Podcasts about Gaap

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Latest podcast episodes about Gaap

Chip Stock Investor Podcast
Why Oscar Health's 'Great Quarter' Isn't What It Looks Like

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 10, 2026 11:23


Oscar Health looks like a screaming buy — growing revenue, growing members, positive free cash flow. So why does the market keep discounting it? We ran the numbers.Oscar Health (OSCR) just posted strong headline numbers: member growth accelerating past 3 million, revenue climbing, free cash flow positive. Health insurers don't get valued like typical growth stocks — and free cash flow is one of the most misleading metrics you can use here.In this episode, we break down why insurance float — not free cash flow — is the real driver of Oscar's balance sheet, how the medical loss ratio (MLR) caps profitability by regulation, and why receivables and payables to CMS matter more than most investors realize. We also walk through two reverse DCF scenarios on GAAP earnings per share — a 10-year model and a more aggressive 3-year model — to see what growth rate the market is actually pricing into OSCR today.Think of it as a masterclass in valuing any financials-driven business — insurance, banks, specialty finance — differently than you'd value a software or semiconductor company. We also give a first look at the new investment thesis checklist tool and segment/KPI dashboard inside Semiconductor Insider.TIMESTAMPS0:00 - Why Oscar Health Looks Cheap (And Why That's Misleading)1:04 - Revenue, Member Growth & Free Cash Flow Overview2:00 - The Problem: Free Cash Flow Isn't Real Cash Flow Here2:40 - Medical Loss Ratio Explained: The 80% Rule3:03 - Insurance Float 101 (The Berkshire Hathaway Playbook)4:38 - Reading the Balance Sheet: Premiums, Payouts & SG&A5:24 - CMS Receivables & Payables: The Hidden ACA Liability7:00 - Reverse DCF: 10-Year vs. 3-Year Growth Scenarios9:07 - Building a Custom Investment Thesis Checklist10:40 - Final Takeaway: How to Actually Value Oscar Health—If you want the reasoning behind more names like this one, Semiconductor Insider covers the process in more depth. Get access to all our research, weekly live Q&A events, and a growing set of tools to build your process: https://www.chipstockinvestor.comAll our socials: https://linktr.ee/chipstockinvestorIf you're getting value from the show, follow so you don't miss the next one.—Disclosure: Some links above are affiliate links. If you buy something through them, we might earn a little coffee money — thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction.Content in this episode is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. CSI doesn't own shares of Oscar Health.

Inside Scoop
Oura's IPO and the consumerization of healthcare.

Inside Scoop

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 9, 2026 22:15


Sean Emory, Founder and CIO of Avory & Co., discusses Oura's planned IPO and argues it signals the accelerating consumerization of healthcare. He highlights Oura's scale and financials, $1.2B in revenue, 74% growth, GAAP profitability, 5M paying subscribers, and 3.6M rings sold in the past 12 months, while emphasizing the story is bigger than "the next Fitbit."He frames the shift as driven by cheaper and smaller sensors, consumers paying more directly for health through higher deductibles, GLP-1s, and cash-pay services, and AI making health data more usable. Using Oura's S-1 cohort data (72% women, 73% age 45 or younger, 63% earning $100K or more, over half with a chronic condition), he explains why Oura won by targeting finger-based wearables, improving signal quality and wear time, and pairing hardware with subscriptions. He runs Oura lightly through Avory's 6M framework and flags retention and churn as the key unknown until more cohort data is public.Chapters00:00 Oura IPO Snapshot01:10 Channel Intro and Approach02:03 Why Oura Matters Now03:56 Big Tech Health Moves04:51 Three Forces Driving Change07:04 Who Uses Oura09:56 Winning the Finger13:31 Subscription and Engagement Loop16:06 6M Investor Lens19:59 What Comes NextMore from Avory & Co.Newsletter (Investing with Data): www.investingwithdata.com Website: avoryfunds.comInformational only. Not personal investment advice. Opinions reflect Avory & Co.'s views as of the recording date and may change. Avory & Co. and Sean Emory may hold positions in securities discussed. Do your own research and consult your financial professional before making investment decisions.

Marketer of the Day with Robert Plank: Get Daily Insights from the Top Internet Marketers & Entrepreneurs Around the World

Many founders spend decades building a company they hope to one day exit only to discover that the deal they dreamed about leaves them feeling lost, lonely, and full of regret. Today's guest, Jerome Myers of Exit to Excellence, has studied more than 3,500 founder conversations, 400+ podcast interviews, and over $2.5 billion in exit value to answer a question the exit industry rarely asks: what happens to the founder when the business they built no longer needs them? In this episode of Marketer of the Day, Jerome introduces the “Founders Exit Paradox” and shares why an estimated 75% of founders regret their exit, even when they get the money they were aiming for. He explains how a business quietly organizes every part of an owner's life calendar, income, relationships, and even identity and why selling that business without a personal plan can feel like falling off a cliff. Using his powerful mountain expedition analogy (ascent, summit, and descent), Jerome highlights that the most dangerous part isn't building or selling the business; it's what happens after the liquidity event when the structure disappears but the money, time, and opportunity suddenly expand. Jerome also breaks down the concept of business maturity asking whether your company is “acting its age” or if it's still a “baby” that can't function without you. He shows why founders who remain the catch‑all problem solvers get trapped, and how building a self‑sustaining, independent business is essential not just for a successful exit, but for a healthy life after the deal. Instead of treating exit planning as a dry financial exercise focused on EBITDA and GAAP, he uses story and parable, drawn from his audiobook “The Exit Expedition,” to make the emotional and psychological side of exiting both practical and deeply relatable. You'll learn the real reasons founders regret selling from loss of identity and sudden loneliness to getting 40–60 hours a week back with no meaningful way to use it, and how a structured process can help you define who you are, who you spend time with, and what truly matters beyond your company. Jerome shares why being intentional before the exit is the key to avoiding lottery-winner-style meltdowns, and how to design a new “filter” for opportunities so you don't say yes to everything just because you finally can. https://youtu.be/Zo8hzbPO_48?si=QOe77a1TH2Bi55tF If you're thinking about selling your business someday or simply want to build a company that doesn't depend on you for every decision, this conversation will change how you think about exit strategy. Jerome recommends starting with his Exit Risk Assessment at exittoexcellence.com/era, a complimentary diagnostic that reveals your highest‑risk areas, hidden dependencies, post‑exit vulnerabilities, and 90‑day action items to reduce risk. Whether an exit is five months or fifteen years away, you'll see why a good exit strategy is really just good business strategy and how to prepare not only your company, but yourself, for the next chapter. Quotes: "Most owners are the catch-all whatever the problem is, if it doesn't fit in one of the employees' job descriptions, it is my problem, and I must go solve it." "Exit strategy is just good business strategy. You'll enjoy your business more the better you are prepared for an exit." "The reason so many founders regret their exit is not the money. It's that they don't know how to introduce themselves anymore and they struggle with who they are without the business." Contact Details: Ready For What Comes After the Exit? Explore Exit to Excellence Today You Built It. Now What? Discover What Comes After The Exit: Take the Red Pill Assess your Exit Readiness: Start your Successful Transition Connect with Jerome Myers on LinkedIn → Discover what's possible beyond the exit. Discover What's Next: Listen to Your Next Today on Apple Podcast Exit to Excellence: A Journey to Your N.E.X.T. on Amazon

The Finance Leader Podcast
A Strong Audit Plan Turns Compliance Into Trust

The Finance Leader Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 8, 2026 17:53 Transcription Available


Send us Fan MailBonus episode # 103: If you think “the audit” is just a yearly event, you're leaving your organization exposed. I'm sharing a replay of The Audit Blueprint, my CFO's guide to financial integrity, because accurate books and strong internal controls are not box-checking, they're how you protect trust, prevent asset loss, and keep leaders from making decisions on bad data.I walk through what a solid audit plan should actually do: validate that transactions are recorded correctly and on time, confirm compliance, and pressure-test the internal control system that stands between your company and fraud, waste, or abuse. We also get specific about the outcomes that matter most to me: unyielding professional ethics, financial accuracy aligned with GAAP and regulatory requirements, and real asset protection across the business. From there, I connect audit to risk assessment and strategy. Please connect with me on:1. Instagram: stephen.mclain2. Twitter: smclainiii3. Facebook: stephenmclainconsultant4. LinkedIn: stephenjmclainiiiFor more resources, please visit Finance Leader Academy:  financeleaderacademy.com.Support the showStephen is an experienced Finance Professional and Leader who offers fractional CFO services and development opportunities. Please visit his LinkedIn profile or Finance Leader Academy for more information.The views and information shared on The Finance Leader Podcast are intended solely for educational and informational purposes. They do not constitute financial, accounting, tax, legal, investment, or other professional advice. Always seek guidance from a qualified professional before making decisions related to your specific circumstances. 

Chip Stock Investor Podcast
Palo Alto Is Up 1,400% in a Decade — What Comes Next? (PANW FY2026)

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Sep 2, 2026 14:28


Palo Alto Networks (PANW) has been flying high into the end of FY2026. After a decade-long 1,400% run — capped by a broader cybersecurity rally following the Anthropic "Mythos moment" in early 2026 — what comes next?Nick breaks down how Palo Alto expanded from network security into cloud security through acquisitions, including the completed CyberArk deal (identity and access management), plus newer moves into AI agent security (Console) and observability (Embrace, complementing Chronosphere).On the financials: FY2026 revenue rose 24% to nearly $11.5B, with growth accelerating after CyberArk, while GAAP net income fell on stock-based compensation and amortization. Free cash flow came in just over $4.1B. We close with the next-12-months outlook for PANW as cybersecurity needs intensify for companies adopting more AI.—Access the fiscal.ai research terminal and get 15% off your membership with our link: https://fiscal.ai/csiLive event — new research platform sneak peek: join us Monday, September 7, 2026 at 7:00 AM Pacific for a live look at the new Chip Stock Investor research platform. Zoom: https://chipstockinvestor.zoom.us/j/98264538517?pwd=Hu3DuPQooFYZa7tYujMzUQcrAOIk6L.1 — or catch it live and on replay on our YouTube livestream.All our socials: https://linktr.ee/chipstockinvestorIf you're getting value from the show, follow so you don't miss the next one.—Disclosure: Some links above are affiliate links. If you buy something through them, we might earn a little coffee money — thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction.Content in this episode is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. CSI owns shares of Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Fortinet.

Shoot the Moon with Revenue Rocket
What Buyers Learn From How Fast You Close Your Books

Shoot the Moon with Revenue Rocket

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 26, 2026 29:41


Buyers treat your month-end close as a maturity test. Closing inside two weeks reads as a well-run business. Taking two months invites questions, no matter how good the underlying numbers turn out to be. In part 4 of the CEO Optional series, Mike Harvath, Ryan Barnett, and Matt Lockhart look at what happens when the real financial picture of an IT services firm lives only in the owner's head or their inbox, and what it takes to get it out into a system the whole team can see. They cover the accounting foundations buyers actually check, which operating numbers belong in front of the sales and delivery teams, and the review cadence that makes it stick. This is a conversation about IT services M&A readiness rather than day to day bookkeeping. Financial visibility is one of the things that separates a business a buyer can underwrite from one that carries an obvious founder dependency discount. CHAPTERS 0:00 Show open 0:23 Where this sits in the CEO Optional series 0:59 Why founder-led firms end up CEO dependent 3:12 The cost of keeping the numbers in the owner's head 4:29 Month-end close speed as a maturity test 5:51 The opposite failure: outsourcing too far 7:24 Push the KPIs out to the organization 8:40 What good enough looks like: cash to accrual 11:24 Documented policies and review by outsiders 12:54 Which numbers to put in front of the team 16:50 Teaching the team how the levers add up 21:09 Transparency as a lubricant for the business 23:53 Building a cadence around the numbers 27:23 Forecasting rigor and why it adds value 28:46 Sign-off KEY TAKEAWAYS 1. A month-end close inside two weeks reads as mature to a buyer. A close that takes two months raises questions before the diligence conversation even starts. 2. The CEO should know revenue and profitability off the top of their head. The bookkeeping and the financial strategy grind belong to a CFO, a fractional CFO, or a strong outsourced partner. 3. Outsourcing too far is its own failure. A founder who cannot demonstrate command of their own numbers in front of a buyer looks just as bad as one who never delegated. 4. Moving from cash to accrual accounting is the key first step toward a GAAP standard, and it usually starts to matter in the three to five million dollar revenue band. 5. Push the operating levers, utilization, realization, and gross margin, out to the sales and delivery teams who can actually move them. LINKS Read the companion article: https://www.revenuerocket.com/it-services-ma-financial-transparency-ceo-optional/ What is your IT services business worth: https://www.revenuerocket.com/ev-2-0-2/ Schedule a confidential conversation: https://www.revenuerocket.com/contact-us/ All Shoot the Moon episodes: https://www.revenuerocket.com/series/shoot-the-moon/ Listen on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/shoot-the-moon-with-revenue-rocket/id1478519505 Listen on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6y7u9KuOjaplhScHtINGZU Questions on measuring utilization versus realization: info@revenuerocket.com ABOUT REVENUE ROCKET Revenue Rocket is a sell-side and buy-side M&A advisory firm focused exclusively on IT services companies, including MSPs, cybersecurity, cloud, custom application development, and VARs. Based in Bloomington, Minnesota, we have spent 25+ years helping technology services founders buy, sell, and grow. If you are weighing an exit, an acquisition, or simply what your company is actually worth, schedule a confidential conversation: https://www.revenuerocket.com/contact-us/ #ITServicesMA #MergersAndAcquisitions #MSP #ExitStrategy #ShootTheMoon #RevenueRocket #CEOOptional Listen to Shoot the Moon on Apple Podcasts or Spotify.Buy, sell, or grow your tech-enabled services firm with Revenue Rocket.

Chip Stock Investor Podcast
Why We're NOT Buying Fastly (Even at 22% Growth)

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 25, 2026 11:55


Fastly's revenue just re-accelerated into the mid-20% range — but our reverse DCF says the stock still needs 22%+ FCF growth for a decade to justify $26. Here's why that's a hard pass for now.Part 3 of our CDN series puts Fastly under the microscope after comparing it against Cloudflare and Akamai. We walk through our full investment thesis checklist — supply chain position, technology stickiness, revenue model, and capital structure — before running a reverse DCF on Fastly's free cash flow per share.Revenue growth has re-accelerated, and operating margins are improving, but GAAP profitability still lags Cloudflare, stock-based compensation remains elevated relative to revenue, and share dilution is running well above our target threshold. We also look at customer stickiness — including the loss of a major account to Cloudflare — as a proxy for platform depth and competitive moat.The result: Fastly lands on our watchlist rather than our buy list, with a price level flagged for renewed interest if shares pull back meaningfully. We close the series by connecting CDN infrastructure to the broader AI infrastructure buildout, and how a small CDN/cybersecurity basket — anchored by Cloudflare — fits inside a semiconductor and infrastructure-focused portfolio.Research-backed analysis, not a stock tip. Always do your own due diligence.—Members of Semiconductor Insider get our complete company-by-company research, valuation models, and portfolio allocation notes on Cloudflare, Akamai, and Fastly, plus weekly live Q&A and a growing set of tools to build your process: https://www.chipstockinvestor.comAll our socials: https://linktr.ee/chipstockinvestorIf you're getting value from the show, follow so you don't miss the next one.—Disclosure: Some links above are affiliate links. If you buy something through them, we might earn a little coffee money — thanks for helping us (Kasey) fuel our caffeine addiction.Content in this episode is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal. CSI doesn't own shares of Fastly.

The Six Five with Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman
NVIDIA's $500B AI Bet, Anthropic's Watermark Gamble & the Edge AI Debate | Ep. 315

The Six Five with Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 17, 2026 67:49


NVIDIA mobilizes over $500 billion in third-party capital to finance AI infrastructure, Anthropic doubles down on data-center ownership and mandatory content watermarking, and Patrick Moorhead and Daniel Newman debate whether distributed AI at the edge is finally ready to accelerate, all on Ep. 315 of The Six Five Pod. The handpicked topics for this week are: NVIDIA Turns AI Compute Into an Asset Class: NVIDIA signed an MOU with Apollo, BlackRock, Blackstone, Brookfield, Goldman Sachs, and KKR to mobilize over $500 billion in third-party capital for AI compute financing, with NVIDIA backstopping up to 25% of individual deals. Patrick Moorhead called it a mechanism that locks partners into NVIDIA's ecosystem without technically locking them into NVIDIA on paper, while Daniel Newman framed it as smart deployment of NVIDIA's projected trillion dollars in three-year free cash flow. (The Decode) Anthropic Doubles Down on Infrastructure Control and Content Authenticity: Anthropic is moving to mandatory invisible watermarking on all Claude-generated text and images worldwide, aligning with the EU's Code of Practice on AI transparency, while also forming a data-center joint venture called Theseus Infrastructure with Macquarie Asset Management and GIC. Moorhead called the watermarking timing risky given Anthropic's ongoing trust concerns, citing data suggesting Claude's Fable 5 model has struggled to gain enterprise traction. Newman raised the "means of creation" IP problem: enterprises building proprietary products on top of Claude could see their own outputs credited to Claude instead of themselves. (The Decode) The Frontier Model Landscape Splits: xAI shipped Grok 4.6 at what the hosts characterized as frontier-tier intelligence for more than 60% less cost, while Google's Gemini 3.5 Pro slipped again to August, its third delay from a promised June launch. Moorhead noted open models have compressed the gap with frontier labs from 9-12 months to mere weeks, intensifying the price war, while pushing back on reports of "muted" internal sentiment on Gemini 4 and pointing to Google's track record inventing transformers, TPUs, and PageRank. (The Decode) Zuckerberg's "The Future Is for Everyone" Essay: Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg published a 6,000-word essay using the word "superintelligence" 60 times, arguing for open-weight AI and zero government regulation while explicitly distancing Meta from OpenAI and Anthropic. Patrick read the essay as a positioning document aimed at Washington policymakers, timed to argue against export controls and training-checkpoint restrictions. Daniel pointed to Meta's 3 billion daily users and self-directed compute stack as the company's real advantage, even as its frontier-model leadership remains unproven. (The Decode) Intel Prices Largest All-Common-Stock US Follow-On Ever: Intel's stock offering grew from an announced $15 billion to $20 billion and finally $23 billion after the full greenshoe, drawing $100 billion in orders, more than 2,700 times oversubscribed, priced at $95 a share. Moorhead traced the raise back to CEO Lip-Bu Tan's refusal to pre-invest in 14A capacity without a confirmed customer, a stance that drew public criticism before a public reconciliation and a 10% U.S. government investment in Intel. Both hosts read Tan's personal $12 million purchase of shares as a credibility signal. (The Decode) The Flip: Will Distributed AI at the Edge Accelerate in the Next 12-18 Months?: Moorhead argued FOR, pointing to the historical pattern of compute migrating toward the point of content creation and citing new device-to-cloud routing technology like NVIDIA Switchyard as removing the sovereignty and latency barriers that kept edge AI stalled. Newman argued AGAINST, pointing to $944 billion that flowed into centralized AI infrastructure in a single week and research showing AI PC adoption is actually decelerating in 2026, with most on-device AI features still routing to cloud models in a browser tab. The Flip assigns Moorhead and Newman opposing sides of a debate, not necessarily their own positions. The exercise tests how far each argument holds up. (The Flip) CoreWeave Posts Strong Beat as Depreciation Debate Intensifies: CoreWeave reported Q2 revenue of $2.58 billion, up 112% year-over-year and above consensus, alongside a smaller-than-expected adjusted loss and a backlog that grew to $104 billion, up 246% year-over-year. Moorhead pointed to contracts running through 2029 on six-year-old A100 chips as evidence a resale market has emerged around aging AI hardware. (Bulls and Bears) Nebius Group Posts 454% Revenue Growth: Nebius reported Q2 revenue of $582.3 million, up 454% year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA turning positive at $236.2 million versus a loss in the prior year. Both hosts flagged energy access, not capital or demand, as the primary constraint facing neoclouds like Nebius. (Bulls and Bears) Lenovo Posts Record Revenue and First-Ever Billion-Dollar Profit Quarter: Lenovo reported record revenue of $26.9 billion, up 43% year-over-year, its best quarter in company history, with adjusted net income crossing $1 billion for the first time. Moorhead highlighted the Infrastructure Solutions Group's record 9.1% operating margin and an AI server pipeline that grew 157% quarter-over-quarter. (Bulls and Bears) Cisco Delivers Its Best Print in Years, Market Sells Anyway: Cisco reported $17.25 billion in revenue, up 18% year-over-year and beating estimates by $432 million, with product orders up 35% and triple-digit growth in hyperscaler AI infrastructure orders. Moorhead called out enterprise orders up 21% and public sector orders up 30% as early evidence that enterprise AI demand is starting to show up in the numbers. (Bulls and Bears) Cerebras Systems Beats on Revenue, Stock Drops 15% on Accounting Confusion: Cerebras posted record core revenue of $209.9 million, up 103% year-over-year, and raised full-year guidance to $880-890 million, but shares fell 15% after-hours as investors struggled to reconcile GAAP and non-GAAP figures around customer warrants. Newman argued the real question is whether Cerebras' inference cloud growth ramp holds up, not near-term accounting noise. (Bulls and Bears) Coherent Posts First-Ever $2 Billion Quarter: Coherent reported record revenue of $2.05 billion, up 34% year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS up 74%. Pat noted 79% of Coherent's business is data center and communications-related, positioning the company as a direct beneficiary of hyperscaler AI capital spending across multiple photonics technologies. (Bulls and Bears) Applied Materials Posts Record Quarter, Guides Above Street: Applied Materials reported record revenue of $9.12 billion, up 25% year-over-year, with record non-GAAP EPS of $3.50 and a fourth-quarter guide of $10.25 billion, well above consensus. Moorhead pointed to the company's 13th straight quarter of gross margin expansion and its ability to compete across packaging, advanced logic, and metrology. (Bulls and Bears) Watch the full video at sixfivemedia.com, and subscribe to our YouTube channel so you never miss an episode. The Decode NVIDIA Turns AI Compute Into an Asset Class https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-partners-with-apollo-blackrock-blackstone-brookfield-goldman-sachs-and-kkr-to-establish-ai-compute-infrastructure-financing-platforms-to-mobilize-over-500-billion-of-third-party-capital Anthropic Doubles Down on Infrastructure Control and Content Authenticity https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-10/anthropic-macquarie-and-gic-form-venture-for-ai-data-centers https://www.forbes.com/sites/maryroeloffs/2026/08/11/claude-will-put-invisible-watermarks-on-ai-text-and-images-and-the-internet-isnt-happy/ The Frontier Model Landscape Bifurcates https://www.reuters.com/business/google-updates-lightweight-gemini-models-flagship-still-delayed-2026-07-21/ Zuckerberg's "The Future Is for Everyone" Essay https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2026/aug/10/mark-zuckerberg-superintelligent-ai-essay-meta Intel Prices Largest All-Common-Stock US Follow-On Ever https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/10/intel-intc-stock-offering-ai.html The Flip Will Distributed AI at the Edge Accelerate in the Next 12-18 Months? FOR: https://www.amd.com/en/blogs/2026/ai-pc-adoption-accelerates-as-enterprises-prepare.html AGAINST: https://www.ciodive.com/news/enterprise-ai-pc-adoption-slow-2026/807704/ Bulls and Bears CoreWeave — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/11/coreweave-crwv-q2-earnings-report-2026.html Nebius — https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/nebius-reports-second-quarter-2026-114200960.html Lenovo — https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chinas-lenovo-posts-43-jump-q1-revenue-2026-08-13/ Cisco — https://www.marketbeat.com/earnings/reports/2026-8-12-cisco-systems-inc-stock/ Cerebras — https://investors.cerebras.ai/news-releases/news-release-details/cerebras-systems-fast-inference-cloud-business-nearly-quadruples Coherent — https://www.coherent.com/content/dam/coherent/site/en/documents/investors/financial-releases/2026/august-12/earnings-release-fy26-q4.pdf Applied Materials — https://ir.appliedmaterials.com/news-releases/news-release-details/applied-materials-announces-third-quarter-2026-results  

two & a half gamers

This week is one giant lesson in consolidation: everybody's buying everybody, the money is concentrating, the ownership is concentrating, and the people are getting cut. Tripledot bought Supersonic from Unity, Saudi Arabia closed the biggest leveraged buyout in history to take EA private, and Netflix gutted a studio seven weeks after praising its game on an earnings call.Matej Lančarič flies solo for the weekly news. Tripledot acquired Supersonic from Unity for $40M cash — a striking number given Supersonic likely did ~$40-45M in revenue over the last 12 months (per Sensor Tower plus ad revenue), and given ironSource paid $150M for it 11 years ago and Unity got it inside the $4.4B ironSource merger in 2022. It's the final piece of ironSource leaving the building — and the second time Tripledot has done this, after buying AppLovin's entire games business for $800M a year ago. The pattern is now complete: both AppLovin and Unity have exited game publishing to become pure ad-tech companies (ad networks make ads, publishers make games). That sale landed alongside Unity's best quarter ever (revenue $546M, up 24%, Grow segment up 35% to $389M on Vector AI, approaching GAAP profitability). Saudi Arabia's PIF closed its $55B take-private of EA (now delisted, ~93% PIF-owned with Silver Lake and Affinity Partners) — the largest LBO in history, with ~$20B in debt that will push EA hard toward recurring mobile and live-service revenue, plus a Vision 2030 soft-power dimension via EA Sports FC. Netflix's FIFA World Cup studio Refactor laid off 85% of staff seven weeks after Netflix named the game one of its most successful cloud debuts — the same praise-then-kill pattern as Squid Game Unleashed. And AppLovin posted a "miss that isn't a miss" (revenue up 53% to ~$1.92B, just under consensus).The through-line: the ad networks make ads now, the publishers make games, and the ownership of the whole industry is concentrating like never before.━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━⏱️ TIMESTAMPS00:00 A week of pure consolidation — everybody's buying everybody01:40 Tripledot buys Supersonic for $40M — the ironSource endgame05:30 The pattern: ad networks exit publishing06:40 Unity's best quarter ever — the Vector AI turnaround09:30 Saudi Arabia takes EA private for $55B13:00 The Netflix FIFA disaster — praised, then gutted17:30 AppLovin's Q2 — the miss that isn't a miss---------------------------------------This is no BS gaming podcast 2.5 gamers session. Sharing actionable insights, dropping knowledge from our day-to-day User Acquisition, Game Design, and Ad monetization jobs. We are definitely not discussing the latest industry news, but having so much fun! Let's not forget this is a 4 a.m. conference discussion vibe, so let's not take it too seriously.Panelists: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Jakub Remia⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠r,⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Felix Braberg, Matej Lancaric⁠Join our slack channel here: https://join.slack.com/t/two-and-half-gamers/shared_invite/zt-3bckldvr8-8PXvzciMWdheOzED9hq0SA---------------------------------------Matej LancaricUser Acquisition & Creatives Consultant⁠https://lancaric.meFelix BrabergAd monetization consultant⁠https://www.felixbraberg.comJakub RemiarGame design consultant⁠https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakubremiar---------------------------------------Please share the podcast with your industry friends, dogs & cats. Especially cats! They love it!Hit the Subscribe button on YouTube, Spotify, and Apple!Please share feedback and comments - matej@lancaric.me---------------------------------------If you are interested in getting UA tips every week on Monday, visit ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠lancaric.substack.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ & sign up for the Brutally Honest newsletter by Matej LancaricDo you have UA questions nobody can answer? Ask ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Matej AI⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ - the First UA AI in the gaming industry! https://lancaric.me/matej-ai

The 7investing Podcast
Upstart Q2 Earnings: The AI Company Disrupting The $1 Trillion Lending Market

The 7investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 24:35


Simon Erickson and Heather Horton break down Upstart Holdings (NASDAQ:UPST) Q2 2026 earnings, released the day before this live stream. New CEO Paul Gu, one of the company's original co-founders, posted his own recap directly on X just 100 days into the role, a move Simon highlights as a sign the company is finally learning to speak Wall Street's language rather than getting lost in the weeds of its AI credit models. Upstart uses proprietary AI models, drawing on more than 1,000 data points instead of a traditional FICO score, to originate consumer loans in a lending market Simon describes as worth more than a trillion dollars.The episode covers total loan originations of $4.2 billion, up 50% year over year across 558,000 loans, along with a breakdown of unsecured personal loan growth versus a rapidly scaling auto and home loan business. Simon and Heather also walk through Upstart's contribution profit, total net revenue, and its return to GAAP net income for the quarter, along with the company's newly reaffirmed three-year growth targets through 2028. They close with a discussion of Upstart's pending federal banking charter and what that could mean for how the company funds future loans.

Chip Stock Investor Podcast
Alphabet Earnings: The Conglomerate Discount Explained

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 6, 2026 13:19


Alphabet Q2 2026 earnings show a company with two different stories depending on where you look, and we break down the conglomerate discount hiding in the balance sheet. Google Cloud revenue jumped to over 24 billion dollars for the quarter, up 80 percent year over year, with operating income approaching nine billion dollars, now over 20 percent of Alphabet's total operating income. Trailing twelve month GAAP operating profit has grown faster than revenue, driven by Search and Cloud strength. But capital expenditures are changing the picture fast. Alphabet's 2026 capex guidance now sits near 200 billion dollars as part of the broader hyperscaler AI infrastructure buildout, pushing quarterly free cash flow negative for the first time in this cycle. We go beyond the headline numbers to explain why data transparency issues around Alphabet's variable interest entities, equity derivatives, and credit derivatives make the balance sheet harder to analyze than it looks. We also cover Alphabet's forward valuation and the semiconductor read through from continued AI infrastructure spending. Semi Insider members get access to Chip Stock Investor's research platform and tools plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com.Chip Stock Investor and/or its hosts currently hold a position in Alphabet stock. Nothing in this content is financial advice; do your own research before making investment decisions.

GREY Journal Daily News Podcast
Will Palantir's Earnings Beat Reshape Enterprise AI Spend?

GREY Journal Daily News Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Aug 4, 2026 1:08


Palantir reported quarterly earnings that beat Wall Street expectations, according to The Guardian on August 3, 2026, with the quarter described as otherworldly. The company's platforms include Gotham for defense and intelligence, Foundry for commercial operations, and AIP for model orchestration against governed data. Public sector demand spans logistics, cyber defense, and emergency response, while commercial buyers in manufacturing, energy, and healthcare focus on predictive maintenance, outage reduction, and supply chain visibility. Competition includes Microsoft, Amazon, Google, Databricks, Snowflake, ServiceNow, Salesforce, and IBM. Palantir has emphasized GAAP profitability since 2023, and analysts will watch remaining performance obligations, customer additions, and revenue mix. Founders should align with buyer checklists by delivering secure, auditable AI with rapid time-to-value and clear metrics.Learn more on this news by visiting us at: https://greyjournal.net/news/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Chip Stock Investor Podcast
ServiceNow (NOW): Down 60%, But Now a Cybersecurity Player

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 31, 2026 16:18


ServiceNow has been hammered in the software selloff, but our Q2 2026 earnings breakdown reveals a business quietly repositioning itself for the AI edge. CEO Bill McDermott and CFO Gina Mastantuono delivered 25% year-over-year revenue growth, accelerating subscription guidance, and two strategic acquisitions, Veza and Armis, that push ServiceNow into identity, access, and device-level cybersecurity. We break down why McDermott calls this the fastest-growing risk and security business among the top 10 enterprise cybersecurity players, and why the market still treats ServiceNow like an AI-era loser rather than an edge-AI beneficiary.The conversation covers GAAP versus non-GAAP metrics, including a 55% decline in GAAP operating income, balance sheet strength post-acquisitions, full-year subscription revenue guidance near $16 billion, and a reverse DCF on free cash flow per share to gauge what the current stock price is actually pricing in. We also compare ServiceNow's cybersecurity revenue against pure-play peers like Palo Alto Networks, CrowdStrike, and Fortinet using data from our research dashboard.If you're evaluating semiconductor and AI infrastructure stocks, foundry exposure, or non-correlated edge-AI plays for portfolio diversification, this ServiceNow deep dive lays out both the bull case and the real risks.Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools, plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com.Get 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: fiscal.ai/csiThis content is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategy discussed will be successful. All investing involves risk, including loss of principal. CSI owns shares of ServiceNow.

Metamorphose 47
Résultats EXCELLENTS... Wall Street les MASSACRE !

Metamorphose 47

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 26, 2026 20:20


Résultats EXCELLENTS... Wall Street les MASSACRE !Cette semaine, les géants de la tech ont publié leurs résultats : Google, Tesla, Intel et Nokia. Des chiffres impressionnants, des croissances records… et pourtant, le marché a puni les quatre. ➡️ Google : +24 % de revenus, Cloud +82 %, mais Capex monstrueux et free cash flow négatif. ➡️ Tesla : ventes record, mais marges écrasées et cash brûlé par les dépenses IA. ➡️ Intel : renaissance grâce à l'IA, mais un GAAP plombé par 12,5 Md $ de charges. ➡️ Nokia : croissance IA +105 %, mais correction violente après un rallye excessif. Le marché ne veut plus de promesses IA, il veut du CASH. On est en plein **risk‑off global**, avec inflation, taux élevés et guerre en Iran.

Chip Stock Investor Podcast
Netflix Stock: Is the Q2 Sell-Off a Buying Opportunity?

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 23, 2026 11:18


Netflix just posted its slowest revenue growth in over a year, and the stock got hammered. We break down why the sell-off might be mispricing what's actually happening underneath the numbers.Netflix's Q2 2026 earnings sparked a sharp market reaction, with growth decelerating and forward guidance coming in around 12% for Q3 and Q4. Using fiscal.ai data, we compare Netflix's 325+ million paying subscribers against Disney, Warner Bros. Discovery/Paramount+, Amazon Prime Video, and ad-supported giants like YouTube and Meta. We dig into why Netflix remains the clear leader in paid streaming even as its ad-tier data center buildout has yet to reaccelerate top-line growth.On the financials side, we cover Netflix's 33% operating margin, $3.4 billion in GAAP net income, and $1.5 billion in free cash flow for the quarter, plus the lingering cash impact from the terminated Warner Bros. Discovery merger talks. Then we move to valuation: trailing and forward P/E and price-to-free-cash-flow multiples, and why this may be the cheapest Netflix has traded in three to four years.Is Netflix transitioning from a high-growth streaming stock to a steady, profitable value stock, and does that make current levels an entry point? We break down what the market is pricing in for long-term EPS growth and whether the bar has been set low enough to matter for long-term investors.Semi Insider members get access to CSI's research platform and tools plus deeper research as it happens. Join at chipstockinvestor.com.Full research and stock tools: https://chipstockinvestor.comGet 15% off your fiscal.ai membership with our link: https://fiscal.ai/csiContent in this podcast is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted, and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.CSI owns shares of Netflix.

NJCPA IssuesWatch Podcast
367: A&A Update with Matt Charne – 7/21/26

NJCPA IssuesWatch Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 21, 2026 13:44


With so much AI development going on, companies need to understand how to apply accounting rules. There are existing accounting frameworks under U.S. GAAP that are relevant, but the challenge is applying them to AI. There are grey areas and questions that need to be answered. *** This episode qualifies for nano CPE credit. Find out more at https://njcpa.org/nano. *** Resources:Accounting for AI Implementation Costs: Practical Information for Finance LeadersAccounting and auditing articles and eventsJoin the Accounting & Auditing Standards Interest Group

ai accounting cpe gaap eventsjoin charne
Chip Stock Investor Podcast
IBM NanoStack CFET: Turning Patents Into Chip Royalties

Chip Stock Investor Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 10, 2026 15:23


IBM just unveiled NanoStack, its take on the CFET transistor architecture that succeeds gate-all-around as the next step in chip scaling — and it could turn IBM's patent portfolio into a real semiconductor royalty business.IBM claims NanoStack delivers up to a 50% jump in compute performance or a 70% gain in energy efficiency versus its 2021 two-nanometer IP. IBM sold its chip manufacturing business to GlobalFoundries back in 2015, yet it still holds one of the largest patent portfolios in the industry, and IP licensing and custom development income made up nearly 10% of IBM's GAAP net income in 2025. We break down IBM's 2025 revenue, R&D spend, and licensing income, then identify who benefits most across the supply chain, including ASML, Lam Research, Tokyo Electron, and Screen Holdings as advanced lithography, etch, deposition, and wafer-cleaning suppliers to Rapidus, the Japanese foundry startup aiming to ramp production by 2027.This is part of our ongoing coverage of the semiconductor manufacturing supply chain and the next 15 years of chip advancement.Full research is available for members at Semiconductor Insider — join at chipstockinvestor.com.Get 15% off your membership with our link: fiscal.ai/csiContent in this video is for general information or entertainment only and is not specific or individual investment advice. Forecasts and information presented may not develop as predicted and there is no guarantee any strategies presented will be successful. All investing involves risk, and you could lose some or all of your principal.

FinPod
Corporate Finance Explained | Stock-Based Compensation

FinPod

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 7, 2026 25:49


What if one of the biggest expenses in tech isn't actually cash?In this episode of Corporate Finance Explained, we unpack the truth behind stock-based compensation and why it has become one of the most misunderstood topics in corporate finance, financial analysis, and equity valuation.At first glance, paying employees with stock instead of cash can make a company's financial performance look stronger. But while stock-based compensation may be considered a non-cash expense under GAAP accounting, it still comes at a very real cost to shareholders through equity dilution.We explore how companies account for stock-based compensation under ASC 718, why many firms emphasize adjusted (non-GAAP) earnings, and how stock grants impact operating cash flow, free cash flow, and earnings per share. We also examine why investors should pay close attention to diluted share count, stock buybacks, and long-term dilution rather than relying solely on headline earnings metrics.

GREY Journal Daily News Podcast
Can Public Earnings Hype Skew Private Valuations?

GREY Journal Daily News Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 6, 2026 1:21


Analysts describe an earnings bubble risk when earnings per share rise faster than revenue due to cost cuts, non GAAP adjustments, and share buybacks. Profits are concentrated in a small group of large companies including Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Tesla, which can lift index aggregates while many sectors lag. Share repurchases reduce share counts and can raise EPS without strengthening free cash flow, which affects vendor negotiations and payment terms. Guidance practices and longer enterprise deal cycles complicate forecasting for startups that sell to large buyers. Higher interest rates increase interest expense, tighten capital spending, and compress private revenue multiples. Founders are advised to plan with segment specific data, track cash indicators, lengthen runway, and structure contracts to stabilize cash flow.Learn more on this news by visiting us at: https://greyjournal.net/news/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Westchester Talk Radio
Nonprofit Westchester 2026 Summer Celebration & Networking Party, featuring Hope Checkley, Checkley & Associates / Hope E. Checkley CPA PC

Westchester Talk Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Jul 1, 2026 8:11


The Nonprofit Westchester Summer Celebration & Networking Party is the premier annual event for local charity leaders, business professionals, and government partners in the region. Hosted at the scenic Hudson River Museum in Yonkers, NY, on June 24th, 2026, the evening offers an excellent opportunity to unwind, build new relationships, and celebrate the local nonprofit sector. Attendees can enjoy outdoor networking, refreshments, and guided museum tours led by junior docents. The event also highlighted the vital impact of the sector, featuring remarks from prominent local leaders, such as New York State Majority Leader Andrea Stewart-Cousins.Hope Checkley from Checkley & Associates spoke with Westchester Talk Radio host Joan Franzino about her accounting practice, which has been established for 20 years and has specialized in nonprofits for the last nine. Hope detailed the unique complexities of nonprofit finances, emphasizing that organizations must follow strict GAAP and AICPA guidelines. Hope works flexibly with local budgets to protect their operational independence.

Business Without Bullsh-t
The hidden cost of going US GAAP with Katrina Nacci, cross‑border accounting specialist

Business Without Bullsh-t

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 29, 2026 49:15 Transcription Available


EP 427 — Preparing UK founders for the shock of needing US GAAP fast when American investors arrive.Most founders only discover the real cost of US GAAP when an investor demands it. Katrina Nacci explains why the pain isn't the accounting rules, but the sudden need for better systems, documentation and proper consolidation.This episode breaks down the operational gaps that derail UK and European scale‑ups: revenue treatment, data hygiene, legacy systems, multi-entity chaos and how to avoid a six‑month panic. Practical decisions, not theory.What You'll Learn in This Episode:• Map when US GAAP is actually triggered• Fix weak processes before an investor audit• Build documentation US auditors expect• Handle multi‑entity, multi‑standard consolidation• Decide when IFRS vs US GAAP matters commerciallyFor founders eyeing US money or expansion, this episode helps you avoid an avoidable mess.*For Apple Podcast chapters, access them from the menu in the bottom right corner of your player*Spotify Video Chapters:0:00 The hidden problem behind “we need US GAAP”1:00 When US GAAP is actually triggered4:00 Why statutory audits don't prepare you8:00 Revenue recognition and documentation gaps12:00 What US auditors expect16:00 How conversions really work inside a group20:00 Systems, ERPs and multi‑GAAP reality24:00 Cost, timelines and team size28:00 IFRS vs US GAAP in practice33:00 Cultural realities of US expansion38:00 Preparing early and avoiding traps45:00 War stories and common pitfallsWatch and subscribe to us on YouTubeFollow us:InstagramTikTokLinkedInTwitterFacebookIf you'd like to be on the show, get in contact - contact@withoutbs.com

More or Less with the Morins and the Lessins
Teamshares IPO: $60M EBITDA, 92 Companies, Zero Exits

More or Less with the Morins and the Lessins

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2026 51:57


Seven years after Slow wrote its first check, Sam sits down with Teamshares CEO Mike Brown as the company prepares to go public. Mike's core insight is simple: America has millions of durable, cash-flowing small businesses, but no great long-term owner. After buying and operating electrical contractors himself, he realized the opportunity wasn't another marketplace or PE roll-up, it was building a permanent holding company that acquires great businesses, gives employees ownership, and never sells. Today, Teamshares owns 92 businesses generating roughly $60M in EBITDA. The conversation explores why most roll-ups fail, why capital allocation is the true operating system of the business, and why the traditional private equity model may be running out of steam. Mike closes with an ambitious goal: grow corporate EBITDA from $19M to $100M by 2027 and create a forever home for thousands of small businesses.Chapters00:00 Episode Teaser Featuring Mike Brown, Teamshares CEO01:11 The Teamshares Origin Story04:48 From Wall Street to Buying Small Businesses10:47 Why Going Direct to Sellers Didn't Work (The FSBO Problem)13:18 Buying at Scale, The Teamshares Model15:27 92 Acquisitions and $60M EBITDA, Lessons Learned18:26 Why Generalist Hires Didn't Work19:08 Building a Leadership Pipeline23:46 The Internal YC, Community Across Portfolio Companies27:42 How Technology Powers 92 Businesses28:08 “Will This Business Exist in 50 Years?”32:21 Why Most Roll-Ups Fail37:30 The Road to $100M EBITDA39:51 The Long-Term Vision40:58 Capital Allocation as a Competitive Advantage42:34 Decentralized Leadership, Centralized Capital46:16 Why Private Equity Fails Small Businesses49:25 Going Public, What Comes NextWe're also on ↓X: https://twitter.com/moreorlesspodInstagram: https://instagram.com/moreorlessYouTube: https://youtu.be/3tV4wdtZBukConnect with us here:1) Sam Lessin: https://x.com/lessin2) Dave Morin: https://x.com/davemorin3) Jessica Lessin: https://x.com/Jessicalessin4) Brit Morin: https://x.com/britImportant Disclosures and Disclaimers:Teamshares has entered into a definitive agreement for a business combination with Live Oak Crest Acquisition Corp. (“Live Oak”), a special purpose acquisition company. In connection with the proposed transaction, a registration statement on Form S-4 (the “Registration Statement”) has been filed with, and been declared effective by, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the “SEC”). This podcast does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities. For important information about the proposed transaction, including where to find the Registration Statement and other legal disclaimers, please refer to the press release available at https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260527344175/en/Teamshares-Announces-S-4-Effectiveness-in-Anticipation-of-Nasdaq-Listing.Clarifications:Teamshares currently has 93 operating subsidiaries. Additionally, Teamshares has had documented revenue declines and business closures. A full reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures, as well as Teamshares' audited GAAP financial statements, is available in the Registration Statement. Investors should review the full set of assumptions and risk factors accompanying these metrics in the Registration Statement.

Courtside Financial Podcast
SpaceX Buys Cursor For $60B, 80% Of Enterprise AI Produces Nothing & Pizza Hut Sells For Irrelevance

Courtside Financial Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 17, 2026 18:15


Five stories today — one of the most stacked news daysof the year.SpaceX confirmed Tuesday it is acquiring Cursor —the AI coding tool developed by Anysphere — for $60billion in an all-stock deal closing Q3 2026. Cursorgenerates $2.6 billion in annualized B2B revenue andis used by Fortune 500 developers globally. SpaceX'sstock gained 16% on Tuesday, surpassing Amazon inmarket cap. Elon Musk now controls SpaceX, xAI, Grok,Tesla, X, and the world's most used AI coding tool.SpaceX has also signed $26 billion per year in computedeals with Anthropic and Google combined.NIO Day 2026 preparations just started — advisorygroup applications are open now with a June 18 deadline.Deutsche Bank expects NIO's Q2 non-GAAP net profit toreach approximately 180 million yuan — a secondconsecutive profitable quarter driven by high-marginES8 and ES9 SUV performance. NIO AGM is June 24th.Deloitte surveyed 3,235 business and IT leaders across24 countries: 74% want AI to grow revenue, only 20%have seen it happen — a 54-point gap between ambitionand reality. 80-85% of enterprises miss their AI budgetforecasts by more than 25%. Uber blew its entire 2026AI coding budget by April. One company racked up a$500 million Claude bill from forgetting to set usagelimits. The era of AI accountability has started.Yum Brands is selling Pizza Hut for $2.7 billion.Brand recognition without innovation is nostalgia witha price tag. BlackRock is laying off for the third timein 18 months as AI replaces financial services rolesfaster than anyone predicted publicly.The US confirmed it will lift Iran oil sanctions themoment the accord is formally signed. Accord signed.Sanctions lifted. Iranian oil returns. Oil drops.Inflation eases. Rate cuts return. Growth stocksre-rate upward. Watch for the signature.

Millionaire Mindcast
SpaceX IPO Breakdown — Everything You Need To Know Before Buying This Stock

Millionaire Mindcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2026 24:04


Elon Musk has officially set the price for the SpaceX IPO at 135 dollars per share, seeking to raise 75 billion dollars. This offering establishes a fully diluted valuation of 1.75 trillion dollars, cementing it as the largest IPO in United States history. The newly public entity is no longer just a rocket company, but a combined powerhouse featuring Starlink, an AI development lab via the recent XAI merger, and orbital computing infrastructure. While the revenue growth is staggering, particularly from Starlink, the company posted a net loss of nearly 5 billion dollars in 2025.In this episode, we break down the math behind paying 90 to 93 times revenue and compare it against industry giants like Nvidia. We also explore the structural risks for retail investors, including Elon Musk's 85 percent voting control and the massive mechanical demand expected from NASDAQ 100 index tracking funds. Finally, we share our disciplined framework for navigating the post-IPO window and explain why the greatest long-term investments often present better entry points than debut day.Key Topics DiscussedThe official SpaceX IPO pricing of 135 dollars a share and its massive 1.75 trillion dollar valuation.How the SpaceX and XAI merger transforms the public entity into a diversified space and computing business.A breakdown of 2025 revenue, showing Starlink driving 61 percent of total earnings.The reason behind the 5 billion dollar GAAP net loss despite generating 18.67 billion dollars in top-line revenue.The valuation multiple comparison between SpaceX at 90 times revenue and Nvidia at 25 to 30 times revenue.The impact of a dual-class share structure granting Elon Musk 85 percent of the voting power.How forced passive buying from NASDAQ 100 tracking funds could generate 8 to 12 billion dollars in immediate demand.The potential connection between the recent Bitcoin liquidation cascade and capital rotating into the SpaceX IPO.Key TakeawaysRetail investors buying at the IPO price are paying maximum price with maximum competition, similar to a real estate bidding war.The XAI merger is the primary driver of current unprofitability, burning approximately 14 billion dollars in cash recently.Investing in this IPO means buying price exposure to a narrative rather than traditional ownership rights over the business decisions.Institutional investors who secured pre-IPO allocations are highly likely to sell for profit into the retail market demand.Historical mega-IPOs like Facebook and Amazon demonstrate that the most advantageous entry points usually happen well after debut day.Connect & Take Action:Wealth Intelligence Brief: Text "WIB" to 844-447-1555 to get Matty's free macro data, real estate intel, and crypto signals delivered to your inbox 3 times a week.Imagos Income Fund: Text "INCOME" or "DEALS" to 844-447-1555 to learn more about Matty A's private debt fund targeting 10% fixed returns paid out monthly.

The Investing Podcast
Zelensky's Open Letter to Putin + SpaceX Denied S&P 500 Entry | June 5, 2026 – Morning Market Briefing

The Investing Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 5, 2026 19:46


Andrew, Ben, and Tom discuss Zelensky's open letter to Putin proposing direct man-to-man peace talks with potential involvement from the US and Europe as security guarantors, while Trump is focused on Iran, and S&P Dow Jones Indices' surprise rejection of SpaceX's S&P 500 inclusion, citing GAAP profitability and float requirements.Join our live YouTube stream Monday through Friday at 8:30 AM EST:http://www.youtube.com/@TheMorningMarketBriefingPlease see disclosures:https://www.narwhal.com/disclosure

The Smattering
208. The 15 Investing Terms You Need to Know

The Smattering

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 3, 2026 67:19


Jason and Jeff break down 15 essential investing terms that are constantly thrown around in the financial world. The duo translates Wall Street jargon into plain English, explaining the difference between GAAP and non-GAAP metrics, why enterprise value is often more important than market cap, and how to efficiently navigate SEC filings such as 10-Ks and S-1s. Whether you're trying to figure out if your portfolio is properly allocated, want to understand where you sit in the capital stack during a bankruptcy, or just need to know what Charlie Munger really thought about adjusted EBITDA, this episode serves as the perfect reference guide for new and experienced investors alike. 03:24 GAAP vs Non GAAP Basics 05:26 Adjusted Metrics and Context 09:14 Dividends Distributions and Taxes 14:02 SEC Filings Overview 17:06 10-K 10-Q and Using AI 21:29 Proxy Statements and Incentives 22:48 S-1 IPO Filings Explained 25:29 Asset Allocation and Position Sizing 28:31 Bull Bear and Market Corrections 32:08 Board of Directors Role 33:27 Board Fiduciary Duties 35:03 Capital Basics Explained 37:33 Debt vs Equity Stack 41:33 Bond Market Signals 42:15 Dollar Cost Averaging 44:05 Earnings and EPS 48:31 FFO for REITs 51:08 Market Cap vs EV 54:18 Cash Flow vs Free Cash 57:25 Funds Indexes and ETFs 59:37 Sectors vs Industries 01:00:44 Valuation Metrics Overview Companies mentioned: AAPL, BN, BRK.B, COST, MA, SAVE, TSLA, TXN, V Find where to listen & subscribe,  portfolio contests, and contact information at https://investingunscripted.com ***************************************** To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscripted Listen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube ***************************************** Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

MobileViews.com Podcast
MobileViews Podcast 612: Tokens vs, Humans w/guest Don Sorcinelli

MobileViews.com Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later Jun 1, 2026 44:52


Jon Westfall and I welcomed back our long-time friend Don Sorcinelli, who hasn't been on the show since last October (podcast 583). Don shared his deliberate "low-tech" approach to entertaining his two-year-old granddaughter, opting for traditional toys over tablets to encourage focus and avoid the "out" that screen time provides. This sparked some fun tech nostalgia, as I recounted my own experiences as a dad of a toddler trying "interactive" toys like the light-sensing Microsoft Barney and the giant yellow Microsoft EasyBall trackball—both of which proved that sometimes, simpler is better. A major theme of this episode was the shifting economic reality of AI. Don, ever the healthy skeptic, compared the current AI hype to the dot-com bust and the "magic math" of non-GAAP reporting. We discussed the "tokens vs. humans" trade-off, noting that as companies like Google and OpenAI move toward token-based pricing, the cost of farming out thinking to AI may soon exceed the cost of hiring a human. I've been finding ways to outsmart these limits by using standard LLMs to "interview" me and generate highly efficient Codex prompts, which usually get the job done on the first try. We also tackled some serious infrastructure and software headaches. I'm currently dealing with expiring Secure Boot certificates on some of my no-name PC boxes—a situation Don rightly called a "mismanaged" disaster on Microsoft's part, given the lack of clear documentation and the bugs causing BitLocker prompts. On a more positive note, my 8GB MacBook Neo continues to impress me with its efficiency, proving that tight optimization can often trump raw specs. We wrapped up with a look at the future of Nvidia ARM-based processors for Windows and a strange sighting during my daily walk: a fiber optic cable hanging at neck height between utility poles, a reminder that even high-tech infrastructure can have very physical (and dangerous) failures

Cloud Accounting Podcast
Is GAAP Inflating the AI Bubble?

Cloud Accounting Podcast

Play Episode Listen Later May 26, 2026 57:51


Is AI really the next Google—or are investors repeating the last tech bubble? Blake and David dig into OpenAI's legal win, the accounting mechanics behind soaring AI valuations, and why cloud credits and paper gains may be inflating the market. They also explore what could make AI tools actually sticky for businesses, from workflow automation to personal finance and small-business use cases, and what all of this means for accountants.SponsorsDigits - http://accountingpodcast.promo/digitsR.E. Cost Seg - http://accountingpodcast.promo/recostsegOnPay - http://accountingpodcast.promo/onpay Maxima.AI - http://accountingpodcast.promo/maximaChapters(00:00) - TAP 488 (00:22) - Cash Flow Forecast Debate (00:29) - Road Show Updates (00:56) - Conference Rebrand News (01:31) - Nasdaq AI Summit Preview (04:29) - Livestream Check In (05:14) - Musk vs OpenAI Ruling (07:25) - AI Bubble Warning Signs (10:47) - Roundtrip Accounting Explained (15:38) - Paper Profits Hit Big Tech (18:28) - Do AI Giants Have Moats (27:15) - ChatGPT Personal Finance Push (30:54) - Agentic App Platforms (31:44) - Query Volume As Moat (33:00) - Claude Small Business Suite (35:20) - Cash Flow Forecast Debate (37:02) - AI Tax Workbook Example (41:03) - Personal Finance Is A Hobby (44:14) - Synthetic And Bench Lessons (47:16) - Why GLs Still Matter (50:43) - Klarna Rehires Humans (52:45) - Token Prices Will Rise (54:07) - Wrap Up And Next Time  Show NotesJury Dismisses Elon Musk's Lawsuit Against OpenAI Over Statute of Limitationshttps://www.technologyreview.com/2026/05/18/1137488/elon-musk-suit-openai-verdict/OpenAI Closes $122 Billion Funding Round, Largest in Silicon Valley Historyhttps://siliconangle.com/2026/03/31/openai-just-closed-record-breaking-122b-funding-round-brings-value-852b/Alphabet and Amazon Stakes in Anthropic Boost Profits by Billionshttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-31/alphabet-amazon-stakes-in-anthropic-boost-profit-by-billionsHalf of Google's and Amazon's 'Blowout AI Profits' Came From a Stake in Anthropichttps://fortune.com/2026/04/30/google-amazon-ai-profits-anthropic-stake-bubble-earnings-2026/What Microsoft's 10-Q Says About OpenAIhttps://om.co/2026/05/01/what-microsofts-10-q-says-about-openai/OpenAI Launches ChatGPT for Personal Finance, Will Let You Connect Bank Accountshttps://techcrunch.com/2026/05/15/openai-launches-chatgpt-for-personal-finance-will-let-you-connect-bank-accounts/Introducing Claude for Small Businesshttps://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-for-small-businessSasha Orloff (Puzzle) LinkedIn Post: Klarna, AI Agent Costs, and Accounting Quality Riskhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/sashaorloffKlarna Reverses Course on AI Customer Support, Resumes Human Hiringhttps://www.customerexperiencedive.com/news/klarna-reinvests-human-talent-customer-service-AI-chatbot/747586/Khosla Ventures Is Betting $10M on Ian Crosby, Whose Last Startup Bench Implodedhttps://techcrunch.com/2026/05/14/khosla-ventures-is-betting-10m-on-ian-crosby-whose-last-startup-bench-imploded/How Intuit Plans to Ride Out the 'SaaS-pocalypse' (CFO Brew Interview with CTO Alex Balazs)https://www.cfobrew.com/stories/2026/04/14/intuit-cto-alex-balazs-saas-pocalypseNeed CPE?Get CPE for listening to podcasts with Earmark: https://earmarkcpe.comSubscribe to the Earmark Podcast: https://podcast.earmarkcpe.comGet in TouchThanks for listening and the great reviews! We appreciate you! Follow and tweet @BlakeTOliver and @DavidLeary. Find us on Facebook and Instagram. If you like what you hear, please do us a favor and write a review on Apple Podcasts or Podchaser. Call us and leave a voicemail; maybe we'll play it on the show. DIAL (202) 695-1040.SponsorshipsAre you interested in sponsoring The Accounting Podcast? For details, read the prospectus.Need Accounting Conference Info? Check out our new website - accountingconferences.comLimited edition shirts, stickers, and other necessitiesTeePublic Store: http://cloudacctpod.link/merchSubscribeApple Podcasts: http://cloudacctpod.link/ApplePodcastsYouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheAccountingPodcastSpotify: http://cloudacctpod.link/SpotifyPodchaser: http://cloudacctpod.link/podchaserStitcher: http://cloudacctpod.link/StitcherOvercast: http://cloudacctpod.link/OvercastClassifieds REFRAME 2026 - http://accountingpodcast.promo/reframe2026Flowglad - https://cal.com/team/flowglad/flowgladWant to get the word out about your newsletter, webinar, party, Facebook group, podcast, e-book, job posting, or that fancy Excel macro you just created? Let the liste...

Silicon Valley Tech And AI With Gary Fowler
The Real-Time Close: Moving Accounting from Retrospective Grunt Work to Agentic Automation with Yogi Goel

Silicon Valley Tech And AI With Gary Fowler

Play Episode Listen Later May 25, 2026 32:45


Join Yogi Goel, Co-founder, CEO, and CFO of Maxima, for an unvarnished conversation on breaking the legacy architecture of corporate finance. After a 20-year career spanning auditing at EY, tech IPOs at Citi and Barclays, and scaling Rubrik from $5M to $900M in ARR, Yogi was firmly on the venture-backed CFO track. Instead, he realized that despite decades of enterprise software, accounting teams were still trapped in a monthly cycle of manual data wrangling and spreadsheet anguish. In this episode, we explore how Maxima secured $41M in funding from Kleiner Perkins and Redpoint, why the "semi-annual close" debate misses the mark, and why the future of finance relies on AI acting as a horizontal system of work layered directly over existing ERPs.

Profit First for Lawyers
Dream Bigger with Courage and Math

Profit First for Lawyers

Play Episode Listen Later May 19, 2026 42:48


“I want you to feel empowered by the knowledge that GAAP is not the only way to manage a small law firm to profitability.” – RJon Robins, author of Profit First for Lawyers In this episode, Pietro Canestrelli shares how following Profit First accounting principles helped transform not just his law firm’s profitability, but the way he thinks about ownership, decision-making, hiring, and growth. Drawing from his experience as both a longtime tax attorney and as the owner of a rapidly growing law firm, Pietro explains why GAAP accounting was never designed to help small law firms maximize profitability and why business owners must become comfortable looking at their numbers regularly. Regular listeners know that RJon frequently speaks about GAAP and that there is an entire chapter titled, “Why Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP) Are Not Meant For You” (Chapter 8) in Profit First for Lawyers. Well worth a second or third read for those who need a refresher. Courage and Math Pietro introduces a phrase that he says law firm owners need in order to build a profitable business: courage and math. The courage to face reality. The math to make objective decisions. The Importance of Looking at Your Numbers One of the most practical lessons in this episode is the importance of reviewing business metrics consistently, especially when the numbers are uncomfortable. By regularly reviewing data like leads, production, consultations, and conversion rates, he was able to identify operational issues quickly and make adjustments before larger problems developed. Because avoiding financial reality does not prevent the consequences. Connect Connect directly with Pietro Canestrelli: https://ietaxattorney.com/pietro-canestrelli Learn more about America’s Tax Defender book by Pietro Cannestrelli Subscribe to the Profit First for Lawyers podcast Watch episodes on YouTube Follow Profit First for Lawyers on social media: LinkedIn | Instagram | Facebook And most importantly, order your copy of Profit First for Lawyers today!

Dream Keepers Radio
Nothing A$$ Advice Cost Nothing

Dream Keepers Radio

Play Episode Listen Later May 15, 2026 14:18 Transcription Available


Send us fan responses! Free information is everywhere, yet most people still feel broke, confused, and behind. We get into the uncomfortable reason: advice isn't the same as experience, and “the game” doesn't stick when you haven't built the capacity to use it. Don Kalam comes in hot on entitlement, calling out the habit of asking strangers to do the work for you, then getting mad when real mentorship has a price tag. If you've ever thought, “Why won't somebody just tell me what to do?” this conversation flips that question back where it belongs.We talk entrepreneurship mindset from the ground up: personal responsibility, time boundaries, and why business owners see value differently than people stuck in a passive, consumer routine. Then we connect it to spiritual discipline with a simple line that keeps showing up: faith without works is dead. Whether you frame it as God, purpose, or inner direction, the point is action. Wisdom shows up through real lessons, not just search results, and growth often comes with tests.We also point you toward practical financial education topics to study, including EIN basics, family office concepts, holding companies, trusts, unincorporated associations, contract law, trust law, bankruptcy law, GAAP, and UCC. It's not about copying a hack overnight. It's about becoming the kind of person who can read, verify, and apply systems with confidence.If this hit a nerve, share it with someone who keeps asking for a shortcut, then subscribe and leave a review so more builders find the message. What's one area you'll stop “Googling” and start studying for real?https://donkilam.com https://open.spotify.com/track/5QOUWyNahqcWvQ4WQAvwjj?autoplay=trueSupport the showhttps://donkilam.com

VG Daily - By VectorGlobal
¿La Fed sube tasas antes de fin de año?

VG Daily - By VectorGlobal

Play Episode Listen Later May 13, 2026 18:22 Transcription Available


En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Valentina Orduz y Andre Dos Santos analizan el día en que la geopolítica, los resultados corporativos y los datos de inflación convergen en un solo movimiento de mercado.El episodio abre con el viaje de Trump a Beijing, la primera visita presidencial estadounidense a China en casi una década y la incorporación de última hora de Jensen Huang a la delegación, que reactivó el interés en semiconductores tras el retroceso del martes. Se discuten los temas en agenda: el Board of Trade bilateral, acuerdos en aeroespacial, agricultura y energía, y las negociaciones sobre tierras raras. Luego se aborda la relación entre el summit y el conflicto en Irán, con China como principal comprador del crudo iraní y el cierre del Estrecho de Hormuz afectando directamente sus importaciones.Alibaba reportó un trimestre con miss en revenue total pero aceleración en su segmento Cloud Intelligence, que creció por encima de las expectativas, con ingresos relacionados a IA marcando su undécimo trimestre consecutivo de crecimiento de triple dígito; Quick Commerce también superó estimaciones, aunque el profit GAAP cayó a casi cero por la inversión en infraestructura. Para cerrar, el PPI de abril llegó muy por encima del consenso en todas sus métricas, confirmando que el shock energético de Hormuz ya está integrado en los costos de producción a nivel sistémico, y reactivando el debate sobre un posible hike de la Fed antes de fin de año.

TD Ameritrade Network
DoorDash Swings After Earnings as Growth Questions Build

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later May 7, 2026 7:40


DoorDash (DASH) trades volatile after a mixed earnings report, with strong order growth overshadowed by a revenue miss and valuation concerns. Jacob Sonenshine warns the stock could be a “trap” amid reliance on non‑GAAP metrics and a potential consumer slowdown, while Phil Kafarakis highlights DoorDash's expanding platform, market share strength, and long‑term growth beyond food delivery despite competition from Uber (UBER).======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/ About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

Fueling Deals
Episode 402: Building a Transferable Business and Surviving the Exit with Nate Collins

Fueling Deals

Play Episode Listen Later May 6, 2026 47:30


From buying into a mismanaged family business on his mother's advice to selling at an incredibly high multiple to a PE-backed acquirer, Nate Collins shares how he built a transferable licensing company, what the post-exit "liminal period" really looks like, and why personal well-being is a greater predictor of company success than the reverse. In this episode of the DealQuest Podcast, host Corey Kupfer sits down with Nate Collins, a former CEO who managed a successful exit of his international theatrical licensing company to a large PE-backed music licensing company. Nate now works as a financial advisor and certified exit planning advisor at Raymond James, helping business owners, CEOs, and their families navigate exits both financially and emotionally. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN In this episode, you'll discover why switching from cash to accrual-based GAAP accounting early creates enormous buyer confidence, how cloud-based systems reduced licensing time from four weeks to four hours, and what makes a business truly transferable. Nate explains the "liminal period" that researchers have identified in post-exit CEOs, why feelings of worthlessness can persist for years even with significant wealth, and why a Dutch study found that personal well-being is a greater predictor of company success than the reverse. NATE'S JOURNEY Nate's path to business ownership started with a phone call from his mother. A privately held theatrical licensing company owned by about 16 different families had shares available. His mother owned some from her mother, and she told Nate he needed to buy in. By any professional investment standard, it made no sense. No dividends. An overpaid CEO. No reinvestment in the business. But he trusted his mother, the price was low, and he bought in. About eight years later, the existing CEO had to be fired, and Nate stepped into leadership. He had been working in private equity and investment banking on the capital markets side and held an MBA, but none of that fully prepared him for the CEO role. He describes himself as a CEO operator, not a CEO salesperson, someone who looked at the org chart upside down and focused on supporting the rest of the team rather than being the public face. Over eight to nine years, Nate transformed the company. He oversaw roughly a 97% attrition rate while rebuilding the team, switched to accrual-based GAAP accounting on his CFO's advice, and invested in a cloud-based tech stack that made the company fully remote in 2012, two weeks before Superstorm Sandy knocked out power in lower Manhattan. The company reduced licensing time from over four weeks to under four hours. When it came time to sell, the buyer, a music licensing company roughly ten times larger, adopted the entire tech stack for its own future growth. The company sold at what Nate describes as an incredibly high multiple. Then the real challenge began. THE LIMINAL PERIOD Nate references research by South African researchers who identified the "liminal period," the time between leaving one chapter and finding the next, marked by feelings of worthlessness, confusion, and depression. Nate experienced it for three to four years, with stretches where he would sleep only three or four hours a night, flooded with anxiety. He had significant money in the bank, was an expert in financial planning, and was still convinced he would be living out of the back of his car with his family in ten years. He talks about purpose, community, and identity as the elements that collapsed overnight. A business coach later helped him add a fourth dimension, health. Together, these capture what disappears when you sell. The purpose of supporting a team every day. The community of colleagues. The identity of being CEO. And the health foundation that gets undermined when income shifts from a regular paycheck to capital you don't know how to relate to. KEY INSIGHTS Exit readiness and operational excellence are the same pursuit. Nate didn't build cloud systems or switch to GAAP accounting to sell. He did it because he hated putting out fires. Every improvement that made the business better to run also made it dramatically more transferable and valuable. Purpose comes from relevance, not soul-searching. The advice to "go find a purpose" is too abstract. What works is finding where you are relevant to others, where your presence is improving someone's life. Personal well-being predicts company success. A Dutch study found that personal well-being was a greater predictor of company success than the reverse. Business owners who wait until after the exit to invest in their own health are leaving both fulfillment and business performance on the table. Wealth management has three legs, not one. Tax strategy and asset protection are as critical as investment management, especially for business owners whose wealth is concentrated in a single illiquid asset. Build community and purpose outside your business while you still have it. The people in your business will forget you existed the day after you sell. Relationships and meaning outside the company are how you avoid the worst of the liminal period. Perfect for business owners planning exits, entrepreneurs thinking about transferability, and founders who worry about what comes after the sale. FOR MORE ON THIS EPISODE https://www.coreykupfer.com/blog/natecollins FOR MORE ON NATE COLLINS LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nate-collins/ Company: https://www.raymondjames.com/founderwealthstrategies/events FOR MORE ON COREY KUPFER https://www.linkedin.com/in/coreykupfer/ https://www.coreykupfer.com/ Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker. He has more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker. He is deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is also the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Get deal-ready with the DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer, where like-minded entrepreneurs and business leaders converge, share insights and challenges, and success stories. Equip yourself with the tools, resources, and support necessary to navigate the complex yet rewarding world of dealmaking. Dive into the world of deal-driven growth today! Episode Highlights with Timestamps [00:03:23] - Introduction and bio [00:07:05] - First deal, buying into a family-owned licensing company on his mother's recommendation[00:09:19] - Transforming the company with 97% attrition and building a dynamic team[00:14:03] - How theatrical licensing works, from school plays to international tours [00:18:52] - Switching to accrual-based GAAP accounting and the impact on buyer confidence [00:20:25] - Cloud systems, surviving Superstorm Sandy, and reducing licensing time from four weeks to four hours [00:25:30] - Written processes and procedures as a transferability driver [00:30:04] - Being a CEO operator versus a CEO salesperson [00:32:12] - The liminal period, post-exit depression, and the smallest violin problem [00:36:08] - Losing purpose, community, and identity overnight after the sale [00:41:04] - Finding purpose through relevance to others [00:45:51] - Dutch study linking personal well-being to company success Guest Bio Nate Collins is a former CEO who managed a successful exit of his international theatrical licensing company to a large PE-backed music licensing company in 2019. The company was a mid-market business with roughly 100 employees and mid-eight figures in revenue. Before becoming CEO, Nate worked in private equity and investment banking. He now works as a financial advisor and certified exit planning advisor at Raymond James, helping business owners, CEOs, and their families with tax mitigation, estate planning, financial planning, and preparation for life after exit. He runs a quarterly business exit planning workshop and is completing a workbook to guide business owners through the exit process. Host Bio Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker with more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Show Description Do you want your business to grow faster? The DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer reveals how successful entrepreneurs and business leaders use strategic deals to accelerate growth. From large mergers and acquisitions to capital raising, joint ventures, strategic alliances, real estate deals, and more, this show discusses the full spectrum of deal-driven growth strategies. Get the confidence to pursue deals that will help your company scale faster. Related Episodes Dave Hersh: The Psychology Behind Successful Exits (referenced in this episode for the "smallest violin" concept around post-exit struggles) Episode 366 - Jodi Hume: Founder Exits and the Emotional Journey Behind Major Business Decisions Episode 328 - Richard Manders: Post-Exit Transitions and Finding Purpose After Selling Your Company Episode 302 - Laurie Barkman: Preparing for a Successful Exit with Business Transition Insights Episode 330 - Pete Mohr: Building Enterprise Value and Exit Readiness Keywords/Tags post-exit depression, liminal period, exit planning, business transferability, CEO identity crisis, company valuation drivers, personal well-being business success, accrual-based accounting, exit readiness, licensing business model, sell your business preparation, post-sale anxiety, purpose after exit, mid-market exit, roll-up acquisition, business systems documentation, cloud-based operations, wealth management entrepreneurs, tax strategy business owners, certified exit planning advisor

Business Pants
BLAME: Coinbase's AI job cuts, Starbucks' $10 “affordable” coffee, Bezos at the Met

Business Pants

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2026 59:23


DRCoinbase cuts headcount by 14% citing AI acceleration. The shares are gainingCoinbase cuts headcount by 14% citing AI acceleration WHO DO YOU BLAME?Cofounder/CEO/Chair Brian Armstrong: 49.6% voting power MMIn 2020, amidst global protests for racial justice, Armstrong issued a blog post that effectively banned employees from discussing social issues or activism at work: "We don't advocate for any particular causes or candidates internally that are unrelated to our mission, because it is a distraction from our mission... we won't engage in broader societal issues."Brian is a proponent of "Freedom Cities"—privatized zones built on federal land that would be exempt from the laws that govern the rest of the countryMeta Platforms director Marc Andreessen:Impeding the development of AI in any way, he argues, “is a form of murder."Our enemies are 'social responsibility', 'stakeholder capitalism', 'Precautionary Principle', 'sustainable development goals', 'social justice', and 'environmental, social, and governance (ESG)'... These are all ideas that would lead to a stagnant, decadent, and ultimately dead society."The dual class share structure:The holders of our Class B common stock are entitled to twenty votes per share, and holders of our Class A common stock are entitled to one vote per share.Jeffrey Billings, the independent trustee for certain trusts established by Brian Armstrong (representing 18.9% voting power)Co-founder/director Frederick “Fred” Ernest Ehrsam III (10.6% voting power)co-founder and general partner of the crypto-focused venture capital firm Paradigmco-founder and CEO of Nudge, a neurotechnology startup developing non-invasive brain–computer interfacesDuke UniversityWhile Fred is often seen as the quiet intellectual counterpart to Marc Andreessen, his philosophy is arguably even more dystopian to critics because it moves beyond just software—aiming to program human governance and the human brain itself.Fred is the Quiet Architect of a future where human systems are replaced by cold code.Fred is a major backer of the Prometheus Summit, a secretive gathering of tech elites focused on "longevity" and "assisted reproductive technologies."In 2026, Fred was appointed to the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology (PCAST) by President Donald TrumpThe 2 women on the board, seems very DEI-ishThe shares are gaining WHO DO YOU BLAME?InvestorsUp 15$ in 2 days: $655M for brianDiary of a CEO founder says he hired someone with ‘zero' work experience because she ‘thanked the security guard by name' before the interview WHO DO YOU BLAME?The so-called “meritocracy” MM“I hired someone who's CV was two lines. Their experience was zero”Elon Musk's SpaceX Could Be Fast-Tracked Into S&P 500 After IPO Under Proposed Rule Changes AND Elon Musk settles SEC lawsuit over Twitter purchase and agrees to pay $1.5m fineA trust in Musk's name will pay a $1.5m civil penalty, without admitting wrongdoing. Musk won't have to give up any money he allegedly saved from the delay. In its January 2025 lawsuit, the SEC said Musk's 11-day delay in revealing his initial 5% Twitter stake in late March and early April 2022 let him buy more than $500min shares at artificially low prices, before he finally revealed a 9.2% stake. WHO DO YOU BLAME?The SEC CommissionersJan 2025Chair Gary Gensler (D) Commissioner Hester Peirce (R)Commissioner Mark Uyeda (R)Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw (D)Commissioner Jaime Lizárraga (D)Today MMChair Paul Atkins (R)Commissioner Hester Peirce (R)Commissioner Mark Uyeda (R)VacantVacantSpecifically Paul AtkinsDuring his first stint as an SEC Commissioner (George W. Bush), Paul was famous for his dissent against large corporate penaltiesHe argued that fining a company for the "sins" of its executives just hurts the innocent shareholders a second timeRecently in the same Administration with Musk (DOGE)Generally believes the SEC overregulates; Musk has referred to the SEC as “bastards”Commissioner Hester PeirceThe perennial dissenter (pre-Trump 2.0): Whenever the SEC would sue a crypto firm or fine a high-profile CEO, Peirce would release a blistering public letter explaining why the SEC was wrong, overreaching, and "paternalistic."Hester is the primary author of the Token Safe Harbor proposal, which essentially argues that tech companies should be allowed to operate for three years without any SEC oversight to "find their footing."Hester has long argued that the SEC's disclosure requirements are "bloated" and "immaterial." In her view, Musk's failure to file a 13D form for his Twitter stake wasn't a crime—it was a failure to comply with a "clunky, outdated bureaucracy.""In our purportedly enlightened era, we pin scarlet letters on allegedly offending corporations without bothering much about facts and circumstances... After all, naming and shaming corporate villains is fun, trendy, and profitable."The S&P 500, managed by S&P Global Dow Jones Indices, on Thursday, announced it was beginning consultation on rule changes that could potentially help Elon Musk-led SpaceX gain an expedited entry into the index. The rule changes include letting IPOs enter the index six months after their debut on an eligible index instead of a 12-month period, according to current rules.The index also proposed eliminating a minimum Investable Weight Factor (IWF) of 0.10 for megacap companies. The IWF is a methodology used to calculate the number of shares of a company available to trade on the market.Notably, the proposed rule changes also eliminate profitability requirements for megacap companies. Current rules require a company to be profitable on a GAAP basis for 12 months to be considered for the index, but that rule could be eliminated.S&P DJI only accepts feedback during the announced consultation open period, which is generally one calendar month following the consultation announcement. The Index Committee considers the complexity of the change and the desirable implementation timing in determining the open window for the consultation, which is generally aligned, if possible, with the index rebalancing schedule. WHO DO YOU BLAME?S&P Global CEO Martina L. Cheung (31% no on pay last year) DEI? That's all I haveS&P Global Chair Ian Livingston (Lord Livingston of Parkhead)Lord Livingston is also involved in a number of charities particularly in the fields of education, equality and social careLords are weird? That's all I haveThe Index CommitteeThe S&P 500 Index Committee is one of the most powerful and secretive groups in global finance. To prevent insider trading and front-running (where traders buy a stock because they know it's about to be added to the index), S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) keeps the names of the individual committee members confidential.“To mitigate even the appearance of a conflict of interest... all Index Committee meetings are confidential. Membership of the Index Committee is not disclosed, and voting members consist of senior S&P DJI staff who have no commercial responsibilities”The Committee Members: Usually consists of about five to nine full-time employees of S&P Dow Jones Indices. Veto Power: Unlike other indices that use a rigid formula, this committee has discretionary authority. They can choose to ignore certain rules (like profitability) if they believe a company is representative of the U.S. economy.Who is probably partly on the Committee:Catherine Clay (CEO, S&P Dow Jones Indices): As the top executive, she oversees all index divisions. She joined in late 2025 with a mandate to modernize the indices for the digital and private-to-public era.Fiona Boal (Global Head of Equities): She oversees the entire equity index suite. Any proposal to change the "seasoning" or profitability rules for the S&P 500 goes through her office.Michael Orzano (Head of Exchange Products): He is the primary strategist for how major listings (like a $1.75T SpaceX IPO) integrate with the exchange-traded product (ETF) ecosystem.He was the lead strategist during the 2020 Tesla Inclusion, which was the most chaotic event in S&P historyHamish Preston (Head of U.S. Equities): He is the primary spokesperson for S&P 500 methodology. If the "SpaceX Rule" is adopted in June 2026, he will be the one explaining the technical justification to the media.Louis Bellucci (Head of Index Committee Management): As of 2026, he is the specific individual tasked with managing the various index committees and ensuring they follow the updated governance protocolsThe general concept of greed MMMM'Tone Deaf' Starbucks CEO Slammed for Justifying $10 Coffee as 'Affordable Premium Experience' - Niccol is so close to the human experience, he thought it was obviously “affordable” premium to pay $10 for a single cup of coffee. WHO DO YOU BLAME?Mike Sievert, Jorgen Knudstorp, Neal Mohan, and Brian NiccolAccording to Free Float knowledge database, the only four directors with base knowledge of marketing in their backgrounds - all direct from their education and bios46% of SBUX influenceRichard Allison, Neal Mohan, Andy Campion, Beth Ford, Mike SievertMembers of the pay committee that graciously granted Niccol $96m such that a $10 coffee is an “affordable premium experience” for Niccol aloneMeanwhile, CEO Pay Surges 11% While Workers' Wages Stagnate at 0.5% in 2025: Report.In the last 5 years, EVERY director at SBUX was tagged as a “bottom payer” for employees using bottom quartile employee median pay relative to peers as a flagAt the same time, SBUX tagged as mildly atypical overpay relative to other paying directors, and the board average 5 year CEO Pay ratio ranking in the BOTTOM QUINTILE - not only do they love paying their employees as little as possible, the couple it with massive pay packages for CEOs everywhere they goBeth Ford, Daniel Servitje, and Neal MohanAccording to Free Float deference numbers, which use how directors get paid, the prestige of the directorship, the overlaps/reliance on the CEO, and social ties to management, these three are the only ones on the board tagged as “Deferential”For instance, Mohan has directorships at Chrome Holding and Starbucks… which one is a bigger deal?These are directors with the most to lose by dissenting - and risking getting replaced - at this board in particularMike Sievert, Daniel Servitje, Marissa Mayer, Neal Mohan, Brian NiccolEstimates of each of their net worth is in excess of $100m, with Servitje part of the nepo Grupo Bimbo money (he's worth >$3bn)Mayer is the rare female fail up, with early Google and Yahoo money >$600mMohan got a $100m stock retention bonus in 2013 alone and is the CEO of YouTube, the ultimate in artist exploitation machineNeal Mohan, who is on every one of these lists DRBrian Niccol, for generating a record quarter, avoiding negotiating with the union, and calling $10 for roasted beans “affordable premium”Activists Protest Jeff Bezos at 2026 Met Gala with Symbolic 'Urine' Bottles - no one like Uncle Jeffe and his wife anymore!!! WHO DO YOU BLAME?Zohran MamdaniHe skipped the Met Gala??? This was his one chance to show he actually DOES love Ken Griffin!WorkersIf they just accepted that they will all be fired by AI robots and take what their tech billionaire overlords bequeath them generously, they wouldn't have to do this: While billionaires get ready for the Met Gala, their workers walk a different kind of runwayA protest fashion show by workers of Amazon, Whole Foods, Starbucks, Uber, organized by the SEIU and Amazon Labor UnionLauren Sanchez DRProfiled in the NYT saying the uber-rich should “stop apologizing” and “start enjoying themselves” - isn't always the wife's fault?Amazon's board of sycophantsLabelled as “Structurally Deferential” in Free Float data, 5 of the 12 directors have been with Bezos for over a decadeThe rest are almost entirely connected to the directors who have been there for more than a decade7 of the 12 directors tagged as bottom payers, 6 of them at just AmazonEVERY DIRECTOR has been flagged more than once for Human Rights violations across all boards they're on - literally they have overseen constant strings of human rights violationsUncle Jeffe - who still thinks you can buy things and make people like youGameStop is preparing offer for eBay, WSJ reports - the offer is for $56bn and would allow a failing brick and mortar video game company to buy a semi-failing 2000s internet auction company - WHO DO YOU BLAME?TD Bank directors Ana Arsov, Cheri Brant, Elio Luongo, Keith Martell, Frank Pearn, Paul Wirth - the TD risk committeeTD offered a “I guess so?” letter for financing coming in around $20bn in debt. That amount of debt would make these directors - who are only active on the GameStop board - among the most indebted in our databaseThe risk committee is: accountant, compliance officer, ex-bank CEO, accountant, lawyer, someone from Moody'sRoaring Kitty Keith GillIsn't this obviously all his fault?Last count, he has as many as 9m shares in GME in 2024…CEO Ryan CohenWhose deep experience selling pet food and video games has set him up to have just the ego to think he can run anything anywhereWho cares

Profit Answer Man: Implementing the Profit First System!
Ep 319 5 M&A Crime Scenes That Cost You Millions with Holli Moeini

Profit Answer Man: Implementing the Profit First System!

Play Episode Listen Later May 5, 2026 41:42


5 M&A Crime Scenes That Cost You Millions with Holli Moeini   Find Rocky Lalvani @ www.ProfitComesFirst.com  or email him at rocky@profitcomesfirst.com  Make more, work less video: https://youtu.be/    You have worked years to build your business. Revenue is up. You are finally thinking about an exit, or maybe someone has already called asking for your financial statements. But here is the problem most owners never see coming: there are at least five moments in the M&A process where money and risk change hands, and most sellers walk right through them without knowing they just lost hundreds of thousands of dollars.  In this episode, Rocky Lalvani sits down with Holli Moeini, a 35-year CPA and fractional CFO who has guided buyers and sellers through mergers and acquisitions at every level. Holli breaks down the five "crime scenes" of M&A, shares a real story of a seller who nearly lost $989,000 the night before close, and explains why your balance sheet is the most important financial document no one is reading.    In This Episode:  Why the balance sheet matters more than the P&L and how errors there silently destroy your EBITDA  The 30-20-10 rule for diagnosing whether your P&L is healthy or broken  The five M&A crime scenes: financial story, working capital, due diligence, earn-outs, and integration  How a seller almost lost nearly $1 million at the closing table and did not even know it  Why earn out language written in "accounting speak" can cost you your entire payout  What private equity buyers do with your accounting the day after close  How EIDL loans created a 30-year albatross on business balance sheets    Key Takeaways:  If your balance sheet is wrong, your P&L is wrong. You are making decisions based on half the story.  Use the 30-20-10 rule: gross margin above 30%, SG&A below 20%, net income above 10%. If any number is off, you have a specific problem to fix.  Being ready to sell does not mean you are selling. It means you have the financial discipline, clean records, and systems that make your business both profitable and bankable today.  Every term in your deal documents must be defined in plain language. Accounting and legal gray areas are where sophisticated buyers take your money.  You need cash to grow. Owners who extract too much from the business become unbankable when they hit a blip.    Conclusion:  This episode is a wake-up call for any business owner who has been running their company without looking at the full financial picture. Holli Moeini brings 35 years of experience to a conversation that most owners never have until it is too late. If you are growing but not seeing proportional profit or cash flow, if you have ever wondered whether your business could survive a bank's scrutiny, or if you are even beginning to think about what an exit might look like someday, this is the episode to listen to. The crime scenes are real, but every one of them is fixable. Start with your balance sheet. Fifteen minutes could change everything.    About Holli Moeini:  Holli Moeini is a CFO, CPA, and M&A advisor who helps buyers and sellers strengthen their companies, reduce risk, and maximize value at every stage of a deal. Known for blending financial rigor with real operational experience, she brings clarity and confidence to complex decisions.   Early in her career, Holli played a key role in a nine-figure exit, using GAAP discipline to improve performance and strengthen valuation. That experience shaped her precise, transparent approach to value creation. As an EVP and CFO, she led finance, operations, IT, security, and companywide strategy, guiding organic growth, acquisitions, and major systems implementations. She understands what it takes to run a business, not just analyze one.   Most recently, Holli helped a founder move from not being ready to sell to a successful eight-figure exit in 12 months, uncovering and protecting millions of dollars of value while keeping risk balanced from preparation through closing. A graduate of Pacific Lutheran University, Holli is trusted for her steady leadership, practical insight, and ability to simplify complexity while delivering exceptional outcomes.    Links:  Book: https://www.amazon.com/Finding-Missing-Millions-Holli-Moeini/dp/1967386501      Instagram: instagram.com/hollimoeini      LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/hollimoeini    Profit Blueprint Calculator I Profit Comes First: https://lp.profitcomesfirst.com/profitblueprintcalc-page    Watch the full episode on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@profitanswerman  Sign up to be notified when the next cohort of the Profit First Experience Course is available!  Free Copy of the Profit Blueprint Book: https://lp.profitcomesfirst.com/landing-page-page   Monthly Newsletter signup: https://lp.profitcomesfirst.com/newsletter-signup  Relay Bank (affiliate link): https://relayfi.com/?referralcode=profitcomesfirst  Profit Answer Man Facebook group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/profitanswerman/  My podcast about living a richer more meaningful life: http://richersoul.com/  Music provided by Junan from Junan Podcast  Any financial advice is for educational purposes only and you should consult with an expert for your specific needs.    

VG Daily - By VectorGlobal
Visa, SoFi, Robinhood y UBS pintan al consumidor

VG Daily - By VectorGlobal

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 29, 2026 21:48 Transcription Available


En el episodio de hoy de VG Daily, Andre Dos Santos y Juan Manuel de los Reyes analizan una temporada de resultados que acumula una tasa de superación de expectativas amplia en el S&P 500, en una jornada donde tres eventos simultáneos concentran toda la atención del mercado.El episodio revisa el triple catalizador del día, el voto de confirmación de Kevin Warsh como presidente de la Fed, la última reunión de Jerome Powell al frente del banco central y los resultados de cuatro de las Magníficas después del cierre. Se discute qué está descontando el mercado sobre el estado del consumidor financiero, el gasto en infraestructura tecnológica y el rumbo de la política monetaria en la segunda mitad del año.Visa reportó su crecimiento de ingresos más fuerte desde 2022 con volúmenes de pagos en aceleración y un programa de recompras histórico; UBS registró su cuarto trimestre consecutivo de operating leverage positivo con utilidades que duplicaron el consenso; Robinhood publicó un miss frente a estimaciones pese a depósitos netos y suscriptores Gold en récord; SoFi completó su décimo trimestre consecutivo de rentabilidad GAAP con márgenes de interés neto por encima de la banca regional; Seagate presentó resultados en un ciclo favorable para el almacenamiento de datos.

FreightCasts
Phantom Capacity Squeezes Cross-Border Freight, Wabtec Q1 Beats, & TFI's Mixed Results | The Morning Minute

FreightCasts

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 28, 2026 3:46


In this episode, we kick things off by examining a puzzling phenomenon in cross-border logistics where capacity appears plentiful on paper but remains brutally tight in practice. According to Uber Freight's senior vice president overseeing cross-border operations, the real constraint isn't a lack of drivers overall but rather a critical shortage of drivers who meet increasingly stringent compliance and security standards. With northbound demand into the U.S. running two to three times higher than southbound flows and uncertainty around the upcoming USMCA review slowing nearshoring investment, carriers are struggling to reposition equipment fast enough to keep pace with U.S.-bound freight. Shifting gears to the rails, we examine how rail technology giant Wabtec delivered a powerful start to 2026 with solid execution across both its freight and transit divisions. First quarter revenue grew 13% to $2.95 billion while adjusted earnings per share surged 18.9% to $2.71, driven by a 52.5% jump in equipment sales from higher locomotive deliveries and a remarkable 75.7% increase in digital sales fueled by strategic acquisitions. On the strength of these results, Wabtec raised its full-year adjusted earnings per share guidance by 20 cents at the midpoint, projecting growth of 16.5% for 2026. Finally, we unpack the contrasting fortunes at a major Canadian transportation company where TFI International's Truckload sector improved while its LTL division struggled in the first quarter. TFI handily beat Wall Street expectations with non-GAAP earnings per share of 69 cents—8 cents above consensus—as its Truckload segment posted a 14.32% jump in operating income and adjusted EBITDA growth exceeding 4%. However, the less-than-truckload division saw its combined operating ratio deteriorate 220 basis points to 95.3% and operating income decline 35.12%. Despite the mixed performance, management issued strong second quarter guidance, projecting adjusted diluted earnings per share of $1.50 to $1.60—more than double the first quarter result. Follow the FreightWaves NOW Podcast Other FreightWaves Shows Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Dream Keepers Radio
What Does It Mean To Go Foreign

Dream Keepers Radio

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2026 53:35 Transcription Available


Send us fan responses! Peace and love, we're checking in with the school and getting straight to what people actually want: what's changing, what's coming next, and how to move with structure instead of confusion. We talk through a major update on our publishing deal and why the books were pulled from Amazon, then we lay out the practical details for the Las Vegas weekend meetup and why we keep pushing real-life networking over online-only connections.From there, the live Q&A turns into a crash course on business credit building and entity setup. We answer beginner questions on DUNS numbers, net 30 accounts, and what a strong Paydex score is really tied to. We also dig into the basics of privacy-minded structuring, including how we think about an LLC, a holding company, a family office, and why trust roles matter if you're trying to avoid commingling and keep your personal name out of the spotlight.We then shift into higher-level “private life” topics: Palau ID and international identification, foreign status paperwork like the W-8BEN, and how we interpret legal definitions that separate “citizen” ideas from “national” framing. We finish with a tactical section on paying yourself through payroll (ADP or Gusto), tracking business activity, and exploring legitimate tax credits, plus a discussion on GAAP, securitization, and why we think credit reporting is often misunderstood as purely “consumer law.”If you got value from this, subscribe, share it with one person building business credit, and leave a review with the one topic you want us to break down next.https://donkilam.com FOLLOW THE YELLOW BRICK ROAD - DON KILAMGO GET HIS BOOK ON AMAZON NOW! https://www.amazon.com/Cant-Touch-This-Diplomatic-Immunity/dp/B09X1FXMNQ https://open.spotify.com/track/5QOUWyNahqcWvQ4WQAvwjj?autoplay=trueSupport the showhttps://donkilam.com

TD Ameritrade Network
Jacob Sonenshine on a Narrow Rally, NVDA Leadership and Defensive Plays

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 24, 2026 9:14


Jacob Sonenshine warns that falling volatility is masking extreme market concentration, with gains driven by a narrow group including Nvidia (NVDA), Intel (INTC), and AMD (AMD), while hundreds of stocks lag. He highlights risks in names with earnings disconnected from GAAP results and fading hyperscaler momentum. Shifting to defense, Sonenshine points to Philip Morris (PM) as an undervalued non‑cyclical play, while flagging high‑multiple stocks like DoorDash (DASH) as potential shorts.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

SaaS Talkâ„¢ with the Metrics Brothers - Strategies, Insights, & Metrics for B2B SaaS Executive Leaders

Dave "CAC" Kellogg and Ray "Growth" break down one of the oldest productivity metrics in business and explain why, in the age of AI-native software, it has never mattered more. This episode covers the full arc from Frederick Taylor's factory floors to Cursor's $3.3M per employee, with the rigorous definitional discipline the Metrics Brothers are known for.What We Cover:The metric's 100-year history. Revenue per employee traces its roots to scientific management in the late 1800s, gained traction as a Wall Street efficiency screen in the 80s and 90s, and became a standard signal of business model quality in M&A diligence. The core math is simple: annual revenue divided by headcount. What is not simple is how you define the denominator.FTE vs. employee: why the definition matters more than the formula. The E in FTE stands for full-time equivalent, not full-time employee, and that distinction drives real measurement decisions. How do you count a part-time contractor? What about 200 offshore developers on a third-party vendor's payroll? Ray and Dave walk through the practical choices, including why offshore headcount is almost never counted on a 1:1 basis and why that decision can dramatically change your benchmark comparison.Public SaaS companies in 2025: the benchmark is $395K. Using the Benchmarkit SaaS 100 index (134 public SaaS companies), the median revenue per employee in 2025 is $395K, up from $327K in 2022, a 21% improvement in three years. ARR per FTE runs about 5-7% higher at $413K. The shift reflects the industry's move from growth-at-all-costs to efficient revenue growth.Private SaaS companies: size matters. ARR per employee scales materially with company size. At the $5-20M ARR stage, the median is $144K. By $100M+ ARR, the median reaches $300K. The recurring-revenue tailwind from a large renewal base is a significant driver as companies scale.AI-native companies have reset the benchmark entirely. Where the historical range for enterprise software was $200-400K per employee, AI-native companies operate at a fundamentally different level. Cursor reached $1.67M per employee at 60 people, and now runs at $3.3M per employee at 300 people. Midjourney is at $4.7M. Anthropic is in the $3-5M range on a run-rate basis. This is not a modest improvement over traditional SaaS. It is a 10x shift.One important caution on the AI numbers. Many of the figures being cited by AI-native companies are monthly run-rate revenue annualized (last month times 12), not trailing 12-month GAAP revenue. When growth is compounding fast, that distinction can dramatically inflate the productivity figure. The Metrics Brothers flag this as a meaningful source of confusion in how the benchmark is being discussed today.The AI tailwind may be temporary, at least in part. Current customer acquisition friction for AI software is unusually low, given experimentation budgets and departmental purchasing. As enterprise procurement tightens (74% of enterprise AI purchases now involve IT), GTM investment will likely increase, and revenue per employee for AI-native companies may stabilize or compress. Ray and Dave estimate that steady-state productivity is more likely to be in the 3-5x range over traditional SaaS, not 10x.Revenue will replace ARR as the standard numerator. The rise of usage-based and hybrid pricing is rendering ARR less meaningful for a growing share of companies. Snowflake, Datadog, and MongoDB do not report ARR. As AI-native pricing models proliferate, Ray and Dave expect the industry to converge on revenue as the standard numerator across productivity benchmarks.What about revenue per agent? Ray raises the forward-looking question: as AI agents take on SDR, sales, and other GTM functions, how do we measure agent productivity? Dave's take is that "revenue per agent" is likely a dead end, partly because agent instances are nearly impossible to count and partly because the right way to price and measure agents is to decompose their capabilities, not to anthropomorphize them as headcount equivalents.The Bottom Line:Revenue per employee is a deceptively simple metric with genuinely complex definitional choices underneath it. For B2B SaaS executives, the 2025 benchmarks are $395K (public) and $144-300K (private, depending on scale). For AI-native companies, the numbers are in a different category entirely, though some of that gap reflects accounting choices as much as true productivity gains. The metric is worth tracking closely, both as a board-level efficiency signal and as a leading indicator of business model quality.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski
Kevin Koharki, PhD: What Stock-Based Compensation Really Costs -- The Billions That Never Show Up on the Books

Talking Billions with Bogumil Baranowski

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 6, 2026 74:06


Kevin Koharki, MBA, PhD, is the founder of CAE Consulting (Capital Allocation Enhancement), associate professor of accounting at Purdue University, and expert financial analyst with a 20-year career — including M&A analysis — who consults with and advises Fortune 100 companies on understanding the true economic cost of stock-based compensation.The episode is sponsored by TenzingMEMO — the AI-powered market intelligence platform I use daily for smarter company analysis. Code BILLIONS gets you an extended trial + 10% off.https://www.tenzingmemo.com/3:00 — Kevin traces the origins of stock-based comp to the 1990s dot-com era; originally meant to conserve cash at startups and align employee incentives with shareholders.5:00 — The shift from stock options to RSUs and PSUs; accounting still at the expensing stage from 2002 FASB rules.7:00 — Why stock-based comp is concentrated in the tech sector, particularly Mag-7 companies — the very firms that don't need to conserve cash.10:00 — Kevin walks through the mechanics: 100 RSUs granted at $30, expensed over three years, but if sold at $90, the $60 gap never appears on the P&L.14:00 — Cash flow distortion: compensation paid in shares shows up as a financing activity, not an operating expense — inflating free cash flow.17:00 — Why employees don't truly become owners: tax liabilities force selling, and short-term vesting creates a “what's my vest date?” mentality.19:00 — The Berkshire model: Greg Abel buys shares with after-tax salary. No stock-based comp. Buffett's emphasis on intrinsic value per share.23:00 — Psychological toll: employees hired at the peak face crushing drawdowns; companies respond by issuing even more shares.28:00 — Real-world example: a company with $102B in operating cash flow shows $6.4B in GAAP SBC — but $7.9B just in tax withholdings. The tax cost exceeds the recorded expense.35:00 — Second example: 90% of a $26.3B share buyback was simply to offset dilution. True free cash flow drops from $46B to roughly $4B.42:00 — The private company test: “If you bought the whole company, you'd still have to pay those employees in cash.”50:00 — The IRS treats SBC as cash-basis: the $90 exercise price gets the deduction, not the $30 GAAP cost.58:00 — Kevin: “I just think there's kind of a mass delusion going on right now.”1:03:00 — Wall Street Journal coverage and Nvidia's disclosure change; the conversation is shifting.Podcast Program – Disclosure StatementBlue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm's employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.

After Earnings
Snowflake CEO on AI Risk, Product Innovation and Winning Enterprise Customers

After Earnings

Play Episode Listen Later Apr 6, 2026 30:35


Ann Berry is joined by Sridhar Ramaswamy, CEO of Snowflake to discuss Project SnowWork, the company's new platform that brings outcome-driven AI agents into enterprise workflows. They break down why constant innovation is critical as AI drives competition across the software industry. They also discuss Snowflake's path to GAAP profitability, its M&A strategy, and how volatility is impacting compensation structures. 00:00 Snowflake CEO Sridhar Ramaswamy Joins00:51 What Snowflake does (data cloud explained)02:28 Customer base and how companies use Snowflake04:37 Inside Snowflake's workforce 06:13 SnowWork and the company's AI push08:47 Partnerships with OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google Cloud11:02 Can AI companies replace traditional software?13:35 Risks of LLMs learning from customer data15:02 Snowflake's M&A strategy and recent deals16:16 What types of companies Snowflake wants to acquire17:15 Competition for AI talent and hiring strategy18:44 Paying founders: cash vs stock19:36 Where future growth will come from21:22 Pricing strategy and enterprise negotiations23:13 Capital allocation: buybacks and acquisitions25:17 Focus on GAAP profitability26:18 Stock-based compensation and retaining talent After Earnings is brought to you by Stakeholder Labs and Morning Brew.For more go to https://www.afterearnings.com Follow UsX: https://twitter.com/AfterEarningsTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@AfterEarningsInstagram: https://www.instagram.com/afterearnings_/ Reach OutEmail: afterearnings@morningbrew.com$SNOW Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Count Me In®
Ep. 343: Sharoon Thomas - Improving Financial Accuracy with Operational and Tech Alignment

Count Me In®

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2026 29:26 Transcription Available


On this episode of Count Me In, Adam Larson sits down with Sharoon Thomas, founder of Fulfil, for a lively conversation about the unique accounting challenges facing direct-to-consumer (D2C) brands. Sharoon Thomas shares fascinating stories from his journey working with ERP systems and D2C brands, revealing why traditional spreadsheets just can't keep up with today's high-volume, multi-channel commerce. Listen as they unpack everything from GAAP compliance, revenue recognition headaches, and how technology is shaping faster, more reliable month-end closes. Get practical insights on leveraging new ERPs and AI-driven reporting tools to simplify data chaos and boost your financial accuracy. Whether you work in accounting, finance, or operations—especially in the D2C space—this episode is packed with actionable advice and the kind of real-world examples you don't want to miss. Tune in and hear Sharoon Thomas's candid take on what healthy financial operations look like and why teaming up with your operations crew might be the smartest move you make this year. ___________________________________________________________BILL is a leading financial operations platform for startups to established brands. Headquartered in San Jose, California, we're a trusted partner of leading US financial institutions, accounting firms, and accounting software providers. We empower business owners, CFOs, controllers, and accountants to save time and take control of their payables, receivables, spend, and expense management. For more information, visit bill.com.

TD Ameritrade Network
Ca$htag$: Affirm (AFRM) In the Middle of the Pack

TD Ameritrade Network

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 23, 2026 6:34


LikeFolio's Andy Swan covers consumer sentiment around Affirm (AFRM), which he notes has seasonal swings. Web visits are up “very significantly” year-over-year, but they're still “middle of the pack” vs competitors. He notes that Affirm is turning GAAP-profitable, but they “traded away some growth” for it. He discusses how Affirm could perform in various economic scenarios and highlights their credit card as a growth area.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

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Patrick Boyle On Finance
SpaceX IPO Scandal

Patrick Boyle On Finance

Play Episode Listen Later Mar 15, 2026 29:05


SpaceX is targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation for what could be the largest IPO in history. In this video, we examine how Elon Musk is folding a money-burning AI startup and a struggling social media platform into a rocket company to justify a price tag that defies financial gravity. From the engineering absurdity of "orbital data centers" and lunar railguns to the structural manipulation of the Nasdaq 100, we explore how low-float strategies and "fast-track" index inclusion rules are being used to turn passive 401(k) investors into exit liquidity for insiders. We look at the gap between EBITDA "vibes" and GAAP reality and the pivot from Mars to the Moon.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/3eerLA0⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Derivatives For The Trading Floor: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ https://amzn.to/3cjsyPF⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Corporate Finance: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://amzn.to/3fn3rvC ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Ways To Support The Channel:Patreon: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.patreon.com/PatrickBoyleOnFinance⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Buy Me a Coffee: https://www.buymeacoffee.com/patrickboyle

DH Unplugged
DHUnplugged #792: Disrupter < Disrupters

DH Unplugged

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 25, 2026 60:48


DOD – Disrupter Disrupters China markets reopening after Lunar New Year Mexico Cartel Wars Refunds requested for the illegal tariffs PLUS we are now on Spotify and Amazon Music/Podcasts! Click HERE for Show Notes and Links DHUnplugged is now streaming live - with listener chat. Click on link on the right sidebar. Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter Warm-Up - The CTP for Caterpillar announced - DOD - Disrupter Disrupters - China markets reopening after Lunar New Year - Mexico Cartel Wars (Jalisco) Markets - Mortgage Rates - looking good! - Tariffs found illegal - that is not stopping anything - Refunds requested for the illegal tariffs - Monday's big drop and AI taking a bite out of stock prices Tariffs - First, who actually knows what is going on. 100% chaos - Supreme court ruled illegal (6-3) - 10% flat across all countries immediately added - Wait a day and make that 15% - FedEx seeks refund for illegal IEEPA tariffs imposed by Trump after the Supreme Court ruled Trump's tariffs exceeded authority - Numerous lawsuits expected for IEEPA tariff refunds - Apple has spent more than $3 billion on tariffs since President Donald Trump enacted his trade policies. What about that? (HOW TO FIGURE OUT WHO GETS THE REFUND) --- Estimate that $175B tariffs have been collected alreay - A group of 22 U.S. Senate Democrats on Monday introduced legislation that would require President Donald Trump's administration to fully refund within 180 days all of the revenue, with interest, collected from tariffs struck down by the U.S. Supreme Court. - The legislation would require the Customs and Border Protection agency, which collects tariffs at U.S. ports of entry, to prioritize small businesses. - The U.S. Customs and Border Protection agency said it will halt collections of tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act at 12:01 a.m. EST (0501 GMT) on Tuesday Stop The Presses - After years of JCD's rants....... - Apple will soon introduce MacBooks with touch screens - Apple Inc.'s initial touch Macs will have the Dynamic Island at the center top of the display and OLED screen technology. The new MacBook Pro models will have a refreshed, dynamic user interface that can shift between being optimized for touch or point-and-click input. Europe Reacts - "The current situation is not conducive to delivering 'fair, balanced, and mutually beneficial' transatlantic trade and investment, as agreed to by both sides" in the joint statement setting out the terms of last year's trade agreement, the Commission said. "A deal is a deal." - All active discussions are halted on any USA/Europe trade deal The Potential Winners - Brazil and China may be the winners here - Chinese President Xi Jinping has a boost in bargaining power after the US Supreme Court invalidated Donald Trump's broad emergency tariffs, a key point of leverage over China. - The removal of tariff threats will make it harder for Trump to press Xi for larger purchases of certain products and leaves him without a key weapon to strike back if Chinese negotiators make fresh demands. - Xi's team will likely push harder for access to advanced semiconductors, the removal of trade restrictions on Chinese companies, and reduced US support for self-ruled Taiwan, according to Wu Xinbo, director at Fudan University's Center for American Studies. NVDA Earnings - NVIDIA drops its fiscal Q4 2026 (ended Jan 2025) results tomorrow—another make-or-break moment for the AI trade. - The bar is sky-high after years of blowout beats, but whispers of "peak AI" and slowing growth momentum have investors on edge. --- Consensus Expectations : ----Revenue: ~$65.6–$66.1 billion (up ~67–68% YoY from last year's ~$39B; guided $65B ±2% in prior report) ------EPS (adjusted/non-GAAP): ~$1.50–$1.53 (up ~70–72% YoY from $0.89). --------Gross margins: Targeting ~75% non-GAAP (holding strong despite supply chain noise). -----------Key driver: Data Center segment expected to crush ~$58–$60B, fueled by Blackwell ramp and hyperscaler spend. Home Depot Earnings - The home-improvement retailer gained 2.7% after posting fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $2.72 per share on revenues of $38.20 billion. - That exceeded the per-share earnings of $2.54 on revenues of $38.12 billion expected by analysts polled by LSEG. AMD News - The semiconductor maker rose about 11% after it inked a multiyear deal with Meta to lend up to 6 gigawatts of its graphics processing units to artificial intelligence data centers. - The cost of the deal is unclear, but the companies' agreement includes a a performance-based warrant that could amount to up to 160 million of AMD shares, according to a statement dated Tuesday. - Meta has committed to deploying up to 6 gigawatts (GW) of AMD's Instinct GPUs (high-end graphics processing units optimized for AI workloads) to power its massive AI data centers. - Analysts estimate the GPU portion alone could be worth $60–$100+ billion over 5+ years Mortgage Rates - The average rate on the popular 30-year fixed mortgage fell to 5.99% on Monday, according to Mortgage News Daily, matching its lowest levels since 2022. - Last year at this time the rate was 6.89%. - A buyer putting 20% down on the median priced home, about $400,000 according to the National Association of Realtors, would have a monthly payment of $1,916 for the principal and interest. One year ago, that payment would have been $2,105, a difference of $189. Life Insurance Record - Manulife Financial Corp. sold a $300 million life insurance policy in Singapore, topping what Guinness World Records certified as the most valuable policy ever issued. - The policy surpasses the previous record of $250 million, set by HSBC Life in Hong Kong in 2024. Manulife said in a statement Tuesday that the deal reflects growing demand from ultra-wealthy clients to preserve their assets. - In Singapore over the past 12 months, Manulife has issued 25 individual policies each worth more than $50 million. Bitcoin Rout - Gemini said it was axing as much as a quarter of its staff and exiting the UK, European Union and Australia entirely. - This week, it parted with its chief operating officer, chief financial officer and chief legal officer, all in a single day. - Its stock has fallen more than 80% from a post-listing high last year, collapsing its market value from a peak of almost $4 billion to under $700 million. Over the Greenland - USA sending a "hospital ship" over - Trump's post on the ship came hours after Denmark's Joint Arctic Command said it had evacuated a crew member who required urgent medical treatment from a U.S. submarine in Greenlandic waters, seven nautical miles outside of Greenland's capital, Nuuk. - Greenland said thanks but no thanks So Long! - U.S. investors are pulling money out of their own stock market at the fastest pace in at least 16 years as Big Tech returns fade and better-performing overseas markets look more attractive. - In the last six months, U.S.-domiciled investors have pulled some $75 billion from U.S. equity products, with $52 billion flowing out since the start of 2026 alone, the most in the first eight weeks of the year since at least 2010 AI Disruption - DOD (Disruption of Disrupters) - CrowdStrike -9.8% and other cybersecurity names under heavy pressure again as AI disruption fears build following Anthropic's Claude Code release - - Cybersecurity stocks are under broad pressure today, extending recent weakness following Friday's launch of Claude Code Security by Anthropic. Claude Code Security scans codebases for vulnerabilities and suggests software patches for human review, fueling a narrative that AI platforms may be moving more quickly into parts of the security workflow than investors had previously expected. For cybersecurity, that raises concern around the forward demand outlook and competitive positioning, particularly in areas tied to application security, cloud security, identity workflows, and security operations automation, where AI-native tools could start to narrow perceived differentiation. - The move suggests investors are still sorting through the implications for product overlap, pricing power, and competitive positioning as AI capabilities evolve quickly. - IBM shares dropping toward lows of the session; attributed to news that Claude can automate cobol modernization COBOL (Common Business-Oriented Language) is a high-level, English-like programming language created in 1959 for business, finance, and administrative data processing. It is renowned for its verbosity, readability, and reliability, processing massive amounts of transactions on mainframe systems,, notes NetCom Learning and IBM. Despite being decades old, it remains critical in banking, insurance, and government sectors. - It is estimated that 70-80% of the world's business transactions are processed by COBOL Grok's Prediction about Future of OpenAi/ChatGPT Scenario Likelihood (My Estimate) Key Factors Outcome for OpenAI/ChatGPT Thriving Leader Medium (40%) Sustained breakthroughs, partnerships (e.g., Microsoft), regulatory wins OpenAI as AI giant; ChatGPT as ecosystem hub for agents/robots Evolved Survivor High (50%) Adaptation to agents/hardware; mergers Exists but rebranded; ChatGPT integrated into daily life tools Decline/Acquisition Low (10%) Overcompetition, funding collapse Absorbed or legacy; ChatGPT commoditized or obsolete Quick check on Europe Shares - European company earnings growth is picking up this reporting season against a tentatively improving economic backdrop, but wary investors are demanding more than solid results to justify sky-high valuations. - Companies representing 57% of Europe's market capitalization have reported so far, achieving average earnings growth of 3.9% in the fourth quarter, ahead of estimates for a final result of a contraction of 1.1% --- That is a big differential.... +3.9 vs -1.1 Iran Talks - News over the weekend that Iran will look to discuss a variety of items and potentially get a deal.... energy, mining and aircraft - Best guess: Iran will string us along like Russia is doing and we will say we have some kind of bogus deal. --- There is some talk of US "going in" as we are building military presence. Supposedly there are some saying it could be a multi-week incursion. - What is the plan - Regime change? What is this? - A divided Supreme Court on Tuesday ruled that Americans can't sue the U.S. Postal Service, even when employees deliberately refuse to deliver mail. - By a 5-4 vote, the justices ruled against a Texas landlord, Lebene Konan, who alleges her mail was intentionally withheld for two years. Konan, who is Black, claims racial prejudice played a role in postal employees' actions. - Justice Clarence Thomas, writing for a majority of five conservative justices, said the federal law that generally shields the Postal Service from lawsuits over missing, lost and undelivered mail includes “the intentional nondelivery of mail.” - So can ballots just be thrown in garbage for mail-ins for one party that will throw out another party's?     Love the Show? Then how about a Donation? HE CLOSEST TO THE PIN for CATERPILLAR Winners will be getting great stuff like the new "OFFICIAL" DHUnplugged Shirt!     FED AND CRYPTO LIMERICKS   See this week's stock picks HERE Follow John C. Dvorak on Twitter Follow Andrew Horowitz on Twitter

The Dividend Cafe
Thursday - February 19, 2026

The Dividend Cafe

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 19, 2026 7:34


Brian Szytel from The Bahnsen Group recaps a modest down day in markets—Dow down 267 points, S&P 500 down 0.25%, and Nasdaq down 0.33%—while noting the market remains up on the week. The 10-year yield edged down to about 4.07% amid expectations that a new Fed chair in May could eventually bring short-term rate cuts. He discusses rising Middle East tensions and increased U.S. presence tied to Iran, which has helped push crude higher (about 6% over two days; up ~15% YTD), but argues energy's strong performance is primarily driven by supply/demand fundamentals and well-run businesses, with the sector up ~23% YTD and 95% of names above their 200-day moving average. He highlights leadership from defensives like energy, industrials, staples, and materials—often a late-cycle signal—while technology and communication services lag, with only ~40% of names above their 200-day averages; he notes some software valuations have compressed from mid-30s multiples to low-20s. Economic updates include better-than-expected initial jobless claims (206k vs 220k), a wider December trade deficit (over $70B vs ~56B expected), a stronger Philly Fed manufacturing reading, and weaker pending home sales. He closes by answering a question on non-GAAP vs GAAP P/E ratios, explaining non-GAAP adjusts for one-time items to estimate normalized earnings, while cautioning that recurring “anomalies” can make non-GAAP misleading and require careful analysis. 00:00 Market Close Recap: Indexes Dip, Rates Steady 00:52 Energy Sector Strength: Oil Headlines vs Real Fundamentals 02:08 Sector Rotation & Valuations: Defensives Lead, Tech Lags 03:30 Economic Data Roundup: Jobs, Trade, Manufacturing, Housing 04:07 Viewer Q&A: Non-GAAP vs GAAP P/E Ratios Explained 05:28 Wrap-Up & Weekend Sign-Off Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Bernie and Sid
Charles Gasparino | Economic Journalist | 02-18-26

Bernie and Sid

Play Episode Listen Later Feb 18, 2026 19:45


Economic Journalist Charles Gasparino joins the program to discuss his criticism of the Super Bowl halftime show featuring Bad Bunny and discusses his column arguing the NFL believes it is “bulletproof” compared with other companies that “go woke, go broke.” Gasparino says the league cynically assumes its core football audience is highly addicted—especially through fantasy sports and online gambling—so it can virtue signal to attract new demographics, including international and Spanish-speaking audiences as it expands games abroad. He cites Super Bowl viewership declines after the halftime show and contrasts it with an alternative broadcast that drew about 6 million viewers versus roughly 135 million for the Super Bowl. The conversation then shifts to New York City finances, where Gasparino warns that under the Financial Emergency Control Act of 1975 the city must balance its budget using GAAP; if it ends the year in deficit and the mayor cannot raise income taxes or cut spending, the state could take over the city's finances, potentially transferring key control to Governor Kathy Hochul. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network
TIP775: Why Your Valuation Metrics Might Be Lying to You w/ Kyle Grieve

We Study Billionaires - The Investor’s Podcast Network

Play Episode Listen Later Dec 7, 2025 62:34


Kyle Grieve breaks down Michael Mauboussin's key insights on combating noise, valuing intangible-rich businesses, using the rule of 40, leveraging checklists and algorithms, understanding base rates, and more. IN THIS EPISODE YOU'LL LEARN: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:03:00 - How to use the BIN acronym to help you deal with forecasting error 00:14:32 - Four myths in investing (many of which I've fallen for) 00:26:15 - Why you must take GAAP numbers on a case-by-case basis due to handicaps of the standard 00:25:07 - How the rise in passive investing is making active investing more challenging 00:33:19 - Why GAAP losers outperform GAAP winners 00:37:14 - Why you should understand the differences between pricing and valuing a business 00:48:39 - Why using assorted multiples will help identify true undervaluations 00:45:50 - How to utilize the rule of 40 in your investing regardless of whether you invest in tech or not 00:49:16 - What to know about the base rates of a public business's survival 00:58:00 - Why most investments will fail and how to deal with the ones that succeed Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIP Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ to engage in meaningful stock investing discussions with Stig, Clay, Kyle, and the other community members. Read The Consilient Observer here. Learn about the BIN framework here. Dive into the four myths here. Explore valuation multiples more here Understand total shareholder returns more here. Improve your views on business survival here. Follow Kyle on Twitter and LinkedIn. Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses in just a few minutes each week through our newsletter, ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Newsletter⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Check out our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠We Study Billionaires Starter Packs⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Follow our official social media accounts: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X (Twitter)⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Instagram⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Facebook⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ | ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TikTok⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Browse through all our episodes (complete with transcripts) ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠here⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Try our tool for picking stock winners and managing our portfolios: ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIP Finance Tool⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Enjoy exclusive perks from our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠favorite Apps and Services⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Learn how to better start, manage, and grow your business with the ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠best business podcasts⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. SPONSORS Support our free podcast by supporting our ⁠⁠sponsors⁠⁠: ⁠Simple Mining⁠ ⁠Human Rights Foundation⁠ ⁠Unchained⁠ ⁠HardBlock⁠ ⁠Linkedin Talent Solutions⁠ ⁠Alexa+⁠ ⁠Vanta⁠ ⁠Amazon Ads⁠ ⁠reMarkable⁠ ⁠Shopify⁠ ⁠Onramp⁠ ⁠Public.com⁠ - See the full disclaimer ⁠here⁠. ⁠Abundant Mines⁠ ⁠Horizon Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://theinvestorspodcastnetwork.supportingcast.fm