Podcasts about liquidity

Crypto News: Banks and Crypto industry met at the White House today to discuss stablecoin yield and clarity act. Binance buys dip with first $100M Bitcoin purchase from $1B SAFU fund. A metric tracking the health of the US economy has just posted its highest monthly score since August 2022, and crypto analysts say it could signal a turnaround for Bitcoin.Brought to you by

Crypto News: Bitcoin continues crash as Jim Cramer weighs in on Crypto. VC Roundup: Crypto funding rebounds as institutions test onchain finance. Infamous 'Hyperunit whale' exits entire Ethereum position for $250 million loss.Brought to you by ✅ VeChain is a versatile enterprise-grade L1 smart contract platform https://www.vechain.org/ 

Crypto News: Bitcoin dumps below $80,000 and altcoins crash as well. Will the crypto market recover soon? Brought to you by

Katy Kaminski joins us to assess the early signals shaping markets in 2026. The conversation explores the resurgence of commodity trends, the role of volatility estimation, and why diversification across markets and speeds matters more than ever. Drawing on new research, they examine dispersion within the CTA universe, the limits of replication, and how volatility targeting quietly determines outcomes. From precious metals to currencies, from crisis alpha to geopolitical risk, this episode offers a grounded look at why trend following thrives during disruption and why regime change remains its natural habitat.-----50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE-----Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.IT's TRUE ? – most CIO's read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.comAnd please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.Follow Katy on LinkedIn.Episode TimeStamps:00:00 - Introduction to the Systematic Investor Series00:39 - Weather disruptions and market perspective02:31 - Precious metals and extreme commodity moves04:28 - Gold, central banks, and monetary regime shifts07:43 - Replication versus full CTA diversification09:47 - Liquidity differences across metals12:03 - Metals leading trend performance in 202615:01 - Multi-sector trends and diversification benefits20:13 - Media attention and the return of trend following23:29 - Research insights on speed and dispersion31:44 - Trend speed and timing tradeoffs40:59 - Market concentration and narrow universes43:19 - Volatility estimation as a hidden...

In this episode, I'm joined again by Ben Lake to talk through one of the most common real-world challenges we see with clients: needing liquidity, fast. Whether it's a house that suddenly comes on the market, a business opportunity, or a life event that wasn't neatly planned for, most people eventually face the question, “How do I actually get dollars out of my balance sheet?”We dig into borrowing strategies. HELOCs, margin loans, pledged asset lines, and when each one makes sense. We also spend time on box spread loans, how they work, why they're becoming more common for high-net-worth households, and how they can dramatically change the after-tax cost of borrowing.

In this episode of the Be Wealthy Podcast, host Brett Tanner sits down with financial educator and infinite banking expert Kyle Fuller to unpack how wealthy individuals think differently about money, liquidity, and control.Kyle shares his personal journey growing up in a large family, witnessing financial hardship during the 2008 crisis, and how those experiences shaped his philosophy around cash flow, reserves, and long-term wealth planning. Together, Brett and Kyle break down why education must come before investing, how poor liquidity destroys otherwise good strategies, and why following the crowd is one of the fastest ways to lose money.This conversation dives deep into infinite banking, wealth foundations, cash flow over net worth, and how to build a financial system that creates freedom — not stress.

On this episode of The Staging Area, presented by dcsports87, I'm back with Tory to break down what's really happening in the market right now.We start with the $45,100 Victor Wembanyama White Geometric Auto sale and use it as a lens to talk about something bigger than one card.Are these prices realWho is actually buyingWhy Topps Chrome basketball keeps commanding attentionAnd what liquidity really means in 2026If you collect modern cards, sell singles, or think about timing and pricing, this conversation will challenge how you look at the market and your own collection.This episode is about clarity, not predictions.A special thank you to dcsports87 for supporting this series. Check out dcsports87 for your eBay consignment needs and visit the dcsports87 eBay store to find great cards ending every night.Get your free copy of Collecting For Keeps: Finding Meaning In A Hobby Built On HypeGet exclusive content, promote your cards, and connect with other collectors who listen to the pod today by joining the Patreon: Join Stacking Slabs Podcast Patreon[Distributed on Sunday] Sign up for the Stacking Slabs Weekly Rip Newsletter using this linkFollow dcsports87: | Website | eBay | Instagram | Twitter  Follow Stacking Slabs: | Twitter | Instagram | Facebook | Tiktok ★ Support this podcast on Patreon ★

In this conversation, Wade discusses the essential financial goals of retirement, encapsulated in the concept of the four L's: longevity, lifestyle, legacy, and liquidity. He emphasizes the importance of assessing financial preparedness through the funded ratio, which compares assets to liabilities. The discussion also covers safe withdrawal rates, suggesting a rate of 4.5% based on the funded ratio approach. Finally, Wade highlights the significance of implementing variable spending strategies to enhance retirement enjoyment and financial security.   Takeaways The four L's of retirement are longevity, lifestyle, legacy, and liquidity. Longevity refers to essential expenses that must be covered regardless of lifespan. Lifestyle expenses are discretionary and enhance quality of life in retirement. Legacy goals involve what one wishes to leave for the next generation. Liquidity is crucial for managing unexpected expenses in retirement. The funded ratio helps assess financial preparedness for retirement. A funded ratio of 100% or higher indicates being on track for retirement. The safe withdrawal rate based on the funded ratio is 4.5%. Variable spending strategies can allow for higher initial withdrawal rates. The funded ratio approach provides more confidence in spending during retirement. Chapters 00:00 The Four L's of Retirement Goals 06:57 Assessing Financial Preparedness for Retirement 16:27 Understanding Monte Carlo Simulations in Retirement Planning 19:52 The Safe Withdrawal Rate: A Critical Discussion 24:02 Variable Spending Strategies in Retirement 28:05 The Impact of Taxes and Time Horizon on Withdrawal Rates   Links

www.marktreichel.comhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-treichel/In this episode of With Flying Colors, Mark Treichel is joined by former NCUA senior leaders Todd Miller and Steve Farrar for a deep dive into NCUA's 2026 Supervisory Priorities Letter — and what it means in the real world for credit unions heading into the next exam cycle. Deep Dive on NCUA Priority Lett…With significant staffing reductions at the agency and a shift toward more “risk-based” supervision, the group discusses whether exam programs will truly become more tailored — or whether credit unions should expect more conservative ratings, more findings, and less dialogue.The conversation also explores what's emphasized, what's missing, and how operational realities inside NCUA may shape supervision more than policy statements.Key Topics Discussed

In this episode of "Built for Life Not Just Wealth," Ryan Burklo and Alex Collins discuss the importance of aligning financial planning with life events rather than just focusing on wealth accumulation. They emphasize how significant life moments—whether joyous or challenging—can shift perspectives on money, highlighting that financial security allows individuals to make decisions without the burden of financial stress. The conversation also touches on the need for flexibility in financial planning, advocating for liquidity and a cash flow system that empowers clients to prioritize their life experiences over mere wealth optimization. Check out our website:  https://www.builtforlifenotjustwealth.com/ Find us on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@builtforlifenotjustwealth/ Subscribe to our newsletter: https://www.quantifiedfinancial.com/subscribe-now Check out our Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/ryanburklofinance?igsh=ZTJzN3Jnajd5M2Mw Ryan Burklo's LinkedIn profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/ryanburklo/ Alex Collin's LinkedIn profile: https://www.linkedin.com/in/alexandercollins/ For a quick assessment of your current financial life go to: https://www.livingbalancesheet.com/lbsVision/lite/RyanBurklo   #financialplanning #lifeevents #liquidity #cashflow #wealthmanagement #financialsecurity #lifeoptimization #financialflexibility #wealthvslife   Takeaways "What money can't actually fix." "Flexibility is greater than maximum net worth." "We want to design your future so powerfully that it reshapes your present." "You don't know how much liquidity you need until you need it." "It's not about this, it's about family." Chapters 00:00 Introduction to the New Podcast Theme 01:10 Life Events and Financial Planning 04:21 Optimizing Finances for Life 07:51 Planning with Flexibility 10:40 The Importance of Liquidity 12:27 Creating a Cash Flow System 13:17 Designing a Future that Reshapes the Present  

John Chang gives listeners a wide-ranging outlook on the 2026 commercial real estate landscape, drawing from recent industry webcasts, capital market data, and his upcoming conversations with investors at NMHC. He explains why rising cap rates and falling borrowing costs have reset real estate returns to some of the most attractive levels seen in over a decade, even as broader economic uncertainty grows. John breaks down how slowing job creation, shifting migration patterns, and heavy Sunbelt development are creating near-term pressure for multifamily—especially Class B and C assets—while lower-development markets continue to show resilience. He also explores why institutional capital is quietly flowing back into commercial real estate, what gold prices may be signaling about investor sentiment, and where he sees risks and opportunities across multifamily, retail, office, industrial, and self-storage heading into 2026. Visit ⁠www.tribevestisc.com⁠ for more info. Try QUO for free PLUS get 20% off your first 6 months when you go to quo.com/BESTEVER  Join us at Best Ever Conference 2026! Find more info at: https://www.besteverconference.com/  Join the Best Ever Community  The Best Ever Community is live and growing - and we want serious commercial real estate investors like you inside. It's free to join, but you must apply and meet the criteria.  Connect with top operators, LPs, GPs, and more, get real insights, and be part of a curated network built to help you grow. Apply now at⁠ ⁠⁠⁠www.bestevercommunity.com⁠⁠ Podcast production done by⁠ ⁠Outlier Audio⁠ Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

We'd love to hear from you. What are your thoughts and questions?In this conversation, Derek Barker, CEO of Nectar, discusses the challenges faced by real estate operators in accessing flexible capital. He explains how Nectar provides innovative financial solutions that empower operators to scale their businesses without sacrificing equity or control. The discussion covers the importance of capitalizing companies, risk management strategies, and the future of flexible capital in the real estate industry. Derek emphasizes the need for more capital in the market to unlock housing supply and highlights the opportunities for growth in this sector.Main Points: Derek Barker is the CEO of Nectar, a fintech platform for real estate.Nectar provides flexible access to future cash for operators.Real estate operators face significant challenges in accessing capital.Traditional capital sources are often unavailable for small operators.Nectar's model allows operators to avoid selling equity or refinancing.The importance of cash flow and low leverage in real estate investments.Nectar focuses on experienced sponsors with proven business models.The future of real estate capital markets is evolving with technology.Unlocking supply in real estate requires addressing land, labor, materials, and capital.There is a significant opportunity to finance small and medium-sized real estate companies.Connect with Derrick Barker:derrick@usenectar.comhttps://www.usenectar.com/https://www.linkedin.com/in/derrickbarker

In this episode of The Distribution, Brandon Sedloff sits down with Phil Huber to unpack the evolution of private markets and their growing role in private wealth portfolios. Phil shares his path from a family RIA to leading portfolio solutions at Cliffwater, and explains why alternatives are shifting from a niche allocation to a core portfolio decision. The conversation explores how interval funds, multi-manager strategies, and improved liquidity frameworks are reshaping access to private equity and private credit for advisors. Along the way, Phil offers a clear, practical lens on education, structure, and risk management in an increasingly complex alternatives landscape. They discuss: Phil's career journey from wealth management to asset management and his focus on alternatives Why private markets are becoming an active allocation decision rather than an institutional afterthought How interval funds work, including liquidity mechanics, eligibility, and portfolio fit The role of multi manager and co investment strategies in diversification and fee efficiency What advisors and CIOs look for when evaluating private market products for client portfolios Links: Phil on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/phil-huber/ Cliffwater - https://cliffwater.com/ Brandon on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/in/bsedloff/ Juniper Square - https://www.junipersquare.com/ Topics: (00:00:00) - Intro (00:04:32) - Phil Huber's early career and family influence (00:10:52) - Transition to Cliffwater and focus on alternatives (00:12:06) - Understanding private markets and co-investments (00:25:57) - Cliffwater's funds and direct lending strategy (00:28:01) - Cliffwater's view on direct lending (00:30:28) - Challenges of traditional private market investments (00:33:14) - Advantages of interval funds (00:34:32) - Liquidity management in interval funds (00:41:39) - Multi-manager vs. single manager strategies (00:45:09) - Real assets and interval funds (00:48:18) - Daily beta adjustments for private assets (00:50:01) - Educating advisors and clients (00:53:56) - Future trends in private markets (00:56:07) - Conclusion and final thoughts

Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.This video is all about one thing that decides whether trades work or fail: alignment between the market, the sector, and the stock. If those three are not pointing in the same direction, trading gets harder, drawdowns get deeper, and frustration ramps up fast. When they are aligned, trading feels cleaner, calmer, and far more consistent.A major point hammered home is how little control an individual stock actually has on its own. Roughly speaking, the market drives the biggest portion of price movement. The sector comes next. The stock itself is last. That means you can find what looks like a perfect setup, but if the market is weak or the sector is getting crushed, the odds are stacked against you before you even click buy.This is why cash is treated as a real position, not a failure. When the market is on a sell signal, the goal is not to be clever. The goal is to protect capital. Forcing trades in bad conditions is how accounts slowly bleed. Sitting in cash keeps risk low and leaves room to press when conditions improve.A lot of time is spent on options risk management, specifically rolling for credit. Rolling is not about trading more or being active for the sake of it. It is about reducing risk. Every roll for credit offsets the original cost of the trade, removes exposure, and locks in progress. Even if the trade completely collapses later, the damage is dramatically smaller than if nothing had been managed along the way.Another important concept is how winning streaks can actually be dangerous. After a run of good trades, many traders start sizing up, bending rules, or assuming the next trade will behave like the last one. That is usually when losses hit hardest. Each trade is independent. The market does not care what happened yesterday. Discipline matters most when confidence is high.Volatility and structure also matter, especially with options. Leveraged ETFs, wide bid ask spreads, low open interest, and volatility drag can all distort pricing. If you do not understand how these forces work, options can move against you even when the stock looks fine on the surface.Here are the key ideas covered in detail:✅ Market direction matters more than any single stock setup✅ Sector strength can amplify gains or completely cap them✅ Stock setups only work best when market and sector agree✅ Cash is a strategic position when conditions are poor✅ Rolling options for credit removes risk instead of chasing upside✅ Partial profits protect accounts during pullbacks✅ Winning streaks increase risk if discipline slips✅ Volatility drag impacts leveraged ETFs over time✅ Liquidity and spreads directly affect option performanceThe OVTLYR framework is used throughout to keep decisions objective. Signals are not predictions. They are filters. If alignment is missing, the answer is simple: do nothing. If alignment is present, risk can be taken with intention instead of hope.This approach strips trading down to its core. Protect capital first. Trade when conditions are favorable. Manage risk aggressively. Let winners run without getting emotional. The goal is not excitement. The goal is survival and consistency over time.Gain instant access to the AI-powered tools and behavioral insights top traders use to spot big moves before the crowd. Start trading smarter today

Artificial Intelligence is no longer a future concept—it's already reshaping how investors, entrepreneurs, and operators build wealth today. In this episode of The Abundance Mindset, Vinney Chopra and Gualter Amarelo break down how AI is being used right now to save time, scale decision-making, and eliminate inefficiencies in real estate and business. Vinney Chopra, a real estate syndicator, best-selling author, and mentor who built a massive portfolio after arriving in the U.S. with just $7, shares how AI tools and "digital clones" are changing productivity and investor communication.   During the conversation, they dive into practical, real-world applications of AI that go far beyond hype:

In this episode of the “Always On Podcast,” host Duncan McPherson sits down with Roger Silk, the CEO and co-founder of Sterling Foundation Management. They discuss the evolving role of financial advisors and the increasingly complex needs of high-net-worth clients. As financial landscapes shift, advisors must adapt to new challenges and opportunities, particularly when it comes to managing significant liquidity events. Roger Silk shares his expertise on asset diversification trusts, a powerful tool that allows clients to sell appreciated assets without incurring capital gains tax. This episode highlights the importance of proactive planning and the strategic value of long-term partnerships between financial advisors and their clients. Key highlights include: The role of asset diversification trusts in tax-efficient asset management. The necessity of early planning for liquidity events to maximize client benefits. Strategies for financial advisors to strengthen client relationships through collaboration. Insights into leveraging philanthropic solutions for wealth preservation and growth. Tune in and discover the insights needed to become trusted partners in their clients’ financial journeys, ensuring both immediate and long-term success. Promotions: Pareto Systems AI Coaching Program – Use promo code AlwaysOn20 for 20% for a limited time! Pareto Systems: Turnkey Advisor Membership Connect With Duncan MacPherson: Website: ParetoSystems.com Toll Free: 1.866.593.8020 Learn More: Schedule a Call LinkedIn: Duncan MacPherson Connect With Roger Silk, Ph.D.: LinkedIn: Roger Silk Website: SterlingFoundations.com Podcast: Sterling Insights About Our Guest: Roger D. Silk, Ph.D. , is the CEO of Sterling Foundation Management, LLC and President of Lifetime Perspectives, Inc. Dr. Silk is widely recognized as a leading expert and innovator in the emerging field at the intersection of finance and philanthropy. Dr. Silk has more than three decades of experience working with and advising wealthy clients, high net worth families, and the advisors who work with them on a variety of issues ranging from the use of private foundations to the integration of sophisticated charitable planning into multi-generational estate plans. He has worked with numerous investment, accounting, financial planning, and legal professionals to educate them, their firms, and their clients about the benefits and characteristics of a full suite of solutions, entities and planning tools. Dr. Silk is the author of several books, including The Investor's Dilemma Decoded (Wiley, 2024), Managing Foundations and Charitable Trusts (Bloomberg Press, 2011), Creating a Private Foundation (Bloomberg Press, 2003), and Politicians Spend, We Pay (Sterling Lifetime Press, 2022). He has published dozens of articles that have appeared in periodicals such as Estate Planning, Philanthropy, the Journal of Financial Planning and Trusts & Estates. He has spoken to audiences around the country on the types and uses of charitable entities, and he frequently conducts educational seminars for financial professionals focusing on integrating the full suite of charitable entities into the financial planning process. Prior to co-founding Sterling, Dr. Silk was a Treasury officer at the World Bank, where he was responsible for a multi-billion-dollar repo portfolio. Dr. Silk holds a Ph.D. and an M.A. in Applied Economics from Stanford University, as well as a B.A. in Economics (with distinction). He earned his CFA in 1990.

From investment banker to crypto fund strategist, Stas Sukhinin shares insider perspectives on how credit committees really make decisions, why over-leveraged companies fail fast during downturns, and where stablecoins are creating trillion-dollar transaction opportunities. In this episode of the DealQuest Podcast, host Corey Kupfer sits down with Stas Sukhinin, a finance veteran with over 19 years of experience spanning investment banking, corporate lending, and alternative asset management. Stas began his career at internationally recognized institutions including UniCredit and Societe General, where he helped pioneer mezzanine loan products in Eastern Europe. By age 29, he had become a senior partner at one of the region's largest mezzanine lenders, managing a team of 20 finance professionals and overseeing a $450 million loan portfolio. WHAT YOU'LL LEARN: In this episode, you'll discover what really happens inside credit committees when your loan application gets reviewed and why factors unrelated to your business can determine outcomes. Stas explains how strong companies can go from healthy to restructuring in just three to four months when leverage catches up with them, and the critical difference between how first-time owners and experienced operators approach debt decisions. You'll learn the two key factors that determine how much debt your business can handle, why working capital provisions in purchase agreements deserve more attention than most buyers give them, and how sellers legally present financials in the most favorable light. The conversation also covers Stas's experience investing in the 2017 ICO boom where 90% of projects went to zero but winners returned 50x to 100x, why venture capital investors sometimes block deals that would be life-changing for founders, and where stablecoin transaction volume is already reaching trillions while most people remain unaware. STAS'S JOURNEY: Stas's path into finance started at age 14 when a classmate brought a business magazine to school. Reading about business owners selling companies for millions crystallized his direction. He knew he wanted to be in corporate lending where he could see businesses, analyze financials, and speak directly with owners while working with numbers at a bank. His first role as a junior credit analyst gave him exactly that. He progressed from working with small businesses that had no financials to mid-sized companies to large corporations. Each step taught him more about how deals really get done from inside the institutions making funding decisions. CREDIT COMMITTEE INSIGHTS: Stas pulls back the curtain on what actually happens when loan applications reach credit committees. The reality differs dramatically from what most business owners imagine. Factors affecting approval can seem completely unrelated to the specific deal. Maybe the bank already has a competitor in their portfolio. Maybe the receivable financing department has a different relationship with someone in your industry. One offhand comment from a committee member who hasn't read the full memo can change the entire trajectory of a conversation or result in higher interest rates. DEBT MANAGEMENT LESSONS: The pattern Stas has seen destroy companies in months follows predictable steps. Revenue drops or stagnates. Margins deteriorate because of increased competition and client uncertainty. Debt ratios that looked comfortable suddenly reach concerning levels. Refinancing options disappear just when needed most. Interest rates climb. Everything compounds simultaneously. The difference between experienced and first-time business owners comes down to scenario planning. Experienced operators build safety margins and stress-test assumptions. First-time owners assume conditions will continue as they are. That assumption determines survival. ALTERNATIVE INVESTMENTS: Stas joined a crypto investment fund at its inception in 2017 during the ICO boom. Out of many investments, approximately 90% went to zero. The winners returned 50x or 100x. His observation about liquidity cycles was particularly interesting. Traditional venture now averages seven-year holding periods while crypto projects can reach liquidity events in three or four years through token distributions. On stablecoins, Stas sees enormous opportunity in programmable money. Transaction volume is already in the trillions though most people in developed countries don't realize the scale. Goldman Sachs reportedly reduced bond settlement time from three days to minutes using blockchain technology. Perfect for business owners considering debt financing, entrepreneurs navigating capital raising, and anyone interested in how credit decisions really get made and where alternative investments are creating new opportunities. FOR MORE ON THIS EPISODE: https://www.coreykupfer.com/blog/stassukhinin FOR MORE ON STAS SUKHININ: https://www.thesourcer.so https://www.linkedin.com/in/stassukhinin/ FOR MORE ON COREY KUPFER https://www.linkedin.com/in/coreykupfer/ https://www.coreykupfer.com/ Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker. He has more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker. He is deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is also the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Get deal-ready with the DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer, where like-minded entrepreneurs and business leaders converge, share insights and challenges, and success stories. Equip yourself with the tools, resources, and support necessary to navigate the complex yet rewarding world of dealmaking. Dive into the world of deal-driven growth today! Episode Highlights with Timestamps: [00:00] - Introduction: Stas Sukhinin's 19 years in finance from investment banking to crypto [03:26] - First deal experience: Structuring a real estate development loan with disbursement tied to sales [05:47] - Hidden factors: Why deals get rejected for reasons unrelated to underwriting criteria[08:20] - Committee dynamics: How one comment from an uninvolved member changes deal trajectories [11:41] - Timing and instruments: When companies use the wrong type of capital [15:55] - Risk assumptions: The difference between first-time and experienced business owners [18:29] - Volatility factors: How income stability determines appropriate leverage levels [21:09] - M&A implications: Structuring adjustment provisions for concentration risk [24:09] - Liquidity advantages: Why crypto offers shorter holding periods than traditional venture[27:55] - Venture math: The story of a VC blocking a life-changing exit for 1x returns [29:27] - Due diligence limitations: Legal ways sellers present favorable financials [32:14] - Stablecoins explained: Digital tokens designed to maintain dollar parity [36:31] - Programmable money: Smart contracts that execute automatically on conditions [38:00] - Financial advisory services: How Stas helps business owners understand their financials[39:14] - Freedom defined: Removing gatekeepers and accessing financial systems without barriers Guest Bio: Stas Sukhinin has over 19 years of experience in finance spanning investment banking, corporate lending, and alternative asset management. He began his career at internationally recognized institutions including UniCredit and Societe General, where he helped pioneer mezzanine loan products and shaped the market in Eastern Europe. By age 29, Stas had become a senior partner at one of the region's largest mezzanine lenders, managing a team of 20 finance professionals and overseeing a $450 million loan portfolio. He later served on boards of several private companies, deepening his expertise across credit investments and corporate governance. Recognizing early opportunities in alternative assets, Stas joined a crypto investment fund at its inception in 2017 and continues to lead its strategy and operations. He now helps business owners run more efficiently from the lens of financials through his advisory practice. Host Bio: Corey Kupfer is an expert strategist, negotiator, and dealmaker with more than 35 years of professional deal-making and negotiating experience. Corey is a successful entrepreneur, attorney, consultant, author, and professional speaker deeply passionate about deal-driven growth. He is the creator and host of the DealQuest Podcast. Show Description: Do you want your business to grow faster? The DealQuest Podcast with Corey Kupfer reveals how successful entrepreneurs and business leaders use strategic deals to accelerate growth. From large mergers and acquisitions to capital raising, joint ventures, strategic alliances, real estate deals, and more, this show discusses the full spectrum of deal-driven growth strategies. Get the confidence to pursue deals that will help your company scale faster. Related Episodes: Episode 350 - Tom Dillon: When NOT to Take Venture Capital Money: Explore alternative funding sources including private credit, SBA loans, and sale-leasebacks with a fractional CFO who works with startups on capital strategy. Episode 370 - Gerry Hays: Democratizing Venture Capital Through VentureStaking: Discover alternative approaches to early-stage investing that don't require massive checks or exclusive networks. Episode 85 - Nick Adams: Seed Stage Venture Capital Funds: Understand how traditional VCs think about early-stage deals and what metrics they evaluate from the investor perspective. Episode 351 - Solocast: Deal Structures Beyond M&A and Capital Raising: Learn about joint ventures, strategic alliances, licensing agreements, and other creative partnership models for business growth. Episode 324 - Sejal Lakhani-Bhatt: Tech Due Diligence in M&A: Explore how technology systems and cybersecurity impact business valuation and deal outcomes. Episode 330 - Pete Mohr: Preparing Your Business for Exit: Understand why sellers often cause deals to fail and how to prepare for the emotional aspects of selling a business. Follow DealQuest Podcast: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/coreykupfer/ Website: https://www.coreykupfer.com/ Follow Stas Sukhinin: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/stassukhinin/ Website: https://www.thesourcer.so Keywords/Tags: corporate lending insights, credit committee decisions, debt management for businesses, mezzanine lending, alternative asset management, crypto investment strategy, stablecoin business applications, EBITDA management, leverage risk, working capital due diligence, venture capital exits, ICO investing, blockchain finance, programmable money, business financing, capital structure, due diligence strategies, financial advisory, dealmaking, business growth strategies

In this compilation program, Justin Klein and Luke Guerrero field a variety of finance and investment questions from callers across the United States and around the World.Today's Stocks & Topics: Residential Real Estate in Bay Area, Portfolio Management, Bitcoin, Three-Buckets Retirement Strategy, CD Rates, Changing Taxes Status, Oil Field Services, Saving for Retirement, How to Short a Stock, Safe Haven Investment, Liquidity, Monetizing Debt, International Exposure, Options & Capital Gains, Covered Calls ETFs.Our Sponsors:* Check out ClickUp and use my code INVEST for a great deal: https://www.clickup.com* Check out Invest529: https://www.invest529.com* Check out Progressive: https://www.progressive.comAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brands

In this episode Dave Lund, CEO of FlowRate, discusses the emerging concept of yield in the Lightning Network. Dave shares his background in the Bitcoin space and explains how FlowRate aims to bridge the gap between traditional treasury management and the Lightning ecosystem. He emphasizes the importance of liquidity leasing and routing fees as potential yield strategies for Bitcoin treasury companies, highlighting the need for businesses to adapt to this new financial landscape. The conversation explores the challenges and opportunities that come with operating on the Lightning Network, particularly for institutional players looking to maximize their Bitcoin holdings.Dave also elaborates on the significance of network topology in the Lightning ecosystem, explaining how a well-positioned node can enhance yield potential. He also addresses the security concerns that treasuries face when deploying Bitcoin on Lightning, advocating for improved security measures such as multi-signature solutions. Dave predicts that liquidity leasing could eventually replace the traditional bond market, positioning Bitcoin as a viable fixed-income asset.Takeaways:

Chris Lopez, Jim Pfeifer, and Paul Shannon run a year-end Pulse Check on what worked in 2025, what did not, and where they are deploying capital in 2026. The hosts compare notes on gold and silver, why hard assets helped, and why many expected more multifamily distress than actually appeared. They dig into operator risk, liquidity as an edge, and the niches they like now, from B-class value add with day one cash flow to flex industrial and neighborhood retail. They also cover contrarian views on office and coastal markets, the interest rate outlook and fixed versus floating debt, non-performing loan plays in multifamily, and fresh survey data on where passive LPs plan to invest this year. Key Takeaways 2025 recap: hard assets helped. Gold and silver hedged uncertainty while real estate rewarded disciplined underwriting Fewer fire sales than expected: multifamily distress was patchy and operator specific rather than a broad wave Liquidity matters: dry powder, lines of credit, and redeemable debt funds enable fast moves on real opportunities 2026 opportunities: multifamily with positive leverage, flex industrial for small business users, and durable neighborhood retail tenants Class focus: lean toward higher quality assets and cleaner capex profiles when the price is right Debt positioning: many LPs favor income and down-stack protection; consider fixed rate for sleep-at-night, float selectively if thesis supports it NPL angle: buying notes on discounted basis can create multiple paths to value if you underwrite conservatively Market views: watch select coastal recoveries and Midwest affordability tailwinds; expect fewer easy wins and more operator-driven value Community pulse: survey shows strong 2026 appetite for multifamily and debt, with investors sizing checks meaningfully higher than last year Disclaimer The content of this podcast is for informational purposes only. All host and participant opinions are their own. Investment in any asset, real estate included, involves risk, so use your best judgment and consult with qualified advisors before investing. You should only risk capital you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This podcast may contain paid advertisements or other promotional materials for real estate investment advisers, investment funds, and investment opportunities, which should not be interpreted as a recommendation, endorsement, or testimonial by PassivePockets, LLC or any of its affiliates. Viewers must conduct their own due diligence and consider their own financial situations before engaging with any advertised offerings, products, or services. PassivePockets, LLC disclaims all liability for direct, indirect, consequential, or other damages arising out of reliance on information and advertisements presented in this podcast.

 In this episode of The Purposeful Banker, Jim Young sits down with Anna-Fay Lohn for a quick preview of the State of Commercial Banking analysis based on 2025 Q2 PrecisionLender data. They unpack the liquidity rebound, shifting deposit dynamics, accelerating pricing activity, spread compression, and what fixed-rate roll-offs mean for margins heading into 2026. Related Links [Webinar Registration] 1 p.m. February 10, 2026 State of Commercial Banking [Blog] Monthly Commercial Loan and Deposit Pricing Market Updates [LinkedIn] Anna-Fay Lohn

In this episode of Excess Returns, we sit down with Mike Green of Simplify Asset Management for a deep dive into how passive investing has reshaped market structure, altered price discovery, and created new sources of systemic risk beneath the surface of today's equity markets. Mike explains why index funds are not as passive as most investors believe, how daily flows drive prices in increasingly inelastic markets, and why the growth of passive strategies may be pushing markets toward an unstable endpoint. The conversation also explores macro implications, AI-driven capital spending, demographic shifts, and what all of this means for investors navigating the years ahead.Topics coveredHow passive investing and ETF flows actively influence market pricesThe inelastic market hypothesis and why markets absorb flows differently than investors expectWhy index funds no longer fit the classic definition of passive investingThe growing share of passive ownership and what happens as it continues to risePotential market instability and the theoretical limits of passive dominanceHow demographics, retirement flows, and 401k defaults affect market structureCritiques of arguments downplaying the impact of passive investingWhy large-cap concentration keeps increasing despite slowing fundamentalsImplications for active management, stock selection, and liquidityThe role of AI, capital expenditures, and energy constraints in the macro outlookWhat rising electricity demand and infrastructure investment mean for the economyHousing market distortions, demographics, and long-term structural challengesTimestamps00:00 Introduction and why passive investing is not truly passive03:00 The inelastic market hypothesis explained06:00 Daily flows, index funds, and price impact08:20 How much of the market is now passive11:40 What happens if passive investing keeps growing14:20 Retirement flows and demographic effects on markets19:00 Responding to critiques of passive market impact23:00 Liquidity, concentration, and large-cap dominance27:00 Why market cap does not equal liquidity33:00 Active management under pressure38:00 Current market conditions and early-year rotations41:50 Economic growth, GDP, and underlying volatility43:30 AI capex, overinvestment, and market incentives47:00 Energy, electricity demand, and long-term constraints52:40 Housing, demographics, and policy challenges

Summary   In this episode, Wayne Marcel interviews Player1Taco, a prominent figure in the crypto space, discussing his journey from Bitcoin mining to content creation and community engagement. They explore the importance of networking, the launch of NYC Token, liquidity strategies, and the mission of Manifest Network. The conversation also touches on the significance of local crypto communities, future trends in crypto and AI, and the value of attending conferences. Player1Taco shares insights on how to navigate the crypto landscape and emphasizes the importance of being proactive in seeking opportunities. Takeaways   Player1Taco started as a Bitcoin miner in 2012. He emphasizes the importance of community engagement in crypto. Liquidity provisioning is a key strategy for managing assets. Decentralization is crucial for data ownership and security. Local crypto communities provide valuable networking opportunities. Conferences are essential for learning and connecting in the crypto space. Future trends include the rise of pay cards and AI integration. A closed mouth does not get fed; seek opportunities actively. Content creation can be a powerful tool for engagement. Understanding DeFi can enhance asset management strategies. Chapters   00:00 Introduction to Player1Taco 01:54 Player1Taco's Journey into Bitcoin and Blockchain 07:16 The Evolution of Content Creation in Crypto 12:40 Discussion on NYC Token Launch 16:33 Understanding Liquidity and Trading Strategies 20:16 Manifest Network and Its Role in the Blockchain Space 30:49 Decentralizing Centralized Decentralization 33:02 Morpheus: Open Source AI and Data Ownership 36:46 The Importance of Networking and Conferences 44:38 Looking Ahead: Trends and Predictions for 2026 52:45 Final Thoughts and Words of Wisdom

Gm! In this episode we are joined by Tom Curry to discuss Soar's approach to tokenizing businesses, and improving fundraising via onchain models. We also cover internet capital markets, token–equity alignment, founder incentives, liquidity challenges, regulation, and onboarding retail investors into long-term, startup-focused crypto investing. Enjoy! -- Follow Lightspeed: ⁠https://twitter.com/Lightspeedpodhq⁠ Follow Soar: https://x.com/LaunchOnSoar Follow Tom Curry: https://x.com/imtomcurry Follow Carlos: https://x.com/0xcarlosg Follow Danny: https://x.com/defi_kay_ Join the Lightspeed Telegram: ⁠https://t.me/+QUl_ZOj2nMJlZTEx⁠ -- Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (0:00) Introduction (1:25) Why SOAR? (4:21) Meme Coins vs Real Value (10:04) How SOAR Is Different (25:29) Founder Control vs Governance (32:25) Ideal Founders for SOAR (36:34) Should Launchpads Curate? (39:15) What Success Looks Like (43:34) Challenges on the Token Side (47:01) New Investors and Liquidity (51:10) Learning From IPOs (54:25) What's Next for SOAR? (1:00:06) Closing Comments -- Disclaimers: Lightspeed was kickstarted by a grant from the Solana Foundation. Nothing said on Lightspeed is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Danny, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

Send us a textEpisode 2 of Inside the Family Office: Live Investor PanelReal family office practitioners and allocators share how they structure deals, protect families, and think about wealth: Isaac, a former Morgan Stanley advisor who now runs a multi-family office and investment bank in L.A., walks through how his team allocates across public and private markets. He explains why secondaries and “cleaning up cap tables” are attractive right now, how he thinks about SPVs and fee layers, and why infrastructure and process matter more than chasing the latest hot sector. Isaac also pushes back on “country-club investing” and urges families to only back deals that truly fit their objectives, liquidity, and decision-making capacity. Dr. Cook reinforces the critical – and often neglected – role of back-office infrastructure in family office success.

Welcome back to the Alt Goes Mainstream podcast.Today's episode brings us to the apex of the wealth channel. We sat down in Goldman Sachs' HQ at 200 West with Sara Naison-Tarajano, a Partner and Global Head of Private Wealth Management Capital Markets and Global Head of Goldman Sachs Apex Family Office Coverage. Sara is also responsible for the One Goldman Sachs Family Office initiative in the Americas.Sara has been at Goldman Sachs for over 26 years, where she's worked in a number of roles across the firm, equipping her with a multi-disciplinary background that is brought to bear in her current role leading a global platform that delivers multi-asset investing, financing, and direct investment opportunities to some of the world's largest family offices. Goldman Sachs Apex Family Office Coverage now serves more than 600 family offices across the globe.Sara and I had a fascinating discussion about the growing intersection between private markets and private wealth and what some of the wealth channel's largest investors find interesting and differentiated in private markets. We covered:How Sara expected to spend one year at Goldman and it turned into 26 years at the firm.How her background in derivatives structuring in public markets has helped her approach private markets – and what investors in private markets can learn from being exposed to public markets.Why Sara decided to create Goldman Sachs Apex to build a dedicated group to help large family offices invest directly into private markets.How Apex is related to Goldman's “One Goldman Sachs” initiative.How the power of the platform helps to differentiate Goldman's wealth management business.What lessons the wealth channel can learn from how the UHNW and billionaire family office segment approaches private markets.Takeaways from the Goldman Sachs Family Office Insights Report.How the wealth channel can engage the next generation clients and how private markets play a role in reaching the next gen.Thanks Sara for coming on the Alt Goes Mainstream podcast to share your expertise and wisdom on private markets and working with the wealth channel.Show Notes00:00 Introduction: 26 Years at Goldman Sachs00:59 Welcome to the Alt Goes Mainstream Podcast01:05 Meet Sara Naison-Tarajano03:07 Sara's Career Path04:51 Intellectual Curiosity in Finance05:29 The Role of Derivatives06:59 Transition to Wealth Management07:51 Goldman's Culture of Creativity08:48 The Birth of Apex09:12 Why Apex?10:48 Serving Family Offices11:25 The Apex Model12:46 Early Days of Apex14:09 Family Offices and Direct Deals16:12 The Growing Role of Family Offices19:56 Misconceptions About Family Offices23:26 Engaging the Next Generation34:29 Liquidity in Private Markets34:41 Decline in Public Companies34:52 Access to Capital in Private Markets35:14 Emerging Trends in Private Markets35:36 Focus on Secondaries36:02 Family Offices and Secondaries38:19 Goldman's Secondary Market38:56 Goldman's Acquisition of Industry Ventures39:55 Family Offices' Investment Strategies40:14 US vs Global Family Offices40:38 Private Markets and Inflation42:42 Advice for Wealth Channel Investors43:02 Illiquidity Premium in Private Markets43:56 Importance of Vintaging44:28 Evergreen Funds vs Drawdown Funds47:22 International Family Offices49:27 Geopolitical Concerns and Investments52:55 Mega Trends in Investing54:15 Infrastructure and AI56:16 Simple Wealth Management Strategies58:57 Private Credit and Fixed Income01:00:48 Risks in Private Markets01:02:22 Future of Apex and Wealth ManagementEditing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant.

www.marktreichel.comhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/mark-treichel/In this special preview episode of With Flying Colors, Mark Treichel tees up an upcoming live, on-stage discussion from the Florida Q's Cruise with team members Steve Farr and Todd Miller.Just days before the cruise, NCUA released its 2026 Supervisory Priorities Letter, and as always, that letter gives us important clues about what examiners will be focused on in the year ahead — and just as importantly, what's driving examiner behavior behind the scenes.This episode serves as a primer for the deeper, post-cruise discussion, where we'll incorporate real-time feedback and questions from credit union leaders attending the cruise.

For episode 667 of the BlockHash Podcast, host Brandon Zemp is joined by Kanny Lee, Co-founder and CEO of SecondSwap, the first issuer-approved secondary market for locked tokens. A veteran of fintech and digital assets, he brings over 20 years of experience across regulated finance, payments, and crypto infrastructure. He's led MAS-regulated firms including dtcpay and OSL Group, and held senior roles at EY, TransUnion, and Deloitte, advising global institutions on risk, compliance, and cyber forensics.Kanny is also a partner at Libra Capital, giving him a dual vantage point as both operator and investor in Web3. With formal certifications in anti-money laundering (ACAMS) and digital forensics (GIAC), he's widely regarded as a credible voice on token market structure, real-world asset liquidity, and the next generation of compliant crypto infrastructure.Join the waitlist for he only decentralized on-chain marketplace for trading locked tokens: https://t.me/Secondswapappbot?start=693a9dc7a9c1d4113e029589 

“This cycle will separate real operators from everyone else.” In this episode, Mark Shuler delivers an unfiltered breakdown of the multifamily market reset—and why 2026 is shaping up to be a defining year for investor returns. Drawing on more than three decades of operating experience and a portfolio exceeding $300M AUM, Mark walks through how the easy-credit era masked weak operations, why cap rates and valuations have structurally reset, and what happens next as loans mature, DSCRs collapse, and lenders finally force resolution. From bond markets and interest rates to supply gluts, operating cost pressures, and the coming wave of distressed sales, this conversation connects macro forces directly to Main Street deal performance. If you're an investor or entrepreneur trying to understand where risk truly sits—and where opportunity may emerge as weaker operators wash out—this episode is essential listening. 5 Key Takeaways from This EpisodeThe “easy money” era hid bad operators Artificially low interest rates allowed weak underwriting and poor operations to survive, inflating values and compressing cap rates beyond sustainable levels. This is a reset—not a 2008-style collapse Liquidity still exists, but higher interest rates and rising cap rates have permanently changed valuations, forcing deals to reprice to historical norms. Loan maturities are the real pressure point Many deals from 2019–2021 cannot refinance due to lower values and insufficient NOI, making “extend and pretend” no longer viable as 2026 approaches. Operations now matter more than financial engineering Rising expenses, labor challenges, insurance, taxes, and vacancy pressures mean only strong, vertically integrated operators will attract lender confidence. Opportunity favors prepared capital and proven operators As distressed assets hit the market, well-capitalized groups with operational depth will acquire at significantly lower bases before large institutions step in. About Tim MaiTim Mai is a real estate investor, fund manager, mentor, and founder of HERO Mastermind for REI coaches.He has helped many real estate investors and coaches become millionaires. Tim continues to help busy professionals earn income and build wealth through passive investing.He is also a creative marketer and promoter with incredible knowledge and experience, which he freely shares. He has lifted himself from the aftermath of war, achieving technical expertise in computers, followed by investment success in real estate, management skills, and a lofty position among real estate educators and internet marketers.Tim is an industry leader who has acquired and exited well over $50 million worth of real estate and is currently an investor in over 2700 units of multifamily apartments.Connect with TimWebsite: Capital Raising PartyFacebook: Tim Mai | Capital Raising Nation Instagram: @timmaicomTwitter: @timmaiLinkedIn: Tim MaiYouTube: Tim Mai 

Republic Technologies CEO Daniel Liu analyzes the current state of market liquidity. He highlights Ethereum's strong outperformance potential due to widespread institutional adoption and its robust blockchain infrastructure. Liu also discusses the ongoing legislative efforts to establish a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, acknowledging the recent setbacks with the Clarity Act. He also explains Bitcoin's current price movements.======== Schwab Network ========Empowering every investor and trader, every market day.Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Before trading, read the Options Disclosure Document. http://bit.ly/2v9tH6DSubscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribeDownload the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-network/id1460719185Download the Amazon Fire Tv App - https://www.amazon.com/TD-Ameritrade-Network/dp/B07KRD76C7Watch on Sling - https://watch.sling.com/1/asset/191928615bd8d47686f94682aefaa007/watchWatch on Vizio - https://www.vizio.com/en/watchfreeplus-exploreWatch on DistroTV - https://www.distro.tv/live/schwab-network/Follow us on X – https://twitter.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on Facebook – https://www.facebook.com/schwabnetworkFollow us on LinkedIn - https://www.linkedin.com/company/schwab-network/About Schwab Network - https://schwabnetwork.com/about

In this episode of Lead-Lag Live, I sit down with Luke Lloyd, President and CEO of Lloyd Financial Group, for a candid conversation on markets, mindset, and the economic forces shaping investor behavior.From why retirement is not a finish line but a reinvention, to how AI, government liquidity, and bailouts are reshaping wealth outcomes, Lloyd explains why investors must adapt both financially and psychologically to a system increasingly driven by intervention rather than pure capitalism.In this episode:– Why retirement is about purpose, not an age or account balance– How AI accelerates the wealth divide and changes labor markets– Why government bailouts now shape market cycles– The role of liquidity in driving risk, speculation, and asset prices– Why owning assets matters more than timing marketsLead-Lag Live brings you inside conversations with the financial thinkers who shape markets. Subscribe for interviews that go deeper than the noise#LeadLagLive #StockMarket #AI #LukeLloyd #FederalReserve  #Psychology #MarketOutlook #Macro #RetirementPlanningStart your adventure with TableTalk Friday: A D&D Podcast at the link below or wherever you get your podcasts!Youtube: https://youtube.com/playlist?list=PLgB6B-mAeWlPM9KzGJ2O4cU0-m5lO0lkr&si=W_-jLsiREjyAIgEsSpotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/75YJ921WGQqUtwxRT71UQB?si=4R6kaAYOTtO2V Support the show

The $FUN token is live...so what does that actually mean for Sport.Fun?In this episode of SDF with Laird, I'm joined by psufans2 to break down the launch of the $FUN token, where the NFL and football markets currently stand, and what we're watching closely in the short and medium term for the platform.We'll cover:• What the $FUN launch changes (and what it doesn't)• How NFL and football markets compare right now• Liquidity, engagement, and where opportunity might be forming• What needs to go right next for Sport.Fun to keep growing• Why fun actually matters more than people think in these marketsThis is part market check-in, part forward-looking conversation — and very much about understanding where Sport.Fun is heading from here.If you're playing, considering playing, or just trying to figure out the ecosystem, this one's for you.Subscribe for more Sport.Fun coverage and daily discussions.And join Sport.Fun here: https://pro.sport.fun/login/?referral_code=UITMX28FXU9

In this episode of the Be Wealthy Podcast, Brett Tanner and Katelyn Mitchell break down the real reasons why most real estate professionals never become millionaires — even when they earn great income.Using Warren Buffett's wealth philosophy as a foundation, Brett explains how long-term thinking, compounding, and disciplined decision-making create real wealth over decades — not overnight. Together, Brett and Katelyn unpack common financial traps like overleveraging, emotional decision-making, lifestyle inflation, and constantly “visiting” your capital.This episode dives deep into wealth models, cash flow strategy, debt discipline, and how small financial choices compound into massive outcomes over time. If you've ever felt “behind” financially or confused about why hard work hasn't translated into wealth yet, this conversation brings clarity, structure, and a proven path forward.

Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.This video drops you straight into a live trading session where real decisions are being made with real money on the line. No hindsight. No cherry-picking. Just walking through how trades are actually evaluated, filtered, and executed inside a U.S. Investing Championship portfolio.The session kicks off by laying out the context. This is Plan M, the most aggressive plan in the playbook. That matters because nothing gets added unless the market, the sector, and the stock are all aligned. Before even thinking about new trades, existing positions are reviewed first. If something needs to be reduced or closed, that happens before adding risk. That step alone separates disciplined traders from reactive ones.From there, the focus zooms out to the market. Trend structure, moving averages, ATR levels, and fear and greed data are all checked to see if the environment actually supports taking risk. The goal is not to predict. It's to listen to what the market is already saying. If the market is not in a position to support aggressive trades, nothing gets forced.Once the market looks solid, attention shifts to the sector level. This is where relative strength starts to matter. Sectors showing rising momentum, bullish breadth, and improving fear and greed scores move to the front of the line. Everything else gets ignored. Simplicity wins here.Only after those boxes are checked do individual stocks come into play. Each candidate is run through strict criteria around trend, buy signals, price levels, distance from order blocks, and liquidity. If even one piece doesn't line up, the trade is skipped without hesitation. There is zero emotional attachment to any ticker.You also get a clear look at how patience works in real time. Some setups are ready immediately. Others look promising but need more time to confirm. Instead of guessing, they're put on watch and revisited later. Waiting is part of the strategy, not a mistake.When a trade finally goes on, every step is intentional. Liquidity is checked first. Delta selection is deliberate. Extrinsic value is calculated. Position size is determined based on predefined risk, not gut feel. If capital is needed, it's raised by trimming existing positions rather than overextending the account.Here are some of the biggest takeaways from this session:✅ How Plan M stays aggressive without blowing up risk✅ Why market and sector alignment come before stock selection✅ How fear and greed data is used as confirmation, not prediction✅ What real liquidity rules look like when trading options✅ How entries, exits, rolls, and emergency stops are planned in advanceOne of the most important parts of this video is seeing trades marked on the chart immediately after entry. Entry zones, roll levels, stop losses, and emergency exits are defined upfront. That way, decisions don't have to be made under pressure later. This is how emotion gets removed from the process.If you've ever wondered what a professional, rules-based trading workflow actually looks like while the clock is running, this session shows it clearly. It's not flashy. It's not rushed. It's methodical, disciplined, and repeatable. That's the real edge.Gain instant access to the AI-powered tools and behavioral insights top traders use to spot big moves before the crowd. Start trading smarter today

Are you looking to save time, make money, and start winning with less risk? Then head to https://www.ovtlyr.com.Alright, let's talk about what's actually going on here, because this isn't one of those “trust me bro” trading sessions.This is what real trading looks like when rules matter and money is on the line. Trades are planned before they're placed. Risk gets reduced before anything new is added. And there's zero pretending that anyone knows what the market is going to do next. Wins can happen. Losses can happen. The only thing that matters is whether the process makes sense and whether it's followed.The whole flow starts with pulling risk off the table. That's not exciting, but it's necessary. Freeing up capital first makes everything else cleaner and calmer. From there, the focus shifts to what actually drives returns. The market comes first. Always. A big chunk of any stock's movement has nothing to do with the company itself, and everything to do with the broader trend.Once the market direction is clear, attention narrows into sectors. Not opinions. Not headlines. Actual data. Fear and greed, breadth, trend structure, and whether money is flowing in or quietly leaking out. If a sector isn't lining up, it's ignored completely. No forcing trades. No convincing yourself something “should” work.Only then do individual stocks even matter. And even there, the bar is high. Liquidity matters. Trend alignment matters. Backtested expectancy matters. If a stock doesn't fit the plan, it gets skipped without a second thought. That discipline is the edge most people never develop.When it comes time to use options, it's done with intention. Position size is decided before clicking anything. Open interest, bid ask spreads, extrinsic value, and delta all get checked so trades can actually be entered and exited without friction. Leverage is used, but it's controlled. Exits are defined upfront so emotions don't get a vote later.Here's the kind of stuff that gets walked through naturally:✅ Why risk reduction always comes before new trades✅ How market trend quietly controls most outcomes✅ Why sector strength matters more than stock stories✅ How fear and greed data helps with timing✅ Why exit rules are more important than entriesThere's also a heavy emphasis on documentation. Every trade gets logged. Prices get marked to market. Reasons for entries and exits are written down. Not because it's fun, but because future you will not remember why a decision was made. This is how patterns show up. This is how mistakes stop repeating.One of the biggest takeaways is how boring good trading actually is. There's no adrenaline chasing. No panic selling. No FOMO buying something because it's moving fast. Trades can lose and still be correct. Trades can win and still be sloppy. The scoreboard is consistency over time, not individual outcomes.If trading has ever felt chaotic, stressful, or emotional, this is what the opposite looks like. Calm execution. Clear rules. No drama. Just a repeatable process designed to stack small edges and let probability do the heavy lifting.That's the whole point.Gain instant access to the AI-powered tools and behavioral insights top traders use to spot big moves before the crowd. Start trading smarter today

Bruce said something on the show that stuck with me because it's so honest: Everyone thinks they're an aggressive investor… until they lose money. And it's true. Most people don't even realize the biggest financial planning mistakes they're making until the moment something “unexpected” happens: a market drop, a job change, a medical curveball, an opportunity they can't jump on because their money is locked away. https://www.youtube.com/live/wp4PzmsvzFQ Bruce also joked that when people go to casinos, nobody ever admits they lost. They either “won” or “broke even.” But those crystal chandeliers weren't paid for by winners. That's exactly what happens in real life with money. In the good years, we feel smart. In the up markets, we feel confident. And when everyone around us is sharing their “wins,” it's easy to believe the biggest risk is simply not being invested enough. But then the market drops. A business hits a slow season. A medical issue shows up. Interest rates shift. Taxes rise. Or the opportunity you've been praying for appears—and your cash is locked up, waiting on someone else's permission. That's what today's conversation is about: the sneaky, everyday financial planning mistakes that create real risk—often more than the stock market ever will. What Most Financial Planning Mistakes Really Look LikeFinancial Planning Mistakes Start With Misunderstanding “Risk”Risk tolerance vs risk capacity (and why it matters)Financial Planning Mistakes: Chasing Returns vs Long-Term Financial SecurityThe hidden cost of FOMOThe Safety, Liquidity, and Growth FrameworkHow to balance safety, liquidity, and growth in a portfolioLiquidity Risk in Financial Planning: Locking Money Away Without Realizing ItFinancial Planning Mistakes: Outsourcing Control and Financial Thinking1) Relying on assumptions instead of strategy2) Giving up access and permissionRetirement Planning Mistakes: Why the “Way Down the Mountain” Is HarderWhat is sequence of returns risk in retirement?How to reduce sequence of returns riskTax Risk: Required Minimum Distributions and the Inherited IRA 10-Year RuleRequired minimum distributions tax planningInherited IRA 10-year rule taxes (SECURE Act)How to Minimize Risk: Whole Life Insurance Cash Value - Liquidityand Legacy ProtectionWhole life insurance as a volatility bufferA personal note on why this mattersWhat to Remember and What to Do NextListen to the Full Episode on Financial Planning MistakesFAQWhat are the most common financial planning mistakes?What is sequence of returns risk in retirement?How do you define risk tolerance vs risk capacity?Why is liquidity important in financial planning?How do required minimum distributions create tax risk?How does the inherited IRA 10-year rule affect heirs?Can whole life insurance reduce portfolio risk? What Most Financial Planning Mistakes Really Look Like When most people hear the word “risk,” they immediately think of market volatility. The stock market goes up and down. Inflation eats purchasing power. Taxes change. Interest rates rise. Those are real risks. But they're not the only risks—and for many families, they're not even the biggest ones. Some of the most risky moves in financial planning are the ones that feel “normal”: Chasing returns because you don't want to miss out Locking money away without liquidity Relying on assumptions instead of strategy Outsourcing too much control and decision-making Ignoring tax risk until required minimum distributions force your hand Building retirement plans without accounting for sequence of returns risk This post is designed to help you identify the financial planning mistakes that quietly erode your financial strength. You'll also learn a simple framework—safety, liquidity, and growth—that makes decisions clearer, and helps you reduce risk in ways most financial conversations never touch. If you want more control, more flexibility, and more confidence in your future, this is for you. Financial Planning Mistakes Start With Misunderstanding “Risk” Risk is a subjective word. What feels risky to you might feel normal to your friend, your neighbor, or even your spouse. People in the same family can interpret “risk” in completely different ways. That's why generic risk questionnaires often miss the point. They may score your “risk tolerance,” but they can't fully capture how you'll actually respond when real money is on the line and emotions show up. One of the clearest ways to surface what risk truly means to you is to compare two types of risk most people don't realize they carry: The risk of losing money (or seeing your account value drop) The risk of missing upside (watching the market rise while your portfolio lags) Here's a simple question that cuts through the noise: If the stock market goes up 20% and you only go up 5%, does that make you feel worse than if the market goes down 20% and you go down 20%—but you could have only gone down 5%? Both matter. Both affect behavior. Both can lead to costly decisions—especially if your plan was built without understanding which kind of risk you actually can live with. Risk tolerance vs risk capacity (and why it matters) Another layer that's often overlooked is the difference between risk tolerance and risk capacity. Risk tolerance is emotional. It's how you feel. Risk capacity is structural. It's whether you can absorb a financial hit without changing your life, your timeline, or your goals. Someone might feel “aggressive” in theory—but if they can't open their investment statements during a downturn, that's a signal. If a portfolio drop would force them to delay retirement, sell assets at the wrong time, or sacrifice lifestyle essentials, that's a signal too. Many financial planning mistakes happen when confidence is treated as a plan. Financial Planning Mistakes: Chasing Returns vs Long-Term Financial Security One of the most common risky financial planning moves is chasing returns without thinking through the cost of the downside. It's easy to get pulled into what looks like success—especially when you're only seeing the highlight reel. People talk about the big win: The stock that exploded The crypto run The rental property that doubled The syndication that paid great returns for a few years What you don't hear as often is the full story: the losses, the near-misses, the stress, the deals that didn't work, the years where returns were negative, or the moment one major downturn wiped out a decade of progress. There's also a common belief that causes people to justify risky moves: “More risk means higher returns.” That's not what higher risk means. Higher risk means higher potential for loss. Sometimes you win big. Sometimes you lose big. And it only takes one major loss to erase years of steady gains. This is why chasing returns vs long-term financial security is such an important conversation. The goal isn't to catch every upside. The goal is to build a system that lets you keep moving forward—regardless of what the economy does. The hidden cost of FOMO Fear of missing out isn't just emotional—it changes behavior. It can push you to: Abandon a sound plan for a trendy one Overconcentrate in one asset class Take on leverage you wouldn't normally take Move money too quickly without understanding what you're buying FOMO convinces you that the risk is “not being in.” But sometimes the real risk is being in something you don't understand, can't control, and can't exit cleanly. The Safety, Liquidity, and Growth Framework There are three primary attributes that matter in every financial decision: Safety Liquidity Growth Most people have been taught to focus almost exclusively on growth. That's why financial planning mistakes are so common—because growth is only one part of the equation. You generally can't maximize all three attributes in one place. Each asset carries trade-offs. That doesn't mean you avoid growth. It means you assign each bucket of money a purpose—and then choose the asset that does that job best. How to balance safety, liquidity, and growth in a portfolio A better question than “What's the best investment?” is: What is this money supposed to do? Different dollars have different jobs. Some dollars are meant to be stable and accessible (emergency reserves, opportunity funds, tax buffers). Some dollars can take on long-term growth risk (true long-term capital). Some dollars are meant to create income, serve as a legacy tool, or act as a stability anchor. When every dollar is forced into a growth-only mindset, families create unnecessary vulnerability. Liquidity Risk in Financial Planning: Locking Money Away Without Realizing It Liquidity risk is one of the most underestimated financial planning mistakes. It shows up when you can't access your money without: penalties approvals delays forced timing market losses gatekeepers It might be your money, but it isn't in your control. This can happen in many places: retirement accounts with early withdrawal penalties strategies that require “qualifying” to access cash equity trapped in assets that can't be sold quickly products that take months (or longer) to unwind investments that require perfect conditions to exit A real example: someone retiring from a school system is offered a pension decision—take a higher monthly payment, or reduce it to take a lump sum. The lump sum sounds like “freedom,” but if it must be rolled to an IRA and the person is under 59½, access is restricted without penalty. That's a liquidity problem. And it's a control problem. “Locking money away without liquidity” is often disguised as “being responsible” Many people make decisions that look responsible on paper—max out accounts,

Babcock International Group has rapidly overhauled its global cash management. Since completing its core project in early 2023, the group has cut complexity, unlocked visibility over 95% of global balances, and reshaped treasury's role at the heart of the business.

It is no secret: The housing market has been engineered to keep you out. Institutions are buying entire neighborhoods while the average saver is told to "wait for rates to drop." That is a dead end. Today, we are deploying a specific Counter-Measure. We are bypassing the banks, skipping the mortgage, and buying shares of cash-flowing rental properties for as little as $100. I'm sitting down with Nick Roman from Real Bricks to expose how fractional ownership is no longer a "crypto gimmick"—it is SEC-regulated, deed-backed Liquidity that puts you on the same playing field as the hedge funds. But we aren't just playing offense. We are playing Active Defense. Later in this episode, I'm showing you the "Yellowstone Loophole"—how to use bees, "ugly house" photos, and specific legal exemptions to slash your property tax bill. The county treats you like a tenant on your own land. It's time to cut their rent.

2025 may not have been a failure for Bitcoin but a crucial setup for a massive liquidity-driven surge in 2026, requiring $8 trillion to support debt interest payments. Raoul Pal explains how liquidity—not narratives—dominates price action, the Fed's diminished role due to fiscal dominance, and how AI, tokenization, and smart contracts will transform crypto and global markets. Despite setbacks like government shutdowns and market overhangs, institutional adoption and technological integration position 2026 as a pivotal year for a potential crypto bull run and economic shift.

I had the pleasure of co-hosting another episode of Excess Returns with Matt Zeigler.In this wide-ranging conversation, Gautam Baid joins Excess Returns to discuss the principles that shaped his investing philosophy, the lessons learned through bear markets, and why compounding, patience, and quality matter far more than forecasts or short-term performance. Drawing from his books The Joys of Compounding and The Making of a Value Investor, Baid shares a deeply reflective framework for long-term investing, portfolio construction, behavioral discipline, and global diversification, with insights spanning Indian and US markets, liquidity cycles, AI, and investor psychology.Available now on Excess Returns Podcast and Talking Billions.

In this episode of The Defiant Podcast, Chris Storaker sits down with Alex Garn, Chief Product Officer at Borderless, to unpack how stablecoins are quietly transforming cross-border payments — and what it actually takes to move money at scale across jurisdictions.Alex walks through Borderless' role as an orchestration layer for global on- and off-ramps, why the company stays out of the flow of funds, and how a single API can replace dozens of fragmented integrations across local regulators, liquidity providers, and banking partners.We explore why stablecoins are moving beyond trading and DeFi collateral into real-world enterprise payments, where they already outperform legacy rails on settlement speed, transparency, and custody — especially across emerging market corridors like Latin America and Southeast Asia.The conversation also digs into the hard parts: liquidity constraints by corridor, KYC and compliance friction, why US–EU payments still favor SWIFT, and whether incumbents like Visa, Mastercard, and SWIFT are more likely to be disrupted or to acquire their way into the future.Finally, Alex shares his outlook on regulatory clarity post-GENIUS, the coming wave of corporate stablecoin adoption, and why distribution — not branding — will determine which stablecoins ultimately win.00:00 — Intro: Alex joins The Defiant Podcast01:30 — From DeFi & data science to stablecoin payments04:10 — What Borderless does: orchestration vs custody07:10 — Why cross-border on/off-ramps are still fragmented10:00 — Stablecoins beyond DeFi: real enterprise payment use cases12:45 — Treasury management, payouts, and B2B adoption15:30 — Liquidity realities: when $10M+ stablecoin payments work18:10 — Why US → Latin America leads stablecoin adoption20:30 — Where stablecoins don't win (yet): US–EU & SWIFT22:50 — KYC as the biggest bottleneck in crypto payments26:00 — Self-custody, bank risk, and corporate treasuries29:30 — Stablecoins vs SWIFT: speed, cost, and settlement33:00 — Visa, Mastercard, SWIFT, and the M&A race36:40 — Regulation after GENIUS and global spillover effects39:40 — What enterprise adoption looks like in the next 2–3 years42:30 — Stablecoin fragmentation, liquidity, and consolidation45:00 — Closing thoughts: what excites Alex most about the future

Michael Howell, founder & CEO of Crossborder Capital, explains why he calculates the global liquidity cycle has peaked.He predicts stocks will go lower by the end of 2026.And possibly for several more years to come.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#liquidity #marketcorrection #marketcrash _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It's important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer's unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security's or a firm's past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2026 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

113 Minimizing Taxes in Retirement | Liquidity Event | December 18 | Michelle Owens JD, CLU, ChFC, CEBS   The Entreprenudist Podcast https://entreprenudist.com At The Liquidity Event December 18, 2025 | Sponsored by Insurance Claim HQ Powered by Hair Shunnarah Trial Attorneys. We welcomed Michelle Owens JD, CLU, ChFC, CEBS, Manager Advanced at Mutual of Omaha Insurance Company, to discuss one of the most critical yet overlooked aspects of retirement planning: minimizing taxes in retirement. In this session, Michelle breaks down: -Why taxes can significantly impact retirement income -Common tax mistakes retirees and pre-retirees make -How proactive planning helps protect income and legacy -Strategies designed to help retirees keep more of what they have earned This conversation is essential for individuals approaching retirement, retirees, and anyone focused on preserving wealth and creating long-term financial stability .------------------ Struggling with a denied or delayed insurance claim? Let the experts at Insurance Claim HQ Powered by Hair Shunnarah Trial Attorneys, help you get what you're owed. Visit https://insuranceclaimhq.com and take the first step toward the settlement you deserve. Hosted by Randolph Love III, ChFC®, The Entreprenudist Podcast is a platform where real entrepreneurs and business owners bare it all. Ranked in the top 10% of business podcasts, it shares unfiltered stories, challenges, and triumphs, providing valuable insights for aspiring and seasoned business leaders alike.

First off — Happy New Year. To kick off the year, this week's episode of the Wealth Formula Podcast is a solo one from me. I spend the episode walking through my outlook for 2026 and sharing a few predictions for how I think this cycle is going to play out. Lately, I keep hearing the same question phrased in different ways. The economy feels tight, but markets are holding up. Growth is coming in stronger than expected, inflation is easing, and yet a lot of the signals people usually rely on just don't seem to be lining up. That disconnect is really the starting point for this episode. Rather than reacting to headlines or making short-term calls, I wanted to step back and talk through the mechanics of what's actually driving this environment — and why it looks so different from the cycles most of us learned about. A lot of it comes down to debt, policy constraints, how capital moves today, and the growing influence of technology. When you start looking at those pieces together, some of the things that feel confusing begin to make a lot more sense. This isn't meant to be alarmist or overly optimistic. It's simply an attempt to frame the environment clearly so you can think about it more intelligently — especially if you're deploying capital or deciding whether it makes sense to sit on the sidelines. If you've felt like the economy and the markets aren't really speaking the same language right now, I think you'll find this episode useful. Transcript Disclaimer: This transcript was generated by AI and may not be 100% accurate. If you notice any errors or corrections, please email us at phil@wealthformula.com.  You need to be out of the dollar and into the investor class because that that widening gap between those who have, who own things, who own assets and those who do not is gonna continue to widen. Welcome everybody. This is Buck Joffrey with the Wealth Formula Podcast, and today I am going to do something a little bit different. I’m gonna kind of give you. My perspective, maybe predictions I dare say about, uh, the upcoming year in 2026, how I look at it, what I think, uh, uh, is likely outcome and why. Not that I am any smarter than any of you on this stuff, but I’ve actually kind of sat down and, and thought about, you know, the things that are going on in the macroeconomic. Side of things and, um, put some stuff together and, uh, hopefully you’ll enjoy it. We’ll have, uh, that right after these messages. Wealth formula banking is an ingenious concept powered by whole life insurance, but instead of acting just as a safety net, the strategy supercharges your investments. First, you create a personal financial reservoir that grows at a compounding interest rate much higher than any bank savings account. As your money accumulates, you borrow from. Your own bank to invest in other cash flowing investments. Here’s the key. Even though you’ve borrowed money at a simple interest rate, your insurance company keeps paying you compound interest on that money even though you’ve borrowed it at result, you make money in two places at the same time. That’s why your invest. Get supercharged. This isn’t a new technique. It’s a refined strategy used by some of the wealthiest families in history, and it uses century old rock solid insurance companies as its backbone. Turbocharge your investments. Visit Wealthformulabanking.com. Again, that’s wealthformulabanking.com. Welcome back everyone, and, uh, happy New Year to you. I forgot to even say that in the intro. How rude of me. Hopefully you had a great holiday, you had a great Christmas, and you’re bringing in the new year with a vision of health and wealth and PO prosperity and all that stuff. So anyway, let’s talk a little bit about, uh, you know what I am. Kinda looking at for 2026. Now, when you think about, well, what are these predictions and what could they be and all that, um, interest rates, inflation markets, you know, uh, let’s set the foundation for how I’m thinking about it, because everything else really kind of builds on it. And the most important thing to understand is that debt. Is really now I think the main character in the economy. I know we, people have been talking about this for a very long time, but I think, I think the debt issue is really, really becoming something that cannot be ignored, and I’ll get into that in a while. Obviously, I’m not saying that inflation and interest rates don’t matter. They matter enormously. Uh, those are the things that people actually feel, right? Higher prices, higher mortgage rates, higher insurance costs. What I’m saying is that the level of debt now determines really how decisions on those things are made from policy makers. You know, how do they respond to inflation and interest rates, recessions market stress. What debt does is it actually kinda limits the range of choices around how policy makers react to all these things. So once you see that, the behavior of the economy starts to, I think, make a lot more sense. So let’s start with. Sovereign debt, and I’m gonna start really basic here because the question is, you know, what exactly is sovereign debt? Okay. And sovereign debt is the money a government owes, okay? In the US it exists because the government consistently spends more than it collects in taxes, and that gap is called the deficit. When that happens year after year, you have an accumulation of debt. Now, when debt is low, it’s, it’s pretty manageable, right? But when debt gets very large, it starts to influence policy decisions, and that’s where we are right now. Uh, here’s the key mechanic that I think most people don’t really think about, right? Governments don’t pay off debt the way you and I, you know, pay off our debt, like mortgage or whatever. They always refinance it, right? So when the US government borrows money, it issues bonds. That’s how it does, those bonds have maturity dates, and when you buy a bond, you’re, you know, you’re loaning the government money. So when a bond matures, the government owes that principle back to you. Right? So that’s, that’s kind of how well we talk about, we talk about debt, but the government doesn’t save money over time to pay off that bond. Like, I mean, that’s the way you would think about it for you and me, right? I mean, at some point you’re like, ah, I really need to pay off this debt. I’m just gonna pay it off with this money that I saved. Instead, what they do is when a bond comes due, it issues a new bond and uses the money from that new bond to pay back the old one. Okay. Now, if that sounds familiar, uh, to you, it’s because it’s pretty much what we would call in plain English refinancing, right? Now imagine though, the government issued a bond a few years ago when interest rates were near zero. That bond matures today, interest rates are much higher, right to pay off the old bond. The government issues a new one at today’s higher rates. So the debt doesn’t disappear, it just becomes more expensive to carry, right? I mean, it’s just like you got a mortgage, you know you had a, a great rate, but you only got it for seven years and all of sudden you gotta refinance it. Gosh, all of a sudden that rate went really higher and your payments are much higher, and the debt payments going up, you know, for the government, what adds to that deficit? It’s a really, really vicious cycle. Now, take that process and multiply it across trillions of dollars of debt. Now you can start seeing why interest rates matter so much in a high debt system. Now, what makes this especially important right now is that for over the last several years, the US issued a very large amount of short-term debt. Short-term debt matures quickly, and that means large portions of government debt. Come due every year and have to be refinanced at whatever the interest rate exists at the time. So even if deficit stock growing tomorrow, which they won’t, the government would still need smooth functioning financial markets just to keep refinancing what it al what already exists now. This is why the economy has become so sensitive to interest rates, liquidity and confidence. Higher interest rates increase the cost of refinancing, right? We’ve mentioned that already. And that pushes deficits higher and forces even more borrowing. So I mentioned liquidity. What is that? Well, liquidity is about how easily money moves through the system. When liquidity is good, bonds are easily absorbed. Banks lend markets function normally, and when liquidity dries up, refinancing becomes fragile. That stress. Stress in the market spreads quickly. And then finally, confidence I mentioned too. Why does confidence matter? Well, confidence matters because investors need to believe that the system is gonna hold together. When confidence weakens, guess what happens? Well, what would happen if you think about it with a loan, a higher risk loan? While investors demand higher yields like refinance, it becomes even more expensive. And problems compound fast. Now, this is why Pol policymakers are extremely uncomfortable with high borrowing costs, reduced lending, falling asset values, and deep recessions. Recessions, by the way, don’t make debt easier to manage. They make it harder by reducing tax revenue and worsening debt ratios. Now that brings me to a, something that I am feeling sort of back and forth with. Um. You know, a listener who sent me some commentary about, you know, the fear of going back to 1970s, eighties style interest rates. But the thing is that I just don’t think that comparison works, and here’s why. Okay, so in the 1970s, the US had far less debt. Interest rates could go very high without threatening the government’s ability to refinance itself. Now today, with debt much larger relative to the economy, very high rates don’t just fight inflation. They stress the entire financial structure, right? You can’t just say, oh, we’re gonna make super high rates because the cost of all that debt the government has is gonna be extraordinarily expensive. Now, that doesn’t mean that rates can’t rise. It means policymakers have far less tolerance for how high and how long rates can stay elevated. It’s a completely different system from the 1970s and eighties. So I think trying to put things into that context is probably not, um, not a, a good way to think about it. So why am I fo focusing on this right now? Uh, instead of a few years ago, because again, we stu we didn’t suddenly become a high debt economy this year. So what changed? Well timing a massive amount of debt that was issued at very low interest rates, as I mentioned before, is now maturing and being refinanced at much higher rates, and that shift is no longer theoretical. It’s happening in real time. Last year, much of that low uh, rate, debt was still in place. Interest costs hadn’t fully reset, but going into 2026, they have no, I, I keep talking about, you know, how much we’re paying an interest, right? Because again, that’s a big difference between now and the 1970s when you could have, you know, you didn’t have as much debt so you could pay more interest on it. Right now, the US is now spending roughly a trillion dollars a year just on interest. Her perspective, right? I mean, what’s a trillion dollars? Uh, what does that even mean for the normal person? Well, for Perce perspective, that’s the defense budget. $1 trillion. It’s more than Medicare, more than most major federal programs. And the thing is that money doesn’t do anything, right. It doesn’t create growth. It just services past borrowing. And this is the point where debt stops being background noise, kind of an annoyance that people just say, well, we’ll kick it to the next generation. It start starts actively shaping, uh, policy decisions because it’s, it’s a thing that you gotta pay for. You gotta keep paying for it. So the takeaway I want you to carry forward is simple. We now live in a system where policymakers don’t have the luxury of letting things break when debt is low. Governments can tolerate deep recessions like you saw in the seventies and eighties and long recoveries. When debt is high, they can’t because even small shocks can just really get outta control quickly. And that’s the framework I think, uh, that I’m using as we move into interest rates, inflation, and what all this means for markets going into 2026. So let’s talk about interest rates. You’ve heard me say that I think that interest rates are gonna come down. Um, they’re gonna continue to tick down a little bit. I don’t think a lot, but I do think there’ll probably be at least one more rate cut. I think, you know, you’re probably gonna have some, um, uh, some lowering in the 10 year and, and the bond market in general. Uh, but interest rates are not gonna go back to 2010, right? They just aren’t. And. The 2010s were not normal. There were a very specific period created by very specific conditions, right? Inflation was persistently low, uh, but just wouldn’t go up. Globalization, uh, push prices down. Capital was abundant. Debt levels, well, they were high, but they’re rising, but they hadn’t become what they are now. And because of that, central banks could hold rates near zero without much consequence. That environment, unfortunately, does not exist now. So today, debt is much higher. Inflation risk is real again, and investors expect to be compensated for lending money long term. So even when rates decline from current levels, they do not return, uh, they will not return to where people, uh, anchor them psychologically. If they’re thinking about the 2000 tens, they’re gonna settle higher. Within the 2000 tens baseline, you see policymakers are kind of stuck if rates, uh, say too high for too long. We mentioned this before. Refinancing government debt becomes increasingly expensive. Interest costs rise, deficits, widen, and then you get that financial stress that’s spreads through the credit markets. But if rates are pushed too low for too long, borrowing accelerates. And that’s. When inflation resurfaces and confidence in the currency weakens, so then that’s the tug of war. So policymakers, uh, you know, they, they can no longer choose between high rates and low rates. They’re gonna be choosing how to manage, uh, the trade-offs, right? So what’s gonna happen is that you’re gonna see that rates are gonna move within a range. Uh, they come down when something breaks, they move back up when inflation pressures recurrent. Um, that’s why volatility matters more than the exact. Level of rates going forward, in my opinion. So we’re, we’re not returning to free money. We are also not headed to a permanent 1970 style high rate world. What we are doing is entering a time where borrowing costs matter. Again, refinancing is not guaranteed, and rate swings are part of the system, and that naturally leads to the question of inflation. So once you understand why rates. You know, don’t go back to the 2010. The next question becomes, uh, well, if policymakers can’t keep rates high for long and they can’t push them back to zero either, then what are they actually trying to ac accomplish? Well, the answer is that, that the goal is kind of shifted for decades. Economic policy was focused on disinflation, um, you know, pushing inflation lower and lower. Over time, uh, and inflation was actually treated as a failure, and that made sense. In a world with lower debt in a high debt world, that logic sort of breaks down, right? Deflation, which is actually falling prices, increases the real value of debt. Think about that for a moment. Like just in terms of. You know, you have a mortgage and you know, sometime, you know, your parents might have like a 30 year mortgage or something like that, that they’ve had for 25 years. They’ve been paying it off and it’s great. But the bigger thing to notice is the amount of money that they borrowed is actually very small in real world dollars because it’s, you know, 25 years later. See, inflation is bad when it’s, you know, you’re dealing with it, but inflation is. Good at one other thing, which is it’s good at eroding debt. It will make, uh, the amount of the value of the, you know, the actual money that you owe on debt lower over time. So that’s why you can’t have deflation, right? You can’t have deflation because that increases the real value of the debt. It discourages spending, slows growth and makes refinancing harder. So in today’s system, deflation is way, way more dangerous than moderate inflation. And so because of that inflation really isn’t something that I think is quite as important that has to be eliminated at all costs. That, you know, you have to be right at 2%, which is, you know, kind of what the, the fed his, his target is, right? Instead, what you gotta do is you gotta manage it. Of course, that doesn’t mean you want runaway inflation. What they wanna do is have enough inflation to keep nominal growth positive and prevent debt burdens from become heavier again. Why? What do I mean by that? You gotta have enough inflation to erode the debt that we have, right? So this is why that 2% inflation target should be understood. As, you know, kind of aspirational, but not absolute because having a little higher inflation, yeah, it hurts people. It’s, uh, it hurts people on a day-to-day basis, but actually helps with that. So even at, uh, you know, inflation sell a bit higher than, than, than the, you know, 2% fed target say it’s 4%, it’s actually eroding, uh, you know, it is eroding purchasing power, but it’s also eroding debt. It’s, it’s stabilizing debt dynamics. From the system’s perspective, of course that’s helpful. But for us, we’re paying for things on a day-to-day basis to see the cost of eggs and all that. It’s, it’s frustrating, right? And that tension between system stability and personal cost, it’s one of the defining features of the economy heading into 2026. So when you see policymakers tolerate inflation, uh, longer. Then you think they should or step in quickly When markets kind of wobble, it’s not confusion or incompetence, it’s actually constraint because debt limits the available choices. Rates are managed within a range. Inflation is guided and not eliminated. Now put those together and you get the environment we’re moving into, which is an economy where markets can look. Resilient, even while people feel stretched, right? I mean, that’s kinda what we’re feeling. Everybody’s like, oh, these markets are doing fantastic, you know? But then, you know, you look at consumer confidence, it goes down. It’s been going down every month. This is an environment where asset prices recover faster than wages, and we’re understanding how policy reacts becomes a real advantage. So that’s kind of my macro setup for 2026. Um, you know, with that framework, we can start looking into the first prediction I’ll make. And again, these are not, you know, crazy predictions. Uh, they are just generalized things that I think you’re gonna see. So, like the first one is that the markets will stop being reliable proxy for the economy. You could argue that’s already happened, right? Markets in the economy kind of stopped correlating. We saw it after the financial crisis, right? We saw it very clearly even during COVID. The decoupling itself is not new. What’s new is that that decoupling is no longer temporary. It’s become the baseline that’s become the new normal. Uh, for most of modern history people had a fairly reliable mental model, right? You probably do. If you grew up in the eighties and nineties, uh, as a kid or whatever, when the economy felt bad, layoffs, we growth falling in con incomes, markets usually reflected the pain. Right. Sometimes there was a gap. Sometimes markets recovered a little earlier, but eventually things kinda re converged. The economy healed. We just caught up in the markets and lived experience kinda lined up. Now that’s the model that most people still have in their heads, and that’s why so many people feel so confused right now. I mean, I feel confused by it. So what’s changed going into 2026? You know, it, it is, it’s structural Now. We’re no longer living in a system where policy intervenes only during emergencies. We are, uh, in a system where policy is always on, debt is permanently high, rates are actively managed, inflation is tolerated rather than eliminated. And as a result of that, markets aren’t really necessarily responding primarily to how. The economy feels to people they’re responding. Uh, you know, it’s responding to refinancing needs. Liquidity management. Uh, confidence preservation. That’s a very different signal. COVID is the clearest example of that ship, but it’s, it’s important to understand it correctly. So in 2020, the economy was literally shut down, right? Unemployment exploded. Uh, small businesses were collapsing, right? Like, this is COVID and yet markets bottom quickly. We saw that and then bam. All time highs, even though life kind of felt terrible for a lot of people. And that wasn’t because the economy was healthy, it was because policy overwhelmed fundamentals. And at the time that felt extraordinary. It felt very different. Like this doesn’t make any sense. What’s different now is that we’re still using the same playbook but with out in obvious crisis. So intervention is no longer reactive. It’s, you know, uh, it’s preventative. So what do I predict for 2026? Well, markets are gonna stop being a reliable proxy for economic health. Uh, you, you people can just stop talking about that. Like it, like it, it means anything anymore. Markets going to increasingly reflect how constrained policymakers are and how much liquidity is in the system, and how aggressively risk is being managed. They’re not gonna, the markets are not gonna tell you. About affordability, wage pressure, or whether life feels easier or harder for people. Right. Those are completely gonna, those are, it’s just a standard thing now that those are uncorrelated and the gap is not, uh, abnormal anymore. It’s. The operating environment. So what do you do with that information? Well, for an individual investor, this environment requires a real mindset shift, right? You can’t rely on your gut anymore. You can’t say, man, I feel like this economy doesn’t feel good. So the market’s gonna look at the, I mean, you, you, you know, a lot of people feel like the economy doesn’t feel good to them because of inflation, because of what happened with interest rates and all that stuff, right? But look it, you’ve got. Record breaking, uh, stock market numbers. You can’t rely on your gut anymore. Your gut is telling you the economy feels bad. For many people, that’s absolutely true. Costs are high. Again, things feel tight, and the instinct is to wait to sit in cash. To assume markets would reflect that pain, but that instinct used to work. And in this system it doesn’t because markets are no longer pricing in how the economy feels. They’re pricing policy response. Liquidity and constraints. So if you wait for the economy to feel good before you act, it’s gonna be way too late. So instead of asking, does the economy feel weak, you need to start asking different questions. You need to ask how constrained policymakers are, how quickly liquidity will return if markets wob on it, and where capital tends to flow first when policy steps sit. In other words. You gotta start really thinking about investing, right? Like you gotta, like right now. Now I’ve talked, I’ve beat this over many times before, but you know, you have, if you’re, if you’re saving money right now and you’re looking and you are wondering what to do, look for things that are on sale now. I spent real estate’s on sale right now. Right? Get your money into the markets one way or another. That’s what I would say. Whatever it is that you want to invest in. Don’t let your money just erode because this lack of correlation is, it’s a really, really important thing and it’s, it’s gonna continue to happen and you know what else is gonna happen Because of that, you’re gonna see an increasing widening up the wealth gap. People whose income is tied primarily to wages are, are gonna experience that inflation directly, right? Their money’s trapped in the real economy where costs rise faster than income. But investors on the other hand, have an opportunity to participate in the markets that are supported by this sort of unnatural infrastructure that I just mentioned, right? As asset prices are gonna continue going up. Now, I’m not here to judge whether that’s a good thing or a bad thing, I’m just telling you how it’s functions. So the investor class increasingly benefits from asset appreciation, right? Early access to liquidity. While lower income groups often can participate in that upside. Even as their cost of living rise, because they’re not in the markets, they’re not, they don’t own assets. So again, you have to stop, you know, using how the economy feels is your primary investing signal. If you wanna protect and grow your wealth in this environment, you need to understand how policy reacts, how you know liquidity moves, how assets behave when the system is under constraint. And in other words, uh, you know. Frankly, you just need to be part of the winning class, which is the investor class. Alright, so that’s kind of, uh, hopefully that made sense to you. Here’s another prediction for you, and this is probably more related to some of the things that we talk about usually, but I’ll say that multifamily and commercial real estate are going to finish their washout, and the window is gonna start to really close again. I’ve talked about this. Before, you’ve probably heard me say this, but let’s talk about multifamily and commercial real estate again, because you know, this audience doesn’t need just theory. You’ve already lived through the pain or the past two years you’ve seen deals blow up, capital calls go out, refinancings fail. So the real question going on in 2026 is not whether real estate breaks. It’s already, it already did. It already did. The real question is how much longer this phase lasts and what replaces it. My view is that 2025 into early 2026, um, represents the final phase of this unwind in the beginning of stabilization. I’m not predicting an immediate boom, not a return to 2021 by any means, but the end of obvious distress. So what’s happened already from 2022 to 2024? Multifamily and commercial real estate absorbed the fastest rate shock in modern history. Many of you lived through that. I lived through that. It’s painful. Debt costs doubled or tripled. Cap rates moved hundreds of basis points. You know, bridge debt structures broke, uh, refinancing assumptions collapsed. Now, a lot of the deals, I mean, I would say most of the deals, uh, uh, that, you know, kind of imploded, uh, shared the same DNA, you know, peaking price, uh, purchases, uh, during peak prices in 2021, early 2022. Uh, you know. Floating rate thin or negative cash flow based on, you know, the rates at the time. Maybe it was positive business plans that were really dependent on refi and rent growth. Um, those deals though, have largely already defaulted, recapitalize, or, you know, they’re being quietly handed back. And that matters because markets don’t keep breaking the same wave forever. If, if you’re seeing right now and if you’re in our investor club, you are. 30% discounts on a regular basis. Right? On a regular basis compared to the peak. Don’t assume that’s gonna last. That this is the key point I wanna make very clearly. If you’re looking at multifamily or commercial deals today that are trade trading at that 30% below where they were a couple years ago, you should not assume that window stays opening. Definitely because the level of discount there, uh, the level of discount exists because. Dried up liquidity, uh, because of that violent rate reset, uh, uncertainty. But here’s the thing, markets don’t stay frozen forever and as soon as pricing stabilizes, even at higher cap rates, which are going to be higher than they were, because you’re not gonna see interest rates down at zero, capital is gonna start to move again. And stabilization doesn’t require rates to go back to zero. It just requires some level of predictability. So here’s the sequence of what happens first, you know, the distress slows, uh, you see less and less defaults, and then slowly but surely cap rates stop expanding, right? That alone brings back buyers. Then as rates drift mo lower and volatility declines, lenders reenter selectively, debt becomes a billable again. It’s not cheap. It’s definitely usable and that brings more liquidity. When I say liquidity, in this context, I’m talking about just more deals getting done. And once liquidity returns, cap rates don’t stay wide forever. They compress, right? It’s competition. And again, when they compress, they’re not gonna go back to 2021 levels, but enough to meaningfully lift asset values from distressed pricing. This can happen faster than people expect, right? People underestimate the fact that there is an enormous amount of capital sitting on the sidelines right now in money market funds, short term treasuries, private capital, waiting for clarity. That capital isn’t, you know, permanent. The moment investors believe that rates of peak, that prices of stabilized downside risks is contained, that money starts to chase yield. When it does the transition from, nobody wants this, everyone wants exposure again, can happen surprisingly fast. In other words, I’m not saying I think this will happen in 26, but the shift from a market that is on sale, which I’ve described it as to a market that is starting to look a little frothy, can really be just a couple of years. And in that situation, I’d rather be a net seller, right? You wanna be accumulating. During this phase of for sale so that you can sell in froth. So what this means is that the market is, you know, uh, is not a market to wait for everything to feel perfect, because by the time it does, the obvious discounts are gonna be gone. And if you wait for perfect clarity, you’re gonna be competing, you competing with institutional capital, with large private funds and, and, and yield hungry money coming outta cash. The opportunity is not assuming distress lasts forever. It is. It’s in recognizing when the market is transitioning from forced selling, which is what is happening even now to price discovery. So ultimately, the prediction is this multifamily and commercial real estate, that that washout is completed in 2026 and the window created by distress really starts to close. Deep discounts don’t persist. Once market stabilized, which I think is what’s gonna happen, and then I think you’re gonna start to see a shift. You’re gonna start to see more deals, more liquidity, and that’s gonna return faster than people expect. In other words, this is gonna be the end of, you know, sort of this bargain basement, you know, panic pricing. And once real assets stabilize and liquidity returns, attention inevitably turns, uh, to the currency, those assets are priced in. Which brings us to the prediction number three. That dollar, okay, the dollar doesn’t collapse, but it does continue to erode. It slowly leak, right? Let’s talk about the dollar, ’cause you hear about this all the time, right? A nausea, you hear the, the weakening of the dollar. Um, this is one of those topics that where people tend to jump to extremes. You know, on one side you hear the dollar is about to collapse. On the other side you hear the dollar’s strong and everything’s fine. I think, um, the truth is somewhere in, in the middle. And my prediction for 2026 is simple. Um, again, the dollar doesn’t really explode. It doesn’t get replaced. It can just continues to erode slowly but surely. And that’s how reserve currencies actually behave when debt gets high. Right. So why no collapse, right? Because you got like people out there, uh, worried about the collapse of the US dollar. The US dollar is gonna remain dominant, not because it’s perfect, but because there’s no real alternative at scale. There just isn’t. Okay? There’s no other currency with markets as deep, as liquid and as widely used for trade debt and collateral. So, you know, reserve currencies, you know, you hear about the, the worry about us being the reserve currency. Well, reserve currencies don’t disappear overnight. They erode gradually, but they don’t disappear overnight. And that erosion shows up not as a crash, but again as persistent inflation, right? It’s rising, you know, real asset prices, which is again, where you wanna be, and a slow loss of purchasing power over time. Again, that brings us back to the whole issue of debt we were talking about, right? So in a highly indebted system, policymakers are not incentivized to aggressively defend the currency at all costs, right? So very high interest rates might strengthen the dollar in the short term, but they also make debt harder to service and financial stress worse, right? So instead of choosing strength or collapse. Um, you know, policy drifts towards tolerance, right? Inflation is allowed to run a little hotter than people expect, because again, it’s gonna erode that debt. The currency weakens slowly, therefore, rather than violently, right? Again, currency weakening. It’s that, it, it’s so entwined with this idea of inflation because debt becomes easier to manage in real terms. And one of the things I hear, and I’ve been sort of in these conversations back and forth with, um. At least one of you out there, uh, in, in emails is that, you know, I hear, uh, that, that, that there’s a, a serious problem for interest rates because of, you know, China, uh, selling US treasuries. And because of that you might get the collapse of the dollar. In fact, in this conversation, it was not only about China, but also Europe. Which, you know, I hadn’t actually heard anybody mention that before, but I guess that’s out there in the ecosystem and some of the newsletters. Now, all that sounds scary, but it really misunderstands how the system actually works. What exactly happens when someone or a country sells treasuries? Well, they don’t dis, they, they don’t just destroy the dollars. What they’re doing is they just swap $1 asset for another, right? The dollars don’t even lead the system. They change hands. So this idea of China selling off all it t trade, well, China’s been, uh, reducing its treasury holdings for years and the dollar hasn’t collapsed. The market absorbed it because treasuries are the deepest, most liquid market in the world. And then this idea of Europe, of of Europe actually dumping treasuries because, you know, they’re not happy with Donald Trump and what he’s doing in Ukraine and all that, that would be an absolute nightmare for, for Europe. That would hurt their own economy. That’s the last thing that an indebted government wants. So foreign selling, yeah, sure it’s gonna move yields, but it, it’s not gonna implode the dollar. But the reality of the, uh, erosion of the dollar is real. I don’t think anybody questions that anymore, and I think that is another reason that you need to be buying. Real assets. You need to be buying equity. You need to be on the side of the investor class. Okay? That’s, that’s how you combat all of this. So the real takeaway here ultimately is that, you know, it isn’t, uh, to abandon the dollar, right? It isn’t. It’s, it’s just to stop pretending that holding cash is neutral. It’s not, it, most of your wall suits and assets that, that can’t adjust. You know, they can’t grow as, you know, as, as asset prices grow, then you’re making a bet on currency stability that literally no one believes is, is going to be the base standard anymore. Everybody knows, every economist, every country, every everywhere knows that these currencies are eroding. You don’t freak out about the dollar, but don’t, don’t, don’t be like heavily in dollars. Start getting into the markets. Alright, well, you know, I’m talking a lot about esoteric macro stuff, but let’s kind of get into some stuff that you might think is fun, more fun maybe. Okay. You, a lot of you are into Bitcoin. Well, I think that, you know, Bitcoin is gonna continue to mature. And the next look, leg up looks like, you know, because of more adoption, not because of hype, which isn’t maybe not as, as, as fast and violent, but it’s, it’s, it’s a lot more predictable. For those of you who are still unfortunately listening to the likes of Peter Schiff about Bitcoin, you gotta stop doing that because Bitcoin is not tulips. Right? A lot of people still talk about it like it’s a fad that could just vanish. We’re long past that phase. Bitcoin is, is, is a $2 trillion asset and in the history of the world, there has never been a $2 trillion asset that went to zero. Is it volatile? Yeah, it is. It can absolutely continue to be wildly volatile, but you’re not going to zero. And my prediction is not overly crazy. It’s just that. Bitcoin is going to continue to increase in price, but it’s not become, not because of speculative, uh, you know, because it’s a speculative trade anymore, right? I think it’s because of adoption. Uh, adoption is going to become the real meaningful driver of market capitalization. So what do I mean by that? It just means more people are seeing it as a real asset, and it has to become, when it becomes a real asset class, everyone has to have some of it. Every major institution has to have some of it because it’s an its own asset class. And when they do that, it just drives up the entire market capitalization of that asset. And when you have an asset that has a finite amount, which in the case of Bitcoin, there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoin. You have constant adoption, constant slow, but persistent growth in market capitalization, the asset has to become more expensive. Now, what do I mean by this adoption? Well, places that you would never think in a million years, a few years ago, that that would be buying Bitcoin or you know, ETFs, B to Bitcoin ETFs are doing. So Harvard. Harvard is a great example. Because it’s not, it’s not crypto influencer, right? It’s actually one of the most conservative, brand sensitive pools of capital in the world. But their endowment management, uh, disclosed roughly 443, uh, million dollars in its position in BlackRock, uh, BlackRock, iShares Bitcoin, Bitcoin Trust, which is ibi for those of you who, who, uh, don’t know, that’s how you can just go to your New York Stock Exchange and, and buy. Bitcoin ETFs with ibit. Now, whether you love this whole Bitcoin idea or hate it or whatever, that’s a signal that is increasingly treated like a portfolio asset. It’s not a fringe experiment, and it’s not only universities. Uh, institutional comfort is it’s just there, right? Um, custody, uh, custody regulated vehicles, positioning, size, risk controls, those kinds of things are all become part of the Bitcoin uh, environment. Many countries are already holding meaningful amounts of Bitcoin. Uh, even the US has, there’s a, there is a formalized Bitcoin reserve. Now we aren’t actively buying it, but here’s an interesting thing with Bitcoin, you can, when it is, uh, the way that the US is accumulating Bitcoin is through seizures. Alright? Bad guy gets caught. His boats, his house and his Bitcoin get, uh, confiscated. So the US will sell the house, they will sell the gold, they will sell the boats, but they will keep the Bitcoin. What does that tell you? You know? And, and there’s a lot of nations that are actually openly holding and, and buying Bitcoin. I mentioned the US China. This always seems to be, uh, you know, anti Bitcoin. Well, they actually own quite a bit the UK, Ukraine, Bhutan, El Salvador. Bottom line is there’s a big change in narrative, right? That this is a real asset. So this is something that, you know, even if it’s 1% of a major, uh, institution’s assets or less than that, or whatever, it’s part of it. And that adoption alone can move prices from, from here. And that’s what I think a lot of people miss because they’re like, well, you already had a big move and you know, instead a hundred, it’s 80 or 90 or a hundred, whatever. It’s, it’s not going much better, bigger than that. Well, Bitcoin is, is actually really small relative to global pools of capital. So at this stage, adoption alone. Not even the crazy mania of the past can make a non-trivial increase in market capitalization and therefore a mark, you know, a non-trivial increase in the actual price of Bitcoin. All it’s gonna take, and you’re gonna see this, you’re gonna see more endowments, you’re gonna see more sovereign wealth pool, pensions, mod model portfolios, all they guys daisy side, when you know, even with a small allocation. It doesn’t take too much to overwhelm the available float because Bitcoin is scarce and a lot of it’s held tightly. So as far as Bitcoin goes, what do I think is gonna happen? I believe all time highs are gonna get challenged. They’re gonna get broken again in 2026, not because again, everyone’s suddenly becoming a crypto maximas, but because adoptions could just gonna continue to grow. The wild card, I should say, is that the US moving from, we hold. What we seized in terms of Bitcoin to actively acquiring reserves could be enormous catalyst. And there is a lot of talk about this right now. Um, if the market ever believes that the US is a consistent buyer, even in a constrained budget neutral way, that changes the psychology fast. And in that scenario, I think 200,000 plus, uh, $200,000 plus Bitcoin by the end of 2026 becomes very plausible. Zooming out. I’ve said this before, you may think I’m crazy, but again, because of adoption, I think that Bitcoin is at a million dollars five to seven years from now. So what does that mean for you? Well, I mean, I think at the end of the day, if you don’t own some, you might want to, I’m not gonna give you financial advice, but again, just like Harvard’s doing it, you know, major, major endowments are saying, well. You know, maybe we’ll just buy, like, you know, 2% of that, 2% of our, our, uh, endowment will be made of something like that, right? Uh, you know, it’s just even a very small amount, but exposure to it makes a lot of sense. So I think that is something to highly consider if you are still on zero when it comes to Bitcoin. All right, now here’s my last, uh, prediction. You may have heard me talking about this before as well, that AI becomes a deflationary force that policy makers finally wake up to. And I think this is actually one of the most important and misunderstood economic developments, um, that is currently already out there. But I think it’s, it’s gonna be really recognized. By the end of 2026. Okay. Artificial intelligence is gonna stop being just a tech story, and it’s gonna become a macroeconomic story. I think that by the end of 2026, artificial intelligence is clearly, uh, you know, it’s clearly, um, going to be boosting corporate earnings while beginning to materially reshape the labor force. Um, and what’s gonna happen is that central banks and policymakers are gonna start treating it. Is a genuinely deflationary force over the next several years, and they’re gonna try to have to figure out what to do about it. And again, going back to our earlier conversation, because deflation is really a real problem for a country with an enormous amount of debt. So let’s get a little bit into the whole deflationary uh, conversation. So artificial intelligence at its core is a productivity machine, right? It allows companies to produce more. Without, with fewer inputs, fewer hours, fewer people, fewer stakes and productivity always shows up in profits before it shows up in everyday life. Right now, lower cost per transaction, faster execution, fewer people doing the same amount of work, widening margins without price increases. That’s the tell. That’s when profits rise without raising prices, something deflationary is happening underneath the surface. The biggest impact there is the labor market, right? It’s gonna be impossible to ignore. And this is where the conversation really shifts because artificial intelligence doesn’t need to eliminate jobs outright to matter. It only needs to reduce the number of people required to do it, right? So you’re thinking the labor markets, you’re gonna see a lot of this. You’re gonna see more slowing in hiring. Um, even while productivity expectations rise, and I think by late 2026, the public conversation is gonna change from will artificial intelligence affects jobs someday to why aren’t companies hiring the way they used to? And of course, that’s when people are gonna start paying attention and they’re gonna notice it’s deflationary because it’s going to be because artificial intelligence is gonna push down the cost. Of services, administration, customer support, research, and eventually decision making itself. That’s why it’s, it’s deflationary, it’s structural, right? Just think of all those things you can do for so much cheaper. That is what deflation is, right? And again, we mentioned before deflation is not something central banks are comfortable with because of debt and because debt heavy systems rely on nominal growth. Deflation makes debt heavier in real terms as opposed to what we said before, which is that inflation actually erodes debt. And that is a, a very, very challenging problem. And by 2026, I think you’re gonna hear a lot about this, you know, policy problem that we have. Which is innovation versus, you know, deflation. You make a lot of money, but are still worried about retirement. Maybe you didn’t start earning until your thirties. Now you’re trying to catch up. Meanwhile, you’ve got a mortgage, a private school to pay for, and you feel like you’re getting further and further behind. Now, good news, if you need to catch up on retirement, check out a program put out by some of the oldest and most prestigious life insurance companies in the world. It’s called Wealth Accelerator, and it can help you amplify your returns quickly, protect your money from creditors, and provide finance. Financial protection to your family if something happens to you. The concepts here are used by some of the wealthiest families in the world and there’s no reason why they can’t be used by you. Check it out for yourself by going to wealthformulabanking.com. Alright, well, so that’s basically it for my, uh, predictions. And I know I’ve kind of. Off on many different tangents, so hopefully it’s useful to you at least to start thinking and doing some of your own research. Bottom line is this, I mean, as, as a investor, what can you do? I think the big story here is understanding that, um, you need to be out of the dollar and into the investor class because that that widening gap between those who have. Who own things, who own assets, and those who do not is gonna continue to widen. And so, you know, my best, uh, won’t call it advice, but my own belief is that it is a, it is a very good time to look around and look for assets that are underpriced because I think everything is going to expand and it’s gonna ex expand. Uh, and you don’t wanna be caught, you know, on the, uh, dollar side of that equation. So. That’s it for me this week on Wealth Formula Podcast. Happy New Year. I’ll see you next week. If you wanna learn more, you can now get free access to our in-depth personal finance course featuring industry leaders like Tom Wheel Wright and Ken McElroy. Visit wealthformularoadmap.com.

Key Takeaways: Financial Independence: True freedom comes from relying less on traditional banks and systems. Building your own financial structure gives you more control and flexibility over your money. Using Assets Wisely: Wealthy people often borrow against what they own instead of selling it. This allows them to access cash while keeping their assets working for them. Managing Risk: It's important to protect your assets by not relying on just one company or institution. Spreading assets across different custodians helps reduce risk if one fails. Preparing for Market Downturns: Having cash on hand and a backup plan is critical during market crashes. Liquidity gives you options when others are forced to sell. Investing in High-Volatility Assets: Assets like Bitcoin can offer strong long-term returns, but they come with ups and downs. Smart investors balance the opportunity with careful risk management. Chapters: Timestamp Summary 0:00 Achieving Financial Sovereignty by Becoming Your Own Bank 3:43 Becoming Your Own Bank Through Bitcoin and Financial Engineering 8:51 Risk Management in Volatile Asset Investments 10:16 Managing Debt and Cash Flow with Asset-Backed Strategies 15:39 Building Financial Resilience Through Cash Buffers and Debt Management 21:28 The Importance of Slow and Intentional Dating 21:56 Strategies for Managing Investment Risks and Building Financial Independence 30:07 The Role of Violence in Socializing and Building Respect 32:28 Achieving Financial Security Through Strategic Asset Management   Powered by Stone Hill Wealth Management   Social Media Handles    Follow Phillip Washington, Jr. on Instagram (@askphillip)   Subscribe to Wealth Building Made Simple newsletter https://www.wealthbuildingmadesimple.us/   Ready to turn your investing dreams into reality? Our "Wealth Building Made Simple" premium newsletter is your secret weapon. We break down investing in a way that's easy to understand, even if you're just starting out. Learn the tricks the wealthy use, discover exciting opportunities, and start building the future YOU want. Sign up now, and let's make those dreams happen!   WBMS Premium Subscription   Phillip Washington, Jr. is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.

Summary  In this episode of the Prosperity Podcast, we explore the enduring value of precious metals and the significance of mutual life insurance companies. Host Kim shares insights into assets that retain value over time and emphasizes the importance of having a long-term plan with investments. With current market shifts and the ever-present unpredictability of personal health, the episode underlines thoughtful financial planning. Tune in for timeless principles and financial wisdom that go beyond today's economy..   Episode Highlights 00:01:28 - "And then what?" Deep inquiry on investment goals. 00:04:00 - Gold as savings vs. investment. 00:06:40 - Liquidity needs for emergencies and opportunities. 00:09:29 - Mutual life insurance as a stable asset. 00:10:44 - Focusing on what's unchanging in uncertain times. 00:12:20 - Consequences of delaying insurance purchases. 00:14:11 - Potential health impacts on insurance eligibility. 00:15:17 - Book recommendation: "The Gold Standard" by Saifedean Ammous.   Episode Resources For resources and additional information of this episode go to https://prosperitythinkers.com/podcasts/ http://prosperityparents.com/  https://storage.googleapis.com/msgsndr/yBEuMuj6fSwGh7YB8K87/media/68e557c906b06d836d9effad.pdf  https://www.youtube.com/@KimDHButler   Keywords Prosperity podcast   Precious metals   Centuries-lasting assets   Silver price   Gold price   Financial products   Investment   Savings   Value storage   Asset growth   Emergency fund   Liquidity   Mutual life insurance   Dividend announcement   Whole-life insurance   Cash value   Term insurance   Investment strategies   Economic stability   Actuarial science   Financial planning   Peace of mind   Health and insurance   Procrastination loss   Gold standard   Bitcoin   Economic history   Prosperity thinkers  

Our CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist Mike Wilson discusses key catalysts that investors may be missing, but that are likely to boost U.S. equities in 2026.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley's CIO and Chief U.S. Equity Strategist. Today on the podcast I'll be discussing the converging market forces bolstering our bullish outlook for 2026. It's Monday, January 5th at 11:30am in New York. So, let's get after it. The New Year is usually a time to look forward. But today, I want to take a step back and talk about what the market is missing. A series of bullish catalysts are lining up at the same time, and the market is still underestimating their collective impact. There's been a lot of focus on individual positives—solid earnings growth, further Fed easing—but in our view, the real story is how these forces are reinforcing one another. Deregulation, positive operating leverage, accommodative monetary policy, and increasingly supportive fiscal policy are all working in the same direction. And as we head into mid-term elections later this year, these policy levers are likely to stay supportive.Importantly, this isn't a market that's already priced for the outcomes I envision. Positioning in cyclical trades remains relatively light, and sentiment in economically sensitive areas is far from exuberant. That combination—of improving fundamentals with cautious positioning—is exactly what tends to characterize the early stages of a recovery. I continue to believe these tailwinds are most underappreciated in cyclical areas like Consumer Discretionary Goods, Financials, Industrials, and small- and mid-cap stocks. Many of the indicators we track are only just beginning to turn higher. This doesn't look late-cycle to me—it looks early in what I have deemed to be a rolling recovery. One reason investors have been hesitant is the sluggishness of traditional business-cycle indicators, particularly the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index. There's been a reluctance to press cyclical trades until those gauges clearly re-accelerate; and beneath that hesitation is a lingering anxiety that the U.S. economy could even slip back into a growth scare. My view is different. I believe a three year rolling recession ended with Liberation Day. If that's true, then the moderate softness we're now witnessing in lagging labor data is constructive for equities because it keeps the Fed leaning dovish for longer and more aggressive—a positive for equities. I see the second half of 2025 as the bottoming process for key macro indicators; with 2026 shaping up as a year of re-acceleration. Longer-cycle analysis supports this. Specifically, the 45-month cycle of the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index points to a rebound. That recovery has been delayed—but not cancelled. Another tailwind that doesn't get nearly enough attention is energy prices. Gasoline prices in particular are sitting near five-year lows, which is providing real economic relief for lower- and middle-income consumers. That cushion matters, especially as other parts of the economy firm. This past weekend's events in Venezuela argue for lower oil prices for longer. From a sector standpoint, Financials stand out as the key beneficiary of deregulation and these stocks have been great performers over the past year in anticipation of these changes. I think there is more to go in 2026. Housing could be another important piece of the recovery. Subdued wage growth and falling rents may pressure home prices, while some builders are prioritizing volume over margins. While that may cap profitability for the builders, it could unlock housing velocity and feed into a more dovish inflation backdrop. Of course, there are also risks. Liquidity has been our top concern since September, and markets have reflected that through weakness in speculative assets. The good news is that the Fed has responded by ending quantitative tightening early and restarting asset purchases through the Reserve Management Program. This effectively adds liquidity to a system that was showing signs of stress this past several months. Another risk is a renewed slowdown in AI CapEx, particularly as markets demand clearer payback from debt-funded spending. And geopolitically, the U.S. intervention in Venezuela raises new questions. Strategically, it reinforces U.S. influence in the Western Hemisphere and supports our ‘Run It Hot' thesis—but the key wildcard remains whether China chooses to react. Net-net, we think the balance of risks and rewards still favor leaning into this early-cycle recovery and our bullish outlook for US equities in 2026. Thanks for tuning in; I hope you found it informative and useful. Let us know what you think by leaving us a review. And if you find Thoughts on the Market worthwhile, tell a friend or colleague to try it out!

The concept of the 'storehouse mentality' and how it can transform financial strategies for 2026. We explore the importance of treating capital like a banker rather than a gambler, emphasizing the benefits of building a personal wealth warehouse. We speak on non-market correlated assets, the pitfalls of traditional savings, and the advantages of whole life insurance as a financial tool. Takeaways:Stop treating your capital like you're in a casino.Create your own wealth warehouse.Whole life insurance is non-market correlated.Liquidity without liquidation is key.The average return is not the actual return.Banks profit by keeping money in motion.Infinite banking adds a financial tailwind.Every dollar in premium works forever.Market dips don't affect whole life insurance.Control the function of banking in your life.Visit our website:https://www.thewealthwarehousepodcast.com/The concept of the 'storehouse mentality' and how it can transform financial strategies for 2026. We explore the importance of treating capital like a banker rather than a gambler, emphasizing the benefits of building a personal wealth warehouse. We speak on non-market correlated assets, the pitfalls of traditional savings, and the advantages of whole life insurance as a financial tool.Becoming Your Own Banker by Nelson Nash:https://infinitebanking.org/product/becoming-your-own-banker/ref/46/ABOUT YOUR HOSTS:David Befort and Paul Fugere are the hosts of the Wealth Warehouse Podcast. David is the Founder/CEO of Max Performance Financial. He founded the company with the mission of educating people on the truths about money.David's mission is to show you how you can control your own money, earn guarantees, grow it tax-free, and maintain penalty-free access to it to leverage for opportunities that will provide passive income for the rest of your life.Paul, on the other hand, is an Active Duty U.S. Army officer who graduated from Norwich University in 2002 with a B.A. in History and again in 2012 with a M.A. in Diplomacy and International Terrorism. Paul met his wife Tammy at Norwich.As a family, they enjoy boating, traveling, sports, hunting, automobiles, and are self-proclaimed food people.Visit our website:https://www.thewealthwarehousepodcast.com/Catch up with David and Paul, visit the links below!Website: https://infinitebanking.org/agents/Fugere494

BITCOIN PRICE: WHAT I THINK IS ACTUALLY HAPPENINGI want to be very clear about this, because I've seen a lot of forced narratives flying around over the last couple of weeks. I don't think Venezuela, Maduro, or any single geopolitical headline is what moved Bitcoin. That kind of thinking is way too neat and honestly doesn't line up with how markets actually behave.What this looks like to me is classic end-of-year behavior. People took profits. People harvested losses. Funds cleaned up their books. A lot of capital simply didn't want exposure going into the final weeks of 2025, especially with a new administration, potential policy shifts, and tax considerations all sitting right in front of us. That's not bearish. That's cautious.From a market structure standpoint, the move higher we saw recently looks more like short covering than fresh spot demand. Open interest came down as price went up. That tells you shorts were closing, not that a wave of new buyers suddenly piled in. That's an important distinction, because rallies built on short covering don't behave the same way as rallies driven by sustained inflows.At the same time, sentiment is still weirdly negative. You've got no shortage of people calling for $40,000, talking about a full-on bear market, or claiming the cycle is over. Yet when you step back, the broader setup doesn't really support panic. Liquidity conditions are likely to improve, rate cuts are still on the table, and regulatory clarity is actually better than it was a year ago. None of that screams collapse.https://x.com/FiboSwannySo where does that leave us? Probably in a period of chop and uncertainty. Sideways, maybe lower, maybe higher. Anyone telling you they know exactly what comes next is lying to you. What I do believe is that 2026 starts with a much cleaner slate than 2025 ended with. New incentives, new leadership, and capital that's finally willing to make decisions again instead of sitting on its hands.This doesn't feel like the end of something. It feels like a reset. And those are usually uncomfortable right before they become obvious in hindsight. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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