Podcast appearances and mentions of edward lorenz

The butterfly effect is the idea that a small change in one part of the world can have huge consequences in another. It is often used as a metaphor for how our actions can shape the future in unpredictable ways. The term was coined by the American mathematician and meteorologist Edward Lorenz, who was studying the behavior of weather systems. He discovered that even tiny variations in the initial conditions of a weather model could lead to vastly different outcomes over time. He illustrated this with the example of a butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil and causing a tornado in Texas. What kind of systems exhibit the butterfly effect? What does the butterfly effect mean for us? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions! To listen to the last episodes, you can click here: How can I know if my partner is micro-cheating on me? What explains the rise of birth tourism? How to exercise safely when the weather is cold? A podcast written and realised by Amber Minogue. In partnership with upday UK. First broadcast 30/11/2023 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Edward Lorenz, a meteorologist and mathematician, formulated a theory called the butterfly effect—based on a hypothetical scenario in which a butterfly, simply by flapping its wings, affects a tornado weeks later. The butterfly effect illustrates how small actions in complex systems can lead to big changes, underscoring the challenges in making forecasts. This is particularly relevant for investors. A complex global economy often takes unexpected turns, and macro disruptions and uncertainty present challenges for those navigating financial markets. But with this knowledge, investors could make better decisions by challenging conventional wisdom and taking a long-term view. The Season 5 premiere of The Outthinking Investor explores how investors can steer through economic volatility and pursue sound portfolio construction for the long run. Philipp Carlsson-Szlezak, Boston Consulting Group's Global Chief Economist, and Robert Tipp, PGIM Fixed Income's Chief Investment Strategist, discuss the forces that may drive change in the economy, potential risks to the outlook, how market fears can distract from real long-term consequences, emerging opportunities in fixed-income markets, and structural changes resulting from a higher level of expected interest rates. Do you have any comments, suggestions, or topics you would like us to cover? Email us at thought.leadership@pgim.com., or fill out our survey at PGIM.com/podcast/outthinking-investor. To hear more from PGIM, tune into Speaking of Alternatives, available on Spotify, Apple, Amazon Music, and other podcast platforms. Explore our entire collection of podcasts at PGIM.com.

Xmas Special: Investing in Software: Alternatives To Project Management For Software Businesses With Vasco Duarte In the grand finale of the “5 Wishes for 2025” series, Vasco Duarte tackles the chaotic nature of software development and why traditional project management just doesn't cut it. Drawing on lessons from weather models, butterflies, and Agile practices, Vasco presents a bold manifesto for how we can thrive in uncertainty. Chaos Theory and Software Development “Project management is like trying to predict where a butterfly will land after flying through a hurricane – good luck with that!” Vasco begins with the story of Edward Lorenz, the MIT meteorologist who discovered what was later called the “butterfly effect.” This concept illuminates and explains the unpredictability of software development, where tiny changes can lead to massive, unexpected consequences – like a simple tweak spiraling into a full system refactor. Why Traditional Project Management Falls Short “Planning your year's meals in January? That's about as realistic as predicting October's sushi cravings!” Vasco humorously dismantles the premise of project management, which assumes stability, predictability, and complete information upfront. While Agile provides a more flexible approach, it's often misused as “project management in disguise,” failing to unlock the true potential of adaptability. The 2025 Manifesto: A New Way to Invest in Software “Loving Gantt charts is like loving fax machines – there's a better way!” Vasco outlines his four-point manifesto for how organizations can thrive in uncertainty: Fund Software Incrementally: Treat funding like stock market investing – small, regular investments over time. Think Like an Investor: Focus on maximizing returns, not rigidly executing plans. Experiment by Default: Acknowledge that the best ideas come from testing and iterating. Give Teams End-to-End Ownership: Empower teams to own their work from idea to delivery, eliminating micromanagement. The Need for Agility at All Levels “Scrum teams in a project management organization are like race car drivers stuck in traffic jams – all that potential, nowhere to go!” Vasco emphasizes that agility must extend beyond individual teams. Organizations need to embrace Agile principles at every level to avoid stifling innovation and potential. And his approach to funding and managing software investments does exactly that: bring agility to the decision making forums in the organization, instead of keeping it at the team level. A Wish for 2025: Embrace the Chaos “Butterflies don't follow project plans, and neither does software development!” Vasco's final wish for 2025 is for organizations to stop forcing software into rigid project management frameworks. Instead, they should embrace the unpredictable nature of development, leveraging incremental funding, iterative experimentation, and team empowerment to thrive in uncertainty. See It in Action: Global Agile Summit 2025 “Want to see how real organizations are thriving in chaos? Join us in Tallinn!” Vasco invites listeners to the Global Agile Summit 2025 in Tallinn, Estonia, where forward-thinking organizations will share their stories of breaking free from traditional project management. Holiday listeners can grab a 75% discounted Super Early Bird ticket at GlobalAgileSummit.com. About Vasco Duarte Vasco Duarte is a thought leader in the Agile space, co-founder of Agile Finland, and host of the Scrum Master Toolbox Podcast, which has over 10 million downloads. Author of NoEstimates: How To Measure Project Progress Without Estimating, Vasco is a sought-after speaker and consultant helping organizations embrace Agile practices to achieve business success. You can link with Vasco Duarte on LinkedIn.

Hello Interactors,Flying provides a great opportunity to catch up on books and podcasts, but it also brings feelings of guilt. My recent trip likely contributed about 136 hot air balloons' worth of CO2 to the atmosphere. Should I feel guilty, or should the responsibility lie with airlines, manufacturers, and oil companies? We all contribute to global warming, but at least our destination was experiencing an unusually cool July. However, globally, the situation is very different and worsening faster than expected. What's to be done? Let's dig in.CLIMATE CONUNDRUMS CONFOUND CALCULATIONSThere are two spots on the planet that are not affected by climate change, and I recently flew over one of them. It's a patch in the ocean just off the coast of Greenland that our plane happened to fly over on a family vacation to Scotland. The other is a small band around the Southern Ocean near Antarctica. I likely won't be visiting that one.I learned this on the plane listening to a podcast interview by the physicist Sean Carroll with climate scientist and Director of NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies, Gavin Schmidt. Gavin has been at the forefront of climate science, spearheading efforts to quantify Earth's climatic fluctuations, develop sophisticated models for projecting future climate scenarios, and effectively communicate these findings to the public and policymakers.In this discussion, they talked about the methods currently employed in climate research, while also offering insights into the anticipated climatic shifts and their potential impacts in the coming decades. Gavin is known for bridging gaps between complex science and accessible information. I'm writing this piece to bridge some of my own gaps.For example, there's often mention that climate change has created more extreme swings in temperature — that the weather is increasingly varying from extreme heat to extreme cold. In statistics, this is called variance. Some argue this variance may be hard for us to detect because temperatures have been shifting — a phenomenon known as shifting baseline syndrome.Gavin says there's more to this question than people realize. He notes that it is relatively straightforward to detect changes in the mean temperature because of the law of large numbers. Temperature varies across three dimensions - latitude, longitude, and altitude. We can calculate an average temperature for any two-dimensional slice of this 3D space, resulting in a single representative value for that area.This video is a conceptual simulation showing a 3D volume of temperature readings (warmer toward the ground and cool toward the sky). The 2D plane ‘slices' the cube averaging the values as it encounters them and colors itself accordingly. Source: Author using P5.js with much help from OpenAI.With enough data, it's clear that there has been a significant warming trend almost everywhere on Earth since the 1970s. Approximately 98% of the planet has experienced detectable warming, with a couple exceptions like the ones I mentioned.But determining changes in the variance or spread of temperatures is more complex. Calculating variance requires a comprehensive understanding of the entire distribution of data, which requires a larger dataset to achieve statistical confidence. Schmidt points out that while we have enough data to confirm that the distribution of temperatures has shifted (indicating a change in the mean), we do not yet have sufficient data to conclusively state that the variance has increased.Recent temperature spikes tell this story well. For the last decade or more, many climate scientists have been confident in predicting increased global mean temperatures by looking at past temperatures. The global mean has been predictably increasing within known variances. But in 2023 their confidence was shaken. He said,“Perhaps we get a little bit complacent. Perhaps we then say, 'Okay, well, you know, we know everything.' And for the last 10 years or so, [that's been] on the back of both those long-term trends, which we understand…”He goes on to explain that they've been able to adjust temperature predictions based on past trends and the cyclical variances of El Nino and La Nina. Scientists have boldly claimed,“'Okay, well, it's gonna be a little bit cooler. It's gonna be a little warmer, but the trends are gonna be up. You know, here's the chance of a new record temperature.' And for 10 years that worked out nicely until last year. Last year, it was a total bust, total bust like way outside any of the uncertainties that you would add into such a prediction.”How far outside of known uncertainties? He said,“…we were way off. And we still don't know why. And that's a little disquieting.” He added, “…we ended up with records at the end of last year, August, September, October, November, that were, like they were off the charts, but then they were off the charts in how much they were off the charts. So, they were breaking the records where they were breaking the records by a record-breaking amount as well. So that's record breaking squared, if you like, the second order record breaking. And we don't really have a good answer for that yet.”There is ongoing research into why and some have speculated, but none of them add up.For example, we're currently nearing a solar maximum in the sun's 11-year cycle which increases solar irradiance, but that small increase doesn't fully explain the observed changes. Other factors may be at play. For instance, there have been significant shifts in pollution levels in China, and the shipping industry has transitioned to cleaner fuels, which, as hoped, could be influencing climate patterns.However, Schmidt notes that the quantitative analysis of these factors hasn't yet matched the observed changes. Identifying potential contributors to climate variations is one thing, but precisely quantifying their impacts remains a challenge. Schmidt said climate and planetary scientists hope to convene in December to share and learn more, but the extreme shift remains concerning.CALCULATING CLIMATE'S COUNTLESS COMPONENTSThe amount of data required to model the climate is daunting. In a separate TED talk, Schmidt reveals that understanding climate change requires considering variables that span 14 orders of magnitude, from the microscopic level (e.g., aerosols) to the planetary scale (e.g., atmospheric circulation). These accordingly have their own orders of magnitude on a time scale, from milliseconds of chemical reactions to weather events over days or weeks to long term changes over millennia, like ice ages or long-term carbon cycles.Climate models must integrate processes across these scales to accurately simulate climate dynamics. Early models could only handle a few orders of magnitude, but modern models have significantly expanded this range, incorporating more detailed processes and interactions.Schmidt highlights that climate models reveal emergent properties—patterns that arise from the interactions of smaller-scale processes. For instance, no specific code dictates the formation of cyclones or the wiggles in ocean currents; these phenomena emerge naturally from the model's equations.But there is a staggering amount of data to model. And it all starts with the sun.The sun provides 99% of the Earth's energy, primarily in the visible spectrum, with components in the near-infrared and UV. This energy interacts with the atmosphere, which contains water vapor, greenhouse gases, ozone, clouds, and particles that absorb, reflect, or scatter light.The energy undergoes photolytic reactions. Photolytic reactions are chemical reactions that are initiated or driven by the absorption of light energy which breakdown molecules into smaller units. We couldn't breathe without it. The earth's ozone is decomposed into oxygen in the atmosphere through these reactions, which is initiated by sunlight — especially in the stratosphere. This too must be tracked as the Earth rotates, affecting sunlight exposure.Upon reaching the ground, some sunlight is reflected, by snow for example, or absorbed by oceans and land. This influences temperatures which is then radiated back as infrared energy. This process involves complex interactions with clouds, particles, and greenhouse gases, creating temperature gradients that drive winds and atmospheric motion. These dynamics further affect surface fluxes, water vapor, cloud formation, and associated chemistry, making the entire system highly intricate. And this doesn't even remotely begin to approach the complexity of it all.To simplify Schmidt says they capture what they can in a column roughly 25 kilometers high and wide to study the inherent physics. Most of which he says,“…is just vertical. So, the radiation you can think of as just being a vertical process, to very good order. Convection is also just a vertical process. So, there's a lot of things that you can do in the column that allows you to be quite efficient about how you solve the equations.”  Schmidt adds that “each column [can] sit on a different processor, and so you can do lots of things at the same time, and then they interact via the winds and the waves and those kinds of things.”He said most of the calculations come down to these two sets of equations: Euler and Navier-Stokes. Euler equations are a set of partial differential equations in fluid dynamics that describe the flow of non-viscous and fluids, absent heat exchange. Named after the Swiss mathematician and physicist Leonhard Euler in the 18th century, these simplify the analysis of fluid flow by neglecting viscosity and thermal conductivity, focusing instead on the conservation of mass, momentum, and energy.Navier-Stokes, named after the 19th century French civil engineer Claude-Louis Navier and the Irish physicist George Gabriel Stokes, is based on Euler's work but adds viscosity back into the equation. Schmidt says these equations are sometimes used to measure flows closer to the surface of the earth.This video is a conceptual simulation showing a 3D volume of vectors (randomly changing direction and magnitude) with particles entering the field of vectors. Each particle (e.g. dust, rain, aerosol) gets pushed in the direction of the vector each encounters. You can clearly see the emergent swarming behavior complex adaptive systems, like our atmosphere, can yield. Also present are the apparent challenges that come with measuring and predicting these outcomes. Source: Author using P5.js with much help from OpenAI.These complex computational models are inherently approximations. They are validated against observations but remain simplifications of reality. This inherent uncertainty is a critical aspect of climate science, emphasizing the need for continuous refinement and validation of models.And while human-induce climate change denialists like to say the climate models are wrong and not worth considering, Schmidt has a clever retort,“Models are not right or wrong; they are always wrong, but they are useful.”NAVIGATING NATURE'S NEW NORMALMany wish climate change predictions had the kind of certainty that comes with basic laws of physics. While there are indeed efforts in complexity science to identify such laws, we're still in the foothills of discovery on a steep climb to certainty.For example, to even achieve the current level of climate prediction took approximately 30 years of research, involving multiple methods, replication, and more sophisticated physical modeling. This led to accurate calibration techniques for the paleothermometers that measure ice cores which reveal temperatures from around the planet dating back three million years.While there is some empirical certainty in this — derived from the periodic table, fundamental laws of physics, or observed correlations from spatially dispersed ice core samples — recent extreme variations in global temperatures give reason to question this certainty. These relationships were based on spatial variations observable today, but failed to account for change over time, which behave very differently.Schmidt says, “…it turns out that the things that cause things to change in time are not the same things that cause them to change in space. And so empirical relationships that are derived from data that's available rather than the data that you need can indeed lead you astray.”It begs the question: how far astray are we?We know over the last one hundred years or so the planet has warmed roughly an average of 1.5 degrees Celsius. This is a number that has been contorted in the media to mean some kind of threshold after which “something” “might” happen. But Schmidt cautions there is no way to know when we hit this number, exactly, and it's not going to be obvious. Perhaps it already pushed passed this threshold, or it may not for another decade.He says, “we are going to continue to warm on the aggregates because we are continuing to put carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. Until we get effectively to net zero, so no more addition of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere, temperatures will continue to climb. The less we put in, the slower that will be. But effectively, our best estimate of when global warming will stop is when we get to net zero.”Getting to net zero involves significant and radical changes in energy production, industrial processes, and consumption patterns. Moreover, it will require an unprecedented comprehensive and coordinated worldwide effort across all sectors of the economy, institutions, and governments.This is true even for hypothetical and speculative climate engineering solutions like injecting sulfates into the atmosphere in attempts to cool the planet. According to Schmidt, not only would this require cooperation across borders, so long as we keep spewing emissions into the atmosphere, we'd be forever trying to cool the planet…for eternity or at least until we've exhausted all the planet's fossil fuels.It's hard to imagine this happening in my lifetime, if ever. After all, climate change is already disrupting and displacing entire populations and we're seeing governments, and their citizens, becoming increasingly selfish and isolationist, not collaborative.As Schmidt admits, “We're not on the optimum path. We're not on the path that will prevent further damage and prevent the need for further adaptation. So, we're going to have to be building climate resilience, we're going to have to be adapting, we're going to have to be mitigating, and you have to do all three. You can't adapt to an ever-getting-worse situation, it has to at some point stabilize.”Schmidt says he derives no joy in telling people “that the next decade is going to be warmer than the last decade and it was warmer than the decade before that.” He says, “It gives me no joy to tell people that, oh yeah, we're going to have another record-breaking year this year, next year, whenever. Because I'm not a sociopath. I'm a scientist, yes, but I'm also a person.”Schmidt's words resonate deeply, reminding us that behind the data and predictions are real people—scientists, citizens, and future generations—all grappling with the weight of our changing world. As we stand at this critical juncture, we're not just passive observers but active participants in Earth's unfolding story, a story that's leaving its mark on nearly every corner of our planet.The butterfly effect, as meteorologist Edward Lorenz proposed, isn't just about tornados in Texas being set off by a chain of events from the flap of a butterfly's wings in Brazil; it's a powerful metaphor for our collective impact. Each of us, in our daily choices and actions, creates ripples that extend far beyond our immediate sphere. In a world where only two small patches—one off Greenland's coast and another near Antarctica—remain untouched by climate change, our individual actions carry profound significance.The path to net zero isn't just about grand gestures or technological breakthroughs. It's about millions of small, intentional actions coalescing into a force powerful enough to alter our trajectory. As we face the challenges ahead, let's remember that our individual agency, when combined, has the potential to create tsunamis of change, even in places we may never visit ourselves.In the end, it's not just about preserving a habitable planet — it's about preserving our humanity, our connection to each other and to the Earth that sustains us. As we navigate this critical decade and beyond, let's carry with us the knowledge that every action, no matter how small, contributes to the larger narrative of our planet's future. We are all butterflies, and in a world where climate change-free zones are becoming as rare as a family vacation to Antarctica, our wings have never mattered more. This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit interplace.io

In Ausgabe 83 nähern sich Kabarettist Martin Puntigam und der Astronom Florian Freistetter dem Chaos. Und besprechen, wie chaotisch Albert Einstein war, ob beim Radrennen immer die gewinnen, die zuerst im Ziel sind, was das rosa Trikot in den Ferien macht, wie sich Alltagschaos von wissenschaftlichem unterscheidet, was Raumsonden davon haben, dass man das Chaos beforscht, wie man 18-dimensionale Phasenräume putzt, ob Jupiter ein guter Nachbar ist, wie man zu kleine Planeten untersuchen kann, warum nicht-lineare Systeme empfindlich sind, was König Oskar II. sich zum 60. Geburtstag gewünscht hat, wann man ein n-Körperproblem hat, was eine Potenzreihe in den Zeit- und Raumkoordinaten macht, was Fermat vielleicht nur vermutet hat, warum Poincaré wichtig für Einstein war und ob Lieferandofahrer bei der Tour de France mitfahren dürfen.

Dans cet épisode nous allons discuter de l'effet papillon avec Lou anne.✨ Abonnez-vous, partagez et mettez un petit 5 étoiles ✨Dans cet épisode, découvrez comment de simples actions peuvent transformer notre monde !Nous plongeons dans le fascinant concept de l'Effet Papillon, révélé par Edward Lorenz, et explorons son impact grâce aux réseaux sociaux et aux petits gestes quotidiens.Comment un simple battement d'ailes peut-il déclencher une tornade ? Quelles implications cela a-t-il pour nous tous ?Rejoignez-nous pour des exemples inspirants et des discussions captivantes sur le pouvoir des petites actions.________ Description de l'épisode ________présentation de Lou Annequ'est-ce que l'effet papillon, d'où ça vient ?qu'est-ce que l'effet papillon pour nous ?pourquoi il y a une mode en ce moment autour ?le pouvoir des petites actionsl'application de l'effet papillonles limites de la prévisibilitépuis nous terminerons par une petite conclusion.Bonne écoutePauline & Lou anne

Didaticamente Jesus explicou: O Reino de Deus é assim: Um homem joga a semente na terra. Dormindo ou acordado, noite e dia, a semente brota e cresce, sem que ele saiba como isso acontece. A terra frutifica: primeiro aparece a planta, depois, a espiga, e, por fim, o grão cheio na espiga. E, quando o fruto já está maduro, logo manda cortar, porque chegou o tempo da colheita. Marcos 4:26-29 A semente se refere às Boas Novas. Não sabemos se cairá em terra fértil, mas temos certeza de que: para toda ação haverá uma reação. O campo é o mundo, a boa semente representa os filhos do Reino; o grão ruim são os filhos do Maligno. O inimigo que o semeia entre a boa semente é o Diabo; a colheita é o fim dos tempos, e os trabalhadores da colheita são os anjos. Como o resultado do grão ruim é separado e queimado no fogo, assim será no fim dos tempos. Enviarei os anjos e eles separarão do Reino tudo que faz as pessoas tropeçarem e todos os que praticam o mal. Estes serão lançados no fogo, onde queimarão. Ali haverá choro e ranger de dentes. Então os justos brilharão como o sol no Reino de seu Pai. Quem puder compreender, compreenda. Mateus 13:38-43 A humanidade é como a planta, a sua grandeza é como a flor da planta, a planta murcha e a flor cai, mas a semente viva permanecerá para sempre. E, se alguém fizer qualquer um que tem fé em Jesus errar... Se a sua mão, pé ou olho leva você a tropeçar, corte-os; pois é melhor entrar aleijado na vida do que, tendo os dois, ir para o inferno, para o fogo que nunca se apaga. Porque cada um será castigado com fogo. Marcos 9:42-49/Mateus 18:6-9 Multiplicar e compartilhar boas ações, condutas e exemplos, anunciando o reino de Deus e a sua justiça; para continuar contemplando o céu azul. A planta cresce e dá bons frutos quando encontra as condições e suprimentos adequados... Jesus teve fome. E, vendo de longe uma figueira com folhas, foi ver se nela acharia algum fruto. Mas, ao aproximar da árvore, nada achou, a não ser folhas; não era tempo de figos. E Jesus disse à figueira: Nunca mais alguém coma dos seus frutos! Marcos 11:12-14/Mateus 21:18-19 "O bater de asas de uma simples borboleta, pode influenciar o curso natural das coisas". Edward Lorenz

Unveiling the butterfly effect in this podcast episode to dive deeper into your personal development and growth journey. What exactly is the butterfly effect? What role does the butterfly effect play in your life? This episode shares real examples of the butterfly effect and how it intertwines with universal laws and concepts such as karma. The signs of the butterfly effect Hi beautiful souls, today's podcast is all about the butterfly effect. It's seemingly following me everywhere and I felt called to speak about it after my most recent Instagram post and then one of the books I've been reading ended funnily enough with an epilogue titled ‘The Butterfly Effect.' The metaphor of the butterfly effect isn't actually spiritual in nature, in fact it's origin came from two sources according to the research I've done. In fact the butterfly effect has been adopted to various areas of life from relationships to marketing in businesses.  Edward Lorenz and the butterfly effect The most well known origin of the butterfly effect is that of mathematician and meteorologist Edward Lorenz who asked the metaphorical question in the 1960's of does the flap of a butterfly's wings in Brazil set off a tornado in Texas? From that perspective came of how a single flap of a butterfly's wings can be so instrumental in creating an impact, such as a tornado. This is rooted in chaos theory which from my understanding put simply is the study of surprises and the unpredictable.  A Sound of Thunder and the butterfly effect Another is 1950's short story titled ‘A Sound of Thunder' by Ray Bradbury which exemplifies the butterfly effect metaphorically and somewhat physically. It is set in 2055 where time travel is possible and wealthy adventurers have the opportunity to make use of this so they go back to the age of dinosaurs. One particular adventurer wanted to hunt dinosaurs and had been told the importance of sticking to the marked trail, one thing leads to another and he carelessly steps on a butterfly in pursuit of a dinosaur changing the course of history in the future. The adventurers return to 2055 where the world has been altered for the worse, language no longer makes sense, an evil dictator is in charge only to be confused and see the crushed butterfly under his boot.  The butterfly effect on social media: Instagram and Tiktok The butterfly effect is back in the spotlight recently making waves on social media with people sharing how the smallest of things have had the biggest influence in their lives such as myself simply deciding to start an anonymous Instagram page out of my passion for mental health has now led to me being a life coach full time for almost two and a half years coming up three soon, wild! The butterfly effect in real life can play out in all sorts of ways such as missing a plane which ended up being in an accident, or in a change moment deciding to go to a dinner you didn't want to go to where you end up meeting the love of your life. For example stubbing your toe so you can no longer go out on a Friday night and you're bummed that you're missing out on fun evening but then receiving an important call with news that you may have otherwise ignored or missed. The star thrower and the butterfly effect A really beautiful story that I came across recently resonated with the butterfly theory and how the it can truly be the little small things that make a huge difference. This story is called ‘The Star Thrower' by Loren Eiseley an American anthropologist. Once upon a time, there was an old man who used to go to the ocean to do his writing. He had a habit of walking on the beach every morning before he began his work. Early one morning, he was walking along the shore after a big storm had passed and found the vast beach littered with starfish as far as the eye could see, stretching in both directions.Off in the distance,

Welcome to Top of the Morning by Mint, your weekday newscast that brings you five major stories from the world of business. It's Tuesday, April 2, 2024. My name is Nelson John. Let's get started:Indian markets started the new financial year with a fresh vigour as benchmark indices closed in the green on Monday. BSE's Sensex rose more than 350 points to close 0.49 per cent up from its previous close. NSE's Nifty-50 also climbed more than 130 points to close 0.61 per cent above its last close. Tata Steel, Ultratech Cement and NTPC were among the top gainers on Monday. How fast is India growing? Is it really growing? Well, there are a couple of ways to find out.  One can look at the constant construction happening in all major metros across the country. More and more infrastructure projects are coming up - a likely indicator of growth. Another way to track this growth is to look at GDP numbers. In FY23 India's GDP grew at 7 per cent. For the first three quarters of the outgoing fiscal, the growth remained above a healthy 8 per cent. The government estimates the number for the full fiscal year 2024 to be at 7.6 per cent. So what's driving the growth? While there is more than one driver, some attribute this boost in GDP numbers to the government's push for capital expenditure. But there are other engines of growth too - public consumption being one of them. Mint's senior editor N Madhavan examines the factors behind India's surge. What's in a name? Not much according to William Shakespeare, but for small finance banks, it might make a world of difference. Small finance banks in India are advocating for a rebranding, seeking to drop the 'small finance' label to enhance their appeal to depositors and investors. This request was discussed in a meeting with RBI officials, people aware of the matter told Mint's banking editor Gopika Gopakumar. The banks aim to improve customer perception and attract more current and savings account deposits with the name change. Some banks are testing the waters. Hoardings outside AU Small Finance Bank's regional office in Mumbai's Kurla read simply ‘AU Bank'. Websites of almost all SFBs, barring Ujjivan SFB and North East SFB, have dropped the label from their domain names. The term 'small' was initially used in the naming of small finance banks to highlight their core mission of promoting inclusive banking. Over time, these banks have achieved their goal of extending credit to small and micro businesses, demonstrating their commitment to supporting underserved segments. Now to continue inclusive growth, having more accounts and fixed deposits is necessary, which will be helpful if the word ‘small' is dropped, a spokesperson for Unity SFB told Gopika.  What's light, has high strength, is durable and is extremely useful for the aerospace industry? It is a material called carbon fibre. Carbon Fibre is also extensively used to make sports equipment like hockey sticks, racquets, archery bows and golf clubs. Carbon fibre bicycles are popular among enthusiasts because of their light weight. The reason I am talking about it is because India is gearing up to start domestic production of carbon fibre, targeting aerospace, civil engineering, and defence sectors. The push comes as a strategic move to lessen imports and navigate around the European Union's impending carbon tax on steel and metal products. India is currently dependent on carbon fibre imports from countries like the US, France, Japan, and Germany. The EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism set for 2026 has propelled India to consider establishing its own manufacturing capabilities. The Indian government is in talks to create carbon fibre manufacturing units, with research support from leading institutions like the Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) to meet international production standards. Mint's Dhirendra Kumar brings us this exclusive story on the development, which is a part of India's plan to expand technical textiles export from $2.5 billion to $10 billion within five years.Over 60 years ago, American mathematician and meteorologist Edward Lorenz's minor data alteration in a weather simulation at MIT led to significantly different results, laying the foundation for chaos theory - also known as the 'butterfly effect.' This concept, illustrating how small changes can have large consequences, is now relevant across various fields, prompting reflection on the impact of larger phenomena like climate change. India's FMCG sector, heavily reliant on imported palm oil, faces potential disruptions from the European Union's proposed carbon tax and the effects of climate change on palm oil production. With India as the world's largest palm oil importer and facing stagnating supplies from major producers Indonesia and Malaysia, the sector is at a crossroads. Additionally, the cocoa industry faces similar challenges, with extreme weather conditions and diseases reducing global output. Mint's national editor Abhishek Mukherjee takes a deep dive into how the FMCG industry is staring at an existential crisis with climate change - arguably the biggest issue facing humanity. India is poised to standardise the accreditation process for alternative medicine facilities, including Ayurvedic wellness centres, homoeopathy clinics, and Unani hospitals. The National Accreditation Board for Hospitals and Healthcare aims to consolidate accreditation standards across all AYUSH disciplines. These include Ayurveda, Yoga and Naturopathy, Unani, Siddha, Sowa Rigpa, and Homeopathy. The government aims to get the process running by June, streamlining processes and ensuring quality care. This initiative comes after the insurance regulator's IRDAI's recent inclusion of AYUSH treatments in health coverage.. Mint's health and pharma correspondent Somitra Ghosh takes a look at the initiative that highlights the government's effort to boost the alternative medicine sector's credibility and research. The move however, has been met with mixed reactions.  We'd love to hear your feedback on this podcast. Let us know by writing to us at feedback@livemint.com. You may send us feedback, tips or anything that you feel we should be covering from your vantage point in the world of business and finance.That's all for today. Thank you for listening.We'll be back tomorrow with a fresh episode of Top of the Morning. Have a nice day!Primer | What's driving Indian GDP surge: Public spending or private consumption'Small' isn't beautiful for small finance banksIndia plans to make carbon fibre in response to EU carbon taxAyurveda, alternative medicine to get an accreditation nudgeBlowing Hot: How climate crisis can rain on FMCG's FY25 show

Confidence Hack #72: A butterfly flaps its wings in Brazil and causes a tornado in Texas. North American theoretical meteorologist Edward Lorenz found something strange while studying weather patterns. In 1961, Lorenz was running a numerical computer model to redo a weather prediction he had currently been working on. Lorenz left the room and walked down the hall to get a cup of coffee. He entered the initial condition 0.506 from the printout instead of the complete precision 0.506127 value as he was in a hurry. When he returned, the result was a completely different weather scenario. The computer had simulated months into the future. Due to a minimal numerical rounding in his equation,  the differences more or less steadily doubled in size every four days or so until all resemblance with the original output disappeared somewhere in the second month. Lorenz's ‘accidental' study discovered that the smallest occurrences in one area can lead to a domino effect in another. Gain confidence today that something is happening right now that will propel you into the next level of your life. Hey! If you love this show, share it with family and friends! It's the best way to help get this info into the hands of people who want to grow and become the most CONFIDENT LEADERS they can be! And please throw us a 5-star review! To get these hacks and other AMAZING information straight to your inbox, go to davidnurse.com and sign up for the FREE newsletter!

The butterfly effect is the idea that a small change in one part of the world can have huge consequences in another. It is often used as a metaphor for how our actions can shape the future in unpredictable ways. The term was coined by the American mathematician and meteorologist Edward Lorenz, who was studying the behavior of weather systems. He discovered that even tiny variations in the initial conditions of a weather model could lead to vastly different outcomes over time. He illustrated this with the example of a butterfly flapping its wings in Brazil and causing a tornado in Texas. What kind of systems exhibit the butterfly effect? What does the butterfly effect mean for us? In under 3 minutes, we answer your questions! To listen to the last episodes, you can click here: How can I know if my partner is micro-cheating on me? What explains the rise of birth tourism? How to exercise safely when the weather is cold? A podcast written and realised by Amber Minogue. In partnership with upday UK. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Teoria do caos . Significado, visão geral e história Vou explicar sobre a teoria de Edward Lorenz ao mercado. Solomon Von Herclestein Contato 55 11 9 5135 6262

O tempo, o clima, a matemática e a geografia. O que eles têm em comum? O estudo da climatologia envolve tanto a matemática quanto a geografia e carrega informações valiosas para o seu aprendizado. Ficou curioso(a)? Dê o play e confira o novo episódio do Sala B, com Rodrigo Arruda, mestrando em Matemática, e Juninho Lopes, professor de Geografia. Está demais! Edward Lorenz - https://pt.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_LorenzINMET - Instituto Nacional de Meteorologia INPE - Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas EspaciaisCPTEC - Centro de Previsão de Tempo e Estudos ClimáticosCOP - Conferência das PartesEl Niño - https://www.cnnbrasil.com.br/internacional/fenomeno-el-nino-esta-de-volta-informa-agencia-entenda-os-efeitos-para-o-brasil/Cumulonimbus - http://www.jovemexplorador.iag.usp.br/?p=blog_NuvemCb --- Send in a voice message: https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/sala-b/message

In this episode - the first of Season 2 - Todd and Alex interview Chris Forando, Sr. Director, Head of Organization Effectiveness at Subway. Chris explores how an organization is like a human body - its structure its skeleton, its people its muscle - and dissects the organizational joints, ligaments, and tendons that enable alignment at scale. He shares takeaways from his time as a Senior Instructor at the US Coast Guard Academy's obstacle course "The Crucible" - an 8-hour experience designed to test cadets' physical, mental and cognitive capabilities and facilitate the emergence of leadership. Chris also touches on Edward Lorenz's chaos theory and Ikujiro Nonaka's theories of organizational knowledge.

Arden is back in the “studio” along with Ben and his lovable pod-cats to discuss the word chaos… a concept that Mango personifies.  Predictably the conversation starts with Bash causing an avalanche in the Himalayas and then gains entropic momentum.  Ben shares information on his favorite movie True Romance, chaos theory models, the band Luscious Jackson, the Kids in the Hall skit “Jazz Schmazz,” a Flash Gordon “deep cut,” and his work experience with software development.  Arden talks about chaos as it relates to his time playing Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 and Elden Ring, the band Mr. Bungle, the “hell in space” movie Event Horizon, and the Risk of Rain game franchise.    00:00:20 - Arden is crushing noobs and finding rings; Ben rolled credits on Cult of the Lamb 00:02:35 - Causing avalanches, comprehending the universe, and sharks in Lake Michigan 00:06:00 - Shark tornado, Summer snowstorms in Ohio, and how can chaos be plural? 00:08:35 - The fake mom, Arden shares the etymology of chaos, and hot hail 00:11:00 - The impactful nature of chaos, making life interesting, and a suitcase full of cocaine 00:14:15 - From Dusk Till Dawn, no lap time for Mango, and does chaos make movies better? 00:16:50 - Christopher Nolan movies, and Ben tries to convince Arden to see Tenet 00:20:50 - “Hell in space” movies and games, Ben in a nutshell, and Contra on a quarter 00:25:30 - Looking like a pelvis, Edward Lorenz's deterministic chaos, and basic science 00:29:05 - The Butterfly Effect, probability warping superpowers, luck, and determining odds 00:33:34 - Models illustrating chaos, Ben doesn't like Muppets, and Daughters of the Kaos 00:36:40 - Luscious Jackson, Mr Bungle, and Ben reads a bit from Jazz Schmazz  00:42:07 - Arden's experiences with Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 00:45:20 - Proximity chat and Reddit user Crescendummain starts an in game taxi service 00:48:23 - Arden talks about his issues with COD:MW2 and “out of touch” game companies  00:52:55 - Ben's software development experiences and thoughts on “crunch culture” 00:55:10 - Hate speech in COD:Modern Warfare 2, gender bias today, and GamerGate 00:58:25 - “Actual entropy” and the results of aligning with the Three Fingers in Elden Ring 01:00:50 - A discussion about procedurally and/or randomly generated game content 01:05:00 - Randomization in Risk of Rain, closing wisdom on chaos, and ladder not latter

p.p1 {margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; line-height: 22.5px; font: 15.0px '.AppleSystemUIFont'; color: #1f2225} p.p2 {margin: 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px 0.0px; line-height: 22.5px; font: 15.0px '.AppleSystemUIFont'; color: #17191b; color: rgba(23, 25, 27, 0.96)} span.s1 {font-family: '.SFNS-Regular'; font-weight: normal; font-style: normal; font-size: 15.00px} span.s2 {font-family: '.SFNS-RegularItalic'; font-weight: normal; font-style: italic; font-size: 15.00px} The butterfly effect is a concept that states that "small causes can have larger effects". This concept was initially used in theories about weather prediction but later the term became a popular metaphor in science writing. According to this theory “Each path produces a different outcome” The butterfly effect is the idea that small things can have non-linear impacts on a complex system. The concept is imagined with a butterfly flapping its wings and causing a typhoon. Translated into mass culture, the butterfly effect has become a metaphor for the existence of seemingly insignificant moments that alter history and shape destinies. Actually the term “The Butterfly Effect”, was a phenomenon proposed in a doctoral thesis written in 1963 by Edward Lorenz. It states that a butterfly, by flapping its wings in one place and time is able to create a major weather event in another place and time, eventually having a far-reaching ripple effect on subsequent events. Do not despise these small beginnings — Zechariah 4:10

1 Corintios 8:11.Dice un proverbio chino que «El aleteo de las alas de una mariposa se puede sentir al otro lado del mundo». A su vez, el matemático y meteorólogo Edward Lorenz ha estudiado esa teoría que suena increíble… si un insecto aletea en Hong Kong puede desatar una tempestad en Nueva York.Pequeños cambios o ajustes pueden conducir a consecuencias totalmente divergentes, algunas decisiones aparentemente pequeñas pueden cambiar el transcurso del destino en vidas, familias y descendientes y yo diría porque no al mundo. ¿Cómo podemos asegurarnos de que nuestras decisiones mejoren nuestra vida y nuestro futuro, y no que los empeoren?, entonces surge la pregunta  para ti: ¿Quieres que algo cambie en tu destino, en el de tu familia y tu descendencia?Yo quiero comenzar con la historia de un hombre común y corriente llamado Abraham, que tomó la decisión de 1) oír la voz de Dios, 2) creer en una Palabra, en una Promesa que Dios le entregó, creyó de esperanza en contra esperanza y 3 ) obedecer a la voz que oyó.Dios le prometió a Abraham un hijo cuando tenía casi 100 años y su esposa tenía 90, Génesis 17:17. Aunque inicialmente lucharon por creer en esta promesa, finalmente creyeron. Dios les dio un hijo al que llamaron Isaac, más tarde Dios decidió poner a prueba a Abraham y le ordenó que ofreciera a Isaac como sacrificio. Aunque esto fue angustiante, Abraham “se levantó muy de mañana, y enalbardó su asno, y tomó consigo dos siervos suyos y a Isaac, su hijo”, pero cuando Abraham estaba a punto de sacrificar a Isaac, el ángel del Jehová le dijo: “No extiendas tu mano sobre el muchacho, ni le hagas nada; porque ya conozco que temes a Dios, por cuanto no me rehusaste tu hijo, tu único”, Génesis 22:12; Y en Génesis 22:15-18 habla de las consecuencias que vinieron después de “obedecer a Dios”.Después de esta increíble demostración de fe y obediencia, las promesas condicionales que Dios le había hecho a Abraham en los capítulos Génesis 12:2-3, Génesis 15:1,4-6 y Génesis 17:21-22 se volvieron incondicionales. Las promesas de Dios incluyeron no sólo abundantes bendiciones físicas para los descendientes de Abraham, Génesis 22:17-18, sino también, gracias a la decisión correcta de este hombre, Dios trajo bendiciones para todas las naciones de la Tierra,  no solo físicas, económicas sino también espirituales, en otras palabras: “Un solo acto de obediencia tuvo enormes consecuencias”.Ahora bien, para que podamos entenderlo comparemos la decisión de Adan y Eva con respecto a la decisión de Abraham: El factor desobediencia versus obediencia, fue también lo que marcó la diferencia entre el "efecto mariposa" de la decisión de Adán y Eva que afectó a toda su descendencia para maldición, y el "efecto mariposa" de la decisión de Abraham que cambió su descendencia para bendición.Esos mismos factores son los que pueden marcar la diferencia en el "efecto mariposa" de las decisiones que usted y yo tomamos o las que estamos tomando todos los días y las que vamos a tomar en los próximos días.Vale la pena entonces hacernos la pregunta: ¿Qué tipo de decisiones tomaste en el pasado que cambiaron el destino de tu vida o situaciones que estás viviendo hoy?, o ¿Que decisiones estas tomando hoy que pueden cambiar el destino y el propósito de tu vida, tu familia y tu descendencia?, esas decisiones ¿Son decisiones que podrían causar a futuro un tornado físico, económico y espiritual para ti y para tus descendientes? O ¿son decisiones que evitarán tornados y repercutirán en bendiciones para ti y tus descendientes?Ya hablamos de los elementos necesarios para que nuestro destino de maldición cambie en un destino de bendición: Oír, Creer y Obedecer; pero hay un cuarto elemento que es necesario que coloquemos en nuestra vida y en nuestro corazón y es la Palabra que salen de la boca de Dios, que cuando las accionamos a través de la fe se convierten en Palabra profética que actúa en nuestro corazón, entonces comienza un proceso de transformación o metanoia en tu vida, tu familia y tu descendencia hasta tal punto que te conviertes en un transformador de “atmósfera espiritual” ya que la Palabra profética cambia el destino de las personas, un ejemplo claro Gedeón; era pobre en medio de un pueblo que estaba siendo saqueado por los enemigos, las mujeres violadas, maltratadas, los hombres sometidos a esclavitud, y peor aún arruinado y sin esperanza, un día llega el Ángel de Jehová (Jesucristo) y le dice “.. Varón esforzado y valiente”, al más pobre, a aquel que nadie daba un solo peso por el, al mas insignificante, al rechazado y una Palabra declarada por Dios cambió no solo el destino de Gedeón sino también el de su familia y de toda una nación, Jueces 6:12-16.Algo pasó dentro de Él… y algo pasará dentro de ti, es el momento de levantarte, estás en el lugar correcto, en el momento correcto, la Palabra profética rompe el espíritu de miseria, el espíritu de condenación, el espíritu de enfermedad, una Palabra profética cambia por completo un destino ya que no hay palabra que Dios diga que no se cumpla, Isaías 55:10-13, Jesús lo declaró en Marcos 11:23-24.¿Cual es ese monte?, ¿Que le vas a decir a ese monte?… créelo, decláralo, hazlo verdad en tu espíritu, en tu mente y en tu corazón, y te levantas en el nombre de Jesús y algo va a pasar, debe haber una palabra en el Olam (en la eternidad) que detienen tu propósito y tu destino, que detienen tu bendición y tu sanidad, palabras que se han levantado contra ti, contra tu familia y tu descendencia cuando te dijeron “tu hogar no va a funcionar, cuando declararon tu enfermedad, cuando dijeron que no servías para nada, o cuando alguien de autoridad lanzo palabra contra ti que quedó grabada en el Olam”, esas palabras se van a romper y entramos en el Olam y destruimos, llevamos a la cruz los argumentos levantados contra tu vida, tu familia y tu descendencia y ahora comienza a declarar Palabra de Jehová para tu vida, tu familia y tu descendencia.Hoy hablo a las palabras de autoridad declaradas sobre mi vida y se destruyen en el nombre de Jesús, hoy Dios grabará en el Olam nuevas promesas que ha declarado con Su boca y que están escritas en la Palabra de Dios… “Ciertamente revocarás mi sentencia porque está escrito: Tu pleito yo lo defenderé y salvaré a tus hijos; está escrito: Porque a mis ojos fuiste de gran estima, fuiste honorable y yo te ame, daré hombres por ti y naciones por tu vida; está escrito: Pelearan contra ti y no te vencerán, porque yo estoy contigo dice Jehová; está escrito: Pero en aquel día te libraré, dice Jehová, y no serás entregado en manos de aquellos a quien tu temes; está escrito: Ninguna arma forjada contra ti prosperará y condenarás toda lengua que se levante contra mi en juicio; está escrito: He aquí he quitado de tu mano el cáliz de aturdimiento, los sedimentos del cáliz de mi ira, nunca mas lo beberás y lo pondré en mano de tus angustiadores; está escrito: Porque Jehová el Señor me ayudará, por tanto no me avergoncé; por eso puse mi rostro como un pedernal, y se que no seré avergonzado, cercano está de mi el que me salva ¿Quien contenderá conmigo? ¿Quién es el adversario de mi causa? He aquí que todos ellos se envejecerán como ropa de vestir, serán comidos por la polilla. Esta y muchas promesas hoy están grabadas en el Olam, en la eternidad…

The Ugly Little Boy (1977) is an adaptation of Isaac Asimov's touching short story about a Neanderthal child kidnapped across time by unscrupulous scientists. In this episode we talk about chaos theory, the ethics of human research, and the 1970s Canadian film aesthetic. Get in touch with us! Twitter: @SotSA_Podcast Facebook: @SotSAPodcast Letterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/sotsa/ Email: screensofthestoneage@gmail.com In this episode: Watch The Ugly Little Boy on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uMJpj5YvyL8 Read the novelization of the short story by Robert Silverberg: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/195450.The_Ugly_Little_Boy Neanderthal blood type: https://www.sciencealert.com/surprise-neanderthal-blood-discovery-hints-at-their-origins-and-downfall How the Rh factor can affect pregnancy: https://www.acog.org/womens-health/faqs/the-rh-factor-how-it-can-affect-your-pregnancy American Anthropological Association statement on ethics: https://ethics.americananthro.org/category/statement/ Edward Lorenz and the origin of the “Butterfly Effect”: https://www.technologyreview.com/2011/02/22/196987/when-the-butterfly-effect-took-flight/

The Ugly Little Boy (1977) is an adaptation of Isaac Asimov's touching short story about a Neanderthal child kidnapped across time by unscrupulous scientists. In this episode we talk about chaos theory, the ethics of human research, and the 1970s Canadian film aesthetic. Get in touch with us!Twitter: @SotSA_Podcast Facebook: @SotSAPodcastLetterboxd: https://letterboxd.com/sotsa/ Email: screensofthestoneage@gmail.com In this episode:Watch The Ugly Little Boy on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uMJpj5YvyL8 Read the novelization of the short story by Robert Silverberg: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/195450.The_Ugly_Little_Boy Neanderthal blood type: https://www.sciencealert.com/surprise-neanderthal-blood-discovery-hints-at-their-origins-and-downfall How the Rh factor can affect pregnancy: https://www.acog.org/womens-health/faqs/the-rh-factor-how-it-can-affect-your-pregnancy American Anthropological Association statement on ethics: https://ethics.americananthro.org/category/statement/Edward Lorenz and the origin of the “Butterfly Effect”: https://www.technologyreview.com/2011/02/22/196987/when-the-butterfly-effect-took-flight/

Fifty years ago Dr. Edward Lorenz coined the term the Butterfly Effect and validated Poincaré's findings on Chaos Theory. To read the podcast's transcripts, visit me at www.MathScienceHistory.com. If you would like to hear an early-release, ad-free version of this podcast, come on over to www.Patreon.com/MathScienceHistory and sign up for a tier!  Until next time, carpe diem! Gabrielle All music by Lloyd Rodgers is in the Public Domain and has no copyright  and no rights reserved 

« Un battement d'aile de papillon au Brésil peut provoquer une tempête au Texas », ça te dit quelque chose ? C'est un peu LA phrase de l'effet papillon

"Das Klima”, der Podcast zur Wissenschaft hinter der Krise. Wir lesen den aktuellen Bericht des Weltklimarats und erklären den aktuellen Stand der Klimaforschung. Nachdem wir die ersten zwei Drittel des IPCC-Berichts gelesen haben, machen wir eine kurze Pause von der reinen Wissenschaft. Und widmen uns in einer Sonderfolge all den anderen Büchern, die zum Klima geschrieben wurde. Wir stellen populärwissenschaftliche Sachbücher vor, wir reden über Lehr- und Fachbücher und haben auch ein paar Romane der “Climate Fiction” aus dem Bücherregal gezogen. Es geht um das Klima, um Meteorologie, um Chaosforschung, Geschichte, Politik und Gesellschaft. Wer noch ein wenig Lesestoff zum Thema sucht, wird in dieser Folge hoffentlich fündig. Außerdem loben wir sehr ausführlich die wunderbare Institution der öffentlichen Bibliothek. Geht dort mal hin, es lohnt sich!

“Perché un muro non ci salverà”, un articolo di Antonio Polito su Il Corriere della Sera. Più vasto è il popolo dei non vaccinati in cui può circolare e riprodursi il virus, maggiore è la probabilità che nascano nuove varianti come l'ultima arrivata, la B.1.1.529, ribattezzata «Omicron» Può il batter d'ali di una farfalla in Brasile provocare un tornado in Texas?». È il celebre titolo di una conferenza tenuta dal matematico Edward Lorenz negli anni ‘70. Se avessimo tutti studiato la teoria del caos, come il nostro premio Nobel per la fisica Giorgio Parisi, sapremmo rispondere di sì, e spiegare anche il perché. Ma se invece fossimo degli ignoranti che a scuola hanno studiato solo le guerre puniche, 
potremmo aiutarci con un'antica filastrocca popolare inglese che dice praticamente
la stessa cosa.[…] ____________________________________ Ascolta “Punti di Vista” a cura di Lapo De Carlo. Per i notiziari sempre aggiornati ascoltaci sul sito: https://www.giornaleradio.fm oppure scarica la nostra App gratuita: iOS - App Store - https://apple.co/2uW01yA Android - Google Play - http://bit.ly/2vCjiW3 Resta connesso e segui i canali social di Giornale Radio: Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/giornaleradio.fm/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/giornaleradio.tv/?hl=it Twitter: https://twitter.com/giornaleradiofm

Nathan Osmond breaks down one of his all-time favorite movies, "It's A Wonderful Life." He compares Edward Lorenz's "Butterfly Effect" to what he calls, "The George Bailey Effect." Don't miss out on this Holiday episode all about gratitude the effect that each one of us play on this earth. 

Neste terceiro episódio da Temporada sobre Empreendedorismo Fractal vamos falar um pouco sobre a teoria do caos e qual a sua relação com a Geometria Fractal. Qual a relação entre os estudos de Edward Lorenz no MIT, na década de 60, com os estudos de Benoit Mandelbrot, na IBM, na década de 70? De que maneira montanhas poderiam ser descritas por padrões geométricos e de que forma uma borboleta pode causar um tornado no Texas? Estas e outras questões serão discutidas e apresentadas neste episódio. A aleatoriedade característica de sistêmicas dinâmicos poderão enfim encontrar alguma ordem com a ajuda dos fractais. Acompanhe também o minicurso sobre Empreendedorismo Fractal, com aula de aproximadamente Pi minutos disponibilizadas no Canal Matematizoom no Youtube.

Hello Interactors,I spent this week listening to my favorite Rolling Stones songs and fretting over whether democratic infighting in Washington would end our best, and perhaps only, hope of climate change legislation. I can’t get no satisfaction and my sympathy for the devil is wearing thin. I hate to be the beast of burden, but can somebody gimme shelter?As interactors, you’re special individuals self-selected to be a part of an evolutionary journey. You’re also members of an attentive community so I welcome your participation.Please leave your comments below or email me directly.Now let’s go…MAINTAINING ORDERThe drummer for the Rolling Stones, Charlie Watts, passed away this week at 80 years old. The Stones have been around longer than I have and Charlie was their only drummer. He was never the flamboyant type, seeking drum solos or surrounding himself with racks of drums to satisfy some insatiable percussive proclivity. He just sat there in his suit doing his job – keeping rhythm for a singer who dances like he has ants in his pants.Drummers never get the credit they deserve. They live in the shadows of vanity seeking vocalists and guitarists grasping for glamour. They’re always the brunt of sinister jokes about lacking the intelligence or talent to play a ‘real instrument’; so they’re stuck beating sticks on thin bouncy membranes stretched over cylindrical cannisters.But having played in bands with no drummer, I can tell you it’s no fun. It’s hard to find drummers, and even harder to keep them. I wonder if Mick and the boys knew how good they had it? Keeping a beat is no easy feat. A good bass player helps, and while we’re all drawn to a pleasantly sounding harmony, it’s the lowly drummer who sets tone. Without a steady beat, music quickly unravels into a chaotic cacophonic calamity. The world could use a drummer right about now. Nature, humans, society, and the climate have lost the beat. After decades of operating in regular 4/4 time, with occasional key changes or transitions to alternating rhythms, the universe has devolved into a seemingly extended random free-form improvisation. Pure chaos. How does this happen?Learning new songs with a band hints at how it unravels. Humming along and feeling good about yourself, out of no where some band member misses a chord or drifts off beat. Everyone starts glancing around at each other in search of the culprit as you sense it getting worse. As the piano player and band leader, I’d sometimes start to pound my keys a little harder — emphasizing the beat in the process. Kind of like speaking louder and with a DIS-TINCT CA-DENCE TO SOME-ONE WHO DOES NOT SPEAK YOUR LANG-UAGE in hopes they’ll suddenly clue in. But invariably another band mate would follow my lead and start playing louder to match my increasing volume. The next thing you know the drummer does too. It’s hard to play drums loud and slow, so the pace of the song quickens. Each change from one single individual results in corresponding feedback from other individuals in the group; that, in turn, induces more reactions from individuals – a dynamical system in a self-perpetuating feedback loop. Soon things evolve into a loud frenetic chaos. That’s when you understand how punk music was born. Eventually everyone realizes that while playing fast, loose, and loud is fun for awhile it’s also exhausting and futile. Especially when learning songs like the sanguine but melancholy jazz standard, My Funny Valentine. We managed to learn enough songs to be hired for a wedding once, but we’d joke that music critics probably would have slotted us somewhere between jazz, R&B, and comedy.Many classic jazz standards start out steadily predictable, but then cascade into chaotic frenzied solos that pass from one instrument to the other. I suspect even the subdued Charlie Watts took his turn soloing in his early days as a jazz drummer. Another standard of jazz standards is to collectively return to the steady state of the song’s uniform pattern played in unison — restoring order after the disturbance. Many jazz conventions are rooted in the 12-bar Blues. Blues is recognized as blues, and jazz as jazz, because there are strict underlying rules governing the controlled creative chaos of soundwaves emanating from instruments and vocal chords. The Rolling Stones knew as much. That’s why Mick Jagger described their work on the 1972 album, Exile on Main St., as "runaway outlaws using the blues as its weapon against the world.” That album took the world by storm and is the highest ranking Stones album on Rolling Stone magazine’s list of the 500 Greatest Albums of All Time. That’s one storm nobody could have predicted.THE STRANGE ATTRACTORThat same year, 1972, MIT mathematician and meteorologist, Edward Lorenz, published a paper on the challenges of predicting storms titled, Predictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wings in Brazil Set Off a Tornado in Texas? His paper was the first to describe chaos theory. And the premise of his paper’s title has been shortened to what we now call the Butterfly Effect. Poetically, a certain set of values in an equation that exhibits a concept central to chaos theory called a strange attractor yields a plot that resembles a butterfly.While studying mathematical models of weather systems, he discovered one small change in these dynamical systems could result in disproportionate and unforeseen effects. It was a major discovery. Chaos theory is believed by some to rank up there with the theory of relativity and quantum mechanics as three of the biggest scientific revolutions of the 20th century. His research showed prediction of dynamical systems is dependent on an initial condition. He posited the gentle small flap of a butterfly’s wings could be an initial condition that could lead to a massively destructive typhoon on the other side of the globe. That’s not to say weather systems actually work this way, but his point was no meteorologist can accurately predict the weather without first knowing the initial condition of the weather system. When our band would spiral into chaos, it was the result of some initial event; a band member playing too slowly or quickly, off melody, out of tune, or a myriad of other mitigating circumstances. It could have even been the locally brewed Hefeweizen we were drinking or the spicy green curry we sometimes ate before practice at the hole-in-the-wall Thai place down the street.Dynamical systems are complex systems that change over time and are fundamental to chaos theory;  weather systems are just one example. We are surrounded by dynamical systems. Our own bodies are dynamical. Ecosystems, societies, companies, local, state, provincial and national governments, continental regions, and global institutions all exhibit elements of dynamical systems. And like members of a band playing from the same sheet music, they don’t stand on their own in isolation, but instead are connected and bonded through mutual interactions. They influence each other and are in-turn influenced. But complex systems are also self-healing systems. If a single component is removed, the system can carry on. Just as many bands do when they lose a drummer. People who study complex dynamical systems, like Lorenz did, use mathematical models – equations that represent a simplified model of real phenomena – to simulate the behavior of these systems. One such model is called a logistic model. Not to be confused with military or freight logistics, this word was offered by the Belgian mathematician, Pierre François Verhulst in 1845. He presumably chose the word logistic to both contrast and relate it with the more well known term logarithmic which he used to describe a curve that today we’d call an exponential curve – a curve that shows a greater increase in growth over time. A logistic curve appears ‘log-like’ or ‘log-ish’ in its appearance because it starts out looking like an exponential curve but then flattens out over time. Some believe Verhulst merged log with istic the same way we merge simple with istic to form the word simplistic, hence the word logistic. But by now some of you are thinking, “Brad, nothing about this is simplistic and the growth of my confusion is growing exponentially over time. At what point does my confusion level out and become more logistic?” Not yet, I’m afraid.Logistic models can be used to simulate population growth, just as Verhulst was when he discovered it. Human populations around the world are growing exponentially and aren’t expected to level off until 2050 or 2060. Non-linear population growth is hard to fathom. The only compound growth we seem to relate to are our savings accounts. But with disappointingly low interest rates, even those are hard to imagine growing.There’s also the issue of carrying capacity in studying population growth. Limited space and resources impact growth rates. So do viral diseases like COVID-19 – a deadly nonlinear dynamical system that is so dumbfounding that even the most reasoned people refuse to take steps to stunt its growth. Epidemiologists, biologists, demographers, pathologists, economists, and climatologists all use mathematical models, and other elements of chaos theory and complexity science, to find patterns amidst what appears to be random disturbances within these dynamical systems. In the 1980s two scientists expanded on the work of Lorenz’s logistic model. Lord Robert May, a theoretical biologist, and Mitchell Feigenbaum, a theoretical physicist, discovered a way to map variables of the logistic model to create a simple equation that when iterated over time can predictably display chaos. It was a discovery that displaced Newton’s idea that the universe operates like clockwork in an infinitely predictable fashion. A universe that ends in chaos sounds scary. Learning that dynamical systems are mathematically proven to yield chaos makes good ole’ mother earth seem more like a tyrannical erratic witch. The work of the devil. But what May and Feigenbaum discovered, as did the French team of Pierre Collet and Charles Tresser a year later, is there is order to be found in the chaos. They were able to mathematically determine the rate at which predictable patterns of disruption reorganize until the next point of disturbance. The time between these self-healing disturbances become shorter over time leading to what is called ‘the edge of chaos’ — the strange attractor. After which, predictability vanishes into chaos. If I had a recording of our band spinning into chaos learning a new tune, I suspect I could probably predict when we were on the edge of chaos. But while we could all feel those moments of disturbance that returned to a steady state, and even the edge of chaos, there is no way we could have predicted them in the moment. Given the frequency of climate calamities, it sure feels like we’re approaching the edge of chaos, even if we can’t predict when.THE TIPPING POINTThe abrupt change that occurs after the edge of chaos can sometimes be called a tipping point. The Paris Agreement includes a series of legally binding pledges various countries have taken to avoid a climatic tipping point. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), refer to the tipping point like this:“An abrupt change is defined in this report as a change that takes place substantially faster than the rate of change in the recent history of the affected component of a system. In some cases, abrupt change occurs because the system state actually becomes unstable, such that the subsequent rate of change is independent of the forcing. We refer to this class of abrupt change as a tipping point, defined as a critical threshold beyond which a system reorganizes, often abruptly and/or irreversibly.”When you hear reports like this of researchers using models to predict the effects of climate change, many of them are using these same techniques. Building models that more accurately simulate the real world offers better predictions of how long we have between periods of self-stabilization on a potential path to chaos. The good news is improvements in large scale computing power enables nests of multi-variate differential equations to be calculated faster than ever. But some argue the divergence from the historical norm is often so great, that using the past to predict the future may be futile. This graph of the recent Tennessee flood shows the time it took to achieve record flood levels over the last 1000 years. These record rainfalls were measured over a two day period. This area of the state reached a ‘once in a thousand years’ flood of 13 inches in just eight hours. By the end of the second day of measuring, it had peaked at a new record high of 17 inches.We’re in a race between using mathematical models that leverage events of the past to understanding what’s happening to us now, and perhaps the future edge of chaos. But current events are nothing like we find in the past. This makes it all the more necessary and urgent to turn the Paris pledges into American action. Step one is to pass the budget reconciliation bill the Democrats were hashing out this week. It includes most of President Joe Biden’s domestic agenda, including the recent bipartisan infrastructure package out of the Senate. We may have lost Charlie Watts, but our elected officials have a chance to get the beat back. This package includes what is needed for us to meet our end of the Paris Agreement and hopefully return to some kind of climatic stability. If not, we face the edge of climatic chaos – the tipping point. Future generations will look back at this week and either credit us with being sinners or saints. I’m reminded of a Rolling Stones tune Mick Jagger and Keith Richards wrote off of the 1968 album, Beggars Banquet. It’s a song I sang with my buddies one summer nearly a decade after its release called Sympathy for the Devil. Mick sings in the first person as the devil; a metaphor for the historical devilish British behavior as he chronicles throughout the song. But, the mention of the Kennedy’s reveals the sentiment extends overseas to the Yanks as well. The first verse introduces the devil embodied as a stereotypical Christian colonial capitalist. The final verse exits with a vision of a hellish wasteland of chaos the devil is willing to inflict if we don’t do some serious reflecting, repenting, restraining, and repairing. We need to restore the natural earthly rhythms, or else. It goes like this:Please allow me to introduce myselfI'm a man of wealth and tasteI've been around for a long, long yearStole many a man's soul and faithI was 'round when Jesus ChristHad his moment of doubt and painMade damn sure that PilateWashed his hands and sealed his fateJust as every cop is a criminalAnd all the sinners saintsAs heads is tails, just call me Lucifer'Cause I'm in need of some restraintSo if you meet me, have some courtesyHave some sympathy, and some tasteUse all your well-learned politesseOr I'll lay your soul to waste Subscribe at interplace.io

Il matematico Edward Lorenz si chiedeva: può, il batter d'ali di una farfalla, provocare un tornado? Noi ci chiediamo: può, una piccola azione, provocare un cambiamento sociale? Questo è Battiti d'Ali, dal 6 settembre su YouTube e su tutte le piattaforme di podcasting, da Spotify ad Apple Podcast, passando per Google Podcast e Spreaker.Unisciti al canale Telegram ➡️ https://t.me/battitidaliSegui il mio profilo Instagram ➡️ https://www.instagram.com/stefanocazzaro/Segui il mio profilo Facebook ➡️ https://www.facebook.com/SteCazzaro/

The idea that a small often miniscule or even unknowable event can lead to enormous large-scale consequences for millions in distant places is not new. To understand the relevance of Butterfly Effect today, we must first define the current parameters of the humanity's divisive conflict.  In reality, mankind has been fighting the same battle since the beginning of life on earth, namely, who is the boss of whom . . . 

Voilà plus d'un an que la pandémie a rabattu le caquet à nos prétentions. Voilà plus d'un an que tel un éléphant dans un magasin de porcelaine, la pandémie renverse tout sur son passage à commencer par les velléités de croissance de nos sociétés. Voilà plus d'un an que c'est le oaï comme on dit sur la Canebière, plus d'un an que le monde est mis en bière et qu'on ne boit plus une petite mousse au comptoir avant d'aller écouter un concert, d'ailleurs on ne va plus au concert. Comme si cela était la seule cata' de notre monde qui tourne au ralenti quand ce n'est pas sous perfusion.Très vite, le masque, le chacun chez soi, le couvre-feu et même la fermeture des frontières sont devenus la norme. Norme sanitaire et norme dans nos têtes. Chassez le naturel, il revient au galop.« Quand je me regarde, je me désole ; quand je me compare, je me console » clamait le premier ministre québécois Daniel Johnson dans les années 60.Alors entre désolation et consolation, on a ces derniers temps, tout comparé. Le nombre de malades comme celui des personnes déjà vaccinées, le nombre de lits en hôpital et le nombre de morts.Macabre désolation, triste consolation dans un quotidien qui se conjugue à l'imparfait du futur, un temps dont on maitrise mal encore les déclinaisons et les inclinaisons.Alors, à force de tout comparer, on s'est accordé sur un chacun chez soi et Covid pour tous ! Covid pour tous, pas de doute là-dessus. La pandémie est mondiale et ses solutions se devront de l'être, mondiales.Cela fait bientôt 50 ans que le météorologue américain Edward Lorenz nous alerte quant aux conséquences d'un battement d'ailes de papillon au Brésil, quant à sa possible évolution, son éventuelle transformation en tornade au-dessus du Texas. Et l'on ferait comme si de rien n'était. On le sait, nous vivons tous sur la même planète, nos destins, nos futurs, nos devenirs appelez ça comme vous voulez sont liés. Nous ne sortirons pas de la crise, enfermés dans notre citadelle. Nous ne solutionnerons rien qui ne soit global et si ma double négation est un peu trop compliquée, je vous le dirai de manière plus explicite ce n'est qu'ensemble que nous trouverons des réponses à la crise du Covid, comme à celle du réchauffement climatique, comme à celles petites ou grandes qui jour après jour gagnent en intensité car c'est ensemble et séparément que nous faisons avancer le monde depuis toujours. Si le monde de demain est un autre monde, c'est avant tout notre monde à nous tous, ne l'oublions pas, ne faisons pas comme si nous ne savions pas. A demain. See acast.com/privacy for privacy and opt-out information.

In this episode: If you had to choose just one thing for your next step, what would it be? What if a tiny pivot could change your direction and help you finish up the year 2020 strong and heading toward a better life? (Article contains affiliate links. This means that when you click a link and make a purchase, I might receive a small commission from that purchase.) Inspired Life If you could only change one thing in your life, what would you do? I've heard the term “butterfly effect” a few times and didn't understand what it meant until recently. The term "butterfly effect" was coined by meteorologist Edward Lorenz, who discovered in the 1960's that tiny, butterfly-scale changes to the starting point of his computer weather models resulted in anything from sunny skies to violent storms—with no way to predict in advance what the outcome might be. It isn't that butterflies necessarily cause the outcome, but that a tiny change in one place can have a dramatic effect on the future. It could be something as small as the brush of a butterfly wing that could change the scenario enough to eventually set off a weather event, but there was no way of proving it, according to Lorenz. But is there? If you've ever mowed the lawn or plowed a field (I grew up on a farm), you understand how a tiny adjustment of a steering wheel can make your straight line go off in a totally different direction. For example, let's imagine you're traveling a straight line and you make a fraction of a change in your course and then continue once again in a straight line. At first it won't even be perceptible. But when you get miles down the path, you'll see how far off course you've gone. Imagine if this were an airplane or a boat. A tiny adjustment could lead to the wrong destination. You probably know what one bag of chips can do…how one chip can set off a binge. Or how one TV show can lead to a wasted afternoon. But what if we applied that in a good way? What if a tiny adjustment was all it might take to get you going in a better direction? It's a lot like a ripple effect. We're approaching the end of the 3rd quarter of 2020. Many people have called this a dumpster fire of a year. But is it all that bad? What if it's prompting you to make an adjustment that will have a new and better path for you? What if one little change could put you on a better path for 2021 and you're missing it because you're focused on the frustrations of 2020 right now? Let's talk about what sort of changes that would set off a better course for the end of 2020 that would lead to a great 2021. @import url(https://michellerayburn.com/wp-content/plugins/siteorigin-panels/css/front-flex.min.css); #pgc-w5f62e726bd9bb-0-0 { width:100%;width:calc(100% - ( 0 * 40px ) ) } #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0 , #pl-w5f62e726bd9bb .so-panel , #pl-w5f62e726bd9bb .so-panel:last-child { margin-bottom:0px } #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0.panel-no-style, #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0.panel-has-style > .panel-row-style { -webkit-align-items:flex-start;align-items:flex-start } #panel-w5f62e726bd9bb-0-0-0> .panel-widget-style { padding:0px 20px 0px 20px } @media (max-width:780px){ #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0.panel-no-style, #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0.panel-has-style > .panel-row-style { -webkit-flex-direction:column;-ms-flex-direction:column;flex-direction:column } #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0 > .panel-grid-cell , #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0 > .panel-row-style > .panel-grid-cell { width:100%;margin-right:0 } #pg-w5f62e726bd9bb-0 { margin-bottom:px } #pl-w5f62e726bd9bb .panel-grid-cell { padding:0 } #pl-w5f62e726bd9bb .panel-grid .panel-grid-cell-empty { display:none } #pl-w5f62e726bd9bb .panel-grid .panel-grid-cell-mobile-last { margin-bottom:0px } #panel-w5f62e726bd9bb-0-0-0> .panel-widget-style { padding:10px 10px 10px 10px } } Life, Repurposed Could one of these small adjustments change your course for the rest of this year and into next? What if you got up 10 minutes earlier every day? What chain of events would that set off in your life?

Un honor formar parte de la emisión 3000 de uno de mis programas favoritos. Las genias de Daina Rodrgiuez y Carolina Molla llevando adelante la nave de la cultura. EFECTO MARIPOSA RADIO URUGUAY 1050 AM 20-08-2020

Transcript —– The Wrong Words – a 100 word story There was a moment of awkward silence. All words stoped on their tracks, confused. Someone must have said something that lead to this, but no one knew what, no one seemed to remember. People were staring into each other’s faces in uncertainty. They were unsure about where to go from there until someone suggested pizza. It worked. Pizza was always a solution for moments like that. When the delivery guy came, he found a party without words, but with unsatiated hunger. Food made way to words and the party was continued as usual, until someone said the wrong thing again. —– Hi there and thanks for stopping by. I’m Guy, and you’re listening to my surreal sketchbook of reality. —– Episode 30, Pizza Was Always a Solution Wildcards and the butterfly effect can have a surprising influence on the future. This episode Is a semi-philosophical look at wildcards and the butterfly effect. I’m not a professional philosopher by any means and my approach can be quite absurd, illogical, and not at all that serious, so – you’ve been warned. Do not take this podcast too seriously. If you tend to take things too seriously, this might not be the podcast for you. Seriously. I mean it. Find another podcast to listen to. You’re still here? Good. Let’s talk about wildcards and the butterfly effect. It is said that you can study the probable possibilities of how the future will be, by following technological trends, seeing how they reflect on society and how people use technology. Two of the things that can throw a wrench on the wheels of those predictions are wildcards and the butterfly effect. Wildcards in future studies are unexpected events that take us by surprise and have unforeseen effects on our future before they happen, like the terrorist attack on New-York in 2001 and the pandemic of 2020. Wildcards change the world in ways that cannot be predicted by simply following technological trends. Take the terrorist attack, for example. Before the attack, society, in general, seemed to be on the road of enhanced tolerance and acceptance of others. The attack seems to have changed that trend and now our society became more paranoia driven. Surveillance has become a norm for governments and information is not as free as it used to be, while tolerance towards the other seems to be going down. That’s the power of wildcards to change the world. I’ll have to turn a few cards and see what’s in my deck. I’ll be right back. —– Hacked Brain – a 100 word story The hucker read the contents of the mind. The brain owner didn’t suspect a thing. Memory storage was always the easiest to decipher. It was the more abstract side of the brain that always proved to be more problematic, the part that stored emotions and sensations, things like that, but the hacker had a specialized program just for that. Another problem was getting close enough, within wifi range. He had to rent an apartment on an adjacent building, but he could always do that under a false name. In the end, his clients always paid good money for the information. —– Welcome back. Sometimes a wildcard can be created by a butterfly effect. In 1963 a mathematician and meteorologist called Edward Lorenz published a paper called “Deterministic Nonperiodic Flow” in the Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences. This article became the foundation of Chaos Theory. In December 1972, during the 139th meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Edward Lorenz posed the following question: “Does the flap of a butterfly’s wings in Brazil set off a tornado in Texas?” The idea this question highlights is that tiny changes in data can over time cause big changes in output. The change is not immediate and takes time, sometimes months or even years. This can make predictions of natural phenomena, from weather to the evolution of life, hard to predict. DNA can be seen as such input data, the blueprint of a living organism. The genetic make of a DNA strand is one of the things that are prone to change and that change can sometimes cause a butterfly effect, leading to completely new species. Many things can change DNA strands, things like radiation, and simple mistakes in the copying of DNA done naturally within a living organism during and after fertilization. When we have such a mutation of DNA leading to a new species of, let’s say, a virus, it can be the cause of a new pandemic. In that way, a small change in DNA can create a butterfly effect that changes the future in unpredictable ways. Wildcards and the butterfly effect are two things that propel our future into the unknown. They make predicting the future into a less accurate of a science. In that way, they can make things more interesting, but interesting is not always equal to positive. The phrase “May you live in interesting times” might actually be a curse for all we know. This concludes episode 30 of this podcast. Close the door on your way out and don’t forget – I’m just a figment of your imagination. —–

Audio Transcript: Hello, welcome to the Mosaic Boston Brookline, our online worship experience week, I've lost track. Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, whatever time you're watching. We're so glad that you tuned in. Today we are continuing our sermon series through the phenomenal book of Ruth. One of the things I've been meditating on regarding preaching is in the preaching process, it feels like cooking. God often compares God's word to food, be it bread or spiritual manna or honey, and one of the challenges of preaching into a camera is I'm cooking and I don't see you eating, and that's part of the joy of cooking is seeing people enjoying the meal. However, people have been writing and people have been messaging us that God's word has been impacting them. It's been changing them, it's for nourishing them, and we are so thankful for that. God's word is powerful and God's word does nourish our souls and this is what God's word does.God's word is a feast presented to us. When we come humbly before him, we get satisfied. It doesn't just feed us. It also transforms us to be the best versions of what we are, what we're designed to be by God. And there's something about nutrition where if you eat correctly, you absorb the nutrients, etc. However, when you train, when you put your body under pressure for time and pressure and then you eat, actually you get more of the protein, more of the nutrient, there's something like that that goes on with God's word in a time of pressure that when we are going through suffering, when we are going through difficulty or hardship, and we eat God's word, it builds us up fortifies us. It makes us stronger. Diamonds are formed under heat and pressure over time. And that's what we see happening with our community and that's what I pray happens with you as well.So feast on God's word today. Today we're in Ruth chapter two. And if you are new to the book of Ruth, one of the things that you realize is it's a literary masterpiece. It's one of the most profound works of literature in all of the history of the world. And it reads in four parts like a Shakespearean play and today we are in the second part. The context is that Ruth and Naomi, Naomi is Ruth's mother-in-law. They returned from Moab. They had a really difficult time in Moab and they returned to Bethlehem because they heard that God had removed his hand of rebuke and the famine is gone and the house of bread has been restocked. Ruth has been hopeful. She has developed a new faith in the Lord. Naomi on the other hand, has grown bitter against God's hand of affliction.She actually tells everyone in Bethlehem, don't call me Naomi, which means sweet, call me Mara, which means bitter and perhaps in the season you're going back and forth between Naomi and Mara. On the one hand you rejoiced to see what the Lord is doing. On the other hand, you're bitter at the negative consequences and this is where Naomi is and she says, "It's exceedingly bitter to me. The Lord has gone out against me." She recognizes God's sovereign hand in the difficulty. It might not be directly from God, but it certainly passes through his hand. She says, "For the almighty has dealt very bitterly with me. I went away full and the Lord has brought me back empty the almighty." She says, "Has brought calamity upon me," and she doesn't realize the blessings that God has sent to sustain her in this difficult time. And that's Ruth.Ruth has incredible blessing to Naomi and God blesses Naomi through Ruth. And Naomi also doesn't know that God is in the details. God is behind the scenes, God is working. She doesn't know that God has preserved a kinsman Redeemer. And we'll get into that from Naomi's husband who will ultimately Mary Ruth and preserve Naomi's life and name. So Ruth and Naomi, they arrive in Bethlehem at the time of the barley harvest. That was the last verse of chapter one and this coincidentally was towards the end of April. And that's where we find ourselves. But there's no such thing as coincidence with God. It's always Providence. So would you look at a text with me today where in Ruth chapter two verses one through seven to begin with, and we'll read the rest of the text during the sermon. Ruth chapter two verse one "Now, Naomi had a relative of her husband's, a worthy man of the clan of Elimelech whose name was Boaz.And Ruth the Moabite said to Naomi, let me go to the field and glean among the ears of grain after him in whose sight I shall find favor. And she said to her, go my daughter. So she set out and went and gleaned in the field after the reapers and she happened to come to the part of the field belonging to Boaz who was of the clan of Elimelech. And behold, Boaz came from Bethlehem and he said to the reapers, the Lord be with you. And then answered the Lord, bless you. Then Boaz said to his young man who was in charge of the reapers, whose young woman is this? And the servant who was in charge of the reapers answered, she's the young Moabite woman who came back with Naomi from the country of Moab. She said, please let me glean and gather among the sheaves after the reapers so she came and she has continued from early morning until now, except for a short rest."This is the reading of God's Holy and infallible, authoritative word. May he write these eternal truths upon our hearts. Five points to frame up our time together, grow in truth, grow in sensitivity to Providence, grow in capacity to bless, grow in humility to receive and grow in faith and works. The title is sermons grow in grace, and these are the five steps that we can glean from this text in order to grow in grace. So first of all, grow in true worth. Perhaps some of you have taken an economic hit. You're worried about your net worth with this whole Corona epidemic. Well, there's something more valuable and more important than a net worth. It's a true worth, a true worth from the perspective of God. And Boaz is here characterized as a worthy man, worthy, not just in terms of wealth.He wasn't just a wealthy man, he was a man of God. And the Yiddish, there's a word for a man like this. It's the word Manch. And this is exactly what Boaz was. He's wealthy, yes. He's built up a business, yes. He's worked hard, yes. He's been diligent, yes, but he's also got a great reputation. People around him love him. He's been adding value to everybody around him. He's been building everyone up around him, not just himself. God has blessed him and he has been a blessing to others, which is rare in Bethlehem at this time to find a worthy man. The book proceeding, the book of Ruth is the book of Judges. And the book of Judges there's two little episodes bookends about the town of Bethlehem. The first one is a story about the grandson of Moses who leaves Bethlehem and then leads the Danites in idolatry.And the second time that we see Bethlehem mentioned in the book of Judges is really sordid story, a tragic story about a concubine from Bethlehem. And what happened with her actually resulted in civil war in Israel and led to almost obliteration of the whole tribe of Benjamin. So this is unique to see a man from Bethlehem who is a worthy man, a godly man, a righteous man, a man who cares about the people around him, a man who uses his strength to bless others, to protect others, to provide for others. May God send more men like Boaz, like this guy. He adds value wherever he goes. His name literally means strength or Valor or warrior. And this is fascinating because Ruth's former husband, the name of the Hebrew means frail or sickly. And now we meet Boaz who is a warrior of man of God.He's a man of wherewithal, despite hardship during a famine. He capitalized on the situation, perhaps bought up some more real estate and actually got into the farming business, the barley business, and he's doing really well for himself. He's older in years. Ruth at this time is probably late twenties, early thirties and Boaz considers her a young woman. So there was an age gap. Perhaps he's in his late forties or mid fifties. We're not sure. We're not told he's not married. We're not sure why he isn't married. Most likely it's because God has been saying, "No, it's not time. Focus on the duties that I have for you. Focus on my will for you. The time will come." And there's lessons here that we can apply to ourselves. So Ruth wakes up they just moved to Bethlehem. She wakes up in the morning and she's looking for a way to provide for Naomi and for herself.And she knows, and perhaps Naomi taught her about the laws of Moses and Leviticus. The laws about gleaning God had included in the law provision for the immigrants, for widows, for orphans. And he did that by stipulating the harvesters must leave grain on the edges of the field and that farmers can't pick up the ears of grain that they drop. This is fascinating and we can glean from this theology of God's view of the economy, that God means to provide for people through work and through the blessing of other people. It's a redeemed view of capitalism, of industry, of work where people in need could come and they weren't just given handouts. They weren't just given social services or this wasn't just a soup kitchen. They were provided with meaningful work and the crucial difference between this and a handout was they did have to work and it was hard work and it was hot work.It was almost as if you compare it to today, it was like trying to subsist on collecting cans and bottles and recycling them, but it was enough to meet a means. And I just want to pause here and mentioned that God has been doing this throughout ages through the church. We see this in the book of acts and the very beginning that the church met one another's needs and we've been seeing this during the crisis. I want to thank everybody in the community who has been generously, sacrificially contributing to the COVID-19 fund. Your funds have paid for rent, they've put food on tables, they've paid for medical bills. Thank you so much, and may God bless you abundantly. So we see that God does care. He's got a heart in particular for the disenfranchised, particularly the weak and those on the fringes of society.And he writes into his law provision for the widow, the orphan, and the immigrant. And we see that Ruth qualifies on two accounts. She is an immigrant and she's from a different people and she is a widow and she is a worthy person as well. We'll deal more with her in chapter three that she too is a worthy woman. She is a Proverbs 31 woman and what's fascinating is in the Hebrew Bible, the book of Proverbs ends with chapter 31 and very next book in the Hebrew Bible is Ruth. She is a Proverbs 31 woman. She's the epitome of a godly worthy woman. It's lesson here is grow in true worth as defined by God. Second, grow in sensitivity to God's Providence to Providence. This is Ruth 2:3, "So she set out and went and gleaned in the field after the reapers and she happened to come to the part of the field belonging to Boaz who was of the clan of Elimelech."So we hear that Boaz was Ruth's husbands, distant relative, and that's repeated again in the text, meaning he qualifies to be a kinsman Redeemer. We dealt with this last week and we'll deal a little more with this next week, but the kinsman Redeemer, the job was to keep the name of his relative going and you do that by marrying the widow of your relative. What's fascinating here is that in the text, this is emphasized that he's from the clan of Elimelech. It's emphasized because to the original audience, this detail queues that we are now in a romantic scene. It's as if the lights are cued and the music is queued, and now we're in a love story of developing a love story. Now for us, this little detail about Boaz being a relative of Naomi or of Ruth's husband, it doesn't cue romance for us unless you're perhaps from Alabama or Mississippi.Just kidding, but it did for them. For them, they realize, "Oh wow, there's hope for Ruth. There's hope for Naomi," and what the original readers immediately recognized is, "Wow, there's something going on behind the scenes. There's director guiding the events behind the scenes." And this phrase that she happened to come... in the Hebrew it literally says her chance chanced upon this as it turned out, as luck would have it. What a stroke of fortune that Ruth, it just so happened that she moves with Naomi to Bethlehem. It just so happened that they needed food. It just so happened that she woke up with a desire to work. It just so happened that she went to a field. It just so happened that she went to the field of Boaz who is single and he's wealthy and he's a worthy man and he loves God and he's literally the most eligible bachelor in Bethlehem and it just so happened that Ruth goes to his field and what the text is emphasizing is this is not happenstance.This is not coincidence. This is not circumstance. It's not chance. This is Providence. This wasn't serendipity. This was God's Providence. It's not just a happy convergence of events. It's an orchestration of events that God himself is orchestrating every single one of these details. Sometimes God works through his visible hand of miracles. More often than not, he works through his invisible hand of Providence. And the lesson I want to draw out here is that we need to develop a sensitivity to God's Providence. We need to look at events happening in our lives and learn to discern God's hand behind the scenes. And one of the ways we do this is by studying Holy scripture and by recognizing God's hand of Providence and Holy scripture. And then you begin to see that same hand, the same fingerprints in your life. I'll just give you a couple examples of the story of Esther. Tremendous story of a girl that goes from a nobody to a queen and she's put in a position of influence and power for a time such as this in order for God to use her to redeem his people.The story of Joseph, he goes from being sold into slavery, from jail, from captivity to becoming the CEO of Egypt. And when his brothers came to visit him, this is what he said. "You meant this for evil, but God, he meant it for good. God sent me ahead of you down to Egypt." Do we see God speak in this story? Did we see angels coming from heaven? Do we see a burning Bush? No. Ruth woke up. There was no angel. There was no prophetic word. There was no burning Bush. She woke up with a desire to do her duty, which was to provide for herself and for her mother-in-law, and God used that moment. We are to learn to see God's hand both in suffering and blessing. In suffering, Naomi saw God's hand and she said, in Ruth 1:13, "It's exceedingly bitter to me for your sake, that the hand of the Lord has gone out against me."In Ruth 1: 20-21 she said, "Don't call me Naomi. Call me Mara for the almighty has dealt very bitterly with me. I went away full and the Lord has brought me back empty. Why call me Naomi when the Lord has testified against me and the almighty has brought calamity upon me?" She saw God's providential hand in that. But we are to also see God's providential hand in blessing and God does a blessing. And here he's beginning to bless. I've been meditating on this idea of God's hiddenness, God's at work and every single detail in our lives, but he often remains anonymous and there's incredible humility in that. When you recognize who God is, he created everything by the power of his word and humbly stands behind the scenes and we have to develop a sensitivity and when we begin to see his hand at work, we can glorify him for his greatness.There's many of you perhaps in quarantine have been watching more television or Netflix or whatever than usual. There's a way to watch a movie or a show where you just experience the story as it's presented to you and you're just there. You're just consuming. But there's another way to watch. You can watch the movie or the show as a producer and then you start thinking about all of the decisions that are made behind scenes, about the camera angles and about the script and about the plot as it's developed. And this is what I'm talking about when I say you got to develop a sensitivity to God's Providence, and this is where pride gets in the way. Pride makes us the primary character of the story, and we're so absorbed by our own life that we can't see the hand of God's Providence and this is what the gospel does, it humbles us and then we begin to see God at work all around us.You begin to see how meaningful your life is that every detail in your life is supercharged with significance. Ruth makes a freewill choice to go to this particular field and God uses her freewill. He uses her decision in his plan and as the ultimate matchmaker brings her together with Boaz. Edward Lorenz about 50 years ago. He's a mathematician and meteorologist. He developed computer models in order to map and predict weather patterns and actually that work was a major contribution to chaos theory. This is really fascinating. If you have time to do read up on this. He discovered that when he ran data on a very, very rudimentary computer and when he ran data... he ran a few data sets and one of the data sets he ran with a number 0.506127 he ran a second one of these tests and he rounded off by accident that number 2.506 so just cuts out 0.000127 and he realized that after about a month those two data sets led to radically different weather patterns.And one of the things that he drew out of this was that miniscule statistically insignificant variables lead to massive difference in weather outcomes. And he coined the phrase the butterfly effect and I'm sure you heard of the butterfly effect and he said that a butterfly in Brazil could cause a tornado in Texas. The tiniest details in our lives have seismic implications. Scripture says that God has a book with our lives. Our lives are detailed in that book and every single one of our days is ordained before us as yet one of them has come to be. So don't worry. Give the weight of tomorrow to God. Jesus says, "Do not be anxious about anything today, has enough problems, let tomorrow worry about itself." That's a lesson we can draw from it. The other lesson is Ruth focused on her duty. She prayed and then she acted, and my question is where in your life in terms of your obedience to the Lord are you leaving out the 0.506127?Tiny little details if you fix them, if you turn to the Lord in those areas of your life, it can have a dramatic effect. Three is grow in capacity to bless. Ruth 2:4, "And behold, Boaz came from Bethlehem and he said to the reapers, the Lord be with you, and they answered the Lord. Bless you." And we see in this one interaction, we see how amazing this guy Boaz is. Imagine if your boss walks into work back when we go back to work. When your boss walks in and says, "God bless you. Oh my dear employees, I love you so much. May you starts benedicting them in the grace of our Lord Jesus Christ, God." Etc. But he does that. He's created this really happy, healthy work environment where his employees respect him and honor him and he treats them fairly.He was a pious man. He was a godly man. If you want to see how healthy a person's relationship is with God, look at the details. Look how much the gospel of the Lord Jesus Christ, the grace of God has saturated the practical details of life, including work relationships. How did Boaz get here? He grew in his capacity to bless. We don't know how he developed his business. We don't know how big his business was, but it's large enough so that he can help others put food on the table. He's grown in a capacity to bless materially and spiritually. Verse eight "Then Boaz said to Ruth, now listen, my daughter do not go to glean in another field or leave this one, but keep close to my young women." So he's asked the question, who is this young lady? He's come from Bethlehem.He goes to this field, he immediately notices Ruth and he already knows about her. In a small town everyone knows your business as well as you know your business and he asks about her and then he talks to her. Verse nine, "Let your eyes be on the field that you are reaping. Go after them. Have I not charged the young men not to touch you? And when you are thirsty, go to the vessels and drink what the young men have drawn and she fell on her face, bowing to the ground and said to him, why have I found favor in your eyes that you should take notice of me since I am a foreigner? But Boaz answered to her all that you have done for your mother-in-law since the death of your husband has been fully told to me and how you left your father and your mother and your native land and came to a people that you did not know before. The Lord repay you for what you have done and a full reward be given you by the Lord, the God of Israel under whose wings you have come to take refuge."Then she said, "I found favor in your eyes. My Lord for you have comforted me and spoken kindly to your servant though I am not one of your servants." If you watch romantic comedies, I do not, but I've learned that apparently in romantic comedy is there's a plot device called a meet cute, meet cute and it's used to introduce characters in how they meet one another. It's the moment of character meets another character and there's a romantic spark. They bump into each other ice skating or someone drops a pen, they hand it to this other person and there's a spark of chemistry. Mistaken package delivered. You bring it to the other person.All of a sudden sparks fly. This is what's going on with Ruth and Boaz. This is the very moment they meet. In any couple... a married couple like when you get to know a married couple what's the first question you ask? How'd you guys meet? And for some reason the beginning infuses the whole relationship with meaning and that's why although meeting online apparently is a thing no one wants to say, "We met online, we met on bagel and coffee or whatever that," but for them this was meaningful and we see that Boaz noticed her. Why did he notice her? Does she look her best? Obviously not. She's farming, but that's not what caught his attention as a man of worth who is concerned for his own character. Before even seeing her, he's heard of her reputation of her character and even here we see that she's humble and she's grateful.She uses the word favor twice and she begins the text by telling Naomi, I'm going to go find a field. Perhaps I'll find favor. The word favor means grace. There's no entitlement. There's no pride. She doesn't believe that anyone has to give her something. She doesn't believe she deserves anything from anyone. And she says, "I found favor in your eyes." Humility and gratefulness. Recipe for happiness. She's not looking for a handout. She's a hard worker. She's honest and he's attracted to her faith. I've heard that you believe in God. I've heard that you are faithful to God and you're faithful to Naomi. You're faithful to your people. He's recognized the sacrifices she's made. You love the people around you through sacrifice. And that right there is what he notices. So he tells her, don't glean anywhere else. This is verse eight he says, "Don't go to any other fields." In a lawless society, this is a big deal.She didn't have any protection, doesn't have body guards, she doesn't have someone to look over her. So Boaz says, "I'm taking you into the community, I'm welcoming you in. I'm giving you my hedge of protection." He's providing, he's protecting and he speaks God's word into her life. So he's also pastoring. One commentator says that Boaz is here by instituting the first anti sexual harassment policy in the workplace, recorded in the Bible. He's not a chauvinist. He's chivalrous. He treats her not like an immigrant. He treats her not like a foreigner. He treats her like family. And that's part of what it means to be a worthy person. And this is what it means to be a Christian. God said, "Love your neighbor as yourself as much as you love yourself." That's how much you are to love your neighbor, meaning treat your neighbors like family.He, says, "Help yourself to water." He gives her food and generously, verse 12 she says, "The Lord repay you for what you have done." This is what he says to her. "The Lord repay you for what you have done in a full reward. Be given you by the Lord, the God of Israel. Under whose wings you've come to take refuge." He says, you've come to Israel, you've come into close proximity to God. You're taking refuge in God's shadow. May God bless you for that and this is fascinating and he talks about reward. May God give you a reward for taking refuge under his wings. What does this mean? Does that mean this is like a paycheck or like a salary? Like God pays you for taking refuge in him? No, that's not how this works and this is why the imagery of the Eagle is so important here.God doesn't have employees. God has children so God doesn't give paychecks. He gives gifts. And this is why the imagery is so important. He says, "God is like a Papa eagle." It's a father Eagle and Ruth is like a little eaglet coming into safety under daddy's wing. And may God reward you with gifts. I love this imagery so much. I've been blessed with kids. My daughter Sophia, she loves reading. And with the whole quarantine library's been closed, she's been really blessed with a Kindle. She asked a long time ago, she said, "Dad, I want a Kindle. How can I get a Kindle? Can I get paid to wash the dishes?" And I said, "No." There's a rule in our household. There's no financial transaction for work. I'm not going to pay you for what you're supposed to do, so start washing... We are to help around the house.But you want to Kindle? Yeah, I'll give it to you as a gift. That's how it works. Do your duty and God gives gifts. That's how this works. Psalm 57:1 "A Miktam of David when he fled from Saul in the cave, be merciful to me. Oh God, be merciful to me. For in you, my soul takes refuge in the shadow of your wings. I will take refuge till the storms of destruction pass by." And I want to emphasize the word for. Be merciful to me Oh God, for because in your shadow... my soul takes refuge in you, in the shadow of your wings. God, be merciful to me because I've seen in you the source of ultimate security. Be merciful to me because you are great and you are good. And that's so different than how we often come to the Lord.We often come to the Lord and say, "Lord, be merciful to me. Send me blessings because I have been good." That's workspace righteousness, workspace salvation. We come to God, appealing to our own goodness. God bless me because I've been good. And the Psalmist says, "Lord bless me because you are good, Lord you are merciful. You are the great God of the universe." And when you come to God like this, humbly not appealing to your own righteousness, but to his goodness, he can't but bless you because he is great, because he is good, because he is merciful. We appeal to his goodness, not our own, and Ruth recognized that she hasn't earned anything before God. She hasn't earned anything from Boaz. Everything is grace, and she honors him for his generosity and she takes refuge in his generosity and the lesson here is that we are to take refuge in the generosity of our savior.And this is the message of the gospel. Even in the old Testament as well as the new Testament, God will have mercy on anybody, a Palestinian or an Israeli or a Moabite or an American. Anybody. Anybody who humbles himself, like Ruth says, "Lord have mercy on me. Not because I'm good, I'm not, but because you are good, you're the great God of the universe." This is the same language that Jesus used when he was talking about the hard-hearted Pharisees in Matthew 23:37 he says, "Oh, Jerusalem, Jerusalem, the city that kills the prophets and stones, those who are sent to it. How often would I have gathered your children together as a hen gathers her brood under her wings and you were not willing!" All the Pharisees had to do was turn from their self righteousness from their self justification. I take refuge in Jesus Christ, take refuge in the grace of God, so I wonder, are you viewing your relationship with God as an employee boss relationship? Or God, this is what I'll do and this is what I expect.Or do you view your relationship with God as an eaglet coming to a Papa eagle and they're completely different. God's looking not for employees, but he's looking for people who will take refuge under his wings. Ruth 2:13 then she said, "I found favor in your eyes, my Lord for you have comforted me and spoken kindly to your servant though I'm not one of your servants." She calls him Lord, so she's giving him respect. There's a toughness to him. He's strong, but then she says, "You've comforted me." You've spoken kindly to him. Boaz is both tough and tender. He's strong and sensitive.In Ruth 2:14-16 we see the generosity of Boaz emphasized again, "And at mealtime Boaz said to her, come here and eat some bread and dip your morsel in the wine. So she sat beside the reapers and he passed to her roasted grain and she ate until she was satisfied and she had some leftover. Then she Rose to glean and Boaz instructed his young men saying, let her glean even among the sheaves, do not reproach her and also pull out some from the bundles for her and leave it for her to glean and do not rebuke her." Boaz is a man of action. He likes Ruth and he immediately acts with wisdom and there's strategy here and I just want to pause right now and explain the strategy. This tact. He's very tactful. Perhaps you've heard of the adage that the way to a man's heart is through the stomach. Well, I think that applies to everybody and Boaz knows that the way to Ruth's heart is also perhaps through yes, generosity, but a throw, nice meal.Come, let's have a nice meal. Let's have some carbs, a little bread. Little roasted grain. Never had roasted grain, but that sounds delicious. A little wine. Let's strengthen ourselves, enjoy the community and enjoy the fellowship and then go back to work. In the ancient East. This was more significant than it is today. Today to have a meal together, a cup of coffee or lunch. Yeah. It's meaningful in the ancient East to welcome someone to your table is to welcome them into your life. It's to approve of them. It's to accept them is to say, "I want to walk this walk with you. I want to live life with you." The fact that Boaz ate with his people tells us a lot about him. The fact that he is so generous to Ruth by giving her water and a meal tells us even more and then he goes on and he says to his guys, "Let her work. And also I want you to toss grain out."And what he's saying is I don't want just to fulfill the law of Leviticus. I don't want to just not completely maximize my profits. I want to actually lose money. I am intentionally losing money to bless this person and we see radical generosity. He's going above and beyond the law and he's saying, "I don't want to just fulfill the law. I want to give grace and I want to give grace upon grace, upon grace and this kind of generosity, this kind of kindness, this reveals the heart of Boaz and it reveals the heart of God. Generosity does take finances. This is important lesson the scripture does teach us. And Ephesians 4:28 says, "Let the thief no longer steal, but rather let him labor doing honest work with his own hands so that he may have something to share with anyone in need." God says, "Don't just work to provide for your own needs and the needs of your family, but work to have a little leftover so that you can be generous." And this is how we grow in our capacity to bless. 1 Peter 4:9 "Show hospitality to one another without grumbling." I can't wait for the quarantine to be over to start showing hospitality again.Ruth 2:17-23, "So she gleaned in the field until evening and she beat out what she had gleaned and it was about an ephah of barley and she took it up and went to the city. Her mother-in-law saw where she had gleaned. She also brought out and gave her what food she had left over after being satisfied. And her mother in law said, where did you glean today and where have you worked? Blessed be the man who took notice of you.""So she told her mother-in-law with whom she worked and said, the man's name with whom I worked today is Boaz, and Naomi said to her daughter in law, may he be blessed by the Lord whose kindness has not forsaken the living or the dead. Naomi also said to her, the man is a close relative of ours, one of our redeemers and Ruth the Moabite said, besides, he said to me, you shall keep close by my young men until they have finished all my harvest. Naomi said to Ruth, her daughter-in-law, it is good, my daughter, that you go out with his young women less than another field, you be assaulted. So she kept close to the young women of Boaz, gleaning until the end of the barley and wheat harvest and she lived with her mother-in-law."We see Boaz as a worthy man. We see Boaz as a man sensitive to the Providence of God. We Boaz as a man who has been increasing his capacity of blessing. We see the same in Ruth that she has increased her capacity of blessed through her industry and hard work. Four is grow in humility to receive. This is Ruth 2:17, "So she gleaned in the field until evening and she beat out what she had gleaned and it was about an ephah of barley." She worked all day and at the end of the day she even ground the barley, meaning she takes the opportunity that God gives her and she runs with it. She gleans everything that she can possibly glean 12 times the word glean is used in the chapter that to emphasize the fact that she wasn't too proud to stoop down and pick up what God is giving her and there's such incredible lesson here.That God gives more to those who are willing to be faithful with what he has already given. God gives her a little bit and then blesses it and multiplies it. Sometimes we miss out on so many of God's blessings because we're too proud. We pray. God give me a field. God give me a huge harvest and God says, "Hold on. Before we talk and start talking about real estate deals. How about you take what I'm already giving you? I'm providing for your needs."We see incredible humility that then leads to more and more blessing. It's humility to receive what God is giving you. Now, do you have that humility? Are you humble enough to receive what the Lord gives now and the ephah is about 29 pounds. She got 29 pounds of grain. This is a ton. Probably her biggest problem at the end of the day was figuring out how to carry this thing home in one day. She makes enough to feed her and Naomi for about two weeks and then Boaz said, "You can, you can keep doing this every day until the end of the barley harvest season." That's about seven weeks, so meaning in seven weeks, if she got as much as she got in the first day, she'd have enough food for a full year. Verse 20, "Naomi said to her daughter-in-law, May he be blessed by the Lord whose kindness has not forsaken the living or the dead! Naomi also said to her, The man is the close relative of ours, one of our redeemers."The word Redeemer... and we talked about this last week and we'll talk about this more next week. It's used over 20 times in this book. It's the kinsman Redeemer redeem. What it talks about in the mosaic law and the law of Leviticus and Deuteronomy, that a near relative becomes responsible for the economic welfare of a family when that family is in distress. So if the family is in debt, the kinsman Redeemer pays off that debt. If the family had to sell themselves into slavery to pay off a debt that kinsman redeemer pays off the debt and then also redeems them from slavery. He's responsible to maintain wholeness and security and the welfare of the family. And this is a hint of the gospel that God provides Ruth a Redeemer.And through Ruth he provided a Redeemer for all of Israel in King David and through David, God provided a Redeemer for all of humanity in the King of Kings, our Lord and savior Jesus Christ. And God defines love as sacrifice. Boaz sacrifices Ruth sacrifices. And that's the show is that true love sacrifices. The God so loved the world that he gave his one and only son so that whosoever believes in him should not perish, but should have everlasting life. The gospel is that you and I, we are Ruth. We are pagans and idolaters and sinners and rebels, and we come from the wrong background and we come from the wrong pedigree and we come to the Lord empty handed and needy and the Lord Jesus, he's our Boaz. He comes, he redeems, he provides, he protects and he pastors are weary souls. And the same way that Boaz doesn't just fulfill the law in providing for Ruth, he goes above and beyond and gives her grace upon grace.And scripture says that Jesus Christ comes and he is full of truth and grace and from his fullness, we have received grace upon grace, not just the law. We found favor now in the eyes of God. He delights in us in the same way that Boaz delights in Ruth. 2 Corinthians 8:9, "For you know the grace of our Lord Jesus Christ, that though he was rich, yet for your sake, he became poor so that you by his poverty may become rich." God who gave us his son, who gave us his best. This is a God whom we can trust with the rest. He's provided for our greatest need. Obviously he'll provide for our lesser needs. What's fascinating is that God isn't just the director of the story talks about God's hand of Providence. He's behind the scenes. He's not just the director. God writes himself into the story. He puts himself front and center. He becomes the main character of his own story in order to redeem us and in that story, what do we do with God? We killed him.And he allowed that to happen, to provide a way to kill our pride, to kill our sin, to kill our rebellion, and then offer us the riches of his grace. This is how I think of grace. I think of grace as an acronym. It's God's riches at Christ's expense. I like that. God's riches at Christ's expense. Grace is free because someone paid for it. That someone is Jesus Christ. Point five is grow in faith and works. We see this in both Boaz and we see this in Ruth that they believe and they pray, but then they also act and they also act it to answer their own prayers, so to speak, and we see this incredible intertwining of God's sovereignty and human responsibility, faith and works.You believe and you do. What's fascinating about Boaz is he's a wealthy man and he lived a very spiritually, apostate, morally corrupt environment, but he still by faith kept a relationship with God in a place where it's really hard to be faithful to God. On top of that, Boaz doesn't come from a great spiritual pedigree. Who is Boaz's mum? Bible trivia. If you get this right, you get a chicken wing right now. If you answer, type it in the comments section, Facebook go. Boaz's mum. Boaz's mum, her name is given to us in the genealogy of Jesus Christ.In Matthew 1 genealogy of the King of Kings, Matthew 1:1-6, "The book of the genealogy of Jesus Christ, the son of David, the son of Abraham. Abraham was the father of Isaac. Isaac, the father of Jacob and Jacob, the father of Judah and his brothers and Judah, the father of Perez and Zerah by Tamar and Perez the father of Hezron, and Hezron the father of Ram and Ram, the father of Amminadab, Amminadab, the father of Nahshon and Nahshon the father of Salmon and Salmon the father of Boaz by Rahab, and Boaz the father of Obed by Ruth, and Obed the father of Jesse, and Jesse the father of David the King." From the story Rahab, Rahab was a former prostitute. Remember the story of Jericho that she hid the spies from Israel and then her whole family was saved.Rahab was Boaz's mom. Boaz doesn't come from a great spiritual pedigree, but nevertheless he believed in God and when you believe in God, when you believe in God's redemptive grace, your past does not dictate your future. Grace changes that, you're on one trajectory. This is where repentance does. It turns you from that trajectory and now you're a completely different trajectory. You're on a trajectory of blessing and Ruth was a poor Moabite woman, extremely vulnerable. She too overcame her circumstance, overcame her past with faith in God believed and they acted on that faith. They believed that God is true. His word is true. His will is good, and then they align their life with his will and it completely changed everything. They planned and the Lord established. We plan and the Lord establish and we believe the Lord establishes our works.Verse 12 and Boaz says, "The Lord repay you for what you have done. A full reward given you by the Lord, the God of Israel under whose wings you've come to take refuge!" This is a prayer. He's praying for her. May God bless you. May God provide refuge for you and Boaz becomes the answer to Boaz's prayer. We see an incredible intersection of faith and work. Sometimes prayer moves the hand of God and sometimes prayer changes our hearts and we see something similar on the cross where Jesus Christ on the cross has been crucified. He says, "Father, forgive them." People crucify him. Father, forgive them for they know not what they do. They don't know what they're doing. They're still guilty. They still need forgiveness. Father, forgive them. Jesus, prays this and then he answers his own prayer through his sacrifice, the intersection of faith and works, God's sovereignty, human responsibility.Philippians 2:12-13, "Therefore, my beloved, as you have always obeyed, so now, not only is it my presence, but much more my absence. Work out your own salvation with fear and trembling." You work it out. "For it is God who works in you both to will and to work for his good pleasure." Work out yourself to focus on your duty and then recognize that it's God who's giving you the energy. God is the one who's working through you. Sometimes we need to look to the Lord in our prayers and ask him for help and then we need to get up off our knees and use his spirit that he's given us to work. The five points if you missed them, grow and true, worth to grow in sensitivity of Providence growing capacity of blessed, grown humility to receive and grow and faith and works.Boaz and Ruth probably did not see David's greatness. He came. He was their descendant, most likely they didn't see his greatness. Most likely they didn't really understand all the blessing that God would provide through their faithfulness. God found in them faith that he used to bless not just their life, but generations beyond. G. Campbell Morgan said, "You may be God's foothold for things of which you cannot dream." So friends grow in grace because you don't know how much you will impact eternity. Let's pray. Heavenly father, we thank you for this time and the Holy scripture. What a rich word this is. What a feast you've given us today. Lord, I pray that you make us more like Boaz and Ruth, and we love them so much because they reflect the greatest character of our scripture and that's Jesus Christ. We see Christ likeness in Boaz, we see Christ likeness in Ruth. Make us a people like this and give us the power of the Holy spirit to do it. And we pray all this in Christ. Holy name. Amen.

O Caos é uma ciência de surpresas. O que nós aprendemos ao estudar a Teoria do Caos é esperar o inesperado, enquanto outras ciências lidam com fenômenos previsíveis, por exemplo: gravidade, reações químicas e eletricidade. Outro termo muito relacionado com a Teoria do Caos é o Efeito Borboleta, termo que ficou conhecido quando Edward Lorenz, um dos meteorologistas mais famosos da história, fez a seguinte pergunta: "Será que o bater das asas de uma borboleta no Brasil poderia causar, tempos depois, um tornado no Texas?" O que Edward estava simplificando era a base da Teoria do Caos: Pequenas mudanças em condições iniciais levarão a mudanças drásticas no futuro. Aperte o play no oitavo episódio do SciTalk para conhecer o mundo caótico em que vivemos e como o Caos controla nossos destinos. ------------- SciTalk Apoie o SciTalk: https://apoia.se/scitalk Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/scitalkpodcast Twitter: https://twitter.com/scitalkpodcast E-mail: scitalkpodcast@gmail.com ------------- Luiz Hendrix Twitter: https://twitter.com/LuizHendrix Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/luizghsa

Is Big Data able to take decisions for us, humans? In this episode, we talk to the Big Data expert from nPowered, Piotr Jegier about the traps that many of us will encounter as we start to rely more any more on data. We dive into the topic of cognitive biases and try to understand in what domains humans still can't be replaced by AI.IMPORTANT LINKSnPowered - what we doPiotr's twitterFlat Earthers' documentary - BEHIND THE CURVE | Official HD Trailer (2018) | DOCUMENTARY | Film Threat Trailers (YT)Things that correlate, but that does not really mean anything (Spurious Correlations by Tyler Vigen)The software that helps judges make bail decisions, which does not like black peopleJohn Cleese on Creativity, including open vs. closed mode (YT)Modern portfolio theory, ie. making sure your many mistakes of forecasting compensate each other (Wikipedia)Traveling Wilburys, the supergroup and the history behind their nameAn article on The Butterfly Effect and Edward Lorenz's contribution to the Chaos TheoryOn the often-discussed death of strategy in business in these turbulent times - IMD: Strategy is dead? Long live strategic thinking!. Diagnostics, alternatives and choice By Emeritus Professor Paul StrebelAn interesting article on what you might make when you do strategy, includes the strategy statement and the strategic sweet spot: - Can You Say What Your Strategy Is? by David J. Collis and Michael G. RukstadComments by the CEO of T-Mobile Poland on "turning the tanker around"Ethics and addiction in tech product design: How Technology is Hijacking Your Mind — from a Magician and Google Design Ethicist, by Tristan HarrisWhat is the Turing Test? (a short video from Cnet on YT)On the General AI and the control problem (YT) - Can we build AI without losing control over it? | Sam Harris (TED)Confirmation Bias - a good intro by Shahram Heshmat Ph.D. on Psychology TodayA Vox article outlining the work of Dan Kahan on how the (politically) motivated reasoning makes us stupid, and how scientific curiosity can counteract this effectA place where you can learn more on Open Science movement and pre-register your research hypotheses - Center for Open Science - preregister your hypothesesAI Control Problem (Wikipedia)An episode of Dan Carlin's Hardcore History podcast, "The Destroyer of Worlds" on the difficult and risky early years of the nuclear cold war on EarthA selection of 10 particularly non-obvious "For Dummies" booksAn inspiring introduction and overview of Getting Things Done method (and book) by its creator, David Allen, on Google Tech TalksAn accessible and irreverent discussion of the Extended Mind article by Andy Clark and David Chalmers and the distributed cognition concept, on the Very Bad Wizards podcastPeter Thiel's favorite job interview question, as written up by QuartzThe original article on the primacy and precedence of (moral) emotions compared to reasoning - more accessible writeups are also easy to find online - The Emotional Dog and Its Rational Tail: A Social Intuitionist Approach to Moral Judgment, Jonathan Haidt, University of Virginia

In 1963 Edward Lorenz came up with an idea that would later be labeled, The Butterfly Effect. In essence, he posed the question can something small ever cause something greater to happen. In other words, can the flapping of a butterfly's wing cause a tornado in Texas. Well, I don't know if that is true or not, but I do know that there is a definite "Butterfly Effect" in the life of Christian Men. Let's talk about that here on Chewing The Frat.

Nos embarcamos en La Teoría del Caos de la sabia mano de nuestro todo terreno Francisco José García a través de los dictados de las matemáticas, la física, la meteorología, las ciencias sociales e incluso la medicina, con la colaboración de nuestro médico de cabecera Alberto Cabañas. Nos dejamos llevar al detalle de los estudios de Edward Lorenz, entre otros, para arrojar algo de luz sobre el efecto que el batir de alas de una mariposa, puede tener en el devenir de los acontecimientos.No podemos dejar de hacer un repaso por las implicaciones que todo lo escrito y tratado sobre éste tema ha dejado marcado en el cine, la literatura, la música y la televisión en nuestra sección de El Cine de Ángel. Programa editado a partir de la emisión original realizada en OMC Radio el 16 de octubre de 2011. Escucha el episodio completo en la app de iVoox, o descubre todo el catálogo de iVoox Originals

The Lorenz chaotic attractor was discovered by Edward Lorenz in 1963 when he was investigating a simplified model of atmospheric convection. It is a nonlinear system of three differential equations. The program "lorenzgui" studies this model.

The Complexity of Our World We live in a incredibly complex world, don't we? I mean, we look at the world around us, we think about the earthquake in Nepal, and we think about the complexities of plate tectonics, or the mountains, the earth beneath people's feet moving, and all of that and who can understand it? And so, just geology is complex, but we think that physics might be even more complex and we think about the laws of motion and of force and reactions, and we don't fully understand all of those things. And then above that, we have the science of chemistry, more complicated still, and we don't understand all that. I especially don't understand chemistry. I'm sorry, mom. I'm sorry for all the time you spent on that, but I never really did get it. I always looked on it as a bit smelly. That's why I love mechanics. It's just clean. But above that, then comes the complexity of biology, and who can really understand life? Who can understand living cells? Who can understand the most complex living creatures are human beings, and the Psalmist said, "I praise you Lord because I'm fearfully and wonderfully made." But I can tell you, above that is the complexity of human history and the interactions between human beings one to another. And history is a complex, intricate story that was thought of in detail in the mind of God before God said, "Let there be light" and has been unfolding for millennia, now. And it's complexities are far beyond anything we can begin to comprehend. I love studying church history. I love studying the detailed stories of the ways by which our brothers and sisters were brought from darkness to light. I love hearing those stories. I especially love hearing stories of surprising providences. What some people would call lucky coincidences, unbelievers would, but we know that there's a sovereign hand behind all of that, don't we? Many of you know the story of how it was that Adoniram Judson was brought to faith in Christ. He is the first American missionary who served in India and Burma; led 7,000 Burmese to faith in Christ after a life of terrible suffering in which he buried loved ones, two wives, children, suffered greatly, but saw 7,000 come to faith in Christ. He was raised in a Christian home; he was brought up in a solid foundation, but when he went to Brown University in Providence, Rhode Island, he began to doubt his faith, especially under the influence of a friend, Jacob Eames, who was a deist, who was a philosopher, who was witty and urbane, and a scoffer of revealed religion, who mocked the Bible, who mocked the God of the Bible, used to ridicule and make jokes. And this onslaught from this intelligent witty, deist friend, Jacob Eames, just destroyed Adoniram Judson's faith. And he kept his rebellion against God, Adoniram Judson kept it private and secret from his family, but finally on his 20th birthday he declared himself openly to be an unbeliever. He went to live in New York for a while; in the course of time, he was traveling in a small village and he stayed in an inn. And he tried to sleep, but in the adjacent room there was the sound of an individual dying. It was hideous and there were cries out of desperation and of fear and of pain and terror, really, terror of death. And he could not, Judson, couldn't sleep. And he began to wonder about his own soul, the state of his own soul. Was he ready to die? Was he ready to face the God of glory? And he began to fear for his soul, and then he could hear the humor, the wit of Jacob Eames coming in his mind and really rebuking his irrational fears. And in that way he somewhat made his way through the night, fitfully sleeping, waking, sleeping. Finally, the room next adjacent was quiet and he was able to get a few hours of sleep. And then the sunlight came through the windows and he awoke and felt better, heard the birds chirping and at that point was just ridiculing his own irrational fears. Went down to the front desk and was checking out, and he asked about the individual that had been crying out. He said, "Well, actually, he's deceased; he died." Said, "Oh, well I'm sorry to hear that. What was his name?" "Well, it was Jacob Eames." Now how in the world God contrived to have that individual die in the room right next to him is just one of those remarkable moments of providence in church history. I tell you, God does that kind of thing every single day, every single day. Now some of you look back at your own upbringing and it wasn't that complicated or spectacular or dramatic, but for Judson, he couldn't leave the inn that day; he was there for hours, thinking about his own soul. And eventually that process led him to a solid faith in Christ and to the salvation of 7,000 there in his lifetime and multiplication millions beyond. I think of another time in church history, in 1536. John Calvin was just beginning to be known. He had published his first edition of the Institutes, and it was well received. He was French and was fleeing for his life as a religious refugee from anti-Protestant France. He wanted to go to Strasbourg, where he was desirous to set himself up just in the life of a quiet ivory tower academic; that's all he wanted to be. But the road to Strasbourg was blocked because at that particular time, there was a war between Henry V, the Holy Roman Emperor, and Francis I. It was pretty obscure war, not many know that much about it, but as a result, the road, the straight road to Strasbourg was blocked by refugees and troop movements. So he couldn't get to Strasbourg directly. So he had to go through Geneva, to get to Strasbourg. He was just going to be there one day, so he thought. And a reformer there, named William Farrell, heard that John Calvin was staying at an inn or whatever they had in Geneva, all the things that happened in inns; it's amazing. And he went and confronted him and urged him to join in the reformation of Geneva. Well, he had no interest in that. He's not going to go there. Calvin was a very strong-willed stubborn individual, and he's not going. Farrell called down, basically, fire and brimstone on his life of quiet academic study. "May God curse your studies. We need you here in Geneva," and he leaves. Well Calvin couldn't sleep all night, and he's in terror of his soul and his work and all that; he ends up staying in Geneva, effectively for the rest of his life, although he was evicted, he went back to the city. And that's where he was, it was God's will. And one individual, I remember reading about this, wondered if God orchestrated the war so that Calvin would end up in Geneva. Well, that's a little simplistic, but that at least was part of God's purpose. Could God do something like that? Can he orchestrate wars, big events, headline events for small details that will come to pass decades down the road? Yes, he does that kind of thing all the time. God’s Sovereignty: Planning and Working Everything (vs. 11) One Long, Majestic Sentence Continues As a matter of fact, this kind of view called the "Doctrine of Providence" that God sovereignly rules over the events of this world for his purposes, but the most important of those purposes is the salvation of his elect, bringing the elect from darkness to light; that God orchestrates things to do that. Was ruminated on in a small book in the New Testament, called Philemon. You know the story there in Philemon was that Onesimus was a slave who had escaped, had run away, stolen some things it seems, and had run from his master Philemon and happened to bump into the Apostle Paul in Rome, in the big city of Rome. And Paul led him to Christ. And then [Paul] wrote Philemon, the letter, the Biblical letter that we have to put it in Onesimus' hands and send him back. And what he says in Philemon, verse 15, listen to this, "Perhaps the reason he was separated from you for a little while was that you might have him back for good, no longer as a slave, but now better than a slave, as a dear brother.” You hear what Paul's ruminating? Could it be that God orchestrated all of this for his salvation and for your eternal relationship. I think God orchestrates that kind of thing all the time. And the text we're going to look at today talks about it directly. It says effectively that that's what God does. Verse 11 in particular, "In Him, we have received an inheritance having been predestined according to the plan of Him who works out all things,” or everything, “in conformity with the purpose of His will." So there we have asserted very plainly the things I've been hinting at or saying right now. “God orchestrates everything according to the purpose of His will.” Now in Ephesians 1:3-14, we have one long amazing continuous sentence in the Greek. English breaks it up into several smaller sentences so we can just handle it. Preachers do the same because there's just so much truth in all of these verses, more than could be handled in any one sermon. So the third sermon now, in these 12 verses, we look in Verses 11-14. We'll have another one again next week, God willing. What does Paul assert here in Verse 11? Well, he says, "In Him," in Christ, "we have... " I think the best translation would be "obtained an inheritance," obtained an inheritance, it's a difficult Greek expression and gives rise to different translations. NIV has "In Him we're also chosen," but the KJV and NAS, ESV all have, "In him we have obtained an inheritance." So God has sovereignly worked to give us an inheritance. The Holman says, "We were made God's inheritance," and I think that's a wonderful theme, but I don't think that's what's going on here. Because the focus here is on our inheritance and how the Holy Spirit, we'll be told in verse 14, “is the deposit guaranteeing our inheritance.” So that seems to be the focus. So, “In Him also, we have obtained an inheritance," and it says that God has purposed all of these things by His own counsel. It says we were predestined, “having been predestined according to the plan of Him who works out everything in conformity with the purpose of His will." Now we've already discussed predestination once; it's been mentioned already, so we have the word predestined twice in this one long sentence here. We had it in verse 4 and 5, if you look, "In love he predestined us to be adopted as his sons.” Now, as we talked about last week, the word means to predetermine, to set the boundary lines for ahead of time, to set the lines in advance. God sets up a destination for us before the foundation of the world, predestined. So God elects individuals by name and then predestines them for His purposes. That's what it's teaching here. And in Christ, He fixed our future for us that we will be with Him eternally in glory. That predestination of our final glory in Heaven is part of God's overall grand and glorious plan for His entire universe. So God has a plan. He's worked all of this out in His mind before any of it came to be; none of this was left haphazard or random or to chance. God has pondered every tiny detail before anything came to pass. The word plan is linked with the phrase, "The purpose or council of His will," in some translations. The image there normally would be of a set of royal advisors who are around the throne, speaking wisdom into the King's ear. Those are the plans, the counselors, they're giving wise counsel to the King. But in God's case there are no such counselors. There is no one who can speak wisdom into God's mind that He didn't already think of Himself. It says in Romans 11:34, "Who has known the mind of the Lord or who has been his counselor." Implied answers are no one. He has no counselors outside of Himself and He needs none. There is no created being in the universe that can ever give to God any information He didn't already possess. We can never put things together in an analysis that He hadn't thought of before, and He hadn't seen that angle before and He says, "You know that's better than what I was going to do." That never happens, ever. God has thought through every detail of every aspect of His universe and of human history down to the subatomic level before any of it came to pass. God's plan is absolutely comprehensive. "In Him, we have also obtained an inheritance, having been predestined according to the plan of Him who works out everything,” or all things, “in conformity with the purpose of His will." Now you may think, "Well, you're over-blowing the significance of the phrase, 'all things’ or ‘everything.' The word "all” is frequently used to mean less than absolutely everything you could think of. I agree that that's true in the Scripture. But they're actually many other verses that testify to the comprehensive control of God over even the most insignificant details. I mean, we see this again and again, don't we in the Bible? Like this one, Proverbs 16:33, "The lot is cast into the lap, but its every decision is from the Lord." Now, I don't know when was the last time you cast a lot into a lap. I don't think I've ever done that, but I have rolled some dice. And so what does that say? Well, in our language, the roll of the dice comes up exactly the way God willed it to in every case. I mean it comes up a five, a three, a two. I reminded myself when I said these numbers, "Don't go over six," because there aren't any numbers over six on a die. Every number that's ever come up on any dice that's ever been rolled is part of God's sovereign plan. There's no such thing as luck. There's no such things as random coincidences. Jesus said it this way in Matthew 10:29, speaking to fearful messengers of the Gospel who were worried about what kind of persecution they're going to get, what kind of opposition. He's guaranteeing they're going to have persecution. He's guaranteeing they're going to have opposition, but he wants to comfort them and he says, "Are not two sparrows sold for a penny?" He says that because they're insignificant; they're of a very low value. "Yet not one of them falls to the ground apart from the will of your Father." What does that mean? No sparrow dies on the surface of the earth apart from God's plan; that's what that means. And He goes beyond that. He says, "Even the very hairs of your head are all numbered." Well, why would that be important? Well, you may not think it's important how many hairs there are on your head; actually some of you think it's very important how many hairs there are on your head, some of you. But the fact of the matter is, God knows exactly how many hairs there are on your head. He's very well aware. What is Jesus saying? Even the minutest details are part of God's plan. God has thought about all of that. The interconnectedness of both nonliving and living things on this planet is so pervasive; it's actually obvious to some non-Christian scientists who understand the massive effects of even the tiniest detail in the world. There was a man named Edward Lorenz; he was at MIT. He was in the 1950s and '60s; he was an expert mathematician and a meteorologist, and he was working on early computer models of weather. And he noticed at one point, he was entering data into this... Back then, it was really, really hard to enter data. Things are just so much more advanced in the computer world now. But he had all these punch cards and these different things you had to work with and he didn't want to keep putting out decimals to the 7th decimal point, so he just truncated the decimals instead of putting .636417, he just put .636 in, .636. Everything changed in his weather model, everything. And he started to ponder that when it came to weather. And he coined a term called the "Butterfly Effect" that the details of a hurricane such as when the hurricane started, the exact path the hurricane would follow could be altered by the flapping of the wings of a distant butterfly weeks before. So it became known as very famous as the “Butterfly Effect.” Science fiction author, Ray Bradbury, actually used this concept in a short story a decade before Lorenz quoted it. He wrote a short story called, A Sound of Thunder, in which a man who loved hunting, was taken back in a time machine; all these time machine stories. And he gets to go back and hunt the biggest game of them all, the Tyrannosaurus Rex, but the rules of the game were that the company had somehow made a levitating path in the ancient world that you could never walk off, and you're only allowed to kill the specific Tyrannosaurus Rex that would have died anyway at that precise moment. The problem was that this individual, this hunter, stepped off the path. When they got back into their time, many significant things had changed and it was found that there was a dead butterfly on his boot. Now, this is 10 years before Lorenz had done the Butterfly Effect, but the death of a single butterfly changed everything. Now, I want you to think more kindly of Noah, and why he didn't kill mosquitoes or flies or anything else you wish he had killed. "That was your chance, why didn't you do it?" He was under strict orders probably, "Do not kill the ticks or the cockroaches or any of the things you hate. Let them be. They're part of the plan." One poet put it this way, "For want of a nail, the shoe was lost. For want of the shoe, the horse was lost. For want of the horse, the rider was lost. For want of the rider, the message was lost. For want of the message, the battle was lost. For want of the battle, the kingdom was lost. All for the want of a horseshoe nail." Well, non-Christians know these things. Seemingly insignificant tiny events can have actually a huge impact down the line. So if God's going to control big things, He must control tiny things; He knows that better than we do. If He's not going to control tiny things, He can't control big things. He's not just a big picture God; He has to be a God of the details. The Infinite Complexity of the Sovereignty of Almighty God This isn't just theory. God says he does control details. He actively asserts that he controls those details, whether by great kings sitting on thrones, or by peasants drawing water out of a well or plowing a field. Proverbs 19:21 says, "Many are the plans of a man's heart, but it's the Lord's purpose that prevails." Proverbs 21:1 says, "The king's heart in the hand of the Lord is a water course that He diverts whatever direction he chooses." Concerning the biggest event ever in history, the death of Jesus, we're told in Acts 4, as the church was praying, “Herod and Pontius Pilate and Annas and Caiaphas met together in this city to conspire against your holy servant, Jesus. They did what your power and will had determined beforehand should happen." That's the way they prayed in Acts 4. So in Verse 11, here we're told that we have been “predestined according to the plan of Him who works out everything in conformity with the purpose of His will.” So the sovereign power of God acted in history to interact with people on a moment-by-moment basis and bring about His intentions is essential to His sovereign rule in the world. God doesn't just stand aloof like the deist would say and then swoop in at key moments. Every moment's a key moment; every instant is a key moment. Every interaction is key. All of it. So it says in Isaiah 14:26-27, the prophet there ruminating on the eminent invasion of Assyria into the Northern Kingdom of Israel and the Southern Kingdom of Judah. And he tells the Jewish people that this Assyrian army, this king, is under the direct sovereign act of God; that He is moving this Assyrian in, and He's going to move him out again. And he says this in Isaiah 14;26-27. “This is the plan determined for the whole world. This is the hand stretched out over all nations.” Do you hear that? This is the plan; this is the hand. This is the plan; this is the hand. "For the Lord Almighty has purposed and who can thwart him? His hand is stretched out and who can turn it back?" Isaiah 14:26-27. So there's a purpose and a power; there's a plan in the hand. His heart loves, His mind plans, His hand brings about His wise and loving plan. Then He gets worshipped and praised and glorified for it. That's what's going on in the world. Friends, that includes earthquakes, that includes riots, that includes elections, that includes Supreme Court decisions, that includes everything. That includes who you happen to sit next to on a plane. It includes all of it. All of this then is applied to our salvation to bring the elect to faith in Christ, involve God moving the pieces on an incredibly complex, multi-dimensional chess board; more complex than you can possibly imagine. God positions this person at this time to be ready to answer this specific question. And that's not enough to bring that person to salvation, but it's going to have an impact down the road. Others have done the hard labor. John 3, "You have entered into their labor." John 4. "Others have plowed, you get to be there to harvest... " We all want to be there at harvest time, don't we? I want to be there when that person comes over from darkness to light. I do too, that's great. But others did hard work in that person's life, long before they came to faith in Christ. And no, we're not robots. That's too easy. No, we're vastly more complicated, this whole thing's vastly more complicated than that. “Herod, and Pontius Pilate, and Annas, and Caiaphas, and Judas,” all did exactly what they wanted to do. They follow the dictates of their own wicked hearts. They loved wickedness and did wickedness; that's what they did. They were not compelled; they were not forced; they were not robots. But God sovereignly overruled it. That's how that works. So this kind of detailed providential rule is going on all the time. Paul then addresses a marvelous aspect of that plan and how it moved from being Jew only to Jew plus Gentile. And that had all been part of his plan. God’s Order: We, First, the You Also (vs. 12-13) Lots of Debate about “We” and “You” Look at Verses 11-13. We're going to expand out a little bit now. "In Him also, we have obtained an inheritance, having been predestined according to the plan of Him who works out everything in conformity with the purpose of His will," verse 12, "in order that we, who were the first to hope in Christ, might be for the praise of his glory. And you also were included in Christ, when you heard the word of truth, the Gospel of your salvation." Well, there's lots of debate about the "we” and “you also." What is this? Could be as simple as just "we the evangelistic missionary team" that brought the Gospel to you in Asia Minor, that's fine, and I don't have any problem with that, but I think it's bigger than that. In chapter 2, we're going to get to the issue of Jew, Gentile, unity. We're going to get to the talk, because the Ephesians are Gentiles and we're going to talk about how God has worked to destroy the barrier, “the dividing wall of hostility” between Jew and Gentile, and to remove it by the death of Christ. And how in the death of Jesus we Gentiles who were aliens, and strangers, and uncircumcised, and outsiders “have been brought near through the blood of Christ,” and how the barrier, the “dividing wall of hostility” has been removed by the death of Jesus. Ephesians 2:11-14. God’s Beautiful Order: To the Jew First I think that's what's going on here in Chapter 1. Just a little hint, "We who were the first to hope in Christ might be for the praise of his glory.” And now you also, you Gentiles, have been brought into Christ, when you heard the word of truth, the Gospel of your salvation. “To the Jew first and then to the Gentile," we're told in Romans 1. Jesus said to the Samaritan woman, "Salvation is from the Jews." God said, millennia before that, to Abraham when he was still Abram Ur of the Chaldeans. He says, "I will make you a blessing and you will be a blessing and all the peoples on earth will be blessed through you." We're told in Galatians 3, that Gentile Christians have become sons of Abraham, by faith in Christ. And so that's what I think is going on with the “we who are the first,” and then “you also were brought in.” God had a sovereign time and place for all of that. He orchestrated a time when Peter the Apostle to the Jews saw a vision and then was mobilized to go to Cornelius' house, and as he preaches the Gospel, Cornelius' house filled with friends and family and all that, and they're hearing the Gospel and they're believing the Gospel and the Holy Spirit comes down and they speak in tongues as a clear display of the presence of the Holy Spirit, and they're brought in. And in Christ, there is now one new man not this division anymore, but this unity in Christ. And so God has this amazing plan, overarching plan, and He's got this hand that stretched out, and He uses means to achieve His end. He's got an end in mind, and that is for all the elect to be in the New Heavens and the New Earth in resurrection bodies together in perfect unity. Glory, Hallelujah, praising Him, that's the end. How's He going to get there? Well He's worked out the means too. God’s Means: The Gospel and the Spirit (vs. 13) God’s Eternal Plan Comes Into Time And the means that he mentions here is the Gospel message and the Holy Spirit. So look at Verse 13, "In Him you also, when you heard the word of truth, the Gospel of your salvation and believed in Him, were sealed with the promised Holy Spirit." So, that's God's eternal plan, coming down into time, in Ephesus. Sovereignty doesn't destroy evangelism, it empowers it; it unleashes it. Some people say, "Well if the elect are predestined, then we don't need to do anything." Man, that's crazy. I mean, who says those kinds of things? It's amazing to me, "God will do it Himself." Others say in a similar vein, "A strong emphasis on the sovereignty of God sucks the life out of evangelism because then people won't share the Gospel because there's no need." Look, the more you meditate on these things the more excited you're going to be to share the Gospel; you want to see God at work, and there's nothing that's going to stop it. It's empowering actually. As a matter of fact in all of church history, there is no one that was stronger on the sovereignty of God over all things, and especially over the salvation, than the Apostle Paul, and there was no one who worked harder in evangelism and missions than the Apostle Paul. He didn't have any problem harmonizing those things at all. As a matter of fact, it's exactly because God had chosen the elect; he was going to go work hard and suffer for them. He says in 1 Corinthians 15:10, "By the grace of God, I am what I am. And his grace to me was not without effect. No, I worked harder than all of them, yet, not I, but the grace of God that was in me." The Doctrines of Grace empower the people of God, and give us energy, and willingness to suffer, and to work hard. And so Paul says in 2 Timothy 2:10, "Therefore, I endure everything for the sake of the elect, that they too may obtain the salvation that is in Christ with eternal glory." Same idea, the elect are out there I'm going to go, and I'm willing to be beaten, imprisoned, suffer, even to die if that might bring the elect to faith in Christ. So God ordains the means by which the elect are saved. God Ordains Means by Which the Elect Are Saved Now the end is that 100% of them will end up in Heaven, the means is explained, and that is the message of the Gospel. Now you need messengers to go out, they've got to go out, got to have messengers because it says in Romans 10, "Everyone who calls on the name of the Lord will be saved." This is Verses 13-15. "But how can they call on the one they've not believed in? And how can they believe in the one of whom they have never heard? And how can they hear without someone preaching to them? And how can they preach unless they are sent?" The sent ones are the evangelists; the sent ones are the missionaries. We are sent out from this room when we're done here into a world that we're surrounded by people who are without hope and without God in the world. We are sent out and some of them are elect and we're going to witness to them. And what are we going to do, we're going to proclaim “the word of truth, the Gospel of their salvation.” What is that? Well, we're going to tell them that there is a Sovereign God who rules over all things, who made laws by which we are to live our lives. Like the Ten Commandments for example or the Two Great Commandments, to love God and love your neighbor. But we don't live up to those laws; we have broken those laws. And so it says plainly in Romans 3, "There is no one righteous, not even one, there is no one who understands, no one who seeks God, all have turned away. They've together become worthless. There is no one who does good, not even one." So you heard “the word of truth, the Gospel of your salvation.” Salvation from what? From sin, from all of that, and from the wrath to come. Jesus delivers us from the wrath to come. There's a coming wrath. God in judgment is going to judge the world, and every one of us is going to stand before Him and give an account of our lives. Are you ready? Do you know that you're forgiven? Do you know that your sins have been atoned for? "There is no other name under heaven given to men, by which we must be saved,” than Jesus Christ. God sent Jesus as His only begotten Son who took on a human body, who lived a sinless life, did all these incredible miracles, showed his deity and his humanity, for He went to the cross and He shed His blood, and He died in our place. This is the Gospel, the word of truth, the Gospel of our salvation. God raised Him up on the third day and seated Him at the right hand of God in the heavenly realms, and everyone who repents and believes in Him receives the gift of the forgiveness of sins. That's what happened, the Ephesians heard the “word of truth, the Gospel of their salvation” and they believed it. Well, that's the means to the end, but I tell you that the word of truth is not enough; the Gospel is not enough; the proclamation is not enough. We need also the ministry and the working of the Holy Spirit of God, and without Him no one will be converted. The Spirit must move in hearts. The Spirit must remove the heart of stone and put in the heart of flesh. The Spirit must bring the dead sinner, spiritually dead sinner, to life. Something only the Spirit can do. And so, we have mentioned here plainly the work of these Spirit of God, “the promised Holy Spirit, who is a deposit guaranteeing our inheritance.” Now, the sermon here continues for five or six more pages, but I'm not going to do that because I already plan next week to talk about the sealing of the Spirit. So this part, I'm saying, "Well next week we'll talk more about... " Let's just do all that next week. The Holy Spirit of God comes in and seals the individual. We're going to talk about what does it mean the promised Holy Spirit? And how does He seal us? If you want to know ahead of time what I think about the Holy Spirit of God, the third person of the Trinity, and what the sealing of the Spirit is, think of a proclamation from a king. And you want to know if it's valid, if it's authentic. And so, they would seal it with the authoritative kingly seal. And then you knew that was from the king. So the sealing of the Spirit is authenticating proof. How can I know I'm elect? How can I know I'm predestined? How can I know I'm going to go to Heaven when I die? The sealing of the Spirit is the answer. We're going to talk about that next week. So, God willing, please come and listen more. Why does God do all of this? Well, as we've seen, again and again, and we can't stop saying it, He does it all for the praise of His glory. That's the ultimate end. And isn't it beautiful how we see the trinitarian work here. We see the work of the Father; we see the work of the Son, and we see the work of the Holy Spirit. And it's interesting that the Father's section goes from 1:3-6 and it ends with, "To the praise of His glory." And then you've got the Son's section, picking up and it goes up to verse 12 and it ends, "To the praise of His glory," and then you've got the Spirit's section and it goes verse 13 and 14, and it ends the same way, "To the praise of His glory.” Father, Son, and Holy Spirit together working on our individual salvation, why? “To the praise of His glory.” We're going to be up in Heaven and we're going to see it; we're going to talk to all our brothers and sisters. We're going to hear so many stories like that. One about Judson and Jacob Eames; we're going to find out how God saved people. You guys are all going to be super PhDs in church history by the time 10,000 years have passed in Heaven, and you've still got millennia more to study. You're going to learn about brothers and sisters, in every generation, and how God worked by His sovereign grace, and how awesome, and you're going to say, "To God be the glory." And you're going to see your own story in a new light more than you've ever seen it before, and you'll see that none of it was accidental, that God had orchestrated everything to bring you to salvation; and it's all for the praise of His glory. Applications Call to Repentance So, applications for me, very powerfully. First and foremost, I've already said it, I can't bear the thought that any of you would leave here unregenerate. I can't bear that thought. I've been thinking about it. Don't leave here lost. You've heard twice probably maybe three times the Gospel already. Trust in Christ, trust in Him. Cast yourself in full abandonment of faith on Jesus. Say, "I'm a sinner, I have no hope, I'm not ready to die. Probably, I'd be just like Jacob Eames. If I knew I was about to die in an hour or two, I'd know I wasn't ready and I'd be terrified of the flames of Hell. I'd be terrified of hearing from God, the judge, 'Depart from me, you who are cursed into the eternal fire prepared for the devil and his angels.' I'd be terrified of that, and I know I'm not ready." Today is a day salvation. You can be delivered. You hear “the word of truth, the Gospel of your salvation,” trust in Christ. Trust in Providence And then for the rest of us, let's trust in providence, shall we? Let's celebrate it; let's embrace it. Let's just say, "Isn't it incredible that God rules over everything, after the council of his will. There's nothing I need to fear. There are nothing but ministry opportunities here even in the midst of the greatest suffering," and I'm not minimizing the emotions of all of this. We do “rejoice with those who rejoice, and mourn with those who mourn.” We go to misery, and we go to suffering, and we say, "Can we share with these people? Can we bring them out of darkness into light? Whether it's in Kathmandu or in Baltimore or wherever it is, where light needs to be shining?” So I was talking in our BFL class a few minutes ago. Just celebrate Ephesians 2:10. Just realize how explosive all this is. Let's put Ephesians 1:11 together with Ephesians 2:10. Ephesians 2:10 says, "We are His workmanship created in Christ Jesus to do good works which God prepared in advance, that you should walk in them." What does that mean that God prepared in advance? Means, the days ahead of time, weeks ahead of time, months, thousand years ahead of time. He went ahead of you and got things ready. BFL folks, do you mind if I give that same hokey illustration about the bird feeder? Hope you don't mind, I'm just going to go head and do it. You know, you got to Lowe's, and they teach you how to make a bird feeder out of a kit and you can make a bird feeder in 21 minutes. How? Because everything's been cut, sanded, pre-drilled, the glues ready, everything's ready. Bird feeder. That's your day. God went ahead of you and laid out the kit for the good work. And He didn't tell you what the good works are. It could be with another Christian. It could be with a non-Christian. Could be with a relative, a total stranger. You don't know. Just say, "Oh God, make me ready for the good works. You got them ready for me, make me ready for them." Life is exciting that way. Let's do those good works. Let's praise Him for the praise of His glorious grace, and let's not shrink back from this doctrine. I don't understand why people do that. It plainly says it. Do you really want to live in a universe where God's saying, "I don't know. I've no idea what's going to happen next, but we'll be fine. We know how to make lemonade out of lemons. Been doing it for thousands of years, and... Well, an earthquake. I'm reacting to this. What can we do with this?" That's not the God of the Bible. You may struggle with aspects of free will, or God's goodness and suffering and all that, struggle away, but know this, everything to the detail is part of God's sovereign plan. Let's celebrate it and let's go out and prove that a church that believes these kind of doctrines is more evangelistic than it's ever been before because we're willing to “suffer anything for the sake of the elect.” We're not afraid of martyrdom, or losing your job, or losing a friendship. We're not afraid of anything; we just want to find out who the elect are. We want more people to get baptized. We're willing to suffer for these things These doctrines have power to unleash this. And let's realize that God, the we, and they... We're going to talk more about this, but this is an opportune moment to say it. The only answer to racism is the Gospel of Jesus Christ. The only answer to racial divides and disharmony that there is in the world is the Gospel of Jesus Christ. It's the same thing in Kathmandu, the only answer to the grave and people dying is the Gospel of Jesus Christ; so let's shine the light. Let's look forward to the barrier, “the dividing wall of hostility” being completely removed and delighting in the friendship that we have with one another in Christ. Close with me in prayer. Father, we thank you for the time that we've had to study today. It's been an awesome, powerful time to learn how pervasive is the plan of God. How you are orchestrating things all the time; good works, and the spread of the Gospel all the time. Help us to celebrate it and to step out in faith and to delight in it. Oh, God, give us more evangelistic fruit; give us more missions fruit. Give us more laborers for the harvest field. Help us not to be cowardly, but be like Paul was in 2 Timothy 2, “to be willing to endure everything, anything for the sake of the elect.” And Lord, please bring your elect from darkness to light, even now if there's somebody just teetering, holding back, work on his or her heart and bring them over from darkness to light, in Jesus' name, Amen.

Transcript -- Why can’t we get a good weather forecast? Meteorologist Edward Lorenz tried to predict the weather but in the end all he discovered were chaotic systems, leading him to declare long term weather forecasting is utterly impossible.

Why can’t we get a good weather forecast? Meteorologist Edward Lorenz tried to predict the weather but in the end all he discovered were chaotic systems, leading him to declare long term weather forecasting is utterly impossible.

Il y a deux semaines, nous avons parlé du livre d’Hervé Lehning « L’Univers des nombres : de l’Antiquité à Internet ». Dans cet ouvrage, il nous a emmené tout au long de l’histoire pour découvrir comment les mathématiques ont été forgées, quelles ont été les étapes qui ont été prises et quels ont été les chemins arpentés pour aboutir aux mathématiques que nous utilisons aujourd’hui dans tant de domaines.Aujourd’hui nous allons essayer de parler de l’histoire du Chaos, sans trop nous perdre tout au long du chemin, en abordant le livre de James Gleick “La Théorie du Chaos”. Ce livre a été choisi par vous, les poditeurs, via le sondage que j’avais proposé sur le site de LisezLaScience. “La Théorie du Chaos” est d’ailleurs arrivée loin devant les autres et c’est un plaisir de vous le présenter aujourd’hui !La Théorie du Chaos - J. Gleick - Crédit goodreads : http://goo.gl/OdNJ9KSommaireQuelques mots sur James GleickLe livre “La Théorie du Chaos”Un livre qui n’a rien à voirUn livre que j’aimerais lireUne quotePlugsUn auteurJames Gleick - Crédits goodreads : http://goo.gl/dbI97KJames Gleick est un auteur et journaliste américain de la seconde moitié du XXème siècle. Diplômé d’Harvard en Anglais et en linguistique, il ne possède pas à proprement parlé de cursus scientifique.Tout au long de sa carrière, il a travaillé dans différents journaux dont notamment le New York Times où il a évolué pendant près de 10 ans. Pour le New York Times Magazine il a notamment écrit sur de grands Hommes de science comme Stephen Jay Gould ou Benoît Mandelbrot.On peut dire de James Gleick que c’est un vulgarisateur hors-pair. Mais taille XXL. Parmi les livres qu’il a écrit je n’en citerais que trois ou quatre pour vous montrer à quel point c’est un homme qui sait raconter des histoires de science de façon admirable: en dehors du livre dont nous allons parler aujourd’hui et qui reçu le prix Pullitzer (quand même !) et le National Book Award en 1988, il publia en 1992 “Genius: The Life and Science of Richard Feynman” pour lequel il reçu encore Pullitzer et National Book en 1993. Il reçu (encore) le prix Pullitzer en 2004 pour son liver sur Isaac Newton et son dernier ouvrage “The Information: A History, a Theory, a Flood” a notamment reçu le prix “Royal Society Winton Prize for Science Books” en 2012 (le même prix que reçu Brian Greene en 2000 pour “l’Univers Élégant”.Autant dire, ce monsieur est quelqu’un de sérieux et qui sait raconter des histoires sur un sujet des sciences tout en restant captivant! Ses livres ont d’ailleurs été traduits dans plus d’une vingtaine de langues.James Gleick est en plus quelqu’un qui vit avec son temps. Vous pouvez le retrouver sur internet et notamment sur son site : http://around.com (pas mal comme nom de domaine !!!), mais aussi sur twitter : @JamesGleick.Un livreAvant-proposVenons-en au livre dont il est question aujourd’hui “La Théorie du Chaos”.Si on ne connaît pas l’auteur, on peut croire que l’on va avoir à faire à un livre présentant les fondements mathématiques, théoriques du Chaos. Mais ce n’est pas ce que vous trouverez dans cet ouvrage. James Gleick ne va pas enchaîner, Théorèmes, Lemmes ou démonstrations pour vous donner un cours sur la théorie du chaos.Si vous connaissiez l’auteur, et bien ce que je viens de dire ne vous étonnera pas …Alors juste histoire de placer le contexte, je vais juste revenir sur ce qu’est le chaos. Pour les moins troglodytes d’entre nous, le chaos c’est un sujet qu’abordait Jeff Goldblum, alias le Professeur Ian Malcolm, dans Jurassic Park. Et pour ceux qui ne sont pas au courant : Jurassic Park, avant d’être un film à succès de Steven Spielberg, il s’agit d’un livre (aussi à succès) écrit par Michael Chrichton. Bon, pour revenir à Ian Malcolm : pour lui le chaos était une façon d’expliquer que l’on ne peut pas forcément savoir ce qu’il va se passer avec des dinosaures dans un environnement dans lequel ils n’ont rien à faire. Il donne d’ailleurs un exemple du chaos avec le chemin que peut prendre une goutte d’eau que l’on ferait glisser le long de sa main. On peut savoir ce qu’il va se passer au global, elle va descendre, mais on ne sait pas le chemin qu’elle va prendre. On sait juste que les imperfections de la main, la pression de l’ai environnant, le mouvement de la terre, etc sont des phénomènes qui influent sur le chemin que prendra la goutte.Plus généralement on dit d’un système dynamique qu’il est chaotique si il est très fortement sensible aux conditions initiales et qui possèdent une forte récurrence dans son évolution.D’ailleurs si vous voulez en savoir un peu plus sur le chaos, vous pouvez écouter l’épisode de Podcastscience que Robin a réalisé sur le sujet.Avant d’entamer le coeur même de la revue, je voudrais juste signaler que je me suis inspirer d’une fiche de lecture qui m’a permis de recouper mes notes et qui s’est avérée très intéressante dans la rédaction de tout ceci. Cette fiche a été rédigée par Patrice Jeandroz et vous pouvez d’ailleurs y retrouver plein d’autres informations associées au chaos : d’autres livres ou des sites web en parlant.La revueLe Chaos : un terme bien étrange et complexe que l’on utilise pour décrire un peu tout et n’importe quoi. Mais surtout tout ce que l’on ne comprend pas. Enfin, tout ce que la physique classiques ne nous permet pas de comprendre.Durant le XXème siècle, des domaines variés comme la formation des nuages en météorologie, la turbulence formée par les avions en mécanique des fluides, ou encore les paquets de données perdus dans les télécommunications furent associés au sein d’un domaine plus global que l’on nomma Chaos.Les théories classiques se bornaient jusque-là à enseigner les comportements classiques des phénomènes, supprimer les perturbations trop importantes, éviter de considérer les turbulences, etc dans la droite lignée du déterminisme Cartésien qui fit foi pendant si longtemps. Mais ces outils montraient leurs limites. Pour tenter de trouver des solutions, les chercheurs furent plus imaginatifs, se concentrant sur les formes générales, se servant de l’outil informatique naissant pour essayer de simuler et de prévoir l’imprévisible.Ces travaux, à la limite des domaines d’application auxquels ils tentaient d’apporter des réponses, étaient souvent à l’interface entre la physique, les mathématiques, la biologie, etc. Cet aspect disparate à longtemps laissé les chantres du Chaos isolé dans leurs domaines respectifs. Mais ceci a changé quand ils comprirent que les mêmes outils pouvaient être utilisés dans d’autres domaines.Le premier a apporter sa pierre à l’édifice fut, selon James Gleick, Edward Lorenz. Météorologue de formation, il s’ingénia en 1960 à tenter de simuler le temps avec, dans un premier temps, les équations les plus simples possibles. Mais il se rendit compte d’une chose assez étonnante pour ce croyant dans le déterminisme newtonien : des imprecisions dans les paramètres d’entrée font apparaître sur le long terme des schéma totalement différents pour les prévisions du temps obtenues. C’est ce phénomène qui provoque une imprécision dans les prévisions que l’on voit à la télé pour le long terme.Cette dépendance aux conditions initiales est un des points fondamentaux de la théorie naissante du Chaos. Cette dépendance a d’ailleurs inspiré le principe de l’effet papillon que tout le monde connaît aujourd’hui.Pour arriver à comprendre ce qu’il se passe dans ces systèmes chaotiques, Edward Lorenz a décrit leurs comportements dans un espace dit de phases où l’on retrouve l’autre grand élément de la théorie du Chaos : les attracteurs étranges. Formes décrivant les trajectoires des systèmes chaotiques, le plus connus est aussi celui en forme de papillon décrit par ce cher Lorenz.L’étude de systèmes chaotiques liés au vivant ont fait apparaître un autre outil : le diagramme de bifurcation qui montre comment les systèmes évoluent avec un changement dans les paramètres d’entrée. Cet outil a notamment été mis en place par Robert May, biologiste de Princeton.Ces outils : attracteur étrange, diagramme de bifurcation, et d’autres se voient appliquer dans un grand nombre de domaines: les problèmes de fibrilation du coeur par exemple, ou encore pour les orbites des planètes.Ce que l’on se rend compte avec le chaos, c’est qu’il est d’une part extrèmement sensible aux conditions initiales, qu’il ne se répète jamais (ce que l’on voit sur les attracteurs étranges), qu’il est tout du moins déterministe (des conditions initiales définies donnent une résultat défini).Mais les chercheurs du chaos ne se sont pas arrêté là. James Gleick nous conte notamment l’histoire de Benoît Mandelbrot. En travaillant sur les problèmes de bruit dans les communications, il montra qu’à différentes échelles, on retrouve la même répartition de pertes de paquets. Et que cette invariance d’échelle est constitutive des objets fractals qu’il montra au monde.Une fois que les mathématiciens créèrent cet objet, différentes sciences s’en sont emparées : biologie avec des la forme des feuilles, le fameux flocon de Koch, les nuages, les choux fleurs ou romanesko, etc, mécanique avec la surface de contact des pneumatiques, ou même en cosmologie avec la répartition des amas de galaxie, des galaxies, des nébuleuses, des étoiles, etc …On remarque que ce chaos peut-être source d’ordre : les atomes s’agitent de manière désordonnée et aboutissent à un comportement de fluide, des phénomène d’auto-organisation comme pour la réaction de Belossov-Jabotinski ou d’auto-catalyse en chimie émergent de cette non-organisation au niveau inférieur.Avec ces outils des problèmes auxquels on ne pensait pas trouver de solution se sont vu apporter un certain nombre de réponses et d’information pour comprendre quoi faire pour les prendre en compte : télécommunication, turbulence en mécanique des fluides, etc.En conclusionAu cours de son récit, James Gleick nous raconte la vie des pionniers du Chaos, Lorenz, Small, May, Feigenbaum, Mandelbrot, le groupe de Santa Cruz avec Shaw et Farmer, Libchaber, etc. tous ces hommes et femmes qui ont passé du temps à découvrir comment le Chaos émergeait dans les sciences et comment le dompter pour en apprendre plus sur les phénomènes qu’il régissait.Des penseurs libres, et aussi un peu poète, qui ont su sortir des idées préconçues de leur science pour découvrir de nouvelles choses, aborder les problèmes avec un oeil neuf, et dépasser les barrières des disciplines pour apprendre des autres.James Gleick nous raconte la théorie du Chaos non pas comme une suite de théorèmes mathématiques ou de protocoles physiques, mais comme une histoire. Une histoire où apparaissent de-ci, de-là des choses sans structure réelle, pour ensuite s’assembler, s’auto-organiser et permettre une cohérence globale. Une histoire aussi chaotique que les sujets qu’elle a cherché à aborder et comprendre.Ce que j’ai ressenti à la fermeture de ce livre fut que James Gleick fait vraiment la part belle à l’humain dans ces recherches. L’histoire du Chaos fut vraiment celle de personnes à la recherche d’une compréhension plus profonde du monde qui les entourait, de personnes qui voulait voir plus loin que le chemin limité du monde ou tout se passe bien. Ils voulaient comprendre ce qui fait que la vie est la vie.Ce livre m’a fait comprendre une chose : il y a une harmonie sous-jacente à toute chose qui forme notre perception du monde. Le chaos n’est qu’une de ses facettes. Pour l’entendre et la percevoir il nous faut juste le bon filtre pour que les accords parfait s’égrènent à nous dans toute leur globalité.Un livre qui n’a rien à voirNeuromancien - W. Gibson - Crédits goodreads : http://goo.gl/sZrplv Je ne sais pas pourquoi, mais James Gleick me fait penser à William Gibson. Allez savoir (peut-être que c’est parce que leurs noms commencent par un G …). Et si il y a un livre auquel je pense concernant William Gibson c’est bien sûr “Neuromancien”.Si ce livre n’est pas le chef d’oeuvre du style cyber-punk, je ne sais pas ce qu’il vous faut ! Ce livre a inspiré tout une génération d’écrivain, et de scénariste, comme pour Matrix, Akira, Ghost In The Shell, Elysium et d’autres.Multi-récompensé : prix Philip K. Dick. et Nebula en 1984 ou encore prix Hugo en 1985, il s’agit d’un must-read absolu. Si vous n’êtes jamais entré dans le cyber-punk lisez-le. Il sera comme une initiation douce et en même temps psychédélique à ce monde qui peuple aujourd’hui la plupart des histoires fantastiques et de SF que nous voyons sur nos écrans. Dans la même veine on pourrait citer selon moi Blade-Runner, Johnny Mnemonic, et ceux que j’ai cité plus haut.C’est peut-être l’omniprésence de l’informatique dans nos vie, les outils comme Oculus Rift qui vous immerge, ou encore les smartphones, nos connexions perpetuelles au réseau, le pouvoir de l’argent et des multi-nationales sur nos vie et la 3D qui me font dire que ces oeuvres sont parfois des oracles, certe audacieux, mais bien trop réalistes pour ne pas nous donner une vue de ce que pourrait être un futur peut-être pas si éloigné et fantasmé que ce que certains voudraient croire.Un livre que j’aimerais lireLes objets fractals: forme, hasard et dimension - B. Mandelbrot - Crédits Amazon : http://goo.gl/BYDTQH En lisant la “Théorie du Chaos” de James Gleick on se prend à vouloir en savoir un peu plus sur ces femmes et ces hommes illustres qui ont donné ses lettres de noblesse au Chaos. Ayant entendu parlé des fractales étant plus jeunes : ça faisait de jolies images, j’étais curieux d’en savoir un peu plus à propos de Benoît Mandelbrot et du travail qui a amené tant de changement dans nos vies grâce à lui.Je ne sais pas si le livre “Les Objets fractals. Forme, hasard et dimension” qui a été publié en 1989 sera celui qui me fera tout comprendre tous les objets fractals, que ce soit à cause du livre ou de moi, mais je le mettrais volontier dans la liste des livres que j’aimerais lire!Un livre qui vous permet de comprendre des choses à propos d’objets qui façonne autant de phénomène dans la nature et dans nos vies doit être profondément intense.Quote Cette citation est de Mary Shelley, l’auteur de Frankenstein:Invention, it must be humbly admitted, does not consist in creating out of void but out of chaos.Mary ShelleyPlugs et liens évoquésL’épisode de Podcastscience de Robin sur le chaos : http://www.podcastscience.fm/emission/2014/03/30/podcast-science-168-chaos/Le site web de James Gleick : http://around.comLe compte Twitter de James Gleick : https://twitter.com/JamesGleickFiche de lecture du livre de James Gleick par Patrice Jeandroz : http://www.edelo.net/chaos/sommaire.htmConclusionQue vous ayez aimé ou pas, surtout, ne restez pas les bras croisés. Inondez-nous de courrier, de commentaires, de like - ou pas - de tweets, de retweets, de clin d’oeils, de serviettes en papier, je n’en ai plus à la maison ou l’oeuvre complète de Simon Singh si jamais elle ne vous sert que comme matériau pour allumer votre barbecue chaque été.Vous pouvez ainsi retrouver LisezLaScience sur son site web http://lisezlascience.wordpress.com Vous pouvez aussi me contacter sur twitter sur @LisezLaScience et le podcast est accessible sur podcloud et sur podcastfrance (http://podcastfrance.fr/podcast-lisez-la-science).Vous pouvez aussi m’envoyer des e-mails à lisezlascience@gmail.comVous pouvez d’ailleurs retrouver l’ensemble des livres cités sur la liste goodreads associée à ce podcast sur le compte de LisezLaScience. Les livres seront placés sur des “étagères” spécifiques par épisode et ceux de celui-ci sont sur l’étagère “lls-4”Prochain épisodeOn se retrouve le 22/06/2014 pour un nouvel épisode sur “Le Beau Livre de la Médecine - Des sorciers guérisseurs à la microchirurgie”.D’ici là bonne quinzaine à toutes et à tous.Les références des livres évoquésLa Théorie du ChaosISBN : 2081218046 (ISBN13 : 9782081218048)Auteur : James GleickNombre de pages : 431Date de parution : 13/10/2008 (édition revue et corrigée) chez FlammarionPrix : 10,20€ et constaté à 9,69€ chez Amazon et la FnacNeuromancienISBN : 229030820X (ISBN13 : 9782290308202)Auteur : William GibsonNombre de pages : 319 pagesDate de parution : 11/01/2001 chez J’ai LuPrix : 6,20 € et constaté à 5,89 € chez Amazon et la FnacLes Objets fractals. Forme, hasard et dimensionISBN : 2081246171 (ISBN13 : 9782081246171)Auteur : Benoît MandelbrotNombre de pages : 212 pagesDate de parution : 20/10/2010 chez FlammarionPrix : 9,20 € et constaté à 8,74 € chez Amazon et la FnacVous pouvez retrouver la liste des livres dans goodreads à l’adresse suivante : https://www.goodreads.com/review/list/30797714-lisezlascience?shelf=lls-4

In 1972 the meteorologist, Edward Lorenz, delivered a lecture with the title Predictability: Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wings in Brazil Set off a Tornado in Texas? In this he showed that dynamical systems can exhibit chaotic, seemingly random, behaviour. Many scientists think that this ranks as one of the main scientific advances of the twentieth century together with relativity and quantum theory. I will also talk about how the butterfly effect links chaos and the beautiful geometric objects, fractals.

UNIVERSITY OF EXCELLENCE WWW.UOFE.ORG with Prince Handley   RELATIONSHIP OF THE UNCERTAINTY PRINCIPLE TO CHAOS THEORY IN END TIMES SCENARIO By Prince Handley You can listen to this message NOW. Click on the pod circle at top left. (Allow images to display.) Alternate listening source: www.blubrry.com/prophecy Email this message to a friend. Subscribe to this Ezine teaching by Email: princehandley@gmail.com (Type “Subscribe” in the “Subject” line.) 24/7 release of Prince Handley teachings, BLOGS and podcasts > STREAM Text: “follow princehandley” to 40404 (in USA) Or, Twitter: princehandley  _______________________________________________________________________ DESCRIPTION: In this teaching my goal is to present two basic principles that are not covered in most prophetic teaching – and more importantly – to inspire and recruit workers who will create and implement an End Time MEDIA project which will inform Jews, Israel and Gentiles of WHAT will happen soon on Planet Earth._______________________________________________________________________ RELATIONSHIP OF THE UNCERTAINTY PRINCIPLE TO CHAOS THEORY IN END TIMES SCENARIO By Prince Handley Several books have been written in recent years dealing with End Time scenarios and chronology especially with regard to Israel, the Tribulation Period and Armageddon. However, none of these have dealt with the two most basic principles of geopolitical upheaval: The Uncertainty Principle; and, Chaos Theory. As a preface to this treatise, may I direct you to The Art of Christian Warfare series located in the online study forum at The University of Excellence. My reason for doing so is twofold: Your first line of defense should be spiritual warfare; and, What good is it to know – or think you know – about eschatological (end time) warfare if you are not prepared for warfare in the present. Also, if you just “happen” to be positioned in the segue to tribulation time(s), you will … above all else … need to know all you can about spiritual warfare. The Uncertainty Principle The Uncertainty Principle is basic to every day life. Having learned such is your first doorway to maximum (natural) achievement in any long term endeavor. You might want to study my two publications dealing with the Principle of Uncertainty as it relates to the following: 2012 Synopsis of End Time Alignment of Nations CHINA has much to gain from the demise of the US … and the US dollar, as opposed to India, who only wants positioning on the NEW Global Currency as part of world economic leadership. However, China has plans in place for the downfall of the USA in international psychology, or game theory – similar to intercorporate group dynamics – and based upon the Nash Equilibrium. Prince Handley believes that China will at some point in the next 5 to 7 years assume an already SECRETLY SCHEDULED strategy – replacing its “seeming” position as regards its “partners of probability” in the Nash Equilibrium scenarios – of The Kuebler-Ross Model of Change, and use SHOCK to their advantage in order to argue for ACCEPTANCE in the 10 region New Global Governance along with Islam … to the rejection of its diplomatic ties with not only its other competitors, but mainly its diplomatic friend: Israel. Faith, Quantum Physics and Your Future One reason you need to see the future – and to understand the influence of uncertainty – is so you can effectively profit from: The past and present: The nature of reality; and, The operation of faith. The Past You may march off to the woods or go to war without having a knowledge of history, or as one who suffers from amnesia, but you can perform neither effectively nor optimally. The Present To advance into the Future, you must occupy a position in the present. The Future If you don't relate to the future, you can NOT minimize latency with the past and the present; therefore, you do not interact with optimal information for decision making and action. As stated above, to advance into the future you must have a quantized / momentary position in the present (you need a position from which to advance); And, for logistical purposes you require: Knowledge; Material; Experience; and, Networks. All of the above are derived from the past … even though you are operating in the momentary, quantized, present, The “present” will be the past location when you advance. For all practical purposes, we (as a Global Society) can forget about climate change and long term environmental mandates. These will prove to be miniscule efforts and will have microscopic results in relation to what is set to happen. These expenditures of time, labor and money would be much better spent on providing: 1. Relief efforts to famine stricken areas; and, 2. Water wells to areas who have no or minimal clean water resources. We learn from The Revelation that in the future the following three life critical emements are going to be toxically contaminated to the extent of harmful effects on the human race: Soil, Air, Water. I suggest you refer to Revelation and End Times: A Flow Chart of End Time Happenings. The influence of uncertainty is NOT even on the agenda of most prophecy writers – or readers. What IF all the money received from books, TV, DVD's and seminars dealing with prophecy and end times were redirected towards future strategies dealing with the influence of uncertainty in the end times. Let me give you just two examples: What about the other believing Jews around the world (in the Time of Jacob's Trouble … the Great Tribulation) who do NOT make it to the place prepared in the wilderness (maybe Petra?) where the believing Jews flee from the pseudo messiah? (See Brit Chadashah: Revelation 12:13-17.) What about creating mass media advertising about Mashiach, the End Times, and the “pseudo mashiach” to prepare Jews and others for what we know is really going to happen in the End Time. A marketing blitz that will NOT be forgotten; one that will cause people to think and remember – and be aware – of WHAT is really happening WHEN it happens! Chaos Theory The Uncertainty Principle prohibits accuracy. The evolution of a complex system can therefore NOT be accurately predicted … except by skeletal “waymarks” such as in Bible prophecy. The two main components of chaos theory are the ideas that systems - no matter how complex they may be - rely upon an underlying order, and that very simple or small systems and events can cause very complex behaviors or events. This latter idea is known as sensitive dependence on initial conditions , a circumstance discovered by Edward Lorenz (who is generally credited as the first experimenter in the area of chaos) in the early 1960s. However, Chaos Theory allows for GREAT departure – and at the same time – possible overlapping or “nearly repetitive cycles” of the initial conditions. For example, the “Seal, Trumpet and Bowl” judgments in the Book of Revelation might NOT have to be only consecutive or segmentally chronological. They may overlap … they may coincide … they may be simultaneous after unfolding … and, they may have NO predictability … EXCEPT that we KNOW they will happen! Summary As good stewards of Messiah Yeshua, because of the influence of uncertainty and the complex behaviors inherent with chaos dynamics, we must prepare and publish a worldwide permanent body of knowledge structured upon Biblical Prophecy for the following:   Easily accessible and permanent information about Future Environmental Toxicity (the Judgments of The Revelation) – WHAT to do (i.e., how to know Messiah Yeshua); and, Media preparation for Jews, Israel, and Gentiles – WHAT will happen and WHY! ______________________________________________________________ CHALLENGE: Will you be the one to create and implement an End Time MEDIA project toinform Jews, Israel and Gentiles of WHAT will happen soon on Planet Earth?_______________________________________________________ We must also ramp up on spiritual warfare: both individually and corporately as members together in Messiah's Body. Maintain “looking for His appearing,” but stop arguing with other believers about when or when not the “rapture” will happen. (It wasn't a doctrine in the church until the 1800's anyway.) Fellowship with other believers; focus on the KEY prophecies, and win people to Messiah Jesus! Lots of people I talk to say they are going to WAIT until the Believers are missing, and then they will receive Jesus. We need to tell them WHAT is going to happen … and to get ready NOW ... because a strong delusion is going to be sent upon the Planet Earth. Make sure YOU are ready for whatever happens … whenever it happens: the Lord Jesus “catching you up” … or the judgments falling first. I have attended the BEST Christian conservative theological seminaries in the world; one, just to study eschatology (plus the University of Judaism). Also, I studied under four of the top Hebrew and Greek scholars who worked on the NASV. Our view of WHEN the Believers in Messiah will be caught up in the air to be with Him is something WE decide for ourself … but WHEN He actually does this may be different. Our job is to watch for His Appearing! Many evangelical Bible teachers changed their view in the last 20 years?! My view of WHEN the Lord will "catch away" His People will NOT change WHEN He does it. I'm just going to keep looking for ... and loving ... His return! Here's something to think about: If we get mad at other Believers about their view of the “rapture” … OR … if WE don't or can't fellowship with other believers because of their view of the “rapture” … guess who needs help! Keep watching for His Great Appearing! ___________________________ OPPORTUNITY TO  HELP US ADVANCE We do NEW things for the LORD … Holy Spirit things! Work with us to reach the nations … and Israel … with exploits! Get rewards in Heaven … and on earth … for partnering in unique works! Click on the SECURE DONATE button below.   A TAX DEDUCTIBLE RECEIPT WILL BE SENT TO YOU ___________________________ Baruch haba b'Shem Adonai. Your friend, Prince Handley President / Regent University of Excellence P.S. - Will you be the one who creates and implements this media project? Podcast time: 14 minutes, 43 seconds.   For SEMINARS with Prince Handley: princehandley@gmail.com TWITTER: princehandley  ___________________________   Rabbinical & Biblical Studies The Believers’ Intelligentsia Prince Handley Portal (1,000’s of FREE resources) Prince Handley Books ___________________________      

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