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Peng Liyuan, President Xi Jinping's wife, invited spouses of foreign leaders who were attending the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Summit 2025 in Tianjin to a sightseeing tour on the Haihe River on Monday afternoon.彭丽媛,习近平主席的妻子,邀请了参加2025年上海合作组织峰会的外国领导人的配偶,周一下午进行海河游览。The 72-kilometer-long Haihe River, hailed as Tianjin's mother river, winds its way through the city and flows eastward into the Bohai Sea. The river, flanked by historical landmarks and modern architectural marvels, encapsulates the essence of Tianjin's diversity, inclusiveness, openness and innovation.72公里长的海河,被誉为天津的母亲河,蜿蜒穿过这座城市,向东流入渤海。河流两岸是历史地标和现代建筑奇迹,体现了天津的多样性、包容性、开放性和创新精神。Peng warmly greeted the guests, shaking hands with them one by one before joining them for a group photo.彭热情地迎接了宾客,逐一与他们握手,然后与他们一起合影。At the pier, a group of children sang a joyful song, I'm Waiting for You in Tianjin, and waved Chinese and foreign national flags to welcome them.在码头,一群孩子唱着愉快的歌曲《我在天津等你》,而且挥舞着中国和外国的国旗来欢迎他们。Peng then joined the guests on a boat ride along the river, where they learned about the city's history and development.彭随后与客人们一起乘船沿河游览,在那里他们了解了这座城市的历史和发展。Peng told the guests that Tianjin is a city blending historical depth and modern vitality, and that the Haihe River has witnessed the city's development and exchanges and mutual learning of diverse cultures. Peng said she looked forward to having an unforgettable time with the guests.彭告诉客人们,天津是一个融合历史深度和现代活力的城市,海河见证了这座城市的发展以及多元文化的交流与相互学习。彭表示她期待与客人们度过一个难忘的时光。During the tour, they enjoyed the riverside views, had a chat over tea and enjoyed an ensemble of sanxian, a three-stringed traditional Chinese instrument. They also posed for a group photo on the deck.在旅行中,他们欣赏了河边的美景,喝着茶聊天,并欣赏了三弦乐队的表演,三弦是一种传统的中国三弦乐器。他们还在甲板上拍了张合影。The guests spoke highly of traditional Chinese culture and praised the remarkable achievements in advancing Chinese modernization.宾客们高度评价了中国传统文化,并赞扬了中国现代化进程中的卓越成就。The guests included spouses of Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev, Mongolian President Ukhnaa Khurelsukh, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan, Nepali Prime Minister KP Sharma Oli, Egyptian Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly and Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, and daughter of Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.l spouses of foreign leadersn.外国领导人配偶 /spaʊzɪz ɒv ˈfɒrən ˈliːdəz/l Haihe Rivern.海河/haɪ ˈhʌɪ hə ˈrɪvə/
La photo est en bonne place sur le site du New York Times : on y voit Vladimir Poutine, Xi Jinping et Narendra Modi tout sourire. Le sommet de Tianjin, près de Pékin, organisé par le président chinois, vient de s'achever, avec sur la photo officielle 26 chefs d'État ou de gouvernements. « À l'origine, une rencontre des pays membres de l'Organisation de coopération de Shanghai (OCS), un forum régional d'Asie centrale, jamais ce sommet n'avait accueilli autant d'États observateurs, de l'Égypte à la Malaisie, note Le Monde à Paris. Xi Jinping en a fait la plateforme d'un message bien plus vaste sur la nécessité de se départir des normes et des valeurs longtemps portées par les États-Unis et les Européens. Il entend faire de la Chine un pôle de stabilité dans un contexte devenu incertain. » Une Chine, poursuit le quotidien français, dont « la vision du monde est bien moins moraliste que celle portée par les Occidentaux. Chaque régime est acceptable, sans saints ni parias. Le contexte actuel renforce ce discours : avec l'affaiblissement des institutions aux États-Unis, les images de la souffrance infligée par l'armée israélienne à la population de la bande de Gaza, avec un soutien diplomatique et un armement américains continus, qui pourrait se prévaloir d'un quelconque ascendant moral ? » Trump ouvre un boulevard pour Pékin Désormais, « c'est à Tianjin, et non à Washington, que le tournant de l'histoire semble se jouer », s'exclame le Guardian à Londres. « En géopolitique, les apparences comptent. Voir Messieurs Modi, Xi et Poutine sourire et plaisanter, c'est voir l'influence de Washington s'estomper ». La faute à qui ? La faute à Trump. « Xi profite des erreurs de Trump », pointe El Pais à Madrid. « Le président chinois a réussi à résumer en une seule photographie le plus spectaculaire de tous les changements géopolitiques depuis le début du siècle : celui qui a réuni plus de 20 pays représentant plus de 40% de la population mondiale et 20% du PIB autour de l'idée de supplanter les États-Unis comme leader mondial ». En fait, précise le quotidien espagnol, « Trump a ouvert un boulevard à la Chine. Il a démantelé le puissant soft power de son pays, ainsi que sa diplomatie et ses agences de coopération. Il a puni les pays amis et voisins par des menaces d'annexion et des droits de douane arbitraires. Ce faisant, il a détruit les institutions multilatérales qui servaient l'hégémonie de Washington, laissant un vide géopolitique que Pékin comble désormais ». Ce qui fait dire au Times à Londres que « la diplomatie insensée de Donald Trump est [finalement] un cadeau pour Xi Jinping. […] Jamais une grande puissance n'aura offert à son principal rival autant d'opportunités ». Poutine : retour en fanfare sur la scène internationale Et pour ce qui est de Poutine, « finie l'ostracisation, place au tapis rouge », s'exclame Libération à Paris. À Tianjin, « le président russe s'est délecté de mettre en scène la fin de son isolement sur la scène internationale. […] Alors que les drones et missiles russes continuent de tomber par centaines, nuit et jour sur l'Ukraine, Vladimir Poutine n'a pas hésité, relève le quotidien français, à vanter les efforts collectifs de ses "partenaires stratégiques pour aider à résoudre la crise ukrainienne". Poutine est reconnaissant, s'exclame encore Libération. Au président turc, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, pour une "contribution significative aux efforts politiques et diplomatiques" et l'accueil de trois sessions de pourparlers directs entre Moscou et Kiev ; à Modi pour ne pas avoir renoncé à acheter du pétrole russe malgré les récentes sanctions commerciales américaines contre l'Inde. Et au leader chinois, surtout, qui, en le recevant en grande pompe, le réintègre dans un concert (alternatif) de nations. Et avec lequel il a un adversaire commun, l'Occident dominé par les États-Unis […]. » Finalement, conclut le Wall Street Journal, « les efforts de Trump pour creuser un fossé entre la Russie et la Chine ont échoué. Poutine résiste à la médiation de Trump sur l'Ukraine et sa présence à Tianjin réaffirme son choix stratégique de s'aligner sur l'Est pour combattre l'Ouest. Trump n'a pas renoncé, mais la Chine semble pour l'instant surenchérir sur Washington. Le rôle très médiatisé de Vladimir Poutine à Tianjin (et sa présence attendue au défilé militaire organisé demain à Pékin pour célébrer le 80e anniversaire de la défaite du Japon lors de la Seconde Guerre mondiale) démontre au monde entier l'échec diplomatique de Donald Trump avec Moscou ».
Dans cette édition :Le Premier ministre entame une semaine chargée avec des consultations et des négociations, notamment avec le Parti communiste et le Rassemblement national.La présidente de la Banque Centrale Européenne, Christine Lagarde, écarte l'intervention du FMI en France mais reconnaît l'impact des crises institutionnelles sur la confiance des marchés.Près de 12 millions d'élèves font leur rentrée scolaire, sauf dans le Var et les Bouches-du-Rhône en raison de la vigilance orange aux orages, et 1 000 foyers sont toujours privés d'électricité dans le Vaucluse.Une nouvelle règle d'interdiction des smartphones est mise en place dans les collèges.Un adolescent de 16 ans est décédé après avoir reçu un coup de couteau dans la banlieue de Lyon.Des détenus de la prison de haute sécurité de Vendin-le-Vieil dans le Pas-de-Calais pourraient se joindre à un appel à la grève de la faim pour dénoncer les conditions inhumaines.Des actes de vandalisme antisémites ont été commis à Lyon, avec la profanation de stèles et de monuments.Le président ukrainien Volodymyr Zelensky rencontrera des dirigeants européens à Paris pour discuter des garanties de sécurité pour l'Ukraine.Le président russe Vladimir Poutine a rencontré le président turc Erdogan pour évoquer la guerre en Ukraine.Notre équipe a utilisé un outil d'Intelligence artificielle via les technologies d'Audiomeans© pour accompagner la création de ce contenu écrit.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
El inicio del curso político en España está marcado por la vuelta a la rutina de millones de españoles, que enfrentan un alto costo de vida con el colegio más caro de la historia y el aumento de precios en productos básicos. En el ámbito político, el gobierno de Pedro Sánchez busca la estabilidad con pactos con partidos independentistas, destacando la posible amnistía a Carles Puigdemont y la cesión de competencias a Cataluña. Los devastadores incendios de este verano, que han arrasado miles de hectáreas, han puesto en el foco la gestión del cambio climático y la necesidad de políticas de prevención. Se anuncian ayudas para los afectados. Otras noticias incluyen la propuesta de Yolanda Díaz de subir el Salario Mínimo Interprofesional y los récords históricos de turismo. A nivel internacional, se informa sobre un terremoto devastador en Afganistán y un encuentro entre Putin y Erdogan. Finalmente, se hace hincapié en la campaña de inmunización para bebés contra el Virus Respiratorio ...
Dans cette édition :Le Premier ministre entame une semaine chargée avec des consultations et des négociations, notamment avec le Parti communiste et le Rassemblement national.La présidente de la Banque Centrale Européenne, Christine Lagarde, écarte l'intervention du FMI en France mais reconnaît l'impact des crises institutionnelles sur la confiance des marchés.Près de 12 millions d'élèves font leur rentrée scolaire, sauf dans le Var et les Bouches-du-Rhône en raison de la vigilance orange aux orages, et 1 000 foyers sont toujours privés d'électricité dans le Vaucluse.Une nouvelle règle d'interdiction des smartphones est mise en place dans les collèges.Un adolescent de 16 ans est décédé après avoir reçu un coup de couteau dans la banlieue de Lyon.Des détenus de la prison de haute sécurité de Vendin-le-Vieil dans le Pas-de-Calais pourraient se joindre à un appel à la grève de la faim pour dénoncer les conditions inhumaines.Des actes de vandalisme antisémites ont été commis à Lyon, avec la profanation de stèles et de monuments.Le président ukrainien Volodymyr Zelensky rencontrera des dirigeants européens à Paris pour discuter des garanties de sécurité pour l'Ukraine.Le président russe Vladimir Poutine a rencontré le président turc Erdogan pour évoquer la guerre en Ukraine.Notre équipe a utilisé un outil d'Intelligence artificielle via les technologies d'Audiomeans© pour accompagner la création de ce contenu écrit.Hébergé par Audiomeans. Visitez audiomeans.fr/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.
Netanyahu recognizes the Armenian, Assyrian, and Greek genocides during his interview with Patrick Bet-David on the PBD Podcast. Turkey blasts the move as politically motivated, exposing deep rifts in Israel-Turkey relations and sparking emotional global reactions from Armenians, Assyrians, and Greeks.
Joel Goldberg is the Founder and CEO of Netivah Youth Ministries in Israel. During this episode of the Blessors of Israel Podcast, Joel shares with Dr. Matthew Dodd the impact of October 7, 2023 on the Messianic youth, IDF soldiers, and families and how the Lord is using Netivah to make an eternal impact on the Messianic Community in Israel. Netivah's website: https://www.netivah.com/en Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, War, WWIII, Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, Hamas, Anti-Semitism, Netivah Youth Ministries, Joel Goldberg
Jewish Policy Center Senior Director Shoshana Bryen hosted Professor Mark Meirowitz, a foreign policy and Turkey expert from SUNY Maritime College, for a deep dive into Ankara's growing regional role, its involvement in Syria's evolution, and its increasingly fraught relationship with Israel. With characteristic clarity and urgency, Prof. Meirowitz broke down the labyrinth of regional alliances and rivalries, calling the situation “literally mind-boggling” and comparing Syria to a “petri dish for chaos.” HTS, Al-Shara, and the Shake-up in Syria The ousting of Bashar Assad by the jihadist group Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), led by Ahmed al-Shara (also known as al-Jolani), marks a significant shift in Syria's power structure—and possibly the region's. Once associated with al-Qaeda and ISIS, al-Jolani now wears suits and promotes a veneer of moderation. “Maybe the Turks provided him with some of these outfits,” Meirowitz quipped, questioning the authenticity of his transformation. Al-Jolani was “boosted by” Turkish support, Meirowitz explained, calling him a Turkish client rather than an independent actor. HTS's limited control—bolstered by foreign fighters like Uyghurs—has led to violent, sectarian repression, particularly against Alawites, Druze, Christians, and Kurds. “We're with al-Shara, and a lot of people are depending on him,” Meirowitz said ominously. Turkey's Interests: Stabilizing Syria to Serve Domestic Needs Turkey's involvement, Meirowitz stressed, is strategic. With over 3 million Syrian refugees inside its borders, Ankara is pressuring Damascus to stabilize and repatriate them. “The Turks want them back to Syria,” he said, noting the domestic strain and political sensitivity of the refugee crisis. Turkey has walked a fine line—signing infrastructure and defense agreements with HTS-controlled Syria while avoiding giving it full military autonomy. “Turkey's position is that Al-Shara is the go-to person… Let al-Shara unify the country,” Meirowitz explained. But internal Kurdish dynamics—particularly involving PKK, now in peace talks with Erdogan's government—make full alignment with HTS and Syrian Kurds tenuous. Will Turkey's NATO Membership Complicate It All? One of the more sobering insights from Meirowitz was the hypothetical scenario of Turkey, a NATO power, declaring a no-fly zone over Syria—potentially triggering Article 5 protections if hostilities break out with Israel. “That, to me, is the number one worry… that Israel and Turkey would come to conflict,” he warned. He emphasized the ongoing “deconfliction meetings” between Israel and Turkey, and Israel and Syria—possibly triangulating with al-Jolani himself. But of all the moving parts, Meirowitz emphasized Turkey's NATO status remains a critical leverage point: “Let's be realistic here. If there was a skirmish…Article 5 could be on the table.” Humanitarian Crises and Jihadi Control: Who is Really Running Syria? The ongoing massacres of minorities, particularly the Druze in Suweida, raise urgent questions about al-Jolani's power. “Has he lost control over the jihadis in his own ranks?” Meirowitz pondered, highlighting the grim possibility of Syria spiraling toward becoming a full-blown jihadi state. “The optics are totally opposed to [the idea of moderation],” he said, noting public executions and forced beard-shaving of Druze men as disturbing parallels to Nazi visual propaganda. “Clearly, this is reprehensible. The United States isn’t going to stand for it,” he added, referring to conditional American Congressional support for lifting sanctions on Syria. Erdogan's Domestic Calculations: Kurds, Elections, and Power Turning inward, Turkey's President Erdoğan is eyeing another term in 2028. Despite constitutional term limits, he may seek early elections or amendments—with the support of Kurdish parliamentarians. “He’s very popular in Turkey,” Meirowitz said, crediting Erdoğan's projection of Turkey as a global power broker. “Turkey's been made into a player on the world stage.” However, he noted Turkey's lira is down, inflation is high, and economic growth is tenuous beneath the surface. This tension is compounded by Erdoğan's crackdown on political opponents, including jailing rivals and invalidating degrees to prevent candidacies. The Bigger Stage: Turkey in Africa, NATO, and the UN Turkey's ambitions extend far beyond Syria. From military expansion in Africa to attempting alignment with BRICS and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Ankara aims to diversify its global relevance. “They see themselves as undervalued,” noted Meirowitz. “It's not aggrandizement—it's coming from a feeling of being ignored.” Erdogan's call that “the world is bigger than five” is a veiled critique of the UN Security Council's permanent members—hinting at Turkey's desire for global restructuring that reflects its new stature. “They're trying to flex their muscles,” as one webinar participant insightfully noted. Israel, Hamas, and the Limits of Pragmatism Meirowitz criticized Turkey's staunch support for Hamas and Hezbollah, calling it “a rabbit hole of disaster.” While support for Palestinian causes earns Erdogan domestic points, it's constraining Turkey's global relationships. “If everybody's a freedom fighter, that doesn't fly,” he said. At times, Israel and Turkey have found pragmatic partnership—like continued trade and oil transits during Syria's civil war—but the anti-Israel posture, sanctions, and rhetoric place those gains at risk. “We need to get together,” Meirowitz relayed from a Turkish businessman. “We like the same things… same food… same values.” Final Thoughts: Cautious Optimism, But Beware the Fault Lines In his closing remarks, Prof. Meirowitz struck a “guarded optimism” tone for Turkey's trajectory. “I believe Turkish leadership is going to give further thought to these directions,” he said, hoping Ankara will reconsider its Hamas alliance for more fruitful cooperation with Israel and the West. Bryen offered sober context: “Israel and Iran were friends once, too—until they weren't.” As Prof. Meirowitz put it, “Hamas is not a future for Turkey.” As the region’s political tectonics keep shifting, one question looms: Will Turkey's pragmatism prevail over ideology—or will ambition lead it down a path of strategic overreach? The answer, as Bryen put it, remains a moving thread.
Pardon? Microsoft, dat 49 procent van de aandelen van OpenAI in handen heeft, is zelf ineens aan het uitvinden geslagen. Het wil een eigen variant van ChatGPT hebben, om zo minder afhankelijk te zijn. Op zijn zachts gezegd een opvallend besluit, aangezien ze al 13 miljard dollar hebben uitgegeven aan de ontwikkeling van ChatGPT. Deze aflevering hebben we het over deze apart stap. Of is het juist een slimme tactiek van Microsoft om zelf te investeren in kunstmatige intelligentie?Bitcoin-bedrijf AMBTS komt ook voorbij. Het wil dolgraag naar de Amsterdamse beurs en lijkt een belangrijke horde daarvoor genomen te hebben. Vraag is alleen of beleggers er op zitten te wachten. NovoNordisk én Nike komen voorbij. Beide hebben het lastig, maar het Deense bedrijf maakt het wel heel bont. De groei van NovoNordisk holt zo terug dat het de hele groeiverwachting van de Deense economie naar beneden trekt. Verder hebben we het over de Fed. Minister Eelco Heinen maakt zich inmiddels zorgen over het 'inbeuken' van Trump op de centrale bank. En we gaan je voorbereiden op een periode zonder kwartaalcijfers. Nu het cijferseizoen zo goed als voorbij is, waar moet je nu op letten?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Pardon? Microsoft, dat 49 procent van de aandelen van OpenAI in handen heeft, is zelf ineens aan het uitvinden geslagen. Het wil een eigen variant van ChatGPT hebben, om zo minder afhankelijk te zijn. Op zijn zachts gezegd een opvallend besluit, aangezien ze al 13 miljard dollar hebben uitgegeven aan de ontwikkeling van ChatGPT. Deze aflevering hebben we het over deze apart stap. Of is het juist een slimme tactiek van Microsoft om zelf te investeren in kunstmatige intelligentie?Bitcoin-bedrijf AMBTS komt ook voorbij. Het wil dolgraag naar de Amsterdamse beurs en lijkt een belangrijke horde daarvoor genomen te hebben. Vraag is alleen of beleggers er op zitten te wachten. NovoNordisk én Nike komen voorbij. Beide hebben het lastig, maar het Deense bedrijf maakt het wel heel bont. De groei van NovoNordisk holt zo terug dat het de hele groeiverwachting van de Deense economie naar beneden trekt. Verder hebben we het over de Fed. Minister Eelco Heinen maakt zich inmiddels zorgen over het 'inbeuken' van Trump op de centrale bank. En we gaan je voorbereiden op een periode zonder kwartaalcijfers. Nu het cijferseizoen zo goed als voorbij is, waar moet je nu op letten?See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
Seit 2017 ist der türkische Kulturförderer Osman Kavala inhaftiert, verurteilt zu lebenslanger Haft. Kavala wird von der türkischen Justiz ein Umsturzversuch im Zusammenhang mit den Gezi-Protesten 2013 vorgeworfen. Nun wird der Mäzen mit der Goethe-Medaille, dem offiziellen Ehrenzeichen Deutschlands ausgezeichnet. „Kavala war eine zentrale Figur für die außerparlamentarische Opposition“, erklärt Osman Okkan vom Kulturforum Türkei Europa. Auch in der Haft selbst sei Kavala weiter standhaft und engagiert, zum Beispiel kritisiere er die nachgiebige Haltung europäischer Staaten gegenüber dem türkischen Präsidenten Erdogan. Die Verleihung der Goethe-Medaille könnte dieser Kritik und der türkischen Opposition helfen, denn „das einzige, was Erdogan und seine Anhänger ernst nehmen, ist der Druck von außen“, so Osman Okkan im Gespräch mit SWR Kultur.
Zi de jocuri europene pentru FCSB, CFR și Universitatea. Campioana visează din nou la Europa League dar trebuie să treacă pe Arena Națională de Aberdeen cu care a terminat la egalitate, 2-2, în Scoția. În Conference League, vicecampioana are o misune imposibilă acasă după umilința din Suedia, iar echipa din Craiova e favorită la calificare la domiciliu în fața turcilor de la Bașakșehir, pe care a învins-o în tur, scor 2-1. Tudor Furdui analizează șansele celor 3 echipe românești. Calificarea FCSB-ului în faza principală a Europa League se hotărăște diseară pe Arena Națională, care va fi luată cu asalt de fanii campioanei. În tur, bucureștenii au reușit la Aberdeen doar un rezultat de egalitate, după ce au condus cu 2 la 0. Un meci care a semănat cu derby-ul cu Rapid, de acum 3 săptămâni. Început bun, după care delăsare totală. De altfel, în campionat, FCSB nu mai sperie pe nimeni. A pierdut pentru a treia oară consecutiv acasă, ceea ce nu s-a mai întâmplat de 10 ani, cu un categoric 0 la 2 în fața nou-promovatei FC Argeș, și a ajuns la patru înfrângeri în șapte etape, ocupând abia locul 13 în clasament. În Europa, campioana României a alternat meciurile bune, de exemplu cele împotriva campioanei din Kosovo, cu cele slabe, de exemplu înfrângerea din Andorra sau dubla cu campioana Macedoniei de Nord. Cu toate acestea, patronul Gigi Becali este sigur că FCSB va trece de Aberdeen și va ajunge în grupa principală de Europa League, la fel ca în sezonul trecut. E scor de calificare și nu e neapărat scorul, e diferența de valoare. Adică noi avem jucători mai valoroși, ei au niște jucători mai muncitori. Nu știu, probabil au metode de antrenament, probabil au alimentație, farmacie, cine știe? Fotbalul nu mai e numai pe alergat. Adică alergatul rezolvă mult, dar trebuie și tehnic. O să ne calificăm. Diferența de goluri nu va fi, că nu e chiar mare diferența, pentru că noi zicem că marcăm. Eu cred în calificare. Și atacantul Florin Tănase spune că, deși în competiția internă FCSB este într-o perioadă mai puțin bună, în cupele europene echipa se mobilizează altfel și poate obține calificarea. Dacă vom fi bine noi și vom juca cu aceeași determinare cum am jucat acolo la ei, eu cred că avem șanse mari să ne calificăm, plus că avem avantajul suporterilor, care este unul foarte mare. O misiune imposibilă are CFR în returul cu Hacken, după umilința 2 la 7 de pe terenul sintetic din Suedia, care a dus la demisia lui Dan Petrescu. Echipa nu și-a revenit nici în campionat, unde se află acum pe loc de baraj. În deplasarea de la Galați a pierdut lamentabil 1 la 4 în fața Oțelului, după ce apărarea a făcut gafe de cascadorii râsului la două dintre reușitele gălățenilor. După înfrângere, veteranul Mario Camora, cel mai vechi component al echipei, a recunoscut că este cea mai grea perioadă de când este la Cluj. E rușinos ce facem. Și dacă nu ne trezim, la finalul sezonului, ne vom lupta la retrogradare. E ce mai umilitoare perioadă de când sunt la CFR. Acum clujenii au un nou antrenor. Italianul Andrea Mandorlini a revenit în Gruia, dar înfrângerea din tur, din Suedia, atârnă greu, iar diferența de cinci goluri pare imposibil de surmontat. În fine, Universitatea Craiova are prima șansă să se califice în grupa principală de Conference League, după victoria din Turcia 2 la 1, cu echipa de suflet a președintelui Erdogan, Bașakșehir. Craiova are o evoluție aproape perfectă și în campionat, unde este lider, cu șase victorii din șapte posibile. Calificarea nu este încă obținută. Echipa turcă poate crea surpriza. O spune chiar antrenorul Mirel Rădoi, care le cere suporterilor să fie trup și suflet alături de echipă, chiar și în momentele mai puțin bune. Sper ca joi seara să ne calificăm. Cred că toată lumea trebuie să fim în momentele astea și joi să fim uniți. O singură parte din acest tot unitar, dacă nu este lângă noi, vom suferi. Iar dacă vom începe să suferim cu o echipă foarte bună, așa cum cum este Bașakșehir, vom vom avea mari probleme. Sper ca suporterii să fie alături de echipă și să aibă mai multă răbdare. Și fundașul oltenilor, Vasile Mogoș, vrea un stadion arhiplin diseară. Trebuie nu doar 11 jucători, nu 29 de jucători, trebuie să fie 30.000 de oameni, pentru că nu cred că-i destul doar echipa. Cred că trebuie să fie tot orașul. Și Alexandru Crețu, autorul unui gol în ultima partidă de campionat cu Petrolul, își chema toți fanii la stadion. Cu toții știm că e un meci foarte important. Am scos un rezultat foarte bun în Turcia. Ne așteptăm ca stadionul să vină să fie full și ei să ne susțină necondiționat. Și noi vom lupta pentru ei. Nu trebuie să schimbăm absolut nimic din ce am făcut la ei și cred eu că la final vom ieși calificați.
« Donald Trump tire à balles réelles sur la Banque centrale américaine », s'exclame Le Soir à Bruxelles. « Dans son “duel“ avec le patron de la Réserve fédérale, Donald Trump a dégainé et tiré, limogeant l'une des membres du conseil des gouverneurs de l'institution. » En effet, relève Le Monde à Paris, « depuis son arrivée à la Maison Blanche, Donald Trump a entrepris de se débarrasser méthodiquement de tous ceux qui menacent de se mettre en travers de sa route, quelles que soient leur fonction ou leur rang. Adversaires politiques, soutiens déchus, juges, universitaires, médias, avocats, fonctionnaires fédéraux en ont fait les frais. » Le risque d'une augmentation de la dette Dernière victime en date, donc : Lisa Cook, membre du conseil des gouverneurs de la Fed, la Réserve fédérale des États-Unis, la banque centrale américaine chargé de décider de la politique monétaire de la première puissance économique du monde. Derrière ce limogeage, pointe Le Monde, « il y a la volonté évidente de modifier les équilibres au sein de l'institution monétaire pour orienter ses décisions en fonction des desiderata de la Maison Blanche. Depuis des mois, Donald Trump multiplie les insultes et les pressions à l'égard de Jerome Powell, le président de l'institution. Il l'a menacé à plusieurs reprises de le remplacer, parce qu'il ne baissait pas les taux d'intérêt assez rapidement à son goût. Organe collégial et indépendant du pouvoir exécutif depuis 1951, le conseil des gouverneurs s'y est jusqu'ici refusé, principalement en raison de la guerre commerciale que le président américain a lui-même déclenchée et qui menace de relancer l'inflation. » Et attention, prévient Le Monde, « fragiliser la Fed par une ingérence politique directe sur ses décisions aurait des conséquences en cascade. Outre une baisse du dollar, la perte de confiance dans la fiabilité de la politique monétaire américaine entraînerait une augmentation de la prime de risque sur la dette à long terme des États-Unis et rendrait problématique son refinancement. » Le risque inflationniste Le Wall Street Journal ironise : « et si Trump dirigeait la Réserve fédérale ? Le limogeage de Lisa Cook montre qu'il veut placer la politique monétaire sous son contrôle personnel. Il y parviendra peut-être, mais le pays le regrettera. » En effet, précise le quotidien financier, « l'histoire nous apprend ce qu'il advient des banques centrales qui deviennent les bras armés des hommes politiques. Il n'y a qu'à voir l'inflation en Turquie sous la présidence de Recep Tayyip Erdogan ou encore en Argentine depuis des décennies. (…) Trump n'envisage que des tactiques à court terme et aux avantages politiques personnels qu'il peut en retirer. L'intégrité institutionnelle l'ennuie. Mais s'il réussit à prendre le contrôle de la Fed, lui et les Républicains seront comptables de toute l'inflation qui en découlera. » Le New York Times pour sa part s'interroge : « la Cour suprême va-t-elle imposer de véritables limites à ce président ? » Et dans le cas d'espèce, s'opposer au limogeage de Lisa Cook ? Sans doute pas… Car, « la Cour suprême, rappelle le journal, s'est gravement écartée de son chemin au cours des sept derniers mois (depuis le début du mandat de Trump) — elle a autorisé des actions présidentielles qui menacent le fondement même d'un système de séparation des pouvoirs. » Mainmise aussi sur la santé publique… Enfin qu'il n'y a pas que la Fed dans le collimateur de Trump… Il y a aussi le CDC, le Centre des contrôles et de prévention des maladies, la principale agence sanitaire américaine. Sa directrice, Susan Monarez a été limogée hier, sur fond de désaccords avec le ministre de la Santé Robert Kennedy Jr. « Kennedy et ses alliés reprochent depuis longtemps au CDC, rapporte le Washington Post, de faire preuve d'une trop grande complaisance à l'égard de l'industrie pharmaceutique et des fabricants de vaccins. » A contrario, pointe Le Monde à Paris, « depuis son entrée en fonctions, Robert Kennedy Jr a enclenché une refonte de la politique vaccinale, limogeant des experts réputés, restreignant l'accès aux vaccins contre le Covid-19 ou coupant des fonds au développement de nouveaux vaccins. Des mesures prises souvent à l'encontre du consensus scientifique et fustigées par des experts extérieurs. » Résultat : le CDC est désormais en « plein chaos », soupire le Guardian à Londres. Et de nombreux experts en matière de santé publique, cités par le quotidien britannique, qualifient l'implosion du CDC de « désastre total. »
Warum sehnen wir uns nach «starken Männern» – und übersehen dabei, dass ihre Stärke oft nichts anderes ist als kaschierte Schwäche? Manuel und Stephan reden über Alpha-Männer, die überraschende Ehrlichkeit biblischer «Helden»-Geschichten und die Frage, was Jesus mit Macht zu tun hat. Stephan startet mit einer haarsträubenden Hundebegegnung: Sein Vierbeiner gerät mit einem aggressiven Artgenossen namens «Kevin» aneinander – und plötzlich zeigt sich, wie schnell Machtspiele schon auf der Hundewiese entstehen. Manuel erzählt dagegen von einer viel freundlicheren Begegnung: Ein zufälliges Gespräch im Zug vor Jahren hat sich zu einer Freundschaft entwickelt, die letzte Woche in einem Besuch mit hausgemachtem Siedfleischsalat mündete. Und dann geht es um das eigentliche Thema: den Wiederaufstieg der «starken Männer» und eine öffentliche Sehnsucht nach entscheidungsfreudigen, selbstbewussten Führungsfiguren. Trump und Putin, Erdogan und Bolsonaro, Orbán und Musk – sie alle inszenieren sich als unerschütterliche Führer, die Härte, Dominanz und Durchsetzungsstärke verkörpern. Doch was steckt hinter diesem Alpha-Gehabe? Ist es nicht eher Ausdruck von Angst, Abhängigkeit und Schwäche? Im Gespräch kommt Jesus von Nazareth ins Spiel: Einer, der sich konsequent der Überhöhung verweigert, der die Logik des «starken Mannes» unterläuft und die Hoffnungen auf einen dominanten Führer enttäuscht – und der dennoch genau wusste, dass er Einfluss hatte, Ansprüche stellte, Menschen bewegte. Brauchen wir Präsidenten und Politikerinnen wie Jesus? Stephan meint: Jesus wäre wohl ein miserabler Präsident gewesen. Manuel ergänzt: Jesus hätte ein politisches Amt wohl grundsätzlich verweigert. Aber daraus zu schließen, dass das Reich Gottes und die politische Welt zwei getrennte Sphären seien, wäre fatal – und würde Christen in einen zynischen Rückzug treiben. Also bleibt die Frage: Lassen sich aus Jesu Auftreten gesunde Kennzeichen von Macht und Einfluss ableiten, die Demokratien stärken können – ohne toxisch zu werden?
Keith discusses the impact of political rhetoric on mortgage rates, emphasizing the importance of central bank independence. President of Ridge Lending Group and GRE Icon, Caeli Ridge, joins in to explain the benefits of 30-year mortgages over 15-year ones, advocating for extra principal payments to be reinvested rather than accelerating loan payoff. They also cover the potential effects of Fannie and Freddie going public, predicting higher mortgage rates. Caeli Ridge elaborates on cross-collateralization strategies, highlighting the advantages of commercial blanket loans for real estate investors. Resources: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/568 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching: GREinvestmentcoach.com Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments. You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript: Keith Weinhold 0:01 welcome to GRE I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, the President has called the Fed chair a dummy and worse. How does this all affect the future of mortgage rates? Also, I discuss 30 year versus 15 year loans. Can you bundle multiple properties into one loan? Then how Fannie and Freddie going public could permanently increase mortgage rates today on get rich education Keith Weinhold 0:28 since 2014 the powerful get rich education podcast has created more passive income for people than nearly any other show in the world. This show teaches you how to earn strong returns from passive real estate investing in the best markets without losing your time being a flipper or landlord. Show Host Keith Weinhold writes for both Forbes and Rich Dad advisors and delivers a new show every week since 2014 there's been millions of listener downloads in 188 world nations. He has a list show guests and key top selling personal finance author Robert Kiyosaki, get rich education can be heard on every podcast platform, plus it has its own dedicated Apple and Android listener phone apps build wealth on the go with the get rich education podcast. Sign up now for the get rich education podcast, or visit get rich education.com Speaker 1 1:14 You're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education. Keith Weinhold 1:24 Welcome to GRE from Pawtucket, Rhode Island to Poughkeepsie, New York and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm your host. Keith weinholdin, this is get rich education, not to inflate a sense of self importance, but each episode is an even bigger deal than a New York Jets preseason football game. You might have thought you knew real estate until you listened to this show, from street speak to geek speak. I use it all to break down how with investment property, you don't have to live below your means. You can grow your means as we're discussing the mortgage landscape this week. You know, I recently had a bundle of my own single family rental homes transfer mortgage servicers from Wells Fargo over to Mr. Cooper. And that was easy. I didn't have to do anything. The automatic payments just automatically transferred over. And yes, Mr. Cooper, it's sort of a funny sounding name that you don't exactly see them putting the naming rights on stadiums out there, but the new servicer prominently wanted to point out the effect of me making extra $100 monthly principal payments and how much in interest that would save me over time, sort of suggesting that it would be a good idea for me to do so. Oh, as you know, like I've discussed extensively, extra principal pay down is a really poor use of your capital. It's a lot like how in the past, now you've probably seen it like I have, your mortgage company promotes you making bi weekly payments all year, so you'd effectively make some extra principal pay down each year. That way. Don't fall for it. Banks promote biweekly payments because it sounds borrower friendly, it encourages an earlier loan payoff. Well, that actually reduces lender risk and increases your risk. And the whole program can come with extra fees too. It just ties up more of your money in something that's unsafe, illiquid, and with a rate of return that's always zero, since that's exactly what home equity is. As we're about to talk mortgages with an expert today, I will be sure to surface that topic. We'll also talk about the housing market effect of a president firing a Fed chair. When you're living under the rule of a president that desperately and passionately wants lower interest rates, you've got to wonder what would happen if a president just had the power to go lower them himself, which is actually what most any president would want to do, but you almost don't have to wonder what would happen. You can just look at what actually did happen in Turkey. Now, yes, Turkey already did have an inflation problem, worse than us, for sure, but Turkish President Erdogan went ahead and lowered Turkey's interest rates despite persistent inflation. I mean, that's a situation where most would raise rates in order to combat inflation. Well, lowering rates like that soon resulted in substantially higher inflation to the tune of almost 60. Yes, six 0% per year before cooler heads prevailed and the Turkish government was forced to drastically raise rates. But it was too late. The damage was already done to the reputation of Turkey's economy and its everyday citizens and consumers. I mean, that was a painful, real world example of how critical central bank independence is. You've also got to ask yourself a question here, do you really want to live in the type of economy where we would need a bunch of rate cuts? Because when rate cuts happen, it usually results from the fact that people are no longer employed, or we're in a recession, or financial markets are really unstable. So there are certainly worse maladies out there than where we are today, which is with moderate inflation, pretty strong employment and interest rates that are actually a little below historic levels. I mean, that is not so bad. Before we talk both long term mortgage lessons and more nascent mortgage trends today coming up on future episodes of the show here, a lot of info and resources to help you build wealth as usual. Also an A E TELEVISION star of a real estate reality show will make his debut here on GRE. Keith Weinhold 6:24 Hey, do you like or even live by any of the enduring GRE mantras, like, Don't live below your means, grow your means, or financially free, beats debt free, or even, don't quit your Daydream. Check out our shop. You can own merch with sayings like that on them, or simply with our GRE logo on shirts and hats and mugs. And I don't really make any income from it. The merch is sold at near cost, and it actually took a fair bit of our team's time to put that together for you. So check out the GRE merch. You can find it at shop.getricheducation.com that's shop.getricheducation.com Keith Weinhold 7:18 today we're talking to the longtime president of ridge lending group. They specialize in providing income property loans to real estate investors like you, and she's also a long time real estate investor herself. I've shared with you before that ridge is where I get my own loans. They've worked with 10s of 1000s of real estate investors, not just primary residence owners, but real estate investors as well as homeowners all over the country, and at this point, she's like a GRE icon, a fixture regularly with us since 2015 Hey, welcome back to get rich education the inimitable Chaley Ridge, Caeli Ridge 7:54 ooh, Mr. Keith Weinhold, thank you, sir. So good to see you, my friend. Thanks for having me Keith Weinhold 8:00 opening up that thesaurus tab right about now, I think maybe JAYLEE, why don't we have the chat everyone wants to have? Let's discuss interest rates, starting with the vitriol from Trump to Powell has reached new heights. This year, Trump has called Powell a numbskull, Mr. Too late, a real dummy, a complete moron, a fool and a major loser, among other names. And you know, at times, I've seen Realtors even blasting Jerome Powell for not cutting rates. Well, the Fed doesn't directly control mortgage rates, and it's also not the Fed's job to boost Realtors summer sales. It's to protect the long term stability of the US economy. Tell us your thoughts. Caeli Ridge 8:48 So this is a rather complicated topic, okay, and there's a lot that under the hood that goes into how a long term mortgage bond interest rate is going to go up or going to go down. As you said, it's not necessarily just the Fed and the fed fund rate, which, by the way, for those that are not familiar with this, the fed fund rate is the intra daily trading rate between banks. So while there is a connection between that and that of the 30 year long term fixed rate mortgage, they are not the same thing. And in fact, statistically, I believe I read this last week, the last three fed fund rate reductions did the opposite to long term rates, right? So we went the other direction. So please be clear that the viral, as you say, of President Trump and what his opinions are about Mr. Powell and his decisions to keep that fed fund rate unchanged for the last several meetings that they've had, I think, is more of a distraction, but that's another conversation overall. I would say that, is he too late? Is he right on time? You know, there's so much data and so many data points that they're looking at, and there's this thing in the industry called a Lag that, in truth, they're not getting the actual data points that they need real time. It's lagging, so the data that's coming out to them today isn't going to be what's relevant and necessary to make changes tomorrow, next month and next week. Most recently, you probably saw in the news the BLS Bureau of Labor and Statistics and the jobs report came in far under what the expectation was. So that might have been the catalyst. I think that will drive Powell and group to reduce that is the overwhelming expectation that the fed fund rate is going to come down by how much. We don't know. Secondary markets are already baking that in, by the way. So when we talk about long term interest rates, I'm starting to see some changes on the day to day. I get access to that stuff, and I'm looking at it daily, the ticker tape of where the treasury bonds and things are. So I'm starting to see some slight improvement to interest rates in preparation of that market expectation, interest rate on the fed fund level will probably reduce. But I think overall, Keith that the Fed is in a really difficult position, because when you think about what really is going to drive the fed fund rate, and then potentially the long term rate, is counterintuitive to what most people or consumers expect, right? They think if the fed fund rate reduces by a quarter of a percentage point, then a long term 30 year fixed should probably reduce by the same amount. It does not go hand in hand like that. Now, while there are trends right, that doesn't happen that way, and more often than not, the worse our economy is doing, the better a 30 year interest rate will be. So in my industry, I'm kind of always playing on the fence, thinking I don't want anything bad for our country and the economy. However, the worse it does, the better interest rates are going to become. And if you've been paying attention, the economy is in decent shape. We're not doing that bad. Inflation is still up, so the metrics that they're using to kind of gage and predict that lag and where we're going to be are not in line to say that interest rates are going to drop a half or a point or a point and a half in the next year to 18 months. Those signs are not out there for me. All of that said, I know that interest rate is top of mind for I mean, I'm on the phone all day long. I like that part of my job where I'm still interfacing with investors on day to day. Big chunk of my day is spent talking to clients, and that is one of the top questions, probably one of the first questions that come out of their mouth, where interest rates? What are interest rates? And what I have sort of started to really form and say to that question is, if interest rates are the catalyst to your success in real estate, you probably need to do a little bit more research, because interest rates should not be the make or break for your success. Well, as a real estate investor Keith Weinhold 12:45 the Fed has a dual mandate of maximum employment and stable prices. Inflation, though still somewhat elevated, has stayed about the same the past few months. History shows us that the Fed is more comfortable with inflation floating up than they are with suppressed employment levels. To your point about recent reports about us not adding many jobs, and the Fed being concerned about that, the translation for those that don't know is, if the job market is weak, lowering rates, which is what increasingly people think they tend to do later this year. Lowering rates helps encourage businesses. It's more likely that businesses will borrow and expand and hire more people. Therefore, if rates are low now, whether that translates into a lower mortgage rate or not, by lowering that fed funds rate? Yes, there is that positive correlation. Generally, the lower the Fed funds rate goes, the lower mortgage rates tend to go although that isn't always the case. To your point. Shailene, late last year, there were three Fed funds rate cuts, and mortgage rates actually went up, which is somewhat of an aberration that usually doesn't happen that way, but that's the environment we're in. Most people think Fed rate cuts are coming later this year. Caeli Ridge 14:04 Yeah. And I would say, you know, the other thing too, when we talk about the pressure that the Fed is under right now, specifically, Powell, he's being attacked, fine, and whether I agree or disagree, really important for listeners to understand that the indifference that the Fed is supposed to have right bipartisan, it's not supposed to have a dog in that fight. If it did the calamity, I think what would happen economically in this country would be devastating if other economic powers were to see that our particular financial institutions are swayed one way or another. Politically, that would be devastating to us. So I think Powell has done a decent job at staying the course. He's continued to do what he says, says what he does. So so far, I'm okay. Is he late to reduce rates? I don't know that I'm qualified to say that, maybe. But at the same time, I think that his impartiality has been consistent, and that for that part of it, I'm. Grateful Keith Weinhold 15:00 for those who don't understand if Trump just told Powell what to do and Powell followed Trump's orders, how does that devastate the economy? Caeli Ridge 15:09 It shows partiality to or Fieldy to one particular party, right? It's not an independent institution where financial policy quantitative easing, quantitative tightening, all of those different things that are necessary to keep the pistons pumping. It isn't it's very specific to Fieldy and the leader of telling based on potentially ego or other elements that have not a lot to do with fiduciary responsibility. Keith Weinhold 15:37 If Powell did everything Trump said, I feel like we would have negative interest rates right now Caeli Ridge 15:43 that could be a problem, especially if the economy and inflation is on the rise, and then you get the tariffs. I mean, there's so much layering to this. I mean, we could go on and on about it, but overall, let me close with this. I think that interest rates are probably on the run, if I had to guess. Now, there's all kinds of variables that could make that statement untrue, but overall, in the next year to two years, I do think we'll see some relief in interest rates, barring any major catastrophe. But again, investors, if your success, if you're tying your real estate portfolio, your real estate investing, whatever modality you're interested in, if you're tying that to an interest rate, and there's a certain number that you have ethereal in your mind, you're going to lose your success in real estate. Interest rate is a component of it, but it should not be tied to your success or failure. You should be able to do the math and look at the differences in real estate opportunities, investment, whether it be long term, short term, midterm, single family, two to four appreciation, cash flow, all those things should be considered, and you will find adequate returns independent of an interest rate. If you're diversifying that way Keith Weinhold 16:49 there is more evidence that Americans have warmed up and gotten somewhat used to normal mortgage rates. This normalization of mortgage rates, they are pretty close to their historic norms. In fact, a recent housing sentiment survey done by turbo home found that in q1 of this year, 41% of homeowners surveyed said that a 6% mortgage rate was the highest they would accept on their next purchase. Right that was back in q1 today, up from 41%, 52% of respondents now say a 6% mortgage rate is the highest that they would accept. Evidence that people are warming up and normalizing this. Caeli Ridge 17:30 The other thing too is the pandemic rates. Right? That's been a very hard shell to crack. The people that got these two and 3% interest rates during 2020 2021, part of 22 they're really reticent to let those go, and I think that they're doing themselves a disservice as a result. If you can get a second lean HELOC, okay, fine, but overall, if you're just going to let that untapped equity sit, it's going to be to your disadvantage. If you have any desire to increase your portfolio and your long term financial stability and wealth Keith Weinhold 17:59 you're listening to get rich education. Our guest is Ridge lending Group President Cheley, Ridge much more when we come back, including 30 year versus 15 year loans. Which one is better and more things that the administration is doing to shake up the mortgage market. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold. Keith Weinhold 18:15 the same place where I get my own mortgage loans is where you can get yours. Ridge lending group and MLS, 42056, they provided our listeners with more loans than anyone because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. Start your prequel and even chat with President Cheley Ridge personally while it's on your mind, start at Ridge lendinggroup.com. That's Ridge lendinggroup.com. Keith Weinhold 18:46 You know what's crazy? Your bank is getting rich off of you. The average savings account pays less than 1% it's like laughable. Meanwhile, if your money isn't making at least 4% you're losing to inflation. That's why I started putting my own money into the FFI liquidity fund. It's super simple. Your cash can pull in up to 8% returns and it compounds. It's not some high risk gamble like digital or AI stock trading. It's pretty low risk because they've got a 10 plus year track record of paying investors on time in full every time. I mean, I wouldn't be talking about it if I wasn't invested myself. You can invest as little as 25k and you keep earning until you decide you want your money back. No weird lockups or anything like that. So if you're like me and tired of your liquid funds just sitting there doing nothing. Check it out. Text family 266, 866, to learn about freedom. Family investments, liquidity fund again. Text family to 66866, Rick Sharga 19:58 this is Rick sharga housing market. Intelligence Analyst, listen to get rich education with Keith Weinhold, and don't quit your Daydream. Keith Weinhold 20:05 Welcome back to get rich Education. I'm your host, Keith Weinhold. We're talking with a familiar guest this week. That's Ridge lending Group President, Caeli. Ridge wealth is built through compound leverage faster than compound interest. And leverage means using loans. I think most everyone the first time in their life they look at loan amortization tables and learn things like, oh, with a 15 year loan, you pay substantially less interest, perhaps hundreds of 1000s of dollars less interest with a 15 year loan and its lower mortgage rate than you do with a 30 year loan and its higher mortgage rate. But a lot of people don't take that next step and look that Oh, rather than paying down my home loan with extra principal payments, if I just invested the difference, I would be substantially better off down the road. So in a lot of cases, the more sophisticated investor chooses that longer loan duration, the 30 year. That's the way I see it. What do you see? Most of your prefer there. Caeli Ridge 21:12 It's one of my favorite topics to cover, because there's quite a few layers that I think can all connect. If an individual wants to pay less in interest very easily, I'm going to strenuously advise them to take a 30 year over a 15 year and just simply apply the difference. So let's just start with the applicable version of 15 versus 30 and how it can benefit or harm. Because this is what a lot of times people that go for the 15 year and wanting to pay less in interest. Don't understand, and it's never been delivered to them in a reasonable way, I guess. So just looking at those two, and then we'll get to the strategy of potentially reinvesting those dollars elsewhere. But just look at a 30 year and a 15 year. I am a massive deterrent against a shorter term amortization. I hate a shorter term amortization, because all that's going to do to the individual is limit their ability to qualify later on down the road. And the reason for that is, is that the shorter term, as you had described, is going to yield a higher monthly payment. So when we pull credit for an individual, that's a higher monthly payment that the debt to income ratio has to support, when in fact, if we simply just look at the two side by side, 15 year and a 30 year equal, equal loan sizes. The 15 year is going to have a lower interest rate. It's true, but the amortization is obviously half the amount. We've gone from 360 months, 30 years to 180 months, 15 years. So the payment obviously is going to be much, much higher if you take the payment difference between those two mortgage products and apply it with a 30 year fixed payment. Let's just call it 500 bucks a month, whatever the number is, and you are disciplined to send that extra 500 bucks every single month with your 30 year fixed mortgage payment. You will cross the finish line in 15.4 years, I think, is the average when you run the amortization, so you'll pay a few extra months worth of interest, but whatever, you'll never pay the higher interest that the 30 year has locked at because you've accelerated the payoff of the debt so quickly, and you've maximized your debt to income ratio and future qualifications never take the shorter term amortization. It is to your greatest disadvantage. I hate them. That's part one. Did you have a comment? I can see that your wheels are spinning. Keith Weinhold 23:24 That is a great answer. If you get the 30 year loan instead of the 15 if you apply an extra principal payment, whatever it would be, call it 500 plus dollars, that you will kill off that loan, that 30 year loan in something like 15.4 years. Yes, and you'll have the lower payment amount for your qualification, going forward, you'll have more flexibility in your life. That's great. I didn't realize the difference 15.4 versus 15 was that small? That's a great takeaway. Caeli Ridge 23:50 Yeah, absolutely. And the other piece, you kind of just hit on it, the individual's feet are not held to the fire at that higher payment. So let's say it's a rental, okay, whatever. It goes vacant for a month, or a couple months, God forbid, or whatever may be happening. You now get to choose. You are not obligated at that higher monthly payment. You can say, Okay, this month, I'm not going to pay the extra. I don't da, da, da. It's all within your control. So you're killing like four birds with one stone. I really prefer the 30 year amortization for all those reasons. So now let's take it and move into how I believe, and I agree with your philosophy, taking those dollars and applying them, because when we talk about mortgage interest, especially on investment property, okay, it's probably a slightly different conversation when we're talking about somebody's primary residence, home, but for an investment property to take that difference and apply it toward another investment, because the interest remember, you guys, we're investors. We want that Schedule E deduction, that interest deduction, as money goes a 30 year fixed mortgage, even today, as interest rates are elevated beyond the two and three percents that people somehow fixated on, that that's where interest rates should just be forever. You've got Mass. Amounts of interest deduction, so you're paying less in taxes. For that reason, there's so many reasons to stretch out that mortgage on an investment property versus extinguishing that debt, not to mention, you want to constantly be harvesting equity, ideally, pulling cash out. Borrowed funds are non taxable, deploying them, but then taking that extra cash flow and stockpiling it for another investment, whether that just be the down payment or for other things. I just think there's so many better places that those funds can go to produce more wealth than accelerating the payoff of that debt that's benefiting you, from a tax perspective, and several other ways. There's lots of other ways to apply that money. I Keith Weinhold 25:43 I often ask, why accelerate the payoff on a, say, 7% mortgage interest rate loan, when instead you can take those savings, reinvest them into other real estate, where it sounds preposterous on its face to think of the rate of return that you can get from an income property, but when you add up all the five ways you're paid, appreciation, cash flow, loan pay down, made by the tenant, tax benefits and the inflation profiting benefit on the long term fixed interest rate debt, a return of 20% plus is not out of the question at all. So if it's 20, why would you pay off extra on a seven? That's 13 points of arbitrage that you could gain there by not aggressively paying down a property and instead making a down payment on another income property. Chaeli, when it comes to these type of questions and accelerating a payoff, why do banks seem to encourage that you make bi weekly payments rather than monthly payments, therefore accelerating your principal pay down. Caeli Ridge 26:42 I'm not sure the reason behind that. I don't know that I've even seen a lot of that from my lens and my perspective. It's definitely not something I ever comment or preach on. But the overall, what's happening there when you do it the bi weekly, so instead of making $1,000 at the first of the month, you make 500 and then 500 right, middle of them on first of the month. What's happening there is, because of the way the annual calendar goes, it ends up being an extra payment per year, right? I think that's the math. Is, when you do it that way, you end up making an extra payment per year, so you can accelerate. And there's you're not doing anything different, necessarily, to in your cash flow, etc. So I don't think there's anything wrong with it. I don't know what the benefit is to the institution that would in communicate that to its consumer. Yeah, Keith Weinhold 27:27 Yeah, it ends up being 26 bi weekly payments, which has the effect of making 13 monthly payments in a 12 month year, accelerating your pay down. In my experience, it seems that banks encourage this. They contact borrowers. They've contacted me in the past, laying out a welcome mat. Hey, would you like this plan here? And in my mind, accelerating the payoff. We already talked about how that's typically not a good investment. The more you know about the trade off between loans and equity, really, I'm transferring more of the risk onto myself and less they're onto the bank when I accelerate my payoff. So I agree. I'm not interested in doing that at all. Caeli Ridge 28:06 You know, maybe Keith, it could be, because I people talk about this a lot, those people, and let's say that there are a group of individuals that might benefit. Let's say they're in phase three, right? They're well into retirement. They just want to start paying off. They're not maybe investing anymore. They just want to leave that legacy, perhaps, or whatever their circumstances are, and they don't want to take additional capital and apply it to the principal and lock up those funds and make them illiquid. So maybe, just as an easy sidebar, they just make two payments month versus one. I get a lot of people asking that question. I mean, over the years, I know that like at the closing table, we'll have clients say, Hey, is the servicer going to be set up to accept bi weekly payments? And a lot of times they don't like SLS. I mean, there's a lot of servicers out there that will not accept or don't have the infrastructure to collect those bi weekly so maybe just as a consumer desire out there, the servicers have gotten wise to it, and they just offer it. I can't think of the reason behind why they would promote that to their database. I don't know. Keith Weinhold 29:09 Another question that I hear quite often, and probably do as well there is about bundling multiple properties into one loan. Can you tell us about that? Caeli Ridge 29:20 Yeah, that's called cross collateralization. So we're taking residential property, okay, and putting them into a commercial blanket loan. So any combination of single family, up to four unit, five Plex and above is now considered commercial. So it's got to be single family, condo, duplex, triplex, fourplex, right? It's residential property, and they're taking any combination of that and putting it into one blanket loan, cross collateralizing it. Now, I believe the most incentivized way or desire to want to do this is probably for two reasons. One, to free up golden tickets, right? Golden tickets are those Fannie Freddie loans that we talk about a lot. There are 10 of these per qualified individual, if. If someone has maxed out their golden tickets, let's say they've got 12, 1314, properties, they could take five or 10 or 13, whatever the number, and put them into a commercial blanket cross collateralized loan, as long as it's non recourse. That means no personal guarantee is attached to it. The rule per golden ticket will free up all those spaces. So usually this applies to an individual that has a portfolio that has stabilized. This will usually work when the portfolio has had a couple of years to make sure that you've got your consistent tenants and anything that may come up, repairs, maintenance, et cetera, stabilized portfolios and then putting them into that cross collateralization, because the terms are not going to be the same as just a 30 year fixed Okay, especially if you're going to be looking to take cash out and harvest equity that way, that may be a real opportune time to borrow funds. Borrowed funds are non taxable once again, pull the cash out, put it into a non recourse loan. You've got half a million dollars of capital now that you can then go and get a whole new set of golden tickets for expanding your portfolio. So that's something that we focus on for individuals that have maybe maxed out of that that conventional landscape and or are looking to scale and acquire more properties, but they don't want to necessarily look at some of the DSCR loans. They want to get back into the Fannie Freddie box. Keith Weinhold 31:22 Yeah, so someone could bundle and get cash out simultaneously, potentially, is there anything else that qualifies or disqualifies one for bundling many loans into one like this? Caeli Ridge 31:35 It's a commercial underwrite. So they should be aware of that. Now, certainly, we're looking at the individual typically in those loans, the underwriting of those loans, the individual's liquidity and credit are most what we're focusing on, but it's about the property in the portfolio, DSCR, that debt service coverage ratio is a big factor. So we're looking at the income against the monthly expense. Generally. That's going to be the principal, interest, tax and insurance on a commercial basis, they throw in the maintenance, vacancy, et cetera, averages. So you want to see, generally speaking, about 1.2 on those when you divide the incomes and the expenses and then otherwise, yeah, LTV might be a little bit restricted on something like that, 70% usually, maybe you can get as much as 75 if you've got a really strong portfolio. But otherwise, for you, individually, liquidity, some liquidity there, and good credit is what is important. As long as the portfolio is operating at a gain, then you're good to go. Keith Weinhold 32:32 Yeah, that cross collateralization could be really attractive. Well, Chile, we've been in this presidential administration that has shaken things up like few, if any, prior administrations have. One of those things is that they have pushed for cryptocurrency holdings to be recognized as assets in mortgage loan qualification. Now that's something that would probably pend approval by the FHFA and critics cite volatility. I mean, there's been a pattern where every few years, Bitcoin drops 80% before rebounding, and I'm not exaggerating, and that has happened a number of times. And another administration desire is this potential Fannie Mae Freddie Mac merger, or an IPO an initial public offering. Can you tell us what that's about Caeli Ridge 33:21 let's start with the crypto first, whether or not this, this gets through the Congress and or FHFA, however, that that develops and becomes actualized, that may be different than what the lending institutions decide to take a risk on, right the allowance of that crypto so it even if it's approved and they say that, Yes, that we can use this for asset depletion or reserve requirements, or whatever it may be. I don't know necessarily that you're going to see a lot of the lending institutions jump on board. I think they'll probably have overlays. It's just kind of the layering of risk on the crypto side to ensure that the asset and the underwrite is less likely to default. I don't see a lot of lending institutions that are probably going to jump on that bandwagon immediately. That's probably going to need more time and consistency with that particular asset class. That's the crypto thing. So that's a TBD on the other side, we're talking about conservatorship. So post, oh 809, right? The housing crash and Dodd Frank, if you've not heard of those names before, they're just the last names of individuals that that rewrote that sweeping legislation across all sectors of finance. Once we saw housing and lending implode upon each other, Fannie Freddie, as a result, went into conservatorship. Now what they're saying, what the administration is saying is, is that they are going to say that the implicit guarantee actually, let me back up really, really quickly. I will not take too much time on this so Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac The reason that those products are the golden tickets, as we call them, and we're just focused on investor products right now is because highest leverage, lowest interest rate. And why is it like that? That's because it has a United States government guarantee. Against default. So this mortgage backed security is bundled up with other mortgage backed securities and sold, bought and sold on the secondary market to investors, foreign and domestic. Right? Investors that are buying mortgage backed securities, they know that that paper is secure. If it defaults. We've got the United States government that's giving us a guarantee against default. So that's why it's such a secure investment. If we come out of conservatorship, technically, that would normally mean that you may not have that implicit guarantee. However, the Trump administration and those that are in that space, FHFA, Pulte and all those guys, they're saying that that guarantee should still apply if that happens, if that's how they release this, I don't see anything wrong if they do it without all of the volatility. You know, let's use the tariffs as an example. It was all over the place. It was there, and then it was gone. It was up, and then it was down. It was 30% then it was two right? It was it was just so much, and the markets really had a hard time with it. And as a result, I think a lot of people lost massive amounts of wealth in the stock market because of that. So I think that there is some real benefits to getting the Fannie, Freddie, the GSCs, government sponsored enterprises, out of conservatorship. I think it just opens up for more fair trade in the market. But they have to do it the right way, and as long as they keep that guarantee, that government guarantee, and then they take their time and apply the steps appropriately, I think it could be a good thing, ultimately, for the consumer. Now, if they don't, it could really have devastating impacts, and I think it could even raise interest interest rates higher. I know Trump and folks don't want that, so I think they're mindful of it. That's just kind of the take I get. But we'll see, Keith Weinhold 36:42 yeah, because that's my preeminent thought with this. Shaylee, if Fannie and Freddie come out of conservatorship, and there's no government backstop on those loans, it seems like the banks are exposed to more risk, and consequently would have to compensate for that, potentially with a higher interest Caeli Ridge 36:57 rate. You said it better than I did. Yes, I get too technical when I go down those rabbit holes. That's exactly right. I do not think that they will go down that that path without that implicit guarantee. I expect, if this thing comes to fruition, I expect that that guarantee will be there. Keith Weinhold 37:13 Yeah, it does seem likely, with as much administration concern as there is about the housing market and the level of mortgage rates and all kinds of interest rates out there. Well, JAYLEE, this has been a great, wide ranging conversation all the way from strategy to what the administration is doing in interfacing with the mortgage market. If someone wants to learn more about you and your products, tell us what you offer, including your very popular all in one loan there at ridge. Caeli Ridge 37:41 Ooh, thank you for teeing that up. Yeah, especially right now, when people have a lot of concern about interest rates right or wrong, the all in one is a very unique product that removes that fear. It's a way that investors, especially can take control of their equity, pay less in interest, and sometimes hundreds of 1000s of dollars less in interest, while maintaining equity and flexibility and liquidity. Cannot say enough about this product. The all in one. First lien HELOC is my very favorite. For the right individuals, we've talked about it many, many times. They can find us talking about it all over YouTube. You and I have quite a few conversations about that. So that and so much more, guys. So the all in one, you've got the Fannie Freddie's, our debt service ratio products, our bank statement loans, our asset depletion loans, ground up construction bridge loans for fix and flip or fix and hold. We really run the gamut there in terms of loan product diversity. There's very little we can't do for real estate investors. So we're uniquely qualified in that space Keith Weinhold 38:36 and you offer loans in nearly all 50 states. Now tell us more and how one can get a hold of your company. Yes, we are Caeli Ridge 38:44 licensed in 49 states. The only state we're not licensed in residentially is New York. We can still do commercial there. But to reach us, you can find us on the web, Ridge lendinggroup.com you can email us info@ridgelendinggroup.com and feel free to call us at 855, 74 Ridge 855-747-4343, Keith Weinhold 39:04 I'm so familiar with all those avenues because, again, that's where I get my own loans myself. Chaley Ridge has been valuable as always. Thanks so much for coming back onto the show. Caeli Ridge 39:13 Thanks, Keith. Keith Weinhold 39:21 A lot of experts believe that stripping Fannie and Freddie's public backing and taking them public, yeah, that that will increase mortgage rates. See, besides there being more risk, like we touched on there during the interview, Fannie and Freddie would face strong incentives to increase profitability, to make an IPO appealing to potential investors, that's just another reason that would probably increase mortgage rates. But if you're the type that truly champions free marketeerism, then the government would get out of Fannie and Freddie and let them IPO, and you would want. To see that happen now you as an investor, you probably resonate with the fact that rather than having to methodically and even painfully save money for your next property, instead you can just borrow funds, tax free, out of your existing property, and that way, you're using more of other people's money, the bank's money, in this case, and less of your own. Similarly, if you avoid aggressive principal pay down well, you would just retain those funds in the first place. As you can see, Chely is really good at taking a deep look at what you've got to work with and helping you lay out a strategy that might make sense, keeping in mind and evaluating your cash, cash flow, equity DTI and loan to value ratios, they offer free 30 minute strategy sessions. You can book one right there on their homepage at Ridge lendinggroup.com Until next week, I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit. Sure. Daydream. Speaker 2 41:07 Nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC exclusively. Keith Weinhold 41:31 You know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info, oh, geez, today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got pay walls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers, it's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters, and I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read. And when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream. Letter, it wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now. Just text gre 266, 866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text, gre 266, 866 Keith Weinhold 42:47 The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth, building, get richeducation.com.
Turkish armed forces could play a major role in securing any peace deal between Ukraine and Russia. For Ankara, this would be a chance to reassert itself at a time when many fear it is being sidelined by Western allies. European and US military chiefs last week reportedly presented ideas to their national security advisers on how to guarantee Ukraine's security if there is a peace deal with Russia. The discussions followed a summit of European leaders in Washington with US President Donald Trump on ending the conflict. "It's going to be a big challenge, but they will find ways of tackling that challenge without the US troops on the ground," said Serhat Guvenc, professor of international relations at Istanbul's Kadir Has University. "It will be a novelty because Europe has never carried out any peacekeeping or stabilization operation of this magnitude before." Turkey, with NATO's second-largest army, is seen as a possible option. "Turkey is an option, you know. And it seems that there is some talk of Turkish contribution," Guvenc added. Armenia and Azerbaijan peace deal raises hopes of Turkish border reopening Ankara signals readiness On the same day, French President Emmanuel Macron held a phone call with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan to discuss Ukraine's security. Ankara has already signalled it could take part in monitoring any peace deal, but Moscow's approval would be necessary. "If the parties agree, Turkey may send our troops to peacekeeping operations," said Mesut Casin, a former presidential adviser and professor at Istanbul's Yeditepe University. Casin pointed to Turkey's past record in UN operations. "Turkey joined many UN peacekeeping operations in the former Yugoslavia, Somalia, and Korea, and in many other peacekeeping operations. The Turkish army is very powerful," he said. "Also, remember Putin is talking many times with Erdogan, and at the same time, Zelensky is visiting Ankara." Turkey and Italy boost cooperation in bid to shape Libya's political future Balancing Moscow and Kyiv Since the start of the war, Erdogan has kept good relations with both Russia and Ukraine. Ankara has refused to apply most international sanctions on Moscow, while at the same time selling vital military hardware to Kyiv. That balancing act has raised questions among European partners. "Turkey ought to have been at the Washington meeting," said Soli Ozel, an international relations scholar at the Institute for Human Studies in Vienna. Even though Turkey borders both Ukraine and Russia, Erdogan was excluded from this month's summit between Trump and European leaders. "The fact that it wasn't backs the observation that the bigger players or the major partners are not bringing Turkey center stage, they're sidelining it," Ozel added. Despite this, Ankara remains strategically important. "They keep it in the play, it's important because if you're going to need troops, you're going to need Turkey. If you're going to talk about the Black Sea security, you need Turkey. And so you cannot really dismiss Turkey," Ozel said. But he warned that mistrust is limiting Ankara's role. "You're not making it part of the process that will hopefully lead to a conclusion or a peace treaty between Ukraine and Russia. There is a lack of trust, and I think that has something to do with the way Turkey has conducted its diplomacy," Ozel said. Peace or politics? Turkey's fragile path to ending a decades-long conflict Doubts over influence Some analysts suggest Ankara hopes Europe's reliance on Turkish forces or its navy for Black Sea security could help restore influence. But others see limited gains. "There is no automatic increase in Turkey's influence and credibility as a result of taking part in such operations," said Guvenc. "It does have a certain impact, but on the other hand, such contributions do not change other Western partners' views of Turkey." Rather than a reset with Europe, Guvenc sees a continuation of the current dynamic. "What might happen is yet another manifestation of transactionalism on both sides. And if Turkey contributes to peacekeeping in Ukraine, probably President Erdogan expects concrete benefits that will help him manage the deteriorating economic situation in Turkey. "Therefore, you cannot build a comprehensive and sustainable relationship built on that transactionalism on both sides."
Skådespelaren Gizem Erdogan har förlovat sig och har lagt till fästmannens efternamn Kling. Hon berättar varför hon slutat ljug och hur konsten att ha tråkigt blivit en styrka. Lyssna på alla avsnitt i Sveriges Radio Play.
After Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu shared and defended his five-point plan to end Israel's war with Hamas, there was a negative international response along with massive protests in Israel. What will it take to return the hostages in Gaza and end the war with Hamas?During this episode of the Blessors of Israel Podcast, Jonathan Hessen, CEO and Host of TV7 Israel and a Senior Fellow of the Hudson Institute joins Dr. Matthew Dodd to discuss this question along with questions concerning Israel's 12-Day War with Iran. Follow TV7 Israel: https://www.tv7israelnews.com/ Follow Jonathan Hessen on Twitter/X: https://x.com/JonathanHessenFollow TV7 Israel on Twitter/X: https://x.com/tv7israelnews Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, Jonathan Hessen, TV7 Israel, 12-Day War
The signing of a peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Washington has raised hopes of ending decades of conflict and reopening Turkey's border with Armenia. The deal, brokered by US President Donald Trump, commits both countries to respect each other's territorial integrity – the issue at the centre of bloody wars. The agreement is seen as paving the way for Turkey to restore diplomatic ties with Armenia. "Ankara has been promising that once there is a peace agreement, it will open the border," says Asli Aydintasbas, of the Washington-based Brookings Institution. "There was a brief period in the post-Soviet era when it [the border] was opened, but that was quickly shut again due to the Armenian-Azeri tensions." Aydintasbas says reopening the border could have wide-reaching consequences. "Armenia and Turkey opening their border and starting trade would be a historical moment in terms of reconciliation between these two nations, which have very bitter historic memories," she adds. "But beyond that, it would help Armenia economically because it's a landlocked country entirely dependent on Russia for its protection and its economy." Turning point In June, Armenia's Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan met Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan in Istanbul. The meeting was seen as a turning point in relations long overshadowed by the memory of the 1915 Armenian Genocide, which Ankara still officially denies. "There's now a degree of personal chemistry between the Armenian prime minister and Erdogan. This was seen in a June historic meeting, the first ever bilateral contact, a face-to-face meeting," says Richard Giragosian, director of the Regional Studies Centre, a think tank in Yerevan. Turkey closed its border with Armenia in 1993 after ethnic Armenians in Azerbaijan seized the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh enclave. The enclave was retaken by Azerbaijani forces in 2022. Giragosian says the peace deal, along with warmer ties between Pashinyan and Erdogan, could now help Yerevan reach a long-sought goal. "In the longer perspective for Turkey and Armenia, this is about going beyond the South Caucasus. It's about Central Asia. It's about European markets, potentially a new Iran in the future," he says. Erdogan congratulated Pashinyan on Monday over the deal, but made no official pledge on reopening the border. That decision may lie with Azerbaijan's president, Ilham Aliyev. "They [Ankara] will be looking to Baku. Baku is basically able to tell Turkey not to move on normalisation with Armenia, not to open the border," says Aydintasbas. "Part of the reason is that Turkey has developed an economic dependency on Azerbaijan, which is the top investor in Turkey. In other words, little brother is calling the shots, and I think that Ankara, to an extent, does not like it, but has come to appreciate the economic benefits of its relationship with Azerbaijan." Azerbaijani demands on Armenia Azerbaijan is also pushing for changes to Armenia's constitution, which it claims makes territorial claims on Nagorno-Karabakh. "The Armenian constitution refers to the Declaration of Independence of Armenia, which has a clear clause on the unification with Armenia, with Nagorno-Karabakh," says Farid Shafiyev of the Centre for Analysis of International Relations, a Baku-based think tank. Shafiyev warned that without reform, the peace deal could unravel. "Let's say, imagine Pashinyan losing elections, a new person says: 'You know, everything which was signed was against the Armenian constitution.' For us, it is important that the Armenian people vote for the change of the constitution," Shafiyev says. Analysts note that changing the constitution would require a referendum with more than 50 percent turnout – a difficult and time-consuming process. Time, however, may be running short. Russia is seen as the biggest loser from lasting peace in the Caucasus. For decades Moscow exploited the conflict to play Armenia and Azerbaijan against each other. Pashinyan is now seeking to move away from Russian dominance and closer to Europe. Giragosian warned that Armenia's window of opportunity is limited. "There is a closing window of opportunity – that is Russia's distraction with everything in Ukraine. We do expect a storm on the horizon, with an angry, vengeful Putin reasserting or attempting to regain Russia's lost power and influence in the region." Weakening Russia's grip remains key, he adds. "Armenia, after all, is still a member of the Eurasian Economic Union, the Russian-dominated trade bloc. "But it's also a country that has a Russian military base. Russia still manages the Armenian railway network, for example. This is why, for Armenia, the real key here is going to be Turkey and normalising relations with Turkey." At present, Armenia's only open land borders are with Georgia and Iran – both close to Russia. Opening the Turkish border would give Armenia a vital new route, while also benefiting Turkey's economically depressed border region. But for now, Azerbaijan may seek further concessions before allowing any breakthrough.
Deze zomer nemen onze correspondenten ons mee naar mensen en gemeenschappen die zich onttrekken aan de samenleving. Op dansvloeren van Istanbul tot Izmir vergeten tangodansers even de conservatieve moraal van het Turkije van Tayyip Erdogan. Buiten de Argentijnen is er geen volk zo gek van de sensuele dans als de Turken. Hoe komt dat? Luister naar Rob Vreeken, onze correspondent in Turkije, die een avondje uit ging. Onze journalistiek steunen? Dat kan het beste met een (digitaal) abonnement op de Volkskrant, daarvoor ga je naar www.volkskrant.nl/podcastactie Presentatie: Stan PutmanRedactie: Corinne van Duin, Lotte Grimbergen, Julia van Alem en Jasper VeenstraMontage: Rinkie BartelsSee omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.
* Trump and Putin discussed Ukraine peace in Alaska * Nearly 1,800 Palestinians killed seeking Gaza aid since May: UN * Deadly shooting near a mosque in Sweden: police * Five dead in Pakistan relief chopper crash as floods kill dozens * Act now to stop Gaza collapse: Erdogan
Pastor Matthew Finch, the Director of Calvary Chapel Bible College Jerusalem joins Dr. Matthew Dodd for an insightful and edifying interview concerning life in Israel after October 7, 2023.To learn more about Calvary Chapel Bible College Jerusalem: https://ccbcjerusalemil.com/To learn more about Jerusalem Light: https://jerusalemlight.org/Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, War, WWIII, Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, Hamas, Anti-Semitism, CCBC Jerusalem, Calvary Chapel Bible College Jerusalem
Was tun gegen den vielen Plastik-Abfall auf der Welt? Auf diese Frage gibt es weiterhin keine klare Antwort. Die Verhandlungen an der UNO-Konferenz in Genf sind gescheitert. Die rund 180 Länder konnten sich nicht auf ein Abkommen einigen. Warum nicht? Weitere Themen: · Israel will im Westjordanland eine neue Siedlung bauen. Der rechtsextreme israelische Finanzminister hat die Baupläne genehmigt – und will damit die Idee eines palästinensischen Staats begraben. · Freiwilliger Parteiwechsel oder Erpressung? In der Türkei ist die Bürgermeisterin der Stadt Aydin, Özlem Çerçioğlu, aus der Oppositionspartei CHP ausgetreten – und der Regierungspartei AKP von Präsident Erdogan beigetreten. Es bestehen Zweifel, ob das wirklich freiwillig geschehen ist. · 86 Prozent der Menschen in der Schweiz sind überzeugt: Für den Zusammenhalt im Land ist es wichtig, dass man mehr als eine Landessprache spricht. Das zeigt eine neue Studie des Bundesamts für Statistik. Sie zeigt aber auch: Englisch nimmt zum Teil einen noch wichtigeren Platz ein. · Die Stadt Chur hat eine der grössten sichtbaren Drogenszenen der Schweiz. Das soll sich jetzt ändern: Die Bündner Regierung hat bekanntgegeben, dass sie eine neue Anlaufstelle für suchtkranke Menschen in Chur finanziert.
Hitler, Stalin, and Mao ruled through violence, fear, and ideology. But in recent decades a new breed of media-savvy strongmen has been redesigning authoritarian rule for a more sophisticated, globally connected world. In place of overt, mass repression, rulers such as Vladimir Putin, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and Viktor Orbán control their citizens by distorting information and simulating democratic procedures. Like spin doctors in democracies, they spin the news to engineer support. Uncovering this new brand of authoritarianism, Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman explain the rise of such “spin dictators,” describing how they emerge and operate, the new threats they pose, and how democracies should respond. Spin Dictators traces how leaders such as Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew and Peru's Alberto Fujimori pioneered less violent, more covert, and more effective methods of monopolizing power. They cultivated an image of competence, concealed censorship, and used democratic institutions to undermine democracy, all while increasing international engagement for financial and reputational benefits. The book reveals why most of today's authoritarians are spin dictators—and how they differ from the remaining “fear dictators” such as Kim Jong-un and Bashar al-Assad. Spin Dictators: The Changing Face of Tyranny in the 21st Century (Princeton UP, 2022) is aimed at a general audience, synthesizing a vast amount of qualitative and quantitative research by the authors and many other scholars. The book is highly readable, with a great mix of anecdotes and examples along with plain-English explanations of academic research findings. However, it also provides an excellent overview of contemporary global authoritarianism for academics. Almost every claim in the book has an endnote reference to the original research for those who want to follow up. The endnotes mean that despite its moderately intimidating 340-page heft, the main text is a very approachable 219 pages. Daniel Treisman is a professor of political science at the University of California, Los Angeles and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. His research focuses on Russian politics and economics as well as comparative political economy, including in particular the analysis of democratization, the politics of authoritarian states, political decentralization, and corruption. In 2021-22, he was a visiting fellow at Stanford University's Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences and he was recently named a 2022 Andrew Carnegie Fellow. A graduate of Oxford University (B.A. Hons.) and Harvard University (Ph.D. 1995), he has published five books and numerous articles in leading political science and economics journals including The American Political Science Review and The American Economic Review, as well as in public affairs journals such as Foreign Affairs and Foreign Policy. He has also served as a consultant for the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and USAID. In Russia, he has been a member of the International Advisory Committee of the Higher School of Economics and a member of the Jury of the National Prize in Applied Economics Peter Lorentzen is an Associate Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of San Francisco, where he leads a new Master's program in Applied Economics focused on the digital economy. His research focuses on the political economy and governance of China. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/political-science
Hitler, Stalin, and Mao ruled through violence, fear, and ideology. But in recent decades a new breed of media-savvy strongmen has been redesigning authoritarian rule for a more sophisticated, globally connected world. In place of overt, mass repression, rulers such as Vladimir Putin, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and Viktor Orbán control their citizens by distorting information and simulating democratic procedures. Like spin doctors in democracies, they spin the news to engineer support. Uncovering this new brand of authoritarianism, Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman explain the rise of such “spin dictators,” describing how they emerge and operate, the new threats they pose, and how democracies should respond. Spin Dictators traces how leaders such as Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew and Peru's Alberto Fujimori pioneered less violent, more covert, and more effective methods of monopolizing power. They cultivated an image of competence, concealed censorship, and used democratic institutions to undermine democracy, all while increasing international engagement for financial and reputational benefits. The book reveals why most of today's authoritarians are spin dictators—and how they differ from the remaining “fear dictators” such as Kim Jong-un and Bashar al-Assad. Spin Dictators: The Changing Face of Tyranny in the 21st Century (Princeton UP, 2022) is aimed at a general audience, synthesizing a vast amount of qualitative and quantitative research by the authors and many other scholars. The book is highly readable, with a great mix of anecdotes and examples along with plain-English explanations of academic research findings. However, it also provides an excellent overview of contemporary global authoritarianism for academics. Almost every claim in the book has an endnote reference to the original research for those who want to follow up. The endnotes mean that despite its moderately intimidating 340-page heft, the main text is a very approachable 219 pages. Daniel Treisman is a professor of political science at the University of California, Los Angeles and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. His research focuses on Russian politics and economics as well as comparative political economy, including in particular the analysis of democratization, the politics of authoritarian states, political decentralization, and corruption. In 2021-22, he was a visiting fellow at Stanford University's Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences and he was recently named a 2022 Andrew Carnegie Fellow. A graduate of Oxford University (B.A. Hons.) and Harvard University (Ph.D. 1995), he has published five books and numerous articles in leading political science and economics journals including The American Political Science Review and The American Economic Review, as well as in public affairs journals such as Foreign Affairs and Foreign Policy. He has also served as a consultant for the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and USAID. In Russia, he has been a member of the International Advisory Committee of the Higher School of Economics and a member of the Jury of the National Prize in Applied Economics Peter Lorentzen is an Associate Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of San Francisco, where he leads a new Master's program in Applied Economics focused on the digital economy. His research focuses on the political economy and governance of China. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/world-affairs
What are the actual borders of the Promised Land that God determined for Israel? Dr. Matthew Dodd answers this question by examining the covenant that God made with Abram in Genesis 15. Dr. Dodd also explains when God will fulfill this covenant promise for Israel. To learn more about the Abrahamic Covenant established in Genesis 15, watch Episode 93 where Dr. Matthew Dodd explains the significance of the covenant that God established with Abram in greater detail (Click here to view: https://youtu.be/XMNLzW4Fd3s).Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, War, WWIII, Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, HamasAnti-Semitism
Hitler, Stalin, and Mao ruled through violence, fear, and ideology. But in recent decades a new breed of media-savvy strongmen has been redesigning authoritarian rule for a more sophisticated, globally connected world. In place of overt, mass repression, rulers such as Vladimir Putin, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and Viktor Orbán control their citizens by distorting information and simulating democratic procedures. Like spin doctors in democracies, they spin the news to engineer support. Uncovering this new brand of authoritarianism, Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman explain the rise of such “spin dictators,” describing how they emerge and operate, the new threats they pose, and how democracies should respond. Spin Dictators traces how leaders such as Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew and Peru's Alberto Fujimori pioneered less violent, more covert, and more effective methods of monopolizing power. They cultivated an image of competence, concealed censorship, and used democratic institutions to undermine democracy, all while increasing international engagement for financial and reputational benefits. The book reveals why most of today's authoritarians are spin dictators—and how they differ from the remaining “fear dictators” such as Kim Jong-un and Bashar al-Assad. Spin Dictators: The Changing Face of Tyranny in the 21st Century (Princeton UP, 2022) is aimed at a general audience, synthesizing a vast amount of qualitative and quantitative research by the authors and many other scholars. The book is highly readable, with a great mix of anecdotes and examples along with plain-English explanations of academic research findings. However, it also provides an excellent overview of contemporary global authoritarianism for academics. Almost every claim in the book has an endnote reference to the original research for those who want to follow up. The endnotes mean that despite its moderately intimidating 340-page heft, the main text is a very approachable 219 pages. Daniel Treisman is a professor of political science at the University of California, Los Angeles and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. His research focuses on Russian politics and economics as well as comparative political economy, including in particular the analysis of democratization, the politics of authoritarian states, political decentralization, and corruption. In 2021-22, he was a visiting fellow at Stanford University's Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences and he was recently named a 2022 Andrew Carnegie Fellow. A graduate of Oxford University (B.A. Hons.) and Harvard University (Ph.D. 1995), he has published five books and numerous articles in leading political science and economics journals including The American Political Science Review and The American Economic Review, as well as in public affairs journals such as Foreign Affairs and Foreign Policy. He has also served as a consultant for the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and USAID. In Russia, he has been a member of the International Advisory Committee of the Higher School of Economics and a member of the Jury of the National Prize in Applied Economics Peter Lorentzen is an Associate Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of San Francisco, where he leads a new Master's program in Applied Economics focused on the digital economy. His research focuses on the political economy and governance of China. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/russian-studies
Hitler, Stalin, and Mao ruled through violence, fear, and ideology. But in recent decades a new breed of media-savvy strongmen has been redesigning authoritarian rule for a more sophisticated, globally connected world. In place of overt, mass repression, rulers such as Vladimir Putin, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and Viktor Orbán control their citizens by distorting information and simulating democratic procedures. Like spin doctors in democracies, they spin the news to engineer support. Uncovering this new brand of authoritarianism, Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman explain the rise of such “spin dictators,” describing how they emerge and operate, the new threats they pose, and how democracies should respond. Spin Dictators traces how leaders such as Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew and Peru's Alberto Fujimori pioneered less violent, more covert, and more effective methods of monopolizing power. They cultivated an image of competence, concealed censorship, and used democratic institutions to undermine democracy, all while increasing international engagement for financial and reputational benefits. The book reveals why most of today's authoritarians are spin dictators—and how they differ from the remaining “fear dictators” such as Kim Jong-un and Bashar al-Assad. Spin Dictators: The Changing Face of Tyranny in the 21st Century (Princeton UP, 2022) is aimed at a general audience, synthesizing a vast amount of qualitative and quantitative research by the authors and many other scholars. The book is highly readable, with a great mix of anecdotes and examples along with plain-English explanations of academic research findings. However, it also provides an excellent overview of contemporary global authoritarianism for academics. Almost every claim in the book has an endnote reference to the original research for those who want to follow up. The endnotes mean that despite its moderately intimidating 340-page heft, the main text is a very approachable 219 pages. Daniel Treisman is a professor of political science at the University of California, Los Angeles and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. His research focuses on Russian politics and economics as well as comparative political economy, including in particular the analysis of democratization, the politics of authoritarian states, political decentralization, and corruption. In 2021-22, he was a visiting fellow at Stanford University's Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences and he was recently named a 2022 Andrew Carnegie Fellow. A graduate of Oxford University (B.A. Hons.) and Harvard University (Ph.D. 1995), he has published five books and numerous articles in leading political science and economics journals including The American Political Science Review and The American Economic Review, as well as in public affairs journals such as Foreign Affairs and Foreign Policy. He has also served as a consultant for the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and USAID. In Russia, he has been a member of the International Advisory Committee of the Higher School of Economics and a member of the Jury of the National Prize in Applied Economics Peter Lorentzen is an Associate Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of San Francisco, where he leads a new Master's program in Applied Economics focused on the digital economy. His research focuses on the political economy and governance of China. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices Support our show by becoming a premium member! https://newbooksnetwork.supportingcast.fm/national-security
Hitler, Stalin, and Mao ruled through violence, fear, and ideology. But in recent decades a new breed of media-savvy strongmen has been redesigning authoritarian rule for a more sophisticated, globally connected world. In place of overt, mass repression, rulers such as Vladimir Putin, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, and Viktor Orbán control their citizens by distorting information and simulating democratic procedures. Like spin doctors in democracies, they spin the news to engineer support. Uncovering this new brand of authoritarianism, Sergei Guriev and Daniel Treisman explain the rise of such “spin dictators,” describing how they emerge and operate, the new threats they pose, and how democracies should respond. Spin Dictators traces how leaders such as Singapore's Lee Kuan Yew and Peru's Alberto Fujimori pioneered less violent, more covert, and more effective methods of monopolizing power. They cultivated an image of competence, concealed censorship, and used democratic institutions to undermine democracy, all while increasing international engagement for financial and reputational benefits. The book reveals why most of today's authoritarians are spin dictators—and how they differ from the remaining “fear dictators” such as Kim Jong-un and Bashar al-Assad. Spin Dictators: The Changing Face of Tyranny in the 21st Century (Princeton UP, 2022) is aimed at a general audience, synthesizing a vast amount of qualitative and quantitative research by the authors and many other scholars. The book is highly readable, with a great mix of anecdotes and examples along with plain-English explanations of academic research findings. However, it also provides an excellent overview of contemporary global authoritarianism for academics. Almost every claim in the book has an endnote reference to the original research for those who want to follow up. The endnotes mean that despite its moderately intimidating 340-page heft, the main text is a very approachable 219 pages. Daniel Treisman is a professor of political science at the University of California, Los Angeles and a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research. His research focuses on Russian politics and economics as well as comparative political economy, including in particular the analysis of democratization, the politics of authoritarian states, political decentralization, and corruption. In 2021-22, he was a visiting fellow at Stanford University's Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences and he was recently named a 2022 Andrew Carnegie Fellow. A graduate of Oxford University (B.A. Hons.) and Harvard University (Ph.D. 1995), he has published five books and numerous articles in leading political science and economics journals including The American Political Science Review and The American Economic Review, as well as in public affairs journals such as Foreign Affairs and Foreign Policy. He has also served as a consultant for the World Bank, the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, and USAID. In Russia, he has been a member of the International Advisory Committee of the Higher School of Economics and a member of the Jury of the National Prize in Applied Economics Peter Lorentzen is an Associate Professor in the Department of Economics at the University of San Francisco, where he leads a new Master's program in Applied Economics focused on the digital economy. His research focuses on the political economy and governance of China. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
BONUS EPISODE! Join me in the weeds for a FIFTH newspaper article recounting Charles Dahl's escape from Titanic. And in the spirit of hyper-fixation, let's rank the articles by the likelihood they actually contain Mr. Dahl's testimony.Big thanks again to Johannes Kristian Dahl for sending me the article that inspired these episodesand to Jørn Magnus Karlsen for providing me with a better photo of Charles to use for this episode's cover art!Welcome to WITNESS TITANIC, a podcast where we interview witnesses of the infamous TITANIC disaster including modern experts, enthusiasts, and even the survivors of the sinking. Like the century-old inquiries that came before us, we may never fully determine what really happened on that cold April night, but you may be surprised to find how close our efforts will bring us to TITANIC herself...Available wherever you listento podcasts including:APPLE PODCASTSSPOTIFYYOUTUBESeason One @WitnessTitanicSeason Two @TitanicHGTIKTOKINSTAGRAMPATREONHosted by James PencaMusic recorded byEge M. Erdogan (@egecomposer)Titanic corrections?!witnesstitanic@gmail.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Turkey and Italy are working more closely on migration, energy and regional influence as they seek to shape Libya's political future. Both see the North African country as a key shared interest and are moving to consolidate their positions in the conflict-torn but energy-rich eastern Mediterranean. Earlier this month, the leaders of Italy, Turkey and Libya's Government of National Accord (GNA) met in a tripartite summit – the latest sign of growing cooperation between the three Mediterranean nations. “Turkey and Italy have both differing interests, but interests in Libya,” explains international relations professor Huseyin Bagcı of Ankara's Middle East Technical University. “Particularly, the migration issue and illegal human trafficking are big problems for Italy, and most of the people are coming from there [Libya], so they try to prevent the flow of migrants. "But for Turkey, it's more economic. And Libya is very much interested in keeping the relations with both countries.” Turkey and Italy consider teaming up to seek new influence in Africa Migration, legitimacy concerns Turkey is the main backer of Libya's GNA and still provides military assistance, which was decisive in defeating the rival eastern-based forces led by strongman Khalifa Haftar. An uneasy ceasefire holds between the two sides. Libya security analyst Aya Burweilla said Turkey is seeking Italy's support to legitimise the Tripoli government, as questions grow over its democratic record. “What it means for the Tripoli regime is very positive. This is a regime that has dodged elections for years," she says. "Their job was to have democratic elections, and one of their ways to make sure they stay in power was to get foreign sponsors, like Turkey... Now, with this rubber stamp from Meloni in Italy, they can keep the status quo going at the expense of Libyans.” Years of civil war and political chaos have turned Libya into a major hub for people smugglers. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, elected on a pledge to curb irregular migration, sees stability in Libya as key to that goal. “The migration issue has become very, very urgent in general for Europe, but of course for Italy too,” says Alessia Chiriatti of the Institute of International Affairs, a think tank in Rome. Trump and Erdogan grow closer as cooperation on Syria deepens Mediterranean ambitions Chiriatti said Meloni's partnership with Turkey in Libya also reflects broader foreign policy goals. “There is another dimension – I think it's directly related to the fact that Italy and Meloni's government want to play a different role in foreign policy in the Mediterranean space," she says. "Italy is starting to see Africa as a possible partner to invest in … But what is important is that Italy is starting to see itself as a new player, both in the Mediterranean space and in Africa, so in this sense, it could have important cooperation with Turkey.” She points out that both Italy and Turkey share a colonial past in Libya. That legacy, combined with the lure of Libya's vast energy reserves, continues to shape their diplomacy. Ending the split between Libya's rival governments is seen as vital for stability. Moscow's reduced military support for Haftar, as it focuses on its war in Ukraine, is viewed in Ankara as an opening. “Russia is nearly out, and what remains are Turkey and Italy,” says Bagcı. He added that Ankara is making overtures to the eastern authorities through Haftar's son Saddam, a senior figure in the Libyan military. “The son of Haftar is coming very often to Ankara, making talks. It's an indication of potential changes... But how the deal will look like I don't know, we will see later. But it's an indication of potential cooperation, definitely.” Turkey steps into EU defence plans as bloc eyes independence from US Shifting alliances Libya was discussed when Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan met Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi in Cairo on Saturday. Sisi backs Haftar's eastern government. Libya had been a source of tension between Turkey and Egypt, but with relations thawing, both say they will work together on the country's future. Turkey's position in Libya is strengthening, says Burweilla. “Saddam is pro-Turkey – there is a huge difference between son and father – and the younger generation is pro-Turkey,” she says. Such support, Burweilla said, stems from Ankara allowing Libyans to seek sanctuary in Turkey from fighting in 2011, when NATO forces led by France and the United Kingdom militarily intervened against Muammar Gaddafi's regime. “I think the Europeans underestimated the political capital that gave Turkey. Turkey is winning the game in Libya,” Burweilla says. She adds that Ankara's rising influence is also due to a shift in tactics towards the east. “What they [Ankara] realised was that you can't conquer the east of Libya by force; they tried and they failed. And the Turkish regime is very much motivated by business... They don't care about anything else, and they've realised they want to make a business," Burweilla says. They've reached out more to the east, and the east, in turn, has realised that if they don't want to be attacked by Turkey and its mercenaries, they need to make peace with Turkey as well.”
Au Tchad, Succès Masra, ancien Premier ministre et chef du principal parti d'opposition a été condamné à vingt ans de prison ferme. Il a été reconnu coupable de "diffusion de message à caractère haineux et xénophobe" et de "complicité de meurtre" dans le cadre du drame de Mandakao où 42 personnes ont été tuées en mai dans un conflit inter-communautaire.
This week on The New Arab Voice, we look at the recent ceasefire agreement between the PKK and the Turkish state. The Kurdistan's Worker's Party (PKK) and the Turkish state have been in a state of conflict since 1984. The conflict has killed over 35,000 people and achieved little, for either side. But now, a ceasefire has been announced. In a symbolic ceremony, PKK fighters burnt their arms in Sulaimaniyah, Iraq; and more recently, a commission was started at the Turkish Parliament to discuss the Turkish parliament. Is this the opportunity for Kurds to secure their rights in Turkey? Why is the Turkish state agreeing to a ceasefire now? Is President Erdogan using the ceasefire talks to increase his grip on power?Joining us to examine the Kurdish position, we speak with Dr. Salim Çevik (@salimcevikk), a visiting fellow at the Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (@CATS_Network) at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (@SWPBerlin).And to guide us through Turkish thinking, we speak with Henri Barkey (@hbarkey), adjunct senior fellow for Middle East studies at the Council on Foreign Relations (@CFR_org) and the Bernard L. and Bertha F. Cohen chair in international relations at Lehigh University (Emeritus) (@LehighU). This podcast is written and produced by Hugo Goodridge (@hugogoodridge).Theme music by Omar al-Fil with additional music from Audio Network.To get in touch with the producers, follow then tweet us at @TNAPodcasts or email podcast@newarab.com Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Le ton ne cesse de monter entre Paris et Alger. Avant-hier, Emmanuel Macron annonçait sa décision de suspendre l'accord de 2013, qui exempte de visa les détenteurs de passeport diplomatique. Hier, nous dit TSA, Tout sur l'Algérie, Alger a répliqué en « convoquant le chargé d'affaires de l'ambassade de France à Alger », et en annonçant « que les Français titulaires de passeports diplomatiques et de service, devront (eux aussi) obtenir un visa pour se rendre en Algérie ». Mais ce n'est pas tout, comme l'explique El Watan. Les autorités algériennes ont également décidé « de mettre fin à la mise à disposition, à titres grâcieux, de biens immobiliers appartenant à l'État algérien au profit de l'ambassade de France en Algérie ». ObservAlgérie de son côté, titre : « Passeports diplomatiques et officiels : l'Algérie répond à la France » et souligne « que les relations diplomatiques entre l'Algérie et la France connaissent une tension croissante », rappelant par ailleurs « que cette décision survient dans un contexte de relations déjà tendues, marquées par des divergences sur la gestion des questions migratoires et les droits des ressortissants algériens en France ». Le Matin d'Algérie, lui, évoque « un nouvel épisode dans l'escalade d'une relation bilatérale marquée par la défiance et la volonté algérienne d'imposer une stricte réciprocité ». Enfin, Algérie Patriotique annonce « que les deux premières mesures tombent, en réaction à la nouvelle provocation de la France ». Ton offensif Au Cameroun, l'opposant Maurice Kamto dénonce le rejet de sa candidature à l'élection présidentielle. « C'est la réaction du chef du Mouvement pour la renaissance du Cameroun, à l'invalidation de sa candidature à l'élection présidentielle d'octobre prochain », nous explique l'agence de presse africaine APAnews, qui précise : « dans une déclaration au ton offensif, l'opposant accuse le régime du Rassemblement Démocratique du Peuple Camerounais, le RDPC, d'avoir « sciemment orchestré », son exclusion du scrutin ». « La décision de m'écarter de l'élection présidentielle de 2025, a été prise de longue date par le régime RDPC », accuse encore Maurice Kamto, « qui s'en prend aussi à la communauté internationale, en particulier à l'ONU qu'il accuse d'avoir signé un accord secret avec Elecam, le conseil électoral d'élections Cameroon, le 9 mai dernier, pour (dit-il) prétendument garantir la transparence de l'élection ». Et l'opposant ne baisse pas les bras. Actu Cameroun reprend ses derniers mots : « mes chers compatriotes, je suis debout et resterai à vos côtés ». Relations au beau fixe À lire également dans la presse africaine ce matin, le voyage en Turquie du Premier ministre sénégalais. Dakar Actu publie la photo d'Ousmane Sonko, serrant la main du président turc Recep Tayep Erdogan. Sénégo publie une autre photo des deux hommes assis et regardant l'objectif. De quoi les deux dirigeants ont-ils parlé ? Selon Africa News « ils ont signé quatre accords, dans les domaines de la défense, des médias et de l'éducation », « à l'entame d'une visite de cinq jours que le Premier ministre sénégalais effectue en Turquie ». Les relations entre la Turquie et le Sénégal semblent au beau fixe : Sénégo souligne qu'Ousmane Sonko devait être hier soir « l'invité d'un dîner officiel « organisé en son honneur », « un geste protocolaire, symbole de respect et d'amitié entre les deux nations ». Sur le fond, les problèmes financiers du Sénégal ont été abordés selon Sénéweb, qui titre : « ce que Sonko a demandé au président Erdogan ». C'est de « notoriété publique », souligne le site d'information, « l'État du Sénégal traverse actuellement une situation financière extrêmement délicate (…) ce jeudi, en Turquie, il n'a pas hésité à soumettre la question au président Erdogan, il l'a invité à davantage appuyer le Sénégal, notamment dans le déroulement de son plan de redressement ». Dernier point : les deux hommes ont évoqué la situation à Gaza, précise Dakar Actu, « exprimant ensemble leur indignation et condamnant le génocide qui se déroule en Palestine ».
Israel's Defense Cabinet met on Thursday to discuss plans to end the conflict with Hamas in Gaza. Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel's Prime Minister, noted prior to the meeting that his vision for Gaza after the war does not include annexing Gaza. So, what will Gaza look like after the war? Dr. Matthew Dodd and Pastor Rich Jones discuss this question along with other developing news concerning Israel and its Middle East neighbors in light of Bible prophecy.Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, War, WWIII, Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, Hamas, Anti-Semitism
Het zijn onzekere tijden: we zitten in de afbraak van een wereldsysteem en zijn op weg naar een nieuw evenwicht waarvan we nog niet precies weten hoe het eruit gaat zien. Dat zegt prof. Dr. Sjoerd Beugelsdijk, hoogleraar International Business aan de University of South Carolina. In 1950 had Europa nog het grootste blok in termen van bevolkingsomvang in de wereld. En dat wordt het kleinste gedeelte in de wereld. Het idee dat we in Europa onze standaarden aan de rest van de wereld kunnen opleggen, is volgens Beugelsdijk dan ook een beetje naïef. Het is noodzakelijk dat Europa minder afhankelijk wordt van de Verenigde Staten. Prof. dr. Sjoerd Beugelsdijk is hoogleraar international business aan de University of South Carolina, waar hij opleidingsdirecteur is en tegelijkertijd de J. Willis Cantey Chair bekleedt. Hij doet onderzoek naar globalisering, culturele verschillen, en nationale identiteit en behoort tot de meest geciteerde onderzoekers ter wereld in zijn vakgebied. Eerder was hij hoogleraar in Groningen. Beugelsdijk publiceerde invloedrijke werken zoals het SCP-rapport ‘Denkend aan Nederland' en het boek ‘De Verdeelde Nederlanden'. Links: Wall Street Journal over McEntarfer & Trump: https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/the-economist-trump-targeted-over-rigged-jobs-data-47657457?st=dBYNEF&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink (https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/the-economist-trump-targeted-over-rigged-jobs-data-47657457?st=dBYNEF&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink) Wall Street Journal over Erdogan: https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/turkeys-erdogan-fires-statistics-chief-after-record-inflation-11643456492 (https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/turkeys-erdogan-fires-statistics-chief-after-record-inflation-11643456492)
Ankara is aiming to dodge President Donald Trump's threat of sanctions against countries that trade with Russia. While Turkey is the third largest importer of Russian goods, it has largely escaped international sanctions against Russia over its invasion of Ukraine. However, with Trump vowing to get tough with Moscow if it fails to make peace with Kyiv, that could change. “I am going to make a new deadline of about 10 or 12 days from today," Trump declared at a press conference on 28 July during his visit to Scotland. "There is no reason to wait 50 days. I wanted to be generous, but we don't see any progress being made.” The American president admitted his efforts to end the Ukraine war had failed and that his patience with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, was at an end. Turkish President Erdogan ready to rekindle friendship with Trump Trump later confirmed 8 August as the date for the new measures. With US-Russian trade down 90 percent since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Trump warned that other countries importing Russian goods would also be hit by secondary sanctions. “If you take his [Trump] promises at face value, then he should look at all countries that import any Russian commodities that is of primary importance to the Russian budget - this includes, of course, crude oil, and here you have China and India mostly,” explained George Voloshin of Acams, a global organisation dedicated to anti-financial crime, training and education. Voloshin also claims that Turkey could be a target as well. “In terms of petroleum products, Turkey is one of the big importers. It also refines Russian petroleum in its own refineries," Voloshin added. "Turkey imports lots of Russian gas through the TurkStream pipeline. Turkey is very much dependent on Russian gas and Russian petroleum products." Turkey's rivalry with Iran shifts as US threats create unlikely common ground Since Russia's invasion of Ukraine, Ankara insists it is only bound by United Nations sanctions. Last year, Turkey was Russia's third-largest export market, with Russian natural gas accounting for more than 40 percent of its energy needs. Putin has used Turkey's lack of meaningful domestic energy reserves and dependence on Russian gas to develop a close relationship with his Turkish counterpart, Recep Tayyip Erdoğan. “Putin knows that no matter what Trump wants, Turkey is not going to act in any military or sanctions capacity against Russia and Iran. You know, these are Turkey's red lines. We can't do it,” said analyst Atilla Yeşilada of Global Source Partners. “Trump is 10,000 miles away. These people are our neighbours,” added Yeşilada. “So Putin doesn't think of Turkey as a threat, but as an economic opportunity, and perhaps as a way to do things with the West that he doesn't want to do directly.” Ankara is performing a delicate balancing act. While maintaining trading ties with Russia, Erdoğan remains a strong supporter of Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Turkey is a major arms seller to Ukraine, while at the same time, Erdoğan continues to try and broker peace between the warring parties. Last month, Istanbul was the venue for Russian–Ukrainian talks for the second time in as many months. Such efforts drew the praise of Trump. Trump and Erdogan grow closer as cooperation on Syria deepens Trump's pressure mounts on energy and trade The American president has made no secret of his liking for Erdoğan, even calling him a friend. Such close ties, along with Turkey's regional importance to Washington, analysts say, is a factor in Ankara's Western allies turning a blind eye to its ongoing trade with Russia. “I think Turkey has got a pass on several levels from Russian sanctions,” observed regional expert Sinan Ciddi of the Washington-based think tank the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. However, Ciddi cautions that Trump remains unpredictable and that previous actions are no guarantee for the future. “Past experience is not an indicator of future happenings. We just don't know what Trump will demand. This is not a fully predictive administration in Washington,” Ciddi said. “We do know right now that he [Trump] is very unhappy with Putin. He blames Putin for prolonging the Ukraine war,” added Ciddi. Change of stance "And if he feels sufficiently upset, there is a possibility that no waivers will be granted to any country. Turkey will be up against a very, very unappetising and unenviable set of choices to make.” Trump has successfully lobbied the European Union to increase its purchases of American liquefied natural gas (LNG), replacing Russian imports. Similar demands could put Ankara in a difficult position. “If Trump pressures Turkey not to buy Russian natural gas, that would definitely be a huge shock,” warned Yeşilada. “Trump might say, for instance: 'Buy energy from me or whatever.' But I don't think we're there yet. There is no way Turkey can replace Russian gas.” However, Trump could point to Turkey's recent expansion of its LNG facilities, which now include five terminals and have excess capacity to cover Russian imports, although storage facilities remain a challenge. Turkey's energy infrastructure is also built around receiving Russian energy, and any shift to American energy would likely be hugely disruptive and expensive, at a time when the Turkish economy is in crisis. Putin retains another energy card over Erdoğan. A Russian company is building a huge nuclear power plant in Turkey, which could account for 20 percent of the country's energy needs. Ciddi argues Erdoğan is now paying the price of over-relying on Russia. Turkey's Erdogan sees new Trump presidency as opportunity “There is no need to have resorted to making Ankara this dependent on natural gas, nuclear energy, or for that matter bilateral trade. This was a choice by Erdoğan,” said Ciddi. “The fact it is so dependent on so many levels in an almost unique way is something that Turkey will have to rethink.” But for now, Erdoğan will likely be relying on his expertise in diplomatic balancing acts, along with his close ties to Trump and Turkey's importance to Washington's regional goals, to once again escape the worst of any sanctions over Russian trade – although Trump may yet extract a price for such a concession.
France, UK, and Canada have stated they will recognize the State of Palestine at the United Nations General Assembly this coming September. Will their support and recognition of a Palestinian state achieve a Two-State Solution? During this episode of the Blessors of Israel Podcast, Pastor Rich Jones joins Dr. Matthew Dodd in studio to discuss this question along with other issues pertaining to Israel and the Middle East. Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, War WWIII, Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, HamasAnti-Semitism
Vandaag reizen we af naar Turkije, waar het in ruim twintig jaar onder Erdogan steeds moeilijker is geworden om je openlijk tegen zijn regime uit te spreken. Protest wordt hard onderdrukt, critici worden gearresteerd en er heerst censuur. Toch durfde de held van journalist en documentairemaker Suzan Yücel zich eerder dit jaar uit te spreken. Acteur Cem Yiğit Üzümoğlu verhief tijdens grote protesten zijn stem in een zeldzaam verzet, maar betaalt daarvoor een hoge prijs. Presentatie: Laura Stek.
This week on Witness Titanic, we journey into the uncertain and often fabricated world of the 1912 newspaper. Stops in Cleveland, Chicago, Minneapolis, Minot and Tromsø will piece together a rare account of a third-class passenger... if it is to be believed.Visuals from this episode can be found on our Instagram:@witnesstitanicpodor WATCH this episode on YouTube!Thanks to Johannes Kristian Dahl for sparking the creation of this episode!Support the showWelcome to WITNESS TITANIC, a podcast where we interview witnesses of the infamous TITANIC disaster including modern experts, enthusiasts, and even the survivors of the sinking. Like the century-old inquiries that came before us, we may never fully determine what really happened on that cold April night, but you may be surprised to find how close our efforts will bring us to TITANIC herself... Available wherever you listen to podcasts including: APPLE PODCASTS SPOTIFY YOUTUBESeason One @WitnessTitanicSeason Two @TitanicHG TIKTOK INSTAGRAM PATREONSupport our ongoing inquiry! Hosted by James Penca Music recorded by Ege M. Erdogan (@egecomposer) Titanic corrections?!witnesstitanic@gmail.com
« Une catastrophe nationale ». C'est ainsi que le président turc qualifie la tendance de ses compatriotes à faire de moins en moins d'enfants. Une « catastrophe », mais aussi un échec pour Recep Tayyip Erdogan, qui depuis plus de 15 ans appelle les Turcs à faire au moins trois enfants, et même quatre ou cinq si possible. Le chef de l'État, qui a décrété l'année 2025 « année de la famille », a annoncé le 16 juillet de nouvelles mesures pour relancer la natalité. Mais les Turcs ne l'entendent pas de cette oreille et la chute du pouvoir d'achat de ces dernières années y est pour quelque chose. De notre correspondante à Ankara, Ayçen et Zeliha sont amies d'enfance. Elles ont grandi à Ankara, non loin du parc où elles emmènent désormais leurs enfants, un enfant chacune. Ayçen est mère au foyer. Zeliha, employée de banque. Elles ont 32 et 33 ans, mais aucune n'a envie d'agrandir sa famille. « Ma fille va dans une école privée dont les frais de scolarité ont explosé. Mon but, c'est de donner les meilleures chances à mon enfant. Avec un, c'est déjà difficile », confie Ayçen. « La première raison, c'est l'économie. La deuxième, c'est que je travaille et que je n'ai pas de solution de garde. Si l'État apportait un réel soutien financier ou si on me laissait travailler à mi-temps, j'aurais peut-être un deuxième enfant », abonde Zeliha. L'enfant unique est en train de devenir une banalité en Turquie. L'indice de fécondité – le nombre moyen d'enfants par femme – est aujourd'hui de 1,5 contre 2,4 en 2001. Nombreuses en sont les raisons : l'urbanisation, la hausse du niveau d'études des femmes – donc l'âge de plus en plus tardif de la première grossesse, 27 ans actuellement -. La Turquie n'est pas différente des autres pays développés qui enregistrent une baisse de l'indice de fécondité. Ce qui est frappant, c'est l'accélération des dernières années. Elle a pris de court les autorités, autant que les démographes. Sutay Yavuz est professeur à l'Université des sciences sociales d'Ankara. Les conditions économiques – l'inflation à deux chiffres depuis maintenant huit ans – sont décisives, selon lui. Notamment dans le choix des jeunes couples : « Autrefois, il y avait une norme non écrite et étonnamment stable, qui voyait le premier enfant arriver en moyenne 22 mois après le mariage. Cette durée est désormais de plus en plus longue. On voit que les jeunes couples attendent de plus en plus pour avoir un enfant, et que ceux qui en ont un attendent de plus en plus pour en avoir un deuxième, ou bien y renoncent. C'est clairement lié au climat inflationniste des dernières années et à la conviction, chez ces couples, que la situation ne va pas s'améliorer. » En cette année dite « de la famille », le gouvernement multiplie les mesures pro-natalité. Les familles de deux enfants bénéficient depuis quelques mois d'une aide mensuelle de 1 500 livres, portée à 6 500 livres – soit un quart du salaire minimum brut – pour un troisième enfant. Récemment, le président Recep Tayyip Erdogan a annoncé que les fonctionnaires pourraient travailler à mi-temps jusqu'à l'entrée de leurs enfants à l'école primaire. Mais les ONG féministes s'inquiètent. « Ces politiques ont pour but affiché d'augmenter la population, de réduire les divorces. Ils auraient mieux fait de décréter 2025 « année de lutte contre les violences faites aux femmes ». Car c'est malheureusement au sein de la famille qu'elles subissent le plus de violences et qu'elles meurent le plus », dénonce l'avocate Özlem Günel Teksen, membre de la plateforme ESIK. Sur les six premiers mois de l'année, au moins 136 femmes ont été tuées en Turquie. Près de la moitié par leur mari ou leur ancien mari, et un quart par un autre membre de leur famille. À lire aussiErdogan cherche à criminaliser les minorités LGBT avec une loi répressive aux conséquences radicales
Seeing little progress in its effort to get back into the F-35 program, Turkey is now turning to the Eurofighter, with reports this week indicating a deal with both the UK and Germany for 40 jets. Tyler Stapleton and Sinan Ciddi, two experts tracking this issue closely, join Thanos Davelis today to look at what this deal means for Turkey and President Erdogan, and whether this could pose a risk for Europe in the long run.Sinan Ciddi is a non-resident senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies and an expert on Turkish politics.Tyler Stapleton serves as director of congressional relations at FDD Action. He previously spent eight years working in Congress where he served as a senior advisor on national security, foreign policy, defense, and intelligence for two members of the House Foreign Affairs Committee.You can read the articles we discuss on our podcast here:UK and Germany Agree to Sell Eurofighter Typhoon Fighter Jets to TurkeyUK, Turkey Sign Eurofighter Deal After Germany Gives NodCyprus gets help from other countries to battle huge wildfire that has killed 2Mitsotakis invites Tripoli to engage in EEZ delimitation talks
It appears that a sixty-day ceasefire is on the horizon between Israel and Hamas. What is the likelihood that it will become a permanent ceasefire? During this episode of the Blessors of Israel Podcast, Dr. Matthew Dodd and Pastor Rich Jones discuss this encouraging development along with other relevant topics concerning Israel and her people.Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, War WWIII, Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, HamasAnti-Semitism
During this episode of the Blessors of Israel Podcast, Dr. Matthew Dodd answers one of the most hotly debated questions concerning Israel, but from a different angle. Specifically, “Does God approve of a Two-State Solution?” To answer this question, Dr. Dodd turns to God's Word, the Bible, for the divine, definitive answer.Visit the Blessors of Israel Website: https://www.blessors.org/ Thank you for supporting Blessors of Israel. Donate Online: https://blessors.org/donate/Please Subscribe and Like our YouTube Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUfbl_rf8O_uwKrfzCh04jgSubscribe to our Spotify Channel: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/blessorsofisrael Subscribe to our Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/blessors-of-israedl/id1699662615Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BlessorsofIsrael/Twitter: https://twitter.com/BlessorsIGettr: https://gettr.com/i/blessorsofisrael Rumble: https://rumble.com/c/c-1670015Thank you for watching. Please like and share this video.We would love to hear your comments.Those who bless Israel will be blessed (Genesis 12:3).Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones Blessors of IsraelMatthew Dodd Blessors of IsraelBlessors of IsraelBlessers of IsraelTags:Pastor Rich JonesPastor Matthew DoddRich JonesDr. Matthew DoddRich Jones, Blessors of Israel, Rich Jones, Blessers of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessors of Israel, Matthew Dodd, Blessers of Israel, Blessers of Israel, Blessors of Israel, Two-State Solution, Palestine, Modern Palestinian Problem, Israel, Jesus Christ, Anti-Semitism, Prophecy Update, End Times Prophecy, Latter Days, Bible Prophecy, The Great Tribulation, Hamas, Gaza Strip, Terrorism, Hezbollah, Iran, Russia, Persia, Gog and Magog, BRICS, China, CCP, Persia, Iran, Turkey, Russia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, India, Yahya Sinwar, Nasrallah, Ismail Haniyeh, Deif, United Nations, Terrorism, Antisemitism, Syria, Bashar al Assad, HTS, Damascus, Mount Hermon, Erdogan, Netanyahu, Trump, Putin, Ceasefire, Hostages, al Jolani, al Sharaa, Holocaust Day of Remembrance, China, Egypt, Iran Nuclear Deal, Trump, War WWIII, Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan, Hamas, Anti-Semitism
Watch Call me Back on YouTube: youtube.com/@CallMeBackPodcastCheck out Ark Media's other podcasts: For Heaven's Sake: lnk.to/rfGlrA‘What's Your Number?': lnk.to/rbGlvMFor sponsorship inquiries, please contact: callmeback@arkmedia.orgTo contact us, sign up for updates, and access transcripts, visit: arkmedia.org/Ark Media on Instagram: instagram.com/arkmediaorgDan on X: x.com/dansenorDan on Instagram: instagram.com/dansenorTo order Dan Senor & Saul Singer's book, The Genius of Israel: tinyurl.com/bdeyjsdnToday's Episode: Last week, we witnessed the eruption of violent aggression on behalf of the Syrian government and local Bedouin tribes against Syria's southern Druze community, leaving more than 1,400 people dead. The Druze are a community that also has deep roots in Israel, and over 1,000 Israeli Druze citizens crossed the Israel-Syria border to support their brothers and sisters being attacked.In response, Israel launched a series of strikes against military facilities in Damascus, prompting widespread global criticism. As of Saturday, all sides have agreed to a ceasefire. However, we are still seeing reports and videos on social media of Druze being attacked in Southern Syria.Many are asking what to make of Syria's new leader, Ahmed al-Sharaa, a former Al Qaeda affiliate who claims to have moderated. People are also wondering to what extent Turkey – a supporter of the new Syrian regime – played a role in what's unfolded in Syria. Joining us to discuss – and at points, debate – these complex questions are Charles Lister, senior fellow and director of the Syria Initiative at the Middle East Institute, and Hay Eitan Cohen Yanarocak, researcher of modern-day Turkey at the Moshe Dayan Center for Middle Eastern and African Studies at Tel Aviv University.(00:00) Introduction(05:05) What happened in Syria?(11:16) The involvement of Turkey(15:06) The U.S. response to Israel's intervention in Syria (31:20) Turkey's ambition(37:51) Did Israel make a mistake?(43:45) OutroCREDITS:ILAN BENATAR - Producer & EditorMARTIN HUERGO - Sound EditorMARIANGELES BURGOS - Additional EditingMAYA RACKOFF - Operations DirectorGABE SILVERSTEIN - ResearchYUVAL SEMO - Music Composer
Today we kick off SEASON 4 with a breaking story of UFOs being confirmed at the UN, and then we sit back and grab some popcorn as we watch medieval found footage! Original Air Date: Feb 4, 2019 Patreon (Get ad-free episodes, Patreon Discord Access, and more!) https://www.patreon.com/user?u=18482113 PayPal Donation Link https://tinyurl.com/mrxe36ph MERCH STORE!!! https://tinyurl.com/y8zam4o2 Amazon Wish List https://www.amazon.com/hz/wishlist/ls/28CIOGSFRUXAD?ref_=wl_share Help Promote Dead Rabbit! Dual Flyer https://i.imgur.com/OhuoI2v.jpg "As Above" Flyer https://i.imgur.com/yobMtUp.jpg “Alien Flyer” By TVP VT U https://imgur.com/gallery/aPN1Fnw “QR Code Flyer” by Finn https://imgur.com/a/aYYUMAh Links: The Man Who Killed Hitler Then The Bigfoot https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cFHJMBQIav0 UN hidden camera: the first UFO contact happened, Pentagon Pyramid https://youtu.be/I0MUZWIsld0 UN hidden camera debunked? Original footage of Pentagon Pyramid announcement, from a man. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y9WGLDfSR6s The actual video of Erdogan at the U.N. from the same angle, doing the same things at the same time as Prokofyeva. Good job though to whoever made the fake https://www.reddit.com/r/aliens/comments/aloxh2/the_actual_video_of_erdo%C4%9Fan_at_the_un_from_the/ This Is IT!" Huge [Pyramid] Over Washington DC! (2018-2019) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vdGvA07blPE Aliya Prokofyeva https://www.linkedin.com/in/aliyaprokofyeva/ Deepfake of Jennifer Lawrence with Steve Buscemi's face https://boingboing.net/2019/01/30/deepfake-of-jennifer-lawrence.html Medieval found footage http://www.andrewkeithwalker.com/2015/09/the-surprising-story-of-found-footage-films/ Leonardo da Vinci's Camera Obscura https://owlcation.com/humanities/Leonardo-da-Vincis-Camera-Obscura Leonardo da Vinci's Inventions http://archive.boston.com/business/personaltech/Galleries/DaVinciGadgets?pg=4 The History of the Camera https://historythings.com/the-history-of-the-camera/ Camera obscura https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Camera_obscura Magic lantern https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Magic_lantern Aqua Regia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aqua_regia ---------------------------------------------- Logo Art By Ash Black Opening Song: "Atlantis Attacks" Closing Song: "Bella Royale" Music By Simple Rabbitron 3000 created by Eerbud Thanks to Chris K, Founder Of The Golden Rabbit Brigade Dead Rabbit Archivist Some Weirdo On Twitter AKA Jack YouTube Champ: Stewart Meatball Reddit Champ: TheLast747 The Haunted Mic Arm provided by Chyme Chili Forever Fluffle: Cantillions, Samson, Gregory Gilbertson, Jenny The Cat Discord Mods: Mason http://www.DeadRabbit.com Email: DeadRabbitRadio@gmail.com Twitter: https://twitter.com/DeadRabbitRadio Facebook: www.Facebook.com/DeadRabbitRadio TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@deadrabbitradio Dead Rabbit Radio Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/DeadRabbitRadio/ Paranormal News Subreddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/ParanormalNews/ Mailing Address Jason Carpenter PO Box 1363 Hood River, OR 97031 Paranormal, Conspiracy, and True Crime news as it happens! Jason Carpenter breaks the stories they'll be talking about tomorrow, assuming the world doesn't end today. All Contents Of This Podcast Copyright Jason Carpenter 2018 - 2025
Gipfeltreffen in China mit EU-Kommissionspräsidentin von der Leyen und Präsident Xi, Entscheidung des Verwaltungsgerichts Potsdam: Abgeschobene jesidische Familie hätte in Deutschland bleiben dürfen, Türkischer Präsident Erdogan lässt viele Mitglieder und Bürgermeister der Oppositionspartei CHP verhaften, Weitere Meldungen im Überblick, Fußball-EM der Frauen: Deutschland verliert gegen Spanien mit 0:1, Die Meinung, #mittendrin: Unterwegs mit Gurkenfliegern aus Eichendorf, Neuverfilmung des 80er-Jahre-Filmklassikers "Die nackte Kanone", Das Wetter
Today's West Coast Cookbook & Speakeasy Podcast for our especially special Daily Special, Smothered Benedict Wednesday is now available on the Spreaker Player!Starting off in the Bistro Cafe, it may be purely a coincidence, but Epstein's former lawyer suddenly died and then total chaos consumed the White House on all fronts.Then, on the rest of the menu, the Trump administration wants Oregon to hand over personal food stamp data by tomorrow; the Third US Circuit Court of Appeals overturned the New Jersey law banning immigration detention contracts; and, Texas lawmakers finally begin a review of catastrophic floods that killed at least one hundred thirty-five children and adults.After the break, we move to the Chef's Table where Turkey, lacking any logic whatsoever, has banned elective C-sections at private medical centers because Erdogan thinks it will increase birthrates; and, in response to Trump disrupting the United States economy, over a dozen companies pledged to invest more than seven hundred billion dollars in Germany over the next three years.All that and more, on West Coast Cookbook & Speakeasy with Chef de Cuisine Justice Putnam.Bon Appétit!The Netroots Radio Live PlayerKeep Your Resistance Radio Beaming 24/7/365!“It may be safely averred that good cookery is the best and truest economy, turning to full account every wholesome article of food, and converting into palatable meals what the ignorant either render uneatable or throw away in disdain.” - Eliza Acton ‘Modern Cookery for Private Families' (1845)Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/west-coast-cookbook-speakeasy--2802999/support.
This week we talk about the PKK, Turkey, and the DEM Party.We also discuss terrorism, discrimination, and stateless nations.Recommended Book: A Century of Tomorrows by Glenn AdamsonTranscriptKurdistan is a cultural region, not a country, but part of multiple countries, in the Middle East, spanning roughly the southeastern portion of Turkey, northern Iraq, the northwestern portion of Iran, and northern Syrian. Some definitions also include part of the Southern Caucasus mountains, which contains chunks of Armenia, Georgia, and Azerbaijan.So this is a sprawling region that straddles multiple nations, and it's defined by the presence of the Kurdish people, the Kurds, who live all over the world, but whose culture is concentrated in this area, where it originally developed, and where, over the generations, there have periodically been very short-lived Kurdish nations of various shapes, sizes, and compositions.The original dynasties from which the Kurds claim their origin were Egyptian, and they governed parts of northeastern African and what is today Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Israel, Lebanon, Syria, and Jordan. That was back in the 8th to 12th century, during which Saladin, who was the sultan of both Egypt and Syria, played a major historical role leading Muslim military forces against the Christian Crusader states during the Third Crusade, and leading those forces to victory in 1187, which resulted in Muslim ownership of the Levant, even though the Crusaders continued to technically hold the Kingdom of Jerusalem for another hundred years or so, until 1291.Saladin was Kurdish and kicked off a sultanate that lasted until the mid-13th century, when a diverse group of former slave-soldiers called the mamluks overthrew Saladin's family's Ayyubid sultanate and replaced it with their own.So Kurdish is a language spoken in that Kurdistan region, and the Kurds are considered to be an Iranian ethnic group, because Kurdish is part of a larger collection of languages and ethnicities, though many Kurds consider themselves to be members of a stateless nation, similar in some ways to pre-Israel Jewish people, Tibetan people under China's rule, or the Yoruba people, who primarily live in Nigeria, Benin, and Togo, but who were previously oriented around a powerful city-state in that region, which served as the central loci of the Ife Empire, before the Europeans showed up and decided to forcibly move people around and draw new borders across the African continent.The Kurds are likewise often politically and culturally powerful, and that's led to a lot of pushback from leaders in the nations where they live and at times operate as cultural blocs, and it's led to some very short-lived Kurdish nations these people have managed to establish in the 20th century, including the Kingdom of Kurdistan from 1921-1924, the Republic of Ararat from 1927-1930, and the Republic of Mahabad, which was formed as a puppet state of the Soviet Union in 1946 in northwestern Iran, following a Soviet push for Kurdish nationalism in the region, which was meant to prevent the Allies from controlling the region following WWII, but which then dissolved just a few months after its official formation due to waning support from the Kurdish tribes that initially helped make it a reality.What I'd like to talk about today is the Kurdistan Worker's Party, and why their recently declared ceasefire with Turkey is being seen as a pretty big deal.—The Kurdistan Worker's Party, depending on who you ask, is a political organization or a terrorist organization. It was formed in Turkey in late-1978, and its original, founding goal was to create an independent Kurdish state, a modern Kurdistan, in what is today a small part of Turkey, but in the 1990s it shifted its stated goals to instead just get more rights for Kurds living in Turkey, including more autonomy but also just equal rights, as Kurdish people in many nations, including Turkey, have a long history of being discriminated against, in part because of their cultural distinctiveness, including their language, manner of dress, and cultural practices, and in part because, like many tight-knit ethnic groups, they often operate as a bloc, which in the age of democracy also means they often vote as a bloc, which can feel like a threat to other folks in areas with large Kurdish populations.When I say Kurdish people in Turkey have long been discriminated against, that includes things like telling them they can no longer speak Kurdish and denying that their ethnic group exists, but it also includes massacres conducted by the government against Kurdish people; at times tens of thousands of Kurds were slaughtered by the Turkish army. There was also an official ban on the words Kurds, Kurdistan, and Kurdish by the Turkish government in the 1980s, and Kurdish villages were destroyed, food headed to these villages was embargoed, and there was a long-time ban on the use of the Kurdish language in public life, and people who used it were arrested.As is often the case in such circumstances, folks who support the Kurdish Worker's Party, which is often shorthanded as the PKK, will tell you this group just pushes back against an oppressive regime, and they do what they have to to force the government to backtrack on their anti-Kurdish laws and abuses, which have been pretty widespread and violent.The PKK, in turn, has been criticized for, well, doing terrorist stuff, including using child soldiers, conducting suicide bombings, massacring groups of civilians, engaging in drug trafficking to fund their cause, and executing people on camera as a means of sowing terror.Pretty horrible stuff on both sides, if you look at this objectively, then, and both sides have historically justified their actions by pointing at the horrible things the other side has done to them and theirs.And that's the context for a recent announcement by the leader of the PKK, that the group would be disarming—and very literally so, including a symbolic burning of their weapons in a city in northern Iraq, which was shared online—and they would be shifting their efforts from that of violent militarism and revolution to that of political dialogue and attempting to change the Turkish government from the inside.Turkish President Erdogan, for his part, has seemed happy to oblige these efforts and gestures, fulfilling his role by receiving delegates from the Turkish, pro-Kurd party, the DEM Party, and smilingly shaking that delegate's hand on camera, basically showing the world, and those who have played some kind of role in the militant effort against the Turkish government, that this is the way of things now, we're not fighting physically anymore, we're moving on to wearing suits and pushing for Kurdish rights within the existing governmental structures.The founder of the PKK, Abdullah Ocalan, got in on the action, as well, releasing a seven-minute video from prison, which was then broadcast by the PKK's official media distribution outlet, saying that the fighting is over. This was his first appearance on camera in 26 years, and he used it to say their effort paid off, the Kurds now have an officially recognized identity, and it's time to leverage that identity politically to move things in the right direction.Erdogan's other messages on the matter, to the Kurdish people, but also those who have long lived in fear of the PKK's mass-violence, have reinforced that sentiment, saying that the Kurds are officially recognized as a political entity, and that's how things would play out from this point forward—and this will be good for everyone. And both sides are saying that, over and over, because, well, child soldiers and suicide bombings and massacres conducted by both sides are really, really not good for anyone.By all indications, this has been a very carefully orchestrated dance by those on both sides of the conflict, which again, has been ongoing since 1978, and really picked up the pace and became continuous and ultra-violent, in the 1980s.There was an attempted peace process back in the 20-teens, but the effort, which included a temporary truce between 2013 and 2015, failed, following the murder of two Turkish police officers, the PKK initially claiming responsibility, but later denying they had any involvement. That led to an uptick in military actions by both groups against the other, and the truce collapsed.This new peace process began in 2024 and really took off in late-February of 2025, when that aforementioned message was broadcast by the PKK's leader from prison after lawmakers from the pro-Kurdish DEM Party worked to connect him and the Turkish government, and eventually helped negotiate the resulting mid-May of 2025 disarmament.Turkey's military leaders have said they will continue to launch strikes against PKK-affiliated groups that continue to operate in the region, and the PKK's disarmament announcement has been embraced by some such groups, while others, like the Syrian Democratic Forces, which is tied to the PKK, but not directly affiliated with them, have said this truce doesn't apply to them.Most governments, globally, have heralded this disarmament as a major victory for the world and Turkey in particular, though the response within Turkey, and in Kurdish areas in particular, has apparently been mixed, with some people assuming the Turkish government will backtrack and keep the DEM Party from accomplishing much of anything, and worrying about behind-the-scenes deals, including a reported agreement between Erdogan's government and the DEM Party to support Erdogan's desire to transform the Turkish government into a presidential system, which would grant him more direct control and power, while others are seemingly just happy to hear that the violence and fear might end.Also notable here is that a lot of Turkey's foreign policy has revolved around hobbling and hurting the PKK for decades, including Turkey's initial hindering of Sweden's accession to NATO, which was partly a means of getting other nations to give the Turkish government stuff they wanted, like upgraded military equipment, but was also a push against the Swedish government's seeming protection of people associated with the PKK, since Sweden's constitution allows people to hold all sorts of beliefs.Some analysts have speculated that this could change the geopolitics of the Middle East fundamentally, as Turkey has long been a regional power, but has been partly hobbled by its conflict with the PKK, and the easing or removal of that conflict could free them up to become more dominant, especially since Israel's recent clobbering of Iran seems to have dulled the Iranian government's shine as the de facto leader of many Muslim groups and governments in the area.It's an opportune time for Erdogan to grab more clout and influence, in other words, and that might have been part of the motivation to go along with the PKK's shift to politics: it frees him and his military up to engage in some adventurism and/or posturing further afield, which could then set Turkey up as the new center of Muslim influence, contra-the Saudis' more globalized version of the concept, militarily and economically. Turkey could become a huge center of geopolitical gravity in this part of the world, in other words, and that seems even more likely now that this disarmament has happened.It's still early days in this new seeming state of affairs, though, and there's a chance that the Turkish government's continued strikes on operating PKK affiliated groups could sever these new ties, but those involved seem to be cleaving to at least some optimism, even as many locals continue hold their breath and hope against hope that this time is different than previous attempts at peace.Show Noteshttps://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/heres-what-to-know-about-turkeys-decision-to-move-forward-with-swedens-bid-to-join-natohttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_PKK%E2%80%93Turkey_peace_processhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2013%E2%80%932015_PKK%E2%80%93Turkey_peace_processhttps://carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/05/turkey-pkk-disarm-disband-impacts?lang=enhttps://www.middleeasteye.net/news/pkk-claims-deadly-suicide-bombing-turkish-police-stationhttps://web.archive.org/web/20161016064155/https://hrwf.eu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/Child-soldiers-in-ISIS-PKK-Boko-Haram%E2%80%A6.pdfhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurdistan_Workers%27_Partyhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/video/2025/jul/11/kurdistan-workers-party-pkk-burn-weapons-in-disarming-ceremony-videohttps://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/7/18/turkiye-pkk-analysis-recalibrates-politicshttps://time.com/7303236/erdogan-war-peace-kurds/https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/7/19/unidentified-drone-kills-pkk-member-injures-another-in-iraqhttps://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/unidentified-drone-kills-pkk-member-injures-another-near-iraqs-sulaymaniyah-2025-07-19/https://www.aljazeera.com/video/inside-story/2025/7/11/why-has-the-pkk-ended-its-armed-strugglehttps://archive.is/20250718061819/https://www.haaretz.com/opinion/2025-07-17/ty-article-opinion/.premium/how-the-possible-end-to-turkeys-kurdish-problem-could-become-israels-turkey-problem/00000198-1794-dd64-abb9-bfb5dbf30000https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurdistanhttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kurdshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Kurdish_dynasties_and_countrieshttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Early_Kurdish_nationalism This is a public episode. 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