Podcasts about Taiwan

“Our Teacher” is a collection of essays written by students of Falun Dafa (also known as Falun Gong). This series is comprised of their personal experiences with the practice and their interactions with Dafa's founder, Mr. Li Hongzhi, when the practice was first taught to the public. The writings were originally published on the Minghui website. Original Articles:1. Remembering Master Li Hongzhi’s Visit to Taiwan in 1997 (Part 1)2. Reminiscing about Master Li Hongzhi’s visit to Taiwan in 1997 (Part 2) To provide feedback on this podcast, please email us at feedback@minghuiradio.org

Katie welcomes Canberra-based Taiwanese-Australian singer-songwriter Kim Yang back to the JOY studio for a wonderful chat about her exquisite debut album, Turn On the Lights, and her recent time spent living in China and visiting and performing in Taiwan. Kim speaks about the songs on the album being about seeking to understand her background and stepping into her identity, especially as a migrant and a recently diagnosed neurodivergent person, and she performs her Chinese-language song ‘Different and I Like It' live in the studio. Here is the playlist: Softly, Once Again – Leah Senior Unforgettable Days – The Tortured Souls New Start – Kim Yang Different and I Like It (live in the studio) – Kim Yang Perth – Bon Iver What Can I Do – Kim Yang River – Joni Mitchell Bottom Line – Kim Yang Visit Kim Yang's official website and follow her on Facebook and Instagram, and find her music and merch on Bandcamp. Above: Photo of Katie and Kim Yang by Betty Sujecki – please visit this Miss Chatelaine Facebook photo album for more pics! The post Kim Yang – Show #392 (part 2), 24 May 2026 appeared first on Miss Chatelaine.

This week on the Mark Levin Show, modern Western societies, enlightened and democratic, are experiencing "soft negative power." Gradually, our democratic institutions are being subverted by infiltration of unelected institutions like bureaucracies, independent agencies, and the judiciary. Soft negative power leads to authoritarian democracy. One branch of government absorbs and overtakes the others. Legislatures pass tyrannical laws. Soft negative power is so effective that one of the worst tyrannies of all -- Marxism -- is now deeply ingrained in the Western psyche. If you take money from one successful person and give it to five others who haven't earned it, who do you think those five people will vote for? This is why America is a republic, not a democracy. This is why the Founding Fathers put in safeguards such as a Senate, Electoral College and a Supreme Court - things Democratic Socialists despise. Sen. Lindsey Graham would have been amused yet pleased by the packed tributes from those who once labeled him a warmonger. He was a peace monger who stood firmly with America's allies. He knew Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan are forces for good against Iran, Russia, and Communist China. Graham was straightforward, his word was his bond. You may not have agreed with everything he said, but he was a man of principle. He will be missed. Later, the Iranian regime needs to be eliminated. The Iranian people want liberation and are being slaughtered for speaking out - the focus should be arming them, rooting out the IRGC, and applying aggressive military leadership rather than endless bombing or infrastructure destruction alone. Meanwhile, Zelensky and the Ukrainians are winning the war against Putin and Russia. Spain has seen a massive influx of over 80,000 illegal immigrants from Morocco and Northern Africa, with humanity as far as the eye can see breaking into the country while its socialist, radical leftist, anti-American and anti-Israel president does nothing. This mirrors the rapid destruction possible in a single government cycle, as occurred under Biden in America. Communists in the Democrat Party, Democratic Socialists of America and their allies oppose immigration enforcement and attack ICE precisely because they seek such open-border circumstances as a regular occurrence to replace the current citizenry with people from the Third World. This is revolution by immigration that will destroy the country; there is no discussion of assimilation or the true purpose of immigration. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

While we were at last year's Taiwanese American Conference West Coast in July of 2025 which was hosted in San Francisco Silicon Valley, we sat down with Akio Yaita (矢板明夫), the keynote speaker of the conference. As a senior journalist at Sankei Shimbun Akio has covered Beijing and Taipei. He's been a strong advocate for Taiwan. In 2024 Akio obtained citizenship in Taiwan and founded the Indo-Pacific Strategy Thinktank. Related Links: https://talkingtaiwan.com/akio-yaita-%e7%9f%a2%e6%9d%bf%e6%98%8e%e5%a4%ab-outspoken-taiwan-advocate-in-taiwan-i-can-make-a-bigger-contribution-ep-355/ As we were working on translating and editing our interview with Akio we were disturbed to learn that on July 6th Akio was assaulted after a speaking engagement in Taichung. While Akio was in the lobby of a hotel, a Chinese man approached him and punched him in the face. The man, surnamed Liao (廖) was later arrested at the Taichung International Airport. Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council described the attack as the "first case of transnational repression" in Taiwan since China's Ethnic Unity and Progress Promotion Law took effect on July 1. After the attack Akio has said that he will not be intimidated.   What timing it's turned out to be for us to be sharing our interview with Akio Yaita now. You'll get know about his backstory and how you can follow him and his work.   This episode is sponsored in part by the Pacific Times.   Related Links: https://talkingtaiwan.com/akio-yaita-%e7%9f%a2%e6%9d%bf%e6%98%8e%e5%a4%ab-outspoken-taiwan-advocate-in-taiwan-i-can-make-a-bigger-contribution-ep-355/

.Climate change will be a pressing issue at next month's Pacific Islands Forum, which is being hosted by Palau, with calls for every regional player to be at the table, so opportunities for progress aren't lost. Last year, Taiwan was among other non-member states not invited due to pressure from China. Palau's government has told SBS, it expects entire island communities to be lost to rising seas by the end of the century, calling on Australia to contribute more to climate adaptation.

A.M. Edition for July 31. Earnings from AI hyperscalers this week showed rising demand for their cloud services, with Amazon's CEO forecasting corporate AI use was still in its ‘early stages.' But as EY's Dan Diasio tells us, rising token costs are leading many businesses to question their broader AI approach. Plus, the U.S. says Hamas has agreed to a broad plan to disarm in exchange for an eventual Israeli withdrawal from Gaza. And WSJ reporter Margherita Stancati describes how the arrival of thousands of migrants into the Spanish territory of Ceuta from neighboring Morocco is piling political pressure on the center-left government in Madrid. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for the WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Scott interviews author and writer Ted Galen Carpenter about the Iran war, Israel's tensions with Turkey, the Saudi Nuclear deal, North Korea and more. Discussed on the show: “Washington's Two Rogue Allies in the Middle East Face Off” (Libertarian Institute) “North Korea's Nuclear Status Requires Urgent Negotiation” (Libertarian Institute) Ted Galen Carpenter is a senior fellow at the Libertarian Institute. Carpenter has written 10 books including America's Coming War with China: A Collision Course over Taiwan and most recently Unreliable Watchdog: The News Media and U.S. Foreign Policy. He is a contributing editor at The American Conservative Magazine and the National Interest. Sign up for the Scott Horton Academy of Foreign Policy and Freedom at scotthortonacademy.com For more on Scott's work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott's other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott's books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/43D82oY (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/4eMQblu Fool's Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/4a5fKvx Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott's full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Tax Attorney Matt Sercely https://agoristtaxadvice.com; Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods' Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com; Expat Money https://expatmoney.com/scott; and Crowdhealth https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/ (use promocode Horton) You can also support Scott's work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Plus: Anthropic says software it was testing got onto the internet and hacked three unsuspecting companies. And Tesla weighs the sale of its China business to pave the way for a potential merger with SpaceX. Luke Vargas hosts. Sign up for WSJ's free What's News newsletter. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

Geopolitical expert Michael Doran argues that Middle East stability depends on the U.S. winning its long war with Iran. He warns the “rabid dog” regime remains a paused but persistent danger.Doran also unpacks how China is using the Middle East as a laboratory to test how America defends against missiles and drones before any move on Taiwan. He warns that anti-ship ballistic missiles supplied to Iran and the Houthis exist for one purpose: sinking American aircraft carriers.Michael Doran is a Senior Fellow at the Hudson Institute and director of its Center for Peace and Security in the Middle East. A former George W. Bush administration National Security Council director, he is the author of Ike's Gamble and a leading voice on Iran, Israel and U.S. strategy.

 Download Audio. Scott interviews author and writer Ted Galen Carpenter about the Iran war, Israel's tensions with Turkey, the Saudi Nuclear deal, North Korea and more. Discussed on the show: “Washington's Two Rogue Allies in the Middle East Face Off” (Libertarian Institute) “North Korea's Nuclear Status Requires Urgent Negotiation” (Libertarian Institute) Ted Galen Carpenter is a senior fellow at the Libertarian Institute. Carpenter has written 10 books including America's Coming War with China: A Collision Course over Taiwan and most recently Unreliable Watchdog: The News Media and U.S. Foreign Policy. He is a contributing editor at The American Conservative Magazine and the National Interest. Sign up for the Scott Horton Academy of Foreign Policy and Freedom at scotthortonacademy.com For more on Scott’s work: Check out The Libertarian Institute: https://www.libertarianinstitute.org Check out Scott’s other show, Provoked, with Darryl Cooper https://youtube.com/@Provoked_Show Read Scott’s books: Provoked: How Washington Started the New Cold War with Russia and the Catastrophe in Ukraine https://amzn.to/43D82oY (The audiobook of Provoked is being published in sections at https://scotthortonshow.com) Enough Already: Time to End the War on Terrorism: https://amzn.to/4eMQblu Fool's Errand: Time to End the War in Afghanistan https://amzn.to/4a5fKvx Follow Scott on X @scotthortonshow And check out Scott's full interview archives: https://scotthorton.org/all-interviews This episode of the Scott Horton Show is sponsored by: Tax Attorney Matt Sercely https://agoristtaxadvice.com; Moon Does Artisan Coffee https://scotthorton.org/coffee; Tom Woods' Liberty Classroom https://www.libertyclassroom.com/dap/a/?a=1616 and Dissident Media https://dissidentmedia.com; Expat Money https://expatmoney.com/scott; and Crowdhealth https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/ (use promocode Horton) You can also support Scott's work by making a one-time or recurring donation at https://scotthorton.org/donate/https://scotthortonshow.com or https://patreon.com/scotthortonshow Audio cleaned up with the Podsworth app: https://podsworth.com Use code HORTON50 for 50% off your first order at Podsworth.com to clean up your voice recordings, sound like a pro, and also support the Scott Horton Show!

Esta semana hablamos clubes de lectura censurados a través de la historia, así como algunos ejemplos de represión y censura, como el White Terror en Taiwan.

Good afternoon, I'm _ with today's episode of EZ News. Tai-Ex opening The Tai-Ex opened up 1,677-points this morning from yesterday's close, at 41,610 on turnover of $33.5-billion N-T. Taiwan shares closed below the 40,000-point threshold on Thursday after a volatile session that saw the benchmark index swing more than 1,700 points, erasing an intraday surge of over 1,100 points as late selling dragged the market lower. Analysts say the correction has been unusually steep, with the Taiex down more than 6,192 points so far this month and on track for its biggest monthly point decline on record. MOFA opens Kumamoto earthquake donation account The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has opened a dedicated bank account for cash donations as it works to establish a relief fund for people in Japan affected by Tuesday's magnitude 7.1 earthquake that struck Kumamoto Prefecture. The Mega Bank account will accept donations from the public from tomorrow through August 31. Presidential Office spokesperson Karen Kuo says President Lai Ching-te, Vice President Hsiao Bi-khim and Premier Cho Jung-tai will each donate 200,000 N-T to the account. Kuo said Taiwan and Japan have supported each other during difficult times over the years and she's calling on the public to extend (給予，提供) their goodwill to earthquake-hit areas and help residents return to normal life as soon as possible. COSTA RICA'S GRYNSPAN LEADS FIRST UN SECURITY COUNCIL STRAW POLL IN RACE TO SUCCEED GUTERRES Costa Rica's Rebeca Grynspan has emerged as the frontrunner in the first informal straw poll (非正式投票) to choose the next United Nations Secretary-General, winning ten votes of encouragement from the fifteen members of the Security Council. Seven candidates — four women and three men — are vying to succeed António Guterres, whose second five-year term ends at the end of December. The Security Council did not officially release the results, and paper ballots were destroyed after counting. Mitch Mccann reports from New York. Liberia Burns Confiscated Concaine Liberian law enforcement agents have burned some 4.2 metric tons of cocaine worth about $336 million. The action comes after the country's largest-ever drug seizure, which implicated senior police officials. Authorities say investigators identified officers who allegedly helped escort the cocaine. The police chief of highway patrol and the head of major crimes have been charged, while a deputy police commander is also a suspect. The Justice Ministry says the cocaine was recovered during a raid near the capital, Monrovia. Liberia's police and drug enforcement agency also burned cocaine seized in June. West Africa has become a key transit route (轉運路線) for cocaine trafficked from South America to Europe. Argentina Emergency Decree to Deny Entry or Expel Foreigners who Incite Violence Argentine President Javier Milei has signed an emergency decree allowing the government to deny entry to or expel foreigners who incite discrimination or violence against Argentines. This measure adds new grounds to Argentina's immigration law, allowing authorities to revoke visas and deport those promoting hatred against Argentines. The move follows weeks of international backlash during and after the World Cup, when controversy over refereeing decisions, Argentina's aggressive style of play and a post-match brawl broadened into criticism of the country itself. The decree does not apply to protected speech but leaves unclear how officials will distinguish prohibited hate speech. That was the I.C.R.T. EZ News, I'm _. －－－－以下為 SoundOn 動態廣告－－－－ 出國前最怕匯率一直漲?中國信託銀行挺你聰明換匯 設定匯率到價智慧通知，匯率相對低點不錯過 再領優惠券享美金最高減3分等優惠 立即設定：https://sofm.pse.is/9eqdge 投資外幣如幣別轉換可能產生匯兌損失，應評估涉及自身情況審慎投資。 完整注意事項詳見網站資訊。 -- 中秋送禮就選皇樓！ 超過30款中西式精緻禮盒，榮獲iTQi最高三星與台灣百大糕點金質獎肯定，深受百大企業指定。 無論送客戶或親友，用尚好的心意，為你送上極致禮遇，立即點選以下連結 https://sofm.pse.is/9erj55 -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

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Hungry Ghost Month runs August 13 through September 10 in 2026, with the fifteenth-day Hungry Ghost Festival falling on August 27. Why do some getai and wayang performances in Singapore and Malaysia leave the entire front row empty?Thursday Thrills explores the Chinese ghost folklore, religious traditions and regional beliefs behind seats reserved for unseen guests. Henrique traces the differences among the seventh lunar month, the Daoist Zhongyuan Festival, Buddhist Yulanpen or Ullambana observances, ancestor remembrance and offerings for wandering spirits. We also examine food, incense, joss paper and documented Ghost Month taboos involving roadside offerings, nighttime swimming, reserved seats and major life events.From Taiwan's water lanterns and Hong Kong's Yu Lan traditions to Singaporean getai, this respectful supernatural folklore journey separates living cultural practice from sensational internet horror - and asks who a performance is really for when its best seats are left empty.

The Outer Realm welcomes back special Guest Samuel Chong Date: July 29th, 2026 EP: 751 DISCUSSION: Samuel Chong returns and will be talking about UFOs in China, China's Roswell, Ancient advanced civilizations, ET Technologies, paranormal mysteries and more! Contact for the show - theouterrealmcontact@gmail.com https://linktr.ee/michelledesrochers_ About Samuel: Samuel Chong is a California-licensed attorney, certified Mandarin court and federal interpreter, Chinese translator (American Translators Association), and licensed massage therapist. He serves as a unique motivational keynote speaker on wellness, resilience, mindset, leadership, health and wellbeing, spirituality, near-death experiences, extraterrestrials (ETs), ancient mysteries, and esoteric knowledge. Drawing on scientifically grounded evidence and memorable personal stories, Samuel bridges science and spirituality to unlock human potential at a subconscious level. He delivers actionable strategies for productivity, resilience, and positive change while inspiring audiences with interdisciplinary insights from mind-body-spirit (MBS) principles. His work as a Mandarin interpreter for global leaders—including Richard Branson, Warren Buffett, and Michael Dell—has given him deep cross-industry knowledge and strategic foresight as a futurist. Samuel holds a J.D. from Northwestern California University School of Law, an M.A. in Financial Analysis from Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, a Graduate Certificate in Economic History from the London School of Economics, and a B.A. in Economics from UC Berkeley. He previously taught at UCLA Extension. A dedicated advocate for ET disclosure and ancient wisdom, Samuel was instrumental in arranging the Chinese edition of Michel Desmarquet's Thiaoouba Prophecy (a bestseller in both China and Taiwan) and has translated 334 ‰ Lies: The Revelation of H. M. v. Stuhl. He has personally visited the author and actively promotes these transformative messages of hope, planetary awakening, and a better world through the ChinaSona Foundation and its scholarship program. Based in Los Angeles, Samuel is a Founding Member of the Hollywood Disclosure Alliance. He brings his legal expertise, global perspective, and unique synthesis of esoteric knowledge with modern science to help integrate truthful UAP/ET narratives into entertainment media and public consciousness. His multilingual abilities (English, Mandarin, Spanish) and interdisciplinary background make him an invaluable bridge between researchers, experiencers, and Hollywood storytellers advancing ethical, fact-based disclosure. https://www.chinasona.org/speakers/ If you enjoy the content on the channel, please support us by commenting, subscribing and sharing : Thank you All !!! A formal disclosure: The opinions and information presented or expressed by guests on The Outer Realm Radio and Beyond The Outer Realm are not necessarily those of the TOR, BTOR Host, Sponsors, or the United Public Radio Network and it's producers. Although we value all of our guests and their perspectives, for Legal Purposes, all content must be listed and deemed "For Entertainment Purposes" We are always be respectful and courteous to all involved. Thank you, we appreciate you all !!! United Public Radio & UFO Paranormal Radio www.uprntalkradio.com

Good afternoon, I'm _ with today's episode of EZ News. Tai-Ex opening  The Tai-Ex opened slightly higher this morning at 40,048 points, with turnover of 15.7-billion N.T. dollars. The market fell sharply (大幅下跌) again on Wednesday, losing more than 1,500 points. Investors remain worried about the large amount of money companies are spending on artificial intelligence (人工智慧). MOFA to protest 'Taiwan, China' name in South Africa's ETA system The Ministry of Foreign Affairs says it will protest (抗議) South Africa's use of the name "Taiwan, China" in its Electronic Travel Authorization (旅行授權) system. Taiwanese travelers are not yet able to use the system. But reports say Taiwan appears in the website's passport menu under the incorrect (不正確的) name "Taiwan, China." The foreign ministry says Taiwan's representative office in Pretoria has been told to file a formal protest and ask South Africa to correct the name. Control Yuan refers former top trade negotiator, Yang Jen-ni to disciplinary court The Control Yuan has impeached (彈劾) former top trade negotiator Yang Jen-ni and sent her case to the Disciplinary Court. Yang was removed from her position last month after an investigation found that she repeatedly (一再地；反覆地) bullied her former deputy, Yen Huai-hsing. Yen resigned in February and died on March 12 at the age of 53. The Control Yuan says Yang seriously violated (違反) rules for public officials and should face a disciplinary review (懲戒審查). Yang denies any wrongdoing. TRUMP VOWS HEAVY STRIKES ON IRAN AFTER US INTERCEPTS BALLISTIC MISSILE ATTACK ON FORCES IN JORDAN U.S. President Donald Trump has promised heavy strikes on Iran after Iran's Revolutionary Guard fired several ballistic missiles (彈道飛彈) at U.S. military sites in Jordan on Tuesday. All of the missiles were intercepted (攔截). The attack ended a pause in the fighting. It came as U.S. and Saudi fighter jets carried out joint strikes on Iran-linked militia targets in Iraq. Iraq's Popular Mobilisation Forces says at least 20 people were killed. Iran says it does not want the conflict (衝突) to grow, but more countries are now becoming involved. Kate Fisher reports from Washington. Kenya elephants suspected to have been poisoned Wildlife officials in Kenya say 15 elephants may have been poisoned (中毒；被下毒) after eating tomatoes contaminated with cyanide (氰化物). The elephants died over the past month near Amboseli National Park in southern Kenya. Authorities have not said who may be responsible. In the past, some farmers have been suspected of poisoning elephants to protect their crops. The Kenya Wildlife Service says the contamination could also affect livestock (牲畜) in the area. Officials say the toxic substances (有毒物質) found in the elephants do not pose an immediate risk to people. That was the I.C.R.T. EZ News, I'm _. -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

On Tuesday's Mark Levin Show,  Sen Lindsey Graham would have been amused yet pleased by the packed tributes from those who once labeled him a warmonger. He was a peace monger who stood firmly with America's allies. He knew Israel, Ukraine, and Taiwan are forces for good against Iran, Russia, and Communist China. Graham was straightforward, his word was his bond. You may not have agreed with everything he said, but he was a man of principle. He will be missed. Later, the Iranian regime needs to be eliminated. The Iranian people want liberation and are being slaughtered for speaking out - the focus should be arming them, rooting out the IRGC, and applying aggressive military leadership rather than endless bombing or infrastructure destruction alone. Meanwhile, Zelensky and the Ukrainians are winning the war against Putin and Russia. The administration and public opinion are turning in favor of Ukraine because the Ukrainians are demonstrating that they will not be defeated and Russia's casualties are truly horrendous, threatening Putin's hold on power. The Ukrainians are attacking Russia's oil infrastructure to great effect. And it is making a huge difference in the trajectory of the war there. The U.S. appears to be avoiding Iran's oil infrastructure.  We need to rethink this if we seek an actual victory. We are not going to achieve an actual victory at the negotiation table, certainly not a lasting victory. Finally, Alan Dershowitz calls and breaks down Zohran Mamdani's pied-à-terre tax. Mamdani's practice of compiling and releasing lists of second-home owners is typical socialist behavior. Mamdani is a vicious, bigoted antisemite whose insistence that every other country may be a Muslim state while denying Israel's right to exist. The Democratic party is the most dangerous in modern American history and Mamdani the most dangerous mayor. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Sixteen years after last sharing a table together, four Stratfor alumni reunite for a wide-ranging conversation on the decade ahead. Jacob and Marko are joined by Peter Zeihan, and Matt Gertken to tackle three questions: How does the world end in the next 10 years? What core belief could each of us get wrong? And what's the least expected, most likely thing to happen next?The conversation ranges from deglobalization and collapsing oil supply chains to the demographic cliff facing the developed world, the odds of deflation versus inflation in the 2030s, and whether the global order ends up multipolar, bipolar, or unipolar. They also debate the odds of a US-China clash over Taiwan, and whether the nation-state can survive a coming showdown with the tech companies and billionaires who increasingly control critical infrastructure - including orbit.--Timestamps:(00:00) - Welcome and Setup(02:05) - Reunion at the Table(03:11) - Episode Premise and Format(04:22) - Zeihan on Deglobalization(06:42) - Energy Shock Fallout(08:52) - Demographics and Demand Crash(11:03) - Deflation vs Inflation Debate(16:25) - Drone Warfare Dark Turn(18:21) - Semiconductors Reality Check(27:27) - Marco Goes Nuclear(30:10) - Russia Collapse Scenarios(33:18) - Nukes Spread and Ukraine Endgame(35:31) - Supply Chain Shockwaves(36:34) - Putin Hell Bar Joke(37:18) - Europe Expansion Debate(39:26) - EU Becomes Military Union(40:37) - Post Putin Chaos Risks(43:08) - Russian Elite Succession(44:27) - Civil War Nuclear Fear(47:34) - China Fills The Vacuum(52:26) - Taiwan Timeline Scenario(53:59) - Drones Nukes And Invasion(56:43) - Deterrence And Flashpoints(01:03:34) - China Demographics Clash(01:05:15) - Depopulation Not Disaster(01:06:14) - Black Plague Lessons(01:07:11) - Automation Versus Depopulation(01:07:22) - Japan China Depopulation Debate(01:09:31) - End of Nation State(01:11:18) - Shocks and State Capacity(01:12:04) - Broken World of More(01:13:07) - Knowledge Networks Collapse(01:14:31) - Affluence Feudalism Demand(01:16:51) - Brittle AI Chip Supply(01:21:39) - Ingenuity Gap Reversal(01:23:34) - Rapid Fire Predictions(01:35:47) - State Versus Tech Showdown(01:40:24) - Wrap and Break--Referenced in the Show:https://zeihan.com/--Jacob Shapiro Site: jacobshapiro.comJacob Shapiro LinkedIn: linkedin.com/in/jacob-l-s-a9337416Jacob Twitter: x.com/JacobShapJacob Shapiro Substack: jashap.substack.com/subscribe --The Jacob Shapiro Show is produced and edited by Audiographies LLC. More information at audiographies.com--Jacob Shapiro is a speaker, consultant, author, and researcher covering global politics and affairs, economics, markets, technology, history, and culture. He speaks to audiences of all sizes around the world, helps global multinationals make strategic decisions about political risks and opportunities, and works directly with investors to grow and protect their assets in today's volatile global environment. His insights help audiences across industries like finance, agriculture, and energy make sense of the world.--

Alex Lin is back to celebrate the 10th anniversary of Autism Rocks and advocate for Autistic people around the world.     00:00 Opening: Shannon's Moving Adventure & Show Preview 01:28 Meet Alex Linn & Autism Rocks 10th Anniversary Preview 02:07 How to Watch, Interact & Access Premium Content 03:57 All Ghouls Gala 2026 Announcement & Autism Care Today Grants 05:32 Autism Live's Mission and Supporting the Autism Community 08:05 Parenting Stress, Special Needs, and Finding Support 09:49 Shannon Reflects on Her Autism Parenting Journey 13:07 Revisiting IEPs, Assessments & Parental PTSD 16:45 A Message to Autistic Individuals: You Are Not the Stress 18:27 Introducing Alex Linn and the Autism Rocks Legacy 21:02 Autism Rocks 10th Anniversary Concert Details & Featured Performers 29:10 Alex Shares His Bullying Experience and Autism Advocacy Journey 35:45 Expanding Autism Rocks to Taiwan and Changing Autism Stigma 46:08 Universal CityWalk Concert Guide, Logistics & What to Expect 53:15 Performer Lineup, Special Songs & Final Event Information

Johnny Mac opens with a clip of comedian Tommy Kang doing a Rodney Dangerfield-style set about being Chinese, family insults, and a Taiwan joke, then reports Larry the Cable Guy was hospitalized in Lincoln, Nebraska with appendicitis, had it removed after two days, and is recovering at home after posting a humorous update. He critiques comedy at the White House Correspondents' Dinner, citing Variety's take on Trump's nervous delivery and weak material. From Just for Laughs in Montreal, he shares remarks and jokes from honorees including Gabriel Iglesias, Lisa Gilroy, Chris Fleming, Atsuko Okatsuka, and Bruce Hills receiving the JFL Legacy Tribute Award with taped tributes. Other notes include Tracy Morgan's Paramount+ show ending, Dan Harmon saying Chevy Chase's Community-movie involvement isn't his call, late-night ratings updates, and Billboard's June comedy Boxscore led by Nate Bargatze, with Matt Rife, Weird Al, Jim Gaffigan, and Peter Kay also listed. 00:15 Tommy Kang Clip01:32 Larry Cable Guy Update02:21 Trump Dinner Joke03:33 Just for Laughs Awards05:56 Bruce Hills Tribute07:31 Quick Comedy Notes08:11 Late Night Ratings10:54 Kimmel Contract Gossip12:10 Top Touring Comics13:00 Weird Al   Become a supporter of this podcast: https://www.spreaker.com/podcast/daily-comedy-news-with-johnny-mac--4522158/support.Daily Comedy News is hosted by Johnny Mac and releases every weekday. Subscribe on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or your favorite app. Part of the Caloroga Shark Media network. For transcripts and show notes visit www.dailycomedynews.comDaily Comedy News with Johnny Mac is a daily podcast covering comedians, stand-up comedy, late night television, and the comedy industry. New episodes every morning. Follow on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or wherever you listen.  Contact John at John@thesharkdeck dot com For Uninterrupted Listening, use the Apple Podcast App and click the banner that says Uninterrupted Listening.  $4.99/month John's Substack about media is free. 

Jennifer Parker examines the rapidly changing security environment across the Indo-Pacific and explains why maritime competition, strategic deterrence, and AUKUS matter far beyond defence circles. Drawing on her experience as a former Royal Australian Navy warfare officer and defence strategist, she explores the growing risks posed by China's military expansion, the future of Australia's submarine capability, and why governments and businesses alike must rethink their assumptions about global security.We discuss:- Why the Indo-Pacific has become the world's most strategically contested region- What AUKUS is designed to achieve and the risks and opportunities it presents- How China's expanding military capabilities are reshaping regional security- Why businesses should understand their supply chain and maritime dependencies- What a Taiwan crisis could mean for Australia, global trade, and international stability- Whether Australia is becoming too dependent on the United States for its defenceThis is a timely conversation on deterrence, maritime security, and the new reality of strategic competition in the Indo-Pacific.The International Risk Podcast brings you conversations with global experts, frontline practitioners, and senior decision-makers who are shaping how we understand and respond to international risk. From geopolitical instability and organised crime to cybersecurity threats and hybrid warfare, each episode explores the forces transforming our world and what smart leaders must do to navigate them. Whether you're a board member, policymaker, or risk professional, The International Risk Podcast delivers actionable insights, sharp analysis, and real-world stories that matter.Dominic Bowen is the host of The International Risk Podcast and Europe's leading expert on international risk and crisis management. As Head of Strategic Advisory and Partner at one of Europe's leading risk management consulting firms, Dominic advises CEOs, boards, and senior executives across the continent on how to prepare for uncertainty and act with intent. He has spent decades working in war zones, advising multinational companies, and supporting Europe's business leaders. Dominic is the go-to business advisor for leaders navigating risk, crisis, and strategy; trusted for his clarity, calmness under pressure, and ability to turn volatility into competitive advantage. Dominic equips today's business leaders with the insight and confidence to lead through disruption and deliver sustained strategic advantage.Subscribe for all our updates!Tell us what you liked!Share your thoughts in the comments below.Tell us what you liked!

Rescue efforts are underway following an explosion at a shopping mall in southwest Japan, triggered by a powerful 7.1-magnitude earthquake (01:02). The European Commission says the fast-spreading fires in France and Spain have exceeded their capacity to respond, prompting calls for cross-border firefighting aid from member nations (23:52). Beijing has slammed the Democratic Progressive Party authorities in Taiwan for rejecting the entry applications of a Shanghai delegation to Taipei for a ceremony marking the public debut of two red pandas gifted by the mainland (32:21) .

Good afternoon, I'm _ with today's episode of EZ News. Tai-Ex opening The Tai-Ex opened down 112-points this morning from yesterday's close, at 41,491 on turnover of 13.6-billion N-T. Shares in Taiwan posted the third largest single-session point decline Tuesday as tech stocks took a beating amid lingering concerns over massive spending on AI development that may not deliver comparable returns. Analysts say the index faced pressure soon after the market opened as investors witnessed losses posted by tech stocks in the United States overnight. And memory chip suppliers in South Korea also tumbled, triggering more of a sell-off among local semiconductor stocks. (CNA - NS) Taiwan Search and Rescue on Standby After Kumamoto Quake Taiwan's elite search and rescue teams are on standby to deploy to Japan following a powerful earthquake in Kumamoto Prefecture. President Lai Ching-te and Premier Cho Jung-tai has instructed emergency agencies to prepare for deployment (部署). The National Fire Agency says it has contacted the Japan-Taiwan Exchange Association and Japan's Fire and Disaster Management Agency to express sympathy and offer support. And officials say Taiwan's international humanitarian aid mechanism will officially activate as soon as Japan's government formally requests emergency assistance through the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. (NS) Japan 13 Dead** After Kumamoto Quake** Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said 13 people have been found dead after a powerful quake shook part of southwestern Japan. The magnitude 7.1 earthquake struck the Kumamoto area on the southern main island of Kyushu late Tuesday afternoon. Takaichi says this morning that many other people were injured or still missing as rescue work continued overnight. Part of a shopping center collapsed, apparently due to a gas leak, and a huge chimney at a paper factory collapsed (倒塌). The Fire and Disaster Management Agency said more than 260,000 people were advised to evacuate, most of them in Kumamoto prefecture, but also in the neighboring Nagasaki prefecture. IRAN VOWS 'ANY ACTION' TO KEEP CONTROL OF STRAIT OF HORMUZ AS TRUMP AND NETANYAHU DISCUSS TEHRAN'S NUCLEAR PROGRAMME Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi has said on Tuesday that Tehran will take any action to keep control of the Strait of Hormuz, rejecting an Omani proposal to divide shipping routes and refusing to negotiate (談判) with Washington. The declaration came as US President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu concluded White House talks the two described as excellent — with both leaders reaffirming what the White House called an ironclad commitment to preventing Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons. Attention has now turned to whether Washington has given Israel permission to strike Iranian energy infrastructure — something Israel's defence minister says the United States has so far blocked. Mitch Mccann has more from New York. Kashmir Pakistani Officials Accuse Outlawed Political Group of Sabotage Officials in Pakistan administered Kashmir are accusing an outlawed political group of trying to sabotage elections for the region's constitutional assembly. They also allege that Pakistani Taliban militants have infiltrated ongoing protests. The accusations follow clashes on Monday that left one paramilitary officer dead and several others wounded. Armed protesters reportedly opened fire on police and security personnel during a sit-in. The protests have overshadowed (給……蒙上陰影) the election, which began Monday and runs through Aug. 10-th. Authorities claim the Joint Awami Action Committee is behind the unrest and warn that armed militants pose a threat to public order. That was the I.C.R.T. EZ News, I'm _. －－－－以下為 SoundOn 動態廣告－－－－ 新感覺夾心土司 多種口味隨心挑選 讓你隨時隨地都有好心情 甜蜜口感草莓夾心、顆粒層次花生夾心、濃郁滑順可可夾心 清爽鹹香鮪魚沙拉、精選原料金黃蛋沙拉 輕巧美味帶著走，迎接多變的每一天 7-Eleven多種口味販售中 https://sofm.pse.is/9erfrd -- 旅遊優惠別錯過！ 可樂旅遊17瘋搶日，每月限定3天搶限量優惠！ 1號訂房折10% 7號票券折7% 17號機票折1.7% 熱愛自由行的你，肯定要每個月鎖定！ https://sofm.pse.is/9erg2k -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

Semi-conductors, microchips, are the new oil - the scarce resource on which the modern world depends. Today, military, economic, and geopolitical power are built on a foundation of computer chips. This has only accelerated with the emergence of AI. Yet, the supply chain is incredibly concentrated with just a handful of countries and companies dominating. As with oil in the previous century, chips sit at the center of geopolitics, great-power rivalry and trade, especially between the US and China. How did chips become some crucial and their supply chains so concentrated and what does it mean for all our futures? Our guest is economic historian Chris Miller, author of Chip War - The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology, the New York Times best seller. For related content and to find out more about HC Group, a search firm dedicated to the energy & commodities sector, visit https://www.hcgroup.global

Recorded on location in Kyiv, Rear Admiral (Ret.) Mark Montgomery joins Suzanne Kelly for a timely State Secrets conversation on how Ukraine is reshaping the future of warfare. Editor's Note: We caught up with Rear Admiral (Ret.) Mark Montgomery in Kyiv just as President Zelensky announced the firing of former Defense Minister Mykhailo Fedorov, prompting a wave of protests. Since this interview was recorded, additional developments - including changes in Ukraine's military leadership - have overtaken parts of that discussion. The strategic insights on Ukraine's battlefield innovation, however, remain as relevant as ever. From Ukraine's increasingly effective long-range drone campaign against Russia's military infrastructure to the growing strain on Kyiv's air defenses, Montgomery explains why this war is becoming the world's most important laboratory for military innovation. He also shares firsthand observations from his latest trip to Ukraine - including conversations with commanders on the front lines - and discusses what the U.S., NATO, and Taiwan should be learning before the next major conflict.

The US president and the Israeli prime minister prepare for talks in Washington. Then: why it’s good to follow Andy Burnham’s example and buy British. Plus: why has a Chinese film about Taiwan been made but never screened? See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Neste novo episódio da série Termos Ambíguos, o verbete abordado é o “Globalismo”, que ganhou destaque durante o primeiro governo Donald Trump, ao ser contraposto ao patriotismo e à liberdade em seu discurso político. Desde então, passou a integrar o vocabulário de movimentos antiglobalistas, influenciando também o governo Bolsonaro. No entanto, o conceito é complexo e controverso, envolvendo diferentes interpretações, atores políticos e relações com questões contemporâneas, especialmente no contexto brasileiro. Para apresentar um debate sobre o termo, entrevistamos a Sonia Corrêa, o Fernando Brancoli e o Douglas Sanque, que foi também o autor do verbete no Termos ambíguos do debate político atual: pequeno dicionário que você não sabia que existia, disponível para download gratuito no site do Observatório de Sexualidade e Política. _________________________ Roteiro Ernesto Araújo: “Eu acho que o mais grave do globalismo é na mente, no pensamento. Eu acho que o globalismo é perigoso porque é sobretudo um sistema de pensamento, de anti pensamento. […] Tatiane Amaral:  Quem está falando aqui é Ernesto Araújo, ex-ministro de relações internacionais do governo Bolsonaro Sonora Ernesto Araújo: […] Eu vejo o globalismo muito como o processo pelo qual a ideologia marxista, a partir do começo dos anos 90 e sobretudo a partir dos anos 2000, ela penetra na globalização econômica e faz dela o veículo da sua propagação. Então, justamente através da globalização  começa a entrar com sua agenda em temas como ideologia de gênero, em temas como o ambientalismo distorcido, e outros. E começa sobretudo a controlar o discurso, a dizer o que você pode dizer e o que você não pode dizer, e cada vez o que você pode dizer é menos, ocupa um menor espaço. Então, eu vejo mais o globalismo assim, aquela ideia de que o marxismo descobriu que ele não precisa controlar os meios de produção econômica, quando ele pode controlar o meio de produção de ideias, que é o que já vinha acontecendo. E é através desse controle de ideias começa a capturar instituições e aí começa a partir dessas instituições tentar  agir para diminuir as identidades nacionais, e as identidades pessoais também. A fala pode até soar exagerada, parecer coisa de filme ou de teoria da conspiração… mas ela está se tornando cada vez mais presente em discursos políticos da ultradireita — seja no Brasil ou no mundo. E ela gira em torno de uma palavra: globalismo. Mas afinal, você sabe o que, de fato, é globalismo? Daniel Faria: Eu sou o Daniel Faria  Tatiane: E eu sou a Tatiane Amaral. E este é o sétimo episódio da Série Termos Ambíguos, uma parceria entre o Observatório de Sexualidade e Política e o podcast Oxigênio. Daniel: Juntos, vamos conduzir esta viagem pelo termo que tem estado cada vez mais presente nos discursos políticos globais e nacionais. Falei em viagem porque o termo se vincula a globo, a planeta, além de ser usado em muitos países. Mas também não deixa de ser uma viagem no sentido figurado mesmo, pois o termo como é usado pela extrema direita evoca um certo devaneio, ou até mesmo delírio.  Tatiane: O termo “Globalismo” é mais uma categoria acusatória fabricada pela extrema direita, assim como muitos outros espantalhos, alguns que a gente até já tratou aqui no Termos Ambíguos, como Ideologia de gênero, marxismo cultural,racismo reverso…  Daniel: A extrema direita usa esses e vários outros termos com objetivos específicos: Por um lado, eles querem provocar o medo e, sobretudo, a suspeita. De outro, criar confusão mesmo.⁠ No caso de Globalismo as confusões são muitas e muito sobrepostas, mas vamos tentar esclarecer algumas delas neste episódio. Tatiane: Pra começar, precisamos esclarecer que Globalismo não é a mesma coisa que Globalização. Eu sei que é confuso, mas vem comigo: Globalização é a denominação da transnacionalização intensificada de relações econômicas, culturais e sociais, que se registrou a partir do fim da Guerra Fria. Já o Globalismo pode ser descrito como uma desfiguração de globalização, que atribui a essas dinâmicas outros sentidos, em geral associados à dominação, a atores obscuros e à conspiração.  Daniel: No dicionário de termos ambíguos, que você pode encontrar aqui na descrição desse episódio o verbete escrito pelo Douglas Sanque, que vai aparecer na nossa conversa daqui a pouco, traça um histórico desse processo desde 1991, quando a União Soviética chegou ao fim e seus ex-membros foram integrados à nova ordem neoliberal global. É aí que se consolida a globalização, que foi uma integração via mercados ao redor do… Globo.  Tatiane: Esse movimento promoveu uma ampla abertura de mercados que intensificou a concorrência internacional. Nesse processo foram estimulados os acordos de livre comércio e a formação de blocos econômicos. Em tese, isso deveria favorecer todas as nações, mas vamo lá, né? A gente sabe que não foi bem assim. Claro que os países mais desenvolvidos e industrializados se deram melhor.  Daniel: Foi aí, no meio desse processo, que a União Europeia foi criada, a partir do chamado Mercado Comum Europeu. Foi esse mercado que ampliou a integração que era só, econômica para uma integração política e institucional. Após o fim da Guerra Fria, nos anos 90, a União Europeia se expandiu, incorporando países do Leste Europeu, que antes integravam a antiga União Soviética. Tatiane: Depois disso, foram surgindo blocos econômicos pelo mundo todo, como o Mercosul, por exemplo, que é o Mercado Comum do Sul, formado por Brasil, Argentina, Uruguai e Paraguai. Tem também o Nafta, um Tratado entre México, Estados Unidos e Canadá, assinado em 1994 e atualizado em 2020 como Acordo Estados Unidos-México-Canadá. Além disso, as Economias asiáticas também se fortaleceram nesse contexto, com destaque para os Tigres Asiáticos, formado por Taiwan, Coreia do Sul, Hong Kong e Singapura. Sem falar da China, que também ampliou muito suas relações comerciais internacionais nesse período.  Daniel: A Sonia Corrêa, coordenadora do Observatório de Sexualidade e Política e do projeto do Dicionário, já conversou com a gente em outros episódios do Termos Ambíguos, e dessa vez ela destaca um ponto importante desse processo da Globalização:a expansão do neoliberalismo. E ela lembra que o processo nunca foi tranquilo e nem poupado de críticas.  Tatiane: A Sonia comenta que o Neoliberalismo estava em expansão desde o final dos anos setenta. Com o fim da guerra fria e o desaparecimento do bloco soviético, todo esse espaço econômico passou a analisar (e sentir) os efeitos negativos da expansão do pensamento neoliberal nas desigualdades econômicas dentro dos países, ENTRE países e, mais especialmente, entre o NORTE e o SUL globais.  Daniel: Durante todo o processo, muitos acordos foram sugeridos, mas nem sempre as tentativas deram certo. Um bom exemplo foi a tentativa de implantação da Área de Livre Comércio das Américas, a ALCA, que integraria os mercados de 34 países das Américas, exceto Cuba, eliminando as tarifas e os impostos de importação. A proposta era de George Bush, então presidente dos Estados Unidos, mas não foi pra frente, justamente por causa da grande disparidade de recursos e poder entre os países. Tatiane: Vale a pena a gente dizer que quando os países começaram a entrar nessa chamada “economia global”, muita coisa mudou internamente também. Por exemplo, várias indústrias saíram da Europa e dos Estados Unidos e foram pra lugares como a China ou o México, onde produzir é mais barato, principalmente por causa da mão de obra. Ao mesmo tempo, a globalização também trouxe a privatização de serviços públicos, como saúde e educação, reformas nas leis trabalhistas desfavoráveis a trabalhadoras e trabalhadores, assim como dos sistemas de aposentadoria. Também ativou novas formas ainda mais agressivas de extrativismo. Tudo isso contribuiu para o aumento das desigualdades. E foi nesse clima que a categoria acusatória “globalismo” prosperou e se aproveitou da atmosfera de contestação à globalização para impulsionar seu projeto político que não tem nenhum compromisso com a superação da desigualdade.    Daniel: Autores e autoras, como a Wendy Brown, analisaram como a expansão da lógica neoliberal teve efeitos negativos sobre a política e sobre a nossa forma de pensar e sentir, provocando dinâmicas de erosão da democracia, como estamos vivendo agora. O historiador Quinn Slobodian, autor do livro Globalistas: o fim do império e o nascimento do neoliberalismo, entende que o projeto  neoliberal  tem  como objetivo criar instituições para proteger o capitalismo da ameaça que a  própria democracia representa. E essas novas instituições serviriam para reorganizar o mundo como um espaço de Estados-competidores. Tatiane: Mas o espantalho do “globalismo” não se aproveitou apenas da crítica progressista e da insatisfação real com a globalização. Ele também acionou suas próprias assombrações. Para entender isso é preciso voltar no tempo, lá pros anos 1940, ao final da II Guerra Mundial. Na verdade, vamos voltar até um pouco mais, com a ajuda da Sonia Correa. Sonia Corrêa: Bom, para compreender essa posição dos globalistas há um aspecto que não pode ser perdido de vista. Para a direita, a ultra direita norte americana desde o começo do século XX, pelo menos, foi avessa a uma ordem institucional transnacional. E essa ultra direita raiz, fez uma enorme oposição à adesão dos Estados Unidos à Primeira Guerra Mundial. Tiveram posições contra a Liga das Nações e certamente fizeram pressão contra a entrada dos Estados Unidos na Segunda Guerra Mundial. Ou seja, tem um DNA muito profundo aí na ultra direita norte americana, que é contrário a existência de uma ordem internacional de regulação global. É porque eles a veem como um contraponto ou uma possível ameaça à ordem hegemônica dos Estados Unidos como império. Eu acho que um outro aspecto a considerar que, se isso é, são as correntes de ultra direita norte americana e outras correntes, como por exemplo, a posição do Dugin, o intelectual russo sobre isso e talvez de segmentos das correntes européias. E tem a ver com um repúdio. Como essas forças fazem um repúdio à ideia da modernidade, os princípios liberais de democracia e direitos humanos. E há uma conexão também por esse lado, que é, digamos, mais filosófica e menos estratégica política.  Tatiane: Além da cooperação multilateral econômica, os países criaram também um sistema para prevenir novos conflitos bélicos e promover a paz. Sim, estou falando da Organização das Nações Unidas, a ONU.  Daniel: No contexto dos giros políticos à ultradireita que tem varrido as Américas e a Europa hoje, os discursos anti-globalistas fizeram da ONU um de seus alvos principais. Seus detratores a descrevem como um aparato de dominação que quer impor sua agenda aos estados nacionais. Ao fazer isso ofuscam o que é de fato a ONU.  Não sei pra você, mas até aqui essa história de globalismo continua bem confusa pra mim. Então, pra gente continuar destrinchando esse termo, falamos com o  Fernando Brancoli. Ele é professor do Instituto de Relações Internacionais e Defesa, da Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro e adicionou elementos que nos ajudam a desarmar qualquer confusão que o termo globalismo possa provocar.  Fernando Brancoli: Bom, eu acho que um ponto interessante é a gente imaginar que o discurso antiglobalista, ele não é uma rejeição integral aos princípios da globalização, né? A gente está falando de uma reconfiguração seletiva no que seria uma espécie de dispositivo narrativo, né? Que separa, separaria, uma globalização boa para esses grupos de extrema direita, uma aproximação que permeia dimensões ligadas a interesses morais, econômicos, culturais e o que eles vão chamar muitas vezes de globalismo, né, que seria uma globalização ruim, que seria um conjunto de normas e procedimentos derivados principalmente do pós-guerra fria, que promoveria aí uma agenda ligada a valores liberais, a direitos sexuais, a direitos humanos, políticas ambientais, que de alguma maneira estariam violando então a soberania dos países, e na verdade tentando, dentro de uma teoria da conspiração bastante clássica, implementar uma agenda de uma espécie de camarilha internacional dos Illuminati e coisas parecidas, né? Tatiane: A professora de sociologia na Universidade de Oxford, Rita Abrahamsen, faz uma análise interessante sobre este tema do espaço transnacional. Pra ela a extrema direita é em si mesma global, ao mesmo tempo em que seus idealizadores ocultam de maneira muito hábil essa transnacionalidade. O Fernando também elaborou sobre essa dimensão oculta, o que nos ajuda a esclarecer uma outra confusão de que as vozes que propagam o fantasma do Globalismo reivindicam para si, como sujeitos nacionalistas ou soberanistas:  Fernando Brancoli: Muitas vezes a gente fala dessas redes antiglobalistas como se elas fossem necessariamente não transnacionais, o que não é verdade. O que elas estão fazendo é reconfigurando um pouco esse dispositivo narrativo. E acho que quem está acompanhando a gente talvez já tenha escutado essa história: “Ah, o Trump é um isolacionista”. Não necessariamente, né? A gente não está falando de uma antiglobalização de necessariamente fechamento completo das fronteiras. Você tem uma recalibragem dessa dinâmica, de um projeto novo de recentralização de poder. Então, sim, eu posso ter dinâmicas mais isolacionistas em alguma medida, construção de muros, expulsão de migrantes e refugiados, fechamento de trocas comerciais tipicamente liberais, mas ao mesmo tempo eu tenho aproximação para outros lados, né? Em que eu apoio ditaduras amigas, eu argumento que posso criar coletivos transnacionais de apoio a dinâmicas de moralidade. Então acho que esse paradoxo, no final das contas … Eu diria que é a grande força dela, que é criar essa espécie muito peculiar de uma internacional nacionalista.  Daniel: Fernando também recorre a uma metáfora  de verniz legitimador para explicar essa mistura paradoxal de discursos que juntam nacionalismo ou antiglobalismo para servir a interesses muito específicos:  Fernando Brancoli: Esse paradoxo é a grande força dentro desse processo. [03:30] A genealogia dessas dinâmicas já passa por think tanks dos Estados Unidos e a gente tem livros importantes acadêmicos já descrevendo como é que eles se expandiram pelo globo ao longo pelo menos nas últimas duas décadas, né? Então são grupos de pesquisa, são empresas que de alguma maneira promovem esse tipo de ideário. Tatiane: Pra entender melhor como esse paradoxo funciona, pedimos pro Fernando explicar como esses discursos colam, como eles têm aderência a uma massa bastante volumosa, que inclusive elege conscientemente essas figuras. Ao mesmo tempo em que batem no peito e dizem: “EU SOU patriota, EU VOU defender meu país”, entregam de mãos abertas a exploração das riquezas naturais brasileiras — como a Amazônia,os minérios e, agora, as Terras Raras do país — a uma potência imperialista como os Estados Unidos. Além disso, defendem intervenções externas, como a retirada forçada de um presidente, e apoiam movimentos extremistas que ameaçam o próprio país. Fernando Brancoli: Acho que essa aparente contradição, né, de uma internacional nacionalista, a ideia de como é que eu crio alianças entre partidos e grupos que são notadamente, introspectivos diante desse tipo de processo, eh, na verdade, é a maior força desses grupos. É a ideia de mobilizar esse paradoxo. E não se trata necessariamente de, uma dinâmica que vai gerar problemas na frente, eu vou tentar explicar porquê dentro desse processo. Acho que a primeira configuração é que sejam partidos de extrema direita no contexto brasileiro, sejam grupos não partidários, como, por exemplo, grupos evangélicos mais conservadores no contexto brasileiro, sejam grupos mega ortodoxos sionistas em Israel, ou seja, agora, o Partido Republicano nos Estados Unidos. Todos eles olham para o transnacionalismo como uma forma de ganhar poder e ganhar prestígio, então a gente tá falando de recursos que circulam nesse processo. A gente tem por exemplo grupos em Israel, grupos não tradicionais do Brasil como partidos ligados a lideranças religiosas e coisas parecidas que de alguma maneira olham para esse processo e veem a transnacionalização como uma ferramenta de ganhar poder e prestígio, seja simbólico ou material. Exemplo clássico que eu acho bastante interessante, parte importante dos grupos de extrema direita em Israel, dos mais ortodoxos, são financiados por capitalistas norte-americanos. Né? Isso não é uma teoria de conspiração, eles argumentam que essa grana seria interessante. Tem um trabalho interessante da Camille Rocha, né? Menos Marx e mais Mises, um livro fascinante em que ela descreve como é que os norte-americanos financiaram grupos liberais e anarco-capitalistas, sabe-se lá o que que é isso, no contexto brasileiro. Então, lembrar que esse transnacionalismo tem dimensões práticas muito claras, né? Daniel: Aqui, de novo fica claro que o transnacionalismo pode ter dimensões práticas, e que ele serve para alguns interesses. Ou seja, mesmo sendo nacionalista, dá pra ser transnacionalista quando você, ou o país, pode ter dividendos importantes. Brancoli usou o exemplo de Eduardo Bolsonaro para mostrar como contatos estratégicos com a ultra-direita ajudaram a movimentação para as taxações sobre produtos brasileiros e a suspensão de vistos para autoridades envolvidas na condenação do pai. Mas o professor dá outros exemplos, segundo ele mais simbólicos, como contatos pessoais, encontros ou declarações nos quais se aprende essa lógica transnacional.  Fernando Brancoli: Você tem encontro do Vox, por exemplo, que é o partido de extrema direita na Espanha, que eles têm uma sessão à tarde do último dia, que é para ensinar técnicas do que eles chamam engajamento digital. Em que você senta com lideranças políticas do globo inteiro numa mesa e te ensinam como é que você faz para, por exemplo, ter acesso mais interessante de pessoas, formar cortes e vídeos bacanas. Eu lembro que nos últimos 3 anos quem esteve lá foi o Nicolas, deputado é, federal de Minas, que é um cara, né, muito especializado em gerar cortes e coisas parecidas. Eu acho que ele já tinha uma capacidade de fazer isso, mas provavelmente ele aprendeu também nesse contexto. Repare como é que o transnacionalismo dentro dessa lógica gera esse tipo de prática. E por fim, o transnacionalismo, ele facilita algo que é muito típico de grupos autoritários que é a possibilidade de criar um mundo binário, né? De você criar um nós contra eles de maneira muito muito clara. Acho que, né, a gente que estuda relações internacionais, quem tem acesso, né, à imprensa, sabe que é muito difícil você criar uma narrativa muito clara de bonzinhos e malvados dentro de um contexto, né? Você vê nuances, você vê pessoas muitas vezes em busca da paz dos dois lados e coisas parecidas, né? Tatiane: E nessa disputa entre nós e eles, surgem dois pólos entre o bem e o mal. E quem é o bem? Quem é o mal? A ultra direita entende que está do lado do bem, de que quem defende a “família” e os valores tradicionais. Mas quem não defende a família, ou as famílias? A sua família? Os seus valores tradicionais, na sua tradição? E para quem está nesse campo da ultra direita, o mal é o socialismo, o comunismo, a esquerda. De novo aqui o Fernando:  Fernando Brancoli: Existe aqueles que do outro lado, que é o mal, que é o PT, o MST, o Foro de São Paulo e a Venezuela, que querem acabar com esses valores, querem destruir todos esses dessas menções. Aí repare como é que esses vetores se aproximam, né? Uma dinâmica de moralidade, uma dinâmica econômica, então vira um caldo complexo aqui dentro desse tipo de processo. Nós somos soberanos ainda, no caso brasileiro, estaremos tentando retomar essa soberania agora que foi roubada pelo PT e temos um governo aliado norte-americano que está tentando nos ajudar nesse processo.  Mas eu acho que esse paradoxo ele acaba sendo de alguma maneira articulado e promovido de maneira interessante. Ainda tem um paradoxo aqui, que é para você ser essencialmente nacionalista e mobilizar dinâmicas transnacionais. Mas acho que mesmo a tentativa de encontrar um meio-termo já facilita e já gera repercussões interessantes. E aí você tem em todo protesto no Brasil, cartazes em inglês, bandeiras dos Estados Unidos, bandeiras de Israel, você tem a a deputados fugindo para a Itália, onde seria supostamente, né, um lugar mais conservador. Ao que tudo indica a Zambelli não vai conseguir ficar por lá há muito tempo. Mas aí você tem o Eduardo Bolsonaro, né, indo para os Estados Unidos, você tem essas mobilizações, isso vai gerando repercussões e impactos e pelo menos são simbólicos gera mídia, a população fica engajada. Então, de alguma maneira tem algo interessante que a gente tá vendo e os manuais de ciência política e de relações internacionais estão todos passando mal por causa disso, que a esquerda tá se transformando por um lado numa defensora do multilateralismo. Daniel: Tem também a China se apresentando como defensora da OMC e contra tarifas praticadas pelos Estados Unidos. Isso também é uma mudança do contexto da esquerda, como disse nosso entrevistado.  A gente tem um deslocamento também, eu diria, do que vai ser o discurso progressista de esquerda ao longo dos próximos anos. A esquerda se apropriou mais de discursos ligados à proteção da indústria nacional, né, contra ALCA e o FMI, contra as empresas estrangeiras, e agora de alguma maneira a gente está vendo uma rearticulação desse tipo de processo. É, a gente está inaugurando uma forma nova de olhar para relações internacionais, em parte porque também está tendo uma rearticulação de como esses grupos de poder estão se configurando. Ninguém tem muita certeza para onde que a gente vai, mas acho que uma das certezas que a gente vai ter que os manuais de relações internacionais e ciência política vão ter que ser reescritos ao longo dos próximos anos, porque as coisas estão mudando de maneira bastante explícita, né? Muito. Tatiane: Sonia Corrêa diz que há duas saídas pra grande confusão que apresentamos aqui entre nacionalismo e globalismo. A primeira é o progressivismo internacionalista que remete para o internacionalismo histórico da esquerda, e a segunda é o que pode ser chamado de constitucionalismo de esquerda. Ela explica melhor do que se trata. Sonia Correa: O que importa é chamar a atenção para essa mélange de posições que requer clarificação, porque, de fato, a crítica do globalismo, ela chove num terreno fértil, que é a crítica do neoliberalismo e da ordem capitalista, não é? Ela ecoa nesse lugar. Ela move afetos, afetos legítimos de crítica. A racionalidade neoliberal e a ordem do capitalismo tardio. A diferença está como diz o Slobodan, em qual a saída? A diferença de visão ideológica é como você sai disso. Se você for para o campo do Dugin, que é a teoria da quarta transformação, é uma ordem. Uma proposição de um retorno a uma ordem de fato quase medieval, quer dizer centrada na terra, no território, numa cultura comum, numa ordem hierárquica. Se você olha para o campo da direita. Num certo sentido, Trump é a manutenção da ordem neoliberal e da racionalidade neoliberal extrema, demolição do Estado. Todo o poder às Big Techs. Aqui são os meus amigos Better Friend Ever, sob um invólucro, uma casca de nacionalismo extremado. Make American big again. Tatiane: Voltando um pouco atrás, no verbete para o Dicionário de Termos Ambíguos, e no tempo, Douglas lembrou da influência de Ernesto Araújo e de Olavo de Carvalho sobre o governo Bolsonaro, no sentido da adoção de uma posição antiglobalista. Vale lembrar que mesmo antes de ser eleito, Bolsonaro afirmava que a ONU não servia para nada e que iria tirar o Brasil do Conselho de Direitos Humanos. Em sua primeira aparição na Assembleia Geral da ONU em 2019, o ex-presidente fez a seguinte afirmação:  Sonora Jair Bolsonaro: “Não estamos aqui para apagar nacionalidades e soberanias em nome de um interesse global abstrato. Esta não é a Organização do Interesse Global! É a Organização das Nações Unidas. Assim deve permanecer!” Daniel: Douglas também escreveu no verbete que Ernesto Araújo afirmava que o caminho para reverter os efeitos negativos do globalismo seria adotar uma política pautada por deus, pátria e família. Com certeza vocês ouviram isso muitas vezes, né? Só pra lembrar, esse é o slogan da Ação Integralista, movimento fascista brasileiro da década de 1930, copiado do movimento fascista italiano.  Tatiane: Ainda segundo o verbete a espiritualidade cristã caracterizaria o ocidente e diferenciaria as nações ocidentais do materialismo asiático e do islamismo. Por outro lado, a família é definida como a célula basilar da nação, o apego à família  seria um traço fundamental do povo brasileiro o qual, nas palavras de Araújo, se vê hoje frontalmente atacado por “ideologia de gênero”, “gayzismo” e “abortismo”.  Daniel: O “globalismo”, na visão de Ernesto Araújo, seria um projeto de governo totalitário mundial, capitaneado pela China e com o apoio da Rússia. E nessa versão do antiglobalismo, existiria um complô entre as elites financeiras ocidentais e o Partido Comunista da China para a implantação de uma sociedade de controle. O ex-ministro ainda afirmava que a China controlava metade do parlamento brasileiro e toda a nossa agricultura, e queria controlar nossa Internet.  Tatiane: Bem, essa tentativa de controle da internet a gente já tá vendo que existe mesmo, mas não por acaso, esse controle não está na China, né? E além desta, qual outra afirmação, entre as muitas feitas aqui, parecem verdadeiras? E quais delas são pura fantasmagoria criada no meio das muitas confusões que esse termo cria? De quais fantasias ele depende para se manter? Bem, responder a tudo isso demandaria uma boa aula de muitas horas… Mas, podemos explicar aqui essa confusão entre os muitos alvos de ataque das vozes “antiglobalistas” Daniel: Mas nem todos os anti globalistas têm o mesmo inimigo. Há diferenças em relação aos alvos dos “antiglobalistas”. Nos Estados Unidos, por exemplo, Trump se utiliza do discurso “antiglobalista” para atacar as “elites liberais”, associadas ao partido democrata estadunidense. Já aqui no Brasil, Bolsonaro denunciava a “conspiração comunista” da qual participaria o PT, assimilando a visão “antiglobalista” ao discurso anticomunista. Douglas Sanque conta um pouco dessas forças globalistas. Tatiane: Douglas é professor na Universidade Estadual do Rio de Janeiro, a UERJ e é o autor do verbete sobre Globalismo do dicionário que estamos tratando aqui. Ele escreveu o verbete durante a pandemia do Covid-19, em pleno governo Bolsonaro, quando nele discursavam, pra não dizer doutrinavam, antiglobalistas assumidos como Olavo de Carvalho, professor e ideólogo de Bolsonaro, e Ernesto Araújo, que foi ministro de relações exteriores até 2021.  Douglas Sanque: Bom, em relação a essa noção de quem seriam as chamadas forças globalistas, primeiro, a ideia aqui é pensar que as forças globalistas teriam o objetivo de estabelecer um controle mundial, um governo global, totalitarista. E isso é, em alguma medida, uma perversão da ideia de aumento de influência que potências  econômicas sempre tentaram exercer de maneira mais ou menos ética. Mas não se tenta um governo global totalitário, assim inspirado naquela ideia de 1984 do George Orwell. O principal projeto globalista seria capitaneado pela China. Os chineses teriam essa ideia, teriam esse objetivo de longo prazo de controle mundial. Então, seriam as elites liberais do Ocidente que estariam nesse projeto junto ao Partido Comunista Chinês. Essa é a perspectiva, digamos, principal, que é adotada, por exemplo, pelo Steve Bannon e que guia o assim chamado antiglobalismo, ou o nacionalismo americano, que estaria combatendo essas próprias elites, representando o povo, o blue color, os trabalhadores e a classe média americana que, de fato, viu muita s perdas com o processo de desindustrialização dos Estados Unidos ao longo do século XX, e grande parte dessas plantas industriais foi para a China.  Tatiane: Claro que isso causou mudanças significativas na economia americana, que tem levado o país, de forma mais incisiva neste novo governo de Donald Trump, a criar estratégias de proteção econômica. Durante o governo Bolsonaro, quando o Olavo de Carvalho, exercia influência sobre ministros e filho do então presidente, tratou da versão caseira de teoria da conspiração, como nos conta Douglas. Douglas Sanque: O Olavo dizia que havia três projetos globalistas em curso. Em diferentes escalas e com diferentes objetivos. O primeiro seria esse tocado pela China, que tentaria ali uma ideia de governo global, mais ou menos nesses moldes que eu já mencionei. O segundo seria o projeto do Irã. O Irã também teria esse objetivo de governo global, a partir do espraiamento do islamismo, né? Na verdade, a ideia seria um governo global, totalitário islâmico e a principal força por trás desse projeto seria o Irã, que tem ali uma. População muçulmana xiita. Enfim, você tem uma pluralidade importante naturalmente no Irã, mas.    Daniel: O terceiro projeto seria tocado pelas elites financeiras ocidentais. Nessa perspectiva, representada por autores como o russo Aleksandr Dugin [DUGAN], a tentativa de estabelecer uma governança global teria origem no Ocidente, especialmente nos Estados Unidos, vistos como a principal expressão da modernidade ocidental. Nessa visão, esse projeto deveria ser combatido por forças tradicionalistas que defendem a preservação de identidades culturais próprias e de modos de vida considerados mais enraizados nas tradições locais e rurais. Douglas Sanque: Então você tem pensadores, como o Olavo de Carvalho, o Steve Bannon e o Dugin, e os líderes daqui que conseguiram ascender, com esse pensamento, ao poder nos seus países. O Putin na Rússia, o Trump nos Estados Unidos e o Jair aqui no Brasil. A questão é que, como esse pensamento tem muito pouca, digamos, base material, ele vai se moldando pra acomodar os interesses políticos dos líderes. Então a gente pode pensar, por exemplo, no Brasil como o Bolsonaro, se se elege em oposição a um projeto que seria de esquerda e que, na opinião deles, é comunista. A ideia de liberalismo econômico é uma ideia que faz sentido e que pode ser defendida. Os russos têm um papel curioso, porque em diversas situações eles são vistos ali como como uma espécie de braço ou de sócio minoritário dos chineses. Mas ao mesmo tempo, estive vendo, um entende que os russos deveriam estar nessa luta por conta de uma certa essência da identidade russa. É como, como sendo da Igreja Ortodoxa nós teríamos a mesma alma cristã. E tudo se opondo então ao materialismo que caracterizaria o projeto chinês De extirpar a religião da da vida em comunidade. Então a gente percebe que há uma certa coerência no pensamento do globalismo, no sentido de criar uma ordem global que separa muito claramente quem são os mocinhos e quem são os bandidos. Que coloca em uma nação específica. E normalmente é a China, a fonte de todo mal. E aí, contra isso, vale tudo. E nós estamos numa batalha aqui para salvar a nossa nação, para salvar as nossas tradições, para manter o nosso povo e por aí vai.  Tatiane: Pois é, as mudanças estão bastante evidentes e não sei se são para melhor. Desde que fizemos as entrevistas para este episódio, algumas coisas mudaram. O primeiro-ministro da Hungria, Viktor Orbán, um dos principais líderes da extrema-direita global, perdeu as eleições após 16 anos no poder. Estados Unidos e Israel estão promovendo uma grande guerra na Ásia Ocidental, atacando o Irã e o Líbano, sem contar o genocídio que Israel já vinha praticando na Palestina. Aqui na América Latina, os resultados das eleições presidenciais de 2026 em países como Colômbia, Peru e Chile não foram nem um pouco animadores. E neste ano também teremos eleições no Brasil, já com dois extremistas como candidatos: Ronaldo Caiado, pelo PSD, e Flávio Bolsonaro, herdeiro do legado do pai que foi condenado a 27 anos de prisão, e agora também envolvido em um processo de lavagem de dinheiro ligado ao Banco Master. A extrema direita vem ganhando espaço em muitos países, sempre colocando em risco a democracia e os direitos civis.  Daniel: Este foi o sétimo episódio da série Termos Ambíguos, realizada em parceria com o Oxigênio, a partir do material do Termos Ambíguos do debate político atual: Pequeno Dicionário que você não sabia que existia, coordenado pela Sonia Corrêa. Esse é um projeto do Observatório de Sexualidade e Política (SPW) e do Programa Interdisciplinar de Pós-graduação em Linguística Aplicada da UFRJ e contou com vários autores na produção dos verbetes. Tatiane: A apresentação do episódio foi feita pelo Daniel Faria, estudante do curso de Midialogia, na Unicamp, que foi também o editor do áudio desse podcast, e por mim, Tatiane Amaral, doutoranda pelo Programa de Pós-graduação em Relações Internacionais San Tiago Dantas e da equipe de Comunicação e Pesquisa do SPW, e editora do áudio desse podcast. As entrevistas foram feitas por mim e pela Stella Brucha Simões. O roteiro foi feito pela Simone Pallone, coordenadora do podcast Oxigênio e por mim. Daniel: A revisão do roteiro foi feita pela Nana Soares, da equipe de Comunicação e Pesquisa do SPW, por mim, pela Tatiane, e pela Sonia Corrêa. Tatiane: A principal referência para o episódio foi o verbete produzido por Douglas Sanque para o Termos ambíguos do debate político atual: pequeno dicionário que você não sabia que existia. Usamos também definições da Wikipedia para alguns conceitos.  Daniel: O áudio de Ernesto Araújo foi extraído de uma entrevista dada por ele ao Canal Poder Paralelo. A fala de Bolsonaro na Assembleia da ONU é uma reprodução do canal do jornal El País no YouTube.  Daniel: Você pode acessar os outros episódios da série Termos Ambíguos pelo site do podcast Oxigênio: www.oxigenio.comciencia.br ou pelas plataformas de áudio de sua preferência. Aproveite para indicar nossa série. Até mais!

Here at The Remnant, our hate list is rather long: Woodrow Wilson, electoral primaries, German romanticism … the list goes on and on. But if there's one we hate that doesn't get enough air time, it's Chinese communism. We hate Chinese communism. That's why we've recruited from the ranks of America's foremost anti-CCP institution—that's the American Enterprise Institute, for those of you who live under rocks—to bring you the latest on Chinese grand strategy. AEI's Audrye Wong joins Jonah Goldberg to discuss Beijing's international investment, Chinese diaspora, influence operations, Taiwan, bribery, Chinese culture, American investment in Asia, Orbán's Hungary, Russia-China relations, democracy, Han supremacy, and how Americans should think about countering the threat across the Pacific.  Show Notes: —Subversion and Seduction: China's Economic Statecraft —Zach Cooper in Foreign Affairs: “Asia After America” —Jonah's last book The Remnant is a production of ⁠The Dispatch⁠, a digital media company covering politics, policy, and culture from a nonpartisan perspective. To access all of The Dispatch's offerings—including the Saturday Ruminant, audio versions of all our articles and newsletters, and Jonah's twice-weekly G-File—⁠click here⁠. Instructions on how to set up your members-only feed can be found here, and if you'd like to remove all ads from your podcast experience, consider becoming a premium Dispatch member ⁠by clicking here⁠.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Send us Fan MailAaron, Trent, and Peaches are back in the team room talking defense budgets, military waste, the NDAA, future war with China, Space Force, Flock cameras, and why everyone suddenly has feelings about height-to-waist standards.The team breaks down why the Department of War is asking for more money, what the military says it needs to fund, and why that answer still does not solve the bigger problem: nobody can explain where all the money is already going. They talk munitions, drones, shipbuilding, Golden Dome, personnel, aging infrastructure, bloated conferences, pet projects, federal billets, and the fact that the military still cannot pass a clean audit.Then the episode shifts into surveillance and civil liberties with Flock cameras, license plate readers, the Patriot Act, and why “if you did nothing wrong, you have nothing to worry about” is a terrible argument.Finally, the guys get into Air Force height-to-waist standards, body composition, fat bodies in uniform, false positives for built-like-a-fridge humans, and why most people complaining about the standard probably just need to work out and eat less.Check out Tasty Gains: TastyGains.comGet AFSPECWAR prep gear through ATACLETE: OnesReady.comRegister for Operator Training Summit: OperatorTrainingSummit.comChapters:00:00 - Intro, Tasty Gains, ATACLETE, and OTS02:34 - San Diego and Pennsylvania OTS Updates04:20 - Why Does the Military Want More Money?04:58 - What the Defense Budget Is Paying For06:00 - Warfighter Performance, Drones, and China07:13 - Navy Upgrades and Global Shipping07:45 - Where Has the Money Been Going?08:14 - DOGE Cuts, Federal Workers, and Billets11:22 - Why Cutting Billets Does Not Always Cut Costs12:28 - A-10, B-21, F-47, and Military Construction14:04 - The $1.5 Trillion Defense Budget Request15:20 - China, Taiwan, and Future War Prep16:17 - Trent's Problem With the Budget Argument17:56 - The Department of War Has Never Passed a Clean Audit18:38 - Space Force Funding and Real Missions20:24 - NDAA, SAVE Act, and Israel Integration22:46 - Voter ID, Senate Drama, and Political Games24:10 - Why the NDAA May Get Stripped Down25:33 - Midterms, Messaging, and DC Theater26:49 - Talking Politics With Kids27:14 - Aliens, Spielberg, and Disclosure28:38 - Why Military Leaders Do Not Cut Waste29:02 - Civilian Leadership and Budget Authority29:55 - How End-of-Year Spending Works31:55 - The GARV Vehicle and Sunk Cost Fallacy34:37 - Unused Float Tanks and Base-Level Waste36:08 - VR Headsets and Gear With No Sustainment Plan37:10 - When Waste Becomes Gear Money38:25 - Donated Mattresses and Internet Outrage39:30 - Cutting Generals, E-9s, and Conferences40:27 - Senior Leader Conferences and Yucking It Up41:50 - Commanders' Roundtables and No Decisions43:34 - Senior Leaders Need to Take More Risk45:05 - Aaron's Defense Budget Take46:13 - A Possible New Ones Ready Series47:57 - Naming the New Series50:34 - What the New Series Could Cover53:09 - Flock Cameras and AI Surveillance54:31 - License Plate Readers and False Tickets56:50 - Aaron's Las Vegas Parking Ticket Story01:00:24 - The Process Is the Punishment01:01:42 - UK CCTV and 198401:03:15 - The Patriot Act and Giving Up Freedom01:04:46 - Height-to-Waist Standard Chaos01:05:59 - Fat People Resist Accountability01:06:26 - Show the Scores01:07:07 - The One Built-Like-a-Viking Exception01:08:13 - Almost Crashing a Helicopter With Big Humans01:09:56 - When Pencil Whipping Makes Sense01:11:01 - Trent's Fatty Rant01:11:40 - MTIs, Maintainers, and No Excuses01:12:31 - Final Thoughts and MembershipSupport the showJoin this channel to get access to perks: HEREBuzzsprout Subscription page:  HERERegister for our Operator Training Summit:  OperatorTrainingSummit.comFind an Air Force Recruiter: AirForce.comCollabs:Ones Ready - OnesReady.com 18A Fitness - Promo Code:  ONESREADY ATACLete - Follow the URL (no promo code):  ATACLeteDanger Close Apparel - Promo Code:  ONESREADYDFND Apparel...

What does it actually take to keep your body healthy through rehearsals, performances, flights, hotels, and the demands of life on the road? Athletic trainer Adam Quigley has supported artists and tours including Post Malone, Lorde, Tyla, Karol G, the Jabbawockeez, 5 Seconds of Summer, plus broadway tours like MJ the Musical and Moulin Rouge, helping performers care for their bodies through the unique physical demands of touring. In this conversation, Adam shares practical strategies for staying healthy on the road while challenging dancers to think of themselves as athletes. We discuss how to build a warm-up that supports the demands of dance, what to pack on tour, navigating time zone changes and travel fatigue, fueling your body while traveling, and why recovery deserves just as much attention as performance. Adam also shares his philosophy of care, explains why movement is medicine, and offers practical advice for preventing small issues from becoming bigger ones. The conversation also explores the physical and mental comedown after tour - something many dancers experience but rarely discuss, despite how important it can be for long-term health and performance. Whether you're touring internationally, teaching on weekends, traveling for work, or simply want to build a longer, healthier dance career, this episode is packed with practical tools to help you take better care of your body. Follow Galit: Instagram - https://www.instagram.com/gogalit Website - https://www.gogalit.com/ Fit From Home - https://galit-s-school-0397.thinkific.com/courses/fit-from-home Connect with Adam Quigley on Instagram - www.instagram.com/adamquigley Explore Adam's company website - https://blvperformancetherapy.com/ Listen to DanceSpeak on Spotify and Apple Podcasts.

Japan-based Akira Itoh is a "drone evangelist" who has written extensively about the birth and development of Taiwan's budding UAV industry. Itoh has tracked Taiwan's progress as it endeavors to create a drone hub from near-scratch. He also shares his thoughts on why delivering on a 'non-red' supply chain may not be as simple as it sounds. Hosted by I-C-R-T's Hope Ngo. -- Hosting provided by SoundOn

Your mind should be doing retreat in emptiness, retreating away from ignorance, the hallucinated mind, the worldly dharmas, the king of the delusions. -Lama Zopa Rinpoche Lama Zopa Rinpoche offers vast and profound retreat advice to participants present during the Thousand-Arm Chenrezig Retreat in Taiwan in 2001. You can read along with the transcript on the LYWA website.

Old Lhasa – A Biography of a Sacred City Michael Aldrich joins John Ross to discuss Old Lhasa: A Biography, his richly detailed portrait of Tibet's historic capital. It's the third book in his trilogy on Asian cultural centers. He wrote the first two, on Beijing and Ulaanbaatar, while living in those cities, where he worked as a lawyer. There was no opportunity for this with Lhasa, so he had to rely on multiple trips (from his home in Taiwan) and an incredible amount of reading and research. Rather than writing a conventional history, Aldrich set out to present Lhasa as a living character – a city whose temples, alleyways, legends and surviving traditions can still tell their own stories. Books mentioned M.A. Aldrich The Search for a Vanishing Beijing: A Guide to China's Capital Through the Ages (Hong Kong University Press, 2006) Ulaanbaatar beyond Water and Grass: A Guide to the Capital of Mongolia (Hong Kong University Press, 2018) Old Lhasa: A Biography Originally published by Camphor Press in January 2023 and subsequently reissued in 2025 by Speaking Tiger Books with a new epilogue based on Aldrich's 2024 return to Tibet. The episode touches on the amazing story of Ekai Kawaguchi (河口慧海 1866–1945), a Japanese Buddhist monk who spent time in Lhasa in the early 1900s. He is the subject of Scott Berry's A Stranger in Tibet.   The Books on Asia Podcast is co-produced with Plum Rain Press. Podcast host Amy Chavez is author of The Widow, the Priest, and the Octopus Hunter: Discovering a Lost Way of Life on a Secluded Japanese Island. and Amy's Guide to Best Behavior in Japan.The Books on Asia website posts book reviews, podcast episodes and episode Show Notes. Subscribe to the BOA podcast from your favorite podcast service. Subscribe to the Books on Asia newsletter to receive news of the latest new book releases, reviews and podcast episodes.

Air Date: 7/25/2026 The Monthly-ish Mix™ is here to get you caught up on the news from June and July without being overwhelming! Organized around a single idea: the same politics that left America friendless abroad is keeping Americans apart at home. The war with Iran ends and America's word counts for less around the world, so Europe starts building its own software instead of buying ours, NATO war-games its own doubts, and China quietly steadies the world's oil markets, while Taiwan shows that real security comes from connection, not threats. At home, the administration revives the red scare, hands the Justice Department to the president's personal lawyer while judges face death threats, and turns the country's 250th birthday into a fight over who counts as American, and billionaires cash out while everyone argues. And the way back starts small: a psychologist's simple habit for a happier social life, organizers who treat loneliness as a political problem with a political cure, and a Michigan Senate campaign built on talking to people instead of donors. Covering: June–July 2026 Full Show Notes Be part of the show! Leave a voice message, message us on Signal at the handle bestoftheleft.01, or email Jay@BestOfTheLeft.com BestOfTheLeft.com/Support (Members Get Bonus Shows + No Ads!) Use our links to shop Bookshop.org and Libro.fm for a non-evil book and audiobook purchasing experience! Join our Discord community! SECTION 1: A SUPERPOWER WITHOUT FRIENDS (00:01:30) #1805 - Trump Giving Iran $300 Billion to End His Own War 1: The Iran Deal, Boy, I Don't Know - Takes by Jamelle Bouie - Air Date 6-18-26 2: J.D. Vance Iran Deal Fall Guy Part 1 - On the Media - Air Date 6-19-26 3: Trump Weakened U.S. Allies While Strengthening Iran Part 1 - UNFTR - Air Date 6-19-26 (00:26:23) #1810 - Post-American Europe: How to Lose Friends and Influence People to Protect Themselves Against You 4: TODAY: Europe Replaces ENTIRE American Software Stack - Google OUT, Microsoft OUT June 9 - House of El - Air Date 6-4-26 5: Would NATO Hold if Russia Tested Article 5? Lessons From a War Game | Berlin Briefing Podcast Part 1 - DW News - Air Date 7-17-26 6: China Quietly Saved the World Last Month Part 1 - Max Fisher - Air Date 7-17-26 (00:54:17) #1799 - The US and China Are Fighting Over Taiwan, Semiconductors, and Africa's Minerals 7: Can There Ever Really Be "one China?" - Vox - Air Date 5-28-26 8: Trump's FAILED Meeting With China's Xi Jinping Was Humiliating - Pod Save the World - Air Date 5-21-26 9: China Will Never Beat Taiwan, Here's Why - Maxinomics - Air Date 3-37-26 SECTION 2: DIVIDED ON PURPOSE (01:23:27) #1809 - Democrats Seek a Blue Wave, Progressives Push Democratic Socialism, GOP Revive the Red Scare 10: The Red Scare Returns Trump Is Calling Us Communists - Thom Hartmann Program - Air Date 7-8-26 11: Why Dems Like Him Are Crashing Out Right Now with Jeet Heer Part 1 - The Majority Report - Air Dat 7-3-26 12: Unsticking Congress with Maya Kornberg Part 1 - Future Hindsight - Air Date 5-7-26 (01:45:55) #1802 - Department of Injustice: Revenge Prosecutions, Judges Threatened, and Incompetence All the Way Down 13: Trump Eyes Personal Lawyer to Run DOJ Part 1 - The Beat w Ari Melber - Air Date 6-4-26 14: This Federal Judge Ruled Against Trump. Then the Death Threats Rolled in Part 1 - 60 Minutes - Air Date 3-1-26 15: DOJ in Crisis - Stay Tuned with Preet - Air Date 2-10-26 SECTION 3: STRANGERS IN OUR OWN COUNTRY (02:12:09) #1806 - America at 250: The Declaration, the Constitution, and our Crisis of Democracy 16: America's 250th Birthday Must Reckon with Racism, Historian Says - Here & Now Anytime - Air Date 6-19-26 17: Trump 250 Gala Grows More Humiliating as Fox Grapples with Low Turnout - THE DAILY BLAST with Greg Sargent - Air Date 6-26-26 18: The Constitution (Melissa's Version) - Strict Scrutiny - Air Date 5-11-26 (02:37:01) #1807 - What the World Cup Exposes: Identity, Colonialism, and Racism in 2026 19: Pete Hegseth is Trying to Resegregate the Military - Takes™ by Jamelle Bouie - Air Date 6-20-26 20: US Soccer Star Shows MAGA's Racism With Zero Effort - Rick Strom - Air Date 6-23-26 21: Colonial Wars Played On The Pitch - AJ+ - Air Date 6-21-26 (03:07:56) #1804 - Elon Musk, the First Trillionaire, and the Broken System That Made Him 22: Belfast Riots: Why UK Mobs See Racial Violence as 'national Defence' | Amina Shareef | MEE Opinion - Middle East Eye - Air Date 6-18-26 23: 'Billionaire CRISIS': How the Country's Wealthiest Are 'bankrolling' U.S. Politics - MS NOW - Air Date 5-27-26 24: SpaceX IPO: What They're Not Telling Retail Investors - UNFTR Media - Air Date 6-9-26 (03:34:28) #1808 - Billionaires vs. Democracy: They're Not Coming For Your Job, They're Coming For Your Government (And The Entire Economy) 25: The Richest Country Is Pretty Mid Now Part 1 - Benn Jordan - Air Date 6-28-26 26: The End Of Capitalism Is Here. - Second Thought - Air Date 6-5-26 27: America is Entering a New Socialist Era — and It Might Stick - The Recount - Air Date 6-30-26 SECTION 4: THE WAY BACK TO EACH OTHER (04:03:58) #1800 - How Capitalism Created Loneliness and How To Joyfully Organize Our Way to Community 28: Anthropic Discovers the Axis of Evil, and AIs Loneliness Economy - The AI Fix - Air Date 2-3-26 29: The Political Economy of Love Attention, Affection, & What Capitalism Can't Buy Part 1 - Rev Left Radio - Air Date 1-19-26 30: The Simple Habit for a Happier Social Life Nicholas Epley Part 1 - TEDTalks - Air Date 5-19-26 (04:30:56) #1801 - Counterfeit Populism: Trump, the 2026 Primaries, and the Era That's Ending 31: Why I Left the (White) Left - Signified B Sides - Air Date 6-2-26 32: Hayes: Trump is Chasing Good Press with Bombs - All In with Chris Hayes - Air Date 6-11-26 33: Abdul El-Sayed Thinks the Michigan Senate Race Will Come Down to This One Factor - Slate and Abdul El-Sayed - Air Date 4-30-26   Produced by Jay! Tomlinson Visit us at BestOfTheLeft.com Listen Anywhere! BestOfTheLeft.com/Listen Follow BotL: Bluesky | Mastodon | Threads | X Like at Facebook.com/BestOfTheLeft Contact me directly at Jay@BestOfTheLeft.com

Legendary economist Martin Armstrong returns to the program to provide the strategic insights and geopolitical analysis that have made him one of the most closely followed economic forecasters in the world. We discuss what President Trump's meeting with Xi Jinping likely resulted in regarding Taiwan and the broader implications for the balance of power in Asia. Armstrong shares his perspective on the negotiations, the interests of the major players involved, and why the public narrative often misses the deeper strategic objectives shaping world events.Armstrong also discusses his involvement in the brokered peace framework with Vladimir Putin and explains why he believes President Trump has followed many of the key elements outlined in the agreement. According to Armstrong, these developments represent a positive step toward a more productive working relationship with Russia.See the full extended version of the interview at SarahWestall.Substack.com.See more from Martin Armstrong at MartinArmstrongEconomics.com.

The biggest oil shock in modern history came and went without the catastrophe everyone expected. When Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, analysts warned that oil could hit $200 a barrel, but the global economy avoided that fate. The Trump administration has argued that the crisis was contained thanks to their aggressive action, but they may be taking the wrong lessons from the avoidance of that apocalyptic scenario. What happened was the largest unexpected swing in global oil balances: China quietly cut crude oil imports by more than five million barrels a day. Yet there was no corresponding collapse in economic activity, no obvious drop in mobility, and no official explanation from Beijing. Somehow, China stopped buying oil from the rest of the world and started drawing from stockpiles we can't fully observe. That single decision may have done more to prevent a global energy crisis than anything Washington or OPEC accomplished. This matters because it demonstrates that China likely has a stronger discretionary policy lever than the West does. The West is really good at market-driven, private-sector oil production. But through this crisis, we've seen that Washington does not have the scale of discretionary policy control that China or OPEC does. This time, China cooperated and did the good thing, at least for the broad economic picture — but we cannot rely on that in the future, and that tool can be used against the West as easily as for it. Western governments must grapple with that discretionary gap and not rest on their private-sector bona fides to get through the next crisis. Arnab Datta, managing director of policy implementation at Employ America, and Rory Johnston, oil analyst and founder of Commodity Context, join ChinaTalk to discuss: Why Rory's own prediction of $200 oil never happened and why J.D. Vance is thanking the wrong people. How China quietly cut crude imports by five million barrels a day with zero visible impact on domestic mobility, and the detective work analysts use to peer into Beijing's black-box inventories. Competing theories for why Beijing backstopped the global oil market — self-interested altruism, a backroom deal during the state visit, or a dry run for a Malacca blockade in the event of a Taiwan contingency. What India, the Gulf states, and the rest of the world learned from the Iran War and why strategic reserves are suddenly back in fashion. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Captain James Fanell reports China recently conducted its first submarine-launched ballistic missile test in the South Pacific in 40 years. Fanell reports that China has shifted to a "first use" nuclear policy and is completing its triad with the H-20 stealth bomber. He uses the "boiling frog" analogy to describe China's incremental aggression, warning that the U.S.must recognize these self-evident intentions before a "shot" is taken against regional forces or allies like Taiwan. (14)1900 NEWLY WEDS LA

SCHEDULE FOR THE JOHN BATCHELOR SHOW, 7-24-20261940 BERLINJeff Bliss reports from Los Angeles, where Mayor Karen Bass's "Inside Safe" program faces scrutiny as figures show 41% of participants returned to homelessness. Encampments have expanded significantly, with Skid Row growing from five blocks to over 50. Bliss notes that organized crime cartels reportedly rent dilapidated RVs to the homeless, profiting from government stipends. Despite rising homelessness rates and disappointing results, local politicians are criticized for a lack of accountability and for fostering a "homelessness industry." (1)Jeff Bliss notes the Oakland Athletics are preparing for a move to Las Vegas, with high-profile investor Mark Cubanjoining as a minority owner to boost the franchise's profile. Development plans include a unique heart-shaped hotel on a previously failed ferris wheel site near the future stadium. Meanwhile, Hollywood faces "creative destruction" as Pixarinitiates layoffs despite box office success. Additionally, location shoot bookings in Los Angeles have dropped 13%, signaling a shift in the film industry. (2)Richard Epstein critiques the Smithsonian's "Many Voices, One Nation" exhibit for its "woke" portrayal of American history. He argues the exhibit unfairly reduces Benjamin Franklin to an "alleged racist" while ignoring his foundational contributions. Epstein highlights the complexity of figures like Thomas Jefferson, who authored the Declaration of Independence yet held restrictive views on immigration. The discussion underscores a perceived ideological mono-culture within the history profession that prioritizes narrative over factual nuance. (3)Richard Epstein analyzes the Trump administration's reintroduction of tariffs, now targeting allies like Australia and the EU under the guise of combating "forced labor." Epstein characterizes these moves as "lawfare" and "mindless isolationism," noting that these allies often have superior working conditions compared to the U.S. He warns that such policies alienate essential partners needed to counter global threats from Russia, Iran, and China, effectively driving allies to organize independently. (4)Jim McTague reports from Lancaster County, Pennsylvania, where Costco gas prices have reached $4.09, causing "mind-numbing" costs for residents. While some business slowdowns are noted, local diners remain full, supported by a robust retiree demographic with "deep pockets." The real estate market is exceptionally tight, with only 200 homes available as New Yorkers continue to bid up prices for high-quality housing. McTague concludes with observations on local tourism and his upcoming road trip to Kentucky. (5)Lorenzo Fiato reports Italy is battling severe wildfires in Sicily and Sardinia amid a prolonged heatwave. Fiato reports that Italians face exorbitant fuel costs, reaching $9.50 per gallon on motorways due to heavy taxation. To avoid over-tourism in cities like Florence, he recommends visiting Ascoli Piceno, the "town of the 100 towers," known for its travertine architecture. He concludes with culinary recommendations, including the traditional Spaghetti Ascolana paired with local Pecorino or Rosso Piceno wines. (6)Bob Zimmerman reports Rocket Lab has secured major Pentagon contracts for hypersonic test launches, potentially utilizing a remote new facility in Alaska. SpaceX is rumored to be planning a massive spaceport in Louisiana, while Northrop Grumman is successfully deploying robotic satellite-servicing pods. Conversely, Zimmerman criticizes "leftist governments" in the UK and Australia for stifling their domestic space industries with excessive red tape and "meaningless bureaucratic jargon," which forces young aerospace talent to seek opportunities abroad. (7)Bob Zimmerman highlights the "bankruptcy" of modern academia, citing a study where half of social science papers failed replication tests. He discusses an upcoming Falcon 9 rocket impact on the moon scheduled for August 5th and new data from the Juno mission revealing Io's subsurface temperatures. Additionally, scientists are investigating whether a suspected asteroid is actually a failed 1980s Soviet Mars probe, although Zimmerman remains skeptical of speculative theories involving alien technology. (8)Henry Sokolski examines a proposed deal to provide Saudi Arabia with nuclear power that has sparked intense proliferation concerns. While the Department of Energy initially signaled a "green light," the Trump administration later conditioned the agreement on Saudi Arabia joining the Abraham Accords. Sokolski warns that without "Additional Protocol" inspections, the kingdom could use the technology to develop a "bomb option." This follows the Crown Prince's 2018 assertion that Saudi Arabia would seek nuclear weapons if Iran acquired them. (9)Henry Sokolski continues: the Saudi nuclear deal remains "contradictory," with the White House and Department of Energy appearing out of sync. Media criticism reportedly prompted the president to demand a "quid pro quo"—Saudi recognition of Israel—to justify the proliferation risks. Israel remains in a difficult position; while desiring normalization, it privately opposes a Saudi nuclear program that could trigger a regional arms race. The deal's progress depends on whether it is submitted to Congress by late September. (10)Peter Huessy explains "extended deterrence," the U.S. nuclear umbrella protecting allies from aggression. Huessy critiques a proposal to delegate nuclear authority to a "three-key" system involving France and the UK, arguing it would create dangerous indecision during a crisis. He notes that allies increasingly doubt U.S. resolve. Strategy has shifted toward "counterforce" targets, aiming to disable an enemy's leadership and military capability rather than destroying cities, to provide "flexible response" options. (11)Peter Huessy notes Russia holds a 20-to-1 advantage over the U.S. in "theater" or tactical nuclear weapons, which Putinuses for "nuclear blackmail" to keep NATO out of the Ukraine conflict. Huessy argues the U.S. must deploy survivable, sea-based theater weapons to restore a credible deterrent. Reflecting on the realistic horror of the 1984 film Threads, he warns that even a single tactical exchange could rapidly escalate into a global catastrophe that ends civilization. (12)Captain James Fanell reports China is escalating physical violence against Philippine Navy personnel at Second Thomas Shoal, including "poking, prodding, and beating" sailors. Fanell explains this "petulant" behavior coincides with the 10th anniversary of a Hague ruling that invalidated China's maritime claims. Simultaneously, China and Russiaconducted joint live-fire drills in Japan's exclusive economic zone. These coordinated actions signal Beijing's intent to ignore international law and forcibly challenge the sovereignty of its neighbors. (13)Captain James Fanell reports China recently conducted its first submarine-launched ballistic missile test in the South Pacific in 40 years. Fanell reports that China has shifted to a "first use" nuclear policy and is completing its triad with the H-20 stealth bomber. He uses the "boiling frog" analogy to describe China's incremental aggression, warning that the U.S.must recognize these self-evident intentions before a "shot" is taken against regional forces or allies like Taiwan. (14)Conrad Black disputes Prime Minister Mark Carney's characterization of Canada as a "middle power," arguing the term is obsolete for a G7 nation with a larger economy than Russia. He critiques Carney's attempt to foster ties with China, noting China's "tatters" economy and history of disregarding trade agreements. Black maintains that Canada should prioritize its vital relationship with the U.S. while embracing a more ambitious and patriotic view of its global influence. (15)Veronique de Rugy argues autonomous vehicles like Waymo could reduce road fatalities by 94%, yet their adoption is stalled by opposition from trial lawyers and unions. Unions fear job losses for taxi, truck, and delivery drivers, though de Rugy argues automation historically transitions workers into higher-paying, less tedious roles. She emphasizes that driverless cars would provide life-changing accessibility for rural and elderly populations who currently lack reliable transportation options. (16)

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro used his turn at Debating Brazil — an event series in which Brazilian presidential candidates present their vision of the country to foreign ambassadors — to revive discredited claims about electronic voting fraud and to promise close alignment with Washington.Gustavo Ribeiro and James Green examine what the Brazilian press overlooked: a foreign policy doctrine that never rises beyond an outline, an unprompted misstep on Taiwan and an open appeal for American support.Also this week: the Brazil Office Alliance brings 16 social movements to the US Congress to press the case for nonintervention, the forced-labor rationale for new tariffs collapses under scrutiny, and new polling from Poder Data finds a sharp shift in Brazilian sentiment toward China.Send us your feedbackSupport the show

Was the Protestant Reformation ever truly global? How did radical theology, empire, slavery and missionary ambition collide across the early modern world?The global spread of Christianity was marked by failure, compromise and moral evasion.Professor Suzannah Lipscomb is joined by Dr. Alec Ryrie to uncover the forgotten history of Protestant missions beyond Europe: from Lapland to Chile, from Barbados to Taiwan.MOREWhat did Henry VIII Believe?Listen on AppleListen on SpotifyDissolution of the MonasteriesListen on AppleListen on SpotifyPresented by Professor Suzannah Lipscomb. The researcher is Max Wintle, audio editor is Amy Haddow and the producer is Rob Weinberg. The senior producer is Anne-Marie Luff.All music courtesy of Epidemic Sounds.Not Just the Tudors is a History Hit podcastSign up to History Hit for hundreds of hours of original documentaries, with a new release every week PLUS early access, ad-free podcasts. Sign up at https://www.historyhit.com/subscribe.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Conner Brown from the Bitcoin Policy Institute joins to break down AI and Bitcoin policy moving through Washington. We cover Taiwan's legislative push for Bitcoin reserves, foreign influence campaigns targeting American data centers, and why open source AI matters for crypto adoption. Plus: how AI agents are already choosing Bitcoin, the real story behind company brains and LLM workflows, and the fight to keep DC from regulating innovation out of existence. Conner on X: https://x.com/BitcoinConner Bitcoin Policy Institute: https://www.btcpolicy.org/ Find the Home Mining Playbook here: https://www.tftc.io/home-mining-energy-playbook STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Block: Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast. Square: Visit http://square.com/go/**tftc** for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware. Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey. Aven https://www.aven.com/bitcoin CrowdHealth https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Salt of the Earth: https://drinksote.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/ Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc**!** #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner

AI investment is reshaping the global outlook. In part one of this economic roundtable, our panel explores where the momentum is strongest — and where investment still needs to catch up.Read more insights from Morgan Stanley.----- Transcript -----Seth Carpenter: Welcome to Thoughts on the Market. I'm Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley's Global Chief Economist and Head of Macro Research. Michael Gapen: And I'm Michael Gapen, Chief U.S. Economist. Chetan Ahya: And I'm Chetan Ahya, Chief Asia Economist. Jens Eisenschmidt: And I'm Jens Eisenschmidt, Chief Europe Economist. Seth Carpenter: And today is going to be our third quarter economic roundtable taking a wide-angle view on the global economy and all the key forces shaping our outlook and the economy. Seth Carpenter: It's Monday, July 20th at 10am in New York Jens Eisenschmidt: And 4pm in Frankfurt. Chetan Ahya: And 10pm in Hong Kong. Seth Carpenter: Since our last roundtable in April, the global economy has continued to face all sorts of shocks, a mix of resilience and friction. Inflation pressures have not disappeared. Energy and geopolitical risks have come up, they've receded, they've come back, they've receded all over the place But there is one underlying source of momentum that we have to talk about. And that is the AI-driven CapEx cycle. Michael, let me turn to you because the U.S. is a real focal point of all of this. Tell me a little bit about where Morgan Stanley Research is thinking about hyperscaler CapEx. How big it is? And then for you, when you think about the U.S. economy, just how big of a driver is it for what we're looking for in the U.S.? Michael Gapen: Yeah, we continue to revise higher our estimates for hyperscaler and AI-related CapEx in the U.S. economy. We were thinking a little over a trillion for 2027. Now we're more like 1.2 - 1.3 trillion, maybe as high as 1.4 trillion in 2028. So, the level of hyperscaler spending continues to keep rising. The growth rate and its effect on the economy is likely to slow. But as you noted, it's still a major driver of momentum in the U.S. You would look at that headline number and think, "Wow, that's, you know, 3.5 percent or so of GDP. Must be a massive source of momentum for GDP growth." But roughly about 60 percent of that hyperscaler CapEx spending goes to items like computers and peripherals, equipment spending categories that have a very, very high import content. We still get a significant number that AI CapEx is probably contributing around 40 basis points to growth this year. Be a similar-sized amount perhaps next year.So, for an economy that's growing somewhere a little bit above 2 percent right now, maybe closer to 2.5 percent next year, that's a non-trivial amount. We just have to remember it's fueling growth around the world, just not here in the U.S. Seth Carpenter: Yeah, that's a really great point because I have seen some estimates where people say, "Well, if it wasn't for AI CapEx, the U.S. economy wouldn't have grown at all." And that's clearly wrong, as you point out. But U.S. imports are necessarily exports from somewhere else. And, Chetan, if I can pull you into the story then, U.S. firms are buying a lot of AI-related equipment from Asia. What does that mean in your part of the world? And in particular, I'm thinking about Korea, Taiwan, and maybe some other economies in Asia. What's the critical story there? Chetan Ahya: So, for Asia, this has definitely been a big boon. If you look at Asia's exports, they have been booming, and particularly for the ones which are exporting semiconductors to the U.S. They are seeing semiconductor exports growing by 90 percent. And when we go back in time and compare Asia's semiconductor exports, it's very tightly linked to the U.S. IT CapEx. And it's not surprising when Mike Gapen mentions about the imports going up. It's on the other side, helping Asia's exports quite meaningfully. So, so far, we've seen this benefiting Korea, number one, Taiwan, and also Japan. All these three are big beneficiaries of U.S. AI CapEx. And of course, also not just U.S., but the other countries which are doing any little amount of CapEx on AI front, that's also helping these three economies in the region. Seth Carpenter: You've been doing a lot of work, Chetan, recently about how much the story can actually broaden out, that the AI CapEx cycle has really contributed to Asian growth, but it doesn't tell the whole story that there's a broader industrial cycle. Can you give us a little bit of a flavor of that story? Chetan Ahya: That's right, Seth. So, we are actually highlighting that there is a CapEx and industrial super cycle that is underway in Asia, and there are four components to this story. AI and semiconductors CapEx, which we just briefly discussed. Number two is energy. Number three is defense. And number four is industrial supply chain onshoring related CapEx. I know that everybody still thinks that AI is the most important part of this story, but when I give you the numbers and the breakup of that... So, for Asia, AI and semiconductor companies CapEx is about $380 billion in 2026, but energy CapEx is going to be $900 billion. So, this is a far broader story than just AI for Asia. Seth Carpenter: Mike, let me come back to you and to the U.S. then. So, isn't the growth story also broader than that as well domestically? So, what's going on in terms of consumer spending in the U.S., and is there a broader CapEx story in the U.S. as well? Michael Gapen: I would say, is it broader than that? I think maybe you could argue also it's narrower than that. Here's what I mean by that. As I noted AI CapEx contributing about 40 basis points to growth, it's certainly underpinning equity valuations in the U.S. and underpinning strong wealth creation. So about [$]180 trillion in household net worth in the U.S. About [$]55 trillion of that has been created in just the last five years alone, underpinned in part by AI-related spending and optimism about future profitability. That's really supported spending by upper income households. So, I think it's both investment-led and consumer-led, but they're inextricably linked. So, the positive for the U.S. is that it's providing a lot of resilience. The negative component of that is it feels like momentum in the U.S. is narrowly driven. Jens Eisenschmidt: Let me maybe jump in here from Europe to provide some perspective from the other side. So, I think it's a fair summary to say that AI investment is not yet, or maybe will never get there, dominating the business cycle. What we do have instead is an unusually consumption-driven expansion. That has to do not so much with an extraordinary strength of consumption, but more of an absence of other factors. Now, prospectively looking forward, we think the fiscal expansion might help lifting us a little bit. And then it is really the debate how much AI investment can arrive in Europe. For now, I would say it's probably a factor of 20 that separates European investment plans from the plans we know that exist for the U.S. Seth Carpenter: Let me stick with you then in Europe because you brought up fiscal as one of the factors going on here and where it's going… You and your team recently wrote a blue paper talking about what the outlook is for fiscal policy in Europe, and in particular, we had this era of cheap debt. Interest rates in Europe were low, at times negative. It was super easy to borrow. Not as much happened then. There's been a shift towards more fiscal expansion at the same time that interest rates have gone up, causing the cost of debt to go up. Feels like there's a lot of push and pull going on. Can you unpack for us a little bit what was in that paper you wrote, what's going on with fiscal policy in Europe, especially in Germany? And what it might mean over time for Euro-area countries? Jens Eisenschmidt: Yeah, so I think fiscal policy in Europe really is looking at a regime shift. So, there is this very famous, probably in the U.S. even more so than here, notion that the Europeans have built a very comfortable welfare state. And that's true if you just look at the accounting from a GDP perspective. It's close to 50 percent that, you know, budgets are actually extended on welfare spending. And now you have three structural headwinds for any type of fiscal spend. So, one is aging related costs, you mentioned it already. Defense spending has to increase significantly, and the interest rate costs will also rise significantly. All of that means there will be very hard choices to be made. The one thing that actually could help here is growth. Growth is the one thing that's, for now at least, missing, at least in comparison to the U.S. It's probably half what we expect, what the U.S. colleagues think is in stake for the U.S., and a quarter or even less than that of what is there in Asia. So, growth is really the key, the solution, the answer to everything in Europe. More growth than just 1 percent, which is potential, would help solving that fiscal challenge. For now, it looks really, really like an uphill battle. Returning to Germany, it's the one country that has a very good fiscal starting position. They are pushing a lot but they're to some extent pushing a string. So, even with the German huge fiscal package, given that private sector investments so far are absent, doesn't get us a ton of growth. Seth Carpenter: Chetan, maybe I'll come back to you before we close part one of this roundtable. The AI CapEx cycle started with AI, broadened out further. How long do you expect this cycle to last? How durable can it be? And how might it compare to previous CapEx cycles? Chetan Ahya: Yeah, Seth. So, we think this will be a multi-year CapEx cycle. And when we are thinking about the duration of the cycle, there are two things that I would keep in mind. Number one is that most of the drivers that we just discussed – the CapEx on AI, energy, defense, and industrial supply chain onshoring related investments – these are all structural drivers. So, we think these are going to continue for some more time. At this point of time, we have the visibility for this cycle to be lasting for three-four more years. And then the second point of framework that I would keep in mind is that the corporate balance sheets are in a pretty good shape. So, when you are thinking about the leverage in the private sector, you can look at both households and the corporate sector balance sheet. But since the cycle is CapEx driven, we are looking at the corporate balance sheets, and they are in a pretty good shape. Across the region, corporate debt to GDP is below where it was in 2019. Seth Carpenter: Mike, let me, let me wrap up quickly with you. We talked about AI, AI CapEx. For now, that's a very strong demand story. When are we going to see a supply side of things coming from AI? Are you already seeing a big contribution to GDP and growth from productivity coming from AI? Michael Gapen: We are, but not outside of the high-tech sectors, and we're seeing limited, what I'll call labor market restructuring of tasks and occupations beyond high AI-exposed occupations. So right now, everything is still very isolated I think maybe as we get into 2029 and beyond, so as Chetan says, we probably have a three to four-year super cycle here around a build-out phase. Then we might see some of that broader-based diffusion to other non-tech sectors in the economy. Seth Carpenter: All right, Jens, for you, let's wrap up here. So, what is the state of play for the build-out in the CapEx cycle for AI in Europe? Jens Eisenschmidt: Yeah, it's very early stages. As I said before, we really; we connected to all the industry experts or analysts covering the sector and the total plans are a factor of 20 below what we see in the U.S. by just the seven hyperscalers. So, I would say very fragmented, very small, in general. Not only AI. I think the one thing I would be looking at for any type of sign of revival, sign of growth is investment. The second would be investment. And you can guess what the third would be… Investments in the core countries. That's really what we need to see, and we haven't seen much in Germany or France on this front. Seth Carpenter:That's a great place for us to stop today. We talked about the real side of the economy, AI, CapEx, trade. Tomorrow we're going to come back, and we'll talk about how that growth outlook affects inflation. And once you start talking about growth and inflation, you got to talk about policy, and that's where we'll be tomorrow. Mike, Jens, and Chetan, thank you for joining today. And for the listeners, thank you for listening. Be sure to tune in tomorrow for Part 2 of our conversation. And I have to say, if you enjoy this show, please leave us a review wherever you listen, and share Thoughts on the Market with a friend or a colleague today.

This week on the Mark Levin Show, Senator Lindsey Graham, a loyal friend and loyal ally to democratic and peace-loving countries around the world, has passed away. He was a friend to Israel, Ukraine, Taiwan, and others. He was a counterbalance to naive Woke Reich isolationists who talk about American sovereignty but don't realize you have to fight for it. Graham had a lot in common in national security matters with Ronald Reagan. Not even a nation as powerful as the United States can go it alone, and Graham understood we have alliances for a reason. The left and Woke Reich isolationists wasted no time attacking him, but he was popular in South Carolina and all over the world. He and his sound advice will be truly missed. Then, the infiltration of America by Islamists and jihadis is really in full force, and no one seems to be doing anything about it. Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed's father-in-law, Jukaku Tayeb, is a top donor to his super PAC and a longtime leader on ISNA's founding committee and CAIR Michigan president—both groups are co-conspirators in the Holy Land Foundation terror-financing trial that funneled millions to Hamas, tied to the Muslim Brotherhood mothership responsible for groups like Al Qaeda, ISIS, and Hamas, and funded by Qatar and Turkey. Why do Democrats tolerate these ties? Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) seeks to eliminate the U.S. Senate and Electoral College to advance their agenda, though both require constitutional amendments. These institutions exist to protect smaller, less-populated states, ensuring they have a meaningful say in government so they would join the Union during independence. Similarly, the Electoral College ensures smaller states influence presidential elections, countering domination by a handful of large, populous Democrat metropolitan states and cities. Removing these safeguards would enable mob rule, open borders, non-citizen influence, and a centralized Marxist government. Later, the 2028 Republican presidential primary must be competitive and vibrant, with no coronations. The Republican Party needs to be rooted in the principles of Jefferson, Washington, Madison, Reagan, Buckley, Goldwater, and Milton Friedman's free markets—not Democrat-lite nationalism or populism that dismisses history—and we should demand articulate candidates who boldly contrast conservative beliefs with the left. No, we don't want a bold government, which is what the socialists and Marxists desire. We want an effective limited government confined to its constitutional powers, a bold private sector, and individual sovereignty. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices