Podcast appearances and mentions of cash flows

Im aktuellen Update zum 100.000 € Alternative Income Portfolio zeige ich, wie sich das Depot zuletzt entwickelt hat und warum der Ansatz bewusst auf unkorrelierte Cashflows statt klassische Dividenden-Bluechips setzt. Während große Tech-Werte zuletzt in Euro eher seitwärts oder schwächer liefen, entwickelt sich das Portfolio stabil – getragen von hohen laufenden Ausschüttungen. Besonders spannend: Das IncomeShares Alphabet Covered-Call ETP, das durch erhöhte Volatilität sogar von fallenden Kursen profitieren kann.Außerdem werfen wir einen Blick auf die jüngsten Dividendeneingänge und analysieren die Cashquote. Highlight des Videos ist der Neukauf von Flex LNG, einem LNG-Tanker-Unternehmen mit moderner Flotte, langfristigen Charterverträgen und einer attraktiven Ausschüttungsrendite von rund 10–11% inklusive Sonderdividenden. Ziel bleibt klar: langfristig ein 100.000-€-Depot mit rund 10% jährlichem Cashflow aufzubauen – also perspektivisch knapp 1.000 € monatliche Ausschüttung.Trading 212 (Sponsor): Über trading212.com/join/income gibt's das Welcome-Geschenk (bis 100 € in Aktien) + ihr unterstützt die Formate.Disclaimer: Keine Anlageberatung. Kapitalanlagen sind mit Risiken bis hin zum Totalverlust verbunden.Der Neo-Broker für Einkommensinvestoren Trading 212: Gesponserter Link. Um kostenlose Teilaktien im Wert von bis zu 100 EUR zuerhalten, kannst du über diesen Link https://www.trading212.com/de/join/INCOME ein Konto bei Trading 212 eröffnen. Es gelten Bedingungen.✅ Tausende Income-Investments (ob Equity Premium ETFs von JPMorgan, High Income ETFs von iShares oder auch die ganze Palette von IncomeShares)✅ Tägliche Zinsen auf das Verrechnungskonto, 13 Globale Börsen, Multi-Währungs-Konten✅ BaFin reguliert und Steuerabführung (auch mit Teilfreistellungsauftrag) Über diesen Link eine Aktie im Wert von bis zu 100 Euro als Welcome-Geschenk erhalten

Kryptowährungen sind für viele längst mehr als nur ein technologisches Experiment. Manche sprechen sogar schon von einer von einer ernsthaften Anlageklasse, andere sehen darin nach wie vor eine reine Spekulationswelle. Wie ist der aktuelle Stand der Dinge? Können digitale Währungen mittlerweile als seriöse Investments überzeugen? Antworten gibt es in diesem Podcast wie immer von Karl Matthäus Schmidt, Vorstandsvorsitzender der Quirin Privatbank AG und Gründer der digitalen Geldanlage quirion. Karl beantwortet folgende Fragen: Warum sind Bitcoin & Co. trotz langjähriger Historie noch keine ernsthafte Anlageklasse? (1:18) Warum sind die fehlenden Cashflows ein Hindernis für eine faire Bewertung von Kryptos? (2:45) Sind Kryptos, wie manche glauben, das „digitale Gold“? (3:41) Warum ist die Eigentümerstruktur von Bitcoins kritisch zu sehen? (5:13) Können Regulierungen Kryptos irgendwann „investierbarer“ machen? (6:09) Wie kann man am besten in Bitcoins investieren? (6:50) Was unterscheidet Stablecoins von klassischen Kryptos wie Bitcoin? (7:47) Wozu dienen Stablecoins? (9:30) Warum sind Stablecoins in Deutschland kaum ein Thema? (11:00) Wie sind Stablecoins als Inflationsschutz in Ländern wie Argentinien oder der Türkei zu bewerten? (11:45) Wo liegen die größten Risiken von Stablecoins? (12:39) Was sagt der Bitcoin-Skeptiker Schmidt, wenn die Kurse in Zukunft wieder explodieren? (14:08) Gut zu wissen: Die Preisbildung von Bitcoin & Co. wird überwiegend durch Narrative und Spekulation bestimmt – nicht durch einen überzeugenden wirtschaftlichen Nutzen. Wegen der extremen Volatilität mit historischen Einbrüchen von 60 % und mehr sind Kryptos für langfristige Vermögensplanung und Altersvorsorge ungeeignet. Die Eigentümer-Struktur ist stark konzentriert: wenige große Akteure haben erheblichen Einfluss auf Kurse und Liquidität. Das Krypto-Ökosystem ist noch fragil und abhängig von funktionierenden Börsen und Verwahrern. Ausfälle einzelner Knotenpunkte können Kettenreaktionen auslösen. Regulierung kann technische und rechtliche Risiken reduzieren, löst aber nicht die Kernprobleme fehlender Cashflows und Bewertungsanker. Stablecoins sind kein Investment, sondern vor allem hilfreich bei Transaktionen mit klassischen Kryptos. Kryptowährungen, wie Bitcoin, bleiben vorerst reine Spekulation und sind – wenn überhaupt – nur als kleiner „Spielgeld“-Anteil außerhalb der langfristigen Vermögensstrategie vertretbar. Folgenempfehlung Website Folge 248: „Sichere Anlage oder gefährliche Blase – was jetzt bei Gold-Anlagen wichtig ist“. (00:00:00) Begrüßung (00:01:18) Warum sind Bitcoin & Co. trotz langjähriger Historie noch keine ernsthafte Anlageklasse? (00:02:45) Warum sind die fehlenden Cashflows ein Hindernis für eine faire Bewertung von Kryptos? (00:03:41) Sind Kryptos, wie manche glauben, das „digitale Gold“? (00:05:13) Warum ist die Eigentümerstruktur von Bitcoins kritisch zu sehen? (00:06:09) Können Regulierungen Kryptos irgendwann „investierbarer“ machen? (00:06:50) Wie kann man am besten in Bitcoins investieren? (00:07:47) Was unterscheidet Stablecoins von klassischen Kryptos wie Bitcoin? (00:09:30) Wozu dienen Stablecoins? (00:11:00) Warum sind Stablecoins in Deutschland kaum ein Thema? (00:11:45) Wie sind Stablecoins als Inflationsschutz in Ländern wie Argentinien oder der Türkei zu bewerten? (00:12:39) Wo liegen die größten Risiken von Stablecoins? (00:14:08) Was sagt der Bitcoin-Skeptiker Schmidt, wenn die Kurse in Zukunft wieder explodieren?

SAP galt lange als Fels in der Brandung der europäischen Technologiebranche. Stabile Kundenbeziehungen, hohe Wechselkosten, stetig wachsende Cloud-Umsätze. Und doch steht die Aktie nach einem deutlichen Rücksetzer plötzlich wieder unter Druck. Rund 40 Prozent vom Hoch entfernt. Trotz steigender Margen und klarer Fortschritte in der Transformation. Die Zahlen wirken auf den ersten Blick solide: Das Cloud-Geschäft wächst weiter zweistellig, der operative Gewinn zieht spürbar an, die Netto-Marge hat sich im Vergleich zu den Vorjahren nahezu verdoppelt. Nach schwierigen Jahren der Umstellung scheint sich die strategische Neuausrichtung auszuzahlen. Der Burggraben aus Umstellungskosten, integrierten Systemen und jahrzehntelanger Kundenbindung ist real. Und trotzdem reagiert der Markt nervös. Der Ausblick auf 2026 bleibt hinter hohen Erwartungen zurück. Das Cloud-Wachstum kann mit internationalen Hyperscalern nicht Schritt halten. Gleichzeitig rückt ein Thema immer stärker in den Vordergrund: Künstliche Intelligenz. Plattformen wie OpenAI oder Anthropic drängen in den Unternehmensbereich. Mit echten Anwendungsfällen und hochkarätigen Kunden. Die Frage steht im Raum, ob ERP-Systeme langfristig ergänzt, transformiert oder teilweise ersetzt werden könnten. Noch ist das Zukunftsmusik. Doch Börse handelt Erwartungen, nicht Gegenwart. Fundamental wirkt SAP nach dem Kursrückgang deutlich moderater bewertet als in den vergangenen Jahren. Gleichzeitig zeigt der Chart einen gebrochenen Aufwärtstrend und einen intakten Abwärtsimpuls. Zwischen technischer Schwäche und fundamentaler Stabilisierung entsteht ein Spannungsfeld. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:47 Langfristiger Chart: SAP02:16 SAP vs. S&P 500 Technologie ETF (XLK) vs. Software ETF (IGV) vs. S&P 500 vs. DAX03:45 SAP vs. ServiceNow vs. Microsoft vs. Oracle vs. Salesforce04:31 Geschäftsmodell von SAP05:50 SAP HANA: Umstellung zu Cloud Angeboten07:37 SAP Quartalszahlen08:46 Ausblick für 202609:51 Veränderung am Markt: OpenAI Frontier13:21 Anthropics Claude Cowork16:06 Wachstumsausblick: Global Cloud ERP Market16:41 Burggraben17:41 Inhaberschaft19:12 Umsatz- & Margen vs. Video aus 202519:54 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen20:49 Gewinn, Cashflows & Dividenden vs. Video aus 202521:48 Bilanzüberblick23:00 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber24:02 Dividenden-Rendite24:44 Bewertung: SAP vs. Video aus 202526:24 Chartanalyse: SAP vs. Video aus 202527:00 Ist die SAP Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?30:50 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

Wolters Kluwer galt über Jahre als Musterbeispiel für ein defensives Software-Geschäft: hohe Margen, wiederkehrende Umsätze, starke Marktstellung in Recht, Steuern, Gesundheit und Finanzberichterstattung. Ein Unternehmen, dem der Markt Stabilität und Planbarkeit zugeschrieben hat – und genau dafür bereit war, eine hohe Bewertung zu zahlen. Doch diese Gewissheit ist ins Wanken geraten. Der Aktienkurs hat sich innerhalb kurzer Zeit halbiert. Nicht wegen schwacher Zahlen. Umsatz, Gewinn und Marge entwickeln sich weiterhin solide. Sondern wegen einer grundlegenden Frage, die Investoren zunehmend umtreibt: Wie widerstandsfähig ist dieses Geschäftsmodell in einer Welt, in der künstliche Intelligenz Wissen, Software und Prozesse neu definiert? Diese Analyse geht der Neubewertung auf den Grund. Sie ordnet ein, warum der Markt plötzlich an den bisherigen Burggräben zweifelt, welche Rolle KI-Anbieter wie Anthropic oder OpenAI spielen und weshalb nicht nur Wolters Kluwer, sondern der gesamte Software-Sektor unter Druck geraten ist. Es geht um Lizenzmodelle, Abosicherheit, Wechselkosten, und um die Frage, ob das einst als besonders sicher geltende Erlösmodell tatsächlich noch diese Sicherheit bietet. Gleichzeitig zeigt der Blick auf Fundamentaldaten, Bilanz, Bewertung und Chart ein widersprüchliches Bild: operative Stärke trifft auf strategische Unsicherheit. Unterbewertung trifft auf Vertrauensverlust. Langfristige Qualität auf einen tiefgreifenden strukturellen Umbruch. Wir ordnen ein, warum Wolters Kluwer heute ganz anders bewertet wird als noch vor kurzer Zeit, und was das über die Zukunft von Software-Unternehmen im KI-Zeitalter verrät. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:53 Langfristiger Chart: Wolters Kluwer02:50 Wolters Kluwer vs. S&P 500 vs. AEX Index vs. Software-ETF03:45 Wolters Kluwer vs. Microsoft vs. SAP vs. Thomson Reuters vs. RELX Group04:30 Geschäftsmodell von Wolters Kluwer06:41 Aktuelle Problematik durch KI09:28 Veränderung am Markt: KI Lösungen für spezialisierte Bereiche13:44 Burggraben15:54 Wachstumsausblick Global Tax Management Software16:46 Inhaberschaft18:58 Umsatz- & Margen vs. Video aus 202520:11 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen21:30 Gewinn, Cashflows & Dividenden vs. Video aus 202523:13 Bilanzüberblick24:09 Übernahmen von Libra & Brightflag25:07 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber26:46 Dividenden-Rendite27:29 Bewertung: Wolters Kluwer vs. Video aus 202529:20 Chartanalyse: Wolters Kluwer vs. Video aus 202530:14 Ist die Wolters Kluwer Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?32:27 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

Modern Value und die Profiteure der KI-Revolution. "Wir sehen jetzt schon, auch wegen gestrichener Arbeitsplätze, eine Profitabilität in den Unternehmen", so der Kapitalmarktstratege Heiko Böhmer (Shareholder Value Management) auf dem FONDS professionell Kongress in Mannheim. Shareholder Value Management interessiert sich erst für Firmen, wenn sich das Geschäftsmodell materialisiert hat. "Value/Qualität und hohe Cashflows spielen eine große Rolle." Auch gerne ohne KI. Warum aber fehlt Siemens im Fonds? "Wir haben keinen Analysten, der eine Lanze für diese Aktie gebrochen hätte ..." Heiko Böhmer erörtert darüber hinaus die Unterschiede zwischen aktuellen KI-Anwendungen und zukünftigen Möglichkeiten durch Quantencomputing. ✍️ Frankfurter Investmentblog - Kapitalmarktupdates und Einzeltitel-Analysen: https://www.shareholdervalue.de/frankfurter-investmentblog ✍️ Frank Fischer Kolumne - Politik, Börse und Fonds-Updates: https://www.shareholdervalue.de/frank-fischer-kolumne

Het Magic Kingdom heeft een nieuwe prins nodig om zijn kasteel te verdedigen, maar wie wordt het? Dat was de onbesproken vraag rond de prachtige cijfers van Disney vandaag. Niet dat die blinkende cijfers het aandeel omhoog hielpen. Beleggers renden massaal naar de uitgang omdat een boze koning in het bladgouden Witte Huis de toeristen wegjaagt. We bespreken welke prins Mickey Mouse moet komen redden. Over goud gesproken. De glans is er wel een beetje vanaf nu edelmetalen van een historische klif vielen dit weekend én maandag. Maar waar kwam het nou door: meer vertrouwen in de dollar vanwege een nieuwe Fed-voorzitter? Speculatie die de prijzen gewoon te hard op had gestuwd? Of toch centrale banken die wat minder kopen, terwijl ze zich juist suf kochten sinds de oorlog in Oekraïne? Verder besteden we nog éven de aandacht aan het coalitieakkoord en box 3. Er is nog tijd om voor 15 maart wat aan te passen, zegt Nico, maar de tijd dringt voor de Kamerleden die het beleggersdrama van 2028 willen voorkomen. Verder in de spotlights: Indonesië dreigt de status van 'opkomende markt' te verliezen Verkoopcijfers BYD voor de vijfde maand op rij gedaald Juice incoming: Jensen Huang (Nvidia) trashtalkt Sam Altman (OpenAI) Steeds meer risicovolle ETF's Europese olie- en gasreuzen kopen minder eigen aandelen in Te gast: Nico Inberg van De Aandeelhouder BNR Beurs is een journalistiek onafhankelijke productie, mede mogelijk gemaakt door Saxo. Over de makers: Jelle Maasbach is presentator van BNR Beurs en freelance financieel journalist. Zijn favoriete aandeel om over te praten is Disney, maar daar lijkt hij de enige in te zijn. Sinds de eerste uitzending van BNR Beurs is 'ie er bij. Maxim van Mil is presentator van BNR Beurs en journalist bij BNR, waar hij zich focust op de financiële markten en ontwikkelingen in de tech-wereld. Je krijgt hem het meest enthousiast als hij kan praten over ASML, of oer-Hollandse bedrijven zoals Ahold of ABN Amro. Jorik Simonides is presentator van BNR Beurs, economieredacteur en verslaggever bij BNR. Hij wordt er vooral blij van als het een keer níet over AI gaat. Milou Brand is presentator van BNR Beurs, freelance podcastmaker en columnist bij het Financieele Dagblad. Jochem Visser is presentator van BNR Beurs, maakt Beursnerd XL en is redacteur bij BNR Zakendoen en de podcast Onder Curatoren. Vraag hem naar obscure zaken op financiële markten en hij vertelt je waarom het eigenlijk nóg leuker is dan je al dacht. See omnystudio.com/listener for privacy information.

Die Netflix-Aktie hat seit ihrem Hoch rund 40 Prozent verloren. Für viele Anleger stellt sich nun dieselbe Frage: Handelt es sich um eine überfällige Korrektur, oder um den Beginn einer längeren Schwächephase? Der jüngste Abverkauf kommt nicht aus dem Nichts. Eine ambitionierte Bewertung, nachlassende Wachstumsdynamik und milliardenschwere Übernahmepläne treffen auf einen Markt, der zunehmend sensibel auf Risiken reagiert. Besonders der geplante Zukauf von Warner Brothers rückt die Bilanz, den Cashflow und die künftige Kapitalstruktur stärker in den Fokus. Gleichzeitig bleibt Netflix operativ profitabel, mit stabilen Margen, steigenden Gewinnen und einer globalen Marktposition, die viele Wettbewerber hinter sich lässt. Doch genau dieser Spagat zwischen Qualität und Bewertung sorgt derzeit für Unsicherheit, sowohl fundamental als auch charttechnisch. Die Analyse ordnet ein, warum der Kurs so deutlich unter Druck geraten ist, welche Rolle Bewertung und Marktpsychologie spielen und warum selbst ein Rückgang dieser Größenordnung historisch nicht ungewöhnlich ist. Im Mittelpunkt steht dabei die Frage, ob sich bereits ein belastbarer Boden abzeichnet, oder ob Geduld weiterhin der bessere Begleiter bleibt. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:46 Langfristiger Chart: Netflix01:31 Netflix vs. S&P 500 vs. Zyklischer Komsun-ETF (XLY) vs. Kommunikations-ETF (XLC)02:06 Netflix vs. Amazon vs. Walt Disney vs. Warner Bros. vs. Paramount Global02:51 Historie von Netflix05:42 Streaming Anbieter im Vergleich06:37 Bieter-Wettkampf um Warner Bros.08:51 Netflix: Abbonenten-Zahlen10:41 Günstige Werbefinanzierte Abonnements11:51 Werbe-Einnahmen12:51 Burggraben14:42 Inhaberschaft15:58 Umsatz- & Margen17:06 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen17:58 Gewinn, Cashflows & Dividenden19:03 Bilanzüberblick & Aktienrückkäufe20:25 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber22:14 Bewertung: Netflix23:13 Chartanalyse: Netflix24:16 Ist die Netflix Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?27:38 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

Special Abiliato Club-DealArtikel 10 Aktien Ideen für 2026Aktienfavoriten für 2026: Rückblick & neue Ideen mit Jonathan NeuschelerIn der heutigen Folge ist erneut Jonathan Neuscheler von abilitato.de zu Gast – vielen von euch bereits bestens bekannt. Gemeinsam werfen wir zunächst einen kritischen Blick zurück auf Jonathans Aktienprognosen aus dem letzten Jahr: Was ist aufgegangen, wo lag er daneben und welche Lehren zieht er daraus für 2026?Im Anschluss wird es konkret: Jonathan stellt drei spannende Aktienideen für das Börsenjahr 2026 vor und erklärt, warum diese Unternehmen aus seiner Sicht aktuell besonders interessant sind – sowohl fundamental als auch strategisch.Rückblick auf Jonathans Aktienprognosen aus dem VorjahrWelche Schlüsse lassen sich aus der Entwicklung der damaligen Favoriten ziehen?Worauf Jonathan bei neuen Aktienideen für 2026 besonders achtetMondelez International – defensive Qualität, starke Marken und PreissetzungsmachtBritish American Tobacco (BAT) – hohe Cashflows, Bewertung und Transformation des GeschäftsmodellsFlughafen Zürich – Infrastruktur, Preissetzungsmacht und langfristige PerspektivenAußerdem sprechen wir über Chancen, Risiken und darüber, für welchen Anlegertyp sich die jeweiligen Aktien eignen könnten.Disclaimer: Die in diesem Podcast besprochenen Inhalte dienen ausschließlich der Information und Unterhaltung und stellen keine Anlageberatung oder Kaufempfehlung dar. Alle Angaben erfolgen ohne Gewähr. Investitionen in Wertpapiere sind mit Risiken verbunden. Bitte informiere dich eigenständig oder ziehe einen professionellen Berater hinzu, bevor du Anlageentscheidungen triffst.Consorsbank*: https://www.consorsbank.de/web/Wertpapierhandel/Depotwechsel*Werbung

In this special "toolbox" episode, Jason and Jeff strip away the jargon to teach you how to actually read the three most important documents in investing: the Income Statement, the Balance Sheet, and the Statement of Cash Flows. Using Nvidia's recent Q3 earnings report as a real-world case study, the hosts walk through these important financial statements line by line.01:33 The Importance of Financial Statements04:59 Understanding the Income Statement11:07 Revenue and Cost of Goods Sold16:02 Operating Expenses and Income18:39 Interest, Taxes, and Net Income23:06 Depreciation, Amortization, and Goodwill28:33 Introduction to the Balance Sheet31:42 Understanding Current Assets and Liabilities33:18 Accounts Receivable and Revenue Recognition34:49 Inventory Management Insights39:59 Exploring Goodwill and Intangible Assets44:21 Diving into Liabilities and Working Capital47:04 Cash Flow Statement Breakdown58:32 Using Tools to Analyze Financial StatementsCompanies mentioned: AAPL, BRK.B, INTC, MKL, NVDA, TGT, TJX, TREXFind where to listen & subscribe,  portfolio contests, and contact information at https://investingunscripted.com*****************************************To get 15% off any paid plan at fiscal.ai, visit https://fiscal.ai/unscriptedListen to the Chit Chat Stocks Podcast for discussions on stocks, financial markets, super investors, and more. Follow the show on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, or YouTube*****************************************Join our PatreonSubscribe to our portfolio on Savvy Trader

Im BX Morning Call ist dieses Mal ein Gast dabei: Simon Götschmann, Gründer und CEO von Arkudos. In dieser Episode geht es um aktive Schweizer Aktienstrategien und die Frage, weshalb viele Fonds ihre Benchmark langfristig nicht übertreffen, obwohl das Stockpicking oft plausibel klingt. Simon Götschmann erläutert, was den Schweizer Aktienmarkt besonders macht: die Indexstruktur mit Klumpenrisiken, die starke Sektorgewichtung (u.a. Pharma/Gesundheit) und die begrenzte Marktbreite. Zudem erklärt er, wie Arkudos Investmententscheidungen trifft, mit Fokus auf Cashflows, Bewertung und Bottom-up-Research und wo die strukturellen Grenzen grosser Fonds liegen (z.B. bei Small Caps und Liquidität). Ein Schwerpunkt liegt auf der 130/30-Long/Short-Strategie: Was bedeutet 130/30 in der Praxis, wozu kann eine Short-Komponente dienen und wie werden Short-Positionen umgesetzt (Securities Lending statt Derivate)? Auch typische Risiken und Verhaltensmuster aus der Verhaltensökonomie werden angesprochen, insbesondere der Umgang mit Narrativen und Bewertungsdisziplin. Themen dieser Folge: - Warum ein eigener Fonds und wie der Investmentprozess funktioniert? - Über- und Untergewichtung: Kriterien, Bewertung, Free Cashflow. - Risiken: Markt, Bewertung und Psychologie - Long/Short 130/30: Mechanik und praktische Umsetzung - Was macht den Schweizer Markt und die Indexstruktur speziell? - Kundengewinnung, Wachstum und Ausblick

Daily Snippet vom 08.01.2026 Der DAX hat gestern die 25.000 Punkte Marke geknackt (All-Time-High). Gleichzeitig lesen wir von Stromausfällen in Berlin, Regierungs-Chaos und Entlassungen. Wie passt das zusammen? Ignoriert die Börse die Realität? Nein. Die Börse ist rationaler als du denkst. Der DAX besteht aus Global Playern (Siemens, Rheinmetall), die für die Welt produzieren, nicht für Berlin. Außerdem fließt Kapital aus den USA (Venezuela-Unsicherheit) nach Europa. Lerne in diesem Audio, wie du "Lärm" (lokale Politik) von "Signal" (globale Cashflows) unterscheidest. Jetzt die Analyse anhören: —— Hier geht es zum Blog: https://www.julianhosp.com/de/blog/daily-snippet-08-01-2026 —— Folge mir für ehrliche Finanz-Einblicke! Montag bis Freitag: Dein persönliches Finanz-Audio. Kompakt, klar und mit den wichtigsten Marktinfos für deinen Vorsprung:

How mathematical rigor, probabilistic thinking, and family priorities shape a young investor's approach to finding overlooked opportunities.The episode is sponsored by TenzingMEMO — the AI-powered market intelligence platform I use daily for smarter company analysis. Code BILLIONS gets you an extended trial + 10% off.https://www.tenzingmemo.com/David Diranko is a 29-year-old German mathematician turned professional value investor who uniquely combines statistical rigor with contrarian small-cap investing, building his investment advisory firm Diranko Capital while sharing research through his newsletter Contrarian Cash Flows.3:00 - David explains his unconventional journey from mathematics to IBM data scientist to full-time value investor, detailing how he worked 40+ hours at IBM while spending another 30 hours weekly on investing before making the leap to launch Duranko Capital.6:00 - Drawing parallels between Ben Graham as "the original data scientist" during the Great Depression, David discusses how mathematical thinking enhances investment analysis through probabilistic frameworks and viewing intrinsic value as a range rather than a single number.10:00 - The decision to share research publicly through Contrarian Cash Flows despite initial hesitation about giving away "edge," leading to deeper thinking, network effects, and unexpected client relationships—though David candidly admits he's still learning to balance transparency with proprietary insights.20:00 - Europe's structural advantages for small-cap investors: fragmented markets across 27 countries, language barriers creating information asymmetries, and limited institutional coverage enabling patient capital to exploit mispricing—with David emphasizing the importance of investing in quality businesses over statistical cheapness.35:00 - AI's transformative impact on investing: from automating routine tasks to potentially replacing 50% of analyst work, while emphasizing that relationship-building, creative thinking, and probabilistic judgment remain distinctly human advantages that AI cannot replicate.50:00 - Balancing entrepreneurship with young family life (two kids under three), David shares his contrarian view that starting families early while building careers creates stronger bonds through shared struggle, rejecting the common narrative of family as a "reward" for career success.1:02:00 - Closing wisdom on finding meaning beyond financial returns, referencing Charlie Munger's caution that a life purely about buying securities wouldn't be enough—investing must serve a deeper purpose than accumulation.Podcast Program – Disclosure StatementBlue Infinitas Capital, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the opinions expressed by the Firm's employees and podcast guests on this show are their own and do not reflect the opinions of Blue Infinitas Capital, LLC. All statements and opinions expressed are based upon information considered reliable although it should not be relied upon as such. Any statements or opinions are subject to change without notice.Information presented is for educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed.

Greetings, and welcome back to the podcast. This episode we are joined by Mr. Dan Halyk - CEO of Total Energy Services - a TSX listed energy services company with a market cap of ~$550 million. Mr. Halyk is the founder of Total Energy and has served as a director since its inception in November 1996 and Chief Executive Officer since 2002. Mr. Halyk co-founded Trident Capital Partners in 1997, a private limited partnership that invested primarily in the energy and real estate industries until 2021. Prior to starting Trident Capital, Mr. Halyk was a corporate/securities lawyer with Bennett Jones in Calgary. Mr. Halyk received his Bachelor of Commerce (Finance Major) and Bachelor of Laws from the University of Saskatchewan. Among other things we learned about Cash Flows, Energy Services & New Markets.Enjoy.Thank you to our sponsors.Without their support this episode would not be possible:Connate Water SolutionsATB Capital MarketsEPACAstro Oilfield Rentals AmbyintBunch ProjectsSupport the show

There has been a lot of recent talk about a potential SpaceX IPO. I sit down with Aaron Burnett, co-founder and CEO of Mach33, to discuss. Mach33 and Ark Invest collaborate on an open-sourced SpaceX financial model. Enjoy!

Ulta Beauty gehört zu den erfolgreichsten Einzelhändlern im amerikanischen Kosmetikmarkt, und steht dennoch vor einem spannenden Wendepunkt. Während die Aktie ein neues Allzeithoch markiert, mehren sich Fragen nach der Nachhaltigkeit des jüngsten Aufschwungs. Der Kosmetiksektor erlebt seit Jahren einen starken Nachfragezyklus, befeuert durch Social-Media-Trends, eine junge Zielgruppe mit hoher Markenbindung und die wachsende Bedeutung von Eigenmarken. Doch nicht alle Kennzahlen zeigen in die gleiche Richtung. Im Zentrum der aktuellen Diskussion stehen die strategische Neuausrichtung unter der neuen CEO Kecia Steelman, die ambitionierte internationale Expansion sowie das stark wachsende Loyalitätsprogramm des Unternehmens. Gleichzeitig verlieren die „same store sales“ an Dynamik, was den Markt in den vergangenen Quartalen zunehmend verunsicherte. Erst die jüngste Anhebung des Ausblicks hat den Kurs wieder beflügelt. Der Podcast ordnet die Entwicklung des Unternehmens ein, analysiert Umsatz- und Margentrends und zeigt, wie Ulta Beauty gegenüber Wettbewerbern wie Walmart, LVMH, Target oder Sally Beauty positioniert ist. Außerdem geht es um die Frage, ob der aktuelle Hype rund um das Kosmetiksegment ein struktureller Trend ist, oder ob Anleger Gefahr laufen, eine Übertreibung zu unterschätzen. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro01:28 Langfristiger Chart: Ulta Beauty02:23 Ulta Beauty vs. S&P 500 vs. Zyklische Konsumgüter-ETF (XLY) vs. Amundi Global Luxury ETF02:53 Ulta Beauty vs. Walmart vs. LVMH vs. Sally Beauty Holdings vs. Target vs. Bath & Body Works04:07 Historie von Ulta Beauty05:12 Geschäftsmodell von Ulta Beauty06:26 Loyalty Program07:09 Ausblick & Filial-Wachstum07:45 Wachstum der Stores08:29 Burggraben09:19 Inhaberschaft10:10 Umsatz- & Margen10:48 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen11:29 Gewinn, CashFlows & Dividenden11:55 Bilanzüberblick & Aktienrückkäufe12:25 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber12:55 Bewertung: Ulta Beauty13:25 Chartanalyse: Ulta Beauty13:55 Ist die Ulta Beauty Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?14:40 Börsen-Kompass Einblick15:49 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

IASB Chair Andreas Barckow and IASB Vice-Chair Linda Mezon-Hutter discuss: Statement of Cash Flows and Related Matters; Amendments to the Fair Value Option (IAS 28); Provisions—Targeted Improvements; and a review of 2025 and changes on the IASB's work plan.

Dans cet épisode de l'Immo Sans Cravate, on vous propose de redécouvrir un de nos premiers épisodes en compagnie de Julien Calamote.Julien est archand de biens, entrepreneur, investisseur et auteur du livre “S'enrichir grâce à l'immobilier”, qui a acquis plus de 30 appartements patrimoniaux au cours de ses 15 ans d'expérience dans le secteur !On aborde plusieurs sujets intemporels dans cet épisode, qui vous aideront si vous souhaitez investir dans l'immobilier:Comment professionnaliser son approche pour scaler ?Se multi-bancariser et jouer le jeu avec ses partenaires bancairesComment se faire financer en défendant son dossier soi-même ?Le TRI, le seul vrai indicateur qui permet de comparer vos investissementsLa notion d'enrichissement latent vs le cashflowSélectionner ses sources d'apprentissageL'importance de commencer à investir tôtLes doutes et l'entourageOutils et ressources cités dans cet épisode:Le livre “S'enrichir grâce à l'immobilier”, écrit par Julien.Ça fait un bail ! : Podcast immobilier animé par Jérémy NabaisLes investisseurs 4.0 : Podcast sur l'investissement et les finances persosLa martingale : Podcast pour gérer ses finances persos et ses investissementsVous pouvez suivre Julien sur Instagram ou Linkedin, ou l'écouter dans son podcast Money Tree.Pour nous soutenir ❤️Dites nous ce que vous pensez de l'épisode en commentaire sur Apple Podcasts et SpotifyAbonnez vous au podcast sur votre plateforme préféréeLaissez une note 5 ⭐ sur Apple Podcasts et SpotifyEt surtout, parlez-en autour de vous !Pour continuer à explorer l'Immo Sans Cravate ou nous contacter:Instagram TiktokFacebook YoutubeHébergé par Ausha. Visitez ausha.co/politique-de-confidentialite pour plus d'informations.

Constellation Software zählt zu den erfolgreichsten Softwarekonsolidierern der vergangenen zwei Jahrzehnte. Die Wachstumszahlen sind beeindruckend, die Übernahmestrategie gilt als wegweisend, und über 800 akquirierte Unternehmen haben ein Geschäftsmodell entstehen lassen, das in dieser Form einzigartig ist. Doch erstmals seit langer Zeit geraten gleich mehrere Grundpfeiler des Unternehmens unter Druck. Zum einen sorgt der überraschende Rücktritt von Gründer Mark Leonard für Verunsicherung. Seine Rolle als strategischer Kopf und Architekt des Akquisitionsmodells ist kaum zu überschätzen. Mit Mark Miller übernimmt zwar ein interner Manager mit jahrzehntelanger Erfahrung, doch der Übergang fällt in eine Phase, in der der Markt sensibler reagiert denn je. Gleichzeitig wächst der Wettbewerb durch neue KI-Plattformen, die einfache, individualisierbare Softwarelösungen ermöglichen. Gerade im vertikalen Softwaremarkt könnte dies die Margen unter Druck setzen. Einige Wettbewerber zeigen bereits ähnliche Schwächetendenzen, was die Frage aufwirft, ob die gesamte Branche vor einem strukturellen Wandel steht. Im Podcast wird beleuchtet, warum die Bewertung des Unternehmens trotz langfristiger Stärke spürbar gefallen ist, welche Rolle die jüngsten Quartalszahlen spielen und welche charttechnischen Marken jetzt entscheidend sind. Außerdem wird eingeordnet, wie real die Risiken für das Geschäftsmodell tatsächlich sind, und welche Faktoren darauf hindeuten, dass der aktuelle Abschwung sowohl Warnsignal als auch Chance sein kann. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro01:12 Langfristiger Chart: Constellation Software02:44 Constellation Software vs. Technologie ETF (XLK) vs. S&P 500 vs. S&P/TSX Composite Index03:25 Constellation Software vs. Microsoft vs. Vitec Software vs. Roper Technologies vs. Enghouse Systems04:54 Gründe des jüngsten Kurs-Rückgangs08:50 Geschäftsmodell von Constellation Software10:03 Firmen-Überblick12:01 Zukäufe & Akquisitionen12:45 Negative Meldungen13:42 Burggraben14:49 Inhaberschaft17:01 Umsatz- & Margen vs. Video aus 202417:49 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen18:49 Gewinn, CashFlows & Dividenden vs. Video aus 202419:52 Bilanzüberblick & Aktienrückkäufe20:45 Übernahmen der letzten Jahre22:01 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber22:54 Dividenden Rendite23:27 Bewertung: Constellation Software vs. Video aus 202425:26 Chartanalyse: Constellation Software vs. Video aus 202428:06 Ist die Constellation Software Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?29:17 Börsen-Kompass Einblick30:14 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

Die Linde-Aktie gehört seit Jahren zu den verlässlichsten Werten im globalen Industriegase-Sektor. Trotz dieser Stärke hat der jüngste Kursrückgang für Aufmerksamkeit gesorgt. Die Bewertung ist inzwischen wieder auf ein Niveau gefallen, das Anleger zuletzt nur in Phasen besonderer Marktspannung gesehen haben. Gleichzeitig sendet die Industrie gemischte Signale, und auch Linde selbst wirkt beim Ausblick für 2026 zurückhaltender als gewohnt. Im Podcast wird eingeordnet, wie diese Entwicklung zu bewerten ist: Welche Faktoren sprechen für eine attraktive Einstiegslage, und welche Risiken sollte man nicht unterschätzen? Dazu gehören unter anderem die Margenentwicklung, die Stellung im Wettbewerbsumfeld, die Rolle der Industriegase im globalen Nachfragezyklus und die Frage, wie belastbar der Burggraben in einem schwächeren Umfeld tatsächlich ist. Auch der Blick auf die langfristige Historie zeigt ein klares Muster: Linde hat über viele Jahre hinweg Stabilität mit Wachstum kombiniert. Ob sich dieses Muster fortsetzen lässt und welche Bewertungsspanne derzeit realistisch erscheint, wird im Video analysiert. Ergänzt wird dies um eine charttechnische Einordnung und die Frage, welche Kursmarken für die weitere Entwicklung entscheidend sind. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:48 Langfristiger Chart: Linde02:10 Linde vs.S&P 500 vs. Industrie-ETF (XLI) vs. Rohstoff-ETF (XLB)03:05 Linde vs. Nippon Sanso Holdings vs. Air Liquide vs. Air Products and Chemicals03:45 Geschäftsmodell von Linde05:23 Letzte Quartalszahlen im Überblick06:23 Globaler Markt für Industrie-Gase06:53 Burggraben07:59 Inhaberschaft09:05 Umsatz- & Margen vs. Video aus 202410:56 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen12:11 Gewinn, CashFlows & Dividenden vs. Video aus 202412:58 Bilanzüberblick & Aktienrückkäufe14:13 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber14:51 Dividenden Rendite15:40 Bewertung: Linde vs. Video aus 202418:03 Chartanalyse: Linde vs. Video aus 202418:50 Ist die Linde Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?21:46 Börsen-Kompass Einblick22:32 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

Sprouts Farmers Market gehört zu den interessantesten Spezialisten im amerikanischen Lebensmitteleinzelhandel. Das Unternehmen hat sich mit einem klaren Fokus auf frische, natürliche und biologische Produkte etabliert und profitiert von einem Markt, der seit Jahren deutlich stärker wächst als der klassische Supermarktsektor. Gleichzeitig bleibt Sprouts mit einem Marktanteil von rund 0,5 Prozent weiterhin ein kleiner, aber dynamischer Player in einer stark fragmentierten Branche. Nach einem außergewöhnlich starken Kursanstieg im Jahr 2024 folgte eine Phase deutlicher Ernüchterung. Der Aktienkurs halbierte sich innerhalb weniger Monate, belastet durch eine anspruchsvolle Vergleichsbasis, schwächere Same-Store-Sales und einen vorsichtigeren Ausblick des Managements. Die jüngsten Quartalszahlen zeigten jedoch erneut stabile Gewinne und eine solide Margenentwicklung. Die zentrale Frage lautet nun: Spiegelt die aktuelle Bewertung bereits das reduzierte Wachstum wider, oder eröffnet der Rücksetzer neue Chancen? Im Podcast werden die wichtigsten Aspekte der Analyse eingeordnet: die langfristige Umsatz- und Gewinnentwicklung, die Strategie hinter dem Bio-Segment, die Expansion in neue Regionen, die Rolle des eigenen Markensortiments sowie die Bewertung im Vergleich zu Wettbewerbern wie Walmart, Costco, Kroger und Ahold Delhaize. Auch die charttechnische Situation wird betrachtet, inklusive des parabolischen Anstiegs, des anschließenden Trendbruchs und der Frage, bei welchen Kursniveaus sich ein erneuter Einstieg langfristig lohnen könnte. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:50 Langfristiger Chart: Sprouts Farmers Market01:35 Sprouts vs. S&P 500 vs. Basiskonsumgüter-ETF (XLP)02:05 Sprouts vs. Costco vs. Walmart vs. Kroger vs. Ahold-Delhaize vs. Albertsons02:38 Historie von Sprouts Farmers Market03:55 Konzept von Sprouts Farmers Market05:09 Eigenmarken06:17 Geschäftsverteilung in den USA06:56 Marktanteil08:04 Stores & Wachstum der bestehenden Geschäfte09:22 Weltweiter Markt für Lebensmittel- & Lebensmittel-Einzelhandel10:04 Burggraben10:38 Inhaberschaft im Detail11:41 Umsatz- & Margen12:09 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen12:39 Gewinn, CashFlows & Dividenden13:11 Bilanzüberblick & Aktienrückkäufe13:52 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber15:07 Bewertung: Sprouts Farmers Market15:37 Chartanalyse: Sprouts Farmers Market16:07 Ist die Sprouts Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?17:26 Börsen-Kompass Einblick17:58 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

Die jüngsten Quartalszahlen haben bei Meta für spürbare Unruhe gesorgt. Der Konzern investiert weiter massiv in Künstliche Intelligenz, baut neue Rechenzentren in bisher ungekanntem Ausmaß und verfolgt eine extrem kapitalintensive Strategie. Gleichzeitig reagierte die Börse empfindlich: Der Aktienkurs fiel deutlich zurück, und viele fragen sich, ob Meta bei seinen KI-Ausgaben bereits eine kritische Grenze überschreitet. Der Podcast ordnet die Entwicklung ein und zeigt, welche Faktoren hinter dem Kursrückgang stehen. Dazu gehören die geplanten 600 Milliarden Dollar für KI-Infrastruktur, der Aufbau des Hyperion-Rechenzentrums, der zunehmende Wettbewerb zwischen Meta, Alphabet, Amazon und Microsoft sowie die Frage, ob der Markt eine neue Phase der Überinvestition erreicht. Auch die aktuellen Nutzerzahlen, die Entwicklung im Werbegeschäft und die Auswirkungen der jüngsten Steueranpassungen auf das Ergebnis spielen eine Rolle. Darüber hinaus geht es um die Bewertung der Aktie, die Belastungen der Margen, die Risiken einer möglichen KI-Blase und die charttechnisch relevanten Unterstützungszonen. Die Analyse beleuchtet, in welchem Spannungsfeld Meta derzeit operiert. Zwischen langfristigem Wachstumspotenzial und kurzfristigem Druck durch steigende Kosten und hohe Erwartungen. Kleiner Hinweis: Bei den täglichen Nutzerzahlen meinte ich natürlich Milliarden. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:58 Langfristiger Chart: Meta02:22 Meta vs. Technologie -ETF (XLK) vs. Nasdaq vs. S&P 50003:00 Meta vs. Microsoft vs. Apple vs. Alphabet vs. Pinterest vs. Snapchat03:55 Historie von Meta06:34 Korrektur beim Gewinn07:12 Nutzerzahlen07:42 Werbe-Umsätze von Meta08:59 Negative Schlagzeilen09:42 Fokus auf das Metaverse11:08 Investitionen in KI & Daten Zentren12:38 Generelle Markt-Investitionen in KI14:03 Globaler Markt für digitale Werbeausgaben14:47 Burggraben16:17 Inhaberschaft im Detail17:31 Umsatz- & Margen-Entwicklung vs. Video auf 202118:37 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen19:30 Gewinn, CashFlows & Dividenden vs. Video auf 202120:04 Bilanzüberblick & Aktienrückkäufe20:36 Kennzahlen (KUV) vs. Wettbewerber21:10 Dividenden-Rendite21:41 Bewertung zu Meta vs. Video auf 202123:30 Chartanalyse Meta vs. Video auf 202124:50 Ist die Meta Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?26:59 Börsen-Kompass Einblick28:02 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

Recording date: 14th November 2025The precious metals sector is experiencing a convergence of favorable conditions that veteran investors describe as one of the best commodity setups in decades. At the recent Precious Metals Summit in Zurich, industry leaders including Pierre Lassonde, Frank Giustra, and Marc Faber highlighted observable market fundamentals supporting this outlook: global liquidity at record highs, structural demand emerging from technological infrastructure, and mining companies generating unprecedented cash flows while trading at reasonable valuations.Global liquidity continues expanding despite recent volatility. The People's Bank of China maintains liquidity injections, while the New York Fed has announced plans for substantial liquidity injection into US markets during Q1 2026. The recent government shutdown ending will release capital trapped in the treasury system for over a month. This liquidity expansion creates sustained support for precious metals as fiat currency purchasing power deteriorates.A less obvious but transformative demand driver emerges from artificial intelligence infrastructure development. The US needs to build at least 350 gigawatts of power dedicated to AI infrastructure—equivalent to 50 nuclear power plants—representing a trillion-dollar investment cycle for power generation alone. This excludes electrical grids, transmission infrastructure, and computing hardware. Recent government partnerships with Brookfield, Cameco, and Westinghouse for nuclear facility development signal the beginning of infrastructure spending requiring massive copper, steel, and concrete quantities while necessitating continued government liquidity injection supportive of gold prices.Third quarter 2025 results demonstrated the financial leverage inherent in gold mining operations. AngloGold Ashanti increased quarterly operating cash flow from $300 million to $1.4 billion—more than quadrupling while gold prices doubled. Even accounting for the Centamin acquisition contributing 20% of production, cash flow expansion significantly exceeds gold price appreciation. The company now operates with zero net debt, increased dividends, and strategic flexibility for acquisitions or capital returns while trading at roughly half the valuation of Agnico Eagle Mines despite comparable cash generation.K92 Mining offers equally compelling value, posting six consecutive quarters of free cash flow while organically funding construction of a complete new mill, twin declines, and associated infrastructure. The Phase 3 expansion completing commissioning in Q4 2025 will drive significant cash flow growth as throughput increases with minimal incremental operating costs. Operating costs scale favorably—an 800 tonne per day mill requires similar oversight as a 3,000 tonne per day mill. Market valuations have not yet reflected this coming cash flow expansion, creating opportunity for investors who understand the timeline and trust management execution.The M&A cycle is accelerating as producers with pristine balance sheets deploy capital. Recent examples include B2 Gold taking a 19.9% stake in Prospector Generator (now funded with $40 million for 2026 exploration), Probe Gold's acquisition, New Gold's pending takeover, and Gold Fields committing $50 million to junior investments. The competition for quality assets remains in early stages despite this activity.Investment opportunities span the market capitalization spectrum: established producers generating record profits at reasonable valuations, funded developers approaching major cash flow inflections, and well-backed exploration companies positioned for discoveries. Current Q4 volatility represents tactical entry opportunities before typical Q1 seasonal strength, with multiple fundamental drivers supporting sustained outperformance of real assets over the coming decade.Learn more: https://cruxinvestor.comSign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com

RISE Program*: https://aktionen.consorsbank.de/ev/rise/?control=true?partnerId=CO3pod&aid=co000085&cid=COO-152In dieser Episode spreche ich erneut mit Juhani Christian Linde – Portfolio Manager, Value-Investor und Vorstandsmitglied einer norddeutschen Stiftung. Juhani verwaltet Stiftungsvermögen, berät Family Offices und private Vermögen und setzt dabei seit vielen Jahren auf Dividendenstrategien, Bewertung und langfristigen Kapitalaufbau.Bereits mit 12 Jahren startete er an der Börse – heute ist er professioneller Investor und Portfolio Consultant und kombiniert Fundamentalanalyse, Dividendenfokus und selektive Charttechnik.Wir sprechen unter anderem über:✅ Warum Dividendenaktien für Stiftungen & Family Offices so wichtig sind✅ Unterschied Value-Investing vs. Growth – und warum Tech trotzdem reinpasst✅ Wie professionelle Investoren Kapital strukturieren✅ Bewertung, Cashflows & nachhaltige Renditen statt Hype✅ Die Rolle von Research, globalen Eindrücken & Netzwerken✅ Strategien für private Anleger, die wie ein Family Office denken wollenWenn du verstehen möchtest, wie professionelle Kapitalverwalter investieren und welche Rolle Dividenden, Bewertung und strategische Portfolioarchitektur wirklich spielen – dann ist diese Folge genau richtig.⚠️ DisclaimerDiese Episode stellt keine Finanz-, Anlage- oder Steuerberatung dar.Alle Inhalte dienen ausschließlich Informations- und Bildungszwecken.Investieren ist mit Risiken verbunden, bis hin zum Totalverlust.Bitte recherchiere selbstständig oder konsultiere qualifizierte Fachleute, bevor du finanzielle Entscheidungen triffst.*Werbung

AST SpaceMobile hat innerhalb weniger Monate enorme Aufmerksamkeit auf sich gezogen. Der Kurs des jungen Unternehmens, das über einen SPAC an die Börse gelangte, hat sich nach Jahren der Schwäche zeitweise vervielfacht, und damit Erwartungen geweckt, die deutlich über dem heutigen Geschäftsvolumen liegen. Die entscheidende Frage lautet, wie stabil dieser Anstieg ist und welche Annahmen ihn tragen. Der Blick in die verfügbaren Daten zeigt ein Unternehmen in einer frühen Entwicklungsphase: geringe Umsätze, hohe Verluste und ein Geschäftsmodell, das erst in den kommenden Jahren skalieren soll. Gleichzeitig zieht die Technologie namhafte Partner an. Vodafone, Rakuten und AT&T unterstützen die Idee eines Mobilfunknetzes, das nicht mehr auf Funkmasten angewiesen ist, sondern über große Antennensatelliten im niedrigen Erdorbit funktioniert. Auch American Tower, bislang Betreiber klassischer Infrastruktur, und Alphabet sind beteiligt, was die strategische Bedeutung des Projekts unterstreicht. Im Marktvergleich fällt auf, wie unterschiedlich die Entwicklungen innerhalb der Branche verlaufen. Während Globalstar zuletzt stärker performte, kämpfen Unternehmen wie EchoStar oder Viasat mit anhaltenden Herausforderungen. Der Wettbewerb mit Starlink, das nicht börsennotiert ist, setzt zudem hohe technologische Standards, die AST SpaceMobile erst noch erreichen muss. All das spiegelt sich in einer Bewertung wider, die weit über den traditionellen Kennzahlen anderer Anbieter liegt. Dieser Überblick beschreibt, welche Erwartungen im Kurs eingepreist sind, wo die größten Unsicherheiten liegen und in welchem Spannungsfeld sich AST SpaceMobile derzeit bewegt. Die Analyse verknüpft Kursentwicklung, Fundamentaldaten und Branchenumfeld, um ein Bild davon zu zeichnen, wie realistisch die prognostizierten Wachstumsraten sind, und welche Faktoren darüber entscheiden, ob das Unternehmen seiner ambitionierten Rolle gerecht werden kann. Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:54 Langfristiger Chart: AST SpaceMobile02:46 AST SpaceMobile vs. VanEck Space Innovators ETF vs. S&P 500 vs. Industrie-ETF (XLI)03:33 AST SpaceMobile vs. Globalstar vs. EchoStar vs. Viasat04:03 Historie von SAST SpaceMobile05:10 Geschäftsmodell von AST SpaceMobile06:35 Geschäftsbereiche im Detail08:19 Produktion & Kooperation mit SpaceX09:39 Global Space-Based Network Market10:11 Burggraben11:05 Inhaberschaft im Detail13:14 Umsatz- & Margen-Entwicklung14:42 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen15:05 Gewinn, CashFlows & Dividenden15:50 Bilanzüberblick16:16 Aktienrückkäufe16:50 Kennzahlen (KUV) vs. Wettbewerber17:40 Bewertung zu AST SpaceMobile18:50 Chartanalyse AST SpaceMobile19:50 Ist die AST SpaceMobile Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?22:50 Disclaimer23:35 Danke fürs Einschalten!

Recording date: 4th November 2025The gold mining sector demonstrated extraordinary financial performance in Q3 2025, with gold stabilizing near $4,000 per ounce and silver between $47-49 after a recent $300 pullback. Major producers generated unprecedented free cash flow despite market volatility, positioning the sector for sustained growth.Agnico Eagle Mines produced exceptional results with $3 billion in revenue and 66% gross margins, generating $1.2 billion in free cash flow at all-in sustaining costs of $1,400 per ounce. At current gold prices, this translates to approximately $17-18 million in daily free cash flow. Newmont Corporation similarly posted strong performance with $8 billion in revenue and $1.6 billion in free cash flow from 1.4 million ounces produced.Despite Federal Reserve rate cuts temporarily reducing global liquidity flows, the fundamental investment case for precious metals remains robust. Market weakness may extend through November, but recovery is anticipated approaching December's Fed meeting as monetary debasement trends continue supporting sector strength.M&A activity accelerated significantly with Fresnillo acquiring Probe Gold for $780 million cash, marking the world's largest primary silver producer's expansion into Canadian gold assets. This departure from Mexican operations may signal jurisdiction concerns given limited recent permitting activity. Coeur Mining's acquisition of New Gold demonstrated valuation arbitrage opportunities, with the U.S.-domiciled company leveraging its 50% premium to double operational scale while achieving 40% net accretion.Strategic investments are flowing downstream from major producers to developers and explorers. Gold Fields invested $50 million in Founders Metals targeting Suriname projects, while B2Gold deployed $10 million into Prospector Metals for Yukon exploration. These investments represent modest commitments relative to daily free cash flow generation Agnico's $180 million Perpetua investment equals just ten days of current free cash flow.The preference for cash transactions injects capital directly into specialist mining funds likely to redeploy within the sector, creating a multiplier effect. Development-stage assets trading at 0.4 times net asset value versus full NAV multiples for producers enable immediate accretion through strategic acquisitions.This capital migration down the market capitalization structure from major producers to mid-tier companies, developers, and explorers represents an early-stage phenomenon with substantial additional activity expected as producer profitability compounds at sustained gold prices.Sign up for Crux Investor: https://cruxinvestor.com

Schneider Electric zählt zu den weltweit führenden Unternehmen für Energiemanagement, Automatisierung und digitale Infrastruktur. Der französische Industriekonzern steht im Zentrum des globalen Wandels hin zu effizienteren und intelligenteren Energiesystemen, vom modernen Bürogebäude bis hin zum KI-Rechenzentrum. In dieser Analyse geht es um die Frage, wie das Unternehmen vom wachsenden Bedarf an Stromversorgung, Digitalisierung und Nachhaltigkeit profitiert. Besonders spannend ist die Rolle als Ausrüster für Datencenter, ein Bereich, der durch künstliche Intelligenz und Cloud-Computing stark wächst. Schneider Electric liefert die Technologie, die im Hintergrund für Stabilität sorgt: Energiemanagement-Systeme, Automatisierung, Software und digitale Zwillinge. Mit der Plattform EcoStruxure verbindet das Unternehmen Hardware, Software und Services, um Energieflüsse zu optimieren, Ausfälle zu vermeiden und CO₂ zu reduzieren. Themen im Podcast:– Die Entwicklung von Schneider Electric vom Stahlwerk zum Technologiekonzern– Wachstumstreiber wie Datencenter, Gebäudemanagement und Industrieautomatisierung– Umsatz-, Gewinn- und Dividendenentwicklung in den letzten Jahren– Bewertung im Vergleich zu Siemens, ABB, Eaton und Honeywell– Chancen und Risiken 2025, einschließlich der Bewertung nach starkem Kursanstieg– Bedeutung der Quellensteuer bei französischen Aktien Inhaltsverzeichnis00:00 Intro00:47 Langfristiger Chart: Schneider Electric01:39 Schneider Electric vs. MSCI World ETF vs. Industrie-ETF (XLI) vs. CAC 4002:12 Schneider Electric vs. Eaton vs. ABB vs. Johnson Controls vs. Siemens vs. Honeywell International02:42 Historie von Schneider Electric08:35 Geschäftsmodell von Schneider Electric05:15 Geschäftsbereiche im Detail08:06 Global Industrial Automation Market08:36 Burggraben09:16 Inhaberschaft10:27 Umsatz- & Margen-Entwicklung12:05 Umsatz nach Segmenten & Regionen14:04 Gewinn, CashFlows & Dividenden14:40 Bilanzüberblick15:39 Übernahmen16:25 Kennzahlen (KGV) vs. Wettbewerber17:00 Dividenden-Rendite & Quellensteuer18:48 Bewertung zu Schneider Electric19:33 Chartanalyse Schneider Electric21:08 Ist die Schneider Electric Aktie derzeit ein Kauf?22:15 Börsen-Kompass22:55 Disclaimer & Danke fürs Einschalten!

IASB Vice-Chair Linda Mezon-Hutter and IASB Member Rika Suzuki join Executive Technical Director Nili Shah to discuss: Rate-regulated Activities; Statement of Cash Flows and Related Matters; and supporting the implementation of IFRS 18.

Infrastrukturanlagen – Straßen, Netze & Daten – sind die stillen Renditehelden: planbare Cashflows, oft mit Inflationsschutz. Warum sie in Börsenabwärtsphasen als Stabilisator wirken und Portfolios ruhiger schlafen lassen. Wir zeigen, wie man Infrastruktur intelligent ins Depot integriert – mit liquiden und ausgewählten illiquiden Bausteinen. Wo Chancen liegen (Erträge, Diversifikation) und welche Risiken man aktiv managen sollte. Praktische Beispiele von Energienetzen bis Rechenzentren – verständlich, konkret, mandantenorientiert. Am Ende wissen Sie, ob und in welcher Größenordnung Infrastruktur zu Ihren Zielen passt. Nutzen für Hörer: Diese Folge zeigt, wie Infrastrukturinvestments Stabilität, Renditechancen und Schutz vor Inflation vereinen können – praxisnah und strategisch gedacht. Wenn Ihnen die Folge gefällt, bewerten Sie unseren Podcast „Finanzdialog“ und abonnieren Sie unseren Newsletter „Wissenswert“. DIALOG MODERIERT Volker Pietzsch Finanzstratege Antonio Sommese Sommese & Kollegen | Ihr Vermögen sicher klug aufbauen Webinare | Sommese & Kollegen Blog | Sommese & Kollegen

In this episode of the Real Estate Notes Show, hosts Dave Putz (JKP Holdings) and Nathan Turner (Earnest Investing) sit down with veteran investor William Tingle (26+ years in the trenches) to bridge the gap between seller finance and note buying. From vocabulary clashes to court-tested strategies, William breaks down why he buys Subject-To, sells on contract for deed (not wraps), and how he engineers cash flow without predatory tactics. If you create notes, buy notes, or want safer, scalable deals, this one's a masterclass.

Würden Marco und Stefan, Gründer von immocation, eher in deiner A-Lage oder C-Lage kaufen? Was gibt es Neues auf dem Immobilienmarkt? In dieser Folge des Spaziergangs geht es tief rein in das Portfolio der beiden. Was war der Plan, wo stehen sie? Welche Gedanken haben sie zur Entwicklung des Portfolios und des Cashflows? Warum die beiden auch sie in andere Arten des Immobiliengeschäfts wie dem Immobilienhandel gewagt haben, wieso sie für Diversifizierung im Bereich Immobilien und ob sie auch bei ihren Investments im Allgemeinen sich breit aufstellen, das erfahrt ihr in dieser Folge. immocation. Lerne Immobilien.

Die Wall Street startet ruhig in den Tag – nach der Rally zum Wochenbeginn gönnen sich die Märkte eine Verschnaufpause. General Motors überrascht mit starken Zahlen, hebt die Prognose an und zeigt: Die alte Industrie lebt. Auch Coca-Cola und 3M liefern über Erwartung – das stützt die Stimmung. Heute Abend folgt Netflix, morgen Tesla – Big Tech entscheidet, ob die Rally weitergeht. Über 75 % der S&P-500-Unternehmen haben bisher die Erwartungen geschlagen. Die „Magnificent Seven“ treiben den Markt mit zweistelligem Gewinnwachstum. Politisch bleibt es spannend: Der Shutdown könnte noch diese Woche enden. Gleichzeitig deutet sich beim Fed-Meeting Ende Oktober eine Zinssenkung an. In Japan sorgt die neue Premierministerin Sanae Takaichi für wachstumsfreundliche Impulse. China sendet vorsichtige Entspannungssignale vor dem APEC-Gipfel. Das Sentiment bleibt konstruktiv – Qualität, Cashflows und solide Ausblicke zählen jetzt. Abonniere den Podcast, um keine Folge zu verpassen! ____ Folge uns, um auf dem Laufenden zu bleiben: • X: http://fal.cn/SQtwitter • LinkedIn: http://fal.cn/SQlinkedin • Instagram: http://fal.cn/SQInstagram

Overview: In this episode of the SMB Community Podcast, hosts James and Amy discuss weekend highlights and then dive into crucial advice for improving monthly cash flow for Managed Service Providers (MSPs). They emphasize the importance of collecting payments upfront, managing monthly subscription income, and understanding monthly burn rates. They also cover consumer insights, including the rise of 'silver startups' among older generations and increasing tech budgets for cloud, cybersecurity, and AI. Finally, industry updates include the appointment of a new VP of Global Channel Sales at Microsoft and insights from a recent OpenText cybersecurity survey. --- Chapter Markers: 00:00 Introduction and Welcome 00:37 Weekend Recap  04:08 MSP Question of the Week: Improving Monthly Cash Flow  09:55 Industry News: New Channel Leader at Microsoft 11:11 Industry News: OpenText Cybersecurity Survey 14:06 Industry News: SMBs Increasing Tech Budgets 16:47 Silver Startups on the Rise 20:47 Upcoming Events and Final Thoughts --- New Book Release: I'm proud to announce the release of my new book, The Anthology of Cybersecurity Experts! This collection brings together 15 of the nation's top minds in cybersecurity, sharing real-world solutions to combat today's most pressing threats. Whether you're an MSP, IT leader, or simply passionate about protecting your data, this book is packed with expert advice to help you stay secure and ahead of the curve. Available now on Amazon! https://a.co/d/f2NKASI --- Sponsor Memo: Since 2006, Kernan Consulting has been through over 30 transactions in mergers & acquisitions - and just this past year, we have been involved in six (6). If you are interested in either buying, selling, or valuation information, please reach out. There is alot of activity and you can be a part of it. For more information, reach out at kernanconsulting.com

In this episode of the Alternative Investing Advantage podcast, host Alex Perny speaks with Tyler Vinson, CEO and founder of RE Tokens, about how blockchain and digital assets are revolutionizing real estate investing. Learn how tokenization makes real estate more liquid, accessible, and transparent. Discover the compliance, taxation, and operational benefits of tokenized ownership—and what the future holds for investors.00:00 Introduction to Digital Assets and Real Estate01:41 Tyler Vinson's Background and Experience04:08 Challenges of Liquidity in Real Estate06:29 Understanding Tokenization in Real Estate10:39 Liquidity and Secondary Market Opportunities13:02 Compliance and Regulatory Considerations19:18 Investment Structures and Investor Access22:28 Fiat and Crypto Integration in Transactions23:53 Impact on Cash Flows and Distributions27:04 Streamlining Reporting and Transparency31:59 Understanding Tokenized Real Estate Investments35:06 Market Dynamics and Pricing in Tokenized Real Estate40:03 Investor Insights: Transparency and Compliance44:28 The Role of Regulation in Digital Assets50:01 Liquidity and Flexibility in Real Estate Investments51:30 Tax Implications of Tokenized Real Estate54:50 The Future of Digital Assets in Real EstateSubscribe to our YouTube channel and join our growing community for new videos every week.If you are interested in being a podcast guest speaker or have questions, contact us at ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Podcast@AdvantaIRA.com⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠.Learn more about our guest, Tyler Vinson: https://www.linkedin.com/in/realestateinvestment/Learn more about Advanta IRA: https://www.AdvantaIRA.com/ https://podcasters.spotify.com/pod/show/advanta-irahttps://www.linkedin.com/company/Advanta-IRA/https://twitter.com/AdvantaIRA https://www.facebook.com/AdvantaIRA/ https://www.instagram.com/AdvantaIRA/The Alternative Investing Advantage is brought to you by Advanta IRA.Advanta IRA does not offer investment, tax, or legal advice nor do we endorse any products, investments, or companies that offer such advice and/or investments. This includes any investments promoted or discussed during the podcast as neither Advanta IRA nor its employees, have reviewed or vetted any investments, persons, or companies that may discuss their services during this podcast.  All parties are strongly encouraged to perform their own due diligence and consult with the appropriate professional(s) before entering into any type of investment.

Market Update: Earnings Shifts Focus from Political Headlines In this episode of Dividend Cafe on Thursday, October 9th, Brian Szytel provides a market update. The DOW dropped by 243 points, the S&P fell by a quarter of a percent, while the Nasdaq remained mostly flat. The 10-year yield increased slightly by a basis point. The episode highlights the impact of delayed economic data due to the ongoing government shutdown. Brian discusses the encouraging shift in focus from political to earnings reports, with notable companies showing strong earnings. He emphasizes the importance of fundamental analysis and contextualizes current market performance by comparing it to historical rebounds. Brian also touches on the health of municipal pensions and the attractiveness of municipal bonds in high tax brackets. He concludes by encouraging listener questions and wishing them a good weekend. 00:00 Introduction and Market Overview 00:31 Economic Data and Government Shutdown 00:49 Earnings Reports and Market Fundamentals 02:02 Historical Market Context and Predictions 03:04 Focus on Cash Flows and Dividend Income 04:22 Municipal Bond Market Insights 05:46 Conclusion and Viewer Engagement Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com TheBahnsenGroup.com

Welcome to Day 24 of the Double Your Profit SeriesThe go-to series for contractors, home service owners, and small business entrepreneurs.Today we're diving into one of the most important — and often most confusing — financial topics in business: Cash Flow.It's the reason so many owners scratch their heads at year-end when their accountant says, “Congrats, you made a profit,” but the checking account feels empty. That gap? That's cash flow.

IASB Chair Andreas Barckow and IASB Member Bob Uhl join IASB Executive Technical Director Nili Shah to discuss: Business Combinations—Disclosures, Goodwill and Impairment; Statement of Cash Flows and Related Matters; and an update on the Agenda Consultation. The IASB is currently running a short podcast audience survey to understand how our podcasts are being used and how they can be improved.

In dieser Folge sprechen wir über das vielleicht wichtigste Tool für moderne Anleger: den rundum erneuerten extraETF Portfolio Tracker. Wer ernsthaft Vermögen aufbauen will, braucht nicht nur einen Überblick über sein Depot – sondern echte Transparenz und analytische Tiefe. Genau hier setzt der neue extraETF Portfolio Tracker an. Du erfährst, wie du Klumpenrisiken erkennst, deine Depotstruktur optimierst und mehrere Depots bei verschiedenen Brokern professionell konsolidierst – und das alles in einem einzigen, leistungsstarken Tool. extraETF Portfolio Tracker auf einen Blick - Transparenz pur: Branchen, Länder, Einzelwerte, Stile auf Knopfdruck. - X-Ray-Analyse: Enttarne versteckte Schwerpunkte im Depot. - Multi-Depot-Synchronisation: 20+ Broker direkt anbinden. - Automatisierte Auswertungen: Dividenden, Renditen & Cashflows im Blick. - Bessere Entscheidungen: Stilbox, Klumpenrisiken, Benchmark-Checks.

In this episode, Michelle Delling from Rectangle Health shares simple ways to help dental practices get paid faster and easier. She talks with host Michael Walker about how to fix payment problems, use automation, and stop wasting time on paperwork. If you're trying to get away from insurance and want better cash flow, this one's for you! Book your free marketing strategy meeting with Ekwa at your convenience. Plus, at the end of the session, get a free analysis report to find out where your practice stands online. It's our gift to you! https://www.lessinsurancedependence.com/marketing-strategy-meeting/  If you're looking to boost your case acceptance rates and enhance patient communication, you can schedule a Coaching Strategy Meeting with Gary Takacs. With his experience in helping practices thrive, Gary will work with you on personalized coaching, ensuring you and your team are prepared to present treatment plans confidently, offer financing options, and communicate the value of essential dental services. https://www.lessinsurancedependence.com/csm/ 

Explore the biggest fintech trends shaping the future of global payments in our fifth episode recorded live at Money20/20 Europe in Amsterdam. In this exclusive set of interviews for the c-suite podcast, produced in partnership with LHV Bank and recorded on their booth at event, we talk about partnerships, consumer behaviour, regulation and blockchain, diving deep into what's next in payments. Our guests for this episode were: 1/ Moshe Winegarten, CRO, Ecommpay 2/ Angela Hull, VP Global Payment Partners, PPRO 3/ Robert Kraal, Co-Founder, Silverflow 4/ Asya Karakus, Head of Payment Partnerships, SumUp 5/ Phil Harding, Commercial Director, Cashflows

Leo Landaverde helps people get out of the rat race by buying profitable businesses. His students have bought 50M in businesses in the last 12 months. Top 3 Value Bombs 1. The 4 pillars of Business Acquisition Mastery are Buy Box, Deal Flow, Deal Analysis Mastery and Deal Team. 2. A private equity is an ecosystem and there is no way anybody can buy a business by themselves. You are going to need a team, and a community. 3. Change happens when the pain of staying the same is greater than the pain of changing. Check out Leo's website to know more information about buying a business - Busines Acquisition Mastery Sponsor ThriveTime Show - Attend the world's highest rated business growth workshop taught personally by Clay Clark and now featuring Football Star, Tim Tebow, and President Trump's son, Eric Trump, at ThrivetimeShow.com/eofire.

IASB Vice-Chair Linda Mezon-Hutter and IASB Member Florian Esterer join IASB Executive Technical Director Nili Shah to discuss: Equity Method; Intangible Assets; and Statement of Cash Flows and Related Matters.

What if the real reason your income is stuck isn't strategy, effort, or even timing—but your definitions? In episode 183 of Nicole Purvy Classified, I'm breaking down 4 everyday words that are silently sabotaging your execution, blocking your business growth, and keeping your income inconsistent: Decision Emotion Discipline State of Mind These aren't just words. They're performance levers—and once you define them properly, your clarity, consistency, and income start flowing. And yes... we're going there. Forgiveness is part of the problem. But not the way you think.

This episode of Gimme Some Truth, International edition, explores recent discussions surrounding the weakening of the US dollar and the role of currency diversification in managing financial risk. Topics include changes in global markets, impacts on investments, and practical approaches to building diversified portfolios without requiring international relocation.Timestamps:00:00 – Introduction to US Dollar Trends00:31 – Currency Diversification and Historical Context01:55 – Cash Flows and Currency Exposure Abroad04:07 – Impact of Dollar Weakness on Retirees and Expats06:17 – Types of Dollar vs. Non-Dollar Assets09:04 – Dollar-Hedged vs. Unhedged Investments10:44 – Gold, Commodities, and Currency Hedges13:24 – Preparing for Dollar Decline vs. Reacting to It15:35 – Portfolio Construction for Currency Diversification18:32 – Misconceptions About Diversification Strategies20:00 – Concluding Observations on Currency Risk✅ Subscribe for detailed discussions on markets, diversification, and financial risk management.SUBSCRIBE  @walknercondon   @usexpatinvesting  For more on this topic and others check out the blog on our website: https://usexpatinvesting.com/blog/ Visit our website for more financial planning resources and educational information: https://www.usexpatinvesting.com ————————————————ADD US ON:LinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/walkner-condon-financial-advisors-llc Facebook: https://facebook.com/usexpatinvesting

J Darrin Gross I'd like to ask you, Mike Cossette, what is the BIGGEST RISK?   Mike Cossette Well, Darrin, I appreciate all your insight, and I really appreciate that that question. And I like the three phases that you just went through, because that is going to help me restructure how I think about my own risk. I really that that was a nice little light bulb you gave me my personal risk. And I think a lot of investors might be seeing this now, and if they're not, if they're new investors, this is something that is vitally important is over leveraging. I think everyone you know says, Keep X amount of dollars, six, nine months of you know, costs, you know, capex, or what have you in the account I want. I think everyone should increase that because, as you mentioned with the global warming and fires and hurricanes and those black swan events. Everything can be going perfect, but it's what you don't and can't expect or predict that can sink the ship. And we're experiencing that now. Everything you know, even tough, markets going fantastically, you know, fine, and then boom, hurricane hit, no money coming in six months before insurance can even lift a finger, and that can sink a lot of ships, and it almost sunk ours so, and we're still waiting, waiting to see if it will. So I think that is the biggest thing is for so long, we've been going fast, borrowing 232, and a half, three and a half percent interest. Then, why wouldn't you buy this? Cash Flows? Everything makes sense, and capital is available. Government's printing money. Everyone's got their hand out. People are moving fast and not stopping, and assessing their portfolios the way they should be, and really setting aside the emergency funds that are necessary. I think that is, in my opinion, the biggest risk and my biggest risk.  

Did you enjoy this episode? Text us your thoughts and be sure to include the episode name.In each episode of our Year-end toolkit series, our guests share insights on key areas of the year-end accounting and reporting process. The conversations are relevant for all finance teams, even if it's not year-end close time. And it's relevant even for those not engaged in the company's closing process – the episodes have something for everyone.This episode covers the statement of cash flows - what statement of cash flow areas the SEC is focusing on, why it remains a frequent area of restatement, and the most commonly asked questions our team is seeing in practice.In this episode, we discuss:4:11 – Key takeaways from the 2024 AICPA/SEC Conference9:43 – Funds held on behalf of others and assessing predominance18:48 – Non-cash transactions, constructive receipt and disbursement, and the cash flow treatment of cryptocurrency28:50 – Gross versus net cash flows and cash flow treatment of: excise taxes, insurance recoveries, and debt restructuring39:30 – FASB project on the statement of cash flows for financial institutionsFor more on the statement of cash flow presentation, see Chapter 6 – Statement of cash flows in PwC's Financial statement presentation guide.Bret Dooley is a PwC National Office Deputy Chief Accountant who leads teams focused on the financial services sectors and accounting for financial instruments. He has over 25 years of experience in the financial services, banking, and capital markets industries. Bret focuses on emerging financial reporting issues related to financial instruments, developing interpretive guidance, and assisting clients in resolving complex accounting mattersSuzanne Stephani is a director in PwC's National Office specializing in the statement of cash flows, as well as the application and interpretation of the accounting guidance related to financing and leasing transactions.About our hostGuest host Kyle Moffatt is PwC's Professional Practice leader, leading a team responsible for working with standard setters and regulators as well as delivering brand-defining thought leadership and educational materials. He also consults with engagement teams and audit clients on SEC reporting matters. Before PwC, Kyle spent almost 20 years with the SEC, most recently as Chief Accountant and Disclosure Program Director in the Division of Corporation Finance.Transcripts available upon request for individuals who may need a disability-related accommodation. Please send requests to us_podcast@pwc.com.

Keith unveils our 2025 National Home Price Appreciation Forecast. Learn the factors driving the housing market and discover why Keith's predictions have been spot-on for the past 3 years. Gain the insights you need to make strategic real estate moves in the year ahead. Don't miss this must-listen episode packed with actionable real estate insights. The Fannie Mae home purchase sentiment index rose, indicating growing consumer confidence. Trump's immigration and tariffs policies and their potential impact on housing demand and labor market disruption. Hear about the impact of the under supply of housing in the US and the potential impact on home prices. Will you please leave a review for the show? I'd be grateful. Search “how to leave an Apple Podcasts review” or for Spotify. Show Notes: GetRichEducation.com/533 For access to properties or free help with a GRE Investment Coach, start here: GREmarketplace.com GRE Free Investment Coaching:GREmarketplace.com/Coach Get mortgage loans for investment property: RidgeLendingGroup.com or call 855-74-RIDGE  or e-mail: info@RidgeLendingGroup.com Invest with Freedom Family Investments.  You get paid first: Text FAMILY to 66866 For advertising inquiries, visit: GetRichEducation.com/ad Best Financial Education: GetRichEducation.com Get our wealth-building newsletter free— text ‘GRE' to 66866 Our YouTube Channel: www.youtube.com/c/GetRichEducation Follow us on Instagram: @getricheducation Complete episode transcript:   Automatically Transcribed With Otter.ai    Keith Weinhold  0:00   Welcome to GRE I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, today is the day that I'm giving you our 2025 national home price appreciation forecast. You'll get the exact percent that I expect home prices to rise for Fall next year. Learn the factors that really move prices. Importantly, I follow up and you get the results of previous years forecasts too. Will it be a holly jolly forecast or more Grinch like today on Get Rich Education.     Mid-south home buyers. I mean, they're total pros, with over two decades as the nation's highest rated turnkey provider, their empathetic property managers use your ROI as their North Star. So it's no wonder that smart investors just keep lining up to get their completely renovated income properties like it's the newest iPhone. They're headquartered in Memphis and have globally attractive. Cash Flows, an A plus rating with a better business bureau and now over 5000 houses renovated. There's zero markup on maintenance. Let that sink in, and they average a 98.9% occupancy rate, while their average renter stays more than three and a half years. Every home they offer has brand new components, a bumper to bumper, one year warranty, new 30 year roofs. And wait for it, a high quality renter. Remember that part and in an astounding price range, 100 to 180k I've personally toured their office and their properties in person in Memphis, get to know Mid South. Enjoy cash flow from day one. Start yourself right now at mid southhomebuyers.com that's mid south homebuyers.com   you know, whenever you want the best written real estate and finance info. Oh, geez. Today's experience limits your free articles access, and it's got paywalls and pop ups and push notifications and cookies disclaimers. It's not so great. So then it's vital to place nice, clean, free content into your hands that adds no hype value to your life. That's why this is the golden age of quality newsletters, and I write every word of ours myself. It's got a dash of humor, and it's to the point because even the word abbreviation is too long, my letter usually takes less than three minutes to read, and when you start the letter, you also get my one hour fast real estate video. Course, it's all completely free. It's called the Don't quit your Daydream letter. It wires your mind for wealth, and it couldn't be easier for you to get it right now just text GRE to 66866, while it's on your mind, take a moment to do it right now. Text GRE to 66866.   Corey Coates  3:12   you're listening to the show that has created more financial freedom than nearly any show in the world. This is get rich education.   Keith Weinhold  3:28   Welcome to GRE from North port, Florida to North Pole, Alaska and across 188 nations worldwide. I'm Keith Weinhold, and you are listening to get rich education episode 533 Yes, your favorite slack jawed real estate podcaster here is indeed the GRE founder. I'm also an active Forbes real estate council member, best selling author. I write our weekly Don't quit your Daydream newsletter. And perhaps most importantly, I am an active real estate investor, I am here to help you invest well in real estate, and that is because most Americans have enough saved for an absolutely incredible single day of retirement. Look the content that you choose to listen to will shape your behavior, it'll even gradually alter your identity over time and forge your dreams. Middle class financial advice will keep you squarely in the middle class. They get robbed of the fruits of their labor through taxes. Get robbed of their purchasing power through inflation, and they get robbed of their financial future by staying financially illiterate. I mean, if you're grinding hard and sacrificing experiences to be debt free at 36 well then that means you aren't using other people's money. You, it confirms that you've got no leverage. Why celebrate that? Celebrate financial freedom or a great vacation, or, you know, anything else, like with your friends and family to the Canary Islands. I mean, that's stuff that's worth celebrating, that's extraordinary in this one and only life that you got. I love the old African proverb, if you want to go fast, go alone. If you want to go far, go together. You and I are on this journey together. Dream of living the life where you just give a light touch to some of your investments while they are building your wealth, just adjust the sales of your ship a little here and there. Now. We'll get into the big picture real estate forces in my exact percent home price appreciation figure shortly. But doesn't that sound amazing where you can just do this? I mean, that's what I do. I just give a light touch to my investments. For example, at the beginning of this month, I looked at the statements as they came in in emails from my property managers in various real estate markets, like I usually do now when you have a perfect month as a real estate investor, US landlords, or should I say, housing providers, acknowledging last week's show we develop our own vernacular. A perfect month is when you have 100% rental occupancy and no repair items. Once though you have more than about five rental units, it's hard to ever have a perfect month. It's always good to budget something toward long term vacancy and maintenance. But I had a pretty good month last month. For some reason, my properties needed a few new appliances, a replaced fridge. Here, a new microwave. There, a lot of appliances like a fridge, you know, they can still look pretty close to new, even if they're used. That's fine for a rental. This was just a $280 fridge replacement, for example, in this one rental, single family home of mine. So yeah, just that monthly scan of your property manager statement, seeing that income and expenses look kind of reasonable to you, and then going about your day and the rest of your month. Now, it wasn't always that way for me. As I started and grew, I self managed my own properties for the first six or seven years, and sometimes, you know, something will happen where I want to get more proactive and maybe take, say, a 90 minute block of time to shop for lower insurance premiums if I see those rates rising in a certain market or something like that, but that's how it feels to give a light touch to your active direct real estate investments. Keep that going, because this is all happening while you keep other people's money working for you, the banks, the governments and the tenants.    Hey, something that's become newsworthy, an index measuring consumer confidence in the housing market, rose again last month, and that is the latest sign that potential property buyers and sellers are growing more accustomed to today's mortgage rates and prices. The Fannie Mae home purchase sentiment index that has now increased to 75 points. So the index has risen 11 points or more than 16% in the last year. So there is, however, not one shred of evidence, for example, that sub 3% mortgage rates are coming back anytime soon, maybe not even in this decade or in your entire lifetime. Who really knows? I mean, it's soon going to be three years since the Fed began their aggressive rate hiking cycle and the market and consumer expectations are finally adjusting and settling down, and that right there that factors in just the touch to the housing forecast that I'm going to deliver to you today. And before I get into that, since we are get rich education, do you know what the federal funds rate is like, what it really means? Let me explain this to you in a way where I think you'll not only learn, but I'm going to give you an example so that you can actually remember it. And I'm going to over simplify it, the federal funds rate, that thing that Jerome Powell and his committee set, that is the rate that banks pay other banks to borrow from each other. It's a little over 4% right now. Okay, let's just say it's 4% here's why the federal funds rate is typically lower than mortgage rates. Say that Wells Fargo pays bank of America this 4% federal funds rate to borrow so that Wells Fargo can then turn around and lend the funds to you for a real estate mortgage loan. All right. Well now you can see that Wells Fargo had to pay Bank of America 4% that's why, when you go get your real estate loan from Wells Fargo, you can understand and see why they'd have to charge you, say, 7% in order to make a spread. That is why mortgage rates are higher than the federal funds rate. Wells Fargo made the spread of 3% because they borrowed at four, and they lent it to you at seven, and you yourself you borrowed at seven because your tenant pays your interest and principal for you, and you get the leverage and all of the other benefits. So again, the federal funds rate is the rate that banks pay when they borrow from other banks, and since they need to make a spread arbitrage, this is why mortgage rates are higher. Again, that's oversimplified, but I think that's a way where you can really remember what that is and why that is that way. All right.    Well, with that lesson understood, let's talk about the big national home price forecast for next year. And here's what's interesting. Look at the forecasts that my peers have made. All right, I've already got the forecasts from 16 other housing analytics platforms here, and they have all predicted that home prices will rise next year, all 16 of them, but they've all forecast something different. And everything we're discussing today, by the way, is nominal, meaning, not inflation adjusted. All right. Note that the average of all these platforms, all 16 of them, is a 2.8% gain for next year. All right, if you look at all of them the range, the highest is Goldman, Sachs at 4.4% and the lowest is Moody's Analytics at just 310 of 1%   I'll tell you now that my forecast today, it wouldn't even fit on this chart, it is going to be off the chart. And this is something that might ramp up your intrigue. Maybe you think I would look at this and choose something safe, and since I have the benefit of seeing how 16 others have weighed in that, I'll just pick something in the middle of that. Oh, no, not at all. This is an independent forecast. So since our forecast is off the chart, then that means that what I'm going to tell you today either has to be higher than the highest, which is that 4.4% from Goldman Sachs, or lower than the lowest, which is that 310 of 1% from Moody's. Yes, it is outside of those brackets, busting the bookends today. And as I lead up to it, I will detail the reasons why the calculus that went into this forecast. So before we're done, yes, you will get the exact percent number that I expect existing single family home values to increase by or decrease by next year. It is the fourth straight year that I'm doing this. And now a lot of people make whimsical predictions, you know. But today, you're gonna get something that you rarely, if ever get accountability, because I'm also going to show you the results, you'll see how well my forecasts have actually performed each of the past three years. Sheesh, don't you wish everyone followed up on the prediction that they made now, oh gosh, most housing price crash Predictions Fail Faster than your average New Year's resolution. All right, we need first historic context in order to put this future that we're talking about into perspective. Let's look at how bad other predictions have been this is something that Yahoo Finance recently pointed out, the year by year, reasons that people thought housing prices would crash Since 2012 so we're talking about the past 13 years here, starting in 2012 it was shadow inventory. Remember that that never came true. 2013 higher mortgage rates. 2014 in that year. People thought that housing prices could tumble hard because QE was ending in October of that year. That is quantitative easing, which is dollar printing. I mean, basically QE, that's just the Genteel way of saying inflation. In 2015 they thought a manufacturing recession would make home prices crash. In 2016 home prices were back to their pre global financial crisis high. Well, people thought that seemed shaky. In 2017 I don't know what it was. No one had a good reason. But the word crash just gets attention, so some media tried to scare people with that headline. Anyway, in 2018 it was mortgage rates went from 4% up to 5% seriously like that was the top reason. In 2019 it was that home price growth was cooling off in 2020 of course, it was the COVID 19 pandemic in 2021 it was mortgage forbearance in 2022 it was that mortgage rates hit 7% that was the first time we saw those in a while, even though 7% is still below the long term average of seven and three quarters percent in 2023 it was historically low housing demand. People thought that would bring down real estate prices. In 2024 it was sustained higher mortgage rates and an uptick in inventory. And what's it going to be in 2025 I don't know. Clickbait artists will have some other farcical reason why home prices will crash. Just watch, all right, well, with that, look back every year since 2012 of course, real estate prices definitely don't always go up. In fact, when we look at a longer term history, the national home price appreciation rate every year since World War Two. Like I told you on a previous episode, there were only two periods where home prices fell, that's over a period of 80 to 85 years. There was just 1% attrition in 1990 and then the only appreciable loss period, of course, were those years around the 2008 global financial crisis, where you really probably could consider that an all out crash, prices were down more than 20% nationally, more than 40% 50% in some markets, all right. Well, how did that concerning period compare to now? Well, 2008 is when conditions were largely opposite of what they are now that is back 2008 we had an oversupply of homes, and it was all supported by poorly underwritten mortgages, meaning the borrower really couldn't afford the payment. And also that's when people had low or no equity in homes, so they just walked away, so borrowers had no equity to lose, nor any credit score to protect, and it was oversupplied there about 17 years ago. I mean, that era was so bad and also such an anomaly, that home prices actually fell below the replacement cost, if you can believe that, meaning that you could ostensibly buy existing property for less than the cost that it would take to build a property, then all right. Well, all three of those conditions are opposite. Now today, we have an under supply of homes. Secondly, we have carefully underwritten mortgages, and thirdly, we have record high equity positions, about 300k on average. People are not walking away from that unless things got absolutely dire. All right, with that historical context. So here we are building up to my factors for the forecast, and then the big reveal of the percent figure here, before we're done, to be clear, what I'm providing is the projected sales price of existing single family homes per the National Association of Realtors, stat set. All right, so why existing? And not include the new builds into that? Well, first of all, there are way more existing home sales. Then there are new build sales each year. And see, the thing is, though, that tracking new build that really skews the numbers, because what can happen is, one year, you might have a ton of luxury new build homes. Well then that skews the numbers up too much. Or then there's the more nascent trend of what's happening lately, building smaller homes this past year in order to help with affordability and building smaller that can skew the numbers down. So sticking with existing homes that allows us to keep things more same same. Today, you'll learn about what goes into my forecast and the factors that actually don't matter as much as you would think, like the incoming Trump administration. You'll also hear an important clip from Trump in a few minutes for the second week in a row, I'm bringing you the show from a fairly interesting place, Anchorage, Alaska. This city of 300,000 people, is at sea level. The west side is confined by a coast. The east side is confined by mountains. It's a modern US city. There are high rise buildings and convention centers and freeways and a really convenient International Airport. What's interesting about being in America's northernmost city right now? Anchorage is. That Saturday, just a couple of days ago, that was the winter Equinox for half of the globe, the entire northern hemisphere. And here, the sunrise time is about 10:15am, and sunset about 3:45pm, that right there is just five and a half hours of daylight. That's it, but it feels like more than that. It feels closer to perhaps seven plus hours of daylight, because at high latitudes, the sun barely drops below the horizon, so therefore you get more Twilight on either end of sunrise in Sunset. Well, this is a real estate show, so I hope that's not too much of an astronomy lesson for you here. But anchorage can never get 24 hours of daylight or darkness, because it simply is not far enough north. In fact, when I fly from, say, the center of the 48 states out here. I travel more west than North. The thing for you to remember is that the only places on the globe that can get 24 hours of daylight and darkness are inside the Arctic and Antarctic circles. They're at 63 and 1/3 degrees of latitude or greater, and Anchorage is just 61 I've been skiing here, but suffice to say, with a lot of darkness, it's been a good place for me to study research and put my effort into this forecast that I'm sharing with you today, which you'll hear after the break.    This week's episode is supported by ridge lending group. It's the same place where I get my investment property mortgages and refinancings, you can go ahead and originate your loans at the same place I get mine, that is Ridgelendinggroup.com.  Also freedom family investments, you can make a loan and get a stable return of 7% 8% or Even 10% yet still have some measure of liquidity. Why park your funds at a bank? You can learn about their private money loans by texting FAMILY to 66866, if you want 8% or more on your money while it's on your mind, just text FAMILY to 66866, and see if it's right for you. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, more next you're listening to get rich education.    Oh geez, the national average bank account pays less than 1% on your savings, so your bank is getting rich off of you. You've got to earn way more, or else you're losing your hard earned cash to inflation. Let the liquidity fund help you put your money to work with minimum risk. Your Cash generates up to a 10% return and compounds year in and year out. Instead of earning less than 1% in your bank account, the minimum investment is just 25k you keep getting paid until you decide you want your money back. Their decade plus track record proves they've always paid their investors 100% in full and on time. And you know how I'd know, because I'm an investor in this myself, earn 10% like me and GRE listeners are text FAMILY to 66866, to learn about freedom. Family investments, liquidity fund on your journey to financial freedom through passive income. Text, FAMILY to 66866.   hey, you can get your mortgage loans at the same place where I get mine at Ridge lending group NMLS, 42056, they've provided our listeners with more loans than any provider in the entire nation, because they specialize in income properties. They help you build a long term plan for growing your real estate empire with leverage. You can start your pre qualification and chat with President Caeli Ridge personally. Start Now while it's on your mind at Ridge lendinggroup.com that's Ridge lendinggroup.com   Tom Wheelwright  24:08   This is Rich Dad Advisor Tom Wheelwright. Listen to Get Rich Education with Keith Weinhold, and Don't Quit Your Daydream.   Keith Weinhold  24:24   welcome back to GRE. I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, with the factors that are weighing into my home price appreciation determination for next year. Here now all of these factors matter, but I'm generally going to start with less weighty factors and proceed more toward the weighty factors Trump tariffs. Could Trump tariffs increase materials costs, the cost of materials that go into homes? Well, yes, of course, they could. Could it also increase the labor costs that go into those homes, if, say, businesses decide to onshore. Sure in order to avoid paying the tariffs, yes, and you would have to pay a higher wage to Americans. That's obviously inflationary, but applying tariffs is slow, and it takes a long time to trickle through, okay? But here's the thing, even the threat of tariffs can produce inflation, and we already have the threat that's something real. And now see if you're a consumer and you want to buy a new washer, dryer set or a microwave, well, you're more motivated to do that today, not in a year, because this threat of tariffs might mean that that appliances price will spike. You might want to buy your new car now, if you anticipate the terrace could be coming and it's going to affect that well, the apartment building owner feels the same way before she or he buys 48 washer dryers for their apartment building. Home Builders and remodelers they want to get their materials orders in now, in some cases, whether that's for concrete, drywall, lumber, any component that goes into a home where they think that a tariff could jack up the price, you really need to be paying attention to whether you think this is going to happen or not. So Trump likely means more inflation, and that correlates also with sustained higher interest rates of all kinds, including mortgage rates. And there's no certainty there. There is just that correlation. Now, a lot of real estate investors anticipate that a president with a real estate investor background like Trump Has he is going to return 100% bonus depreciation and extend his tax breaks, okay, all of these things, especially that bonus depreciation, can really enhance your tax situation, but that's not part of the home price appreciation forecast for next year. Okay, we're just looking at next year here. How about mortgage rates? How is that going to factor into home prices for next year? Mortgage rates hardly matter. And the newer listener that you are, the more of a surprise that is, rates are about 7% now, a lot of experts think they're going to go to 6% in a year. But who knows? I mean, a year ago, everyone thought rates would be substantially lower today. But here's the thing, it's not just a who knows. It's almost a who cares about what mortgage rates will be when it comes to prices. Because, like I've shared with you before, since 1994 mortgage rates have risen 1% or more seven different times, and home prices went up all seven times.  Long time listeners like you, you already know this, so for the complete backstory on the why, you can listen to earlier episodes, but the short story is that higher rates, you gotta look at what's happening when there are high rates that's a confirmation that the economy is strong, and when the economy is strong and people feel secure in their job, what do they do? They buy a home. So mortgage rates matter, but a person's personal economy matters more when they make a decision to buy a home or not. A sharp fall in rates that correlates with a recession. So higher rates usually lead to higher home prices, something that almost everyone in real estate thinks of oppositely. On weeks with lower rates this year, we did have lower housing inventory, and with higher rates, we had higher inventory. So that did affect that the next factor is more important than tariffs and mortgage rates, and that is Trump and immigration. Okay? Because this affects the supply versus demand component of housing, something supremely important. Well, more immigrants mean more housing demand, pushing up prices and on immigration, who really knows how many of this surge of fresh immigrants are going to be deported? Will it only be the illegals, or will it be others? Or will it be none at all? Or will it be something else, will trump deport everyone? I mean, that is not easy to do, and it's really expensive. Here are Trump's latest public remarks on how he's going to treat recent immigrants to the US. The interviewer is Kristen Welker from NBC, and she's heard shuffling some papers here too. So don't let that throw you off as you listen to Trump.    Speaker 1  29:39   You raised the point that the logistics are complicated. You said yourself, everything's gone. You mean you need 24 times more ICE detention capacity just to deport 1 million people per year, not to mention more agents, more judges, more planes. Is it realistic to deport everyone? First of all, they're costing us a fortune, but we're starting. With the criminals, and we got to do it, and then we're starting with others, and we're going to see how it goes   Keith Weinhold  30:06   well there, before Trump's first day in office for his second term, see he's already saying we'll see how it goes with deporting immigrants. He now realizes how costly that is. If there is mass deportation, housing demand goes down, but we'd also have fewer laborers, which a lot of those immigrants are, to build the new housing that our country needs. So there's somewhat of a canceling out effect there. It could mean higher home prices because it could even mean higher home prices because most fresh immigrants are renters. They aren't occupying homes that they own anyway, and just how many people we're talking about here, the Pew Research Center estimates that 13% of construction workers are undocumented. That disruption to the labor market that can produce higher inflation, because the slowdown in home building means less supply and higher prices. Now let's get to the biggest factor before I provide my track record, and then the big number, and that is more on the housing supply versus demand. So yeah, it's really fundamental economics. That's the core driver of next year's anticipated home price change. All right, let's start with supply. How undersupplied of housing are we still in the US? Well, an update on the Fred active listing count, and this is for single families, condos and townhomes. It's that we are up off the bottom, but we're still a good 40% or so below the equilibrium point where demand meets supply. America grew its available inventory 27% this year, pretty significant, and next year, it might grow another 15 or 20% that's my best guess. All right then, well, let's try to project future supply by what you have to do is look at new housing starts. That means shovels in the ground. That means taking a backhoe and excavating for spread footings, digging that trench that you're going to pour concrete into, starting homes from the ground up. Well, we don't have enough starts either not enough. In fact, we could be digging a deeper hole with the under supply at our current level of building, US housing under supply will grow by over 200,000 homes per year if we continue at this low level of building. And would you consider all housing types, single family homes, apartments, mobile homes, condos, ADUs, everything? Freddie Mac estimates that we are currently under supplied by a whopping 3.7 million housing units. Now, you probably heard figures like that before, but let me put it into perspective. At two persons per home, our shortage is greater than what could house the entire population of Libya. That's what we're talking about here. And some agencies estimate we're even more undersupplied than the 3.7 million homes. Now, of course, I'm making only a national forecast today. There are regional variations in some Texas and Florida sub markets, they have built plenty of new build single family homes now, let me tell you something scary. What if your income dropped by a third, making 1/3 less in the future than you do right now? Like that would be a moment of panic for a lot of people, you and your family, as you hold that thought when it comes to supply, this year had historically low home sales. When I talk about sales, these are not prices. This is different. This is the volume of sales. Next year, there will likely only be a few more sales than this year, and there weren't many this year. Now see for you, as an individual real estate investor and a consumer that goes grocery shopping, you know, you are interested in real estate prices, but the industry, if you work in the industry, like as a builder or as a real estate agent or even a furniture provider, they are more concerned about the number of home sales. This sales volume that I'm talking about, and here's what's going on, normal is about 5 million home sales per year. It was over 6 million during the pandemic, and now we're down at 4 million. So I mean, in a short period of time to go from 6 million down to 4 million, that is a drawdown of transactions by a third. So just imagine if you are a home builder or a real estate agent, or you're in the retail furniture business and your volume is down by a third. I mean, what would happen to you if your income were down by a third? And you're in one of those industries and you don't have a way to pivot, so that is scary stuff for that subset of people. Well, while all of that was happening to sales volume, lower and lower volume. Home prices have just kept ticking up these past few years. All right. Well, that was supply, and there is one last factor to weigh before I reveal the forecast number, and that is demand. There is a long way to go before there is enough housing inventory for the pent up demand in the housing market, pent up demand from these people that can't quite afford a home. Demographics is destiny. You know, it is one of the easiest things to project, because demographics is a known forget immigration here, because I already talked about that just domestically, the US had its own high birth rate years from 1990 to 2010 and most people don't know about this. Many of those years between 1990 and 2010 there were over 4 million births annually, and that peaked in the year 2007 All right, you might be wondering, so what? That's the past? What about the future? Well, in housing prices, that right there is the future, with today's first time homebuyer now being a record 38 years old, like I told you about a few episodes ago. Alright, if you add 38 to the year that they were born, 2007 that home buyer demand won't peak until the year 2045 so that is a big part of where the demand just keeps coming from, and is going to keep coming from this wave of demographic demand that might not slow down much until the 2050s and what could slow prices is if a major recession that included a lot of job losses were eminent, that could slow home price growth. But nobody expects that. you know something, on future demand, What if health and fitness influencer Brian Johnson is right, and Earth now has the first generation not to die. What would that do to real estate prices? Have you ever thought that through that would really expand housing demand, but that wouldn't affect things for a couple decades. All right, well, let's talk track record and understand that it is pretty difficult to predict the future, and I have made all these forecasts at the end of one year, just before the forecast year even starts, just like I'm doing today, and here's how I've done at the end of 2021 for 2022 I forecast 9-10% home price appreciation the year ended, and in 2022 they came in at 10% so I got that one right. For 2023 before that year even began, I forecast 0% just that home prices would stay flat. And by the way, so many people were calling for a housing price decline that year because mortgage rates had risen. But as we know here on the show, when mortgage rates rise, home prices typically do too. And I also said back then was supply so low, I don't really see how home prices could fall. Well, the year ended, and sure enough, they came in at 0% and all of this is published in on record. You can go back and find all this, in fact, for 2024 you can hear the forecast that I made near the end of last year for 2024 and you could do that by going back and listening to Episode 481 this is episode 533 that was 52 weeks ago, and you will hear that my forecast back then for this year's home price appreciation was 4% this year is not quite over, plus housing data lags somewhat, in fact, through October, however, they were 4.1%   we've almost got that November number, not quite, but it's very likely going to end up being 4% this year, just like I had forecast at the end of Last year, but it's still officially to be determined. Before I gave the awaited fresh forecast for next year with what looks to me like really nailing the forecast spot on three years in a row now you might be wondering something, how did I know? How did I have the foresight to know that and nail those. Forecasts. You know, at this point, I have to concede that there's probably a little luck that has come into play, but this is what I do. I study research and even participate in the National residential housing market. What you're getting is my best estimate. It's not any sort of promise or guarantee. I mean, like all other 8.1 billion human beings on earth, I don't have a crystal ball, and a streak like this has gone on for three years, but it cannot go on forever. So this is what I can best surmise. So really, for 2025 The short story is that I expect more buyers than homes, which creates bids and buoyant prices. I also expect continued inflationary pressure. Those are the two chief factors that went into this. We don't ever revise our forecast mid year. This is it. For 2025 I expect home prices to increase by 5%. Yes, there it is 5% projected appreciation for next year. And to be clear, that is the NARS national median existing single family home price, the same stat set that I have cited all four years again, it is nominal, meaning, not inflation adjusted, so at Christmas or New Year's or your next dinner party, when You see your slack jawed brother in law that thinks the housing market is always going to crash, give the dude a hug and a turkey leg and tell him that I expect plus 5% and pass me the wishbone for good luck on our fourth consecutive housing price appreciation forecast, I really hope that this helps with planning your own portfolio moves, whether that's you owning more income property next year or doing a refinancing, or how you think about your own primary residence. And do you like the forecast that I've done here near the end of each year ever since 2021 if you do let us know, write us or leave us voicemail at get rich education.com/contact let me know you can always get a hold of us there year round with any type of feedback or questions.    Hey, if you appreciate this show here, do you think that you could help me out in one small way? Call it my Christmas gift request. There's only one item on my Christmas list, and it should only take a couple minutes of your time and none of your money. Leave a podcast rating and review for the get rich education podcast on Apple podcasts or Spotify, or wherever you listen, the rating is the five star thing. The review is a few short sentences about why you like the show. I would really appreciate the gift from you, and I will read your review myself too. If you don't know how to do it right inside those listener apps, just open up a browser tab and search how to leave an apple podcast review, or Spotify podcast review, or whatever platform you prefer to listen on it would feel like a little Christmas gift to me after all these years, I'd love your feedback given that way. Tell me what you think, and thanks from me and the entire team here at GRE Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays. Until next week, I'm your host. Keith Weinhold, don't quit your day dream.   Speaker 2  43:46   nothing on this show should be considered specific, personal or professional advice. Please consult an appropriate tax, legal, real estate, financial or business professional for individualized advice. Opinions of guests are their own. Information is not guaranteed. All investment strategies have the potential for profit or loss. The host is operating on behalf of get rich Education LLC, exclusively.   Keith Weinhold  44:06   The preceding program was brought to you by your home for wealth building. Get rich education.com