Podcasts about dress well

"There is nothing theorizable or interesting about death," Tom Krell says 30 minutes into his appearance on my podcast about death. He's speaking precisely. By "death," he means what he's learned of it from watching those close to him die. The annihilation of self. The finality of it. What he's not doing is dismissing the topic. Tom earned his PhD in philosophy, metaphysics specifically, so it makes sense he's intentional and unsparing with his words. But he also makes this beautiful music.Under the name How to Dress Well, his art-damaged R&B soundtracked my bike rides the summer before my coma in 2014. Since then, his music has grown deeper and more promiscuous. He incorporates metal, noise, and field recordings on tracks with lyrics about the hegemony of realism and intergenerational trauma. But it's all wrapped around a spine of primal, haunting melody. In our conversation, Tom tells me how important it is for him to use direct language to discuss philosophical ideas. And that is what he's doing with his music. He piles layers of sound and meaning onto melodies to bury the ideas and feelings deep. I'm still listening.This episode also includes the fun of Tom claiming Hegel, Heidegger, and Marx are easy to grasp and the rare TIYA exclusive! Here it is: Tom plans to call the new How to Dress Well album "Glow Palimpsest No Hell."We talk about: working on philosophy in piecemeal while touring, writing about your own work, Gaspar Noe's Climax, exoteric vs. esoteric, his version of the "terribly stupid" movie Memento, consciousness as Hegelian "picture thinking," metaphysical cope.This Is Your Afterlife is made possible by listeners like you on Patreon. Support the show & get bonus episodes by subscribing to TIYA After Dark:https://www.patreon.com/thisisyourafterlifeFollow How to Dress Well:https://howtodresswell.substack.com/https://instagram.com/howtodresswell/https://twitter.com/HowToDressWellListen to (and buy!) I Am Toward You. It's really very good:https://howtodresswellmusic.bandcamp.com/album/i-am-toward-youFollow TIYA, share your thoughts:https://thisisyourafterlife.com/https://www.instagram.com/thisisyourafterlife/thisisdavemaher@gmail.comMusic by TIYA house band Lake Mary:https://lakemary.bandcamp.com/https://www.instagram.com/chaz.prymek/Artwork by Matt Sage:https://www.instagram.com/matthewjsage/

This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit groundeddaily.substack.comOne third of Ramadan is behind us.There is a narration — its grading is discussed among scholars, but widely used as a reminder — that the first ten nights carry the overwhelming mercy of Allah, the second ten His forgiveness, and the final ten His guarantee of salvation from the fire. Though in reality, every single night holds all three. Ramadan does not divide itself neatly into chapters. But the framing is useful: if the first ten was a warm-up, the second ten is time to accelerate.Do a honest pit stop. How have the first ten days been? Whatever the answer, Ramadan is a marathon, not a sprint. The goal is not to peak on night one. The goal is to be better in the second third than the first, and better in the final third than both.Grounded is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.The People Who Think They Are GuidedAllah divides humanity into two groups in this passage: those who follow guidance, and those for whom misguidance has become their reality.Why does misguidance become their reality? Because they have taken Shaitan as their wali — their loyal, protective ally. And Shaitan, as we discussed, is a wali who flatters in good times and abandons at the worst possible moment.But here is the sobering part: they think they are guided.This is not about people who know they are doing wrong and do it anyway. This is about people who have followed Shaitan's logic so completely that it feels like wisdom. The Quraysh doing tawaf naked genuinely believed they were being more pure, more sincere before Allah. The logic made sense to them.This is the danger of reason untethered from revelation. On an individual level, so many harmful things can seem reasonable. Take riba — interest. Two people agree, both are happy, both see benefit. What is the harm? But apply that same logic across an entire economy and you get 2008. Families losing homes. Businesses collapsing. Lives broken. The short-term individual logic disintegrates when it scales.Our intellect is a gift. But it needs guidance. The Quran is that guidance. Without it, we are capable of convincing ourselves that almost anything is fine — and feeling guided the entire time.Dress Nicely for Prayer

Our guest is Teri Dupuy-Gore, Executive Director of Hub Lafayette Urban Ministries, a Christ-centered outreach serving our neighbors experiencing homelessness, chronic poverty, hunger, and difficult life transitions. Teri shares how The Hub and its Lovewell Center at 1515 W. University Avenue in Lafayette, create a place to be present in our community and love people right where they are, offering not only practical resources but dignity, relationship, and restored hope. The Lovewell Center: Eat Well, Dress Well, Style Well, Smell Well Teri explains that Hub Lafayette Urban Ministries “actually unifies two separate ministries,” and that this conversation focuses on The Lovewell Center at 1515 W. University Within the Lovewell, members access four resource “stores”: Eat Well – “kind of like a Walmart where you can get toothpaste, toilet paper, nonperishable canned goods, things of that nature… like a mini Walmart.” Dress Well – gently-used men's and women's clothing: “belts, shoes, pants, coats… new socks and new underwear… gently used backpacks.” Style Well – “where you get your hair cut by a licensed beautician or barber.” Smell Well – “our six stackable commercial washers and dryers so you can wash your clothes.” All of these resources are available to members of the Lovewell Center. Membership & the Points System: “A hand up, not a hand out” Becoming a member is intentionally simple: “To be a member, you simply have to walk in and say, hey, I want to be a member. There's no criteria.” When someone joins, the team takes basic information: name, phone number (if they have one), address (or notes if they're living on the streets), and next of kin — “because we want to become your family… we want to be your family anyway.” New members “automatically get 20 points for just joining us.” The Lovewell uses a points system instead of cash so people can actively participate in their own progress: “You earn points by taking classes because we believe in healing and helping yourself… or you'd bring us your check stub from a job that you have now.” Teri explains that this model is particularly powerful “for people who are struggling in chronic poverty, because we can help you offset the cost of everyday life without using money, but using points… you get to make decisions.” Members can choose to “earn points and store them up, or earn points and spend them,” and that freedom is central to their approach: “We instill dignity and value in you… it's a beautiful, beautiful opportunity for us to be able to be present in our community and love people right where they are.” Classes that Heal Broken Relationships At the heart of Lovewell are the classes that help people earn points and, more importantly, work toward inner healing: “Our classes are geared around broken relationships that we feel everyone has or will have — a broken relationship with God, a broken relationship with yourself, a broken relationship with others, or a broken relationship with creation. So our classes are all geared around healing in those areas.” Classes typically run for eight weeks and meet for one hour, once a week. Facilitators are often people who have personally wrestled with the same issues they're teaching about: “I may overcome something and say, I would love to teach this class… using the experiences that I have and the healing that I've received… and share that with others. Giving them hope.” Communication classes are a key example: “For some of our members… it's very natural to have a confrontational conversation. It's not natural to scale that down to where it is speaking truth with grace. It's usually just truth in your face.” The goal is to help everyone “have a voice and be heard” in “a polite and generous way.” Teri calls these classes “really the heart of the Lovewell Center” and “the heart of the mission of The Hub.” She sums up their mission this way: “Our mission statement is, “We're on a mission to offer everyone in our city access to restored life. And we believe in what we call the four R's: Rescue, Relationships, Resources and Recovery.” Community Meals & Daily Presence The Lovewell Center is open Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday from 12:30 p.m. to 4:30 p.m., with the yard open from 9:00 a.m. to 4:35 p.m. For neighbors experiencing homelessness, it's a safe place simply to belong: “If our friends experiencing homelessness need a place to go, they come and hang out with us, because they are wanted and belong.” Every Tuesday night a community meal is offerred “Every Tuesday night we have community meal, which means we all get together and eat dinner together. Anyone in the community is invited… We start at 6:00 and we're usually finished by 7:15–7:30 p.m.” From 6:00–6:25 p.m., there are large-group activities — bingo, class time, or worship — and if you participate in those events as big group events, you earn ten points for that.” Teri shares that on Tuesday nights they see 125–150 people, and during the day they have “90 to 100 people every day” coming through for services, community, and support. Philosophy: “A hand up, not a hand out” Teri is deeply intentional about not harming the people they serve: “The core of the program is about empowering people through relationships to see themselves the way Christ sees them and to empower them to be all that God has called them to be.” She speaks candidly about common pitfalls in helping: “In a world of ministry where we all feel called to give, at some point giving hurts. We then take from the person and we steal their dignity and their value because we want to do for them what they can do for themselves.” That's why she describes The Hub's posture as, “We are a hand up, not a hand out. We are not there to be sympathetic, we are there to be empathetic. We want to sit in it with you and encourage you and remind you that you're not alone.” How You Can Help Hub Lafayette Urban Ministries is 100% funded by donations by individuals, churches, grants, and in-kind gifts. Teri says: “Money is always welcome. It keeps the lights on. It keeps the coffee in the pots. It allows us to keep food on the shelves.” They also always need physical donations, especially: Canned soups and “top-protein” items Easy-open foods like beanie-weenies, tuna, pocket snacks Toilet paper and full-size toothpaste New men's and women's underwear (“men's underwear… tagless colored brief boxers or they don't leave the shelf”) Meals for Tuesday night community dinners and Wednesday morning breakfasts are donated and served by volunteers, including local partners and cooks like Kent Zerangue, who prepares “the most fabulous meal ever from homemade ice cream… and shrimp stew.” Teri emphasizes that everyone can do something: “Not everyone has the capacity to donate money. Not everyone has the capacity to donate their time… But everyone has the capacity to pray. Everyone has the capacity to pass on the word.” For more information on donating, volunteering, providing meals, or inviting Teri to speak, listeners can visit Hub Lafayette Urban Ministries at https://www.hublafayette.org/or connect via Facebook at https://www.facebook.com/thehuburbanministrieslafayette or their Instagram page at https://www.instagram.com/thehublafayette/?hl=en

I have a great reason to dress well...it's called influence. www.cocktailnation.net John Neal and His  Orchestra-Blue Martini Jackie Gleason-Blue Velvet Chet Baker - Blue Thoughts Marty Paich Trio- Dusk Light Phineas_Newborn~Love And Marriage Dexter Gordon-Stairway To The Stars Helen Merrill-Soft As Spring Astrud Gilberto-The Shadow Of Your Smile Anne Phillips-A Stranger In Town jazz Vibes-Lionel's Blues Miles Davis-Blue In Green James Spencer-Here's That Rainy Day From Carnival In Flanders Henry Mancini- Blue Mantilla Julie London- I Got Lost In His Arms

You dress well. You speak well. But if you're still chasing her approval… she'll never respect you. In this video, I break down why external polish means nothing if your internal frame is weak. Women can sense when you're performing for validation — and it kills attraction instantly. You'll learn: Why being well-dressed isn't enough The real reason women ignore “nice guys” How to shift from approval-seeking to self-respecting If you're ready to stop performing and start leading, this one's for you. View my upcoming courses: https://socialattraction.co.uk/upcoming-course-dates/ Apply to work with me: https://calendly.com/garygunn/consultation Access my core dating system for free (worth £99): https://social-attraction-courses.teachable.com/p/social-attraction-dating-system Work on your dating success for only £10.79/$13.50 per month with my Advanced Dating System and 100-Day Dating Challenge: https://social-attraction-courses.teachable.com/p/small-bundle Access all of my digital products for only £24.96/$33.20 per month: https://social-attraction-courses.teachable.com/p/gary-gunn-big-bundle View all of my digital courses here: https://social-attraction-courses.teachable.com/ My TikTok account: https://www.tiktok.com/@garygunnshow Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/garygunnshow/ Access my podcast with over 420 episodes: https://soundcloud.com/garygunn Subscribe to my YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/c/GaryGunn?sub_confirmation=1 This video is for entertainment purposes only. Any action you take upon the information provided is strictly at your own risk, and we will not be responsible for any losses or damages in connection with the use of this video. The selection of techniques, opinions, programs, products, services, tools, templates, or manuals is not a guarantee of income or success. You are fully responsible for the effort you put in and the results you achieve by following the information in this video. All content, materials, and techniques delivered are proprietary and cannot be used, disclosed, or duplicated without permission. This video is for informational purposes only and does not form a professional relationship. Visit our website if you wish to hire us on a professional basis. #datingadviceformen #datingtipsformen #datingcoachformen This video is owned by Social Attraction Limited and is protected by copyright. Unauthorised use—including reposting, stitching, duetting, reacting, or using this content for commentary or derivative work on any platform—is strictly prohibited. We reserve all rights and will take action against infringement.

Subscribe to Dostcast Clips:https://www.youtube.com/@dostcastclips?sub_confirmation=1Listen to Dostcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/70vrbHeSvrcXyOeISTyBSy?si=be05dbdd564245d9Join the Dostcast Janta Party on WhatsApp for regular updates: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VbAZwo5D8SDs5kf94N3TWant to suggest a guest?Fill this form: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/1ft_-1QDs7XpsSWnaPOeF21yUlhk9bzKvwHSyh4hHfBU/edit?usp=drivesdk====================================================================Arvind Vijaymohan is the CEO of Artery India, the country's leading art intelligence firm that tracks, evaluates, and authenticates Indian art. With a deep background in luxury branding and market research, Arvind has played a pivotal role in shaping transparency and valuation standards in the Indian art market. He's consulted with top collectors, auction houses, and financial institutions, and has been featured in Forbes, The Hindu, and Financial Times for his work in bringing data-driven insights to the world of art and collectibles.In this episode, Vinamre and Arvind talk about:-Why airlines are quietly removing first-class cabins, his best first-class experience, and what it's like to drive some of the world's best cars.-How he stays sharp and well put together, the ups and downs of social media, and helping brands tell real, honest stories.-His time at St. Stephen's, early exposure to wealth, and learning how to hold your own in powerful rooms.-Why exposure matters, his favorite countries to visit, and how traveling in India can be wildly different depending on where you go.-Rules of being a gentleman, why accountability is underrated, and what he really thinks is the key to wealth.Don't miss this episode—a quiet masterclass in style, substance, and how to carry yourself with intent.15 books Everyone should read:https://docs.google.com/document/d/1NHCx5rSoGiEwqzP7oqZFMW0fg4kLgYMMo3JrWNpxcN0/edit?usp=drivesdkChapters Timestamp00:00 – Why are airlines quietly removing first-class cabins? 2:45 – The best first-class experience Arvind ever had 4:08 – What it's like driving the world's finest cars 8:46 – How Arvind is always so well put together 12:37 – The power and pitfalls of social media 18:43 – Helping brands and people shape their narratives 20:50 – Presence vs. authenticity in a curated world 25:35 – His childhood and school days 30:25 – What was St. Stephen's really like? 33:03 – Early brushes with wealth and how it shaped him 37:18 – How to hold your own in a room full of power 41:39 – What separates UHNWIs from everyone else 47:11 – The irreplaceable value of exposure 54:35 – Mind vs. machine: Making decisions in the AI era 59:57 – His favorite international destinations 1:08:45 – The unmatched diversity of traveling in India 1:14:45 – Banned books he's read 1:17:07 – Authors who shaped his mind 1:22:45 – How to get the perfect suit for yourself 1:38:18 – The luggage brands Arvind swears by 1:49:10 – A train ticket story from Italy 1:53:09 – The timeless rules of being a gentleman 2:04:04 – Why accountability is the foundation of elegance 2:08:25 – What is the real key to wealth? 2:15:50 – Conclusion====================================================================Vinamre Kasanaa is a writer at heart, podcaster and entrepreneur by craft.He spends a significant part of his time reading and researching.With over 500 podcasts under his belt, he's interviewed everyone—from HNIs and industry leaders to everyday superheroes.Follow Vinamre:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/vinamre-kasanaa-b8524496/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/vinamrekasanaa/Twitter: https://twitter.com/VinamreKasanaaDostcast: Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/dostcast/Twitter: https://twitter.com/dostcast====================================================================Contact Us:For business inquiries: dostcast@egiplay.com

Did you know the average female size is 16-18? This is not “plus” size. This is average size! Unfortunately, the fashion industry has not caught up to this fact. I realize there is more size inclusivity, variation in body types displayed on retail sites, and other resources to support you in finding the right fits. But between vanity sizing and fit inconsistencies from one store to another, as well as from one product to another within the same stores themselves, the act of trying on clothing can be incredibly frustrating.   Today, I want to talk about why it's not you, it's your clothes. Let's get real about why your size DOESN'T matter at all and what IS actually important to consider when it comes to fit. Buckle up, friend. I think this is a conversation we all need to hear!   FREE 5-MIN PERSONAL STYLE QUIZ: https://herstylellc.com/quiz HER STYLE BLOG: https://herstylellc.com/blog HER STYLE ON INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/heatherriggsstyle/ JOIN HER STYLE COLLECTIVE: http://herstylellc.com/collective   Related Episodes: 118 – Struggling with Negative Self-Talk? Make This One Simple Mindset Shift to Improve Your Body Image 83 – 10 Practical Ways to Build Your Wardrobe through Weight Fluctuations 48 – How to Dress Well on the Way to Reaching Your Goal Weight 45 – Growing Your Confidence Is a SELFLESS Choice —Here's Why

  On this episode of Westside Stories, Head of Visual Merchandising and Store Design, Andrew Peter, talks about how wanting to present himself well was what inspired him to work in visual merchandising, the importance of being a bridge between the store staff and the customer and the innovation that goes into designing a space that is welcoming and that entices the customer to buy a certain product.    Shop the look here: www.westside.com Follow Westside here: https://www.instagram.com/westsidestores   CREDITS: Guest: Andrew Peter Executive Producer: Umashan Naidoo Creative Director: Liana Deboo Created by Westside   This is a Maed in India production. Head of Production: Mae Mariyam Thomas Project Manager: Shaun Fanthome Head of Audio Production: Kartik Kulkarni Sound Editor & Mix Engineer: Lakshman Parsuram, Nihar Temkar Senior Producer: Ruchi Sawardekar Junior Producer: Saakshi Samant Production Coordinator: Natasha Vakil Director & Video Editor: Jishnu Guha Assistant DOP: Roshan Paul Recorded at School Studio, Mumbai  

Would you love to have a closet full of quality clothing options… without having to buy a thing?   Do you hate the idea of investing in pieces you might be tired of wearing by the end of the season?   Are you worried about wasting money on the wrong clothes?   What if there was one simple solution to all of these questions? There is! It's called a clothing rental service and it might be the answer to your style prayers! But before you rush over to Rent the Runway, there are 5 critical questions you need to answer first. And in today's episode, I'm handing over a quick checklist to help you determine whether it makes more sense to rent or buy the wardrobe items you need next.   Plus, I rounded up more than a dozen clothing rental service companies to explore! We'll talk about how to differentiate between them, the pros and cons, and how to get started if renting is the right move for you. Stick around and let's see if we can save you a little money while you bring in some new gems this season.   FREE 5-MIN PERSONAL STYLE QUIZ: https://herstylellc.com/quiz HER STYLE BLOG: https://herstylellc.com/blog HER STYLE ON INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/heatherriggsstyle/ CONTACT HEATHER: support@herstylellc.com   Related Episodes: 165 – Where to Shop and When to Invest In Higher Quality Pieces 134 – 5 Tips to Ease Your Way Into Sustainable Shopping with Anita Thomas 79 – 7 Ways to Improve Your Shopping Experience as a Petite Plus Size Woman  48 – How to Dress Well on the Way to Reaching Your Goal Weight

Our friend Tom, who just released his critically acclaimed new record, I Am Towards You, returns to chat with Chris and Jason about Gambino's retirement, a dinner party in Harlem, Online Ceramics is going Call Her Daddy mode, local Highland Park dining, macro bowls, Tom's thoughts on "the ear," anybody who wants to do anything can just do it, Red Bull tour support, money earning labor, the Cayman Islands podcast charts, a Transylvanian train ride, and his thoughts on Bronny and The WNBA. instagram.com/howtodresswell twitter.com/donetodeath twitter.com/themjeans howlonggone.com Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

I talk with legendary experimental pop musician and philosopher TOM KRELL, AKA, How To Dress Well, about art, spirt, and connecting with each other in the vast distances between us.

I was a huge fan of Tom Krell's early work How to Dress Well, though faded when it became a more ordinary RnB proposition. This wildly artistic and conceptual 6th album is criminally underrated and one of the years unsung gems.

"There's a Bladee lyric: kill whatever part of you that isn't true to the heart of you."Ring ring. Tom Krell of How to Dress Well responds to answering machine questions from 1-877-WASTOIDS from folks like  Andrew Dost (fun., Metal Bubble Trio) and Patrick McDermott of North Americans. Covered: the mystic visions of Thomas Merton, NBA dream rosters, the deep contemplations about silence and misheard Miley Cyrus lyrics.Check out "I Am Toward You," out  Sargent HouseCall us anytime at 1-877-WASTOIDS. More podcasts and videos at WASTOIDS.com | Follow us on Instagram and YouTube.

In this week's FRIDAY FIELD NOTES, Ryan Michler discusses dressing for success, common misconceptions about this concept, and how to elevate how you look and present yourself. Hit Ryan up on Instagram at @ryanmichler and share what's working in your life.   SHOW HIGHLIGHTS (0:00) Episode intro (10:30) Looking like a slob will deter someone from reaching out and trying to further engage with you (11:28) Make sure what you are wearing is in alignment with who you want to be (12:58) Investing in your appearance WILL make a difference, and is worth the time put forth (13:51) Price vs cost (15:58) Considering and communicating your why (17:15) When your office lacks a dress code, it's easy to drift (19:40) The advantages of having a standard uniform (26:10) Caring about what the right people think of you   Battle Planners: Pick yours up today! Order Ryan's new book, The Masculinity Manifesto. For more information on the Iron Council brotherhood. Want maximum health, wealth, relationships, and abundance in your life? Sign up for our free course, 30 Days to Battle Ready

Hello everyone, welcome back to episode 3 of season 3. This week I have a lovely guest Rachel Hennessy the creator and founder of Happy Days which is a dress rental shop based in Dublin but ships nationwide https://happy-days.ie/. Rachel shares lots of tips on how she got where she is today. I met Rachel at an event late last year and I just loved her business and wanted to hear her story. This podcast is sponsored by Yoga with Maura online yoga studio and you can get 25% off if you use the code: PODCAST. Thanks for listening and don't forget the subscribe! Love & Light, Maura x

Larissa Loyva has played in p:ano, Kellarissa, Fake Tears, the Choir Practice, How to Dress Well, Destroyer, Dream/loss. Jonelle Aspa has been in the bands Sontag, Hen Party, Anybodys and Dream/loss. Both are involved in organizing Girls Rock Camp Vancouver. This conversation was recorded on December 29 2023. The Secret Location was a venue, rehearsal space and artists' studios collective located at 841 E Hastings St between 2003 and 2021. Other venues discussed include Red Gate, the Astoria, 333, Merge, 360 Glen, the Emergency Room, CBDB's, the Black Lab, Goodie, Franklin Studios. Other musicians discussed: Nu Sensae, White Lung, Twin Crystals, Fortress, Anju Singh, Holzkopf, Whip of the UFO, Channels 3 and 4, N.213, Shearing Pinx, Diane, Monashee, Baptists, Cult Babies, Winona Forever. Huge thank you to Kellarissa for the original theme music.   Music clips used with artist permission Kellarissa: Carrying On from Flamingo (2008, Mint Records) Anybodys: RFK (2020 version) from Acts of Endurance (2021)    

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Conditional prediction markets are evidential, not causal, published by philh on February 8, 2024 on LessWrong. Quick note about a thing I didn't properly realize until recently. I don't know how important it is in practice. tl;dr: Conditional prediction markets tell you "in worlds where thing happens, does other-thing happen?" They don't tell you "if I make thing happen, will other-thing happen?" Suppose you have a conditional prediction market like: "if Biden passes the DRESS-WELL act, will at least 100,000 Americans buy a pair of Crocs in 2025?" Let's say it's at 10%, and assume it's well calibrated (ignoring problems of liquidity and time value of money and so on). Let's even say we have a pair of them: "if Biden doesn't pass the DRESS-WELL act, will at least 100,000 Americans buy a pair of Crocs in 2025?" This is at 5%. This means that worlds where Biden passes the DRESS-WELL act have a 5pp higher probability of the many-Crocs event than worlds where he doesn't. (That's 5 percentage points, which in this case is a 100% higher probability. I wish we had a symbol for percentage points.) It does not mean that Biden passing the DRESS-WELL act will increase the probability of the many-Crocs event by 5pp. I think that the usual notation is: prediction markets tell us but they don't tell us One possibility is that "Biden passing the DRESS-WELL act" might be correlated with the event, but not causally upstream of it. Maybe the act has no impact at all; but he'll only pass it if we get early signs that Crocs sales are booming. That suggests a causal model with (I don't know if I'm using causal diagrams right. Also, those two "early-sales"es are meant to be the same thing but I don't know how to draw that.) But here's the thing that triggered me to write this post. We can still get the same problem if the intervention is upstream of the event. Perhaps Biden will pass the DRESS-WELL act if he thinks it will have a large effect, and not otherwise. Let's say the act has a 50% chance of increasing the probability by 3pp and a 50% chance of increasing it by 5pp. Biden can commission a study to find out which it is, and he'll only pass the act if it's 5pp. Then we have I expect that sometimes you want to know the thing that prediction markets tell you, and sometimes you want to know the other thing. Good to know what they're telling you, whether or not it's what you want to know. Some other more-or-less fictional examples: If Disney sues Apple for copyright infringement, will they win? A high probability might mean that Disney has a strong case, or it might mean that Disney will only sue if they decide they have a strong case. If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, will inflation stay below 4%? A high probability might mean that raising interest rates reliably decreases inflation; or it might mean that the Fed won't raise them except in the unusual case that they'll decrease inflation. If I go on a first date with this person, will I go on a second? A high probability might might mean we're likely to be compatible; or it might mean she's very selective about who she goes on first dates with. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org

Link to original articleWelcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Conditional prediction markets are evidential, not causal, published by philh on February 8, 2024 on LessWrong. Quick note about a thing I didn't properly realize until recently. I don't know how important it is in practice. tl;dr: Conditional prediction markets tell you "in worlds where thing happens, does other-thing happen?" They don't tell you "if I make thing happen, will other-thing happen?" Suppose you have a conditional prediction market like: "if Biden passes the DRESS-WELL act, will at least 100,000 Americans buy a pair of Crocs in 2025?" Let's say it's at 10%, and assume it's well calibrated (ignoring problems of liquidity and time value of money and so on). Let's even say we have a pair of them: "if Biden doesn't pass the DRESS-WELL act, will at least 100,000 Americans buy a pair of Crocs in 2025?" This is at 5%. This means that worlds where Biden passes the DRESS-WELL act have a 5pp higher probability of the many-Crocs event than worlds where he doesn't. (That's 5 percentage points, which in this case is a 100% higher probability. I wish we had a symbol for percentage points.) It does not mean that Biden passing the DRESS-WELL act will increase the probability of the many-Crocs event by 5pp. I think that the usual notation is: prediction markets tell us but they don't tell us One possibility is that "Biden passing the DRESS-WELL act" might be correlated with the event, but not causally upstream of it. Maybe the act has no impact at all; but he'll only pass it if we get early signs that Crocs sales are booming. That suggests a causal model with (I don't know if I'm using causal diagrams right. Also, those two "early-sales"es are meant to be the same thing but I don't know how to draw that.) But here's the thing that triggered me to write this post. We can still get the same problem if the intervention is upstream of the event. Perhaps Biden will pass the DRESS-WELL act if he thinks it will have a large effect, and not otherwise. Let's say the act has a 50% chance of increasing the probability by 3pp and a 50% chance of increasing it by 5pp. Biden can commission a study to find out which it is, and he'll only pass the act if it's 5pp. Then we have I expect that sometimes you want to know the thing that prediction markets tell you, and sometimes you want to know the other thing. Good to know what they're telling you, whether or not it's what you want to know. Some other more-or-less fictional examples: If Disney sues Apple for copyright infringement, will they win? A high probability might mean that Disney has a strong case, or it might mean that Disney will only sue if they decide they have a strong case. If the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, will inflation stay below 4%? A high probability might mean that raising interest rates reliably decreases inflation; or it might mean that the Fed won't raise them except in the unusual case that they'll decrease inflation. If I go on a first date with this person, will I go on a second? A high probability might might mean we're likely to be compatible; or it might mean she's very selective about who she goes on first dates with. Thanks for listening. To help us out with The Nonlinear Library or to learn more, please visit nonlinear.org

Hellooo Cousins!!You know what time it is…another week, another brand new episode of CCP! This week we were joined by our friend Barento aka @Badasoseason, an up and coming ‘guy who makes content' (his words not ours). We discussed his start to Social Media, his love for fashion and his inspiration behind it all. We also discussed the similaires between our cultures and how important it is for us to be in touch with our culture even if we're first generation Canadians. This one's a good one so grab your drinks and snacks and enjoy the episode!!!As always, thank you so much for all of your support! Make sure to subscribe/follow us to make sure you don't miss another episode!Love,Amir & SaraFollow Barento on Instagram @BadasoseasonFollow us on Instagram:@cousinconnectionpod - https://bit.ly/3n1QPk9AMIR - https://bit.ly/3HDFXAISARA - https://bit.ly/3zv1J6ZFollow us on:- Tiktok | https://bit.ly/32PtwmK- Apple Podcasts | https://apple.co/3yW9Rvp- Spotify | https://spoti.fi/3C8l1PJand every other streaming service, search 'Cousin Connection Podcast'-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------EPISODE 122 TIMESTAMPS0:00 - Cold Open0:19 - Intro0:50 - Welcome our guest @Badasoseason1:29 - Finding success on Social Media5:28 - Getting into Men's fashion6:50 - Being a genius comes with a cost?10:49 - Women can't wear jackets now?15:46 - Men's fashion is Sassy?23:37 - Sacrificing views for the Deen25:33 - Running a Marathon40:46 - Travelling for the first time in your 20s44:36 - Are there Oromos in Toronto?48:02 - All East Africans know each other49:55 - Filming around friends and family57:25 - Getting in touch with Oromo culture1:00:00 - Language is the key to preservation1:07:30 - OutroAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy

What do you think sometimes causes divorce among christians? Share your opinions.

I get it...it's easy to throw on a hoody and get to work on your computer at your home office...especially if you're an entrepreneur. I spent most of the past 4 years like that...until recently.Staying comfortable, even in your appearance, a slippery slope. You stop shaving. You start to NEVER leave your athleisure clothes. You don't take certain calls or meetings because you don't feel your best.We FEEL better when we LOOK better (as good as we can with what we've got). Studies have shown we make more money, appear more confident, and look smarter too.Listen to learn how easy it is to present our best, most confident selves and FEEL better every day when we start creating our futures.

Lorraine & Trish meet YouTube sensation and queen of body shape dressing, Melissa Murrell, to answer all your fashion dilemmas. Learn the personal stylist's secrets for balancing proportions, creating a chic silhouette, adapting your style if your body shape changes (midlife muffin top anyone?) and her go-to High Street brands for jeans and special occasions. Plus: Why Trish has gone crazy for seaweed & what happened when Lorraine went to see Take That.Contact us: hello@postcardsfrommidlife.comFollow us on Instragram: @postcardsfrommidlifeJoin our private Facebook Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/681448662400206/If you enjoyed this episode we would really appreciate it if you would rate and review us subscribe, or simply spread the word! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This is a first. Today's Q&A Thursday topic wasn't requested by any one listener. But it's a question –or an objection, really– that I've heard countless times over the past decade plus. I get asked about this issue all the time from friends and family, on podcast interviews, and from women in my community. It's time to address it fully right here on the podcast. The question is: How can I dress well on the way to reaching my goal weight? Friend, I get it. If you're in progress on a weight loss journey, you do not want to spend a fortune, or even a penny, on new clothes you hope won't fit you for long. But we've also talked in past episodes about how important it is to look and feel your best TODAY. So what should you do? Well, I have an answer to this very common conundrum. In fact, I'm going to give you 8 ways to celebrate where you are right now, get dressed with confidence, and look amazing without wasting money on clothes before you've achieved those coveted weight loss goals. Whether you want to lose 10 pounds or 10 sizes, this episode is for you. It's about time we dive deeper into this topic! I don't want anything holding you back from looking and feeling your best. So let's make sure you're well-dressed no matter what size you are today or tomorrow. No more excuses, my love! FREE 5-MIN PERSONAL STYLE QUIZ: https://herstylellc.com/quiz HER STYLE BLOG: https://herstylellc.com/blog HER STYLE ON INSTAGRAM: https://www.instagram.com/heatherriggsstyle/ GET FEATURED ON A Q&A THURSDAY EPISODE: https://herstylellc.com/podcast WARDROBE REFRESH PROGRAM: https://herstylellc.com/program SHOP ABLE'S SIZE SWAP COLLECTION: https://www.ableclothing.com/collections/size-swap

Today's guest is Tanner Guzy. We go deep today talking about:Smashing the misconceptions of why men should care about their styleHighly practical and actionable tips to boost your confidence, self-respect, and external resultsTanner's idea of “extegrity” and why the whole style and fashion debate actually truly revolves around YOU and YOUR identityWhy dads have a moral imperative to dress wellHow Tanner helps me answer some specific style questions so you can use his method of questioning in your own lifeThe importance of making sure your kids are not responsible for soothing your negative emotionsTanner Guzy is a husband, father, and men's style coach. He's the author of the book The Appearance of Power. He focuses on helping men express their identity, masculinity, and ambition through their appearance. Find Tanner online at:Instagram: @tannerguzyWebsites: masculine-style.comResources mentioned:The Appearance of Power by Tanner Guzy---Welcome to the Dad.Work Podcast, where men are forged into elite husbands and fathers by learning what it takes to become harder to kill, easier to love, and equipped to lead.Get ready to start building the only legacy that truly matters - your family.Resources, Links, Show Notes:https://dad.work/podcast/Follow Dad.Work:https://instagram.com/dadwork.curt/https://www.linkedin.com/in/curtstorring/https://twitter.com/CurtStorringHOW TO BECOME AN ELITE MAN, HUSBAND, AND FATHER: FREE TRAINING:https://dad.work/training/

Book A Live Sales Coaching Session with Me: https://selar.co/qhqw?currency=GBPJoin my whatsapp group $6 : https://buy.stripe.com/28oeXb4Cx6nT3uw14dJoin my whatsapp group N15,000: https://app.groupify.co/g/yb8Tqi7iiavV

Describe a person who likes to dress well 时尚的人He majors in art and European history 他专业是艺术和欧洲史 His major is… He studies something on….Rather tall, very slim, not strong 个子高 身材匀称 overweight 胖的 bonny 瘦的He is always dressing in that way 经常那样子穿 ….in a fashionable way/ in a strange or weird way In my mind 我认为 I think I believe I suppose I find Candy color 糖果色 Royal red 正红色 Candy blue 亮蓝色 Light or dark color 浅色or深色系Show respect to 以示尊重 life or people

He majors in art and European history 他专业是艺术和欧洲史 His major is… He studies something on…. Rather tall, very slim, not strong 个子高 身材匀称 overweight 胖的 bonny 瘦的 He is always dressing in that way 经常那样子穿 ….in a fashionable way/ in a strange or weird way In my mind 我认为 I think I believe I suppose I find Candy color 糖果色 Royal red 正红色 Candy blue 亮蓝色 Light or dark color 浅色or深色系 Show respect to 以示尊重 life or people

From his earliest memories of watching his mom get ready for work and dressing for church, Olivier was drawn to style. Why do NBA players love the brand and finding his brand on GRAILED. Plus, putting on for Sint Maarten. Ian Pierno - https://www.instagram.com/ianpierno/ Joe Williams - https://www.instagram.com/whyisjoe/  

Kram takes us behind the makings of our greatest Super group ever, "The Wrights" that was a tribute to Stevie Wright. The band was made up of  members from Jet, Powderfinger, Spiderbait, The Living End, You Am I, Grinspoon and Dallas Crane.He and Matty both share what it was like working with Legendary Producer Harry Vanda plus some tips from Harry and how The Easybeats would sometimes get chased out of town!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Kram takes us behind the makings of our greatest Super group ever, "The Wrights" that was a tribute to Stevie Wright. The band was made up of  members from Jet, Powderfinger, Spiderbait, The Living End, You Am I, Grinspoon and Dallas Crane.He and Matty both share what it was like working with Legendary Producer Harry Vanda plus some tips from Harry and how The Easybeats would sometimes get chased out of town!See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Hi, Girlies! Pasti pada kangen kan nih sama kita karena udah ditinggal seminggu hihihi. Btw kalian kalau pilih pasangan ngeliat dari penampilan mereka ga sih? Terus style yang kalian suka dari pasangan kalian kaya gimana nih? Yuk kita bahas dari dua sudut pandang biar adil lah ya xixixi. Let's check it out!

Dress well and modest - Mufti Menk

Many times on this podcast we have talked about packing tips. We have given ideas on how to pack smarter, not heavier. We have talked about our essentials and what are the “nice to have items” that we bring for entertainment or comfort. We haven't necessarily talked about fashion when setting out on your journey … Continue reading Episode 378: Travel Chic: Pack Light, Dress Well →

This week on Lifestyle, we welcome back Paul Aflalo, who brings us much-needed advice on how to prepare for a blizzard. Also, have you thought about growing vegetables in space? NASA has, and we'll chat about it!Find Kelly & Company on YouTube! About AMI AMI is a media company that entertains, informs and empowers Canadians with disabilities through three broadcast services — AMI-tv and AMI-audio in English and AMI-télé in French — and streaming platform AMI+. Our vision is to establish AMI as a leader in the offering of accessible content, providing a voice for Canadians with disabilities through authentic storytelling, representation and positive portrayal. To learn more visit AMI.ca and AMItele.ca. Find more great AMI Original Content on AMI+ Learn more at AMI.ca Connect with Accessible Media Inc. online: - X /Twitter @AccessibleMedia - Instagram @AccessibleMediaInc / @AMI-audio - Facebook at @AccessibleMediaInc - TikTok @AccessibleMediaInc - Email feedback@ami.ca

Dress codes at work have relaxed and as we venture back into the office, what can we expect to see in 2022? It used to be seen as frivolous to wear anything other than a suit at work but that is a distant memory. Now it's all about 'power casual' dressing - still looking the part but never too buttoned-up - comfort is still key. If your work wardrobe could do with a refresh then this is the essential episode for you. What to wear and where to get it in 2022. #personalstyle #workwear Grab my free workwear guide here Want to work with Lisa in person? Contact her here. Follow Lisa on Instagram here.

Did you know 85% of women think that a man who dresses well is sexier than a man who has a lot of money?On this episode of Bandwidth, Dr. Gabe interviews Rhodis Easton to discuss tips on personal style and how to dress better as a man to attract more women. ----Maximize your Potential. Increase your Bandwidth.Text bandwidth to 94000 to stay up-to-date on all things Bandwidth.Bandwidth Facebook PageGabriel Powell Instagram | Gabriel Powell YouTube

How To Dress Well: 5 Fashion Rules To Remember When you look at the stylish men and women around you, do you often wonder how they've put their outfits together? Is it something they picked out for the day at random? Or did they have rules to follow? Well, whether it may be good or ...

In today's episode, we are excited to be chatting with Chanèle McFarlane, a Certified Career Strategist and TEDx Speaker. Chanèle is also the Founder of Do Well Dress Well through which she creates content and learning experiences to help people launch, pivot, and accelerate their careers. She is known for her approachable and practical advice on personal branding and career strategy and as a result, her expert commentary has been featured in Fast Company, The Globe & Mail, ELLE Canada, FLARE Magazine, and more. She is also an on-air career expert with appearances on Breakfast Television, The Morning Show (Global News), and CHCH Morning Live. Passionate about the future of careers and education, Chanèle is a Marketing Professor at Seneca College, an advisor for several organizations including Accelerate Her Future, Canadian Council for Youth Prosperity, and Humber College, and an accomplished employer brand and recruiting professional. Previously, she led talent brand at Capital One Canada and is currently working on Coursera's Talent Engagement team. She has been recognized as PR in Canada's Top 30 Under 30, Top 100 Black Women to Watch in Canada, and Top 25 Women of Influence. Chanèle and I discussed personal branding for recruiters, what that really entails, and why it's important for recruiters to keep in mind. Building a personal brand is something Chanèle is an expert in so join us as she offers advice for getting started on creating a brand, leveraging this as a recruiter, creating content that resonates with your audience, and much more! She will also share some of her success stories with us. Enjoy!Chanèle's LinkedIn can be found here.

Today's conversation is with Manny De La Cruz of WellBuiltStyle and we discuss how guys who train can still dress well to suit their physique. Manny has built a niche website to support style for men who train and are into fitness, as know that it can be both harder and easier to dress well and look stylish when we have more muscular physiques. We explore common mistakes made when it comes to dressing well as well built guy, misconceptions around style, what fit of trouser goes with which shoes. Manny shares his concept of how ugly men can become handsome, which is a part of this conversation that we can all learn from. Lastly, we explore Manny's approach to time management while managing this side hustle and creating content for over 7 years. As part of this discussion, Manny gives us an insight into the self development sources that have built his strong mindset and approach to life. Connect with Manny: Website - https://wellbuiltstyle.com/ Twitter - https://twitter.com/WellBuiltStyle? Insta - https://www.instagram.com/well.built.style/ Book - https://amzn.to/3kUjMuh Connect with Col: Insta - https://www.instagram.com/col.cambro/ Email List - https://mailchi.mp/548e38ba5942/colincambro

This week, we're talking about the positive impact that getting dressed in the morning (and we don't mean into lockdown leggings) can have on how we feel, and discussing the end of the cinema as we know it. Plus, we share our weekly recommendations, from Tom Hollander's viral day in the life to Emily in Paris - is it the next Sex and the City? To hear more from us, sign up at TheWingwoman.co.uk to receive our free weekly newsletter every Sunday. Email us at thewingwomanofficial@gmail.com. This episode is sponsored by Tu, and the Dress Well, Feel Good campaign. Episode links: I wouldn't go on a date to the cinema. What does that mean for its future? Charlie Gowans-Eglinton, The Times A life in the day: Tom Hollander, The Sunday Times Magazine

"I want to work with a stylist, but not until I lose this weight." "I would love to buy some new clothes--but I'll do it when it hit my goal weight." If you are in your weight loss journey and are waiting to buy new clothes, but your current clothes are baggy and frumpy AF, this is the episode for you! Grab a notepad and pen to take notes on these budget-friendly and stylish tips as you continue to get healthier. Follow me on Instagram: @fabulousladygunner

Have you wanted to redo your wardrobe but worry about the cost? Have you wished for a closet filled with clothes you love, but think it will cost an arm and a leg? Today I'm giving you tips that show you no matter your budget, you can still have a closet of clothes that up level your style! If you want to look like a million bucks without a million dollar price tag, listen up… If you want to keep the convos going, join me in my private FB group, Burn Your Leggings. Ya know, like the podcast!

Episode 013 | Dondrae McGee | Live Dope, Dress Well, Inspire Others Twitter: @ye_gaultier Instagram: @haberdashnow Website: haberdashnow.com Dondrae McGee is the Owner and Principal Stylist of Haberdashnow, Men's Style and Fashion Consulting, LLC. The tagline of the brand is 'LIVE dope. DRESS well INSPIRE others'. As a principal stylists, Dondrae believes style is important, but clothing is one-third of how style is expressed. To him, It is most expressed through a gent's life and how he lives along with lives he is able to inspire. Dondrae love to hear the visions of his clients and work with them to make them come to fruition. Many gents look to celebrities and athletes as reference points of style, but cannot afford what those persons wear therefore, Haberdashnow creates looks for their gents that look just as good, as well as complements their budgets. --- Support this podcast: https://anchor.fm/themindfulrebel/support

Learning the reasons to dress well in Italy will help you make better fashion choices. Italians are known for their innate sense of style, and fashion blogger Angie Nardiello gives some great tips on how foreigners can dress like their Italian hosts.

Enjoy the latest batch of new music hand-selected by the Noise Pop team. At the beginning of each month they scour the web for the 10 best tracks and serve it up on a podcast platter for you to enjoy. On this episode they offer new music from indie mainstays such as The Walkmen and Dan Deacon as well tracks from exciting new artists like Ms Mr and Icky Blossoms. Tracklist: 1. "Lots" -- Dan Deacon, America 2. "Heartbreaker" -- The Walkmen, Heaven 3. "Hurricane" -- MS MR, Hurricane 4. "Five Seconds" -- Twin Shadow, Confess  5. "Swag" -- Ty Segall Band, In A Cloud II 6. "Transparency Pt. II" -- d'Eon, LP 7. "Ocean Floor for Everything" -- How to Dress Well, Total Loss  8. "Perfect Vision" -- Icky Blossoms, Icky Blossoms 9. "Stuck" -- Birthmark, Antibodies  10. "Nat's Theme" -- Chautauqua, Suspended Animation

This week the NPP team tackles the new trend of popular R&B taking root in indie music. With new artists like The Weeknd, Frank Ocean, and How To Dress Well, it's clear that 90's R&B is making a comeback. This episode explores how it got to this point.The first clue started a few years ago when contemporary bands began covering R&B hits from the 90's - in 2009 The xx covered Aaliyah's “Hot Like Fire.” Shortly after, the influence of this sound grew apparent in new indie bands like Gayngs and James Blake. Dirty Projector's smash “Stillness in the Move” was a watershed moment, in which a pure R&B vocal was paired with the bands traditionally challenging sound. Now the stage is set for not just artists dabbling in an R&B sound but actual pure R&B artist to be embraced by the independent community, a fascinating and rewarding new trend in music.    The group also announce the winning name of their recommendation segment, “Ear About Town.” This episode's segment Jesse, Jaime and Dawson stay with the theme and share their respective favorite R&B song from the 1990's.   1. “House of Balloons/Glass Table Girls” – The Weeknd, House of Balloons 2. “Transparency” – d'Eon, Darkbloom 3. “Are You That Somebody?” (clip) – Aaliyah, Dr. Doolittle Soundtrack 4. “Hot Like Fire” Aaliyah Cover (clip) - The xx, B-Side to Crystalized Single 5. “Don't Take it Personal” Monica Cover - White Hinterland, single 6. “Gaudy Side of Town” – Gayngs, Relayted 7. “Stillness is the Move” (clip) – Dirty Projectors, Bitte Orca 8. “Stillness is the Move” (clip) – Solange, single 9. “Songs for Women” - Frank Ocean, Nostalgia/Ultra 10. “Wicked Games” - The Weeknd, House of Balloons 11. “Ready for the World” - How to Dress Well, Love Remains   Ear About Town Jesse: “Cupid” (clip) – 112, 112 Jaime: “All My Life” (clip) – K-Ci and JoJo, Love Always Dawson – “Pony” (clip) – Ginuwine, Ginuwine the Bachelor

This month we play music ranging from calm acoustic ballads to abrasive garage rock - strap yourself in for a roller coaster episode.Our Word of Mouth guest is Jesse Fox, from Solstice and Fly Bar. He shows us the quiet heartbreaking music of Hurray for the Riff Raff. Track List1. Houses - Soak it Up2. Of Montreal - Coquette Coquette3. No Age - Glitter4. Double Dagger - Luxury Condos For The Poor5. Sufjan Stevens - Heirloom6. Hurray for the Riff Raff - Young Blood Blues7. The Sea and Cake - Car Alarm8. The Walkmen - Angela Surf City9. How To Dress Well - Decisions (featuring Yuksel Arslan)