or less spend their life in winter. Hey, winter haven't, because anywhere they want to go else, wise, they'll do it in Cloudlandia. Dean: Yeah, that's what I'm seeing. I just looked up the winter haven in the population right now it's 57,000. Dan: So yeah yeah, and I see you know yeah, yeah, and the interesting thing about the malls, that Mark Mills wrote a great book. Mark Mills is an economist in the Manhattan Institute. I think it's the Manhattan Institute, which, as you the name suggests, is a think tank in New York. City and he writes about the malls. He's got a whole chapter on the malls and he says the malls are going to, they're being abandoned. There's about a thousand failed shopping malls in the United States at any given time. There's about a thousand that have been abandoned. You know they just go bankrupt. And he says they're going to be turned into factories or they're going to be turned into warehouses shipping centers and they're beautiful because they they've got parking for all the work they've already got all the. You know the delivery sites like they have the, the delivering docks you know loading docks, right, the loading that. They've got all the loading docks. They got massive amounts of space and he says that they're going to be robotic and automated factories it's amazing, it's so. Dean: It's such an amazing time to be alive right now. You know, I mean, you think about where, the things that are ready to implement that are all here right now. You know, I don't know that. The next thing, like, as I mentioned, I was doing snapshot comparisons of you know day to day 1988 versus today and, as I said to Stuart Stuart, my operations guy, was with me, we were going, we went to the movie studio movie grill here in about 30, 40 minutes away and I started recounting the day with him, like as we were. I was in these comparisons. I'm saying, okay, so here's how the day started. I him in the morning and said you know, let's go to the movie. I forget what movie was out, but it was a great movie that was had just come out that day or whatever. And so we were going to go for lunch and go to the movie there, because they have Studio Movie Grill is like a dining theater, so you go and they bring food and everything. So started out with the text of that. Then I went to the studio. My video studio recorded a video that I, stuart, and I left. From there I bought the tickets for the movie online through Fandango and, you know, bought the tickets in advance. So we all we had to do was scan the barcode. They just scanned it on my phone when we got there, but the Tesla drove us there using the autopilot function, so we were driven to the movie. We got in our seats without having to go to the thing. We scanned a QR code for the menu of what to get. We pushed a button. They came and took our order, brought us the food. We got back in the car, had the coordinates. The car starts driving us. We were listening to a podcast on the way back and it just in that moment, just that little thing. There's not a single element of that day. That was possible in 1988. Dan: Yeah. I will remind you that in 1988, you probably said what an amazing time to be alive. Yeah, you're probably right. Dean: I mean the dot was like what I got. Dan: Yeah. Dean: I mean look at this. Dan: The fact are you kidding me. Dean: We can send a piece of paper over the telephone. What a relief it comes back. Dan: Yeah, now I'm going to. We've got a mainland collision happening in about five minutes, Okay, okay, and that is from when we started today, the one we finished, because I'm visiting Winterhaven from. I'm in Chicago today, so I'm visiting Winterhaven, florida, from 10 o'clock to two minutes to 11. But in 11,. I have to go to Vienna, Austria, and have an hour's talk with Kim White. Dean: Okay, right, right, right. Yeah, I got to get on the flight to Vienna, right. Dan: Yeah Well, it's a click actually. Dean: Yeah, the zoom I got to get in. Well, I have to switch over. Dan: I have to switch over from my phone to my computer because it's on zoom and anyway, but that I mean what we're seeing here, is you and I are. You know we're early adapters. You know you and I are early adapters, so I say, okay, the world's changed, so how do I have to change? You know, that's my basic response and and all of us got sent to bootcamp for two years during the COVID lockdown. And we might not have chosen the route that we're on right now, but we were forced to. You know we were forced to, right, yeah, you know, I have a goal of never being on welfare during the rest of my life. Okay, yeah, I like to make my own money and everything, but it's an interesting thing. But, more and more, I think that you have to take both Moore's law and Newton's third law into account, because one of them explains the virtual world and Cloudlandia world, but the other one explains what happens to the mainland. When the Cloudlandia keeps getting bigger and bigger, the mainland keeps getting more and more local, like winter. Yeah, so yeah but you gotta you gotta be good at operating in both worlds. Dean: Yeah, you're right. You know I'm staying off welfare, that's well, you know, Dan, there's this little thing. There's a thing called cash confidence, and most people think it's about having an amount of money, but what it's really about is having the ability to create value for other people. So as long, as you keep focused on that, you're going to be just fine. Dan: Yeah. Dean: Yeah. Dan: This is really yeah, and I'm feeling very good going down 80, that I'm starting to get good at living yeah. Dean: So amazing, isn't it? What a world, yeah, the journey. Dan: Yeah. Yeah, Actually you know, the most amazing part of being alive being alive. Dean: Yeah, that is part of it all. That is exactly right. Dan: That is exactly right. Dean: It beats the alternatives you know, and it's funny. Dan: The answer. The answer is in the question. Yeah, I just heard Dion Sanders was talking about how the whole body everything about us is oriented for moving forward and it would be neat if Colorado ends up in the playoffs and the 14 playoffs, oh. Dean: I mean, well, they just beat Nebraska yesterday, so they're two and oh, right now. Yeah, I mean, it's just. It's the most amazing thing to watch. But do you ever think we're meant for moving forward Our eyes, look forward Our ears? Are perfectly positioned to bring us all the sound and everything from in front of us. Our mouth are meant to project forward. There's only one part of our body that points backwards. Dan: And that's the exhaust. That's where, all the way you leave all the way behind you If you keep moving forward. I guess the evolution figured this out a long time ago. Dean: Yeah, a lot of problems. Don't worry about what's happening behind there, don't look back, just keep moving forward. Dan: You know that's in our years of doing the podcast. I think that's the greatest closing statement we've ever had. Dean: Well, it struck me as this that's the first time I've ever heard it explained like that, but it's absolutely true. So that's why it's even more important, to be the lead guy in the line you don't want to be that. Yeah, it's like sled dogs. Dan: Yeah, if you're not with sled dogs. If you're not the lead dog, the future always looks the same. Dean: Oh man, what a day. All right. Well, you have my best. We've got a date, we've got a date next. Dan: If you're up to it, we've got a next Sunday. Dean: Oh yeah, I'm in Chicago today. Dan: So I'm in Chicago today, so I'll be back in Toronto next week. No, it's a permanent fixture in my calendar. Dean: All right. Dan: Thanks a lot, Dean. Dean: Thanks. Dan: bye, bye.

Capital Projects Podcast
Episódio #128 - How Big Things Get Done

Capital Projects Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 20, 2023 60:49


Realizar grandes feitos envolve muito planejamento, e muito risco! Desde a criação de um filme de animação até a construção de um megaprojeto, realizar grandes empreitadas quase sempre são caminhos para o... fracasso! Nesse episódio super especial do Capital Projects Podcast, eu converso com um dos principais nomes globais na pesquisa de megaprojetos, o Professor da Universidade de Oxford Bent Flyvbjerg! Autor do best seller global "How Big Thigs Get Done" (escrito em conjunto com Dan Gardner), Prof. Bent já escreveu mais de 250 artigos, traduzidos para mais de 20 idiomas! Referenciado pelo icônico arquiteto Frank Ghery e pelo ganhador do Prêmio Nobel Daniel Kahneman, Prof. Bent traz insights valiosos sobre os motivos frequentes de fracassos em grandes projetos, mas também lições de como esses desafios podem ser superados! Você não vai querer perder essa conversa! Então confira aqui o vídeo completo, legendado! Vamos juntos? E ATENÇÃO: As inscrições para o curso GPI/FEL - Gestão de Projetos Industriais com a Metodologia FEL - estarão abertas apenas entre 20 (hoje) e 27 de setembro! Fique ligado nas minhas redes! Tem curtido o nosso conteúdo? Que tal tornar-se membro do Capital Projects Podcast, apoiando o canal? Assim, podemos continuar crescendo e ajudando tantos profissionais da Gestão de Projetos! Acesse o link e confira os planos: ⁠⁠https://www.catarse.me/capital_projects_podcast_3c1e?ref=project_link Ficou interessado no curso do uso do ChatGPT no Trabalho, junto com o Prof. Finocchio? Informações e inscrições aqui: https://pmcanvas.wixsite.com/chatgpt Acompanhe também as minhas redes: @andre_choma e ⁠https://linktr.ee/andrechoma Quer conhecer o livro do Prof. Bent? Clica aqui: https://amzn.to/3EGvc0Z #capitalprojectspodcast #andrechoma #bentflyvbjerg #howbigthingsgetdone #capitalprojects #megaprojects #megaprojetos #bent #oxforduniversity #projectmanagement #gestaodeprojetos #sucessoemprojetos #motivosdefracasso

Assistive Technology Update with Josh Anderson
ATU642 – ViewPlus Technologies, Inc with Dan Gardner

Assistive Technology Update with Josh Anderson

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 15, 2023 27:08


Your weekly dose of information that keeps you up to date on the latest developments in the field of technology designed to assist people with disabilities and special needs. Special Guest: Dan Gardner – CEO – ViewPlus Technologies, Inc. Website: https://viewplus.com —————————— If you have an AT question, leave us a voice mail at: 317-721-7124 […] The post ATU642 – ViewPlus Technologies, Inc with Dan Gardner first appeared on Assistive Technology at Easter Seals Crossroads.

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma
Ep 343: We Are All Amits From Africa

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2023 299:18


Our statues must eat ice cream, our cities must be designed by cardiovascular surgeons, and we must all go to the fifth temple. Krish Ashok and Naren Shenoy join Amit Varma in episode 343 of The Seen and the Unseen to banter away a few perfectly good hours. What a waste of time, eh? NO! (FOR FULL LINKED SHOW NOTES, GO TO SEENUNSEEN.IN.) Also check out: 1. Krish Ashok on Twitter, Instagram, YouTube, his own website and Spotify/Apple Music/Soundcloud. 2. Naren Shenoy on Twitter, Instagram and Blogspot. 3. Narendra Shenoy and Mr Narendra Shenoy — Episode 250 of The Seen and the Unseen. 4. A Scientist in the Kitchen — Episode 204 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Krish Ashok). 5. Masala Lab: The Science of Indian Cooking -- Krish Ashok. 6. Simblified, co-hosted by Narendra Shenoy. 7. We want Narendra Shenoy to write a book. 8. Lohapurusha -- Krish Ashok's Sanskrit Heavy Metal album. 9. The Masala Lab Dal Recipe Generator -- Krish Ashok. 10. The Amaklamatic Salad Recipe Generator -- Krish Ashok. 11. The Amaklamatic Chutney Recipe Generator -- Krish Ashok. 12.  Newton the Alchemist. Gandhi the Black Swan -- Episode 7 of Everything is Everything. 13. Krish Ashok hates computers and this is proof. 14. Roshan Abbas and the Creator Economy — Episode 239 of The Seen and the Unseen. 15. The Adda at the End of the Universe — Episode 309 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Vikram Sathaye and Roshan Abbas). 16. The Prem Panicker Files — Episode 217 of The Seen and the Unseen. 17. Caste, Gender, Karnatik Music — Episode 162 of The Seen and the Unseen (w TM Krishna). 18. 4′33″ -- John Cage. 19. Is the Singularity Near? -- Episode 2 of Everything is Everything. 20. The Formula Behind Every Perfect Pop Song — Seeker. 21. I, Pencil -- Leonard Read. 22. The Cadbury Dairy Milk Mystery -- Krish Ashok. 23. A Poetry Handbook — Mary Oliver. 24. Tvam -- Krish Ashok's version of Rammstein's Du Hast. 25. Du Hast -- Rammstein. 26. Early Indians — Episode 112 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Tony Joseph). 27. Caste, Capitalism and Chandra Bhan Prasad — Episode 296 of The Seen and the Unseen. 28. Alice Evans Studies the Great Gender Divergence — Episode 297 of The Seen and the Unseen. 29. The Incredible Curiosities of Mukulika Banerjee — Episode 276 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Mukulika Banerjee). 30. The Pathan Unarmed — Mukulika Banerjee. 31. The Country Foods channel. 32. Ulhas Kamathe -- The Chicken Leg Piece Guy. 33. Sell the Tiger to Save It — Barun Mitra. 34. The Poultry Map. 35. The Egg Map. 36. Team Pizza or Team Biryani? 37. Gordon tries to make Pad Thai -- The F Word. 38. The Panchatantra. 39. Varun Grover Is in the House — Episode 292 of The Seen and the Unseen. 40. Kimaham Abhavam -- Krish Ashok's version of Johnny Cash's version of Nine Inch Nails's Hurt. 41. Hurt -- Johnny Cash. 42. Hurt -- Nine Inch Nails. 43. Miss Excel on Instagram and TikTok. 44. How an Excel Tiktoker Manifested Her Way to Making Six Figures a Day — Nilay Patel. 45. The Menu -- Mark Mylod. 46. Cilappatikaram. 47. Dunbar's number. 48. Womaning in India With Mahima Vashisht — Episode 293 of The Seen and the Unseen. 49. Womaning in India — Mahima Vashisht's newsletter. 50. Superforecasting -- Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. 51. Essays -- Paul Graham. 52. Nityananda making sense. 53. Uncle Roger. 54. Abby Philips Fights for Science and Medicine — Episode 310 of The Seen and the Unseen. 55. Never Talk About TURMERIC on Social Media — Abby Philips. 56. The Magic Pill -- Rob Tate. 57. Wanting — Luke Burgis. 58. Luke Burgis Sees the Deer at His Window -- Episode 337 of The Seen and the Unseen. 59. Brandolini's law. 60. Foodpharmer on Instagram. 61. 1000 True Fans — Kevin Kelly. 62. 1000 True Fans? Try 100 — Li Jin. 63. The Case Against Sugar — Gary Taubes. 64. The Big Fat Surprise — Nina Teicholz. 65. The Obesity Code — Jason Fung. 66. Addiction by Design: Machine Gambling in Las Vegas — Natasha Dow Schüll. 67. Your Undivided Attention -- Podcast by Tristan Harris and Aza Raskin. 68. Sara Rai Inhales Literature — Episode 255 of The Seen and the Unseen. 69. 3Blue1Brown on YouTube. 70. The Life and Times of Abhinandan Sekhri — Episode 254 of The Seen and the Unseen. 71. Jaya Varma and the Chandigarh Choir perform Dhano Dhanne. 72. In a Silent Way — Episode 316 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Gaurav Chintamani). 73. Sonnet 18 -- William Shakespeare. 74. Sonnet 18 -- Harriet Walter. 74. Sonnet 18 -- Akala. 75. Sonnet 18 -- David Gilmour. 76. Raga Ahir Bhairav -- Gangubai Hangal. 77. The Memoirs of Dr Haimabati Sen — Haimabati Sen (translated by Tapan Raychoudhuri). 78. Kavitha Rao and Our Lady Doctors — Episode 235 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Kavitha Rao). 79. Dark Was the Night -- Blind Willie Johnson. 80. Car Wheels on a Gravel Road -- Lucinda Williams. 81. Sweet Old World -- Lucinda Williams. 82. All That She Wants -- Ace of Base. Amit Varma and Ajay Shah have launched a new video podcast. Check out Everything is Everything on YouTube. Check out Amit's online course, The Art of Clear Writing. And subscribe to The India Uncut Newsletter. It's free! Episode art: ‘Amits' by Simahina.

CSO Perspectives (public)
Cybersecurity risk forecasting.

CSO Perspectives (public)

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 21, 2023 20:28


Rick Howard, the CSO, Chief Analyst, and Senior Fellow at N2K Cyber, discusses the current state of cybersecurity risk forecasting with guests Fred Kneip, CyberGRX's founder and President of ProcessUnity, and Kevin Richards, Cyber Risk Solutions President. Howard, R., 2023. Cybersecurity First Principles: A Reboot of Strategy and Tactics [Book]. Wiley. URL: https://www.amazon.com/Cybersecurity-First-Principles-Strategy-Tactics/dp/1394173083.   Howard, R., 2023. Bonus Episode: 2023 Cybersecurity Canon Hall of Fame inductee: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Dr Phil Tetlock and Dr Dan Gardner. [Podcast]. The CyberWire. URL https://thecyberwire.com/podcasts/cso-perspectives/5567/notes Howard, R., 2022. Risk Forecasting with Bayes Rule: A practical example. [Podcast]. The CyberWire. URL https://thecyberwire.com/podcasts/cso-perspectives/88/notes Howard, R, 2023. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Book review]. Cybersecurity Canon Project. URL icdt.osu.edu/superforecasting-art-and-science-prediction. Howard, R., 2022. Two risk forecasting data scientists, and Rick, walk into a bar. [Podcast]. The CyberWire. URL https://thecyberwire.com/podcasts/cso-perspectives/89/notes Howard, R., Freund, J., Jones, J., 2016. 2016 Cyber Canon Inductee - Measuring and Managing Information Risk: A FAIR approach [Interview]. YouTube. URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vxBpAnSBaGM Hubbard , D.W., Seiersen, R., 2016. How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk [Book]. Goodreads. URL https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/26518108-how-to-measure-anything-in-cybersecurity-risk Clark, B., Seiersen , R., Hubbard, D., 2017. “How To Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk” - Cybersecurity Canon 2017 [Interview]. YouTube. URL https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2o_mAavdabg&t=93s Freund, J., Jones, J., 2014. Measuring and Managing Information Risk: A FAIR Approach [Book]. Goodreads. URL https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/22637927-measuring-and-managing-information-risk Katz, D., 2021. Corporate Governance Update: “Materiality” in America and Abroad [Essay]. The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance. URL https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2021/05/01/corporate-governance-update-materiality-in-america-and-abroad/ Posner, C., 2023. SEC Adopts Final Rules on Cybersecurity Disclosure [Essay]. The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance. URL https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2023/08/09/sec-adopts-final-rules-on-cybersecurity-disclosure/ Linden, L.V., Kneip, F., Squier, Suzie , 2022. Threats Across the Globe & Benchmarking with CyberGRX [Podcast]. Retail & Hospitality ISAC Podcast. URL https://pca.st/a49enjb1 Lizárraga, C.J., 2023. Improving the Quality of Cybersecurity Risk Management Disclosures [Essay]. U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. URL https://www.sec.gov/news/statement/lizarraga-statement-cybersecurity-072623 Staff, 2022. Benchmarking Cyber-Risk Quantification [Survey]. Gartner. URL https://www.gartner.com/en/publications/benchmarking-cyber-risk-quantification Tetlock, P.E., Gardner, D., 2015. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction [Book]. Goodreads. URL https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/23995360-superforecasting Winterfeld, S., 2014. How to Measure Anything in Cybersecurity Risk [Book review]. Cybersecurity Canon Project. URL https://icdt.osu.edu/how-measure-anything-cybersecurity-risk

Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes
Climate and geopolitics: What role for the EU?

Mark Leonard's World in 30 Minutes

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2023 37:13


July has seen extreme weather events ravage all of the world's continents, reinforcing – yet again – the urgency of collective action on climate change. In this week's episode, Mark Leonard welcomes Kate Hampton, CEO of the Children's Investment Fund Foundation and former head of policy at Climate Change Capital to delve into the complexities of that action within a competitive global landscape – marked by inequalities between the global north and south. Together, they consider possible pathways towards compromises and how to empower sustainable transitions on the way to a resilient future. How can civil society and NGOs drive global climate action? What strategies can Europeans employ to navigate a fractured multilateral landscape in the face of climate change? And how can the West and the global south work together towards sustainable energy solutions? This podcast was recorded on 14 June 2023. Bookshelf: The Big Con: How the Consulting Industry Weakens Our Businesses, Infantilizes Our Governments, and Warps Our Economies, by Mariana Mazzucato How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between, by Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner

KERA's Think
What makes big projects fail?

KERA's Think

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 13, 2023 30:50


Some megaprojects, like the Empire State Building, are success stories while others, like Boston's Big Dig, flop on a massive scale. Bent Flyvbjerg, First BT Professor at Oxford and VKR Professor at ITU, Copenhagen, joins host Krys Boyd to discuss grand-scale projects and why some become famous, while others become infamous. His book, co-written with journalist Dan Gardner, is “How Big Things Get Done: The Surprising Factors That Determine the Fate of Every Project, from Home Renovations to Space Exploration and Everything In Between.”

The Engineers Collective
Success of megaprojects is down to a handful of key factors

The Engineers Collective

Play Episode Listen Later May 31, 2023 40:32


Megaprojects are what take society forward, whether building new transport infrastructure, creating new technology networks or decarbonising the energy system. However, according to this month's guest on The Engineers Collective, across sectors and around the world, megaprojects almost always overrun their budgets and timescales. In this episode, NCE editor Claire Smith is joined by NCE reporter Rob Hakimian as they speak to Bent Flyvbjerg, the first ET professor of major programme management at Oxford University's Said Business School and professor of major programme management at IT University of Copenhagen. He is the most cited scholar in the world on megaprojects, having authored and edited 10 books, including his brand new one, How Things Get Done, which was co-authored with Dan Gardner. Having amassed a database of over 16,000 megaprojects of 25 types and from 130 countries, Flyvbjerg has found that only around 8.5% successfully meet their time and cost projections. He tells us about the most common failures, which often happen in the earliest stages such as planning and picking the right team. He also pinpoints the factors that drive success for megaprojects, such as governance and modularity. Bent explains the challenges using projects such the Elizabeth line and High Speed 2 in the UK. The conversation also touches on decarbonising the energy system, which Flyvbjerg considers the most important megaproject in the world. Finally, we ponder whether assessing megaprojects on how they match up against their time and cost projections is as important as judging them based on their outcomes. Listen now to hear about the best practice when approaching a big project – which Bent believes can also be applied to smaller schemes, as well as home tasks such as remodelling your kitchen.

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma
Ep 331: Gurwinder Bhogal Examines Human Nature

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma

Play Episode Listen Later May 29, 2023 128:05


It is not the world that is the problem but the flawed ways in which we think about it. Gurwinder Bhogal joins Amit Varma in episode 331 of The Seen and the Unseen to talk about his interest in meta-cognition -- and what it reveals about us and the world. (FOR FULL LINKED SHOW NOTES, GO TO SEENUNSEEN.IN.) Also check out: 1. Gurwinder Bhogal on Substack and Twitter. 2.  My Story -- Gurwinder Bhogal.  3.  Why Smart People Believe Stupid Things -- Gurwinder Bhogal. 4. The Perils of Audience Capture -- Gurwinder Bhogal. 5. Skin in the Game -- Nassim Nicholas Taleb. 6. Superforecasting — Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. 7. The Looking-Glass Shelf. 8. Nikocado Avocado -- Nicholas Perry's YouTube channel. 9. God is Not Great -- Christopher Hitchens. 10. The Coddling of the American Mind — Greg Lukianoff and Jonathan Haidt. 11. A Biologist Explains Why Sex Is Binary -- Colin Wright. 12. The Three Languages of Politics — Arnold Kling. Check out Amit's online course, The Art of Clear Writing. And subscribe to The India Uncut Newsletter. It's free! Episode art: ‘Think About Thinking' by Simahina.

Podcastul Starea Natiei
Podcast #VN Vocea Nației #186

Podcastul Starea Natiei

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2023 42:09


Pierderea capacității de concentrare nu este un eșec personal, ci rezultatul felului în care arată în prezent lumea. Prăbușirea lecturii susținute este una dintre marile cauze ale lipsei noastre de atenție. Ce se întâmplă când atenția profundă se deteriorează? Ce se întâmplă când acel nivel de gândire profundă rămâne accesibil doar unui număr tot mai mic de oameni, până în punctul în care cititul și înțelegerea unei cărți devin împreună un interes al unei minorități? Povestim mai multe la podcastul Vocea Nației cu Dragoș Pătraru. Plus un răspuns pentru cei ce au întrebat de-a lungul timpului cu ce să pornească la drum în călătoria lecturilor susținute. ___ În episodul 186 din podcastul Vocea Nației: - ce este „inferioritatea ecranului”? - ce înseamnă că „mediul este mesajul”? - care e diferența dintre cititul pe ecrane și cititul pe hârtie? ___ Server Config: https://server-config.ro/ ___ Cărți menționate: - Utopie pentru Realiști – Rutger Bregman - Hoții de atenție – Johann Hari - Cum se fac lucrurile mari – Bent Flyvbjerg și Dan Gardner

The Money
 Blowout: Mega projects that don't deliver. Spending, cost of living and who's really under pressure

The Money

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2023 29:01


Cost of living increases are forcing many to change their spending. But not everything is down and not all groups are under pressure. Wade Tubman crunches the numbers. Why mega projects so often fail to deliver on time and on budget. Dan Gardner investigates what's going wrong and how to get it right.

The Money
 Blowout: Mega projects that don't deliver. Spending, cost of living and who's really under pressure

The Money

Play Episode Listen Later May 18, 2023 29:01


Cost of living increases are forcing many to change their spending. But not everything is down and not all groups are under pressure. Wade Tubman crunches the numbers. Why mega projects so often fail to deliver on time and on budget. Dan Gardner investigates what's going wrong and how to get it right.

BCG Henderson Institute
How Big Things Get Done with Bent Flyvbjerg

BCG Henderson Institute

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2023 29:26


Bent Flyvbjerg has a sobering statistic to share: 99.5% of major projects fail to deliver their targeted results on time and on budget. His new book How Big Things Get Done, coauthored with Dan Gardner, explores this phenomenon—from infrastructure projects to major sporting events to corporate transformations.Flyvbjerg, the first BT Professor of Major Programme Management at Oxford's Saïd Business School and VKR Professor of Major Program Management at the IT University of Copenhagen, is the world's foremost expert on megaproject management—a subject on which he has published prolifically.He recently joined Martin Reeves, Chairman of the BCG Henderson Institute, to discuss the patterns and drivers of the failure of big projects, as well as potential solutions that can help executives overcome these dramatic odds. For example, cognitive biases, particularly at the C-suite level, cause leaders to act too spontaneously—when they would be better off acting fast only after first thinking slowly and deliberately. They explore not only conventional project success but also how the thinking can be applied more broadly – from personal projects to climate change.Key topics discussed: 01:16 | The Iron Law of megaprojects04:03 | Patterns of failure09:02 | Solutions (think slow but act fast, think from right to left, reference class forecasting)17:28 | Continuous vs. episodic change20:47 | Tackling climate change: a megaproject?23:03 | Impact of technology25:46 | Practical recommendationsThis podcast uses the following third-party services for analysis: Chartable - https://chartable.com/privacy

On the reg
How big things get done (or not)

On the reg

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2023 110:02


Inger's dusty in this episode, after an epic David Lodge style dinner party the night before, but her blood pressure is the best her doctor has seen in years. By the time you listen to this she'll be in Cambridge, punting or something.Jason didn't win the annual hot cross bun off, but did invite Inger into the WhatsApp group so she could share the fun this year. There is also an unexpectedly long digression about workplace exploitation, so - a normal catch up.There was nothing in the mailbag! [28:53] (although we did get a bunch of letters the day after we recorded this, so some of you still love us- thank you). In the work problems segment [30:47] we talk about the new book from Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner called 'How big things get done', which Inger partially distilled into a Discussion Guide. It's an excellent book and Inger sees a lot of cross overs between how high speed rail projects fail and the length of time most people take to get a PhD. Enough crossovers at least to get on her ranty high horse, like - a lot. Jason listens patiently while she has All The Feelings about the PhD. Again.Moving on. Jason's been reading The Upside of irrationality, while Inger's been reading Navy SEALS romances (again) [1:14:06]. The real surprise is left for the end of this episode: the 2 minute tips section [1:17:37] which turns into an epic, agonised conversation about just how much of our jobs to delegate to ChattieG and the future of the university. It's heavy. You may need a drink or four, just like Inger did the night before. Leave us a message on www.speakpipe.com/thesiswhisperer. Email Inger, she's easy to find. You will not be able to find Jason's email (he likes it that way).Talk to us on BlueSky by following @thesiswhisperer and @drjd. Inger is sadly addicted to Threads, but cannot convince JD to join. You can find her there, and on all the Socials actually, as @thesiswhisperer. You can read her stuff on www.thesiswhisperer.com. You can support the pod by buying our Text Expander guide for academics from the Thesis Whisperer website.

Special Events
Dan Gardner - Spring Live Drive 2023 Day Three - 4 PM Hour

Special Events

Play Episode Listen Later May 12, 2023 28:39


Dan Gardner shares his faith with Karen Selensky and Kent Maershbecker!

Gathering The Kings
How Huel's Focus on Sustainable Food Systems Drives Success with James Collier

Gathering The Kings

Play Episode Listen Later May 1, 2023 40:49


In episode 218 of the Gathering The Kings podcast, host Chaz Wolfe interviews James Collier, Co-Founder of Huel, a successful nutrition company. James is a registered nutritionist in the UK and has worked as a clinical dietician for years. He started working on Huel in 2014 with his partner, Julian. Since then, they have launched in the UK and sold over 300 million meals worldwide. The company's focus on sustainable food systems and being a purpose-driven business has been instrumental in its success.During the conversation, James shares insights into the integrator's experience in building a business, the importance of soft skills in life and business, and how crucial it is to take customer feedback into account. He also talks about how networking in the scientific community requires humility and his upcoming book, 'Thought for Food.' Finally, James discusses the recipe for self-mastery and how it has helped him in his personal and professional life.If you're interested in learning from a successful business owner about the importance of purpose-driven businesses, soft skills, and customer feedback, you won't want to miss this episode. Listen to Gathering The Kings podcast episode 218 with James Collier to learn more.During this episode, you will learn about;[01:18] Intro to James and his business[03:13] Jame's Why [04:53] A good decision James made in his business[06:39] A visionary vs. an integrators approach to big ideas[12:56] Why James decided to cut a product line [15:37] James' decision making process[20:06] Huel's approach to client experience[23:56] James' book recommendations[28:25] James' opinion on intentionally networking and masterminding[35:50] If James could speak to his younger self, what would he say?[37:47] How to connect with James[39:22] Info on Gathering The Kings Mastermind Notable Quotes"I don't wish to sound self-righteous, but I genuinely want to help the world, and that's truthful." - James Collier"Don't be led by your emotions, where you don't have to be." - James Collier"Don't live life with regrets." - James Collier“You can't just sit in a quiet room and expect the world to change, but that there's a lot of effort that starts with that.” - Chaz Wolfe (Host)Books and Resources Recommended:Atomic Habits by James Clear: https://www.amazon.com/Atomic-Habits-Proven-Build-Break/dp/0735211299Waking Up by Sam Harris: https://www.amazon.com/Waking-Up-Spirituality-Without-Religion/dp/1451636016Superforecasting by Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner: https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-Philip-Tetlock/dp/0804136696(Note: Thought for Food by James Collier is an upcoming book in 2024 and therefore, a link for purchase is currently unavailable.)Let's Connect!James Collier:Website: https://huel.start.page/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/huel/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/huelusa/Youtube:

CSO Perspectives (public)
Bonus Episode: 2023 Cybersecurity Canon Hall of Fame Inductee: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Dr Phil Tetlock and Dr Dan Gardner.

CSO Perspectives (public)

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 26, 2023 19:06


Rick Howard, N2K's CSO and The CyberWire's Chief Analyst and Senior Fellow, interviews Dan Gardner about this 2023 Cybersecurity Canon Hall of Fame book: “Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.”

SCIX African Trade Talks
Africa Venture Capital Accelerator by Mark Kleyner

SCIX African Trade Talks

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 10, 2023 25:03


In this episode, Mr Mark Kleyner shares insights based on his journey in the Venture Capital space in Africa. He also talks about how Dream VC is working on improving the funding environment through their community- driven educational platform, that runs highly selective remote programs on Venture Capital and the innovation Ecosystem across Africa's startup Ecosystems.        Mr Mark Kleyner is the Co- Founder and program director for Dream VC, an investor accelerator for Africa.       Book Recommendations: Super forcasting by Dan Gardner and Philip E. The power law by Sebastian Mallaby. Red notice by Bill Browder       www.dream-vc.com  

RNZ: Afternoons with Jesse Mulligan
Why most megaprojects go off the rails

RNZ: Afternoons with Jesse Mulligan

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 3, 2023 22:27


Professor Bent Flyvbjerg from Oxford University and journalist Dan Gardner looked at successful projects and failures to find out why. Be more like the makers of Finding Nemo at Pixar, they say, think slow and act fast.

Lead-Lag Live
It's Not As Scary As You Think With Dan Gardner

Lead-Lag Live

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 26, 2023 51:18


There's no such thing as the good ol' days.Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.Check The Lead-Lag Report on your favorite social networks.Twitter: https://twitter.com/leadlagreportYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/theleadlagreportFacebook: https://www.facebook.com/leadlagreportInstagram: https://instagram.com/leadlagreport                             Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.                             The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.See disclosures for The Lead-Lag Report here: The Lead-Lag Report (leadlagreport.com)David C Barnett Small Business and Deal Making M&A SMBI discuss buying, selling, financing and managing small and medium sized businesses...Listen on: Apple Podcasts SpotifyFoodies unite…with HowUdish!It's social media with a secret sauce: FOOD! The world's first network for food enthusiasts. HowUdish connects foodies across the world!Share kitchen tips and recipe hacks. Discover hidden gem food joints and street food. Find foodies like you, connect, chat and organize meet-ups!HowUdish makes it simple to connect through food anywhere in the world.So, how do YOU dish? Download HowUdish on the Apple App Store today:

The Current
What it takes to get big things done — and why ambitious project often flounder

The Current

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 27, 2023 23:30


Big projects can mean big headaches, whether it's a home renovation or building a new transit line. Bent Flyvbjerg and Dan Gardner talk to us about their book How Big Things Get Done, which looks at how ambitious projects can go off the rails.

Ramblin' Man
Episode 135 - Dan Gardner - RunPee app, movies, and computer programming

Ramblin' Man

Play Episode Listen Later Jan 23, 2023 182:24


In this episode I speak with Dan Gardner about the RunPee app, movies, and computer programming. Sponsor: Feral Giant Theme song: Adeem The Artist

The Invisible Vault
How Data Interpretation Drives Value with Dan Gardner, CFO at DT One

The Invisible Vault

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 7, 2022 26:47


This episode features an interview with Dan Gardner, CFO at DT One. DT One is a network of non cash micropayments and digital pre-pay partners.Dan is a strategic CFO. And over his 12 years as a fintech executive, he's created programs for treasury & risk management. At DT One, he's responsible for the global oversight of all finance, treasury, risk and compliance functions.On this episode, Dan describes how to build a great financial team, and how to use technology and finance together to drive your business. He describes the unique role of CFOs today, which includes empowering corporate teams, making the most of data, and managing risk.Quotes*“The numbers tell the story. It's deciphering that story that sometimes requires a tremendous amount of effort and work and testing.”*“Create that optimal team that can drive an agile, dynamic financial team. And a set of members that are not just keepers of the numbers, but real business partners.”*“The CFO is uniquely positioned to be able to span the environment and scan for opportunities. What might be perceived as potential threats can turn out to be opportunities. What could be strengths today could be weaknesses tomorrow. So it's that constant evaluation of what's going on on the landscape.”*“There's always the financial component of all these assessments of risk. That job just doesn't end. That is a 24/7 mandate that the CFO very much drives.”Time Stamps[2:45] Dan's path to CFO[8:12] Cash Crossroads: Dan's technology vision at DT One[14:47] The Playbook: Finance Strategy at DT One[17:44] Dan on keys to navigating the shifting financial landscape[22:23] Report from the Future: Dan on the next generation of finance leaders[24:51] Quick Hits: Rapid fire questions with Dan GardnerSponsorThe Invisible Vault is powered by the team at Kyriba, the global leader in cloud treasury and finance solutions, empowering CFOs and their teams to transform how they activate liquidity as a dynamic, real-time vehicle for growth and value creation. To learn more visit www.kyriba.comLinksConnect with Dan on LinkedInConnect with Daniel on LinkedInFollow Daniel on Twitter

Calvary Baptist Church Lakeland Podcast
11-27-22 PM ”The Sacrifice of One” | Bro. Dan Gardner

Calvary Baptist Church Lakeland Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Nov 28, 2022 48:19


The Brainy Business | Understanding the Psychology of Why People Buy | Behavioral Economics
227. Quit: The Power of Knowing When to Walk Away, with Annie Duke

The Brainy Business | Understanding the Psychology of Why People Buy | Behavioral Economics

Play Episode Listen Later Oct 14, 2022 63:56


In today's conversation, I am joined by Annie Duke, a former professional poker player (widely known as one of the best female players in the world) who also has an impressive and fascinating background in psychology, which she will talk about on the show today. I've been wanting to have Annie on for ages, she has two other fantastic books called Thinking in Bets and How to Decide, and I am so delighted that she wrote this additional book, Quit, which we are talking about today (and really, she talks about all three books in our conversation). I am so honored and delighted that Annie took the time to chat with me for this interview. We had a great conversation and ended up chatting for over 90 minutes (with about 80 of those recorded). Here on the show today, we are cutting that conversation down to fit in under an hour but if you want to hear the full conversation in detail, come on over to the BE Thoughtful Revolution membership group -- it's our free community of behavioral economics enthusiasts from around the world, and you can check out the full video interview and conversation. Annie is a wealth of knowledge and insights, so you will want to glean every extra moment just like I did, I'm sure – be sure to stick around for monkeys and pedestals! Show Notes: [00:40] In today's conversation, I am joined by Annie Duke, a former professional poker player who also has an impressive and fascinating background in psychology. [03:07] Annie shares her background and how she found herself in the world of behavioral science.  [04:41] Her brother was the one who suggested she play poker and she ended up playing poker for 18 years as her profession.  [06:05] After eight years as a poker player she started getting asked to give talks. The first talk she gave was to a group of options traders and she talked about how poker might inform your thinking about cognitive bias. From there she started getting referrals and spending more time speaking than playing poker.  [07:11] In 2012, she retired from poker to spend more time on the business side of things and started consulting and speaking full-time.  [09:13] If you look at anything on Annie's journey from the time she entered graduate school, it is all decision-making under uncertainty.    [11:09] The more ways that you are thinking about problems and the different frames that you have to ponder these issues you end up bringing something different to the table.  [12:54] Premortems can be very effective if you combine them with other good decision-making tools.  [15:14] If you use prospective hindsight instead of just forward planning, research shows you will generate 30% more reasons for failure or success if you didn't do prospective hindsight.  [17:14] Self-serving bias is that when bad things happen to us as individuals we tend to blame them on things that are outside of our control.   [19:49] Other researchers suggest that premortems need to be done in groups to be successful.  [22:42] Thinking in Bets was a book that she had really wanted to write for many years, which is about making decisions under uncertainty.  [25:27] One of the things she really talks about in Thinking in Bets is resulting. Resulting is when we look at other people and assume if they have a bad outcome then they made a bad decision and a good outcome is from luck (whereas when we have a bad outcome it is luck and a good outcome is from our good decision making – this is very similar to fundamental attribution error).   [26:55] She wrote How to Decide as a companion, which had more practical tools for making decisions.  [28:23] Annie shares about writing her new book Quit.   [30:44] Most of the decisions you make you can actually probably make faster. The way to decide if you can go faster is by looking at the consequences of getting the decision wrong.  [33:01] We are really bad at exercising the option to quit when the time comes. The option to quit is very valuable.  [35:02] She shares the many Zoom conversations with influential behavioral scientists she had prior to writing her new book about quitting.   [36:36] Science shows that when we quit, we are usually doing it too late.  [38:45] One of the problems we have is that once we set a goal we are immediately in the losses.  [39:20] Annie shares about the California Bullet Train.  [41:51] After getting the project approved once starting the project they realize they have two big problems… (Why didn't they “see” them before?)  [44:22] Instead of stopping the project, they approved two pieces of track that don't address the gigantic engineering problems. [46:13] Monkeys and pedestals is an incredibly helpful framework for trying to figure out how you approach projects to find out the information you need to find out the fastest so you can figure out if it is something you want to stick to.  [47:26] She shares the monkeys and pedestal's story. You have to start with the monkey (the hard part) of the problem first.  [49:11] When you do but up against hard things you tend to turn to pedestal building rather than to quit (similar to bikeshedding).   [50:28] You should definitely tackle the monkeys first. [51:51] You follow the premortem by looking at the monkeys and pedestals. You figure out what the monkeys are and then you change your plans according to that.  [53:20] Kill criteria are what you could see or find out in the future that would tell you that you ought to quit.  [55:01] There is no point in tackling any low-hanging fruit if you can't train the monkey. Figure out the hard problem first.  [57:34] Winners quit a lot. That is how they win. Winners sample a lot of stuff, settle on a course of action, tackle the monkeys first, and if the world gives them another signal they switch. [58:41] Winners pick the right things to stick to and they abandon everything else.  [60:52] Melina shares her closing thoughts.  [61:08] Thoughtful quitting, stopping doing things that aren't serving you anymore isn't a failure -- that is a win. That is a sign of doing great big amazing things! If you never quit, you can never win because you will be spread too thin. Thanks for listening. Don't forget to subscribe on Apple Podcasts or Android. If you like what you heard, please leave a review on iTunes and share what you liked about the show.  I hope you love everything recommended via The Brainy Business! Everything was independently reviewed and selected by me, Melina Palmer. So you know, as an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. That means if you decide to shop from the links on this page (via Amazon or others), The Brainy Business may collect a share of sales or other compensation. Let's connect: Melina@TheBrainyBusiness.com The Brainy Business® on Facebook The Brainy Business on Twitter The Brainy Business on Instagram The Brainy Business on LinkedIn Melina on LinkedIn The Brainy Business on Youtube Join the BE Thoughtful Revolution – our free behavioral economics community, and keep the conversation going! Learn and support The Brainy Business: Check out and get your copies of Melina's Books.  Get the Books Mentioned on (or related to) this Episode: Thinking in Bets, by Annie Duke How to Decide, by Annie Duke Quit, by Annie Duke Superforecasting, by Dan Gardner and Philip E. Tetlock How to Change, by Katy Milkman Power of Regret, by Daniel Pink Connect with Annie:  Annie's Website Annie on Twitter Annie on LinkedIn Top Recommended Next Episode: Game Theory (episode 62) Already Heard That One? Try These:  Loss Aversion (episode 9) Framing (episode 16) The Most Important Step in Applying Behavioral Economics: Understanding the Problem (episode 126) 3 Steps to Better Decision Making, An Interview with Matthew Confer (episode 158) Counterfactual Thinking  (episode 68) How To Change, an interview Dr. Katy Milkman (episode 51) Fundamental Attribution Error (episode 92) Planning Fallacy (episode 114) Precommitment (episode 120) Hindsight Bias (episode 167) Bikeshedding (episode 99) Status Quo Bias (episode 142) Endowment Effect (episode 139) Survivorship Bias (episode 110) Mental Accounting (episode 56) Other Important Links:  Brainy Bites - Melina's LinkedIn Newsletter  A Slight Change of Plans Podcast with Maya Shankar Annie's Newsletter

Moments for Missions
#220902 - Interview - Dan Gardner - Japan 15

Moments for Missions

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2022


Interview - Dan Gardner - Japan 15

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma
Ep 277: The Rooted Cosmopolitanism of Sugata Srinivasaraju

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma

Play Episode Listen Later May 16, 2022 318:26


He grew up breathing Kannada literature -- and he also embraced the globalised world. Sugata Srinivasaraju joins Amit Varma in episode 277 of The Seen and the Unseen to discuss this confluence of the old and the new, the near and the far, his society and the world.  Also check out: 1. Sugata Srinivasaraju in Outlook, ToI/Mumbai Mirror, New Indian Express, The Wire, Mint, Twitter and his own website. 2. Furrows in a Field -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 3. Pickles from Home: The Worlds of a Bilingual -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 4. Keeping Faith with the Mother Tongue -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 5. Sugata Srinivasaraju on his father, Chi Srinivasaraju: 1, 2, 3. 6. Maharashtra Politics Unscrambled -- Episode 151 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Sujata Anandan). 7. Dodda Alada Mara (Big Banyan Tree). 8. GP Rajarathnam, AR Krishnashastry, P Lankesh and KS Nissar Ahmed on Wikipedia. 9. The Tell Me Why series of encyclopedias -- Arkady Leokum. 10. Stendhal, Honoré de Balzac, Victor Hugo and Charles Baudelaire on Amazon. 11. Rayaru Bandaru Mavana Manege -- The KS Narasimhaswamy poem Sugata translated. 12. Phoenix and Four Other Mime Plays -- Chi Srinivasaraju (translated by Sugata Srinivasaraju, who tweeted about it here.). 13. Ahobala Shankara, V Seetharamaiah, Roland Barthes, Michel Foucault, Jacques Derrida, KV Narayana, Noam Chomsky, DR Nagaraj, Jorge Luis Borges and Tejaswini Niranjana. 14. Lawrence Weschler on how Akumal Ramachander discovered Harold Shapinsky. 15. AK Ramanujan and Gopalakrishna Adiga. 16. The Penguin Book of Socialist Verse -- Edited by Alan Bold. 17. Gandhi as Mahatma: Gorakhpur District, Eastern UP, 1921-22 -- Shahid Amin. 18. Kraurya -- Girish Kasaravalli. 19. Deconstructing Derrida -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 20. Yaava Mohana Murali -- Gopalakrishna Adiga's poem turned into a song. 21. Ram Guha Reflects on His Life -- Episode 266 of The Seen and the Unseen. 22. Understanding Gandhi. Part 1: Mohandas — Episode 104 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Ram Guha). 23. Understanding Gandhi. Part 2: Mahatma — Episode 105 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Ram Guha). 24. Modern South India: A History from the 17th Century to our Times -- Rajmohan Gandhi. 25. Ki Ram Nagaraja at Book Brahma. 26. A Map of Misreading -- Harold Bloom. 27. The Singer of Tales -- Albert Lord and David Elmer. 28. ಪಂಪ ಭಾರತ ದೀಪಿಕೆ: Pampa Bharatha Deepike -- DL Narasimhachar. 29. The Open Eyes: A Journey Through Karnakata -- Dom Moraes. 30. Dom Moraes on DR Bendre's love for numbers. 31. DR Bendre, Kuvempu, Shamba Joshi, MM Kalburgi, Shivaram Karanth, VK Gokak and Chandrashekhar Patil. 32. Da Baa Kulkarni, Sriranga, Nabaneeta Dev Sen, Bhisham Sahni, Kartar Singh Duggal and HY Sharada Prasad. 33. His Will Was His God -- Sugata Srinivasaraju on HY Sharada Prasad. 34. Jeremy Seabrook on Amazon. 35. Aakar Patel Is Full of Hope -- Episode 270 of The Seen and the Unseen. 36. The Rise and Fall of the Bilingual Intellectual — Ramachandra Guha. 37. The Life and Times of Mrinal Pande -- Episode 263 of The Seen and the Unseen. 38. Sara Rai Inhales Literature -- Episode 255 of The Seen and the Unseen. 39. The Art of Translation -- Episode 168 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Arunava Sinha). 40. Negotiating Two Worlds, Bilingualism As A Cultural Idea -- Sugata Srinivasaraju delivers the HY Sharada Prasad Memorial Lecture. 41. Karunaalu Baa Belake -- A Kannada version of 'Lead, Kindly Light'. 42. Liberal impulses of our regional languages -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 43. Why Resisting Hindi is No Longer Enough -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 44, The Indianness of Indian Food -- Episode 95 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Vikram Doctor). 45. Steven Van Zandt: Springsteen, the death of rock and Van Morrison on Covid — Richard Purden. 46. Roam Research and Zettelkasten. 47. Sixteen Stormy Days — Tripurdaman Singh. 48. The First Assault on Our Constitution — Episode 194 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Tripurdaman Singh). 49. Nehru's Debates -- Episode 262 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Tripurdaman Singh and Adeel Hussain). 50. Speaking of Siva -- Ak Ramanujan's translations of the Vacanas. 51. Not Waving but Drowning -- Stevie Smith. 52. Pictures on a Page -- Harold Evans. 53. Notes From Another India -- Jeremy Seabrook. 54. Good Times, Bad Times -- Harold Evans. 55. John Pilger on Amazon. 56. Sugata Srinivasaraju's pieces in Outlook in 2005 on the Infosys land scam: 1, 2. 57. ‘Bellary Is Mine' -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 58. Deca Log: 1995-2005. A history in ten-and-a-half chapters, through the eyes of Outlook -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 59. The Sanjay Story: From Anand Bhavan To Amethi -- Vinod Mehta. 60. Lucknow Boy: A Memoir -- Vinod Mehta. 61. Remembering Mr. Shawn's New Yorker -- Ved Mehta. 62. Off the Record: Untold Stories from a Reporter's Diary -- Ajith Pillai. 63. A Town Offers Its Shoulder -- Sugata Srinivasaraju. 64. Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction -- Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. 65. Dhanya Rajendran Fights the Gaze -- Episode 267 of The Seen and the Unseen. 66. The Story of an Income Tax Search — Dhanya Rajendran on Instagram. 67. George Plimpton, 76; 'Paper Lion' author, longtime literary editor, amateur athlete -- David Mehegan. 68. Does The Paris Review Get a Second Act? -- Charles McGrath on literary magazines as "showcases of idealism." 69. My Father's Suitcase -- Orhan Pamuk's Nobel Prize lecture. 70. Gandhi's Assassin: The Making of Nathuram Godse and His Idea of India -- Dhirendra K Jha. 71. Harmony in the Boudoir -- Mark Strand. 72. Of Human Bondage -- W Somerset Maugham. 73. Man's Worldly Goods -- Leo Huberman. 74. Autobiography -- Bertrand Russell. 75. Graham Greene, Joseph Conrad, Gabriel Garcia Marquez, Jorge Luis Borges, Honoré de Balzac, Gustave Flaubert, Victor Hugo, Charles Dickens and George Orwell on Amazon. 76. Madame Bovary -- Gustave Flaubert. 77. Reflections on Gandhi -- George Orwell. 78. The Tyranny of Merit -- Michael Sandel. 79. Home in the World: A Memoir -- Amartya Sen. 80. Living to Tell the Tale -- Gabriel Garcia Marquez. 81. Ayodhya - The Dark Night and Ascetic Games by Dhirendra Jha. 82. Team of Rivals -- Doris Kearns Goodwin. 83. My Last Sigh -- Luis Bunuel. 84. Interview with History -- Oriana Fallaci. 85. Ryszard Kapuscinski on Amazon. 86. Journalism as Literature -- Salman Rushdie on Ryszard Kapuscinski. 87. Mallikarjun Mansur, Bhimsen Joshi and Kumar Gandharva on Spotify. 88. Vachanas sung by Mallikarjun Mansur and Basavaraja Rajguru. 89. Outlander, Knightfall and Money Heist on Netflix. 90. Sugata Srinivasaraju's Twitter thread on the songs of DR Bendre. This episode is sponsored by The Desi Crime Podcast. You'll find them on all podcast apps. Check out Amit's online course, The Art of Clear Writing. And subscribe to The India Uncut Newsletter. It's free! The illustration for this episode is by Nishant Jain aka Sneaky Artist. Check out his work on Twitter, Instagram and Substack.

The Projection Booth Podcast
Special Report: Ego Fest 12

The Projection Booth Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2022 214:23


It's that time, folks... It's another Ego Fest and Mark Begley (Wake Up Heavy) joins Mike in The Projection Booth to ask your burning questions. This special episode also features interviews with Kevin Gootee about the Gutting the Sacred Cow podcast and Dan Gardner of the RunPee app (where you can get 5 free Pee Coins with promo code ProjectionBooth). Get the scoop on what goes into making an episode of your favorite podcast.

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma
Ep 271: Crossing Over With Deepak Shenoy

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 4, 2022 294:32


Deepak Shenoy wants to ask Amit Varma about the creator economy. Amit wants to talk to Deepak about finance and his new book. Episode 271 of The Seen and the Unseen is a crossover episode with the Capital Mind Podcast in which Amit and Deepak get a jugalbandi going. Also check out: 1. Deepak Shenoy on LinkedIn and Twitter. 2. Money Wise: Timeless Lessons on Building Wealth -- Deepak Shenoy. 3. Capitalmind, Deepak Shenoy's investment research and wealth management company. 4. The Capitalmind Podcast and YouTube channel. 5. Lessons in Investing (and Life) -- Episode 208 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Deepak Shenoy). 6. If You Are a Creator, This Is Your Time -- Amit Varma. 7. Episodes of The Seen and the Unseen on the creator ecosystem with Roshan Abbas, Varun Duggirala, Neelesh Misra, Snehal Pradhan, Chuck Gopal and Nishant Jain. 8. The Secret Life of Walter Mitty -- James Thurber. 9. Mungerilal Ke Haseen Sapne (on Wikipedia and YouTube). 10. The Truman Show -- Peter Weir. 11. Losing My Religion -- REM. 12. With or Without You -- U2. 13. Conversation and Society -- Episode 182 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Russ Roberts). 14. Econ Talk (by Russ Roberts) and Conversations with Tyler (by Tyler Cowen). 15. The Prem Panicker Files -- Episode 217 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Prem Panicker). 16. The Connell Guide to How to Write Well -- Tim de Lisle. 17. Amitava Kumar Finds the Breath of Life -- Episode 265 of The Seen and the Unseen. 18. The Life and Times of Abhinandan Sekhri -- Episode 254 of The Seen and the Unseen. 19. Rukmini Sees India's Multitudes -- Episode 261 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Rukmini S). 20. Addiction by Design: Machine Gambling in Las Vegas — Natasha Dow Schüll. 21. When Harry Met Sally -- Rob Reiner. 22. Dil Dhoondhta Hai Phir Wohi Fursat Ke Raat Din -- Bhupinder Singh. 23. Dave Barry on Amazon. 24. Indian Society: The Last 30 Years -- Episode 137 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Santosh Desai). 25. Gurpriya Sidhu's tweet thread on sitting alone at cafes. 26. Self-Esteem (and a Puddle) -- Amit Varma's post with Douglas Adams's puddle quote. 27. The Life and Times of Mrinal Pande -- Episode 262 of The Seen and the Unseen. 28. Men Are from Mars, Women Are from Venus -- John Gray. 29. The Blank Slate -- Steven Pinker. 30. $800,000 to Zero - The FASCINATING History of DaVinci Resolve -- Alex Jordan of Learn Color Grading. 31. Casey Neistat and MrBeast on YouTube. 32. 1000 True Fans — Kevin Kelly. 33. 1000 True Fans? Try 100 — Li Jin. 34. Sinocism -- Bill BIshop's Newsletter. 35. Steven Van Zandt: Springsteen, the death of rock and Van Morrison on Covid — Richard Purden. 36. Blueprint for Armageddon -- Episode 50-55 of Dan Carlin's Hardcore History. 37. The Universe of Chuck Gopal -- Episode 258 of The Seen and the Unseen. 38. Miss Excel on Instagram and TikTok. 39. How an Excel Tiktoker Manifested Her Way to Making Six Figures a Day — Nilay Patel. 40. AR Rahman on Spotify. 41. Nuclear Power Can Save the World — Joshua S Goldstein, Staffan A Qvist and Steven Pinker. 42. Beware of Quacks. Alternative Medicine is Injurious to Health -- Amit Varma. 43. Dave Chappelle on Netflix. 44. Ideas of India -- Shruti Rajagopalan's podcast. 45. Narendra Shenoy and Mr Narendra Shenoy -- Episode 250 of The Seen and the Unseen. 46. Superforecasting — Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. 47. Dunbar's Number. 48. Poker and Stock Markets -- Episode 47 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Mohit Satyanand). 49. So it's now 20,000, is it a big deal? -- Deepak Shenoy's famous ghazals post from 2007. 50. Hoshwalon Ko Khabar Kya -- Jagjit Singh, from Sarfarosh. 51. Tum Ko Dekha Toh Ye Khayal Aaya -- Jagjit Singh, from Saath Saath. 52. How I Made $4,790,000 in 2021 -- Ali Abdaal. 53. The Power of Imagination — Mohammed Salim Khan. 54. Don't Get Fooled By Success (2005) -- Amit Varma. 55. The Life and Times of Nirupama Rao -- Episode 269 of The Seen and the Unseen. 56. Zerodha Varsity. 57. The Motley Fool. 58. The YouTube Channels of Rachana Ranade and Ishmohit Arora. 59. Stock Market For Beginners (Hindi) -- Pranjal Kamra. 60. Everything You Need to Know About Finance and Investing in Under an Hour -- William Ackman. 61. Liar's Poker -- Michael Lewis. 62. Buffett: The Making of an American Capitalist -- Roger Lowenstein. 63. When Genius Failed -- Roger Lowenstein. 64. Peter Lynch on Amazon. 65. Market Wizards & The New Market Wizards by Jack D Schwager. 66. The Complete TurtleTrader: How 23 Novice Investors Became Overnight Millionaires -- Michael W Covel. 67. Invest Like the Best — Patrick O'Shaughnessy's podcast. 68. Books we Like: On Investing, Trading & More — The Capitalmind team. This episode is sponsored by CTQ Compounds. Check out The Daily Reader and FutureStack. Use the code UNSEEN for Rs 2500 off. Check out Amit's online course, The Art of Clear Writing. And subscribe to The India Uncut Newsletter. It's free!

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma
Ep 267: Dhanya Rajendran Fights the Gaze

The Seen and the Unseen - hosted by Amit Varma

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 7, 2022 208:17


Indian mainstream media tends to see our country with the gaze of a privileged North Indian man. That is changing. Dhanya Rajendran joins Amit Varma in episode 267 of The Seen and the Unseen to talk about her journey in setting up The News Minute, and in deepening our journalism and the conversations we have. Also check out: 1. Dhanya Rajendran on Twitter, Instagram and The News Minute. 2. Support The News Minute. 3. Cut the Clutter. 4. The Life and Times of Abhinandan Sekhri -- Episode 254 of The Seen and the Unseen. 5. The death of Savita Halappanavar. 6. Steven Van Zandt: Springsteen, the death of rock and Van Morrison on Covid — Richard Purden. 7. Some regional publications: Newsmeter, The Cue and Truecopythink. 8. 7 Indians are hostages in a conflict between Houthi rebels and Saudi coalition in Yemen -- Sanyukta Dharmadhikari. 9. The Story of an Income Tax Search -- Dhanya Rajendran on Instagram. 10. TV Newsance -- Manisha Pande -- YouTube Playlist. 11. 10,000 people charged with sedition in one Jharkhand district -- Supriya Sharma for Scroll. 12. Manju and the Mommy Wars: Why should women conform to 'ideal mother' stereotype? -- Sowmya Rajendran. 13. Superforecasting -- Philip Tetlock and Dan Gardner. 14. The Mallu Analyst on YouTube. 15. Get Roast with Gaya3 on YouTube. 16. A Meditation on Form -- Amit Varma. 17. Narendra Modi takes a Great Leap Backwards -- Amit Varma on Demonetisation. 18. Ram Guha Reflects on His Life -- Episode 266 of The Seen and the Unseen. 19. Tweets on the Bharat Biotech court case by Siddharth Varadarajan and Dhanya Rajendran. (See who got trolled more!) 20. Does India take its national symbols too seriously? — Jan 2008 episode of We the People. 21. Our Hindu Rashtra -- Aakar Patel. 22. Price of the Modi Years -- Aakar Patel. 23. Whole Numbers and Half Truths -- Rukmini S. 24. Rukmini Sees India's Multitudes -- Episode 261 of The Seen and the Unseen (w Rukmini S). 25. Malare -- Song from Premam. 26. Missing: Half the Story: Journalism as if Gender Matters -- Kalpana Sharma and others. 27. The Anatomy of Hate -- Revati Laul. 28. The Seasons of Trouble -- Rohini Mohan. 29. Notting Hill. 30. And once again, support The News Minute! This episode is sponsored by CTQ Compounds. Check out The Daily Reader and FutureStack. Use the code UNSEEN for Rs 2500 off. Check out Amit's online course, The Art of Clear Writing. And subscribe to The India Uncut Newsletter. It's free!