Podcasts about Carbon Brief

Welcome, welcome, welcome to the Distraction Pieces Podcast with Scroobius Pip!This is part 2 of an April-long miniseries curated by Pip entitled 'Climate Solutions For Realists'.Our second guest is climate journalist DAISY DUNNE.A really fascinating and inspiring chat here with Pip and Daisy, following on from last week's episode with James Skeet of Just Stop Oil. Daisy is the associate editor of Carbon Brief, and is well equipped to deliver fact-based information in an accessible way, and has been working in the field for a minute. You'll hear about how it is to reconcile one's life while being entrenched in this area of expertise, what Carbon Brief is exactly, her beginnings as a science journalist, secret manilla envelopes and a real life spy movie premise, being on assignment in the arctic, attribution science, her very own 'polar bear moment', and working for the Independent - among a huge amount of other climate related gems and jewels. The perfect second part of this month long series. Grab a notebook and get yerself involved.PIP'S PATREON PAGE if you're of a supporting natureDAISY DUNNECARBON BRIEFSPEECH DEVELOPMENT WEBSTOREPIP TWITCH • (music stuff)PIP INSTAGRAMPIP TWITTERPIP PATREONPIP IMDBPOD BIBLE Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this week's episode, host Kristin Hayes talks with Emily Theokritoff, a research associate at Imperial College London. Theokritoff specializes in climate damage attribution—the emerging science of connecting human activity and climate change to extreme weather events. Theokritoff breaks down this evolving field of study, how research that attributes extreme weather events to climate change is conducted, the challenges posed by a lack of historical data in parts of the world, and how scientists deal with uncertainty in determining the causes of past and future events. She also shares her perspective on how scientists in the field of extreme weather attribution are adapting research and communication methods to provide the public with faster, clearer insights in the face of increasingly frequent and intense extreme weather events. References and recommendations: “Mapped: How climate change affects extreme weather around the world” from Carbon Brief; https://interactive.carbonbrief.org/attribution-studies/index.html

In this episode of Environment China, we are talking about China's long-term pathway to carbon neutrality and, in particular, about the recent publication of the China Energy Transformation Outlook, or CETO, which provides two scenarios of China's clean energy transition. We talk to Kaare Sandholt, International Chief Expert for the China Energy Transformation Programme. The programme is run by the Energy Research Institute  of the NDRC. Topics we address include: The importance of long-term modeling, and its contribution compared to five-year plans or other policy planning How CETO's two main scenarios compare: both assume carbon neutrality by 2060 and similar GDP growth, but differ in terms of energy mix and technology progress The role of electrification and energy efficiency: starting with transport, but also in industry, which requires both a cleaner grid and lower direct combustion of fossil fuels, which wastes huge amounts of energy through waste heat The importance of structural economic transformation: CETO assumes China makes substantial progress transitioning away from heavy manufacturing The reforms that CETO anticipates, including especially in power markets (merit-order dispatch, cross-regional electricity trading, and price signals), but also in carbon markets and industry standards The role of gas: gas will rise rapidly in relative terms, with 50-50 growth between power sector and industry; in coastal provinces gas is for flexibility in the power sector, and inland provinces gas is for industry; but it will not become a major transition fuel that takes the place of coal The amount of wind and solar capacity that will be needed: while the RE capacity requirement has risen due to faster electricity demand growth, the annual additions needed are roughly in line with present wind and solar additions The report is available in English here: https://www.cet.energy/ And Kaare Sandholt has an excellent article in a recent issue of Carbon Brief, published together with Wang Zhongying: https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-china-will-need-10000gw-of-wind-and-solar-by-2060/    Executive Producer of this episode: Anders Hove  

Support us on Patreon... Team LMSU are calling all Summerupperers to come join the expanded LMSU universe and support our Patreon! This year we are upping the ante and every fortnight when a regular episode drops, there will be an additional, delicious, subscriber only BoCo episode hitting the feeds as well. Because, THERE IS TOO MUCH! Head on over to https://www.patreon.com/LetMeSumUp.—After an extended summer vacay, Team LMSU is back - and not a minute too soon! The spidey senses of the folks at the Climate Change Authority must have been tingling and with a BOOM dropped their analysis ‘Assessing the impact of a nuclear pathway on Australia's emissions' on the very morning we recorded this episode.Joined by sometime co-host and sensible energy expert superhero Alison Reeve, the crew digest this little amuse bouche: over 1 billion tonnes of extra emissions! The cost of pursuing Frontier Economics' nuclear pathway is quite the emissions mouthful.Sidebar nerd alert: reverse engineer graphs just like the CCA folks with this handy tool: https://www.graphreader.com/ Our main paperIn act 2 of our double nuclear paper spectacular, the LMSU crew takes on the intercontinental ballistic market outlook ‘The Path to a New Era for Nuclear Energy' from the folk at the International Energy Agency. And Hooo-eeeee are they bullish! Their numbers don't lie though and it's more of a ‘let a thousand reactors bloom' kinda sentiment than a bona-fide BOOMtime for nuclear's share of the global pie. Our take? It's 25 years to net zero, we got 80 SMR designs and a drive to cut costs through standardisation and sequencing. Hit It?Aaaaand because we couldn't get nary enough NUKES this week, after we recorded, the House Select Committee on Nuclear Energy released its Interim report for the inquiry into nuclear power generation in Australia. Bon appetit!One more thingsAlison's One More Thing is: a recent Carbon Brief analysis that shows clean energy contributed 10% of China's GDP in 2024. Exactly the kind of good news we could stand to see more of!Tennant's One More Thing is: would a Border Carbon Adjustment be a poke in the eye of a newly belligerent USA? (Rather less than the GST!)Frankie's One More Thing is: speculation that the implementation of the 2025 version of the National Construction Code will remain uncertain, especially with the Productivity Commission's recent report recommending an independent review of building regulations.Luke's One More Thing is: that 2025 will see the delivery of sweet, delicious BoCo dessert every fortnight alongside the main course of regular episodes. Head on over to patreon.com/LetMeSumUp to make sure you don't miss a bite.And that's all from us Summerupperers! Send your hot tips and suggestions for papers to us at mailbag@letmesumup.net and check out our back catalogue at letmesumup.net.

UN Cali Fund aims to collect millions, and possibly billions, of dollars for the conservation of nature and to benefit indigenous people. Synopsis: Every first and third Tuesday of the month, The Straits Times analyses the beat of the changing environment, from biodiversity conservation to climate change. Nature’s bounty is vast and we all benefit from it. Think of the huge variety of plants and their timber, seeds and fruits – even the materials from them to make cosmetics. The immense variety, the huge number of different species and traits in nature, comes from genetics. And this has long been an intangible part of biodiversity, one that is hard to put a price on. But a new fund agreed at UN biodiversity talks at the end of 2024 is set to change this. Called the Cali Fund, the industry is expected to contribute money for making use of nature. Companies, such as pharmaceutical and cosmetics firms, will pay for their use of the genetic resources from nature. Money will flow based on either a share of profits or turnover. But how exactly will this voluntary fund work? And how are these genetic resources defined and tracked? Green Pulse speaks with Dr Siva Thambisetty, an expert in Intellectual Property Law at the London School of Economics and Political Science. She was closely involved in the negotiations for the fund. A special thanks to Aruna Chandrasekhar, who helped with research for this episode. She covers land, food and nature for the Carbon Brief news site. Highlights of conversation (click/tap above): 2:53 What is the Cali Fund? 4:16 What is genetic material and digital sequence information (DSI)? 8:15 “DSI can also accelerate our research for new drugs.” 19:52 What about the risks of rising inequality? For example, rich companies using free genetic data to create profitable products? 23:32 How will the fund flow into conservation and to indigenous groups? Follow Audrey Tan on LinkedIn: https://str.sg/848W Read her articles: https://str.sg/JLM2 Follow David Fogarty on X: https://str.sg/JLM6 Read his articles: https://str.sg/JLMu Hosts: Audrey Tan (audreyt@sph.com.sg) & David Fogarty (dfogarty@sph.com.sg) Produced and edited by: Hadyu Rahim Executive producers: Ernest Luis & Lynda Hong Follow Green Pulse Podcast here and get notified for new episode drops: Channel: https://str.sg/JWaf Apple Podcasts: https://str.sg/JWaY Spotify: https://str.sg/JWag Feedback to: podcast@sph.com.sg --- Follow more ST podcast channels: All-in-one ST Podcasts channel: https://str.sg/wvz7 ST Podcast website: http://str.sg/stpodcasts ST Podcasts YouTube: https://str.sg/4Vwsa --- Get The Straits Times' app, which has a dedicated podcast player section: The App Store: https://str.sg/icyB Google Play: https://str.sg/icyX --- #greenpulseSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

UN Cali Fund aims to collect millions, and possibly billions, of dollars for the conservation of nature and to benefit indigenous people. Synopsis: Every first and third Tuesday of the month, The Straits Times analyses the beat of the changing environment, from biodiversity conservation to climate change. Nature’s bounty is vast and we all benefit from it. Think of the huge variety of plants and their timber, seeds and fruits – even the materials from them to make cosmetics. The immense variety, the huge number of different species and traits in nature, comes from genetics. And this has long been an intangible part of biodiversity, one that is hard to put a price on. But a new fund agreed at UN biodiversity talks at the end of 2024 is set to change this. Called the Cali Fund, the industry is expected to contribute money for making use of nature. Companies, such as pharmaceutical and cosmetics firms, will pay for their use of the genetic resources from nature. Money will flow based on either a share of profits or turnover. But how exactly will this voluntary fund work? And how are these genetic resources defined and tracked? Green Pulse speaks with Dr Siva Thambisetty, an expert in Intellectual Property Law at the London School of Economics and Political Science. She was closely involved in the negotiations for the fund. A special thanks to Aruna Chandrasekhar, who helped with research for this episode. She covers land, food and nature for the Carbon Brief news site. Highlights of conversation (click/tap above): 2:53 What is the Cali Fund? 4:16 What is genetic material and digital sequence information (DSI)? 8:15 “DSI can also accelerate our research for new drugs.” 19:52 What about the risks of rising inequality? For example, rich companies using free genetic data to create profitable products? 23:32 How will the fund flow into conservation and to indigenous groups? Follow Audrey Tan on LinkedIn: https://str.sg/848W Read her articles: https://str.sg/JLM2 Follow David Fogarty on X: https://str.sg/JLM6 Read his articles: https://str.sg/JLMu Hosts: Audrey Tan (audreyt@sph.com.sg) & David Fogarty (dfogarty@sph.com.sg) Produced and edited by: Hadyu Rahim Executive producers: Ernest Luis & Lynda Hong Follow Green Pulse Podcast here and get notified for new episode drops: Channel: https://str.sg/JWaf Apple Podcasts: https://str.sg/JWaY Spotify: https://str.sg/JWag Feedback to: podcast@sph.com.sg --- Follow more ST podcast channels: All-in-one ST Podcasts channel: https://str.sg/wvz7 ST Podcast website: http://str.sg/stpodcasts ST Podcasts YouTube: https://str.sg/4Vwsa --- Get The Straits Times' app, which has a dedicated podcast player section: The App Store: https://str.sg/icyB Google Play: https://str.sg/icyX --- #greenpulseSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

O que acontecerá com a saída dos EUA do Acordo de Paris? Separe trinta minutinhos do seu dia e descubra, com Mila Massuda, como os tratados internacionais sobre mudanças climáticas se formaram, o que motiva certos países a se retirarem deles e as consequências para o futuro do planeta.Apresentação: Mila Massuda (@milamassuda)Roteiro: Mila Massuda (@milamassuda) e Emilio Garcia (@emilioblablalogia)Revisão de Roteiro: Vee AlmeidaTécnica de Gravação: Julianna Harsche (@juvisharsche)Editora: Lilian Correa (@_lilianleme)Mixagem e Masterização: Lívia Mello (@adiscolizard)Produção: Prof. Vítor Soares (@profvitorsoares), Matheus Herédia (@Matheus_Heredia) e BláBláLogia (@blablalogia) e Biologia em Meia Hora (@biologiaemmeiahora)Gravado e editado nos estúdios TocaCast, do grupo Tocalivros (@tocalivros)REFERÊNCIASBELL, A. R. Our biggest experiment : an epic history of the climate crisis. Berkeley, California: Counterpoint, 2021.Evans, S. (2021). Analysis: which countries are historically responsible for climate change?. [online]. Carbon Brief, October 5 2021 Accessed 21 June 2023 Disponível em: https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-which-countries-are-historically-responsible-for-climate-change/ .Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). First assessment report overview and policymaker summaries, Accessed 21 June 2023 Disponível em: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/climate-change-the-ipcc-1990-and-1992-assessments/ .Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Special report: global warming of 1.5°C, [online]. Accessed 21 June 2023 Disponível em: https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/ .THATCHER, M. Speech to United Nations General Assembly (Global Environment) | Margaret Thatcher Foundation. Disponível em: .United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). Status of ratification of the convention, [online]. Accessed 21 June 2023 Disponível em: https://unfccc.int/process-and-meetings/the-convention/status-of-ratification-of-the-convention .

Support us on Patreon... Tennant, Luke and Frankie are calling all Summerupperers to come join the expanded LMSU universe and support our Patreon! Sign up today for access to coveted BoCo like bonus subscriber-only episodes, including our feelpinions about the recent US election! Head on over to https://www.patreon.com/LetMeSumUp.–We left you all on a cliffhanger last episode, so for those of you paying absolutely no attention to news reports we're here to resolve all plotlines! How much did the developed world commit in climate finance? Did the UAE dialogue generate crackling conversation, or trail off awkwardly? And how many thrilling breakthroughs can one Article 6 have in a single COP? We reveal all! To note:If you want to dig into any of the texts referenced in this episode we recommend Carbon Brief's excellent negotiating texts tracker. If you would like to supplement the sleep deprived, discursive ramblings of this podcast with some actual reporting, their COP29 outcomes summary is second to none.But if you are all like ‘read? Pfft. Give me more pods!' you can check out Luke's interview at COP with Assistant Minister for Climate and Energy Josh Wilson over on First Fuel.And that's all from us Summerupperers! Support our Patreon at patreon.com/LetMeSumUp, send your hot tips and suggestions for papers to us at mailbag@letmesumup.net and check out our back catalogue at letmesumup.net.

Tercer Milenio 360 Internacional - 19/11/24 El presidente de los Estados Unidos, Joe Biden, autoriza a Ucrania a utilizar misiles de largo alcance para atacar a Rusia y el Kremlin advierte que está echando más leña al fuego. Al menos el 83% de los fenómenos meteorológico extremos son provocados por el cambio climático causado por el hombre según un estudio de Carbon Brief. En Huntington Park, California, Estados Unidos, una esfera plateada es captada mientras recorre el cielo, es similar a las registradas en Tamaulipas, México. En Polonia aparece en el cielo, al atardecer, una figura de las conocidas como Jellyfish o Medusa.

Support us on Patreon... Tennant, Luke and Frankie are calling all Summerupperers to come join the expanded LMSU universe and support our Patreon! Sign up today for access to coveted BoCo like bonus subscriber-only episodes, including our feelpinions about the recent US election!!. Head on over to https://www.patreon.com/LetMeSumUp.Our main topicIt is Back to Baku (sort of) as Frankie, Luke and Tennant report from the ground at COP29  in Azerbaijan, and call in reinforcements (someone has to be on hand to remind us of the storied history of cover texts) in the form of climate journalism luminary Dr Simon Evans from Carbon Brief!And there is much to discuss! How is Trump's election affecting the mood on the ground? What about those early NDCs from UK and Brazil? What is up with all those Article 6 shenanigans on Day 1? And are we any closer to closing a deal on finance at the, you know, Finance COP?It's a lot, frankly. So if you want even more extemporaneous opinions – especially on the rich program of side events – don't forget to check out our Youtube channel for daily updates from the ground.One more thingsTennant's one more thing is, shockingly, CBAM related, specifically the way trade issues are being raised – and shut down – at the COP.  Who saw that coming?Frankie's one more thing is Simon's one more thing is a reflection on the through the looking glass experience of attending a climate conference in a petrostate, brought into sharp relief by an incongruous art installation on the Baku foreshore.Luke one more thing is a plug for the Trump election reaction episode that our Patreon subscribers have just had drop into their feeds. If you are here for LMSU feelpinions on the Trump winheadon over to Patreon.com/letmesumupAnd that's all from us Summerupperers! Support our Patreon at patreon.com/LetMeSumUp, send your hot tips and suggestions for papers to us at mailbag@letmesumup.net and check out our back catalogue at letmesumup.net.

La réélection de Donald Trump pourrait peser lourd sur le climat mondial. Selon les prévisions de Carbon Brief, les décisions de sa future administration pourraient générer jusqu'à 4 milliards de tonnes de gaz à effet de serre d'ici 2030, un volume équivalent aux émissions annuelles cumulées de l'Europe et du Japon ou encore de 140 pays en développement. Et cette hausse des émissions entraînerait une facture environnementale colossale pour l'économie américaine, atteignant les 900 milliards de dollars, alors que nombreux sont ceux qui ont soutenu Trump pour des raisons économiques, face à une inflation persistante.Les projections montrent cependant que même avec Donald Trump, les émissions des États-Unis continueraient à baisser. Cette baisse serait toutefois bien plus lente que sous un mandat de Kamala Harris, dont la politique climatique aurait permis une réduction de 43 % des émissions d'ici 2030, contre seulement 28 % selon les prévisions pour Trump. Or, les objectifs de l'Accord de Paris exigent une réduction de 50 à 52 % d'ici là.Avec son slogan « Drill, baby, drill » – littéralement, « Fore, bébé, fore ! » – Trump semble prêt à relancer l'exploitation intensive des énergies fossiles, une perspective qui inquiète les écologistes. On se souvient qu'au cours de son premier mandat, il a supprimé de nombreuses régulations environnementales mises en place par son prédécesseur, Barack Obama, et freiné le développement des énergies renouvelables. Une réédition de ce programme pourrait freiner sérieusement les efforts américains pour lutter contre le changement climatique, avec des répercussions mondiales. Hébergé par Acast. Visitez acast.com/privacy pour plus d'informations.

I know… I know. I'm just a retired school teacher... so who am I to question the perspectives of highly qualified scientists who also happen to be climate deniers? Let's find out. CONTENTS OF THIS VIDEO: 00:00 - Introduction 00:32 - Dr. Richard Lindzen claims temperatures aren't going up 04:10 - Dr. Richard Lindzen claims the consensus is based on fifty papers. 05:13 - Dr. William Happer 06:29 - Should we listen to climate deniers? 06:45 - Dr. Robert Brulle and the funding of climate denial 07:47 - Dr. Fred Singer going down the up escalator 08:18 - Thanks for Watching! SOCIAL MEDIA: • Web: www.green-neighbour.com • YouTube: www.youtube.com/@GreenNeighbour • Twitter: https://twitter.com/ArtLightstone • Twitter: https://twitter.com/GreenNeighbour • TikTok: https://tiktok.com/@GreenNeighbour • Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/greenneighbour • LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/artlightstone SOURCES: Make it Illegal to Knowingly and Intentionally Misinform the Public about Climate Change (Petition, Art Lightstone, Petition.org, 2023): https://www.change.org/p/let-s-make-it-illegal-to-knowingly-and-intentionally-misinform-the-public-about-climate-change Prager University Funded by Fracking Billionaires (Wikipedia): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PragerU... PragerU Homepage: https://www.prageru.com/ Satellite temperature record update closes gap with surface records (ARS Technica, 2017): https://arstechnica.com/science/2017/07/satellite-temperature-record-update-closes-gap-with-surface-records/ Major correction to satellite data shows 140% faster warming since 1998 (Carbon Brief, 2017): https://www.carbonbrief.org/major-correction-to-satellite-data-shows-140-faster-warming-since-1998 Satellite temperature data, leaned on by climate change doubters, revised sharply upward (The Washington Post, 2017): https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2017/06/30/corrected-satellite-data-show-30-percent-increase-in-global-warming-matching-surface-data/ Climate "Science" | Dr. Richard Lindzen (YouTube video, Jordan Peterson, 2023): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7LVSrTZDopM&sttick=0 It's true: 97% of research papers say climate change is happening (The Conversation, 2013): https://theconversation.com/its-true-97-of-research-papers-say-climate-change-is-happening-14051 COMBATING A TWO-DECADE CAMPAIGN ATTACKING THE SCIENTIFIC CONSENSUS ON CLIMATE CHANGE (Europhysicsnews, 2013): https://www.europhysicsnews.org/articles/epn/pdf/2013/06/epn2013446p25.pdf RCEC Document "Climate Science and Policy: Making the Connection" (William Happer, George C. Marshall Institute) https://www.slideshare.net/slideshow/rcec-document-climate-science-and-policy-making-the-connection/2295975#4 George C. Marshall Institute (Encyclopedia.pub): https://encyclopedia.pub/entry/37182 Frontrunner for Trump science advisor post agreed not to disclose fossil fuel funding (Greenpeace, 2017): https://unearthed.greenpeace.org/2017/02/16/william-happer-trump-science-advisor/ Why a high-profile climate science opponent quit Trump's White House (Science, 2019): https://www.science.org/content/article/why-high-profile-climate-science-opponent-quit-trump-s-white-house Climate of Doubt (PBS Documentary, 2012): https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/climate-of-doubt Obstructing action: foundation funding and US climate change counter-movement organizations (Robert Brulle, 2021): https://cssn.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/Brulle2021_Article_ObstructingActionFoundationFun.pdf

In this episode of 'The Wisdom Of' Show, host Simon Bowen engages in an enlightening conversation with Dr. Kimberly Nicholas, a sustainability scientist and author. They discuss the urgent need for climate action, the role of individuals and businesses in addressing the climate crisis, and how to maintain hope while facing global challenges.

Why stop emitting when we can just plant a bunch of trees?BONUS EPISODES available on Patreon (https://www.patreon.com/deniersplaybook) SOCIALS & MORE (https://linktr.ee/deniersplaybook) CREDITS Created by: Rollie Williams, Nicole Conlan & Ben BoultHosts: Rollie Williams & Nicole ConlanExecutive Producer: Ben Boult Post-production: Jubilaria Media Researchers: Carly Rizzuto, Canute Haroldson & James Crugnale Art: Jordan Doll Music: Tony Domenick Special thanks: The Civil Liberties Defense Center, Shelley Vinyard & The National Resources Defense Council, Angeline Robertson & Stand.EarthSOURCESMrBeast. (2019). Planting 20,000,000 Trees, My Biggest Project Ever! YouTube.Charmin. (2022, January 31). Protect Grow Restore | Charmin® Loves Trees. YouTube.CNBC Television. (2020, January 21). Watch President Donald Trump's full speech at the Davos World Economic Forum. YouTube.Carrington, D. (2019, July 4). Tree planting “has mind-blowing potential” to tackle climate crisis. 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(2020, March 11). Is the GOP warming to climate action? Trillion trees plan hopes for growth. YouTube.Speaker Kevin McCarthy. (2023, June 29). Speaker McCarthy and House Republicans Fight For American-Made Energy in Columbiana County, Ohio. YouTube.Sen. Mike Braun - Indiana. (2024). Open SecretsRep. Buddy Carter - Georgia (District 01). (2024). Open Secrets.Rep. Kevin McCarthy - California (District 23). (2024). Open Secrets.Rep. Clay Higgins - Louisiana (District 03). (2024). Open Secrets.Rep. Bruce Westerman - Arkansas (District 04). (2024). Open Secrets.Actions - H.R.2639 - 117th Congress (2021-2022): Trillion Trees Act. (n.d.). Congress.gov.2023 National ECongress.govnvironmental Scorecard. (2023). League of Conservation Voters.Heal, A. (2023, April 11). The illusion of a trillion trees. The Financial Times Limited.Veldman, J. W., Aleman, J. C., Alvarado, S. T., Anderson, T. M., Archibald, S., Bond, W. J., Boutton, T. W., Buchmann, N., Buisson, E., Canadell, J. G., Dechoum, M. de S., Diaz-Toribio, M. H., Durigan, G., Ewel, J. J., Fernandes, G. W., Fidelis, A., Fleischman, F., Good, S. P., Griffith, D. M., & Hermann, J.-M. (2019). Comment on “The global tree restoration potential.” Science, 366(6463). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aay7976.Erratum for the Report: “The global tree restoration potential” by J.-F. Bastin, Y. Finegold, C. Garcia, D. Mollicone, M. Rezende, D. Routh, C. M. Zohner, T. W. Crowther and for the Technical Response “Response to Comments on ‘The global tree restoration potential'” by J.-F. Bastin, Y. Finegold, C. Garcia, N. Gellie, A. Lowe, D. Mollicone, M. Rezende, D. Routh, M. Sacande, B. Sparrow, C. M. Zohner, T. W. Crowther. (2020). Science, 368(6494). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc8905Anderson, T. R., Hawkins, E., & Jones, P. D. (2016). CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models. Endeavour, 40(3), 178–187. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.endeavour.2016.07.002Hasler, N., Williams, C. A., Vanessa Carrasco Denney, Ellis, P. W., Shrestha, S., Terasaki, D. E., Wolff, N. H., Yeo, S., Crowther, T. W., Werden, L. K., & Cook-Patton, S. C. (2024). Accounting for albedo change to identify climate-positive tree cover restoration. Nature Communications, 15. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-46577-1Viani, R. A. G., Bracale, H., & Taffarello, D. (2019). Lessons Learned from the Water Producer Project in the Atlantic Forest, Brazil. Forests, 10(11), 1031. https://doi.org/10.3390/f10111031Vadell, E., de-Miguel, S., & Pemán, J. (2016). Large-scale reforestation and afforestation policy in Spain: A historical review of its underlying ecological, socioeconomic and political dynamics. Land Use Policy, 55, 37–48. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2016.03.017TED-Ed. (2023, December 19). Does planting trees actually cool the planet? - Carolyn Beans. YouTube.Howard, S. Q.-I., Emma, & Howard, E. (2022, December 12). “How are we going to live?” Families dispossessed of their land to make way for Total's Congo offsetting project. Unearthed.Garside, R., & Wyn, I. (2021, August 6). Tree-planting: Why are large investment firms buying Welsh farms? BBC News.Gabbatiss, J., & Viisainen, V. (2024, June 26). Analysis: UK misses tree-planting targets by forest the “size of Birmingham.” Carbon Brief.Buller, A. (2022). The Value of a Whale. Manchester University Press.Alexander, S. (2024, May 3). A Billionaire Wanted to Save 1 Trillion Trees by 2030. It's Not Going Great. Bloomberg.No Watermark Clips. (2019, May 21). King of the Hill on Carbon Offsets. YouTube.Choi-Schagrin, W. (2021, August 23). Wildfires are ravaging forests set aside to soak up greenhouse gases. The New York Times.Hodgson, C. (2021, August 4). US Forest Fires Threaten Carbon Offsets as Company-Linked Trees Burn. Inside Climate News.What's the potential of a trillion trees? (2020). Crowther Lab.Luhn, A. (2023, December 13). Stop Planting Trees, Says Guy Who Inspired World to Plant a Trillion Trees. Wired.TED Audio Collective. (2022, July 3). Can planting trees really stop climate change? | Thomas Crowther | The TED Interview. YouTube.Fleischman, F., Basant, S., Chhatre, A., Coleman, E. A., Fischer, H. W., Gupta, D., Güneralp, B., Kashwan, P., Khatri, D., Muscarella, R., Powers, J. S., Ramprasad, V., Rana, P., Solorzano, C. R., & Veldman, J. W. (2020). Pitfalls of Tree Planting Show Why We Need People-Centered Natural Climate Solutions. BioScience, 70(11). https://doi.org/10.1093/biosci/biaa094Oglesby, C. (2021, Feb 9). Republicans want to plant 1 trillion trees — and then log them. GristCORRECTIONSFelix Finkbeiner was 13 years old when he spoke at the United Nations, not 12.The industry that has currently contributed the most to Rep. Bruce Westerman's career campaigns for federal congress is the Forestry & Forest Products industry, as reported by Open Secrets. The Oil & Gas industry is listed as #2.DISCLAIMER: Some media clips have been edited for length and clarity.[For sponsorship inquiries, please contact climatetown@no-logo.co]See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Une victoire de Donald Trump à l'élection présidentielle du 5 novembre aux Etats-Unis mettrait fin à l'espoir de limiter le réchauffement climatique à + 1,5 °C, d'après une étude menée par Carbon Brief. Selon le site, cette réélection entraînerait une augmentation de 4 milliards de tonnes de gaz à effet de serre de plus dans l'atmosphère qu'une victoire du camp démocrate.Donald Trump est notoirement climatosceptique et son ambition politique en matière de climat peut se résumer à un slogan, qu'il martèle à chaque prise de parole en public, « Drill, baby, drill », qu'on peut traduire par « Fore, bébé, fore ». Autrement dit, l'ancien président veut extraire du pétrole et du gaz du sous-sol américain, quelles que soient les conséquences sur le changement climatique.Face à lui, la candidate démocrate Kamala Harris bénéficie du bilan de l'actuel président, Joe Biden, considéré par de nombreux experts comme le meilleur président que les Etats-Unis aient connu en matière climatique. Malgré cela, elle parle très peu du climat dans cette campagne, préférant se concentrer sur des sujets plus porteurs électoralement, comme la question des droits reproductifs.Quelles seraient les conséquences concrètes d'une réélection de Donald Trump sur le dérèglement climatique ? Quel bilan porte le camp démocrate après le mandat de Joe Biden ? Dans cet épisode du podcast « L'Heure du Monde », Garance Muñoz s'est rendue au parc national de Glacier, dans le Montana, et a interrogé des spécialistes du sujet : la géographe Anne-Lise Boyer, Arnaud Leparmentier, correspondant du Monde à New York, et Audrey Garric, journaliste au service Planète chargée des questions climatiques.Un épisode écrit et présenté par Garance Muñoz. Rédaction en chef : Adèle Ponticelli. Musiques et réalisation : Amandine Robillard.Episode publié le 27 septembre 2024.---Pour soutenir "L'Heure du Monde" et notre rédaction, abonnez-vous sur abopodcast.lemonde.fr

Episode NotesSupport us on Patreon... Tennant, Luke and Frankie are calling all Summerupperers to come join the expanded LMSU universe and support our Patreon! Sign up today for access to coveted BoCo like our recent bonus episode on brat summer and US election implications for climate, as well as other savoury morsels like our notes on papers read, alternate paper titles and so so many custom memes. Head on over to https://www.patreon.com/LetMeSumUp.—After recent frolics in pre-and-post election climate speculation in the US and UK, your intrepid hosts turn their gaze to developments closer to home and ponder, could China be peaking its emissions early? We discuss this excellent article in Carbon Brief with data from respected China-watcher Lauri Myllyvirta. The short of it? It's a complicated stew with a GIGANTIC cup of renewable energy growth, a generous dollop of post-COVID energy demand and a worrying scoop of coal-to-chemicals growth.  Our main paperYour intrepid hosts cross examine a bumper new report Global trends in climate litigation: 2024 snapshot from Joana Setzer and Catherine Higham from the London School of Economics' Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment. This was a fascinating read on the many and varied approaches not-for-profits, governments and corporates are taking to litigating climate action, climate inaction and climate washing! Warning: contains SLAPP fights and green-on-green action. One more thingsLuke opens with some feedback from friend of the pod David McEwen. David thought we missed a trick around Frankie's suggestion that it would take a while to replace budget revenue from fossil fuels and helpfully provided a link to an excellent paper from Paul J. Burke at the ANU Tax and Transfer Policy Institute which points out that our fossil fuel industry delivers

As a Climate Now listener, we know you appreciate frank and thoughtful debate about the climate crisis. So we'd like to share an episode from a podcast that looks at how climate change is changing our energy systems.Energy vs Climate is a podcast featuring energy experts David Keith, Sara Hastings-Simon, and Ed Whittingham. They break down the hard truths and tough choices posed by the energy transition from the heart of Canada's oil country. Through their topics and their guests, David, Sara, and Ed bring new honesty around the sharp trade-offs between climate action and economic progress .The episode we're sharing with you is called, "Buzzkill: Understanding the Shift in Media Perception Towards EVs," with special guest Dr. Simon Evans, deputy editor and policy editor at Carbon Brief. Together, they tease apart EV fact from fiction. We think you'll really enjoy it.Listen to Energy vs Climate wherever you get your podcasts and check out energyvsclimate.com for their next live webinars, where you too can join in on the discussion.Follow us on Twitter, LinkedIn, Facebook, and Instagram.Contact us at contact@climatenow.comVisit our website for all of our content and sources for each episode.

Nearly every aspect of our lives depends on minerals. From mobile phones and cars to medical devices and laptops, these essential elements are everywhere. The transition from fossil fuels to clean energy hinges on critical minerals. However, their mining and processing can lead to significant environmental and social challenges.In this episode, James and Daisy explore the complex issues surrounding the supply of critical minerals. Can we bridge the gap between supply and demand? How can we navigate the escalating geopolitical tensions? Can we trust the mining companies? SOME RECOMMENDATIONS:Toxic Cost of Going Green: a 23-minute documentary from Unreported World investigating cobalt mining in the Democratic Republic of Congo. Material World: A Substantial Story of Our Past and Future by Ed Conway: Read this book to learn more about the six most crucial substances in human history: sand, salt, iron, copper, oil and lithium.Morgan Bazilian: As the Director of the Payne Institute and a Professor of public policy at the Colorado School of Mines, Dr. Bazilian offers compelling insights into mining and energy security.Cleaning Up: Leadership in an Age of Climate Change: Listen to this podcast by Michael Liebreich and Bryony Worthington where each week they have a conversation with a leader in clean energy, mobility, climate finance or sustainable development. They have recent episodes on topics related to critical minerals, including battery recycling. Simon Evans: Follow Simon on social media for more insights on the energy transition, including critical minerals. Simon covers climate and energy policy for Carbon Brief, a UK-based website covering the latest developments in climate science, climate policy and energy policy.OTHER ADVOCATES, FACTS, AND RESOURCES:IEA: “To hit net-zero globally by 2050, would require six times more mineral inputs in 2040 than today.”IEA: “A typical electric car requires six times the mineral inputs of a conventional car.”SUN Mobility aims to accelerate the adoption of electric mobility with their battery swapping technology. This technology enables users to purchase their electric vehicles without a fixed battery pack and subscribe to a battery swapping service that allows them to simply swap a depleted battery for a fully charged, temperature-controlled battery pack.The Waste Electrical and Electronic Equipment Directive (WEEE Directive) is a European Community Directive that, together with the Restriction of Hazardous Substances (RoHS) Directive became law in February 2003. The WEEE Directive set collection, recycling and recovery targets for all types of electrical goods. MIT Climate: “In 2021, over 7.5 billion tons of coal were extracted from the ground, while the IEA projects that the total amount of minerals needed for clean energy technology by 2040 will be under 30 million tons.”McKinsey: Mining is not seen as an attractive industry for young talent in Canada – 42% of respondents, aged 15 to 30, definitely would not consider working in mining, and 28% probably would not. Pollination commissioned a new independent legal opinion, which concludes that directors subject to the law of England and Wales should have regard to relevant nature-related risks.National Grid: In the UK, power provided from coal was responsible for only 1% of electricity generation in 2023, compared to 2018 when coal represented 5.1% and 2013 when 39.6% was generated by coal. Thank you for listening! Please follow us on social media to join the conversation: LinkedIn | Instagram | TikTokMusic: “Just Because Some Bad Wind Blows” by Nick Nuttall, Reptiphon Records. Available at https://nicknuttallmusic.bandcamp.com/album/just-because-some-bad-wind-blows-3Producer: Podshop StudiosHuge thanks to Siobhán Foster, a vital member of the team offering design advice, critical review and organisation that we depend upon.Stay tuned for more insightful discussions on navigating the transition away from fossil fuels to a sustainable future.

With the UK general election tomorrow, the Cleaning Up team sits down with Dr Simon Evans of Carbon Brief to run through each party's manifesto, and what they say about UK climate and energy policy. With Labour widely predicted to win, will the UK's become an international leader on climate once more? How will GB Energy work? And where will all the money come from to fund the investments needed to turn the UK into a clean energy power house. Dr Simon Evans is the deputy editor and senior policy editor at Carbon Brief, a UK-based website covering the latest developments in climate science, climate policy and energy policy. Read more: Carbon BriefCleaning Up Episode 131 with Tzeporah BermanCleaning Up Episode 25 with Bryony WorthingtonCleaning Up Episode 30 with Claire Perry O'NeillThe Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation InitiativeThe Beyond Oil & Gas Alliance

With a general election on the horizon, the UK faces significant potential shifts in its approach to achieving net zero targets and build out of renewable energy and battery storage. The topic of net zero has become a key issue among political parties. Today, we explore the climate strategies of leading parties and how a change in government could change net-zero strategies. From the proposed 'Great British Energy' initiative to North Sea oil and gas licenses and the impact of global events like Russia's invasion of Ukraine on energy policy, this episode looks at the challenges and opportunities for the UK in achieving net-zero emissions.Quentin is joined by Simon Evans, Deputy Editor and Senior Policy Editor at Carbon Brief, over the course of the conversation, they discuss: The role of media and journalism on net zero in a political climate.How the UK is progressing towards its net zero targets - taking a look at the successes and challenges across various key sectors.What a Labour or Conservative victory could mean for climate policy and targets.Insight into the public sentiment currently surrounding climate action.The UK's stance on international tariffs on clean technology and the impact this could have.Mentioned in the episodeDeBriefed - the essential guide to the week's key developments relating to climate change.Daily Briefing - a free digest of the past 24 hours of media coverage related to climate change and energy.The Carbon Brief Interview: Octopus Energy's Greg JacksonAbout our guestCarbon Brief covers climate science, energy and policy, specialising in clear, data-driven articles to improve the understanding of climate change. Providing reporting, analysis and fact checking related to climate science and energy policy. To read more from Carbon Brief, or to learn more about what they do, head over to the website.Connect with Simon on LinkedIn or follow him on X for more insights.About Modo EnergyModo Energy provides benchmarking, forecasts, data, and insights for new energy assets - all in one place.Built for analysts, Modo helps the owners, operators, builders, and financiers of battery energy storage solutions understand the market - and make the most out of their assets. Modo's paid plans serve more than 80% of battery storage owners and operators in Great Britain and ERCOT.All of our podcasts are available to watch or listen to on the Modo Energy site. To keep up with all of our latest updates, research, analysis, videos, podcasts, data visualizations, live events, and more, follow us on Linkedin or Twitter. Check out The Energy Academy, our video series of bite-sized chunks explaining how different battery energy storage systems work.

In this episode of "All Things Climate Policy," Rakshith explores the complexities of climate policy and its global impact with Dr Simon Evans from Carbon Brief. As we navigate through a potential shift in the U.S. political landscape, Dr. Evans elaborates on how a Donald Trump victory could significantly increase U.S. emissions by 2030 compared to Joe Biden's plans. We also explore the historical emissions and responsibilities of various countries in contributing to the climate crisis. Dr. Evans provides a detailed overview of the UK's ambitious net zero policies and targets, discussing the primary goals, timelines, and strategies for a sustainable transition. Amid recent policy shifts under Prime Minister Rishi Sunak, including the delay in banning new petrol and diesel cars, Dr. Evans assesses whether these changes could alter the UK's emissions reduction targets. Furthermore, we discuss how policymakers can ensure a just transition for workers and communities affected by the shift from fossil fuels. Dr. Evans also highlights recent technological breakthroughs in clean energy and dispels common myths about electric vehicles, addressing concerns like battery safety and longevity.

The government is forcing me to buy an electric vehicle even though it emits more than a Ford F-350 truck smoking an unfiltered cigarette. COMMUNISM!BONUS EPISODES available on Patreon (https://www.patreon.com/deniersplaybook) SOCIALS & MORE (https://linktr.ee/deniersplaybook) CREDITS Created by: Rollie Williams, Nicole Conlan & Ben BoultHosts: Rollie Williams & Nicole ConlanExecutive Producer: Ben Boult Producer: Gregory Haddock Editor: Brittany TerrellResearchers: Carly Rizzuto, Canute Haroldson & James CrugnaleArt: Jordan Doll Music: Tony Domenick Special thanks: The Civil Liberties Defense CenterSOURCESAAA Foundation for Traffic Safety. (2023). American Driving Survey: 2022. Andersson, Ö., & Börjesson, P. (2021). The greenhouse gas emissions of an electrified vehicle combined with renewable fuels: Life cycle assessment and policy implications. Applied Energy, 289, 116621. Atkinson, R. (2023, June 3). I love electric vehicles – and was an early adopter. But increasingly I feel duped. The Guardian. Bach, C., Science, S. F. L. for M., & Technology. (2019, June 20). Record efficiency for a gas engine. Phys.org. Baldwin, R., Richie, S., & Vanderwerp, D. (2020, May 22). EV vs. Gas: Which Cars Are Cheaper to Own? Car and Driver. Barbosa, H., Guido, V., Lezak, S., & Natali, P. (2022). Supply Chain Traceability: Looking Beyond Greenhouse Gases. RMI. Business & Human Rights Resource Centre. (n.d.). Negative effects of lithium mining on indigenous communities in Chile & Argentina exposed by Washington Post investigation; includes company statements. Business & Human Rights Resource Centre.Contributor, G. (2023, August 13). Are Electric Cars Really Cheaper To Own And Drive Than Gas Cars? CleanTechnica. Davenport, C. (2024, February 17). Biden Administration Is Said to Slow Early Stage of Shift to Electric Cars. New York Times. Edelstein, S. (2023, February 28). Research: Tires and brakes emit more particulates than tailpipes. Green Car Reports. Electric Vehicle Database. (n.d.). EV Database. EV Database. Retrieved April 24, 2024Evans, S. (2023, October 24). Factcheck: 21 misleading myths about electric vehicles. Carbon Brief. Farzaneh, F., & Jung, S. (2023). Lifecycle carbon footprint comparison between internal combustion engine versus electric transit vehicle: A case study in the U.S. Journal of Cleaner Production, 390, 136111. Ferreira, F. (2023, May 8). How does the environmental impact of mining for clean energy metals compare to mining for coal, oil and gas? MIT Climate Portal. Federal Highway Administration. (n.d.). National Household Travel Survey. Nhts.ornl.gov. Retrieved April 24, 2024Fischer, J. (2022, September 22). The Average Price of an Electric Car Keeps Dropping (2024 Update). CarEdge. Forest Breaking News. (2023, September 20). WATCH: Pete Stauber Tears Into Sec. Pete Buttigieg Over EV Mandates. Www.youtube.com. Gardner, T. (2024, March 6). China's ability to flood EV market concerning to US, energy secretary says. Reuters. Hanfield, R. (2023, May 11). Shining a Light on the EV Supply Chain: A Poor Environmental and Human Rights Record. Supply Chain Resource Cooperative. Hardesty, C. (2021, September 22). Average Miles Driven Per Year: Why It Is Important. Kelley Blue Book. J. Lyman, E. (2024, March 23). Europe faces EV challenges similar to those in US, production problems allow China to fill the void | Just The News. Justthenews.com. John, A. S. (2024, January 11). Electric cars need less service — but they could cost you more. Business Insider. Jolly, J. (2023, December 1). How problematic is mineral mining for electric cars? The Guardian. Krantz, P. (2023, September 25). EVs are a climate solution with a pollution problem: Tire particles. Grist. Krishner, T. (2023, May 15). Why Americans are holding on to their vehicles longer than ever. PBS NewsHour. L. Micek, J. (2024, February 22). MSN. Www.msn.com. Leinert, P. (2021, July 7). When do electric vehicles become cleaner than gasoline cars? Reuters. Loeb, V. (2023, November 15). Corruption and Rights Abuses Are Flourishing in Lithium Mining Across Africa, a New Report Finds. Inside Climate News. Lopez, L. (2024, February 20). Elon Musk relied on China to fuel Tesla's rise. Now Beijing is turning on him. Business Insider. Maximum theoretical efficiency of internal combustion engine. (n.d.). Physics Stack Exchange. Retrieved April 24, 2024Milman, O. (2023, May 4). Carmakers are pushing electric SUVs, but smaller is better when it comes to EVs. The Guardian. Moseman, A. (2022, June 28). The U.S. only has 6,000 fast charging stations for EVs. Here's where they all are. MIT Technology Review. Nadel, S. (2024, January 10). Charging Ahead: How EVs Could Drive Down Electricity Rates | ACEEE. Www.aceee.org. Opinion, D. S. |, & November 29th 2017, E. |. (2017, November 29). Don't be fooled by attacks on the lithium battery. National Observer. Oxfam. (2023). Recharging Community Consent: Mining companies, battery minerals, and the battle to break from the past. Oxfamamerica.org. Randall, T. (2023, March 9). US Electric Cars Set Record With Almost 300-Mile Average Range. Bloomberg.com. Schmall, E., & Gross, J. (2024, January 17). Electric Car Owners Confront a Harsh Foe: Cold Weather. The New York Times. Smith, S. C. (2023, February 15). New “Right to Repair” legislation introduced in the House of Representatives. Hagerty Media. Stettler, M., Tetley, T., Wright, S., & Masen, M. (2023). Tyre wear particles are toxic for us and the environment 02 Imperial Zero Pollution Tyre wear particles are toxic for us and the environment. Takahashi, N. (2024, January 23). Toyota Chairman Predicts Battery Electric Cars Will Only Reach 30% Share. Bloomberg.com. Tarabinah, W. M. (2008). Oil Company-Community Conflict and Human Rights Violations in Bayelsa State. Journal of Social and Policy Issues, 5.3. Taub, E. A. (2022, October 19). E.V.s Start With a Bigger Carbon Footprint. But That Doesn't Last. The New York Times. The International Council on Clean Transportation. (n.d.). Five things you know about electric vehicles that aren't exactly true. International Council on Clean Transportation. The White House. (2023, February 15). FACT SHEET: Biden-Harris Administration Announces New Standards and Major Progress for a Made-in-America National Network of Electric Vehicle Chargers. The White House. Torchinsky, J. (2023, April 27). This Indian-Market Brochure For The New MG Comet EV Is Concentrated Cringe Injected Right Into Your Brain. The Autopian. Torchinsky, J. (2024a, January 5). You'll Never Guess The Technology That Hospital Beds And Premium Cars Share, And For Very Different Purposes. The Autopian. Torchinsky, J. (2024b, January 8). VW Will Be The First Carmaker To Offer Integrated ChatGPT After All None Of You Demanded It. The Autopian. Torchinsky, J. (2024c, January 24). EV Startup Canoo Announces Deal With Post Office To Provide A Comically Small Number Of Vans. The Autopian. Torchinsky, J. (2024d, February 27). Congratulations! You Have Achieved The Same Results As Apple's 10-Year-Long EV Program Which They Just Shut Down. The Autopian. Torchinsky, J. (2024e, March 29). Huge Smartphone Company Xiaomi Just Showed The World Their Under-$30,000 Tesla Model 3 Fighter. The Autopian. Torchinsky, J. (2024f, April 12). “Fully Automated AVs May Never Be Able To Operate Safely” Says One Of The Oldest Professional Computing Technology Organizations. The Autopian. United Nations. (2024, February 25). 5 things you should know about “clean energy” minerals and the dirty process of mining them | | UN News. News.un.org. Vehicle Technologies Office. (2023, July 10). FOTW #1298, July 10, 2023: The Highest EPA-Rated Fuel Economy for Model Year 2023 Was 140 Miles per Gallon Equivalent Achieved by Two Electric Vehicle Models. Energy.gov. Wallace, N., Irwin, A., & Kurczewski, N. (2023, March 23). Electric Cars with the Longest Driving Range, Ranked. Car and Driver. Witt, J. (2022, December 12). Winter & Cold Weather EV Range Loss in 7,000 Cars. Www.recurrentauto.com. Yang, Z. (2024, March 6). Chinese EVs have entered center stage in US-China tensions. MIT Technology Review. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Dr. Simon Evans, Deputy Editor and Senior Policy Editor at Carbon Brief join co-hosts David, Sara, and Ed, to tease apart EV fact from fiction. They examine why the attention EVs seem to draw is disproportionate to the number of EVs on the road today. Has the volume of negative EV media stories increased, or does it just seem that way to EV enthusiasts? What consumer concerns are legitimate regarding EVs, and what concerns are overblown by the media?Meanwhile some jurisdictions like Alberta are slapping $200 annual "levies" on EVs for supposedly causing more damage to roads than internal combustion engine vehicles. Will these anti-EV measures curb sales growth and market share? Lastly what does it all mean for governments like Canada's that have invested heavily in EV value chain manufacturing?About Our Guest:Simon Evans is deputy editor and policy editor at Carbon Brief. Simon covers climate and energy policy. He holds a PhD in biochemistry from Bristol University and previously studied chemistry at Oxford University. He worked for environment journal The ENDS Report for six years, covering topics including climate science and air pollution.___Energy vs Climate: How climate is changing our energy systemswww.energyvsclimate.com Twitter/X | Facebook | Instagram | Threads | Bluesky | YouTube | LinkedIn

Women and Girls on the Climate Change Frontline: Navigating Climate Change, a podcast series that shines a light on the women and girls leading the fight against climate change in the least developed countries.In this episode, we look at women and climate policy: advocating for Gender-Sensitive Solutions and Inclusive Decision-Making. This episode focused on the role of women in shaping climate policy. It examines the ways in which women are advocating for more gender-sensitive climate policies and working to ensure that their voices are heard in the decision-making process. Our Guests in this episode:Anju Sharma, is an experienced manager, researcher, writer, and editor with over 20 years of expertise in sustainable development, particularly in Asia. She showcases an extensive background in policy research, advocacy, and information curation related to sustainability. Committed to alleviating poverty while preserving the environment, Anju specializes in areas such as climate change mitigation, natural resource management, air pollution, and civil society engagement. Her work embodies a dedicated pursuit of sustainable and equitable society.https://www.linkedin.com/in/jusharma/Joelle Hangi is a refugee currently residing in Kenya, originally from the Democratic Republic of Congo. Joelle has worked in different research capacities with UNHCR Africa Office, Oxford's Refugee Studies Centre, University of Geneva's Human Rights Department, amongst other humanitarian organizations. All with a focus on improving and enabling refugee agency, autonomy, and rights. Currently, she is one of the 12 fellows of the inaugural RSC-BIEA Fellowship, which brings together early career researchers interested in matters of forced displacement. She also served as an Ashden judge for the Humanitarian Energy award. Her research interests include humanitarian aid, development aid particularly, the provision of and access to clean energy in displacement settings.https://www.linkedin.com/in/joelle-hangi/(E) Lisa (F) Schipper is Professor of Development Geography at the University of Bonn. Her work focuses on adaptation to climate change in the Global South, and looks at gender, religion and culture to understand what drives vulnerability. Lisa has lived and worked in Central and South America, East and West Africa and South and Southeast Asia. She was Co-ordinating Lead Author of Chapter 18 of the Working Group 2 contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (‘Climate Resilient Development Pathways') that was published in February 2022. She is co-Editor-in-Chief of the journal Climate and Development (Taylor and Francis) and member of the editorial board of the journals World Development Perspectives (Elsevier) and Global Transitions: Health Transitions (KeAi). She also serves as Contributing Editor of the Carbon Brief.https://www.linkedin.com/in/e-lisa-f-schipper-5638779/A show of this quality would not be possible without the incredible talent of Sarah Harris-Simpson, as well as the extraordinary and persistent support of Sorina Crisan and Eda Isik. Leave a ReviewThanks for listening! If you found the episode useful, please spread the word about this new show on Twitter mentioning

Remember when the airwaves were full of people questioning the idea of man-made climate change? You don't hear much from them any more - in large part becuase the evidence that our CO2 emissions are altering the climate has become so overwhelming.After a recap on how we know that carbon warms the climate, Tom and Stuart use this episode of The Studies Show to discuss climate predictions—er, I mean, projections—and how accurate they've been. They ask whether the media always gets it right when discussing climate (spoiler: no), and whether we should be optimistic or panicked about what's happening to the environment.The Studies Show is sponsored by Works in Progress magazine. Ever wondered what people mean when they talk about “progress studies”? Works in Progress is what they mean. It's a magazine bursting with fascinating articles on how science and technology have improved our lives - and how they could be even better in future. There's a whole new February 2024 issue out now - read it at this link.Show notes* 2023: the hottest year on record, with surprising and anomalous melting of ice in Antarctica* NASA on how the presence of CO2 in the atmosphere raises the Earth's temperature* Carbon Brief explains how scientists estimate climate sensitivity, and discusses the complexities of the latest climate models* The most recent IPCC report, from March 2023* The IEA's forecast of solar power, with the incredible and very optimistic graph mentioned in the episode:* Tom's unfortunately-titled Unherd article on the unlikely but much-discussed “RCP 8.5” scenario* Zeke Hausfather's study on matching up the projections of climate models with what actually happened years and decades later* Response from the sceptics (they still exist!)* Website offering responses to all the most common claims by climate change sceptics (e.g. “the Earth hasn't warmed since 1998”; “CO2 is plant food”)* Toby Ord on how, whereas climate change could be extremely bad, it's tricky to argue that it's a truly “existential” riskCredits and acknowledgementsThe Studies Show is produced by Julian Mayers at Yada Yada Productions. We're grateful to Karsten Haustein for talking to us for this episode (any errors are our own). This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thestudiesshowpod.com/subscribe

China steht für grob ein Drittel des weltweiten CO2-Ausstoßes. Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung hat für China Priorität. Für den Klimaschutz ist das eine schlechte Nachricht. Aber: Das Land treibt auch die Energiewende in hohem Tempo voran. In nur einem Jahr hat China mehr Solaranlagen installiert als die USA insgesamt! Einer neuen Studie zufolge könnten die CO2-Emissionen in China deshalb viel schneller sinken als bislang geplant. Manche Experten sagen: Schon in diesem Jahr könnte der Wendepunkt erreicht sein. Was das bedeutet und wie realistisch solche Prognosen wirklich sind, das beantworten Susanne Tappe und Arne Schulz in einem kurzen Update. Achtung: Kurzfolge! Auf der Suche nach Lösungen sind wir weiterhin für euch in Deutschland und den Nachbarländern unterwegs - und zeigen euch in ausführlichen Reportagen die Lösungen, die wirklich einen Unterschied machen. Ende März sind wir mit einer neuen Staffel zurück. In der Zwischenzeit erzählen wir euch in kurzen Updates, was aus Beispielen geworden ist, die wir euch früher vorgestellt haben. Und wir berichten kompakt von Entwicklungen, die uns hellhörig gemacht haben. * ALLE Folgen unseres Podcasts findet ihr in der ARD Audiothek: https://1.ard.de/MissionKlima_Podcast * Wie China in der Wüste die Energiewende beschleunigt: https://www.ardaudiothek.de/episode/mission-klima-loesungen-fuer-die-krise/wie-china-in-der-wueste-die-energiewende-beschleunigt/ndr-info/96511470/ * Aktuelle Eindrücke unserer China-Korrespondentinnen zur Klimapolitik der Volksrepublik: https://www.ndr.de/nachrichten/info/Klimapolitik-und-Klimawandel-in-China,audio1518672.html * Interviewpartner Nis Grünberg über Chinas Rolle in der internationalen Klimapolitik: https://merics.org/de/kommentar/getting-china-engage-climate-change * Analyse von Carbon Brief über die Möglichkeit fallender Emissionen in China im Jahr 2024? Analyse von Carbon Brief: https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-emissions-set-to-fall-in-2024-after-record-growth-in-clean-energy/

On this week's round table: colonial carbon culpability. Calling it a “first-of-its-kind analysis,” a recent study by Carbon Brief has crunched the numbers on some 170 years of emissions, seen through the lens of climate justice. Entitled, “How colonial rule radically shifts historical responsibility for climate change,” the report adds a critical dimension to addressing the question of what—and who—has brought us to the brink of depleting our cumulative carbon budget, the maximum CO2 our planet can handle before global temperatures rise to dangerous levels. Among those carbon culprits with a gigatonne to answer for: the former British Empire, so vast it's said every week a country somewhere celebrates their independence. So brutal that to factor in its era of extractive violence nearly doubles the UK's contribution to (and thus responsibility for) climate change. On this episode, host/producer Rick Harp and MI regular Candis Callison sit with study co-author Simon Evans to discuss this tally of twin legacies many still struggle to navigate and repair. // CREDITS: Our intro/xtro theme is 'nesting' by birocratic. Episode edited by Cassidy Villebrun-Buracas and Rick Harp.

The 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference, more commonly known as COP28, was held from 30 November to 12 December in Dubai. This year the main focus was global progress on the Paris Agreement, a crucial legally binding climate change deal signed by the parties in 2015. For Southasia, the conference was primarily about finding financial assistance for their communities, who face the worst impacts of climate change and have the highest adaptation costs. At the end of COP28, participants agreed to transition away from fossil fuels for the first time. Another milestone was the establishment of a loss and damage fund to help countries vulnerable to climate change. However, many participants said the language of the agreement did not go far enough and left too many loopholes to ensure the delivery of commitments on climate change. Developing countries were also left disappointed by a lack of financial support to mitigate the impacts of climate change In this edition of Himal Interviews, Assistant Editor Nayantara Narayanan interviews Simon Evans, deputy editor and senior policy editor at Carbon Brief. Simon covers climate and energy policy and closely followed the negotiations in Dubai during COP28 and spoke to Himal Southasian about historical carbon emissions and what they indicate about the impact of colonialism on climate change.

Continents apart and featuring LBM (Little Baby Muskovic) once more, your intrepid hosts dive into the eventful last few days of COP28 and swim around in the acronym soupy delight that is the first GST (Global Stocktake, not the pesky 10% tax). Fossil fuels? A transition away! Renewable energy? Triple ‘em! Energy efficiency? Double it! 1.5C? Is our North Star! Next round of NDCs? Parties better bring ‘em and make ‘em good! There is much to sum up here and we wanted to bring you Summeruperers the hottest of hot takes and so voila! Fresh out of the oven and off the plane from our journey home. Listen to our last episode where we summed up the first half of COP28, joined by special guest and climate reporter of note Dr Simon Evans from Carbon Brief. For bonus nerdery, read some of Tennant's extensive notes on the majlis and watch walk n' talk videos of us digesting the goings on as we stroll the COP venue at Dubai Expo City. And for dare we say it, even more backstory, jump in the delorean and listen to last year's episode recorded at COP27 in Sharm El-Sheikh.This is our final substantive episode of 2023, but stay tuned for our holiday special, which will feature our second annual award for the best climate and energy paper, the Wonkies!Send your hot tips and suggestions for paper, climate themed movies and COP questions to mailbag@letmesumup.net, xeet ‘em at @LukeMenzel, @TennantReed and @FrankieMuskovic, or blu ‘em at @lukemenzel.bsky.social @tennantreed.bsky.social and @frankiemuskovic.bsky.social 

Daisy Dunne, Special Correspondent for Carbon Brief and Dr. Cara Augustenborg of The Climate Change Advisory Council.

This year's COP28 gathering is wrapping up in Dubai and it turned out to be the most controversial climate conference in years where China was at the center of many of the most contentious discussions on how to mitigate the impact of global warming.China's positions at the conference were difficult to decipher. Chinese negotiators positioned themselves as a still developing country that's suffering the consequences of climate change while at the same time aligning many of their critical votes at COP28 with the fossil fuel-producing countries.Anika Patel, a China analyst at the online news site Carbon Brief, covered the Chinese delegation at COP28 in Dubai and joins Eric & Cobus to share of her insights into China's approach to climate politics at the conference.JOIN THE DISCUSSION:X: @ChinaGSProject| @stadenesque | @eric_olander | @_an_patelFacebook: www.facebook.com/ChinaAfricaProjectYouTube: www.youtube.com/@ChinaGlobalSouthFOLLOW CAP IN FRENCH AND ARABIC:Français: www.projetafriquechine.com | @AfrikChineعربي: www.akhbaralsin-africia.com | @AkhbarAlSinAfrJOIN US ON PATREON!Become a CAP Patreon member and get all sorts of cool stuff, including our Week in Review report, an invitation to join monthly Zoom calls with Eric & Cobus, and even an awesome new CAP Podcast mug!www.patreon.com/chinaglobalsouth

With the help of special guest and climate reporter of note Dr Simon Evans from Carbon Brief, your intrepid hosts sum up all the hot button issues from the first week of COP28. Global Stocktake! Tripling up on renewables! Doubling down on energy efficiency! Phase-down of fossil fuels! Phase-out of fossil fuels! Abated or Unabated! We cover it all, as well the vibe on the ground and around the pavilions, Team Australia's presence at this COP (coffee diplomacy soldiers on) and wild speculation on the location of the next three (!) COPs.Listen to our last episode where we preview key issues on the agenda at COP28, and for even more context, jump in the delorean and listen to last year's episode recorded at COP27 in Sharm El-Sheikh.You can find Dr Simon Evans on the site formerly known as Twitter and you can read Carbon Brief's excellent article on why defining the ‘phaseout' of ‘unabated' fossil fuels at COP28 is so important.Tennant's note about a bad LSE paper on the impacts of EU CBAM on Africa is here.And if you Summerupperers can't get enough COP chat, check out our video updates as we roamed the grounds at COP during the first week here and here.Send your hot tips and suggestions for paper, climate themed movies and COP questions to mailbag@letmesumup.net, xeet ‘em at  @LukeMenzel, @TennantReed and @FrankieMuskovic, or blu ‘em at @lukemenzel.bsky.social @tennantreed.bsky.social and @frankiemuskovic.bsky.social.

This week, the RRS Sir David Attenborough arrived in Antarctica to start its first full season of science in the polar region. Dr Nadine Johnston reveals more about the mission and the research they'll be carrying out. Next up, medical geneticist Professor Shahida Moosa and her student Jessica Jane Cormick are working to help diagnose and treat rare diseases. They explain why better genetic databases for Africans are urgently needed. We also hear from Simon Evans of the Carbon Brief, who has just completed an analysis that found the responsibility for climate change dramatically shifts once historical rule and colonialism are taken into account. Finally, a new study has revealed that emissions from coal-fired power plants have led to the deaths of nearly half a million Americans in the last 20 years. Professor Cory Zigler, from the University of Texas at Austin, tells us more. Presenter: Roland Pease Producer: Alice Lipscombe-Southwell Editor: Martin Smith Production Co-ordinator: Jana Bennett-Holesworth Sounds provided by: Nadine Johnston and Katherine Turner from BAS and the University of Southampton(Image: A general view of the RRS David Attenborough vessel on October 28, 2021 in Greenwich, England. Credit: Photo by Leon Neal/Getty Images)

Three news stories summarized & contextualized by analytic journalist Colin Wright.Gaza hostage deal challenges are 'just logistical,' Qatar saysSummary: The Qatari prime minister has said that he believes the main impasses preventing a hostage deal between Israel and Hamas have been cleared, and the only real issues, at the moment, are logistical in nature.Context: The Qataris have been positioning themselves as neutral third-parties in discussions and negotiations between Hamas and Israel following the former's sneak-attack on the latter on October 7, and Israel's subsequent attack on the Gaza Strip, which has led to a staggering number of Palestinian deaths; as things stand, it's estimated that Hamas still holds around 240 hostages they took during that sneak-attack, and an initial deal, if it goes through, would probably result in the release of around 50 of them in exchange for a multi-day ceasefire.—ReutersOne Sentence News is a reader-supported publication. To support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.Petrobras aims to transform Brazil into global energy powerSummary: Brazil is the ninth-largest oil producing nation in the world based on its current output, but the Brazilian government has ambitions to become the fourth-largest by the end of the decade, mostly by expanding its offshore pumping efforts via its state-controlled energy company, Petrobras.Context: This is just one of many major fossil fuel reinvestments by nations, companies, and nation-controlled companies like Petrobras happening around the world right now, and though many of these same entities are also flogging and promoting clean energy investments—a seeming contradiction—these entities claim they need to have contemporary energy security, usually predicated on fossil fuels, if they're going to be in the position to make those next-step moves (though many critics say this is a nonsensical, trying-to-have-it-both-ways argument).—Financial TimesOpenAI investors try to get Sam Altman back as CEO after sudden firingSummary: A bit of drama overtook the tech world over the weekend as the board of high-flying AI startup OpenAI booted their CEO, Sam Altman, which led to the resignation of the company's president and several senior scientists, as well.Context: There's reportedly an effort to get Altman back in charge at OpenAI, though the degree to which this is more rumor than practical fact is still unknown; what is known, though, is that Microsoft—which bought a minority stake in the company for $13 billion and has since integrated their popular ChatGPT tech into their products—is pissed about not having been notified about what was going down, and Altman has suggested he may start a new company, post-ouster, which could mean the firehose of attention and investment shifts from OpenAI to that new, theoretical entity, if things don't re-stabilize in OpenAI's favor, soon.—The New York TimesChina's CO2 emissions may enter a full-on structural decline beginning in 2024, due to investments it has made in renewable energy infrastructure, and a rebound in hydro-power after a period of drought that reduced its hydro capacity.—Carbon Brief$35 billionSize of two-year, flexible credit line the International Monetary Fund has approved for Mexico.The Mexican government has said that the credit line is meant to be precautionary, giving it resources to tap into (if necessary) to keep its current broad-based expansion chugging along.The IMF has granted these sorts of credit lines to Mexico a total of ten times since 2009, and while Mexico's economy is exposed to some elevated risks at the moment, representatives from the IMF have said that the country is in a strong overall position.—ReutersTrust Click Get full access to One Sentence News at onesentencenews.substack.com/subscribe

Many of the world's largest companies are setting net-zero climate goals, and they're using carbon credits to get there. That means they can keep producing carbon emissions as long as they pay for emissions to be reduced elsewhere. But do carbon credits actually incentivize companies to reduce their emissions? On the show today, Pedro Martins Barata, associate vice president for carbon markets at the Environmental Defense Fund, explains what carbon credits are and the ethical concerns with companies relying on them to meet net-zero emissions goals. Plus, what future regulation of carbon markets could look like. Then, we’ll unpack the good and bad news in the latest U.S. climate assessment. And, some industries are compensating for widespread staffing shortages by requiring employees to work excessive overtime. Later, we’ll hear about how some farmers are combating climate change. And, this week's answer to the Make Me Smart question was inspired by a listener. Here’s everything we talked about today: “Fossil-fuel company net zero plans ‘largely meaningless,’ report says” from Reuters “Carbon credit speculators could lose billions as offsets deemed ‘worthless'” from The Guardian “The Climate Solution Actually Adding Millions of Tons of CO2 Into the Atmosphere” from ProPublica “Analysis: How some of the world's largest companies rely on carbon offsets to ‘reach net-zero'” from Carbon Brief “Action needed to make carbon offsets from forest conservation work for climate change mitigation” from Science “Carbon offsets: What are they and do they work?” from CNN Business “36-hour shifts, 80-hour weeks: Workers are being burned out by overtime” from NBC News “US climate assessment lays out growing threats, opportunities as temperatures rise” from Reuters “Farm fields don’t just feed us. They store carbon. But a big question is how much” from AP News We want to hear your answer to the Make Me Smart question. You can reach us at makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.

Many of the world's largest companies are setting net-zero climate goals, and they're using carbon credits to get there. That means they can keep producing carbon emissions as long as they pay for emissions to be reduced elsewhere. But do carbon credits actually incentivize companies to reduce their emissions? On the show today, Pedro Martins Barata, associate vice president for carbon markets at the Environmental Defense Fund, explains what carbon credits are and the ethical concerns with companies relying on them to meet net-zero emissions goals. Plus, what future regulation of carbon markets could look like. Then, we’ll unpack the good and bad news in the latest U.S. climate assessment. And, some industries are compensating for widespread staffing shortages by requiring employees to work excessive overtime. Later, we’ll hear about how some farmers are combating climate change. And, this week's answer to the Make Me Smart question was inspired by a listener. Here’s everything we talked about today: “Fossil-fuel company net zero plans ‘largely meaningless,’ report says” from Reuters “Carbon credit speculators could lose billions as offsets deemed ‘worthless'” from The Guardian “The Climate Solution Actually Adding Millions of Tons of CO2 Into the Atmosphere” from ProPublica “Analysis: How some of the world's largest companies rely on carbon offsets to ‘reach net-zero'” from Carbon Brief “Action needed to make carbon offsets from forest conservation work for climate change mitigation” from Science “Carbon offsets: What are they and do they work?” from CNN Business “36-hour shifts, 80-hour weeks: Workers are being burned out by overtime” from NBC News “US climate assessment lays out growing threats, opportunities as temperatures rise” from Reuters “Farm fields don’t just feed us. They store carbon. But a big question is how much” from AP News We want to hear your answer to the Make Me Smart question. You can reach us at makemesmart@marketplace.org or leave us a voicemail at 508-U-B-SMART.

Welcome back to Wicked Problems - the climate tech podcast that has to be as good as other podcasts, but backwards and in heels.Richard and Claire chat through Akshat Rathi's new book, Climate Capitalism.They also reflect on their reactions to the new research that says staying under 1.5C of warming might be out of reach, their conversations with Ketan Joshi and Susan Joy Hassol. And the answers to the question, what should we be saying about the 1.5C target in light of their new research - from Leo Hickman of Carbon Brief, asked by James Murray at the BusinessGreen Net Zero Festival, and Akshat Rathi of Bloomberg and Solitare Townsend of the consultancy, Futerra.Subscribe at news.wickedproblems.uk to get more episodes, and our newsletter.Some of the episodes and resources we reference:* Climate Capitalism, by Akshat Rathi - tl;dl - It's great and you should buy multiple copies.Other episodes we reference: Ketan Joshi, Susan Joy Hassol, BusinessGreen Net Zero Festival, Alastair Campbell Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

How can America be expected to lead when we don't want to?!Join Nebula (and get 40% off an annual subscription): https://go.nebula.tv/deniersplaybookBONUS EPISODES available on Patreon (https://www.patreon.com/deniersplaybook) SOCIALS & MORE (https://linktr.ee/deniersplaybook)CREDITS Hosts: Rollie Williams & Nicole Conlan Executive Producer: Ben Boult Audio Producer: Gregory Haddock Researcher: Carly Rizzuto & Canute HaroldsonArt: Jordan Doll Music: Tony Domenick SOURCESHaley, N. (2023, August 23). 2024 First Republican Presidential Debate in FULL. YouTube.Kurz, J. (2020, February 28). ‘But what about China and India?' National Observer.European Commission. (2022). CO2 emissions of all world countries. EDGAR - The Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research.Our Changing Climate. (2023, May 5). Why China Isn't the Problem. YouTube.Carbon footprint hotspots: Mapping China's export-driven emissions. (2020, May 7). University of Michigan News.Friedman, L. (2023, July 19). U.S. and China on Climate: How the World's Two Largest Polluters Stack Up. The New York Times.Evans, S. (2021, October 5). Analysis: Which countries are historically responsible for climate change? Carbon Brief.Union of Concerned Scientists. (2023, July 12). Each Country's Share of CO2 Emissions. Union of Concerned Scientists.Yeung, J., Gan, N., & George, S. (2021, August 23). Analysis: Beijing's fight for cleaner air is a rare victory for public dissent. CNN. Mailloux, N. A., Abel, D. W., Holloway, T., & Patz, J. A. (2022). Nationwide and regional PM2.5-related air quality health benefits from the removal of energy-related emissions in the United States. GeoHealth, 6, e2022GH000603.Hersher, R. (2022, May 17). Eliminating fossil fuel air pollution would save about 50,000 lives, study finds. NPR.Mathiesen, K., & Posaner, J. (2023, September 15). How China schooled the West on climate change. POLITICO.Schonhardt, S. (2023, January 30). China Invests $546 Billion in Clean Energy, Far Surpassing the U.S. Scientific American. McGeever, J. (2023, August 20). The ultimate 2023 consensus-buster - US grows faster than China? Reuters.Gross Domestic Product, Fourth Quarter and Year 2022 (Third Estimate), GDP by Industry, and Corporate Profits. (2023, March 30). Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA).Gross domestic product (GDP) at current prices in China from 1985 to 2022 with forecasts until 2028. (2023). Statista.Gallagher, K. S. (2023, August 3). The Right Way for America and China to Cooperate on Climate. Foreign Affairs.Begert, B. (2023, September 12). Newsom announces climate-focused trip to China. POLITICO.See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info.

Throughout September we're bringing you special episodes as we hear from brilliant guests with amazing insider knowledge on how best to save you money. Today we're joined by Molly Lempriere, Policy Editor at news site Carbon Brief. She explains why bills have risen, whether moving to renewable energy sources could see our bills drop, and share tips and advice on how we can improve green credentials of our own homes. Read our 10 tips to reduce your energy bills & sign up to our free sustainability newsletter.

Heat this summer has not been normal for most of the world. Globally, July 2023 was the hottest month on record, mainly because the oceans are at record-high temperatures. This week the team talked with climate scientist Zeke Hausfather about the short term and long term reasons why. They also discuss how we get the ocean data, whether that be from satellites, remote controlled ocean floats, and in some cases — seals. Yes, seals. We want to hear from you! Have a question for the meteorologists? Call 609-272-7099 and leave a message. You might hear your question and get an answer on a future episode! You can also email questions or comments to podcasts@lee.net. About the Across the Sky podcast The weekly weather podcast is hosted on a rotation by the Lee Weather team: Matt Holiner of Lee Enterprises' Midwest group in Chicago, Kirsten Lang of the Tulsa World in Oklahoma, Joe Martucci of the Press of Atlantic City, N.J., and Sean Sublette of the Richmond Times-Dispatch in Virginia. Episode transcript Note: The following transcript was created by Adobe Premiere and may contain misspellings and other inaccuracies as it was generated automatically: Hello everyone. I'm meteorologist Sean Sublette and welcome to Across the Sky our national Lee Enterprises weather podcast. Lee Enterprises has print and digital news operations in more than 70 locations across the country, including at my home base in Richmond, Virginia. I'm joined by my meteorologist colleague Matt Holiner in Chicago. My pals Kirsten Lang and Joe Martucci out of the office today. Our guest this week is Zeke Hausfather, a climate scientist. Very deep into the data, has a wealth of information about how much warming is taking place globally. And we really wanted to pick his brain about what's going on in the oceans this year in particular. There has been so much buzz, Matt, about how hot the oceans are right now. So we wanted to kind of get into some of the reasons for that. Yeah, that's the headline I think grabbed people's attention. Of course, you know, as soon as there was those 100 degree temperature readings off the coast of Florida, then immediately all the headlines were Hot Tub water and everybody knows what a hot tub feels like. It's like, yeah, I don't think the ocean should just be naturally that hot if it's, you know, not being artificially heated. But I mean, it is just getting warmer. But I also think that sometimes, you know, and that's the challenge, you know, where there's, you know, still doubt, unfortunately, that comes up with climate change because then certain things get exaggerated because there is something because they're also following that. Lots of headlines about the thermal hailing circulation shutting down. And what I liked in our discussion coming up with Zeke was he really dived into that and explained how likely it is and what's really going to happen, because immediately all the means of the day after tomorrow came and it's like, oh, the ocean current shuts down. It's going to be a global ice age, you know? Whoa, whoa, whoa. Let's talk about what's really going to happen, how likely the circulation shutting down really is. That was just one of the things that we discuss about with them. But it's always good to come back to the experts that really know what's going on rather than just people just throwing stuff out there on social media because there's a there's still a lot of bad stuff on social media. Yeah. And he talked about, you know, if you've never heard of the thermo heal hailing circular ocean, sometimes it's called the MOOC. It has a lot of different nicknames, but he talks about what that is why it's important. He also addressed that 101 degree water temperature, some some things that are going on with that. And we just talked about where we're climate changes now and how much more warming we should expect. So lots to get to with our conversation with Dr. Zeke Zeke Hausfather, let's go right to it. Dr. Zeke Hausfather father is the climate research lead for STRIVE and a research scientist with Berkeley. Earth is a climate scientist and IPCC author whose research focuses on observational temperature records, climate models, carbon renew, removal and mitigation technologies. Zeke also serves as science science contributor to Carbon Brief and was previously the director of climate and energy at the Breakthrough Institute, the lead data scientist at SS, the Chief Scientist at Sea 3ai and Co-Founder and Chief Scientist of Efficiency 2.0. And on top of all that, in his spare time, whatever spare time he has, he runs a very excellent substack with Andrew Dessler over at Texas A&M called the Climate Brink. So we are just pleased as punch as Mama used to say, to have Zeke Harris father with us on Across the sky. Thanks so much for joining us. Noah is excited to be here. All right. So let's jump right into the whole oceans thing. This has been on top of everybody's climate weather minds for several weeks now about how warm the oceans have been this year with regard to the longer term record. So before we get into the specifics about why they're so warm this year, talk a little bit about, I guess, the metadata, the data sets that we are using and why we are so confident about making such a statement about the oceans being as warm as they are right now. Sure. So we've collected ocean data for a long time. It was, in fact back in the 1840, as there is an international convention to standardize the collection of temperature data from ships, in part to better understand shipping routes, weather conditions to make ship journeys more predictable. In fact, the reason we start global temperature records like those we produce at Berkeley Earth or NOAA's or the UK Met Office record in 1850 is because that's when we start getting enough ocean data to at least, you know, with reasonable errors, estimate global temperatures. So in the early days we used to measure ocean temperatures by throwing wooden buckets over the sides of ships, pulling them up, sticking a thermometer in and writing it down in the captain's logbook. Funny story that actually had some biases because as you're pulling a bucket up the side of a ship, it evaporates. Some of the water evaporates off the top and that cools the remaining water in the bucket. And so you actually get slightly cooler temperatures with buckets around World War Two. We switched primarily to ship engine room and take ballast where the water goes through the whole of the ship to cool the engine. You know, these are steamships or, you know, more modern diesel ships. And it turns out engine rooms are a little warmer. So you have some biases there and translating from buckets to ship endurance. And then starting around 1980, we really transitioned in large part to automated systems that, you know, there's thousands of them. They float around the ocean, they send data up to satellites. And in more recent years since the nineties, we have satellite radio monitors that can measure the ocean skin temperature directly. And it turns out that all these different sets of instruments largely agree with each other. You know, you have to correct the biases when you switch from one to the other, of course. But if you do that, you get a pretty good consistent, high quality record of ocean temperatures since at least 1850. And certainly, you know, we have incredibly good records, you know, for the last few decades when we have satellites and buoys and ships and these awesome robots called Argo floats that float around the ocean and dive down to 2000 meters and sample all the ocean heat content and other variables on their way up. So we're really in the golden age of climate data, particularly when it comes to the ocean today. Real quick, before we talk a little bit more about this year, just for my own thing, in my own mind, I know the Argo floats have become very popular recently. Off the top of your head, an approximation, the you know, to a first order of magnitude about how many of these Argo floats are kind of out there right now. The latest number I heard and it's a couple of years old at this point, but it's about 3500 Argo floats and they're pretty well distributed around the ocean. There's a few areas they don't get, so they're not great at going under sea ice. In fact, scientists have figured out a pretty cool hack for that. And they actually put thermometers on the top of SEAL's heads like wild animals. And they dive under the sea ice to get temperatures there. The Argo plates can't go easily. Wait, wait, wait. They put a thermometer on top of the head of a seal. Yep. A couple hundred seals have thermometers on their heads and they're taking measurements. They're very small there. I'm guessing this is a very tiny electro radio transmitter is not something like that. Yeah, it's a liquid and glass thermometer sticking on there, Ed? No, no. There's a like a little transmitter on the SEALs head that's, you know, pretty small and unobtrusive, but takes measurements when the seals under the ice and then sends it off to a satellite when they get back to the surface and they track the seals and, you know, take it off their head after, you know, a year or so and then, you know, rotate new seals into the the seal temperature monitoring core. So that's one area that scientists had to fill in the gaps a little bit. The other is the deep ocean. So our current Argo network mostly goes down to about 2000 meters or, you know, 6000 feet or so below that. We haven't had as many measuring systems historically. But there's a new deep Argo program that's trying to fill in some of those gaps. That's amazing. Matt, you want to jump in with anything? Yeah, I'm still wrapping my mind around seals taking temperature readings for us. That is, if you Google it, there's some very, very adorable pictures of seals with little instruments on their heads. I'm sure. I'm sure. You know, my my question is, you know, as far as the coverage goes and I mean, we're talking about, you know, it seems like in many locations, you know, sea surface temperatures on the rise. I mean, a combination of El Nino and but also in the Atlantic, seeing the sea surface temperatures on the rise. But I'm trying to kind of get into more of the details about instead of just saying sea surface temperatures are on rise everywhere, are there certain locations where we're really seeing a particular rise more so than other parts of the planet? Yeah. So historically, you know, over long term changes, you know, some parts of the ocean warming slightly slower than others, like southern oceans. Ocean is always a bit wonky because it has, you know, a lot of overturning circulation and a lot of deep mixing. There's a weird cold patch off the southeast of Greenland that may be related to a slowdown in the thermal handling circulation, though there's a lot of debate around that. But historically, the oceans have generally warmed at similar rates. This year, though, we've seen this really crazy warmth in the North Atlantic that is far beyond, you know, the level of warming we're seeing in other ocean basins. And so that's that's been really remarkable. And a lot of people have, you know, focused on that as a, you know, very unusual thing and tried to look at different potential explanations for it. And I kind of want to follow up with that thermo hayling circulation, because immediately when you talk about that, I think of the movie the Day After Tomorrow and how the ocean currents shut down and then suddenly there is this mass blizzard. We went into an ice age. So can you talk about the likelihood of this ocean currents shutting down and what would actually happen if it did happen? And is it going to be at the scale of the day after tomorrow? Sure. So let's start with the likelihood and then we can talk about the day after tomorrow. So scientists have historically thought the likelihood of a shutdown this century is quite low. You know, most of our climate models show it slowing down, in part as you have a lot of freshwater runoff from Greenland. So to back up a little bit the way the thermal handling circulation fundamentally works is that as water is traveling north in wind driven currents in the Atlantic, more and more of the water at the surface evaporates, which means that what's left over gets more and more salty because the salt stays when the water evaporates. And as it gets salty enough, it gets denser. And once it gets dense enough, it starts to sink. And so that drives one of the big ocean circulations is the sinking of saltier water in the North Atlantic. But it turns out if you start melting Greenland really quickly, you dump much of freshwater into the North Atlantic and that can make it less salty, which then makes it not sink, which then can slow down and eventually shut down the circulation. So climate models historically have not expected a shutdown this century, though they had expected to slow down in the last few years. There's been a couple more speculative papers suggesting that the models might be missing some things and that, you know, the possibility of a shutdown this century is is higher than previously anticipated. That said, this is still a very much on the bleeding edge of science. So I don't think any of us can say with confidence what's likely to happen this century. We just can't rule out a shutdown. Now, if a shutdown were to occur, it's important to emphasize this doesn't mean the Gulf Stream is shutting down. The Gulf Stream is driven by the rotation of the Earth and winds. It's not going anywhere, but the thermal healing is still very important for heat transfer, particularly to northern Europe. And so if we were to see a shutdown, we would see temperatures drop, you know, over, you know, coastal northern Europe, probably by, you know, three or four degrees centigrade on average. Some parts around Iceland, you know, you might even get to like eight degrees C drop compared to current temperatures. Not quite day after tomorrow levels, you know, we're not going to see the oceans freeze or, you know, New York become a a winter permanent winter arctic. You know, we're really talking more about the European side of of the North Atlantic, where the biggest effects could be felt. And over the long term, you know, the effects of warming for most countries in Europe would outweigh the cooling issues associated with the shutdown. It still be bad. You know what affect rainfall patterns a bunch in problematic ways. You know, it would mean it was a lot cooler, particularly in places like the UK. It wouldn't be a good outcome, but at this point, you know, we're still very much digging through the data and modeling and and trying to get a clearer picture of what exactly is happening with it and what is likely to happen as Greenland melt picks up. Yeah, I know there was a lot of buzz about this in the last couple of weeks with that I think was a nature communications paper that came out to kind of reignite that conversation back to the to the North Atlantic and the overall global oceans. Well, obviously, climate change is a big issue, which kind of the overall background driver. But talk a little bit about a couple of these other things that have kind of bubbled ahead or forward. On top of that, you know, obviously El Nino is going on, but there are there's discussions about an underwater volcano in the South Pacific, how fuels and shipping lanes in the North Atlantic might have changed. Could you just talk a little bit about those other kind of mitigating factors and what how much they may or may not be playing a role? So let's start with the volcano and then talk a bit about sulfur. So there was a very large eruption in Tonga in 2022 of of an underwater volcano. And it affected the climate not by providing key to the oceans because the amount of heat provided by volcanoes, the oceans is actually pretty negligible on a global scale compared to the amount of heat that's being trapped by greenhouse gases. But what this volcano did that was really weird compared to most volcanoes we see is it shot an incredible amount of water vapor, incredibly high into the atmosphere. It put about 150 million metric tons of water into the stratosphere, which is a part of the atmosphere that doesn't have much water vapor in it usually. And that matters a lot to the climate because water vapor itself is a strong greenhouse gas, But because water vapor, you know, rains out, if you get too much in the atmosphere, it it doesn't last for long. So it can't really accumulate. But the stratosphere is a little different because there's so little water vapor up there. If you put water vapor up there, it doesn't rain out. And it can stay in the stratosphere for a lot longer than you'd have water stay in the lower part of the atmosphere. It takes a couple of years to clear out, you know, water vapor and into the stratosphere. And so while most volcanoes actually cool the planet by putting sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, if they're really big volcanoes, this one unusually actually likely warmed the planet by putting a lot more water vapor in than it put in CO2. Now, there's been a couple of papers on this that estimated that globally, the magnitude, the effect is probably somewhere in the range of 0.15 Watch per meter squared. That's a very wonky number. We used to estimate the amount of energy trapped in their system, but to convert them to numbers, people might understand, You know, we're probably talking about somewhere in the range of, you know, five hundredths of a degree centigrade of warming associated this volcano. So 0.05 C, which is not nothing but is not nearly as big as the, you know, excursions and temperature we're seeing globally. Is there a limit to these temperatures? Is there a threshold like, you know, is there a certain level where the oceans can't get any warmer or are we going to continue to just sled? You know, now an X is going to be 101, 102. I mean, is there a threshold about a limit to where we're going to go and just kind of talk about how exceptional that 100 degree temperature really is? Yeah. So I think the provisional record was actually 101. Now, granted, it was in an area of very shallow water with a lot of like biomass in the water that can absorb sunlight. So those areas do get in the high nineties pretty frequently. But this was very, very high. And we've seen, you know, high 90 degree temperatures around the Florida Keys a lot this year. So I think that's, you know, another sign of this exceptional thing that's happening in the North Atlantic in terms of temperatures as far as like how hot it can get, you know, there's not a functional limit that says like when the oceans reach, I don't know, 102 degrees, they don't increase anymore. But what you do have is this sort of relationship where the hotter a surface is, the more heat it radiates. And it actually radiates heat at the fourth power of temperature to get a little wonky. So you have this Stefan Boltzmann equation at work. And so what that means is that the hotter it gets, the more heat it's getting up to the atmosphere, the harder it is to warm up further because it's giving off more and more heat as it gets hotter. And so that there ends up being a bit of a negative feedback, as we call it, a countervailing factor of it's just hard to get things that are already hot, hotter compared to getting up cool things. And so that does help provide a bit of a limitation to how hot it can get. I guess on some point it it's a limit of diminishing return once you gets to a certain temperature profile, I'm assuming. Yep. All right. Good deal. It's one of the reasons why climate change doesn't run away as easily on Earth, which is a good thing. Yes, we like to tell people the planet's not going to turn into Venus any time soon. We got to take a quick break. We'll have more with Zeke House father when we come back on the Across the Sky podcast. And we're back with Zeke House Father, a climate scientist with numerous organizations. There's a lot of work. Also has a wonderful substack for for folks who aren't very deep into climate science. He runs out with Andrew Dessler over at Texas A&M called the Climate Brink. I want to go back to the the current state of the oceans. We talked a little bit about the underwater volcano in the South Pacific, but there's been a lot of buzz on how fuels used in shipping. Traffic in the North Atlantic may have played a role. Can you talk a little bit more about that? Sure. So when we think about climate change happening more broadly on Earth, you know, we know that the greenhouse gases we're putting in the atmosphere are warming the planet, but it's not the only thing that humans but the atmosphere. We also put a lot of sulfur dioxide into the atmosphere. You know, it comes as a byproduct of burning fossil fuels, primarily in sulfur dioxide, it turns out, is actually a strong cooling effect on the climate. And that's through two different mechanisms. The first is what we call the direct effect, which is that it's very like sulfur dioxide particles are very reflective. So some sunlight hits those particles in the atmosphere. It bounces back up to space and it just dims the sun essentially at the surface. You know, some people call it global dimming and in areas that are very polluted because of that. The second is the indirect effect where sulfur dioxide particles and aerosols in the atmosphere can serve as cloud condensation nuclei and so can increase the amount of cloudiness in regions where you have a lot of CO2. And you see this, you know, in contrails from planes and ship tracks, from ships that are going over the ocean where you see like clouds forming in the wake of the ship because of all the CO2 that's coming out of that stack. And it turns out those sort of clouds are good at reflecting sunlight and cooling the surface. So historically, we've used pretty dirty fuel for ships. You know, it's sort of the fuel that's leftover from oil distillation that's too dirty to burn on land because it would tell us how old are clean air rules. We actually call it bunker fuel. So it's very like tarry goopy stuff that's leftover at the bottom of the stack after oil distillation, and it turns out is a very high sale for content. And the reason ships are allowed to burn it is because they're mostly far from shore. And, you know, you have less air pollution concerns in the middle of the Atlantic or middle of the Pacific. But unfortunately ships are still using it near port. And a bunch of studies in recent years have found that it has some pretty nasty health impacts on people who live near shore. There's one study estimated that something like 60,000 people worldwide die prematurely a year because of ship based sulfur pollution. And so because of that, there's been a big push over the last decade to try to phase out sulfur in marine fuels to reduce the harmful human health impacts of burning it. But about 10% of all global sulfur emissions come from ships. And in the year 2020, the International Maritime Organization put in a new set of rules, essentially reducing the amount of sulfur that ships could emit by 90%. So if you think about 10% of all of our sulfur emissions globally coming from ships, we reduce that 90%. You get, you know, somewhere around a 9% reduction in all global aerosol CO2 emissions, sulfur dioxide emissions. And that's a pretty big deal. You know, in the recent IPCC report, our best estimate was that, you know, aerosols cooled the planet by about half a degree. C And so if you have a 9% reduction in one year going forward and all of aerosol emissions, you know, 9% of half a degree, C is still a pretty big number. You know, it's like .05 C And so there is likely roughly that level of additional warming globally from reducing these aerosol emissions. But the thing is, these ships are not emitting globally. They're emitting in particular regions, particularly the North Atlantic, in the North Pacific. And so in those regions we expect a much bigger climate effect from removing these aerosols, reducing the amount of ship tracks and cloudiness in those shipping corridors. So my colleague at Berkeley Earth, Robert Rohde, he did an analysis where he looked at essentially what's the difference between the temperatures we're seeing over the shipping tracks after the year 2021, the face of this fuel and the other parts of the ocean. And he found that after 2020, those regions warmed about 0.2 see more than the rest of the global ocean. And so we can say, you know, the sort of shipping track regions in the North Atlantic, North Pacific are probably had at least 2/10 of a degree warming in the last few years because we phased out this low sulfur or sorry, we based off the high sulfur fuel required muscle fuel. All right. So I'm going to turn this over to Matt before I do, I have two quick follow ups. One is for my own mind, when we think about CO2 being kind of reflective, are we are you saying the CO2 molecule or as as an aerosol with other impurities and too, what is the the the general lifetime of CO2 and those aerosols in the atmosphere before they finally settle out? The reflectivity is primarily the sulfur molecule itself, but it is in an aerosolized form when it's sort of moving around the lower atmosphere, the troposphere, the lifetimes are generally talking about on the order of weeks. You know, it falls up pretty quickly in the troposphere. If you were to put it in the stratosphere, as we see with like large volcanic eruptions like Mount Pinatubo, there you have the resonance time in the short years. You know, most probably about half of it falls out in the first year. But there's a bit of a tail before it all falls out of the stratosphere. That's why, you know, we saw something like half a degree C cooling globally the year after Mount Pinatubo erupted. It's because it put so much CO2 up into the stratosphere and that hung around for, you know, couple of years after that, suppressing temperatures. And while we're looking at these other issues that are that are playing into this, you know, another story and that's what I want to kind of focus on. It is a completely separate story, is it's tied together is the plastic pollution problem in the oceans. We keep hearing about the increasing amount of plastic in the oceans. And of course, there's lots of negatives associated with that. But I wonder if there's been any research at all. Is the plastic, the amount of plastic in the ocean having an impact on the sea surface temperatures, whether lowering them or raising them, or does it seem to not have an impact and it's just a separate environmental issue? It's a great question. You know, I haven't seen any research on no beetle effects of plastic. I think that even places like the Great Pacific Garbage Patch, which is a very evocative name, you know, it's not that dense. It's not like if you're going in a boat through there, it's just the surface of the ocean is covered with plastic. It's like there's pieces here and there. So I'm sure it has an effect because seawater is dark and absorbs sunlight. Plastic is generally not as dark as seawater and reflects sunlight. You know, there probably is on the margins, a cooling effect, but I suspect it's not particularly strong. But it is a big issue, obviously, for for wildlife. And I'm sure a lot of your listeners have seen, you know, David Attenborough's documentaries of like seabirds and remote islands with plastic in their bellies. And you know, these tragic pictures of, Yeah, let's think forward a little bit. We have made globally some progress in terms of of emissions at least regarding coal. Coal is in decline, at least in a lot of places. My understanding is that China is throwing everything out there, solar and coal and everything. But the demand for coal isn't as high as it used to be. Having said that, we still are burning a lot of fossil fuels that aren't necessarily coal. So some of the worst case scenarios we imagined 15, 20 years ago don't appear like they're going to be coming to fruition. It doesn't mean it's not going to be bad. But when we look at where policies have kind of evolved to now, how much warming you know, now in the pipeline should we kind of expect in the coming several decades? And that's a broad question, but let's just just kind of attack where we've come, how far we've come in the last ten or 20 years and and how that might translate forward. Yeah. So so a decade ago, things looked really dire for the Earth's climate in terms of where we were heading. You know, global coal use had doubled over the course of a decade. China was building a new coal plant just like every three days. And the idea that the 21st century could be dominated by coal, where we'd, you know, double or triple our emissions by 2100 didn't seem that far fetched. You know, today we're in a very different world. Thankfully, you know, clean energy has gotten cheap, but most of the new energy being built worldwide is renewables today, or at least clean energy. That's it's low carbon. And, you know, global coal use has pretty much flatlined since 2013 or so, which also means that global emissions of CO2 have more or less flatlined over the last decade. The problem is that when I say emissions of flatland, it sort of makes you think, oh, that means global warming is stopped too, Right? But it doesn't quite work that way. The world is going to keep warming as long as our emissions of CO2 remain above zero. That's really the brutal math of climate change, is that it's not enough just to stop emissions from increasing. You actually have to get them all all the way down to zero to stop warming. If we just line emissions like we are today, what that means is that warming continues at the rate that we've been experiencing for the last decade or 2.2 C per decade or so. And so if you look at a bunch of different assessments of where we're headed today, and it's been done by the International Energy Agency and the United Nations Governmental Program and groups like, you know, Climate Action Tracker, they all more or less agree that, you know, we're headed for a world of of around three degrees C, maybe slightly below by 2100. That compares to a world of, you know, four or five C that seemed possible a decade ago. And so that does reflect progress. You know, if we've bent the curve downward of future emissions, we've, you know, made some of these really, really catastrophic high end scenarios a little less likely. But a3c world is still a really bad one. I mean, we're experiencing a lot of severe impacts of climate change already in terms of heat waves and wildfires and, you know, extreme precipitation events just at 1.2 degrees today. And so if you, you know, more than double that, it's it's a pretty terrible world for for a lot of people and for a lot of nature to, you know, the natural world is a really tough time adapting to very rapid changes in temperature like we'd see. So three degrees is certainly a lot better than where we're headed, but it's by no means anywhere close to where we want to be. The good news, for me at least, is that the fact that we have started to make some progress means that it's a lot easier to imagine a world where we actually do make more progress. We continue to these positive trends and accelerate, and we actually do manage to limit warming to at least below two degrees by the end of the century. And I think unfortunately, 1.5 degrees is probably in the rearview mirror at this point, unless we, you know, do some crazy scenario where we pass it and then remove, you know, ridiculous amounts of carbon into the atmosphere to bring temperatures back down. But but certainly, I think you could say that limiting warming to two degrees or below two degrees is quite possible from where we are today. It would involve getting all of our emissions of CO2 to zero by, you know, 2070 or so globally, which is a big lift, but it's by no means impossible. And it's good to hear a little bit of good news because it is definitely by far mostly bad news. It comes to climate, but it's good that we're going in the right direction and hopefully the trend will continue. I want to kind of look in the short term, though, you know, we're in this El Nino and that's what's contributing partially to the high sea surface temperature that we're seeing and high global temperatures in general. But looking ahead to 2024 houses, El Nino going to play out. And what impact is it going to have on 2020 for us? Temperatures? Sure. So there is a growing strong El Nino in the tropical tropical Pacific right now that's really developed rapidly in the past few months. What was interesting is that we switched quite quickly from an unusually long La Nina event. We called it a triple dip, Nina, because it's when you sort of started to come out of La Nina conditions and then dipping back in. And that happens, you know, two more times after the initial one. Nina But because we rapidly transitioned from La Nina, conditions down, you know, conditions, you know, it's really added a lot of heat, particularly to the oceans. We expect the current El Nino events to continue and strengthen through the end of the year and, you know, stay fairly strong at least through early to mid 2024. There is some differences in the various modeling groups looking at El Nino, the dynamical models, the more like climate models tend to predict a stronger nino than the statistical models, which are more trying to infer based on you know, the statistics of past El Ninos. What's likely this time around. And that divide is actually kind of remarkable this year compared to the most past years. I, for one, probably would bet on the dynamical models because they think they capture more of the underlying processes like statistics only bring you so far. But in terms of the effects of the El Nino, you know, it's going to bump up global temperatures as well as sea surface temperatures for the remainder of 2023. You know, it means that this year is now the odds on favorite to be the warmest year since records began, since 1850. But it's really going to have a big effect next year. And so for 2024, it's likely to be even warmer than 2023 for the year as a whole. And we've seen historically that there tends to be a bit of a lag between when El Nino conditions peak in the tropical Pacific and when the global temperature response to that El Nino event peaks. And that lag is about three months. So three months or so after you hit peak El Nino conditions, then you have the peak surface temperature response globally across the land and the oceans. And that's been a pretty consistent relationship for the past, you know, 80 years or so at least. So if that holds this time around, you know, and the El Nino peaks in the near the end of 2023, we expect sort of the biggest push to be on early 2020 for temperatures. So what we'd probably be looking at is a particularly warmer end of winter and into the spring months. So I guess, you know, the groundhog would be predicting an early spring might be what we're seeing in a lot of places would be kind of an idea if this El Nino plays out as it's expected to. Yeah, that's globally like, oh, Nino has very specific patterns of heat and cool associated with it that may affect different regions differently. So you can't necessarily say like every part of the planet is going to be warmer because of the El Nino. It really ends up depending a bit. Like in California, we tend to get a slightly cooler and Rainier weather with an El Nino years, for example. So the overall pattern of what the impacts that El Nino bring is going to be overriding. But looking at the big picture, that's probably when temperatures are going to peak would be late winter, early spring. Yeah. All right. Let's go back south again. I was looking at a plot today, I think you actually shared about the Antarctic Sea ice and how it is way below the last 45 years of records. Is there anything that we should take away from that? I mean, it's kind of a frightening plot or is it just one of those things like we really don't understand the Antarctic ice surrounding the continent as well? It's a signal, but we we really shouldn't panic about it. I mean, what is your take when you see that that kind of graphic of what's going on in the sea ice around Antarctica? So it's it's definitely disconcerting. Like we've never seen anything like this in the historical record for Antarctic ice. At the same time, Antarctic sea ice has always been a lot more complex, heated and unpredictable than Arctic sea ice. The Antarctic sea ice. If you look at the data since 1979, which is when we first got good satellite coverage to get high quality Arctic wide records, it's pretty much been going down consistently. Like some years are higher, some years are lower, but there's a very clear linear downward trend as the Arctic warms Antarctica at least through 2020 or so, was bucking that sea ice was increasing overall in Antarctica between 1979 and 2020. And there was a lot of work among scientists to explain why that was. You know, part of it has to do with prevailing wind patterns, part of S2 actually, with the hole in the ozone layer over Antarctica, which has a cooling impact for the region. And so, you know, it was always sort of a much bigger question mark of the climate impacts on Arctic sea ice compared to the Arctic words. It's much more straightforward. And so then we get to the last three years where that slight upward trend in sea ice, Antarctica suddenly reversed. You know, it went down, you know, pretty far in 2021 and 2022 and then 2023 hit. And we really have been at unprecedented lows for the entire year, particularly now, when sea ice should be growing rapidly. And it really isn't. And so there just needs to be a lot more work by scientists to untangle, you know, what are the drivers of this? You know, is it unusual warmth in Antarctica? Is it warm sea surface temperatures? Are air temperature is is it changing wind patterns that might be breaking up sea ice in ways that we haven't seen before? Like part of the problem is we only have a record going back to 1979 for this region. And so it may well be that there's some modes of variability that could lead to big shake ups in Antarctic sea ice that might have happened before, but just hasn't happened since 1979. So, you know, I don't think we can rule out that it's primarily caused by human activity. And certainly we expect long term as the Antarctic region warms to sea less sea ice there. But this is so far below what we'd expect to that. I think, you know, we need to take a close look at it and figure out all the different potential causes. And before we wrap up, every time we get someone on, you know, talking about climate change and what we're seeing out there and all the various issues, I think when it always comes back to is, you know, people read all these articles and it's all doom and gloom, but then it's like, well, what what can I do? What what can I do to make it better? I think when it comes to the oceans, this is a particularly unique because we don't live in the oceans, we're on land. And so people kind of see the impacts of what's happening on land and where. So I think so many of us are ignorant about what's going on in the ocean. So if you're if someone's listening to this and is alarmed and wants to make an impact and wants to again look at the whole issue, but let's just look at the oceans itself and what are things that individuals do if they want to see these sea surface temperatures not be as extreme? What are some things that are some proactive things that are people just reading this and saying, well, what do I do? What is your answer for when somebody asked that question? So I think one of the and it's fun, funny to use the word comforting in this environment given everything happening. But one of the more comforting findings out of the recent IPCC report was that if we can get emissions all the way down to zero, warming will stop. There's not a huge amount of warming in the pipeline that is inevitable, which means that ultimately, like humans are at the drivers wheel here, you know, are in the driver's seat. We get to determine based on how much fossil fuels we burn over the next century, exactly how warm it gets. You know, we're sort of stuck with what we have today regardless. But we can determine, you know, if it just gets a bit worse or if it gets catastrophically worse. And that's mostly on us in terms of how quickly we reduce our emissions of CO2 from burning fossil fuels and how quickly we switch switch to the clean energy alternatives. So as an individual you know, obviously it's a huge problem that requires collective action globally. But at the same time, you know, you can do a lot by supporting clean energy technologies because the more people who buy things like heat pumps or electric cars or put solar panels on the roof, the more the price of those technologies go goes down and the more other people can afford to adopt them and know we've really seen that with electric vehicles, which ten years ago were incredibly expensive and today are actually cheaper to own than a gas vehicle over the lifetime. You know, similarly, solar panels were nine times more expensive a decade ago than they are today. And a big part of what's driven those cost declines is just economies of scale, more and more being built, people learning how to build them more cheaply. You know, it's not fundamental breakthroughs in the physics. It's learning by doing. And so individuals making decisions to, you know, you know, pay a small premium to get clean energy in their personal lives. But hip hop and electric vehicle solar panel, you know, is an important way to to make it easier for other people who might not be as motivated to be able to adopt those or just make it the default because it's the cheapest thing for people to do. I think the other thing I'd say is that at the end of the day, individuals voluntarily taking action can only take us so far. You know, we need a stronger policy response by governments to make clean energy cheap and to hold polluters to account. And so I think, you know, at the end of the day, one of the most impactful things you can do on this issue is vote. Tell politicians what you think because they're going to have to help us address this. So I think you you hit the nail on the proverbial head. There is nobody can fix this all by themselves. But collectively, we can we can make a lot of progress. And there's a lot of good reasons to be optimistic. Before we let you go, in addition to people reading your stuff on Carbon brief and and the Substack, where else can people find your work if you know they're not true wonks or they're not policy wonks or they're not deep into the science, where else can people find what you have to say? Yeah, so you can you can always follow me on Twitter or whatever it's called this week, right? Or on Threads, which is the new matter owned Twitter competitor. You know, if you can also just read the coverage of climate that's going on in places like The New York Times, The Washington Post or the BBC, it's it's all quality. And, you know, they they talk to me occasionally and a bunch of other climate scientists, period of of mine who also a great insights in the stuff. So it's a you know it's hard to find good discussions of climate on TV these days. But you know if you turn to the news, you know it's it's dominates the headlines and a lot of it is really well written and really good. Yeah. One of the things that we've seen in polling is that people trust climate scientists, not so much people on TV. So that's why I always try to refer people directly to you, to Andrew, to Katherine, and have those kinds of folks ask again. Thanks so much for joining us. We appreciate it. And we hope that we get a chance to talk to you again soon. Definitely. It's great to chat. That is so much good information, Matt. I mean, every time I talk to see I've talked to him two or three times before this and I've been following him on Twitter and you heard me just kind of going on and on about the subject. But he has so much good actionable information. He's able to put so many myths to rest very quickly. And I could just talk to him all day long. But a lot of a lot of wonderful information about where we've come and where we're going. And he's got the data to back it up. Yeah, it really is a fascinating discussion because we re so, so much of the focus is on land and what people are experiencing. But the majority of the planet, 70% of the planet is the oceans, and they're absorbing a lot of heat and they're getting warmer as well. And when you're calculating these global temperatures, we talk about, you know, this is the warmest year on record, which 2023 seems to be on track to do. So it's not just all the thermometers on land that we're calculating, that we're using all of these booties to measure the temperature of the oceans. And that has a big impact. And that's why the fact that we're having an El Nino, it's an El Nino year when I mean, already we're talking about sea surface temperatures getting warmer and warmer. But during El Nino, they get even warmer than normal. And so that's what's going to contribute to seeing the high 2023 is going to be so warm. And then it was also interesting how we're kind of teasing ahead to 2024. There's potential for 2024 to be even warmer because we're especially going to start 2024. It seems so warm. And how even if El Nino starts to wind down the lag in the global temperatures because it has a global impact, will continue. So that's going to be something to watch. You know, it was it was disheartening to hear that about getting even warmer. No, but at the same time, I did like the where he did bring back, you know, it's good to find the positives where we can where we're at where it looks like though, his most dire predictions for what could happen not to play it down and so not to let people's guard down because he has emphasized, you know, three degrees of warming would still be really bad. But if we're going in the right direction, maybe avoiding that four or five degrees of warming by 2100, at least, that's progress. So let's not let our foot off the pedal. Let's let's keep working. Let's see if we can bring that trend out. How about two degrees instead of three degrees? I mean, the more we can do, you know, it's good to get some good news. But remember that three degrees is bad because we're already seeing, what, less than one and a half degrees is doing it. It's not good. Yeah. And that's three C, which is five and a half Fahrenheit. So we need to remember that sometimes we are deep into the science that we we kind of fall into the metric, the metric system, which is great. I love the metric system as a scientist, but a lot of people aren't as familiar with that. So yeah, three C that's about five and a half degrees Fahrenheit. And I was also very grateful that he went back and talked about how we know what the oceans were 150, 175 years in the past when we had some ocean temperature records directly. But now we get so much of it from satellites and these cool Argo floats spend a little time in Google, Argo floats because they're really, really cool pieces of equipment. Help us see what's going on into the oceans. Matt. You know, next week we've got, you know, football seasons coming. So let's go back on land. Right? But we're into August now and football practices are full tilt at this point, getting ready for four opening opening day in a few weeks and it's still hot. So we're going to talk to two Douglas Cossa at the Korey Stringer Institute up there at University of Connecticut and talk about the impact of heat on on football players. It can be a very sneaky killer, unfortunately. So we're going to talk to him about that and some of the best practices to keep our players safe so we can enjoy what they do a later on in the fall. Anything else? But before we take off, then I'll also be interested the impact of folks on the stands, because I've been at some awfully hot, late August, early September games in Texas. And, you know, especially if it's a middle of the day game, I mean, the crowd is in bags. Well, of course, the players absolutely the most, but the crowd as well. So that'll be an interesting discussion. And then also, you know, we're going to promote it again, if you ever have any questions for us, weather questions, things you'd like to hear us discuss, ideas for the podcast, shoot us an email podcast at Leeds dot net or begin to comment on the show we love to hear. All right, that all sounds good. I with that we are going to wrap for this week. So for Matt Holiner in Chicago, I'm meteorologist Sean Sublette in Richmond, Virginia at Lee Enterprises, thanks so much for listening. And we will talk with you again next week.See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Simon Evans of Carbon Brief reviews the highlights of the UK's latest policy proposals, including how the government plans to meet its emissions-reduction goals.

In this episode, we talk about China's carbon emissions and go in for a detailed mid-2023 update, thanks to the data compiled from various Chinese statistical sources by the analysts at CREA, the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air. We're talking to Qin Qi, an analyst at CREA and the co-author with Lauri Myllivirta of a recent Carbon Brief article on this subject.  Qin Qi recently joined CREA as an analyst. Before joining CREA she was at the UN Environment Programme for three years, and before that she was in Chinese state media for about 10 years, mainly serving at overseas bureaus in Nairobi and Washington, DC. She graduated from Beijing Foreign Studies University in the field of simultaneous interpretation.  For further reading: Qin Qi and Lauri Myllyvirta, "Analysis: China's CO2 emissions hit Q1 record high after 4% rise in early 2023," Carbon Brief, 12 May 2023, at https://www.carbonbrief.org/analysis-chinas-co2-emissions-hit-q1-record-high-after-4-rise-in-early-2023/. 

Narendra Taneja serves as chairman of the Independent Energy Policy Institute, a think tank based in New Delhi, and is a Distinguished Research Fellow at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. He presides over the World Energy Policy Summit and was president of the World Oil and Gas Assembly from 2001 to 2011. With expertise in energy policy, transition, geopolitics, governance, and energy security, Taneja is recognized as a powerful voice on energy and climate, especially in the context of the Global North and the Global South. Currently surpassing China as the world's most populous country, India is the world's fifth-largest economy and the third-largest electricity producer. Despite the country's vulnerability to climate change impacts, its historical cumulative emissions account for a relatively small portion, standing at 3.4%. This places India as the seventh highest emitter among nation states, according to Carbon Brief, with the United States and China leading at 20.3% and 11.4% of emissions, respectively. Taneja sheds light on India's energy landscape, leading our discussion from statistical insights to a dynamic exploration of global collaboration for the energy transition and climate change. His compelling arguments are highly engaging and thought-provoking, and will likely cause almost every listener of this podcast to stop and think.In this episode, we cover: [03:13]: Recent developments in India's energy economy[04:49]: How India views climate and energy as two sides of the same coin[07:02]: Overview of India's energy grid infrastructure[08:29]: India's energy mix and new government incentives[10:05]: The current grassroots solar revolution[12:52]: India's history with coal and energy security challenges[18:46]: The Global North bias in climate narratives[25:15]: Risks of excluding developing nations from global climate conversations[31:13]: The need for a new democratic climate governance order[33:45]: The risks and reasons for a lack of global energy governance[36:16]: The International Energy Agency (IEA)'s exclusion of India and China[39:59]: The need for a new global bank for climate finance[46:32]: What it takes to create a new global organization[48:01]: India and China's history and return to the global center of gravity[52:15]: The Global North's resistance to change and how global power dynamics will shift in the next 30 years[54:42]: Narendra's thoughts on the European Union as a project[57:56]: India's investments in Russian oil[01:04:00]: Decentering the US and the "us or them" worldviewGet connected: Narendra TanejaCody SimmsMCJ Podcast / Collective*You can also reach us via email at info@mcjcollective.com, where we encourage you to share your feedback on episodes and suggestions for future topics or guests.Episode recorded on May 12, 2023

It's all very well demanding that everything happens NOW, but we're actually going to do - or not - about climate change is all about negotiation.  What happens inside those fusty negotiating halls?  How does one negotiate well and get what one wants, whether on climate or things more domestic? And does the climate have the time for us to negotiate our way out of a paper bag? Joining Dave this episode is Camilla Born MBE. Camilla's been at more top tables than you've had hot dinners, and has been there for the crunchy bits of some of the planet's most important negotiations - not least when advising COP26 President Alok Sharma.  Find out how Camilla gets her way, and what she thinks about protestors demanding the seemingly impossible. Follow Camilla on Twitter @camillaborn. We don't talk about it in the episode but Camilla and I recommend this moving piece by Pete Betts, a legendary negotiator, reflecting on everything he's learned. Owl noises: -- 08:08: Anchoring bias explained over at the Decision Lab. -- 10:16: I should probably give due kudos to the thing that I read, which is these top 10 negotiating tips by the Harvard Law School's negotiation programme. -- 16:56: it really does matter whether we phase coal 'down' or 'out', and Carbon Brief explains why. -- 19:52: Professor Lee's thoughts on tactical empathy and much else - including more Camilla - in this Inside Science episode on negotiation. Your Brain on Climate is a podcast about human psychology vs the climate crisis: what we think, why we think it, and how it all adds up to a planet-sized emergency.  Contact the show:  @brainclimate on Twitter, or hello@yourbrainonclimate.com. Support the show on Patreon: www.patreon.com/yourbrainonclimate. The show is hosted by me, Dave Powell, who you can find @powellds on Twitter.  Original music by me, and I twiddle all the production knobs too. Show logo by Arthur Stovell at www.designbymondial.com.   

This past March 20th the United Nation's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) published its fourth and last sixth assessment cycle (AR6) report.  This last report integrates the main findings of the IPCC's three, sixth assessment working group reports published over the past 18 months.  The report has been informally termed the “last warning” since the IPCC 7th assessment work will likely not be published until after 2030 - at which time we'll know whether we have succeeded or not in reducing CO2e emissions by approximately 45% in order to limit avg global warming to the preferred Paris climate accord goal of 1.5C.  Among other conclusions the IPCC authors warned, “There is a rapidly closing window of opportunity to secure a livable and sustainable future for all.”  “The choices and actions implemented in this decade will have impacts now and for thousands of years.”   The UN Secretary General, Antonio Guterres, termed this last report “a clarion call to massively fast-track climate efforts by every country, every sector and on every timeframe.”  An excellent summary of the AR6 fourth report was published in late March by Carbon Brief, at: https://www.carbonbrief.org/carbon-briefs-definitive-guide-to-the-entire-ipcc-sixth-assessment-cycle/.This 35-minute interview Ms. Willis discusses Malaria No More's work, related/relevant IPCC findings and those in context of her attendance last month at a climate/health summit meeting in Abu Dhabi held in preparation for subsequent related discussions during this coming December's IPCC COP 28 meeting also taking place in the UAE.  Ms. Kelly Willis is currently the Managing Director of Strategic Initiatives at Malaria No More.  Ms. Willis has more than 20 years of experience working in infectious disease and global health, helping to build permanent capacity in health systems throughout sub-Saharan Africa and Southeast Asia, in roles including Senior Vice President at United States Pharmacopeia, Executive Director of Accordia Global Health Foundation and through her consulting firm Willis Solutions LLC.  Ms. Willis's field experience includes several years living in East Africa where she helped launch and support the Infectious Diseases Institute at Makerere University and led a multi-year research program to better understand the impact of medical training programs on standards of care and health outcomes.  Prior to that, Ms. Willis spent five years in multiple finance and economics management roles at Pfizer where she also served as a Global Health Fellow in Uganda.   She holds a Distinguished Alumni award from Michigan State University where she earned a BA in French and an MBA in Supply Chain Management.The IPCC report is at: https://report.ipcc.ch/ar6syr/pdf/IPCC_AR6_SYR_SPM.pdf.   This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.thehealthcarepolicypodcast.com

In this week's episode, host Margaret Walls talks with Grace Wu, an assistant professor at the University of California, Santa Barbara, about the intersection of land use change and the adoption and implementation of clean energy technologies. Wu discusses the impacts of land use change on species and ecosystems, the land use requirements of different clean energy technologies, and strategies that can help us meet net-zero energy targets while minimizing negative impacts on habitats and ecosystems. References and recommendations: “Minimizing habitat conflicts in meeting net-zero energy targets in the western United States” by Grace C. Wu, Ryan A. Jones, Emily Leslie, James H. Williams, Andrew Pascale, Erica Brand, Sophie S. Parker, Brian S. Cohen, Joseph E. Fargione, Julia Souder, Maya Batres, Mary G. Gleason, Michael H. Schindel, and Charlotte K. Stanley; https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2204098120 “Clean Energy Solutions that Protect People and Nature in the West” from The Nature Conservancy; https://www.nature.org/en-us/what-we-do/our-priorities/tackle-climate-change/climate-change-stories/power-of-place/ “Does the world need hydrogen to solve climate change?” by Simon Evans and Josh Gabbatiss; https://www.carbonbrief.org/in-depth-qa-does-the-world-need-hydrogen-to-solve-climate-change/ “Carbon Brief” website; https://www.carbonbrief.org/ “How green are biofuels? Scientists are at loggerheads” by Dan Charles; https://knowablemagazine.org/article/food-environment/2022/how-green-are-biofuels “Knowable” Magazine; https://knowablemagazine.org/

This week, the UN Biodiversity Conference (COP 15) wrapped up in Montreal, Canada. Nations from around the world came together to establish a new set of goals to help preserve the planet's biodiversity and reduce the rate of loss of natural habitats. The last time biodiversity targets were set was in 2010, at COP 10. In the 12 years since, the world collectively failed to meet any of those biodiversity benchmarks.Aaron Scott talks to Giuliana Viglione, an editor at Carbon Brief covering food, land and nature. She shares what she saw on the ground at COP 15, what the new goals for 2030 are, and why she has more hope that progress will be made this time around.

One key issue on the agenda at the COP27 environment summit in Egypt is how to fund damage from the effects of man made climate change. Often the effects of climate change are felt the strongest in countries least responsible for creating the emissions. This year we've seen a range of extreme weather events including drought and flooding which scientists have attributed to man-made climate change. The idea of providing funding for such human-induced disasters has long been discussed informally at COP summits. Finally the issue is formally on the table. It's fraught with diplomatic difficulties, not least over who should pay and how much. We discuss some of the issues in getting a solution on this initiative known as ‘Loss and Damage' with contributions from Josh Gabbatiss from the website Carbon Brief, Rachel Kyte, the Dean of Tufts University, Linnéa Norlander Assistant Professor of human rights and sustainability at the University of Copenhagen and Hyacinthe Niyitegeka, coordinator of the Loss and Damage Coalition. And we look at methane with Drew Shindell, professor of Climate science at Duke University and Author of the UN Environment Programme's Global Methane Assessment, who tells us a reduction in methane could give us a quick fix in terms of efforts to stabilise global temperatures.

Looking back at the UN climate conference and looking ahead to the football. The BBC's Shaimaa Khalil joins Adam from Qatar as she takes us through everything we need to know about the controversies surrounding the World Cup. And the Newscast friends and family sweepstake is launched with BBC 5 Live's Kelly Cates... Also, as the UN COP climate conference draws to a close, catch up with the Deputy Editor of the Carbon Brief, Dr Simon Evans, who has been at the conference in Egypt. This episode of Newscast is presented by Adam Fleming and made by Tim Walklate with Danny Wittenberg, Cordelia Hemming and Khadra Salad. The technical producer was Mike Regaard and the assistant editor was Sam Bonham.

Simon Evans is a Senior Policy Editor at Carbon Brief. UK-based website covering the latest developments in climate science, climate policy and energy policy. They specialise in clear, data-driven articles and graphics to help improve the understanding of climate change, both in terms of the science and the policy response. We publish a wide range of content, including science explainers, interviews, analysis and factchecks.