Podcast appearances and mentions of Justin Kruger

Charles Darwin once wrote that “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge”, and real-life situations which reflect that are all too common. To cite just one prominent example, in January 1995, American men MacArthur Wheeler and Clifton Earl Johnson were arrested after carrying out coordinated bank robberies in the state of Pennsylvania. Incredibly, they didn't bother wearing masks, as they believed that rubbing lemon juice on their faces would make them invisible to security cameras. Actually no, but bear with me; I'm getting there. The case got a lot of media coverage, and piqued the curiosity of social psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger at Cornell University. They wanted to know how on earth someone could be so damn sure of themselves while believing something completely stupid. Where does this effect come from? Is that what the Dunning and Kruger effect is then? What are the consequences of the Dunning Kruger effect? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions! To listen to the last episodes, you can click here: ⁠Why do some people believe in ghosts?⁠ ⁠What is the placebo effect and how does it work?⁠ ⁠Could chronoworking make you work more efficiently?⁠ A podcast written and realised by Joseph Chance. First broadcast: 15/2/2023 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Unser zweites Thema heute ist der Dunning-Kruger-Effekt. Übernehmen Kinder dauerhaft zu viel Verantwortung innerhalb der Familie, kann das Folgen für ihre psychische Entwicklung haben – bis ins Erwachsenenalter hinein. Fachleute sprechen in solchen Fällen von Parentifizierung – einem Phänomen, das oft unerkannt bleibt. Anke Lingnau-Carduck, Sozialpädagogin und systemische Therapeutin, erklärt, unter welchen Bedingungen es dazu kommt und wie Betroffene sich aus alten Mustern befreien können. Hier erfahrt Ihr mehr über Parentifizierung: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/pdf/10.1111/j.1467-6427.2008.00423.x Und hier findet Ihr die Studie von David Dunning und Justin Kruger: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/10626367/ "Aha! Zehn Minuten Alltags-Wissen" ist der Wissenschafts-Podcast von WELT. Wir freuen uns über Feedback an wissen@welt.de. Redaktion: Juliane Nora Schneider Produktion: Serdar Deniz Impressum: https://www.welt.de/services/article7893735/Impressum.html Datenschutz: https://www.welt.de/services/article157550705/Datenschutzerklaerung-WELT-DIGITAL.html

[WEEKENED RECAP 04-05-25] I often wondered if Leftism had a syndrome or something, so I looked it up. Leftism is defined in part by the Dunning-Kruger effect. The Dunning-Kruger effect is the scientific term for "clueless people who think they're experts." It's the reason your uncle at Thanksgiving rants about geopolitics despite never having left his hometown, or why that guy on Twitter with 12 followers declares himself a "thought leader."As Charles Darwin (who definitely didn't suffer from this) once wrote: "Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge." In other words: The less someone knows about a subject, the more certain they are about the subject. How It Works (Or, More Accurately, How It Fails) Psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger proved something obvious but depressing: The worst performers are the least capable of recognizing their own incompetence. That's why they consistently view themselves as better, more capable, and more knowledgeable than others.Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-kevin-jackson-show--2896352/support.

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias that refers to the tendency of individuals with low ability or expertise in a particular domain to overestimate their competence and mistakenly believe they possess above-average skills. At the same time, those who are highly skilled or knowledgeable in a specific area tend to underestimate their abilities and assume others are equally capable.The effect was first identified by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999 through a series of experiments. They found that people who performed poorly on tasks related to humor, grammar, and logic consistently rated their abilities higher than they actually were. Conversely, individuals who performed well on these tasks tended to underestimate their performance relative to others.The Dunning-Kruger effect can be attributed to a lack of metacognitive skills, which refers to one's ability to accurately evaluate their own competence. Incompetent individuals often fail to recognize their own limitations because they lack the necessary expertise to accurately assess their own performance. This leads them to overestimate their abilities and be unaware of their shortcomings.Another contributing factor to the Dunning-Kruger effect is the cognitive bias of illusory superiority.This bias causes individuals to believe they are better than average in various aspects of life, regardless of their actual skill level. This bias is particularly strong among those with limited knowledge or experience in a particular area.Interestingly, as individuals gain more expertise and knowledge in a specific domain, they tend to become more aware of the complexities and nuances involved.This increased awareness leads to a more accurate self-assessment of their abilities and often results in a decrease in overconfidence.The implications of the Dunning-Kruger effect can be far-reaching. Incompetent individuals who overestimate their abilities may take on tasks or responsibilities beyond their capabilities, leading to poor decision-making or ineffective performance. Additionally, the effect can hinder individuals from seeking feedback or further education, as they believe they already possess sufficient expertise.In this episode, we take a look at how this applies to the Jeffrey Epstein case and how the legacy media overall continues to miss the overall picture.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:What you WEREN'T told about Jeffery Epstein - TheBlazeBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-moscow-murders-and-more--5852883/support.

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias that refers to the tendency of individuals with low ability or expertise in a particular domain to overestimate their competence and mistakenly believe they possess above-average skills. At the same time, those who are highly skilled or knowledgeable in a specific area tend to underestimate their abilities and assume others are equally capable.The effect was first identified by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999 through a series of experiments. They found that people who performed poorly on tasks related to humor, grammar, and logic consistently rated their abilities higher than they actually were. Conversely, individuals who performed well on these tasks tended to underestimate their performance relative to others.The Dunning-Kruger effect can be attributed to a lack of metacognitive skills, which refers to one's ability to accurately evaluate their own competence. Incompetent individuals often fail to recognize their own limitations because they lack the necessary expertise to accurately assess their own performance. This leads them to overestimate their abilities and be unaware of their shortcomings.Another contributing factor to the Dunning-Kruger effect is the cognitive bias of illusory superiority.This bias causes individuals to believe they are better than average in various aspects of life, regardless of their actual skill level. This bias is particularly strong among those with limited knowledge or experience in a particular area.Interestingly, as individuals gain more expertise and knowledge in a specific domain, they tend to become more aware of the complexities and nuances involved.This increased awareness leads to a more accurate self-assessment of their abilities and often results in a decrease in overconfidence.The implications of the Dunning-Kruger effect can be far-reaching. Incompetent individuals who overestimate their abilities may take on tasks or responsibilities beyond their capabilities, leading to poor decision-making or ineffective performance. Additionally, the effect can hinder individuals from seeking feedback or further education, as they believe they already possess sufficient expertise.In this episode, we take a look at how this applies to the Jeffrey Epstein case and how the legacy media overall continues to miss the overall picture.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:What you WEREN'T told about Jeffery Epstein - TheBlazeBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-epstein-chronicles--5003294/support.

Hi, in this episode Ben will discuss the Dunning Kruger effect. A cognitive bias that was created in 1999 by David Dunning and Justin Kruger. It gives a graphical representation of the development when learning new things. It's very applicable to us divers, as we can easily become the victim of incomplete education and/or a false sense of security by our own doing. For more information, contact us here:https://utdscubadiving.com/contact/Here is a link to the graph:https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/4/46/Dunning%E2%80%93Kruger_Effect_01.svgHere are the videos:Episode 1: https://youtu.be/h-elWmoQ3I0?si=QT2380wwAeOCwTPgEpisode 2: https://youtu.be/zRc-2kADCrI?si=kJENf3TP_tcdAA0PEpisode 3: https://youtu.be/Gl4vf6UyLgc?si=BgJlMDfIj-vaOoCz

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias that refers to the tendency of individuals with low ability or expertise in a particular domain to overestimate their competence and mistakenly believe they possess above-average skills. At the same time, those who are highly skilled or knowledgeable in a specific area tend to underestimate their abilities and assume others are equally capable.The effect was first identified by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999 through a series of experiments. They found that people who performed poorly on tasks related to humor, grammar, and logic consistently rated their abilities higher than they actually were. Conversely, individuals who performed well on these tasks tended to underestimate their performance relative to others.The Dunning-Kruger effect can be attributed to a lack of metacognitive skills, which refers to one's ability to accurately evaluate their own competence. Incompetent individuals often fail to recognize their own limitations because they lack the necessary expertise to accurately assess their own performance. This leads them to overestimate their abilities and be unaware of their shortcomings.Another contributing factor to the Dunning-Kruger effect is the cognitive bias of illusory superiority.This bias causes individuals to believe they are better than average in various aspects of life, regardless of their actual skill level. This bias is particularly strong among those with limited knowledge or experience in a particular area.Interestingly, as individuals gain more expertise and knowledge in a specific domain, they tend to become more aware of the complexities and nuances involved.This increased awareness leads to a more accurate self-assessment of their abilities and often results in a decrease in overconfidence.The implications of the Dunning-Kruger effect can be far-reaching. Incompetent individuals who overestimate their abilities may take on tasks or responsibilities beyond their capabilities, leading to poor decision-making or ineffective performance. Additionally, the effect can hinder individuals from seeking feedback or further education, as they believe they already possess sufficient expertise.In this episode, we take a look at how this applies to the Jeffrey Epstein case and how the legacy media overall continues to miss the overall picture.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:What you WEREN'T told about Jeffery Epstein - TheBlazeBecome a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/the-epstein-chronicles--5003294/support.

If I were to describe Justin Kruger, I would say he is, “the most interesting man in prison” and now on the streets. Arrested at 16 and incarcerated for over 20 years, his entire education was acquired by his own efforts on the inside. His young life turned to turmoil as his mother passed away when he was 14 and he was abandoned by his father. He quickly learned to adapt and survive. That skill followed him into prison. Articulate, thoughtful, well rounded, Justin lives a very productive life still solving problems for businesses. He has a unique and interesting story.Sponsors & Partners The Other Side Academy (TOSA) - theothersideacademy.com My Story Matters / Captain Your Story - mystorymatters.org 00:00 - Justin Kruger 01:28 - The Other Side Academy 01:43 - My Story Matters / Captain Your Story 01:26 - Losing His Parents 05:50 - Turning to Robbery 08:44 - Charged with Murder at 16 Y/O 15:14  - Fighting for Opportunity Behind Bars 22:50 - Finding Good Influence 27:00 - Searching for Knowledge 30:00 - Seeing the Board and getting out in 2018 34:40 - Forms of Intelligence 38:45 - Getting Out & Buying Property 40:00 - Living with a Blank Slate 45:20 - Final Piece of Advice

In this episode of Choiceology with Katy Milkman, we look at the often-misunderstood and surprisingly common Dunning-Kruger effect with an interview featuring one of the researchers who first identified it, David Dunning.But we start with the story of Cecilia Jimenez, the humble Spanish grandmother and amateur landscape painter who took it upon herself to restore a fresco in her local church. The results made international headlines—and briefly made Ceclia Jimenez a household name—for all the wrong reasons.Andrew Flack has a lot of compassion for Cecilia. He met with her several times in the process of writing an opera with composer Paul Fowler called Behold the Man about Ceclia's ill-fated but ultimately beneficial project. Next, David Dunning explains how—contrary to popular belief—we are all at the mercy of the Dunning-Kruger effect from time to time, and that we should be more humble in recognizing what we don't know about what we don't know.David Dunning is the Ann and Charles R. Walgreen, Jr., Professor of the Study of Human Understanding at the University of Michigan. The paper "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments," co-authored with Justin Kruger, led to the bias being named The Dunning-Kruger effect.  Important DisclosuresThe comments, views, and opinions expressed in the presentation are those of the speakers and do not necessarily represent the views of Charles Schwab.Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable source. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed and Charles Schwab & Co. expressly disclaims any liability, including incidental or consequential damages, arising from errors or omissions in this publication. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions.All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.Investing involves risk including loss of principal.The book How to Change: The Science of Getting From Where You Are to Where You Want to Be is not affiliated with, sponsored by, or endorsed by Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.). Charles Schwab & Co., Inc. (CS&Co.) has not reviewed the book and makes no representations about its content.(0824-M9R6)

Charles Darwin once wrote that “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge”, and real-life situations which reflect that are all too common. To cite just one prominent example, in January 1995, American men MacArthur Wheeler and Clifton Earl Johnson were arrested after carrying out coordinated bank robberies in the state of Pennsylvania. Incredibly, they didn't bother wearing masks, as they believed that rubbing lemon juice on their faces would make them invisible to security cameras. Actually no, but bear with me; I'm getting there. The case got a lot of media coverage, and piqued the curiosity of social psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger at Cornell University. They wanted to know how on earth someone could be so damn sure of themselves while believing something completely stupid. Where does this effect come from? Is that what the Dunning and Kruger effect is then? What are the consequences of the Dunning Kruger effect? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions! To listen to the last episodes, you can click here: Why do some people believe in ghosts? What is the placebo effect and how does it work? Could chronoworking make you work more efficiently? A podcast written and realised by Joseph Chance. First broadcast: 15.02.2023 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

C'est la question à laquelle ont tenté de répondre David Dunning et Justin Kruger après un fait divers qui s'est déroulé aux Etats-Unis en 1995. Après avoir lu plusieurs articles sur l'encre invisible, un homme, du nom de MacArthur Willer, se persuada qu'il pouvait utiliser du jus de citron pour devenir invisible. Un phénomène de sur-confiance Le jus de cet agrume est réputé pour faire apparaître de l'encre invisible sur du papier. Il eut l'idée de s'enduire le visage de jus de citron et de braquer une banque. Il fut évidemment arrêté par la police, après avoir été détecté par les caméras de vidéo surveillance. Curieux de savoir comment l'on pouvait être aussi sûr de soi et aussi stupide, les deux psychologues - David Dunning et Justin Kruger - vont se lancer dans une recherche. Mais à quoi bon ? Et que constatent les psychologues ? Et quelles sont les conséquences de cet effet ? Écoutez la suite de cet épisode de "Maintenant vous savez". Un podcast Bababam Originals, écrit et réalisé par Johanna Cincinatis Première diffusion : 9 février 2023 À écouter aussi : Qu'est-ce que l'effet Ikea ? Qu'est-ce que l'effet Vache-qui-rit ? Qu'est-ce l'effet Lucifer ? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Project Helping: Justin Kruger's Mental Health Mission In this episode of Make Mental Health Matter Show, Kelli chats with Justin Kruger about his awesome nonprofit that he started called Project Helping due to his own mental wellness journey. He found volunteerism to be a meaningful and effective mental health tool. He started Project Helping to make this tool more accessible to others who are living with mental health challenges. Justin is the Founder and CEO of Project Helping, a Denver-based mental wellness organization. He grew up in a ridiculously small town in Iowa. He studied finance and economics, which he now doesn't use at all. He instead played golf professionally before starting a career in the golf industry. Over 15 years he did all the jobs one could find in this industry, most notably staying with PING golf for almost 10 years. His personal struggle with mental wellness led him to leave the golf business behind to start Project Helping with the goal of sharing the mental health benefits of volunteerism with others living with mental wellness challenges. Find out more about Justin here: https://projecthelping.org https://www.facebook.com/projecthelping https://www.instagram.com/projecthelping https://www.linkedin.com/company/project-helping Want to find out when the next incredible episode of Make Mental Health Matter show is dropping? Sign up for the Make Mental Health Matter newsletter for special tips, and insider only offers. Click HERE to sign up today! Need more resources? https://www.bccevolution.org/trusted-resource-hub www.makementalhealthmatter.org https://www.facebook.com/makementalhealthmattershow https://www.instagram.com/makementalhealthmattershow/ https://www.youtube.com/@MakeMentalHealthMatter/videos TikTok: @bccevolution

Seriam pessoas ignorantes tão ignorantes que ignoram o fato de serem ignorantes? Essa é uma conversa franca e curiosa sobre o efeito que ficou mundialmente conhecido com um gráfico que, na verdade, sequer consta na pesquisa do David Duning e do Justin Kruger. Links do episódio Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing […]

Chris Fenning shares how to master the first minute of conversation for clearer, more concise, and more persuasive communication. — YOU'LL LEARN — 1) How to capture your audience's attention in 15 seconds2) Why meetings feel like a waste—and how to fix that 3) The one question that's ruining your reputation Subscribe or visit AwesomeAtYourJob.com/ep951 for clickable versions of the links below. — ABOUT CHRIS — Chris Fenning makes it easier for us to communicate at work. He helps experts talk to non-experts, teams talk to executives, and much more. Chris's practical methods are used in organizations like Google and NATO, and have appeared in the Harvard Business Review. He is also the author of multiple award-winning books on communication and training that have been translated into 16 languages. Find out how Chris can help you at www.chrisfenning.com • Book: "The First Minute: How to Start Conversations That Get Results (Business Communication Skills Books)" • LinkedIn: Chris Fenning • Website: ChrisFenning.com — RESOURCES MENTIONED IN THE SHOW — • Article: Egocentrism over e-mail: "Can we communicate as well as we think?" by Justin Kruger, Nicholas Epley, Jason Parker, and Zhi-Wen Ng • Book: "Thinking 101: How to Reason Better to Live Better" by Woo-kyoung AhnSee Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Humans can be poor judges of their own ability. So, you might not be as good, or as bad, as you think you are. Psychologists have found the less expertise you have in something, the more likely you are to overestimate your competence in it. And in a digital era where self-assured social media influencers give you 'life hacks', and face-to-face conversation is more limited, this psychological phenomenon seems important to remember. 人类对自己的能力判断不佳。所以，你可能不像你想象的那么好，也可能不像你想象的那么坏。心理学家发现，你在某件事上的专业知识越少，你就越有可能高估自己在这方面的能力。在数字时代，自信的社交媒体影响者为你提供“生活窍门”，而面对面的对话更加有限，记住这种心理现象似乎很重要。 This concept is called the Dunning-Kruger effect, named after the psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger. Back in the 90s, they found a correlation between a person's lack of skills and ability and a lack of awareness of lack of ability. They are ignorant to their own limitations. This plays out in various areas of life, such as in medical diagnosis. For example, Dunning told BBC Radio 4 that, one third of the time, doctors disagree with patients who self-diagnose using internet sources rather than seeing a medical professional. Whether it's judging jokes, logical reasoning, or grammar, the pattern is the same: the less skilled you are, the more over-confident you are. 这个概念被称为邓宁-克鲁格效应，以心理学家大卫·邓宁和贾斯汀·克鲁格的名字命名。早在90年代，他们就发现一个人缺乏技能和能力与缺乏对能力缺乏的认识之间存在关联。他们对自己的局限性一无所知。这体现在生活的各个领域，例如医疗诊断。例如，邓宁告诉 BBC 广播四台，三分之一的情况下，医生不同意患者使用互联网资源进行自我诊断而不是去看医疗专业人员。无论是判断笑话、逻辑推理还是语法，模式都是一样的：你越不熟练，你就越过度自信。 On the flip side is intellectual humility. This means having a modest or low view of your importance or abilities. Elizabeth J. Krumrei-Mancuso, Professor of Psychology at Pepperdine University, found that a higher willingness to acknowledge cognitive limitations, and the ability to embrace diverse perspectives, is connected with a more accurate perception of intelligence. 另一方面是知识分子的谦逊。这意味着对自己的重要性或能力持谦虚或低的看法。佩珀代因大学心理学教授伊丽莎白·J·克鲁姆雷-曼库索发现，承认认知局限性的更高意愿以及接受不同观点的能力与对智力的更准确感知有关。 How can we use this knowledge to help us in everyday life? Tenelle Porter, a psychologist at Rowan University, told the BBC that knowing this "opens us up to being intellectually humble, to admitting everything that we don't yet know". And current studies suggest that those with higher intellectual humility are more open to negotiating, compromising and exploring information. 我们如何利用这些知识来帮助我们的日常生活？罗文大学心理学家特内尔·波特告诉英国广播公司，了解这一点“让我们在智力上变得谦虚，承认我们还不知道的一切”。目前的研究表明，那些智力谦逊的人更愿意谈判、妥协和探索信息。 So, embrace the unknown and remember, there's always more to learn. 因此，拥抱未知并记住，总是有更多东西需要学习。词汇表judge 评判者，裁判expertise 专业知识overestimate 高估competence 能力self-assured 自信的phenomenon 现象lack 缺乏ignorant 无知的limitation 局限skilled 有技能的over-confident 过度自信的，自负的intellectual humility 智性谦逊，认识并承认自己能力的局限性modest 谦逊的willingness 意愿perspective 观点，看待问题的角度humble 谦虚的

Nos visitaron David Dunning y Justin Kruger, y nos quejamos todos juntos. ¿Cómo salir de ahi? La reco de la semana es. Marius Hornberger https://www.youtube.com/@MariusHornberger Somos Bruno (@eltallerdenino), Juan Manuel (@juanpintero), José (@customs.maker) y esto es Maker Chat. En este espacio vamos a hablar sobre qué significa ser maker, qué nos moviliza, qué nos inspira y cómo es el día a día en el taller.

David Dunning und Justin Kruger entdeckten um die Jahrtausendwende, dass oft die am wenigsten Kompetenten besonders selbstsicher sind. Nun, die selbstsichere Inkompetenz ist zu neuer Höchstform aufgelaufen. Und pflegt das Misstrauen gegen Kompetente. Von Dagmar Henn  

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people wrongly overestimate their knowledge or ability in a specific area. This tends to occur because a lack of self-awareness prevents them from accurately assessing their own skills. The concept of the Dunning-Kruger effect is based on a 1999 paper by Cornell University psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger. The pair tested participants on their logic, grammar, and sense of humor, and found that those who performed in the bottom quartile rated their skills far above average. For example, those in the 12th percentile self-rated their expertise to be, on average, in the 62nd percentile. The researchers attributed the trend to a problem of metacognition—the ability to analyze one's own thoughts or performance. “Those with limited knowledge in a domain suffer a dual burden: Not only do they reach mistaken conclusions and make regrettable errors, but their incompetence robs them of the ability to realize it,” they wrote. Tune in and learn how pervasive this issue is in our world!

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which people wrongly overestimate their knowledge or ability in a specific area. This tends to occur because a lack of self-awareness prevents them from accurately assessing their own skills. The concept of the Dunning-Kruger effect is based on a 1999 paper by Cornell University psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger. The pair tested participants on their logic, grammar, and sense of humor, and found that those who performed in the bottom quartile rated their skills far above average. For example, those in the 12th percentile self-rated their expertise to be, on average, in the 62nd percentile. The researchers attributed the trend to a problem of metacognition—the ability to analyze one's own thoughts or performance. “Those with limited knowledge in a domain suffer a dual burden: Not only do they reach mistaken conclusions and make regrettable errors, but their incompetence robs them of the ability to realize it,” they wrote. Tune in and learn how pervasive this issue is in our world!

Social scientist David Dunning and Justin Kruger published a study in 1999 that examined how people viewed their level of competence compared to their objective levels of competence. Their findings, and the implications in the field of code enforcement are explored in this episode where I speak with Tony Apfelbeck, Director of Building and Fire Safety in Altamonte Springs, Florida. Tony has been involved in code enforcement and development – including fire and building codes – for more than 20 years and is a frequent speaker on leadership within code enforcement agencies. Any feedback, comments, or questions email IFMA@NFPA.org

Porque las personas IDIOTAS se creen INTELIGENTES: El Efecto Dunning-Krugger.En este fascinante episodio, exploramos la intrigante paradoja de la incompetencia descrita por los psicólogos David Dunning y Justin Kruger en su revelador artículo de 1999. Sumérgete en el sorprendente mundo donde aquellos con habilidades limitadas tienden a sobreestimar sus capacidades, mientras que los verdaderos expertos a menudo las subestiman.Descubre cómo esta tendencia se manifiesta en la vida cotidiana, desde el aula hasta la cancha de baloncesto. Analizamos casos emblemáticos, como el legado de Kobe Bryant, quien no necesitaba proclamarse el mejor jugador del mundo, ya que su grandeza se infería naturalmente. Por otro lado, exploramos cómo algunos se autopromocionan sin cesar, a pesar de carecer de habilidades reales.Exploramos datos reveladores que revelan que el 85% de las personas se autocalifican como excelentes amigos, mientras que el 70% de los profesores creen estar en el top 25%. ¿Por qué las personas caen en la trampa de la sobreestimación?No te pierdas los consejos prácticos sobre cómo evitar caer en la trampa de la incompetencia. Desde ser humilde en tus habilidades hasta buscar retroalimentación constante y aceptar la posibilidad de estar equivocado, desglosamos las características de aquellos que son inconscientemente incompetentes y cómo puedes mantenerte aprendiendo y evitando caer en esta trampa psicológica.Únete a nosotros mientras exploramos las complejidades de la incompetencia, desentrañamos sus características y ofrecemos estrategias para superarla. Prepárate para un episodio revelador que cambiará la forma en que ves las habilidades y la autoevaluación.Estamos expandiendo nuestro equipo, si quieres ayudarnos a impactar 1,000,000 de personas, deja tu nombre aqui:https://forms.gle/HrFRmr4sDZB2wHbv9Si quieres crear una estrategia para tu vida, coordina tu cita aquí: https://linktr.ee/CarlosFigueroaRedes Carloshttp://www.tiktok.com/carlosefigueroaprhttp://www.instagram.com/carlosefigueroaRedes Gana Tu Díahttp://www.instagram.com/ganatudia http://www.tiktok.com/ganatudiahttp://www.ganatudia.cominfo@ganatudia.com

„Wenn das Leben die Zitronen gibt, mach Limonade daraus“ heißt es so häufig. Aber was tut man, wenn man dafür einfach zu dumm ist? Ein klarer Fall für unseren heutigen Protagonisten! Gefällt euch was wir machen? Wir würden uns über finanzielle Unterstützung bei Steady freuen. So hilft ihr uns, unsere Kosten für den Podcast zu decken. Ihr könnt uns aber auch mit Feedback auf iTunes, Twitter, Facebook, Instagram oder hier in den Kommentaren helfen. Heldendumm ist ein Teil vom #Historytelling-Netzwerk. Mehr zu dem Thema findet ihr auf geschichtspodcasts.de! Mehr zur dieser Episode: Lemon juice didn't work; robber jailed (Centre Daily Times / newspapers.com) Robber is sentenced (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette / newspapers.com) Dumb1 (Pittsburgh Post-Gazette / newspapers.com) The Anosognosic's Dilemma: Something's Wrong but You'll Never Know What It Is (nytimes.com) Dunning-Kruger-Effekt (Wikipedia DE) 1995 Greater Pittsburgh bank robberies (Wikipedia EN) Verbrechen für Weicheier hatte die Episode doch! Episoden-Cover: Ismail Biya Intro- & Outro-Musik: @lcp_ictures auf Instagram #HeldendummDumm Das automatisch generierte Transkript zur Episode gibt's hier (oder auf der nächsten Seite). Transkript zu: Wenn das Leben dir Zitronen gibt 0:03 Heldendumm, Historisch, Gefühlsecht. Hallo Daniel. Hallo Philipp. Daniel, Wenn das Leben dir Zitronen gibt, was machst du damit? 0:20 Dann habe ich viele Zitronen, also erstmal in Kühlschrank stellen, vielleicht welche Einfrieren? Ich weiß nicht. Man weiß es nicht. Limonade wäre natürlich eine eine Möglichkeit. Ist möglicherweise. Ich sage dir später, was der Protagonist unserer heutigen Geschichte mit den Zitronen, die ihm das Leben gegeben hat, gemacht hat. 0:37 Ich bin gespannt, was er mit seinen Macht, ja. Weil du weißt ja, also diese Folge hat keinen Explicit. Möchte ich dazu sagen, weil normalerweise, wenn ich dich gefragt, wenn die Flasche gibt in Jugoslawien findest ja oder so, aber es ist keine explizite Folge, es ist generell eine etwas andere Volker. 0:55 Heute, du weißt schon gerade, wo du gesagt hast, keine explizite Folge ist eigentlich meine Aufgabe, sie explizit zu machen. Du kannst es gerne, du kannst es gerne versuchen. Es gibt einige Möglichkeiten, am Rande des Weges gewisse Etablissements zu besuchen, würde ich behaupten. 1:11 A ja, ruf deine Freunde an, zusammen mit Bordell. Können wir das Bitte einspielen? Ist schon recht klar unter 10 Sekunden glaube ich. So unter 7 glaube ich machen. Wir machen das, wir spielen. Das eine ist sehr wichtig. So, ich schlage vor, dass wir jetzt alle zusammen ins Bordell fahren. 1:28 Sie rufen Ihre beiden Freunde an, die sollen. Auch kommen ja um zurück zum Thema zu kommen, also kein Explicit Tag, aber eine besondere Folge, weil diese Folge ist die Folge, die eigentlich gar nicht existieren sollte. Der Helden Episoden Plan hat uns 1 Ausgewischt. 1:44 Ja, da ist ein bisschen was durcheinander geraten, irgendwie. Wir hatten die Episode, das ist jetzt die Episode 14 müsste es sein, dass. Die 14 Jahre. Und wir haben die 14 aufgehoben. Aufgehoben auch ist aufgehoben, weil die aufgeschoben auf Episode 15, weil wir irgendwie statt 3 wochen Rhythmus plötzlich 6 Wochen Rhythmus drin hatten. 2:05 Und irgendwie will das keiner von uns. Wir haben wir haben für Episode 15, die ja wieder zu Halloween läuft, haben wir eine spezielle spezielle Spezial Folge aufgenommen und dann ist uns aufgefallen Scheiße. Anfang Oktober ist ja noch keine Halloween A und deswegen konnten wir auch nicht sagen, wir nehmen die jetzt später auf, dann irgendwie und bleiben im Turnus, sondern wir mussten die dann jetzt dazwischen schieben. 2:28 Entsprechend dünn ist der nächste Content. Nein, so schlimm ist es nicht, wir werden eine interessante Reise machen und zwar werden wir uns heute bewegen nach Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh. Ja, und zwar im Jahr 1950 und heute haben wir 2 Protagonisten, die unterschiedlicher Natur sind. 2:50 Du wirst den zweiten Spielen, also der erste, der bist du noch nicht, wir schreiben das Jahr 1950, du wirst noch nicht geboren, aber dein Kumpane wird geboren und das ist mcarthur Wheeler. OK, Name sagt mir. Nichts. Mathea ist dein Kumpel und du wirst 3 Jahre später geboren. 3:08 Ein paar Kilometer weiter und du bist und ich finde den Namen könnte man als 80er Action Darsteller Super verwenden, Clifton Earl Johnson. Clifton Earl Jones Super, großartig. Ich fühle es. Ich fühle mich als Clifton Earl Johnson. 3:25 Cliftonville Johnson bist du 1953 wirst du geboren in Pittsburgh und du schlägst eine Karriere ein. Es gibt ja verschiedene Karrieren, die man einschlagen kann, man kennt das und. Du entscheidest dich für Kriminalität. Na OK, ja, so als hätte ich gedacht, vielleicht die weißt du, mit dem Namen kann ich vielleicht n bisschen weißt du ja E Johnson auf seiner Unterhose. 3:49 Clifton ACEJ. C. Trägst du heute deine CJS? Nee, tatsächlich, statt Clifton eher Clown angesagt, da bist eher so ein krimineller Typ und du lernst auch irgendwann den mcarthur kennen und der mcarthur, der ist. 4:05 Also du bist ne bis ein ganz normaler Typ, so auch von der Erscheinung her ein ganz normaler Typ der mcarthur ist ein anderer Typ. Der ist ein bisschen, der sieht ein bisschen anders aus als du. Außerdem ist er deutlich kleiner und deutlich schwerer als du. Mcarthur Wheeler ist ein Meter 67 groß und 125 Kilo schwer. 4:23 Und er hat weiter davon ausgespielt. Die Antwort ist nein, aber es ist also, sagen wir es mal so, normalerweise würde man beim ein Meter 67 125 Kilo schweren erstmal Entschuldigung an alle da draußen, die das vielleicht sind, würde man ja das kriminelle Mastermind hinter der Gruppe erwarten und nicht denen, der reingeht und und irgendwie selbst bei der Bande, also außer ist Joe Pesci, aber sonst würde man ja eigentlich erwarten, dass der Hintergrund die Sachen koordiniert, der Hacker oder so der Gruppe. 4:55 Aber da höre ich schon raus, scheint ja ein Hau drauf Mann zu sein, also jetzt nicht. Ich weiß jetzt nicht ob mit der Faust oder mit seiner Art vielleicht. Aber ja, es klingt schon, klingt schon auf jeden Fall interessant. Der Mac Arthur ist kein Hau drauf. Typ der Mac Arthur denkt er ist das kriminelle Mastermind. 5:14 OK, jetzt jetzt verstehe ich so langsam alles. Klar, ich verstehe wohin die Reise hingeht. Der mcarthur denkt, er ist das kriminelle Mastermind, aber ihr dreht noch kein Ding zusammen. Du machst weiter, du bist so ein bisschen so ein Kleinkrimineller, halt ne, so machst du was mit den einen oder anderen Raub ziehst du durch und so weiter. 5:32 Mode. Betrug. Betrug genau richtig. Jetzt ist die Sache ja, die man braucht, ja, also sagen wir mal so. Macht irgendwie einen Bruch. Ja, wie wir das auf der Straße sagen, man macht einen Bruch und dann hat man ein bisschen Kohle und dann ist die ja irgendwann muss man wieder ran, für dich geht es in den Neunzigern im Prinzip von Raub zu Raub. 5:51 Du raubst mich Banken aus und zwar räumst du am 19. November 94 die Fidelity Savings Bank aus und du räumst am 28. November, also 9 Tage später die Park Vale Savings Bank aus. Du erbeutetes insgesamt von beiden Raubzügen knapp $4000. 6:11 Das ist nicht so. Wobei zu der 90er sagst du. 90er 94. Es ist ein bisschen Geld, aber nicht nicht, dass es sich lohnen würde. Ich behaupten. Also dafür, dass du für so einen Bankraub ja auch durchaus lange in den Knast gehst, lohnen sich 4000,00€ $4000 jetzt nicht übermäßig, sag ich jetzt mal. 6:30 Geht so ne. Ja ja. Du entscheidest dich deswegen. Wir brauchen dringend oder ich brauche dringend ne bessere Idee wie ich Banken ausrauben kann. Ich brauche einen Komplizen am besten und ich brauche einen todsicheren Plan. 6:46 Na ja, das Ziel ist schnell klar. Du tust dich mit Mac Arthur zusammen als Komplizen und das Ziel ist die Mellon Bank in Swiss Wale. Ihr plant dort richtig was zu erbeuten und ihr plant ist auf eine ganz andere Art und Weise zu machen als bisher. 7:05 Bisher bedeutete tatsächlich jetzt mit Schusswaffe quasi Vornamen, Tresen n Sack und ich hab ja, also das war der der. Des Bankraubs, wie du sie bisher durchgezogen hast, kenne ich tatsächlich nicht. Darüber gibt es keine Zeitungsberichte, aber. 7:20 Es gibt Zeitungsberichte über den, den ihr jetzt begangen habt und die Frage ist, wie würdest du vorgehen? Ihr seid zu zweit, einer ist 1 67 125 Kilo, der andere einigermaßen normal. Wie macht ihr tagsüber oder macht ihr es nachts? Ja, das das Problem ist natürlich auffällig ist man schon, wenn man eine ja Mann dieses Formats dabei hat. 7:42 Deswegen rechteckig. Ich meine rechteckig, deswegen ist es schwierig, denk ich mal, tagsüber oder zumindest mit ihm im Gepäck. Dann ich tippe jetzt auf eine Nacht am Samstag. Samstagnacht um 23:00 Uhr gehen wir übers Dach. 8:00 OK, jetzt weiß ich gar nicht, welches welcher Wochentag ist, aber das Krieg ich raus, das recherchiere ich jetzt mal nebenbei, weil das habe ich tatsächlich nicht nachgeguckt. Was für ein Wochentag ist. Und es ist ein, es steht nirgends doch hier, welcher Wochentag war der 1. Januar 1995 das ist der Tag, wo der Bankraub stattfindet, es war ein Sonntag. 8:20 O da dran. Und es war Neujahr. Nein, ist nicht der 1. Januar gewesen, war der 6. Januar. Was rede ich denn, wieso steht denn hier 1. Januar hab ich gerade mein Gedächtnis. Hat gerade meine Notizen überzeugt. Wieso denn, wieso denn? Nee, das ist Quatsch. Hier gut, dann war es n Samstag. 8:37 Der sechste waren Freitag, Freitag, also es war ein Freitag, der 6. Januar 95 da hat der Bank stattgefunden, war ein Freitag, das kann ich dir jetzt schon sagen, ich sag dir aber noch nicht wieviel Uhr, aber es kommt ja ungefähr hin mit, es geht zumindest aufs Wochenende zu. Ich wollte gerade sagen, wir sind auf jeden Fall auf den Weg ins Wochenende. 8:55 Also Wochenende nachts. Was ist der Plan vor der Tür irgendwie einschlagen oder hintenrum? Versuchen es hängt natürlich von der Bank ab, ne. Also ich würde wenn das jetzt ein Gebäude in einem Gebäude ist, so gesehen also. Wenn ich mir eine Bank vorstelle, stelle ich mir so ne so ne akropolis vor, quasi ne riesiges Gebäude, wo eigentlich nur die Bank ist. 9:19 Ne, aber es gibt ja auch Banken, die quasi im 1.2. Stockwerk eine Bank sind, im 3.4. Dann Bürogebäude und irgendwas anderes ne. Deswegen würde ich sagen hängt es vom hängt vom Typ ab, aber normalerweise würde ich sagen versucht über das Dach je nachdem wo der Tresor ist von unten diese grabb Geschichten hab ich schon so oft gehört, dass das entdeckt wird welche Sensoren oder sowas von durch die Tür. 9:40 Macht man nicht. Ich würde von probieren, ich weiß nicht, warum ich da so ein Faible für. OK, also vom Dach in die Wand einsteigen, am besten durch ein Oberlicht abseilen, ne. Genau. Genau. Ja und nachts am Wochenende? Oder einfach mal zweimal hüpfen lassen. 9:59 Schützt das Gebäude von alleine ein? Nein, das ist, das ist nicht das, das können wir nicht, das können wir nicht machen, aber OK, also nachts, am Wochenende und am besten übers Dach. Ja, das ist mein. Plan? Ja, du machst es tagsüber unter der Woche durch die Vordertür. 10:16 OK. Sonst noch was Wichtiges, was man mitnehmen sollte auf so ne auf so ein. Raubzug im Fluchtfahrzeug ein Sack fürs Geld und vielleicht Strümpfe fürs Gesicht. OK, das ist erstmal relativ klar eigentlich, dass die wichtigen, dass die wichtigen Punkte sind. 10:35 Ne, würdest du also eine Sache hast du noch vergessen. Die Waffe. Die Waffe, richtig. Die Waffe, die wir haben, natürlich eine ein ein 6 schüssiger Revolver. Ja, muss im Endeffekt oder oder noch besser, ich nehme eine Stadt, eine Waffe, eine Trainingsjacke mit und steck einfach meine Hand in die Jacke und. 10:59 Mit einem Finger. Mit einer Pistole. Exakt ich. Ich finde die Bank. Ja, das hast du dir nämlich gedacht. Nein, du hattest tatsächlich eine Waffe dabei, also ihr hattet tatsächlich eine Wache, ne Waffe dabei. 11:16 Und zwar eine halbautomatische Pistole. Die war auch echt gut, wir sind ja auch in den USA, ist ja auch nicht verwunderlich so, jetzt kommt es dazu, dass ihr. Euch denkt OK Freitag, Freitag 6. Januar 95 wir gehen in die Bank, es ist Viertel vor 3, also 14:47 Uhr. 11:34 Mhm, ihr betretet die Bank, mcarthur geht nach vorne zum Tresen und sagt hier Geld her, ne hält die Waffe vor, wir wollen, gib uns alle euer Geld, dass sie dann überfallen so der Bank Raub geht ganz normal seinen Gang der Dinge wie man das üblicherweise kennt. 11:51 Alle auf dem Boden. Alle auf dem Boden genau bankbeamte rücken das Geld raus. Alarm darf natürlich nicht gedrückt werden. Damals gab das auch noch nicht so mit den Alarm knöpfen wie heute, tatsächlich entwickelt sich dieser Banküberfall nicht in eine Geiselnahme oder Ähnliches, sondern ihr erbeutet $5200 und. 12:09 Zieht ab. Es ist auch immer noch nicht so viel für 14 15:00 Uhr nachmittags Raub. Es ist richtig, das ist richtig, wie in jeder ordentlichen Bank gab es aber natürlich Überwachungskameras, das ist natürlich noch ne Info, die relevant ist. 12:26 Also das Ganze wurde natürlich aufgezeichnet. Deswegen die Strümpfe. Richtig deswegen, die Strümpfe, und die gibt es auch draußen, die Überwachungskameras, und dort sehen sie natürlich auch dich. Mein lieber Clifton Earl, also beide quasi von der Überwachungskamera erfasst. 12:44 Und tatsächlich wirst du relativ schnell gefasst. Nur wenige Wochen später. Ist es besteht die Polizei vor der Tür und sagt Ja, Mister Johnson fordert die Savings Bank Park Wales Savings Bank Mellon Bank. 12:59 Sagt Ihnen das? Was ist schon mal gehört? Haben Sie das schon mal gehört, fragt dich Sean Sweeney. Sean Sweeney ist der zuständige ermittelnde Beamte, der dir bei dir reinkommt und eben sagt Ja, Mister Johnson, das war es. 13:17 Schlecht aus, aber der MC Arthur ist ja noch auf freiem Fuß und die Polizei machte deshalb ein Angebot. OO Ja, ich will den Deal. Ich bin dabei, egal was es ist. Der Deal ist du verrätst wo dein Kumpel zu finden ist und dafür bekommst du für alle 3 Raubzüge nur insgesamt 5 Jahre Knast. 13:41 Und das steht im Gegenstück zu wieviel wahrscheinlich 20 plus ne. 20 plus. Ja, du bist dabei. Natürlich bin ich wunderbar ey, der mein Kumpane. Kann mich mal. Und dann eben auch nicht mehr ne, weil er ist dann ja im Knast. 13:57 Richtig, richtig so, das ist das ist das I in Team. Also der Mac Arthur schafft es noch bis April. Am 18. April ist es dann soweit, dass um 23:00 Uhr die Aufnahmen der Überwachungskameras über die Fernsehsender gehen, wurde dann gefragt wird, kennt jemand diesen Mann, hat jemand diesen Mann gesehen und das passiert in den 23:00 Uhr Nachrichten also 18. 14:23 April 23:00 Uhr Nachrichten ist diese Fernsehsendung wo die Überwachungskamera aufnahmen gezeigt werden am 19. April, also einen Tag später um 00:10 Uhr. Also eine Stunde und 10 Jahre. Später, das ist ja. 14:39 Wird Mac Arthur von der Polizei verhaftet? Dumm gelaufen. Das ging vor allem schnell. Ja. Warum ging das so schnell? Also du hattest damit jetzt noch nicht direkt was zu tun. Ach so okay, weil ich hätte jetzt gedacht, ich wusste von Anfang an, wo er ist und dieser dieser Öffentlichkeitsfahndung, wer nur quasi eine eine vertuschungs Aktion meiner Informanten. 15:02 Aktivität das tatsächlich wäre tatsächlich sogar relativ kluge Option gewesen. Nach meiner Kenntnis war es aber nicht so, sondern sie haben ihn tatsächlich einfach nicht. Sie wussten aber, wer es war. Aber das half nicht, weil er war nicht zu Hause. Ja, das ist meistens so, wenn so, wenn jemand. 15:19 Wäre auch schön blöd. Ja, als mcarthur wieder festgenommen wird, sagt er die folgenden Worte, die vielleicht auch erklären, warum das Ganze so schnell ging. Ich bin, ich bin ganz Ohr. Seine Worte waren but I Want the Juice übersetzt, aber ich hab doch den Saft getragen. 15:40 Und jetzt, in diesen Augenblick, erinnere ich mich an diese Geschichte. Ich habe sie nämlich schon mal gehört. Erzählst, erzählst, ihr habt, Oh Gott, ja, ich kenn um Himmels willen Scheiße, ja, erzähl es bitte das sage hours. 15:59 Also ich hab ich hab mich ja drum, ich hab drum herum getänzelt. Ja ihr beide habt die Bank betreten, mcarthur und Clifton haben die Bank betreten und waren nicht maskiert, dafür haben sie geheult wie schlosshund, weil ihnen die kompletten Augen getränt haben ist die Rotze aus der Nase es war furchtbar. 16:20 Warum? Weil Mac Arthur realer und Clifton Earl Johnson der festen Überzeugung waren, dass sie unsichtbar sind, wenn sie sich Zitronensaft ins Gesicht schmieren, ja, weil das ja auch bei unsichtbarer Tinte rationiert. Und also, also das muss man erst mal schaffen. 16:47 Ja, ich. Die Sache ist die, die Sache ist die. Sean Sweeney, der ermittelnde Beamte, kommt überhaupt nicht klar. Der lacht sich absolut kaputt, wie man denn so blöd sein kann. Ja, also auf den Überwachungskamera aufnahmen, die ausgestrahlt worden sind, war der Halt vollständig zu sehen, man hat alles gesehen, man hat auch sofort bekommen, weil der vollständig zu sehen war. 17:14 Das ist ich, wie gesagt, ich weiß nicht, wo ich diese Geschichte schon mal gehört hab, aber es ist so wahnsinnig bescheuert. Ich weiß nicht, ob ich es gelesen habe oder ob ich tatsächlich bei unseren Kollegen bei den Verbrechen für Weicheier gehört hab, weil. Wenn es nicht bei denen war, dann auf jeden Fall Verbrechen aus. 17:30 Sagen wir, mit einem ähnlichen Level. Ja, definitiv. Es ist also ich, ich, also ich. Boah, das ist es, macht mich sprachlos. Ne, ich verstehe den Gedankengang, ich verstehe den Gedankengang, ich aber das hätte man vielleicht auch vorher testen können. 17:45 Ich meine für 4000 $5000, die man sich so schon irgendwo sag mal Einsackt bei der Bank könnte man sich schon mal ne Kamera kaufen um das einfach mal zu testen. An dieser Stelle funfact das haben sie gemacht. Sie haben sich gegenseitig, also es gibt hier unterschiedliche Quellenlage, entweder haben sich gegenseitig fotografiert oder mcarthur Wheeler hat ein Selfie gemacht, in jedem Fall müssen sie irgendwelche Scheiße gebaut haben und nicht mehr richtig in der Lage gewesen sein ne Kamera auch nicht bedienen, weil sie haben fotografiert und dann da ist ja gar keiner drauf. 18:15 Es ist es ja, ich bin sprachlos, ich bin sprachlos. Es ist wirklich außergewöhnlich. Interessant. Wie man auf diese Idee überhaupt kommen kann, also wirklich interessant, wie man auf diese Idee kommen kann. 18:30 Und nicht umsonst verlinkt der Wikipedia Artikel zu diesem Raum. Fall, Raum, Bezug zum Wikipedia Artikel Stupidity. Außerdem, tatsächlich gibt es auch eine wissenschaftliche Rezeption dieses Raubüberfalls 4 Jahre später. 1999 sind David Dunning und Justin Kruger, haben sie sich zusammengesetzt und haben das wissenschaftlich erklärt, wie es denn dazu kommen könnte, und heute ist das Ganze bekannt als der Dunning Kruger Effekt. 19:09 Wie gesagt, ich habe schon gehört, im Zuge habe ich bestimmt auch schon mal gelesen, was dieser Effekt bedeutet, aber erklär mich bitte auf, denn ich habe ein Gedächtnis wie ein Sieb. Der Dunning Kruger Effekt ist folgendes. Der Darling Kruger Effekt ist, dass Menschen, die absolut gar keine Ahnung oder sehr sehr wenig Ahnung von einer Thematik haben, ihre eigenes Wissen in dieser Thematik als sehr hoch einschätzen, während Menschen die wirklich Ahnung davon haben, ihr wissen als relativ niedrig einschätzen. 19:35 Also im Vergleich schätzen sich dumme Leute, weil sie nicht wissen, dass sie dumm sind als schlauer ein und schlaue Leute, weil sie wissen, dass sie nicht alles wissen können. Als nicht so schlau ein. Das macht, das Macht vollkommen Sinn und ich muss auch sagen, als du gerade gesagt hast, haben die Wissenschaftler damit beschäftigt, dachte ich, es wird vielleicht nicht in Richtung Dummheit gehen, sondern es gibt ja heutzutage speziell in Ländern mit sag mal mit großer Überwachung vom Staat aus gibt S ja soeben solche Dinge, wo solche Masken, die du dir anziehen kannst, die komplett das Kamera Bild verfälschen, ne, du kannst quasi durchgucken in echt, aber so ein Foto oder Video von machst, dann ist verzerrt oder da kommen halt bestimmte Frequenzen. 20:16 Lique nicht durch und ich dachte, mit sowas weißt du irgendwie so Tarn Technik fürs Militär haben sie erfunden, Nein, sie haben festgestellt, dass dumme Leute dumm sind, großartig. Richtig, dafür haben Sie gesagt, Sie haben dafür gesorgt, dass dumme Leute endlich ihrer Dummheit entlarvt wurden. 20:32 Tatsächlich ist es so, dass bei Clifton L. Johnson, dessen Schicksal es gar nicht bekannt, er musste 5 Jahre in den Knast 2021, glaube ich ist ein Clifton l. Johnson in Pennsylvania in der Ecke auch ungefähr erschossen worden, der war aber angeblich 6 Jahre älter. 20:50 Aber ob der, ob es der gleiche war? Man weiß es nicht. Bei Mac Arthur war es so, der musste n bisschen länger in den Knast und zwar 24 einhalb Jahre. Oder lag ich mit 20 ja gar nicht so verkehrt? Ne? Richtig, plus 3 Jahre Bewährung im Anschluss, das heißt, er müsste so langsam aber sicher resozialisiert sein, müsste aber auch 70 plus sein. 21:13 Und angemalt. Und ja. Ich bin mir sicher, ich finde die die unsichtbarkeits Formel noch raus. The scroll of Truth. Es Ach herrlich, ey. Nee, wie gesagt, es ich, ich finde diese Geschichte, wo ich sie gehört habe und dann verlinken wir sie. 21:33 Wenn also guck mal in die Show Notes, da gibt es bestimmt einen tollen Podcast. Darüber gesprochen hat. Ich vermute es sind die Weicheier gewesen und wie gesagt Ey herrlich herrliche Geschichte das ist es ist bei mir gerade Klick gemacht hat, der ist ich schüttel nur noch mit dem Kopf und. 21:51 Ich habe auch viel Geld, ich hab diese, ich schiebe die ganze Weile schon vor mir diese Geschichte und hab mir gedacht, wie machst du das am besten ne, haben wir gesagt, wir planen einen Bankraub jetzt wir machen hier GTA heißt oder Payday 3 oder was auch immer wir hauen jetzt hier oceans Two ne. 22:07 Oce eher jetzt. Tatsächlich habe ich auch schon gedacht, Oh, wenn Raubüberfall plant, dann brauchst du ja, dann brauchst du ein Team, da brauchst du ja sag mal Ressourcen, aber zu zweit ist es natürlich schwierig, wenn einer der Männer nicht größer ist als weiß ich nicht. 22:22 Was und dafür aber so breit und denkt unsichtbar zu sein. Es ist schon sehr speziell. Also mcarthur Wheeler war alles andere als unsichtbar, glaube ich. Aber er hat doch den den Saft getragen, also deswegen auch die Frage zum Eingang, wenn das Leben dir Zitronen gibt, was machst du damit, du machst Zitronensaft draus, machst dich unsichtbar, logisch. 22:46 Und es wird sonst unsichtbar, er wirklich nicht unsichtbar. Übrigens, wir möchten hier Bodyshaming betreiben, es ist einfach nur absurd. Es ist total absurd ist. Genau das ist. Es ist absurd. Dazu kommt seine offensichtliche außergewöhnliche Intelligenz. 23:02 Ja, und dass er, aber er ist verantwortlich für eine wichtige wissenschaftliche Entdeckung, darf man nicht vergessen, das für sich selbst auch die wissenschaftliche Entdeckung gemacht, die Scheiße brennt in den Augen. Also man muss sagen, er war eigentlich alles ne alles nur nicht unsichtbar. Er war alles, nur nicht unsichtbar und er war, aber er hat immerhin. 23:21 Also ich finde das bemerkenswert, dass 3 Monate geschafft hat, ohne gekriegt zu werden, dass er im 1. April gefangen haben. Ja, viel, viel ist über Babys. Weißt du, wenn sie sie dich nicht sehen, dann denken sie, du siehst ja auch nicht, was Zitronensaft in den Augen. 23:39 Es dauert ein bisschen besser wird. A eine eine völlig irre Situation, aber gut, er war leicht zu identifizieren. Ja, ja, manchmal. Manchmal haben die Strafverfolgungsbehörden, ist ja auch nicht so schwer. 23:54 Also manchmal haben sie leicht. Das stimmt. Philipp, herzlichen Dank für diese wundervolle Geschichte. Es war, wie du schon sagtest, es war kurz, aber aber hat gebrannt. Wenn ihr das habt, bitte geh zum Arzt. Ja, ja, bitte, da könnte man es explizit machen, aber. 24:12 Das ist aber das ist aber eine wichtige Information für alle. Ist quasi PSA. Das ist quasi unser. Im Moment dieses Jahres. Das ist unser Moment der Staffel. Wenn es bei euch brennt am kurzen, dann bitte. Bitte zu machen dadurch, dass es hier ja diese verlorene Episode ist, können wir schon mal ankündigen, dass es in der nächsten Episode auch sehr viel brennen wird. 24:33 Ja, es wird sehr viel und auch deutlich länger. Also wir holen das nächste Episode alles wieder. Auf ja, absolut. Also wie gesagt, das was an Länge hier gefehlt hat, das kriegt ihr, das kriegt ihr 3 Wochen. Das kriegt ihr beim nächsten Mal ihr die doppelte Ladung. Da kriegt sie, da wird grade noch geschnippelt, aber sobald das fertig ist. 24:53 Gut, ich will jetzt nicht eingehen, wenn. Die anderen noch zweiter Moment, wenn jemand euch schreibt in 3 Wochen kriegt ihr die doppelte Ladung direkt links swipen. Oder rechts, je nachdem. Also. Jeder wir. Wollen ja niemanden bevormunden. So ist es so. 25:09 Dankeschön. Es wird nur noch schlimmer. Wir sehen uns in 3 Wochen. Tschüss, danke. 25:26 Das war Heldentum, eine Produktion von Philipp Kalweit und Daniel BBC mit Musik von Enrico Schenko. Außerdem ist unser Podcast ein Teil des History Netzwerks, Falls du Heldentum unterstützen möchtest, findest du in der Episoden Beschreibung einen Link zu Steady, dort kannst du uns mit einem schmalen Taler helfen, unsere laufenden Kosten zu tragen, außerdem ermöglicht uns das unseren Podcast qualitativer und unterhaltsamer zu machen und wenn du keine Möglichkeit hast, uns finanziell zu unterstützen, hilft uns auch jeder Kommentar. 25:51 Bewertung und jedes weiterempfehlen. Mehr Informationen zu unserem Projekt findest du wie immer auf unseren sozialen Kanälen und auf heldentum.de. Versteck mich jetzt, ich reibe das Mikrofon. Jetzt finden Sie unseren Wein.

Can we ever really know ourselves, or are we destined to always make overly optimistic self-assessments? David Dunning joins Igor and Charles to discuss the Dunning-Kruger effect, the importance of asking the right questions, why arriving at an accurate view of ourselves is so challenging, and the implications for teaching, medicine, and even scientific research. Igor explores the possible reemergence of group assessments in education as a result of advances in AI, David shares why conversations with smart people often end up as competitions to ask the most questions, and Charles reflects on the wisdom-enhancing experience of jury service. Welcome to Episode 57. Special Guest: David Dunning.

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias that refers to the tendency of individuals with low ability or expertise in a particular domain to overestimate their competence and mistakenly believe they possess above-average skills. At the same time, those who are highly skilled or knowledgeable in a specific area tend to underestimate their abilities and assume others are equally capable.The effect was first identified by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999 through a series of experiments. They found that people who performed poorly on tasks related to humor, grammar, and logic consistently rated their abilities higher than they actually were. Conversely, individuals who performed well on these tasks tended to underestimate their performance relative to others.The Dunning-Kruger effect can be attributed to a lack of metacognitive skills, which refers to one's ability to accurately evaluate their own competence. Incompetent individuals often fail to recognize their own limitations because they lack the necessary expertise to accurately assess their own performance. This leads them to overestimate their abilities and be unaware of their shortcomings.Another contributing factor to the Dunning-Kruger effect is the cognitive bias of illusory superiority.This bias causes individuals to believe they are better than average in various aspects of life, regardless of their actual skill level. This bias is particularly strong among those with limited knowledge or experience in a particular area.Interestingly, as individuals gain more expertise and knowledge in a specific domain, they tend to become more aware of the complexities and nuances involved.This increased awareness leads to a more accurate self-assessment of their abilities and often results in a decrease in overconfidence.The implications of the Dunning-Kruger effect can be far-reaching. Incompetent individuals who overestimate their abilities may take on tasks or responsibilities beyond their capabilities, leading to poor decision-making or ineffective performance. Additionally, the effect can hinder individuals from seeking feedback or further education, as they believe they already possess sufficient expertise.In this episode, we take a look at how this applies to the Jeffrey Epstein case and how the legacy media overall continues to miss the overall picture.(commercial at 7:26)to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:What you WEREN'T told about Jeffery Epstein - TheBlazeThis show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/5080327/advertisement

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias that refers to the tendency of individuals with low ability or expertise in a particular domain to overestimate their competence and mistakenly believe they possess above-average skills. At the same time, those who are highly skilled or knowledgeable in a specific area tend to underestimate their abilities and assume others are equally capable.The effect was first identified by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999 through a series of experiments. They found that people who performed poorly on tasks related to humor, grammar, and logic consistently rated their abilities higher than they actually were. Conversely, individuals who performed well on these tasks tended to underestimate their performance relative to others.The Dunning-Kruger effect can be attributed to a lack of metacognitive skills, which refers to one's ability to accurately evaluate their own competence. Incompetent individuals often fail to recognize their own limitations because they lack the necessary expertise to accurately assess their own performance. This leads them to overestimate their abilities and be unaware of their shortcomings.Another contributing factor to the Dunning-Kruger effect is the cognitive bias of illusory superiority.This bias causes individuals to believe they are better than average in various aspects of life, regardless of their actual skill level. This bias is particularly strong among those with limited knowledge or experience in a particular area.Interestingly, as individuals gain more expertise and knowledge in a specific domain, they tend to become more aware of the complexities and nuances involved.This increased awareness leads to a more accurate self-assessment of their abilities and often results in a decrease in overconfidence.The implications of the Dunning-Kruger effect can be far-reaching. Incompetent individuals who overestimate their abilities may take on tasks or responsibilities beyond their capabilities, leading to poor decision-making or ineffective performance. Additionally, the effect can hinder individuals from seeking feedback or further education, as they believe they already possess sufficient expertise.In this episode, we take a look at how this applies to the Jeffrey Epstein case and how the legacy media overall continues to miss the overall picture.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:What you WEREN'T told about Jeffery Epstein - TheBlazeThis show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/5003294/advertisement

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias that refers to the tendency of individuals with low ability or expertise in a particular domain to overestimate their competence and mistakenly believe they possess above-average skills. At the same time, those who are highly skilled or knowledgeable in a specific area tend to underestimate their abilities and assume others are equally capable.The effect was first identified by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999 through a series of experiments. They found that people who performed poorly on tasks related to humor, grammar, and logic consistently rated their abilities higher than they actually were. Conversely, individuals who performed well on these tasks tended to underestimate their performance relative to others.The Dunning-Kruger effect can be attributed to a lack of metacognitive skills, which refers to one's ability to accurately evaluate their own competence. Incompetent individuals often fail to recognize their own limitations because they lack the necessary expertise to accurately assess their own performance. This leads them to overestimate their abilities and be unaware of their shortcomings.Another contributing factor to the Dunning-Kruger effect is the cognitive bias of illusory superiority.This bias causes individuals to believe they are better than average in various aspects of life, regardless of their actual skill level. This bias is particularly strong among those with limited knowledge or experience in a particular area.Interestingly, as individuals gain more expertise and knowledge in a specific domain, they tend to become more aware of the complexities and nuances involved.This increased awareness leads to a more accurate self-assessment of their abilities and often results in a decrease in overconfidence.The implications of the Dunning-Kruger effect can be far-reaching. Incompetent individuals who overestimate their abilities may take on tasks or responsibilities beyond their capabilities, leading to poor decision-making or ineffective performance. Additionally, the effect can hinder individuals from seeking feedback or further education, as they believe they already possess sufficient expertise.In this episode, we take a look at how this applies to the Jeffrey Epstein case and how the legacy media overall continues to miss the overall picture.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:What you WEREN'T told about Jeffery Epstein - TheBlazeThis show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/5080327/advertisement

The Dunning-Kruger effect is a cognitive bias that refers to the tendency of individuals with low ability or expertise in a particular domain to overestimate their competence and mistakenly believe they possess above-average skills. At the same time, those who are highly skilled or knowledgeable in a specific area tend to underestimate their abilities and assume others are equally capable.The effect was first identified by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger in 1999 through a series of experiments. They found that people who performed poorly on tasks related to humor, grammar, and logic consistently rated their abilities higher than they actually were. Conversely, individuals who performed well on these tasks tended to underestimate their performance relative to others.The Dunning-Kruger effect can be attributed to a lack of metacognitive skills, which refers to one's ability to accurately evaluate their own competence. Incompetent individuals often fail to recognize their own limitations because they lack the necessary expertise to accurately assess their own performance. This leads them to overestimate their abilities and be unaware of their shortcomings.Another contributing factor to the Dunning-Kruger effect is the cognitive bias of illusory superiority.This bias causes individuals to believe they are better than average in various aspects of life, regardless of their actual skill level. This bias is particularly strong among those with limited knowledge or experience in a particular area.Interestingly, as individuals gain more expertise and knowledge in a specific domain, they tend to become more aware of the complexities and nuances involved.This increased awareness leads to a more accurate self-assessment of their abilities and often results in a decrease in overconfidence.The implications of the Dunning-Kruger effect can be far-reaching. Incompetent individuals who overestimate their abilities may take on tasks or responsibilities beyond their capabilities, leading to poor decision-making or ineffective performance. Additionally, the effect can hinder individuals from seeking feedback or further education, as they believe they already possess sufficient expertise.In this episode, we take a look at how this applies to the Jeffrey Epstein case and how the legacy media overall continues to miss the overall picture.to contact me:bobbycapucci@protonmail.comsource:What you WEREN'T told about Jeffery Epstein - TheBlazeThis show is part of the Spreaker Prime Network, if you are interested in advertising on this podcast, contact us at https://www.spreaker.com/show/5003294/advertisement

The Dunning-Kruger effect (also Mount Stupid or Smug Snake), named after David Dunning and Justin Kruger of Cornell University, occurs where people fail to adequately assess their level of competence — or specifically, their incompetence — at a task and thus consider themselves much more competent than everyone else. This lack of awareness is attributed to their lower level of competence robbing them of the ability to critically analyse their performance, leading to a significant overestimation of themselves. Watch till the end to see some strategies to overcome the Dunning-Kruger Effect.

Uite un adevăr dureros: cei mai mulți manageri din lume sunt incompetenți. Mai mult decât atât, sunt inconștienți de incompetența lor. Personal, cred că incompetența inconștientă este boala de care suferă aproape 80% dintre managerii din lume. De fapt, mai mult suferă angajații care lucrează cu ei. Este o afirmație șocantă și o situație aparent incredibilă și e normal să încercăm să o explicăm.Hai să pornim cu niște cifre care ne vor lămuri asupra subiectului: 79% dintre angajații de pe planetă merg la scârbiciu, nu la serviciu. Este un adevăr extrem de dur și de costisitor care reiese din cercetările pe care firma de consultanță Gallup le face în fiecare an. Circa 180 de mii de oameni din 116 țări au răspuns chestionarului Gallup și doar 21% dintre ei au spus că se simt implicați, motivați, interesați de munca lor. Ceilalți, 79%, sunt absolut dezinteresați și neimplicați în ce muncesc, lipsiți de motivație. Iar treaba asta, pe plan mondial costă 8,1 trilioane de dolari, adică 10% din PIB-ul întregii omeniri. Aceleași cercetări Gallup arată că firmele în care oamenii manifestă engagement, adică motivație și implicare, sunt cu cel puțin 19% mai performante și cu 21% mai profitabile. Practic, aruncăm foarte mulți bani pe apa Sâmbetei, fiindcă nu prea ne interesează ce și cum muncim. Iar treaba asta este o uriașă problemă de management, fiindcă obținerea și întreținerea motivației angajaților este în fișa postului pentru orice om care conduce oameni. Că doar asta înseamnă să îi conducă, nu? Să obțină implicarea lor conștientă în atingerea unor rezultate.O altă cercetare globală prestigioasă, cea făcută de firma DDI, ne spune că doar 32% dintre angajații din lume au încredere că managerii de la vârful organizațiilor fac ce trebuie și doar 40% dintre conducătorii de organizații consideră că maniera lor de leadership este de o calitate foarte bună sau excelentă. Toate aceste cifre ne vorbesc destul de clar despre incompetență și, în cazul multor manageri, despre inconștiența propriei incompetențe. Sau, în termeni științifici, despre sindromul Dunning – Kruger.În 1995, doi infractori americani s-au uns pe față cu zeamă de lămâie și s-au dus să spargă o bancă, fiindcă citiseră ei undeva că sucul de citrice funcționează precum cerneala invizibilă și se transformă într-o mască ce îi face invizibili pentru martori și pentru camerele de luat vederi. Evident că au fost arestați și condamnați la ani grei de închisoare, iar cazul lor a stârnit curiozitatea psihologilor David Dunning și Justin Kruger, care au investigat fenomenul și într-un final au formulat definiția sindromului ce le poartă numele.Pe de o parte, persoanele incompetente își apreciază eronat competența ca fiind mult mai mare decât în realitate. Pe de altă parte, persoanele cu un nivel foarte ridicat de cunoștințe au tendința de a își submina încrederea în sine și își subevaluează priceperea, crezând că și ceilalți cunosc lucrurile la fel de bine ca ei. Cu alte cuvinte, incompetenții își supralicitează priceperea și deseori se consideră îndreptățiți să își asume poziții de conducere, în vreme ce oamenii realmente competenți sunt victimele sindromului impostorului, se subevaluează și în general stau deoparte când e vorba de a ocupa poziții de decizie, de teamă că nu se pricep.Un grad prea mare de încredere în sine în cazul incompetenților, dublat de un grad mult prea mic de încredere în propriile cunoștințe și competențe în cazul celor cu adevărat pricepuți produce efectul pe care îl resimțim, cu toții, la nivelul managementului în cele mai multe echipe și organizații din lume.Trebuie să discutăm tot mai mult despre care sunt competențele de care au nevoie managerii pentru a își face bine treaba în zilele noastre și despre cum măsurăm în mod corect aceste competențe.

Charles Darwin once wrote that “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge”, and real-life situations which reflect that are all too common. To cite just one prominent example, in January 1995, American men MacArthur Wheeler and Clifton Earl Johnson were arrested after carrying out coordinated bank robberies in the state of Pennsylvania. Incredibly, they didn't bother wearing masks, as they believed that rubbing lemon juice on their faces would make them invisible to security cameras. Actually no, but bear with me; I'm getting there. The case got a lot of media coverage, and piqued the curiosity of social psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger at Cornell University. They wanted to know how on earth someone could be so damn sure of themselves while believing something completely stupid. Where does this effect come from? Is that what the Dunning and Kruger effect is then? What are the consequences of the Dunning Kruger effect? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions! To listen to the last episodes, you can click here: Can you improve your relationship by learning your love language? Why is going to the cinema so romantic? What is prowling, yet another toxic dating trend? A Bababam Originals podcast, written and produced by Joseph Chance. In partnership with upday UK. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In 1999, two social psychologists, David Dunning and Justin Kruger, published a seminal paper on a cognitive bias that can affect nearly everyone.  Since the paper was published, it has given a name to something which most people have recognized and, at times, may have been guilty of themselves. However, most people who are familiar with the effect only know half the story.  Learn more about the Dunning-Kruger Effect, what it is, and how to avoid it on this episode of Everything Everywhere Daily. Subscribe to the podcast!  https://link.chtbl.com/EverythingEverywhere?sid=ShowNotes -------------------------------- Executive Producer: Charles Daniel Associate Producers: Peter Bennett & Thor Thomsen   Become a supporter on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/everythingeverywhere Update your podcast app at newpodcastapps.com Discord Server: https://discord.gg/UkRUJFh Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/everythingeverywhere/ Facebook Page: https://www.facebook.com/EverythingEverywhere Facebook Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/everythingeverywheredaily Twitter: https://twitter.com/everywheretrip Website: https://everything-everywhere.com/ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

C'est la question à laquelle ont tenté de répondre David Dunning et Justin Kruger après un fait divers qui s'est déroulé aux Etats-Unis en 1995. Après avoir lu plusieurs articles sur l'encre invisible, un homme, du nom de MacArthur Willer, se persuada qu'il pouvait utiliser du jus de citron pour devenir invisible. Le jus de cet agrume étant réputé pour faire apparaître de l'encre invisible sur du papier. Il eut l'idée de s'enduire le visage de jus de citron et de braquer une banque. Il fut évidemment arrêté par la police, après avoir été détecté par les caméras de vidéo surveillance. Curieux de savoir comment l'on pouvait être aussi sûr de soi et aussi stupide, les deux psychologues - David Dunning et Justin Kruger - vont se lancer dans une recherche. Mais à quoi bon ? Et que constatent les psychologues ? Et quelles sont les conséquences de cet effet ? Écoutez la suite de cet épisode de "Maintenant vous savez". Un podcast Bababam Originals, écrit et réalisé par Johanna Cincinatis À écouter aussi : Qu'est-ce que l'effet Ikea ? Qu'est-ce que l'effet Vache-qui-rit ? Qu'est-ce l'effet Lucifer ? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The R&B classic singer and songwriter William Bell joins this week along with the genre-bending Alejandro Escovedo. Nick also discusses the value of connecting people struggling with mental illness to volunteer opportunities with Project Helping founder, Justin Kruger. That's all this week on eTown!   Visit our Youtube Channel to see artist interviews, live recordings, studio sessions, and more!   Be a part of the audience at our next recording: https://www.etown.org/etown-hall/all-events/

This episode is sponsored by my new book "My Dads Advice At 5:04 AM," and you can get it here or here.   Our guest this week is the Founder of Project Helping, Justin Kruger. A bit more about Justin. BIO: Justin is the Founder and CEO of Project Helping, a Denver-based mental wellness organization. He grew up in a ridiculously small town in Iowa. He studied finance and economics, which he now doesn't use. He instead played golf professionally before starting a career in the golf industry. Over 15 years, he did all the jobs one could find in this industry, most notably staying with PING golf for almost 10 years. His struggle with mental wellness led him to leave the golf business behind to start Project Helping and provide purpose, connection, and mental wellness through kyndfulness.   SOCIAL: projecthelping.org https://www.instagram.com/projecthelping/ https://www.linkedin.com/company/project-helping/     Please subscribe to my YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFhju6cCeHC9xphoWbN3frA   Tommy Maloney is the Executive producer and host of the podcast Blending The Family, where you can find Apple Podcasts, Iheart Radio, Spotify, and Stitcher Radio.    Tommy has spoken at TEDx, Ignite Fort Collins, and was a Keynote Speaker at Everything Dad Convention. He even has won speaking awards through Toastmasters International.    The author of the book "25 Tips For Divorced Dads." "Why not you, Why Not Me" and His new book, "My Dad's Advice At 5:04 AM,". He has written for magazines: The Good Men Project, Modern Gladiator, and Nurture Magazine. Plus, he has been a guest writer. Tommy enjoys a good red blend while writing or hiding from the family. A dad to Betsy, Becca, Connor, and Duke (RIP), Otis. A husband to Ann.  Anyone considering suicide should contact the National Suicide Hotline at 1-800-273-8255 or chat with someone live on its Website. Podcast music by Twisterium / freebackgroundtracks.net Contact him at  Tommy@BlendingTheFamily.com   TEDx Talk: https://youtu.be/azG2K47iz4Q   YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCFhju6cCeHC9xphoWbN3frA    Blog: http://blendingthefamily.com/blog/    Podcast: http://blendingthefamily.libsyn.com/    Apple Podcasts: https://itunes.apple.com/us/podcast/tommy-maloney/id958223196?mt=2    Stitcher: http://www.stitcher.com/podcast/tommy-maloney/blending-the-family    Linked In: https://www.linkedin.com/in/thetommymaloney    The Good Men Project: https://goodmenproject.com/author/tommy-maloney/   Medium: https://medium.com/@thetommymaloney   Calendly: calendly.com/thomasdmaloneyjr        

In the most innocent interpretation, suggesting someone should ‘do their own research' is a reasonable bit of advice. But in the superheated world of social media discourse, #DoYourOwnResearch is a spicy rejoinder that essentially challenges someone to Google the subject since they clearly don't know what they're talking about. But Googling, social psychologist David Dunning pointedly notes, is not research. “The beauty and the terror of the internet,” he tells interviewer David Edmonds in this Social Science Bites podcast, “is that there's a lot of terrific information, but there's also a lot of misinformation and sometimes outright fraud. “People often don't have the wherewithal to distinguish.” This distinguishing is an area where Dunning, a professor at the University of Michigan, does his own research. While doing your own internet sleuthing isn't toxic on its face, Dunning suggests that often “you don't know when you're researching your way into a false conclusion, and … you don't know when to stop. The real hard problem with DYOR is when do you know when to stop: you go and you look at a couple of web pages, and ‘Well, you've learned something! Terrific!' But you don't know how much there is behind it that you still need to learn.” One driver of DYOR, Dunning adds, is the idea that gaining (and deploying) knowledge is one's own responsibility, which pretty much runs counter to science, which sees gaining knowledge as a collective enterprise. One piece of collective effort in which Dunning has made a very public mark is in describing what's come to be known as the Dunning-Kruger effect, named for Dunning and fellow social psychologist Justin Kruger of New York University, after work they originally described two decades ago in “Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments” in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. The popular definition of the Dunning-Kruger effect, Dunning explains, is that “people who are incompetent or unskilled or not expert in a field lack expertise to recognize that they lack expertise. So they come to conclusions, decisions, opinions that they think are just fine when they're, well, wrong.” Dunning and Kruger's initial research was based on simple tests – of grammar, logical thinking, classical psychology quizzes, even sense of humor – asking subjects how well they think they're doing relative to everyone else. They found that the bottom 25 percent of participants tended to think they were doing above average. “But no.” “To know what you don't know,” he offers, “you need to know what you need to know to realize that your thinking diverges from that.” It's not true in every endeavor, he adds. “I'm a terrible golfer,” Dunning says. “And I'm fully aware that I‘m a terrible golfer!” The effect tends to show up when the skill of assessing outcomes is roughly similar to the skill of achieving outcomes. So when your golf ball flies into the nearby body of water, you don't need special skills to know that's bad. Becoming an expert in everything is out of the question; the real skill will be in identifying who is a legitimate expert and drawing on their insights. (And the right expert, Dunning notes “is the right experts. With an S on the end.”) For the record, the pair – who just received the 2023 Grawemeyer Award in Psychology for their Dunning-Kruger effect work - did not name the concept after themselves, although, as Dunning says, they're “tickled pink that our names will forever be associated with the nincompoops, incompetent ignorant cranks, if you will.”

Bu bölümde konumuz, Dunning - Kruger Etkisi. Justin Kruger ve David Dunning isimli iki bilim insanının 1999 yılında Cornell Üniversitesi'nde yaptıkları çalışma sonrasında ortaya atılan bir etki bu. 2000 yılında da bu ikiliye Nobel ödülü kazandırıyor bu çalışma.

Parenting is one of the toughest jobs we take on, even in the best of times. Throw in a pandemic with isolation from peers and 24/7 social media, we have a recipe for mental health challenges.  According to the CDC, youths aged 10 to 24 years account for around 14% of all suicides. Suicide is the third leading cause of death for ages 15-24 years and the second leading cause of death among ages 10-14 years. Between 2010 and 2020, suicide attempts among children 10-to 12-years old have increased fivefold. Faceless statistics are one thing but what happens when your child becomes part of the stats? Podcast guest, Justin Kruger, shares the story of his daughter's suicide attempts. He looks back at the signs, the actions, and the aftermath of both attempts. Justin describes what it was like as a parent and the long journey to healing as a family. He talks about the lessons learned that came from it, a quote him and his daughter always come back to, and his advice for other parents going through something similar. For show notes and links mentioned, visit: https://bit.ly/GTIPodcastNotes To sign up for 2 Tip Tuesday, visit: https://bit.ly/2TipTuesday 2 Tip Tuesday is a weekly email that break down podcast episodes into practical resilience tips you can put into action straight away. 

For the past years, covid pandemic has hit us. Making almost all of us isolated in our home. A lot has experienced stress, sadness, loneliness, and mental health disorders including anxiety and depression. How can people help the community at the same time improving mental wellness? In this week's episode, Justin Kruger joins us to share the goodness of helping people in need, homeless individuals, foster youth and seniors, and especially to people living with a mental health challenge. Project Helping Founder and CEO Justin Kruger, helping others having a positive impact on the community that creates happiness within it. Their goal is to improve mental health by providing accessible experiences that foster meaning and connection. Making impactful organization to leverage the mental wellness benefits of volunteering both on you and your community.  To find more of what they do, listen to this episode! --- Listen to the podcast here: Improving Mental Wellness Through Helping the Community with Justin Kruger   Welcome to Action's Antidotes, your antidote to the mindset that keeps you settling for less. Today, we're about to try a little bit different of a format for this episode. Usually, I just come on and interview a guest and my guest today is Justin Kruger, who started the Kynd Kit program, which we'll be talking about as well today, but I also brought on a couple other guests, Hallie Atencio and Phillip Hill, who are coordinating alongside myself an event next month to actually build some of these Kynd Kits to build a little community through this program. As you know, both mental health and community building are very important, very near and dear to my heart topic as where we are in culture today.   --- Welcome to the program. How's everybody tonight?   Justin: Good. Thank you for having us.    Hallie: Yes, thank you so much.    Phil: I'm doing great. Thanks for having us.    Fantastic. Well, Justin, let's start with you. First, I like to orient my audience here. Tell us a little bit about these Kynd Kits. What are Kynd Kits all about and what do people do when they do a Kynd Kit?   Justin: Sure. So, the Kynd Kits are a program of Project Helping, our 501(c)(3) nonprofit, and we developed the kits about six years ago now, not in response to COVID but in response to the challenge of people are busy, how do we fit volunteerism into their lives, so we developed kits to really be a volunteer project in a box that has 100 percent of the materials you need in it to do something good for someone else. We now have almost 40 different projects that you can do in a box and so there's a lot to choose from. One example that's really popular right now is we have a kit where you make sight word flashcards and a reading game for first-grade students. So you open the kit and it has everything you need, you make about 75 flashcards. I have kids so I know what sight words are but for those of you that don't, they're words that first graders have to have memorized by sight before they move on from first grade. A lot of kids, if they don't get to that point, they fall behind in their reading. So we partnered with local schools and we partnered with the Barbara Bush Foundation and we built this kit to have those sight words on them but also you make this little like paper bag monster reading game so when they get a word right, they feed it into the paper bag and that's how they practice. So that's one example of almost, like I said, 40 different projects.   So when I think about these projects, I oftentimes think about certain family activities, drawing turkeys at Thanksgiving or making Easter eggs at Easter. Is it a similar arts and crafts type of project?   Justin: Some of them are, some of them are definitely not. Because there's so many projects, we want it to be a meaningful experience for the kit builder, that meaningful experience is what's good for your mental wellb...

Today I'm talking about imposter syndrome and Idiots Mountain--a topic which came up at dinner with friends this week.In 1999,  David Dunning and Justin Kruger came up with a Dunning Kruger Effect based on the realization that high competence individuals often underestimated their ability. In this episode, I'll teach you how to use this phenomenon to get the most out of where you are in your journey. 

================================================== ==SUSCRIBETEhttps://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNpffyr-7_zP1x1lS89ByaQ?sub_confirmation=1================================================== == DEVOCIÓN MATUTINA PARA MUJERES 2022“SIN MIEDOS NI CADENAS”Narrado por: Sirley DelgadilloDesde: Bucaramanga, ColombiaUna cortesía de DR'Ministries y Canaan Seventh-Day Adventist Church  23 DE SEPTIEMBRE EL EFECTO DUNNING-KRUGER“Pues, así como los cielos están más altos que la tierra, así mis caminos están más altos que sus caminos y mis pensamientos, más altos que sus pensamientos” (Isaías 55:9, NTV).EI 19 de abril de 1995, McArthur Wheeler asaltó dos bancos en Pittsburgh, Estados Unidos. McArthur, un hombre de 1,70 my más de 120 kg, robó los bancos a mano armada, a plena luz del día y sin usar ninguna máscara o disfraz para proteger su identidad. Las cámaras de seguridad lo capturaron apuntándoles a las cajeras. La policía compartió las imágenes con el noticiero local, y en cuestión de minutos recibió suficiente información para apresar a McArthur. Cuando la policía golpeó a su puerta, McArthur no podía creer que lo encontrarían. “¡Pero me puse jugo de limón!” Les dijo a los oficiales de la policia. McArthur había leído en algún lado que el jugo de limón se usa como tinta invisible. Él pensó que, si se untaba la cara con jugo de limón, esto lo volvería invisible a las cámaras de seguridad. McArthur verificó su teoría untándose la cara con jugo de limón y tomándose una foto con su cámara Polaroid. Coincidentemente, la foto salió y McArthur creyó que había encontrado una forma práctica y eficaz de robar bancos oscuros sin ser reconocido. McArthur fue llevado a prisión; sin embargo, su historia inspiró a David Dunning, un profesor de psicología de la universidad de Cornell, a investigar lo sucedido. David realizó una serie de experimentos junto con Justin Kruger. Ambos debido a que las personas que menos saben -justamente aquellos más incompetentes- tienden a necesitar más inteligentes y preparados. Es precisamente este sentimiento de superioridad ilusorio el que les impide reconocer su propia ineptitud. la foto salió oscura y McArthur creyó que había encontrado una forma práctica y eficaz de robar bancos sin ser reconocido. McArthur fue llevado a prisión; sin embargo, su historia inspiró a David Dunning, un profesor de psicología de la universidad de Cornell, a investigar lo sucedido. David realizó una serie de experimentos junto con Justin Kruger. Ambos debido a que las personas que menos saben -justamente aquellos más incompetentes- tienden a necesitar más inteligentes y preparados. Es precisamente este sentimiento de superioridad ilusorio el que les impide reconocer su propia ineptitud. la foto salió oscura y McArthur creyó que había encontrado una forma práctica y eficaz de robar bancos sin ser reconocido. McArthur fue llevado a prisión; sin embargo, su historia inspiró a David Dunning, un profesor de psicología de la universidad de Cornell, a investigar lo sucedido. David realizó una serie de experimentos junto con Justin Kruger. Ambos debido a que las personas que menos saben -justamente aquellos más incompetentes- tienden a necesitar más inteligentes y preparados. Es precisamente este sentimiento de superioridad ilusorio el que les impide reconocer su propia ineptitud. a investigar lo sucedido. David realizó una serie de experimentos junto con Justin Kruger. Ambos debido a que las personas que menos saben -justamente aquellos más incompetentes- tienden a necesitar más inteligentes y preparados. Es precisamente este sentimiento de superioridad ilusorio el que les impide reconocer su propia ineptitud. a investigar lo sucedido. David realizó una serie de experimentos junto con Justin Kruger. Ambos debido a que las personas que menos saben -justamente aquellos más incompetentes- tienden a necesitar más inteligentes y preparados.Estoy convencida de que todas tenemos la cara pintada con limón en alguna área de nuestra vida, pero especialmente cuando se trata de entender los caminos de Dios. La perspectiva de Dios es infinitamente más grande y más alta que la nuestra. Dios ve el pasado, el presente y el futuro de un solo vistazo. Su inteligencia y su poder son ilimitados. A veces, nos sentimos tentadas a sospechar que Dios no sabe lo que está haciendo o que realmente no nos ama. En esos días, pensamos en la historia de McArthur Wheeler y, con humildad, pidámosle a Dios que nos lave la cara.Señor, tus caminos son infinitamente más altos que los míos. En los días en que me sienta tentada a pensar que yo sé más ya soltarme de tu mano, recuérdame que tengo la cara untada con limón. Límpiame de mi orgullo, Señor. Dame un corazón humilde que reconozca tu sabiduría. Amén.

QUELLEN UND SHOW NOTES zur Sendung 114   Zum Stockholm-Syndrom: Bejerot, Nils. 1974. „The Six Day War in Stockholm“. 1974. .   Dunning, David, und Justin Kruger. 2000. „Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments“. ResearchGate, Januar. .   Klein, Christopher. 2019. „The Birth of “Stockholm Syndrome,” 40 Years Ago“. HISTORY. 4. September 2019. .   Luhmann, Niklas, und Jürgen Kaube. 2016. Der neue Chef. Erste Auflage. Berlin: Suhrkamp.   Tödtmann, Claudia. 2017. „Gallup-Studie: Führungskräfte sind der wahre Produktivitätskiller“. 22. März 2017. .   ResearchGate  PDF | People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that this... | Find, read and cite all the research you need on ResearchGate   HISTORY How a six-day hostage drama inside a Swedish bank christened the psychological phenomenon known as "Stockholm Syndrome." (221 kB)   wiwo.de Die Gallup-Studie zeigt: Hätten Unternehmen gute Führungskräfte, würden sie 105 Milliarden mehr Gewinn im Jahr machen. (34 kB) kne:buster - ein Podcast-Satelliten-Experiment mit Stefan Knecht und Alex Jungwirth Expedition Arbeit, das heißt auch: Immer wieder Experimente, mal fast unmerkliche Veränderungen in der Community, mal gewagte Neuheiten, manchmal einfach das kreative Stochern im Nebel oder das lustvolle Ausprobieren dessen, was Spaß und Spannung verspricht.  Stochern, Spaß und Spannung, das wird es bis auf Weiteres donnerstags geben, im Kurz-Podcast-Gesprächs-Format  “kne:buster”. Der Titel enthält den Namen des Gastgebers, Stefan Knecht und die Funktion des “busting”, was irgendetwas zwischen “auf den Arm nehmen”, “Pleite gehen” und “sprengen” bedeutet. Im Kern geht es um die Aufdeckung von Mythen, einem Hobby, dem Stefan Knecht schon seit geraumer Zeit krawallfrei aber messerscharf und wissenschaftlich fundiert auf seiner Seite digitalien.org betreibt. Seit nun schon langer Zeit regelmäßig dabei ist ein weiterer “pragmatischer Skeptiker” namens Alexander Jungwirth. Alex ist den Hörerinnen und Hörern des Mitglieder Radios aus seiner Audio-Kolumne “Linzer Worte” bestens bekannt und fungiert im Duo Jungwirth & Knecht tendenziell als der Fragesteller an den Viel- und Intensiv-Leser Knecht.  Wer beim lustvollen Dekonstruieren lauschen will, ist herzlich eingeladen.     MITGLIED WERDEN Expedition Arbeit wünscht sich viele, neue Mitglieder: Denn dann können wir gemeinsam mehr bewirken, außerdem schaffen wir nur ab einer gewissen Größe die gewünschten Netzwerk- und Matching-Effekte. Vor allem aber glauben wir, dass wir nur mit ganz vielen auch ganz viel in Sachen sinnstiftender, selbstbestimmter und wirksamer Arbeit erreichen können.  Mitglied werden ist einfach. Kündigen übrigens auch. Weil es eben kein Abo ist, sondern eine Mitgliedschaft. Alles dazu findet Ihr auf unserer Website oder direkt auf der Crowdfunding-Plattform Steady: https://steadyhq.com/de/expeditionarbeit/about Kommt an Bord, seid dabei, lasst uns etwas bewegen!   ALLGEMEINE LINKS zu Expedition Arbeit Ideen, Anregungen und Kritisches an die Redaktion: florian@expedition-arbeit.de  Expedition Arbeit-Mitglied werden   Mitglied bei Expedition Arbeit werden   Du willst in der Community mitmachen? Dann melde dich bei Der öffentliche Expedition Arbeit-Newsletter   Unsere halböffentliche LinkedIn-Gruppe   Unsere öffentliche LinkedIn-Seite   Expedition Arbeit bei Twitter   Expedition Arbeit, Event-Kalender   Community Management und Host Community Radio: Florian Städtler bei LinkedIn   Redaktionsleitung: Wolfgang Pfeifer   Sprecherin Zwischenmoderationen: Stefanie Mrachacz   Schnitt und Mix: Yannik Mattes   Die Musik und SFX (Sound-Effekte) in allen Sendungen stammen von der Plattform bzw. von Florian Städtler      

Programming Note: Anticipating The Unintended will be on its annual year-end break for the next two weeks. Normal services will resume from Jan 9, 2022. Happy Holidays.This is the last edition for 2021. There’s always a temptation to look back at the year gone and arrive at some kind of things-we-learnt-this-year list. As much as we’d like to do that, we really have nothing insightful to offer. It wasn’t a great year for most part because of the pandemic and it is ending on a foreboding note. Anyway, so what do we have in this year-end edition? We start with talking about the one overriding emotion that the two of us had through the year. What’s that one constant feeling that summed up our view of most events during the year? We then move on to the predictions we had made at the start of 2021 and see how each of us fared. And we close out with books, newsletters, podcasts or videos that we enjoyed greatly. That’s what is on the menu today.The 2021 State Of MindRSJ: Through the year my mind went back to the lines from one of my favourite poems, The Second Coming by W.B. Yeats. It is somewhat apposite too. Yeats wrote the poem just after WW-1 had ended and during the Spanish flu pandemic. His pregnant wife contracted the flu and survived after a harrowing time. Yeats paints a bleak landscape of disorder and anarchy with warring factions and a divided world order. The voices of reason lack moral strength because the false convictions of the passionate have taken over. To quote Yeats:“The best lack all conviction, while the worstAre full of passionate intensity.”That’s how I felt most of 2021. Funnily enough, I started noticing many variations of these lines over the past months. I guess I lived through the Baader-Meinhof phenomenon on this one. I have collated them here. Back in 1871, in the introduction to his book, Descent of Man, Charles Darwin wrote:“Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge: it is those who know little, and not those who know much, who so positively assert that this or that problem will never be solved by science.”In his 1931 essay, The Triumph of Stupidity, Bertrand Russell wrote:“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt. Even those of the intelligent who believe that they have a nostrum are too individualistic to combine with other intelligent men from whom they differ on minor points. This was not always the case. A hundred years ago the philosophical radicals formed a school of intelligent men who were just as sure of themselves as the Hitlerites are; the result was that they dominated politics and that the world advanced rapidly both in intelligence and in material well-being.It is quite true that the intelligence of the philosophical radicals was very limited. It is, I think, undeniable that the best men of the present day have a wider and truer outlook, but the best men of that day had influence, while the best men of this are impotent spectators. Perhaps we shall have to realise that scepticism and intellectual individualism are luxuries which in our tragic age must be forgone, and if intelligence is to be effective, it will have to be combined with a moral fervour which it usually possessed in the past but now usually lacks.”In his essay, A Cult of Ignorance, published in the Newsweek (1980), Isaac Asimov wrote:“Anti- intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.Now we have slogans on the part of obscurantists: "Don't trust the experts!"... We have a new buzzword too, for anyone who admires competence, knowledge, learning and skill, and who wishes to spread it around. People like that are called 'elitists'....What shall we do about it? We might begin by asking ourselves whether ignorance is so wonderful after all, and whether it makes sense to denounce 'elitism'. I believe that every human being with a physically normal brain can learn a great deal and can be surprisingly intellectual. I believe what we badly need is social approval of learning and social rewards for learning.”Of course, all of this culminated into a wonderful paper by David Dunning and Justin Kruger titled, “Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one’s own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments”. Published in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, Dec 1999, the abstract of the paper asserted:“People tend to hold overly favorable views of their abilities in many social and intellectual domains. The authors suggest that this overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it.”Thus was born the Dunning-Kruger effect. It owned 2021.Pranay:As for many of you, 2021 was my first year, in many many years, spent entirely at home. Until 2021, there were two neat compartments in my head: a ‘professional’ one and a ‘personal’ one. I associated terms such as ambition, learning, and planning only to the ‘professional’ compartment. On most issues outside that sphere, I thought I could just wing it. To use RSJ’s framing, it was the Dunning-Kruger effect at play in one compartment of life. So, 2021 has been about trying to unlearn many erroneous conclusions I had reached about wellbeing (physical and mental), parenting, relationships, and self-worth. There’s a lot to learn. But just the dissolution of the false assumption that two very different approaches apply to the two spheres of life is liberating. Our Predictions Report CardAt the start of this year, we were foolhardy enough to make a few predictions. We will see how we fared on them.RSJ:Pranay had made an important point about predictions then:“... predictions are susceptible to what Philip Tetlock calls ‘outcome-irrelevant learning’ — a situation wherein no matter the reality, people are in an excellent position to explain that what happened was consistent with their view.One way to check outcome-irrelevant learning is first to make specific, measurable predictions and then reflect on real-world outcomes at the end of the prediction horizon. Which, for this newsletter, means we will do another post at the end of 2021 reflecting on our hits and misses.”I must admit my 10 predictions didn’t exactly fit Pranay’s definition of being specific and measurable. So, as I look back, you can accuse me of conveniently retrofitting the actual outcomes to them. FWIW, let’s see how I fared.Prediction 1: By the end of 2021, we will all realise we overrated the long-term impact of the pandemic on everything. There won’t be any ‘new normal’ to write home about. Things will be more of the same.Outcome: Largely true, I would think. Maybe 6/10 on accuracy. No dramatic shift seen on anything yet. Prediction 2:  The size of the stimulus in most developed economies and the amount of liquidity pumped into the system will mean two things – eventual inflation and a repeat of the taper tantrum in future. Deficits have come to mean nothing and any future slowdown in the economy or fall in markets will mean more stimulus.Outcome: Not bad. I guess 7/10 on this.Prediction 3: The stock markets are in bubble territory now. But there won’t be any reckoning in 2021. The stocks doing well during the pandemic will continue to do well. The divergence between the real economy and the street will continue to confound all of us.Outcome: Cannot complain. 7.5/10Prediction 4: The early signs are of a K-shaped recovery around the world. This will be strengthened in 2021. A small set of companies and people will see a rising graph of growth and prosperity. The long-term impact of the pandemic will be to worsen inequality. The early but definite signs of this will show up in 2021.Outcome: Again 7.5/10Prediction 5: Credit offtake will be weak and the revival of consumption story will be dampened because of this. Private investments were trending downwards anyway before the pandemic. Its revival seems unlikely in 2021.Outcome: Maybe 7/10Prediction 6: The Chinese economy will lead the global growth engine. Despite its misadventures during the pandemic, China will continue its rise to the top. The Biden administration will take a more accommodative stance towards China. The trade war will subside and the EU will continue to strengthen its relationship with China. Outcome: Mostly wrong. China has continued to do well but it has its problems. 3/10Prediction 7: Technology sovereignty will be a key theme in 2021. Countries across the western world will assert their technology independence. The most common form this will take is in keeping Chinese technology companies out of strategic sectors like telecom and finance infrastructure services. Or you could expect heavy fines for restrictive or anti-competitive practices and heavier hand of regulations on these (big tech) companies.Outcome: Largely right. China itself came down heavily on its tech giants while Lina Khan, the chair of FTC, continued her tirade against Big Tech. 6/10Prediction 8: How to vaccinate India will be a policy question that will keep everyone busy in the first half of 2021. Everything about vaccines – procurement, pricing, storage, administration and safety – will test our policymakers. My guess is we will do quite well in this entire exercise. Outcome: I guess we did better than what we expected at the start of 2021. We are still behind on booster doses and vaccines for kids though. 7/10Prediction 9: It won’t be a great year for reforms. The wrong lessons will be learnt from the protests against farm law reforms. Plus, the usual set of assembly elections and the weak economy post the pandemic will continue to weigh on the government. So good, bold and much-needed reforms across sectors will again go into the backburner. Outcome: Cannot disagree. Barring Air India sale and some boost to manufacturing, not much happened here. The start-up story isn’t really a government story to own. Then there was the farm law repeal. Enough said. 7/10Prediction 10: The BJP election machine will have a mixed year. Barring Assam where it should keep its majority and some gains in West Bengal, it won’t see much success. The campaign and the narrative building leading up to elections in Assam and West Bengal will not be for the faint-hearted. There will be a plethora of fake news, violence and no-holds-barred Muslim bashing. The signs are already there on the news channels. The opposition will remain largely ineffective with some kind of split happening in the Congress during the year. But there will also be the earliest sign of some kind of coming together of regional parties to counter BJP in 2024. This seems inevitable.Outcome: Well, that looks fairly accurate. So 8/10.Overall, not bad but I will try to be more specific about next year’s predictions.Pranay:This is the report card of the five predictions I made at the start of 2021. Prediction 11: Petrol prices in Bangalore will hit ₹100 at least once before the end of 2021.Outcome: Petrol prices were at ₹86.47 in Bengaluru on 1st Jan 2021. The prediction was based on the reasoning that excise duties on petrol and diesel are the superhero of last resort for state and union governments. As public spending rose in the backdrop of the second wave of COVID-19, both union and state governments took the easy route of increasing taxes on petrol and diesel. Petrol prices hit the hundred mark in June and galloped to ₹113 by November. Since then, they have settled to just above ₹100. Of course, there were no nationwide protests over the issue. No electoral results were attributed to this price hike, even though the rising inflation would have hit many people hard. Prediction 12: A maximum of 2 CPSUs will be privatised by the end of 2021.Outcome: The backdrop of this prediction was the buzz surrounding the union government’s grand scheme to sell its stake in over 25 CPSUs. The Ministry of Finance’s reply in the Lok Sabha has the details. And from what I can gather, just two CPSUs have found a buyer this year — Air India and Central Electronics Limited.Prediction 13: GST will continue to have the current five tax slabs.Outcome: My reasoning behind this prediction was that the fiasco on the GST compensation cess has broken the trust between union and state governments, and the latter will not welcome any further changes in the GST regime this year. Prediction 14: The status quo at Ladakh in terms of territorial control will continue.Outcome: Just yesterday, the Indian Air Force Chief had this to say: “the standoff does continue. Disengagement has taken place in certain areas in Eastern Ladakh. But, the complete disengagement has not yet been done I would not like to go into the details, but suffice to say we are deployed, we are prepared to take on any challenge that may face us in that area with the shortest of notice.”Prediction 15: The number of US service personnel in Afghanistan will fall below 2500 by the end of 2021.Outcome: The prediction turned out to be true of course. But little did I expect that the withdrawal would put the Taliban in full control of Afghanistan. Finally, I also had a note related to RSJ’s prediction on US and China. The Biden administration has, indeed, continued key elements of the previous administration’s trade policies on China. In the high tech domain, the restrictions are likely to tighten further.These were my five predictions. In retrospect, it looks like I made some safe (and obvious?) bets. Read, Saw Or HeardWe will close with our top recommendations of books, podcasts, newsletters et al, that we came across in 2021. RSJ: In no particular order, here are mineThis Is How They Tell Me The World Ends: The Cyberweapons Arms Race. A riveting take on global cyber warfare by Nicole Perloth that reads like a thriller. Deservingly won the 2021 Financial Times Business Book of the Year award.The Code Breaker: Jennifer Doudna, Gene Editing, and the Future of the Human Race. Walter Issacson’s book couldn’t have been more timely. The history of gene editing, development of CRISPR and how all of it came together to create vaccines for Covid-19 are all part of this absorbing and informative book. The Light that Failed: A Reckoning. Krastev and Holmes on why liberal democracy faltered in eastern Europe. There are lessons for everyone there. India’s Founding Moment: The Constitution of a Most Surprising Democracy. Madhav Khosla’s wonderful narration of the people, the ideas and the debates that went into the creation of our Constitution. Wanderers, Kings, Merchants: The Story of India through Its Languages by Peggy Mohan. A forensic on Indian languages and what they tell us about our history and the evolution of our culture. Civilisation and reclaiming of it is often thrown about loosely in India these days. Our languages hold the secrets of our civilisation. Understanding them may be a useful precondition to whatever it is we are trying to reclaim. Klara and the Sun by Kazuo Ishiguro. A peek into our future where kids are kept company by artificial friends but love still makes the world go round. The Plot by Jean Hanff Korelitz. A ‘howdunit’ that keeps you engrossed till the end though you figure out the climax two-thirds of the way. Surprising that way.The Reith Lectures: Pranay introduced them to me and I have been hooked since.The Lex Fridman Podcast: The ‘Amit Varma, Sam Harris and Russ Roberts rolled into one’ of science and tech podcasting. Long episodes (many over 5 hours) about deep tech, AI, string theory, ultramarathons, truck driving and whatever else that catches Lex’s fancy.Ideas of India by Shruti Rajagopalan: Great conversations and a much needed platform to hear from young scholars about their work on India. Newsletters: Noahopinion by Noah Smith (original and insightful) and Chartbook by Adam Tooze (the best place to find out about new books and interesting ideas). Also, Strange Loop Canon by Rohit (no idea about his last name) and SneakyArt Post by Nishant Jain - two newsletters from Indians based abroad that I found interesting. Read them.There were other books (esp fiction) and interesting podcast episodes to share but maybe some other time Pranay:Humankind: A Hopeful History challenged my Bayesian priors like no other book this year.The Quillette online magazine usually has pieces that go against the prevailing dominant narratives. Womaning in India newsletter taught me a lot. Anirban Mahapatra’s Gyandemic newsletter is full of TILs on new science findings.Your Undivided Attention Podcast convinced me that our information environment is polluted and we need to take charge of our consumption choices. Take care. Stay safe. See you in 2022. Subscribe at publicpolicy.substack.com

Knowledge humbles. Ignorance boasts. This week we're talking about The Dunning-Kruger Effect. SOURCES: "What's behind the confidence of the incompetent? This suddenly popular psychological phenomenon." (Angela Fritz, The Washington Post, 01/07/2019), [Original 1999 Study]: "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessment." (Justin Kruger and David Dunning, Cornell University, 1999), "The Dunning-Kruger Effect: Why Incompetence Begets Confidence" (Allison He, The New York Times, 05/07/2020), "Chapter five - The Dunning–Kruger Effect: On Being Ignorant of One's Own Ignorance" (Davind Dunning, Science Direct, 2011), "Dunning-Kruger Effect" (Psychology Today). Wikipedia, "The Dunning-Kruger Effect" (Kendra Cherry, Very Well Mind, 08/06/2021. MUSIC: "Upside Down & Inside Out (OKGO), "Heads Up" (Ori Kul). ©2021 Charlie Quirk, Britton Rice.

Confirmation bias is also the most prominent way that we fail to simply follow the evidence. If we perform research and keep an open mind, our task is simple: just follow the arrows where they point. But all too often, we are seduced into following the wrong arrows. These include the cognitive distortions of focusing on “must” and “ should”, black-and-white thinking, the Dunning-Kruger Effect, and labeling. Hear it Here - https://bit.ly/clearthinkingking Show notes and/or episode transcripts are available at https://bit.ly/social-skills-shownotes Patrick King is an internationally bestselling author and social skills coach. emotional and social intelligence. Learn more or get a free mini-book on conversation tactics at https://bit.ly/pkconsulting For narration information visit Russell Newton at https://bit.ly/VoW-home For production information visit Newton Media Group LLC at https://bit.ly/newtonmg #Cornell #DavidDunning #Dunning #DunningKruger #DunningKrugerEffect #JustinKruger #Kruger #FollowTheEvidence #PatrickKing #SocialSkill #RussellNewton #NewtonMG Cornell,David Dunning,Dunning,DunningKruger,DunningKruger Effect,Justin Kruger,Kruger,Follow The Evidence,Patrick King,Social Skill,Russell Newton,NewtonMG

Shiny Object Syndrome is an affliction that causes you to be attracted to “shiny objects.” Shiny objects can be whatever is new and trendy in your field. But oftentimes, the shiny objects are simply new ideas you have – other projects you'd rather be working on. In this form, Shiny Object Syndrome will ruin any chance you have of finishing your current project – unless you do something about it. Two sources of Shiny Object Syndrome How do you overcome Shiny Object Syndrome? What you need to do is simple: Commit to your current project, ignore the new projects, suck it up, and follow-through. The reality isn't so simple. Shiny Object Syndrome causes mental distortions that will have you 100% convinced you're doing the right thing: This old project is a dud. This new project is sure to be a success. To cure Shiny Object Syndrome, we need to know its true sources. That way, we can nip them in the bud, keep Shiny Object Syndrome at bay, and finish projects. There are two main causes of Shiny Object Syndrome: Naïveté of the novel Frustration with the existing We don't know much about the new project, so we view it with rose-colored glasses. We know a little too much about our current project, so it looks terrible in comparison. This creates a “grass is greener” effect. Now how do we get in this position in the first place? 1. Naïveté of the novel As humans, we're naturally attracted to the novel. That's how we've become such an innovative species. We were not satisfied with the old way of doing things – eating our meat raw and sleeping in the elements – so we're curious about our neighbor who's cooking with fire and has built a straw hut. That explains why we're attracted to the “shiny objects” in the first place, but there's more happening in our minds that makes us not only attracted to the shiny object, but that makes us abandon what we have to pursue the unknown. The Dunning-Kruger effect A powerful force that makes us hop from one shiny object to another is the Dunning-Kruger effect. The Dunning-Kruger effect is named after it's originators, psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger, who found that when we know a good deal about a field, we underestimate our knowledge, but when we little about a field, we overestimate our knowledge. The Dunning-Kruger effect is a favorite of internet “gotcha” culture. People love to point out the Dunning-Kruger effect at work in others, but it does a lot of good to recognize it in ourselves. When we get a great idea for a new project in a field we know little about, we often think that project will be easier than it actually will be. It seems like a good idea to drop what we're doing, and move on. 2. Frustration with the existing This naïveté of the novel colludes with frustration with the existing. In fact, it adds fuel to that frustration. If we start a new project, thinking it's going to be easy, we're even more disillusioned when we realize it's actually hard. We've run up against all the challenges we didn't think about. We've seen the hidden complexity in the current project. As former guest, Tynan has pointed out, when we're in the middle of a project, we've experienced all of the downsides, but none of the upsides, such as revenue or respect from our peers. Meanwhile, we know very little about the new project. It seems fun and easy. When we started the current project, we said to ourselves, This will be easy. We've realized it's not so easy, but the Dunning-Kruger effect takes over again. We tell ourselves of the new project, Now THIS will be easy! Just knowing how the naïveté of the novel and frustration with the existing work together to cause Shiny Object Syndrome isn't enough to cure it. When you're in this situation, it seems rational. You can come up with good-sounding reasons why the current project isn't worth the trouble and the new project has a better chance of succeeding. And we won't admit we might be fooling ourselves. Shipping is a skill I have some good news: Your tendency to come up with new ideas is a good thing. Instead of trying to fight it, Shiny Object Syndrome is much easier to manage if you instead accept it. Accept it will tempt you to switch projects, then change the way you approach projects accordingly. Remind yourself that shipping is a skill. The mere act of finishing a project, no matter how small, is a skill you should cultivate. If you've never picked up a golf club, you would know better than to expect to play like Tiger Woods your first time out. So if you've never finished a project, why would you think you could take on a giant one the first time around? When I started on my own, I had almost zero shipping skills. I had piles of unfinished projects, and nothing to show for them. Fortunately one day, as I contemplated a giant shiny object I was about to take on, I realized I didn't have what it took to make my vision a reality. I had had enough of my Shiny Object Syndrome, and was ready to put it to an end. So, I treated even the smallest things as practice in the skill of shipping. I looked up a recipe online, and planned my trip to the grocery store to get the ingredients. It sounds simple, but can you believe I had to go back several times? I planned parties and dates and trips. I treated everything as an opportunity to have a vision, plan how to execute that vision, and ship the project. The Fortress Fallacy In The Heart to Start, I introduced The Fortress Fallacy. We tend to have big visions, but those visions outpace our skills. We dream of building a fortress, when we haven't built a cottage, much less a lean-to. This isn't about “breaking your project down” into parts. This is about doing small projects that build skills you can later use in a larger project. Breaking your project down doesn't build the skill of shipping. Doing small projects does. Make predictions A source of fuel for our frustration with the existing is our lack of foresight. We fall for the planning fallacy. The planning fallacy is why the Sydney Opera House took ten extra years and fifteen times the budget – you can see the same in countless construction projects. It's why the Greeks thought the Trojan War would take four weeks, when it ended up taking ten years – you can see the same in countless military campaigns. It's demoralizing to expect something to work out one way, and have it end up another. One way to fix that would be to have things work out the way we expect – but that's not going to happen. The world is too complex and unpredictable. The solution is to make predictions. How do you predict the unpredictable? You don't, really. But there's a lot of wiggle room between This will definitely happen, and This will definitely not happen. In episode 245, I introduced the Avocado Challenge. Before you open an avocado, are you 100% sure it's going to be perfectly ripe? No. In the Avocado Challenge, you make percentage-confidence predictions, such as “I'm 60% confident this avocado is ripe.” You then rate those predictions based upon the outcome. As you start projects, make predictions. Accept that you're never 100% sure about anything, so make percentage-confidence predictions. For example, “I am 70% confident I will set up my blog and publish my first post by next Sunday.” After Sunday comes, review your prediction. You can even use a handy free service called Prediction Book to keep track. This does a couple things. One: It holds you accountable. We tend to approach all projects as if we're sure we're going to finish them – and that just ain't so. Two: It keeps you from beating yourself up. You can't be certain about the future, but when we don't finish projects, we feel bad about it. If we feel bad, we learn to associate working on projects with feeling bad. So we'll start fewer projects. As Roam Research founder Conor White-Sullivan said, "I can not speak highly enough for the practice of starting things before you know you're going to finish them." Don't fight shiny object syndrome, work with it In conclusion, the way to cure Shiny Object Syndrome isn't so much to cure it – it's to accept that you're going to have new ideas, and you're going to fail to finish some projects. I Sign up for Love Mondays and see for yourself! There you have it. This system really helps me save creative energy, so that I'm using it to think of good ideas, instead of trying to fumble around with all the things I want to put in my newsletter. Obviously, all this could be automated even further. I'm actually surprised I haven't seen an email marketing platform that already has Airtable-like database elements for managing all the tidbits one shares in their newsletter. Maybe something for someone to build. If you want to see all this in action, be sure to sign up for Love Mondays. My readers really love them, I consistently get replies saying how much each week's idea has shifted someone's perspective. Thank you for having me on your podcasts! Thank you for having me on your podcast! Thank you to Dolores at Attitudeable for having me on the show. As always, you can find all podcast interviews of me at kadavy.net/interviews. About Your Host, David Kadavy David Kadavy is author of Mind Management, Not Time Management, The Heart to Start and Design for Hackers. Through the Love Your Work podcast, his Love Mondays newsletter, and self-publishing coaching David helps you make it as a creative. Follow David on: Twitter Instagram Facebook YouTube Subscribe to Love Your Work Apple Podcasts Overcast Spotify Stitcher YouTube RSS Email Support the show on Patreon Put your money where your mind is. Patreon lets you support independent creators like me. Support now on Patreon »     Show notes: http://kadavy.net/blog/posts/shiny-object-syndrome/

Episode Notes   Opening and Biosketch 0:00:00   Warning, discretion advised 0:02:00   Airway, Breathing, Circulation 0:46:40   Calling 911 and being on hold 1:07:40   Justin Kruger and David Dunning 1:42:40    Factual Summary 2:02:00   Final thoughts 2:05:00 

Confidence comes from a combination of sufficient knowledge and practice over time. In the https://alpacatribe.com/podcast131/ (last episode), I asserted that gaining more confidence with caring for your alpacas was possible, not just in principle but specifically for you. David Dunning and Justin Kruger of the https://www.ted.com/talks/david_dunning_why_incompetent_people_think_they_re_amazing (Dunning-Kruger effect) fame, suggest we can delude ourselves about how good we are. Their work starting back in 1999 suggests with a little bit of knowledge we can overestimate our capabilities, with a lot of knowledge underestimate it. And in the middle, we can know we don't know as much as we thought, risking a conclusion that we are useless and know nothing - in fact, we have just reached the point of knowing we have more to learn, which is a place of possibility. This dip in confidence we can feel as alpaca owners is normal and should be seen as part of the journey to becoming better at caring for our alpacas. I hope this gives you hope that: It is possible for you. Practice over time will produce progress (it is not instant). Summer continues to develop here in the UK. Watch out for flies, water levels and weeds you need to remove at this time. My pregnant girls are getting a bit more grumpy and starting that last phase of pregnancy. Watch for developing signs and continue to give your alpacas confidence that you are safe to be around. The cria will be along soon - probably! If you get the chance, go spend some time with an alpaca and smile. (but protect yourself from too much sun and biting flies!) One thing that gave me a lot of confidence was training with https://www.camelidynamics.com/ (Marty McGee Bennet of CamelidDynamics). See the episodes below, where we talked about what CaelidDynamics is all about and what she has learned over many years. Online courses and information available at her website plus she has started travelling again - meanwhile, here in the UK, Victoria Barrett of Simply Alpacas is a Senior CamelidDynamics Consultant - see more details on thehttps://www.simplyalpaca.co.uk/training/ ( Simply Alpaca website). Past episodes to check outhttps://alpacatribe.com/podcast89/ (Episode 89) CameliDynamics with Marty McGee Bennett https://alpacatribe.com/podcast89/

You are way more intelligent than you realize! Here's a list of signs that actually indicate a super bright mind. They are all scientifically proved, so if you feel like a few of them are true for you, you have every reason to call yourself a genius! - Justin Kruger and David Dunning worked with a group of Cornell University undergrads and published the results of their research in the Journal of Personality and Social Psychology in 1999. They asked students to predict their scores after being tested in Humor, Logical reasoning, and English Grammar. Those who were 100% sure they did outstandingly well ended up with worse results than those who were more critical of themselves. - Psychologist Oliver Burkeman has done some serious research on the lifestyle of the brightest minds in the world. He concluded that smart people tend to save up their mental abilities for more important things. Unless those smart people are fashion designers or Lady Gaga, of course. - Empathy is a sign of exceptional mental intelligence. If you are emotionally intelligent, you love meeting new people and learning new things. According to psychologist and author of Focus: The Hidden Drivers of Excellence Daniel Goleman, people who care a lot about others and can feel them well, generally, succeed in life. - The ability to control instincts is what we know distinguishes humans from animals. Genius people went even further: they manage to overcome and control any impulses they have. If you can plan and achieve goals without being distracted by emotions you are more intelligent than you might imagine. - Professor emeritus of the University of Louisville Joanne Rowe has concluded light-eyed humans, and even animals are way better at activities requiring self-pacing than the dark-eyed creatures. The fact that you are better at self-paced activities means that you like paying attention to every detail. - M.D. Franz H. Messerli, who is most likely a chocolate lover himself, published the results of his study in The New England Journal of Medicine. He tried to link genius (Noble prize winner kind of genius) per ten million people with the amount of chocolate consumed in certain countries. And he found it. - Genius people don't stick to the past. And, they don't blame everyone and everything around for their sadness. Psychologist Daniel Goleman explains a real genius does not only address problems but also recognizes emotions when he feels them, and not ignores them. - Psychologists Daniel Swigley and Gary Lupyan conducted a whole study on it. Good self-talk, according to them, helps us sort the important thoughts from useless stuff going through our minds. - A study conducted at the Northwestern University has stated that a genius hates any kind of background noise because it prevents him from concentrating on important issues. - Next time someone criticizes your handwriting, simply nod, say “I am sorry you don't get it” and triumph on the inside. Messy writing is one of the signs of a genius! Did you recognize any of these signs in yourself, or maybe you are now positive your best friend is a genius? Feel free to share it in the comments section. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

முட்டாள்கள் அவர்களை புத்திசாலி என நினைத்து கொள்வது என்? Yeppudi - Tamil - Roy Naveen - Motivational - Kutty Concept Dunning-Kruger effect, in psychology, a cognitive bias whereby people with limited knowledge or competence in a given intellectual or social domain greatly overestimate their own knowledge or competence in that domain relative to objective criteria or to the performance of their peers or of people in general. According to the researchers for whom it is named, psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger, the effect is explained by the fact that the metacognitive ability to recognize deficiencies in one's own knowledge or competence requires that one possess at least a minimum level of the same kind of knowledge or competence, which those who exhibit the effect have not attained. Because they are unaware of their deficiencies, such people generally assume that they are not deficient, in keeping with the tendency of most people to “choose what they think is the most reasonable and optimal option.” Although not scientifically explored until the late 20th century, the phenomenon is familiar from ordinary life, and it has long been attested in common sayings—e.g., “A little knowledge is a dangerous thing”—and in observations by writers and wits through the ages—e.g., “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge” (Charles Darwin).

"Incompétent et pas conscient de l'être", c'est le titre de la publication parue en 1999 et écrite par Justin Kruger et David Dunning. Dans ce podcast on revient sur les études qui ont amené ces deux psychologues à quatre résultantes majeures et qui plus que jamais font écho dans notre monde complexe. Bonne écoute !

In the premiere episode, April begins by NOT talking about critical thinking at all! Instead, she discusses some of the reasons why clear thinking is so difficult. Topics include:Feelings as a prelude to thoughtsHow our brains utilize heuristics, and how they sometimes don't work in our favorCognitive biases that lead us to incorrect conclusions about the worldUsing deliberative thinking to monitor our heuristics and biasesApril's Show Notes for Episode 1Here are the links to articles, websites, and other resources listed in the order in which they are referred to in the episode. Whenever possible I try to find good, solid information from credible sources that can be easily accessed by the public.In this blog post by Dr. Mark Solmes, he explains the difference between thinking and feeling: https://www.futurelearn.com/info/blog/thinking-and-feeling-whats-the-differenceThis article from the psychology website verywellmind.com explains the link between heuristics and cognitive biases: https://www.verywellmind.com/what-is-a-heuristic-2795235Intellligent Speculation is a website devoted to teaching about critical thinking. One article discusses “motivated reasoning” and how it is related to confirmation bias; the other is a look at some common cognitive biases: https://www.intelligentspeculation.com/blog/confirmation-bias-amp-motivated-reasoninghttps://www.intelligentspeculation.com/blog/top-10-cognitive-biases-to-look-out-for?utm_source=Intelligent+Speculation&utm_campaign=5d85990ec1-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2020_07_29_04_40&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_c6ebd538ff-5d85990ec1-403863798This YouTube video is a Ted Talk by Hans and Ola Rosling, “How Not to be Ignorant About the World,” that lets us know how little we actually know about the world, and how intuition and the negativity bias often works against us. It also gives us some hope for the future, as well as some tips about how to be “smarter than chimps.” https://youtu.be/Sm5xF-UYgdgI don’t have a link to the paper by Dunning and Kruger, but here’s the citation: @article{Kruger1999UnskilledAU, title={Unskilled and unaware of it: how difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments.},author={Justin Kruger and David Dunning}, journal={Journal of personality and social psychology},year={1999}, volume={77 6}, pages={1121-34}}Here's the You Are Not So Smart website. David McRaney also wrote a book and hosts a podcast with the same name. I highly recommend those as well: https://youarenotsosmart.com/Here are the two Forbes articles about reducing cognitive bias: https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbescoachescouncil/2019/04/17/cognitive-bias-human-brains-are-only-human/#23a21d0777behttps://www.forbes.com/sites/hecparis/2019/10/08/new-evidence-reveals-training-can-reduce-cognitive-bias--and-improve-decision-making/#5609366f177e

Richard and Eric essentially live out the Dunning-Kruger effect by talking about the Dunning-Kruger effect.  They introduce the concept and land on an important question: To what degree do we recognize incompetence — not just in others, but in ourselves?  Does it matter?  This troubling phenomenon is seemingly (and unfortunately) a ubiquitous feature of the human psyche.Kruger, J., & Dunning, D. (1999). Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 77(6), 1121–1134. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.77.6.1121Dunning, D., Johnson, K., Ehrlinger, J., & Kruger, J. (2003). Why People Fail to Recognize Their Own Incompetence. Current Directions in Psychological Science, 12(3), 83–87. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8721.01235https://www.verywellmind.com/an-overview-of-the-dunning-kruger-effect-4160740

Probablemente ya os habréis dado cuenta: las personas que son menos competentes o hábiles en una determinada área de conocimiento suelen estimar (y mucho) a la alza sus capacidades, hasta el punto que creen saber más que auténticos expertos en la materia. Fue Bertrand Russell quien decía que “el problema de la humanidad es que los estúpidos están seguros de todo y los inteligentes están llenos de dudas”. ¡Y tanto! Dos psicólogos, Justin Kruger y David Dunning, estudiaron científicamente este fenóneno y mostraron lo que desde entonces se conoce como el efecto Dunning Kruger.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5dj5xUcKmxo

In the field of psychology, the Dunning–Kruger Effect is a cognitive bias in which people with low ability at a task overestimate their ability. It is related to the cognitive bias of illusory superiority and comes from the inability of people to recognize their lack of ability. Without the self-awareness of metacognition, people cannot objectively evaluate their competence or incompetence. FACE VALIDITY CHECK IN. Doc shared that the local authorities are monitoring social distancing on city basketball courts; the small engines place has opened up for pick up / delivery; even more facing at WalMart due to thinning supply in paint and hardware aisles; more traffic; fewer OBO posts to Craigslist and rebound in the pricing of the area's firewood market; and local hospitals re-starting elective surgeries on Monday. BADGER BOUNCE BACK - RED FLAG OF MANUFACTURED SLOGANS. Doc notes how state governments are becoming creative, and weird, with new terms and slogans specific to the pandemic response and easing restrictions. For Wisconsinites to gather in groups of 10 or more again, there must be two consecutive weeks of declines in all flu-like illnesses.  Influenza, a head cold, the sniffles; it doesn't matter. But, how does this work across 72 counties? What about Wisconsin's wicked allergy season. Doc car is already dusted with pollen. Scrutiny of  these “phases” plans reveals them to be highly subjective, vague and really not much of a plan at all. SEVEN NEW TERMS IN THE PAST 45 DAYS. From the chat, Bacon Maldito brought awareness to new terms that have been infused into American's vocabulary over the past month and half. (1) Social distancing; (2) Shelter in Place; (3) Six feet apart; (4) Essential travel only; (5) N95 mask; (6) Flatten the curve; and (7) Self-quarantine. A problem with such new terms is a lack of inter-rater reliability, for example, what is “Essential” relative to travel, work or recreation? DUNNING-KRUGER EFFECT. The concept is based on a 1999 paper by Cornell University psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger who caution that incompetent people tend to do three things: (1) Overestimate their own skill levels; (2) fail to recognize the genuine skill and expertise of other people; and (3) fail to recognize their own mistakes and lack of skill. Doc shares his experience with attempting to re-wire his house. PREVENTING DUNNING-KRUGER EFFECT. Practice the ability to step back and look at your own behavior and abilities from outside of oneself. This is known as having a high level of metacognition. The second way to fight the DKE is to have a network of member checks, or people who will be honest with you and tell you what you need to hear and not what you want to hear. ULTRACREPIDARIANISM. This is giving opinions on topics poorly understood. The pandemic is churning out instant experts and when these folks are in government or positions of authority, they rush things into practice without considering the consequences - such as a municipality creating a website for citizens to report social distancing violators. OVERTON WINDOW - IT JUST CHANGED & HERE'S WHAT THAT MEANS. The Overton window is the range of ideas the public is willing to consider and accept — ideas a politician could successfully campaign on. This window shifts over time, as it's subject to the trends of social thought and norms. All social reform movements have to shift the Overton window to make progress. The concept of women voting or animals having rights - are examples of how Overton window has moved over time. The Overton Window has drastically shifted in 2020! A year ago, campaigning on gun violence and student safety would have been strong areas in which many Americans held firm opinions about. This fall, the campaign's themes will be about: overhauling our hospitals; human tracing for personal safety - technology; mandatory vaccines; funding for unemployment / business shutdowns; building things in America; and Universal Basic Income. FOLLOW DR. PERRODIN: Twitter @SafetyPhD and subscribe to The Safety Doc YouTube channel & Apple Podcasts. SAFETY DOC WEBSITE & BLOG: www.safetyphd.com. The Safety Doc Podcast is hosted & produced by David Perrodin, PhD. ENDORSEMENTS. Opinions are those of the host & guests. The show adheres to nondiscrimination principles while seeking to bring forward productive discourse & debate on topics relevant to personal or institutional safety. This is episode 131 of The Safety Doc Podcast published on 4-25-2020. Purchase Dr. Perrodin's Book: School of Errors – Rethinking School Safety in America. www.schooloferrors.com

Welcome to The REAL episode 63 of The Modern Moron.   Only a Moron would screw up a simple numerical sequence… But I did and as if ANYONE cares what number episode this is.  Seriously.   My guest is my OP my old radio partner and I go back a few weeks for this interview as a lot of stuff has happened lately in case you haven't noticed. We take a break from the Corona virus and discuss a show on, surprise, Netflix.  It’s a documentary series that really isn’t presented as a traditional documentary but as more of a reality show as my partner points out.  The show is called “100 Humans”. From sexual psyches to bathroom habits, including which way the toilet paper hangs, to pain vs. pleasure this show looks at modern day human behavior as we interact… Or rather how we used to interact BP… before the pandemic. This brings up a fascinating psychological concept known as the Dunning-Kruger Effect which I had never heard of.  We almost sound intelligent in this episode, thanks to my guest. The Dunning-Kruger Effect is a cognitive bias in which people with low ability at a task overestimate their own ability. It is related to the cognitive bias of illusory superiority and comes from the inability of people to recognize their lack of ability. Without the self-awareness of metacognition, people cannot objectively evaluate their competence or incompetence.[1] Hmm… can you think of anyone… who might be victim… of the Dunning-Kruger Effect. I can’t think of anyone.   CLOSE Who in the world would run for any public office who didn’t suffer from from the Dunning-Kruger Effect.  It really flies in the face of any sense of humility doesn’t it?   The definition I gave at the open was from Wikipedia and this is from Psychology Today: The concept is based on a 1999 paper by Cornell University psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger. The pair tested participants on their logic, grammar, and sense of humor, and found that those who performed in the bottom quartile rated their skills far above average. For example, those in the 12th percentile self-rated their expertise to be, on average, in the 62nd percentile. The researchers attributed the trend to a problem of metacognition—the ability to analyze one’s own thoughts or performance. “Those with limited knowledge in a domain suffer a dual burden: Not only do they reach mistaken conclusions and make regrettable errors, but their incompetence robs them of the ability to realize it,” they wrote. Seriously, aside from our president we may need to rename this podcast the Dunning Kruger Hour.  “Condemnation Without Investigation”, justified anger, Self Righteous Indignation, Criticize things you don't’ know about… that’s what this program is all about! Wherever you are I hope you’re staying safe and at a safe distance, you’re keeping  your spirits up and crafting your own fun and expressive face masks. And… we’ll see you next time on the modern moron. Dunning–Kruger effect - Wikipedia Dunning-Kruger Effect - Psychology Today

Johnny sits down with Justin Kruger (founder of Project Helping) in Denver, CO to explore some of the pressures that come along with finding a genuine sense of purpose, learning to be a member of a community, and investing in ourselves by spending time with other people. To learn more about Cope Notes and try it out for yourself, text COPE to 33222 or visit copenotes.com

“Gratitude unlocks the fullness of life. It turns what we have into enough, and more. It turns denial into acceptance, chaos into order, confusion into clarity. It turns problems into gifts, failures into success, the unexpected into perfect timing, and mistakes into important events. Gratitude makes sense of our past, brings peace for today, and creates a vision for tomorrow.” ~Melodie Beattie Overview Gratitude is the foundation of happiness. Practicing gratitude is like “going to the gym” for your emotional resilience. Lifting weights, yoga and jogging help keep up our strength, flexibility and endurance. Daily practices of gratitude and kindness build our mental fitness. In this podcast I speak with the Founder and CEO of Project Helping, Justin Kruger. We discuss how “gratitude in action” helps individuals and communities. Some daily practices we explore are: 1) Building a gratitude inventory through daily reflections or a Hope Kit. 2) Learning to give thanks freely, especially to those whose good work often goes unnoticed. 3) Giving yourself some grace and self-gratitude 4) Finding joy in intentional acts of kindness Justin Kruger About Justin Kruger Justin Kruger started a social enterprise — Project Helping in 2014 after years of regularly volunteering himself in the community. Justin realized the power that volunteering had in helping him to overcome depression and suicidal thoughts and wanted to share that experience with others. The non-profit improves emotional wellbeing and authentic community connection through what Justin has calls kyndfulness, or a daily practice of volunteering, intentional acts of kindness, and gratitude. Justin also founded Kyndhub, an online community that similarly encourages people to do kind things for one another, and Kyndkit, a service that delivers volunteer experiences to communities and businesses — making it simple and fun to be kind. Justin also serves on the Marketing Committee of the Colorado Mental Wellness Network and volunteers at Urban Peak, a nonprofit working to help youth exit homelessness and create self-determined, fulfilled lives. For more information go to https://www.sallyspencerthomas.com/hope-illuminated-podcast/53 Music provided by https://www.royaltyfree-music.com

“Gratitude unlocks the fullness of life. It turns what we have into enough, and more. It turns denial into acceptance, chaos into order, confusion into clarity. It turns problems into gifts, failures into success, the unexpected into perfect timing, and mistakes into important events. Gratitude makes sense of our past, brings peace for today, and creates a vision for tomorrow.” ~Melodie BeattieOverviewGratitude is the foundation of happiness. Practicing gratitude is like “going to the gym” for your emotional resilience. Lifting weights, yoga and jogging help keep up our strength, flexibility and endurance. Daily practices of gratitude and kindness build our mental fitness. In this podcast I speak with the Founder and CEO of Project Helping, Justin Kruger. We discuss how “gratitude in action” helps individuals and communities. Some daily practices we explore are:1) Building a gratitude inventory through daily reflections or a Hope Kit.2) Learning to give thanks freely, especially to those whose good work often goes unnoticed.3) Giving yourself some grace and self-gratitude4) Finding joy in intentional acts of kindness Justin KrugerAbout Justin KrugerJustin Kruger started a social enterprise — Project Helping in 2014 after years of regularly volunteering himself in the community. Justin realized the power that volunteering had in helping him to overcome depression and suicidal thoughts and wanted to share that experience with others. The non-profit improves emotional wellbeing and authentic community connection through what Justin has calls kyndfulness, or a daily practice of volunteering, intentional acts of kindness, and gratitude. Justin also founded Kyndhub, an online community that similarly encourages people to do kind things for one another, and Kyndkit, a service that delivers volunteer experiences to communities and businesses — making it simple and fun to be kind. Justin also serves on the Marketing Committee of the Colorado Mental Wellness Network and volunteers at Urban Peak, a nonprofit working to help youth exit homelessness and create self-determined, fulfilled lives. For more information go to https://www.sallyspencerthomas.com/hope-illuminated-podcast/53 Music provided by https://www.royaltyfree-music.com

In this special episode, I talk with Justin Kruger, Founder and CEO of Project Helping, a Denver-based mental wellness organization. We were asked to speak at The Blender, where businesses and nonprofits meet, hosted by Julianna Nelson, owner of Phillinova.  Justin shares his journey from growing up in a small town with a passion for golf to landing his “dream job” at a high-profile golf company where he was making great money and being “successful” until he began having panic attacks until he went on a date with a woman (now his wife) that would change his life forever — a date where he would learn the power of giving back by volunteering.Support the show (https://theartful.co/donate)

Die Psychologen David Dunning und Justin Kruger haben in ihrer Studien herausgefunden, dass inkompetente Menschen die ihr eigenes Wissen überschätzen, aufgrund ihrer Inkompetenz überhaupt nicht das Ausmaß ihrer Inkompetenz erkennen könne und daher auch nichts dagegen tun, also auf dem Stand ihrer Inkompetenz bleiben und die Fähigkeiten anderer dadurch unterschätzen. Dies bezeichnet man als den Dunning-Kruger-Effekt und dieser Folge erkläre ich wie es dazu kam und welche Auswirkungen das hat. ___________________________________________________ **Lust auf ein wenig Entspannung?** **[Dann sichere dir meine Hypnose „Hypnoenergie“ mit Klick hier!]( https://www.alexander-schelle.de/hypnose-sichern/)** ___________________________________________________ **Selbsthypnose?** **[Wenn du Interesse an meinem online Kurs hast, erfährst du mit Klick hier alles weitere]( https://www.change-your-mind.academy/kurse/selbsthypnose/)** ___________________________________________________ **[Alle Folgen des kostenlosen Podcasts findest du mit Klick hier!](https://www.alexander-schelle.de/podcast-dialoge-mit-dem-unterbewusstsein/)** ___________________________________________________ Mein Name ist Alexander Schelle und ich bin ausgebildeter Hypnotiseur und NLP-Coach und biete neben meinen Shows auch Seminare zur Hypnose und Selbsthypnose. Der Podcast ‘Dialoge mit dem Unterbewusstsein’ soll auf unterhaltsame Weise einen Einblick in die Welt des Unterbewusstseins geben – in die Welt der Psychologie und der Hypnose. In den psychologischen Folgen werde ich einen Blick auf ansonsten weitgehend verborgene Seiten unserer Persönlichkeit werfen – auf unbewusste Muster in unserer Kommunikation und Motivation, aber auch unserem Wahrnehmen, Fühlen, Denken, Entscheiden und Handeln, der Selbstverwirklichung. Ich werde beleuchten, wie wir Menschen ticken, wie es mit unserer Menschenkenntnis aussieht und auch Schlussfolgerungen für den konkreten Alltag oder ein Coaching daraus ziehen. Jene Folgen, die sich der Hypnose oder der Meditation widmen, bietet dir einen Einblick in die faszinierende Welt, die sich öffnet, wenn wir einen gezielten Blick hinter die Kulissen unserer bewussten Entscheidungen werfen. Was du schon immer über Hypnose oder Selbsthypnose, beispielsweise zur Gewichtsreduzierung, Nichtraucher werden, Ängste besiegen oder der Burnout Prävention, wissen wolltest – hier erhältst du in kurzen Podcast Folgen einen Überblick. Firmen können mich auch für Vorträge oder Veranstaltungen zu den Themen Bewusstsein, Unterbewusstsein, Persönlichkeitsentwicklung, Motivation, Kommunikation, NLP, Hypnose, Meditation, Selbsthypnose, Empathie, Stressabbau und Burnout Prävention buchen. In individuelles Coaching helfe ich Menschen, ihre work-life-balance zu finden. Wenn du mehr über die Angebote von mir erfahren möchtest, findest du unter **[www.alexander-schelle.de](http://www.alexander-schelle.de)** weitere Informationen. Selbstverständlich bin ich auch auf Facebook und auf Instagram für dich zu erreichen.

Beth tells Adam about a discovery David Dunning, a Cornell professor, and his colleague, Justin Kruger, made when they decided to investigate people's lack of ability in correlation to an abundance of confidence. It’s all fun and games until you realize that the Dunning-Kruger Effect happens to you too. Tune in to learn just how puzzling this theory is and how it plays out in our everyday relationships.This week's wine was a Z Alexander Blend, UNCAGED from 2017. We give it two thumbs up. You can learn more about it here. Love Happily Opinionated? Follow us on Spotify and share us with a friend. The best way for us to keep doing what we do is if more people can find us and we need your help. We will be on iTunes in the next week as well. Thank you, friends.Follow Us and React:InstagramTwitterFacebookWhat's your opinion on The Dunning-Kruger Effect? We'd love to hear your thoughts - some we may even read during our next show. Drop us a note at hottake@happilyopinionated.com.You can also email us directly at:adam@happilyopinionated.combeth@happilyopinionated.com--- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/HappyOpinions/message

It’s no doubt that mental health is finally getting some of the attention it deserves. But many  employers and wellness pros are at a loss for how to address mental health in the workplace. Although it’s important to destigmatize mental health, for those who are suffering, talking about it is the most terrifying thing they can think of. Today’s guest, Justin Kruger, feels that if organizations solely try to identify mental health struggles first, they’ll fail. Justin is the Founder and CEO of Project Helping, a Denver-based mental wellness organization. He played golf professionally before starting a career in the golf industry. His personal struggle with mental wellness led him to leave the golf business behind to start Project Helping and providing purpose, connection, and mental wellness through kyndfulness. In this interview, Justin tells us about his story of his own challenges with mental health and when he discovered how helping others helped him dramatically (he calls it his therapy). He explains why if organizations identify mental health first, they’ll fail and what we need to do differently. Justin then explains KyndHub, an online community for sharing kindness.  Want more? Do you want a short summary of each week’s podcast? Each week, I send out an email that goes one step further than the interview. It’s my reflection of what I pulled out of the interview and at least one tip (and usually more) about how you can apply all the goodness to your work and life. If that sounds good, you can sign up HERE. For links mentioned in today's episode visit: http://bit.ly/Redesignpod To join the Redesigning Wellness Community visit:https://www.facebook.com/groups/rdwellnesscommunity/

In this episode, Matt sits down (again) with Justin Kruger, the founder of Project Helping, a volunteer network founded not only with the intention of bettering communities, but benefiting the mental wellness of it’s volunteers.

En este sexto episodio visitamos al oráculo de Delfos y le consultamos por la sabiduría: ¿solo sé que no sé nada? Peripatéticas es una coproducción de Furor Podcast, Danila Suárez Tomé y Natalí Incaminato. Cuenta el sponsoreo de Tomás Balmaceda y Sergio Kauffman Está auspiciado por Penguin Random House audiolibros (https://www.megustaleer.com/audiolibros/) . ¡Ingresá en leer.com.ar/peripateticas y elegí tu próximo audiolibro! Referencias bibliográficas: "Unskilled and unaware of it: How difficulties in recognizing one's own incompetence lead to inflated self-assessments" (1999), Justin Kruger y David Dunning & Apología de Sócrates (389 a C.), Platón, Créditos: Narración: Danila Suárez Tomé y Natalí Incaminato. Interpretación: Mariel Giménez y María Velo. Locución: Miranda Carrete y Florencia Flores Iborra. Guion: Danila Suárez Tomé, Natalí Incaminato y Mariel Giménez. Edición: Florencia Flores Iborra. Producción: Josefina Avale y Vanina Pikholc. Música: Podcast con ladrido por Juan Manuel Ontivero. Ilustración: Viviana Maidanik. Agradecimientos: María Velo. Peripatéticas es el primer podcast argentino financiado colectivamente.

Justin Kruger founder of Project Helping and KYND KITS talks about how his struggle with mental illness helped him be passionate about serving. Justin hospitalized himself twice without a soul knowing. He even won the sales rep of the year at his former business the same year he went into the hospital and no one knew. We talk about the stigmas of mental illness, why it is so hard to talk about it, and how some silently struggle for years. After years of struggling silently Justin went on a service opportunity with his then new girlfriend, only because he didn’t want to look like a jerk for not going. After he experienced serving others - his whole world changed. It led him to lead a life of service and use that passion to help heal others with the same struggles he had. This is a beautiful story of the silent struggles many of us face and how one man came through the other side and is helping others along the way.

Bu hafta David Dunning'in "Why Ignorance Fails to Recognize Itself" konuşmasını merkeze alarak Cornell Üniversitesi'nin iki psikoloğu Justin Kruger ve David Dunning’in tanımladığı "algılamada yanlılık eğilimi" Dunning-Kruger etkisi üzerine konuşuyoruz.Mücadele'ye hoş geldiniz.Bölümde konuştuğumuz kaynaklar:-Konuşma, David Dunning - Why Ignorance Fails to Recognize Itself"https://youtu.be/ErkhYq13VVEhttps://tr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning-Kruger_etkisihttps://eksisozluk.com/dunning-kruger-etkisi--2166972?a=niceTwitter'dan Mücadele'yi takip etmeyi unutmayın: twitter.com/mucadelepodcastBizi dinleyebileceğiniz tüm platformlar: Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3wZOwKwgFBsGmfG4ucjdd1?si=4upwBHInTDy8zENyeu1D9giTunes: https://itunes.apple.com/tr/podcast/m%C3%BCcadele-01/id1360454797?i=1000406560515&l=tr&mt=2Spreaker: https://www.spreaker.com/show/3093942YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC2H3qK0nwR5iPGs8bNu79HAHer türlü geri bildiriminiz için;mucadelepodcast@gmail.comtwitter.com/mucadelepodcastadreslerinden bize ulaşabilirsiniz.Keyifli dinlemeler!

La ignorancia es temeraria. Esta es una de las frases que decimos y no nos preguntamos de dónde viene y si acaso es cierto. Y si, es cierto y lo comprobaron David Dunning y Justin Kruger de la Universidad de Cornell con una serie de experimentos con alumnos de la misma universidad. Pero es bastante claro que si lo sacamos a otros ambientes vamos a conseguir resultados similares. Y tenían 4 hipótesis para los experimentos: Los individuos incompetentes tienden a sobrestimar su propia habilidad. Los individuos incompetentes son incapaces de reconocer la habilidad de otros. Los individuos incompetentes son incapaces de reconocer su extrema insuficiencia. Si pueden ser entrenados para mejorar sustancialmente su propio nivel de habilidad, estos individuos pueden reconocer y aceptar su falta de habilidades previa. Y las pruebas arrojaron que los más incompetentes (los del 12% de hasta abajo) creían que estaban en los primeros lugares. Bendita ignorancia. Y la otra cara de la moneda es que los más competentes tienden a subestimar sus competencias. En el próximo episodio hablaremos de qué es marketing digital. Bueno ventajoso esto es todo por hoy. Recuerda dejar tu comentario en tu plataforma favorita. Y recuerda: ¡Rífate como los grandes!" --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/ventaja/message

Dunning-Kruger etkisi ya da Dunning-Kruger sendromu, Cornell Üniversitesi'nin iki psikoloğu Justin Kruger ve David Dunning’in tanımladığı bir algılamada yanlılık eğilimidir. --- Send in a voice message: https://anchor.fm/verisess/message

Justin Kruger is the founder of Project Helping, a non-profit based out of Denver, Colorado that improves mental wellness through what he has dubbed kyndfulness, or a daily practice of volunteering, intentional acts of kindness, and gratitude. Practicing kyndfulness brings awareness to the impact that serving your community can have on others and on your own mental state. Justin has gone on to found Kyndhub, an online community that similarly encourages people to do kind things for one another, and Kyndkit, a service that delivers volunteer experiences right to your door. Through Project Helping and Kyndhub, Justin has done a great deal to give back to the community of Denver, with over 1,000 volunteer events in the past 5 years, and both companies help foster volunteerism worldwide. In this episode, you’ll learn how a third date led Justin to his very first volunteer experience, how his path took him from professional golf to a corporate career to founding a nonprofit. Justin talks about how he uses volunteering as therapy and his treatment for anxiety and depression and explains why he thinks volunteering truly saved his life. If you’re already asking yourself, “How can I give back?”, “Where can I help?” and “When can I start contributing?” you’ll find out how to use Justin’s platforms to find volunteering experiences in your area that are easy to jump right into. Amy and Justin will even give some advice to their younger selves, so stay 'til the end. Hopefully, this episode will remind you of the importance and benefits of giving back to others and inspire you to give back to our community and in doing so, contribute to society right away. Please note that the volunteer experiences that Amy mentions in the episode have passed since interviewed Justin Kruger. To look for more upcoming volunteer events near you, visit ProjectHelping.org or join Kyndhub today. You can also get your Kyndkit in the mail, and reach out to Justin and his team at ProjectHelping.org to bring volunteering events to your community!

A un par de días de la WordCamp Bilbao 2019, os dejamos este episodio para ir calentando. Hablaremos de cosas variadas, pero como siempre, relacionadas con Negocios y WordPress. Curiosos experimentos los que llevaron a cabo el señor Justin Kruger y David Dunning para demostrar la relación que existe entre la incompetencia y el hecho de sobrevalorar a otras personas. Os dejamos este gráfico y un...Origen

On this week's episode, Dom interviews Justin Kruger, founder and CEO of Project Helping. The mission of Project Helping is improving mental wellness through kyndfulness. Kyndfulness includes volunteering, and intentional acts of kindness and gratitude. Their vision is for everyone to have an opportunity to improve their mental wellness every day. Project Helping organizes volunteer events specifically designed to make an impact both on people and on their community. Through volunteering, participants actively invest in their communities while also reaping the benefits of increased mental wellness. Project Helping was founded in Denver, Colorado in 2014. The organization has since expanded to Tampa, Florida and also hosts monthly volunteer experiences in San Diego, California.

So what is the Dunning-Kruger Effect? Back in the late 90s, David Dunning and Justin Kruger, professors from Cornell College, did a study that concluded that the less an individual knows about a particular topic, the more likely they are to overvalue their skill, ability, or knowledge on that topic. Let me use an example from my own life to demonstrate the Dunning-Kruger Effect: Around 15 or 20 years ago, a friend of mine was having a conversation with his dad about the Gate River Run. My friend found out that he could win a substantial amount of money by winning the race. Now, my friend was not a runner; he was a good athlete, but people who win the Gate River Run average a mile in 4.5 minutes—they fly. My friend couldn’t run a single 4.5-minute mile, so his lack of knowledge about that topic led him to believe that he could just go out and win this race against professional athletes. That’s in essence what the Dunning-Kruger Effect is—you don’t know what you don’t know, which leads you to overvalue your competency.  “That’s in essence what the Dunning-Kruger Effect is—you don’t know what you don’t know, which leads you to overvalue your competency.” In real estate, I see this often. We are in the Information Age where you can Google just about anything. I’m sure doctors have seen this as well: Many think that because they pulled information from WebMD, they know all about what’s wrong with them. In real estate, we have all this information in front of us, but the problem isn’t getting the information, but rather, knowing what to do with it. Quite frankly, after 12 years in this business, there are still houses, areas, neighborhoods, and problems that I still can’t say I know everything about. There are a lot of moving parts in real estate. So how does the Dunning-Kruger Effect apply to your life? Ask my wife—I am the worst about this. I often think I know more about a particular subject than I really do, and she is kind enough to remind me of that on a daily basis. Just remember that, as you’re going through your job, your relationships, and major life decisions, we can’t possibly know everything we need to know in order to make a perfect decision. We need the help of experts and the people around us to make important decisions, whether it’s about investing, healthcare, or real estate. If you have any questions or examples of the Dunning-Kruger Effect, feel free to reach out to me. I’d love to hear from you.

In this special episode, Wendy talks to Justin Kruger of KyndHub, an online community for practicing, sharing and inspiring kindfulness. To learn more, visit https://kyndhub.com/.  

1999 fick David Dunning och Justin Kruger rejäl skjuts i sina omnämningar, eftersom de då släppte en studie som kom att ge namn åt ett fenomen, eller effekt, som de flesta människor lär stöta på, så även inom politisk debatt och kunskapsskattning. Emma Frans är forskare inom epidemiologi vid Karolinska institutet, flerfaldig vinnare av diverse folkbildningsutmärkelser, författare till boken Larmrapporten - att skilja vetenskap från trams och aktiv vetenskapskommunikatör på olika plattformar. 

Professional drummer Justin Kruger (@JKonTheDrums) is on the pod today to talk about his years spent on the road playing music with controversial lounge singer Tony Clifton, the character closely associated with comedians Andy Kaufman and Bob Zmuda. Before all of that Turner Sparks (@TurnerBSparks) and Michael Kaplan (@KapInAmerica) announce their first live pod, happening November 30th at Stand Up NY in New York City. This episode is brought to you by Ense, available in the App Store: https://itunes.apple.com/us/app/ense/id1136044148?mt=8 Advertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands Privacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

KyndHubKyndHub is an online community for creating, sharing, and inspiring kindfulness.Kindfulness is a daily practice using volunteerism, intentional acts of kindness, and gratitude to bring awareness to the impact you make on others and the positive mental state created by serving others. The  five pillars to kindfulness are: volunteering, intentional acts of kindness, gratitude, connection and reflection.When you volunteer, post it, tag friends, and share your impact.Share when you give or receive an act of kindness.Challenge other users to pay acts of kindness forward.Post the things you are grateful for and inspire others to do the same.Connect with friends, family, and coworkers to build your kindful community.

I originally produced this podcast on why people who are incompetent do not know they are incompetent on August 15, 2007. At the time, I thought the research was very interesting and amusing. Now, with the state of our world, I think the podcast is very relevant and not so funny. The research was actually done in 1999. The researchers were Dr. David Duning and a then graduate student, named Justin Kruger. Interestingly, this concept has been called the Duning-Kruger effect! Below is the reference for the original article. In advance, I apologize for my voice- I must have been sick at the time I recorded the original podcast. Kruger, Justin; Dunning, David (1999). "Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One's Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments". Journal of Personality and Social Psychology. 77 (6): 1121–34.

Vad är en åsikt, hur skaffar man sig den och under vilka förutsättningar är vi beredda att byta? Samtal mellan Ann Heberlein, Petter Larsson och Åse Innes-Ker. Det enda som jag vet är att jag ingenting vet. Denna paradox tillskrivs Sokrates. Och även om det saknas belägg för att han verkligen ska ha sagt just så, är detta möjligen en vis, ödmjuk attityd till sina åsikter och övertygelser. Enligt socialpsykologerna Justin Kruger och David Dunning är det i alla fall personer med lägst förmåga att resonera logiskt som mest överskattar sin kompetens, och tvärtom de mest kompetenta som underskattar sin. Tre kompetenta personer diskuterar förutsättningarna för att byta åsikt: Etikforskaren och debattören Ann Heberlein, journalisten och debattören Petter Larsson samt psykologilektorn Åse Innes-Ker. Programledare är Lars Mogensen, producent Thomas Lunderquist.

In this show I talk with Justin Kruger.  One of the main topics we discuss is how he runs a nationwide organization of volunteers.  This is a tough business to run.  If you think its hard to get your paid remote staff to work hard, what about people who volunteer.  Justin founded Project Helping based on his own experiences of using volunteering to create purpose and change in his life. From these experiences he wanted a way to formalize and share these experiences with others.  This is the same motivation that lead him to start KyndHub and engage people all over the world.