Podcasts about Scenario planning

In this episode of Crazy Wisdom, host Stewart Alsop speaks with futurist Richard Yonck about the profound implications of our accelerating relationship with technology. Together, they explore the emergence of emotionally intelligent machines, the nuances of anticipatory systems, and how narrative frameworks help societies prepare for possible futures. Richard unpacks the role of emotion in AI and why cultivating foresight is essential in an age of rapid disruption.Check out this GPT we trained on the conversationTimestamps00:00 – The episode opens with Richard Yonck introducing the concept of artificial emotional intelligence and why it matters for the future of human-machine interaction.05:00 – The discussion moves to anticipatory systems, exploring how technologies can be designed to predict and respond to future conditions.10:00 – Richard explains how narrative foresight helps individuals and societies prepare for possible futures, emphasizing the power of storytelling in shaping collective imagination.15:00 – A deeper look into affective computing, with examples of how machines are learning to detect and simulate emotional states to improve user experience.20:00 – The conversation touches on the role of emotion in intelligence, challenging the misconception that emotion is the opposite of logic.25:00 – Richard outlines how technological disruption can mirror societal values and blind spots, urging more thoughtful design.30:00 – The focus shifts to long-term thinking, highlighting how future-oriented education and leadership are vital in an age of rapid change.35:00 – Closing thoughts center around the evolution of human-technology partnerships, stressing the need for ethical, emotionally aware systems to support a thriving future.Key InsightsEmotion as a Computational Frontier: Richard Yonck highlights that as we push the boundaries of artificial intelligence, the next significant frontier involves enabling machines to understand, interpret, and possibly simulate emotions. This capacity isn't just a novelty—it plays a crucial role in how machines and humans interact, influencing trust, empathy, and cooperation in increasingly digital environments.The Importance of Anticipatory Systems: One of the core ideas explored is the concept of anticipatory systems—those that can predict and react to future conditions. Richard emphasizes how building such foresight into our technologies, and even into our societal structures, is vital in managing the complexity and volatility of the modern world. It's not just about responding to the future, but actively shaping it.Narrative as a Tool for Foresight: The discussion underscores that storytelling isn't just entertainment—it's a powerful instrument for exploring and communicating possible futures. By framing future scenarios as narratives, we can emotionally and cognitively engage with potential outcomes, fostering a deeper understanding and preparedness across different segments of society.Emotions as Integral to Intelligence: Contrary to the view that emotion impairs rationality, Richard points out that emotions are essential to decision-making and intelligence. They help prioritize actions and signal what matters. Bringing this understanding into AI development could result in systems that more effectively collaborate with humans, particularly in roles requiring empathy and nuanced social judgment.Technology as a Mirror of Humanity: A recurring insight is that the technologies we create ultimately reflect our values, assumptions, and blind spots. Emotionally intelligent machines won't just serve us—they'll embody our understanding of ourselves. This raises profound ethical questions about what we choose to model and how these choices shape future interactions.Urgency of Long-Term Thinking: The conversation brings to light how short-termism is a critical vulnerability in current systems—economic, political, and technological. Richard advocates for integrating long-term thinking into how we design and deploy innovations, suggesting that futures literacy should be a core skill in education and leadership.Evolutionary Partnership Between Humans and Machines: Lastly, Richard describes the trajectory of human-technology interaction not as domination or subservience, but as an evolving partnership. This partnership will require emotional nuance, foresight, and ethical maturity if we're to co-evolve in ways that support human flourishing and planetary stability.Contact InformationRichard Yonck's LinkedIn

In a world of constant change, rising interest rates, inflation, and global disruptions, how do top companies prepare for the unexpected? In this episode of Corporate Finance Explained, we break down scenario planning and sensitivity analysis, the essential tools finance teams use to stay agile, resilient, and ready for anything.Learn how Airbnb, Starbucks, Delta Airlines, and Unilever use these strategies to thrive despite uncertainty, from pandemic disruptions to geopolitical shifts.

Send us a textIn this episode, hosts James Lawther and Jimmy Barber study unintended consequences and how they affect you personally and in business. Their discussion ranges from Donald Trump's tariffs to the introduction of Cane Toads in Australia and the invention of the microwave oven. They also share the unintended consequences that have impacted them personally (both positively and negatively). Most importantly, the hosts also explore why these things happen and how to avoid them from derailing your work.As a bonus, you can learn about the perils of gardening and the joy of realising that you have stopped sitting exams!

The impact of AI on jobs is back in the headlines. Geoff Livingston and Greg Verdino took to LinkedIn Live to weigh in on the truth behind the hype—what's really driving layoffs, how leaders should respond, and why reimagining work is the only path forward. They discuss the complex relationship between AI and job loss, exploring the economic pressures that lead to workforce reductions, and the impact of the AI hype cycle. They emphasize the need for organizations to reimagine work in the age of AI, highlighting the importance of leadership adaptation and the integration of human labor with technology. The conversation also touches on ethical considerations and the future of work as companies navigate these changes. In this conversation, Greg and Geoff explore the multifaceted challenges and opportunities presented by the rise of AI and automation across various sectors. They discuss the impending difficulties in the workforce, particularly for entry-level jobs, the necessity for reskilling and upskilling, and the unique challenges faced by nonprofits. The conversation also covers the marketing sector's adaptation to automation, the economic implications of AI, and the importance of scenario planning for future business strategies. Note: This episode is a recording of a LinkedIn Live broadcast from 9am ET, May 28, 2025. Other than some minor audio clean-up, we're presenting it as-is. Chapters 00:00 Introduction and Overview of AI Job Loss 02:47 The Impact of AI on Employment 06:01 Understanding the AI Hype Cycle 08:55 Economic Pressures and Workforce Reductions 11:53 Reimagining Work in the Age of AI 14:57 Leadership in the Age of AI 18:10 Integrating Humans and AI 20:55 Ethics and the Future of Work 24:34 Navigating the Storm: Challenges Ahead 27:04 The Horizontal Impact of AI 30:29 Reskilling and Upskilling in the Age of AI 31:44 The Nonprofit Sector: Opportunities and Challenges 32:15 Marketing in the Age of Automation 36:30 The Future of Entry-Level Jobs 39:27 The Economic Implications of AI 43:46 Scenario Planning for the Future 47:28 Cultural Impacts of AI Adoption Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

In this exclusive episode of The Voice of Retail podcast, host Michael LeBlanc interviews Karl Haller, Partner at IBM Consulting and leader of their retail and consumer products center of competency, ahead of his highly anticipated keynote presentation at Retail Council of Canada's STORE2025 conference on June 3rd.With nearly 30 years of retail experience at brands including Brooks Brothers, Tommy Hilfiger, and Karl Lagerfeld, Haller brings unique insights at the intersection of retail business and technology to one of Canada's premier retail events.Haller, who will take the main stage following fellow keynote speaker Ira Kalish, positions AI as "the biggest transformation that any of us have seen in our careers," comparing its significance to the advent of computing in the 1970s. While acknowledging the hype surrounding AI, he maintains that we're in the early stages of a fundamental shift in how retail operates—a message he'll expand upon at the STORE2025 conference.When discussing strategy during uncertain times, Haller advises retailers to focus on action rather than extensive planning: "If you've got a million dollars to spend, spend a million dollars on 100 MVPs. Don't spend a million dollars on an AI strategy project because it's going to be out of date by the time you've done it." He recommends scenario planning with clear indicators that can guide decision-making in unpredictable environments.Looking at retail formats, Haller notes that success isn't determined by format alone but by how retailers innovate within their sector. He highlights Walmart's nimble approach to technology implementation, PepsiCo's management of their extensive logistics network, and innovative approaches from companies like Unilever and Kroger.The conversation culminates with Haller identifying four under-appreciated retail technology trends:Expanding AI beyond words, pictures, and code to work with numerical data like SKU forecasting, potentially reducing forecast error rates to low single digitsIntegrating AI with other technologies like computer vision, IoT devices, robotics, biometrics, electronic shelf labels, and retail mediaDeveloping an "operating system for AI" to manage the projected billion new applications by 2028Most critically, bringing people along on the technology journey through comprehensive training and continuous learningAttendees of STORE2025 can expect Haller to dive deeper into these insights during his keynote presentation, providing retail leaders with actionable strategies for navigating technological transformation while balancing innovation with practical implementatio Michael LeBlanc is the president and founder of M.E. LeBlanc & Company Inc, a senior retail advisor, keynote speaker and now, media entrepreneur. He has been on the front lines of retail industry change for his entire career. Michael has delivered keynotes, hosted fire-side discussions and participated worldwide in thought leadership panels, most recently on the main stage in Toronto at Retail Council of Canada's Retail Marketing conference with leaders from Walmart & Google. He brings 25+ years of brand/retail/marketing & eCommerce leadership experience with Levi's, Black & Decker, Hudson's Bay, CanWest Media, Pandora Jewellery, The Shopping Channel and Retail Council of Canada to his advisory, speaking and media practice.Michael produces and hosts a network of leading retail trade podcasts, including the award-winning No.1 independent retail industry podcast in America, Remarkable Retail with his partner, Dallas-based best-selling author Steve Dennis; Canada's top retail industry podcast The Voice of Retail and Canada's top food industry and one of the top Canadian-produced management independent podcasts in the country, The Food Professor with Dr. Sylvain Charlebois from Dalhousie University in Halifax.Rethink Retail has recognized Michael as one of the top global retail experts for the fifth year in a row, the National Retail Federation has designated Michael as on their Top Retail Voices for 2025, Thinkers 360 has named him on of the Top 50 global thought leaders in retail, RTIH has named him a top 100 global though leader in retail technology and Coresight Research has named Michael a Retail AI Influencer. If you are a BBQ fan, you can tune into Michael's cooking show, Last Request BBQ, on YouTube, Instagram, X and yes, TikTok.Michael is available for keynote presentations helping retailers, brands and retail industry insiders explaining the current state and future of the retail industry in North America and around the world.

The recent AI 2027 report sparked widespread discussion with its stark warnings about the near-term risks of unaligned AI.Authors @Daniel Kokotajlo (former OpenAI researcher now focused full-time on alignment through his nonprofit, @AI Futures, and one of TIME's 100 most influential people in AI) and @Thomas Larsen joined the show to unpack their findings.We talk through the key takeaways from the report, its policy implications, and what they believe it will take to build safer, more aligned models. (0:00) Intro(1:15) Overview of AI 2027(2:32) AI Development Timeline(4:10) Race and Slowdown Branches(12:52) US vs China(18:09) Potential AI Misalignment(31:06) Getting Serious About the Threat of AI(47:23) Predictions for AI Development by 2027(48:33) Public and Government Reactions to AI Concerns(49:27) Policy Recommendations for AI Safety(52:22) Diverging Views on AI Alignment Timelines(1:01:30) The Role of Public Awareness in AI Safety(1:02:38) Reflections on Insider vs. Outsider Strategies(1:10:53) Future Research and Scenario Planning(1:14:01) Best and Worst Case Outcomes for AI(1:17:02) Final Thoughts and Hopes for the Future With your co-hosts: @jacobeffron - Partner at Redpoint, Former PM Flatiron Health @patrickachase - Partner at Redpoint, Former ML Engineer LinkedIn @ericabrescia - Former COO Github, Founder Bitnami (acq'd by VMWare) @jordan_segall - Partner at Redpoint

Tune in for expert Cash Flow Management and Liquidity Strategy insights vital for Business Survival and sustainable Business Growth. This Corporate Finance Explained episode delivers essential Corporate Finance principles, focusing on Managing Cash Flow effectively for optimal Financial Health. Learn crucial Financial Management tactics.We analyze Cash Flow Forecasting techniques, strategic Scenario Planning for Finance, and practical Working Capital Optimization. Understand the critical Finance Strategy and Financial Planning differences that separate thriving businesses from those facing Business Failure. Explore why Profitability alone isn't enough without solid Cash Management.Study real-world examples: learn from the Cash Flow Problems leading to failure (Toys R Us, WeWork analysis) and the successful Liquidity Management and Working Capital strategies of industry leaders (Amazon Cash Flow Strategy, Walmart Inventory Management, Apple Cash Reserves). Equip your Finance Team, FP&A Analysts, and Finance Leadership with actionable Financial Analysis and Treasury Management strategies to protect and grow your business.

This week's episode of What's at Stake tackles the mounting pressure on corporate America as President Donald Trump's tariffs rattle the markets and stoke fears of a global economic slowdown. Penta CEO Matt McDonald joins hosts Bryan DeAngelis and Ylan Mui to discuss the response from the business community and frameworks for determining when and how to engage publicly.Their conversation covered:Whether tariffs are a tool for negotiation or an end resultThe importance of "signposting" to determine next stepsThe impact of the markets on White House and corporate decision-making

#157 Bottom's up, everyone. Pat and Dave are back and loaded with insights.    Here are the highlights:  3:01 – Remote work discussion  16:31 – State of the Economy 24:16 – Scenario Planning  32:41 – Networking when sh*t hits the fan 48:41 – Tactics for connecting  Plus, WTF – Starbucks collab with Peanuts??   Connect with Dave on LinkedIn at: https://www.linkedin.com/in/dave-coughlin-0870598/ Connect with Pat at: pmcgovern@ascedia.com   Before you go, please do us a favor. Take a minute and leave us a review. That's the energy that powers this supertanker!  Thanks, you're the best! Want more marketing insights? Take a look at our full lineup.

Retailers today face a world of constant change—from supply chain shocks and tariff fluctuations to climate disruption and consumer unpredictability. In this episode, we unpack insights from The Future of Commerce's latest report on how scenario planning has evolved into a must-have capability for navigating this volatility.We explore how smart retailers are integrating AI, predictive analytics, and dynamic collaboration into their planning processes. This isn't about forecasting averages—it's about building resilience through adaptive thinking and data-driven simulations. Drawing lessons from industry leaders like Walmart and Clorox, we reveal how long-term vision, real-time visibility, and strategic flexibility are helping companies not only weather disruptions—but emerge stronger.Whether you're a supply chain leader, retail executive, or strategy planner, this episode offers tangible ways to turn uncertainty into a competitive advantage.What You'll Learn in This Episode:

In this episode of Project Synapse, hosts discuss the underestimated changes brought about by advanced AI systems, the need for critical thinking, and preparedness for scenarios triggered by rapid technological advancements. The conversation covers the impactful paper 'Preparing for the Intelligence Explosion' by Will McCaskill and Finn Moon House, which emphasizes the acceleration of AI and the potential consequences on society. Amidst AI's advancements in diverse fields like manufacturing and cybersecurity, the hosts shed light on the importance of foresight and human adaptability to maintain balance and progress in an AI-driven future. 00:00 A Quiet Week and Unexpected Snow 00:17 Surviving the Ice Storm 01:48 Generator Troubles and Perplexity AI 03:23 Discussing the Intelligence Explosion Paper 04:44 Implications of Rapid AI Advancements 08:42 Historical Comparisons and Accelerated Change 12:47 Challenges in Organizational Change 17:14 Security Concerns in the Age of AI 22:34 Exponential Growth in AI Efficiency 34:18 AI Designing AI: The Future of Scalability 34:48 The Implications of Autonomous Warfare 35:44 Efficiency in AI Training and Compute 36:33 The Countdown to Superintelligence 37:35 Tariffs and Trade Imbalances: A Misunderstanding 44:01 Critical Thinking in the Age of AI 59:00 The Importance of Scenario Planning 01:00:47 The Future of Employment and Automation 01:03:14 The Human Element in a Technological World 01:04:43 Embracing AI in the Workplace 01:07:58 Concluding Thoughts: Imagining a Harmonious Future

Brad Peterson, VP of Sales at Total Farm Marketing, discusses how AI-powered tools and proactive strategies are transforming dairy marketing and risk management. He explores how the TFM360 system uses AI and data-driven insights to help dairy farmers optimize milk pricing, manage feed and fuel costs, and navigate market volatility. Brad also shares how Dairy Revenue Protection (DRP) insurance works alongside these strategies to provide a safety net against downturns. Learn how Total Farm Marketing's innovative approaches can help dairy producers make more informed and strategic decisions. Episode Highlights: Overview of Total Farm Marketing's Approach to Dairy Risk ManagementHow TFM360 Utilizes AI to Enhance Milk MarketingUnderstanding the Role of Scenario Planning in Risk ManagementThe Benefits of Dairy Revenue Protection InsuranceWhat Sets Total Farm Marketing Apart in the Dairy Industry This episode is sponsored by Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson. Total Farm Marketing's family of companies helps farmers manage commodity price volatility with comprehensive strategies and recommendations that span a producer's operation. Total Farm Marketing offers two services to help dairy farmers optimize operations. TFM360, a product of Stewart-Peterson Inc., is an AI-powered, rules-based system that provides data-driven recommendations for managing price risk on milk, feed, and fuel. Dairy Revenue Protection insurance, offered through SP Risk Services LLC, secures a safety net against market downturns. Futures and options involve risk and are not suitable for everyone. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency and an equal opportunity provider.

In this special bonus episode from the Applied Ergonomics Conference 2025, Mike Courtney, founder of Aperio Insights, delivers a compelling keynote exploring the crucial link between imagination and innovation. Drawing on more than two decades of experience in market research and strategic foresight, Courtney shares how technologies such as AI and robotics are rapidly transforming concepts into reality. He emphasizes that the modern challenge isn't just inventing but deciding which innovations truly merit investment. Courtney also highlights how adopting a futurist mindset enables professionals to not only survive but thrive amidst disruptive change, turning potential chaos into strategic advantage.

In this solo episode of Mission Impact, Carol Hamilton delves into scenario planning and its value for nonprofits navigating an era of heightened uncertainty. She emphasizes how scenario planning moves organizations from a state of overwhelm to proactive action,  outlines a step-by-step approach and  shares a recent client story to illustrate its usefulness.  Podcastathon 2025: She also highlights The Arc of Montgomery County and its important role in supporting people with developmental disabilities through local programming and national advocacy as part of Podcastathon 2025.     Episode highlights: [00:00:00] Why scenario planning now [00:01:00] Defining Scenario Planning [00:02:10] Why Scenario Planning Matters [00:04:30] Steps to Implement Scenario Planning [00:08:06] Example from a Recent Client [00:10:21] Podcastathon feature: The Arc of Montgomery County Important Links and Resources: Podcastathon The Arc of Montgomery County  The Arc of Maryland  The Arc of the United States    Be in Touch: ✉️ Subscribe to Carol's newsletter at Grace Social Sector Consulting

Can we explore the future as if it were an archaeological site? Instead of predicting trends or following hype cycles, future archaeologist Markus Iofcea uncovers artifacts - fragments of possible futures - that help us rethink what's to come.Future archaeologist, co-author of the book Zurück zur Zukunft, and all-round inspiring mind, Markus Iofcea, is here to tell us that yes, the future can be ours to create! He digs in the future to see what treasures he can find in its vast archeological site - except his artefacts aren't the rare remnants of a civilisation gone-by, but rather inventions we are yet to make. Inventions that could change the world!From there, he hypothesises his discoveries infinitely - helping organisations to philosophically explore contexts, variations and parameters to test if an innovation will work well beyond our current, limiting reality.This was one of those rare, fascinating conversations that you won't want to miss - thank you for setting my mind alight, Markus!Find out about:What future archaeology is and how Markus explores the possibilities of the futureFuture artefacts: what they are, how to dig them out, and how to innovate themThe importance of removing an artefact from our current context to prepare for the unknownWhy we must ‘dig' at an innovation for as long as possible, interrogating its logical componentsHow Markus helps the corporate world to excavate innovations, free from limitations and predictionsDon't miss the next episode: subscribe to the show with your favourite podcast player.Links:Watch the video recording of this episode on YouTube.Link to his book Connect to Markus Iofcea:LinkedInWebsiteSupport the show✨✨✨Subscribe to our newsletter to receive a free 1-page summary of each upcoming episode directly to your inbox, or explore our eBooks featuring 50-episode compilations for even more facilitation insights. Find out more:https://workshops.work/podcast✨✨✨Did you know? You can search all episodes by keyword to find exactly what you need via our Buzzsprout page!

This week, Helen and Sarah are talking about how to use scenario planning as a tool to increase your career resilience. They work through a matrix that you can apply to your career to spot different situations and take proactive action to mitigate risk and maximise opportunity.To use the PodSheet that supports the episode, head to amazingif.com/listenFor questions about Squiggly Careers or to share feedback, please email helenandsarah@squigglycareers.comNeed some more squiggly career support?1. Download our free careers tools https://www.amazingif.com/toolkit/ 2. Sign-up for our Squiggly Careers Skills Sprint https://bit.ly/skillssprint20243. Read our books ‘The Squiggly Career' and ‘You Coach You' www.amazingif.com/books/ Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In this episode of In-Ear Insights, the Trust Insights podcast, Katie and Chris discuss how reasoning models, a new type of AI, can revolutionize your scenario planning. You’ll discover how these advanced AI models can help you anticipate unforeseen challenges and opportunities for your business. Learn to move beyond reactive panic planning and create robust [...]Read More... from In-Ear Insights: Generative AI Reasoning Models For Scenario Planning

Do you ever wonder if your business is set up to grow the way you actually want it to? In this episode Keila breaks down how to use your financial data as a compass to reaching your goals.She'll dive into the common traps business owners fall into—like overextending resources, running on gut instinct, or ignoring key numbers—and how tracking the right metrics can help you avoid them. Plus, she explains how tools like dashboards and reporting can give you a clearer picture of what's working, what's not, and how to course-correct along the way.If you're ready to stop guessing and build your business in a way that works for you, this episode is packed with actionable tips to get you there!(00:00) - Introduction to Scaling Your Firm (01:06) - Importance of Data in Business Growth (02:00) - Challenges of Ignoring Data (04:10) - Financial Metrics and Goals (05:47) - Spotting Inefficiencies (06:24) - Intentional Decision Making (07:11) - Client Support Strategies (09:18) - Scenario Planning (10:23) - Actionable Steps for Business Growth (12:15) - Conclusion Connect with Keila!LinkedIn - www.linkedin.com/in/keilahilltrawickWebsite - www.krht.coTwitter - x.com/littlefishcpaMore About Little Fish AccountingLearn more about Little Fish's suite of services at www.littlefishaccounting.com.Follow Little Fish Accounting at instagram.com/littlefishaccounting

Have some feedback? A topic suggestion? Text us!Find full show notes and links at: https://gocamp.pro/campahead/scenario-planning-101Exploring Camp Futures: Key Drivers and Scenario PlanningIn this episode of Camp Ahead, hosts Joe, Jess, and KJ  expand on the idea of scenario planning as an essential tool for thinking about the future. They discuss key drivers such as climate change, economics, demographics, technological advancements, and social shifts that can shape the next decade of summer camps. Through imaginative scenario planning, they aim to prepare the industry for both positive and challenging futures. Tune in as they explore the potential impacts of AI, climate mitigation, and more on the world of summer camps.01:46 Recap and Introduction to Scenario Planning05:33 Key Drivers for the Future of Camps: Economic and Staff Considerations07:55 Environmental and Technological Impacts on Camps15:09 Social Drivers and Equity in Future Camps20:33 Imagining Positive Futures: Pronoia vs. Paranoia25:36 The Impact of Camp and Nature26:04 Funding and Philanthropy in Camping29:31 The Value of Experiential Learning30:12 Community and Indigenous Relationships-Episode Links:The Book: Imaginable by Jane McGonigal:https://janemcgonigal.com/2021/12/17/imaginable-how-to-see-the-future-coming-and-feel-ready-for-anything-even-things-that-seem-impossible-today/https://poe.com/UOScenarioCreatorhttps://urgentoptimists.org/-Our Hosts:Jess Elfring-Roberts - Executive Director, Episcopal Camps & Conference CentersJoe Richards - Executive Director, Pearce Williams Summer Camp and Retreat FacilityKJ Williams -  Camp Director, Phantom Lake YMCA Camp-Sponsors:A huge thanks to our sponsors for making this possible.Campify:Is creating your camp schedule a headache? Does it limit the experience of campers or staff? Campify is software that does the heavy lifting for you - taking care of group, elective, and specialist scheduling based on your custom scheduling rules.Interested in learning more? Visit campify.io/CampAhead to schedule a demo or create a free trial today.Subscribe to Camp Ahead in Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you get your favourite Podcasts!

In this episode of In-Ear Insights, the Trust Insights podcast, Katie and Chris discuss rapid scenario planning for your business with the help of generative AI. You discover methods for using generative AI to plan for multiple potential futures, equipping you to handle various situations. You learn to identify constants in your business, like revenue [...]Read More... from In-Ear Insights: Rapid Scenario Planning with Generative AI

Summary In this episode, Bronwen Williams discusses the principles of Motivational Interviewing, emphasizing the importance of respectful conversations and understanding the fixing reflex. The conversation explores the stages of change, the role of self-efficacy, and how to navigate identity shifts during change. The hosts and Bronwen also discuss strategies for supporting individuals in making changes, particularly in the context of animal welfare, and the significance of observational learning in inspiring change. Takeaways Motivational Interviewing fosters respectful conversations. The fixing reflex can hinder change efforts. Ambivalence is a common experience when considering change. Support and accountability are key in the change process. Understanding identity is crucial when navigating change. Scenario planning can help visualize potential outcomes. Self-efficacy influences the ability to make lasting changes. Pre-contemplation requires a gentle approach to conversation. Observational learning can inspire change in others. Change is a journey that requires patience and understanding. Buy Bronwen's book Practical Human Behaviour Change for Animal Health and Welfare Listen to Meta's Tedx Talk Saving Our World with One Welfare Education Watch Karen's webinar for Equitopia The benefits of tracking and monitoring horse welfare Chapters 00:00 Introduction to Motivational Interviewing 07:48 The Origins and Principles of Motivational Interviewing 10:57 The Role of the Fixing Reflex in Conversations 13:33 Understanding Ambivalence in Change 16:31 Navigating Identity and Change 19:28 Scenario Planning and Change Management 22:14 Stages of Change Model Explained 25:31 Recognizing Slips and Maintaining Change 28:23 Supporting Change in Group Settings 31:12 The Importance of Self-Efficacy in Change 34:06 Modeling Behavior and Influencing Change 36:56 Conclusion and Key Takeaways 41:29 Building Self-Efficacy for Change 42:28 Supporting Others in Making Changes 45:27 The Role of Information in Change 49:23 Navigating Pre-Contemplation Stages 53:24 Conversations About Change 55:10 The Journey of Writing a Book 01:00:17 Who Can Benefit from Motivational Interviewing? 01:04:09 The Importance of Connection and Kindness

In this episode of The Greenbook Podcast, host Karen Lynch is joined by David Deeley, Senior Insights Manager, and Brian Short, Consumer Insights Specialist, from Kerry. Together, they discuss the importance of scenario testing to tackle uncertainty in the food and beverage industry.Drawing from their presentation at IIEX Europe, David and Brian explain how Kerry uses foresight and scenario planning to anticipate shifts in the market, navigate challenges like climate change, and support innovation. This thought-provoking conversation explores how frameworks and collaboration between insights, R&D, and customers drive impactful solutions for the future.In this episode, we'll explore:Scenario Planning Basics: How scenario testing differs from trend-based forecasting.FutureLens Framework: Kerry's foresight program for anticipating industry shifts.Consumer Insights and Data Sources: Integrating proprietary research with macro trends.Use Cases: Examples of scenario planning in action, including innovations in iced beverages and supporting a major European retailer.Advice for Businesses: Tips on incorporating scenario planning into strategy and innovation efforts.Resources/Links:Kerry Taste and Nutrition TrendsKerry Health and Nutrition InstituteIIEX Europe InformationYou can reach out to David on LinkedIn. You can reach out to Brian on LinkedIn. Many thanks to David Deeley and Brian Short for joining the show. Thanks also to our production team and our editor at Big Bad Audio.

In this episode, we explore the importance of recognizing non-obvious trends  and their implications for leadership and innovation with Rohit Bhargava, a 3-time Wall Street Journal Bestselling Author.   We discuss Norway's electric vehicle advancements, the preparation for the Leadership Conclave, and methods for effective trend spotting, including the Haystack method and scenario planning.   Learn how to spot the next big thing and position yourself for success. SHOWNOTES are here. Key Quotes "We can't solve the whole problem with just one part of the problem; we need to think in systems." - Zoe Routh "Leaders must create mental space to uncover insights." - Rohit Bhargava "Embrace the obvious insights; they often hold the key to broader understanding." - Rohit Bhargava Questions Asked: What are you paying attention to? How can leaders prepare for emerging trends? What role does creativity play in recognizing patterns? Take Action: Practice non-obvious thinking by observing everyday trends. Engage in scenario planning to anticipate future developments. Read Rohit Bhargava's book,  Non-Obvious Thinking, for deeper insights. Tip of the Week: Review the collaboration self-checklist - available for subscribers only. Join the community here. You'll get 40 book summaries and recommendations on Leading Strategy and Performance, along with a special secret audio from my award-winning book, People Stuff.    Key Moments  00:00 Welcome and Weekly Question  00:17 Electric Vehicle Revolution in Norway  01:38 Leadership Conclave Preparation  02:28 Reflecting on the Past and Future  05:43 Introducing Rohit Bhargava  06:50 Discussing Non-Obvious Trends  21:37 Breaking the Rules of Book Publishing  22:54 Time Horizons in Non-Obvious Thinking  25:37 Scenario Planning and Trend Prediction  28:39 The Haystack Method for Pattern Recognition  30:46 Surprising Insights in Non-Obvious Thinking  36:32 The Fast Three: Quickfire Questions  39:56 Podcast Wrap-Up and Listener Engagement  

In this bonus episode, we share an Inclusion Geeks webinar that was recorded on October 30, 2024, between Felicia Jadczak and Katie Hyten, Co-Executive Director of Essential Partners. They explore the benefits and challenges of discussions about the election in the workplace, emphasizing the importance of employee agency, setting conversation norms, and ensuring psychological and emotional safety. Practical strategies include using opt-in mechanisms, conducting temperature checks, and de-escalating tensions through curiosity and structured dialogues.Webinar Description: The political landscape is changing rapidly. While discussing politics in the workplace can be uncomfortable and is often discouraged, it's impossible to completely separate politics from work. Politics remains on many people's minds and impacts actual lives and livelihoods. Managers and business leaders need to be prepared to support their teams through the various impacts of the election.Listen and find out how to best support your team members during times of political change. Chapters:00:22 Introduction to Today's Special Episode00:42 Managing Political Discussions at Work01:08 Webinar Introduction and Format02:04 Meet Felicia Jadczak04:04 Meet Katie Hyten10:00 The Importance of Political Conversations at Work16:03 Creating Safe Spaces for Dialogue18:51 Leadership and Check-ins28:20 Navigating Workplace Dynamics29:14 The Power of Asking Different Questions31:22 De-escalating Politically Charged Situations32:16 Embracing Curiosity and Complexity32:57 Practical Tools for De-escalation40:52 Preparing for Election Day42:09 Supporting Teams Through Uncertainty50:19 Strategies for Emotional Management54:17 Leadership's Role in Open Conversations57:27 Final Thoughts and Resources Visit us at InclusionGeeks.com to stay up to date on all the ways you can make the workplace work for everyone! Check out Inclusion Geeks Academy and InclusionGeeks.com/podcast for the code to get a free mini course.

Sam Guzik, a futurist passionate about local news and AI, discusses the intersection of journalism and AI. He emphasizes the importance of thinking exponentially and acting incrementally when experimenting with AI in journalism. He shares an example of using AI to make public media more accessible through live transcription and summarization. The conversation also touches on the ethics of AI in journalism, the use of digital avatars in news reporting, and the role of scenario planning in futures foresight work. Sam highlights the need for creativity, diverse perspectives, and community engagement in futurist work. Ready to connect with this week's guest? Sam Guzik is a Senior Expert Advisor specializing in the future of news, content, distribution and strategy. His career includes a broad range of experience that includes product management, strategic foresight, scenario forecasting, audience engagement and leadership in legacy news organizations. Sam leads the product strategy for New York Public Radio. Passionate about building a sustainable future for local news, Guzik has demonstrated results creating innovative, engaging and impactful journalism — and thinking about the business model to support that work. His career includes a broad range of experience, with specific focus on product management, strategic foresight, scenario writing, audience engagement and leadership in legacy news organizations.  Guzik is a graduate of Washington University in St. Louis, Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism and the NYU Stern School of Business. https://futuretodayinstitute.com/team/sam-guzik/   Learn more about Kathleen and Tricia: www.unhingedcollaboration.com Join the Future Foresight Group referenced at the top of the episode! https://app.glueup.com/event/aaie-leadership-learning-series-co-creating-future-foresight-skills-122479/  

TK Pooe & Sanet Solomon | The TK Show In this episode, TK interviews political analyst Sanet Solomon. They discuss the current state of South African politics under the GNU government, the need for academics to foster a culture of public engagement, and how to balance listening to non-expert perspectives while preserving academic rigour. They also explore the role of social media in political commentary and discuss why, despite the challenges of poor governance in many provinces, Sanet remains hopeful about South Africa's future. TK Pooe (PhD) is a senior lecturer at the Witwatersrand School of Governance; his main fields of research are Public Policy themes such as Local Economic Development, Law and Development, Scenario Planning and Thinking, and Failure Analysis. Over the last ten years, he has lectured and consulted for various institutions like the North-West University's Government Studies Programme, the University of KwaZulu-Natal, Gordon Institute of Business Science (University of Pretoria) and the Thabo Mbeki African Leadership Institute. Before joining academia, he worked in various government institutions as a Public Policy research consultant. Twitter LinkedIn Sanet (née Madonsela) Solomon is a tenured Lecturer in the Department of Political Sciences at the University of South Africa (UNISA) teaching second year South Africa Politics (PSC2601) and Political Science and Research (HPPSC81) at Honours level. She is a seasoned political analyst, internationally published author, and PhD Candidate in the Centre for Gender and Africa Studies at the University of the Free State. She currently serves as a Council Member of the South Africa South Africa Association of Political Studies (SAAPS), and is a member of the International Political Sciences Association (IPSA) and British International Studies Association (BISA).  LinkedIn Subscribe to our Substack.   Follow us on Social Media: YouTube LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Instagram   Subscribe to the Discourse ZA Podcast: iTunes Stitcher Spotify RSS feed  

Frederik Pferdt: Google's first Chief Innovation Evangelist, founder of Google's Innovation Lab and the author of What's Next is Now, How to Live Future Ready.Change Ready is an original series brought to you by Behind the Human & Malosi. A series where we do everything possible to future-proof your mind and thrive in an era of unprecedented change. ___How Prepared is Your Team for the Next Big Disruption? Future-proof your team with Malosiminds.com Get your copy of Personal Socrates: Better Questions, Better Life Connect with Marc >>> Website | LinkedIn | Instagram | Twitter Drop a review and let me know what resonates with you about the show!Thanks as always for listening and have the best day yet!*A special thanks to MONOS, our official travel partner for Behind the Human! Use MONOSBTH10 at check-out for savings on your next purchase. ✈️*Special props

The Last Episode with Peter Compo: Engaging in Emergent Strategy   In this final episode, the host reflects on an engaging series with Peter Compo, author of 'The Emergent Approach to Strategy.' Peter answers a viewer question about strategic leadership and emergent strategy, emphasizing the importance of internalizing the strategy design and involving everyone in the process. They discuss managing strategies through turbulence, the significance of scenarios in strategy planning, and ensuring robust execution despite challenges. Finally, the episode explores identifying bottlenecks in organizations and the intricacies of systemic issues. This episode is a must-watch for business strategists and leaders looking to deepen their understanding of emergent thinking and effective execution.   00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome 00:24 Viewer Questions and Strategic Leadership 01:38 Engaging Teams in Emergent Strategy 05:04 Consultant Work and Strategy Design 07:01 Execution and Crisis Management 16:19 Scenario Planning and Strategy Alternatives 36:05 Understanding Bottlenecks in Frameworks 36:45 Designing Strategy: A Puzzle Approach 39:03 The Role of Bottlenecks in Strategy 40:57 Techniques for Identifying Bottlenecks 44:17 Addressing People and Emotional Bottlenecks 46:08 Case Study: Courier Incorporated 50:41 Real-World Application: The Reinvention Summit 58:20 Systemically Broken Organizations 01:02:36 Conclusion and Final Thoughts   Link to Peter's website:   Link to Peter's Music:   Link to Aidan McCullen for Keynotes, workshops and event MC.   The Reinvention Summit    Find us on Substack for Shownotes and competitions:   Peter Compo, emergent strategy, Aidan McCullen, leadership, strategic leadership, business strategy, crisis management, execution, organizational change, scenario planning, strategy alternatives, bottlenecks, innovation, systemic issues, strategic consulting, management theory, goal setting, thought leadership, executive decision-making, strategy frameworks

In this episode of Team Building Saves the World, host Rich sits down with futurist and foresight expert Jeremy Nulik of Bigwidesky to discuss how leaders can craft the future of their business. Jeremy explains how to use scenario planning and strategic foresight to future-proof your business, prepare employees for inevitable challenges, and incorporate imagination and creativity into operational processes. He also runs through his scenario planning process when helping companies work through possible challenges to build resiliency and get closer to reaching their goals.

TK Pooe & Thabang Motsohi | The TK Show In this episode, TK speaks with Thabang Motsohi about his book, Fit for Purpose. They discuss the core challenges impacting the growth and success of South African institutions, the organisational structure of the ANC, and why, due to conflicting ideological principles and perceptions within its Tripartite Alliance structure, it is not ideally structured for the purpose of governing in the post-apartheid era.  TK Pooe (PhD) is a senior lecturer at the Witwatersrand School of Governance; his main fields of research are Public Policy themes such as Local Economic Development, Law and Development, Scenario Planning and Thinking, and Failure Analysis. Over the last ten years, he has lectured and consulted for various institutions like the North-West University's Government Studies Programme, the University of KwaZulu-Natal, Gordon Institute of Business Science (University of Pretoria) and the Thabo Mbeki African Leadership Institute. Before joining academia, he worked in various government institutions as a Public Policy research consultant. Twitter LinkedIn Thabang Motsohi is a highly experienced and leading organizational strategy consultant and is in the top tier in the country in this sector. He has assisted various organizations in the development of their competitive strategies and performance drivers for their business models. Thabang Motsohi has published scholarly articles since 2009 on development policy and strategy and how state policy must be structured to address fundamental socio-economic challenges in the South African context. Book Website Twitter Subscribe to our Substack.   Follow us on Social Media: YouTube LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Instagram   Subscribe to the Discourse ZA Podcast: iTunes Stitcher Spotify RSS feed  

Build your strategic foresight with our latest Crossing Thin Ice episode "Scenario Planning in 10 Steps." Learn how you can use scenario planning to road test your strategies to ensure your organization is prepared for future challenges. Whether you're a seasoned risk manager or new to scenario planning, this episode offers valuable insights to enhance your strategic planning process and fortify your risk management framework.

We discuss the aftermath of CrowdStrike's software update crash, which cost Fortune 500 companies an estimated $5.4 billion. The update caused widespread disruptions, particularly in the aviation, healthcare, and banking sectors. CrowdStrike is working on improving their testing policies and deployment strategies to prevent similar incidents in the future. The fallout from the crash has led to investigations by the Department of Transportation and calls for congressional hearings.Another highlight of the episode is the revelation that a North Korean threat actor infiltrated a cybersecurity firm by posing as a remote worker using a stolen identity. This incident underscores the importance of robust vetting processes and continuous security monitoring in organizations. The need for enhanced security measures to detect and prevent such attacks is emphasized, as the threat landscape continues to evolve.The episode also delves into the concept of digital twins, virtual likenesses used for research purposes, and their potential applications in various industries. The market for digital twins is expected to grow significantly, with healthcare driving its growth. Additionally, the discussion touches on the importance of strategic AI integration and scenario planning to prepare for the future of AI technology.Lastly, the episode explores the challenges faced by the shared responsibility model in cloud computing security. As sophisticated threats and automated attacks strain the traditional model, cloud providers are urged to take on more responsibility to protect their customers. The need for industry-wide improvements in security practices and the importance of incorporating AI into strategic planning processes are highlighted throughout the episode. Three things to know today00:00 CrowdStrike's Crash Costs Billions: Aviation Disruptions, Congressional Hearings, and New Testing Policies05:51 Identity Theft and AI: How a North Korean Hacker Infiltrated a Cybersecurity Firm06:39 Strategic AI Integration: Digital Twins, Scenario Planning, and Evolving Cloud Security Models for Future Success  Supported by:  https://trinitycyber.com/msp4/   All our Sponsors: https://businessof.tech/sponsors/ Do you want the show on your podcast app or the written versions of the stories? Subscribe to the Business of Tech: https://www.businessof.tech/subscribe/Looking for a link from the stories? The entire script of the show, with links to articles, are posted in each story on https://www.businessof.tech/ Support the show on Patreon: https://patreon.com/mspradio/ Want our stuff? Cool Merch? Wear “Why Do We Care?” - Visit https://mspradio.myspreadshop.com Follow us on:LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/28908079/YouTube: https://youtube.com/mspradio/Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/mspradionews/Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/mspradio/TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@businessoftechBluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/businessoftech.bsky.social

TK Pooe & Marianne Severin | The TK Show This episode was recorded on 15 July 2024. In this episode, TK speaks to Dr. Marianne Séverin about the differences and parallels between South Africa and France. They discuss the impact of political corruption on South Africa, the history of the National Front and Jean-Marie Le Pen in France, what motivates French voters, the legacy of French colonialism in Africa, the virtues of South African media, if the rise of the far right threatens the European Union, and the socio-political challenges facing French society. Marianne Séverin (PhD) is a French researcher of African descent who specializes in South Africa's political context. She has covered South African politics for over 30 years, having written her PhD dissertation on the ANC's political networks. In addition to this, her research encompasses human rights in Africa, including women's rights, disability rights, and the Right to Development, as well as the fight against corruption and Illicit Financial Flows (IFFs). Since 2023, she has been teaching courses on peace processes in Africa and will soon introduce courses on International Development and International Solidarity. LinkedIn TK Pooe (PhD) is a senior lecturer at the Witwatersrand School of Governance; his main fields of research are Public Policy themes such as Local Economic Development, Law and Development, Scenario Planning and Thinking, and Failure Analysis. Over the last ten years, he has lectured and consulted for various institutions like the North-West University's Government Studies Programme, the University of KwaZulu-Natal, Gordon Institute of Business Science (University of Pretoria) and the Thabo Mbeki African Leadership Institute. Before joining academia, he worked in various government institutions as a Public Policy research consultant. Twitter LinkedIn Subscribe to our Substack.   Follow us on Social Media: YouTube LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Instagram   Subscribe to the Discourse ZA Podcast: iTunes Stitcher Spotify RSS feed  

Kenneth Carter III and Joe Lynch discuss 5 lessons from military logistics. Kenneth is the CEO of Ameriton Freight, a logistics company specializing in the food and beverage space.  Summary: 5 Lessons From Military Logistics In this podcast, Kenneth Carter III shares his remarkable journey from drug addiction and incarceration to becoming the CEO and founder of Ameriton Freight and Logistics. Drawing from his military experience, Carter discusses five key lessons that can be applied to improve business operations and leadership, including the importance of flexibility, adaptability, scenario planning, strong leadership culture, effective processes, and training. He also emphasizes the significance of understanding food safety requirements and maintaining proper temperature control during transportation. Additionally, the podcast highlights the work of Truckers Against Trafficking, a nonprofit organization that raises awareness about human trafficking and trains professionals in the transportation industry to identify and report potential trafficking situations. #MilitaryLogisticsLessons #ResilienceThroughScenarioPlanning #LeadershipInLogistics About Kenneth Carter III  Kenneth Carter, a driver turned logistics leader, is the CEO of Ameriton Freight. Founded in 2020 after 19 years in the industry, Ameriton combines his passions: supply chain consulting and personal development. Kenneth, following his mother's military footsteps, entered the U.S. Army as a motor transport operator after high school. He brings empathy, honesty, and professionalism to every interaction, drawing from his experience as a driver, manager, and leader of a Fortune 500 team. Kenneth's purpose? To empower communities and instill optimism, helping them navigate challenges and defy limitations. About Ameriton Freight Ameriton Freight, a Central Florida-based consultancy, is revolutionizing logistics with a heart. Fueled by innovation, courage, and leadership, they build global partnerships that spark joy. Their expertise lies in streamlining food and beverage transportation, alongside nationwide freight auditing, supply chain mastery, and transportation management services. Ameriton empowers businesses with a smile, fostering a community that thrives on tackling challenges as opportunities. Their vision? To become a logistics powerhouse, with ocean vessels carrying their spirit and fresh produce across the globe. Combining youthful energy with methodical expertise, Ameriton redefines the industry, inspiring others to conquer every horizon. Key Takeaways: 5 Lessons From Military Logistics Valuable insights from military logistics experience applied to business operations and leadership. Importance of understanding food safety requirements and maintaining proper temperature control during transportation. Kenneth Carter III's personal journey from drug addiction and incarceration to a successful career in logistics. Starting a company while in prison to overcome employment challenges as a former inmate. Five key learnings from military logistics that are applicable to the private sector. The importance of flexibility and adaptability in military logistics when faced with VUCA (volatility, uncertainty, complexity, and ambiguity). Scenario planning and collaboration among teams to build resilience and navigate uncertainties in logistics and supply chains. Timestamps (00:00:01) Applying Military Logistics Lessons to Business (00:00:23) Ensuring Food Safety in Transportation (00:03:05) From Addiction to Redemption (00:07:17) From Prison to Entrepreneurship (00:09:02) Lessons from Military Logistics (00:10:04) Navigating VUCA in Military Logistics (00:11:20) Building Resilience Through Scenario Planning (00:14:15) Navigating Ambiguity in War Zone Logistics (00:15:04) Overcoming VUCA with Scenario Planning (00:15:44) Leadership Lessons from the Military (00:20:11) Developing Habit-Forming Processes and Training (00:23:20) Building Discipline and Forming Habits (00:26:05) Intelligence, Data, and Strategic Decisions (00:28:05) Five Lessons from Military Logistics (00:30:13) Truckers Against Trafficking: Combating Human Trafficking Learn More About 5 Lessons From Military Logistics Kenneth Carter | Linkedin Ameriton Freight | Linkedin Ameriton Freight | Instagram Ameriton Freight Ameriton Freight | YouTube Channel TAT Certification Program | Complete the course, print your certificate, and become a TAT-Trained driver today! The Logistics of Logistics Podcast If you enjoy the podcast, please leave a positive review, subscribe, and share it with your friends and colleagues. The Logistics of Logistics Podcast: Google, Apple, Castbox, Spotify, Stitcher, PlayerFM, Tunein, Podbean, Owltail, Libsyn, Overcast Check out The Logistics of Logistics on Youtube

When your brand, company, country, or even you are the target of social media attacks, what if you can't even identify the source of the problem? What if the attackers aren't real people? What if the entire attack is a complete lie, disinformation spread by bad actors with thousands, or millions, of fake accounts at their disposal? How do you uncover the good, the bad, and the fake online?   In this episode of The Trending Communicator, host Dan Nestle is joined by seasoned PR and marketing expert Rafi Mendelsohn, VP of Marketing at Cyabra, a premier media monitoring platform specializing in the detection, identification, and mitigation of malicious actors, bots, bot networks, and generative AI content. Together, they unravel the complexities of the trust crisis exacerbated by advanced technologies like AI and bot networks. The conversation starts with a deep dive into the pervasive trust issues affecting our institutions and the role of technology in amplifying misinformation and disinformation. With his extensive background in agency and in-house roles across various markets, Rafi brings a unique perspective on how malicious actors use digital platforms to manipulate public discourse. Dan and Rafi explore the implications of these practices for communicators and marketers. They discuss the challenges of distinguishing between genuine and artificial interactions online and the impact of these interactions on corporate reputation and brand trust. Rafi shares insights into the mechanics of bot networks and how they are not just limited to political arenas but are pervasive across all sectors, influencing everything from consumer behavior to stock prices. He explains the sophisticated methods these networks use to appear legitimate and the difficulties this presents in identifying and combating them. Their conversation also covers practical strategies for organizations to protect themselves, emphasizing the importance of advanced media monitoring and the need for a proactive rather than reactive approach to digital threats. Rafi advocates for a blend of technology and traditional communication strategies to effectively manage and mitigate the risks associated with digital misinformation, empowering listeners with actionable advice. Listeners will gain a comprehensive understanding of the landscape of digital misinformation, the tools available to tackle it, and how to strategically position their communications in an increasingly complex digital world. Whether you're a communications professional, a marketer, or simply interested in the impact of technology on public discourse, this episode offers valuable insights and actionable advice.   Listen in and hear about... The pervasive trust crisis in modern institutions and the role of misinformation and disinformation. The impact of AI and technology on the spread of false information through bots and fake accounts. Strategies for communicators and marketers to identify and combat misinformation in their fields. The challenges and responsibilities of PR and marketing professionals in managing brand reputation amidst misinformation. The evolution of malicious actors using sophisticated AI tools to create and spread disinformation. Practical steps and tools for organizations to detect and mitigate the effects of disinformation on their brands. Future trends in communication strategies to handle emerging technologies and misinformation threats effectively.   Notable Quotes   On the Trust Crisis: "We're in the thick of an unprecedented trust crisis. Trust in our institutions, especially government, education, and media, is in freefall. Misinformation and disinformation are everywhere, and it's only getting worse." — Dan Nestle [00:01:00 → 00:01:20] On the Role of AI in Social Media: "AI has enabled bad actors to disseminate bad information at scale through deepfakes, AI-enabled content farms, and bots. This is the world we're contending with." — Dan Nestle [00:01:20 → 00:01:30] On the Role of Communicators: "As communicators and marketers, we're often on the front lines of this information-driven trust crisis. We have to tell stories, protect our clients and companies, and ensure that the information we share is trustworthy." — Dan Nestle [00:04:00 → 00:04:20] On the Challenges of Modern Communication: "We don't know who we're talking to, and we don't know whether we're telling the right stories or if we have the right facts on our side. The whole thing has been corrupted over the last decade or so." — Dan Nestle [00:04:10 → 00:04:20] Rafi Mendelsohn On the Role of Bots in Social Media: "From our research, the average conversation across social media has around four to seven percent of fake accounts. When we start to see certain conversations, whether it's political, wartime, or around brands, and those numbers are significantly higher, that's when we need to take a pause and understand exactly what's going on." — Rafi Mendelsohn [00:19:01 → 00:19:20] On the Impact of Fake Accounts on Brands: "Brands can find themselves in hot water, not just because of something they've done, but purely by virtue of being in the wrong place at the wrong time. Fake accounts can escalate a situation to the point that it gains media attention and impacts the brand's reputation." — Rafi Mendelsohn [00:31:00 → 00:31:20] On the Importance of Understanding Social Media Conversations: "We need to differentiate between the fake accounts and the real ones, understand the narratives being pushed by fake accounts, and assess their impact on the real conversation. This is crucial for brands to respond appropriately." — Rafi Mendelsohn [00:49:00 → 00:49:20] On the Role of GenAI in Communications: "GenAI can be a powerful tool for communicators. It can help us game out scenarios, prepare responses, and mitigate social media negativity. It's about using the technology to stay ahead of the challenges we face." — Dan Nestle [00:52:00 → 00:52:20] On the Role of GenAI in Disinformation: "GenAI is fantastic, but in the hands of malicious actors, it becomes a tool for creating very believable content. This makes it harder for us to distinguish between real and fake accounts, complicating the challenge of maintaining trust." — Rafi Mendelsohn [00:17:30 → 00:17:45] On the Future of Communications: "The next six to twelve months are going to be really interesting from our industry perspective. We need to up our game and work through the challenges posed by new technologies and threats to guide our organizations effectively." — Rafi Mendelsohn [01:03:00 → 01:03:20]     Resources and Links Dan Nestle The Trending Communicator | Website Daniel Nestle | LinkedIn Dan Nestle | Twitter Rafi Mendelsohn Cyabra | Website Rafi Mendelsohn | LinkedIn   Timestamped summary for this episode (as generated by ChatGPT) The trust crisis (00:00:00) Discussion about the unprecedented decline in trust in institutions, the prevalence of misinformation, and the impact of technology and AI. Introduction of Rafi Mendelsohn (00:01:12) Dan introduces Rafi Mendelsohn, VP of Marketing at Cyabra, and discusses his background in PR and marketing. AI's role in communication (00:02:09) Exploration of the evolving role of AI in communication and the challenges faced by communicators and marketers. Rafi's background (00:04:01) Rafi's career journey from working in PR agencies to leading marketing at Cyabra, and his passion for data storytelling. Cyabra's focus and mission (00:07:54) Rafi discusses Cyabra's role in uncovering and mitigating misinformation and disinformation online, particularly in the context of social media. Defining misinformation and disinformation (00:10:23) Clearing the distinction between misinformation and disinformation, and the impact of these on societal narratives and trust. Challenges of identifying bots (00:18:04) The prevalence of bots in online conversations, the difficulty in identifying them, and the potential impact on public discourse. Extent of bot presence (00:19:13) Insights into the average percentage of fake accounts in online conversations and the significance of higher numbers in certain discussions. Elon Musk's Twitter Acquisition (00:20:29) Discussion about analyzing data for Elon Musk's potential acquisition of Twitter. Impact of Fake Accounts (00:21:29) Exploring the impact and dominance of fake accounts in online conversations and their influence on narratives. Bot Activity on Various Platforms (00:22:39) Observations of bot and malicious activity on different social media platforms, including Twitter, Instagram, TikTok, and LinkedIn. Geopolitical and Brand Disinformation (00:27:11) Examination of how fake accounts drive conversations around geopolitical and brand-related issues, impacting public perception and creating crises. Influence of Fake Accounts on Brands (00:29:14) Analysis of how fake accounts can negatively impact brands, including examples of orchestrated campaigns targeting companies. Challenges for Communicators (00:32:20) Discussion on the challenges faced by communicators in defending brand reputation against bot-driven disinformation and crisis management. Defensive Communications and Brand Disinformation (00:37:23) Exploring the gap in defensive mindset between security and communications teams, and the need for tools to address bot attacks and disinformation. Global Origins of Malicious Actors (00:39:32) Understanding the diverse origins and motivations of malicious actors behind bot networks and disinformation campaigns. Malicious Actors and Their Motivations (00:39:56) Discussion on the motivations of malicious actors, including power, influence, and money, and their use of fake accounts to influence opinions. Understanding the Different Actors and Risks (00:40:47) Exploration of the various types of criminals and actors involved in cyber attacks, and the low barrier to entry for conducting such activities. Dealing with Disinformation and Crisis Communications (00:41:46) Addressing the challenges of combating disinformation, crisis communications strategies, and the impact of shadow banning on disseminating good information. Social Media as One Channel for Communicators (00:44:10) Emphasizing the importance of understanding the conversation and the individuals involved, and the need to differentiate between fake and real accounts. Addressing Fake Accounts and Negative Activity (00:45:16) Strategies for addressing fake accounts, including identifying and addressing "superspreaders" of negativity, and amplifying positive voices. Vigilance and Defensive Measures (00:48:09) The importance of vigilance, proactive defensive measures, and the need for companies to have systems in place to differentiate and respond to attacks. Proactive Monitoring and Ignoring Certain Threats (00:52:09) The significance of proactive monitoring, the need to respond selectively, and the empowerment of ignoring non-threatening issues Using AI for Scenario Planning and Mitigation Tactics (00:53:17) Exploring the potential use of AI for scenario planning and mitigation tactics, and the importance of early detection and preparation. Impact of Bunker Mentality and Brand Exposure (00:54:52) Discussion on the impact of brands adopting a bunker mentality and the need to address the increasing weaponization of social media by malicious actors. Opportunity for Marketers and Communicators to Lead (00:58:40) The opportunity for marketers and communicators to lead in understanding and addressing the impact of cyber threats and disinformation on society. Profile Building and Concerns (01:00:00) Discussion on the generation of profiles and the concerns regarding identifying real people. Future Challenges for Communicators (01:00:59) Predictions and concerns about the evolving role of communicators in dealing with new technology and threats. Impact of Technology on Roles (01:03:46) Discussion on the potential realignment of roles and responsibilities due to the influence of AI and technology. Gratitude and Contact Information (01:05:56) Expressing gratitude to the guest and providing contact information for further engagement. Conclusion and Call to Action (01:07:24) Closing remarks, encouraging subscription, sharing, and participation in future episodes.   (Notes prepared by humans with the assistance of a variety of AI tools, including ChatGPT and Flowsend.ai)

TK Pooe & Justice Malala | The TK Show In this episode, TK speaks to Justice Malala to unpack South Africa's 2024 elections. They discuss the rise and fall of the ANC, the new normal of coalition politics, the juxtaposition of hope and fear in the current political climate, the lack of political violence during the elections, why the Government of National Unity may only be so in name, the capitalist undercurrents in the ANC, how Jacob Zuma will try to continue to cause havoc in SA politics, what the incoming administration needs to focus on, and more. TK Pooe (PhD) is a senior lecturer at the Witwatersrand School of Governance; his main fields of research are Public Policy themes such as Local Economic Development, Law and Development, Scenario Planning and Thinking, and Failure Analysis. Over the last ten years, he has lectured and consulted for various institutions like the North-West University's Government Studies Programme, the University of KwaZulu-Natal, Gordon Institute of Business Science (University of Pretoria) and the Thabo Mbeki African Leadership Institute. Before joining academia, he worked in various government institutions as a Public Policy research consultant. Twitter LinkedIn Justice Malala is one of South Africa's foremost political commentators and the author of the #1 bestseller “We Have Now Begun Our Descent: How to Stop South Africa Losing its Way.” A longtime weekly columnist for The Times (South Africa), he has also written for The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, and Financial Times, among other outlets. The former publisher of The Sowetan and Sunday World, he now lives in New York. Website Twitter   Subscribe to our Substack.   Follow us on Social Media: YouTube LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Instagram   Subscribe to the Discourse ZA Podcast: iTunes Stitcher Spotify RSS feed  

Find out why the 2024 elections present multiple challenges for businesses — and why the regulatory environment is potentially more onerous.    As the 2024 elections approach, research by The Conference Board reveals that companies face more challenging political and regulatory environments than they did four years ago. How can businesses manage these multilayered, interconnected challenges, including employees demanding that companies speak up on social and political issues?     Join Steve Odland and guest Merel Spierings, Senior Researcher in the ESG Center, to find out how companies can navigate a hyper-polarized environment, promote democracy, and prepare for possible regulatory shifts.      (01:09) Key Findings from the Research (01:38) Challenges of the 2024 U.S. Elections (02:56) Impact of Polarization on Workplace Dynamics (03:56) Strategies for Companies to Address Political Issues (07:30) Encouraging Civic Engagement (12:24) Navigating the Legal and Regulatory Environment (19:14) Scenario Planning for Regulatory Changes (22:14) Corporate Political Activities and Lobbying

So much has been written about how to future-proof a strategy. But Peter Scoblic says that too many companies still rely on short-sighted strategies that don't effectively plan for different potential future scenarios. Scoblic is a co-founder and principal of the consultancy Event Horizon Strategies. In this episode, he explains how thoughtful and ongoing scenario-planning exercises can help organizations decide which investments will allow them to thrive — even in a crisis. He also shares how to balance short-term factors with longer term modeling and why it's so important to ensure that your planning team is truly diverse. As he says, “This is a case where diversity absolutely matters, in all senses of the word, because what you want is to get people to think outside of the box. It's very difficult to do that if you don't recognize the box that you're in.” Key episode topics include: strategy, strategic planning, crisis management, scenario panning, modeling. HBR On Strategy curates the best case studies and conversations with the world's top business and management experts, to help you unlock new ways of doing business. New episodes every week. · Listen to the full HBR IdeaCast episode: Future-Proofing Your Strategy with Scenario Planning (2020)· Find more episodes of HBR IdeaCast· Discover 100 years of Harvard Business Review articles, case studies, podcasts, and more at HBR.org]]>

TK Pooe & Lukhona Mnguni | The TK Show In this episode, TK speaks with political maverick Lukhona Mnguni. They explore Lukhona's journey as a political commentator, delve into the difference between neutrality and objectivity, and discuss why Lukhona rejects the label “political analyst.” The conversation also addresses the fearmongering around the so-called “Doomsday Coalition” between the ANC and the EFF, examines how polling can be manipulated to advance political agendas, and envisions what South Africa might look like beyond the 2024 elections. TK Pooe (PhD) is a senior lecturer at the Witwatersrand School of Governance; his main fields of research are Public Policy themes such as Local Economic Development, Law and Development, Scenario Planning and Thinking, and Failure Analysis. Over the last ten years, he has lectured and consulted for various institutions like the North-West University's Government Studies Programme, the University of KwaZulu-Natal, Gordon Institute of Business Science (University of Pretoria) and the Thabo Mbeki African Leadership Institute. Before joining academia, he worked in various government institutions as a Public Policy research consultant. Twitter LinkedIn Lukhona Mnguni is a governance, politics and development specialist and currently serves as the Acting Executive Director and Head of Policy and Research at the Rivonia Circle. He has also played in the politics broadcasting space, having hosted a flagship show: Power Talk on POWER987, a commercial radio station in Gauteng Province and recently, On the Spot with Lukhona Mnguni on eNCA. He holds a Bachelor's in Community and Development Studies and an Honours degree in Conflict Transformation and Peace Studies, both achieved cum laude from the University of KwaZulu-Natal. Lukhona completed his MSc in Africa and International Development at the University of Edinburgh, Scotland, in 2015.  Twitter Rivonia Circle Subscribe to our Substack.   Follow us on Social Media: YouTube LinkedIn Facebook Twitter Instagram   Subscribe to the Discourse ZA Podcast: iTunes Stitcher Spotify RSS feed  

In this podcast episode, Vikram Chachra, founding partner of 8i Ventures, delves into the nuances of venture investing in India. He shares his entrepreneurial background and his transition to venture capital, highlighting the cultural and generational shifts shaping the investment landscape. Vikram underscores the importance of understanding consumer pain points and the role of digital solutions in fostering progress. He advises young professionals to work with startups and stresses the need for strategic thinking in early-stage investments, and much more!TimestampsEarly Mobile Internet and Startup Experience (00:01:12)Investing and Operating Startups (00:03:21)Observing Changes in India (00:06:56)Investment Thesis and Fintech Focus (00:11:34)Friction and Digital Acceleration (00:15:51)Scenario Planning and Reserves (00:18:43)The journey of Slice (00:18:54)Market Maps and Generational Companies (00:19:54)Capital and Investment Strategy (00:20:50)Valuations and IPO Market (00:21:59)Startup IPOs and Market Dynamics (00:23:08)Founder Selection and Prioritization (00:26:49)Investment Prioritization and Lessons (00:29:00)LP Relationships and Founder-Centric Approach (00:33:23)Approaching LPs and Trust Building (00:35:20)Building Trusted Relationships in India (00:37:30)India's Wealth and Family Offices (00:38:06)Venture Capital Fund Length in India (00:38:59)Entering the Venture Landscape (00:39:31)Patience and Belief in Startups (00:40:41)Vikram's LinksLinkedIn – https://www.linkedin.com/in/vchachra/Email – vikram@8ivc.comWebsite - 8ivc.comMy Links Podcast: https://lifeselfmastery.com/itunes YouTube: youtube.com/lifeselfmastery Twitter: https://twitter.com/rohitmal 5-day email course: www.enterprisesalesexpertise.com

 John Klyczek rejoins “What's Left? to workshop his presentation on how governments use ‘systems of systems' to both control their populations and perform social engineering experiments on populations to alter their wants and desires.  Minds of Men documentary:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQucESRF3Sg&t=6660s&pp=ygUMbWluZHMgb2YgbWVuHow to Order Your “What's Left?” Shirthttps://youtu.be/nItmqkrpWHU To see all our episodes go to:What's Left? Website: https://whatsleftpodcast.com/iTunes: Spotify: Bitchute: YouTube:  LBRY: Telegram :Odysee:  Googleplaymusic: Rumble  

Jeff Wetzler, co-CEO of Transcend, brings over 25 years of expertise in learning and human potential. With a background spanning business and education, he's served as a management consultant to leading corporations, facilitated learning for global leaders, and held the role of Chief Learning Officer at Teach For America. Jeff holds a doctorate in adult learning and leadership from Columbia University and a bachelor's in psychology from Brown University.He is also the author of Ask: Tap Into the Hidden Wisdom of People Around You For Unexpected Breakthroughs in Leadership and Life. ___Get your copy of Personal Socrates: Better Questions, Better Life Connect with Marc >>> Website | LinkedIn | Instagram | Twitter Drop a review and let me know what resonates with you about the show!Thanks as always for listening and have the best day yet!*Behind the Human is proudly recorded in a Canadian made Loop Phone Booth*Special props

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Now THIS is forecasting: understanding Epoch's Direct Approach, published by Elliot Mckernon on May 5, 2024 on The Effective Altruism Forum. Happy May the 4th from Convergence Analysis! Cross-posted on LessWrong. As part of Convergence Analysis's scenario research, we've been looking into how AI organisations, experts, and forecasters make predictions about the future of AI. In February 2023, the AI research institute Epoch published a report in which its authors use neural scaling laws to make quantitative predictions about when AI will reach human-level performance and become transformative. The report has a corresponding blog post, an interactive model, and a Python notebook. We found this approach really interesting, but also hard to understand intuitively. While trying to follow how the authors derive a forecast from their assumptions, we wrote a breakdown that may be useful to others thinking about AI timelines and forecasting. In what follows, we set out our interpretation of Epoch's 'Direct Approach' to forecasting the arrival of transformative AI (TAI). We're eager to see how closely our understanding of this matches others'. We've also fiddled with Epoch's interactive model and include some findings on its sensitivity to plausible changes in parameters. The Epoch team recently attempted to replicate DeepMind's influential Chinchilla scaling law, an important quantitative input to Epoch's forecasting model, but found inconsistencies in DeepMind's presented data. We'll summarise these findings and explore how an improved model might affect Epoch's forecasting results. This is where the fun begins (the assumptions) The goal of Epoch's Direct Approach is to quantitatively predict the progress of AI capabilities. The approach is 'direct' in the sense that it uses observed scaling laws and empirical measurements to directly predict performance improvements as computing power increases. This stands in contrast to indirect techniques, which instead seek to estimate a proxy for performance. A notable example is Ajeya Cotra's Biological Anchors model, which approximates AI performance improvements by appealing to analogies between AIs and human brains. Both of these approaches are discussed and compared, along with expert surveys and other forecasting models, in Zershaaneh Qureshi's recent post, Timelines to Transformative AI: an investigation. In their blog post, Epoch summarises the Direct Approach as follows: The Direct Approach is our name for the idea of forecasting AI timelines by directly extrapolating and interpreting the loss of machine learning models as described by scaling laws. Let's start with scaling laws. Generally, these are just numerical relationships between two quantities, but in machine learning they specifically refer to the various relationships between a model's size, the amount of data it was trained with, its cost of training, and its performance. These relationships seem to fit simple mathematical trends, and so we can use them to make predictions: if we make the model twice as big - give it twice as much 'compute' - how much will its performance improve? Does the answer change if we use less training data? And so on. If we combine these relationships with projections of how much compute AI developers will have access to at certain times in the future, we can build a model which predicts when AI will cross certain performance thresholds. Epoch, like Convergence, is interested in when we'll see the emergence of transformative AI (TAI): AI powerful enough to revolutionise our society at a scale comparable to the agricultural and industrial revolutions. To understand why Convergence is especially interested in that milestone, see our recent post 'Transformative AI and Scenario Planning for AI X-risk'. Specifically, Epoch uses an empirically m...

Welcome to The Nonlinear Library, where we use Text-to-Speech software to convert the best writing from the Rationalist and EA communities into audio. This is: Now THIS is forecasting: understanding Epoch's Direct Approach, published by Elliot Mckernon on May 4, 2024 on LessWrong. Happy May the 4th from Convergence Analysis! Cross-posted on the EA Forum. As part of Convergence Analysis's scenario research, we've been looking into how AI organisations, experts, and forecasters make predictions about the future of AI. In February 2023, the AI research institute Epoch published a report in which its authors use neural scaling laws to make quantitative predictions about when AI will reach human-level performance and become transformative. The report has a corresponding blog post, an interactive model, and a Python notebook. We found this approach really interesting, but also hard to understand intuitively. While trying to follow how the authors derive a forecast from their assumptions, we wrote a breakdown that may be useful to others thinking about AI timelines and forecasting. In what follows, we set out our interpretation of Epoch's 'Direct Approach' to forecasting the arrival of transformative AI (TAI). We're eager to see how closely our understanding of this matches others'. We've also fiddled with Epoch's interactive model and include some findings on its sensitivity to plausible changes in parameters. The Epoch team recently attempted to replicate DeepMind's influential Chinchilla scaling law, an important quantitative input to Epoch's forecasting model, but found inconsistencies in DeepMind's presented data. We'll summarise these findings and explore how an improved model might affect Epoch's forecasting results. This is where the fun begins (the assumptions) The goal of Epoch's Direct Approach is to quantitatively predict the progress of AI capabilities. The approach is 'direct' in the sense that it uses observed scaling laws and empirical measurements to directly predict performance improvements as computing power increases. This stands in contrast to indirect techniques, which instead seek to estimate a proxy for performance. A notable example is Ajeya Cotra's Biological Anchors model, which approximates AI performance improvements by appealing to analogies between AIs and human brains. Both of these approaches are discussed and compared, along with expert surveys and other forecasting models, in Zershaaneh Qureshi's recent post, Timelines to Transformative AI: an investigation. In their blog post, Epoch summarises the Direct Approach as follows: The Direct Approach is our name for the idea of forecasting AI timelines by directly extrapolating and interpreting the loss of machine learning models as described by scaling laws. Let's start with scaling laws. Generally, these are just numerical relationships between two quantities, but in machine learning they specifically refer to the various relationships between a model's size, the amount of data it was trained with, its cost of training, and its performance. These relationships seem to fit simple mathematical trends, and so we can use them to make predictions: if we make the model twice as big - give it twice as much 'compute' - how much will its performance improve? Does the answer change if we use less training data? And so on. If we combine these relationships with projections of how much compute AI developers will have access to at certain times in the future, we can build a model which predicts when AI will cross certain performance thresholds. Epoch, like Convergence, is interested in when we'll see the emergence of transformative AI (TAI): AI powerful enough to revolutionise our society at a scale comparable to the agricultural and industrial revolutions. To understand why Convergence is especially interested in that milestone, see our recent post 'Transformative AI and Scenario Planning for AI X-risk'. Specifically, Epoch uses an empirically measured scaling ...

Welcome to RIMScast. Your host is Justin Smulison, Business Content Manager at RIMS, the Risk and Insurance Management Society.   Justin Smulison interviews returning guest Jana Utter. Jana is the 2022 Risk Management Honor Roll inductee and a former RIMS SERMC Chair. Jana remains active on RIMS committees. On May 6 at 2:45 pm, she will co-host a RISKWORLD session, Sustainability Reporting: Making ERM Transparent: Environmental, Social and Governance in ROOM 25AB. The SEC is in the news with final and proposed Climate Disclosure Rules announced. Jana shares her knowledge, experience, and risk philosophy, a cluster of acronyms, and why ERM needs to connect more fully with ESG. Jana will be co-hosting a session on the ESG track with Bob Wirth at RISKWORLD 2024. Listen in to learn more about emerging ESG risk reporting and disclosure. Key Takeaways: [:01] About RIMS and RIMScast. [:14] Public registration for RISKWORLD 2024 is now open. Explore infinite opportunities with RIMS from May 5th through May 8th, 2024, in San Diego, California. Register at RIMS.org/RISKWORLD. [:31] About today's episode of RIMScast. My friend Jana Utter returns to discuss ERM, ESG, and the new Climate Reporting Disclosures; the SEC, the CSRD, and more. We've got a lot of acronyms today! [1:01] As you know, RISKWORLD 2024 is coming up from May 5th through May 8th, 2024, in sunny San Diego, California. Registration is open at RIMS.org/RISKWORLD. Register today! There's a link in this episode's show notes. [1:22] In Episode 276 of RIMScast we had opening keynote Peter Diamandis join us. Check out that episode for just a taste of what's in store for RISKWORLD 2024. The full roster of keynotes has been announced! I'm so excited! We will be welcoming Academy Award-winning actress, director, and activist, Marlee Matlin! [1:46] For our industry keynote, we will be rejoined by Evan G. Greenberg, the Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Chubb Limited and Chubb Group. That session will be sponsored by Chubb. Just announced, our closing keynote on May 8th will be Daymond G. John. You know him from Shark Tank. He's also the Founder of FUBU. I'm a big fan! [2:10] I'm extremely excited about that closing keynote on May 8th! Experience all the energies of our keynotes at RISKWORLD! Register at RIMS.org/RISKWORLD. We want to see you there! [2:24] Today's guest is one of my favorites. She is Jana Utter, the Vice President of Enterprise Risk Management at Centene Corporation. In 2022, RIMS named her to the Risk Management Honor Roll. She is the former chair of the RIMS Strategic and Enterprise Risk Management  Council. Jana is knowledgeable about ERM and ESG. [2:50] Since there were new SEC Climate Disclosure Rules announced, I wanted Jana to come back on the show and fill us in on what we need to know. This dialogue will dovetail with her upcoming RISKWORLD session on May 6th at 2:45 p.m. in Room AB25, Sustainability Reporting, Making ERM Transparent. It is part of the ESG track. She'll be co-presenting with Bob Hirth. [3:25] Jana Utter, welcome back to RIMScast! Jana was the 2022 RIMS Risk Management Honor Roll Inductee. Jana and Justin go back quite a few years. This is her third time as a RIMScast guest. Jana was the chair of the RIMS Strategic and Enterprise Risk Management Council. She misses it a bit but has moved on to other RIMS volunteer activities. [4:10] Jana is here to discuss the SEC Climate Disclosures in the news. The U.S. SEC proposed final rules for Sustainability Reporting Standards. Also, the EU Corporate Standard Reporting Directive (CSRD) is making headlines. [5:02] Jana thinks it is important as risk professionals to think of sustainability in the same way that we think about enterprise risk management. They are both important. Jana speaks of the 2017 COSO ERM Update, Integrating Strategy with Performance. [5:29] That COSO document says that ERM helps enhance performance by more closely linking strategy and business objectives to risk. ERM affects value strategy and is linked to the business. The COSO framework also discusses how ERM leads to better decision-making. [5:48] The International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB) says sustainability factors are becoming part of mainstream investment decision-making. Companies are called upon to provide high-quality global comparable information on sustainability reported risks and opportunities. [6:28] As ERM professionals, we are trying to identify risks to help protect the value and future ongoing business concerns of the company. Sustainability reporting is trying to do the same thing, protect the long-term value of the company. To Jana, that seems to be a natural fit. [7:00] Justin and Jana agree that the data should support the story-telling of the organization or the risk professional. Sustainability reporting is a big part of that data, just as financial statements are. [7:17] Sustainability reporting disclosures publish additional information by a company to inform stakeholders, including investors, business partners, employees, and customers. Jana thinks about it the same way as about financial statement information, which caters to the same stakeholder audience. [8:14] Jana notes it's important to know which of the different reporting directives for sustainability reporting standards apply to your company in the jurisdictions or geographies in which your company operates. Global sustainability disclosures are not 100% consistent. In the U.S., some states have additional expectations for ESG reporting above the SEC rules. [10:10] ESG is showing up in commercials. Jana finds that interesting as her friends and family still don't know what the acronym ESG means. It's appearing in the mainstream, with DEI. [11:31] Jana says that a lot of people who are responsible for enterprise risk management, including her industry peers, are not also responsible for sustainability reporting and disclosures. How can risk professionals get connected to the sustainability reporting team? [12:23] Jana recommends risk professionals use the RACI matrix: Who's Responsible? Who's Accountable? Who's Consulted? And Who's Informed? If you're not in this matrix, ask to join it as a consultant. She lists ways to contribute by connecting to different areas of the company. [13:56] It's important to know where your company operates. U.S. companies with no operations outside the U.S. may be able to follow the IFRS SASB Sustainable Accounting Standards and the SEC Climate Disclosure rules and other SEC-related rules that cover sustainability, as well as any state rules. [14:59] If you're U.S.-based with any operations in Europe, you're going to want to monitor CSRD and make sure you understand and follow that protocol. That should cover you for the majority of any sustainability risks in the U.S. [15:42] Jana's go-tos are the International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), International Sustainability Standards Board (ISSB), and Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB). ISSB includes the Taskforce on Climate-Related Financial Disclosure (TCFD). TCFD and CDP (formerly Carbon Disclosure Project) are closely aligned. [16:46] Jana repeats, pay attention to the IFRS and what they do. IFRS is geared to the investor community. Also watch the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI), which is focused on social and environmental impact reporting. [17:46] SASB is the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board. Justin invites you to look for these acronym links in the show notes. [18:06] RIMS plug time! You can sign up now for RISKWORLD pre-conference workshops. They will all be held on May 4th and 5th at the San Diego Convention Center. The link is in this episode's show notes. [18:19] The topics include but are not limited to Applying and Integrating ERM, Fundamentals of Insurance, and a RIMS-CRMP Exam Prep Workshop. Go to RIMS.org/RISKWORLD, go to Learn, and then Workshops and you'll find them there. [18:35] RIMS Virtual Workshops: Visit RIMS.org/virtualworkshops to see the full calendar. Virtual workshops are in session, beginning in June, starting with Leveraging Data and Analytics for Continuous Risk Management. That's a three-part course that begins on June 6th. We've got Fundamentals of Insurance on June 11th and 12th. [18:55] We've got Fundamentals of Risk Management on June 18th and 19th and we've got Captives as an Alternate Risk Financing Technique on June 26th and 27th. More information about these workshops and others is on the RIMS Virtual Workshops page and a link is in this episode's show notes. [19:13] If you attend RISKWORLD, be sure to download the RIMS Events App. This is different from the RIMS App, available only to members. The RIMS Events App will help you keep sessions organized, take notes, communicate with other attendees, and a whole lot of other great features because there's so much happening. This is a great way to stay on schedule. [19:38] On May 8th, at 2:10 p.m., please go over to the Global Studio and check out RIMScast Live for a special session with RIMS Risk Manager of the Year 2024, Steve Robles. Steve received the award for his fantastic work with LA County. We will discuss his career and we will give all of you a chance to ask him anything that's on your mind. [20:03] Steve's a great guest. We've already  recorded next week's episode together. In a clip from the episode, Steve says his risk group at LA County was responsible for about 100K county employees. He didn't know all their names, but if he knew their name, that was probably a bad thing! Be sure to tune in to RIMScast next week for more podcasting gold! [20:35] Steve was a lot of fun and our session at the Global Studio on May 8th at 2:10 p.m. is going to be a blast! Be there! [20:43] Webinars: On April 30th, to close out Supply Chain Integrity Month, we welcome Moody's, who will present Resilience in Turbulent Times: Navigating Geopolitical Challenges in Supply Chains. Our friends from TÜV SÜD GRC will return on May 23rd with Respond to Emerging Risks with a Winning Property Loss Control Formula. [21:08] On June 6th, Evident ID makes its RIMS Webinar debut with Uncovering Hidden Risks in Your Third-Party Risk Management Program. On June 13th, our friends at Riskonnect return to present Unlocking the Value of Business Continuity and Insurable Risk Management. That's a great line-up for the next couple of months! [21:30] Visit RIMS.org/Webinars to learn more about these webinars and to register! Links are in the show notes. Webinar registration is complimentary for RIMS members. [21:38] The RIMS ERM Conference 2024 will be held on November 18th and 19th in Boston, Massachusetts. RIMS continues to present the best conference agenda by featuring the most engaged and knowledgeable risk professionals leading the discussions. [21:53] RIMS wants to hear from you. Submit your session by Friday, May 3rd. A link is in this episode's show notes. The best submissions will address current and future issues facing ERM practitioners and provide takeaways for an audience of risk professionals, business leaders, students, governmental officers, legal professionals, and more. [24:15] You must keep it relevant to ERM and Strategic Enterprise Risk Management. Remember, product sales pitches are not acceptable nor appropriate as part of the RIMS ERM Conference Education Program. [22:46] Jana Utter has a session at RISKWORLD on May 6th at 2:45 p.m. with Bob Hirth, called Sustainability Reporting: Making ERM Transparent. It's part of the ESG track. It will be in Room 25AB. Jana is excited about the session. There are a lot of great sessions that run concurrently, but everybody should head over to Room 25AB on May 6th at 2:45 to hear more from Jana! [23:35] Risk professionals are supposed to have a line of communication to the C-suite and the enterprise to take these announcements seriously. Jana says a risk professional has to treat sustainability reporting and disclosures like any other risk. An emerging risk can sometimes bubble up to become a noticed risk. [24:42] Jana tells of her experience in reporting what ERM saw as up-and-coming emerging risks, capturing ESG and sustainability-related risks, and reporting disclosure expectations bubbling up in emerging risks. It eventually gets the attention when the time is right. [25:40] Keep any emerging risk in the reporting to the extent possible. When the time is right, it will become important, not only to the ERM professional but to others where you've been trying to raise the flag. Risk professionals, make a note! [26:19] Jana says Scope 3 Emissions are pretty complex. It is comprised of 15 categories. Scope 1 is a company's use of natural gas. Scope 2 is its use of electricity. They're more straightforward. [27:16] The focus of Scope 3 is supply chain emissions. Most enterprise risk management professionals may not know or have had any reason to focus on how many suppliers their company has. It can be thousands or tens of thousands. It's challenging. [27:54] The Greenhouse Gas Protocol and other authoritative sources have ways to categorize types of vendors and use categorizations as a way to calculate emissions. It's still very complex and much more subjective. [28:30] To get the quality of reporting you need for financial statements, with external auditor reviews and having the same level of controls and tightness on the calculations, Scope 3 becomes quite complex. [28:56] Justin reads from the U.S. EPA guidance on Scope 3: “The result of activities from assets not owned or controlled by the reporting organization but that the organization indirectly affects in its value chain.” Scope 3 emissions include up-chain and down-chain. A risk professional has a lot of work to do dealing with Scope 3 emissions. [29:37] Jana mentions that a challenge around Scope 3 is double counting. A manufacturer uses a third party to deliver goods to a retailer. Both the manufacturer and the retailer count the third party for emissions. Communication has to occur between the manufacturer and its retailers. So Scope 3 emissions reporting is not required now. [31:04] Jana talks about possible consequences of the failure of an enterprise to comply with the rule. It will probably be similar to any other failure to report accurately. You'll get a letter with a deadline to comply. There could be levels of penalties. It could be the same as not filing your financial statements on time. Jana suggests you check with your legal counsel. [33:10] Another trend Jana sees is the rise of Artificial Intelligence. It's on everybody's mind. There are sessions at RISKWORLD on the upside and downside risks and benefits of AI. AI has the ability to bring together a lot of information for the ERM practitioner. It still needs human interaction to determine what those results might mean and play out for your company. [34:32] Jana would not limit the research to what the AI brought back for a data set. AI can't replace the human experience and reasoning ability. [35:05] Another topic Jana sees, as we get to 2025, people are looking to the end of the decade from a risk perspective, taking a little longer-term view than normal for risk professionals, looking past current and emerging risk and thinking ahead. How are the risks of today going to progress to 2030? Justin invites Jana to come back in 2030 for a look back! [36:32] Justin describes how he has eased into using AI for simple things. [37:17] On May 6, at 2:45 p.m. in Room 25AB, Jana will co-host a RISKWORLD session, Sustainability Reporting: Making ERM Transparent: Environmental, Social and Governance. It may be one of the last times we see Bob Hirth speaking in a session with Jana. Bob has quasi-retired. They will reminisce a bit about what came true and what did not. [38:57] Jana and Bob will take questions if there is time at the end and maybe during the session. Check out Sustainability Reporting: Making ERM Transparent. This is going to affect your organization! [39:22] Jana, it has been such a pleasure to reconnect with you! We always find your insights very enlightening. We'll have you back before 2030! Let's set a date after we wrap and a date for 2030! Thank you, Jana! [39:42] Special thanks again to Jana Utter for joining us here on RIMScast. She's one of our favorites and she will be one of yours, too, when you see her live at RISKWORLD, on May 6th at 2:45 p.m. in Room 25AB for Sustainability Reporting: Making ERM Transparent! Registered attendees should use the RIMS Events App to get you where you need to go at RISKWORLD. [40:08] Go to the App Store and download the RIMS App. This is an exclusive members-only benefit with all sorts of RIMS resources and coverage. It's different from the RIMS Events App. Everybody loves the RIMS App! [40:40] You can sponsor a RIMScast episode for this, our weekly show, or a dedicated episode. Links to sponsored episodes are in our show notes. RIMScast has a global audience of risk and insurance professionals, legal professionals, students, business leaders, C-Suite executives, and more. Let's collaborate! Contact pd@rims.org for more information. [41:25] Become a RIMS member and get access to the tools, thought leadership, and network you need to succeed. Visit RIMS.org/membership or email membershipdept@RIMS.org for more information. [41:43] Risk Knowledge is the RIMS searchable content library that provides relevant information for today's risk professionals. Materials include RIMS executive reports, survey findings, contributed articles, industry research, benchmarking data, and more. [41:59] For the best reporting on the profession of risk management, read Risk Management Magazine at RMMagazine.com. It is written and published by the best minds in risk management. Justin Smulison is the Business Content Manager at RIMS. You can email Justin at Content@RIMS.org. [42:20] Thank you for your continued support and engagement on social media channels! We appreciate all your kind words. Listen every week! Stay safe!   Mentioned in this Episode: RISKWORLD 2024 — San Diego, CA | May 5–8, 2024 RISKWORLD Pre-Conference Workshops RISKWORLD Speakers NEW FOR MEMBERS! RIMS Mobile App RIMS DEI Council Spencer Educational Foundation — Grants Page RIMS-Certified Risk Management Professional (RIMS-CRMP) RIMS-CRMP Virtual Workshops RIMS ERM Conference 2024 — Nov 18-19 — Boston, MA — Call For Session Submissions by May 3. RIMS Risk Management Awards Edition 2024 Spencer-RIMS Risk Management Challenge — Live at RISKWORLD SEC Climate Disclosures — March 2024 announcement (On March 6, 2024, the SEC issued a final rule different from the proposed rule.)   RIMS Webinars: Resilience In Turbulent Times: Navigating Geopolitical Challenges in Supply Chains | Sponsored by Moody's | April 30, 2024 Respond to Emerging Risks with this Winning Property Loss Control Formula | Sponsored by TÜV SÜD GRC| May 23, 2024 Uncovering Hidden Risks in Your Third-Party Risk Management Program | Sponsored by EVIDENT ID | June 6, 2024 Unlocking the Value of Business Continuity and Insurable Risk Management | Sponsored by Riskonnect | June 13, 2024 RIMS.org/Webinars   Upcoming Virtual Workshops: See the full calendar of RIMS Virtual Workshops RIMS-CRMP Prep Workshops   Related RIMScast Episodes: “ERM, ESG, and More Acronyms with Jana Utter” (2022) “Scenario Planning in 2024 with the RIMS SERMC” “RISKWORLD 2024 Keynote Peter Diamandis” “Harnessing Innovation's Promise with ERM Conference 2023 Keynote Bob Roitblat” “Live From RIMS ERM Conference 2023” “All Roads Lead to ERM” “ERM's Value Proposition with Chris Mandel” Sponsored RIMScast Episodes: “Platinum Protection: Underwriting and risk engineering's role in protecting commercial properties” | Sponsored by AXA XL (New!) “Elevating RMIS — The Archer Way” | Sponsored by Archer “Alliant's P&C Outlook For 2024” | Sponsored by Alliant “Why Subrogation is the New Arbitration” | Sponsored by Fleet Response “Cyclone Season: Proactive Preparation for Loss Minimization” | Sponsored by Prudent Insurance Brokers Ltd. “Subrogation and the Competitive Advantage” | Sponsored by Fleet Response “Cyberrisk Outlook 2023” | Sponsored by Alliant “Chemical Industry: How To Succeed Amid Emerging Risks and a Challenging Market” | Sponsored by TÜV SÜD “Insuring the Future of the Environment” | Sponsored by AXA XL “Insights into the Gig Economy and its Contractors” | Sponsored by Zurich “The Importance of Disaster Planning Relationships” | Sponsored by ServiceMaster   RIMS Publications, Content, and Links: RIMS Membership — Whether you are a new member or need to transition, be a part of the global risk management community! RIMS Virtual Workshops On-Demand Webinars RIMS-Certified Risk Management Professional (RIMS-CRMP) RIMS-CRMP Stories — New interview featuring Manny Padilla! Spencer Educational Foundation “Leveraging Insurance and Risk Management to Address Political Risk” — RIMS Executive Report   RIMS Events, Education, and Services: RIMS Risk Maturity Model® RIMS Events App Apple | Google Play   Sponsor RIMScast: Contact sales@rims.org or pd@rims.org for more information.   Want to Learn More? Keep up with the podcast on RIMS.org and listen on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.   Have a question or suggestion? Email: Content@rims.org.   Join the Conversation! Follow @RIMSorg on Facebook, Twitter, and LinkedIn.   About our guest: Jana Utter: Vice President, Enterprise Risk Management, Centene Corporation Tweetables (Edited For Social Media Use): It's important as risk professionals to think of sustainability in the same way we think about enterprise risk management. We think about ERM as being important. Then sustainability is also important. — Jana Utter   There's a lot out there and you can get overwhelmed by trying to meet the requirements or expectations of all of them. — Jana Utter   In reporting disclosure expectations bubbling up in emerging risks, it eventually gets the attention when the time is right. — Jana Utter   As we get to 2025, I'm seeing a lot of looking to the end of the decade, from a risk perspective, taking a little longer-term view than we normally do as risk professionals, coupling current and emerging and what may be new on the horizon, thinking ahead to 2030. — Jana Utter

For this episode, let's revisit a Strategy Skills classic where we discuss scenario planning's common problems.   Scenario planning / Scenario Analysis is a powerful tool in consulting. This is how to move from being a consultant to thinking and presenting like a partner.   Here are some free gifts for you: Overall Approach Used in Well-Managed Strategy Studies free download: www.firmsconsulting.com/OverallApproach   McKinsey & BCG winning resume free download: www.firmsconsulting.com/resumepdf   Enjoying this episode? Get access to sample advanced training episodes here: www.firmsconsulting.com/promo

In this episode, Nolan and Kelli host A.J. Thomas of X, the moonshot factory from Alphabet. A.J for a discussion about failure, innovation, and embracing adversity. They also discuss the importance of scenario planning and asking all the questions upfront as a baseline for business optimization.While at X, A.J. embraces the notion that professional breakthrough requires personal breakthrough and her perspective on the relentless pursuit of truth, dispassionate assessment, and the power of curiosity provides invaluable insights into cultivating a mindset of innovation and resilience.Share this with your friends, forward to your enemies. Subscribe to our Substack: https://hrheretics.substack.com/. HR Heretics is part of the Turpentine podcast network.HR Heretics is brought to you by Attio the next generation of CRM. It's powerful, flexible and easily configures to the unique way your startup runs, whatever your go-to-market motion. The next era deserves a better CRM. Join OpenAI, Replicate, ElevenLabs and more at https://bit.ly/AttioHRHereticsTIMESTAMPS:(00:00) Intro(02:07) Unique Approach to Onboarding(10:09) Creative Hiring and Community Outreach(13:07) Change and Clarity(14:20) Sponsor: Attio(15:52) Scenario Planning(19:07) AJ's Journey to X, Google's Moonshot Factory(29:56) Embracing Failure (33:00) The Unrecruiting Route - Why You Shouldn't Join(42:23) Dispassionate Assessment(44:46) The Relentless Pursuit of Truth(47:58) Authenticity(50:48) Being on the Front Line and the Quest for LearningKEEP UP WITH A.J., NOLAN, + KELLI ON LINKEDINA.J.: https://www.linkedin.com/in/angelejeanthomas/Nolan: https://www.linkedin.com/in/nolan-church/Kelli: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kellidragovich/ This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit hrheretics.substack.com

Thomas Plantenga is the CEO @ Vinted, one of the fastest-growing marketplaces in the world with a valuation of $4.5BN. Prior to becoming CEO, Thomas worked with a range of organisations including Bookaboat, OLX, Sellit/Wallapop and FJLabs. Alex Taussig is a General Partner @ Lightspeed and co-leads the fund's Consumer investment team. Alex's portfolio includes the likes of All Day Kitchens, Archive Resale, Daily Harvest, Faire, Found, Frubana, Keychain, Kikoff, Vinted, YaySay, and Zola. In Today's Episode with Thomas Plantenga and Alex Taussig We Discuss: 1. The CEO Who Did Not Want to be CEO: How did Thomas come to be CEO @ Vinted? Why did he not want the job at first? What does Thomas know now that he wishes he had known when he started? 2. The Mechanics of the Fastest Growing Marketplace: What is the single most important metric for Vinted? How does Vinted determine what market to open next? What do they look for? How does Vinted think about depth vs breadth in each country? What is the AOV today? How does it vary by country? How long does it take for each country to be cash flow positive? 3. The Biggest BS in Startups: Rule of 40 and EBITDA: Why does Thomas think VC's obsession with "Rule of 40" is BS? Why does Thomas believe EBITDA optimization is BS and useless? What are the hardest elements of scaling a marketplace that no one knows? 4. The Bull, Bear and Investor Approach to Vinted: Alex, what was Lightspeed's pre and post-mortem when investing in Vinted? How does Lightspeed analyze TAM and market sizing when investing? What was Lightspeed's single biggest concern when investing in Vinted? 5. Europe: A Hub of Innovation or a Retirement Home: Does Thomas believe that European young people have a worse work ethic than those in the US? Is Thomas concerned by the state of regulation hampering innovation in Europe? What can be done to improve work ethic and the state of regulation today? Why is Alex and Lightspeed more bullish than ever on Europe today?